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2021-22 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Maribor

70 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Koper

12.75 points above expected

67 points · 54.25 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Tabor Sezana

15.94 points below expected

30 points · 45.94 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Maribor 36 21 7 8 70 57 37 +20 61.25 +8.75
2 Koper 36 19 10 7 67 54 38 +16 54.25 +12.75
3 Olimpija Ljubljana 36 18 8 10 62 53 38 +15 54.64 +7.36
4 NS Mura 36 15 12 9 57 57 50 +7 55.40 +1.60
5 Bravo 36 13 10 13 49 33 33 0 49.83 -0.83
6 Radomlje 36 12 10 14 46 47 52 -5 36.54 +9.46
7 Domzale 36 11 12 13 45 47 46 +1 49.94 -4.94
8 Celje 36 12 6 18 42 46 50 -4 45.51 -3.51
9 Tabor Sezana 36 7 9 20 30 30 41 -11 45.94 -15.94
10 Aluminij 36 4 12 20 24 33 72 -39 37.51 -13.51

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Koper 67 54.25 +12.75
2 Radomlje 46 36.54 +9.46
3 Maribor 70 61.25 +8.75
4 Olimpija Ljubljana 62 54.64 +7.36
5 NS Mura 57 55.40 +1.60

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Tabor Sezana 30 45.94 -15.94
2 Aluminij 24 37.51 -13.51
3 Domzale 45 49.94 -4.94
4 Celje 42 45.51 -3.51
5 Bravo 49 49.83 -0.83

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Koper 6 Jul 24 – Sep 12 1 in 792
2 Radomlje 4 Apr 23 – May 16 1 in 184
3 Maribor 5 Oct 16 – Nov 21 1 in 60
4 Celje 3 Oct 18 – Oct 31 1 in 27
5 Domzale 3 Feb 17 – Feb 26 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tabor Sezana 7 Oct 17 – Dec 4 1 in 1,945
2 Radomlje 7 Aug 7 – Sep 22 1 in 128
3 Bravo 4 Apr 9 – May 1 1 in 36
4 Celje 3 Nov 5 – Dec 4 1 in 27
5 Domzale 3 Apr 2 – Apr 16 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Radomlje 7 Apr 9 – May 21 1 in 60
2 Koper 10 Mar 6 – May 6 1 in 42
3 NS Mura 8 Sep 3 – Oct 24 1 in 21
4 Bravo 7 Jul 16 – Aug 28 1 in 20
5 Maribor 8 Sep 23 – Nov 21 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tabor Sezana 10 Sep 23 – Dec 4 1 in 143
2 Domzale 8 Mar 1 – Apr 16 1 in 94
3 Aluminij 18 Dec 4 – May 21 1 in 85
4 Celje 7 Nov 5 – Feb 19 1 in 20
5 Bravo 5 Oct 3 – Nov 6 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Maribor 1553 70 +1 10 9.3 +0.7
Koper 1487 67 -6 8 7.9 +0.1
Olimpija Ljubljana 1506 62 +15 10 8.1 +1.9
NS Mura 1497 57 +2 7 7.5 -0.5
Bravo 1413 49 +8 7 5.6 +1.4
Radomlje 1419 46 +47 13 5.7 +7.3
Domzale 1454 45 +8 8 7.7 +0.3
Celje 1410 42 -5 4 6.9 -2.9
Tabor Sezana 1353 30 -28 1 6.1 -5.1
Aluminij 1235 24 -43 1 3.6 -2.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ALU BRA CEL DOM KOP MAR NM OL RAD TS
Aluminij —
0-1-3
4.53
0-1-3
4.53
0-2-2
3.92
1-2-1
4.41
1-1-2
3.04
0-1-3
3.83
1-0-3
3.52
0-2-2
5.98
1-2-1
4.36
Bravo
3-1-0
6.36
—
2-0-2
5.94
1-0-3
5.37
1-2-1
4.91
2-1-1
4.19
0-3-1
5.00
1-2-1
4.81
1-1-2
7.13
2-0-2
6.06
Celje
3-1-0
6.36
2-0-2
4.94
—
2-1-1
4.84
0-1-3
4.91
0-0-4
4.38
1-0-3
4.69
1-1-2
4.48
1-1-2
6.34
2-1-1
5.26
Domzale
2-2-0
7.04
3-0-1
5.51
1-1-2
6.04
—
1-0-3
4.96
0-1-3
4.64
1-2-1
5.08
1-1-2
5.09
2-2-0
6.84
0-3-1
5.72
Koper
1-2-1
6.51
1-2-1
5.96
3-1-0
5.98
3-0-1
5.92
—
1-1-2
4.53
2-2-0
4.93
2-1-1
5.16
3-0-1
7.12
3-1-0
6.31
Maribor
2-1-1
8.00
1-1-2
6.72
4-0-0
6.52
3-1-0
6.24
2-1-1
6.35
—
1-1-2
6.06
1-1-2
6.10
3-1-0
7.67
4-0-0
6.81
NS Mura
3-1-0
7.12
1-3-0
5.87
3-0-1
6.19
1-2-1
5.79
0-2-2
5.95
2-1-1
4.82
—
2-1-1
5.32
1-1-2
7.40
2-1-1
6.28
Olimpija Ljubljana
3-0-1
7.45
1-2-1
6.08
2-1-1
6.41
2-1-1
5.79
1-1-2
5.72
2-1-1
4.78
1-1-2
5.55
—
2-1-1
7.32
4-0-0
6.12
Radomlje
2-2-0
4.92
2-1-1
3.80
2-1-1
4.55
0-2-2
4.08
1-0-3
3.81
0-1-3
3.31
2-1-1
3.55
1-1-2
3.62
—
2-1-1
4.66
Tabor Sezana
1-2-1
6.54
2-0-2
4.82
1-1-2
5.62
1-3-0
5.17
0-1-3
4.58
0-0-4
4.11
1-1-2
4.61
0-0-4
4.77
1-1-2
6.25
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.71 +12.4
Allowed 0.43 -8.8
Differential 0.89 +8.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%10.83%7.22%1.94%0.56%0.56%29.44%
110.83%11.67%5.56%4.44%1.11%—33.61%
27.22%5.56%4.44%3.61%0.83%—21.67%
31.94%4.44%3.61%2.22%——12.22%
40.56%1.11%0.83%———2.50%
5+0.56%—————0.56%
Total29.44%33.61%21.67%12.22%2.50%0.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.27 +0.00
SD 1.14 1.14 1.59
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%8.33%5.56%5.56%5.56%44.44%
12.78%16.67%2.78%8.33%——30.56%
2——5.56%8.33%——13.89%
32.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.89%30.56%19.44%25.00%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 2.00 -1.08
SD 1.02 1.51 1.90
CV 1.12 0.76 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.11%11.11%5.56%——44.44%
18.33%8.33%8.33%———25.00%
213.89%8.33%2.78%———25.00%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total41.67%30.56%22.22%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 0.92 +0.00
SD 0.97 0.94 1.51
CV 1.06 1.02 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
113.89%5.56%11.11%8.33%——38.89%
25.56%2.78%5.56%8.33%——22.22%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%25.00%27.78%19.44%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.39 -0.11
SD 1.28 1.10 1.69
CV 1.00 0.79 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%8.33%———19.44%
18.33%22.22%8.33%8.33%——47.22%
213.89%——2.78%2.78%—19.44%
32.78%2.78%—5.56%——11.11%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total30.56%33.33%16.67%16.67%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.28 +0.03
SD 1.01 1.16 1.50
CV 0.77 0.91 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
116.67%8.33%2.78%5.56%——33.33%
25.56%8.33%8.33%———22.22%
3—8.33%8.33%———16.67%
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%27.78%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.06 +0.44
SD 1.18 0.92 1.27
CV 0.79 0.88 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
116.67%8.33%5.56%8.33%——38.89%
216.67%8.33%————25.00%
32.78%8.33%2.78%5.56%——19.44%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total41.67%30.56%11.11%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.03 +0.56
SD 1.05 1.11 1.52
CV 0.66 1.08 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%——16.67%
111.11%16.67%2.78%2.78%2.78%—36.11%
22.78%5.56%8.33%5.56%——22.22%
32.78%8.33%8.33%2.78%——22.22%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total22.22%36.11%25.00%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.39 +0.19
SD 1.11 1.08 1.39
CV 0.70 0.78 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%———22.22%
122.22%11.11%—2.78%——36.11%
25.56%8.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%—25.00%
3—5.56%2.78%2.78%——11.11%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total36.11%38.89%11.11%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.06 +0.42
SD 1.30 1.09 1.59
CV 0.88 1.04 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%11.11%11.11%———36.11%
12.78%5.56%2.78%—8.33%—19.44%
25.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%—25.00%
32.78%2.78%8.33%2.78%——16.67%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%27.78%27.78%5.56%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.44 -0.14
SD 1.21 1.27 1.66
CV 0.93 0.88 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%30.56%11.11%———47.22%
15.56%13.89%11.11%———30.56%
22.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%——16.67%
32.78%—————2.78%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%50.00%27.78%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.14 -0.31
SD 1.00 0.76 1.33
CV 1.20 0.67 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Maribor 1553 70 61.25 +8.75 87.0% 45 49 56 60 67 75 81
Olimpija Ljubljana 1506 62 54.64 +7.36 88.0% 38 43 50 54 59 66 73
NS Mura 1497 57 55.40 +1.60 63.0% 37 42 50 56 61 68 71
Koper 1487 67 54.25 +12.75 95.0% 30 43 49 54 60 67 70
Domzale 1454 45 49.94 -4.94 30.0% 25 36 45 50 55 64 68
Radomlje 1419 46 36.54 +9.46 89.0% 19 25 32 35 42 50 52
Bravo 1413 49 49.83 -0.83 47.0% 32 35 43 51 56 61 71
Celje 1410 42 45.51 -3.51 36.0% 26 33 41 45 50 56 65
Tabor Sezana 1353 30 45.94 -15.94 0.0% 32 35 41 45 50 61 65
Aluminij 1235 24 37.51 -13.51 2.0% 21 25 33 37 42 48 57

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+4.44%
No Edge
38.89%26.67%34.44%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 15.45 Elo pts.
