2019-20 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Celje

69 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Celje

8.59 points above expected

69 points · 60.41 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rudar Velenje

18.25 points below expected

12 points · 30.25 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celje	36	19	12	5	69	74	36	+38	60.41	+8.59
2	Maribor	36	20	7	9	67	66	39	+27	64.83	+2.17
3	Olimpija Ljubljana	36	20	7	9	67	73	44	+29	66.95	+0.05
4	NS Mura	36	14	14	8	56	54	42	+12	56.41	-0.41
5	Aluminij	36	16	7	13	55	58	48	+10	53.65	+1.35
6	Bravo	36	13	10	13	49	50	53	-3	43.31	+5.69
7	Tabor Sezana	36	13	7	16	46	45	51	-6	41.03	+4.97
8	Domzale	36	12	7	17	43	52	64	-12	47.61	-4.61
9	Triglav	36	9	5	22	32	44	87	-43	32.29	-0.29
10	Rudar Velenje	36	0	12	24	12	28	80	-52	30.25	-18.25

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Celje	69	60.41	+8.59
2	Bravo	49	43.31	+5.69
3	Tabor Sezana	46	41.03	+4.97
4	Maribor	67	64.83	+2.17
5	Aluminij	55	53.65	+1.35

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Rudar Velenje	12	30.25	-18.25
2	Domzale	43	47.61	-4.61
3	NS Mura	56	56.41	-0.41
4	Triglav	32	32.29	-0.29
5	Olimpija Ljubljana	67	66.95	+0.05

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bravo	6	Mar 4 – Jun 20	1 in 2,151
2	Tabor Sezana	4	Jul 9 – Jul 19	1 in 81
3	Celje	4	Aug 11 – Sep 1	1 in 63
4	Maribor	6	Aug 25 – Sep 28	1 in 50
5	Triglav	2	Feb 22 – Feb 25	1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Triglav	7	Aug 4 – Sep 22	1 in 91
2	Rudar Velenje	8	Mar 8 – Jul 9	1 in 60
3	Domzale	3	Jul 21 – Aug 11	1 in 45
4	NS Mura	3	Jun 20 – Jul 5	1 in 33
5	Aluminij	3	Jun 5 – Jun 17	1 in 31

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bravo	11	Dec 5 – Jun 27	1 in 1,462
2	Aluminij	8	Jul 13 – Aug 31	1 in 47
3	NS Mura	9	Sep 12 – Nov 3	1 in 35
4	Celje	9	Nov 30 – Jun 13	1 in 16
5	Tabor Sezana	4	Feb 26 – Mar 8	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Rudar Velenje	36	Jul 14 – Jul 22	1 in 4,062
2	Domzale	8	Jul 14 – Sep 12	1 in 107
3	Olimpija Ljubljana	4	Dec 4 – Feb 29	1 in 44
4	Tabor Sezana	7	Oct 26 – Feb 23	1 in 16
5	NS Mura	4	Nov 10 – Dec 5	1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celje	1636	69	+19	11	10.3	+0.7
Maribor	1600	67	+4	9	8.4	+0.6
Olimpija Ljubljana	1547	67	-15	5	8.5	-3.5
NS Mura	1532	56	+11	9	9.1	-0.1
Aluminij	1441	55	-34	4	5.9	-1.9
Bravo	1478	49	-5	8	8.3	-0.3
Tabor Sezana	1448	46	+48	12	6.8	+5.2
Domzale	1459	43	+11	7	6.0	+1.0
Triglav	1278	32	-29	1	3.5	-2.5
Rudar Velenje	1219	12	-10	2	2.4	-0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ALU	BRA	CEL	DOM	MAR	NM	OL	RV	TS	TRI
Aluminij	—	2-1-1 6.56	0-2-2 4.93	2-1-1 5.97	0-0-4 4.14	2-1-1 4.98	2-0-2 4.00	3-1-0 7.81	2-1-1 6.85	3-0-1 7.60
Bravo	1-1-2 4.43	—	0-3-1 3.84	1-2-1 4.69	1-0-3 3.35	1-2-1 3.99	1-0-3 3.06	3-1-0 7.11	2-1-1 6.05	3-0-1 6.86
Celje	2-2-0 6.04	1-3-0 7.18	—	3-1-0 6.40	3-0-1 4.97	1-1-2 5.69	1-2-1 5.25	3-1-0 8.83	2-1-1 7.40	3-1-0 8.33
Domzale	1-1-2 5.00	1-2-1 6.29	0-1-3 4.61	—	0-0-4 3.79	1-1-2 4.76	1-0-3 4.11	3-1-0 7.67	2-0-2 6.90	3-1-0 7.61
Maribor	4-0-0 6.85	3-0-1 7.70	1-0-3 6.01	4-0-0 7.22	—	2-2-0 6.60	1-2-1 5.57	2-2-0 8.69	1-1-2 8.33	2-0-2 8.87
NS Mura	1-1-2 5.99	1-2-1 7.01	2-1-1 5.28	2-1-1 6.22	0-2-2 4.38	—	1-2-1 4.46	2-2-0 8.40	3-1-0 7.21	2-2-0 7.90
Olimpija Ljubljana	2-0-2 7.00	3-0-1 8.02	1-2-1 5.73	3-0-1 6.89	1-2-1 5.40	1-2-1 6.52	—	3-1-0 8.85	3-0-1 7.96	3-0-1 8.67
Rudar Velenje	0-1-3 3.26	0-1-3 3.93	0-1-3 2.36	0-1-3 3.37	0-2-2 2.47	0-2-2 2.71	0-1-3 2.33	—	0-2-2 3.95	0-1-3 5.42
Tabor Sezana	1-1-2 4.15	1-1-2 4.92	1-1-2 3.63	2-0-2 4.09	2-1-1 2.76	0-1-3 3.80	1-0-3 3.10	2-2-0 7.07	—	3-0-1 6.48
Triglav	1-0-3 3.44	1-0-3 4.13	0-1-3 2.80	0-1-3 3.42	2-0-2 2.30	0-2-2 3.17	1-0-3 2.47	3-1-0 5.55	1-0-3 4.50	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.91	+12.0
Allowed	0.82	-9.3
Differential	0.96	+5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	7.50%	5.00%	2.78%	0.83%	1.67%	23.33%
1	7.50%	12.22%	8.06%	3.89%	2.50%	0.56%	34.72%
2	5.00%	8.06%	5.56%	2.22%	1.67%	0.28%	22.78%
3	2.78%	3.89%	2.22%	1.11%	0.28%	0.56%	10.83%
4	0.83%	2.50%	1.67%	0.28%	—	—	5.28%
5+	1.67%	0.56%	0.28%	0.56%	—	—	3.06%
Total	23.33%	34.72%	22.78%	10.83%	5.28%	3.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.51	1.51	+0.00
SD	1.34	1.34	1.98
CV	0.89	0.89	—
Max	8	8	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
1	11.11%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	38.89%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	2.78%	13.89%
3	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	27.78%	33.33%	25.00%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	1.33	+0.28
SD	1.73	1.22	2.17
CV	1.07	0.91	—
Max	8	5	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	27.78%
1	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	33.33%
2	—	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	8.33%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	22.22%	38.89%	19.44%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.47	-0.08
SD	1.29	1.28	1.84
CV	0.93	0.87	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
1	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
2	16.67%	11.11%	19.44%	—	—	—	47.22%
3	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
Total	41.67%	27.78%	19.44%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.06	1.00	+1.06
SD	1.45	1.04	1.82
CV	0.71	1.04	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
1	8.33%	11.11%	19.44%	2.78%	8.33%	—	50.00%
2	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	19.44%
3	2.78%	—	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	19.44%	25.00%	33.33%	5.56%	13.89%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.78	-0.33
SD	1.08	1.38	1.59
CV	0.75	0.77	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	8.33%	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	36.11%
2	2.78%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
3	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	33.33%	36.11%	25.00%	—	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.83	1.08	+0.75
SD	1.42	1.05	1.89
CV	0.78	0.97	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	5.56%	22.22%	2.78%	—	—	—	30.56%
2	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	25.00%
3	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	52.78%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.17	+0.33
SD	1.13	0.97	1.20
CV	0.76	0.83	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	19.44%
1	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
2	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
Total	27.78%	41.67%	19.44%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.03	1.22	+0.81
SD	1.73	1.17	2.12
CV	0.85	0.96	—
Max	7	5	+6
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	8.33%	11.11%	—	8.33%	41.67%
1	—	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	—	41.67%
2	—	—	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	13.89%
3	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	2.78%	33.33%	25.00%	27.78%	2.78%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.78	2.22	-1.44
SD	0.80	1.33	1.58
CV	1.02	0.60	—
Max	3	6	+0
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	30.56%
1	8.33%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	30.56%
2	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	27.78%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	41.67%	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.42	-0.17
SD	1.13	1.11	1.68
CV	0.90	0.78	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	22.22%
1	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	44.44%
2	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	16.67%	25.00%	19.44%	11.11%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	2.42	-1.19
SD	0.93	1.95	2.24
CV	0.76	0.81	—
Max	3	8	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celje	1636	69	60.41	+8.59	82.0%	41	47	55	59	67	73	80
Maribor	1600	67	64.83	+2.17	60.0%	46	53	60	65	71	76	78
Olimpija Ljubljana	1547	67	66.95	+0.05	55.0%	51	57	63	66	71	79	85
NS Mura	1532	56	56.41	-0.41	53.0%	39	44	50	56	61	67	78
Bravo	1478	49	43.31	+5.69	82.0%	25	32	38	43	48	57	58
Domzale	1459	43	47.61	-4.61	26.0%	30	35	43	47	52	59	69
Tabor Sezana	1448	46	41.03	+4.97	77.0%	24	26	37	42	46	52	56
Aluminij	1441	55	53.65	+1.35	60.0%	37	42	48	54	58	66	71
Triglav	1278	32	32.29	-0.29	51.0%	16	21	28	32	37	42	52
Rudar Velenje	1219	12	30.25	-18.25	0.0%	16	19	26	30	35	42	47

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+5.56%

No Edge

40.56%24.44%35.00%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 19.32 Elo pts.

