2017-18 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Maribor

80 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Olimpija Ljubljana

9.62 points above expected

80 points · 70.38 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ankaran

9.99 points below expected

26 points · 35.99 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Maribor	36	24	8	4	80	76	28	+48	70.53	+9.47
2	Olimpija Ljubljana	36	23	11	2	80	61	17	+44	70.38	+9.62
3	Domzale	36	22	7	7	73	79	31	+48	64.28	+8.72
4	Rudar Velenje	36	15	5	16	50	50	49	+1	51.37	-1.37
5	Celje	36	14	8	14	50	56	51	+5	52.70	-2.70
6	Gorica	36	14	5	17	47	40	48	-8	47.38	-0.38
7	Krsko	36	9	7	20	34	36	61	-25	40.49	-6.49
8	Aluminij	36	8	9	19	33	40	63	-23	37.49	-4.49
9	Triglav	36	7	7	22	28	29	68	-39	30.80	-2.80
10	Ankaran	36	5	11	20	26	33	84	-51	35.99	-9.99

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Olimpija Ljubljana	80	70.38	+9.62
2	Maribor	80	70.53	+9.47
3	Domzale	73	64.28	+8.72
4	Gorica	47	47.38	-0.38
5	Rudar Velenje	50	51.37	-1.37

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Ankaran	26	35.99	-9.99
2	Krsko	34	40.49	-6.49
3	Aluminij	33	37.49	-4.49
4	Triglav	28	30.80	-2.80
5	Celje	50	52.70	-2.70

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Domzale	11	Nov 4 – Apr 8	1 in 772
2	Celje	4	Oct 28 – Nov 25	1 in 50
3	Triglav	2	May 10 – May 14	1 in 35
4	Rudar Velenje	3	Sep 16 – Sep 30	1 in 20
5	Gorica	4	Aug 12 – Sep 9	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rudar Velenje	4	Apr 22 – May 5	1 in 49
2	Triglav	5	Aug 19 – Sep 23	1 in 38
3	Maribor	2	Mar 13 – Mar 17	1 in 32
4	Ankaran	3	Jul 22 – Aug 6	1 in 11
5	Aluminij	4	Mar 7 – Mar 18	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Maribor	16	Jul 15 – Nov 17	1 in 68
2	Domzale	14	Nov 4 – Apr 22	1 in 54
3	Olimpija Ljubljana	18	Feb 25 – May 27	1 in 54
4	Ankaran	4	Apr 12 – Apr 28	1 in 21
5	Celje	5	Aug 26 – Sep 29	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Ankaran	9	Jul 15 – Sep 16	1 in 40
2	Triglav	11	Jul 15 – Sep 30	1 in 24
3	Gorica	7	Nov 4 – Mar 10	1 in 23
4	Celje	6	Sep 8 – Oct 21	1 in 14
5	Domzale	4	Aug 6 – Aug 27	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Maribor	1724	80	+18	10	9.6	+0.4
Olimpija Ljubljana	1703	80	+7	9	9.5	-0.5
Domzale	1675	73	+18	11	9.5	+1.5
Rudar Velenje	1487	50	+8	7	7.1	-0.1
Celje	1501	50	-32	6	8.2	-2.2
Gorica	1484	47	-22	6	7.6	-1.6
Krsko	1370	34	-18	1	3.9	-2.9
Aluminij	1390	33	+1	6	5.9	+0.1
Triglav	1340	28	+27	9	3.9	+5.1
Ankaran	1327	26	-7	5	4.4	+0.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ALU	ANK	CEL	DOM	GOR	KRS	MAR	OL	RV	TRI
Aluminij	—	0-3-1 6.46	1-2-1 4.18	0-1-3 2.88	1-0-3 4.45	2-1-1 5.15	0-1-3 2.63	0-0-4 2.73	0-1-3 4.35	4-0-0 6.10
Ankaran	1-3-0 4.63	—	0-0-4 3.74	0-0-4 3.17	0-1-3 3.83	0-4-0 4.82	0-0-4 2.36	0-1-3 2.25	2-0-2 4.10	2-2-0 6.25
Celje	1-2-1 6.93	4-0-0 7.38	—	1-1-2 4.34	2-0-2 6.03	2-1-1 6.93	1-1-2 3.31	0-2-2 3.85	1-0-3 5.67	2-1-1 7.66
Domzale	3-1-0 8.29	4-0-0 8.02	2-1-1 6.76	—	2-1-1 7.40	3-0-1 8.12	1-2-1 4.57	1-2-1 4.83	2-0-2 7.14	4-0-0 8.91
Gorica	3-0-1 6.64	3-1-0 7.29	2-0-2 5.06	1-1-2 3.73	—	2-0-2 6.04	0-0-4 3.07	0-1-3 3.52	2-1-1 5.11	1-1-2 7.48
Krsko	1-1-2 5.93	0-4-0 6.27	1-1-2 4.18	1-0-3 3.05	2-0-2 5.05	—	1-0-3 2.47	0-0-4 2.58	2-0-2 4.41	1-1-2 7.03
Maribor	3-1-0 8.57	4-0-0 8.89	2-1-1 7.82	1-2-1 6.52	4-0-0 8.10	3-0-1 8.75	—	1-2-1 5.57	3-1-0 7.75	3-1-0 9.21
Olimpija Ljubljana	4-0-0 8.46	3-1-0 9.01	2-2-0 7.27	1-2-1 6.26	3-1-0 7.63	4-0-0 8.63	1-2-1 5.52	—	2-2-0 7.71	3-1-0 9.08
Rudar Velenje	3-1-0 6.75	2-0-2 7.03	3-0-1 5.42	2-0-2 3.97	1-1-2 5.98	2-0-2 6.69	0-1-3 3.39	0-2-2 3.43	—	2-0-2 7.90
Triglav	0-0-4 4.99	0-2-2 4.84	1-1-2 3.48	0-0-4 2.33	2-1-1 3.66	2-1-1 4.08	0-1-3 2.08	0-1-3 2.19	2-0-2 3.25	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.85	+11.0
Allowed	0.93	-9.9
Differential	0.97	+5.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.78%	8.06%	6.39%	3.89%	2.22%	1.39%	29.72%
1	8.06%	10.00%	7.22%	3.89%	1.11%	1.67%	31.94%
2	6.39%	7.22%	3.89%	1.94%	1.11%	0.28%	20.83%
3	3.89%	3.89%	1.94%	—	—	—	9.72%
4	2.22%	1.11%	1.11%	—	—	—	4.44%
5+	1.39%	1.67%	0.28%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	29.72%	31.94%	20.83%	9.72%	4.44%	3.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.39	+0.00
SD	1.36	1.36	2.12
CV	0.98	0.98	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	33.33%
1	2.78%	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	—	5.56%	33.33%
2	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	25.00%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	30.56%	33.33%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.75	-0.64
SD	1.04	1.40	1.79
CV	0.93	0.80	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	38.89%
1	—	13.89%	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	38.89%
2	2.78%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	25.00%	25.00%	16.67%	11.11%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	2.33	-1.42
SD	0.94	1.71	2.05
CV	1.02	0.73	—
Max	3	7	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	8.33%	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	36.11%
2	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	25.00%	33.33%	22.22%	13.89%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.56	1.42	+0.14
SD	1.56	1.18	2.13
CV	1.00	0.83	—
Max	7	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
1	13.89%	13.89%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	36.11%
2	—	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
3	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
5+	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	38.89%	47.22%	8.33%	—	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.19	0.86	+1.33
SD	1.70	0.99	2.14
CV	0.78	1.15	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	13.89%	8.33%	—	2.78%	38.89%
1	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
2	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	33.33%	25.00%	11.11%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.33	-0.22
SD	1.19	1.26	2.07
CV	1.07	0.95	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	5.56%	36.11%
1	8.33%	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	36.11%
2	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	22.22%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	27.78%	25.00%	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.69	-0.69
SD	0.99	1.41	1.79
CV	0.99	0.83	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	2.78%	11.11%	—	—	—	19.44%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
Total	50.00%	25.00%	22.22%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.11	0.78	+1.33
SD	1.65	0.90	1.85
CV	0.78	1.15	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
1	16.67%	13.89%	—	—	—	—	30.56%
2	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
3	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	58.33%	36.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	0.47	+1.22
SD	1.41	0.61	1.40
CV	0.83	1.29	—
Max	5	2	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	16.67%	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	30.56%
1	2.78%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	22.22%
2	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	41.67%	13.89%	11.11%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.36	+0.03
SD	1.18	1.22	1.89
CV	0.85	0.90	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	47.22%
1	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	8.33%	—	2.78%	30.56%
2	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	16.67%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	19.44%	27.78%	19.44%	2.78%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	1.89	-1.08
SD	0.92	1.55	1.92
CV	1.14	0.82	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Maribor	1724	80	70.53	+9.47	89.0%	49	58	66	70	75	84	90
Olimpija Ljubljana	1703	80	70.38	+9.62	92.0%	55	59	66	70	74	82	86
Domzale	1675	73	64.28	+8.72	92.0%	50	52	60	65	68	75	87
Celje	1501	50	52.70	-2.70	36.0%	24	39	47	53	58	64	69
Rudar Velenje	1487	50	51.37	-1.37	44.0%	32	37	47	52	57	63	71
Gorica	1484	47	47.38	-0.38	52.0%	29	35	42	47	53	60	65
Aluminij	1390	33	37.49	-4.49	31.0%	23	25	32	37	42	49	59
Krsko	1370	34	40.49	-6.49	19.0%	25	29	36	40	45	50	57
Triglav	1340	28	30.80	-2.80	36.0%	12	19	26	30	35	42	51
Ankaran	1327	26	35.99	-9.99	11.0%	20	24	29	37	42	47	58

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+7.22%

No Edge

42.78%21.67%35.56%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 25.14 Elo pts.

