2022-23 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Olimpija Ljubljana

73 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Celje

16.46 points above expected

67 points · 50.54 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Tabor Sezana

11.56 points below expected

24 points · 35.56 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Olimpija Ljubljana	36	23	4	9	73	60	39	+21	61.21	+11.79
2	Celje	36	19	10	7	67	53	34	+19	50.54	+16.46
3	Maribor	36	18	8	10	62	70	43	+27	60.53	+1.47
4	Domzale	36	13	13	10	52	50	42	+8	51.23	+0.77
5	NS Mura	36	13	13	10	52	50	45	+5	54.21	-2.21
6	Koper	36	14	8	14	50	46	40	+6	56.27	-6.27
7	Radomlje	36	10	14	12	44	35	53	-18	40.28	+3.72
8	Bravo	36	9	9	18	36	33	41	-8	44.33	-8.33
9	Gorica	36	5	12	19	27	31	57	-26	33.65	-6.65
10	Tabor Sezana	36	3	15	18	24	29	63	-34	35.56	-11.56

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Celje	67	50.54	+16.46
2	Olimpija Ljubljana	73	61.21	+11.79
3	Radomlje	44	40.28	+3.72
4	Maribor	62	60.53	+1.47
5	Domzale	52	51.23	+0.77

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Tabor Sezana	24	35.56	-11.56
2	Bravo	36	44.33	-8.33
3	Gorica	27	33.65	-6.65
4	Koper	50	56.27	-6.27
5	NS Mura	52	54.21	-2.21

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Olimpija Ljubljana	8	Jul 17 – Sep 4	1 in 670
2	Maribor	7	Nov 6 – Feb 19	1 in 219
3	Celje	5	Aug 26 – Oct 2	1 in 203
4	Radomlje	4	Apr 30 – May 20	1 in 181
5	NS Mura	4	Oct 9 – Nov 2	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	May 3 – May 20	1 in 69
2	Koper	4	Apr 30 – May 20	1 in 62
3	Bravo	4	Jul 31 – Aug 20	1 in 37
4	Maribor	3	Jul 31 – Aug 14	1 in 26
5	Gorica	4	Jul 23 – Aug 15	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Radomlje	11	Mar 12 – May 20	1 in 979
2	Tabor Sezana	6	Feb 12 – Mar 11	1 in 129
3	Celje	9	Mar 18 – May 20	1 in 28
4	Maribor	10	Oct 29 – Feb 26	1 in 19
5	Domzale	6	Oct 1 – Nov 4	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Radomlje	19	Aug 7 – Feb 18	1 in 652
2	Bravo	11	Nov 12 – Mar 15	1 in 92
3	Domzale	7	Mar 15 – Apr 28	1 in 67
4	Gorica	15	Sep 18 – Feb 26	1 in 49
5	Tabor Sezana	15	Feb 18 – May 19	1 in 43