179 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.13 goals

Neutral

-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.1

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

17%

Celje, 3rd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.06/gm

Photo Finish

00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.75 * Some Luck: 5.75 to 8.63 * Lucky: 8.63 to 11.5 * Wild Swing: 11.5 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.85 * Close: 0.85 to 1.27 * Off: 1.27 to 1.69 * Way Off: 1.69 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.01 points

Some Luck

07.1918

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.80

Pinpoint

01.062.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

82.00%

Celje

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

0.00%

Rudar Velenje

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.

Gini Index

0.18

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 131.39

2.24

Wide Separation

11.82.052.75

Interquartile Edge

64%

Slight Edge

50%63.5%72%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

92%

Strong Edge

50%92%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Frequent

0%55%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Occasional

0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.37

Notable Separation

00.310.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.04

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.53

Some Carryover

00.420.630.791

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Chalky

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

19%

As Expected

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.58

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.06

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.099

Well Within Noise

00.1300.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Celje	17.00%	19.00%	29.00%	15.00%	12.00%	7.00%	—	1.00%	—	—
Maribor	31.00%	29.00%	20.00%	13.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—
Olimpija Ljubljana	44.00%	33.00%	14.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
NS Mura	7.00%	10.00%	20.00%	24.00%	18.00%	12.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
Aluminij	1.00%	8.00%	13.00%	25.00%	26.00%	14.00%	8.00%	5.00%	—	—
Bravo	—	—	—	7.00%	15.00%	13.00%	24.00%	27.00%	10.00%	4.00%
Tabor Sezana	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	7.00%	13.00%	28.00%	31.00%	11.00%	6.00%
Domzale	—	1.00%	3.00%	7.00%	15.00%	33.00%	23.00%	11.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Triglav	—	—	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	7.00%	12.00%	39.00%	39.00%
Rudar Velenje	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	11.00%	33.00%	50.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Aluminij	100%	—	—
Celje	100%	—	—
Maribor	100%	—	—
NS Mura	99.00%	1.00%	—
Olimpija Ljubljana	100%	—	—
Domzale	93.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Bravo	86.00%	10.00%	4.00%
Tabor Sezana	83.00%	11.00%	6.00%
Triglav	22.00%	39.00%	39.00%
Rudar Velenje	17.00%	33.00%	50.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2019-07-13	Aluminij	L 0-2	42.2	1401	1425	36.39%	25.92%	37.69%	-0.03	-18.2	0
2019-07-13	@ Tabor Sezana	W 2-0	42.2	1425	1401	37.69%	25.92%	36.39%	+0.03	+18.2	3
2019-07-13	Triglav	L 1-2	61.1	1570	1379	62.45%	22.52%	15.02%	+1.17	-14.2	0
2019-07-13	@ Maribor	W 2-1	61.1	1379	1570	15.02%	22.52%	62.45%	-1.17	+14.2	3
2019-07-14	NS Mura	D 2-2	64.4	1442	1478	34.79%	25.90%	39.31%	-0.09	+0.2	1
2019-07-14	@ Celje	D 2-2	64.4	1478	1442	39.31%	25.90%	34.79%	+0.09	-0.2	1
2019-07-14	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	43.5	1432	1540	25.72%	25.28%	49.00%	-0.49	-13.9	0
2019-07-14	@ Bravo	W 2-0	43.5	1540	1432	49.00%	25.28%	25.72%	+0.49	+13.8	3
2019-07-14	Rudar Velenje	D 2-2	66.6	1541	1429	54.27%	24.50%	21.23%	+0.74	-1.4	1
2019-07-14	@ Domzale	D 2-2	66.6	1429	1541	21.23%	24.50%	54.27%	-0.74	+1.4	1
2019-07-19	Triglav	W 2-1	48.0	1443	1393	46.63%	25.52%	27.85%	+0.39	+7.4	6
2019-07-19	@ Aluminij	L 1-2	48.0	1393	1443	27.85%	25.52%	46.63%	-0.39	-7.4	3
2019-07-20	Celje	W 1-0	47.3	1383	1443	31.54%	25.79%	42.67%	-0.22	+10.9	3
2019-07-20	@ Tabor Sezana	L 0-1	47.3	1443	1383	42.67%	25.79%	31.54%	+0.22	-10.9	1
2019-07-20	Maribor	D 1-1	61.7	1430	1555	23.79%	24.99%	51.22%	-0.59	+1.5	2
2019-07-20	@ Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	61.7	1555	1430	51.22%	24.99%	23.79%	+0.59	-1.5	1
2019-07-21	Bravo	W 4-3	57.5	1477	1418	47.78%	25.41%	26.82%	+0.44	+6.6	4
2019-07-21	@ NS Mura	L 3-4	57.5	1418	1477	26.82%	25.41%	47.78%	-0.44	-6.6	0
2019-07-21	Domzale	W 4-2	59.6	1553	1540	41.68%	25.83%	32.49%	+0.18	+12.9	6
2019-07-21	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-4	59.6	1540	1553	32.49%	25.83%	41.68%	-0.18	-12.9	1
2019-07-26	Aluminij	D 0-0	53.7	1432	1451	37.06%	25.92%	37.02%	+0.00	+0.0	2
2019-07-26	@ Celje	D 0-0	53.7	1451	1432	37.02%	25.92%	37.06%	+0.00	+0.0	7
2019-07-27	Rudar Velenje	W 3-2	56.6	1386	1431	33.36%	25.86%	40.77%	-0.15	+9.4	6
2019-07-27	@ Triglav	L 2-3	56.6	1431	1386	40.77%	25.86%	33.36%	+0.15	-9.4	2
2019-07-28	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	62.1	1554	1566	38.02%	25.92%	36.06%	+0.04	-0.1	2
2019-07-28	@ Maribor	D 0-0	62.1	1566	1554	36.06%	25.92%	38.02%	-0.04	+0.1	7
2019-07-28	Tabor Sezana	W 1-0	43.6	1412	1394	42.23%	25.81%	31.96%	+0.21	+8.7	3
2019-07-28	@ Bravo	L 0-1	43.6	1394	1412	31.96%	25.81%	42.23%	-0.21	-8.7	3
2019-08-02	Bravo	D 2-2	62.3	1432	1420	41.37%	25.84%	32.78%	+0.17	-0.3	3
2019-08-02	@ Celje	D 2-2	62.3	1420	1432	32.78%	25.84%	41.37%	-0.17	+0.3	4
2019-08-03	Maribor	D 1-1	63.4	1484	1554	30.22%	25.71%	44.08%	-0.28	+0.7	5
2019-08-03	@ NS Mura	D 1-1	63.4	1554	1484	44.08%	25.71%	30.22%	+0.28	-0.7	3
2019-08-03	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	57.5	1451	1422	43.78%	25.73%	30.49%	+0.27	-0.7	8