214 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.08 goals
Neutral
-2+0.07+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.8
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
43%
Maribor, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Photo Finish
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.02 * Some Luck: 6.02 to 9.03 * Lucky: 9.03 to 12.03 * Wild Swing: 12.03 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.34 * Close: 1.34 to 2.01 * Off: 2.01 to 2.69 * Way Off: 2.69 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
9.27 points
Lucky
07.5219
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.40
Close
01.684
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.00%
Koper
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Tabor Sezana
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.150.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 90.62
1.93
Moderate Separation
11.82.052.75
Interquartile Edge
62%
Even
50%63.5%72%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Clear Edge
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%65%100%
Blowouts
Expected
8%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.24
Very Even
00.310.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.60
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.33
Weak Carryover
00.420.630.791
Upset Rate
Expected
29%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Shaky
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.78
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.84
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.056
Well Within Noise
00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Maribor43.00%19.00%20.00%8.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%———
Koper14.00%20.00%11.00%15.00%13.00%12.00%8.00%3.00%4.00%—
Olimpija Ljubljana14.00%18.00%20.00%14.00%11.00%10.00%9.00%3.00%—1.00%
NS Mura20.00%14.00%23.00%14.00%5.00%9.00%9.00%1.00%5.00%—
Bravo3.00%9.00%11.00%19.00%13.00%15.00%11.00%7.00%8.00%4.00%
Radomlje————7.00%4.00%12.00%9.00%28.00%40.00%
Domzale2.00%13.00%4.00%17.00%15.00%17.00%9.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%
Celje1.00%1.00%7.00%8.00%15.00%10.00%20.00%22.00%8.00%8.00%
Tabor Sezana2.00%6.00%4.00%5.00%13.00%12.00%14.00%25.00%11.00%8.00%
Aluminij1.00%———2.00%8.00%7.00%20.00%29.00%33.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Koper 96.00% 4.00% —
Maribor 100% — —
NS Mura 95.00% 5.00% —
Olimpija Ljubljana 99.00% — 1.00%
Bravo 88.00% 8.00% 4.00%
Domzale 87.00% 7.00% 6.00%
Celje 84.00% 8.00% 8.00%
Tabor Sezana 81.00% 11.00% 8.00%
Aluminij 38.00% 29.00% 33.00%
Radomlje 32.00% 28.00% 40.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2021-07-16 Radomlje D 0-051.2 1432 1338 50.82% 26.82% 22.36%+0.51 -1.6 1
2021-07-16 @ Bravo D 0-051.2 1338 1432 22.36% 26.82% 50.82%-0.51 +1.6 1
2021-07-17 Koper D 0-051.8 1422 1394 42.14% 28.05% 29.81%+0.20 -0.7 1
2021-07-17 @ Aluminij D 0-051.8 1394 1422 29.81% 28.05% 42.14%-0.20 +0.6 1
2021-07-17 Tabor Sezana L 0-345.5 1493 1424 47.71% 27.39% 24.90%+0.40 -29.8 0
2021-07-17 @ NS Mura W 3-045.5 1424 1493 24.90% 27.39% 47.71%-0.40 +29.8 3
2021-07-18 Maribor L 2-357.9 1437 1485 31.67% 28.18% 40.15%-0.15 -7.2 0
2021-07-18 @ Celje W 3-257.9 1485 1437 40.15% 28.18% 31.67%+0.15 +7.1 3
2021-07-23 Celje L 0-148.8 1454 1430 41.62% 28.09% 30.29%+0.18 -9.8 3
2021-07-23 @ Tabor Sezana W 1-048.8 1430 1454 30.29% 28.09% 41.62%-0.18 +9.8 3
2021-07-24 Aluminij D 0-052.7 1431 1421 39.68% 28.20% 32.11%+0.12 -0.4 2
2021-07-24 @ Bravo D 0-052.7 1421 1431 32.11% 28.20% 39.68%-0.12 +0.4 2
2021-07-24 NS Mura W 3-259.2 1395 1463 29.06% 27.98% 42.96%-0.25 +9.0 4
2021-07-24 @ Koper L 2-359.2 1463 1395 42.96% 27.98% 29.06%+0.25 -9.0 0
2021-07-25 Domzale W 3-148.8 1492 1456 43.36% 27.94% 28.70%+0.24 +12.1 6
2021-07-25 @ Maribor L 1-348.8 1456 1492 28.70% 27.94% 43.36%-0.24 -12.1 0
2021-07-25 Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-156.2 1340 1446 24.69% 27.35% 47.96%-0.42 +1.1 2
2021-07-25 @ Radomlje D 1-156.2 1446 1340 47.96% 27.35% 24.69%+0.42 -1.1 1
2021-07-30 Radomlje L 0-243.6 1421 1341 49.17% 27.14% 23.69%+0.45 -21.0 2
2021-07-30 @ Aluminij W 2-043.6 1341 1421 23.69% 27.14% 49.17%-0.45 +21.0 5
2021-07-31 Bravo D 1-158.6 1454 1430 41.73% 28.08% 30.19%+0.19 -0.5 1
2021-07-31 @ NS Mura D 1-158.6 1430 1454 30.19% 28.08% 41.73%-0.19 +0.5 3
2021-07-31 Koper L 1-349.9 1440 1404 43.34% 27.94% 28.71%+0.24 -16.5 3
2021-07-31 @ Celje W 3-149.9 1404 1440 28.71% 27.94% 43.34%-0.24 +16.5 7
2021-08-01 Maribor W 3-152.8 1445 1504 30.10% 28.07% 41.82%-0.21 +16.0 4
2021-08-01 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-352.8 1504 1445 41.82% 28.07% 30.10%+0.21 -16.0 6
2021-08-01 Tabor Sezana D 1-158.6 1444 1444 38.37% 28.26% 33.38%+0.07 -0.2 1
2021-08-01 @ Domzale D 1-158.6 1444 1444 33.38% 28.26% 38.37%-0.07 +0.2 4
2021-08-06 Celje W 2-151.0 1431 1424 39.34% 28.22% 32.44%+0.10 +7.7 6
2021-08-06 @ Bravo L 1-251.0 1424 1431 32.44% 28.22% 39.34%-0.10 -7.7 3
2021-08-07 Maribor L 1-247.5 1362 1488 22.59% 26.88% 50.53%-0.52 -5.7 5
2021-08-07 @ Radomlje W 2-147.5 1488 1362 50.53% 26.88% 22.59%+0.52 +5.7 9
2021-08-08 NS Mura D 1-157.7 1400 1454 30.93% 28.14% 40.94%-0.18 +0.5 3
2021-08-08 @ Aluminij D 1-157.7 1454 1400 40.94% 28.14% 30.93%+0.18 -0.5 2
2021-08-08 Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-253.7 1444 1461 36.00% 28.29% 35.71%+0.00 -8.3 4
2021-08-08 @ Tabor Sezana W 2-153.7 1461 1444 35.71% 28.29% 36.00%+0.00 +8.3 7
