2015-16 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Olimpija Ljubljana

74 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Olimpija Ljubljana

9.69 points above expected

74 points · 64.31 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Krka

6.55 points below expected

34 points · 40.55 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Olimpija Ljubljana	36	22	8	6	74	75	25	+50	64.31	+9.69
2	Maribor	36	19	11	6	68	78	37	+41	68.37	-0.37
3	Domzale	36	14	13	9	55	46	31	+15	61.33	-6.33
4	Gorica	36	15	7	14	52	48	49	-1	50.86	+1.14
5	Celje	36	11	12	13	45	32	46	-14	47.73	-2.73
6	Krsko	36	10	11	15	41	24	48	-24	37.55	+3.45
7	Rudar Velenje	36	11	8	17	41	34	52	-18	44.68	-3.68
8	Luka Koper	36	11	7	18	40	40	54	-14	34.61	+5.39
9	Zavrc	36	9	13	14	40	32	41	-9	40.63	-0.63
10	Krka	36	8	10	18	34	30	56	-26	40.55	-6.55

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Olimpija Ljubljana	74	64.31	+9.69
2	Luka Koper	40	34.61	+5.39
3	Krsko	41	37.55	+3.45
4	Gorica	52	50.86	+1.14
5	Maribor	68	68.37	-0.37

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Krka	34	40.55	-6.55
2	Domzale	55	61.33	-6.33
3	Rudar Velenje	41	44.68	-3.68
4	Celje	45	47.73	-2.73
5	Zavrc	40	40.63	-0.63

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Zavrc	5	Aug 29 – Sep 26	1 in 774
2	Gorica	7	Jul 24 – Aug 29	1 in 715
3	Olimpija Ljubljana	7	Aug 8 – Sep 19	1 in 395
4	Krsko	3	Dec 12 – Mar 6	1 in 81
5	Rudar Velenje	4	Apr 2 – Apr 17	1 in 79

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Gorica	4	Oct 25 – Nov 25	1 in 85
2	Krka	5	Mar 6 – Apr 6	1 in 72
3	Rudar Velenje	3	Jul 18 – Aug 1	1 in 28
4	Celje	3	Aug 23 – Sep 12	1 in 21
5	Luka Koper	4	Dec 5 – Mar 5	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celje	9	Nov 8 – Mar 13	1 in 92
2	Zavrc	7	Aug 21 – Oct 4	1 in 73
3	Maribor	12	Sep 23 – Dec 13	1 in 17
4	Krsko	4	Oct 30 – Nov 28	1 in 17
5	Gorica	7	Jul 24 – Aug 29	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Krsko	13	Aug 1 – Oct 25	1 in 62
2	Celje	8	Aug 23 – Oct 17	1 in 35
3	Zavrc	10	Apr 3 – May 21	1 in 33
4	Domzale	4	Apr 2 – Apr 16	1 in 12
5	Krka	7	Mar 6 – Apr 16	1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Olimpija Ljubljana	1583	74	+10	12	9.1	+2.9
Maribor	1614	68	-6	7	9.8	-2.8
Domzale	1535	55	-11	6	9.3	-3.3
Gorica	1463	52	+0	7	6.9	+0.1
Celje	1465	45	+17	10	5.8	+4.2
Rudar Velenje	1420	41	-10	4	5.9	-1.9
Krsko	1380	41	-5	4	5.8	-1.8
Luka Koper	1373	40	+13	9	5.3	+3.7
Zavrc	1380	40	-6	3	5.7	-2.7
Krka	1374	34	-3	5	4.8	+0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	CEL	DOM	GOR	KRK	KRS	LK	MAR	OL	RV	ZAV
Celje	—	1-1-2 4.00	1-2-1 5.21	1-2-1 6.32	0-2-2 6.62	2-2-0 6.76	1-1-2 3.48	0-1-3 4.07	2-0-2 5.94	3-1-0 6.39
Domzale	2-1-1 6.90	—	2-1-1 6.60	2-1-1 7.58	1-2-1 7.91	3-1-0 7.97	0-2-2 4.72	1-2-1 5.38	2-1-1 7.14	1-2-1 7.70
Gorica	1-2-1 5.62	1-1-2 4.27	—	3-0-1 6.51	3-0-1 6.87	1-1-2 7.11	1-0-3 3.62	1-1-2 4.28	2-0-2 6.01	2-2-0 6.55
Krka	1-2-1 4.53	1-1-2 3.40	1-0-3 4.36	—	1-2-1 5.75	1-1-2 5.98	0-1-3 2.82	0-0-4 3.09	1-2-1 4.92	2-1-1 5.36
Krsko	2-2-0 4.25	1-2-1 3.12	1-0-3 4.03	1-2-1 5.08	—	2-0-2 5.72	0-0-4 2.77	2-0-2 3.20	1-3-0 4.53	0-2-2 5.11
Luka Koper	0-2-2 4.13	0-1-3 3.07	2-1-1 3.80	2-1-1 4.85	2-0-2 5.11	—	1-1-2 2.58	0-0-4 3.04	1-1-2 4.33	3-0-1 4.90
Maribor	2-1-1 7.50	2-2-0 6.12	3-0-1 7.33	3-1-0 8.28	4-0-0 8.35	2-1-1 8.58	—	1-2-1 6.20	2-1-1 7.82	0-3-1 8.20
Olimpija Ljubljana	3-1-0 6.83	1-2-1 5.44	2-1-1 6.60	4-0-0 7.95	2-0-2 7.84	4-0-0 8.02	1-2-1 4.65	—	4-0-0 7.41	1-2-1 7.64
Rudar Velenje	2-0-2 4.89	1-1-2 3.78	2-0-2 4.83	1-2-1 5.91	0-3-1 6.32	2-1-1 6.53	1-1-2 3.20	0-0-4 3.55	—	2-0-2 5.94
Zavrc	0-1-3 4.46	1-2-1 3.30	0-2-2 4.31	1-1-2 5.47	2-2-0 5.71	1-0-3 5.93	1-3-0 2.89	1-2-1 3.36	2-0-2 4.89	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.89	+6.7
Allowed	0.71	-10.8
Differential	0.96	+4.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	5.28%	2.78%	1.67%	1.67%	33.61%
1	11.11%	12.78%	5.28%	3.89%	1.11%	0.56%	34.72%
2	5.28%	5.28%	3.33%	2.22%	0.56%	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	3.89%	2.22%	0.56%	—	—	9.44%
4	1.67%	1.11%	0.56%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	1.67%	0.56%	—	—	—	—	2.22%
Total	33.61%	34.72%	16.67%	9.44%	3.33%	2.22%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.22	+0.00
SD	1.26	1.26	1.91
CV	1.04	1.04	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	38.89%
1	16.67%	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	38.89%
2	—	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.11%	33.33%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	1.28	-0.39
SD	0.89	1.45	1.82
CV	1.00	1.13	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
1	8.33%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
2	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	25.00%
3	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	47.22%	30.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	0.86	+0.42
SD	1.16	1.02	1.59
CV	0.91	1.18	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
1	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	33.33%
2	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	25.00%
3	2.78%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	44.44%	25.00%	2.78%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.36	-0.03
SD	1.04	1.10	1.56
CV	0.78	0.81	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	38.89%
1	11.11%	13.89%	8.33%	8.33%	—	2.78%	44.44%
2	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	11.11%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	25.00%	22.22%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.83	1.56	-0.72
SD	0.85	1.36	1.61
CV	1.01	0.88	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	11.11%	11.11%	—	2.78%	5.56%	47.22%
1	19.44%	13.89%	—	8.33%	2.78%	—	44.44%
2	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
3	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	27.78%	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.67	1.33	-0.67
SD	0.79	1.57	1.85
CV	1.19	1.18	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	33.33%
1	11.11%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	38.89%
2	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	41.67%	19.44%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.50	-0.39
SD	1.12	1.25	1.81
CV	1.00	0.84	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
1	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
2	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	36.11%	36.11%	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.17	1.03	+1.14
SD	1.73	1.00	2.00
CV	0.80	0.97	—
Max	7	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
2	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
4	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	47.22%	36.11%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.08	0.69	+1.39
SD	1.70	0.75	2.07
CV	0.81	1.08	—
Max	6	2	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	41.67%
1	13.89%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	38.89%
2	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	36.11%	30.56%	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	1.44	-0.50
SD	1.17	1.71	2.22
CV	1.24	1.19	—
Max	5	7	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
1	11.11%	16.67%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	41.67%
2	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	41.67%	19.44%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	1.14	-0.25
SD	0.92	0.96	1.16
CV	1.03	0.84	—
Max	3	3	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Maribor	1614	68	68.37	-0.37	50.0%	48	57	64	68	73	79	83
Olimpija Ljubljana	1583	74	64.31	+9.69	94.0%	47	52	58	65	71	75	78
Domzale	1535	55	61.33	-6.33	26.0%	46	46	55	62	65	76	85
Celje	1465	45	47.73	-2.73	28.0%	26	37	45	47	51	57	64
Gorica	1463	52	50.86	+1.14	55.0%	34	37	46	51	56	62	66
Rudar Velenje	1420	41	44.68	-3.68	41.0%	30	35	39	43	51	55	66
Krsko	1380	41	37.55	+3.45	71.0%	22	24	32	37	43	51	56
Zavrc	1380	40	40.63	-0.63	53.0%	26	29	35	40	45	52	60
Krka	1374	34	40.55	-6.55	20.0%	26	29	35	41	45	51	56
Luka Koper	1373	40	34.61	+5.39	79.0%	20	24	31	34	39	47	51

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

-8.89%

No Edge

31.67%27.78%40.56%

Elo Value

Home Edge: -30.96 Elo pts.

