2018-19 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Maribor

78 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Aluminij

4.90 points above expected

48 points · 43.10 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Gorica

14.23 points below expected

31 points · 45.23 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Maribor	36	23	9	4	78	82	34	+48	77.19	+0.81
2	Olimpija Ljubljana	36	20	9	7	69	73	47	+26	69.71	-0.71
3	Domzale	36	18	9	9	63	76	47	+29	62.91	+0.09
4	NS Mura	36	13	13	10	52	53	37	+16	47.68	+4.32
5	Celje	36	12	13	11	49	45	51	-6	46.18	+2.82
6	Aluminij	36	14	6	16	48	50	53	-3	43.10	+4.90
7	Rudar Velenje	36	12	7	17	43	50	73	-23	39.56	+3.44
8	Triglav	36	10	7	19	37	51	83	-32	33.58	+3.42
9	Gorica	36	7	10	19	31	44	63	-19	45.23	-14.23
10	Krsko	36	5	9	22	24	29	65	-36	32.12	-8.12

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Aluminij	48	43.10	+4.90
2	NS Mura	52	47.68	+4.32
3	Rudar Velenje	43	39.56	+3.44
4	Triglav	37	33.58	+3.42
5	Celje	49	46.18	+2.82

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Gorica	31	45.23	-14.23
2	Krsko	24	32.12	-8.12
3	Olimpija Ljubljana	69	69.71	-0.71
4	Domzale	63	62.91	+0.09
5	Maribor	78	77.19	+0.81

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Aluminij	4	Nov 11 – Dec 9	1 in 150
2	Triglav	3	Feb 24 – Mar 9	1 in 114
3	Olimpija Ljubljana	4	Aug 26 – Sep 23	1 in 13
4	NS Mura	3	Mar 16 – Apr 7	1 in 12
5	Domzale	3	May 4 – May 15	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Gorica	8	Nov 7 – Mar 9	1 in 1,809
2	Rudar Velenje	4	Aug 18 – Sep 15	1 in 31
3	NS Mura	3	Sep 16 – Sep 27	1 in 16
4	Triglav	4	Oct 1 – Oct 27	1 in 13
5	Domzale	2	Aug 19 – Aug 26	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Gorica	8	Aug 19 – Oct 7	1 in 39
2	Celje	6	Aug 26 – Oct 1	1 in 31
3	Triglav	4	Dec 9 – Mar 9	1 in 26
4	Krsko	5	Jul 29 – Aug 25	1 in 26
5	Olimpija Ljubljana	12	Aug 26 – Nov 23	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Gorica	10	Oct 20 – Mar 9	1 in 75
2	Domzale	5	Aug 19 – Sep 22	1 in 24
3	Celje	7	Jul 20 – Aug 31	1 in 22
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	Jul 21 – Aug 5	1 in 13
5	NS Mura	6	Nov 23 – Mar 10	1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Maribor	1699	78	-20	7	10.4	-3.4
Olimpija Ljubljana	1651	69	+1	9	8.7	+0.3
Domzale	1643	63	+27	13	8.5	+4.5
NS Mura	1530	52	+21	10	7.8	+2.2
Celje	1473	49	-4	5	5.9	-0.9
Aluminij	1442	48	-4	7	6.1	+0.9
Rudar Velenje	1449	43	+30	10	6.2	+3.8
Triglav	1357	37	-6	5	4.5	+0.5
Gorica	1428	31	-25	1	6.4	-5.4
Krsko	1329	24	-20	3	4.5	-1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ALU	CEL	DOM	GOR	KRS	MAR	NM	OL	RV	TRI
Aluminij	—	2-1-1 4.75	0-1-3 3.32	2-2-0 5.02	3-1-0 6.49	0-1-3 2.44	0-0-4 4.79	2-0-2 2.78	2-0-2 5.56	3-0-1 6.56
Celje	1-1-2 6.18	—	0-3-1 3.68	1-2-1 5.64	1-3-0 7.04	0-2-2 2.71	2-1-1 5.27	1-1-2 3.25	3-0-1 6.34	3-0-1 7.08
Domzale	3-1-0 7.75	1-3-0 7.34	—	2-0-2 7.49	4-0-0 8.46	1-1-2 3.99	0-3-1 7.40	1-1-2 4.81	3-0-1 7.98	3-0-1 8.64
Gorica	0-2-2 5.91	1-2-1 5.29	2-0-2 3.54	—	1-0-3 7.05	0-0-4 2.71	0-1-3 5.16	1-1-2 3.19	1-2-1 6.16	1-2-1 7.04
Krsko	0-1-3 4.46	0-3-1 3.95	0-0-4 2.71	3-0-1 3.94	—	0-0-4 1.74	2-0-2 3.88	0-2-2 2.34	0-2-2 4.66	0-1-3 5.52
Maribor	3-1-0 8.80	2-2-0 8.46	2-1-1 6.99	4-0-0 8.48	4-0-0 9.68	—	0-3-1 8.59	1-1-2 6.41	4-0-0 8.84	3-1-0 9.57
NS Mura	4-0-0 6.14	1-1-2 5.67	1-3-0 3.62	3-1-0 5.77	2-0-2 7.12	1-3-0 2.61	—	0-2-2 3.37	1-1-2 6.30	0-2-2 7.15
Olimpija Ljubljana	2-0-2 8.38	2-1-1 7.82	2-1-1 6.13	2-1-1 7.90	2-2-0 8.92	2-1-1 4.53	2-2-0 7.68	—	3-1-0 8.47	3-0-1 8.98
Rudar Velenje	2-0-2 5.36	1-0-3 4.60	1-0-3 3.11	1-2-1 4.78	2-2-0 6.28	0-0-4 2.42	2-1-1 4.64	0-1-3 2.71	—	3-1-0 6.25
Triglav	1-0-3 4.39	1-0-3 3.91	1-0-3 2.57	1-2-1 3.95	3-1-0 5.41	0-1-3 1.83	2-2-0 3.85	1-0-3 2.30	0-1-3 4.70	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.88	+9.6
Allowed	0.56	-8.1
Differential	0.90	+5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	5.83%	4.17%	4.44%	1.67%	1.39%	24.17%
1	5.83%	10.56%	7.78%	5.56%	1.94%	0.83%	32.50%
2	4.17%	7.78%	6.11%	1.67%	0.56%	0.83%	21.11%
3	4.44%	5.56%	1.67%	1.67%	0.56%	—	13.89%
4	1.67%	1.94%	0.56%	0.56%	0.56%	—	5.28%
5+	1.39%	0.83%	0.83%	—	—	—	3.06%
Total	24.17%	32.50%	21.11%	13.89%	5.28%	3.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.54	1.54	+0.00
SD	1.33	1.33	2.02
CV	0.86	0.86	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	13.89%	—	—	36.11%
1	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	25.00%
2	2.78%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	2.78%	16.67%
3	2.78%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	25.00%	36.11%	11.11%	25.00%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.47	-0.08
SD	1.48	1.28	2.08
CV	1.06	0.87	—
Max	6	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	8.33%	—	2.78%	2.78%	19.44%
1	13.89%	25.00%	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	52.78%
2	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	30.56%	16.67%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.42	-0.17
SD	1.02	1.36	1.86
CV	0.82	0.96	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
1	—	8.33%	13.89%	2.78%	—	2.78%	27.78%
2	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
5+	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	19.44%	47.22%	25.00%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.11	1.31	+0.81
SD	1.58	1.09	1.91
CV	0.75	0.84	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	2.78%	25.00%
1	5.56%	8.33%	13.89%	13.89%	—	—	41.67%
2	5.56%	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
3	—	—	—	—	2.78%	—	2.78%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	22.22%	30.56%	22.22%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	1.75	-0.53
SD	1.05	1.25	1.65
CV	0.86	0.71	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	38.89%
1	5.56%	16.67%	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	—	47.22%
2	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	30.56%	22.22%	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	1.81	-1.00
SD	0.82	1.33	1.49
CV	1.02	0.73	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
1	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	11.11%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
Total	38.89%	38.89%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.28	0.94	+1.33
SD	1.49	1.01	1.94
CV	0.65	1.07	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
1	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	8.33%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	36.11%	33.33%	22.22%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	1.03	+0.44
SD	1.44	0.97	1.75
CV	0.98	0.94	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
1	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	11.11%
2	11.11%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	33.33%
3	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
4	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	11.11%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	30.56%	36.11%	19.44%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.03	1.31	+0.72
SD	1.36	1.37	1.91
CV	0.67	1.05	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	27.78%
1	5.56%	2.78%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	27.78%
2	2.78%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	25.00%
3	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	19.44%	30.56%	22.22%	2.78%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	2.03	-0.64
SD	1.15	1.48	2.14
CV	0.83	0.73	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	—	5.56%	2.78%	8.33%	—	19.44%
1	—	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	41.67%
2	—	11.11%	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	19.44%
3	5.56%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	30.56%	19.44%	13.89%	22.22%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	2.31	-0.89
SD	1.08	1.53	2.14
CV	0.76	0.66	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Maribor	1699	78	77.19	+0.81	58.0%	57	64	71	76	84	89	92
Olimpija Ljubljana	1651	69	69.71	-0.71	46.0%	49	55	65	70	75	80	87
Domzale	1643	63	62.91	+0.09	53.0%	40	50	57	62	68	75	80
NS Mura	1530	52	47.68	+4.32	78.0%	33	35	43	48	52	59	66
Celje	1473	49	46.18	+2.82	73.0%	29	34	42	46	50	58	68
Rudar Velenje	1449	43	39.56	+3.44	72.0%	22	27	34	39	45	53	58
Aluminij	1442	48	43.10	+4.90	75.0%	16	32	38	42	48	56	63
Gorica	1428	31	45.23	-14.23	5.0%	24	31	39	46	51	56	71
Triglav	1357	37	33.58	+3.42	74.0%	17	23	29	33	38	44	51
Krsko	1329	24	32.12	-8.12	14.0%	16	19	28	32	37	41	52

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+7.78%

No Edge

41.11%25.56%33.33%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 27.08 Elo pts.