2019-08-03	@ Aluminij	D 1-1	57.5	1422	1451	30.49%	25.73%	43.78%	-0.27	+0.7	3
2019-08-04	Domzale	W 2-1	57.6	1385	1527	22.16%	24.70%	53.14%	-0.68	+12.3	6
2019-08-04	@ Tabor Sezana	L 1-2	57.6	1527	1385	53.14%	24.70%	22.16%	+0.68	-12.3	1
2019-08-04	Triglav	W 4-2	49.1	1566	1395	60.56%	23.07%	16.37%	+1.07	+7.1	10
2019-08-04	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-4	49.1	1395	1566	16.37%	23.07%	60.56%	-1.07	-7.2	6
2019-08-09	Aluminij	L 0-1	46.4	1421	1450	35.60%	25.91%	38.49%	-0.06	-9.5	4
2019-08-09	@ Bravo	W 1-0	46.4	1450	1421	38.49%	25.91%	35.60%	+0.06	+9.5	11
2019-08-10	NS Mura	L 1-3	45.9	1388	1485	26.94%	25.42%	47.64%	-0.43	-12.5	6
2019-08-10	@ Triglav	W 3-1	45.9	1485	1388	47.64%	25.42%	26.94%	+0.43	+12.5	8
2019-08-10	Tabor Sezana	W 4-2	49.2	1553	1398	58.92%	23.50%	17.57%	+0.98	+7.7	6
2019-08-10	@ Maribor	L 2-4	49.2	1398	1553	17.57%	23.50%	58.92%	-0.98	-7.7	6
2019-08-11	Celje	L 3-5	61.5	1515	1431	50.79%	25.05%	24.16%	+0.57	-17.4	1
2019-08-11	@ Domzale	W 5-3	61.5	1431	1515	24.16%	25.05%	50.79%	-0.57	+17.4	6
2019-08-11	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-3	40.7	1423	1574	21.27%	24.51%	54.22%	-0.74	-17.1	3
2019-08-11	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-0	40.7	1574	1423	54.22%	24.51%	21.27%	+0.74	+17.1	13
2019-08-17	Maribor	W 2-1	60.3	1449	1561	25.23%	25.21%	49.57%	-0.52	+11.6	9
2019-08-17	@ Celje	L 1-2	60.3	1561	1449	49.57%	25.21%	25.23%	+0.52	-11.6	6
2019-08-17	Triglav	W 2-0	39.6	1390	1376	41.82%	25.83%	32.36%	+0.19	+16.6	9
2019-08-17	@ Tabor Sezana	L 0-2	39.6	1376	1390	32.36%	25.83%	41.82%	-0.19	-16.6	6
2019-08-18	Domzale	D 0-0	54.7	1411	1497	28.20%	25.55%	46.25%	-0.37	+1.1	5
2019-08-18	@ Bravo	D 0-0	54.7	1497	1411	46.25%	25.55%	28.20%	+0.37	-1.1	2
2019-08-18	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	57.4	1460	1591	23.21%	24.89%	51.90%	-0.63	+12.8	14
2019-08-18	@ Aluminij	L 0-1	57.4	1591	1460	51.90%	24.89%	23.21%	+0.63	-12.8	13
2019-08-18	Rudar Velenje	W 2-0	40.2	1497	1406	51.81%	24.91%	23.29%	+0.62	+12.7	11
2019-08-18	@ NS Mura	L 0-2	40.2	1406	1497	23.29%	24.91%	51.81%	-0.62	-12.7	3
2019-08-24	NS Mura	D 1-1	65.3	1578	1510	48.88%	25.29%	25.83%	+0.49	-1.2	14
2019-08-24	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	65.3	1510	1578	25.83%	25.29%	48.88%	-0.49	+1.2	12
2019-08-25	Bravo	W 4-0	38.0	1549	1412	56.96%	23.96%	19.08%	+0.87	+20.2	9
2019-08-25	@ Maribor	L 0-4	38.0	1412	1549	19.08%	23.96%	56.96%	-0.87	-20.2	5
2019-08-25	Celje	L 0-6	37.4	1359	1460	26.41%	25.36%	48.23%	-0.46	-39.3	6
2019-08-25	@ Triglav	W 6-0	37.4	1460	1359	48.23%	25.36%	26.41%	+0.46	+39.3	12
2019-08-25	Tabor Sezana	D 2-2	61.0	1393	1407	37.83%	25.92%	36.26%	+0.03	-0.1	4
2019-08-25	@ Rudar Velenje	D 2-2	61.0	1407	1393	36.26%	25.92%	37.83%	-0.03	+0.1	10
2019-08-26	Aluminij	D 1-1	60.8	1496	1472	43.09%	25.77%	31.15%	+0.24	-0.6	3
2019-08-26	@ Domzale	D 1-1	60.8	1472	1496	31.15%	25.77%	43.09%	-0.24	+0.6	15
2019-08-30	Triglav	W 1-0	39.7	1392	1320	49.45%	25.22%	25.32%	+0.51	+7.2	8
2019-08-30	@ Bravo	L 0-1	39.7	1320	1392	25.32%	25.22%	49.45%	-0.51	-7.2	6
2019-08-31	NS Mura	W 2-0	48.3	1473	1511	34.38%	25.89%	39.72%	-0.11	+19.4	18
2019-08-31	@ Aluminij	L 0-2	48.3	1511	1473	39.72%	25.89%	34.38%	+0.11	-19.4	12
2019-08-31	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	49.9	1407	1577	19.56%	24.09%	56.35%	-0.84	-5.5	10
2019-08-31	@ Tabor Sezana	W 2-1	49.9	1577	1407	56.35%	24.09%	19.56%	+0.84	+5.5	17
2019-09-01	Maribor	L 0-1	51.5	1496	1569	29.71%	25.67%	44.62%	-0.30	-8.2	3
2019-09-01	@ Domzale	W 1-0	51.5	1569	1496	44.62%	25.67%	29.71%	+0.30	+8.2	12
2019-09-01	Rudar Velenje	W 3-0	37.2	1500	1393	53.59%	24.62%	21.79%	+0.71	+17.5	15
2019-09-01	@ Celje	L 0-3	37.2	1393	1500	21.79%	24.62%	53.59%	-0.71	-17.5	4
2019-09-12	NS Mura	D 0-0	57.1	1487	1492	39.16%	25.90%	34.94%	+0.08	-0.2	4
2019-09-12	@ Domzale	D 0-0	57.1	1492	1487	34.94%	25.90%	39.16%	-0.08	+0.2	13
2019-09-13	Bravo	L 1-4	44.0	1375	1399	36.38%	25.92%	37.70%	-0.03	-22.3	4
2019-09-13	@ Rudar Velenje	W 4-1	44.0	1399	1375	37.70%	25.92%	36.38%	+0.03	+22.3	11
2019-09-14	Aluminij	W 2-1	54.7	1578	1492	51.01%	25.02%	23.97%	+0.58	+6.5	15
2019-09-14	@ Maribor	L 1-2	54.7	1492	1578	23.97%	25.02%	51.01%	-0.58	-6.5	18
2019-09-15	Celje	D 2-2	71.0	1582	1517	48.52%	25.33%	26.15%	+0.47	-0.9	18
2019-09-15	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 2-2	71.0	1517	1582	26.15%	25.33%	48.52%	-0.47	+0.9	16
2019-09-15	Domzale	L 2-3	49.1	1312	1487	19.14%	23.98%	56.88%	-0.87	-5.1	6
2019-09-15	@ Triglav	W 3-2	49.1	1487	1312	56.88%	23.98%	19.14%	+0.87	+5.1	7
2019-09-15	Tabor Sezana	W 1-0	43.2	1492	1401	51.70%	24.92%	23.38%	+0.62	+6.8	16
2019-09-15	@ NS Mura	L 0-1	43.2	1401	1492	23.38%	24.92%	51.70%	-0.62	-6.8	10
2019-09-21	Tabor Sezana	W 3-0	37.4	1486	1395	51.78%	24.91%	23.31%	+0.62	+18.5	21
2019-09-21	@ Aluminij	L 0-3	37.4	1395	1486	23.31%	24.91%	51.78%	-0.62	-18.5	10
2019-09-22	Bravo	W 3-1	46.9	1581	1422	59.37%	23.39%	17.24%	+1.00	+8.4	21
2019-09-22	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	46.9	1422	1581	17.24%	23.39%	59.37%	-1.00	-8.4	11
2019-09-22	Celje	W 1-0	52.0	1499	1518	37.06%	25.92%	37.01%	+0.00	+9.8	19
2019-09-22	@ NS Mura	L 0-1	52.0	1518	1499	37.01%	25.92%	37.06%	+0.00	-9.8	16
2019-09-22	Domzale	L 2-3	51.4	1353	1492	22.41%	24.75%	52.85%	-0.67	-5.8	4
2019-09-22	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-2	51.4	1492	1353	52.85%	24.75%	22.41%	+0.67	+5.8	10
2019-09-22	Maribor	L 1-3	40.7	1307	1584	12.17%	21.03%	66.80%	-1.44	-5.9	6
2019-09-22	@ Triglav	W 3-1	40.7	1584	1307	66.80%	21.03%	12.17%	+1.44	+5.9	18
2019-09-25	NS Mura	D 3-3	68.7	1413	1509	27.09%	25.44%	47.47%	-0.43	+0.7	12
2019-09-25	@ Bravo	D 3-3	68.7	1509	1413	47.47%	25.44%	27.09%	+0.43	-0.7	20
2019-09-25	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-4	51.2	1498	1590	27.54%	25.48%	46.98%	-0.40	-17.9	10
2019-09-25	@ Domzale	W 4-1	51.2	1590	1498	46.98%	25.48%	27.54%	+0.40	+17.9	24