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Olimpija Ljubljana	1463	73	-24	4	8.8	-4.8
Celje	1460	67	+51	15	7.2	+7.8
Maribor	1498	62	-4	8	9.4	-1.4
NS Mura	1411	52	+0	9	7.8	+1.2
Domzale	1409	52	+0	7	6.8	+0.2
Koper	1403	50	-26	1	6.9	-5.9
Radomlje	1336	44	+27	13	5.6	+7.4
Bravo	1334	36	-13	5	6.2	-1.2
Gorica	1248	27	+1	5	4.4	+0.6
Tabor Sezana	1244	24	-11	2	4.9	-2.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRA	CEL	DOM	GOR	KOP	MAR	NM	OL	RAD	TS
Bravo	—	1-0-3 4.87	0-2-2 4.93	2-1-1 6.54	1-0-3 4.32	0-1-3 3.82	1-1-2 4.35	2-0-2 3.65	0-2-2 6.04	2-2-0 6.58
Celje	3-0-1 5.90	—	2-1-1 5.10	3-0-1 7.26	3-1-0 4.89	1-2-1 4.37	2-1-1 4.90	2-1-1 4.23	2-2-0 6.31	1-2-1 7.08
Domzale	2-2-0 5.84	1-1-2 5.67	—	2-2-0 7.29	1-2-1 5.00	2-1-1 4.33	1-2-1 5.07	2-0-2 4.23	2-0-2 6.66	0-3-1 7.33
Gorica	1-1-2 4.27	1-0-3 3.63	0-2-2 3.60	—	0-2-2 3.31	0-0-4 3.05	0-2-2 3.36	0-2-2 2.86	0-2-2 4.74	3-1-0 5.36
Koper	3-0-1 6.48	0-1-3 5.90	1-2-1 5.76	2-2-0 7.64	—	2-0-2 4.77	1-1-2 5.43	0-0-4 4.75	1-2-1 7.04	4-0-0 7.46
Maribor	3-1-0 7.05	1-2-1 6.43	1-1-2 6.48	4-0-0 7.95	2-0-2 6.01	—	3-0-1 5.95	1-0-3 5.40	2-1-1 7.31	1-3-0 8.15
NS Mura	2-1-1 6.45	1-1-2 5.86	1-2-1 5.69	2-2-0 7.58	2-1-1 5.33	1-0-3 4.84	—	1-1-2 4.65	1-3-0 6.77	2-2-0 7.47
Olimpija Ljubljana	2-0-2 7.23	1-1-2 6.58	2-0-2 6.59	2-2-0 8.19	4-0-0 6.02	3-0-1 5.35	2-1-1 6.12	—	3-0-1 7.75	4-0-0 8.08
Radomlje	2-2-0 4.74	0-2-2 4.52	2-0-2 4.17	2-2-0 6.04	1-2-1 3.83	1-1-2 3.61	0-3-1 4.08	1-0-3 3.22	—	1-2-1 6.10
Tabor Sezana	0-2-2 4.26	1-2-1 3.80	1-3-0 3.57	0-1-3 5.41	0-0-4 3.46	0-3-1 2.89	0-2-2 3.45	0-0-4 2.96	1-2-1 4.67	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.80	+10.7
Allowed	0.66	-14.7
Differential	0.88	+7.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.89%	10.00%	6.67%	2.22%	1.11%	1.11%	30.00%
1	10.00%	13.89%	7.50%	1.94%	0.56%	1.11%	35.00%
2	6.67%	7.50%	5.56%	1.94%	0.28%	—	21.94%
3	2.22%	1.94%	1.94%	1.11%	0.83%	—	8.06%
4	1.11%	0.56%	0.28%	0.83%	—	—	2.78%
5+	1.11%	1.11%	—	—	—	—	2.22%
Total	30.00%	35.00%	21.94%	8.06%	2.78%	2.22%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.27	+0.00
SD	1.25	1.25	1.81
CV	0.98	0.98	—
Max	8	8	+8
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	25.00%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	47.22%
1	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
2	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	25.00%	47.22%	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.14	-0.22
SD	1.27	0.93	1.68
CV	1.39	0.82	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
2	13.89%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	5.56%	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	33.33%	13.89%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.47	0.94	+0.53
SD	1.08	1.01	1.30
CV	0.73	1.07	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	30.56%
1	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
2	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	30.56%	38.89%	19.44%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.17	+0.22
SD	1.29	1.11	1.61
CV	0.93	0.95	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	8.33%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
1	8.33%	16.67%	11.11%	—	2.78%	2.78%	41.67%
2	2.78%	—	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	13.89%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	27.78%	33.33%	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	1.58	-0.72
SD	0.87	1.30	1.34
CV	1.01	0.82	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	25.00%
1	13.89%	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
2	8.33%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	30.56%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	30.56%	36.11%	25.00%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	1.11	+0.17
SD	1.19	0.95	1.58
CV	0.93	0.85	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
1	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
4	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	30.56%	33.33%	22.22%	13.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.94	1.19	+0.75
SD	1.64	1.04	2.21
CV	0.84	0.87	—
Max	7	3	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	30.56%
1	5.56%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	25.00%
2	2.78%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	33.33%	22.22%	11.11%	—	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.25	+0.14
SD	1.25	1.18	1.50
CV	0.90	0.94	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	22.22%	—	8.33%	—	2.78%	2.78%	36.11%
2	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	—	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	52.78%	11.11%	25.00%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	1.08	+0.58
SD	1.49	1.46	2.05
CV	0.90	1.35	—
Max	8	6	+8
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	8.33%	30.56%
1	8.33%	27.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	47.22%
2	2.78%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	47.22%	13.89%	8.33%	—	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.47	-0.50
SD	0.84	1.56	2.04
CV	0.87	1.06	—
Max	3	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	16.67%	5.56%	—	8.33%	2.78%	41.67%
1	2.78%	22.22%	11.11%	2.78%	—	2.78%	41.67%
2	—	2.78%	11.11%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.89%	41.67%	27.78%	2.78%	8.33%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	1.75	-0.94
SD	0.89	1.61	1.97
CV	1.10	0.92	—
Max	4	8	+4
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Maribor	1498	62	60.53	+1.47	63.0%	39	50	56	59	65	72	76
Olimpija Ljubljana	1463	73	61.21	+11.79	93.0%	45	49	55	61	66	74	81
Celje	1460	67	50.54	+16.46	100.0%	36	39	44	49	56	64	66
NS Mura	1411	52	54.21	-2.21	42.0%	39	41	49	54	59	67	81
Domzale	1409	52	51.23	+0.77	54.0%	32	38	47	51	56	62	66
Koper	1403	50	56.27	-6.27	25.0%	39	42	50	56	61	69	75
Radomlje	1336	44	40.28	+3.72	73.0%	27	29	34	40	45	52	62
Bravo	1334	36	44.33	-8.33	19.0%	28	32	38	45	49	58	64
Gorica	1248	27	33.65	-6.65	22.0%	20	22	28	33	38	46	49
Tabor Sezana	1244	24	35.56	-11.56	5.0%	20	24	32	36	39	46	53

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+8.33%

Slight Edge

39.44%29.44%31.11%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 29.02 Elo pts.

191 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.06 goals

Neutral

-2+0.15+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.5

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

41%

Olimpija Ljubljana, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.17/gm

Tight Race

00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.92 * Some Luck: 5.92 to 8.88 * Lucky: 8.88 to 11.84 * Wild Swing: 11.84 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.11 * Close: 1.11 to 1.66 * Off: 1.66 to 2.21 * Way Off: 2.21 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

8.47 points

Some Luck

07.4018

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.40

01.383

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

100.00%

Celje

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

5.00%

Tabor Sezana

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.