181 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.16 goals

Neutral

-2+0.15+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.7

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

74%

Maribor, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.25/gm

Runaway

00.250.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.98 * Some Luck: 5.98 to 8.97 * Lucky: 8.97 to 11.96 * Wild Swing: 11.96 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.88 * Close: 0.88 to 1.32 * Off: 1.32 to 1.76 * Way Off: 1.76 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.85 points

As Expected

07.4719

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.60

Pinpoint

01.102.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

78.00%

NS Mura

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

5.00%

Gorica

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.

Gini Index

0.18

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 127.03

2.15

Strong Separation

11.82.052.75

Interquartile Edge

74%

Wide Edge

50%63.5%72%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

89%

Strong Edge

50%92%100%

Close Games

Expected

57%

Few

0%54%100%

Blowouts

Expected

22%

Very Frequent

0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.39

Notable Separation

00.310.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.57

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.81

Near-Lock

00.420.630.791

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

19%

As Expected

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.05

Miscalibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.12

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.081

Well Within Noise

00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Maribor	74.00%	23.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Olimpija Ljubljana	19.00%	55.00%	19.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Domzale	5.00%	18.00%	60.00%	12.00%	4.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—
NS Mura	1.00%	—	6.00%	26.00%	25.00%	20.00%	12.00%	7.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Celje	—	2.00%	8.00%	14.00%	23.00%	24.00%	16.00%	7.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Aluminij	—	1.00%	3.00%	13.00%	13.00%	19.00%	23.00%	19.00%	4.00%	5.00%
Rudar Velenje	—	—	—	9.00%	11.00%	13.00%	12.00%	24.00%	22.00%	9.00%
Triglav	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	7.00%	16.00%	37.00%	32.00%
Gorica	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	20.00%	18.00%	17.00%	17.00%	14.00%	5.00%	6.00%
Krsko	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	12.00%	13.00%	27.00%	44.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Domzale	100%	—	—
Maribor	100%	—	—
Olimpija Ljubljana	100%	—	—
NS Mura	97.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Celje	94.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Aluminij	91.00%	4.00%	5.00%
Gorica	89.00%	5.00%	6.00%
Rudar Velenje	69.00%	22.00%	9.00%
Triglav	31.00%	37.00%	32.00%
Krsko	29.00%	27.00%	44.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2018-07-20	Celje	W 2-1	55.2	1419	1489	30.56%	26.77%	42.67%	-0.24	+5.8	3
2018-07-20	@ Aluminij	L 1-2	55.2	1489	1419	42.67%	26.77%	30.56%	+0.24	-5.8	0
2018-07-21	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-0	56.6	1478	1631	21.85%	24.53%	53.62%	-0.70	+13.9	3
2018-07-21	@ Gorica	L 0-2	56.6	1631	1478	53.62%	24.53%	21.85%	+0.70	-13.9	0
2018-07-21	Triglav	D 1-1	57.0	1463	1383	51.15%	25.23%	23.63%	+0.59	-0.8	1
2018-07-21	@ NS Mura	D 1-1	57.0	1383	1463	23.63%	25.23%	51.15%	-0.59	+0.8	1
2018-07-22	Krsko	W 2-0	40.0	1612	1404	66.35%	19.43%	14.22%	+1.30	+4.2	3
2018-07-22	@ Domzale	L 0-2	40.0	1404	1612	14.22%	19.43%	66.35%	-1.30	-4.2	0
2018-07-22	Maribor	L 0-5	45.0	1480	1640	21.24%	24.26%	54.50%	-0.74	-15.3	0
2018-07-22	@ Rudar Velenje	W 5-0	45.0	1640	1480	54.50%	24.26%	21.24%	+0.74	+15.3	3
2018-07-27	Gorica	D 2-2	66.3	1484	1492	39.17%	27.04%	33.79%	+0.10	-0.1	1
2018-07-27	@ Celje	D 2-2	66.3	1492	1484	33.79%	27.04%	39.17%	-0.10	+0.1	4
2018-07-28	Aluminij	L 1-3	47.3	1384	1424	34.61%	27.07%	38.32%	-0.07	-8.6	1
2018-07-28	@ Triglav	W 3-1	47.3	1424	1384	38.32%	27.07%	34.61%	+0.07	+8.6	6
2018-07-29	NS Mura	D 0-0	63.7	1655	1462	64.80%	20.17%	15.04%	+1.22	-1.8	4
2018-07-29	@ Maribor	D 0-0	63.7	1462	1655	15.04%	20.17%	64.80%	-1.22	+1.8	2
2018-07-29	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	59.8	1400	1617	16.93%	21.70%	61.37%	-1.05	+1.6	1
2018-07-29	@ Krsko	D 0-0	59.8	1617	1400	61.37%	21.70%	16.93%	+1.05	-1.6	1
2018-07-29	Rudar Velenje	W 3-1	49.9	1616	1465	59.99%	22.27%	17.74%	+0.99	+4.7	6
2018-07-29	@ Domzale	L 1-3	49.9	1465	1616	17.74%	22.27%	59.99%	-0.99	-4.7	0
2018-08-05	Celje	D 2-2	72.0	1615	1484	57.70%	23.16%	19.14%	+0.88	-0.9	2
2018-08-05	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 2-2	72.0	1484	1615	19.14%	23.16%	57.70%	-0.88	+0.9	2
2018-08-05	Domzale	W 5-1	57.5	1464	1621	21.52%	24.39%	54.10%	-0.72	+22.1	5
2018-08-05	@ NS Mura	L 1-5	57.5	1621	1464	54.10%	24.39%	21.52%	+0.72	-22.1	6
2018-08-05	Maribor	L 2-5	50.1	1433	1654	16.69%	21.52%	61.78%	-1.07	-5.4	6
2018-08-05	@ Aluminij	W 5-2	50.1	1654	1433	61.78%	21.52%	16.69%	+1.07	+5.4	7
2018-08-06	Krsko	D 1-1	57.2	1460	1401	48.41%	25.87%	25.72%	+0.47	-0.7	1
2018-08-06	@ Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	57.2	1401	1460	25.72%	25.87%	48.41%	-0.47	+0.7	2
2018-08-06	Triglav	D 1-1	58.0	1492	1376	55.79%	23.84%	20.37%	+0.79	-1.1	5
