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2016-17 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Maribor

73 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Gorica

8.16 points above expected

60 points · 51.84 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Radomlje

12.95 points below expected

13 points · 25.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Maribor 36 21 10 5 73 63 30 +33 69.59 +3.41
2 Gorica 36 16 12 8 60 48 39 +9 51.84 +8.16
3 Olimpija Ljubljana 36 17 9 10 60 49 35 +14 62.01 -2.01
4 Domzale 36 16 8 12 56 63 45 +18 60.03 -4.03
5 Celje 36 15 10 11 55 48 39 +9 50.45 +4.55
6 Luka Koper 36 12 14 10 50 43 40 +3 42.64 +7.36
7 Rudar Velenje 36 10 11 15 41 49 53 -4 46.28 -5.28
8 Krsko 36 8 15 13 39 39 50 -11 42.17 -3.17
9 Aluminij 36 9 11 16 38 38 52 -14 37.20 +0.80
10 Radomlje 36 1 10 25 13 23 80 -57 25.95 -12.95

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gorica 60 51.84 +8.16
2 Luka Koper 50 42.64 +7.36
3 Celje 55 50.45 +4.55
4 Maribor 73 69.59 +3.41
5 Aluminij 38 37.20 +0.80

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Radomlje 13 25.95 -12.95
2 Rudar Velenje 41 46.28 -5.28
3 Domzale 56 60.03 -4.03
4 Krsko 39 42.17 -3.17
5 Olimpija Ljubljana 60 62.01 -2.01

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gorica 3 Aug 13 – Aug 26 1 in 38
2 Luka Koper 3 Aug 20 – Sep 10 1 in 29
3 Olimpija Ljubljana 5 Sep 11 – Oct 2 1 in 27
4 Aluminij 2 Aug 14 – Aug 21 1 in 21
5 Radomlje 1 Nov 30 – Nov 30 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Olimpija Ljubljana 3 Feb 25 – Mar 12 1 in 36
2 Radomlje 6 Sep 21 – Oct 30 1 in 36
3 Rudar Velenje 3 Mar 11 – Mar 29 1 in 35
4 Maribor 2 Aug 13 – Aug 21 1 in 27
5 Gorica 3 Oct 22 – Nov 5 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gorica 13 Mar 11 – May 27 1 in 235
2 Luka Koper 9 Apr 1 – May 21 1 in 117
3 Celje 11 Feb 26 – May 6 1 in 66
4 Maribor 14 Aug 28 – Dec 3 1 in 21
5 Aluminij 5 Apr 30 – May 21 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Olimpija Ljubljana 9 Dec 11 – Apr 17 1 in 710
2 Maribor 5 Apr 29 – May 21 1 in 105
3 Radomlje 18 Jul 17 – Nov 25 1 in 37
4 Krsko 9 Nov 6 – Mar 12 1 in 26
5 Domzale 5 May 6 – May 27 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Maribor 1586 73 -28 5 10.6 -5.6
Gorica 1487 60 +15 11 6.2 +4.8
Olimpija Ljubljana 1524 60 -5 7 8.1 -1.1
Domzale 1498 56 -41 2 7.9 -5.9
Celje 1483 55 +24 10 7.3 +2.7
Luka Koper 1427 50 +24 8 6.6 +1.4
Rudar Velenje 1412 41 +4 6 6.8 -0.8
Krsko 1395 39 +8 8 6.6 +1.4
Aluminij 1379 38 +12 6 4.6 +1.4
Radomlje 1210 13 -13 2 3.2 -1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ALU CEL DOM GOR KRS LK MAR OL RAD RV
Aluminij —
1-0-3
3.95
0-1-3
3.32
0-1-3
4.00
1-3-0
4.94
0-2-2
4.76
2-1-1
2.62
1-0-3
3.14
3-1-0
6.71
1-2-1
4.48
Celje
3-0-1
6.84
 —
2-1-1
4.30
2-2-0
5.21
1-0-3
6.51
0-3-1
6.30
1-1-2
3.55
0-1-3
4.09
3-1-0
8.09
3-1-0
5.69
Domzale
3-1-0
7.58
1-1-2
6.46
 —
1-1-2
6.35
2-2-0
7.31
2-0-2
7.35
1-1-2
4.48
1-0-3
5.23
2-1-1
8.74
3-1-0
6.85
Gorica
3-1-0
6.78
0-2-2
5.51
2-1-1
4.40
 —
1-2-1
6.50
1-3-0
6.20
1-1-2
3.56
2-1-1
4.21
3-1-0
8.06
3-0-1
5.79
Krsko
0-3-1
5.77
3-0-1
4.26
0-2-2
3.55
1-2-1
4.27
 —
1-2-1
5.06
0-1-3
2.92
0-1-3
3.26
2-2-0
7.40
1-2-1
4.81
Luka Koper
2-2-0
5.97
1-3-0
4.45
2-0-2
3.51
0-3-1
4.54
1-2-1
5.66
 —
0-1-3
3.06
1-2-1
3.56
4-0-0
7.48
1-1-2
4.99
Maribor
1-1-2
8.45
2-1-1
7.32
2-1-1
6.26
2-1-1
7.29
3-1-0
8.08
3-1-0
7.89
 —
2-2-0
5.96
3-1-0
9.56
3-1-0
7.62
Olimpija Ljubljana
3-0-1
7.80
3-1-0
6.69
3-0-1
5.48
1-1-2
6.56
3-1-0
7.65
1-2-1
7.30
0-2-2
4.77
 —
3-1-0
8.94
0-1-3
7.20
Radomlje
0-1-3
4.09
0-1-3
2.90
1-1-2
2.41
0-1-3
2.93
0-2-2
3.49
0-0-4
3.40
0-1-3
1.79
0-1-3
2.25
 —
0-2-2
3.09
Rudar Velenje
1-2-1
6.27
0-1-3
5.04
0-1-3
3.94
1-0-3
4.94
1-2-1
5.91
2-1-1
5.74
0-1-3
3.28
3-1-0
3.64
2-2-0
7.87
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +12.4
Allowed 0.93 -11.4
Differential 0.96 +6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.78%8.89%5.00%3.89%1.67%0.83%28.06%
18.89%16.11%6.39%4.17%1.39%0.28%37.22%
25.00%6.39%6.67%0.56%1.39%—20.00%
33.89%4.17%0.56%——0.28%8.89%
41.67%1.39%1.39%———4.44%
5+0.83%0.28%—0.28%——1.39%
Total28.06%37.22%20.00%8.89%4.44%1.39%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.29 +0.00
SD 1.17 1.17 1.78
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%13.89%5.56%11.11%2.78%—47.22%
1—5.56%5.56%—2.78%—13.89%
22.78%8.33%11.11%—2.78%—25.00%
38.33%5.56%————13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%33.33%22.22%11.11%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.44 -0.39
SD 1.15 1.23 1.82
CV 1.08 0.85 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%2.78%5.56%——19.44%
116.67%22.22%13.89%———52.78%
22.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+———————
Total27.78%41.67%25.00%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.08 +0.25
SD 1.15 0.87 1.54
CV 0.86 0.81 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
12.78%13.89%2.78%13.89%2.78%—36.11%
211.11%5.56%2.78%———19.44%
32.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+8.33%——2.78%——11.11%
Total33.33%33.33%11.11%19.44%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.25 +0.50
SD 1.54 1.20 2.20
CV 0.88 0.96 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%———2.78%27.78%
15.56%19.44%—2.78%——27.78%
22.78%22.22%2.78%—2.78%—30.56%
32.78%8.33%————11.11%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total22.22%63.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.08 +0.25
SD 1.10 1.05 1.46
CV 0.82 0.97 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%—2.78%2.78%2.78%25.00%
18.33%25.00%11.11%2.78%——47.22%
28.33%2.78%8.33%2.78%——22.22%
32.78%————2.78%5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%36.11%19.44%8.33%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.39 -0.31
SD 0.84 1.36 1.58
CV 0.78 0.98 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%8.33%—2.78%—27.78%
116.67%16.67%5.56%2.78%2.78%—44.44%
2—2.78%11.11%———13.89%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total36.11%30.56%25.00%2.78%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.11 +0.08
SD 1.12 1.12 1.68
CV 0.93 1.00 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%—5.56%———11.11%
122.22%13.89%2.78%2.78%——41.67%
25.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%——22.22%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
48.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
5+———————
Total47.22%27.78%19.44%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 0.83 +0.92
SD 1.23 0.94 1.59
CV 0.70 1.13 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%2.78%———19.44%
116.67%19.44%5.56%2.78%——44.44%
25.56%8.33%——5.56%—19.44%
35.56%8.33%————13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total33.33%50.00%8.33%2.78%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 0.97 +0.39
SD 1.05 1.03 1.44
CV 0.77 1.06 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%16.67%11.11%5.56%2.78%50.00%
1—13.89%8.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%36.11%
22.78%—8.33%—2.78%—13.89%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total8.33%22.22%33.33%16.67%13.89%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 2.22 -1.58
SD 0.72 1.33 1.54
CV 1.13 0.60 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%5.56%5.56%2.78%—33.33%
1—11.11%8.33%8.33%——27.78%
28.33%2.78%11.11%———22.22%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4—2.78%5.56%———8.33%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total19.44%33.33%30.56%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.47 -0.11
SD 1.38 1.06 1.85
CV 1.01 0.72 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Maribor 1586 73 69.59 +3.41 70.0% 54 58 64 70 75 80 86
Olimpija Ljubljana 1524 60 62.01 -2.01 35.0% 47 50 56 62 66 74 79
Domzale 1498 56 60.03 -4.03 33.0% 38 45 54 60 66 74 80
Gorica 1487 60 51.84 +8.16 83.0% 37 40 45 52 57 66 72
Celje 1483 55 50.45 +4.55 73.0% 31 36 44 51 56 62 67
Luka Koper 1427 50 42.64 +7.36 88.0% 24 32 38 42 47 55 63
Rudar Velenje 1412 41 46.28 -5.28 22.0% 31 36 42 46 49 57 60
Krsko 1395 39 42.17 -3.17 35.0% 25 31 38 41 46 53 59
Aluminij 1379 38 37.20 +0.80 65.0% 24 29 33 37 41 47 52
Radomlje 1210 13 25.95 -12.95 0.0% 15 16 21 26 29 36 42

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.44%
Slight Edge
39.44%30.56%30.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 32.91 Elo pts.