Gini Index

0.18

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 87.87

2.12

Strong Separation

11.82.052.75

Interquartile Edge

66%

Slight Edge

50%63.5%72%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

81%

Even

50%84%100%

Close Games

Expected

70%

Very Frequent

0%59%100%

Blowouts

Expected

12%

Rare

0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.63

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.30

Very Even

00.310.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.32

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.69

Strong Carryover

00.420.630.791

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

As Expected

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.97

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.22

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.044

Well Within Noise

00.1310.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Olimpija Ljubljana	41.00%	14.00%	21.00%	8.00%	13.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—
Celje	4.00%	14.00%	12.00%	6.00%	12.00%	27.00%	16.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Maribor	30.00%	32.00%	16.00%	12.00%	8.00%	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	—
Domzale	3.00%	3.00%	17.00%	21.00%	18.00%	18.00%	8.00%	8.00%	3.00%	1.00%
NS Mura	11.00%	15.00%	12.00%	18.00%	16.00%	14.00%	10.00%	4.00%	—	—
Koper	11.00%	15.00%	16.00%	28.00%	10.00%	13.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%
Radomlje	—	3.00%	—	3.00%	3.00%	7.00%	22.00%	27.00%	19.00%	16.00%
Bravo	—	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	15.00%	12.00%	24.00%	14.00%	17.00%	5.00%
Gorica	—	—	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	7.00%	15.00%	25.00%	47.00%
Tabor Sezana	—	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	1.00%	8.00%	25.00%	33.00%	29.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Maribor	99.00%	1.00%	—
NS Mura	100%	—	—
Olimpija Ljubljana	100%	—	—
Celje	97.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Domzale	96.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Koper	99.00%	—	1.00%
Bravo	78.00%	17.00%	5.00%
Radomlje	65.00%	19.00%	16.00%
Tabor Sezana	38.00%	33.00%	29.00%
Gorica	28.00%	25.00%	47.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2022-07-15	Tabor Sezana	W 2-1	45.2	1408	1326	49.79%	28.59%	21.62%	+0.58	+3.8	3
2022-07-15	@ Koper	L 1-2	45.2	1326	1408	21.62%	28.59%	49.79%	-0.58	-3.8	0
2022-07-16	Celje	D 0-0	48.9	1390	1361	42.62%	30.48%	26.90%	+0.30	-0.5	1
2022-07-16	@ Domzale	D 0-0	48.9	1361	1390	26.90%	30.48%	42.62%	-0.30	+0.6	1
2022-07-16	Radomlje	L 0-3	45.2	1450	1366	50.04%	28.51%	21.46%	+0.59	-21.0	0
2022-07-16	@ Maribor	W 3-0	45.2	1366	1450	21.46%	28.51%	50.04%	-0.59	+21.0	3
2022-07-17	NS Mura	W 2-0	41.9	1423	1415	39.62%	30.94%	29.44%	+0.19	+9.8	3
2022-07-17	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	41.9	1415	1423	29.44%	30.94%	39.62%	-0.19	-9.8	0
2022-07-18	Bravo	W 2-0	41.7	1304	1362	30.33%	31.04%	38.62%	-0.16	+11.9	3
2022-07-18	@ Gorica	L 0-2	41.7	1362	1304	38.62%	31.04%	30.33%	+0.16	-11.9	0
2022-07-22	Celje	D 1-1	53.6	1387	1362	42.14%	30.57%	27.29%	+0.29	-0.5	4
2022-07-22	@ Radomlje	D 1-1	53.6	1362	1387	27.29%	30.57%	42.14%	-0.29	+0.5	2
2022-07-23	Gorica	W 3-2	49.0	1429	1316	53.87%	27.03%	19.10%	+0.75	+3.2	3
2022-07-23	@ Maribor	L 2-3	49.0	1316	1429	19.10%	27.03%	53.87%	-0.75	-3.2	3
2022-07-24	Domzale	W 4-3	56.4	1405	1390	40.74%	30.79%	28.47%	+0.23	+4.4	3
2022-07-24	@ NS Mura	L 3-4	56.4	1390	1405	28.47%	30.79%	40.74%	-0.23	-4.4	1
2022-07-24	Koper	W 1-0	46.1	1351	1412	29.99%	31.00%	39.01%	-0.17	+6.4	3
2022-07-24	@ Bravo	L 0-1	46.1	1412	1351	39.01%	31.00%	29.99%	+0.17	-6.4	3
2022-07-24	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	41.2	1322	1433	24.43%	29.79%	45.79%	-0.42	-4.5	0
2022-07-24	@ Tabor Sezana	W 1-0	41.2	1433	1322	45.79%	29.79%	24.43%	+0.42	+4.5	6
2022-07-29	Radomlje	L 0-1	41.8	1313	1387	28.39%	30.78%	40.83%	-0.24	-5.1	3