2019-09-25	Rudar Velenje	W 5-0	34.5	1590	1347	67.20%	20.88%	11.92%	+1.47	+15.6	21
2019-09-25	@ Maribor	L 0-5	34.5	1347	1590	11.92%	20.88%	67.20%	-1.47	-15.6	4
2019-09-26	Aluminij	W 1-0	51.2	1301	1504	16.87%	23.26%	59.87%	-1.03	+14.5	9
2019-09-26	@ Triglav	L 0-1	51.2	1504	1301	59.87%	23.26%	16.87%	+1.03	-14.5	21
2019-09-26	Tabor Sezana	W 2-0	38.2	1508	1376	56.45%	24.07%	19.47%	+0.85	+10.9	19
2019-09-26	@ Celje	L 0-2	38.2	1376	1508	19.47%	24.07%	56.45%	-0.85	-10.9	10
2019-09-28	Domzale	W 3-0	43.6	1508	1480	43.65%	25.73%	30.62%	+0.26	+23.1	23
2019-09-28	@ NS Mura	L 0-3	43.6	1480	1508	30.62%	25.73%	43.65%	-0.26	-23.2	10
2019-09-28	Maribor	L 2-4	65.2	1607	1606	40.06%	25.88%	34.05%	+0.12	-15.2	24
2019-09-28	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 4-2	65.2	1606	1607	34.05%	25.88%	40.06%	-0.12	+15.1	24
2019-09-29	Bravo	W 3-1	47.9	1365	1414	32.95%	25.85%	41.20%	-0.16	+17.3	13
2019-09-29	@ Tabor Sezana	L 1-3	47.9	1414	1365	41.20%	25.85%	32.95%	+0.16	-17.3	12
2019-09-29	Triglav	D 1-1	53.3	1332	1316	41.99%	25.82%	32.19%	+0.20	-0.5	5
2019-09-29	@ Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	53.3	1316	1332	32.19%	25.82%	41.99%	-0.20	+0.5	10
2019-09-30	Celje	D 0-0	58.2	1490	1519	35.65%	25.91%	38.44%	-0.05	+0.2	22
2019-09-30	@ Aluminij	D 0-0	58.2	1519	1490	38.44%	25.91%	35.65%	+0.05	-0.2	20
2019-10-05	Celje	D 2-2	64.5	1396	1519	24.11%	25.04%	50.85%	-0.58	+1.1	13
2019-10-05	@ Bravo	D 2-2	64.5	1519	1396	50.85%	25.04%	24.11%	+0.58	-1.1	21
2019-10-05	NS Mura	D 0-0	63.3	1621	1531	51.57%	24.94%	23.49%	+0.61	-1.7	25
2019-10-05	@ Maribor	D 0-0	63.3	1531	1621	23.49%	24.94%	51.57%	-0.61	+1.7	24
2019-10-05	Tabor Sezana	W 1-0	42.2	1457	1382	49.70%	25.19%	25.11%	+0.52	+7.2	13
2019-10-05	@ Domzale	L 0-1	42.2	1382	1457	25.11%	25.19%	49.70%	-0.52	-7.2	13
2019-10-06	Aluminij	L 1-2	45.1	1331	1490	20.52%	24.34%	55.14%	-0.78	-5.7	5
2019-10-06	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	45.1	1490	1331	55.14%	24.34%	20.52%	+0.78	+5.7	25
2019-10-06	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-3	49.2	1316	1592	12.21%	21.06%	66.73%	-1.44	-3.2	10
2019-10-06	@ Triglav	W 3-2	49.2	1592	1316	66.73%	21.06%	12.21%	+1.44	+3.2	27
2019-10-19	Domzale	W 2-1	52.7	1518	1464	47.08%	25.48%	27.45%	+0.41	+7.3	24
2019-10-19	@ Celje	L 1-2	52.7	1464	1518	27.45%	25.48%	47.08%	-0.41	-7.3	13
2019-10-19	Rudar Velenje	W 6-0	34.0	1596	1325	69.50%	19.95%	10.56%	+1.62	+16.3	30
2019-10-19	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-6	34.0	1325	1596	10.56%	19.95%	69.50%	-1.62	-16.3	5
2019-10-19	Triglav	D 2-2	63.4	1533	1313	65.16%	21.63%	13.21%	+1.34	-2.2	25
2019-10-19	@ NS Mura	D 2-2	63.4	1313	1533	13.21%	21.63%	65.16%	-1.34	+2.2	11
2019-10-20	Bravo	W 5-1	41.1	1496	1398	52.59%	24.79%	22.63%	+0.66	+19.6	28
2019-10-20	@ Aluminij	L 1-5	41.1	1398	1496	22.63%	24.79%	52.59%	-0.66	-19.6	13
2019-10-20	Maribor	W 4-1	57.7	1375	1619	14.08%	22.09%	63.83%	-1.26	+35.4	16
2019-10-20	@ Tabor Sezana	L 1-4	57.7	1619	1375	63.83%	22.09%	14.08%	+1.26	-35.4	25
2019-10-26	Aluminij	W 3-1	53.3	1612	1515	52.37%	24.82%	22.81%	+0.65	+10.8	33
2019-10-26	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	53.3	1515	1612	22.81%	24.82%	52.37%	-0.65	-10.8	28
2019-10-26	Celje	W 1-0	52.0	1584	1525	47.69%	25.42%	26.90%	+0.44	+7.6	28
2019-10-26	@ Maribor	L 0-1	52.0	1525	1584	26.90%	25.42%	47.69%	-0.44	-7.6	24
2019-10-26	Tabor Sezana	W 3-2	56.7	1315	1411	27.11%	25.44%	47.45%	-0.43	+10.6	14
2019-10-26	@ Triglav	L 2-3	56.7	1411	1315	47.45%	25.44%	27.11%	+0.43	-10.6	16
2019-10-27	Bravo	W 2-0	38.6	1457	1378	50.24%	25.12%	24.63%	+0.55	+13.4	16
2019-10-27	@ Domzale	L 0-2	38.6	1378	1457	24.63%	25.12%	50.24%	-0.55	-13.4	13
2019-10-27	NS Mura	L 1-2	43.6	1309	1530	15.56%	22.75%	61.69%	-1.13	-4.4	5
2019-10-27	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	43.6	1530	1309	61.69%	22.75%	15.56%	+1.13	+4.4	28
2019-11-02	Maribor	L 0-1	42.2	1365	1591	15.20%	22.60%	62.20%	-1.16	-4.5	13
2019-11-02	@ Bravo	W 1-0	42.2	1591	1365	62.20%	22.60%	15.20%	+1.16	+4.5	31
2019-11-02	Triglav	W 4-0	32.5	1517	1326	62.54%	22.50%	14.96%	+1.18	+16.0	27
2019-11-02	@ Celje	L 0-4	32.5	1326	1517	14.96%	22.50%	62.54%	-1.18	-16.0	14
2019-11-03	Domzale	W 4-2	54.4	1505	1470	44.54%	25.68%	29.78%	+0.30	+12.1	31
2019-11-03	@ Aluminij	L 2-4	54.4	1470	1505	29.78%	25.68%	44.54%	-0.30	-12.1	16
2019-11-03	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 3-1	61.5	1535	1623	27.99%	25.53%	46.48%	-0.38	+19.1	31
2019-11-03	@ NS Mura	L 1-3	61.5	1623	1535	46.48%	25.53%	27.99%	+0.38	-19.1	33
2019-11-03	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	54.2	1400	1305	52.24%	24.84%	22.92%	+0.64	-1.6	17
2019-11-03	@ Tabor Sezana	D 1-1	54.2	1305	1400	22.92%	24.84%	52.24%	-0.64	+1.6	6
2019-11-09	Celje	D 3-3	67.1	1306	1534	15.16%	22.58%	62.26%	-1.16	+1.7	7
2019-11-09	@ Rudar Velenje	D 3-3	67.1	1534	1306	62.26%	22.58%	15.16%	+1.16	-1.7	28
2019-11-09	Domzale	W 4-1	47.0	1596	1458	57.06%	23.94%	19.00%	+0.88	+13.0	34
2019-11-09	@ Maribor	L 1-4	47.0	1458	1596	19.00%	23.94%	57.06%	-0.88	-13.0	16
2019-11-10	Aluminij	L 2-4	62.5	1554	1517	44.91%	25.65%	29.44%	+0.32	-16.6	31
2019-11-10	@ NS Mura	W 4-2	62.5	1517	1554	29.44%	25.65%	44.91%	-0.32	+16.6	34
2019-11-10	Bravo	W 1-0	44.2	1310	1360	32.76%	25.84%	41.39%	-0.17	+10.6	17
2019-11-10	@ Triglav	L 0-1	44.2	1360	1310	41.39%	25.84%	32.76%	+0.17	-10.6	13
2019-11-10	Tabor Sezana	W 2-0	40.2	1604	1398	63.84%	22.08%	14.08%	+1.26	+7.9	36
2019-11-10	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	40.2	1398	1604	14.08%	22.08%	63.84%	-1.26	-7.9	17
2019-11-23	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	55.9	1532	1612	28.96%	25.62%	45.42%	-0.34	-13.2	28
2019-11-23	@ Celje	W 3-1	55.9	1612	1532	45.42%	25.62%	28.96%	+0.34	+13.2	39
2019-11-23	Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	45.3	1349	1308	45.46%	25.61%	28.93%	+0.34	+7.6	16