2021-08-13 Aluminij D 0-051.8 1416 1401 40.47% 28.16% 31.37%+0.14 -0.5 4
2021-08-13 @ Celje D 0-051.8 1401 1416 31.37% 28.16% 40.47%-0.14 +0.5 4
2021-08-14 Bravo L 0-243.9 1444 1438 39.13% 28.23% 32.64%+0.10 -17.6 1
2021-08-14 @ Domzale W 2-043.9 1438 1444 32.64% 28.23% 39.13%-0.10 +17.6 9
2021-08-14 Tabor Sezana W 2-041.4 1494 1436 46.29% 27.60% 26.11%+0.34 +13.0 12
2021-08-14 @ Maribor L 0-241.4 1436 1494 26.11% 27.60% 46.29%-0.34 -13.0 4
2021-08-15 Koper L 1-351.6 1469 1421 45.00% 27.77% 27.24%+0.30 -17.0 7
2021-08-15 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 3-151.6 1421 1469 27.24% 27.77% 45.00%-0.30 +17.0 10
2021-08-20 Domzale L 0-145.2 1401 1426 34.79% 28.29% 36.92%-0.04 -8.6 4
2021-08-20 @ Aluminij W 1-045.2 1426 1401 36.92% 28.29% 34.79%+0.04 +8.6 4
2021-08-21 Maribor W 2-047.2 1438 1507 28.88% 27.96% 43.16%-0.25 +19.0 13
2021-08-21 @ Koper L 0-247.2 1507 1438 43.16% 27.96% 28.88%+0.25 -19.0 12
2021-08-21 Tabor Sezana L 0-142.3 1356 1423 29.21% 28.00% 42.79%-0.24 -7.5 5
2021-08-21 @ Radomlje W 1-042.3 1423 1356 42.79% 28.00% 29.21%+0.24 +7.5 7
2021-08-22 Celje W 1-044.3 1453 1416 43.59% 27.92% 28.49%+0.25 +7.4 5
2021-08-22 @ NS Mura L 0-144.3 1416 1453 28.49% 27.92% 43.59%-0.25 -7.4 4
2021-08-22 Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-042.9 1456 1452 38.91% 28.24% 32.85%+0.09 +15.5 12
2021-08-22 @ Bravo L 0-242.9 1452 1456 32.85% 28.24% 38.91%-0.09 -15.5 7
2021-08-25 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-243.3 1435 1436 38.12% 28.26% 33.62%+0.06 -17.2 4
2021-08-25 @ Domzale W 2-043.3 1436 1435 33.62% 28.26% 38.12%-0.06 +17.2 10
2021-08-27 Radomlje W 2-036.7 1408 1349 46.47% 27.58% 25.95%+0.35 +12.9 7
2021-08-27 @ Celje L 0-236.7 1349 1408 25.95% 27.58% 46.47%-0.35 -12.9 5
2021-08-28 Bravo D 1-161.1 1488 1471 40.70% 28.15% 31.15%+0.15 -0.4 13
2021-08-28 @ Maribor D 1-161.1 1471 1488 31.15% 28.15% 40.70%-0.15 +0.4 13
2021-08-28 Koper L 0-146.9 1430 1456 34.64% 28.28% 37.07%-0.05 -8.5 7
2021-08-28 @ Tabor Sezana W 1-046.9 1456 1430 37.07% 28.28% 34.64%+0.05 +8.5 16
2021-08-29 Aluminij W 3-144.5 1454 1393 46.65% 27.55% 25.80%+0.36 +11.1 13
2021-08-29 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-344.5 1393 1454 25.80% 27.55% 46.65%-0.36 -11.1 4
2021-08-29 NS Mura W 4-147.0 1418 1461 32.29% 28.21% 39.50%-0.13 +21.7 7
2021-08-29 @ Domzale L 1-447.0 1461 1418 39.50% 28.21% 32.29%+0.13 -21.7 5
2021-09-03 Radomlje W 4-244.9 1439 1336 51.95% 26.57% 21.48%+0.55 +8.5 8
2021-09-03 @ NS Mura L 2-444.9 1336 1439 21.48% 26.57% 51.95%-0.55 -8.5 5
2021-09-11 Domzale W 3-148.2 1421 1439 35.74% 28.29% 35.97%-0.01 +14.3 10
2021-09-11 @ Celje L 1-348.2 1439 1421 35.97% 28.29% 35.74%+0.01 -14.3 7
2021-09-11 Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-048.0 1448 1465 35.88% 28.29% 35.83%-0.01 +8.8 11
2021-09-11 @ NS Mura L 0-148.0 1465 1448 35.83% 28.29% 35.88%+0.01 -8.8 13
2021-09-12 Koper L 1-438.9 1327 1465 21.52% 26.58% 51.90%-0.57 -13.5 5
2021-09-12 @ Radomlje W 4-138.9 1465 1327 51.90% 26.58% 21.52%+0.57 +13.5 19
2021-09-12 Maribor W 3-044.0 1382 1488 24.70% 27.35% 47.95%-0.42 +29.9 7
2021-09-12 @ Aluminij L 0-344.0 1488 1382 47.95% 27.35% 24.70%+0.42 -30.0 13
2021-09-12 Tabor Sezana L 0-246.0 1472 1422 45.20% 27.74% 27.06%+0.31 -19.7 13
2021-09-12 @ Bravo W 2-046.0 1422 1472 27.06% 27.74% 45.20%-0.31 +19.7 10
2021-09-18 Celje W 1-045.7 1456 1435 41.25% 28.11% 30.63%+0.17 +7.8 16
2021-09-18 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-145.7 1435 1456 30.63% 28.11% 41.25%-0.17 -7.8 10
2021-09-18 Radomlje W 2-034.5 1425 1314 52.90% 26.35% 20.75%+0.59 +10.6 10
2021-09-18 @ Domzale L 0-234.5 1314 1425 20.75% 26.35% 52.90%-0.59 -10.6 5
2021-09-19 Aluminij W 4-038.4 1442 1412 42.52% 28.02% 29.46%+0.21 +27.1 13
2021-09-19 @ Tabor Sezana L 0-438.4 1412 1442 29.46% 28.02% 42.52%-0.21 -27.0 7
2021-09-19 Bravo L 0-150.5 1478 1452 42.02% 28.06% 29.92%+0.19 -9.8 19
2021-09-19 @ Koper W 1-050.5 1452 1478 29.92% 28.06% 42.02%-0.19 +9.8 16
2021-09-19 NS Mura L 1-254.7 1458 1456 38.56% 28.25% 33.19%+0.08 -8.7 13
2021-09-19 @ Maribor W 2-154.7 1456 1458 33.19% 28.25% 38.56%-0.08 +8.7 14
2021-09-22 Bravo L 0-234.5 1303 1462 19.64% 25.97% 54.39%-0.67 -10.1 5
2021-09-22 @ Radomlje W 2-034.5 1462 1303 54.39% 25.97% 19.64%+0.67 +10.1 19
2021-09-22 Domzale W 2-151.5 1464 1436 42.29% 28.04% 29.67%+0.20 +7.2 19
2021-09-22 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-251.5 1436 1464 29.67% 28.04% 42.29%-0.20 -7.2 10
2021-09-23 Aluminij L 1-351.7 1469 1385 49.59% 27.06% 23.35%+0.46 -18.4 19
2021-09-23 @ Koper W 3-151.7 1385 1469 23.35% 27.06% 49.59%-0.46 +18.4 10
2021-09-23 Celje W 2-041.1 1449 1428 41.36% 28.11% 30.53%+0.17 +14.7 16
2021-09-23 @ Maribor L 0-241.1 1428 1449 30.53% 28.11% 41.36%-0.17 -14.7 10
2021-09-23 NS Mura D 1-160.2 1469 1465 38.87% 28.24% 32.89%+0.09 -0.3 14
2021-09-23 @ Tabor Sezana D 1-160.2 1465 1469 32.89% 28.24% 38.87%-0.09 +0.3 15
2021-09-25 Radomlje L 2-361.0 1471 1293 60.35% 24.06% 15.58%+0.90 -11.8 19
2021-09-25 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 3-261.0 1293 1471 15.58% 24.06% 60.35%-0.90 +11.8 8
2021-09-26 Bravo L 0-144.7 1403 1472 28.93% 27.97% 43.11%-0.25 -7.5 10
2021-09-26 @ Aluminij W 1-044.7 1472 1403 43.11% 27.97% 28.93%+0.25 +7.5 22
2021-09-26 Koper D 0-054.7 1465 1450 40.45% 28.16% 31.38%+0.14 -0.5 16
2021-09-26 @ NS Mura D 0-054.7 1450 1465 31.38% 28.16% 40.45%-0.14 +0.5 20
2021-09-26 Maribor D 3-368.3 1428 1464 33.35% 28.25% 38.40%-0.09 +0.1 11