170 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.01 goals

Neutral

-2-0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.5

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

27%

Olimpija Ljubljana, 2nd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.17/gm

Tight Race

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.69 * Some Luck: 5.69 to 8.53 * Lucky: 8.53 to 11.38 * Wild Swing: 11.38 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.97 * Close: 0.97 to 1.45 * Off: 1.45 to 1.94 * Way Off: 1.94 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.91 points

As Expected

07.1118

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.20

01.212.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

94.00%

Olimpija Ljubljana

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

20.00%

Krka

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.

Gini Index

0.14

Balanced

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 90.54

1.70

Coin-Flip Parity

11.82.052.75

Interquartile Edge

69%

Clear Edge

50%63.5%72%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

80%

Even

50%85%100%

Close Games

Expected

65%

Very Frequent

0%57%100%

Blowouts

Expected

16%

Occasional

0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.63

Hard to Predict

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.31

Slight Separation

00.310.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.47

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.82

Near-Lock

00.420.630.791

Upset Rate

Expected

24%

Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Shaky Favorites

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.88

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.89

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.094

Well Within Noise

00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Olimpija Ljubljana	27.00%	39.00%	18.00%	13.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Maribor	55.00%	24.00%	19.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Domzale	17.00%	27.00%	31.00%	15.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—	—	—	—
Gorica	—	5.00%	15.00%	32.00%	18.00%	11.00%	13.00%	5.00%	—	1.00%
Celje	—	4.00%	4.00%	16.00%	30.00%	18.00%	13.00%	11.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Krsko	—	—	2.00%	—	9.00%	10.00%	12.00%	13.00%	26.00%	28.00%
Rudar Velenje	1.00%	—	7.00%	14.00%	12.00%	12.00%	22.00%	21.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Luka Koper	—	—	—	—	4.00%	6.00%	9.00%	21.00%	16.00%	44.00%
Zavrc	—	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	16.00%	14.00%	18.00%	13.00%	22.00%	11.00%
Krka	—	—	1.00%	6.00%	5.00%	23.00%	12.00%	16.00%	26.00%	11.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Domzale	100%	—	—
Maribor	100%	—	—
Olimpija Ljubljana	100%	—	—
Gorica	99.00%	—	1.00%
Celje	96.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Rudar Velenje	89.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Krka	63.00%	26.00%	11.00%
Zavrc	67.00%	22.00%	11.00%
Krsko	46.00%	26.00%	28.00%
Luka Koper	40.00%	16.00%	44.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2015-07-17	Zavrc	D 1-1	62.3	1571	1392	59.39%	23.47%	17.14%	+0.87	-1.0	1
2015-07-17	@ Maribor	D 1-1	62.3	1392	1571	17.14%	23.47%	59.39%	-0.87	+1.0	1
2015-07-18	Krka	L 0-1	48.7	1445	1421	38.70%	29.34%	31.96%	-0.04	-4.2	0
2015-07-18	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	48.7	1421	1445	31.96%	29.34%	38.70%	+0.04	+4.2	3
2015-07-18	Gorica	W 4-1	50.1	1483	1467	37.63%	29.41%	32.96%	-0.09	+8.6	3
2015-07-18	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-4	50.1	1467	1483	32.96%	29.41%	37.63%	+0.09	-8.6	0
2015-07-19	Celje	W 1-0	52.6	1407	1504	23.64%	27.52%	48.84%	-0.75	+5.0	3
2015-07-19	@ Krsko	L 0-1	52.6	1504	1407	48.84%	27.52%	23.64%	+0.75	-5.0	0
2015-07-19	Domzale	L 2-3	52.8	1369	1528	18.51%	24.61%	56.88%	-1.12	-2.0	0
2015-07-19	@ Luka Koper	W 3-2	52.8	1528	1369	56.88%	24.61%	18.51%	+1.12	+2.0	3
2015-07-24	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	53.5	1393	1492	23.47%	27.45%	49.08%	-0.76	+0.6	2
2015-07-24	@ Zavrc	D 0-0	53.5	1492	1393	49.08%	27.45%	23.47%	+0.76	-0.6	4
2015-07-24	Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	53.8	1458	1441	37.68%	29.40%	32.92%	-0.08	+3.5	3
2015-07-24	@ Gorica	L 1-2	53.8	1441	1458	32.92%	29.40%	37.68%	+0.08	-3.5	0
2015-07-25	Maribor	L 0-1	54.2	1530	1571	29.85%	29.12%	41.04%	-0.42	-3.4	3
2015-07-25	@ Domzale	W 1-0	54.2	1571	1530	41.04%	29.12%	29.85%	+0.42	+3.5	4
2015-07-26	Luka Koper	W 1-0	43.6	1412	1367	41.68%	29.03%	29.28%	+0.08	+3.4	6
2015-07-26	@ Krsko	L 0-1	43.6	1367	1412	29.28%	29.03%	41.68%	-0.08	-3.4	0
2015-07-26	Krka	D 1-1	59.5	1499	1426	45.62%	28.34%	26.05%	+0.25	-0.4	1
2015-07-26	@ Celje	D 1-1	59.5	1426	1499	26.05%	28.34%	45.62%	-0.25	+0.4	4
2015-08-01	Domzale	L 0-2	48.7	1491	1527	30.44%	29.19%	40.37%	-0.39	-6.6	4
2015-08-01	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-0	48.7	1527	1491	40.37%	29.19%	30.44%	+0.39	+6.6	6
2015-08-01	Krsko	W 4-1	45.8	1574	1415	56.82%	24.64%	18.55%	+0.75	+5.2	7
2015-08-01	@ Maribor	L 1-4	45.8	1415	1574	18.55%	24.64%	56.82%	-0.75	-5.2	6
2015-08-01	Zavrc	L 1-3	51.4	1438	1393	41.59%	29.04%	29.36%	+0.08	-7.2	0
2015-08-01	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-1	51.4	1393	1438	29.36%	29.04%	41.59%	-0.08	+7.2	5
2015-08-02	Celje	D 1-1	58.2	1363	1498	20.32%	25.86%	53.82%	-0.98	+0.7	1
2015-08-02	@ Luka Koper	D 1-1	58.2	1498	1363	53.82%	25.86%	20.32%	+0.98	-0.8	2