144 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.18 goals

Neutral

-2+0.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.7

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

41%

Maribor, 2nd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.00/gm

Photo Finish

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.81 * Some Luck: 5.81 to 8.72 * Lucky: 8.72 to 11.62 * Wild Swing: 11.62 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.81 * Close: 0.81 to 1.22 * Off: 1.22 to 1.63 * Way Off: 1.63 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.61 points

Some Luck

07.2618

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.40

Pinpoint

01.022.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

92.00%

Olimpija Ljubljana

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

11.00%

Ankaran

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 151.72

2.60

Wide Separation

11.82.052.75

Interquartile Edge

81%

Wide Edge

50%63.5%72%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

91%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

56%

Few

0%52%100%

Blowouts

Expected

21%

Very Frequent

0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.55

Highly Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.38

Notable Separation

00.310.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.86

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.82

Near-Lock

00.420.630.791

Upset Rate

Expected

18%

Chalky

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

As Expected

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.02

Miscalibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.26

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.090

Well Within Noise

00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Maribor	41.00%	38.00%	14.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Olimpija Ljubljana	43.00%	34.00%	17.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Domzale	13.00%	25.00%	48.00%	8.00%	6.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Rudar Velenje	2.00%	1.00%	7.00%	27.00%	31.00%	16.00%	12.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Celje	1.00%	1.00%	11.00%	38.00%	22.00%	16.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Gorica	—	—	3.00%	14.00%	26.00%	30.00%	14.00%	5.00%	6.00%	2.00%
Krsko	—	—	—	—	10.00%	15.00%	25.00%	29.00%	14.00%	7.00%
Aluminij	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	11.00%	22.00%	28.00%	17.00%	19.00%
Triglav	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	16.00%	32.00%	47.00%
Ankaran	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	9.00%	19.00%	17.00%	29.00%	23.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Domzale	100%	—	—
Maribor	100%	—	—
Olimpija Ljubljana	100%	—	—
Celje	98.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Rudar Velenje	98.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Gorica	92.00%	6.00%	2.00%
Krsko	79.00%	14.00%	7.00%
Aluminij	64.00%	17.00%	19.00%
Ankaran	48.00%	29.00%	23.00%
Triglav	21.00%	32.00%	47.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2017-07-15	Aluminij	W 1-0	47.0	1590	1450	59.36%	21.32%	19.32%	+1.14	+5.0	3
2017-07-15	@ Maribor	L 0-1	47.0	1450	1590	19.32%	21.32%	59.36%	-1.14	-5.0	0
2017-07-15	Triglav	D 0-0	56.3	1502	1412	53.77%	22.15%	24.08%	+0.80	-1.6	1
2017-07-15	@ Ankaran	D 0-0	56.3	1412	1502	24.08%	22.15%	53.77%	-0.80	+1.7	1
2017-07-16	Celje	W 3-1	54.9	1546	1518	45.93%	22.80%	31.27%	+0.37	+12.4	3
2017-07-16	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	54.9	1518	1546	31.27%	22.80%	45.93%	-0.37	-12.4	0
2017-07-16	Domzale	W 2-1	58.6	1473	1528	34.42%	22.93%	42.66%	-0.20	+9.2	3
2017-07-16	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	58.6	1528	1473	42.66%	22.93%	34.42%	+0.20	-9.2	0
2017-07-16	Gorica	W 2-1	58.0	1461	1520	33.70%	22.90%	43.39%	-0.24	+9.3	3
2017-07-16	@ Krsko	L 1-2	58.0	1520	1461	43.39%	22.90%	33.70%	+0.24	-9.3	0
2017-07-21	Krsko	W 4-2	55.6	1445	1470	38.51%	22.98%	38.51%	+0.00	+13.1	3
2017-07-21	@ Aluminij	L 2-4	55.6	1470	1445	38.51%	22.98%	38.51%	+0.00	-13.1	3
2017-07-22	Ankaran	W 3-1	53.8	1482	1500	39.60%	22.98%	37.43%	+0.05	+14.3	6
2017-07-22	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-3	53.8	1500	1482	37.43%	22.98%	39.60%	-0.05	-14.3	1
2017-07-22	Maribor	L 2-3	56.7	1413	1595	20.09%	21.48%	58.43%	-1.08	-4.6	1
2017-07-22	@ Triglav	W 3-2	56.7	1595	1413	58.43%	21.48%	20.09%	+1.08	+4.6	6
2017-07-23	Celje	W 4-0	45.7	1518	1506	43.83%	22.89%	33.28%	+0.26	+28.6	3
2017-07-23	@ Domzale	L 0-4	45.7	1506	1518	33.28%	22.89%	43.83%	-0.26	-28.6	0
2017-07-23	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	50.6	1511	1559	35.35%	22.95%	41.70%	-0.16	-15.8	0
2017-07-23	@ Gorica	W 2-0	50.6	1559	1511	41.70%	22.95%	35.35%	+0.16	+15.8	6
2017-07-28	Triglav	D 1-1	59.1	1457	1409	48.60%	22.64%	28.76%	+0.51	-1.0	4
2017-07-28	@ Krsko	D 1-1	59.1	1409	1457	28.76%	22.64%	48.60%	-0.51	+1.0	2
2017-07-29	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	50.2	1599	1497	55.26%	21.96%	22.78%	+0.89	+5.8	9
2017-07-29	@ Maribor	L 0-1	50.2	1497	1599	22.78%	21.96%	55.26%	-0.89	-5.8	6
2017-07-30	Aluminij	W 4-0	42.1	1575	1458	56.84%	21.74%	21.42%	+0.98	+19.7	9
2017-07-30	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-4	42.1	1458	1575	21.42%	21.74%	56.84%	-0.98	-19.7	3
2017-07-30	Domzale	L 1-3	54.4	1486	1547	33.46%	22.90%	43.64%	-0.25	-13.1	1
2017-07-30	@ Ankaran	W 3-1	54.4	1547	1486	43.64%	22.90%	33.46%	+0.25	+13.1	6
2017-07-30	Gorica	W 1-0	50.5	1477	1495	39.52%	22.98%	37.51%	+0.05	+8.8	3
2017-07-30	@ Celje	L 0-1	50.5	1495	1477	37.51%	22.98%	39.52%	-0.05	-8.8	0
2017-08-04	Celje	D 2-2	66.6	1438	1486	35.33%	22.95%	41.72%	-0.16	+0.2	4
2017-08-04	@ Aluminij	D 2-2	66.6	1486	1438	41.72%	22.95%	35.33%	+0.16	-0.2	4