2022-07-29	@ Gorica	W 1-0	41.8	1387	1313	40.83%	30.78%	28.39%	+0.24	+5.1	7
2022-07-30	Tabor Sezana	D 1-1	53.3	1385	1318	47.84%	29.22%	22.95%	+0.50	-0.8	2
2022-07-30	@ Domzale	D 1-1	53.3	1318	1385	22.95%	29.22%	47.84%	-0.50	+0.8	1
2022-07-31	Bravo	W 1-0	40.8	1437	1357	49.55%	28.67%	21.78%	+0.57	+4.0	9
2022-07-31	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	40.8	1357	1437	21.78%	28.67%	49.55%	-0.57	-4.1	3
2022-07-31	Maribor	W 2-1	51.9	1406	1432	34.70%	31.24%	34.06%	+0.01	+5.5	6
2022-07-31	@ Koper	L 1-2	51.9	1432	1406	34.06%	31.24%	34.70%	-0.01	-5.5	3
2022-07-31	NS Mura	D 3-3	63.0	1362	1410	31.81%	31.16%	37.03%	-0.10	+0.1	3
2022-07-31	@ Celje	D 3-3	63.0	1410	1362	37.03%	31.16%	31.81%	+0.10	-0.1	4
2022-08-05	Celje	W 1-0	44.2	1319	1362	32.34%	31.19%	36.46%	-0.08	+6.1	4
2022-08-05	@ Tabor Sezana	L 0-1	44.2	1362	1319	36.46%	31.19%	32.34%	+0.08	-6.1	3
2022-08-06	Domzale	L 0-1	44.2	1353	1384	34.02%	31.24%	34.74%	-0.01	-5.8	3
2022-08-06	@ Bravo	W 1-0	44.2	1384	1353	34.74%	31.24%	34.02%	+0.01	+5.8	5
2022-08-07	NS Mura	D 1-1	54.4	1392	1410	36.01%	31.21%	32.77%	+0.06	-0.1	8
2022-08-07	@ Radomlje	D 1-1	54.4	1410	1392	32.77%	31.21%	36.01%	-0.06	+0.1	5
2022-08-07	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	45.0	1427	1441	36.51%	31.19%	32.30%	+0.08	-11.5	3
2022-08-07	@ Maribor	W 2-0	45.0	1441	1427	32.30%	31.19%	36.51%	-0.08	+11.5	12
2022-08-08	Koper	L 1-2	46.5	1307	1411	25.10%	30.01%	44.89%	-0.39	-4.3	3
2022-08-08	@ Gorica	W 2-1	46.5	1411	1307	44.89%	30.01%	25.10%	+0.39	+4.3	9
2022-08-12	Bravo	W 1-0	42.2	1356	1347	39.83%	30.91%	29.26%	+0.20	+5.2	6
2022-08-12	@ Celje	L 0-1	42.2	1347	1356	29.26%	30.91%	39.83%	-0.20	-5.2	3
2022-08-13	Radomlje	W 5-0	39.1	1415	1392	41.86%	30.62%	27.52%	+0.28	+21.8	12
2022-08-13	@ Koper	L 0-5	39.1	1392	1415	27.52%	30.62%	41.86%	-0.28	-21.8	8
2022-08-13	Tabor Sezana	D 2-2	59.6	1410	1325	50.17%	28.46%	21.37%	+0.60	-0.7	6
2022-08-13	@ NS Mura	D 2-2	59.6	1325	1410	21.37%	28.46%	50.17%	-0.60	+0.7	5
2022-08-14	Maribor	W 3-2	55.9	1390	1415	34.92%	31.24%	33.84%	+0.02	+5.2	8
2022-08-14	@ Domzale	L 2-3	55.9	1415	1390	33.84%	31.24%	34.92%	-0.02	-5.2	3
2022-08-15	Gorica	W 2-0	34.5	1453	1303	58.36%	24.97%	16.67%	+0.93	+5.8	15
2022-08-15	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	34.5	1303	1453	16.67%	24.97%	58.36%	-0.93	-5.8	3
2022-08-19	Tabor Sezana	D 0-0	48.2	1370	1326	44.74%	30.04%	25.22%	+0.38	-0.7	9
2022-08-19	@ Radomlje	D 0-0	48.2	1326	1370	25.22%	30.04%	44.74%	-0.38	+0.7	6
2022-08-20	NS Mura	L 0-1	42.9	1342	1409	29.28%	30.91%	39.81%	-0.20	-5.2	3
2022-08-20	@ Bravo	W 1-0	42.9	1409	1342	39.81%	30.91%	29.28%	+0.20	+5.2	9
2022-08-20	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	45.6	1437	1458	35.51%	31.23%	33.26%	+0.04	-11.2	12
2022-08-20	@ Koper	W 2-0	45.6	1458	1437	33.26%	31.23%	35.51%	-0.04	+11.2	18
2022-08-21	Celje	D 2-2	59.8	1410	1361	45.35%	29.90%	24.75%	+0.41	-0.5	4
2022-08-21	@ Maribor	D 2-2	59.8	1361	1410	24.75%	29.90%	45.35%	-0.41	+0.5	7
2022-08-22	Domzale	D 0-0	48.1	1297	1395	25.69%	30.18%	44.13%	-0.36	+0.7	4
2022-08-22	@ Gorica	D 0-0	48.1	1395	1297	44.13%	30.18%	25.69%	+0.36	-0.7	9
2022-08-26	Bravo	L 0-4	39.3	1326	1337	37.04%	31.16%	31.80%	+0.10	-22.0	6
2022-08-26	@ Tabor Sezana	W 4-0	39.3	1337	1326	31.80%	31.16%	37.04%	-0.10	+22.0	6
2022-08-26	Gorica	W 1-0	39.4	1362	1298	47.38%	29.35%	23.27%	+0.49	+4.3	10
2022-08-26	@ Celje	L 0-1	39.4	1298	1362	23.27%	29.35%	47.38%	-0.49	-4.3	4
2022-08-27	Koper	L 0-2	43.0	1395	1426	34.05%	31.24%	34.71%	-0.01	-10.9	9
2022-08-27	@ Domzale	W 2-0	43.0	1426	1395	34.71%	31.24%	34.05%	+0.01	+10.9	15
2022-08-27	Radomlje	W 2-1	46.7	1470	1369	52.19%	27.71%	20.10%	+0.68	+3.5	21
2022-08-27	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	46.7	1369	1470	20.10%	27.71%	52.19%	-0.68	-3.5	9
2022-08-28	Maribor	L 0-1	47.4	1414	1410	39.15%	30.99%	29.86%	+0.17	-6.4	9
2022-08-28	@ NS Mura	W 1-0	47.4	1410	1414	29.86%	30.99%	39.15%	-0.17	+6.4	7