2015-08-02	Gorica	L 1-2	52.6	1426	1461	30.47%	29.19%	40.34%	-0.39	-3.3	4
2015-08-02	@ Krka	W 2-1	52.6	1461	1426	40.34%	29.19%	30.47%	+0.39	+3.3	6
2015-08-07	Krka	L 0-1	45.6	1400	1423	32.19%	29.36%	38.45%	-0.31	-3.7	5
2015-08-07	@ Zavrc	W 1-0	45.6	1423	1400	38.45%	29.36%	32.19%	+0.31	+3.7	7
2015-08-07	Maribor	W 2-1	62.1	1364	1579	15.03%	21.39%	63.59%	-1.44	+5.7	4
2015-08-07	@ Luka Koper	L 1-2	62.1	1579	1364	63.59%	21.39%	15.03%	+1.44	-5.7	7
2015-08-07	Gorica	L 2-3	62.9	1498	1465	39.98%	29.23%	30.78%	+0.01	-3.8	2
2015-08-07	@ Celje	W 3-2	62.9	1465	1498	30.78%	29.23%	39.98%	-0.01	+3.8	9
2015-08-08	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	42.7	1410	1484	25.93%	28.30%	45.76%	-0.62	-5.8	6
2015-08-08	@ Krsko	W 2-0	42.7	1484	1410	45.76%	28.30%	25.93%	+0.62	+5.8	7
2015-08-08	Rudar Velenje	L 0-2	51.9	1533	1430	49.59%	27.30%	23.10%	+0.42	-9.5	6
2015-08-08	@ Domzale	W 2-0	51.9	1430	1533	23.10%	27.30%	49.59%	-0.42	+9.5	3
2015-08-11	Zavrc	W 3-0	40.2	1469	1397	45.40%	28.38%	26.22%	+0.24	+8.5	12
2015-08-11	@ Gorica	L 0-3	40.2	1397	1469	26.22%	28.38%	45.40%	-0.24	-8.5	5
2015-08-12	Celje	W 1-0	51.5	1573	1494	46.46%	28.14%	25.39%	+0.29	+3.0	10
2015-08-12	@ Maribor	L 0-1	51.5	1494	1573	25.39%	28.14%	46.46%	-0.29	-3.0	2
2015-08-12	Domzale	L 0-4	41.5	1426	1524	23.61%	27.51%	48.88%	-0.75	-10.1	7
2015-08-12	@ Krka	W 4-0	41.5	1524	1426	48.88%	27.51%	23.61%	+0.75	+10.1	9
2015-08-12	Luka Koper	W 4-1	42.9	1490	1370	51.92%	26.55%	21.53%	+0.53	+6.0	10
2015-08-12	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-4	42.9	1370	1490	21.53%	26.55%	51.92%	-0.53	-6.0	4
2015-08-12	Krsko	D 1-1	56.7	1440	1404	40.38%	29.19%	30.43%	+0.03	-0.2	4
2015-08-12	@ Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	56.7	1404	1440	30.43%	29.19%	40.38%	-0.03	+0.2	7
2015-08-15	Krka	D 0-0	51.1	1404	1416	33.60%	29.43%	36.97%	-0.25	+0.1	8
2015-08-15	@ Krsko	D 0-0	51.1	1416	1404	36.97%	29.43%	33.60%	+0.25	-0.1	8
2015-08-15	Gorica	L 2-3	65.6	1534	1477	43.34%	28.78%	27.88%	+0.15	-4.1	9
2015-08-15	@ Domzale	W 3-2	65.6	1477	1534	27.88%	28.78%	43.34%	-0.15	+4.1	15
2015-08-15	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	56.0	1364	1440	25.76%	28.26%	45.98%	-0.63	+0.4	5
2015-08-15	@ Luka Koper	D 1-1	56.0	1440	1364	45.98%	28.26%	25.76%	+0.63	-0.4	5
2015-08-16	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-3	53.5	1576	1496	46.57%	28.12%	25.31%	+0.29	-13.1	10
2015-08-16	@ Maribor	W 3-0	53.5	1496	1576	25.31%	28.12%	46.57%	-0.29	+13.1	13
2015-08-17	Zavrc	W 2-1	49.6	1491	1388	49.57%	27.31%	23.12%	+0.42	+2.6	5
2015-08-17	@ Celje	L 1-2	49.6	1388	1491	23.12%	27.31%	49.57%	-0.42	-2.6	5
2015-08-21	Domzale	D 0-0	55.1	1386	1530	19.62%	25.41%	54.97%	-1.03	+0.9	6
2015-08-21	@ Zavrc	D 0-0	55.1	1530	1386	54.97%	25.41%	19.62%	+1.03	-0.9	10
2015-08-22	Maribor	D 0-0	58.0	1439	1563	21.23%	26.39%	52.39%	-0.91	+0.8	6
2015-08-22	@ Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	58.0	1563	1439	52.39%	26.39%	21.23%	+0.91	-0.8	11
2015-08-23	Celje	W 6-0	47.7	1509	1494	37.53%	29.41%	33.06%	-0.09	+19.5	16
2015-08-23	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-6	47.7	1494	1509	33.06%	29.41%	37.53%	+0.09	-19.5	5
2015-08-23	Luka Koper	L 2-4	54.1	1416	1364	42.65%	28.89%	28.45%	+0.12	-6.6	8
2015-08-23	@ Krka	W 4-2	54.1	1364	1416	28.45%	28.89%	42.65%	-0.12	+6.5	8
2015-08-23	Krsko	W 3-1	48.0	1481	1404	46.08%	28.23%	25.69%	+0.27	+5.0	18
2015-08-23	@ Gorica	L 1-3	48.0	1404	1481	25.69%	28.23%	46.08%	-0.27	-5.0	8
2015-08-29	Domzale	L 0-3	45.7	1474	1529	28.10%	28.82%	43.08%	-0.50	-9.0	5
2015-08-29	@ Celje	W 3-0	45.7	1529	1474	43.08%	28.82%	28.10%	+0.50	+9.0	13
2015-08-29	Krka	D 2-2	67.9	1563	1410	56.08%	24.95%	18.97%	+0.72	-0.6	12
2015-08-29	@ Maribor	D 2-2	67.9	1410	1563	18.97%	24.95%	56.08%	-0.72	+0.6	9
2015-08-29	Gorica	L 1-3	45.6	1371	1486	21.97%	26.77%	51.26%	-0.86	-4.3	8
2015-08-29	@ Luka Koper	W 3-1	45.6	1486	1371	51.26%	26.77%	21.97%	+0.86	+4.3	21
2015-08-29	Zavrc	L 0-1	46.2	1399	1387	37.12%	29.43%	33.45%	-0.11	-4.0	8
2015-08-29	@ Krsko	W 1-0	46.2	1387	1399	33.45%	29.43%	37.12%	+0.11	+4.1	9
2015-08-30	Rudar Velenje	W 5-0	42.8	1529	1440	47.71%	27.83%	24.46%	+0.34	+12.9	19
2015-08-30	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-5	42.8	1440	1529	24.46%	27.83%	47.71%	-0.34	-12.9	6
2015-09-11	Luka Koper	W 1-0	44.1	1391	1366	38.74%	29.34%	31.92%	-0.04	+3.6	12
2015-09-11	@ Zavrc	L 0-1	44.1	1366	1391	31.92%	29.34%	38.74%	+0.04	-3.6	8
2015-09-11	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	48.1	1410	1542	20.61%	26.03%	53.35%	-0.95	-4.1	9
2015-09-11	@ Krka	W 3-1	48.1	1542	1410	53.35%	26.03%	20.61%	+0.95	+4.1	22
2015-09-12	Celje	W 4-0	45.1	1427	1465	30.17%	29.16%	40.67%	-0.40	+15.5	9
2015-09-12	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-4	45.1	1465	1427	40.67%	29.16%	30.17%	+0.40	-15.5	5
2015-09-12	Maribor	L 1-4	51.6	1490	1562	26.24%	28.39%	45.36%	-0.60	-7.2	21
2015-09-12	@ Gorica	W 4-1	51.6	1562	1490	45.36%	28.39%	26.24%	+0.60	+7.2	15
2015-09-13	Krsko	W 2-0	41.3	1538	1395	54.77%	25.49%	19.74%	+0.66	+4.5	16
2015-09-13	@ Domzale	L 0-2	41.3	1395	1538	19.74%	25.49%	54.77%	-0.66	-4.5	8
2015-09-18	Krsko	D 0-0	51.8	1450	1391	43.59%	28.74%	27.68%	+0.16	-0.4	6
2015-09-18	@ Celje	D 0-0	51.8	1391	1450	27.68%	28.74%	43.59%	-0.16	+0.4	9
2015-09-19	Maribor	W 2-1	62.1	1394	1569	17.45%	23.75%	58.79%	-1.21	+5.4	15
2015-09-19	@ Zavrc	L 1-2	62.1	1569	1394	58.79%	23.75%	17.45%	+1.21	-5.4	15
2015-09-19	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-3	46.3	1483	1546	27.24%	28.64%	44.12%	-0.55	-8.8	21