2017-08-05	Krsko	L 0-1	52.3	1491	1456	46.85%	22.75%	30.40%	+0.42	-10.5	6
2017-08-05	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	52.3	1456	1491	30.40%	22.75%	46.85%	-0.42	+10.5	7
2017-08-05	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	59.8	1410	1594	19.80%	21.42%	58.78%	-1.11	+2.2	3
2017-08-05	@ Triglav	D 0-0	59.8	1594	1410	58.78%	21.42%	19.80%	+1.11	-2.2	10
2017-08-06	Maribor	L 1-5	48.9	1472	1605	24.87%	22.25%	52.87%	-0.75	-18.7	1
2017-08-06	@ Ankaran	W 5-1	48.9	1605	1472	52.87%	22.25%	24.87%	+0.75	+18.7	12
2017-08-06	Gorica	D 1-1	65.6	1560	1487	51.81%	22.36%	25.83%	+0.69	-1.3	7
2017-08-06	@ Domzale	D 1-1	65.6	1487	1560	25.83%	22.36%	51.81%	-0.69	+1.3	1
2017-08-11	Domzale	D 0-0	65.3	1624	1559	50.73%	22.47%	26.81%	+0.63	-1.3	13
2017-08-11	@ Maribor	D 0-0	65.3	1559	1624	26.81%	22.47%	50.73%	-0.63	+1.3	8
2017-08-11	Triglav	D 1-1	60.2	1486	1412	51.84%	22.36%	25.80%	+0.69	-1.3	5
2017-08-11	@ Celje	D 1-1	60.2	1412	1486	25.80%	22.36%	51.84%	-0.69	+1.3	4
2017-08-12	Aluminij	W 1-0	46.1	1488	1439	48.73%	22.63%	28.64%	+0.52	+7.1	4
2017-08-12	@ Gorica	L 0-1	46.1	1439	1488	28.64%	22.63%	48.73%	-0.52	-7.1	4
2017-08-12	Rudar Velenje	W 4-0	43.7	1592	1480	56.29%	21.82%	21.89%	+0.95	+20.1	13
2017-08-12	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-4	43.7	1480	1592	21.89%	21.82%	56.29%	-0.95	-20.1	6
2017-08-13	Ankaran	D 2-2	66.5	1466	1454	43.85%	22.89%	33.26%	+0.26	-0.4	8
2017-08-13	@ Krsko	D 2-2	66.5	1454	1466	33.26%	22.89%	43.85%	-0.26	+0.4	2
2017-08-19	Krsko	W 3-2	58.9	1623	1466	61.08%	20.99%	17.93%	+1.26	+4.2	16
2017-08-19	@ Maribor	L 2-3	58.9	1466	1623	17.93%	20.99%	61.08%	-1.26	-4.2	8
2017-08-19	Gorica	L 1-3	49.1	1413	1495	30.83%	22.78%	46.39%	-0.39	-12.3	4
2017-08-19	@ Triglav	W 3-1	49.1	1495	1413	46.39%	22.78%	30.83%	+0.39	+12.3	7
2017-08-20	Aluminij	D 2-2	69.5	1560	1431	58.18%	21.52%	20.29%	+1.07	-1.4	9
2017-08-20	@ Domzale	D 2-2	69.5	1431	1560	20.29%	21.52%	58.18%	-1.07	+1.4	5
2017-08-20	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	52.0	1454	1612	22.27%	21.88%	55.84%	-0.92	-9.3	2
2017-08-20	@ Ankaran	W 3-1	52.0	1612	1454	55.84%	21.88%	22.27%	+0.92	+9.3	16
2017-08-21	Celje	W 2-1	55.2	1460	1484	38.65%	22.98%	38.37%	+0.01	+8.4	9
2017-08-21	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	55.2	1484	1460	38.37%	22.98%	38.65%	-0.01	-8.4	5
2017-08-26	Ankaran	W 4-1	47.0	1476	1445	46.36%	22.78%	30.86%	+0.39	+17.4	8
2017-08-26	@ Celje	L 1-4	47.0	1445	1476	30.86%	22.78%	46.36%	-0.39	-17.4	2
2017-08-26	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	48.3	1507	1469	47.32%	22.72%	29.96%	+0.44	+7.3	10
2017-08-26	@ Gorica	L 0-1	48.3	1469	1507	29.96%	22.72%	47.32%	-0.44	-7.4	9
2017-08-27	Domzale	W 4-2	62.3	1462	1559	28.97%	22.65%	48.38%	-0.50	+15.8	11
2017-08-27	@ Krsko	L 2-4	62.3	1559	1462	48.38%	22.65%	28.97%	+0.50	-15.8	9
2017-08-27	Maribor	D 0-0	66.5	1621	1627	41.34%	22.96%	35.71%	+0.14	-0.3	17
2017-08-27	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	66.5	1627	1621	35.71%	22.96%	41.34%	-0.14	+0.3	17
2017-08-27	Triglav	W 2-0	41.1	1433	1401	46.46%	22.77%	30.76%	+0.40	+14.2	8
2017-08-27	@ Aluminij	L 0-2	41.1	1401	1433	30.76%	22.77%	46.46%	-0.40	-14.2	4
2017-09-08	Aluminij	D 0-0	55.9	1461	1447	44.07%	22.88%	33.05%	+0.27	-0.6	10
2017-09-08	@ Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	55.9	1447	1461	33.05%	22.88%	44.07%	-0.27	+0.6	9
2017-09-08	Celje	D 0-0	63.9	1627	1493	58.70%	21.44%	19.86%	+1.10	-2.2	18
2017-09-08	@ Maribor	D 0-0	63.9	1493	1627	19.86%	21.44%	58.70%	-1.10	+2.2	9
2017-09-09	Gorica	L 0-2	44.3	1427	1515	30.16%	22.74%	47.11%	-0.43	-13.9	2
2017-09-09	@ Ankaran	W 2-0	44.3	1515	1427	47.11%	22.74%	30.16%	+0.43	+13.9	13
2017-09-09	Triglav	W 6-1	40.0	1543	1387	61.07%	20.99%	17.94%	+1.26	+17.1	12
2017-09-09	@ Domzale	L 1-6	40.0	1387	1543	17.94%	20.99%	61.07%	-1.26	-17.1	4
2017-09-10	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-4	57.6	1478	1621	23.74%	22.11%	54.15%	-0.82	-8.8	11
2017-09-10	@ Krsko	W 4-2	57.6	1621	1478	54.15%	22.11%	23.74%	+0.82	+8.8	20
2017-09-15	Krsko	D 0-0	57.9	1496	1469	45.76%	22.81%	31.43%	+0.36	-0.8	10
2017-09-15	@ Celje	D 0-0	57.9	1469	1496	31.43%	22.81%	45.76%	-0.36	+0.8	12
2017-09-16	Ankaran	D 1-1	58.9	1448	1413	46.75%	22.76%	30.49%	+0.41	-0.8	10
2017-09-16	@ Aluminij	D 1-1	58.9	1413	1448	30.49%	22.76%	46.75%	-0.41	+0.8	3
2017-09-16	Domzale	W 1-0	54.1	1630	1560	51.34%	22.41%	26.25%	+0.66	+6.6	23
2017-09-16	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	54.1	1560	1630	26.25%	22.41%	51.34%	-0.66	-6.6	12
2017-09-16	Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	48.9	1370	1461	29.66%	22.70%	47.64%	-0.46	-6.9	4
2017-09-16	@ Triglav	W 2-1	48.9	1461	1370	47.64%	22.70%	29.66%	+0.46	+6.9	13
2017-09-17	Maribor	L 0-3	49.4	1528	1625	29.03%	22.66%	48.31%	-0.49	-19.6	13
2017-09-17	@ Gorica	W 3-0	49.4	1625	1528	48.31%	22.66%	29.03%	+0.49	+19.6	21
2017-09-22	Maribor	L 2-3	59.2	1447	1644	18.68%	21.17%	60.14%	-1.20	-4.3	10
2017-09-22	@ Aluminij	W 3-2	59.2	1644	1447	60.14%	21.17%	18.68%	+1.20	+4.3	24
2017-09-23	Ankaran	L 1-3	46.8	1363	1414	34.81%	22.94%	42.25%	-0.18	-13.5	4
2017-09-23	@ Triglav	W 3-1	46.8	1414	1363	42.25%	22.94%	34.81%	+0.18	+13.6	6
2017-09-23	Krsko	W 2-1	53.8	1509	1470	47.41%	22.72%	29.87%	+0.45	+6.9	16
2017-09-23	@ Gorica	L 1-2	53.8	1470	1509	29.87%	22.72%	47.41%	-0.45	-6.9	12
2017-09-23	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	64.0	1495	1637	23.93%	22.13%	53.94%	-0.81	+1.7	11
2017-09-23	@ Celje	D 0-0	64.0	1637	1495	53.94%	22.13%	23.93%	+0.81	-1.7	24
2017-09-24	Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	56.8	1553	1468	53.28%	22.21%	24.51%	+0.77	-11.8	12
2017-09-24	@ Domzale	W 1-0	56.8	1468	1553	24.51%	22.21%	53.28%	-0.77	+11.8	16
2017-09-29	Domzale	D 1-1	65.1	1497	1542	35.68%	22.95%	41.37%	-0.14	+0.3	12
2017-09-29	@ Celje	D 1-1	65.1	1542	1497	41.37%	22.95%	35.68%	+0.14	-0.3	13