182 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.13 goals
Neutral
-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.2
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
63%
Maribor, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.36/gm
Runaway
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.61 * Some Luck: 5.61 to 8.41 * Lucky: 8.41 to 11.22 * Wild Swing: 11.22 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.84 * Close: 0.84 to 1.26 * Off: 1.26 to 1.68 * Way Off: 1.68 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.15 points
Some Luck
07.0118
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Pinpoint
01.052.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
88.00%
Luka Koper
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Radomlje
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 103.10
2.18
Strong Separation
11.82.052.75
Interquartile Edge
63%
Even
50%63.5%72%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Strong Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Occasional
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Notable Separation
00.310.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.91
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.91
Near-Lock
00.420.630.791
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Solid Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.94
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.18
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.060
Well Within Noise
00.1340.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Maribor63.00%22.00%12.00%2.00%1.00%—————
Gorica2.00%9.00%15.00%18.00%25.00%11.00%14.00%6.00%——
Olimpija Ljubljana18.00%33.00%27.00%16.00%5.00%1.00%————
Domzale15.00%25.00%25.00%15.00%11.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%—
Celje2.00%7.00%11.00%23.00%20.00%15.00%11.00%7.00%4.00%—
Luka Koper—3.00%3.00%6.00%8.00%22.00%20.00%20.00%14.00%4.00%
Rudar Velenje——5.00%15.00%18.00%22.00%23.00%11.00%5.00%1.00%
Krsko—1.00%2.00%5.00%8.00%19.00%17.00%31.00%17.00%—
Aluminij————4.00%6.00%12.00%22.00%48.00%8.00%
Radomlje———————2.00%11.00%87.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Celje 96.00% 4.00% —
Domzale 99.00% 1.00% —
Gorica 100% — —
Krsko 83.00% 17.00% —
Maribor 100% — —
Olimpija Ljubljana 100% — —
Rudar Velenje 94.00% 5.00% 1.00%
Luka Koper 82.00% 14.00% 4.00%
Aluminij 44.00% 48.00% 8.00%
Radomlje 2.00% 11.00% 87.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2016-07-16 Celje W 1-046.8 1527 1453 48.70% 29.84% 21.47%+0.59 +3.6 3
2016-07-16 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-146.8 1453 1527 21.47% 29.84% 48.70%-0.59 -3.6 0
2016-07-16 Krsko D 1-155.3 1425 1400 42.01% 31.63% 26.36%+0.32 -0.4 1
2016-07-16 @ Rudar Velenje D 1-155.3 1400 1425 26.36% 31.63% 42.01%-0.32 +0.4 1
2016-07-17 Aluminij W 2-038.9 1452 1380 48.38% 29.94% 21.67%+0.58 +6.8 3
2016-07-17 @ Gorica L 0-238.9 1380 1452 21.67% 29.94% 48.38%-0.58 -6.8 0
2016-07-17 Luka Koper W 1-042.7 1546 1399 57.93% 25.83% 16.24%+0.99 +2.7 3
2016-07-17 @ Maribor L 0-142.7 1399 1546 16.24% 25.83% 57.93%-0.99 -2.7 0
2016-07-17 Radomlje W 2-034.5 1499 1320 61.74% 23.78% 14.48%+1.16 +4.4 3
2016-07-17 @ Domzale L 0-234.5 1320 1499 14.48% 23.78% 61.74%-1.16 -4.4 0
2016-07-22 Gorica W 1-047.7 1449 1459 37.13% 32.28% 30.59%+0.13 +4.8 3
2016-07-22 @ Celje L 0-147.7 1459 1449 30.59% 32.28% 37.13%-0.13 -4.8 3
2016-07-23 Aluminij W 1-042.6 1396 1373 41.78% 31.67% 26.55%+0.31 +4.3 3
2016-07-23 @ Luka Koper L 0-142.6 1373 1396 26.55% 31.67% 41.78%-0.31 -4.3 0
2016-07-23 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-236.3 1316 1530 16.11% 25.70% 58.19%-1.00 -5.0 0
2016-07-23 @ Radomlje W 2-036.3 1530 1316 58.19% 25.70% 16.11%+1.00 +5.0 6
2016-07-24 Domzale D 1-157.7 1401 1503 25.12% 31.30% 43.58%-0.38 +0.5 2
2016-07-24 @ Krsko D 1-157.7 1503 1401 43.58% 31.30% 25.12%+0.38 -0.5 4
2016-07-24 Rudar Velenje W 2-041.5 1548 1425 55.05% 27.24% 17.70%+0.86 +5.6 6
2016-07-24 @ Maribor L 0-241.5 1425 1548 17.70% 27.24% 55.05%-0.86 -5.6 1
2016-07-30 Luka Koper W 2-040.7 1419 1401 41.13% 31.79% 27.08%+0.28 +8.2 4
2016-07-30 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-240.7 1401 1419 27.08% 31.79% 41.13%-0.28 -8.2 3
2016-07-30 Radomlje W 2-144.0 1454 1311 57.48% 26.06% 16.46%+0.97 +2.6 6
2016-07-30 @ Gorica L 1-244.0 1311 1454 16.46% 26.06% 57.48%-0.97 -2.6 0
2016-07-31 Celje L 2-450.7 1369 1454 27.03% 31.77% 41.20%-0.29 -6.4 0
2016-07-31 @ Aluminij W 4-250.7 1454 1369 41.20% 31.77% 27.03%+0.29 +6.4 6
2016-07-31 Maribor D 2-269.1 1503 1554 31.21% 32.33% 36.47%-0.10 +0.1 5
2016-07-31 @ Domzale D 2-269.1 1554 1503 36.47% 32.33% 31.21%+0.10 -0.1 7
2016-08-01 Krsko W 3-145.9 1536 1401 56.38% 26.61% 17.01%+0.92 +4.6 9
2016-08-01 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-345.9 1401 1536 17.01% 26.61% 56.38%-0.92 -4.6 2
2016-08-06 Aluminij D 2-258.6 1308 1362 30.85% 32.30% 36.85%-0.12 +0.1 1
2016-08-06 @ Radomlje D 2-258.6 1362 1308 36.85% 32.30% 30.85%+0.12 -0.1 1
2016-08-06 Celje W 2-154.5 1393 1460 29.11% 32.12% 38.77%-0.19 +5.3 6
2016-08-06 @ Luka Koper L 1-254.5 1460 1393 38.77% 32.12% 29.11%+0.19 -5.3 6
2016-08-06 Gorica W 1-048.1 1397 1456 30.13% 32.24% 37.63%-0.15 +5.5 5
2016-08-06 @ Krsko L 0-148.1 1456 1397 37.63% 32.24% 30.13%+0.15 -5.5 6
2016-08-07 Domzale L 0-244.5 1428 1503 28.21% 31.99% 39.80%-0.23 -8.5 4
2016-08-07 @ Rudar Velenje W 2-044.5 1503 1428 39.80% 31.99% 28.21%+0.23 +8.5 8
2016-08-08 Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-164.3 1554 1540 40.46% 31.90% 27.65%+0.26 -0.4 8