2021-09-26 @ Domzale D 3-368.3 1464 1428 38.40% 28.25% 33.35%+0.09 -0.2 17
2021-09-27 Tabor Sezana D 2-264.3 1413 1468 30.66% 28.12% 41.22%-0.19 +0.4 11
2021-09-27 @ Celje D 2-264.3 1468 1413 41.22% 28.12% 30.66%+0.19 -0.4 15
2021-09-29 Domzale W 4-250.7 1451 1429 41.45% 28.10% 30.45%+0.18 +11.3 23
2021-09-29 @ Koper L 2-450.7 1429 1451 30.45% 28.10% 41.45%-0.18 -11.3 11
2021-10-01 Aluminij D 2-260.6 1305 1395 26.38% 27.64% 45.97%-0.35 +0.7 9
2021-10-01 @ Radomlje D 2-260.6 1395 1305 45.97% 27.64% 26.38%+0.35 -0.7 11
2021-10-02 Domzale D 0-053.8 1468 1417 45.31% 27.73% 26.96%+0.31 -1.0 16
2021-10-02 @ Tabor Sezana D 0-053.8 1417 1468 26.96% 27.73% 45.31%-0.31 +1.0 12
2021-10-02 Olimpija Ljubljana D 0-054.9 1464 1459 38.97% 28.24% 32.80%+0.09 -0.3 18
2021-10-02 @ Maribor D 0-054.9 1459 1464 32.80% 28.24% 38.97%-0.09 +0.3 20
2021-10-03 Celje D 2-264.2 1462 1413 45.05% 27.76% 27.19%+0.30 -0.6 24
2021-10-03 @ Koper D 2-264.2 1413 1462 27.19% 27.76% 45.05%-0.30 +0.6 12
2021-10-03 NS Mura D 0-055.7 1480 1465 40.43% 28.17% 31.40%+0.14 -0.5 23
2021-10-03 @ Bravo D 0-055.7 1465 1480 31.40% 28.17% 40.43%-0.14 +0.5 17
2021-10-16 Aluminij W 3-253.6 1465 1395 47.88% 27.36% 24.76%+0.40 +5.9 20
2021-10-16 @ NS Mura L 2-353.6 1395 1465 24.76% 27.36% 47.88%-0.40 -5.9 11
2021-10-16 Radomlje W 1-037.5 1463 1305 58.19% 24.83% 16.99%+0.81 +4.7 21
2021-10-16 @ Maribor L 0-137.5 1305 1463 16.99% 24.83% 58.19%-0.81 -4.7 9
2021-10-17 Koper L 2-356.7 1418 1461 32.27% 28.21% 39.51%-0.13 -7.2 12
2021-10-17 @ Domzale W 3-256.7 1461 1418 39.51% 28.21% 32.27%+0.13 +7.2 27
2021-10-17 Tabor Sezana W 1-048.1 1460 1467 37.29% 28.28% 34.43%+0.04 +8.5 23
2021-10-17 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-148.1 1467 1460 34.43% 28.28% 37.29%-0.04 -8.5 16
2021-10-18 Bravo W 1-049.3 1414 1479 29.42% 28.02% 42.56%-0.23 +9.9 15
2021-10-18 @ Celje L 0-149.3 1479 1414 42.56% 28.02% 29.42%+0.23 -10.0 23
2021-10-23 Celje L 0-144.4 1389 1424 33.39% 28.26% 38.35%-0.09 -8.3 11
2021-10-23 @ Aluminij W 1-044.4 1424 1389 38.35% 28.26% 33.39%+0.09 +8.3 18
2021-10-23 Domzale L 0-149.9 1469 1411 46.29% 27.60% 26.11%+0.34 -10.6 23
2021-10-23 @ Bravo W 1-049.9 1411 1469 26.11% 27.60% 46.29%-0.34 +10.6 15
2021-10-23 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-149.7 1469 1468 38.44% 28.25% 33.31%+0.08 -9.2 27
2021-10-23 @ Koper W 1-049.7 1468 1469 33.31% 28.25% 38.44%-0.08 +9.2 26
2021-10-24 Maribor L 0-148.9 1459 1468 37.01% 28.29% 34.71%+0.03 -9.0 16
2021-10-24 @ Tabor Sezana W 1-048.9 1468 1459 34.71% 28.29% 37.01%-0.03 +9.0 24
2021-10-24 NS Mura D 2-262.3 1301 1471 18.70% 25.60% 55.70%-0.72 +1.4 10
2021-10-24 @ Radomlje D 2-262.3 1471 1301 55.70% 25.60% 18.70%+0.72 -1.4 21
2021-10-30 Bravo D 1-160.3 1477 1459 40.97% 28.13% 30.90%+0.16 -0.5 27
2021-10-30 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-160.3 1459 1477 30.90% 28.13% 40.97%-0.16 +0.5 24
2021-10-30 Radomlje L 0-149.3 1450 1302 57.04% 25.20% 17.76%+0.76 -12.6 16
2021-10-30 @ Tabor Sezana W 1-049.3 1302 1450 17.76% 25.20% 57.04%-0.76 +12.6 13
2021-10-31 Aluminij D 1-156.4 1422 1381 44.02% 27.88% 28.10%+0.26 -0.8 16
2021-10-31 @ Domzale D 1-156.4 1381 1422 28.10% 27.88% 44.02%-0.26 +0.8 12
2021-10-31 NS Mura W 1-048.5 1432 1470 33.04% 28.24% 38.72%-0.10 +9.3 21
2021-10-31 @ Celje L 0-148.5 1470 1432 38.72% 28.24% 33.04%+0.10 -9.3 21
2021-11-01 Koper W 2-043.3 1477 1459 40.79% 28.14% 31.06%+0.15 +14.8 27
2021-11-01 @ Maribor L 0-243.3 1459 1477 31.06% 28.14% 40.79%-0.15 -14.8 27
2021-11-05 Celje W 3-258.8 1315 1441 22.59% 26.88% 50.54%-0.52 +10.2 16
2021-11-05 @ Radomlje L 2-358.8 1441 1315 50.54% 26.88% 22.59%+0.52 -10.2 21
2021-11-06 Maribor L 0-244.6 1459 1492 33.70% 28.27% 38.03%-0.08 -15.8 24
2021-11-06 @ Bravo W 2-044.6 1492 1459 38.03% 28.27% 33.70%+0.08 +15.8 30
2021-11-06 Tabor Sezana W 1-046.0 1445 1437 39.43% 28.22% 32.35%+0.11 +8.1 30
2021-11-06 @ Koper L 0-146.0 1437 1445 32.35% 28.22% 39.43%-0.11 -8.1 16
2021-11-07 Domzale D 1-158.5 1460 1421 43.83% 27.90% 28.28%+0.26 -0.7 22
2021-11-07 @ NS Mura D 1-158.5 1421 1460 28.28% 27.90% 43.83%-0.26 +0.7 17
2021-11-07 Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-049.3 1381 1477 25.85% 27.56% 46.59%-0.37 +10.7 15
2021-11-07 @ Aluminij L 0-149.3 1477 1381 46.59% 27.56% 25.85%+0.37 -10.7 27
2021-11-21 Aluminij W 3-036.3 1508 1392 53.40% 26.22% 20.38%+0.61 +15.2 33
2021-11-21 @ Maribor L 0-336.3 1392 1508 20.38% 26.22% 53.40%-0.61 -15.2 15
2021-11-21 Bravo L 0-242.8 1429 1443 36.29% 28.29% 35.41%+0.00 -16.6 16
2021-11-21 @ Tabor Sezana W 2-042.8 1443 1429 35.41% 28.29% 36.29%+0.00 +16.6 27
2021-11-21 Radomlje W 3-249.5 1453 1325 54.83% 25.85% 19.33%+0.67 +4.7 33
2021-11-21 @ Koper L 2-349.5 1325 1453 19.33% 25.85% 54.83%-0.67 -4.7 16
2021-11-22 Celje W 1-045.9 1422 1431 36.98% 28.29% 34.73%+0.03 +8.6 20
2021-11-22 @ Domzale L 0-145.9 1431 1422 34.73% 28.29% 36.98%-0.03 -8.5 21
2021-11-27 Domzale L 0-236.0 1320 1430 24.29% 27.27% 48.45%-0.44 -12.2 16
2021-11-27 @ Radomlje W 2-036.0 1430 1320 48.45% 27.27% 24.29%+0.44 +12.2 23
2021-11-27 Tabor Sezana W 3-256.2 1377 1412 33.33% 28.25% 38.42%-0.09 +8.2 18
2021-11-27 @ Aluminij L 2-356.2 1412 1377 38.42% 28.25% 33.33%+0.09 -8.2 16
2021-11-28 Koper L 1-254.9 1460 1457 38.69% 28.25% 33.06%+0.08 -8.7 27
2021-11-28 @ Bravo W 2-154.9 1457 1460 33.06% 28.25% 38.69%-0.08 +8.7 36
2021-11-28 Maribor W 3-154.2 1460 1523 29.70% 28.04% 42.26%-0.22 +16.2 25
2021-11-28 @ NS Mura L 1-354.2 1523 1460 42.26% 28.04% 29.70%+0.22 -16.2 33