2015-09-19	@ Gorica	W 3-0	46.3	1546	1483	44.12%	28.64%	27.24%	+0.55	+8.8	25
2015-09-19	Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	51.9	1406	1443	30.33%	29.18%	40.49%	-0.40	+0.2	10
2015-09-19	@ Krka	D 0-0	51.9	1443	1406	40.49%	29.18%	30.33%	+0.40	-0.2	10
2015-09-20	Luka Koper	W 1-0	41.7	1542	1363	59.38%	23.48%	17.14%	+0.87	+2.0	19
2015-09-20	@ Domzale	L 0-1	41.7	1363	1542	17.14%	23.48%	59.38%	-0.87	-2.0	8
2015-09-23	Celje	W 1-0	49.1	1406	1449	29.55%	29.07%	41.37%	-0.43	+4.4	13
2015-09-23	@ Krka	L 0-1	49.1	1449	1406	41.37%	29.07%	29.55%	+0.43	-4.4	6
2015-09-23	Domzale	D 1-1	65.8	1564	1545	38.02%	29.38%	32.59%	-0.07	-0.1	16
2015-09-23	@ Maribor	D 1-1	65.8	1545	1564	32.59%	29.38%	38.02%	+0.07	+0.1	20
2015-09-23	Krsko	W 4-0	41.4	1361	1391	31.09%	29.26%	39.64%	-0.36	+15.2	11
2015-09-23	@ Luka Koper	L 0-4	41.4	1391	1361	39.64%	29.26%	31.09%	+0.36	-15.2	9
2015-09-23	Gorica	W 1-0	50.6	1442	1474	30.90%	29.24%	39.86%	-0.37	+4.3	13
2015-09-23	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	50.6	1474	1442	39.86%	29.24%	30.90%	+0.37	-4.3	21
2015-09-23	Zavrc	L 0-2	52.8	1555	1400	56.32%	24.85%	18.83%	+0.73	-10.4	25
2015-09-23	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-0	52.8	1400	1555	18.83%	24.85%	56.32%	-0.73	+10.4	18
2015-09-26	Luka Koper	D 1-1	56.3	1445	1376	45.00%	28.47%	26.53%	+0.22	-0.4	7
2015-09-26	@ Celje	D 1-1	56.3	1376	1445	26.53%	28.47%	45.00%	-0.22	+0.4	12
2015-09-26	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	65.1	1545	1544	35.34%	29.46%	35.19%	-0.18	-0.0	21
2015-09-26	@ Domzale	D 1-1	65.1	1544	1545	35.19%	29.46%	35.34%	+0.18	+0.0	26
2015-09-26	Rudar Velenje	W 3-2	59.5	1410	1447	30.33%	29.18%	40.50%	-0.40	+3.9	21
2015-09-26	@ Zavrc	L 2-3	59.5	1447	1410	40.50%	29.18%	30.33%	+0.40	-3.9	13
2015-09-27	Krka	W 2-0	42.9	1470	1411	43.71%	28.72%	27.58%	+0.17	+6.1	24
2015-09-27	@ Gorica	L 0-2	42.9	1411	1470	27.58%	28.72%	43.71%	-0.17	-6.1	13
2015-09-27	Maribor	L 1-3	45.5	1376	1564	16.64%	23.03%	60.33%	-1.28	-3.2	9
2015-09-27	@ Krsko	W 3-1	45.5	1564	1376	60.33%	23.03%	16.64%	+1.28	+3.2	19
2015-10-03	Celje	D 1-1	59.1	1476	1444	39.84%	29.25%	30.91%	+0.01	-0.2	25
2015-10-03	@ Gorica	D 1-1	59.1	1444	1476	30.91%	29.25%	39.84%	-0.01	+0.2	8
2015-10-03	Domzale	D 0-0	57.1	1443	1545	23.19%	27.34%	49.47%	-0.78	+0.6	14
2015-10-03	@ Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	57.1	1545	1443	49.47%	27.34%	23.19%	+0.78	-0.6	22
2015-10-03	Luka Koper	W 4-0	37.7	1567	1376	60.69%	22.85%	16.46%	+0.94	+7.0	22
2015-10-03	@ Maribor	L 0-4	37.7	1376	1567	16.46%	22.85%	60.69%	-0.94	-7.0	12
2015-10-04	Krsko	W 5-0	37.8	1544	1373	58.35%	23.96%	17.69%	+0.82	+9.4	29
2015-10-04	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-5	37.8	1373	1544	17.69%	23.96%	58.35%	-0.82	-9.4	9
2015-10-04	Zavrc	D 1-1	56.0	1405	1414	33.95%	29.45%	36.61%	-0.24	+0.1	14
2015-10-04	@ Krka	D 1-1	56.0	1414	1405	36.61%	29.45%	33.95%	+0.24	-0.0	22
2015-10-16	Gorica	L 1-2	51.6	1414	1476	27.26%	28.64%	44.09%	-0.55	-3.0	22
2015-10-16	@ Zavrc	W 2-1	51.6	1476	1414	44.09%	28.64%	27.26%	+0.55	+3.0	28
2015-10-17	Krka	W 3-0	40.3	1544	1405	54.35%	25.65%	20.00%	+0.64	+6.6	25
2015-10-17	@ Domzale	L 0-3	40.3	1405	1544	20.00%	25.65%	54.35%	-0.64	-6.6	14
2015-10-17	Maribor	L 1-3	50.6	1445	1574	20.79%	26.14%	53.07%	-0.94	-4.1	8
2015-10-17	@ Celje	W 3-1	50.6	1574	1445	53.07%	26.14%	20.79%	+0.94	+4.1	25
2015-10-17	Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	51.2	1364	1443	25.35%	28.13%	46.52%	-0.65	+0.5	10
2015-10-17	@ Krsko	D 0-0	51.2	1443	1364	46.52%	28.13%	25.35%	+0.65	-0.5	15
2015-10-18	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	47.9	1369	1553	16.86%	23.22%	59.92%	-1.26	-1.9	12
2015-10-18	@ Luka Koper	W 2-1	47.9	1553	1369	59.92%	23.22%	16.86%	+1.26	+1.9	32
2015-10-24	Celje	L 0-1	46.0	1411	1440	31.22%	29.28%	39.51%	-0.36	-3.6	22
2015-10-24	@ Zavrc	W 1-0	46.0	1440	1411	39.51%	29.28%	31.22%	+0.36	+3.6	11
2015-10-24	Luka Koper	W 1-0	43.0	1443	1367	45.92%	28.27%	25.81%	+0.26	+3.1	18
2015-10-24	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	43.0	1367	1443	25.81%	28.27%	45.92%	-0.26	-3.1	12
2015-10-25	Domzale	L 0-1	50.4	1479	1551	26.25%	28.39%	45.36%	-0.60	-3.1	28
2015-10-25	@ Gorica	W 1-0	50.4	1551	1479	45.36%	28.39%	26.25%	+0.60	+3.1	28
2015-10-25	Krsko	W 2-0	41.0	1398	1364	40.13%	29.22%	30.65%	+0.02	+6.6	17
2015-10-25	@ Krka	L 0-2	41.0	1364	1398	30.65%	29.22%	40.13%	-0.02	-6.6	10
2015-10-30	Gorica	W 1-0	50.9	1357	1476	21.68%	26.63%	51.69%	-0.88	+5.2	13
2015-10-30	@ Krsko	L 0-1	50.9	1476	1357	51.69%	26.63%	21.68%	+0.88	-5.2	28
2015-10-31	Krka	D 0-0	50.1	1364	1405	29.86%	29.12%	41.03%	-0.42	+0.3	13
2015-10-31	@ Luka Koper	D 0-0	50.1	1405	1364	41.03%	29.12%	29.86%	+0.42	-0.3	18
2015-10-31	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-4	42.8	1444	1555	22.33%	26.95%	50.72%	-0.84	-9.6	11
2015-10-31	@ Celje	W 4-0	42.8	1555	1444	50.72%	26.95%	22.33%	+0.84	+9.6	35
2015-10-31	Rudar Velenje	W 7-1	45.1	1578	1446	53.41%	26.01%	20.58%	+0.59	+10.8	28
2015-10-31	@ Maribor	L 1-7	45.1	1446	1578	20.58%	26.01%	53.41%	-0.59	-10.8	18
2015-10-31	Zavrc	L 0-1	55.6	1554	1407	55.26%	25.29%	19.45%	+0.68	-5.5	28
2015-10-31	@ Domzale	W 1-0	55.6	1407	1554	19.45%	25.29%	55.26%	-0.68	+5.5	25
2015-11-06	Krsko	D 1-1	55.2	1413	1363	42.41%	28.93%	28.66%	+0.11	-0.3	26
2015-11-06	@ Zavrc	D 1-1	55.2	1363	1413	28.66%	28.93%	42.41%	-0.11	+0.3	14
2015-11-07	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	49.9	1435	1565	20.76%	26.12%	53.12%	-0.94	-4.1	18