2018-08-06	@ Gorica	D 1-1	58.0	1376	1492	20.37%	23.84%	55.79%	-0.79	+1.1	2
2018-08-11	Celje	D 1-1	57.7	1402	1484	29.16%	26.58%	44.26%	-0.31	+0.4	3
2018-08-11	@ Krsko	D 1-1	57.7	1484	1402	44.26%	26.58%	29.16%	+0.31	-0.4	3
2018-08-12	Aluminij	W 3-1	47.2	1599	1428	62.29%	21.30%	16.41%	+1.10	+4.3	9
2018-08-12	@ Domzale	L 1-3	47.2	1428	1599	16.41%	21.30%	62.29%	-1.10	-4.3	6
2018-08-12	Gorica	W 5-0	43.6	1659	1491	61.98%	21.44%	16.58%	+1.08	+11.8	10
2018-08-12	@ Maribor	L 0-5	43.6	1491	1659	16.58%	21.44%	61.98%	-1.08	-11.8	5
2018-08-12	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-4	37.2	1377	1615	15.62%	20.67%	63.72%	-1.17	-9.0	2
2018-08-12	@ Triglav	W 4-0	37.2	1615	1377	63.72%	20.67%	15.62%	+1.17	+9.0	5
2018-08-13	NS Mura	W 3-2	60.0	1459	1486	36.53%	27.10%	36.37%	+0.00	+4.9	4
2018-08-13	@ Rudar Velenje	L 2-3	60.0	1486	1459	36.37%	27.10%	36.53%	+0.00	-4.9	5
2018-08-18	Rudar Velenje	W 3-0	42.9	1423	1464	34.47%	27.07%	38.46%	-0.08	+15.6	9
2018-08-18	@ Aluminij	L 0-3	42.9	1464	1423	38.46%	27.07%	34.47%	+0.08	-15.6	4
2018-08-18	Triglav	L 1-3	53.8	1484	1368	55.79%	23.84%	20.37%	+0.79	-12.4	3
2018-08-18	@ Celje	W 3-1	53.8	1368	1484	20.37%	23.84%	55.79%	-0.79	+12.4	5
2018-08-19	Domzale	W 1-0	58.1	1479	1603	24.59%	25.54%	49.87%	-0.54	+7.0	8
2018-08-19	@ Gorica	L 0-1	58.1	1603	1479	49.87%	25.54%	24.59%	+0.54	-7.0	9
2018-08-19	Krsko	L 0-1	51.3	1481	1403	51.02%	25.26%	23.72%	+0.58	-7.1	5
2018-08-19	@ NS Mura	W 1-0	51.3	1403	1481	23.72%	25.26%	51.02%	-0.58	+7.1	6
2018-08-19	Maribor	L 0-3	53.4	1624	1671	33.61%	27.03%	39.36%	-0.11	-14.1	5
2018-08-19	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 3-0	53.4	1671	1624	39.36%	27.03%	33.61%	+0.11	+14.1	13
2018-08-25	Triglav	D 1-1	55.2	1410	1380	44.44%	26.56%	29.00%	+0.31	-0.5	7
2018-08-25	@ Krsko	D 1-1	55.2	1380	1410	29.00%	26.56%	44.44%	-0.31	+0.5	6
2018-08-26	Aluminij	W 3-2	56.2	1474	1439	45.23%	26.44%	28.33%	+0.34	+4.0	8
2018-08-26	@ NS Mura	L 2-3	56.2	1439	1474	28.33%	26.44%	45.23%	-0.34	-4.0	9
2018-08-26	Celje	D 1-1	69.3	1685	1472	66.97%	19.13%	13.91%	+1.33	-1.7	14
2018-08-26	@ Maribor	D 1-1	69.3	1472	1685	13.91%	19.13%	66.97%	-1.33	+1.7	4
2018-08-26	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	63.8	1596	1609	38.40%	27.07%	34.53%	+0.08	-5.4	9
2018-08-26	@ Domzale	W 2-1	63.8	1609	1596	34.53%	27.07%	38.40%	-0.08	+5.3	8
2018-08-29	Gorica	L 0-2	45.5	1449	1486	35.02%	27.08%	37.89%	-0.06	-10.0	4
2018-08-29	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-0	45.5	1486	1449	37.89%	27.08%	35.02%	+0.06	+10.0	11
2018-08-31	Domzale	D 0-0	60.3	1473	1591	25.26%	25.74%	49.00%	-0.50	+0.8	5
2018-08-31	@ Celje	D 0-0	60.3	1591	1473	49.00%	25.74%	25.26%	+0.50	-0.8	10
2018-08-31	Krsko	W 1-0	44.1	1435	1409	43.91%	26.63%	29.46%	+0.29	+4.6	12
2018-08-31	@ Aluminij	L 0-1	44.1	1409	1435	29.46%	26.63%	43.91%	-0.29	-4.6	7
2018-09-02	Maribor	L 1-5	42.1	1381	1683	12.12%	17.28%	70.60%	-1.52	-5.5	6
2018-09-02	@ Triglav	W 5-1	42.1	1683	1381	70.60%	17.28%	12.12%	+1.52	+5.5	17
2018-09-02	NS Mura	D 2-2	66.4	1496	1478	42.84%	26.75%	30.41%	+0.25	-0.3	12
2018-09-02	@ Gorica	D 2-2	66.4	1478	1496	30.41%	26.75%	42.84%	-0.25	+0.3	9
2018-09-02	Rudar Velenje	W 5-0	40.2	1615	1439	62.86%	21.05%	16.09%	+1.12	+11.4	11
2018-09-02	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-5	40.2	1439	1615	16.09%	21.05%	62.86%	-1.12	-11.4	4
2018-09-15	Celje	L 0-1	47.2	1427	1474	33.70%	27.04%	39.26%	-0.11	-5.2	4
2018-09-15	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	47.2	1474	1427	39.26%	27.04%	33.70%	+0.11	+5.2	8
2018-09-15	Maribor	L 0-2	42.0	1405	1689	13.03%	18.24%	68.73%	-1.42	-3.8	7
2018-09-15	@ Krsko	W 2-0	42.0	1689	1405	68.73%	18.24%	13.03%	+1.42	+3.8	20
2018-09-15	Gorica	D 0-0	55.2	1439	1496	32.43%	26.96%	40.61%	-0.16	+0.3	13
2018-09-15	@ Aluminij	D 0-0	55.2	1496	1439	40.61%	26.96%	32.43%	+0.16	-0.3	13
2018-09-16	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	47.1	1478	1626	22.30%	24.72%	52.97%	-0.67	-6.9	9
2018-09-16	@ NS Mura	W 2-0	47.1	1626	1478	52.97%	24.72%	22.30%	+0.67	+6.8	14
2018-09-16	Triglav	L 1-2	62.2	1590	1375	67.10%	19.06%	13.84%	+1.34	-8.2	10
2018-09-16	@ Domzale	W 2-1	62.2	1375	1590	13.84%	19.06%	67.10%	-1.34	+8.2	9
2018-09-22	Domzale	D 2-2	75.9	1693	1582	55.16%	24.05%	20.79%	+0.76	-0.8	21
2018-09-22	@ Maribor	D 2-2	75.9	1582	1693	20.79%	24.05%	55.16%	-0.76	+0.8	11
2018-09-22	Krsko	W 1-0	42.9	1495	1401	53.09%	24.69%	22.22%	+0.67	+3.6	16
2018-09-22	@ Gorica	L 0-1	42.9	1401	1495	22.22%	24.69%	53.09%	-0.67	-3.6	7
2018-09-23	Aluminij	W 3-1	48.1	1633	1440	64.80%	20.17%	15.04%	+1.22	+3.9	17
2018-09-23	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	48.1	1440	1633	15.04%	20.17%	64.80%	-1.22	-3.9	13
2018-09-23	NS Mura	W 1-0	48.3	1479	1471	41.42%	26.89%	31.69%	+0.19	+4.9	11
2018-09-23	@ Celje	L 0-1	48.3	1471	1479	31.69%	26.89%	41.42%	-0.19	-4.9	9
2018-09-23	Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	50.0	1383	1422	34.79%	27.08%	38.14%	-0.07	-5.0	9
2018-09-23	@ Triglav	W 2-1	50.0	1422	1383	38.14%	27.08%	34.79%	+0.07	+5.0	7
2018-09-26	Domzale	L 0-4	38.6	1397	1582	19.20%	23.20%	57.60%	-0.87	-11.2	7
2018-09-26	@ Krsko	W 4-0	38.6	1582	1397	57.60%	23.20%	19.20%	+0.87	+11.2	14
2018-09-27	Aluminij	D 1-1	59.0	1484	1436	47.02%	26.14%	26.84%	+0.42	-0.6	12
2018-09-27	@ Celje	D 1-1	59.0	1436	1484	26.84%	26.14%	47.02%	-0.42	+0.6	14
2018-09-27	Gorica	D 2-2	73.2	1637	1499	58.43%	22.88%	18.68%	+0.91	-0.9	18