2016-08-08 @ Maribor D 1-164.3 1540 1554 27.65% 31.90% 40.46%-0.26 +0.3 10
2016-08-12 Radomlje D 0-050.7 1455 1308 57.91% 25.84% 16.25%+0.99 -1.4 7
2016-08-12 @ Celje D 0-050.7 1308 1455 16.25% 25.84% 57.91%-0.99 +1.4 2
2016-08-13 Luka Koper W 2-039.5 1511 1398 53.77% 27.83% 18.40%+0.80 +5.8 11
2016-08-13 @ Domzale L 0-239.5 1398 1511 18.40% 27.83% 53.77%-0.80 -5.8 6
2016-08-13 Maribor W 2-160.9 1451 1554 25.07% 31.28% 43.65%-0.38 +5.8 9
2016-08-13 @ Gorica L 1-260.9 1554 1451 43.65% 31.28% 25.07%+0.38 -5.8 8
2016-08-14 Krsko W 3-040.4 1362 1402 32.79% 32.40% 34.81%-0.04 +14.3 4
2016-08-14 @ Aluminij L 0-340.4 1402 1362 34.81% 32.40% 32.79%+0.04 -14.3 5
2016-08-14 Rudar Velenje L 0-252.1 1540 1419 54.78% 27.37% 17.85%+0.85 -13.7 10
2016-08-14 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-052.1 1419 1540 17.85% 27.37% 54.78%-0.85 +13.7 7
2016-08-20 Gorica L 1-254.6 1433 1457 35.09% 32.39% 32.52%+0.05 -5.0 7
2016-08-20 @ Rudar Velenje W 2-154.6 1457 1433 32.52% 32.39% 35.09%-0.05 +5.0 12
2016-08-20 Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-357.6 1517 1527 37.11% 32.28% 30.61%+0.13 -8.9 11
2016-08-20 @ Domzale W 3-157.6 1527 1517 30.61% 32.28% 37.11%-0.13 +8.9 13
2016-08-20 Radomlje W 3-034.3 1392 1310 49.75% 29.46% 20.79%+0.63 +9.5 9
2016-08-20 @ Luka Koper L 0-334.3 1310 1392 20.79% 29.46% 49.75%-0.63 -9.5 2
2016-08-21 Aluminij L 0-251.7 1548 1377 60.89% 24.25% 14.86%+1.12 -14.8 8
2016-08-21 @ Maribor W 2-051.7 1377 1548 14.86% 24.25% 60.89%-1.12 +14.8 7
2016-08-21 Celje W 1-048.0 1388 1453 29.39% 32.16% 38.46%-0.18 +5.6 8
2016-08-21 @ Krsko L 0-148.0 1453 1388 38.46% 32.16% 29.39%+0.18 -5.6 7
2016-08-26 Domzale W 3-154.5 1462 1508 31.91% 32.37% 35.72%-0.07 +8.7 15
2016-08-26 @ Gorica L 1-354.5 1508 1462 35.72% 32.37% 31.91%+0.07 -8.7 11
2016-08-26 Krsko D 2-259.1 1300 1394 26.08% 31.56% 42.36%-0.33 +0.3 3
2016-08-26 @ Radomlje D 2-259.1 1394 1300 42.36% 31.56% 26.08%+0.33 -0.3 9
2016-08-27 Luka Koper L 0-154.7 1536 1402 56.39% 26.61% 17.01%+0.92 -7.4 13
2016-08-27 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-054.7 1402 1536 17.01% 26.61% 56.39%-0.92 +7.4 12
2016-08-28 Maribor L 0-344.2 1448 1533 27.00% 31.77% 41.23%-0.29 -11.9 7
2016-08-28 @ Celje W 3-044.2 1533 1448 41.23% 31.77% 27.00%+0.29 +11.9 11
2016-08-28 Rudar Velenje L 0-341.1 1391 1428 33.29% 32.40% 34.31%-0.02 -13.9 7
2016-08-28 @ Aluminij W 3-041.1 1428 1391 34.31% 32.40% 33.29%+0.02 +13.9 10
2016-09-09 Aluminij W 2-038.2 1499 1378 54.84% 27.34% 17.82%+0.85 +5.6 14
2016-09-09 @ Domzale L 0-238.2 1378 1499 17.82% 27.34% 54.84%-0.85 -5.6 7
2016-09-10 Celje L 1-352.3 1442 1436 39.33% 32.05% 28.61%+0.21 -9.3 10
2016-09-10 @ Rudar Velenje W 3-152.3 1436 1442 28.61% 32.05% 39.33%-0.21 +9.3 10
2016-09-10 Krsko W 1-043.6 1409 1393 40.72% 31.85% 27.43%+0.27 +4.4 15
2016-09-10 @ Luka Koper L 0-143.6 1393 1409 27.43% 31.85% 40.72%-0.27 -4.4 9
2016-09-10 Radomlje W 4-031.3 1545 1301 69.22% 19.35% 11.43%+1.53 +6.2 14
2016-09-10 @ Maribor L 0-431.3 1301 1545 11.43% 19.35% 69.22%-1.53 -6.2 3
2016-09-11 Gorica W 1-048.1 1528 1470 46.51% 30.53% 22.95%+0.50 +3.8 16
2016-09-11 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-148.1 1470 1528 22.95% 30.53% 46.51%-0.50 -3.8 15
2016-09-17 Domzale W 2-157.4 1445 1505 30.12% 32.24% 37.64%-0.15 +5.2 13
2016-09-17 @ Celje L 1-257.4 1505 1445 37.64% 32.24% 30.12%+0.15 -5.2 14
2016-09-17 Maribor L 1-250.6 1389 1551 19.64% 28.74% 51.61%-0.71 -3.1 9
2016-09-17 @ Krsko W 2-150.6 1551 1389 51.61% 28.74% 19.64%+0.71 +3.1 17
2016-09-17 Rudar Velenje D 2-260.1 1294 1433 21.64% 29.92% 48.43%-0.58 +0.6 4
2016-09-17 @ Radomlje D 2-260.1 1433 1294 48.43% 29.92% 21.64%+0.58 -0.6 11
2016-09-18 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-338.5 1372 1532 19.81% 28.86% 51.34%-0.70 -9.1 7
2016-09-18 @ Aluminij W 3-038.5 1532 1372 51.34% 28.86% 19.81%+0.70 +9.1 19
2016-09-21 Domzale L 0-534.4 1295 1500 16.71% 26.31% 56.98%-0.95 -12.3 4
2016-09-21 @ Radomlje W 5-034.4 1500 1295 56.98% 26.31% 16.71%+0.95 +12.3 17
2016-09-21 Maribor L 1-252.4 1413 1554 21.39% 29.80% 48.81%-0.59 -3.4 15
2016-09-21 @ Luka Koper W 2-152.4 1554 1413 48.81% 29.80% 21.39%+0.59 +3.4 20
2016-09-21 Gorica D 0-050.5 1363 1467 24.95% 31.25% 43.80%-0.39 +0.6 8
2016-09-21 @ Aluminij D 0-050.5 1467 1363 43.80% 31.25% 24.95%+0.39 -0.6 16
2016-09-21 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-149.2 1450 1541 26.36% 31.63% 42.01%-0.32 -4.3 13
2016-09-21 @ Celje W 1-049.2 1541 1450 42.01% 31.63% 26.36%+0.32 +4.3 22
2016-09-21 Rudar Velenje W 1-046.6 1386 1432 31.93% 32.37% 35.70%-0.07 +5.3 12
2016-09-21 @ Krsko L 0-146.6 1432 1386 35.70% 32.37% 31.93%+0.07 -5.3 11
2016-09-24 Celje L 0-150.9 1466 1446 41.29% 31.76% 26.95%+0.29 -5.9 16
2016-09-24 @ Gorica W 1-050.9 1446 1466 26.95% 31.76% 41.29%-0.29 +5.9 16
2016-09-24 Krsko W 5-038.1 1512 1391 54.74% 27.39% 17.87%+0.85 +13.2 20
2016-09-24 @ Domzale L 0-538.1 1391 1512 17.87% 27.39% 54.74%-0.85 -13.2 12
2016-09-24 Radomlje W 2-031.9 1546 1283 71.17% 18.14% 10.69%+1.63 +3.0 25
2016-09-24 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-231.9 1283 1546 10.69% 18.14% 71.17%-1.63 -3.0 4
2016-09-25 Luka Koper D 0-048.9 1363 1410 31.87% 32.36% 35.76%-0.08 +0.1 9
2016-09-25 @ Aluminij D 0-048.9 1410 1363 35.76% 32.36% 31.87%+0.08 -0.1 16
2016-09-25 Maribor D 1-160.9 1427 1558 22.27% 30.23% 47.50%-0.54 +0.7 12
2016-09-25 @ Rudar Velenje D 1-160.9 1558 1427 47.50% 30.23% 22.27%+0.54 -0.7 21