2015-11-07	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-1	49.9	1565	1435	53.12%	26.12%	20.76%	+0.94	+4.1	38
2015-11-08	Celje	D 2-2	67.7	1548	1434	51.06%	26.84%	22.10%	+0.49	-0.5	29
2015-11-08	@ Domzale	D 2-2	67.7	1434	1548	22.10%	26.84%	51.06%	-0.49	+0.5	12
2015-11-08	Luka Koper	L 1-2	56.4	1471	1365	50.06%	27.16%	22.78%	+0.44	-4.8	28
2015-11-08	@ Gorica	W 2-1	56.4	1365	1471	22.78%	27.16%	50.06%	-0.44	+4.8	16
2015-11-08	Maribor	L 0-2	41.9	1404	1589	16.85%	23.22%	59.93%	-1.26	-3.8	18
2015-11-08	@ Krka	W 2-0	41.9	1589	1404	59.93%	23.22%	16.85%	+1.26	+3.8	31
2015-11-21	Maribor	D 2-2	73.1	1569	1592	32.03%	29.35%	38.62%	-0.32	+0.1	39
2015-11-21	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 2-2	73.1	1592	1569	38.62%	29.35%	32.03%	+0.32	-0.1	32
2015-11-21	Zavrc	W 3-1	50.3	1369	1412	29.52%	29.07%	41.41%	-0.43	+7.2	19
2015-11-21	@ Luka Koper	L 1-3	50.3	1412	1369	41.41%	29.07%	29.52%	+0.43	-7.2	26
2015-11-22	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	47.6	1435	1431	35.80%	29.46%	34.74%	-0.16	+3.9	15
2015-11-22	@ Celje	L 0-1	47.6	1431	1435	34.74%	29.46%	35.80%	+0.16	-3.9	18
2015-11-25	Domzale	D 1-1	60.6	1363	1548	16.81%	23.18%	60.02%	-1.27	+1.0	15
2015-11-25	@ Krsko	D 1-1	60.6	1548	1363	60.02%	23.18%	16.81%	+1.27	-1.0	30
2015-11-25	Krka	W 3-1	47.3	1569	1401	58.02%	24.11%	17.88%	+0.81	+3.5	42
2015-11-25	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	47.3	1401	1569	17.88%	24.11%	58.02%	-0.81	-3.5	18
2015-11-25	Gorica	W 4-2	55.7	1592	1466	52.67%	26.28%	21.04%	+0.56	+3.7	35
2015-11-25	@ Maribor	L 2-4	55.7	1466	1592	21.04%	26.28%	52.67%	-0.56	-3.7	28
2015-11-28	Celje	D 0-0	51.0	1364	1439	25.88%	28.29%	45.83%	-0.62	+0.5	16
2015-11-28	@ Krsko	D 0-0	51.0	1439	1364	45.83%	28.29%	25.88%	+0.62	-0.5	16
2015-11-28	Domzale	L 0-2	39.9	1377	1547	17.76%	24.01%	58.23%	-1.18	-4.0	19
2015-11-28	@ Luka Koper	W 2-0	39.9	1547	1377	58.23%	24.01%	17.76%	+1.18	+4.0	33
2015-11-28	Krka	D 1-1	56.2	1427	1397	39.58%	29.27%	31.15%	+0.00	-0.2	19
2015-11-28	@ Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	56.2	1397	1427	31.15%	29.27%	39.58%	+0.00	+0.2	19
2015-11-28	Zavrc	D 3-3	73.2	1596	1405	60.72%	22.84%	16.44%	+0.94	-0.6	36
2015-11-28	@ Maribor	D 3-3	73.2	1405	1596	16.44%	22.84%	60.72%	-0.94	+0.6	27
2015-11-29	Gorica	L 0-2	54.7	1573	1462	50.59%	26.99%	22.42%	+0.47	-9.6	42
2015-11-29	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-0	54.7	1462	1573	22.42%	26.99%	50.59%	-0.47	+9.6	31
2015-12-02	Luka Koper	L 0-1	44.4	1364	1373	34.10%	29.45%	36.45%	-0.23	-3.8	16
2015-12-02	@ Krsko	W 1-0	44.4	1373	1364	36.45%	29.45%	34.10%	+0.23	+3.8	22
2015-12-02	Krka	W 1-0	45.1	1438	1397	41.11%	29.11%	29.78%	+0.06	+3.4	19
2015-12-02	@ Celje	L 0-1	45.1	1397	1438	29.78%	29.11%	41.11%	-0.06	-3.4	19
2015-12-02	Maribor	D 0-0	62.1	1551	1595	29.33%	29.04%	41.63%	-0.44	+0.3	34
2015-12-02	@ Domzale	D 0-0	62.1	1595	1551	41.63%	29.04%	29.33%	+0.44	-0.3	37
2015-12-02	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	50.6	1406	1563	18.67%	24.73%	56.60%	-1.10	-2.1	27
2015-12-02	@ Zavrc	W 2-1	50.6	1563	1406	56.60%	24.73%	18.67%	+1.10	+2.1	45
2015-12-02	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	46.8	1472	1427	41.67%	29.03%	29.30%	+0.08	+3.4	34
2015-12-02	@ Gorica	L 0-1	46.8	1427	1472	29.30%	29.03%	41.67%	-0.08	-3.4	19
2015-12-05	Celje	L 1-2	49.4	1376	1442	26.92%	28.56%	44.52%	-0.57	-3.0	22
2015-12-05	@ Luka Koper	W 2-1	49.4	1442	1376	44.52%	28.56%	26.92%	+0.57	+3.0	22
2015-12-05	Krsko	W 6-0	37.4	1595	1361	65.83%	20.19%	13.98%	+1.20	+8.4	40
2015-12-05	@ Maribor	L 0-6	37.4	1361	1595	13.98%	20.19%	65.83%	-1.20	-8.4	16
2015-12-05	Zavrc	W 1-0	45.8	1424	1404	38.13%	29.38%	32.49%	-0.06	+3.7	22
2015-12-05	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	45.8	1404	1424	32.49%	29.38%	38.13%	+0.06	-3.7	27
2015-12-06	Domzale	D 0-0	61.1	1565	1551	37.29%	29.42%	33.29%	-0.10	-0.1	46
2015-12-06	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	61.1	1551	1565	33.29%	29.42%	37.29%	+0.10	+0.1	35
2015-12-06	Gorica	W 1-0	50.8	1394	1475	25.18%	28.08%	46.74%	-0.66	+4.8	22
2015-12-06	@ Krka	L 0-1	50.8	1475	1394	46.74%	28.08%	25.18%	+0.66	-4.8	34
2015-12-11	Krka	W 2-1	51.7	1400	1399	35.47%	29.46%	35.06%	-0.17	+3.7	30
2015-12-11	@ Zavrc	L 1-2	51.7	1399	1400	35.06%	29.46%	35.47%	+0.17	-3.7	22
2015-12-12	Gorica	D 2-2	64.6	1445	1471	31.70%	29.32%	38.98%	-0.33	+0.1	23
2015-12-12	@ Celje	D 2-2	64.6	1471	1445	38.98%	29.32%	31.70%	+0.33	-0.1	35
2015-12-12	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	61.1	1352	1565	15.14%	21.51%	63.35%	-1.43	+5.7	19
2015-12-12	@ Krsko	L 1-2	61.1	1565	1352	63.35%	21.51%	15.14%	+1.43	-5.7	46
2015-12-12	Rudar Velenje	W 4-0	41.5	1551	1427	52.35%	26.40%	21.25%	+0.54	+9.2	38
2015-12-12	@ Domzale	L 0-4	41.5	1427	1551	21.25%	26.40%	52.35%	-0.54	-9.2	22
2015-12-13	Maribor	L 0-5	37.9	1373	1604	14.21%	20.46%	65.33%	-1.53	-7.2	22
2015-12-13	@ Luka Koper	W 5-0	37.9	1604	1373	65.33%	20.46%	14.21%	+1.53	+7.2	43
2016-02-27	Celje	L 0-1	59.6	1611	1445	57.70%	24.25%	18.05%	+0.79	-5.6	43
2016-02-27	@ Maribor	W 1-0	59.6	1445	1611	18.05%	24.25%	57.70%	-0.79	+5.6	26
2016-02-27	Krsko	L 0-1	47.8	1418	1358	43.84%	28.69%	27.47%	+0.17	-4.6	22
2016-02-27	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	47.8	1358	1418	27.47%	28.69%	43.84%	-0.17	+4.6	22
2016-02-27	Zavrc	D 2-2	63.5	1471	1404	44.71%	28.53%	26.77%	+0.21	-0.3	36
2016-02-27	@ Gorica	D 2-2	63.5	1404	1471	26.77%	28.53%	44.71%	-0.21	+0.3	31
2016-02-28	Domzale	W 3-1	58.8	1395	1560	18.09%	24.28%	57.62%	-1.15	+9.2	25
2016-02-28	@ Krka	L 1-3	58.8	1560	1395	57.62%	24.28%	18.09%	+1.15	-9.2	38
