2020-21 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

NS Mura

63 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

NS Mura

6.39 points above expected

63 points · 56.61 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Celje

8.19 points below expected

43 points · 51.19 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	NS Mura	36	17	12	7	63	50	26	+24	56.61	+6.39
2	Maribor	36	17	12	7	63	64	41	+23	62.05	+0.95
3	Olimpija Ljubljana	36	16	11	9	59	45	35	+10	56.67	+2.33
4	Domzale	36	14	13	9	55	52	41	+11	49.21	+5.79
5	Bravo	36	10	15	11	45	39	39	0	46.45	-1.45
6	Tabor Sezana	36	12	8	16	44	40	44	-4	45.10	-1.10
7	Aluminij	36	10	13	13	43	31	41	-10	37.37	+5.63
8	Celje	36	12	7	17	43	36	41	-5	51.19	-8.19
9	Koper	36	11	9	16	42	41	56	-15	46.71	-4.71
10	Gorica	36	7	8	21	29	24	58	-34	34.95	-5.95

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	NS Mura	63	56.61	+6.39
2	Domzale	55	49.21	+5.79
3	Aluminij	43	37.37	+5.63
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	59	56.67	+2.33
5	Maribor	63	62.05	+0.95

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Celje	43	51.19	-8.19
2	Gorica	29	34.95	-5.95
3	Koper	42	46.71	-4.71
4	Bravo	45	46.45	-1.45
5	Tabor Sezana	44	45.10	-1.10

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celje	4	May 8 – May 22	1 in 68
2	Maribor	5	Nov 2 – Nov 28	1 in 66
3	Koper	3	Oct 28 – Nov 7	1 in 30
4	Aluminij	2	Mar 10 – Mar 13	1 in 20
5	Domzale	2	Sep 12 – Sep 20	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celje	4	Feb 24 – Mar 11	1 in 195
2	Gorica	7	Nov 24 – Dec 19	1 in 164
3	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	May 16 – May 22	1 in 55
4	Koper	5	May 5 – May 22	1 in 51
5	NS Mura	2	Oct 4 – Oct 18	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bravo	11	Nov 29 – Feb 24	1 in 193
2	Olimpija Ljubljana	15	Dec 3 – Apr 21	1 in 95
3	Domzale	10	Dec 13 – Mar 10	1 in 78
4	Aluminij	6	May 2 – May 22	1 in 35
5	Koper	8	Oct 13 – Nov 24	1 in 32

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Olimpija Ljubljana	7	Apr 25 – May 22	1 in 55
2	Celje	8	Feb 24 – Apr 24	1 in 40
3	Bravo	8	Feb 28 – May 1	1 in 34
4	Maribor	4	Dec 20 – Feb 20	1 in 25
5	Gorica	11	Nov 3 – Feb 10	1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
NS Mura	1560	63	+28	11	8.2	+2.8
Maribor	1551	63	+10	10	8.8	+1.2
Olimpija Ljubljana	1474	59	-66	1	7.5	-6.5
Domzale	1492	55	-6	7	8.1	-1.1
Bravo	1446	45	+11	8	6.7	+1.3
Tabor Sezana	1431	44	-13	4	6.5	-2.5
Celje	1456	43	+39	12	6.7	+5.3
Aluminij	1426	43	+50	11	6.2	+4.8
Koper	1370	42	-48	0	5.0	-5.0
Gorica	1313	29	-6	6	4.1	+1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ALU	BRA	CEL	DOM	GOR	KOP	MAR	NM	OL	TS
Aluminij	—	2-2-0 4.59	2-1-1 4.23	1-1-2 4.30	2-1-1 5.79	1-1-2 4.68	0-2-2 3.55	1-1-2 3.61	1-2-1 3.69	0-2-2 4.76
Bravo	0-2-2 6.20	—	3-0-1 4.97	2-2-0 5.14	1-2-1 6.54	1-2-1 5.36	0-1-3 4.06	1-2-1 4.37	1-2-1 4.33	1-2-1 5.62
Celje	1-1-2 6.57	1-0-3 5.80	—	1-0-3 5.77	2-1-1 7.13	2-1-1 6.00	2-1-1 4.33	0-2-2 5.12	1-1-2 4.64	2-0-2 5.92
Domzale	2-1-1 6.51	0-2-2 5.62	3-0-1 5.05	—	2-1-1 7.01	2-1-1 5.87	1-2-1 4.08	0-3-1 4.66	2-1-1 4.60	2-2-0 5.73
Gorica	1-1-2 4.98	1-2-1 4.27	1-1-2 3.73	1-1-2 3.85	—	1-2-1 4.32	0-1-3 3.09	0-0-4 3.44	0-0-4 3.52	2-0-2 4.18
Koper	2-1-1 6.11	1-2-1 5.42	1-1-2 4.79	1-1-2 4.93	1-2-1 6.51	—	0-1-3 3.78	1-0-3 4.29	1-1-2 4.43	3-0-1 5.45
Maribor	2-2-0 7.36	3-1-0 6.76	1-1-2 6.48	1-2-1 6.75	3-1-0 7.93	3-1-0 7.09	—	1-1-2 5.86	0-3-1 5.88	3-0-1 6.98
NS Mura	2-1-1 7.27	1-2-1 6.45	2-2-0 5.70	1-3-0 6.12	4-0-0 7.47	3-0-1 6.52	2-1-1 4.90	—	1-1-2 5.28	1-2-1 6.56
Olimpija Ljubljana	1-2-1 7.22	1-2-1 6.47	2-1-1 6.15	1-1-2 6.18	4-0-0 7.40	2-1-1 6.39	1-3-0 4.88	2-1-1 5.47	—	2-0-2 6.49
Tabor Sezana	2-2-0 6.00	1-2-1 5.13	2-0-2 4.89	0-2-2 5.04	2-0-2 6.67	1-0-3 5.31	1-0-3 3.87	1-2-1 4.24	2-0-2 4.32	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.80	+8.7
Allowed	0.61	-9.3
Differential	0.95	+6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	8.06%	6.39%	4.17%	1.11%	—	33.06%
1	8.06%	13.33%	8.06%	4.17%	0.56%	0.28%	34.44%
2	6.39%	8.06%	2.78%	0.83%	0.56%	0.28%	18.89%
3	4.17%	4.17%	0.83%	0.56%	0.56%	—	10.28%
4	1.11%	0.56%	0.56%	0.56%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	0.28%	0.28%	—	—	—	0.56%
Total	33.06%	34.44%	18.89%	10.28%	2.78%	0.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	1.17	+0.00
SD	1.13	1.13	1.62
CV	0.96	0.96	—
Max	6	6	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	38.89%
1	13.89%	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	41.67%
2	2.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	25.00%	22.22%	11.11%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	1.14	-0.28
SD	0.87	1.15	1.56
CV	1.01	1.01	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.22%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	41.67%
1	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	25.00%
2	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
3	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	36.11%	22.22%	5.56%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.08	+0.00
SD	1.16	1.02	1.47
CV	1.07	0.95	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	41.67%
1	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
2	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	19.44%	13.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.14	-0.14
SD	1.10	1.05	1.73
CV	1.10	0.92	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
1	2.78%	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	—	30.56%
2	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
3	—	13.89%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	19.44%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	55.56%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.14	+0.31
SD	1.05	0.96	1.28
CV	0.73	0.84	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	16.67%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	52.78%
1	5.56%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	30.56%
2	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	36.11%	22.22%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.67	1.61	-0.94
SD	0.83	1.32	1.51
CV	1.24	0.82	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
1	11.11%	16.67%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	50.00%
2	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	16.67%
3	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	27.78%	25.00%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.56	-0.42
SD	1.02	1.36	1.59
CV	0.89	0.88	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	16.67%	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	2.78%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
4	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	38.89%	16.67%	13.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	1.14	+0.64
SD	1.31	1.02	1.68
CV	0.74	0.89	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.22%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	30.56%
1	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
2	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	8.33%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	19.44%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	47.22%	36.11%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	0.72	+0.67
SD	1.27	0.81	1.45
CV	0.92	1.13	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	27.78%
1	13.89%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
2	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	47.22%	22.22%	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	0.97	+0.28
SD	1.23	1.13	1.73
CV	0.98	1.17	—
Max	6	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	11.11%	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	33.33%
1	8.33%	8.33%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	38.89%
2	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
3	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	2.78%	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.11	1.22	-0.11
SD	1.06	1.20	1.65
CV	0.96	0.98	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
NS Mura	1560	63	56.61	+6.39	79.0%	38	45	51	56	62	69	72
Maribor	1551	63	62.05	+0.95	61.0%	37	49	56	62	67	77	92
Domzale	1492	55	49.21	+5.79	81.0%	30	37	44	49	55	60	69
Olimpija Ljubljana	1474	59	56.67	+2.33	67.0%	36	43	51	57	62	70	79
Celje	1456	43	51.19	-8.19	17.0%	34	38	46	52	57	61	70
Bravo	1446	45	46.45	-1.45	41.0%	23	35	42	47	50	57	66
Tabor Sezana	1431	44	45.10	-1.10	46.0%	27	31	40	45	51	59	67
Aluminij	1426	43	37.37	+5.63	79.0%	20	26	31	38	42	50	61
Koper	1370	42	46.71	-4.71	29.0%	26	33	41	46	53	60	70
Gorica	1313	29	34.95	-5.95	20.0%	17	23	31	35	39	45	55

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+16.67%

Slight Edge

43.33%30.00%26.67%

Elo Value

Home Edge

199 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

058.45500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.30 goals

Neutral

-2+0.29+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.6

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

26%

NS Mura, 2nd of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.00/gm

Photo Finish

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.23 * Some Luck: 6.23 to 9.34 * Lucky: 9.34 to 12.45 * Wild Swing: 12.45 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.29 * Close: 1.29 to 1.94 * Off: 1.94 to 2.58 * Way Off: 2.58 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.90 points

As Expected

07.7819

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.80

01.624

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

81.00%

Domzale

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

17.00%

Celje

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.