2017-09-30	Aluminij	W 2-0	43.7	1463	1442	44.88%	22.85%	32.27%	+0.31	+14.7	15
2017-09-30	@ Krsko	L 0-2	43.7	1442	1463	32.27%	22.85%	44.88%	-0.31	-14.7	10
2017-09-30	Rudar Velenje	L 0-3	42.6	1428	1479	34.79%	22.94%	42.27%	-0.18	-22.7	6
2017-09-30	@ Ankaran	W 3-0	42.6	1479	1428	42.27%	22.94%	34.79%	+0.18	+22.7	19
2017-09-30	Triglav	D 0-0	60.8	1649	1349	73.31%	17.35%	9.35%	+2.25	-3.8	25
2017-09-30	@ Maribor	D 0-0	60.8	1349	1649	9.35%	17.35%	73.31%	-2.25	+3.8	5
2017-10-01	Gorica	W 2-1	56.8	1635	1516	57.12%	21.69%	21.19%	+1.00	+5.1	27
2017-10-01	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	56.8	1516	1635	21.19%	21.69%	57.12%	-1.00	-5.1	16
2017-10-13	Maribor	L 1-2	57.6	1502	1645	23.80%	22.11%	54.09%	-0.82	-5.7	19
2017-10-13	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	57.6	1645	1502	54.09%	22.11%	23.80%	+0.82	+5.7	28
2017-10-14	Ankaran	W 6-0	38.9	1541	1405	59.00%	21.38%	19.62%	+1.12	+26.6	16
2017-10-14	@ Domzale	L 0-6	38.9	1405	1541	19.62%	21.38%	59.00%	-1.12	-26.6	6
2017-10-14	Celje	W 2-1	55.9	1511	1497	44.00%	22.88%	33.12%	+0.27	+7.5	19
2017-10-14	@ Gorica	L 1-2	55.9	1497	1511	33.12%	22.88%	44.00%	-0.27	-7.5	12
2017-10-14	Krsko	W 3-1	53.0	1353	1477	25.77%	22.36%	51.87%	-0.69	+18.7	8
2017-10-14	@ Triglav	L 1-3	53.0	1477	1353	51.87%	22.36%	25.77%	+0.69	-18.7	15
2017-10-14	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	52.9	1428	1640	17.50%	20.87%	61.63%	-1.30	-4.3	10
2017-10-14	@ Aluminij	W 2-1	52.9	1640	1428	61.63%	20.87%	17.50%	+1.30	+4.3	30
2017-10-20	Triglav	W 3-0	37.9	1644	1372	71.31%	18.11%	10.58%	+2.07	+7.5	33
2017-10-20	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-3	37.9	1372	1644	10.58%	18.11%	71.31%	-2.07	-7.5	8
2017-10-21	Aluminij	L 1-2	57.7	1489	1423	50.84%	22.46%	26.71%	+0.63	-10.6	12
2017-10-21	@ Celje	W 2-1	57.7	1423	1489	26.71%	22.46%	50.84%	-0.63	+10.6	13
2017-10-21	Ankaran	W 1-0	43.1	1651	1378	71.28%	18.12%	10.60%	+2.06	+2.7	31
2017-10-21	@ Maribor	L 0-1	43.1	1378	1651	10.60%	18.12%	71.28%	-2.06	-2.8	6
2017-10-21	Domzale	L 1-3	56.8	1518	1568	35.03%	22.94%	42.03%	-0.17	-13.6	19
2017-10-21	@ Gorica	W 3-1	56.8	1568	1518	42.03%	22.94%	35.03%	+0.17	+13.6	19
2017-10-24	Rudar Velenje	L 0-3	44.9	1459	1496	36.73%	22.97%	40.30%	-0.09	-23.7	15
2017-10-24	@ Krsko	W 3-0	44.9	1496	1459	40.30%	22.97%	36.73%	+0.09	+23.7	22
2017-10-28	Celje	L 0-2	40.1	1364	1479	26.90%	22.48%	50.63%	-0.62	-12.7	8
2017-10-28	@ Triglav	W 2-0	40.1	1479	1364	50.63%	22.48%	26.90%	+0.62	+12.7	15
2017-10-28	Krsko	D 1-1	57.6	1376	1435	33.75%	22.91%	43.34%	-0.24	+0.5	7
2017-10-28	@ Ankaran	D 1-1	57.6	1435	1376	43.34%	22.91%	33.75%	+0.24	-0.5	16
2017-10-28	Maribor	L 0-1	56.9	1582	1653	32.12%	22.84%	45.04%	-0.32	-7.8	19
2017-10-28	@ Domzale	W 1-0	56.9	1653	1582	45.04%	22.84%	32.12%	+0.32	+7.8	34
2017-10-29	Gorica	L 0-3	42.9	1434	1505	32.29%	22.85%	44.86%	-0.31	-21.4	13
2017-10-29	@ Aluminij	W 3-0	42.9	1505	1434	44.86%	22.85%	32.29%	+0.31	+21.4	22
2017-10-29	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	65.0	1520	1652	24.98%	22.27%	52.75%	-0.74	+1.5	23
2017-10-29	@ Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	65.0	1652	1520	52.75%	22.27%	24.98%	+0.74	-1.5	34
2017-11-03	Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	58.0	1491	1522	37.77%	22.98%	39.25%	-0.04	+8.6	18
2017-11-03	@ Celje	L 1-2	58.0	1522	1491	39.25%	22.98%	37.77%	+0.04	-8.6	23
2017-11-04	Domzale	L 0-1	46.0	1413	1574	21.96%	21.83%	56.21%	-0.94	-5.6	13
2017-11-04	@ Aluminij	W 1-0	46.0	1574	1413	56.21%	21.83%	21.96%	+0.94	+5.6	22
2017-11-04	Maribor	L 0-5	42.7	1435	1661	16.40%	20.56%	63.04%	-1.40	-18.9	16
2017-11-04	@ Krsko	W 5-0	42.7	1661	1435	63.04%	20.56%	16.40%	+1.40	+18.9	37
2017-11-04	Triglav	L 0-3	49.4	1526	1352	62.85%	20.60%	16.54%	+1.38	-37.3	22
2017-11-04	@ Gorica	W 3-0	49.4	1352	1526	16.54%	20.60%	62.85%	-1.38	+37.3	11
2017-11-05	Ankaran	W 1-0	42.9	1650	1376	71.42%	18.07%	10.51%	+2.08	+2.7	37
2017-11-05	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	42.9	1376	1650	10.51%	18.07%	71.42%	-2.08	-2.7	7
2017-11-17	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	58.1	1680	1653	45.81%	22.81%	31.39%	+0.36	+7.6	40
2017-11-17	@ Maribor	L 0-1	58.1	1653	1680	31.39%	22.81%	45.81%	-0.36	-7.6	37
2017-11-18	Aluminij	L 0-3	41.0	1389	1407	39.51%	22.98%	37.52%	+0.05	-25.1	11
2017-11-18	@ Triglav	W 3-0	41.0	1407	1389	37.52%	22.98%	39.51%	-0.05	+25.1	16
2017-11-18	Celje	L 1-2	48.8	1373	1500	25.55%	22.33%	52.12%	-0.70	-6.1	7
2017-11-18	@ Ankaran	W 2-1	48.8	1500	1373	52.12%	22.33%	25.55%	+0.70	+6.1	21
2017-11-19	Krsko	W 1-0	44.6	1580	1416	61.82%	20.83%	17.35%	+1.31	+4.5	25
2017-11-19	@ Domzale	L 0-1	44.6	1416	1580	17.35%	20.83%	61.82%	-1.31	-4.5	16
2017-11-20	Gorica	W 2-0	47.0	1513	1489	45.45%	22.82%	31.73%	+0.34	+14.5	26
2017-11-20	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-2	47.0	1489	1513	31.73%	22.82%	45.45%	-0.34	-14.5	22
2017-11-25	Ankaran	D 2-2	64.4	1474	1367	55.72%	21.90%	22.38%	+0.91	-1.2	23
2017-11-25	@ Gorica	D 2-2	64.4	1367	1474	22.38%	21.90%	55.72%	-0.91	+1.2	8
2017-11-25	Domzale	L 0-1	42.7	1364	1584	16.88%	20.70%	62.43%	-1.35	-4.4	11
2017-11-25	@ Triglav	W 1-0	42.7	1584	1364	62.43%	20.70%	16.88%	+1.35	+4.4	28
2017-11-25	Maribor	W 2-1	69.1	1506	1688	20.05%	21.47%	58.47%	-1.09	+12.0	24
2017-11-25	@ Celje	L 1-2	69.1	1688	1506	58.47%	21.47%	20.05%	+1.09	-12.0	40
2017-11-26	Krsko	W 1-0	45.0	1645	1411	68.24%	19.15%	12.61%	+1.80	+3.3	40
2017-11-26	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	45.0	1411	1645	12.61%	19.15%	68.24%	-1.80	-3.3	16
2017-11-26	Rudar Velenje	L 0-2	44.6	1432	1528	29.14%	22.67%	48.20%	-0.49	-13.6	16
2017-11-26	@ Aluminij	W 2-0	44.6	1528	1432	48.20%	22.67%	29.14%	+0.49	+13.6	29
2017-12-02	Gorica	W 2-1	54.3	1676	1473	65.52%	19.94%	14.54%	+1.58	+3.6	43
2017-12-02	@ Maribor	L 1-2	54.3	1473	1676	14.54%	19.94%	65.52%	-1.58	-3.6	23