2018-09-27	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 2-2	73.2	1499	1637	18.68%	22.88%	58.43%	-0.91	+0.9	17
2018-09-27	NS Mura	W 3-0	43.4	1378	1467	28.47%	26.47%	45.06%	-0.34	+17.6	12
2018-09-27	@ Triglav	L 0-3	43.4	1467	1378	45.06%	26.47%	28.47%	+0.34	-17.6	9
2018-09-27	Rudar Velenje	W 3-0	39.7	1692	1427	72.21%	16.43%	11.36%	+1.61	+4.7	24
2018-09-27	@ Maribor	L 0-3	39.7	1427	1692	11.36%	16.43%	72.21%	-1.61	-4.7	7
2018-09-30	Domzale	W 2-1	62.2	1422	1594	20.32%	23.81%	55.87%	-0.80	+7.2	10
2018-09-30	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	62.2	1594	1422	55.87%	23.81%	20.32%	+0.80	-7.2	14
2018-09-30	Krsko	D 1-1	65.4	1636	1386	70.77%	17.19%	12.04%	+1.53	-1.9	19
2018-09-30	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	65.4	1386	1636	12.04%	17.19%	70.77%	-1.53	+1.9	8
2018-09-30	Maribor	W 4-1	62.9	1449	1697	15.03%	20.16%	64.80%	-1.22	+19.7	12
2018-09-30	@ NS Mura	L 1-4	62.9	1697	1449	64.80%	20.16%	15.03%	+1.22	-19.7	24
2018-10-01	Celje	D 1-1	61.1	1500	1484	42.63%	26.78%	30.60%	+0.24	-0.4	18
2018-10-01	@ Gorica	D 1-1	61.1	1484	1500	30.60%	26.78%	42.63%	-0.24	+0.4	13
2018-10-01	Triglav	W 2-0	39.9	1436	1396	45.94%	26.33%	27.73%	+0.37	+8.3	17
2018-10-01	@ Aluminij	L 0-2	39.9	1396	1436	27.73%	26.33%	45.94%	-0.37	-8.3	12
2018-10-05	Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	51.6	1388	1430	34.36%	27.06%	38.57%	-0.08	+0.1	9
2018-10-05	@ Krsko	D 0-0	51.6	1430	1388	38.57%	27.06%	34.36%	+0.08	-0.1	11
2018-10-06	Aluminij	W 2-1	51.3	1677	1445	68.94%	18.14%	12.92%	+1.43	+1.9	27
2018-10-06	@ Maribor	L 1-2	51.3	1445	1677	12.92%	18.14%	68.94%	-1.43	-1.9	17
2018-10-06	NS Mura	D 2-2	70.3	1586	1469	55.97%	23.77%	20.25%	+0.80	-0.8	15
2018-10-06	@ Domzale	D 2-2	70.3	1469	1586	20.25%	23.77%	55.97%	-0.80	+0.8	13
2018-10-06	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	53.1	1484	1634	22.09%	24.64%	53.27%	-0.68	-5.9	13
2018-10-06	@ Celje	W 3-1	53.1	1634	1484	53.27%	24.64%	22.09%	+0.68	+5.9	22
2018-10-07	Gorica	L 2-4	50.7	1388	1500	25.82%	25.89%	48.29%	-0.47	-6.1	12
2018-10-07	@ Triglav	W 4-2	50.7	1500	1388	48.29%	25.89%	25.82%	+0.47	+6.1	21
2018-10-20	Domzale	D 0-0	59.2	1443	1586	22.77%	24.91%	52.31%	-0.64	+1.0	18
2018-10-20	@ Aluminij	D 0-0	59.2	1586	1443	52.31%	24.91%	22.77%	+0.64	-1.0	16
2018-10-20	Maribor	L 0-3	46.3	1506	1679	20.15%	23.72%	56.12%	-0.81	-9.0	21
2018-10-20	@ Gorica	W 3-0	46.3	1679	1506	56.12%	23.72%	20.15%	+0.81	+9.0	30
2018-10-20	Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	50.3	1470	1430	45.88%	26.34%	27.78%	+0.37	+4.2	16
2018-10-20	@ NS Mura	L 1-2	50.3	1430	1470	27.78%	26.34%	45.88%	-0.37	-4.2	11
2018-10-21	Krsko	W 2-1	47.3	1478	1388	52.51%	24.86%	22.63%	+0.65	+3.5	16
2018-10-21	@ Celje	L 1-2	47.3	1388	1478	22.63%	24.86%	52.51%	-0.65	-3.5	9
2018-10-21	Triglav	W 2-0	38.6	1640	1382	71.60%	16.75%	11.65%	+1.58	+3.3	25
2018-10-21	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	38.6	1382	1640	11.65%	16.75%	71.60%	-1.58	-3.3	12
2018-10-27	Celje	L 1-2	48.7	1378	1482	26.76%	26.12%	47.12%	-0.42	-4.0	12
2018-10-27	@ Triglav	W 2-1	48.7	1482	1378	47.12%	26.12%	26.76%	+0.42	+4.0	19
2018-10-27	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	68.0	1688	1643	46.48%	26.24%	27.28%	+0.40	-6.2	30
2018-10-27	@ Maribor	W 2-1	68.0	1643	1688	27.28%	26.24%	46.48%	-0.40	+6.2	28
2018-10-28	Aluminij	W 3-2	57.1	1425	1444	37.69%	27.09%	35.23%	+0.05	+4.8	14
2018-10-28	@ Rudar Velenje	L 2-3	57.1	1444	1425	35.23%	27.09%	37.69%	-0.05	-4.8	18
2018-10-28	NS Mura	W 2-0	45.9	1384	1474	28.34%	26.44%	45.22%	-0.34	+12.1	12
2018-10-28	@ Krsko	L 0-2	45.9	1474	1384	45.22%	26.44%	28.34%	+0.34	-12.1	16
2018-11-03	Rudar Velenje	D 2-2	65.0	1497	1430	49.45%	25.64%	24.91%	+0.52	-0.6	22
2018-11-03	@ Gorica	D 2-2	65.0	1430	1497	24.91%	25.64%	49.45%	-0.52	+0.5	15
2018-11-04	Domzale	D 4-4	81.0	1650	1585	49.25%	25.68%	25.06%	+0.51	-0.4	29
2018-11-04	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 4-4	81.0	1585	1650	25.06%	25.68%	49.25%	-0.51	+0.4	17
2018-11-04	Krsko	W 4-3	57.9	1374	1397	37.13%	27.10%	35.77%	+0.03	+4.7	15
2018-11-04	@ Triglav	L 3-4	57.9	1397	1374	35.77%	27.10%	37.13%	-0.03	-4.7	12
2018-11-04	Maribor	L 0-5	45.0	1486	1682	18.40%	22.70%	58.90%	-0.93	-13.2	19
2018-11-04	@ Celje	W 5-0	45.0	1682	1486	58.90%	22.70%	18.40%	+0.93	+13.2	33
2018-11-04	NS Mura	L 0-2	45.0	1439	1462	37.11%	27.10%	35.79%	+0.03	-10.4	18
2018-11-04	@ Aluminij	W 2-0	45.0	1462	1439	35.79%	27.10%	37.11%	-0.03	+10.4	19
2018-11-07	Gorica	W 3-1	52.2	1585	1496	52.35%	24.90%	22.75%	+0.64	+6.0	20
2018-11-07	@ Domzale	L 1-3	52.2	1496	1585	22.75%	24.90%	52.35%	-0.64	-6.0	22
2018-11-10	Gorica	W 1-0	49.8	1472	1490	37.74%	27.09%	35.17%	+0.05	+5.3	22
2018-11-10	@ NS Mura	L 0-1	49.8	1490	1472	35.17%	27.09%	37.74%	-0.05	-5.3	22
2018-11-10	Triglav	W 4-1	42.1	1695	1379	76.94%	13.83%	9.23%	+1.90	+3.1	36
2018-11-10	@ Maribor	L 1-4	42.1	1379	1695	9.23%	13.83%	76.94%	-1.90	-3.1	15
2018-11-11	Aluminij	L 1-3	47.7	1392	1429	35.07%	27.09%	37.84%	-0.05	-8.7	12
2018-11-11	@ Krsko	W 3-1	47.7	1429	1392	37.84%	27.09%	35.07%	+0.05	+8.7	21
2018-11-11	Celje	D 1-1	64.9	1591	1472	56.09%	23.73%	20.18%	+0.81	-1.1	21
2018-11-11	@ Domzale	D 1-1	64.9	1472	1591	20.18%	23.73%	56.09%	-0.81	+1.1	20
2018-11-11	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	52.1	1431	1649	16.84%	21.63%	61.53%	-1.06	-2.6	15
2018-11-11	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	52.1	1649	1431	61.53%	21.63%	16.84%	+1.06	+2.6	32
2018-11-23	NS Mura	D 2-2	73.5	1652	1477	62.68%	21.13%	16.19%	+1.12	-1.1	33