Gini Index

0.12

Balanced

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 75.16

1.44

Coin-Flip Parity

11.82.052.75

Interquartile Edge

59%

Even

50%63.5%72%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

81%

Even

50%81%100%

Close Games

Expected

65%

Very Frequent

0%64%100%

Blowouts

Expected

13%

Rare

0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.64

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.29

Very Even

00.310.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.44

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.67

Strong Carryover

00.420.630.791

Upset Rate

Expected

25%

Very Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

21%

Very Shaky

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.92

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.88

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.041

Well Within Noise

00.1260.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
NS Mura	26.00%	16.00%	19.00%	14.00%	10.00%	8.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
Maribor	41.00%	30.00%	10.00%	10.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	—
Olimpija Ljubljana	19.00%	24.00%	18.00%	13.00%	10.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Domzale	3.00%	6.00%	15.00%	17.00%	13.00%	16.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	2.00%
Bravo	—	3.00%	6.00%	15.00%	20.00%	13.00%	16.00%	14.00%	9.00%	4.00%
Tabor Sezana	3.00%	3.00%	8.00%	4.00%	14.00%	16.00%	14.00%	14.00%	14.00%	10.00%
Aluminij	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	21.00%	26.00%	32.00%
Celje	4.00%	13.00%	15.00%	16.00%	16.00%	10.00%	13.00%	7.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Koper	3.00%	4.00%	8.00%	10.00%	6.00%	20.00%	20.00%	15.00%	9.00%	5.00%
Gorica	—	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	9.00%	15.00%	26.00%	46.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Maribor	99.00%	1.00%	—
NS Mura	99.00%	1.00%	—
Olimpija Ljubljana	99.00%	1.00%	—
Celje	94.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Domzale	90.00%	8.00%	2.00%
Bravo	87.00%	9.00%	4.00%
Koper	86.00%	9.00%	5.00%
Tabor Sezana	76.00%	14.00%	10.00%
Aluminij	42.00%	26.00%	32.00%
Gorica	28.00%	26.00%	46.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2020-08-22	Bravo	L 1-2	55.9	1433	1442	41.21%	31.24%	27.55%	+0.25	-7.1	0
2020-08-22	@ Domzale	W 2-1	55.9	1442	1433	27.55%	31.24%	41.21%	-0.25	+7.1	3
2020-08-22	Koper	W 1-0	44.4	1429	1423	43.11%	30.89%	26.00%	+0.32	+5.4	3
2020-08-22	@ Tabor Sezana	L 0-1	44.4	1423	1429	26.00%	30.89%	43.11%	-0.32	-5.4	0
2020-08-22	NS Mura	L 0-2	51.3	1514	1466	48.86%	29.33%	21.81%	+0.53	-16.0	0
2020-08-22	@ Celje	W 2-0	51.3	1466	1514	21.81%	29.33%	48.86%	-0.53	+16.0	3
2020-08-23	Aluminij	W 3-0	38.5	1495	1426	51.69%	28.31%	20.01%	+0.64	+11.6	3
2020-08-23	@ Maribor	L 0-3	38.5	1426	1495	20.01%	28.31%	51.69%	-0.64	-11.6	0
2020-08-29	Celje	D 0-0	53.6	1414	1498	30.63%	31.67%	37.70%	-0.13	+0.3	1
2020-08-29	@ Aluminij	D 0-0	53.6	1498	1414	37.70%	31.67%	30.63%	+0.13	-0.3	1
2020-08-29	Gorica	W 4-1	43.3	1449	1421	46.22%	30.14%	23.64%	+0.43	+11.4	6
2020-08-29	@ Bravo	L 1-4	43.3	1421	1449	23.64%	30.14%	46.22%	-0.43	-11.5	0
2020-08-30	Maribor	D 1-1	59.6	1426	1507	31.03%	31.70%	37.27%	-0.11	+0.2	1
2020-08-30	@ Domzale	D 1-1	59.6	1507	1426	37.27%	31.70%	31.03%	+0.11	-0.2	4
2020-08-30	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	58.1	1418	1471	34.82%	31.81%	33.37%	+0.03	-0.0	1
2020-08-30	@ Koper	D 1-1	58.1	1471	1418	33.37%	31.81%	34.82%	-0.03	+0.0	1
2020-08-30	Tabor Sezana	W 3-0	39.1	1482	1434	48.93%	29.31%	21.76%	+0.54	+12.6	6
2020-08-30	@ NS Mura	L 0-3	39.1	1434	1482	21.76%	29.31%	48.93%	-0.54	-12.6	3
2020-09-12	Bravo	W 4-1	45.8	1506	1460	48.69%	29.39%	21.92%	+0.53	+10.7	7
2020-09-12	@ Maribor	L 1-4	45.8	1460	1506	21.92%	29.39%	48.69%	-0.53	-10.7	6
2020-09-12	Domzale	L 1-2	59.8	1498	1426	51.95%	28.20%	19.85%	+0.65	-8.4	1
2020-09-12	@ Celje	W 2-1	59.8	1426	1498	19.85%	28.20%	51.95%	-0.65	+8.4	4
2020-09-13	Aluminij	W 3-1	46.1	1421	1414	43.34%	30.84%	25.81%	+0.33	+8.7	6
2020-09-13	@ Tabor Sezana	L 1-3	46.1	1414	1421	25.81%	30.84%	43.34%	-0.33	-8.7	1
2020-09-13	Koper	L 2-4	54.0	1409	1418	41.17%	31.25%	27.59%	+0.25	-10.9	0
2020-09-13	@ Gorica	W 4-2	54.0	1418	1409	27.59%	31.25%	41.17%	-0.25	+10.9	4
2020-09-13	NS Mura	D 0-0	55.6	1471	1495	39.11%	31.53%	29.36%	+0.18	-0.4	2
2020-09-13	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	55.6	1495	1471	29.36%	31.53%	39.11%	-0.18	+0.4	7
2020-09-19	Celje	D 2-2	68.7	1517	1489	46.23%	30.14%	23.63%	+0.43	-0.6	8
2020-09-19	@ Maribor	D 2-2	68.7	1489	1517	23.63%	30.14%	46.23%	-0.43	+0.6	2
2020-09-19	Koper	D 0-0	52.9	1449	1429	45.20%	30.41%	24.39%	+0.40	-0.8	7
2020-09-19	@ Bravo	D 0-0	52.9	1429	1449	24.39%	30.41%	45.20%	-0.40	+0.8	5
2020-09-20	Gorica	W 1-0	42.0	1495	1398	55.22%	26.80%	17.98%	+0.78	+3.8	10
2020-09-20	@ NS Mura	L 0-1	42.0	1398	1495	17.98%	26.80%	55.22%	-0.78	-3.8	0
2020-09-20	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	48.2	1406	1471	33.11%	31.80%	35.09%	-0.03	+6.7	4
2020-09-20	@ Aluminij	L 0-1	48.2	1471	1406	35.09%	31.80%	33.11%	+0.03	-6.7	2
2020-09-20	Tabor Sezana	W 3-1	47.0	1435	1430	43.02%	30.91%	26.07%	+0.32	+8.8	7