2019-11-23	@ Bravo	L 1-2	45.3	1308	1349	28.93%	25.61%	45.46%	-0.34	-7.6	7
2019-11-23	Triglav	W 3-0	33.4	1445	1321	55.60%	24.25%	20.15%	+0.80	+16.3	19
2019-11-23	@ Domzale	L 0-3	33.4	1321	1445	20.15%	24.25%	55.60%	-0.80	-16.3	17
2019-11-24	Maribor	L 0-2	50.6	1533	1609	29.49%	25.66%	44.86%	-0.31	-15.5	34
2019-11-24	@ Aluminij	W 2-0	50.6	1609	1533	44.86%	25.66%	29.49%	+0.31	+15.5	37
2019-11-24	NS Mura	D 1-1	59.7	1390	1537	21.65%	24.59%	53.76%	-0.71	+1.8	18
2019-11-24	@ Tabor Sezana	D 1-1	59.7	1537	1390	53.76%	24.59%	21.65%	+0.71	-1.8	32
2019-11-30	Aluminij	D 1-1	59.0	1392	1518	23.78%	24.99%	51.23%	-0.59	+1.5	19
2019-11-30	@ Tabor Sezana	D 1-1	59.0	1518	1392	51.23%	24.99%	23.78%	+0.59	-1.5	35
2019-11-30	NS Mura	W 1-0	53.3	1519	1536	37.37%	25.92%	36.71%	+0.01	+9.7	31
2019-11-30	@ Celje	L 0-1	53.3	1536	1519	36.71%	25.92%	37.37%	-0.01	-9.7	32
2019-11-30	Triglav	L 0-2	54.1	1624	1304	73.35%	18.19%	8.47%	+1.90	-32.3	37
2019-11-30	@ Maribor	W 2-0	54.1	1304	1624	8.47%	18.19%	73.35%	-1.90	+32.3	20
2019-12-01	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	47.0	1357	1625	12.66%	21.33%	66.01%	-1.39	-3.6	16
2019-12-01	@ Bravo	W 2-1	47.0	1625	1357	66.01%	21.33%	12.66%	+1.39	+3.5	42
2019-12-01	Rudar Velenje	W 2-1	42.5	1461	1300	59.50%	23.36%	17.14%	+1.01	+4.8	22
2019-12-01	@ Domzale	L 1-2	42.5	1300	1461	17.14%	23.36%	59.50%	-1.01	-4.8	7
2019-12-04	Celje	L 0-4	38.0	1394	1528	22.85%	24.83%	52.32%	-0.65	-23.8	19
2019-12-04	@ Tabor Sezana	W 4-0	38.0	1528	1394	52.32%	24.83%	22.85%	+0.65	+23.8	34
2019-12-04	Domzale	L 0-1	60.8	1628	1466	59.64%	23.32%	17.04%	+1.02	-14.5	42
2019-12-04	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	60.8	1466	1628	17.04%	23.32%	59.64%	-1.02	+14.5	25
2019-12-04	Maribor	D 1-1	59.6	1296	1592	11.16%	20.37%	68.47%	-1.55	+3.3	8
2019-12-04	@ Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	59.6	1592	1296	68.47%	20.37%	11.16%	+1.55	-3.3	38
2019-12-04	Triglav	W 8-1	36.3	1516	1337	61.40%	22.84%	15.77%	+1.11	+23.5	38
2019-12-04	@ Aluminij	L 1-8	36.3	1337	1516	15.77%	22.84%	61.40%	-1.11	-23.5	20
2019-12-05	Bravo	D 1-1	58.6	1526	1353	60.67%	23.04%	16.28%	+1.07	-2.5	33
2019-12-05	@ NS Mura	D 1-1	58.6	1353	1526	16.28%	23.04%	60.67%	-1.07	+2.5	17
2020-02-22	Aluminij	W 2-0	50.1	1552	1540	41.51%	25.84%	32.65%	+0.18	+16.8	37
2020-02-22	@ Celje	L 0-2	50.1	1540	1552	32.65%	25.84%	41.51%	-0.18	-16.8	38
2020-02-22	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	68.3	1589	1614	36.19%	25.92%	37.89%	-0.03	+0.1	39
2020-02-22	@ Maribor	D 1-1	68.3	1614	1589	37.89%	25.92%	36.19%	+0.03	-0.1	43
2020-02-22	Rudar Velenje	W 3-0	35.6	1313	1299	41.77%	25.83%	32.40%	+0.19	+24.2	23
2020-02-22	@ Triglav	L 0-3	35.6	1299	1313	32.40%	25.83%	41.77%	-0.19	-24.2	8
2020-02-23	NS Mura	L 1-2	55.5	1481	1523	33.75%	25.88%	40.37%	-0.13	-8.6	25
2020-02-23	@ Domzale	W 2-1	55.5	1523	1481	40.37%	25.88%	33.75%	+0.13	+8.6	36
2020-02-23	Tabor Sezana	W 2-1	48.4	1356	1370	37.81%	25.92%	36.27%	+0.03	+9.1	20
2020-02-23	@ Bravo	L 1-2	48.4	1370	1356	36.27%	25.92%	37.81%	-0.03	-9.1	19
2020-02-25	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	35.8	1523	1275	67.68%	20.69%	11.63%	+1.50	+3.5	41
2020-02-25	@ Aluminij	L 0-1	35.8	1275	1523	11.63%	20.69%	67.68%	-1.50	-3.5	8
2020-02-25	Triglav	L 0-2	54.3	1614	1337	70.01%	19.73%	10.27%	+1.66	-31.2	43
2020-02-25	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-0	54.3	1337	1614	10.27%	19.73%	70.01%	-1.66	+31.2	26
2020-02-26	Bravo	D 2-2	66.0	1569	1365	63.71%	22.13%	14.17%	+1.25	-2.1	38
2020-02-26	@ Celje	D 2-2	66.0	1365	1569	14.17%	22.13%	63.71%	-1.25	+2.1	21
2020-02-26	Domzale	W 2-1	54.3	1361	1472	25.32%	25.22%	49.46%	-0.51	+11.6	22
2020-02-26	@ Tabor Sezana	L 1-2	54.3	1472	1361	49.46%	25.22%	25.32%	+0.51	-11.6	25
2020-02-26	Maribor	L 1-2	59.0	1532	1589	31.88%	25.80%	42.31%	-0.21	-8.2	36
2020-02-26	@ NS Mura	W 2-1	59.0	1589	1532	42.31%	25.80%	31.88%	+0.21	+8.2	42
2020-02-29	Aluminij	D 0-0	54.5	1367	1527	20.49%	24.33%	55.18%	-0.78	+2.2	22
2020-02-29	@ Bravo	D 0-0	54.5	1527	1367	55.18%	24.33%	20.49%	+0.78	-2.2	42
2020-02-29	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	58.8	1271	1583	10.44%	19.86%	69.70%	-1.63	+3.5	9
2020-02-29	@ Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	58.8	1583	1271	69.70%	19.86%	10.44%	+1.63	-3.5	44
2020-02-29	Tabor Sezana	D 0-0	58.0	1597	1372	65.59%	21.48%	12.93%	+1.36	-3.4	43
2020-02-29	@ Maribor	D 0-0	58.0	1372	1597	12.93%	21.48%	65.59%	-1.36	+3.4	23
2020-03-01	Celje	D 1-1	63.1	1460	1567	25.85%	25.29%	48.86%	-0.49	+1.2	26
2020-03-01	@ Domzale	D 1-1	63.1	1567	1460	48.86%	25.29%	25.85%	+0.49	-1.2	39
2020-03-01	NS Mura	D 1-1	58.5	1368	1524	20.86%	24.42%	54.72%	-0.76	+1.9	27
2020-03-01	@ Triglav	D 1-1	58.5	1524	1368	54.72%	24.42%	20.86%	+0.76	-1.9	37
2020-03-03	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	58.6	1524	1579	32.14%	25.82%	42.04%	-0.20	-8.3	42
2020-03-03	@ Aluminij	W 2-1	58.6	1579	1524	42.04%	25.82%	32.14%	+0.20	+8.3	47
2020-03-04	Domzale	W 2-1	53.6	1369	1462	27.46%	25.48%	47.06%	-0.41	+11.1	25
2020-03-04	@ Bravo	L 1-2	53.6	1462	1369	47.06%	25.48%	27.46%	+0.41	-11.1	26
2020-03-04	Maribor	W 2-0	53.8	1565	1594	35.80%	25.92%	38.29%	-0.05	+18.9	42
2020-03-04	@ Celje	L 0-2	53.8	1594	1565	38.29%	25.92%	35.80%	+0.05	-18.9	43
2020-03-04	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	57.1	1522	1275	67.57%	20.73%	11.69%	+1.49	-3.3	38
2020-03-04	@ NS Mura	D 1-1	57.1	1275	1522	11.69%	20.73%	67.57%	-1.49	+3.3	10
2020-03-05	Triglav	W 3-1	45.0	1376	1370	40.58%	25.87%	33.55%	+0.14	+14.8	26
2020-03-05	@ Tabor Sezana	L 1-3	45.0	1370	1376	33.55%	25.87%	40.58%	-0.14	-14.8	27
2020-03-07	Aluminij	L 1-3	50.3	1451	1516	30.74%	25.74%	43.52%	-0.26	-13.8	26
2020-03-07	@ Domzale	W 3-1	50.3	1516	1451	43.52%	25.74%	30.74%	+0.26	+13.9	45
2020-03-07	Bravo	L 1-2	61.4	1575	1380	62.79%	22.42%	14.79%	+1.19	-14.2	43
2020-03-07	@ Maribor	W 2-1	61.4	1380	1575	14.79%	22.42%	62.79%	-1.19	+14.3	28