2016-09-28 Luka Koper D 1-156.8 1460 1410 45.48% 30.83% 23.70%+0.46 -0.6 17
2016-09-28 @ Gorica D 1-156.8 1410 1460 23.70% 30.83% 45.48%-0.46 +0.6 17
2016-10-01 Aluminij W 1-041.0 1452 1364 50.58% 29.15% 20.27%+0.67 +3.4 19
2016-10-01 @ Celje L 0-141.0 1364 1452 20.27% 29.15% 50.58%-0.67 -3.4 9
2016-10-01 Domzale W 3-155.3 1557 1525 42.94% 31.44% 25.62%+0.36 +6.8 24
2016-10-01 @ Maribor L 1-355.3 1525 1557 25.62% 31.44% 42.94%-0.36 -6.8 20
2016-10-01 Rudar Velenje L 1-447.7 1411 1427 36.11% 32.35% 31.55%+0.09 -12.4 17
2016-10-01 @ Luka Koper W 4-147.7 1427 1411 31.55% 32.35% 36.11%-0.09 +12.4 15
2016-10-02 Gorica L 2-445.2 1280 1459 18.36% 27.80% 53.84%-0.81 -4.5 4
2016-10-02 @ Radomlje W 4-245.2 1459 1280 53.84% 27.80% 18.36%+0.81 +4.5 20
2016-10-02 Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-249.8 1378 1548 19.02% 28.30% 52.68%-0.76 -3.0 12
2016-10-02 @ Krsko W 2-149.8 1548 1378 52.68% 28.30% 19.02%+0.76 +3.0 28
2016-10-14 Krsko D 1-156.4 1464 1375 50.65% 29.12% 20.22%+0.67 -0.9 21
2016-10-14 @ Gorica D 1-156.4 1375 1464 20.22% 29.12% 50.65%-0.67 +0.9 13
2016-10-15 Maribor L 1-360.0 1552 1564 36.76% 32.31% 30.94%+0.11 -8.9 28
2016-10-15 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 3-160.0 1564 1552 30.94% 32.31% 36.76%-0.11 +8.9 27
2016-10-15 Radomlje W 2-144.5 1360 1275 50.09% 29.34% 20.57%+0.65 +3.3 12
2016-10-15 @ Aluminij L 1-244.5 1275 1360 20.57% 29.34% 50.09%-0.65 -3.2 4
2016-10-15 Rudar Velenje W 3-148.8 1518 1440 49.28% 29.63% 21.09%+0.61 +5.8 23
2016-10-15 @ Domzale L 1-348.8 1440 1518 21.09% 29.63% 49.28%-0.61 -5.8 15
2016-10-16 Luka Koper D 1-156.4 1455 1398 46.44% 30.55% 23.01%+0.50 -0.7 20
2016-10-16 @ Celje D 1-156.4 1398 1455 23.01% 30.55% 46.44%-0.50 +0.7 18
2016-10-21 Celje L 0-333.3 1272 1455 18.15% 27.62% 54.23%-0.82 -8.3 4
2016-10-21 @ Radomlje W 3-033.3 1455 1272 54.23% 27.62% 18.15%+0.82 +8.3 23
2016-10-22 Aluminij D 2-259.6 1376 1363 40.25% 31.93% 27.83%+0.25 -0.3 14
2016-10-22 @ Krsko D 2-259.6 1363 1376 27.83% 31.93% 40.25%-0.25 +0.2 13
2016-10-22 Domzale L 1-348.3 1399 1524 22.80% 30.47% 46.74%-0.51 -6.2 18
2016-10-22 @ Luka Koper W 3-148.3 1524 1399 46.74% 30.47% 22.80%+0.51 +6.2 26
2016-10-22 Gorica W 1-047.5 1573 1463 53.29% 28.04% 18.67%+0.78 +3.1 30
2016-10-22 @ Maribor L 0-147.5 1463 1573 18.67% 28.04% 53.29%-0.78 -3.1 21
2016-10-23 Olimpija Ljubljana D 0-055.3 1434 1543 24.44% 31.09% 44.48%-0.42 +0.6 16
2016-10-23 @ Rudar Velenje D 0-055.3 1543 1434 44.48% 31.09% 24.44%+0.42 -0.6 29
2016-10-29 Domzale W 1-052.8 1542 1530 40.14% 31.94% 27.91%+0.25 +4.5 32
2016-10-29 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-152.8 1530 1542 27.91% 31.94% 40.14%-0.25 -4.5 26
2016-10-29 Krsko L 0-345.8 1463 1375 50.46% 29.20% 20.34%+0.66 -18.7 23
2016-10-29 @ Celje W 3-045.8 1375 1463 20.34% 29.20% 50.46%-0.66 +18.7 17
2016-10-30 Luka Koper L 1-342.4 1264 1393 22.47% 30.32% 47.21%-0.53 -6.1 4
2016-10-30 @ Radomlje W 3-142.4 1393 1264 47.21% 30.32% 22.47%+0.53 +6.1 21
2016-10-30 Maribor D 0-055.5 1364 1576 16.26% 25.85% 57.89%-0.99 +1.4 14
2016-10-30 @ Aluminij D 0-055.5 1576 1364 57.89% 25.85% 16.26%+0.99 -1.4 31
2016-10-30 Rudar Velenje L 1-353.5 1460 1435 42.06% 31.62% 26.32%+0.32 -9.8 21
2016-10-30 @ Gorica W 3-153.5 1435 1460 26.32% 31.62% 42.06%-0.32 +9.8 19
2016-11-05 Aluminij D 0-050.5 1444 1365 49.37% 29.60% 21.03%+0.62 -0.9 20
2016-11-05 @ Rudar Velenje D 0-050.5 1365 1444 21.03% 29.60% 49.37%-0.62 +0.9 15
2016-11-05 Celje W 2-042.9 1574 1444 55.87% 26.86% 17.28%+0.90 +5.4 34
2016-11-05 @ Maribor L 0-242.9 1444 1574 17.28% 26.86% 55.87%-0.90 -5.4 23
2016-11-05 Gorica W 5-042.4 1526 1450 48.89% 29.77% 21.34%+0.60 +15.8 29
2016-11-05 @ Domzale L 0-542.4 1450 1526 21.34% 29.77% 48.89%-0.60 -15.8 21
2016-11-06 Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-251.3 1399 1546 20.81% 29.48% 49.71%-0.63 -3.3 21
2016-11-06 @ Luka Koper W 2-151.3 1546 1399 49.71% 29.48% 20.81%+0.63 +3.3 35
2016-11-06 Radomlje D 1-154.0 1394 1258 56.69% 26.45% 16.85%+0.93 -1.2 18
2016-11-06 @ Krsko D 1-154.0 1258 1394 16.85% 26.45% 56.69%-0.93 +1.2 5
2016-11-19 Luka Koper D 0-049.3 1393 1395 38.16% 32.19% 29.65%+0.17 -0.3 19
2016-11-19 @ Krsko D 0-049.3 1395 1393 29.65% 32.19% 38.16%-0.17 +0.3 22
2016-11-19 Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-160.7 1434 1550 23.77% 30.85% 45.38%-0.45 +0.6 22
2016-11-19 @ Gorica D 1-160.7 1550 1434 45.38% 30.85% 23.77%+0.45 -0.6 36
2016-11-19 Rudar Velenje W 4-041.8 1439 1443 37.87% 32.22% 29.91%+0.16 +16.8 26
2016-11-19 @ Celje L 0-441.8 1443 1439 29.91% 32.22% 37.87%-0.16 -16.8 20
2016-11-20 Domzale L 0-438.0 1366 1542 18.65% 28.02% 53.33%-0.79 -11.2 15
2016-11-20 @ Aluminij W 4-038.0 1542 1366 53.33% 28.02% 18.65%+0.79 +11.2 32
2016-11-20 Maribor L 0-330.8 1259 1580 10.99% 18.63% 70.38%-1.59 -4.5 5
2016-11-20 @ Radomlje W 3-030.8 1580 1259 70.38% 18.63% 10.99%+1.59 +4.5 37
2016-11-25 Radomlje W 2-032.3 1427 1254 61.03% 24.18% 14.79%+1.13 +4.5 23
2016-11-25 @ Rudar Velenje L 0-232.3 1254 1427 14.79% 24.18% 61.03%-1.13 -4.5 5
2016-11-26 Celje W 2-153.1 1553 1456 51.68% 28.72% 19.60%+0.72 +3.1 35
2016-11-26 @ Domzale L 1-253.1 1456 1553 19.60% 28.72% 51.68%-0.72 -3.1 26
2016-11-26 Krsko W 4-037.4 1584 1393 63.30% 22.90% 13.81%+1.24 +7.9 40
2016-11-26 @ Maribor L 0-437.4 1393 1584 13.81% 22.90% 63.30%-1.24 -7.9 19
2016-11-26 Gorica D 0-050.2 1396 1435 32.88% 32.40% 34.72%-0.04 +0.1 23
2016-11-26 @ Luka Koper D 0-050.2 1435 1396 34.72% 32.40% 32.88%+0.04 -0.0 23
2016-11-27 Aluminij W 3-034.8 1549 1355 63.62% 22.71% 13.67%+1.25 +6.0 39