2017-12-02	Triglav	L 1-2	60.5	1541	1359	63.56%	20.44%	16.00%	+1.44	-13.0	29
2017-12-02	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	60.5	1359	1541	16.00%	20.44%	63.56%	-1.44	+13.0	14
2017-12-03	Celje	W 3-1	55.4	1408	1518	27.39%	22.52%	50.09%	-0.59	+18.2	19
2017-12-03	@ Krsko	L 1-3	55.4	1518	1408	50.09%	22.52%	27.39%	+0.59	-18.2	24
2017-12-03	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	60.4	1588	1649	33.64%	22.90%	43.46%	-0.24	+9.9	31
2017-12-03	@ Domzale	L 0-1	60.4	1649	1588	43.46%	22.90%	33.64%	+0.24	-9.9	40
2018-02-20	Aluminij	D 1-1	57.0	1369	1419	35.02%	22.94%	42.04%	-0.17	+0.3	9
2018-02-20	@ Ankaran	D 1-1	57.0	1419	1369	42.04%	22.94%	35.02%	+0.17	-0.3	17
2018-02-24	Triglav	W 2-0	40.6	1369	1372	41.60%	22.95%	35.45%	+0.15	+15.9	12
2018-02-24	@ Ankaran	L 0-2	40.6	1372	1369	35.45%	22.95%	41.60%	-0.15	-15.9	14
2018-02-25	Aluminij	D 0-0	64.0	1679	1418	70.41%	18.43%	11.16%	+1.99	-3.5	44
2018-02-25	@ Maribor	D 0-0	64.0	1418	1679	11.16%	18.43%	70.41%	-1.99	+3.5	18
2018-02-25	Celje	W 2-1	55.9	1639	1500	59.26%	21.34%	19.40%	+1.14	+4.7	43
2018-02-25	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	55.9	1500	1639	19.40%	21.34%	59.26%	-1.14	-4.7	24
2018-03-04	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	50.1	1469	1643	20.73%	21.61%	57.66%	-1.03	-5.4	23
2018-03-04	@ Gorica	W 1-0	50.1	1643	1469	57.66%	21.61%	20.73%	+1.03	+5.3	46
2018-03-06	Domzale	L 0-4	38.8	1385	1598	17.40%	20.84%	61.76%	-1.31	-16.2	12
2018-03-06	@ Ankaran	W 4-0	38.8	1598	1385	61.76%	20.84%	17.40%	+1.31	+16.2	34
2018-03-06	Rudar Velenje	D 2-2	76.4	1676	1528	60.18%	21.17%	18.66%	+1.20	-1.6	45
2018-03-06	@ Maribor	D 2-2	76.4	1528	1676	18.66%	21.17%	60.18%	-1.20	+1.6	30
2018-03-07	Aluminij	W 5-1	44.2	1649	1422	67.64%	19.34%	13.03%	+1.75	+10.2	49
2018-03-07	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-5	44.2	1422	1649	13.03%	19.34%	67.64%	-1.75	-10.2	18
2018-03-07	Gorica	W 2-0	45.2	1495	1464	46.36%	22.78%	30.86%	+0.39	+14.2	27
2018-03-07	@ Celje	L 0-2	45.2	1464	1495	30.86%	22.78%	46.36%	-0.39	-14.2	23
2018-03-10	Krsko	W 3-0	40.4	1530	1426	55.38%	21.95%	22.67%	+0.89	+15.9	33
2018-03-10	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-3	40.4	1426	1530	22.67%	21.95%	55.38%	-0.89	-15.9	19
2018-03-10	Maribor	L 0-3	39.3	1369	1674	11.45%	18.59%	69.96%	-1.95	-8.2	12
2018-03-10	@ Ankaran	W 3-0	39.3	1674	1369	69.96%	18.59%	11.45%	+1.95	+8.2	48
2018-03-10	Gorica	W 3-0	42.4	1615	1450	61.93%	20.81%	17.27%	+1.32	+12.3	37
2018-03-10	@ Domzale	L 0-3	42.4	1450	1615	17.27%	20.81%	61.93%	-1.32	-12.3	23
2018-03-11	Celje	L 1-2	51.4	1412	1509	28.86%	22.65%	48.49%	-0.50	-6.7	18
2018-03-11	@ Aluminij	W 2-1	51.4	1509	1412	48.49%	22.65%	28.86%	+0.50	+6.7	30
2018-03-11	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	43.0	1356	1659	11.62%	18.67%	69.71%	-1.92	-3.0	14
2018-03-11	@ Triglav	W 1-0	43.0	1659	1356	69.71%	18.67%	11.62%	+1.92	+3.0	52
2018-03-13	Ankaran	D 1-1	56.8	1410	1360	48.79%	22.62%	28.59%	+0.52	-1.0	20
2018-03-13	@ Krsko	D 1-1	56.8	1360	1410	28.59%	22.62%	48.79%	-0.52	+1.0	13
2018-03-13	Domzale	L 1-2	68.7	1682	1627	49.52%	22.57%	27.91%	+0.56	-10.4	48
2018-03-13	@ Maribor	W 2-1	68.7	1627	1682	27.91%	22.57%	49.52%	-0.56	+10.4	40
2018-03-14	Rudar Velenje	W 4-0	47.4	1662	1546	56.82%	21.74%	21.44%	+0.98	+19.7	55
2018-03-14	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-4	47.4	1546	1662	21.44%	21.74%	56.82%	-0.98	-19.7	33
2018-03-14	Triglav	W 5-2	43.4	1516	1353	61.69%	20.86%	17.45%	+1.30	+9.1	33
2018-03-14	@ Celje	L 2-5	43.4	1353	1516	17.45%	20.86%	61.69%	-1.30	-9.1	14
2018-03-15	Aluminij	W 1-0	44.1	1437	1405	46.52%	22.77%	30.71%	+0.40	+7.5	26
2018-03-15	@ Gorica	L 0-1	44.1	1405	1437	30.71%	22.77%	46.52%	-0.40	-7.5	18
2018-03-17	Celje	W 2-1	58.1	1526	1525	42.19%	22.94%	34.87%	+0.18	+7.8	36
2018-03-17	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	58.1	1525	1526	34.87%	22.94%	42.19%	-0.18	-7.8	33
2018-03-17	Krsko	L 0-2	60.2	1672	1409	70.55%	18.38%	11.07%	+2.00	-28.4	48
2018-03-17	@ Maribor	W 2-0	60.2	1409	1672	11.07%	18.38%	70.55%	-2.00	+28.4	23
2018-03-18	Aluminij	W 6-1	41.5	1637	1397	68.71%	19.00%	12.29%	+1.84	+11.7	43
2018-03-18	@ Domzale	L 1-6	41.5	1397	1637	12.29%	19.00%	68.71%	-1.84	-11.7	18
2018-03-18	Gorica	D 1-1	57.2	1344	1445	28.53%	22.62%	48.85%	-0.52	+1.0	15
2018-03-18	@ Triglav	D 1-1	57.2	1445	1344	48.85%	22.62%	28.53%	+0.52	-1.0	27
2018-03-18	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-3	38.9	1361	1682	10.71%	18.18%	71.11%	-2.05	-7.6	13
2018-03-18	@ Ankaran	W 3-0	38.9	1682	1361	71.11%	18.18%	10.71%	+2.05	+7.6	58
2018-03-30	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	62.9	1444	1534	29.82%	22.71%	47.47%	-0.45	+0.9	28
2018-03-30	@ Gorica	D 1-1	62.9	1534	1444	47.47%	22.71%	29.82%	+0.45	-0.8	37
2018-03-30	Triglav	W 3-1	44.4	1386	1345	47.56%	22.71%	29.73%	+0.45	+11.9	21
2018-03-30	@ Aluminij	L 1-3	44.4	1345	1386	29.73%	22.71%	47.56%	-0.45	-11.9	15
2018-03-31	Ankaran	W 7-1	37.3	1517	1354	61.78%	20.84%	17.38%	+1.31	+19.6	36
2018-03-31	@ Celje	L 1-7	37.3	1354	1517	17.38%	20.84%	61.78%	-1.31	-19.6	13
2018-03-31	Domzale	L 1-2	53.5	1438	1649	17.56%	20.89%	61.55%	-1.29	-4.3	23
2018-03-31	@ Krsko	W 2-1	53.5	1649	1438	61.55%	20.89%	17.56%	+1.29	+4.3	46
2018-03-31	Maribor	D 1-1	72.2	1689	1644	48.28%	22.66%	29.06%	+0.49	-0.9	59
2018-03-31	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	72.2	1644	1689	29.06%	22.66%	48.28%	-0.49	+0.9	49
2018-04-03	Triglav	W 2-0	37.1	1433	1333	54.94%	22.01%	23.06%	+0.87	+11.1	26
2018-04-03	@ Krsko	L 0-2	37.1	1333	1433	23.06%	22.01%	54.94%	-0.87	-11.1	15
2018-04-04	Domzale	L 1-4	54.4	1533	1653	26.22%	22.41%	51.38%	-0.66	-15.2	37
2018-04-04	@ Rudar Velenje	W 4-1	54.4	1653	1533	51.38%	22.41%	26.22%	+0.66	+15.2	49
2018-04-07	Aluminij	W 4-2	50.0	1518	1398	57.23%	21.68%	21.09%	+1.01	+7.9	40