2022-09-02	Celje	L 0-2	46.2	1437	1366	48.30%	29.08%	22.63%	+0.52	-14.1	15
2022-09-02	@ Koper	W 2-0	46.2	1366	1437	22.63%	29.08%	48.30%	-0.52	+14.1	13
2022-09-02	NS Mura	D 0-0	48.4	1294	1408	24.03%	29.65%	46.32%	-0.45	+0.8	5
2022-09-02	@ Gorica	D 0-0	48.4	1408	1294	46.32%	29.65%	24.03%	+0.45	-0.8	10
2022-09-03	Tabor Sezana	D 2-2	59.7	1416	1304	53.67%	27.11%	19.21%	+0.74	-0.9	8
2022-09-03	@ Maribor	D 2-2	59.7	1304	1416	19.21%	27.11%	53.67%	-0.74	+0.9	7
2022-09-04	Domzale	W 3-2	52.5	1473	1384	50.77%	28.25%	20.99%	+0.62	+3.5	24
2022-09-04	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-3	52.5	1384	1473	20.99%	28.25%	50.77%	-0.62	-3.5	9
2022-09-05	Bravo	D 1-1	53.0	1366	1359	39.53%	30.95%	29.52%	+0.19	-0.3	10
2022-09-05	@ Radomlje	D 1-1	53.0	1359	1366	29.52%	30.95%	39.53%	-0.19	+0.3	7
2022-09-09	Radomlje	W 3-1	45.3	1380	1365	40.63%	30.81%	28.56%	+0.23	+8.3	12
2022-09-09	@ Domzale	L 1-3	45.3	1365	1380	28.56%	30.81%	40.63%	-0.23	-8.3	10
2022-09-10	Gorica	L 1-3	47.1	1305	1295	40.04%	30.88%	29.08%	+0.21	-10.6	7
2022-09-10	@ Tabor Sezana	W 3-1	47.1	1295	1305	29.08%	30.88%	40.04%	-0.21	+10.6	8
2022-09-10	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 4-3	62.4	1380	1477	25.87%	30.23%	43.91%	-0.35	+6.1	16
2022-09-10	@ Celje	L 3-4	62.4	1477	1380	43.91%	30.23%	25.87%	+0.35	-6.1	24
2022-09-11	Koper	W 2-1	51.3	1407	1423	36.26%	31.20%	32.54%	+0.07	+5.3	13
2022-09-11	@ NS Mura	L 1-2	51.3	1423	1407	32.54%	31.20%	36.26%	-0.07	-5.3	15
2022-09-11	Maribor	L 0-1	43.8	1359	1415	30.64%	31.07%	38.29%	-0.14	-5.4	7
2022-09-11	@ Bravo	W 1-0	43.8	1415	1359	38.29%	31.07%	30.64%	+0.14	+5.4	11
2022-09-17	Koper	L 0-2	37.1	1295	1418	23.16%	29.31%	47.53%	-0.49	-8.1	7
2022-09-17	@ Tabor Sezana	W 2-0	37.1	1418	1295	47.53%	29.31%	23.16%	+0.49	+8.1	18
2022-09-17	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-3	56.9	1412	1471	30.38%	31.05%	38.58%	-0.15	-4.8	13
2022-09-17	@ NS Mura	W 3-2	56.9	1471	1412	38.58%	31.05%	30.38%	+0.15	+4.8	27
2022-09-18	Domzale	W 2-1	49.4	1386	1389	38.22%	31.08%	30.71%	+0.14	+5.1	19
2022-09-18	@ Celje	L 1-2	49.4	1389	1386	30.71%	31.08%	38.22%	-0.14	-5.1	12
2022-09-18	Maribor	L 0-5	39.2	1357	1421	29.71%	30.97%	39.32%	-0.18	-23.2	10
2022-09-18	@ Radomlje	W 5-0	39.2	1421	1357	39.32%	30.97%	29.71%	+0.18	+23.1	14
2022-09-18	Gorica	W 2-0	37.1	1354	1305	45.30%	29.91%	24.79%	+0.41	+8.6	10
2022-09-18	@ Bravo	L 0-2	37.1	1305	1354	24.79%	29.91%	45.30%	-0.41	-8.6	8
2022-10-01	Bravo	W 2-0	38.4	1426	1362	47.32%	29.37%	23.31%	+0.48	+8.1	21
2022-10-01	@ Koper	L 0-2	38.4	1362	1426	23.31%	29.37%	47.32%	-0.48	-8.1	10
2022-10-01	NS Mura	D 2-2	59.8	1384	1407	35.11%	31.23%	33.66%	+0.03	-0.0	13
2022-10-01	@ Domzale	D 2-2	59.8	1407	1384	33.66%	31.23%	35.11%	-0.03	+0.0	14
2022-10-01	Tabor Sezana	W 2-0	33.2	1475	1286	63.08%	22.49%	14.42%	+1.14	+4.9	30
2022-10-01	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	33.2	1286	1475	14.42%	22.49%	63.08%	-1.14	-4.9	7
2022-10-02	Maribor	L 1-4	39.7	1297	1444	21.00%	28.25%	50.75%	-0.62	-9.0	8
2022-10-02	@ Gorica	W 4-1	39.7	1444	1297	50.75%	28.25%	21.00%	+0.62	+9.1	17
2022-10-02	Radomlje	W 2-1	46.1	1391	1334	46.52%	29.59%	23.89%	+0.45	+4.1	22
2022-10-02	@ Celje	L 1-2	46.1	1334	1391	23.89%	29.59%	46.52%	-0.45	-4.2	10
2022-10-08	Domzale	D 1-1	52.6	1282	1383	25.28%	30.06%	44.67%	-0.38	+0.6	8
2022-10-08	@ Tabor Sezana	D 1-1	52.6	1383	1282	44.67%	30.06%	25.28%	+0.38	-0.6	14
2022-10-08	Koper	L 0-1	49.8	1453	1434	41.23%	30.72%	28.05%	+0.25	-6.6	17
2022-10-08	@ Maribor	W 1-0	49.8	1434	1453	28.05%	30.72%	41.23%	-0.25	+6.6	24
2022-10-09	Celje	W 3-1	46.5	1407	1396	40.22%	30.86%	28.92%	+0.21	+8.4	17
2022-10-09	@ NS Mura	L 1-3	46.5	1396	1407	28.92%	30.86%	40.22%	-0.21	-8.4	22
2022-10-09	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 6-1	47.9	1354	1480	22.86%	29.18%	47.95%	-0.51	+27.1	13
2022-10-09	@ Bravo	L 1-6	47.9	1480	1354	47.95%	29.18%	22.86%	+0.51	-27.1	30
2022-10-10	Gorica	D 1-1	52.1	1330	1287	44.45%	30.11%	25.44%	+0.37	-0.6	11