2016-11-27 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-334.8 1355 1549 13.67% 22.71% 63.62%-1.25 -6.0 15
2016-11-30 Aluminij W 3-035.6 1435 1349 50.27% 29.27% 20.46%+0.66 +9.4 26
2016-11-30 @ Gorica L 0-335.6 1349 1435 20.46% 29.27% 50.27%-0.66 -9.4 15
2016-11-30 Celje W 2-152.9 1555 1453 52.37% 28.43% 19.19%+0.74 +3.0 42
2016-11-30 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-252.9 1453 1555 19.19% 28.43% 52.37%-0.74 -3.0 26
2016-11-30 Luka Koper W 4-037.7 1592 1396 63.86% 22.57% 13.57%+1.26 +7.7 43
2016-11-30 @ Maribor L 0-437.7 1396 1592 13.57% 22.57% 63.86%-1.26 -7.7 23
2016-11-30 Krsko D 2-261.5 1431 1385 44.94% 30.97% 24.09%+0.44 -0.4 24
2016-11-30 @ Rudar Velenje D 2-261.5 1385 1431 24.09% 30.97% 44.94%-0.44 +0.4 20
2016-11-30 Radomlje L 0-250.0 1556 1250 75.51% 15.41% 9.08%+1.87 -16.9 35
2016-11-30 @ Domzale W 2-050.0 1250 1556 9.08% 15.41% 75.51%-1.87 +16.9 8
2016-12-03 Aluminij W 1-040.9 1388 1339 45.26% 30.88% 23.85%+0.45 +3.9 26
2016-12-03 @ Luka Koper L 0-140.9 1339 1388 23.85% 30.88% 45.26%-0.45 -3.9 15
2016-12-03 Gorica D 1-157.1 1450 1444 39.25% 32.07% 28.69%+0.21 -0.3 27
2016-12-03 @ Celje D 1-157.1 1444 1450 28.69% 32.07% 39.25%-0.21 +0.3 27
2016-12-03 Rudar Velenje W 1-045.1 1600 1431 60.67% 24.38% 14.96%+1.11 +2.4 46
2016-12-03 @ Maribor L 0-145.1 1431 1600 14.96% 24.38% 60.67%-1.11 -2.4 24
2016-12-04 Domzale D 0-054.0 1385 1539 20.32% 29.18% 50.50%-0.66 +1.0 21
2016-12-04 @ Krsko D 0-054.0 1539 1385 50.50% 29.18% 20.32%+0.66 -1.0 36
2016-12-04 Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-436.6 1267 1558 12.23% 20.60% 67.17%-1.42 -4.4 8
2016-12-04 @ Radomlje W 4-136.6 1558 1267 67.17% 20.60% 12.23%+1.42 +4.4 45
2016-12-10 Celje W 2-154.4 1335 1449 23.91% 30.90% 45.19%-0.45 +5.9 18
2016-12-10 @ Aluminij L 1-254.4 1449 1335 45.19% 30.90% 23.91%+0.45 -5.9 27
2016-12-10 Luka Koper D 2-261.5 1428 1392 43.57% 31.30% 25.13%+0.38 -0.4 25
2016-12-10 @ Rudar Velenje D 2-261.5 1392 1428 25.13% 31.30% 43.57%-0.38 +0.4 27
2016-12-10 Maribor W 3-269.5 1538 1602 29.53% 32.18% 38.29%-0.17 +5.0 39
2016-12-10 @ Domzale L 2-369.5 1602 1538 38.29% 32.18% 29.53%+0.17 -5.0 46
2016-12-10 Radomlje D 1-155.5 1445 1262 62.22% 23.51% 14.27%+1.18 -1.5 28
2016-12-10 @ Gorica D 1-155.5 1262 1445 14.27% 23.51% 62.22%-1.18 +1.5 9
2016-12-11 Krsko D 1-161.5 1563 1386 61.50% 23.92% 14.59%+1.15 -1.4 46
2016-12-11 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-161.5 1386 1563 14.59% 23.92% 61.50%-1.15 +1.4 22
2017-02-25 Aluminij L 0-336.3 1264 1341 27.89% 31.94% 40.17%-0.25 -12.2 9
2017-02-25 @ Radomlje W 3-036.3 1341 1264 40.17% 31.94% 27.89%+0.25 +12.2 21
2017-02-25 Domzale D 1-160.2 1428 1543 23.78% 30.86% 45.36%-0.45 +0.6 26
2017-02-25 @ Rudar Velenje D 1-160.2 1543 1428 45.36% 30.86% 23.78%+0.45 -0.6 40
2017-02-25 Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-054.4 1597 1561 43.57% 31.30% 25.13%+0.38 +4.1 49
2017-02-25 @ Maribor L 0-154.4 1561 1597 25.13% 31.30% 43.57%-0.38 -4.1 46
2017-02-26 Celje D 1-155.3 1392 1443 31.27% 32.33% 36.40%-0.10 +0.1 28
2017-02-26 @ Luka Koper D 1-155.3 1443 1392 36.40% 32.33% 31.27%+0.10 -0.1 28
2017-02-26 Gorica L 1-251.6 1388 1443 30.67% 32.29% 37.04%-0.12 -4.5 22
2017-02-26 @ Krsko W 2-151.6 1443 1388 37.04% 32.29% 30.67%+0.12 +4.5 31
2017-03-04 Luka Koper L 0-154.9 1542 1392 58.33% 25.62% 16.05%+1.01 -7.6 40
2017-03-04 @ Domzale W 1-054.9 1392 1542 16.05% 25.62% 58.33%-1.01 +7.6 31
2017-03-04 Radomlje W 1-035.0 1443 1252 63.32% 22.88% 13.80%+1.24 +2.2 31
2017-03-04 @ Celje L 0-135.0 1252 1443 13.80% 22.88% 63.32%-1.24 -2.2 9
2017-03-05 Krsko D 1-153.2 1354 1383 34.28% 32.41% 33.32%+0.02 -0.0 22
2017-03-05 @ Aluminij D 1-153.2 1383 1354 33.32% 32.41% 34.28%-0.02 +0.0 23
2017-03-05 Rudar Velenje L 2-463.1 1557 1428 55.68% 26.95% 17.37%+0.89 -10.7 46
2017-03-05 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 4-263.1 1428 1557 17.37% 26.95% 55.68%-0.89 +10.7 29
2017-03-07 Maribor L 2-455.6 1448 1601 20.32% 29.18% 50.50%-0.66 -5.0 31
2017-03-07 @ Gorica W 4-255.6 1601 1448 50.50% 29.18% 20.32%+0.66 +5.0 52
2017-03-11 Aluminij W 4-140.0 1606 1354 70.13% 18.79% 11.08%+1.57 +3.8 55
2017-03-11 @ Maribor L 1-440.0 1354 1606 11.08% 18.79% 70.13%-1.57 -3.8 22
2017-03-11 Gorica L 1-352.1 1439 1443 38.00% 32.20% 29.80%+0.16 -9.1 29
2017-03-11 @ Rudar Velenje W 3-152.1 1443 1439 29.80% 32.20% 38.00%-0.16 +9.1 34
2017-03-11 Radomlje W 4-136.4 1400 1249 58.43% 25.57% 16.00%+1.01 +6.1 34
2017-03-11 @ Luka Koper L 1-436.4 1249 1400 16.00% 25.57% 58.43%-1.01 -6.1 9
2017-03-12 Celje L 2-356.4 1383 1446 29.79% 32.20% 38.00%-0.16 -4.2 23
2017-03-12 @ Krsko W 3-256.4 1446 1383 38.00% 32.20% 29.79%+0.16 +4.2 34
2017-03-12 Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-054.0 1535 1546 36.88% 32.30% 30.82%+0.12 +4.8 43
2017-03-12 @ Domzale L 0-154.0 1546 1535 30.82% 32.30% 36.88%-0.12 -4.8 46
2017-03-18 Domzale W 3-156.8 1452 1540 26.70% 31.71% 41.59%-0.30 +9.7 37
2017-03-18 @ Gorica L 1-356.8 1540 1452 41.59% 31.71% 26.70%+0.30 -9.7 43
2017-03-18 Krsko L 0-235.6 1243 1379 21.84% 30.03% 48.13%-0.57 -6.9 9
2017-03-18 @ Radomlje W 2-035.6 1379 1243 48.13% 30.03% 21.84%+0.57 +6.9 26
2017-03-18 Maribor D 1-164.1 1450 1610 19.78% 28.83% 51.39%-0.70 +0.9 35
2017-03-18 @ Celje D 1-164.1 1610 1450 51.39% 28.83% 19.78%+0.70 -0.9 56
2017-03-19 Luka Koper D 1-160.6 1541 1406 56.52% 26.54% 16.94%+0.93 -1.2 47
2017-03-19 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-160.6 1406 1541 16.94% 26.54% 56.52%-0.93 +1.2 35
2017-03-19 Rudar Velenje W 3-042.3 1350 1430 27.57% 31.88% 40.55%-0.26 +16.0 25