2018-04-07	@ Rudar Velenje	L 2-4	50.0	1398	1518	21.09%	21.68%	57.23%	-1.01	-7.9	21
2018-04-07	Celje	W 3-2	63.1	1644	1537	55.83%	21.89%	22.29%	+0.92	+5.1	52
2018-04-07	@ Maribor	L 2-3	63.1	1537	1644	22.29%	21.89%	55.83%	-0.92	-5.1	36
2018-04-07	Gorica	L 0-2	38.7	1334	1445	27.35%	22.52%	50.13%	-0.59	-12.8	13
2018-04-07	@ Ankaran	W 2-0	38.7	1445	1334	50.13%	22.52%	27.35%	+0.59	+12.8	31
2018-04-08	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	48.6	1444	1688	15.16%	20.16%	64.68%	-1.52	-4.0	26
2018-04-08	@ Krsko	W 1-0	48.6	1688	1444	64.68%	20.16%	15.16%	+1.52	+4.0	62
2018-04-08	Triglav	W 3-0	35.4	1669	1322	76.48%	15.99%	7.53%	+2.58	+5.2	52
2018-04-08	@ Domzale	L 0-3	35.4	1322	1669	7.53%	15.99%	76.48%	-2.58	-5.2	15
2018-04-11	Maribor	L 0-5	35.3	1317	1650	10.13%	17.84%	72.03%	-2.13	-11.5	15
2018-04-11	@ Triglav	W 5-0	35.3	1650	1317	72.03%	17.84%	10.13%	+2.13	+11.5	55
2018-04-12	Ankaran	L 2-3	64.5	1526	1321	65.64%	19.91%	14.45%	+1.59	-12.7	40
2018-04-12	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-2	64.5	1321	1526	14.45%	19.91%	65.64%	-1.59	+12.7	16
2018-04-14	Domzale	D 1-1	72.5	1692	1674	44.66%	22.86%	32.48%	+0.30	-0.6	63
2018-04-14	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	72.5	1674	1692	32.48%	22.86%	44.66%	-0.30	+0.6	53
2018-04-14	Krsko	W 5-0	40.9	1532	1440	53.94%	22.13%	23.93%	+0.81	+26.8	39
2018-04-14	@ Celje	L 0-5	40.9	1440	1532	23.93%	22.13%	53.94%	-0.81	-26.8	26
2018-04-15	Ankaran	D 1-1	56.0	1390	1334	49.55%	22.57%	27.89%	+0.56	-1.1	22
2018-04-15	@ Aluminij	D 1-1	56.0	1334	1390	27.89%	22.57%	49.55%	-0.56	+1.1	17
2018-04-15	Maribor	L 0-6	44.6	1458	1661	18.19%	21.05%	60.75%	-1.24	-24.8	31
2018-04-15	@ Gorica	W 6-0	44.6	1661	1458	60.75%	21.05%	18.19%	+1.24	+24.8	58
2018-04-15	Rudar Velenje	L 0-2	36.3	1306	1513	17.89%	20.97%	61.14%	-1.26	-8.8	15
2018-04-15	@ Triglav	W 2-0	36.3	1513	1306	61.14%	20.97%	17.89%	+1.26	+8.8	43
2018-04-18	Celje	W 1-0	53.4	1674	1559	56.74%	21.75%	21.50%	+0.98	+5.5	56
2018-04-18	@ Domzale	L 0-1	53.4	1559	1674	21.50%	21.75%	56.74%	-0.98	-5.5	39
2018-04-18	Gorica	W 1-0	46.4	1414	1433	39.37%	22.98%	37.65%	+0.04	+8.8	29
2018-04-18	@ Krsko	L 0-1	46.4	1433	1414	37.65%	22.98%	39.37%	-0.04	-8.8	31
2018-04-21	Krsko	W 2-0	42.7	1424	1422	42.29%	22.94%	34.78%	+0.18	+15.6	34
2018-04-21	@ Gorica	L 0-2	42.7	1422	1424	34.78%	22.94%	42.29%	-0.18	-15.6	29
2018-04-21	Maribor	L 0-2	42.5	1389	1686	11.90%	18.81%	69.29%	-1.89	-5.8	22
2018-04-21	@ Aluminij	W 2-0	42.5	1686	1389	69.29%	18.81%	11.90%	+1.89	+5.8	61
2018-04-22	Ankaran	D 2-2	60.6	1297	1335	36.64%	22.97%	40.39%	-0.09	+0.1	16
2018-04-22	@ Triglav	D 2-2	60.6	1335	1297	40.39%	22.97%	36.64%	+0.09	-0.1	18
2018-04-22	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	71.2	1553	1692	24.23%	22.17%	53.60%	-0.79	+1.5	40
2018-04-22	@ Celje	D 1-1	71.2	1692	1553	53.60%	22.17%	24.23%	+0.79	-1.5	64
2018-04-22	Rudar Velenje	W 3-0	46.7	1680	1522	61.24%	20.95%	17.80%	+1.27	+12.7	59
2018-04-22	@ Domzale	L 0-3	46.7	1522	1680	17.80%	20.95%	61.24%	-1.27	-12.7	43
2018-04-25	Krsko	D 1-1	57.1	1383	1407	38.67%	22.98%	38.35%	+0.01	-0.0	23
2018-04-25	@ Aluminij	D 1-1	57.1	1407	1383	38.35%	22.98%	38.67%	-0.01	+0.0	30
2018-04-28	Domzale	W 2-1	68.9	1554	1693	24.31%	22.18%	53.51%	-0.78	+11.1	43
2018-04-28	@ Celje	L 1-2	68.9	1693	1554	53.51%	22.18%	24.31%	+0.78	-11.1	59
2018-04-28	Rudar Velenje	W 3-2	62.5	1335	1509	20.75%	21.61%	57.64%	-1.03	+11.3	21
2018-04-28	@ Ankaran	L 2-3	62.5	1509	1335	57.64%	21.61%	20.75%	+1.03	-11.3	43
2018-04-28	Triglav	W 2-1	44.6	1692	1297	79.45%	14.55%	6.00%	+2.91	+1.4	64
2018-04-28	@ Maribor	L 1-2	44.6	1297	1692	6.00%	14.55%	79.45%	-2.91	-1.4	16
2018-04-29	Aluminij	L 1-2	52.7	1407	1383	45.40%	22.83%	31.78%	+0.34	-9.7	30
2018-04-29	@ Krsko	W 2-1	52.7	1383	1407	31.78%	22.83%	45.40%	-0.34	+9.7	26
2018-04-29	Gorica	D 0-0	65.0	1690	1440	69.60%	18.71%	11.69%	+1.91	-3.4	65
2018-04-29	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	65.0	1440	1690	11.69%	18.71%	69.60%	-1.91	+3.4	35
2018-05-02	Ankaran	W 4-0	36.3	1681	1346	75.76%	16.31%	7.93%	+2.50	+7.2	62
2018-05-02	@ Domzale	L 0-4	36.3	1346	1681	7.93%	16.31%	75.76%	-2.50	-7.2	21
2018-05-02	Krsko	W 2-0	43.9	1296	1397	28.40%	22.61%	48.99%	-0.53	+20.6	19
2018-05-02	@ Triglav	L 0-2	43.9	1397	1296	48.99%	22.61%	28.40%	+0.53	-20.6	30
2018-05-02	Maribor	L 1-3	54.5	1498	1693	18.87%	21.22%	59.91%	-1.18	-8.0	43
2018-05-02	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-1	54.5	1693	1498	59.91%	21.22%	18.87%	+1.18	+8.0	67
2018-05-03	Celje	W 3-0	51.2	1443	1566	25.97%	22.38%	51.65%	-0.68	+31.3	38
2018-05-03	@ Gorica	L 0-3	51.2	1566	1443	51.65%	22.38%	25.97%	+0.68	-31.3	43
2018-05-03	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	42.8	1392	1687	12.05%	18.89%	69.07%	-1.87	-5.9	26
2018-05-03	@ Aluminij	W 2-0	42.8	1687	1392	69.07%	18.89%	12.05%	+1.87	+5.9	68
2018-05-05	Ankaran	W 5-1	40.2	1701	1339	77.48%	15.52%	7.00%	+2.69	+5.2	70
2018-05-05	@ Maribor	L 1-5	40.2	1339	1701	7.00%	15.52%	77.48%	-2.69	-5.2	21
2018-05-05	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	50.6	1377	1490	27.04%	22.49%	50.47%	-0.61	+11.2	33
2018-05-05	@ Krsko	L 0-1	50.6	1490	1377	50.47%	22.49%	27.04%	+0.61	-11.2	43
2018-05-06	Aluminij	D 2-2	67.1	1534	1386	60.20%	21.16%	18.64%	+1.20	-1.6	44
2018-05-06	@ Celje	D 2-2	67.1	1386	1534	18.64%	21.16%	60.20%	-1.20	+1.6	27
2018-05-06	Domzale	W 4-1	64.0	1474	1689	17.34%	20.83%	61.83%	-1.31	+31.0	41
2018-05-06	@ Gorica	L 1-4	64.0	1689	1474	61.83%	20.83%	17.34%	+1.31	-31.0	62
2018-05-06	Triglav	W 2-0	37.4	1693	1316	78.38%	15.09%	6.53%	+2.79	+3.0	71
2018-05-06	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	37.4	1316	1693	6.53%	15.09%	78.38%	-2.79	-3.0	19
2018-05-09	Krsko	D 0-0	51.4	1334	1388	34.48%	22.93%	42.59%	-0.20	+0.4	22
2018-05-09	@ Ankaran	D 0-0	51.4	1388	1334	42.59%	22.93%	34.48%	+0.20	-0.4	34
2018-05-09	Maribor	D 1-1	72.4	1658	1706	35.18%	22.94%	41.87%	-0.16	+0.3	63