2016-02-28	Luka Koper	W 2-0	39.1	1559	1366	61.02%	22.69%	16.29%	+0.95	+3.6	49
2016-02-28	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	39.1	1366	1559	16.29%	22.69%	61.02%	-0.95	-3.6	22
2016-03-05	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	62.7	1605	1563	41.28%	29.09%	29.64%	+0.07	-0.3	44
2016-03-05	@ Maribor	D 0-0	62.7	1563	1605	29.64%	29.09%	41.28%	-0.07	+0.3	50
2016-03-05	Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	43.3	1362	1414	28.54%	28.91%	42.55%	-0.48	-3.3	22
2016-03-05	@ Luka Koper	W 1-0	43.3	1414	1362	42.55%	28.91%	28.54%	+0.48	+3.3	25
2016-03-05	Zavrc	D 0-0	52.1	1450	1404	41.88%	29.01%	29.12%	+0.09	-0.3	27
2016-03-05	@ Celje	D 0-0	52.1	1404	1450	29.12%	29.01%	41.88%	-0.09	+0.3	32
2016-03-06	Krka	W 3-0	42.5	1362	1404	29.67%	29.09%	41.24%	-0.43	+12.0	25
2016-03-06	@ Krsko	L 0-3	42.5	1404	1362	41.24%	29.09%	29.67%	+0.43	-12.0	25
2016-03-06	Gorica	D 1-1	63.1	1551	1470	46.66%	28.10%	25.24%	+0.29	-0.5	39
2016-03-06	@ Domzale	D 1-1	63.1	1470	1551	25.24%	28.10%	46.66%	-0.29	+0.5	37
2016-03-11	Domzale	L 0-1	44.7	1404	1551	19.46%	25.30%	55.25%	-1.04	-2.3	32
2016-03-11	@ Zavrc	W 1-0	44.7	1551	1404	55.25%	25.30%	19.46%	+1.04	+2.3	42
2016-03-12	Krsko	W 1-0	43.1	1471	1374	48.74%	27.55%	23.71%	+0.38	+2.8	40
2016-03-12	@ Gorica	L 0-1	43.1	1374	1471	23.71%	27.55%	48.74%	-0.38	-2.8	25
2016-03-12	Maribor	L 0-3	41.2	1417	1605	16.62%	23.00%	60.38%	-1.29	-5.4	25
2016-03-12	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-0	41.2	1605	1417	60.38%	23.00%	16.62%	+1.29	+5.4	47
2016-03-13	Celje	D 0-0	58.2	1563	1450	50.97%	26.87%	22.16%	+0.48	-0.7	51
2016-03-13	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	58.2	1450	1563	22.16%	26.87%	50.97%	-0.48	+0.7	28
2016-03-13	Luka Koper	L 0-1	46.4	1392	1359	40.00%	29.23%	30.77%	+0.01	-4.3	25
2016-03-13	@ Krka	W 1-0	46.4	1359	1392	30.77%	29.23%	40.00%	-0.01	+4.3	25
2016-03-18	Gorica	D 1-1	57.2	1363	1474	22.43%	27.00%	50.56%	-0.83	+0.6	26
2016-03-18	@ Luka Koper	D 1-1	57.2	1474	1363	50.56%	27.00%	22.43%	+0.83	-0.6	41
2016-03-19	Domzale	L 1-2	54.0	1451	1553	23.15%	27.32%	49.52%	-0.78	-2.6	28
2016-03-19	@ Celje	W 2-1	54.0	1553	1451	49.52%	27.32%	23.15%	+0.78	+2.6	45
2016-03-19	Krka	W 2-1	49.3	1610	1388	64.43%	20.95%	14.63%	+1.12	+1.6	50
2016-03-19	@ Maribor	L 1-2	49.3	1388	1610	14.63%	20.95%	64.43%	-1.12	-1.6	25
2016-03-19	Zavrc	L 0-1	44.1	1372	1402	31.10%	29.26%	39.64%	-0.36	-3.6	25
2016-03-19	@ Krsko	W 1-0	44.1	1402	1372	39.64%	29.26%	31.10%	+0.36	+3.6	35
2016-03-20	Rudar Velenje	W 5-0	40.6	1563	1412	55.84%	25.05%	19.11%	+0.70	+10.2	54
2016-03-20	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-5	40.6	1412	1563	19.11%	25.05%	55.84%	-0.70	-10.2	25
2016-04-02	Celje	W 2-0	46.3	1401	1448	29.07%	29.00%	41.94%	-0.46	+8.3	28
2016-04-02	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-2	46.3	1448	1401	41.94%	29.00%	29.07%	+0.46	-8.3	28
2016-04-02	Krsko	L 2-3	65.7	1556	1368	60.36%	23.01%	16.63%	+0.92	-5.2	45
2016-04-02	@ Domzale	W 3-2	65.7	1368	1556	16.63%	23.01%	60.36%	-0.92	+5.2	28
2016-04-02	Maribor	L 0-2	46.9	1473	1612	20.02%	25.67%	54.31%	-1.00	-4.6	41
2016-04-02	@ Gorica	W 2-0	46.9	1612	1473	54.31%	25.67%	20.02%	+1.00	+4.6	53
2016-04-02	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	40.6	1386	1573	16.71%	23.09%	60.19%	-1.28	-3.8	25
2016-04-02	@ Krka	W 2-0	40.6	1573	1386	60.19%	23.09%	16.71%	+1.28	+3.8	57
2016-04-03	Luka Koper	L 1-3	50.0	1406	1364	41.20%	29.10%	29.71%	+0.06	-7.1	35
2016-04-03	@ Zavrc	W 3-1	50.0	1364	1406	29.71%	29.10%	41.20%	-0.06	+7.1	29
2016-04-06	Luka Koper	D 1-1	60.8	1551	1371	59.34%	23.50%	17.16%	+0.87	-1.0	46
2016-04-06	@ Domzale	D 1-1	60.8	1371	1551	17.16%	23.50%	59.34%	-0.87	+1.0	30
2016-04-06	Krsko	L 0-1	48.9	1440	1373	44.71%	28.53%	26.76%	+0.21	-4.6	28
2016-04-06	@ Celje	W 1-0	48.9	1373	1440	26.76%	28.53%	44.71%	-0.21	+4.6	31
2016-04-06	Maribor	D 0-0	60.0	1398	1616	14.86%	21.21%	63.93%	-1.46	+1.2	36
2016-04-06	@ Zavrc	D 0-0	60.0	1616	1398	63.93%	21.21%	14.86%	+1.46	-1.3	54
2016-04-06	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	64.3	1468	1577	22.61%	27.08%	50.31%	-0.82	+0.6	42
2016-04-06	@ Gorica	D 1-1	64.3	1577	1468	50.31%	27.08%	22.61%	+0.82	-0.6	58
2016-04-06	Rudar Velenje	L 1-5	43.3	1383	1410	31.54%	29.31%	39.15%	-0.34	-10.7	25
2016-04-06	@ Krka	W 5-1	43.3	1410	1383	39.15%	29.31%	31.54%	+0.34	+10.7	31
2016-04-09	Domzale	W 2-1	60.8	1615	1550	44.56%	28.55%	26.88%	+0.20	+3.0	57
2016-04-09	@ Maribor	L 1-2	60.8	1550	1615	26.88%	28.55%	44.56%	-0.20	-3.0	46
2016-04-09	Gorica	W 1-0	50.3	1420	1469	28.87%	28.96%	42.17%	-0.47	+4.4	34
2016-04-09	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	50.3	1469	1420	42.17%	28.96%	28.87%	+0.47	-4.4	42
2016-04-10	Celje	D 1-1	56.0	1372	1435	27.14%	28.62%	44.24%	-0.55	+0.4	26
2016-04-10	@ Krka	D 1-1	56.0	1435	1372	44.24%	28.62%	27.14%	+0.55	-0.4	29
2016-04-10	Krsko	L 0-1	44.8	1372	1378	34.46%	29.46%	36.08%	-0.22	-3.8	30
2016-04-10	@ Luka Koper	W 1-0	44.8	1378	1372	36.08%	29.46%	34.46%	+0.22	+3.8	34
2016-04-10	Zavrc	D 1-1	62.7	1576	1400	58.96%	23.68%	17.37%	+0.85	-0.9	59
2016-04-10	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	62.7	1400	1576	17.37%	23.68%	58.96%	-0.85	+0.9	37
2016-04-16	Luka Koper	W 3-0	38.8	1435	1368	44.69%	28.53%	26.78%	+0.21	+8.7	32
2016-04-16	@ Celje	L 0-3	38.8	1368	1435	26.78%	28.53%	44.69%	-0.21	-8.7	30
2016-04-16	Krka	W 1-0	43.0	1465	1372	48.19%	27.71%	24.11%	+0.36	+2.9	45
2016-04-16	@ Gorica	L 0-1	43.0	1372	1465	24.11%	27.71%	48.19%	-0.36	-2.9	26