2017-03-19 @ Aluminij L 0-342.3 1430 1350 40.55% 31.88% 27.57%+0.26 -15.9 29
2017-03-28 Krsko L 0-244.4 1407 1386 41.52% 31.72% 26.76%+0.30 -11.2 35
2017-03-28 @ Luka Koper W 2-044.4 1386 1407 26.76% 31.72% 41.52%-0.30 +11.2 29
2017-03-29 Aluminij W 2-146.5 1530 1366 60.06% 24.70% 15.23%+1.08 +2.4 46
2017-03-29 @ Domzale L 1-246.5 1366 1530 15.23% 24.70% 60.06%-1.08 -2.4 25
2017-03-29 Celje L 1-253.3 1414 1451 33.29% 32.41% 34.30%-0.02 -4.8 29
2017-03-29 @ Rudar Velenje W 2-153.3 1451 1414 34.30% 32.41% 33.29%+0.02 +4.8 38
2017-03-29 Gorica L 1-262.0 1540 1462 49.29% 29.63% 21.08%+0.61 -6.3 47
2017-03-29 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-162.0 1462 1540 21.08% 29.63% 49.29%-0.61 +6.3 40
2017-03-29 Radomlje W 1-032.5 1609 1236 81.37% 11.69% 6.93%+2.23 +0.9 59
2017-03-29 @ Maribor L 0-132.5 1236 1609 6.93% 11.69% 81.37%-2.23 -0.9 9
2017-04-01 Domzale D 1-160.5 1455 1532 27.98% 31.95% 40.06%-0.24 +0.3 39
2017-04-01 @ Celje D 1-160.5 1532 1455 40.06% 31.95% 27.98%+0.24 -0.3 47
2017-04-01 Luka Koper D 0-051.8 1468 1396 48.35% 29.95% 21.69%+0.58 -0.9 41
2017-04-01 @ Gorica D 0-051.8 1396 1468 21.69% 29.95% 48.35%-0.58 +0.9 36
2017-04-01 Maribor D 1-163.1 1397 1610 16.19% 25.78% 58.02%-0.99 +1.3 30
2017-04-01 @ Krsko D 1-163.1 1610 1397 58.02% 25.78% 16.19%+0.99 -1.3 60
2017-04-02 Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-158.9 1363 1534 19.02% 28.31% 52.67%-0.76 +6.7 28
2017-04-02 @ Aluminij L 1-258.9 1534 1363 52.67% 28.31% 19.02%+0.76 -6.7 47
2017-04-02 Rudar Velenje L 1-536.4 1235 1409 18.77% 28.12% 53.11%-0.78 -9.4 9
2017-04-02 @ Radomlje W 5-136.4 1409 1235 53.11% 28.12% 18.77%+0.78 +9.4 32
2017-04-08 Domzale D 1-157.4 1226 1532 11.61% 19.63% 68.76%-1.50 +1.7 10
2017-04-08 @ Radomlje D 1-157.4 1532 1226 68.76% 19.63% 11.61%+1.50 -1.7 48
2017-04-08 Maribor D 2-269.2 1397 1609 16.27% 25.86% 57.86%-0.99 +0.9 37
2017-04-08 @ Luka Koper D 2-269.2 1609 1397 57.86% 25.86% 16.27%+0.99 -0.9 61
2017-04-08 Rudar Velenje L 1-252.7 1398 1419 35.58% 32.37% 32.05%+0.07 -5.0 30
2017-04-08 @ Krsko W 2-152.7 1419 1398 32.05% 32.37% 35.58%-0.07 +5.0 35
2017-04-09 Gorica L 1-250.0 1370 1467 25.68% 31.46% 42.87%-0.35 -4.0 28
2017-04-09 @ Aluminij W 2-150.0 1467 1370 42.87% 31.46% 25.68%+0.35 +4.0 44
2017-04-09 Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-160.3 1456 1527 28.64% 32.06% 39.31%-0.21 +0.3 40
2017-04-09 @ Celje D 1-160.3 1527 1456 39.31% 32.06% 28.64%+0.21 -0.3 48
2017-04-15 Celje D 1-158.3 1471 1456 40.60% 31.87% 27.52%+0.26 -0.4 45
2017-04-15 @ Gorica D 1-158.3 1456 1471 27.52% 31.87% 40.60%-0.26 +0.4 41
2017-04-15 Maribor L 0-147.0 1424 1608 18.04% 27.54% 54.42%-0.83 -3.0 35
2017-04-15 @ Rudar Velenje W 1-047.0 1608 1424 54.42% 27.54% 18.04%+0.83 +3.0 64
2017-04-17 Luka Koper D 2-259.9 1366 1398 33.93% 32.41% 33.66%+0.01 -0.0 29
2017-04-17 @ Aluminij D 2-259.9 1398 1366 33.66% 32.41% 33.93%-0.01 +0.0 38
2017-04-17 Krsko W 5-350.4 1530 1393 56.73% 26.44% 16.83%+0.93 +3.9 51
2017-04-17 @ Domzale L 3-550.4 1393 1530 16.83% 26.44% 56.73%-0.93 -3.9 30
2017-04-17 Radomlje D 1-158.5 1527 1228 74.84% 15.84% 9.33%+1.83 -2.0 49
2017-04-17 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-158.5 1228 1527 9.33% 15.84% 74.84%-1.83 +2.0 11
2017-04-21 Gorica L 1-241.8 1230 1471 14.65% 24.00% 61.35%-1.14 -2.2 11
2017-04-21 @ Radomlje W 2-141.8 1471 1230 61.35% 24.00% 14.65%+1.14 +2.2 48
2017-04-22 Aluminij W 1-041.1 1456 1366 50.81% 29.06% 20.13%+0.68 +3.4 44
2017-04-22 @ Celje L 0-141.1 1366 1456 20.13% 29.06% 50.81%-0.68 -3.4 29
2017-04-22 Domzale W 1-052.4 1611 1534 49.06% 29.71% 21.23%+0.60 +3.6 67
2017-04-22 @ Maribor L 0-152.4 1534 1611 21.23% 29.71% 49.06%-0.60 -3.5 51
2017-04-22 Rudar Velenje W 1-045.7 1398 1421 35.25% 32.38% 32.36%+0.06 +5.0 41
2017-04-22 @ Luka Koper L 0-145.7 1421 1398 32.36% 32.38% 35.25%-0.06 -5.0 35
2017-04-23 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-144.6 1389 1525 21.86% 30.04% 48.10%-0.56 -3.7 30
2017-04-23 @ Krsko W 1-044.6 1525 1389 48.10% 30.04% 21.86%+0.56 +3.7 52
2017-04-28 Rudar Velenje W 3-039.2 1531 1416 53.95% 27.75% 18.30%+0.81 +8.4 54
2017-04-28 @ Domzale L 0-339.2 1416 1531 18.30% 27.75% 53.95%-0.81 -8.4 35
2017-04-29 Krsko D 0-051.9 1473 1386 50.38% 29.23% 20.39%+0.66 -1.0 49
2017-04-29 @ Gorica D 0-051.9 1386 1473 20.39% 29.23% 50.38%-0.66 +1.0 31
2017-04-29 Maribor D 0-060.9 1529 1615 26.91% 31.75% 41.34%-0.29 +0.4 53
2017-04-29 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 0-060.9 1615 1529 41.34% 31.75% 26.91%+0.29 -0.5 68
2017-04-30 Luka Koper D 2-262.8 1460 1403 46.37% 30.58% 23.06%+0.49 -0.5 45
2017-04-30 @ Celje D 2-262.8 1403 1460 23.06% 30.58% 46.37%-0.49 +0.5 42
2017-04-30 Radomlje W 3-139.1 1363 1228 56.51% 26.54% 16.94%+0.92 +4.6 32
2017-04-30 @ Aluminij L 1-339.1 1228 1363 16.94% 26.54% 56.51%-0.92 -4.6 11
2017-05-05 Aluminij D 1-153.7 1387 1367 41.25% 31.77% 26.99%+0.29 -0.4 32
2017-05-05 @ Krsko D 1-153.7 1367 1387 26.99% 31.77% 41.25%-0.29 +0.4 33
2017-05-06 Celje L 0-135.6 1223 1459 14.89% 24.29% 60.82%-1.12 -2.4 11
2017-05-06 @ Radomlje W 1-035.6 1459 1223 60.82% 24.29% 14.89%+1.12 +2.4 48
2017-05-06 Domzale W 3-048.6 1403 1539 21.87% 30.04% 48.09%-0.56 +18.1 45
2017-05-06 @ Luka Koper L 0-348.6 1539 1403 48.09% 30.04% 21.87%+0.56 -18.1 54
2017-05-06 Gorica D 2-272.0 1614 1472 57.40% 26.10% 16.50%+0.96 -0.9 69
2017-05-06 @ Maribor D 2-272.0 1472 1614 16.50% 26.10% 57.40%-0.96 +0.9 50
2017-05-07 Olimpija Ljubljana W 4-259.6 1407 1529 23.15% 30.61% 46.24%-0.49 +9.4 38