2022-10-10	@ Radomlje	D 1-1	52.1	1287	1330	25.44%	30.11%	44.45%	-0.37	+0.6	9
2022-10-14	Bravo	D 0-0	48.9	1383	1381	38.77%	31.03%	30.20%	+0.16	-0.3	15
2022-10-14	@ Domzale	D 0-0	48.9	1381	1383	30.20%	31.03%	38.77%	-0.16	+0.3	14
2022-10-14	Tabor Sezana	W 1-0	37.9	1387	1282	52.79%	27.48%	19.74%	+0.70	+3.7	25
2022-10-14	@ Celje	L 0-1	37.9	1282	1387	19.74%	27.48%	52.79%	-0.70	-3.7	8
2022-10-15	Maribor	W 1-0	46.7	1453	1446	39.51%	30.95%	29.54%	+0.19	+5.2	33
2022-10-15	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	46.7	1446	1453	29.54%	30.95%	39.51%	-0.19	-5.2	17
2022-10-15	Gorica	D 1-1	55.0	1440	1288	58.72%	24.79%	16.49%	+0.95	-1.4	25
2022-10-15	@ Koper	D 1-1	55.0	1288	1440	16.49%	24.79%	58.72%	-0.95	+1.4	10
2022-10-16	Radomlje	W 3-0	35.0	1416	1329	50.42%	28.37%	21.21%	+0.61	+10.8	20
2022-10-16	@ NS Mura	L 0-3	35.0	1329	1416	21.21%	28.37%	50.42%	-0.61	-10.8	11
2022-10-22	Domzale	L 0-3	44.7	1441	1383	46.66%	29.56%	23.79%	+0.46	-19.9	17
2022-10-22	@ Maribor	W 3-0	44.7	1383	1441	23.79%	29.56%	46.66%	-0.46	+19.9	18
2022-10-23	NS Mura	L 0-4	34.0	1278	1427	20.92%	28.21%	50.87%	-0.62	-14.0	8
2022-10-23	@ Tabor Sezana	W 4-0	34.0	1427	1278	50.87%	28.21%	20.92%	+0.62	+14.0	23
2022-10-23	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	49.8	1290	1458	19.30%	27.17%	53.53%	-0.73	+1.3	11
2022-10-23	@ Gorica	D 0-0	49.8	1458	1290	53.53%	27.17%	19.30%	+0.73	-1.3	34
2022-10-24	Celje	W 2-0	41.2	1381	1391	37.19%	31.15%	31.65%	+0.10	+10.4	17
2022-10-24	@ Bravo	L 0-2	41.2	1391	1381	31.65%	31.15%	37.19%	-0.10	-10.4	25
2022-10-24	Koper	D 2-2	59.7	1318	1439	23.39%	29.40%	47.21%	-0.48	+0.6	12
2022-10-24	@ Radomlje	D 2-2	59.7	1439	1318	47.21%	29.40%	23.39%	+0.48	-0.6	26
2022-10-28	Gorica	W 5-1	36.7	1402	1291	53.64%	27.13%	19.23%	+0.74	+10.7	21
2022-10-28	@ Domzale	L 1-5	36.7	1291	1402	19.23%	27.13%	53.64%	-0.74	-10.7	11
2022-10-29	Maribor	D 3-3	63.7	1380	1421	32.74%	31.21%	36.05%	-0.06	+0.1	26
2022-10-29	@ Celje	D 3-3	63.7	1421	1380	36.05%	31.21%	32.74%	+0.06	-0.1	18
2022-10-29	Radomlje	W 2-1	49.3	1265	1319	30.89%	31.09%	38.01%	-0.13	+5.9	11
2022-10-29	@ Tabor Sezana	L 1-2	49.3	1319	1265	38.01%	31.09%	30.89%	+0.13	-5.9	12
2022-10-30	Koper	W 2-1	51.7	1457	1438	41.18%	30.73%	28.10%	+0.25	+4.8	37
2022-10-30	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	51.7	1438	1457	28.10%	30.73%	41.18%	-0.25	-4.8	26
2022-11-02	Bravo	W 1-0	43.0	1441	1392	45.35%	29.90%	24.75%	+0.41	+4.5	26
2022-11-02	@ NS Mura	L 0-1	43.0	1392	1441	24.75%	29.90%	45.35%	-0.41	-4.5	17
2022-11-04	Domzale	D 1-1	55.7	1434	1413	41.43%	30.69%	27.89%	+0.26	-0.4	27
2022-11-04	@ Koper	D 1-1	55.7	1413	1434	27.89%	30.69%	41.43%	-0.26	+0.4	22
2022-11-05	Celje	L 0-2	37.4	1280	1381	25.43%	30.11%	44.46%	-0.37	-8.8	11
2022-11-05	@ Gorica	W 2-0	37.4	1381	1280	44.46%	30.11%	25.43%	+0.37	+8.8	29
2022-11-05	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	40.0	1313	1462	20.87%	28.18%	50.95%	-0.63	-3.9	12
2022-11-05	@ Radomlje	W 1-0	40.0	1462	1313	50.95%	28.18%	20.87%	+0.63	+3.9	40
2022-11-06	NS Mura	W 5-1	45.8	1421	1445	35.08%	31.24%	33.69%	+0.03	+17.1	21
2022-11-06	@ Maribor	L 1-5	45.8	1445	1421	33.69%	31.24%	35.08%	-0.03	-17.1	26
2022-11-06	Tabor Sezana	W 2-1	42.9	1387	1270	54.30%	26.85%	18.85%	+0.76	+3.3	20
2022-11-06	@ Bravo	L 1-2	42.9	1270	1387	18.85%	26.85%	54.30%	-0.76	-3.3	11
2022-11-12	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-3	42.0	1414	1466	31.19%	31.12%	37.70%	-0.12	-14.9	22
2022-11-12	@ Domzale	W 3-0	42.0	1466	1414	37.70%	31.12%	31.19%	+0.12	+14.9	43
2022-11-12	Radomlje	D 1-1	53.4	1391	1309	49.73%	28.61%	21.66%	+0.58	-0.9	21
2022-11-12	@ Bravo	D 1-1	53.4	1309	1391	21.66%	28.61%	49.73%	-0.58	+0.9	13
2022-11-13	Koper	D 1-1	54.9	1389	1433	32.29%	31.19%	36.52%	-0.08	+0.1	30
2022-11-13	@ Celje	D 1-1	54.9	1433	1389	36.52%	31.19%	32.29%	+0.08	-0.1	28
2022-11-13	Maribor	L 0-4	33.2	1267	1438	19.13%	27.05%	53.82%	-0.74	-12.8	11
2022-11-13	@ Tabor Sezana	W 4-0	33.2	1438	1267	53.82%	27.05%	19.13%	+0.74	+12.8	24