2016-04-16	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	55.4	1547	1575	31.37%	29.29%	39.34%	-0.35	-3.6	46
2016-04-16	@ Domzale	W 1-0	55.4	1575	1547	39.34%	29.29%	31.37%	+0.35	+3.6	62
2016-04-17	Maribor	L 1-3	46.0	1382	1618	13.88%	20.08%	66.05%	-1.57	-2.6	34
2016-04-17	@ Krsko	W 3-1	46.0	1618	1382	66.05%	20.08%	13.88%	+1.57	+2.6	60
2016-04-17	Rudar Velenje	L 0-2	42.8	1401	1425	31.91%	29.34%	38.75%	-0.32	-6.8	37
2016-04-17	@ Zavrc	W 2-0	42.8	1425	1401	38.75%	29.34%	31.91%	+0.32	+6.8	37
2016-04-23	Celje	L 1-2	55.9	1467	1444	38.69%	29.34%	31.97%	-0.04	-3.9	45
2016-04-23	@ Gorica	W 2-1	55.9	1444	1467	31.97%	29.34%	38.69%	+0.04	+3.9	35
2016-04-23	Domzale	L 1-2	52.5	1432	1543	22.34%	26.96%	50.71%	-0.83	-2.5	37
2016-04-23	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	52.5	1543	1432	50.71%	26.96%	22.34%	+0.83	+2.5	49
2016-04-23	Krsko	L 0-1	56.6	1579	1379	61.76%	22.32%	15.92%	+0.99	-5.9	62
2016-04-23	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	56.6	1379	1579	15.92%	22.32%	61.76%	-0.99	+5.9	37
2016-04-24	Luka Koper	D 2-2	70.1	1621	1360	68.77%	18.57%	12.66%	+1.35	-1.0	61
2016-04-24	@ Maribor	D 2-2	70.1	1360	1621	12.66%	18.57%	68.77%	-1.35	+1.0	31
2016-04-24	Zavrc	W 2-0	43.5	1369	1394	31.90%	29.34%	38.77%	-0.33	+7.9	29
2016-04-24	@ Krka	L 0-2	43.5	1394	1369	38.77%	29.34%	31.90%	+0.33	-7.9	37
2016-04-27	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	56.0	1385	1429	29.37%	29.05%	41.58%	-0.44	+0.3	38
2016-04-27	@ Krsko	D 1-1	56.0	1429	1385	41.58%	29.05%	29.37%	+0.44	-0.3	38
2016-04-29	Gorica	D 1-1	57.2	1386	1463	25.60%	28.21%	46.19%	-0.64	+0.4	38
2016-04-29	@ Zavrc	D 1-1	57.2	1463	1386	46.19%	28.21%	25.60%	+0.64	-0.5	46
2016-04-30	Krka	D 1-1	60.7	1546	1377	57.98%	24.12%	17.90%	+0.81	-0.9	50
2016-04-30	@ Domzale	D 1-1	60.7	1377	1546	17.90%	24.12%	57.98%	-0.81	+0.9	30
2016-04-30	Maribor	D 0-0	61.1	1447	1620	17.62%	23.89%	58.49%	-1.19	+1.0	36
2016-04-30	@ Celje	D 0-0	61.1	1620	1447	58.49%	23.89%	17.62%	+1.19	-1.0	62
2016-05-01	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	47.3	1361	1573	15.19%	21.57%	63.24%	-1.43	-1.7	31
2016-05-01	@ Luka Koper	W 2-1	47.3	1573	1361	63.24%	21.57%	15.19%	+1.43	+1.7	65
2016-05-06	Celje	L 0-1	44.2	1386	1449	27.28%	28.65%	44.07%	-0.55	-3.2	38
2016-05-06	@ Zavrc	W 1-0	44.2	1449	1386	44.07%	28.65%	27.28%	+0.55	+3.2	39
2016-05-07	Luka Koper	L 0-2	45.6	1429	1359	45.17%	28.43%	26.40%	+0.23	-8.8	38
2016-05-07	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-0	45.6	1359	1429	26.40%	28.43%	45.17%	-0.23	+8.8	34
2016-05-07	Krsko	D 0-0	49.9	1378	1385	34.27%	29.45%	36.28%	-0.22	+0.0	31
2016-05-07	@ Krka	D 0-0	49.9	1385	1378	36.28%	29.45%	34.27%	+0.22	-0.0	39
2016-05-07	Maribor	L 1-2	62.4	1574	1619	29.34%	29.04%	41.61%	-0.44	-3.2	65
2016-05-07	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	62.4	1619	1574	41.61%	29.04%	29.34%	+0.44	+3.2	65
2016-05-08	Domzale	L 0-2	46.4	1463	1545	25.18%	28.08%	46.74%	-0.66	-5.7	46
2016-05-08	@ Gorica	W 2-0	46.4	1545	1463	46.74%	28.08%	25.18%	+0.66	+5.7	53
2016-05-11	Krka	L 2-3	55.1	1368	1378	33.78%	29.44%	36.77%	-0.24	-3.4	34
2016-05-11	@ Luka Koper	W 3-2	55.1	1378	1368	36.77%	29.44%	33.78%	+0.24	+3.4	34
2016-05-11	Gorica	L 0-2	41.2	1385	1457	26.17%	28.37%	45.46%	-0.61	-5.9	39
2016-05-11	@ Krsko	W 2-0	41.2	1457	1385	45.46%	28.37%	26.17%	+0.61	+5.8	49
2016-05-11	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	51.2	1452	1571	21.62%	26.60%	51.78%	-0.88	-4.3	39
2016-05-11	@ Celje	W 3-1	51.2	1571	1452	51.78%	26.60%	21.62%	+0.88	+4.3	68
2016-05-11	Rudar Velenje	L 2-3	70.3	1622	1420	62.04%	22.18%	15.78%	+1.00	-5.3	65
2016-05-11	@ Maribor	W 3-2	70.3	1420	1622	15.78%	22.18%	62.04%	-1.00	+5.3	41
2016-05-11	Zavrc	D 0-0	56.1	1550	1383	57.84%	24.19%	17.97%	+0.80	-1.0	54
2016-05-11	@ Domzale	D 0-0	56.1	1383	1550	17.97%	24.19%	57.84%	-0.80	+1.0	39
2016-05-14	Celje	L 0-3	51.4	1549	1447	49.46%	27.34%	23.19%	+0.42	-13.7	54
2016-05-14	@ Domzale	W 3-0	51.4	1447	1549	23.19%	27.34%	49.46%	-0.42	+13.7	42
2016-05-14	Luka Koper	L 0-1	50.2	1463	1364	49.07%	27.46%	23.47%	+0.40	-5.0	49
2016-05-14	@ Gorica	W 1-0	50.2	1364	1463	23.47%	27.46%	49.07%	-0.40	+5.0	37
2016-05-14	Krsko	D 1-1	54.8	1384	1379	35.97%	29.46%	34.57%	-0.15	-0.0	40
2016-05-14	@ Zavrc	D 1-1	54.8	1379	1384	34.57%	29.46%	35.97%	+0.15	+0.0	40
2016-05-14	Maribor	L 1-3	46.0	1382	1617	13.95%	20.17%	65.88%	-1.56	-2.6	34
2016-05-14	@ Krka	W 3-1	46.0	1617	1382	65.88%	20.17%	13.95%	+1.56	+2.6	68
2016-05-14	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	46.3	1425	1575	19.19%	25.11%	55.69%	-1.06	-2.3	41
2016-05-14	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	46.3	1575	1425	55.69%	25.11%	19.19%	+1.06	+2.3	71
2016-05-21	Domzale	D 0-0	55.3	1379	1536	18.74%	24.78%	56.48%	-1.10	+1.0	41
2016-05-21	@ Krsko	D 0-0	55.3	1536	1379	56.48%	24.78%	18.74%	+1.10	-1.0	55
2016-05-21	Krka	W 3-0	38.4	1578	1379	61.67%	22.37%	15.96%	+0.98	+5.2	74
2016-05-21	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-3	38.4	1379	1578	15.96%	22.37%	61.67%	-0.98	-5.2	34
2016-05-21	Gorica	L 2-3	70.8	1619	1458	57.10%	24.52%	18.39%	+0.76	-5.0	68
2016-05-21	@ Maribor	W 3-2	70.8	1458	1619	18.39%	24.52%	57.10%	-0.76	+5.0	52
2016-05-21	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	46.6	1461	1423	40.70%	29.15%	30.15%	+0.04	+3.5	45
2016-05-21	@ Celje	L 0-1	46.6	1423	1461	30.15%	29.15%	40.70%	-0.04	-3.5	41
2016-05-21	Zavrc	W 1-0	45.7	1369	1384	33.19%	29.42%	37.40%	-0.27	+4.1	40
2016-05-21	@ Luka Koper	L 0-1	45.7	1384	1369	37.40%	29.42%	33.19%	+0.27	-4.1	40