2021-12-04 Koper D 1-157.7 1385 1466 27.49% 27.80% 44.71%-0.31 +0.8 19
2021-12-04 @ Aluminij D 1-157.7 1466 1385 44.71% 27.80% 27.49%+0.31 -0.8 37
2021-12-04 Maribor L 0-145.9 1423 1507 27.17% 27.76% 45.08%-0.32 -7.1 21
2021-12-04 @ Celje W 1-045.9 1507 1423 45.08% 27.76% 27.17%+0.32 +7.1 36
2021-12-04 Tabor Sezana W 1-043.3 1476 1404 48.06% 27.33% 24.61%+0.41 +6.5 28
2021-12-04 @ NS Mura L 0-143.3 1404 1476 24.61% 27.33% 48.06%-0.41 -6.5 16
2021-12-07 Radomlje L 0-343.4 1451 1308 56.57% 25.34% 18.09%+0.74 -34.3 27
2021-12-07 @ Bravo W 3-043.4 1308 1451 18.09% 25.34% 56.57%-0.74 +34.3 19
2021-12-08 Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-158.5 1416 1466 31.30% 28.16% 40.54%-0.16 +0.4 22
2021-12-08 @ Celje D 1-158.5 1466 1416 40.54% 28.16% 31.30%+0.16 -0.4 28
2021-12-11 Celje W 2-151.0 1397 1416 35.70% 28.29% 36.01%-0.01 +8.3 19
2021-12-11 @ Tabor Sezana L 1-251.0 1416 1397 36.01% 28.29% 35.70%+0.01 -8.3 22
2021-12-11 Domzale W 1-045.9 1514 1442 47.98% 27.35% 24.67%+0.41 +6.6 39
2021-12-11 @ Maribor L 0-145.9 1442 1514 24.67% 27.35% 47.98%-0.41 -6.6 23
2021-12-11 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-140.8 1342 1466 22.92% 26.96% 50.13%-0.50 -6.2 19
2021-12-11 @ Radomlje W 1-040.8 1466 1342 50.13% 26.96% 22.92%+0.50 +6.2 31
2021-12-12 Aluminij W 2-148.7 1417 1386 42.67% 28.01% 29.33%+0.22 +7.1 30
2021-12-12 @ Bravo L 1-248.7 1386 1417 29.33% 28.01% 42.67%-0.22 -7.1 19
2021-12-12 NS Mura D 2-266.5 1465 1482 35.92% 28.29% 35.79%-0.01 -0.0 38
2021-12-12 @ Koper D 2-266.5 1482 1465 35.79% 28.29% 35.92%+0.01 +0.0 29
2022-02-09 NS Mura W 1-049.2 1472 1482 36.84% 28.29% 34.87%+0.02 +8.6 34
2022-02-09 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-149.2 1482 1472 34.87% 28.29% 36.84%-0.02 -8.6 29
2022-02-12 Koper L 1-250.9 1408 1465 30.38% 28.10% 41.53%-0.20 -7.3 22
2022-02-12 @ Celje W 2-150.9 1465 1408 41.53% 28.10% 30.38%+0.20 +7.3 41
2022-02-12 Tabor Sezana D 1-157.3 1436 1406 42.54% 28.02% 29.45%+0.21 -0.6 24
2022-02-12 @ Domzale D 1-157.3 1406 1436 29.45% 28.02% 42.54%-0.21 +0.6 20
2022-02-13 Bravo D 2-265.0 1474 1424 45.20% 27.74% 27.06%+0.31 -0.6 30
2022-02-13 @ NS Mura D 2-265.0 1424 1474 27.06% 27.74% 45.20%-0.31 +0.6 31
2022-02-13 Maribor W 1-052.2 1480 1520 32.73% 28.23% 39.04%-0.11 +9.3 37
2022-02-13 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-152.2 1520 1480 39.04% 28.23% 32.73%+0.11 -9.3 39
2022-02-14 Radomlje L 0-439.9 1379 1336 44.22% 27.86% 27.92%+0.27 -36.7 19
2022-02-14 @ Aluminij W 4-039.9 1336 1379 27.92% 27.86% 44.22%-0.27 +36.7 22
2022-02-17 Olimpija Ljubljana W 2-045.9 1435 1490 30.78% 28.13% 41.09%-0.18 +18.2 27
2022-02-17 @ Domzale L 0-245.9 1490 1435 41.09% 28.13% 30.78%+0.18 -18.3 37
2022-02-19 Celje W 3-037.7 1425 1400 41.73% 28.08% 30.19%+0.19 +21.1 34
2022-02-19 @ Bravo L 0-337.7 1400 1425 30.19% 28.08% 41.73%-0.19 -21.1 22
2022-02-19 NS Mura L 0-140.7 1342 1473 22.15% 26.76% 51.08%-0.54 -6.0 19
2022-02-19 @ Aluminij W 1-040.7 1473 1342 51.08% 26.76% 22.15%+0.54 +6.0 33
2022-02-20 Domzale L 0-245.9 1473 1453 41.05% 28.13% 30.83%+0.16 -18.2 41
2022-02-20 @ Koper W 2-045.9 1453 1473 30.83% 28.13% 41.05%-0.16 +18.2 30
2022-02-20 Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-250.7 1406 1471 29.43% 28.02% 42.55%-0.23 -7.1 20
2022-02-20 @ Tabor Sezana W 2-150.7 1471 1406 42.55% 28.02% 29.43%+0.23 +7.1 40
2022-02-21 Maribor L 1-441.3 1373 1511 21.50% 26.58% 51.93%-0.57 -13.5 22
2022-02-21 @ Radomlje W 4-141.3 1511 1373 51.93% 26.58% 21.50%+0.57 +13.5 42
2022-02-25 Aluminij W 3-251.6 1379 1336 44.31% 27.85% 27.84%+0.27 +6.5 25
2022-02-25 @ Celje L 2-351.6 1336 1379 27.84% 27.85% 44.31%-0.27 -6.5 19
2022-02-26 Bravo W 3-040.4 1472 1446 41.97% 28.06% 29.97%+0.19 +21.0 33
2022-02-26 @ Domzale L 0-340.4 1446 1472 29.97% 28.06% 41.97%-0.19 -21.0 34
2022-02-26 Tabor Sezana W 2-038.7 1524 1399 54.53% 25.93% 19.54%+0.66 +10.1 45
2022-02-26 @ Maribor L 0-238.7 1399 1524 19.54% 25.93% 54.53%-0.66 -10.1 20
2022-02-27 Koper D 2-266.1 1479 1454 41.72% 28.08% 30.20%+0.18 -0.4 41
2022-02-27 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 2-266.1 1454 1479 30.20% 28.08% 41.72%-0.18 +0.4 42
2022-02-27 Radomlje L 0-246.5 1479 1359 53.90% 26.10% 20.00%+0.63 -22.7 33
2022-02-27 @ NS Mura W 2-046.5 1359 1479 20.00% 26.10% 53.90%-0.63 +22.7 25
2022-03-01 Domzale D 1-157.5 1330 1493 19.30% 25.84% 54.86%-0.69 +1.8 20
2022-03-01 @ Aluminij D 1-157.5 1493 1330 54.86% 25.84% 19.30%+0.69 -1.8 34
2022-03-02 Celje W 3-253.1 1457 1386 47.90% 27.36% 24.74%+0.40 +5.9 36
2022-03-02 @ NS Mura L 2-353.1 1386 1457 24.74% 27.36% 47.90%-0.40 -5.9 25
2022-03-02 Tabor Sezana D 0-050.7 1382 1389 37.35% 28.28% 34.37%+0.04 -0.1 26
2022-03-02 @ Radomlje D 0-050.7 1389 1382 34.37% 28.28% 37.35%-0.04 +0.2 21
2022-03-03 Maribor L 1-254.0 1455 1534 27.67% 27.82% 44.50%-0.30 -6.8 42
2022-03-03 @ Koper W 2-154.0 1534 1455 44.50% 27.82% 27.67%+0.30 +6.8 48
2022-03-03 Olimpija Ljubljana D 0-054.3 1425 1478 30.92% 28.14% 40.94%-0.18 +0.5 35
2022-03-03 @ Bravo D 0-054.3 1478 1425 40.94% 28.14% 30.92%+0.18 -0.5 42
2022-03-05 NS Mura D 1-160.9 1491 1462 42.32% 28.04% 29.65%+0.21 -0.6 35
2022-03-05 @ Domzale D 1-160.9 1462 1491 29.65% 28.04% 42.32%-0.21 +0.6 37
2022-03-05 Radomlje D 0-050.6 1380 1382 38.06% 28.26% 33.67%+0.06 -0.2 26
2022-03-05 @ Celje D 0-050.6 1382 1380 33.67% 28.26% 38.06%-0.06 +0.2 27
2022-03-06 Aluminij W 6-035.0 1478 1331 56.91% 25.24% 17.85%+0.76 +25.7 45