2022-11-13	Gorica	W 2-0	33.4	1428	1271	59.25%	24.52%	16.22%	+0.97	+5.6	29
2022-11-13	@ NS Mura	L 0-2	33.4	1271	1428	16.22%	24.52%	59.25%	-0.97	-5.6	11
2022-11-29	Bravo	W 3-0	38.1	1451	1390	47.04%	29.45%	23.51%	+0.47	+11.9	27
2022-11-29	@ Maribor	L 0-3	38.1	1390	1451	23.51%	29.45%	47.04%	-0.47	-11.9	21
2022-11-29	Tabor Sezana	D 1-1	51.4	1266	1254	40.15%	30.87%	28.98%	+0.21	-0.3	12
2022-11-29	@ Gorica	D 1-1	51.4	1254	1266	28.98%	30.87%	40.15%	-0.21	+0.4	12
2022-11-30	Domzale	L 0-2	38.4	1310	1399	26.72%	30.44%	42.83%	-0.31	-9.1	13
2022-11-30	@ Radomlje	W 2-0	38.4	1399	1310	42.83%	30.44%	26.72%	+0.31	+9.1	25
2022-11-30	NS Mura	D 0-0	51.4	1433	1434	38.45%	31.06%	30.50%	+0.15	-0.3	29
2022-11-30	@ Koper	D 0-0	51.4	1434	1433	30.50%	31.06%	38.45%	-0.15	+0.3	30
2022-12-01	Celje	D 0-0	52.4	1481	1389	51.00%	28.16%	20.84%	+0.63	-1.1	44
2022-12-01	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	52.4	1389	1481	20.84%	28.16%	51.00%	-0.63	+1.1	31
2022-12-06	Bravo	D 0-0	47.7	1265	1378	24.20%	29.71%	46.09%	-0.44	+0.8	13
2022-12-06	@ Gorica	D 0-0	47.7	1378	1265	46.09%	29.71%	24.20%	+0.44	-0.8	22
2022-12-06	Radomlje	W 7-0	34.0	1463	1301	59.89%	24.20%	15.91%	+1.00	+17.7	30
2022-12-06	@ Maribor	L 0-7	34.0	1301	1463	15.91%	24.20%	59.89%	-1.00	-17.7	13
2022-12-07	Celje	W 2-1	49.1	1408	1391	40.97%	30.76%	28.27%	+0.24	+4.8	28
2022-12-07	@ Domzale	L 1-2	49.1	1391	1408	28.27%	30.76%	40.97%	-0.24	-4.8	31
2022-12-07	Tabor Sezana	W 5-1	34.2	1433	1255	61.82%	23.18%	15.00%	+1.09	+8.1	32
2022-12-07	@ Koper	L 1-5	34.2	1255	1433	15.00%	23.18%	61.82%	-1.09	-8.1	12
2022-12-08	NS Mura	D 0-0	53.2	1480	1434	44.89%	30.01%	25.10%	+0.39	-0.7	45
2022-12-08	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	53.2	1434	1480	25.10%	30.01%	44.89%	-0.39	+0.7	31
2022-12-10	Koper	L 0-1	44.4	1377	1441	29.66%	30.96%	39.37%	-0.18	-5.2	22
2022-12-10	@ Bravo	W 1-0	44.4	1441	1377	39.37%	30.96%	29.66%	+0.18	+5.2	35
2022-12-11	Celje	L 0-3	35.7	1283	1386	25.21%	30.04%	44.75%	-0.39	-12.6	13
2022-12-11	@ Radomlje	W 3-0	35.7	1386	1283	44.75%	30.04%	25.21%	+0.39	+12.6	34
2022-12-11	Gorica	W 2-1	40.6	1481	1266	66.00%	20.84%	13.15%	+1.27	+2.2	33
2022-12-11	@ Maribor	L 1-2	40.6	1266	1481	13.15%	20.84%	66.00%	-1.27	-2.2	13
2022-12-11	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-8	33.3	1247	1479	15.22%	23.43%	61.35%	-1.06	-19.0	12
2022-12-11	@ Tabor Sezana	W 8-0	33.3	1479	1247	61.35%	23.43%	15.22%	+1.06	+19.0	48
2022-12-12	Domzale	L 0-1	48.7	1435	1413	41.66%	30.65%	27.69%	+0.27	-6.7	31
2022-12-12	@ NS Mura	W 1-0	48.7	1413	1435	27.69%	30.65%	41.66%	-0.27	+6.7	31
2023-02-11	Bravo	W 2-1	46.6	1498	1372	55.47%	26.33%	18.19%	+0.81	+3.2	51
2023-02-11	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	46.6	1372	1498	18.19%	26.33%	55.47%	-0.81	-3.2	22
2023-02-11	NS Mura	W 2-1	51.8	1398	1428	34.30%	31.24%	34.46%	+0.00	+5.5	37
2023-02-11	@ Celje	L 1-2	51.8	1428	1398	34.46%	31.24%	34.30%	+0.00	-5.5	31
2023-02-12	Maribor	L 0-1	48.9	1446	1483	33.31%	31.23%	35.46%	-0.04	-5.7	35
2023-02-12	@ Koper	W 1-0	48.9	1483	1446	35.46%	31.23%	33.31%	+0.04	+5.7	36
2023-02-12	Radomlje	D 1-1	51.3	1264	1271	37.59%	31.13%	31.28%	+0.12	-0.2	14
2023-02-12	@ Gorica	D 1-1	51.3	1271	1264	31.28%	31.13%	37.59%	-0.12	+0.2	14
2023-02-12	Tabor Sezana	L 0-4	44.4	1419	1228	63.41%	22.31%	14.28%	+1.16	-32.6	31
2023-02-12	@ Domzale	W 4-0	44.4	1228	1419	14.28%	22.31%	63.41%	-1.16	+32.6	15
2023-02-18	Celje	D 2-2	58.7	1260	1404	21.29%	28.42%	50.29%	-0.60	+0.7	16
2023-02-18	@ Tabor Sezana	D 2-2	58.7	1404	1260	50.29%	28.42%	21.29%	+0.60	-0.7	38
2023-02-18	Koper	D 2-2	59.6	1264	1440	18.72%	26.75%	54.52%	-0.77	+0.9	15
2023-02-18	@ Gorica	D 2-2	59.6	1440	1264	54.52%	26.75%	18.72%	+0.77	-0.9	36
2023-02-18	NS Mura	D 0-0	48.7	1271	1423	20.63%	28.04%	51.32%	-0.64	+1.2	15
2023-02-18	@ Radomlje	D 0-0	48.7	1423	1271	51.32%	28.04%	20.63%	+0.64	-1.1	32
2023-02-19	Domzale	L 0-2	42.2	1369	1387	35.94%	31.21%	32.85%	+0.06	-11.3	22