2017-05-07 @ Rudar Velenje L 2-459.6 1529 1407 46.24% 30.61% 23.15%+0.49 -9.4 53
2017-05-12 Luka Koper L 0-431.6 1220 1422 16.94% 26.54% 56.53%-0.93 -10.1 11
2017-05-12 @ Radomlje W 4-031.6 1422 1220 56.53% 26.54% 16.94%+0.93 +10.1 48
2017-05-12 Krsko L 1-256.7 1462 1386 48.84% 29.79% 21.37%+0.60 -6.3 48
2017-05-12 @ Celje W 2-156.7 1386 1462 21.37% 29.79% 48.84%-0.60 +6.3 35
2017-05-13 Domzale W 3-155.2 1520 1521 38.34% 32.17% 29.49%+0.17 +7.6 56
2017-05-13 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-355.2 1521 1520 29.49% 32.17% 38.34%-0.17 -7.6 54
2017-05-13 Rudar Velenje W 2-150.5 1473 1417 46.26% 30.61% 23.13%+0.49 +3.6 53
2017-05-13 @ Gorica L 1-250.5 1417 1473 23.13% 30.61% 46.26%-0.49 -3.6 38
2017-05-14 Maribor W 3-160.1 1368 1613 14.40% 23.68% 61.92%-1.17 +12.9 36
2017-05-14 @ Aluminij L 1-360.1 1613 1368 61.92% 23.68% 14.40%+1.17 -12.9 69
2017-05-16 Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-159.6 1432 1527 25.82% 31.49% 42.69%-0.35 +0.5 49
2017-05-16 @ Luka Koper D 1-159.6 1527 1432 42.69% 31.49% 25.82%+0.35 -0.5 57
2017-05-16 Radomlje W 2-031.3 1393 1210 62.21% 23.51% 14.27%+1.18 +4.3 38
2017-05-16 @ Krsko L 0-231.3 1210 1393 14.27% 23.51% 62.21%-1.18 -4.3 11
2017-05-17 Aluminij D 2-260.8 1413 1381 43.05% 31.42% 25.53%+0.36 -0.4 39
2017-05-17 @ Rudar Velenje D 2-260.8 1381 1413 25.53% 31.42% 43.05%-0.36 +0.4 37
2017-05-17 Celje L 0-256.1 1600 1455 57.72% 25.94% 16.34%+0.98 -14.2 69
2017-05-17 @ Maribor W 2-056.1 1455 1600 16.34% 25.94% 57.72%-0.98 +14.2 51
2017-05-17 Gorica D 1-160.8 1513 1476 43.66% 31.28% 25.06%+0.38 -0.5 55
2017-05-17 @ Domzale D 1-160.8 1476 1513 25.06% 31.28% 43.66%-0.38 +0.5 54
2017-05-21 Domzale D 0-052.7 1381 1513 22.20% 30.20% 47.60%-0.54 +0.8 38
2017-05-21 @ Aluminij D 0-052.7 1513 1381 47.60% 30.20% 22.20%+0.54 -0.8 56
2017-05-21 Luka Koper D 1-155.2 1397 1432 33.48% 32.41% 34.11%-0.01 +0.0 39
2017-05-21 @ Krsko D 1-155.2 1432 1397 34.11% 32.41% 33.48%+0.01 -0.0 50
2017-05-21 Maribor D 1-159.5 1206 1586 8.80% 14.93% 76.28%-1.91 +2.0 12
2017-05-21 @ Radomlje D 1-159.5 1586 1206 76.28% 14.93% 8.80%+1.91 -2.0 70
2017-05-21 Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-052.9 1477 1527 31.42% 32.34% 36.24%-0.09 +5.4 57
2017-05-21 @ Gorica L 0-152.9 1527 1477 36.24% 32.34% 31.42%+0.09 -5.4 57
2017-05-21 Rudar Velenje D 1-157.2 1470 1413 46.38% 30.57% 23.05%+0.49 -0.7 52
2017-05-21 @ Celje D 1-157.2 1413 1470 23.05% 30.57% 46.38%-0.49 +0.7 40
2017-05-27 Aluminij W 1-041.5 1521 1382 57.07% 26.27% 16.66%+0.95 +2.8 60
2017-05-27 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-141.5 1382 1521 16.66% 26.27% 57.07%-0.95 -2.8 38
2017-05-27 Celje L 1-454.5 1512 1469 44.49% 31.08% 24.43%+0.42 -14.4 56
2017-05-27 @ Domzale W 4-154.5 1469 1512 24.43% 31.08% 44.49%-0.42 +14.4 55
2017-05-27 Krsko W 1-042.6 1584 1397 62.78% 23.19% 14.03%+1.21 +2.2 73
2017-05-27 @ Maribor L 0-142.6 1397 1584 14.03% 23.19% 62.78%-1.21 -2.3 39
2017-05-27 Gorica L 0-148.2 1432 1482 31.39% 32.34% 36.27%-0.09 -4.9 50
2017-05-27 @ Luka Koper W 1-048.2 1482 1432 36.27% 32.34% 31.39%+0.09 +4.9 60
2017-05-27 Radomlje D 0-050.0 1413 1208 64.89% 21.96% 13.14%+1.31 -1.8 41
2017-05-27 @ Rudar Velenje D 0-050.0 1208 1413 13.14% 21.96% 64.89%-1.31 +1.8 13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2016-11-30 9.08% Radomlje 1250 2 @ Domzale 1556 0
2 2017-05-14 14.40% @ Aluminij 1368 3 Maribor 1613 1
3 2016-08-21 14.86% Aluminij 1377 2 @ Maribor 1548 0
4 2017-03-04 16.05% Luka Koper 1392 1 @ Domzale 1542 0
5 2017-05-17 16.34% Celje 1455 2 @ Maribor 1600 0
6 2016-08-27 17.01% Luka Koper 1402 1 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1536 0
7 2017-03-05 17.37% Rudar Velenje 1428 4 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1557 2
8 2016-08-14 17.85% Rudar Velenje 1419 2 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1540 0
9 2017-04-02 19.02% @ Aluminij 1363 2 Olimpija Ljubljana 1534 1
10 2016-10-29 20.34% Krsko 1375 3 @ Celje 1463 0
11 2017-03-29 21.08% Gorica 1462 2 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1540 1
12 2017-05-12 21.37% Krsko 1386 2 @ Celje 1462 1
13 2017-05-06 21.87% @ Luka Koper 1403 3 Domzale 1539 0
14 2017-05-07 23.15% @ Rudar Velenje 1407 4 Olimpija Ljubljana 1529 2
15 2016-12-10 23.91% @ Aluminij 1335 2 Celje 1449 1
16 2017-05-27 24.43% Celje 1469 4 @ Domzale 1512 1
17 2016-08-13 25.07% @ Gorica 1451 2 Maribor 1554 1
18 2016-10-30 26.32% Rudar Velenje 1435 3 @ Gorica 1460 1
19 2017-03-18 26.70% @ Gorica 1452 3 Domzale 1540 1
20 2017-03-28 26.76% Krsko 1386 2 @ Luka Koper 1407 0
21 2016-09-24 26.95% Celje 1446 1 @ Gorica 1466 0
22 2017-03-19 27.57% @ Aluminij 1350 3 Rudar Velenje 1430 0
23 2016-09-10 28.61% Celje 1436 3 @ Rudar Velenje 1442 1
24 2016-08-06 29.11% @ Luka Koper 1393 2 Celje 1460 1
25 2016-08-21 29.39% @ Krsko 1388 1 Celje 1453 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-10-29 18.72 Krsko 3 1375 20.34% @ Celje 0 1463 50.46% 29.20%
2 2017-05-06 18.07 @ Luka Koper 3 1403 21.87% Domzale 0 1539 48.09% 30.04%
3 2016-11-30 16.93 Radomlje 2 1250 9.08% @ Domzale 0 1556 75.51% 15.41%
4 2016-11-19 16.84 @ Celje 4 1439 37.87% Rudar Velenje 0 1443 29.91% 32.22%
5 2017-03-19 15.95 @ Aluminij 3 1350 27.57% Rudar Velenje 0 1430 40.55% 31.88%
6 2016-11-05 15.76 @ Domzale 5 1526 48.89% Gorica 0 1450 21.34% 29.77%
7 2016-08-21 14.77 Aluminij 2 1377 14.86% @ Maribor 0 1548 60.89% 24.25%
8 2017-05-27 14.38 Celje 4 1469 24.43% @ Domzale 1 1512 44.49% 31.08%
9 2016-08-14 14.32 @ Aluminij 3 1362 32.79% Krsko 0 1402 34.81% 32.40%