2018-11-23	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 2-2	73.5	1477	1652	16.19%	21.13%	62.68%	-1.12	+1.1	23
2018-11-24	Krsko	W 3-0	37.1	1698	1383	76.83%	13.89%	9.28%	+1.89	+3.7	39
2018-11-24	@ Maribor	L 0-3	37.1	1383	1698	9.28%	13.89%	76.83%	-1.89	-3.7	12
2018-11-24	Rudar Velenje	W 2-0	41.8	1473	1428	46.61%	26.21%	27.17%	+0.40	+8.2	23
2018-11-24	@ Celje	L 0-2	41.8	1428	1473	27.17%	26.21%	46.61%	-0.40	-8.2	15
2018-11-25	Aluminij	L 0-1	51.6	1485	1437	46.90%	26.16%	26.94%	+0.41	-6.6	22
2018-11-25	@ Gorica	W 1-0	51.6	1437	1485	26.94%	26.16%	46.90%	-0.41	+6.6	24
2018-11-25	Domzale	L 1-4	42.9	1376	1590	17.14%	21.85%	61.01%	-1.03	-6.4	15
2018-11-25	@ Triglav	W 4-1	42.9	1590	1376	61.01%	21.85%	17.14%	+1.03	+6.4	24
2018-12-01	Maribor	L 1-2	61.5	1596	1702	26.54%	26.07%	47.39%	-0.43	-4.0	24
2018-12-01	@ Domzale	W 2-1	61.5	1702	1596	47.39%	26.07%	26.54%	+0.43	+4.0	42
2018-12-01	Gorica	W 1-0	49.4	1380	1478	27.27%	26.24%	46.49%	-0.40	+6.6	15
2018-12-01	@ Krsko	L 0-1	49.4	1478	1380	46.49%	26.24%	27.27%	+0.40	-6.6	22
2018-12-01	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 6-2	61.0	1444	1651	17.64%	22.20%	60.16%	-0.99	+20.4	27
2018-12-01	@ Aluminij	L 2-6	61.0	1651	1444	60.16%	22.20%	17.64%	+0.99	-20.4	33
2018-12-02	Celje	L 0-1	51.1	1478	1482	39.86%	27.00%	33.13%	+0.13	-5.8	23
2018-12-02	@ NS Mura	W 1-0	51.1	1482	1478	33.13%	27.00%	39.86%	-0.13	+5.8	26
2018-12-02	Triglav	W 3-1	44.1	1420	1369	47.31%	26.09%	26.60%	+0.43	+7.0	18
2018-12-02	@ Rudar Velenje	L 1-3	44.1	1369	1420	26.60%	26.09%	47.31%	-0.43	-7.0	15
2018-12-07	Maribor	L 1-3	49.1	1427	1706	13.31%	18.54%	68.15%	-1.39	-3.4	18
2018-12-07	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-1	49.1	1706	1427	68.15%	18.54%	13.31%	+1.39	+3.4	45
2018-12-08	Krsko	W 2-1	47.0	1592	1386	66.20%	19.50%	14.30%	+1.29	+2.1	27
2018-12-08	@ Domzale	L 1-2	47.0	1386	1592	14.30%	19.50%	66.20%	-1.29	-2.1	15
2018-12-08	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	52.3	1472	1630	21.35%	24.31%	54.34%	-0.73	-5.7	22
2018-12-08	@ Gorica	W 3-1	52.3	1630	1472	54.34%	24.31%	21.35%	+0.73	+5.7	36
2018-12-09	Celje	W 4-1	49.6	1464	1487	37.01%	27.10%	35.89%	+0.02	+12.5	30
2018-12-09	@ Aluminij	L 1-4	49.6	1487	1464	35.89%	27.10%	37.01%	-0.02	-12.5	26
2018-12-09	Triglav	D 0-0	52.9	1473	1362	55.03%	24.09%	20.88%	+0.76	-1.2	24
2018-12-09	@ NS Mura	D 0-0	52.9	1362	1473	20.88%	24.09%	55.03%	-0.76	+1.2	16
2019-02-23	Gorica	W 4-3	61.4	1475	1466	41.61%	26.88%	31.51%	+0.20	+4.3	29
2019-02-23	@ Celje	L 3-4	61.4	1466	1475	31.51%	26.88%	41.61%	-0.20	-4.3	22
2019-02-23	NS Mura	D 1-1	70.3	1709	1471	69.50%	17.85%	12.65%	+1.46	-1.8	46
2019-02-23	@ Maribor	D 1-1	70.3	1471	1709	12.65%	17.85%	69.50%	-1.46	+1.8	25
2019-02-24	Aluminij	W 3-0	44.1	1364	1477	25.69%	25.86%	48.45%	-0.48	+18.6	19
2019-02-24	@ Triglav	L 0-3	44.1	1477	1364	48.45%	25.86%	25.69%	+0.48	-18.6	30
2019-02-24	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-4	43.6	1384	1636	14.77%	19.93%	65.29%	-1.24	-5.4	15
2019-02-24	@ Krsko	W 4-1	43.6	1636	1384	65.29%	19.93%	14.77%	+1.24	+5.4	39
2019-02-24	Rudar Velenje	W 6-2	44.9	1594	1424	62.28%	21.31%	16.41%	+1.10	+6.7	30
2019-02-24	@ Domzale	L 2-6	44.9	1424	1594	16.41%	21.31%	62.28%	-1.10	-6.7	18
2019-03-02	Celje	W 2-0	45.1	1641	1479	61.27%	21.74%	16.99%	+1.05	+5.2	42
2019-03-02	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	45.1	1479	1641	16.99%	21.74%	61.27%	-1.05	-5.2	29
2019-03-02	Domzale	D 0-0	60.7	1473	1601	24.19%	25.42%	50.39%	-0.56	+0.9	26
2019-03-02	@ NS Mura	D 0-0	60.7	1601	1473	50.39%	25.42%	24.19%	+0.56	-0.9	31
2019-03-03	Krsko	W 1-0	42.4	1417	1379	45.65%	26.38%	27.97%	+0.36	+4.5	21
2019-03-03	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	42.4	1379	1417	27.97%	26.38%	45.65%	-0.36	-4.4	15
2019-03-03	Maribor	L 0-1	48.5	1458	1707	14.95%	20.09%	64.95%	-1.23	-2.4	30
2019-03-03	@ Aluminij	W 1-0	48.5	1707	1458	64.95%	20.09%	14.95%	+1.23	+2.4	49
2019-03-03	Triglav	L 1-2	55.3	1462	1382	51.12%	25.23%	23.64%	+0.59	-6.7	22
2019-03-03	@ Gorica	W 2-1	55.3	1382	1462	23.64%	25.23%	51.12%	-0.59	+6.7	22
2019-03-09	Gorica	W 2-1	51.8	1710	1455	71.22%	16.95%	11.83%	+1.56	+1.7	52
2019-03-09	@ Maribor	L 1-2	51.8	1455	1710	11.83%	16.95%	71.22%	-1.56	-1.7	22
2019-03-09	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	64.7	1389	1647	14.45%	19.64%	65.91%	-1.28	+8.1	25
2019-03-09	@ Triglav	L 1-2	64.7	1647	1389	65.91%	19.64%	14.45%	+1.28	-8.1	42
2019-03-10	Aluminij	W 3-0	41.5	1600	1456	59.20%	22.59%	18.21%	+0.95	+8.1	34
2019-03-10	@ Domzale	L 0-3	41.5	1456	1600	18.21%	22.59%	59.20%	-0.95	-8.1	30
2019-03-10	Celje	D 1-1	56.7	1374	1474	27.12%	26.20%	46.68%	-0.40	+0.6	16
2019-03-10	@ Krsko	D 1-1	56.7	1474	1374	46.68%	26.20%	27.12%	+0.40	-0.6	30
2019-03-10	NS Mura	W 1-0	48.9	1421	1474	32.88%	26.99%	40.13%	-0.14	+5.9	24
2019-03-10	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-1	48.9	1474	1421	40.13%	26.99%	32.88%	+0.14	-5.9	26
2019-03-16	Krsko	W 5-0	35.9	1468	1375	52.95%	24.73%	22.32%	+0.67	+16.0	29
2019-03-16	@ NS Mura	L 0-5	35.9	1375	1468	22.32%	24.73%	52.95%	-0.67	-16.0	16
2019-03-16	Maribor	D 0-0	66.3	1638	1711	30.32%	26.74%	42.94%	-0.25	+0.4	43
2019-03-16	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	66.3	1711	1638	42.94%	26.74%	30.32%	+0.25	-0.4	53
2019-03-16	Triglav	W 4-0	36.9	1474	1397	50.75%	25.33%	23.92%	+0.57	+13.9	33
2019-03-16	@ Celje	L 0-4	36.9	1397	1474	23.92%	25.33%	50.75%	-0.57	-13.9	25
2019-03-17	Domzale	W 2-1	63.4	1453	1608	21.66%	24.45%	53.89%	-0.71	+7.0	25