2020-09-20	@ Domzale	L 1-3	47.0	1430	1435	26.07%	30.91%	43.02%	-0.32	-8.8	6
2020-09-26	Aluminij	W 2-0	40.5	1394	1412	39.88%	31.44%	28.69%	+0.20	+10.9	3
2020-09-26	@ Gorica	L 0-2	40.5	1412	1394	28.69%	31.44%	39.88%	-0.20	-10.9	4
2020-09-26	Maribor	W 3-1	53.6	1421	1517	29.14%	31.50%	39.36%	-0.19	+11.8	9
2020-09-26	@ Tabor Sezana	L 1-3	53.6	1517	1421	39.36%	31.50%	29.14%	+0.19	-11.8	8
2020-09-27	Bravo	W 2-0	42.0	1490	1449	48.00%	29.61%	22.38%	+0.50	+8.9	5
2020-09-27	@ Celje	L 0-2	42.0	1449	1490	22.38%	29.61%	48.00%	-0.50	-8.9	7
2020-09-27	Domzale	W 3-2	56.5	1464	1443	45.27%	30.39%	24.34%	+0.40	+4.5	5
2020-09-27	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-3	56.5	1443	1464	24.34%	30.39%	45.27%	-0.40	-4.5	7
2020-09-27	NS Mura	L 1-3	51.3	1430	1499	32.57%	31.79%	35.65%	-0.05	-10.4	5
2020-09-27	@ Koper	W 3-1	51.3	1499	1430	35.65%	31.79%	32.57%	+0.05	+10.4	13
2020-09-30	Gorica	W 1-0	42.7	1469	1405	50.95%	28.59%	20.46%	+0.61	+4.3	8
2020-09-30	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	42.7	1405	1469	20.46%	28.59%	50.95%	-0.61	-4.4	3
2020-10-03	Gorica	D 1-1	57.3	1439	1401	47.55%	29.75%	22.70%	+0.48	-0.9	8
2020-10-03	@ Domzale	D 1-1	57.3	1401	1439	22.70%	29.75%	47.55%	-0.48	+0.9	4
2020-10-04	NS Mura	W 2-1	56.9	1440	1509	32.50%	31.78%	35.72%	-0.06	+6.4	10
2020-10-04	@ Bravo	L 1-2	56.9	1509	1440	35.72%	31.78%	32.50%	+0.06	-6.4	13
2020-10-04	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	61.7	1505	1473	46.69%	30.01%	23.30%	+0.45	-0.9	9
2020-10-04	@ Maribor	D 1-1	61.7	1473	1505	23.30%	30.01%	46.69%	-0.45	+0.9	9
2020-10-04	Tabor Sezana	W 2-1	50.7	1499	1433	51.21%	28.49%	20.30%	+0.62	+4.1	8
2020-10-04	@ Celje	L 1-2	50.7	1433	1499	20.30%	28.49%	51.21%	-0.62	-4.1	9
2020-10-13	Koper	D 1-1	56.3	1401	1419	39.88%	31.43%	28.68%	+0.20	-0.4	5
2020-10-13	@ Aluminij	D 1-1	56.3	1419	1401	28.68%	31.43%	39.88%	-0.20	+0.4	6
2020-10-17	Domzale	W 2-0	41.8	1420	1438	39.83%	31.44%	28.73%	+0.20	+10.9	9
2020-10-17	@ Koper	L 0-2	41.8	1438	1420	28.73%	31.44%	39.83%	-0.20	-10.9	8
2020-10-17	Maribor	L 0-4	41.5	1402	1504	28.33%	31.38%	40.29%	-0.22	-20.5	4
2020-10-17	@ Gorica	W 4-0	41.5	1504	1402	40.29%	31.38%	28.33%	+0.22	+20.5	12
2020-10-18	Aluminij	L 1-2	59.8	1503	1401	55.84%	26.51%	17.64%	+0.81	-8.8	13
2020-10-18	@ NS Mura	W 2-1	59.8	1401	1503	17.64%	26.51%	55.84%	-0.81	+8.9	8
2020-10-18	Bravo	W 2-0	42.3	1429	1446	40.01%	31.42%	28.57%	+0.21	+10.9	12
2020-10-18	@ Tabor Sezana	L 0-2	42.3	1446	1429	28.57%	31.42%	40.01%	-0.21	-10.9	10
2020-10-18	Celje	W 1-0	50.0	1474	1503	38.37%	31.61%	30.03%	+0.15	+6.0	12
2020-10-18	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	50.0	1503	1474	30.03%	31.61%	38.37%	-0.15	-6.0	8
2020-10-24	Koper	D 1-1	61.8	1524	1431	54.82%	26.99%	18.20%	+0.76	-1.4	13
2020-10-24	@ Maribor	D 1-1	61.8	1431	1524	18.20%	26.99%	54.82%	-0.76	+1.4	10
2020-10-24	Gorica	D 1-1	59.6	1497	1381	57.51%	25.71%	16.78%	+0.87	-1.6	9
2020-10-24	@ Celje	D 1-1	59.6	1381	1497	16.78%	25.71%	57.51%	-0.87	+1.6	5
2020-10-25	Aluminij	D 1-1	57.3	1435	1410	45.84%	30.24%	23.91%	+0.42	-0.8	11
2020-10-25	@ Bravo	D 1-1	57.3	1410	1435	23.91%	30.24%	45.84%	-0.42	+0.8	9
2020-10-25	NS Mura	D 1-1	59.1	1427	1494	32.87%	31.80%	35.34%	-0.04	+0.1	9
2020-10-25	@ Domzale	D 1-1	59.1	1494	1427	35.34%	31.80%	32.87%	+0.04	-0.1	14
2020-10-25	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	54.6	1440	1480	36.71%	31.74%	31.55%	+0.09	+5.9	15
2020-10-25	@ Tabor Sezana	L 1-2	54.6	1480	1440	31.55%	31.74%	36.71%	-0.09	-5.9	12
2020-10-28	Celje	W 3-0	44.2	1432	1495	33.43%	31.81%	34.76%	-0.02	+18.2	13
2020-10-28	@ Koper	L 0-3	44.2	1495	1432	34.76%	31.81%	33.43%	+0.02	-18.2	9
2020-10-28	Tabor Sezana	W 2-1	52.8	1383	1446	33.47%	31.81%	34.72%	-0.02	+6.3	8
2020-10-28	@ Gorica	L 1-2	52.8	1446	1383	34.72%	31.81%	33.47%	+0.02	-6.3	15
2020-10-29	Bravo	W 2-0	41.0	1474	1434	47.84%	29.66%	22.50%	+0.49	+9.0	15
2020-10-29	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	41.0	1434	1474	22.50%	29.66%	47.84%	-0.49	-9.0	11
2020-10-29	Maribor	W 2-0	47.8	1494	1523	38.31%	31.61%	30.07%	+0.15	+11.3	17
2020-10-29	@ NS Mura	L 0-2	47.8	1523	1494	30.07%	31.61%	38.31%	-0.15	-11.3	13
2020-11-02	Celje	D 0-0	56.6	1505	1477	46.28%	30.12%	23.60%	+0.44	-0.9	18
2020-11-02	@ NS Mura	D 0-0	56.6	1477	1505	23.60%	30.12%	46.28%	-0.44	+0.9	10
2020-11-02	Maribor	L 1-3	49.7	1411	1512	28.44%	31.40%	40.16%	-0.21	-9.4	9
2020-11-02	@ Aluminij	W 3-1	49.7	1512	1411	40.16%	31.40%	28.44%	+0.21	+9.4	16
2020-11-03	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	42.4	1389	1483	29.31%	31.52%	39.17%	-0.18	-11.1	8
2020-11-03	@ Gorica	W 2-0	42.4	1483	1389	39.17%	31.52%	29.31%	+0.18	+11.1	18
2020-11-03	Tabor Sezana	W 2-1	51.5	1450	1440	43.87%	30.73%	25.40%	+0.35	+5.0	16
2020-11-03	@ Koper	L 1-2	51.5	1440	1450	25.40%	30.73%	43.87%	-0.35	-5.0	15
2020-11-06	Aluminij	W 4-0	36.9	1478	1401	52.63%	27.93%	19.44%	+0.68	+14.8	13
2020-11-06	@ Celje	L 0-4	36.9	1401	1478	19.44%	27.93%	52.63%	-0.68	-14.8	9
2020-11-07	Bravo	D 0-0	50.5	1378	1425	35.71%	31.78%	32.51%	+0.06	-0.1	9
2020-11-07	@ Gorica	D 0-0	50.5	1425	1378	32.51%	31.78%	35.71%	-0.06	+0.1	12
2020-11-07	Domzale	W 4-3	57.1	1521	1427	54.85%	26.97%	18.18%	+0.77	+3.4	19
2020-11-07	@ Maribor	L 3-4	57.1	1427	1521	18.18%	26.97%	54.85%	-0.77	-3.4	9