2018-05-09	@ Domzale	D 1-1	72.4	1706	1658	41.87%	22.94%	35.18%	+0.16	-0.3	71
2018-05-09	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	70.1	1479	1696	17.10%	20.76%	62.14%	-1.33	+2.3	44
2018-05-09	@ Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	70.1	1696	1479	62.14%	20.76%	17.10%	+1.33	-2.3	72
2018-05-10	Celje	W 1-0	53.1	1313	1533	16.93%	20.71%	62.36%	-1.35	+13.5	22
2018-05-10	@ Triglav	L 0-1	53.1	1533	1313	62.36%	20.71%	16.93%	+1.35	-13.5	44
2018-05-10	Gorica	W 1-0	51.6	1388	1505	26.58%	22.44%	50.98%	-0.64	+11.3	30
2018-05-10	@ Aluminij	L 0-1	51.6	1505	1388	50.98%	22.44%	26.58%	+0.64	-11.3	41
2018-05-12	Maribor	L 1-2	50.9	1387	1706	10.79%	18.23%	70.98%	-2.04	-2.6	34
2018-05-12	@ Krsko	W 2-1	50.9	1706	1387	70.98%	18.23%	10.79%	+2.04	+2.6	74
2018-05-13	Ankaran	D 0-0	62.4	1694	1334	77.31%	15.60%	7.09%	+2.67	-4.2	73
2018-05-13	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	62.4	1334	1694	7.09%	15.60%	77.31%	-2.67	+4.2	23
2018-05-13	Domzale	L 1-2	51.2	1399	1658	14.20%	19.81%	65.99%	-1.62	-3.5	30
2018-05-13	@ Aluminij	W 2-1	51.2	1658	1399	65.99%	19.81%	14.20%	+1.62	+3.5	66
2018-05-13	Rudar Velenje	L 1-3	57.3	1519	1481	47.30%	22.72%	29.98%	+0.44	-17.3	44
2018-05-13	@ Celje	W 3-1	57.3	1481	1519	29.98%	22.72%	47.30%	-0.44	+17.3	47
2018-05-14	Triglav	L 0-2	49.6	1494	1327	62.17%	20.76%	17.08%	+1.34	-25.5	41
2018-05-14	@ Gorica	W 2-0	49.6	1327	1494	17.08%	20.76%	62.17%	-1.34	+25.5	25
2018-05-18	Gorica	L 0-1	52.8	1498	1469	46.14%	22.79%	31.07%	+0.38	-10.4	47
2018-05-18	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	52.8	1469	1498	31.07%	22.79%	46.14%	-0.38	+10.4	44
2018-05-19	Aluminij	L 0-2	40.9	1352	1396	35.88%	22.96%	41.17%	-0.13	-16.0	25
2018-05-19	@ Triglav	W 2-0	40.9	1396	1352	41.17%	22.96%	35.88%	+0.13	+16.0	33
2018-05-19	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-3	73.3	1709	1689	44.75%	22.85%	32.40%	+0.31	-9.1	74
2018-05-19	@ Maribor	W 3-2	73.3	1689	1709	32.40%	22.85%	44.75%	-0.31	+9.1	76
2018-05-20	Celje	L 0-2	38.3	1338	1502	21.75%	21.80%	56.45%	-0.96	-10.5	23
2018-05-20	@ Ankaran	W 2-0	38.3	1502	1338	56.45%	21.80%	21.75%	+0.96	+10.5	47
2018-05-20	Krsko	W 3-1	46.5	1661	1385	71.62%	18.00%	10.39%	+2.09	+4.4	69
2018-05-20	@ Domzale	L 1-3	46.5	1385	1661	10.39%	18.00%	71.62%	-2.09	-4.4	34
2018-05-23	Ankaran	W 4-1	39.4	1479	1328	60.52%	21.10%	18.38%	+1.22	+11.0	47
2018-05-23	@ Gorica	L 1-4	39.4	1328	1479	18.38%	21.10%	60.52%	-1.22	-11.0	23
2018-05-23	Domzale	L 0-4	36.5	1336	1666	10.26%	17.92%	71.82%	-2.11	-9.5	25
2018-05-23	@ Triglav	W 4-0	36.5	1666	1336	71.82%	17.92%	10.26%	+2.11	+9.5	72
2018-05-23	Krsko	W 2-0	41.1	1698	1380	74.61%	16.81%	8.58%	+2.38	+4.1	79
2018-05-23	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	41.1	1380	1698	8.58%	16.81%	74.61%	-2.38	-4.1	34
2018-05-23	Maribor	L 0-4	46.9	1512	1700	19.57%	21.37%	59.05%	-1.12	-18.1	47
2018-05-23	@ Celje	W 4-0	46.9	1700	1512	59.05%	21.37%	19.57%	+1.12	+18.1	77
2018-05-23	Rudar Velenje	L 1-3	49.0	1412	1488	31.58%	22.82%	45.61%	-0.35	-12.5	33
2018-05-23	@ Aluminij	W 3-1	49.0	1488	1412	45.61%	22.82%	31.58%	+0.35	+12.5	50
2018-05-27	Aluminij	W 2-1	51.8	1317	1399	30.74%	22.77%	46.48%	-0.40	+9.8	26
2018-05-27	@ Ankaran	L 1-2	51.8	1399	1317	46.48%	22.77%	30.74%	+0.40	-9.8	33
2018-05-27	Celje	L 0-1	43.5	1376	1494	26.49%	22.43%	51.08%	-0.64	-6.6	34
2018-05-27	@ Krsko	W 1-0	43.5	1494	1376	51.08%	22.43%	26.49%	+0.64	+6.6	50
2018-05-27	Gorica	W 2-0	46.8	1718	1490	67.69%	19.32%	12.99%	+1.75	+6.4	80
2018-05-27	@ Maribor	L 0-2	46.8	1490	1718	12.99%	19.32%	67.69%	-1.75	-6.4	47
2018-05-27	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	72.5	1675	1703	38.20%	22.98%	38.82%	-0.02	+0.0	73
2018-05-27	@ Domzale	D 1-1	72.5	1703	1675	38.82%	22.98%	38.20%	+0.02	-0.0	80
2018-05-27	Triglav	L 0-1	52.7	1500	1327	62.79%	20.62%	16.59%	+1.38	-13.6	50
2018-05-27	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	52.7	1327	1500	16.59%	20.62%	62.79%	-1.38	+13.6	28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2018-03-17	11.07%	Krsko	1409	2	@ Maribor	1672	0
2	2018-04-12	14.45%	Ankaran	1321	3	@ Rudar Velenje	1526	2
3	2017-12-02	16.00%	Triglav	1359	2	@ Rudar Velenje	1541	1
4	2017-11-04	16.54%	Triglav	1352	3	@ Gorica	1526	0
5	2018-05-27	16.59%	Triglav	1327	1	@ Rudar Velenje	1500	0
6	2018-05-10	16.93%	@ Triglav	1313	1	Celje	1533	0
7	2018-05-14	17.08%	Triglav	1327	2	@ Gorica	1494	0
8	2018-05-06	17.34%	@ Gorica	1474	4	Domzale	1689	1
9	2017-11-25	20.05%	@ Celje	1506	2	Maribor	1688	1
10	2018-04-28	20.75%	@ Ankaran	1335	3	Rudar Velenje	1509	2
11	2018-04-28	24.31%	@ Celje	1554	2	Domzale	1693	1
12	2017-09-24	24.51%	Rudar Velenje	1468	1	@ Domzale	1553	0
13	2017-10-14	25.77%	@ Triglav	1353	3	Krsko	1477	1
14	2018-05-03	25.97%	@ Gorica	1443	3	Celje	1566	0
15	2018-05-10	26.58%	@ Aluminij	1388	1	Gorica	1505	0
16	2017-10-21	26.71%	Aluminij	1423	2	@ Celje	1489	1
17	2018-05-05	27.04%	@ Krsko	1377	1	Rudar Velenje	1490	0
18	2017-12-03	27.39%	@ Krsko	1408	3	Celje	1518	1
19	2018-03-13	27.91%	Domzale	1627	2	@ Maribor	1682	1
20	2018-05-02	28.40%	@ Triglav	1296	2	Krsko	1397	0
21	2017-08-27	28.97%	@ Krsko	1462	4	Domzale	1559	2
22	2018-05-13	29.98%	Rudar Velenje	1481	3	@ Celje	1519	1
23	2017-08-05	30.40%	Krsko	1456	1	@ Rudar Velenje	1491	0
24	2018-05-27	30.74%	@ Ankaran	1317	2	Aluminij	1399	1
25	2018-05-18	31.07%	Gorica	1469	1	@ Rudar Velenje	1498	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2017-11-04	37.33	Triglav	3	1352	16.54%	@ Gorica	0	1526	62.85%	20.60%
2	2018-05-03	31.31	@ Gorica	3	1443	25.97%	Celje	0	1566	51.65%	22.38%
3	2018-05-06	31.02	@ Gorica	4	1474	17.34%	Domzale	1	1689	61.83%	20.83%
4	2017-07-23	28.65	@ Domzale	4	1518	43.83%	Celje	0	1506	33.28%	22.89%
5	2018-03-17	28.43	Krsko	2	1409	11.07%	@ Maribor	0	1672	70.55%	18.38%
6	2018-04-14	26.79	@ Celje	5	1532	53.94%	Krsko	0	1440	23.93%	22.13%