2022-03-06 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-635.0 1331 1478 17.85% 25.24% 56.91%-0.76 -25.7 20
2022-03-06 Bravo L 1-260.4 1541 1425 53.45% 26.21% 20.33%+0.61 -11.3 48
2022-03-06 @ Maribor W 2-160.4 1425 1541 20.33% 26.21% 53.45%-0.61 +11.3 38
2022-03-06 Koper D 1-157.2 1389 1448 30.24% 28.08% 41.68%-0.20 +0.5 22
2022-03-06 @ Tabor Sezana D 1-157.2 1448 1389 41.68% 28.08% 30.24%+0.20 -0.5 43
2022-03-09 Domzale W 2-156.0 1380 1490 24.22% 27.25% 48.53%-0.44 +10.4 29
2022-03-09 @ Celje L 1-256.0 1490 1380 48.53% 27.25% 24.22%+0.44 -10.4 35
2022-03-09 Koper L 0-143.6 1382 1448 29.40% 28.01% 42.58%-0.23 -7.6 27
2022-03-09 @ Radomlje W 1-043.6 1448 1382 42.58% 28.01% 29.40%+0.23 +7.5 46
2022-03-09 Tabor Sezana L 0-148.0 1437 1390 44.78% 27.79% 27.43%+0.29 -10.3 38
2022-03-09 @ Bravo W 1-048.0 1390 1437 27.43% 27.79% 44.78%-0.29 +10.4 25
2022-03-10 Maribor D 3-368.0 1306 1530 14.87% 23.62% 61.51%-0.97 +1.5 21
2022-03-10 @ Aluminij D 3-368.0 1530 1306 61.51% 23.62% 14.87%+0.97 -1.5 49
2022-03-10 Olimpija Ljubljana W 3-261.7 1463 1503 32.65% 28.23% 39.12%-0.12 +8.3 40
2022-03-10 @ NS Mura L 2-361.7 1503 1463 39.12% 28.23% 32.65%+0.12 -8.3 45
2022-03-12 Radomlje D 0-053.3 1480 1375 52.18% 26.52% 21.30%+0.56 -1.7 36
2022-03-12 @ Domzale D 0-053.3 1375 1480 21.30% 26.52% 52.18%-0.56 +1.7 28
2022-03-13 Aluminij D 1-155.0 1400 1307 50.69% 26.85% 22.47%+0.51 -1.4 26
2022-03-13 @ Tabor Sezana D 1-155.0 1307 1400 22.47% 26.85% 50.69%-0.51 +1.4 22
2022-03-13 Bravo D 0-053.6 1455 1426 42.37% 28.03% 29.60%+0.21 -0.7 47
2022-03-13 @ Koper D 0-053.6 1426 1455 29.60% 28.03% 42.37%-0.21 +0.7 39
2022-03-13 NS Mura D 1-162.8 1529 1471 46.15% 27.62% 26.23%+0.34 -1.0 50
2022-03-13 @ Maribor D 1-162.8 1471 1529 26.23% 27.62% 46.15%-0.34 +1.0 41
2022-03-14 Celje L 2-456.9 1495 1390 52.14% 26.53% 21.33%+0.56 -17.1 45
2022-03-14 @ Olimpija Ljubljana W 4-256.9 1390 1495 21.33% 26.53% 52.14%-0.56 +17.1 32
2022-03-18 Bravo W 2-152.1 1376 1427 31.30% 28.16% 40.54%-0.16 +9.0 31
2022-03-18 @ Radomlje L 1-252.1 1427 1376 40.54% 28.16% 31.30%+0.16 -9.0 39
2022-03-19 Celje W 1-043.4 1528 1407 53.96% 26.08% 19.96%+0.63 +5.5 53
2022-03-19 @ Maribor L 0-143.4 1407 1528 19.96% 26.08% 53.96%-0.63 -5.5 32
2022-03-19 NS Mura L 0-240.3 1399 1472 28.40% 27.91% 43.68%-0.27 -13.9 26
2022-03-19 @ Tabor Sezana W 2-040.3 1472 1399 43.68% 27.91% 28.40%+0.27 +13.9 44
2022-03-20 Aluminij W 2-033.7 1454 1309 56.86% 25.25% 17.89%+0.75 +9.3 50
2022-03-20 @ Koper L 0-233.7 1309 1454 17.89% 25.25% 56.86%-0.75 -9.3 22
2022-03-20 Domzale D 1-161.0 1478 1478 38.32% 28.26% 33.42%+0.07 -0.2 46
2022-03-20 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 1-161.0 1478 1478 33.42% 28.26% 38.32%-0.07 +0.2 37
2022-04-02 Maribor L 0-246.0 1478 1533 30.77% 28.12% 41.10%-0.18 -14.7 37
2022-04-02 @ Domzale W 2-046.0 1533 1478 41.10% 28.12% 30.77%+0.18 +14.7 56
2022-04-02 Tabor Sezana W 1-043.1 1402 1385 40.71% 28.15% 31.14%+0.15 +7.9 35
2022-04-02 @ Celje L 0-143.1 1385 1402 31.14% 28.15% 40.71%-0.15 -7.9 26
2022-04-03 Bravo L 0-235.1 1299 1418 23.40% 27.07% 49.52%-0.48 -11.8 22
2022-04-03 @ Aluminij W 2-035.1 1418 1299 49.52% 27.07% 23.40%+0.48 +11.8 42
2022-04-03 Koper L 1-256.8 1486 1464 41.49% 28.10% 30.41%+0.18 -9.2 44
2022-04-03 @ NS Mura W 2-156.8 1464 1486 30.41% 28.10% 41.49%-0.18 +9.2 53
2022-04-03 Radomlje W 4-141.0 1478 1385 50.61% 26.86% 22.52%+0.50 +14.0 49
2022-04-03 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 1-441.0 1385 1478 22.52% 26.86% 50.61%-0.50 -14.0 31
2022-04-09 Aluminij D 1-154.4 1371 1287 49.56% 27.07% 23.37%+0.46 -1.3 32
2022-04-09 @ Radomlje D 1-154.4 1287 1371 23.37% 27.07% 49.56%-0.46 +1.3 23
2022-04-09 NS Mura L 1-252.4 1430 1477 31.73% 28.18% 40.08%-0.15 -7.5 42
2022-04-09 @ Bravo W 2-152.4 1477 1430 40.08% 28.18% 31.73%+0.15 +7.5 47
2022-04-09 Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-049.6 1548 1492 46.00% 27.64% 26.36%+0.33 +6.9 59
2022-04-09 @ Maribor L 0-149.6 1492 1548 26.36% 27.64% 46.00%-0.33 -6.9 49
2022-04-10 Celje W 3-145.5 1473 1410 46.94% 27.51% 25.55%+0.37 +11.0 56
2022-04-10 @ Koper L 1-345.5 1410 1473 25.55% 27.51% 46.94%-0.37 -11.0 35
2022-04-10 Domzale W 2-154.4 1377 1464 26.86% 27.71% 45.43%-0.33 +9.9 29
2022-04-10 @ Tabor Sezana L 1-254.4 1464 1377 45.43% 27.71% 26.86%+0.33 -9.9 37
2022-04-15 Radomlje D 0-056.3 1555 1370 61.02% 23.81% 15.17%+0.93 -2.7 60
2022-04-15 @ Maribor D 0-056.3 1370 1555 15.17% 23.81% 61.02%-0.93 +2.7 33
2022-04-16 Bravo W 2-041.5 1399 1422 34.99% 28.29% 36.72%-0.04 +16.8 38
2022-04-16 @ Celje L 0-241.5 1422 1399 36.72% 28.29% 34.99%+0.04 -16.8 42
2022-04-16 Koper L 0-148.4 1454 1484 34.06% 28.27% 37.67%-0.07 -8.4 37
2022-04-16 @ Domzale W 1-048.4 1484 1454 37.67% 28.27% 34.06%+0.07 +8.4 59
2022-04-16 Tabor Sezana W 1-042.1 1485 1387 51.29% 26.72% 21.99%+0.53 +6.0 52
2022-04-16 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-142.1 1387 1485 21.99% 26.72% 51.29%-0.53 -5.9 29
2022-04-18 Aluminij W 3-030.4 1484 1289 62.16% 23.37% 14.47%+0.99 +10.9 50
2022-04-18 @ NS Mura L 0-330.4 1289 1484 14.47% 23.37% 62.16%-0.99 -10.9 23
2022-04-23 Maribor L 1-248.6 1381 1552 18.65% 25.58% 55.77%-0.73 -4.8 29
2022-04-23 @ Tabor Sezana W 2-148.6 1552 1381 55.77% 25.58% 18.65%+0.73 +4.8 63
2022-04-23 NS Mura W 3-261.3 1373 1495 22.98% 26.98% 50.04%-0.50 +10.1 36
2022-04-23 @ Radomlje L 2-361.3 1495 1373 50.04% 26.98% 22.98%+0.50 -10.1 50
2022-04-24 Domzale L 0-241.1 1405 1445 32.71% 28.23% 39.06%-0.11 -15.4 42
2022-04-24 @ Bravo W 2-041.1 1445 1405 39.06% 28.23% 32.71%+0.11 +15.4 40