2020-11-07	Koper	L 1-2	59.9	1494	1455	47.72%	29.70%	22.58%	+0.49	-7.9	18
2020-11-07	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	59.9	1455	1494	22.58%	29.70%	47.72%	-0.49	+7.9	19
2020-11-07	NS Mura	D 0-0	54.5	1435	1504	32.48%	31.78%	35.73%	-0.06	+0.1	16
2020-11-07	@ Tabor Sezana	D 0-0	54.5	1504	1435	35.73%	31.78%	32.48%	+0.06	-0.1	19
2020-11-14	Domzale	L 1-2	53.1	1387	1424	37.14%	31.71%	31.15%	+0.11	-6.6	9
2020-11-14	@ Aluminij	W 2-1	53.1	1424	1387	31.15%	31.71%	37.14%	-0.11	+6.6	12
2020-11-21	Maribor	L 1-2	54.7	1425	1524	28.69%	31.43%	39.88%	-0.20	-5.5	12
2020-11-21	@ Bravo	W 2-1	54.7	1524	1425	39.88%	31.43%	28.69%	+0.20	+5.5	22
2020-11-21	Gorica	D 1-1	58.0	1463	1378	53.73%	27.47%	18.81%	+0.72	-1.3	20
2020-11-21	@ Koper	D 1-1	58.0	1378	1463	18.81%	27.47%	53.73%	-0.72	+1.3	10
2020-11-21	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	54.7	1504	1486	44.85%	30.50%	24.65%	+0.38	-8.0	19
2020-11-21	@ NS Mura	W 1-0	54.7	1486	1504	24.65%	30.50%	44.85%	-0.38	+8.0	21
2020-11-22	Celje	L 0-1	49.2	1430	1493	33.54%	31.81%	34.65%	-0.02	-6.5	12
2020-11-22	@ Domzale	W 1-0	49.2	1493	1430	34.65%	31.81%	33.54%	+0.02	+6.5	16
2020-11-22	Tabor Sezana	D 0-0	50.7	1380	1435	34.63%	31.81%	33.56%	+0.02	-0.0	10
2020-11-22	@ Aluminij	D 0-0	50.7	1435	1380	33.56%	31.81%	34.63%	-0.02	+0.0	17
2020-11-24	Bravo	W 2-1	50.0	1462	1420	48.08%	29.59%	22.33%	+0.50	+4.5	23
2020-11-24	@ Koper	L 1-2	50.0	1420	1462	22.33%	29.59%	48.08%	-0.50	-4.5	12
2020-11-24	NS Mura	L 0-1	45.3	1379	1496	26.57%	31.03%	42.40%	-0.29	-5.5	10
2020-11-24	@ Gorica	W 1-0	45.3	1496	1379	42.40%	31.03%	26.57%	+0.29	+5.5	22
2020-11-25	Domzale	D 1-1	57.5	1435	1424	43.89%	30.72%	25.39%	+0.35	-0.7	18
2020-11-25	@ Tabor Sezana	D 1-1	57.5	1424	1435	25.39%	30.72%	43.89%	-0.35	+0.7	13
2020-11-25	Maribor	L 0-2	50.6	1499	1530	38.06%	31.64%	30.31%	+0.14	-13.4	16
2020-11-25	@ Celje	W 2-0	50.6	1530	1499	30.31%	31.64%	38.06%	-0.14	+13.3	25
2020-11-26	Aluminij	W 3-0	35.2	1494	1380	57.41%	25.76%	16.83%	+0.87	+9.7	24
2020-11-26	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-3	35.2	1380	1494	16.83%	25.76%	57.41%	-0.87	-9.7	10
2020-11-28	Koper	W 2-1	53.2	1502	1466	47.24%	29.85%	22.91%	+0.47	+4.5	25
2020-11-28	@ NS Mura	L 1-2	53.2	1466	1502	22.91%	29.85%	47.24%	-0.47	-4.5	23
2020-11-28	Tabor Sezana	W 1-0	44.5	1543	1434	56.75%	26.08%	17.17%	+0.84	+3.6	28
2020-11-28	@ Maribor	L 0-1	44.5	1434	1543	17.17%	26.08%	56.75%	-0.84	-3.6	18
2020-11-29	Celje	W 2-1	55.3	1416	1486	32.43%	31.78%	35.79%	-0.06	+6.4	15
2020-11-29	@ Bravo	L 1-2	55.3	1486	1416	35.79%	31.78%	32.43%	+0.06	-6.4	16
2020-11-29	Gorica	W 2-1	48.5	1370	1374	41.88%	31.13%	26.99%	+0.28	+5.2	13
2020-11-29	@ Aluminij	L 1-2	48.5	1374	1370	26.99%	31.13%	41.88%	-0.28	-5.2	10
2020-11-29	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 3-1	52.6	1425	1504	31.16%	31.71%	37.13%	-0.11	+11.4	16
2020-11-29	@ Domzale	L 1-3	52.6	1504	1425	37.13%	31.71%	31.16%	+0.11	-11.4	24
2020-12-02	Aluminij	W 1-0	40.8	1462	1375	53.87%	27.40%	18.73%	+0.73	+4.0	26
2020-12-02	@ Koper	L 0-1	40.8	1375	1462	18.73%	27.40%	53.87%	-0.73	-4.0	13
2020-12-02	Bravo	D 0-0	55.4	1506	1422	53.63%	27.51%	18.86%	+0.72	-1.5	26
2020-12-02	@ NS Mura	D 0-0	55.4	1422	1506	18.86%	27.51%	53.63%	-0.72	+1.5	16
2020-12-02	Domzale	L 0-2	41.8	1369	1436	32.85%	31.80%	35.35%	-0.04	-12.1	10
2020-12-02	@ Gorica	W 2-0	41.8	1436	1369	35.35%	31.80%	32.85%	+0.04	+12.0	19
2020-12-03	Maribor	W 2-0	49.7	1493	1547	34.71%	31.81%	33.48%	+0.02	+12.2	27
2020-12-03	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	49.7	1547	1493	33.48%	31.81%	34.71%	-0.02	-12.2	28
2020-12-05	Koper	D 1-1	59.0	1448	1466	39.90%	31.43%	28.67%	+0.20	-0.4	20
2020-12-05	@ Domzale	D 1-1	59.0	1466	1448	28.67%	31.43%	39.90%	-0.20	+0.4	27
2020-12-05	NS Mura	L 1-2	50.8	1372	1505	24.80%	30.54%	44.66%	-0.38	-4.9	13
2020-12-05	@ Aluminij	W 2-1	50.8	1505	1372	44.66%	30.54%	24.80%	+0.38	+4.9	29
2020-12-06	Gorica	W 3-1	41.2	1535	1357	64.96%	21.68%	13.36%	+1.19	+4.4	31
2020-12-06	@ Maribor	L 1-3	41.2	1357	1535	13.36%	21.68%	64.96%	-1.19	-4.4	10
2020-12-06	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	61.5	1479	1505	38.80%	31.56%	29.64%	+0.17	-0.3	17
2020-12-06	@ Celje	D 1-1	61.5	1505	1479	29.64%	31.56%	38.80%	-0.17	+0.3	28
2020-12-09	Celje	W 1-0	48.5	1430	1479	35.50%	31.79%	32.71%	+0.05	+6.4	21
2020-12-09	@ Tabor Sezana	L 0-1	48.5	1479	1430	32.71%	31.79%	35.50%	-0.05	-6.4	17
2020-12-09	Domzale	W 1-0	46.2	1423	1448	39.00%	31.54%	29.46%	+0.17	+5.9	19
2020-12-09	@ Bravo	L 0-1	46.2	1448	1423	29.46%	31.54%	39.00%	-0.17	-5.9	20
2020-12-12	Bravo	D 1-1	55.6	1367	1429	33.48%	31.81%	34.71%	-0.02	+0.0	14
2020-12-12	@ Aluminij	D 1-1	55.6	1429	1367	34.71%	31.81%	33.48%	+0.02	-0.0	20
2020-12-12	Celje	L 0-2	40.0	1352	1473	26.18%	30.94%	42.88%	-0.31	-10.2	10
2020-12-12	@ Gorica	W 2-0	40.0	1473	1352	42.88%	30.94%	26.18%	+0.31	+10.2	20
2020-12-12	Maribor	L 1-2	57.9	1466	1539	32.05%	31.76%	36.18%	-0.07	-5.9	27
2020-12-12	@ Koper	W 2-1	57.9	1539	1466	36.18%	31.76%	32.05%	+0.07	+5.9	34
2020-12-12	Tabor Sezana	W 2-1	50.9	1505	1437	51.59%	28.35%	20.07%	+0.64	+4.0	31
2020-12-12	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	50.9	1437	1505	20.07%	28.35%	51.59%	-0.64	-4.0	21