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2015-08-07	15.03%	@ Luka Koper	1364	2	Maribor	1579	1
2	2015-12-12	15.14%	@ Krsko	1352	2	Olimpija Ljubljana	1565	1
3	2016-05-11	15.78%	Rudar Velenje	1420	3	@ Maribor	1622	2
4	2016-04-23	15.92%	Krsko	1379	1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1579	0
5	2016-04-02	16.63%	Krsko	1368	3	@ Domzale	1556	2
6	2015-09-19	17.45%	@ Zavrc	1394	2	Maribor	1569	1
7	2016-02-27	18.05%	Celje	1445	1	@ Maribor	1611	0
8	2016-02-28	18.09%	@ Krka	1395	3	Domzale	1560	1
9	2016-05-21	18.39%	Gorica	1458	3	@ Maribor	1619	2
10	2015-09-23	18.83%	Zavrc	1400	2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1555	0
11	2015-10-31	19.45%	Zavrc	1407	1	@ Domzale	1554	0
12	2015-10-30	21.68%	@ Krsko	1357	1	Gorica	1476	0
13	2015-11-29	22.42%	Gorica	1462	2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1573	0
14	2015-11-08	22.78%	Luka Koper	1365	2	@ Gorica	1471	1
15	2015-08-08	23.10%	Rudar Velenje	1430	2	@ Domzale	1533	0
16	2016-05-14	23.19%	Celje	1447	3	@ Domzale	1549	0
17	2016-05-14	23.47%	Luka Koper	1364	1	@ Gorica	1463	0
18	2015-07-19	23.64%	@ Krsko	1407	1	Celje	1504	0
19	2015-12-06	25.18%	@ Krka	1394	1	Gorica	1475	0
20	2015-08-16	25.31%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1496	3	@ Maribor	1576	0
21	2016-05-07	26.40%	Luka Koper	1359	2	@ Rudar Velenje	1429	0
22	2016-04-06	26.76%	Krsko	1373	1	@ Celje	1440	0
23	2016-02-27	27.47%	Krsko	1358	1	@ Rudar Velenje	1418	0
24	2015-08-15	27.88%	Gorica	1477	3	@ Domzale	1534	2
25	2015-08-23	28.45%	Luka Koper	1364	4	@ Krka	1416	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-08-23	19.51	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	6	1509	37.53%	Celje	0	1494	33.06%	29.41%
2	2015-09-12	15.47	@ Rudar Velenje	4	1427	30.17%	Celje	0	1465	40.67%	29.16%
3	2015-09-23	15.18	@ Luka Koper	4	1361	31.09%	Krsko	0	1391	39.64%	29.26%
4	2016-05-14	13.73	Celje	3	1447	23.19%	@ Domzale	0	1549	49.46%	27.34%
5	2015-08-16	13.11	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1496	25.31%	@ Maribor	0	1576	46.57%	28.12%
6	2015-08-30	12.90	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	5	1529	47.71%	Rudar Velenje	0	1440	24.46%	27.83%
7	2016-03-06	11.96	@ Krsko	3	1362	29.67%	Krka	0	1404	41.24%	29.09%
8	2015-10-31	10.75	@ Maribor	7	1578	53.41%	Rudar Velenje	1	1446	20.58%	26.01%
9	2016-04-06	10.73	Rudar Velenje	5	1410	39.15%	@ Krka	1	1383	31.54%	29.31%
10	2015-09-23	10.43	Zavrc	2	1400	18.83%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1555	56.32%	24.85%
11	2016-03-20	10.16	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	5	1563	55.84%	Rudar Velenje	0	1412	19.11%	25.05%
12	2015-08-12	10.15	Domzale	4	1524	48.88%	@ Krka	0	1426	23.61%	27.51%
13	2015-10-31	9.63	Olimpija Ljubljana	4	1555	50.72%	@ Celje	0	1444	22.33%	26.95%
14	2015-11-29	9.62	Gorica	2	1462	22.42%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1573	50.59%	26.99%
15	2015-08-08	9.47	Rudar Velenje	2	1430	23.10%	@ Domzale	0	1533	49.59%	27.30%
16	2015-10-04	9.35	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	5	1544	58.35%	Krsko	0	1373	17.69%	23.96%
17	2016-02-28	9.20	@ Krka	3	1395	18.09%	Domzale	1	1560	57.62%	24.28%
18	2015-12-12	9.19	@ Domzale	4	1551	52.35%	Rudar Velenje	0	1427	21.25%	26.40%
19	2015-08-29	9.01	Domzale	3	1529	43.08%	@ Celje	0	1474	28.10%	28.82%
20	2016-05-07	8.82	Luka Koper	2	1359	26.40%	@ Rudar Velenje	0	1429	45.17%	28.43%
21	2015-09-19	8.78	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1546	44.12%	@ Gorica	0	1483	27.24%	28.64%
22	2016-04-16	8.66	@ Celje	3	1435	44.69%	Luka Koper	0	1368	26.78%	28.53%
23	2015-07-18	8.59	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	4	1483	37.63%	Gorica	1	1467	32.96%	29.41%
24	2015-08-11	8.51	@ Gorica	3	1469	45.40%	Zavrc	0	1397	26.22%	28.38%
25	2015-12-05	8.41	@ Maribor	6	1595	65.83%	Krsko	0	1361	13.98%	20.19%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-11-28	73.2	@ Maribor	3	1596	60.72%	Zavrc	3	1405	16.44%	22.84%
2	2015-11-21	73.1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1569	32.03%	Maribor	2	1592	38.62%	29.35%
3	2016-05-21	70.8	Gorica	3	1458	18.39%	@ Maribor	2	1619	57.10%	24.52%
4	2016-05-11	70.3	Rudar Velenje	3	1420	15.78%	@ Maribor	2	1622	62.04%	22.18%
5	2016-04-24	70.1	@ Maribor	2	1621	68.77%	Luka Koper	2	1360	12.66%	18.57%
6	2015-08-29	67.9	@ Maribor	2	1563	56.08%	Krka	2	1410	18.97%	24.95%
7	2015-11-08	67.7	@ Domzale	2	1548	51.06%	Celje	2	1434	22.10%	26.84%
8	2015-09-23	65.8	@ Maribor	1	1564	38.02%	Domzale	1	1545	32.59%	29.38%
9	2016-04-02	65.7	Krsko	3	1368	16.63%	@ Domzale	2	1556	60.36%	23.01%
10	2015-08-15	65.6	Gorica	3	1477	27.88%	@ Domzale	2	1534	43.34%	28.78%
11	2015-09-26	65.1	@ Domzale	1	1545	35.34%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1544	35.19%	29.46%
12	2015-12-12	64.6	@ Celje	2	1445	31.70%	Gorica	2	1471	38.98%	29.32%
13	2016-04-06	64.3	@ Gorica	1	1468	22.61%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1577	50.31%	27.08%
14	2016-02-27	63.5	@ Gorica	2	1471	44.71%	Zavrc	2	1404	26.77%	28.53%
15	2016-03-06	63.1	@ Domzale	1	1551	46.66%	Gorica	1	1470	25.24%	28.10%
16	2015-08-07	62.9	Gorica	3	1465	30.78%	@ Celje	2	1498	39.98%	29.23%
17	2016-03-05	62.7	@ Maribor	0	1605	41.28%	Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1563	29.64%	29.09%
18	2016-04-10	62.7	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1576	58.96%	Zavrc	1	1400	17.37%	23.68%
19	2016-05-07	62.4	Maribor	2	1619	41.61%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1574	29.34%	29.04%
20	2015-07-17	62.3	@ Maribor	1	1571	59.39%	Zavrc	1	1392	17.14%	23.47%
21	2015-08-07	62.1	@ Luka Koper	2	1364	15.03%	Maribor	1	1579	63.59%	21.39%
22	2015-09-19	62.1	@ Zavrc	2	1394	17.45%	Maribor	1	1569	58.79%	23.75%
23	2015-12-02	62.1	@ Domzale	0	1551	29.33%	Maribor	0	1595	41.63%	29.04%
24	2015-12-06	61.1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1565	37.29%	Domzale	0	1551	33.29%	29.42%
25	2015-12-12	61.1	@ Krsko	2	1352	15.14%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1565	63.35%	21.51%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-12-05	37.4	@ Maribor	6	1595	65.83%	Krsko	0	1361	13.98%	20.19%
2	2015-10-03	37.7	@ Maribor	4	1567	60.69%	Luka Koper	0	1376	16.46%	22.85%
3	2015-10-04	37.8	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	5	1544	58.35%	Krsko	0	1373	17.69%	23.96%
4	2015-12-13	37.9	Maribor	5	1604	65.33%	@ Luka Koper	0	1373	14.21%	20.46%
5	2016-05-21	38.4	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1578	61.67%	Krka	0	1379	15.96%	22.37%
6	2016-04-16	38.8	@ Celje	3	1435	44.69%	Luka Koper	0	1368	26.78%	28.53%
7	2016-02-28	39.1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1559	61.02%	Luka Koper	0	1366	16.29%	22.69%
8	2015-11-28	39.9	Domzale	2	1547	58.23%	@ Luka Koper	0	1377	17.76%	24.01%
9	2015-08-11	40.2	@ Gorica	3	1469	45.40%	Zavrc	0	1397	26.22%	28.38%
10	2015-10-17	40.3	@ Domzale	3	1544	54.35%	Krka	0	1405	20.00%	25.65%
11	2016-03-20	40.6	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	5	1563	55.84%	Rudar Velenje	0	1412	19.11%	25.05%
12	2016-04-02	40.6	Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1573	60.19%	@ Krka	0	1386	16.71%	23.09%
13	2015-10-25	41.0	@ Krka	2	1398	40.13%	Krsko	0	1364	30.65%	29.22%
14	2016-03-12	41.2	Maribor	3	1605	60.38%	@ Rudar Velenje	0	1417	16.62%	23.00%
15	2016-05-11	41.2	Gorica	2	1457	45.46%	@ Krsko	0	1385	26.17%	28.37%
16	2015-09-13	41.3	@ Domzale	2	1538	54.77%	Krsko	0	1395	19.74%	25.49%
17	2015-09-23	41.4	@ Luka Koper	4	1361	31.09%	Krsko	0	1391	39.64%	29.26%
18	2015-08-12	41.5	Domzale	4	1524	48.88%	@ Krka	0	1426	23.61%	27.51%
19	2015-12-12	41.5	@ Domzale	4	1551	52.35%	Rudar Velenje	0	1427	21.25%	26.40%
20	2015-09-20	41.7	@ Domzale	1	1542	59.38%	Luka Koper	0	1363	17.14%	23.48%
21	2015-11-08	41.9	Maribor	2	1589	59.93%	@ Krka	0	1404	16.85%	23.22%
22	2016-03-06	42.5	@ Krsko	3	1362	29.67%	Krka	0	1404	41.24%	29.09%
23	2015-08-08	42.7	Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1484	45.76%	@ Krsko	0	1410	25.93%	28.30%
24	2015-08-30	42.8	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	5	1529	47.71%	Rudar Velenje	0	1440	24.46%	27.83%
25	2015-10-31	42.8	Olimpija Ljubljana	4	1555	50.72%	@ Celje	0	1444	22.33%	26.95%