2019-03-17	@ Gorica	L 1-2	63.4	1608	1453	53.89%	24.45%	21.66%	+0.71	-7.0	34
2019-03-17	Rudar Velenje	W 4-0	39.3	1448	1427	43.21%	26.71%	30.08%	+0.26	+16.9	33
2019-03-17	@ Aluminij	L 0-4	39.3	1427	1448	30.08%	26.71%	43.21%	-0.26	-16.9	24
2019-03-30	Celje	D 1-1	70.5	1711	1487	68.03%	18.60%	13.37%	+1.39	-1.7	54
2019-03-30	@ Maribor	D 1-1	70.5	1487	1711	13.37%	18.60%	68.03%	-1.39	+1.7	34
2019-03-30	Gorica	D 2-2	62.8	1410	1460	33.27%	27.01%	39.72%	-0.13	+0.1	25
2019-03-30	@ Rudar Velenje	D 2-2	62.8	1460	1410	39.72%	27.01%	33.27%	+0.13	-0.1	26
2019-03-30	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	60.7	1601	1639	34.97%	27.08%	37.94%	-0.06	-8.6	34
2019-03-30	@ Domzale	W 3-1	60.7	1639	1601	37.94%	27.08%	34.97%	+0.06	+8.7	46
2019-03-31	Aluminij	W 3-0	42.4	1484	1465	43.09%	26.73%	30.18%	+0.26	+13.0	32
2019-03-31	@ NS Mura	L 0-3	42.4	1465	1484	30.18%	26.73%	43.09%	-0.26	-13.0	33
2019-03-31	Triglav	L 1-3	46.6	1359	1383	36.81%	27.10%	36.09%	+0.01	-9.0	16
2019-03-31	@ Krsko	W 3-1	46.6	1383	1359	36.09%	27.10%	36.81%	-0.01	+9.0	28
2019-04-06	Domzale	L 2-3	61.8	1489	1593	26.72%	26.11%	47.17%	-0.42	-3.8	34
2019-04-06	@ Celje	W 3-2	61.8	1593	1489	47.17%	26.11%	26.72%	+0.42	+3.8	37
2019-04-06	Maribor	L 1-2	49.7	1392	1709	11.45%	16.53%	72.02%	-1.60	-1.6	28
2019-04-06	@ Triglav	W 2-1	49.7	1709	1392	72.02%	16.53%	11.45%	+1.60	+1.6	57
2019-04-07	Krsko	D 1-1	56.1	1452	1350	54.02%	24.41%	21.57%	+0.71	-1.0	34
2019-04-07	@ Aluminij	D 1-1	56.1	1350	1452	21.57%	24.41%	54.02%	-0.71	+1.0	17
2019-04-07	NS Mura	L 0-1	49.6	1460	1497	35.01%	27.08%	37.90%	-0.06	-5.3	26
2019-04-07	@ Gorica	W 1-0	49.6	1497	1460	37.90%	27.08%	35.01%	+0.06	+5.3	35
2019-04-07	Rudar Velenje	D 3-3	76.4	1648	1410	69.45%	17.87%	12.67%	+1.46	-1.1	47
2019-04-07	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 3-3	76.4	1410	1648	12.67%	17.87%	69.45%	-1.46	+1.1	26
2019-04-10	Celje	L 0-3	40.6	1412	1485	30.19%	26.73%	43.08%	-0.26	-13.0	26
2019-04-10	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-0	40.6	1485	1412	43.08%	26.73%	30.19%	+0.26	+13.0	37
2019-04-10	Maribor	L 0-1	42.0	1351	1711	9.62%	14.32%	76.06%	-1.84	-1.4	17
2019-04-10	@ Krsko	W 1-0	42.0	1711	1351	76.06%	14.32%	9.62%	+1.84	+1.4	60
2019-04-10	Triglav	W 6-1	39.8	1597	1391	66.18%	19.51%	14.31%	+1.29	+8.3	40
2019-04-10	@ Domzale	L 1-6	39.8	1391	1597	14.31%	19.51%	66.18%	-1.29	-8.3	28
2019-04-11	Gorica	W 3-1	49.6	1451	1455	39.74%	27.01%	33.25%	+0.13	+8.3	37
2019-04-11	@ Aluminij	L 1-3	49.6	1455	1451	33.25%	27.01%	39.74%	-0.13	-8.3	26
2019-04-11	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	63.2	1503	1646	22.67%	24.87%	52.46%	-0.65	+1.0	36
2019-04-11	@ NS Mura	D 0-0	63.2	1646	1503	52.46%	24.87%	22.67%	+0.65	-1.0	48
2019-04-13	Domzale	W 1-0	54.4	1712	1605	54.68%	24.20%	21.11%	+0.74	+3.5	63
2019-04-13	@ Maribor	L 0-1	54.4	1605	1712	21.11%	24.20%	54.68%	-0.74	-3.5	40
2019-04-13	Rudar Velenje	L 0-4	39.4	1382	1399	38.00%	27.08%	34.92%	+0.06	-20.2	28
2019-04-13	@ Triglav	W 4-0	39.4	1399	1382	34.92%	27.08%	38.00%	-0.06	+20.2	29
2019-04-14	Aluminij	W 2-0	43.8	1645	1459	64.03%	20.52%	15.45%	+1.18	+4.7	51
2019-04-14	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	43.8	1459	1645	15.45%	20.52%	64.03%	-1.18	-4.7	37
2019-04-14	Krsko	L 1-2	54.6	1446	1349	53.41%	24.60%	22.00%	+0.69	-6.9	26
2019-04-14	@ Gorica	W 2-1	54.6	1349	1446	22.00%	24.60%	53.41%	-0.69	+6.9	20
2019-04-14	NS Mura	L 0-2	49.3	1498	1504	39.57%	27.02%	33.41%	+0.12	-11.0	37
2019-04-14	@ Celje	W 2-0	49.3	1504	1498	33.41%	27.02%	39.57%	-0.12	+10.9	39
2019-04-19	Aluminij	W 1-0	46.9	1487	1454	44.93%	26.49%	28.58%	+0.33	+4.5	40
2019-04-19	@ Celje	L 0-1	46.9	1454	1487	28.58%	26.49%	44.93%	-0.33	-4.5	37
2019-04-19	Gorica	W 3-1	48.2	1650	1439	66.67%	19.27%	14.06%	+1.31	+3.6	54
2019-04-19	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	48.2	1439	1650	14.06%	19.27%	66.67%	-1.31	-3.6	26
2019-04-20	NS Mura	W 2-1	56.8	1362	1514	21.90%	24.56%	53.54%	-0.69	+6.9	31
2019-04-20	@ Triglav	L 1-2	56.8	1514	1362	53.54%	24.56%	21.90%	+0.69	-6.9	39
2019-04-20	Rudar Velenje	W 3-1	47.0	1716	1419	75.24%	14.78%	9.98%	+1.79	+2.4	66
2019-04-20	@ Maribor	L 1-3	47.0	1419	1716	9.98%	14.78%	75.24%	-1.79	-2.4	29
2019-04-22	Domzale	L 1-2	46.7	1356	1601	15.17%	20.29%	64.54%	-1.21	-2.3	20
2019-04-22	@ Krsko	W 2-1	46.7	1601	1356	64.54%	20.29%	15.17%	+1.21	+2.3	43
2019-04-27	Domzale	L 1-2	51.1	1416	1604	19.04%	23.10%	57.86%	-0.89	-2.9	29
2019-04-27	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	51.1	1604	1416	57.86%	23.10%	19.04%	+0.89	+2.9	46
2019-04-27	Triglav	W 2-1	46.4	1450	1369	51.30%	25.19%	23.51%	+0.60	+3.6	40
2019-04-27	@ Aluminij	L 1-2	46.4	1369	1450	23.51%	25.19%	51.30%	-0.60	-3.6	31
2019-04-28	Celje	W 4-0	44.2	1436	1492	32.46%	26.96%	40.58%	-0.16	+21.2	29
2019-04-28	@ Gorica	L 0-4	44.2	1492	1436	40.58%	26.96%	32.46%	+0.16	-21.2	40
2019-04-28	Krsko	W 3-2	50.6	1654	1354	75.51%	14.63%	9.86%	+1.81	+1.3	57
2019-04-28	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-3	50.6	1354	1654	9.86%	14.63%	75.51%	-1.81	-1.3	20
2019-04-28	Maribor	D 2-2	75.7	1508	1718	17.39%	22.03%	60.59%	-1.01	+1.0	40
2019-04-28	@ NS Mura	D 2-2	75.7	1718	1508	60.59%	22.03%	17.39%	+1.01	-1.0	67
2019-05-01	Aluminij	D 1-1	70.4	1717	1453	72.10%	16.49%	11.41%	+1.61	-1.9	68
2019-05-01	@ Maribor	D 1-1	70.4	1453	1717	11.41%	16.49%	72.10%	-1.61	+1.9	41
2019-05-01	NS Mura	D 1-1	66.4	1607	1509	53.51%	24.56%	21.92%	+0.69	-1.0	47
2019-05-01	@ Domzale	D 1-1	66.4	1509	1607	21.92%	24.56%	53.51%	-0.69	+1.0	41