10 2017-05-17 14.23 Celje 2 1455 16.34% @ Maribor 0 1600 57.72% 25.94%
11 2016-08-28 13.90 Rudar Velenje 3 1428 34.31% @ Aluminij 0 1391 33.29% 32.40%
12 2016-08-14 13.69 Rudar Velenje 2 1419 17.85% @ Olimpija Ljubljana 0 1540 54.78% 27.37%
13 2016-09-24 13.20 @ Domzale 5 1512 54.74% Krsko 0 1391 17.87% 27.39%
14 2017-05-14 12.94 @ Aluminij 3 1368 14.40% Maribor 1 1613 61.92% 23.68%
15 2016-10-01 12.39 Rudar Velenje 4 1427 31.55% @ Luka Koper 1 1411 36.11% 32.35%
16 2016-09-21 12.26 Domzale 5 1500 56.98% @ Radomlje 0 1295 16.71% 26.31%
17 2017-02-25 12.24 Aluminij 3 1341 40.17% @ Radomlje 0 1264 27.89% 31.94%
18 2016-08-28 11.94 Maribor 3 1533 41.23% @ Celje 0 1448 27.00% 31.77%
19 2016-11-20 11.20 Domzale 4 1542 53.33% @ Aluminij 0 1366 18.65% 28.02%
20 2017-03-28 11.17 Krsko 2 1386 26.76% @ Luka Koper 0 1407 41.52% 31.72%
21 2017-03-05 10.73 Rudar Velenje 4 1428 17.37% @ Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1557 55.68% 26.95%
22 2017-05-12 10.09 Luka Koper 4 1422 56.53% @ Radomlje 0 1220 16.94% 26.54%
23 2016-10-30 9.76 Rudar Velenje 3 1435 26.32% @ Gorica 1 1460 42.06% 31.62%
24 2017-03-18 9.69 @ Gorica 3 1452 26.70% Domzale 1 1540 41.59% 31.71%
25 2016-08-20 9.55 @ Luka Koper 3 1392 49.75% Radomlje 0 1310 20.79% 29.46%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-05-06 72.0 @ Maribor 2 1614 57.40% Gorica 2 1472 16.50% 26.10%
2 2016-12-10 69.5 @ Domzale 3 1538 29.53% Maribor 2 1602 38.29% 32.18%
3 2017-04-08 69.2 @ Luka Koper 2 1397 16.27% Maribor 2 1609 57.86% 25.86%
4 2016-07-31 69.1 @ Domzale 2 1503 31.21% Maribor 2 1554 36.47% 32.33%
5 2016-08-08 64.3 @ Maribor 1 1554 40.46% Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1540 27.65% 31.90%
6 2017-03-18 64.1 @ Celje 1 1450 19.78% Maribor 1 1610 51.39% 28.83%
7 2017-03-05 63.1 Rudar Velenje 4 1428 17.37% @ Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1557 55.68% 26.95%
8 2017-04-01 63.1 @ Krsko 1 1397 16.19% Maribor 1 1610 58.02% 25.78%
9 2017-04-30 62.8 @ Celje 2 1460 46.37% Luka Koper 2 1403 23.06% 30.58%
10 2017-03-29 62.0 Gorica 2 1462 21.08% @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1540 49.29% 29.63%
11 2016-11-30 61.5 @ Rudar Velenje 2 1431 44.94% Krsko 2 1385 24.09% 30.97%
12 2016-12-10 61.5 @ Rudar Velenje 2 1428 43.57% Luka Koper 2 1392 25.13% 31.30%
13 2016-12-11 61.5 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1563 61.50% Krsko 1 1386 14.59% 23.92%
14 2016-08-13 60.9 @ Gorica 2 1451 25.07% Maribor 1 1554 43.65% 31.28%
15 2016-09-25 60.9 @ Rudar Velenje 1 1427 22.27% Maribor 1 1558 47.50% 30.23%
16 2017-04-29 60.9 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 0 1529 26.91% Maribor 0 1615 41.34% 31.75%
17 2017-05-17 60.8 @ Rudar Velenje 2 1413 43.05% Aluminij 2 1381 25.53% 31.42%
18 2017-05-17 60.8 @ Domzale 1 1513 43.66% Gorica 1 1476 25.06% 31.28%
19 2016-11-19 60.7 @ Gorica 1 1434 23.77% Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1550 45.38% 30.85%
20 2017-03-19 60.6 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1541 56.52% Luka Koper 1 1406 16.94% 26.54%
21 2017-04-01 60.5 @ Celje 1 1455 27.98% Domzale 1 1532 40.06% 31.95%
22 2017-04-09 60.3 @ Celje 1 1456 28.64% Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1527 39.31% 32.06%
23 2017-02-25 60.2 @ Rudar Velenje 1 1428 23.78% Domzale 1 1543 45.36% 30.86%
24 2016-09-17 60.1 @ Radomlje 2 1294 21.64% Rudar Velenje 2 1433 48.43% 29.92%
25 2017-05-14 60.1 @ Aluminij 3 1368 14.40% Maribor 1 1613 61.92% 23.68%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-11-20 30.8 Maribor 3 1580 70.38% @ Radomlje 0 1259 10.99% 18.63%
2 2016-09-10 31.3 @ Maribor 4 1545 69.22% Radomlje 0 1301 11.43% 19.35%
3 2017-05-16 31.3 @ Krsko 2 1393 62.21% Radomlje 0 1210 14.27% 23.51%
4 2017-05-12 31.6 Luka Koper 4 1422 56.53% @ Radomlje 0 1220 16.94% 26.54%
5 2016-09-24 31.9 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1546 71.17% Radomlje 0 1283 10.69% 18.14%
6 2016-11-25 32.3 @ Rudar Velenje 2 1427 61.03% Radomlje 0 1254 14.79% 24.18%
7 2017-03-29 32.5 @ Maribor 1 1609 81.37% Radomlje 0 1236 6.93% 11.69%
8 2016-10-21 33.3 Celje 3 1455 54.23% @ Radomlje 0 1272 18.15% 27.62%
9 2016-08-20 34.3 @ Luka Koper 3 1392 49.75% Radomlje 0 1310 20.79% 29.46%
10 2016-09-21 34.4 Domzale 5 1500 56.98% @ Radomlje 0 1295 16.71% 26.31%
11 2016-07-17 34.5 @ Domzale 2 1499 61.74% Radomlje 0 1320 14.48% 23.78%
12 2016-11-27 34.8 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 3 1549 63.62% Aluminij 0 1355 13.67% 22.71%
13 2017-03-04 35.0 @ Celje 1 1443 63.32% Radomlje 0 1252 13.80% 22.88%
14 2016-11-30 35.6 @ Gorica 3 1435 50.27% Aluminij 0 1349 20.46% 29.27%
15 2017-03-18 35.6 Krsko 2 1379 48.13% @ Radomlje 0 1243 21.84% 30.03%
16 2017-05-06 35.6 Celje 1 1459 60.82% @ Radomlje 0 1223 14.89% 24.29%
17 2016-07-23 36.3 Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1530 58.19% @ Radomlje 0 1316 16.11% 25.70%
18 2017-02-25 36.3 Aluminij 3 1341 40.17% @ Radomlje 0 1264 27.89% 31.94%
19 2017-03-11 36.4 @ Luka Koper 4 1400 58.43% Radomlje 1 1249 16.00% 25.57%
20 2017-04-02 36.4 Rudar Velenje 5 1409 53.11% @ Radomlje 1 1235 18.77% 28.12%
21 2016-12-04 36.6 Olimpija Ljubljana 4 1558 67.17% @ Radomlje 1 1267 12.23% 20.60%
22 2016-11-26 37.4 @ Maribor 4 1584 63.30% Krsko 0 1393 13.81% 22.90%
23 2016-11-30 37.7 @ Maribor 4 1592 63.86% Luka Koper 0 1396 13.57% 22.57%
24 2016-11-20 38.0 Domzale 4 1542 53.33% @ Aluminij 0 1366 18.65% 28.02%
25 2016-09-24 38.1 @ Domzale 5 1512 54.74% Krsko 0 1391 17.87% 27.39%