2020-03-08	Celje	L 0-5	36.0	1356	1584	15.05%	22.53%	62.42%	-1.17	-19.9	27
2020-03-08	@ Triglav	W 5-0	36.0	1584	1356	62.42%	22.53%	15.05%	+1.17	+19.9	45
2020-03-08	NS Mura	W 1-0	51.5	1587	1519	49.00%	25.28%	25.72%	+0.49	+7.3	50
2020-03-08	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	51.5	1519	1587	25.72%	25.28%	49.00%	-0.49	-7.3	38
2020-03-08	Tabor Sezana	L 0-1	39.1	1278	1391	25.14%	25.20%	49.66%	-0.52	-7.2	10
2020-03-08	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	39.1	1391	1278	49.66%	25.20%	25.14%	+0.52	+7.2	29
2020-06-05	NS Mura	L 1-3	56.6	1530	1511	42.39%	25.80%	31.81%	+0.21	-17.7	45
2020-06-05	@ Aluminij	W 3-1	56.6	1511	1530	31.81%	25.80%	42.39%	-0.21	+17.7	41
2020-06-05	Rudar Velenje	W 2-0	32.6	1604	1271	74.33%	17.70%	7.97%	+1.97	+4.3	48
2020-06-05	@ Celje	L 0-2	32.6	1271	1604	7.97%	17.70%	74.33%	-1.97	-4.3	10
2020-06-06	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-3	39.1	1398	1595	17.35%	23.43%	59.22%	-0.99	-14.2	29
2020-06-06	@ Tabor Sezana	W 3-0	39.1	1595	1398	59.22%	23.43%	17.35%	+0.99	+14.2	53
2020-06-07	Maribor	L 1-2	52.1	1437	1560	23.97%	25.02%	51.01%	-0.58	-6.5	26
2020-06-07	@ Domzale	W 2-1	52.1	1560	1437	51.01%	25.02%	23.97%	+0.58	+6.5	46
2020-06-07	Triglav	W 1-0	40.5	1395	1336	47.77%	25.41%	26.82%	+0.44	+7.6	31
2020-06-07	@ Bravo	L 0-1	40.5	1336	1395	26.82%	25.41%	47.77%	-0.44	-7.6	27
2020-06-12	Bravo	L 1-3	40.4	1267	1402	22.73%	24.81%	52.47%	-0.65	-10.8	10
2020-06-12	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-1	40.4	1402	1267	52.47%	24.81%	22.73%	+0.65	+10.8	34
2020-06-12	Domzale	D 1-1	54.9	1328	1430	26.33%	25.35%	48.32%	-0.46	+1.2	28
2020-06-12	@ Triglav	D 1-1	54.9	1430	1328	48.32%	25.35%	26.33%	+0.46	-1.2	27
2020-06-13	Celje	L 0-1	58.9	1609	1608	39.85%	25.89%	34.26%	+0.11	-10.3	53
2020-06-13	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	58.9	1608	1609	34.26%	25.89%	39.85%	-0.11	+10.3	51
2020-06-13	Tabor Sezana	W 3-2	52.0	1529	1384	57.86%	23.76%	18.38%	+0.92	+4.9	44
2020-06-13	@ NS Mura	L 2-3	52.0	1384	1529	18.38%	23.76%	57.86%	-0.92	-4.9	29
2020-06-14	Aluminij	W 3-0	45.8	1567	1512	47.20%	25.46%	27.34%	+0.41	+21.2	49
2020-06-14	@ Maribor	L 0-3	45.8	1512	1567	27.34%	25.46%	47.20%	-0.41	-21.2	45
2020-06-16	Celje	W 3-1	61.3	1534	1619	28.32%	25.56%	46.11%	-0.37	+19.0	47
2020-06-16	@ NS Mura	L 1-3	61.3	1619	1534	46.11%	25.56%	28.32%	+0.37	-18.9	51
2020-06-17	Bravo	L 0-5	52.8	1599	1413	61.96%	22.67%	15.37%	+1.15	-65.9	53
2020-06-17	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 5-0	52.8	1413	1599	15.37%	22.67%	61.96%	-1.15	+65.9	37
2020-06-17	Domzale	L 2-3	47.2	1256	1429	19.26%	24.02%	56.72%	-0.86	-5.1	10
2020-06-17	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-2	47.2	1429	1256	56.72%	24.02%	19.26%	+0.86	+5.1	30
2020-06-17	Tabor Sezana	L 0-2	48.3	1491	1379	54.22%	24.51%	21.27%	+0.74	-25.1	45
2020-06-17	@ Aluminij	W 2-0	48.3	1379	1491	21.27%	24.51%	54.22%	-0.74	+25.1	32
2020-06-18	Maribor	L 1-3	42.0	1329	1588	13.17%	21.61%	65.21%	-1.34	-6.4	28
2020-06-18	@ Triglav	W 3-1	42.0	1588	1329	65.21%	21.61%	13.17%	+1.34	+6.4	52
2020-06-20	NS Mura	W 1-0	54.7	1479	1553	29.71%	25.67%	44.62%	-0.30	+11.3	40
2020-06-20	@ Bravo	L 0-1	54.7	1553	1479	44.62%	25.67%	29.71%	+0.30	-11.3	47
2020-06-20	Tabor Sezana	D 1-1	63.1	1600	1404	62.97%	22.36%	14.67%	+1.20	-2.8	52
2020-06-20	@ Celje	D 1-1	63.1	1404	1600	14.67%	22.36%	62.97%	-1.20	+2.8	33
2020-06-21	Aluminij	L 1-4	39.6	1323	1466	22.00%	24.67%	53.33%	-0.69	-14.8	28
2020-06-21	@ Triglav	W 4-1	39.6	1466	1323	53.33%	24.67%	22.00%	+0.69	+14.8	48
2020-06-21	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	46.9	1434	1533	26.72%	25.40%	47.88%	-0.44	-7.6	30
2020-06-21	@ Domzale	W 1-0	46.9	1533	1434	47.88%	25.40%	26.72%	+0.44	+7.6	56
2020-06-21	Rudar Velenje	W 3-0	29.4	1594	1251	75.07%	17.32%	7.61%	+2.03	+5.9	55
2020-06-21	@ Maribor	L 0-3	29.4	1251	1594	7.61%	17.32%	75.07%	-2.03	-5.9	10
2020-06-26	Triglav	L 0-1	40.2	1245	1308	31.04%	25.76%	43.20%	-0.25	-8.5	10
2020-06-26	@ Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	40.2	1308	1245	43.20%	25.76%	31.04%	+0.25	+8.5	31
2020-06-27	Bravo	D 0-0	54.3	1407	1490	28.49%	25.58%	45.93%	-0.36	+1.0	34
2020-06-27	@ Tabor Sezana	D 0-0	54.3	1490	1407	45.93%	25.58%	28.49%	+0.36	-1.0	41
2020-06-27	Celje	L 0-2	47.0	1481	1597	24.76%	25.14%	50.10%	-0.54	-13.4	48
2020-06-27	@ Aluminij	W 2-0	47.0	1597	1481	50.10%	25.14%	24.76%	+0.54	+13.4	55
2020-06-28	Domzale	L 0-1	55.0	1541	1426	54.54%	24.45%	21.01%	+0.75	-13.4	47
2020-06-28	@ NS Mura	W 1-0	55.0	1426	1541	21.01%	24.45%	54.54%	-0.75	+13.4	33
2020-06-28	Maribor	W 1-0	57.9	1540	1600	31.45%	25.78%	42.77%	-0.23	+10.9	59
2020-06-28	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	57.9	1600	1540	42.77%	25.78%	31.45%	+0.23	-10.9	55
2020-07-03	Celje	L 1-2	55.8	1489	1611	24.23%	25.06%	50.71%	-0.57	-6.6	41
2020-07-03	@ Bravo	W 2-1	55.8	1611	1489	50.71%	25.06%	24.23%	+0.57	+6.6	58
2020-07-03	Tabor Sezana	W 2-1	49.0	1440	1408	44.22%	25.70%	30.08%	+0.29	+7.9	36
2020-07-03	@ Domzale	L 1-2	49.0	1408	1440	30.08%	25.70%	44.22%	-0.29	-7.9	34
2020-07-04	Aluminij	L 1-3	37.8	1236	1467	14.89%	22.46%	62.65%	-1.19	-7.3	10
2020-07-04	@ Rudar Velenje	W 3-1	37.8	1467	1236	62.65%	22.46%	14.89%	+1.19	+7.3	51
2020-07-05	NS Mura	W 3-2	62.2	1589	1528	48.05%	25.38%	26.57%	+0.45	+6.8	58
2020-07-05	@ Maribor	L 2-3	62.2	1528	1589	26.57%	25.38%	48.05%	-0.45	-6.8	47
2020-07-05	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 3-7	40.0	1316	1551	14.66%	22.36%	62.98%	-1.21	-10.1	31
2020-07-05	@ Triglav	W 7-3	40.0	1551	1316	62.98%	22.36%	14.66%	+1.21	+10.1	62
2020-07-07	Domzale	W 4-1	46.4	1617	1448	60.37%	23.13%	16.51%	+1.06	+11.4	61
2020-07-07	@ Celje	L 1-4	46.4	1448	1617	16.51%	23.13%	60.37%	-1.06	-11.4	36
2020-07-08	Bravo	L 1-2	55.3	1475	1483	38.65%	25.91%	35.43%	+0.06	-9.5	51
2020-07-08	@ Aluminij	W 2-1	55.3	1483	1475	35.43%	25.91%	38.65%	-0.06	+9.5	44