2022-04-24 Olimpija Ljubljana W 1-049.8 1492 1491 38.57% 28.25% 33.18%+0.08 +8.3 62
2022-04-24 @ Koper L 0-149.8 1491 1492 33.18% 28.25% 38.57%-0.08 -8.3 52
2022-04-25 Celje L 0-634.4 1278 1415 21.56% 26.59% 51.85%-0.57 -30.6 23
2022-04-25 @ Aluminij W 6-034.4 1415 1278 51.85% 26.59% 21.56%+0.57 +30.6 41
2022-04-29 NS Mura L 1-349.5 1446 1485 32.81% 28.24% 38.95%-0.11 -13.4 41
2022-04-29 @ Celje W 3-149.5 1485 1446 38.95% 28.24% 32.81%+0.11 +13.4 53
2022-04-30 Koper D 1-164.9 1557 1501 46.03% 27.64% 26.33%+0.33 -0.9 64
2022-04-30 @ Maribor D 1-164.9 1501 1557 26.33% 27.64% 46.03%-0.33 +0.9 63
2022-04-30 Radomlje L 1-250.3 1376 1383 37.40% 28.28% 34.32%+0.04 -8.5 29
2022-04-30 @ Tabor Sezana W 2-150.3 1383 1376 34.32% 28.28% 37.40%-0.04 +8.5 39
2022-05-01 Aluminij W 3-136.6 1461 1247 63.93% 22.63% 13.44%+1.07 +6.0 43
2022-05-01 @ Domzale L 1-336.6 1247 1461 13.44% 22.63% 63.93%-1.07 -6.0 23
2022-05-01 Bravo W 1-042.3 1482 1390 50.64% 26.85% 22.50%+0.50 +6.1 55
2022-05-01 @ Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-142.3 1390 1482 22.50% 26.85% 50.64%-0.50 -6.1 42
2022-05-06 Tabor Sezana W 1-040.8 1502 1368 55.53% 25.65% 18.82%+0.70 +5.2 66
2022-05-06 @ Koper L 0-140.8 1368 1502 18.82% 25.65% 55.53%-0.70 -5.2 29
2022-05-07 Celje W 2-152.3 1391 1433 32.53% 28.22% 39.24%-0.12 +8.8 42
2022-05-07 @ Radomlje L 1-252.3 1433 1391 39.24% 28.22% 32.53%+0.12 -8.8 41
2022-05-07 Maribor W 3-155.9 1384 1556 18.57% 25.55% 55.89%-0.73 +20.3 45
2022-05-07 @ Bravo L 1-355.9 1556 1384 55.89% 25.55% 18.57%+0.73 -20.3 64
2022-05-08 Domzale W 3-149.6 1499 1467 42.78% 28.00% 29.22%+0.22 +12.3 56
2022-05-08 @ NS Mura L 1-349.6 1467 1499 29.22% 28.00% 42.78%-0.22 -12.3 43
2022-05-08 Olimpija Ljubljana L 2-346.0 1241 1489 13.50% 22.68% 63.82%-1.08 -3.3 23
2022-05-08 @ Aluminij W 3-246.0 1489 1241 63.82% 22.68% 13.50%+1.08 +3.3 58
2022-05-14 Aluminij W 3-135.3 1536 1238 71.64% 18.90% 9.46%+1.46 +4.0 67
2022-05-14 @ Maribor L 1-335.3 1238 1536 9.46% 18.90% 71.64%-1.46 -4.0 23
2022-05-14 Bravo L 0-143.1 1362 1404 32.49% 28.22% 39.29%-0.12 -8.2 29
2022-05-14 @ Tabor Sezana W 1-043.1 1404 1362 39.29% 28.22% 32.49%+0.12 +8.2 48
2022-05-15 Celje D 1-158.4 1454 1424 42.62% 28.01% 29.37%+0.22 -0.6 44
2022-05-15 @ Domzale D 1-158.4 1424 1454 29.37% 28.01% 42.62%-0.22 +0.6 42
2022-05-15 NS Mura D 3-372.2 1492 1511 35.63% 28.29% 36.08%-0.02 +0.0 59
2022-05-15 @ Olimpija Ljubljana D 3-372.2 1511 1492 36.08% 28.29% 35.63%+0.02 -0.0 57
2022-05-16 Radomlje L 1-354.0 1507 1400 52.34% 26.48% 21.18%+0.57 -19.2 66
2022-05-16 @ Koper W 3-154.0 1400 1507 21.18% 26.48% 52.34%-0.57 +19.2 45
2022-05-21 Domzale D 3-367.7 1419 1454 33.45% 28.26% 38.29%-0.09 +0.1 46
2022-05-21 @ Radomlje D 3-367.7 1454 1419 38.29% 28.26% 33.45%+0.09 -0.1 45
2022-05-21 Tabor Sezana D 2-259.7 1234 1354 23.22% 27.03% 49.74%-0.49 +1.0 24
2022-05-21 @ Aluminij D 2-259.7 1354 1234 49.74% 27.03% 23.22%+0.49 -1.0 30
2022-05-22 Koper D 0-054.2 1412 1488 28.19% 27.89% 43.92%-0.28 +0.8 49
2022-05-22 @ Bravo D 0-054.2 1488 1412 43.92% 27.89% 28.19%+0.28 -0.8 67
2022-05-22 Maribor L 1-354.4 1511 1540 34.25% 28.28% 37.47%-0.06 -13.8 57
2022-05-22 @ NS Mura W 3-154.4 1540 1511 37.47% 28.28% 34.25%+0.06 +13.8 70
2022-05-22 Olimpija Ljubljana L 0-242.0 1424 1492 29.15% 27.99% 42.86%-0.24 -14.1 42
2022-05-22 @ Celje W 2-042.0 1492 1424 42.86% 27.99% 29.15%+0.24 +14.2 62

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2021-09-25 15.58% Radomlje 1293 3 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1471 2
2 2021-10-30 17.76% Radomlje 1302 1 @ Tabor Sezana 1450 0
3 2021-12-07 18.09% Radomlje 1308 3 @ Bravo 1451 0
4 2022-05-07 18.57% @ Bravo 1384 3 Maribor 1556 1
5 2022-02-27 20.00% Radomlje 1359 2 @ NS Mura 1479 0
6 2022-03-06 20.33% Bravo 1425 2 @ Maribor 1541 1
7 2022-05-16 21.18% Radomlje 1400 3 @ Koper 1507 1
8 2022-03-14 21.33% Celje 1390 4 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1495 2
9 2021-11-05 22.59% @ Radomlje 1315 3 Celje 1441 2
10 2022-04-23 22.98% @ Radomlje 1373 3 NS Mura 1495 2
11 2021-09-23 23.35% Aluminij 1385 3 @ Koper 1469 1
12 2021-07-30 23.69% Radomlje 1341 2 @ Aluminij 1421 0
13 2022-03-09 24.22% @ Celje 1380 2 Domzale 1490 1
14 2021-09-12 24.70% @ Aluminij 1382 3 Maribor 1488 0
15 2021-07-17 24.90% Tabor Sezana 1424 3 @ NS Mura 1493 0
16 2021-11-07 25.85% @ Aluminij 1381 1 Olimpija Ljubljana 1477 0
17 2021-10-23 26.11% Domzale 1411 1 @ Bravo 1469 0
18 2022-04-10 26.86% @ Tabor Sezana 1377 2 Domzale 1464 1
19 2021-09-12 27.06% Tabor Sezana 1422 2 @ Bravo 1472 0
20 2021-08-15 27.24% Koper 1421 3 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1469 1
21 2022-03-09 27.43% Tabor Sezana 1390 1 @ Bravo 1437 0
22 2022-02-14 27.92% Radomlje 1336 4 @ Aluminij 1379 0
23 2021-07-31 28.71% Koper 1404 3 @ Celje 1440 1
24 2021-08-21 28.88% @ Koper 1438 2 Maribor 1507 0
25 2021-07-24 29.06% @ Koper 1395 3 NS Mura 1463 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-02-14 36.67 Radomlje 4 1336 27.92% @ Aluminij 0 1379 44.22% 27.86%
2 2021-12-07 34.32 Radomlje 3 1308 18.09% @ Bravo 0 1451 56.57% 25.34%
3 2022-04-25 30.60 Celje 6 1415 51.85% @ Aluminij 0 1278 21.56% 26.59%
4 2021-09-12 29.95 @ Aluminij 3 1382 24.70% Maribor 0 1488 47.95% 27.35%
5 2021-07-17 29.83 Tabor Sezana 3 1424 24.90% @ NS Mura 0 1493 47.71% 27.39%
6 2021-09-19 27.06 @ Tabor Sezana 4 1442 42.52% Aluminij 0 1412 29.46% 28.02%
7 2022-03-06 25.69 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 6 1478 56.91% Aluminij 0 1331 17.85% 25.24%