2019-05-02	Gorica	D 1-1	56.0	1365	1457	28.07%	26.39%	45.54%	-0.36	+0.5	32
2019-05-02	@ Triglav	D 1-1	56.0	1457	1365	45.54%	26.39%	28.07%	+0.36	-0.5	30
2019-05-02	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	61.1	1471	1655	19.28%	23.24%	57.49%	-0.87	+7.8	43
2019-05-02	@ Celje	L 0-1	61.1	1655	1471	57.49%	23.24%	19.28%	+0.87	-7.8	57
2019-05-02	Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	48.2	1353	1413	31.84%	26.91%	41.26%	-0.19	-4.6	20
2019-05-02	@ Krsko	W 2-1	48.2	1413	1353	41.26%	26.91%	31.84%	+0.19	+4.7	32
2019-05-04	Domzale	L 0-3	43.4	1455	1606	22.08%	24.63%	53.28%	-0.68	-9.9	41
2019-05-04	@ Aluminij	W 3-0	43.4	1606	1455	53.28%	24.63%	22.08%	+0.68	+9.9	50
2019-05-05	Maribor	L 1-3	50.8	1457	1715	14.41%	19.60%	66.00%	-1.28	-3.7	30
2019-05-05	@ Gorica	W 3-1	50.8	1715	1457	66.00%	19.60%	14.41%	+1.28	+3.7	71
2019-05-05	Rudar Velenje	D 3-3	69.6	1510	1418	52.69%	24.80%	22.50%	+0.66	-0.6	42
2019-05-05	@ NS Mura	D 3-3	69.6	1418	1510	22.50%	24.80%	52.69%	-0.66	+0.6	33
2019-05-05	Triglav	W 4-2	47.6	1647	1366	73.79%	15.57%	10.64%	+1.71	+2.3	60
2019-05-05	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-4	47.6	1366	1647	10.64%	15.57%	73.79%	-1.71	-2.3	32
2019-05-06	Krsko	D 0-0	52.9	1478	1348	57.54%	23.22%	19.24%	+0.87	-1.3	44
2019-05-06	@ Celje	D 0-0	52.9	1348	1478	19.24%	23.22%	57.54%	-0.87	+1.3	21
2019-05-10	Aluminij	W 3-0	41.5	1419	1445	36.48%	27.10%	36.41%	+0.00	+15.0	36
2019-05-10	@ Rudar Velenje	L 0-3	41.5	1445	1419	36.41%	27.10%	36.48%	+0.00	-14.9	41
2019-05-10	Gorica	W 2-1	51.8	1615	1453	61.34%	21.71%	16.95%	+1.05	+2.6	53
2019-05-10	@ Domzale	L 1-2	51.8	1453	1615	16.95%	21.71%	61.34%	-1.05	-2.6	30
2019-05-11	NS Mura	L 0-3	36.0	1349	1509	21.26%	24.27%	54.47%	-0.73	-9.5	21
2019-05-11	@ Krsko	W 3-0	36.0	1509	1349	54.47%	24.27%	21.26%	+0.73	+9.5	45
2019-05-11	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-3	58.6	1719	1649	49.81%	25.56%	24.64%	+0.53	-19.0	71
2019-05-11	@ Maribor	W 3-0	58.6	1649	1719	24.64%	25.56%	49.81%	-0.53	+19.0	63
2019-05-12	Celje	L 0-3	37.3	1364	1477	25.66%	25.85%	48.49%	-0.48	-11.3	32
2019-05-12	@ Triglav	W 3-0	37.3	1477	1364	48.49%	25.85%	25.66%	+0.48	+11.3	47
2019-05-14	Rudar Velenje	L 1-2	54.4	1450	1434	42.66%	26.77%	30.56%	+0.24	-5.8	30
2019-05-14	@ Gorica	W 2-1	54.4	1434	1450	30.56%	26.77%	42.66%	-0.24	+5.8	39
2019-05-15	Domzale	L 1-4	62.4	1668	1618	47.30%	26.09%	26.61%	+0.43	-15.4	63
2019-05-15	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 4-1	62.4	1618	1668	26.61%	26.09%	47.30%	-0.43	+15.4	56
2019-05-15	Krsko	W 3-1	44.1	1352	1340	42.09%	26.83%	31.08%	+0.22	+7.9	35
2019-05-15	@ Triglav	L 1-3	44.1	1340	1352	31.08%	26.83%	42.09%	-0.22	-7.9	21
2019-05-15	Maribor	L 1-3	52.8	1488	1700	17.32%	21.98%	60.69%	-1.02	-4.6	47
2019-05-15	@ Celje	W 3-1	52.8	1700	1488	60.69%	21.98%	17.32%	+1.02	+4.6	74
2019-05-15	NS Mura	L 0-1	47.1	1430	1518	28.48%	26.47%	45.05%	-0.34	-4.5	41
2019-05-15	@ Aluminij	W 1-0	47.1	1518	1430	45.05%	26.47%	28.48%	+0.34	+4.5	48
2019-05-18	Celje	D 1-1	67.2	1633	1484	59.81%	22.34%	17.84%	+0.98	-1.3	57
2019-05-18	@ Domzale	D 1-1	67.2	1484	1633	17.84%	22.34%	59.81%	-0.98	+1.3	48
2019-05-18	Gorica	W 3-0	40.7	1523	1444	51.03%	25.26%	23.71%	+0.58	+10.5	51
2019-05-18	@ NS Mura	L 0-3	40.7	1444	1523	23.71%	25.26%	51.03%	-0.58	-10.5	30
2019-05-18	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	52.7	1439	1653	17.16%	21.86%	60.98%	-1.03	-2.6	39
2019-05-18	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	52.7	1653	1439	60.98%	21.86%	17.16%	+1.03	+2.6	66
2019-05-18	Triglav	D 3-3	78.3	1704	1360	79.31%	12.49%	8.20%	+2.05	-1.4	75
2019-05-18	@ Maribor	D 3-3	78.3	1360	1704	8.20%	12.49%	79.31%	-2.05	+1.4	36
2019-05-19	Aluminij	L 1-3	44.0	1332	1426	27.78%	26.34%	45.88%	-0.37	-7.2	21
2019-05-19	@ Krsko	W 3-1	44.0	1426	1332	45.88%	26.34%	27.78%	+0.37	+7.2	44
2019-05-22	Aluminij	D 0-0	52.9	1434	1433	40.42%	26.97%	32.62%	+0.15	-0.2	31
2019-05-22	@ Gorica	D 0-0	52.9	1433	1434	32.62%	26.97%	40.42%	-0.15	+0.2	45
2019-05-22	Domzale	L 1-4	42.0	1362	1632	13.75%	18.97%	67.28%	-1.35	-5.0	36
2019-05-22	@ Triglav	W 4-1	42.0	1632	1362	67.28%	18.97%	13.75%	+1.35	+5.0	60
2019-05-22	Krsko	W 2-0	35.7	1703	1325	81.97%	10.96%	7.07%	+2.24	+1.8	78
2019-05-22	@ Maribor	L 0-2	35.7	1325	1703	7.07%	10.96%	81.97%	-2.24	-1.8	21
2019-05-22	NS Mura	W 1-0	51.7	1656	1534	56.52%	23.58%	19.89%	+0.83	+3.2	69
2019-05-22	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	51.7	1534	1656	19.89%	23.58%	56.52%	-0.83	-3.2	51
2019-05-22	Rudar Velenje	L 0-2	48.4	1485	1437	47.03%	26.14%	26.83%	+0.42	-12.5	48
2019-05-22	@ Celje	W 2-0	48.4	1437	1485	26.83%	26.14%	47.03%	-0.42	+12.5	42
2019-05-25	Celje	D 1-1	62.1	1530	1473	48.27%	25.90%	25.84%	+0.47	-0.7	52
2019-05-25	@ NS Mura	D 1-1	62.1	1473	1530	25.84%	25.90%	48.27%	-0.47	+0.7	49
2019-05-25	Maribor	W 2-1	67.0	1637	1705	30.96%	26.82%	42.22%	-0.22	+5.8	63
2019-05-25	@ Domzale	L 1-2	67.0	1705	1637	42.22%	26.82%	30.96%	+0.22	-5.8	78
2019-05-25	Gorica	W 3-2	57.9	1323	1434	25.94%	25.92%	48.13%	-0.46	+6.0	24
2019-05-25	@ Krsko	L 2-3	57.9	1434	1323	48.13%	25.92%	25.94%	+0.46	-6.0	31
2019-05-25	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	60.9	1433	1659	16.38%	21.28%	62.33%	-1.10	+8.3	48
2019-05-25	@ Aluminij	L 0-1	60.9	1659	1433	62.33%	21.28%	16.38%	+1.10	-8.3	69
2019-05-25	Triglav	D 2-2	61.7	1449	1357	52.83%	24.77%	22.41%	+0.66	-0.7	43
2019-05-25	@ Rudar Velenje	D 2-2	61.7	1357	1449	22.41%	24.77%	52.83%	-0.66	+0.7	37