2020-12-13	Domzale	D 1-1	61.2	1510	1442	51.54%	28.36%	20.09%	+0.64	-1.2	30
2020-12-13	@ NS Mura	D 1-1	61.2	1442	1510	20.09%	28.36%	51.54%	-0.64	+1.2	21
2020-12-15	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	54.5	1429	1509	31.11%	31.71%	37.19%	-0.11	+0.2	21
2020-12-15	@ Bravo	D 0-0	54.5	1509	1429	37.19%	31.71%	31.11%	+0.11	-0.2	32
2020-12-16	Aluminij	W 2-1	46.6	1443	1367	52.58%	27.95%	19.47%	+0.68	+3.9	24
2020-12-16	@ Domzale	L 1-2	46.6	1367	1443	19.47%	27.95%	52.58%	-0.68	-3.9	14
2020-12-16	Koper	W 2-0	42.9	1483	1460	45.52%	30.33%	24.16%	+0.41	+9.5	23
2020-12-16	@ Celje	L 0-2	42.9	1460	1483	24.16%	30.33%	45.52%	-0.41	-9.5	27
2020-12-16	Gorica	W 1-0	39.2	1433	1342	54.44%	27.15%	18.41%	+0.75	+3.9	24
2020-12-16	@ Tabor Sezana	L 0-1	39.2	1342	1433	18.41%	27.15%	54.44%	-0.75	-3.9	10
2020-12-17	NS Mura	W 2-1	56.3	1545	1509	47.36%	29.81%	22.83%	+0.48	+4.5	37
2020-12-17	@ Maribor	L 1-2	56.3	1509	1545	22.83%	29.81%	47.36%	-0.48	-4.5	30
2020-12-19	Koper	L 3-4	63.1	1437	1451	40.44%	31.36%	28.20%	+0.22	-6.5	24
2020-12-19	@ Tabor Sezana	W 4-3	63.1	1451	1437	28.20%	31.36%	40.44%	-0.22	+6.4	30
2020-12-19	Gorica	W 2-0	34.2	1509	1338	64.14%	22.15%	13.71%	+1.15	+5.2	35
2020-12-19	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	34.2	1338	1509	13.71%	22.15%	64.14%	-1.15	-5.2	10
2020-12-20	Aluminij	D 2-2	68.0	1550	1363	65.95%	21.10%	12.95%	+1.23	-1.5	38
2020-12-20	@ Maribor	D 2-2	68.0	1363	1550	12.95%	21.10%	65.95%	-1.23	+1.5	15
2020-12-20	Bravo	D 0-0	52.8	1447	1430	44.75%	30.52%	24.73%	+0.38	-0.8	25
2020-12-20	@ Domzale	D 0-0	52.8	1430	1447	24.73%	30.52%	44.75%	-0.38	+0.8	22
2020-12-20	NS Mura	L 1-3	56.1	1492	1504	40.77%	31.31%	27.92%	+0.24	-12.1	23
2020-12-20	@ Celje	W 3-1	56.1	1504	1492	27.92%	31.31%	40.77%	-0.24	+12.2	33
2021-02-06	Tabor Sezana	W 3-1	47.1	1430	1430	42.40%	31.03%	26.57%	+0.29	+8.9	25
2021-02-06	@ Bravo	L 1-3	47.1	1430	1430	26.57%	31.03%	42.40%	-0.29	-8.9	24
2021-02-10	Maribor	D 3-3	71.3	1446	1548	28.31%	31.37%	40.32%	-0.22	+0.3	26
2021-02-10	@ Domzale	D 3-3	71.3	1548	1446	40.32%	31.37%	28.31%	+0.22	-0.3	39
2021-02-10	Gorica	D 0-0	51.5	1439	1333	56.39%	26.25%	17.35%	+0.83	-1.7	26
2021-02-10	@ Bravo	D 0-0	51.5	1333	1439	17.35%	26.25%	56.39%	-0.83	+1.7	11
2021-02-10	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	57.3	1457	1514	34.27%	31.81%	33.92%	+0.01	-6.2	30
2021-02-10	@ Koper	W 2-1	57.3	1514	1457	33.92%	31.81%	34.27%	-0.01	+6.2	38
2021-02-11	Tabor Sezana	D 0-0	55.9	1516	1421	54.96%	26.92%	18.12%	+0.77	-1.6	34
2021-02-11	@ NS Mura	D 0-0	55.9	1421	1516	18.12%	26.92%	54.96%	-0.77	+1.6	25
2021-02-13	Bravo	D 1-1	63.2	1548	1438	56.87%	26.03%	17.11%	+0.85	-1.5	40
2021-02-13	@ Maribor	D 1-1	63.2	1438	1548	17.11%	26.03%	56.87%	-0.85	+1.5	27
2021-02-13	Koper	W 2-1	53.9	1335	1451	26.65%	31.05%	42.30%	-0.29	+7.2	14
2021-02-13	@ Gorica	L 1-2	53.9	1451	1335	42.30%	31.05%	26.65%	+0.29	-7.2	30
2021-02-14	Aluminij	D 1-1	56.3	1423	1364	50.30%	28.83%	20.87%	+0.59	-1.1	26
2021-02-14	@ Tabor Sezana	D 1-1	56.3	1364	1423	20.87%	28.83%	50.30%	-0.59	+1.1	16
2021-02-14	Domzale	L 0-2	49.0	1480	1446	47.05%	29.90%	23.04%	+0.47	-15.6	23
2021-02-14	@ Celje	W 2-0	49.0	1446	1480	23.04%	29.90%	47.05%	-0.47	+15.6	29
2021-02-14	NS Mura	W 2-0	47.0	1521	1515	43.20%	30.87%	25.93%	+0.32	+10.1	41
2021-02-14	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	47.0	1515	1521	25.93%	30.87%	43.20%	-0.32	-10.1	34
2021-02-17	Celje	W 1-0	48.2	1365	1465	28.65%	31.43%	39.92%	-0.21	+7.3	19
2021-02-17	@ Aluminij	L 0-1	48.2	1465	1365	39.92%	31.43%	28.65%	+0.21	-7.3	23
2021-02-20	Celje	L 0-1	57.0	1546	1457	54.20%	27.26%	18.54%	+0.74	-9.2	40
2021-02-20	@ Maribor	W 1-0	57.0	1457	1546	18.54%	27.26%	54.20%	-0.74	+9.2	26
2021-02-20	Koper	W 3-0	40.2	1439	1444	41.75%	31.15%	27.10%	+0.27	+15.2	30
2021-02-20	@ Bravo	L 0-3	40.2	1444	1439	27.10%	31.15%	41.75%	-0.27	-15.2	30
2021-02-20	Gorica	W 3-1	40.4	1505	1342	63.19%	22.69%	14.12%	+1.11	+4.7	37
2021-02-20	@ NS Mura	L 1-3	40.4	1342	1505	14.12%	22.69%	63.19%	-1.11	-4.7	14
2021-02-21	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	53.9	1373	1531	22.41%	29.62%	47.97%	-0.50	+1.1	20
2021-02-21	@ Aluminij	D 0-0	53.9	1531	1373	47.97%	29.62%	22.41%	+0.50	-1.1	42
2021-02-21	Tabor Sezana	W 2-1	50.1	1462	1422	47.83%	29.67%	22.50%	+0.49	+4.5	32
2021-02-21	@ Domzale	L 1-2	50.1	1422	1462	22.50%	29.67%	47.83%	-0.49	-4.5	26
2021-02-24	Bravo	L 2-3	62.9	1467	1454	44.08%	30.68%	25.24%	+0.36	-7.0	26
2021-02-24	@ Celje	W 3-2	62.9	1454	1467	25.24%	30.68%	44.08%	-0.36	+7.0	33
2021-02-24	Domzale	D 0-0	57.6	1530	1466	50.92%	28.60%	20.48%	+0.61	-1.3	43
2021-02-24	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	57.6	1466	1530	20.48%	28.60%	50.92%	-0.61	+1.3	33
2021-02-24	Maribor	L 0-4	42.4	1417	1537	26.27%	30.96%	42.77%	-0.31	-19.4	26
2021-02-24	@ Tabor Sezana	W 4-0	42.4	1537	1417	42.77%	30.96%	26.27%	+0.31	+19.4	43
2021-02-25	Aluminij	D 0-0	48.8	1337	1374	37.22%	31.70%	31.08%	+0.11	-0.2	15
2021-02-25	@ Gorica	D 0-0	48.8	1374	1337	31.08%	31.70%	37.22%	-0.11	+0.2	21
2021-02-25	NS Mura	W 1-0	50.8	1428	1509	31.01%	31.70%	37.29%	-0.11	+7.0	33
2021-02-25	@ Koper	L 0-1	50.8	1509	1428	37.29%	31.70%	31.01%	+0.11	-7.0	37
2021-02-27	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	65.6	1556	1528	46.24%	30.13%	23.63%	+0.44	-0.8	44