8 2022-02-27 22.70 Radomlje 2 1359 20.00% @ NS Mura 0 1479 53.90% 26.10%
9 2021-08-29 21.70 @ Domzale 4 1418 32.29% NS Mura 1 1461 39.50% 28.21%
10 2022-02-19 21.10 @ Bravo 3 1425 41.73% Celje 0 1400 30.19% 28.08%
11 2021-07-30 21.04 Radomlje 2 1341 23.69% @ Aluminij 0 1421 49.17% 27.14%
12 2022-02-26 20.98 @ Domzale 3 1472 41.97% Bravo 0 1446 29.97% 28.06%
13 2022-05-07 20.26 @ Bravo 3 1384 18.57% Maribor 1 1556 55.89% 25.55%
14 2021-09-12 19.66 Tabor Sezana 2 1422 27.06% @ Bravo 0 1472 45.20% 27.74%
15 2022-05-16 19.19 Radomlje 3 1400 21.18% @ Koper 1 1507 52.34% 26.48%
16 2021-08-21 18.96 @ Koper 2 1438 28.88% Maribor 0 1507 43.16% 27.96%
17 2021-09-23 18.36 Aluminij 3 1385 23.35% @ Koper 1 1469 49.59% 27.06%
18 2022-02-17 18.26 @ Domzale 2 1435 30.78% Olimpija Ljubljana 0 1490 41.09% 28.13%
19 2022-02-20 18.24 Domzale 2 1453 30.83% @ Koper 0 1473 41.05% 28.13%
20 2021-08-14 17.59 Bravo 2 1438 32.64% @ Domzale 0 1444 39.13% 28.23%
21 2021-08-25 17.25 Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1436 33.62% @ Domzale 0 1435 38.12% 28.26%
22 2022-03-14 17.11 Celje 4 1390 21.33% @ Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1495 52.14% 26.53%
23 2021-08-15 16.97 Koper 3 1421 27.24% @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1469 45.00% 27.77%
24 2022-04-16 16.79 @ Celje 2 1399 34.99% Bravo 0 1422 36.72% 28.29%
25 2021-11-21 16.65 Bravo 2 1443 35.41% @ Tabor Sezana 0 1429 36.29% 28.29%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-05-15 72.2 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 3 1492 35.63% NS Mura 3 1511 36.08% 28.29%
2 2021-09-26 68.3 @ Domzale 3 1428 33.35% Maribor 3 1464 38.40% 28.25%
3 2022-03-10 68.0 @ Aluminij 3 1306 14.87% Maribor 3 1530 61.51% 23.62%
4 2022-05-21 67.7 @ Radomlje 3 1419 33.45% Domzale 3 1454 38.29% 28.26%
5 2021-12-12 66.5 @ Koper 2 1465 35.92% NS Mura 2 1482 35.79% 28.29%
6 2022-02-27 66.1 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1479 41.72% Koper 2 1454 30.20% 28.08%
7 2022-02-13 65.0 @ NS Mura 2 1474 45.20% Bravo 2 1424 27.06% 27.74%
8 2022-04-30 64.9 @ Maribor 1 1557 46.03% Koper 1 1501 26.33% 27.64%
9 2021-09-27 64.3 @ Celje 2 1413 30.66% Tabor Sezana 2 1468 41.22% 28.12%
10 2021-10-03 64.2 @ Koper 2 1462 45.05% Celje 2 1413 27.19% 27.76%
11 2022-03-13 62.8 @ Maribor 1 1529 46.15% NS Mura 1 1471 26.23% 27.62%
12 2021-10-24 62.3 @ Radomlje 2 1301 18.70% NS Mura 2 1471 55.70% 25.60%
13 2022-03-10 61.7 @ NS Mura 3 1463 32.65% Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1503 39.12% 28.23%
14 2022-04-23 61.3 @ Radomlje 3 1373 22.98% NS Mura 2 1495 50.04% 26.98%
15 2021-08-28 61.1 @ Maribor 1 1488 40.70% Bravo 1 1471 31.15% 28.15%
16 2021-09-25 61.0 Radomlje 3 1293 15.58% @ Olimpija Ljubljana 2 1471 60.35% 24.06%
17 2022-03-20 61.0 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1478 38.32% Domzale 1 1478 33.42% 28.26%
18 2022-03-05 60.9 @ Domzale 1 1491 42.32% NS Mura 1 1462 29.65% 28.04%
19 2021-10-01 60.6 @ Radomlje 2 1305 26.38% Aluminij 2 1395 45.97% 27.64%
20 2022-03-06 60.4 Bravo 2 1425 20.33% @ Maribor 1 1541 53.45% 26.21%
21 2021-10-30 60.3 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1477 40.97% Bravo 1 1459 30.90% 28.13%
22 2021-09-23 60.2 @ Tabor Sezana 1 1469 38.87% NS Mura 1 1465 32.89% 28.24%
23 2022-05-21 59.7 @ Aluminij 2 1234 23.22% Tabor Sezana 2 1354 49.74% 27.03%
24 2021-07-24 59.2 @ Koper 3 1395 29.06% NS Mura 2 1463 42.96% 27.98%
25 2021-11-05 58.8 @ Radomlje 3 1315 22.59% Celje 2 1441 50.54% 26.88%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-04-18 30.4 @ NS Mura 3 1484 62.16% Aluminij 0 1289 14.47% 23.37%
2 2022-03-20 33.7 @ Koper 2 1454 56.86% Aluminij 0 1309 17.89% 25.25%
3 2022-04-25 34.4 Celje 6 1415 51.85% @ Aluminij 0 1278 21.56% 26.59%
4 2021-09-18 34.5 @ Domzale 2 1425 52.90% Radomlje 0 1314 20.75% 26.35%
5 2021-09-22 34.5 Bravo 2 1462 54.39% @ Radomlje 0 1303 19.64% 25.97%
6 2022-03-06 35.0 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 6 1478 56.91% Aluminij 0 1331 17.85% 25.24%
7 2022-04-03 35.1 Bravo 2 1418 49.52% @ Aluminij 0 1299 23.40% 27.07%
8 2022-05-14 35.3 @ Maribor 3 1536 71.64% Aluminij 1 1238 9.46% 18.90%
9 2021-11-27 36.0 Domzale 2 1430 48.45% @ Radomlje 0 1320 24.29% 27.27%
10 2021-11-21 36.3 @ Maribor 3 1508 53.40% Aluminij 0 1392 20.38% 26.22%
11 2022-05-01 36.6 @ Domzale 3 1461 63.93% Aluminij 1 1247 13.44% 22.63%
12 2021-08-27 36.7 @ Celje 2 1408 46.47% Radomlje 0 1349 25.95% 27.58%
13 2021-10-16 37.5 @ Maribor 1 1463 58.19% Radomlje 0 1305 16.99% 24.83%
14 2022-02-19 37.7 @ Bravo 3 1425 41.73% Celje 0 1400 30.19% 28.08%
15 2021-09-19 38.4 @ Tabor Sezana 4 1442 42.52% Aluminij 0 1412 29.46% 28.02%
16 2022-02-26 38.7 @ Maribor 2 1524 54.53% Tabor Sezana 0 1399 19.54% 25.93%
17 2021-09-12 38.9 Koper 4 1465 51.90% @ Radomlje 1 1327 21.52% 26.58%
18 2022-02-14 39.9 Radomlje 4 1336 27.92% @ Aluminij 0 1379 44.22% 27.86%
19 2022-03-19 40.3 NS Mura 2 1472 43.68% @ Tabor Sezana 0 1399 28.40% 27.91%
20 2022-02-26 40.4 @ Domzale 3 1472 41.97% Bravo 0 1446 29.97% 28.06%
21 2022-02-19 40.7 NS Mura 1 1473 51.08% @ Aluminij 0 1342 22.15% 26.76%
22 2021-12-11 40.8 Olimpija Ljubljana 1 1466 50.13% @ Radomlje 0 1342 22.92% 26.96%
23 2022-05-06 40.8 @ Koper 1 1502 55.53% Tabor Sezana 0 1368 18.82% 25.65%
24 2022-04-03 41.0 @ Olimpija Ljubljana 4 1478 50.61% Radomlje 1 1385 22.52% 26.86%
25 2021-09-23 41.1 @ Maribor 2 1449 41.36% Celje 0 1428 30.53% 28.11%