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2018-09-16	13.84%	Triglav	1375	2	@ Domzale	1590	1
2	2019-03-09	14.45%	@ Triglav	1389	2	Olimpija Ljubljana	1647	1
3	2018-09-30	15.03%	@ NS Mura	1449	4	Maribor	1697	1
4	2019-05-25	16.38%	@ Aluminij	1433	1	Olimpija Ljubljana	1659	0
5	2018-12-01	17.64%	@ Aluminij	1444	6	Olimpija Ljubljana	1651	2
6	2019-05-02	19.28%	@ Celje	1471	1	Olimpija Ljubljana	1655	0
7	2018-09-30	20.32%	@ Rudar Velenje	1422	2	Domzale	1594	1
8	2018-08-18	20.37%	Triglav	1368	3	@ Celje	1484	1
9	2018-08-05	21.52%	@ NS Mura	1464	5	Domzale	1621	1
10	2019-03-17	21.66%	@ Gorica	1453	2	Domzale	1608	1
11	2018-07-21	21.85%	@ Gorica	1478	2	Olimpija Ljubljana	1631	0
12	2019-04-20	21.90%	@ Triglav	1362	2	NS Mura	1514	1
13	2019-04-14	22.00%	Krsko	1349	2	@ Gorica	1446	1
14	2019-03-03	23.64%	Triglav	1382	2	@ Gorica	1462	1
15	2018-08-19	23.72%	Krsko	1403	1	@ NS Mura	1481	0
16	2018-08-19	24.59%	@ Gorica	1479	1	Domzale	1603	0
17	2019-05-11	24.64%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1649	3	@ Maribor	1719	0
18	2019-02-24	25.69%	@ Triglav	1364	3	Aluminij	1477	0
19	2019-05-25	25.94%	@ Krsko	1323	3	Gorica	1434	2
20	2019-05-15	26.61%	Domzale	1618	4	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1668	1
21	2019-05-22	26.83%	Rudar Velenje	1437	2	@ Celje	1485	0
22	2018-11-25	26.94%	Aluminij	1437	1	@ Gorica	1485	0
23	2018-12-01	27.27%	@ Krsko	1380	1	Gorica	1478	0
24	2018-10-27	27.28%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1643	2	@ Maribor	1688	1
25	2018-10-28	28.34%	@ Krsko	1384	2	NS Mura	1474	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2018-08-05	22.10	@ NS Mura	5	1464	21.52%	Domzale	1	1621	54.10%	24.39%
2	2019-04-28	21.17	@ Gorica	4	1436	32.46%	Celje	0	1492	40.58%	26.96%
3	2018-12-01	20.39	@ Aluminij	6	1444	17.64%	Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1651	60.16%	22.20%
4	2019-04-13	20.15	Rudar Velenje	4	1399	34.92%	@ Triglav	0	1382	38.00%	27.08%
5	2018-09-30	19.70	@ NS Mura	4	1449	15.03%	Maribor	1	1697	64.80%	20.16%
6	2019-05-11	19.01	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1649	24.64%	@ Maribor	0	1719	49.81%	25.56%
7	2019-02-24	18.59	@ Triglav	3	1364	25.69%	Aluminij	0	1477	48.45%	25.86%
8	2018-09-27	17.56	@ Triglav	3	1378	28.47%	NS Mura	0	1467	45.06%	26.47%
9	2019-03-17	16.88	@ Aluminij	4	1448	43.21%	Rudar Velenje	0	1427	30.08%	26.71%
10	2019-03-16	16.04	@ NS Mura	5	1468	52.95%	Krsko	0	1375	22.32%	24.73%
11	2018-08-18	15.57	@ Aluminij	3	1423	34.47%	Rudar Velenje	0	1464	38.46%	27.07%
12	2019-05-15	15.39	Domzale	4	1618	26.61%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1668	47.30%	26.09%
13	2018-07-22	15.30	Maribor	5	1640	54.50%	@ Rudar Velenje	0	1480	21.24%	24.26%
14	2019-05-10	14.95	@ Rudar Velenje	3	1419	36.48%	Aluminij	0	1445	36.41%	27.10%
15	2018-08-19	14.08	Maribor	3	1671	39.36%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1624	33.61%	27.03%
16	2019-03-16	13.89	@ Celje	4	1474	50.75%	Triglav	0	1397	23.92%	25.33%
17	2018-07-21	13.88	@ Gorica	2	1478	21.85%	Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1631	53.62%	24.53%
18	2018-11-04	13.22	Maribor	5	1682	58.90%	@ Celje	0	1486	18.40%	22.70%
19	2019-03-31	12.96	@ NS Mura	3	1484	43.09%	Aluminij	0	1465	30.18%	26.73%
20	2019-04-10	12.96	Celje	3	1485	43.08%	@ Rudar Velenje	0	1412	30.19%	26.73%
21	2019-05-22	12.51	Rudar Velenje	2	1437	26.83%	@ Celje	0	1485	47.03%	26.14%
22	2018-12-09	12.48	@ Aluminij	4	1464	37.01%	Celje	1	1487	35.89%	27.10%
23	2018-08-18	12.40	Triglav	3	1368	20.37%	@ Celje	1	1484	55.79%	23.84%
24	2018-10-28	12.13	@ Krsko	2	1384	28.34%	NS Mura	0	1474	45.22%	26.44%
25	2018-08-12	11.81	@ Maribor	5	1659	61.98%	Gorica	0	1491	16.58%	21.44%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2018-11-04	81.0	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	4	1650	49.25%	Domzale	4	1585	25.06%	25.68%
2	2019-05-18	78.3	@ Maribor	3	1704	79.31%	Triglav	3	1360	8.20%	12.49%
3	2019-04-07	76.4	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1648	69.45%	Rudar Velenje	3	1410	12.67%	17.87%
4	2018-09-22	75.9	@ Maribor	2	1693	55.16%	Domzale	2	1582	20.79%	24.05%
5	2019-04-28	75.7	@ NS Mura	2	1508	17.39%	Maribor	2	1718	60.59%	22.03%
6	2018-11-23	73.5	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1652	62.68%	NS Mura	2	1477	16.19%	21.13%
7	2018-09-27	73.2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1637	58.43%	Gorica	2	1499	18.68%	22.88%
8	2018-08-05	72.0	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1615	57.70%	Celje	2	1484	19.14%	23.16%
9	2019-03-30	70.5	@ Maribor	1	1711	68.03%	Celje	1	1487	13.37%	18.60%
10	2019-05-01	70.4	@ Maribor	1	1717	72.10%	Aluminij	1	1453	11.41%	16.49%
11	2018-10-06	70.3	@ Domzale	2	1586	55.97%	NS Mura	2	1469	20.25%	23.77%
12	2019-02-23	70.3	@ Maribor	1	1709	69.50%	NS Mura	1	1471	12.65%	17.85%
13	2019-05-05	69.6	@ NS Mura	3	1510	52.69%	Rudar Velenje	3	1418	22.50%	24.80%
14	2018-08-26	69.3	@ Maribor	1	1685	66.97%	Celje	1	1472	13.91%	19.13%
15	2018-10-27	68.0	Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1643	27.28%	@ Maribor	1	1688	46.48%	26.24%
16	2019-05-18	67.2	@ Domzale	1	1633	59.81%	Celje	1	1484	17.84%	22.34%
17	2019-05-25	67.0	@ Domzale	2	1637	30.96%	Maribor	1	1705	42.22%	26.82%
18	2018-09-02	66.4	@ Gorica	2	1496	42.84%	NS Mura	2	1478	30.41%	26.75%
19	2019-05-01	66.4	@ Domzale	1	1607	53.51%	NS Mura	1	1509	21.92%	24.56%
20	2018-07-27	66.3	@ Celje	2	1484	39.17%	Gorica	2	1492	33.79%	27.04%
21	2019-03-16	66.3	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1638	30.32%	Maribor	0	1711	42.94%	26.74%
22	2018-09-30	65.4	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1636	70.77%	Krsko	1	1386	12.04%	17.19%
23	2018-11-03	65.0	@ Gorica	2	1497	49.45%	Rudar Velenje	2	1430	24.91%	25.64%
24	2018-11-11	64.9	@ Domzale	1	1591	56.09%	Celje	1	1472	20.18%	23.73%
25	2019-03-09	64.7	@ Triglav	2	1389	14.45%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1647	65.91%	19.64%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2019-05-22	35.7	@ Maribor	2	1703	81.97%	Krsko	0	1325	7.07%	10.96%
2	2019-03-16	35.9	@ NS Mura	5	1468	52.95%	Krsko	0	1375	22.32%	24.73%
3	2019-05-11	36.0	NS Mura	3	1509	54.47%	@ Krsko	0	1349	21.26%	24.27%
4	2019-03-16	36.9	@ Celje	4	1474	50.75%	Triglav	0	1397	23.92%	25.33%
5	2018-11-24	37.1	@ Maribor	3	1698	76.83%	Krsko	0	1383	9.28%	13.89%
6	2018-08-12	37.2	Olimpija Ljubljana	4	1615	63.72%	@ Triglav	0	1377	15.62%	20.67%
7	2019-05-12	37.3	Celje	3	1477	48.49%	@ Triglav	0	1364	25.66%	25.85%
8	2018-09-26	38.6	Domzale	4	1582	57.60%	@ Krsko	0	1397	19.20%	23.20%
9	2018-10-21	38.6	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1640	71.60%	Triglav	0	1382	11.65%	16.75%
10	2019-03-17	39.3	@ Aluminij	4	1448	43.21%	Rudar Velenje	0	1427	30.08%	26.71%
11	2019-04-13	39.4	Rudar Velenje	4	1399	34.92%	@ Triglav	0	1382	38.00%	27.08%
12	2018-09-27	39.7	@ Maribor	3	1692	72.21%	Rudar Velenje	0	1427	11.36%	16.43%
13	2019-04-10	39.8	@ Domzale	6	1597	66.18%	Triglav	1	1391	14.31%	19.51%
14	2018-10-01	39.9	@ Aluminij	2	1436	45.94%	Triglav	0	1396	27.73%	26.33%
15	2018-07-22	40.0	@ Domzale	2	1612	66.35%	Krsko	0	1404	14.22%	19.43%
16	2018-09-02	40.2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	5	1615	62.86%	Rudar Velenje	0	1439	16.09%	21.05%
17	2019-04-10	40.6	Celje	3	1485	43.08%	@ Rudar Velenje	0	1412	30.19%	26.73%
18	2019-05-18	40.7	@ NS Mura	3	1523	51.03%	Gorica	0	1444	23.71%	25.26%
19	2019-03-10	41.5	@ Domzale	3	1600	59.20%	Aluminij	0	1456	18.21%	22.59%
20	2019-05-10	41.5	@ Rudar Velenje	3	1419	36.48%	Aluminij	0	1445	36.41%	27.10%
21	2018-11-24	41.8	@ Celje	2	1473	46.61%	Rudar Velenje	0	1428	27.17%	26.21%
22	2018-09-15	42.0	Maribor	2	1689	68.73%	@ Krsko	0	1405	13.03%	18.24%
23	2019-04-10	42.0	Maribor	1	1711	76.06%	@ Krsko	0	1351	9.62%	14.32%
24	2019-05-22	42.0	Domzale	4	1632	67.28%	@ Triglav	1	1362	13.75%	18.97%
25	2018-09-02	42.1	Maribor	5	1683	70.60%	@ Triglav	1	1381	12.12%	17.28%