2020-07-08	Triglav	W 2-0	34.1	1521	1306	64.74%	21.78%	13.48%	+1.31	+7.6	50
2020-07-08	@ NS Mura	L 0-2	34.1	1306	1521	13.48%	21.78%	64.74%	-1.31	-7.6	31
2020-07-09	Maribor	W 4-1	56.8	1400	1596	17.39%	23.44%	59.17%	-0.99	+33.2	37
2020-07-09	@ Tabor Sezana	L 1-4	56.8	1596	1400	59.17%	23.44%	17.39%	+0.99	-33.2	58
2020-07-09	Rudar Velenje	W 5-0	28.1	1561	1229	74.26%	17.74%	8.01%	+1.97	+10.0	65
2020-07-09	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-5	28.1	1229	1561	8.01%	17.74%	74.26%	-1.97	-10.1	10
2020-07-11	Bravo	D 1-1	59.3	1436	1492	31.99%	25.81%	42.20%	-0.20	+0.5	37
2020-07-11	@ Domzale	D 1-1	59.3	1492	1436	42.20%	25.81%	31.99%	+0.20	-0.5	45
2020-07-12	Aluminij	L 0-1	57.3	1571	1465	53.52%	24.63%	21.85%	+0.70	-13.2	65
2020-07-12	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	57.3	1465	1571	21.85%	24.63%	53.52%	-0.70	+13.2	54
2020-07-12	Celje	L 1-2	60.6	1563	1628	30.75%	25.74%	43.51%	-0.26	-8.0	58
2020-07-12	@ Maribor	W 2-1	60.6	1628	1563	43.51%	25.74%	30.75%	+0.26	+8.0	64
2020-07-12	Tabor Sezana	L 1-2	44.1	1299	1433	22.88%	24.83%	52.29%	-0.64	-6.3	31
2020-07-12	@ Triglav	W 2-1	44.1	1433	1299	52.29%	24.83%	22.88%	+0.64	+6.3	40
2020-07-13	NS Mura	D 0-0	52.3	1219	1529	10.50%	19.90%	69.60%	-1.63	+3.9	11
2020-07-13	@ Rudar Velenje	D 0-0	52.3	1529	1219	69.60%	19.90%	10.50%	+1.63	-3.9	51
2020-07-15	Maribor	L 0-3	45.9	1492	1555	31.03%	25.76%	43.21%	-0.25	-23.4	45
2020-07-15	@ Bravo	W 3-0	45.9	1555	1492	43.21%	25.76%	31.03%	+0.25	+23.4	61
2020-07-15	Triglav	D 2-2	67.3	1636	1292	75.08%	17.32%	7.60%	+2.03	-2.9	65
2020-07-15	@ Celje	D 2-2	67.3	1292	1636	7.60%	17.32%	75.08%	-2.03	+2.9	32
2020-07-16	Domzale	L 2-5	53.4	1478	1437	45.47%	25.61%	28.92%	+0.34	-22.9	54
2020-07-16	@ Aluminij	W 5-2	53.4	1437	1478	28.92%	25.61%	45.47%	-0.34	+22.9	40
2020-07-16	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	65.0	1525	1558	35.08%	25.91%	39.01%	-0.08	+0.2	52
2020-07-16	@ NS Mura	D 1-1	65.0	1558	1525	39.01%	25.91%	35.08%	+0.08	-0.2	66
2020-07-16	Rudar Velenje	W 1-0	34.5	1439	1223	64.89%	21.73%	13.38%	+1.32	+4.0	43
2020-07-16	@ Tabor Sezana	L 0-1	34.5	1223	1439	13.38%	21.73%	64.89%	-1.32	-4.0	11
2020-07-19	Aluminij	D 1-1	61.4	1525	1455	49.14%	25.26%	25.60%	+0.50	-1.3	53
2020-07-19	@ NS Mura	D 1-1	61.4	1455	1525	25.60%	25.26%	49.14%	-0.50	+1.3	55
2020-07-19	Bravo	L 1-4	38.1	1295	1468	19.29%	24.02%	56.68%	-0.86	-13.2	32
2020-07-19	@ Triglav	W 4-1	38.1	1468	1295	56.68%	24.02%	19.29%	+0.86	+13.2	48
2020-07-19	Celje	L 0-2	31.0	1219	1634	6.58%	16.16%	77.26%	-2.21	-3.4	11
2020-07-19	@ Rudar Velenje	W 2-0	31.0	1634	1219	77.26%	16.16%	6.58%	+2.21	+3.4	68
2020-07-19	Domzale	W 2-1	52.4	1578	1460	54.95%	24.38%	20.68%	+0.77	+5.7	64
2020-07-19	@ Maribor	L 1-2	52.4	1460	1578	20.68%	24.38%	54.95%	-0.77	-5.7	40
2020-07-19	Tabor Sezana	L 1-2	61.2	1558	1443	54.50%	24.46%	21.04%	+0.75	-12.6	66
2020-07-19	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	61.2	1443	1558	21.04%	24.46%	54.50%	-0.75	+12.6	46
2020-07-22	Maribor	L 1-4	48.2	1457	1584	23.58%	24.96%	51.47%	-0.61	-15.8	55
2020-07-22	@ Aluminij	W 4-1	48.2	1584	1457	51.47%	24.96%	23.58%	+0.61	+15.8	67
2020-07-22	NS Mura	L 1-2	53.6	1456	1524	30.42%	25.72%	43.86%	-0.27	-7.9	46
2020-07-22	@ Tabor Sezana	W 2-1	53.6	1524	1456	43.86%	25.72%	30.42%	+0.27	+7.9	56
2020-07-22	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 2-2	73.6	1637	1545	51.80%	24.91%	23.29%	+0.62	-1.2	69
2020-07-22	@ Celje	D 2-2	73.6	1545	1637	23.29%	24.91%	51.80%	-0.62	+1.2	67
2020-07-22	Rudar Velenje	D 1-1	55.5	1482	1215	69.17%	20.08%	10.74%	+1.60	-3.4	49
2020-07-22	@ Bravo	D 1-1	55.5	1215	1482	10.74%	20.08%	69.17%	-1.60	+3.4	12
2020-07-22	Triglav	W 2-1	41.7	1454	1282	60.61%	23.06%	16.33%	+1.07	+4.6	43
2020-07-22	@ Domzale	L 1-2	41.7	1282	1454	16.33%	23.06%	60.61%	-1.07	-4.6	32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2019-11-30	8.47%	Triglav	1304	2	@ Maribor	1624	0
2	2020-02-25	10.27%	Triglav	1337	2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1614	0
3	2019-10-20	14.08%	@ Tabor Sezana	1375	4	Maribor	1619	1
4	2020-03-07	14.79%	Bravo	1380	2	@ Maribor	1575	1
5	2019-07-13	15.02%	Triglav	1379	2	@ Maribor	1570	1
6	2020-06-17	15.37%	Bravo	1413	5	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1599	0
7	2019-09-26	16.87%	@ Triglav	1301	1	Aluminij	1504	0
8	2019-12-04	17.04%	Domzale	1466	1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1628	0
9	2020-07-09	17.39%	@ Tabor Sezana	1400	4	Maribor	1596	1
10	2020-06-28	21.01%	Domzale	1426	1	@ NS Mura	1541	0
11	2020-07-19	21.04%	Tabor Sezana	1443	2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1558	1
12	2020-06-17	21.27%	Tabor Sezana	1379	2	@ Aluminij	1491	0
13	2020-07-12	21.85%	Aluminij	1465	1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1571	0
14	2019-08-04	22.16%	@ Tabor Sezana	1385	2	Domzale	1527	1
15	2019-08-18	23.21%	@ Aluminij	1460	1	Olimpija Ljubljana	1591	0
16	2019-08-11	24.16%	Celje	1431	5	@ Domzale	1515	3
17	2019-08-17	25.23%	@ Celje	1449	2	Maribor	1561	1
18	2020-02-26	25.32%	@ Tabor Sezana	1361	2	Domzale	1472	1
19	2019-10-26	27.11%	@ Triglav	1315	3	Tabor Sezana	1411	2
20	2020-03-04	27.46%	@ Bravo	1369	2	Domzale	1462	1
21	2019-11-03	27.99%	@ NS Mura	1535	3	Olimpija Ljubljana	1623	1
22	2020-06-16	28.32%	@ NS Mura	1534	3	Celje	1619	1
23	2020-07-16	28.92%	Domzale	1437	5	@ Aluminij	1478	2
24	2019-11-10	29.44%	Aluminij	1517	4	@ NS Mura	1554	2
25	2020-06-20	29.71%	@ Bravo	1479	1	NS Mura	1553	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-06-17	65.92	Bravo	5	1413	15.37%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1599	61.96%	22.67%
2	2019-08-25	39.32	Celje	6	1460	48.23%	@ Triglav	0	1359	26.41%	25.36%
3	2019-10-20	35.41	@ Tabor Sezana	4	1375	14.08%	Maribor	1	1619	63.83%	22.09%
4	2020-07-09	33.17	@ Tabor Sezana	4	1400	17.39%	Maribor	1	1596	59.17%	23.44%
5	2019-11-30	32.28	Triglav	2	1304	8.47%	@ Maribor	0	1624	73.35%	18.19%