7	2017-10-14	26.61	@ Domzale	6	1541	59.00%	Ankaran	0	1405	19.62%	21.38%
8	2018-05-14	25.46	Triglav	2	1327	17.08%	@ Gorica	0	1494	62.17%	20.76%
9	2017-11-18	25.08	Aluminij	3	1407	37.52%	@ Triglav	0	1389	39.51%	22.98%
10	2018-04-15	24.79	Maribor	6	1661	60.75%	@ Gorica	0	1458	18.19%	21.05%
11	2017-10-24	23.70	Rudar Velenje	3	1496	40.30%	@ Krsko	0	1459	36.73%	22.97%
12	2017-09-30	22.72	Rudar Velenje	3	1479	42.27%	@ Ankaran	0	1428	34.79%	22.94%
13	2017-10-29	21.40	Gorica	3	1505	44.86%	@ Aluminij	0	1434	32.29%	22.85%
14	2018-05-02	20.60	@ Triglav	2	1296	28.40%	Krsko	0	1397	48.99%	22.61%
15	2017-08-12	20.09	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	4	1592	56.29%	Rudar Velenje	0	1480	21.89%	21.82%
16	2018-03-14	19.71	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	4	1662	56.82%	Rudar Velenje	0	1546	21.44%	21.74%
17	2017-07-30	19.70	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	4	1575	56.84%	Aluminij	0	1458	21.42%	21.74%
18	2017-09-17	19.62	Maribor	3	1625	48.31%	@ Gorica	0	1528	29.03%	22.66%
19	2018-03-31	19.59	@ Celje	7	1517	61.78%	Ankaran	1	1354	17.38%	20.84%
20	2017-11-04	18.90	Maribor	5	1661	63.04%	@ Krsko	0	1435	16.40%	20.56%
21	2017-08-06	18.74	Maribor	5	1605	52.87%	@ Ankaran	1	1472	24.87%	22.25%
22	2017-10-14	18.74	@ Triglav	3	1353	25.77%	Krsko	1	1477	51.87%	22.36%
23	2017-12-03	18.18	@ Krsko	3	1408	27.39%	Celje	1	1518	50.09%	22.52%
24	2018-05-23	18.14	Maribor	4	1700	59.05%	@ Celje	0	1512	19.57%	21.37%
25	2017-08-26	17.40	@ Celje	4	1476	46.36%	Ankaran	1	1445	30.86%	22.78%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2018-03-06	76.4	@ Maribor	2	1676	60.18%	Rudar Velenje	2	1528	18.66%	21.17%
2	2018-05-19	73.3	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1689	32.40%	@ Maribor	2	1709	44.75%	22.85%
3	2018-04-14	72.5	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1692	44.66%	Domzale	1	1674	32.48%	22.86%
4	2018-05-27	72.5	@ Domzale	1	1675	38.20%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1703	38.82%	22.98%
5	2018-05-09	72.4	@ Domzale	1	1658	35.18%	Maribor	1	1706	41.87%	22.94%
6	2018-03-31	72.2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1689	48.28%	Maribor	1	1644	29.06%	22.66%
7	2018-04-22	71.2	@ Celje	1	1553	24.23%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1692	53.60%	22.17%
8	2018-05-09	70.1	@ Rudar Velenje	1	1479	17.10%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1696	62.14%	20.76%
9	2017-08-20	69.5	@ Domzale	2	1560	58.18%	Aluminij	2	1431	20.29%	21.52%
10	2017-11-25	69.1	@ Celje	2	1506	20.05%	Maribor	1	1688	58.47%	21.47%
11	2018-04-28	68.9	@ Celje	2	1554	24.31%	Domzale	1	1693	53.51%	22.18%
12	2018-03-13	68.7	Domzale	2	1627	27.91%	@ Maribor	1	1682	49.52%	22.57%
13	2018-05-06	67.1	@ Celje	2	1534	60.20%	Aluminij	2	1386	18.64%	21.16%
14	2017-08-04	66.6	@ Aluminij	2	1438	35.33%	Celje	2	1486	41.72%	22.95%
15	2017-08-13	66.5	@ Krsko	2	1466	43.85%	Ankaran	2	1454	33.26%	22.89%
16	2017-08-27	66.5	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1621	41.34%	Maribor	0	1627	35.71%	22.96%
17	2017-08-06	65.6	@ Domzale	1	1560	51.81%	Gorica	1	1487	25.83%	22.36%
18	2017-08-11	65.3	@ Maribor	0	1624	50.73%	Domzale	0	1559	26.81%	22.47%
19	2017-09-29	65.1	@ Celje	1	1497	35.68%	Domzale	1	1542	41.37%	22.95%
20	2017-10-29	65.0	@ Rudar Velenje	0	1520	24.98%	Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1652	52.75%	22.27%
21	2018-04-29	65.0	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1690	69.60%	Gorica	0	1440	11.69%	18.71%
22	2018-04-12	64.5	Ankaran	3	1321	14.45%	@ Rudar Velenje	2	1526	65.64%	19.91%
23	2017-11-25	64.4	@ Gorica	2	1474	55.72%	Ankaran	2	1367	22.38%	21.90%
24	2017-09-23	64.0	@ Celje	0	1495	23.93%	Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1637	53.94%	22.13%
25	2018-02-25	64.0	@ Maribor	0	1679	70.41%	Aluminij	0	1418	11.16%	18.43%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2018-04-11	35.3	Maribor	5	1650	72.03%	@ Triglav	0	1317	10.13%	17.84%
2	2018-04-08	35.4	@ Domzale	3	1669	76.48%	Triglav	0	1322	7.53%	15.99%
3	2018-04-15	36.3	Rudar Velenje	2	1513	61.14%	@ Triglav	0	1306	17.89%	20.97%
4	2018-05-02	36.3	@ Domzale	4	1681	75.76%	Ankaran	0	1346	7.93%	16.31%
5	2018-05-23	36.5	Domzale	4	1666	71.82%	@ Triglav	0	1336	10.26%	17.92%
6	2018-04-03	37.1	@ Krsko	2	1433	54.94%	Triglav	0	1333	23.06%	22.01%
7	2018-03-31	37.3	@ Celje	7	1517	61.78%	Ankaran	1	1354	17.38%	20.84%
8	2018-05-06	37.4	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1693	78.38%	Triglav	0	1316	6.53%	15.09%
9	2017-10-20	37.9	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1644	71.31%	Triglav	0	1372	10.58%	18.11%
10	2018-05-20	38.3	Celje	2	1502	56.45%	@ Ankaran	0	1338	21.75%	21.80%
11	2018-04-07	38.7	Gorica	2	1445	50.13%	@ Ankaran	0	1334	27.35%	22.52%
12	2018-03-06	38.8	Domzale	4	1598	61.76%	@ Ankaran	0	1385	17.40%	20.84%
13	2017-10-14	38.9	@ Domzale	6	1541	59.00%	Ankaran	0	1405	19.62%	21.38%
14	2018-03-18	38.9	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1682	71.11%	@ Ankaran	0	1361	10.71%	18.18%
15	2018-03-10	39.3	Maribor	3	1674	69.96%	@ Ankaran	0	1369	11.45%	18.59%
16	2018-05-23	39.4	@ Gorica	4	1479	60.52%	Ankaran	1	1328	18.38%	21.10%
17	2017-09-09	40.0	@ Domzale	6	1543	61.07%	Triglav	1	1387	17.94%	20.99%
18	2017-10-28	40.1	Celje	2	1479	50.63%	@ Triglav	0	1364	26.90%	22.48%
19	2018-05-05	40.2	@ Maribor	5	1701	77.48%	Ankaran	1	1339	7.00%	15.52%
20	2018-03-10	40.4	@ Rudar Velenje	3	1530	55.38%	Krsko	0	1426	22.67%	21.95%
21	2018-02-24	40.6	@ Ankaran	2	1369	41.60%	Triglav	0	1372	35.45%	22.95%
22	2018-04-14	40.9	@ Celje	5	1532	53.94%	Krsko	0	1440	23.93%	22.13%
23	2018-05-19	40.9	Aluminij	2	1396	41.17%	@ Triglav	0	1352	35.88%	22.96%
24	2017-11-18	41.0	Aluminij	3	1407	37.52%	@ Triglav	0	1389	39.51%	22.98%
25	2017-08-27	41.1	@ Aluminij	2	1433	46.46%	Triglav	0	1401	30.76%	22.77%