2021-02-27	@ Maribor	D 1-1	65.6	1528	1556	23.63%	30.13%	46.24%	-0.44	+0.8	44
2021-02-27	Tabor Sezana	L 0-3	45.8	1460	1398	50.69%	28.69%	20.62%	+0.60	-23.9	26
2021-02-27	@ Celje	W 3-0	45.8	1398	1460	20.62%	28.69%	50.69%	-0.60	+23.9	29
2021-02-28	Gorica	W 1-0	38.3	1468	1337	59.38%	24.77%	15.86%	+0.95	+3.3	36
2021-02-28	@ Domzale	L 0-1	38.3	1337	1468	15.86%	24.77%	59.38%	-0.95	-3.3	15
2021-02-28	NS Mura	L 0-1	51.6	1461	1502	36.62%	31.74%	31.64%	+0.09	-6.9	33
2021-02-28	@ Bravo	W 1-0	51.6	1502	1461	31.64%	31.74%	36.62%	-0.09	+6.9	40
2021-03-01	Koper	L 0-1	45.9	1374	1435	33.67%	31.81%	34.52%	-0.02	-6.5	21
2021-03-01	@ Aluminij	W 1-0	45.9	1435	1374	34.52%	31.81%	33.67%	+0.02	+6.5	36
2021-03-06	Aluminij	W 2-0	36.1	1509	1368	60.70%	24.07%	15.24%	+1.01	+5.9	43
2021-03-06	@ NS Mura	L 0-2	36.1	1368	1509	15.24%	24.07%	60.70%	-1.01	-5.9	21
2021-03-06	Domzale	L 0-2	46.5	1442	1471	38.33%	31.61%	30.06%	+0.15	-13.4	36
2021-03-06	@ Koper	W 2-0	46.5	1471	1442	30.06%	31.61%	38.33%	-0.15	+13.4	39
2021-03-06	Maribor	D 1-1	59.7	1334	1556	17.43%	26.33%	56.24%	-0.82	+1.5	16
2021-03-06	@ Gorica	D 1-1	59.7	1556	1334	56.24%	26.33%	17.43%	+0.82	-1.5	45
2021-03-07	Bravo	D 0-0	52.5	1422	1454	37.80%	31.66%	30.54%	+0.13	-0.3	30
2021-03-07	@ Tabor Sezana	D 0-0	52.5	1454	1422	30.54%	31.66%	37.80%	-0.13	+0.3	34
2021-03-07	Celje	W 1-0	44.7	1529	1436	54.79%	27.00%	18.21%	+0.76	+3.9	47
2021-03-07	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	44.7	1436	1529	18.21%	27.00%	54.79%	-0.76	-3.9	26
2021-03-10	Aluminij	L 0-1	51.0	1455	1362	54.75%	27.02%	18.24%	+0.76	-9.2	34
2021-03-10	@ Bravo	W 1-0	51.0	1362	1455	18.24%	27.02%	54.75%	-0.76	+9.2	24
2021-03-10	NS Mura	D 1-1	62.0	1484	1515	38.05%	31.64%	30.31%	+0.14	-0.3	40
2021-03-10	@ Domzale	D 1-1	62.0	1515	1484	30.31%	31.64%	38.05%	-0.14	+0.3	44
2021-03-11	Koper	W 4-2	49.7	1554	1429	58.76%	25.08%	16.16%	+0.92	+4.9	48
2021-03-11	@ Maribor	L 2-4	49.7	1429	1554	16.16%	25.08%	58.76%	-0.92	-4.9	36
2021-03-11	Gorica	L 0-1	50.0	1432	1335	55.19%	26.82%	18.00%	+0.78	-9.3	26
2021-03-11	@ Celje	W 1-0	50.0	1335	1432	18.00%	26.82%	55.19%	-0.78	+9.3	19
2021-03-11	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-3	42.7	1422	1533	27.21%	31.17%	41.61%	-0.27	-15.2	30
2021-03-11	@ Tabor Sezana	W 3-0	42.7	1533	1422	41.61%	31.17%	27.21%	+0.27	+15.2	50
2021-03-13	Domzale	W 1-0	49.3	1371	1484	27.01%	31.13%	41.86%	-0.27	+7.6	27
2021-03-13	@ Aluminij	L 0-1	49.3	1484	1371	41.86%	31.13%	27.01%	+0.27	-7.6	40
2021-03-14	Celje	D 1-1	57.1	1424	1422	42.55%	31.00%	26.45%	+0.30	-0.6	37
2021-03-14	@ Koper	D 1-1	57.1	1422	1424	26.45%	31.00%	42.55%	-0.30	+0.6	27
2021-03-14	Maribor	D 0-0	59.5	1515	1559	36.21%	31.76%	32.02%	+0.07	-0.2	45
2021-03-14	@ NS Mura	D 0-0	59.5	1559	1515	32.02%	31.76%	36.21%	-0.07	+0.2	49
2021-03-15	Tabor Sezana	L 0-3	39.1	1344	1406	33.59%	31.81%	34.60%	-0.02	-17.8	19
2021-03-15	@ Gorica	W 3-0	39.1	1406	1344	34.60%	31.81%	33.59%	+0.02	+17.8	33
2021-04-13	Bravo	D 1-1	63.4	1548	1446	55.94%	26.47%	17.59%	+0.81	-1.5	51
2021-04-13	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	63.4	1446	1548	17.59%	26.47%	55.94%	-0.81	+1.5	35
2021-04-16	Celje	D 0-0	55.9	1515	1423	54.62%	27.07%	18.31%	+0.76	-1.6	46
2021-04-16	@ NS Mura	D 0-0	55.9	1423	1515	18.31%	27.07%	54.62%	-0.76	+1.5	28
2021-04-16	Maribor	D 0-0	55.4	1378	1559	20.44%	28.58%	50.99%	-0.61	+1.3	28
2021-04-16	@ Aluminij	D 0-0	55.4	1559	1378	50.99%	28.58%	20.44%	+0.61	-1.3	50
2021-04-17	Domzale	D 2-2	65.2	1447	1476	38.25%	31.62%	30.13%	+0.15	-0.2	36
2021-04-17	@ Bravo	D 2-2	65.2	1476	1447	30.13%	31.62%	38.25%	-0.15	+0.2	41
2021-04-17	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	41.2	1327	1547	17.55%	26.44%	56.01%	-0.81	-3.7	19
2021-04-17	@ Gorica	W 1-0	41.2	1547	1327	56.01%	26.44%	17.55%	+0.81	+3.7	54
2021-04-17	Tabor Sezana	W 1-0	44.6	1423	1424	42.23%	31.06%	26.71%	+0.29	+5.5	40
2021-04-17	@ Koper	L 0-1	44.6	1424	1423	26.71%	31.06%	42.23%	-0.29	-5.5	33
2021-04-20	Aluminij	L 0-1	49.5	1425	1380	48.49%	29.46%	22.06%	+0.52	-8.5	28
2021-04-20	@ Celje	W 1-0	49.5	1380	1425	22.06%	29.46%	48.49%	-0.52	+8.5	31
2021-04-20	Domzale	L 1-3	60.1	1558	1477	53.24%	27.67%	19.09%	+0.70	-14.8	50
2021-04-20	@ Maribor	W 3-1	60.1	1477	1558	19.09%	27.67%	53.24%	-0.70	+14.8	44
2021-04-21	Bravo	W 3-2	58.7	1323	1447	25.81%	30.84%	43.35%	-0.33	+6.9	22
2021-04-21	@ Gorica	L 2-3	58.7	1447	1323	43.35%	30.84%	25.81%	+0.33	-7.0	36
2021-04-21	Koper	W 6-2	43.3	1550	1429	58.32%	25.31%	16.37%	+0.91	+8.7	57
2021-04-21	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-6	43.3	1429	1550	16.37%	25.31%	58.32%	-0.91	-8.7	40
2021-04-21	NS Mura	W 3-1	53.3	1419	1514	29.19%	31.51%	39.31%	-0.18	+11.8	36
2021-04-21	@ Tabor Sezana	L 1-3	53.3	1514	1419	39.31%	31.51%	29.19%	+0.18	-11.8	46
2021-04-24	Celje	W 3-1	45.5	1491	1416	52.47%	27.99%	19.54%	+0.67	+6.8	47
2021-04-24	@ Domzale	L 1-3	45.5	1416	1491	19.54%	27.99%	52.47%	-0.67	-6.8	28
2021-04-24	Maribor	L 0-1	49.6	1440	1543	28.17%	31.35%	40.48%	-0.23	-5.7	36
2021-04-24	@ Bravo	W 1-0	49.6	1543	1440	40.48%	31.35%	28.17%	+0.23	+5.7	53
2021-04-24	Gorica	D 0-0	50.8	1420	1330	54.34%	27.20%	18.46%	+0.75	-1.5	41
2021-04-24	@ Koper	D 0-0	50.8	1330	1420	18.46%	27.20%	54.34%	-0.75	+1.5	23