6	2020-02-25	31.18	Triglav	2	1337	10.27%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1614	70.01%	19.73%
7	2020-06-17	25.09	Tabor Sezana	2	1379	21.27%	@ Aluminij	0	1491	54.22%	24.51%
8	2020-02-22	24.20	@ Triglav	3	1313	41.77%	Rudar Velenje	0	1299	32.40%	25.83%
9	2019-12-04	23.78	Celje	4	1528	52.32%	@ Tabor Sezana	0	1394	22.85%	24.83%
10	2019-12-04	23.53	@ Aluminij	8	1516	61.40%	Triglav	1	1337	15.77%	22.84%
11	2020-07-15	23.39	Maribor	3	1555	43.21%	@ Bravo	0	1492	31.03%	25.76%
12	2019-09-28	23.15	@ NS Mura	3	1508	43.65%	Domzale	0	1480	30.62%	25.73%
13	2020-07-16	22.93	Domzale	5	1437	28.92%	@ Aluminij	2	1478	45.47%	25.61%
14	2019-09-13	22.27	Bravo	4	1399	37.70%	@ Rudar Velenje	1	1375	36.38%	25.92%
15	2020-06-14	21.16	@ Maribor	3	1567	47.20%	Aluminij	0	1512	27.34%	25.46%
16	2019-08-25	20.24	@ Maribor	4	1549	56.96%	Bravo	0	1412	19.08%	23.96%
17	2020-03-08	19.86	Celje	5	1584	62.42%	@ Triglav	0	1356	15.05%	22.53%
18	2019-10-20	19.65	@ Aluminij	5	1496	52.59%	Bravo	1	1398	22.63%	24.79%
19	2019-08-31	19.43	@ Aluminij	2	1473	34.38%	NS Mura	0	1511	39.72%	25.89%
20	2019-11-03	19.07	@ NS Mura	3	1535	27.99%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1623	46.48%	25.53%
21	2020-06-16	18.95	@ NS Mura	3	1534	28.32%	Celje	1	1619	46.11%	25.56%
22	2020-03-04	18.90	@ Celje	2	1565	35.80%	Maribor	0	1594	38.29%	25.92%
23	2019-09-21	18.51	@ Aluminij	3	1486	51.78%	Tabor Sezana	0	1395	23.31%	24.91%
24	2019-07-13	18.19	Aluminij	2	1425	37.69%	@ Tabor Sezana	0	1401	36.39%	25.92%
25	2019-09-25	17.94	Olimpija Ljubljana	4	1590	46.98%	@ Domzale	1	1498	27.54%	25.48%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-07-22	73.6	@ Celje	2	1637	51.80%	Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1545	23.29%	24.91%
2	2019-09-15	71.0	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1582	48.52%	Celje	2	1517	26.15%	25.33%
3	2019-09-25	68.7	@ Bravo	3	1413	27.09%	NS Mura	3	1509	47.47%	25.44%
4	2020-02-22	68.3	@ Maribor	1	1589	36.19%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1614	37.89%	25.92%
5	2020-07-15	67.3	@ Celje	2	1636	75.08%	Triglav	2	1292	7.60%	17.32%
6	2019-11-09	67.1	@ Rudar Velenje	3	1306	15.16%	Celje	3	1534	62.26%	22.58%
7	2019-07-14	66.6	@ Domzale	2	1541	54.27%	Rudar Velenje	2	1429	21.23%	24.50%
8	2020-02-26	66.0	@ Celje	2	1569	63.71%	Bravo	2	1365	14.17%	22.13%
9	2019-08-24	65.3	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1578	48.88%	NS Mura	1	1510	25.83%	25.29%
10	2019-09-28	65.2	Maribor	4	1606	34.05%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1607	40.06%	25.88%
11	2020-07-16	65.0	@ NS Mura	1	1525	35.08%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1558	39.01%	25.91%
12	2019-10-05	64.5	@ Bravo	2	1396	24.11%	Celje	2	1519	50.85%	25.04%
13	2019-07-14	64.4	@ Celje	2	1442	34.79%	NS Mura	2	1478	39.31%	25.90%
14	2019-08-03	63.4	@ NS Mura	1	1484	30.22%	Maribor	1	1554	44.08%	25.71%
15	2019-10-19	63.4	@ NS Mura	2	1533	65.16%	Triglav	2	1313	13.21%	21.63%
16	2019-10-05	63.3	@ Maribor	0	1621	51.57%	NS Mura	0	1531	23.49%	24.94%
17	2020-03-01	63.1	@ Domzale	1	1460	25.85%	Celje	1	1567	48.86%	25.29%
18	2020-06-20	63.1	@ Celje	1	1600	62.97%	Tabor Sezana	1	1404	14.67%	22.36%
19	2019-11-10	62.5	Aluminij	4	1517	29.44%	@ NS Mura	2	1554	44.91%	25.65%
20	2019-08-02	62.3	@ Celje	2	1432	41.37%	Bravo	2	1420	32.78%	25.84%
21	2020-07-05	62.2	@ Maribor	3	1589	48.05%	NS Mura	2	1528	26.57%	25.38%
22	2019-07-28	62.1	@ Maribor	0	1554	38.02%	Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1566	36.06%	25.92%
23	2019-07-20	61.7	@ Rudar Velenje	1	1430	23.79%	Maribor	1	1555	51.22%	24.99%
24	2019-08-11	61.5	Celje	5	1431	24.16%	@ Domzale	3	1515	50.79%	25.05%
25	2019-11-03	61.5	@ NS Mura	3	1535	27.99%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1623	46.48%	25.53%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-07-09	28.1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	5	1561	74.26%	Rudar Velenje	0	1229	8.01%	17.74%
2	2020-06-21	29.4	@ Maribor	3	1594	75.07%	Rudar Velenje	0	1251	7.61%	17.32%
3	2020-07-19	31.0	Celje	2	1634	77.26%	@ Rudar Velenje	0	1219	6.58%	16.16%
4	2019-11-02	32.5	@ Celje	4	1517	62.54%	Triglav	0	1326	14.96%	22.50%
5	2020-06-05	32.6	@ Celje	2	1604	74.33%	Rudar Velenje	0	1271	7.97%	17.70%
6	2019-11-23	33.4	@ Domzale	3	1445	55.60%	Triglav	0	1321	20.15%	24.25%
7	2019-10-19	34.0	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	6	1596	69.50%	Rudar Velenje	0	1325	10.56%	19.95%
8	2020-07-08	34.1	@ NS Mura	2	1521	64.74%	Triglav	0	1306	13.48%	21.78%
9	2019-09-25	34.5	@ Maribor	5	1590	67.20%	Rudar Velenje	0	1347	11.92%	20.88%
10	2020-07-16	34.5	@ Tabor Sezana	1	1439	64.89%	Rudar Velenje	0	1223	13.38%	21.73%
11	2020-02-22	35.6	@ Triglav	3	1313	41.77%	Rudar Velenje	0	1299	32.40%	25.83%
12	2020-02-25	35.8	@ Aluminij	1	1523	67.68%	Rudar Velenje	0	1275	11.63%	20.69%
13	2020-03-08	36.0	Celje	5	1584	62.42%	@ Triglav	0	1356	15.05%	22.53%
14	2019-12-04	36.3	@ Aluminij	8	1516	61.40%	Triglav	1	1337	15.77%	22.84%
15	2019-09-01	37.2	@ Celje	3	1500	53.59%	Rudar Velenje	0	1393	21.79%	24.62%
16	2019-08-25	37.4	Celje	6	1460	48.23%	@ Triglav	0	1359	26.41%	25.36%
17	2019-09-21	37.4	@ Aluminij	3	1486	51.78%	Tabor Sezana	0	1395	23.31%	24.91%
18	2020-07-04	37.8	Aluminij	3	1467	62.65%	@ Rudar Velenje	1	1236	14.89%	22.46%
19	2019-08-25	38.0	@ Maribor	4	1549	56.96%	Bravo	0	1412	19.08%	23.96%
20	2019-12-04	38.0	Celje	4	1528	52.32%	@ Tabor Sezana	0	1394	22.85%	24.83%
21	2020-07-19	38.1	Bravo	4	1468	56.68%	@ Triglav	1	1295	19.29%	24.02%
22	2019-09-26	38.2	@ Celje	2	1508	56.45%	Tabor Sezana	0	1376	19.47%	24.07%
23	2019-10-27	38.6	@ Domzale	2	1457	50.24%	Bravo	0	1378	24.63%	25.12%
24	2020-03-08	39.1	Tabor Sezana	1	1391	49.66%	@ Rudar Velenje	0	1278	25.14%	25.20%
25	2020-06-06	39.1	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1595	59.22%	@ Tabor Sezana	0	1398	17.35%	23.43%