2021-04-25	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 3-0	48.8	1502	1559	34.25%	31.81%	33.93%	+0.01	+17.9	49
2021-04-25	@ NS Mura	L 0-3	48.8	1559	1502	33.93%	31.81%	34.25%	-0.01	-17.9	57
2021-04-25	Tabor Sezana	L 0-2	43.2	1388	1430	36.40%	31.75%	31.84%	+0.08	-12.9	31
2021-04-25	@ Aluminij	W 2-0	43.2	1430	1388	31.84%	31.75%	36.40%	-0.08	+12.9	39
2021-04-30	NS Mura	L 1-5	39.7	1331	1520	19.84%	28.20%	51.97%	-0.65	-12.6	23
2021-04-30	@ Gorica	W 5-1	39.7	1520	1331	51.97%	28.20%	19.84%	+0.65	+12.6	52
2021-05-01	Bravo	D 0-0	51.9	1418	1434	40.18%	31.39%	28.43%	+0.21	-0.5	42
2021-05-01	@ Koper	D 0-0	51.9	1434	1418	28.43%	31.39%	40.18%	-0.21	+0.5	37
2021-05-01	Domzale	D 0-0	54.6	1443	1498	34.63%	31.81%	33.56%	+0.02	-0.0	40
2021-05-01	@ Tabor Sezana	D 0-0	54.6	1498	1443	33.56%	31.81%	34.63%	-0.02	+0.0	48
2021-05-01	Maribor	W 2-1	59.7	1409	1549	24.17%	30.33%	45.49%	-0.41	+7.6	31
2021-05-01	@ Celje	L 1-2	59.7	1549	1409	45.49%	30.33%	24.17%	+0.41	-7.6	53
2021-05-02	Aluminij	D 2-2	67.7	1541	1375	63.58%	22.47%	13.95%	+1.13	-1.4	58
2021-05-02	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 2-2	67.7	1375	1541	13.95%	22.47%	63.58%	-1.13	+1.4	32
2021-05-04	Celje	W 2-0	40.1	1435	1417	44.82%	30.51%	24.68%	+0.38	+9.7	40
2021-05-04	@ Bravo	L 0-2	40.1	1417	1435	24.68%	30.51%	44.82%	-0.38	-9.7	31
2021-05-04	Tabor Sezana	W 2-1	51.4	1541	1443	55.33%	26.75%	17.92%	+0.79	+3.6	56
2021-05-04	@ Maribor	L 1-2	51.4	1443	1541	17.92%	26.75%	55.33%	-0.79	-3.6	40
2021-05-05	Koper	W 2-1	49.5	1532	1418	57.40%	25.77%	16.84%	+0.87	+3.3	55
2021-05-05	@ NS Mura	L 1-2	49.5	1418	1532	16.84%	25.77%	57.40%	-0.87	-3.3	42
2021-05-05	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-0	49.1	1498	1540	36.51%	31.75%	31.74%	+0.08	+11.8	51
2021-05-05	@ Domzale	L 0-2	49.1	1540	1498	31.74%	31.75%	36.51%	-0.08	-11.8	58
2021-05-06	Gorica	W 2-0	35.4	1377	1319	50.20%	28.87%	20.93%	+0.58	+8.4	35
2021-05-06	@ Aluminij	L 0-2	35.4	1319	1377	20.93%	28.87%	50.20%	-0.58	-8.4	23
2021-05-08	Bravo	D 2-2	68.6	1536	1444	54.52%	27.12%	18.36%	+0.75	-1.0	56
2021-05-08	@ NS Mura	D 2-2	68.6	1444	1536	18.36%	27.12%	54.52%	-0.75	+1.0	41
2021-05-08	Celje	L 0-1	50.3	1440	1407	46.85%	29.96%	23.19%	+0.46	-8.2	40
2021-05-08	@ Tabor Sezana	W 1-0	50.3	1407	1440	23.19%	29.96%	46.85%	-0.46	+8.2	34
2021-05-09	Aluminij	L 0-3	43.4	1415	1385	46.43%	30.08%	23.49%	+0.44	-22.4	42
2021-05-09	@ Koper	W 3-0	43.4	1385	1415	23.49%	30.08%	46.43%	-0.44	+22.4	38
2021-05-09	Domzale	W 2-1	57.0	1310	1510	18.99%	27.60%	53.41%	-0.71	+8.6	26
2021-05-09	@ Gorica	L 1-2	57.0	1510	1310	53.41%	27.60%	18.99%	+0.71	-8.6	51
2021-05-09	Maribor	D 0-0	59.5	1528	1545	40.04%	31.41%	28.55%	+0.21	-0.5	59
2021-05-09	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	59.5	1545	1528	28.55%	31.41%	40.04%	-0.21	+0.5	57
2021-05-15	Gorica	W 3-0	31.1	1545	1319	70.27%	18.51%	11.22%	+1.43	+5.8	60
2021-05-15	@ Maribor	L 0-3	31.1	1319	1545	11.22%	18.51%	70.27%	-1.43	-5.8	26
2021-05-15	NS Mura	D 0-0	54.9	1407	1535	25.46%	30.74%	43.80%	-0.35	+0.7	39
2021-05-15	@ Aluminij	D 0-0	54.9	1535	1407	43.80%	30.74%	25.46%	+0.35	-0.7	57
2021-05-15	Tabor Sezana	D 1-1	58.1	1445	1432	44.28%	30.63%	25.09%	+0.36	-0.7	42
2021-05-15	@ Bravo	D 1-1	58.1	1432	1445	25.09%	30.63%	44.28%	-0.36	+0.7	41
2021-05-16	Koper	W 3-1	43.8	1501	1392	56.76%	26.08%	17.16%	+0.84	+5.9	54
2021-05-16	@ Domzale	L 1-3	43.8	1392	1501	17.16%	26.08%	56.76%	-0.84	-5.9	42
2021-05-16	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 4-0	46.7	1415	1528	27.13%	31.15%	41.72%	-0.27	+27.1	37
2021-05-16	@ Celje	L 0-4	46.7	1528	1415	41.72%	31.15%	27.13%	+0.27	-27.1	59
2021-05-18	Bravo	W 3-0	40.6	1408	1445	37.25%	31.70%	31.05%	+0.11	+16.8	42
2021-05-18	@ Aluminij	L 0-3	40.6	1445	1408	31.05%	31.70%	37.25%	-0.11	-16.8	42
2021-05-19	Celje	L 0-2	38.2	1313	1443	25.22%	30.67%	44.11%	-0.36	-9.9	26
2021-05-19	@ Gorica	W 2-0	38.2	1443	1313	44.11%	30.67%	25.22%	+0.36	+9.9	40
2021-05-19	Domzale	W 3-0	44.6	1534	1507	46.03%	30.19%	23.78%	+0.43	+13.7	60
2021-05-19	@ NS Mura	L 0-3	44.6	1507	1534	23.78%	30.19%	46.03%	-0.43	-13.6	54
2021-05-19	Maribor	L 0-3	39.9	1386	1551	21.78%	29.32%	48.90%	-0.53	-12.6	42
2021-05-19	@ Koper	W 3-0	39.9	1551	1386	48.90%	29.32%	21.78%	+0.53	+12.6	63
2021-05-19	Tabor Sezana	L 1-2	60.0	1501	1432	51.56%	28.36%	20.09%	+0.64	-8.3	59
2021-05-19	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	60.0	1432	1501	20.09%	28.36%	51.56%	-0.64	+8.3	44
2021-05-22	Aluminij	D 1-1	60.1	1494	1425	51.61%	28.34%	20.05%	+0.64	-1.2	55
2021-05-22	@ Domzale	D 1-1	60.1	1425	1494	20.05%	28.34%	51.61%	-0.64	+1.2	43
2021-05-22	Koper	W 2-1	46.9	1452	1374	52.92%	27.81%	19.27%	+0.69	+3.9	43
2021-05-22	@ Celje	L 1-2	46.9	1374	1452	19.27%	27.81%	52.92%	-0.69	-3.9	42
2021-05-22	Gorica	L 0-1	50.3	1441	1303	60.19%	24.34%	15.47%	+0.98	-9.9	44
2021-05-22	@ Tabor Sezana	W 1-0	50.3	1303	1441	15.47%	24.34%	60.19%	-0.98	+9.9	29
2021-05-22	NS Mura	L 1-3	61.1	1564	1547	44.62%	30.55%	24.82%	+0.38	-13.0	63
2021-05-22	@ Maribor	W 3-1	61.1	1547	1564	24.82%	30.55%	44.62%	-0.38	+13.0	63
2021-05-22	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 3-0	44.0	1428	1492	33.24%	31.81%	34.95%	-0.03	+18.3	45
2021-05-22	@ Bravo	L 0-3	44.0	1492	1428	34.95%	31.81%	33.24%	+0.03	-18.3	59

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2021-05-22	15.47%	Gorica	1303	1	@ Tabor Sezana	1441	0
2	2020-10-18	17.64%	Aluminij	1401	2	@ NS Mura	1503	1
3	2021-03-11	18.00%	Gorica	1335	1	@ Celje	1432	0
4	2021-03-10	18.24%	Aluminij	1362	1	@ Bravo	1455	0
5	2021-02-20	18.54%	Celje	1457	1	@ Maribor	1546	0
6	2021-05-09	18.99%	@ Gorica	1310	2	Domzale	1510	1
7	2021-04-20	19.09%	Domzale	1477	3	@ Maribor	1558	1
8	2020-09-12	19.85%	Domzale	1426	2	@ Celje	1498	1
9	2021-05-19	20.09%	Tabor Sezana	1432	2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1501	1
10	2021-02-27	20.62%	Tabor Sezana	1398	3	@ Celje	1460	0
11	2020-08-22	21.81%	NS Mura	1466	2	@ Celje	1514	0
12	2021-04-20	22.06%	Aluminij	1380	1	@ Celje	1425	0
13	2020-11-07	22.58%	Koper	1455	2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1494	1
14	2021-02-14	23.04%	Domzale	1446	2	@ Celje	1480	0
15	2021-05-08	23.19%	Celje	1407	1	@ Tabor Sezana	1440	0
16	2021-05-09	23.49%	Aluminij	1385	3	@ Koper	1415	0
17	2021-05-01	24.17%	@ Celje	1409	2	Maribor	1549	1
18	2020-11-21	24.65%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1486	1	@ NS Mura	1504	0
19	2021-05-22	24.82%	NS Mura	1547	3	@ Maribor	1564	1
20	2021-02-24	25.24%	Bravo	1454	3	@ Celje	1467	2
21	2021-04-21	25.81%	@ Gorica	1323	3	Bravo	1447	2
22	2021-02-13	26.65%	@ Gorica	1335	2	Koper	1451	1
23	2021-03-13	27.01%	@ Aluminij	1371	1	Domzale	1484	0
24	2021-05-16	27.13%	@ Celje	1415	4	Olimpija Ljubljana	1528	0
25	2020-08-22	27.55%	Bravo	1442	2	@ Domzale	1433	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-05-16	27.06	@ Celje	4	1415	27.13%	Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1528	41.72%	31.15%
2	2021-02-27	23.93	Tabor Sezana	3	1398	20.62%	@ Celje	0	1460	50.69%	28.69%
3	2021-05-09	22.42	Aluminij	3	1385	23.49%	@ Koper	0	1415	46.43%	30.08%
4	2020-10-17	20.55	Maribor	4	1504	40.29%	@ Gorica	0	1402	28.33%	31.38%
5	2021-02-24	19.38	Maribor	4	1537	42.77%	@ Tabor Sezana	0	1417	26.27%	30.96%
6	2021-05-22	18.27	@ Bravo	3	1428	33.24%	Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1492	34.95%	31.81%
7	2020-10-28	18.20	@ Koper	3	1432	33.43%	Celje	0	1495	34.76%	31.81%
8	2021-04-25	17.91	@ NS Mura	3	1502	34.25%	Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1559	33.93%	31.81%
9	2021-03-15	17.78	Tabor Sezana	3	1406	34.60%	@ Gorica	0	1344	33.59%	31.81%
10	2021-05-18	16.83	@ Aluminij	3	1408	37.25%	Bravo	0	1445	31.05%	31.70%
11	2020-08-22	16.03	NS Mura	2	1466	21.81%	@ Celje	0	1514	48.86%	29.33%
12	2021-02-14	15.59	Domzale	2	1446	23.04%	@ Celje	0	1480	47.05%	29.90%
13	2021-03-11	15.25	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1533	41.61%	@ Tabor Sezana	0	1422	27.21%	31.17%
14	2021-02-20	15.20	@ Bravo	3	1439	41.75%	Koper	0	1444	27.10%	31.15%
15	2021-04-20	14.80	Domzale	3	1477	19.09%	@ Maribor	1	1558	53.24%	27.67%
16	2020-11-06	14.78	@ Celje	4	1478	52.63%	Aluminij	0	1401	19.44%	27.93%
17	2021-05-19	13.65	@ NS Mura	3	1534	46.03%	Domzale	0	1507	23.78%	30.19%
18	2021-03-06	13.42	Domzale	2	1471	30.06%	@ Koper	0	1442	38.33%	31.61%
19	2020-11-25	13.35	Maribor	2	1530	30.31%	@ Celje	0	1499	38.06%	31.64%
20	2021-05-22	12.98	NS Mura	3	1547	24.82%	@ Maribor	1	1564	44.62%	30.55%
21	2021-04-25	12.94	Tabor Sezana	2	1430	31.84%	@ Aluminij	0	1388	36.40%	31.75%
22	2021-05-19	12.62	Maribor	3	1551	48.90%	@ Koper	0	1386	21.78%	29.32%
23	2020-08-30	12.61	@ NS Mura	3	1482	48.93%	Tabor Sezana	0	1434	21.76%	29.31%
24	2021-04-30	12.57	NS Mura	5	1520	51.97%	@ Gorica	1	1331	19.84%	28.20%
25	2020-12-03	12.21	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1493	34.71%	Maribor	0	1547	33.48%	31.81%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-02-10	71.3	@ Domzale	3	1446	28.31%	Maribor	3	1548	40.32%	31.37%
2	2020-09-19	68.7	@ Maribor	2	1517	46.23%	Celje	2	1489	23.63%	30.14%
3	2021-05-08	68.6	@ NS Mura	2	1536	54.52%	Bravo	2	1444	18.36%	27.12%
4	2020-12-20	68.0	@ Maribor	2	1550	65.95%	Aluminij	2	1363	12.95%	21.10%
5	2021-05-02	67.7	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1541	63.58%	Aluminij	2	1375	13.95%	22.47%
6	2021-02-27	65.6	@ Maribor	1	1556	46.24%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1528	23.63%	30.13%
7	2021-04-17	65.2	@ Bravo	2	1447	38.25%	Domzale	2	1476	30.13%	31.62%
8	2021-04-13	63.4	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1548	55.94%	Bravo	1	1446	17.59%	26.47%
9	2021-02-13	63.2	@ Maribor	1	1548	56.87%	Bravo	1	1438	17.11%	26.03%
10	2020-12-19	63.1	Koper	4	1451	28.20%	@ Tabor Sezana	3	1437	40.44%	31.36%
11	2021-02-24	62.9	Bravo	3	1454	25.24%	@ Celje	2	1467	44.08%	30.68%
12	2021-03-10	62.0	@ Domzale	1	1484	38.05%	NS Mura	1	1515	30.31%	31.64%
13	2020-10-24	61.8	@ Maribor	1	1524	54.82%	Koper	1	1431	18.20%	26.99%
14	2020-10-04	61.7	@ Maribor	1	1505	46.69%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1473	23.30%	30.01%
15	2020-12-06	61.5	@ Celje	1	1479	38.80%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1505	29.64%	31.56%
16	2020-12-13	61.2	@ NS Mura	1	1510	51.54%	Domzale	1	1442	20.09%	28.36%
17	2021-05-22	61.1	NS Mura	3	1547	24.82%	@ Maribor	1	1564	44.62%	30.55%
18	2021-04-20	60.1	Domzale	3	1477	19.09%	@ Maribor	1	1558	53.24%	27.67%
19	2021-05-22	60.1	@ Domzale	1	1494	51.61%	Aluminij	1	1425	20.05%	28.34%
20	2021-05-19	60.0	Tabor Sezana	2	1432	20.09%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1501	51.56%	28.36%
21	2020-11-07	59.9	Koper	2	1455	22.58%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1494	47.72%	29.70%
22	2020-09-12	59.8	Domzale	2	1426	19.85%	@ Celje	1	1498	51.95%	28.20%
23	2020-10-18	59.8	Aluminij	2	1401	17.64%	@ NS Mura	1	1503	55.84%	26.51%
24	2021-03-06	59.7	@ Gorica	1	1334	17.43%	Maribor	1	1556	56.24%	26.33%
25	2021-05-01	59.7	@ Celje	2	1409	24.17%	Maribor	1	1549	45.49%	30.33%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-05-15	31.1	@ Maribor	3	1545	70.27%	Gorica	0	1319	11.22%	18.51%
2	2020-12-19	34.2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1509	64.14%	Gorica	0	1338	13.71%	22.15%
3	2020-11-26	35.2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1494	57.41%	Aluminij	0	1380	16.83%	25.76%
4	2021-05-06	35.4	@ Aluminij	2	1377	50.20%	Gorica	0	1319	20.93%	28.87%
5	2021-03-06	36.1	@ NS Mura	2	1509	60.70%	Aluminij	0	1368	15.24%	24.07%
6	2020-11-06	36.9	@ Celje	4	1478	52.63%	Aluminij	0	1401	19.44%	27.93%
7	2021-05-19	38.2	Celje	2	1443	44.11%	@ Gorica	0	1313	25.22%	30.67%
8	2021-02-28	38.3	@ Domzale	1	1468	59.38%	Gorica	0	1337	15.86%	24.77%
9	2020-08-23	38.5	@ Maribor	3	1495	51.69%	Aluminij	0	1426	20.01%	28.31%
10	2020-08-30	39.1	@ NS Mura	3	1482	48.93%	Tabor Sezana	0	1434	21.76%	29.31%
11	2021-03-15	39.1	Tabor Sezana	3	1406	34.60%	@ Gorica	0	1344	33.59%	31.81%
12	2020-12-16	39.2	@ Tabor Sezana	1	1433	54.44%	Gorica	0	1342	18.41%	27.15%
13	2021-04-30	39.7	NS Mura	5	1520	51.97%	@ Gorica	1	1331	19.84%	28.20%
14	2021-05-19	39.9	Maribor	3	1551	48.90%	@ Koper	0	1386	21.78%	29.32%
15	2020-12-12	40.0	Celje	2	1473	42.88%	@ Gorica	0	1352	26.18%	30.94%
16	2021-05-04	40.1	@ Bravo	2	1435	44.82%	Celje	0	1417	24.68%	30.51%
17	2021-02-20	40.2	@ Bravo	3	1439	41.75%	Koper	0	1444	27.10%	31.15%
18	2021-02-20	40.4	@ NS Mura	3	1505	63.19%	Gorica	1	1342	14.12%	22.69%
19	2020-09-26	40.5	@ Gorica	2	1394	39.88%	Aluminij	0	1412	28.69%	31.44%
20	2021-05-18	40.6	@ Aluminij	3	1408	37.25%	Bravo	0	1445	31.05%	31.70%
21	2020-12-02	40.8	@ Koper	1	1462	53.87%	Aluminij	0	1375	18.73%	27.40%
22	2020-10-29	41.0	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1474	47.84%	Bravo	0	1434	22.50%	29.66%
23	2020-12-06	41.2	@ Maribor	3	1535	64.96%	Gorica	1	1357	13.36%	21.68%
24	2021-04-17	41.2	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1547	56.01%	@ Gorica	0	1327	17.55%	26.44%
25	2020-10-17	41.5	Maribor	4	1504	40.29%	@ Gorica	0	1402	28.33%	31.38%