2023-02-19	@ Bravo	W 2-0	42.2	1387	1369	32.85%	31.21%	35.94%	-0.06	+11.3	34
2023-02-19	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-0	47.8	1488	1501	36.74%	31.18%	32.08%	+0.09	+10.5	39
2023-02-19	@ Maribor	L 0-2	47.8	1501	1488	32.08%	31.18%	36.74%	-0.09	-10.5	51
2023-02-21	Radomlje	L 1-2	55.2	1440	1272	60.56%	23.85%	15.59%	+1.03	-8.3	36
2023-02-21	@ Koper	W 2-1	55.2	1272	1440	15.59%	23.85%	60.56%	-1.03	+8.3	18
2023-02-21	Tabor Sezana	D 2-2	60.1	1421	1261	59.71%	24.29%	16.00%	+0.99	-1.1	33
2023-02-21	@ NS Mura	D 2-2	60.1	1261	1421	16.00%	24.29%	59.71%	-0.99	+1.1	17
2023-02-22	Bravo	W 2-1	47.1	1403	1357	44.96%	29.99%	25.05%	+0.39	+4.3	41
2023-02-22	@ Celje	L 1-2	47.1	1357	1403	25.05%	29.99%	44.96%	-0.39	-4.3	22
2023-02-22	Gorica	W 4-3	47.6	1491	1265	67.28%	20.10%	12.62%	+1.33	+1.9	54
2023-02-22	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 3-4	47.6	1265	1491	12.62%	20.10%	67.28%	-1.33	-1.9	15
2023-02-23	Maribor	D 1-1	57.4	1398	1499	25.38%	30.09%	44.52%	-0.38	+0.6	35
2023-02-23	@ Domzale	D 1-1	57.4	1499	1398	44.52%	30.09%	25.38%	+0.38	-0.6	40
2023-02-25	NS Mura	D 0-0	49.1	1353	1420	29.23%	30.91%	39.86%	-0.20	+0.4	23
2023-02-25	@ Bravo	D 0-0	49.1	1420	1353	39.86%	30.91%	29.23%	+0.20	-0.4	34
2023-02-25	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	47.7	1431	1492	30.01%	31.01%	38.98%	-0.17	-5.3	36
2023-02-25	@ Koper	W 1-0	47.7	1492	1431	38.98%	31.01%	30.01%	+0.17	+5.3	57
2023-02-25	Tabor Sezana	D 0-0	46.7	1280	1262	41.12%	30.74%	28.15%	+0.25	-0.5	19
2023-02-25	@ Radomlje	D 0-0	46.7	1262	1280	28.15%	30.74%	41.12%	-0.25	+0.5	18
2023-02-26	Celje	W 2-0	40.6	1498	1408	50.94%	28.18%	20.88%	+0.63	+7.4	43
2023-02-26	@ Maribor	L 0-2	40.6	1408	1498	20.88%	28.18%	50.94%	-0.63	-7.3	41
2023-02-26	Domzale	L 0-2	35.9	1263	1399	21.99%	28.78%	49.24%	-0.56	-7.7	15
2023-02-26	@ Gorica	W 2-0	35.9	1399	1263	49.24%	28.78%	21.99%	+0.56	+7.7	38
2023-03-04	Koper	D 0-0	50.4	1406	1426	35.73%	31.22%	33.05%	+0.05	-0.1	39
2023-03-04	@ Domzale	D 0-0	50.4	1426	1406	33.05%	31.22%	35.73%	-0.05	+0.1	37
2023-03-04	Gorica	L 0-1	48.5	1400	1255	57.83%	25.23%	16.94%	+0.91	-8.5	41
2023-03-04	@ Celje	W 1-0	48.5	1255	1400	16.94%	25.23%	57.83%	-0.91	+8.5	18
2023-03-04	Radomlje	W 1-0	35.4	1498	1280	66.40%	20.61%	12.99%	+1.29	+2.3	60
2023-03-04	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	35.4	1280	1498	12.99%	20.61%	66.40%	-1.29	-2.3	19
2023-03-05	Bravo	D 1-1	52.0	1262	1353	26.48%	30.39%	43.14%	-0.32	+0.5	19
2023-03-05	@ Tabor Sezana	D 1-1	52.0	1353	1262	43.14%	30.39%	26.48%	+0.32	-0.5	24
2023-03-05	Maribor	W 2-1	56.9	1420	1506	27.05%	30.52%	42.43%	-0.30	+6.4	37
2023-03-05	@ NS Mura	L 1-2	56.9	1506	1420	42.43%	30.52%	27.05%	+0.30	-6.4	43
2023-03-10	NS Mura	D 1-1	53.6	1264	1426	19.77%	27.50%	52.74%	-0.70	+1.1	19
2023-03-10	@ Gorica	D 1-1	53.6	1426	1264	52.74%	27.50%	19.77%	+0.70	-1.1	38
2023-03-11	Celje	L 0-1	48.4	1426	1392	43.36%	30.34%	26.30%	+0.33	-6.9	37
2023-03-11	@ Koper	W 1-0	48.4	1392	1426	26.30%	30.34%	43.36%	-0.33	+6.9	44
2023-03-11	Tabor Sezana	D 1-1	57.1	1499	1263	68.43%	19.42%	12.15%	+1.39	-1.9	44
2023-03-11	@ Maribor	D 1-1	57.1	1263	1499	12.15%	19.42%	68.43%	-1.39	+1.9	20
2023-03-12	Bravo	W 3-1	47.6	1278	1353	28.29%	30.76%	40.95%	-0.24	+10.8	22
2023-03-12	@ Radomlje	L 1-3	47.6	1353	1278	40.95%	30.76%	28.29%	+0.24	-10.8	24
2023-03-12	Domzale	L 1-4	52.9	1500	1406	51.33%	28.04%	20.63%	+0.64	-18.0	60
2023-03-12	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 4-1	52.9	1406	1500	20.63%	28.04%	51.33%	-0.64	+18.0	42
2023-03-15	Maribor	L 2-3	51.7	1342	1497	20.34%	27.86%	51.80%	-0.66	-3.4	24
2023-03-15	@ Bravo	W 3-2	51.7	1497	1342	51.80%	27.86%	20.34%	+0.66	+3.4	47
2023-03-15	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	45.4	1399	1482	27.31%	30.57%	42.11%	-0.29	-4.9	44
2023-03-15	@ Celje	W 1-0	45.4	1482	1399	42.11%	30.57%	27.31%	+0.29	+4.9	63
2023-03-15	Radomlje	L 1-2	54.6	1424	1288	56.70%	25.77%	17.53%	+0.86	-7.9	42
2023-03-15	@ Domzale	W 2-1	54.6	1288	1424	17.53%	25.77%	56.70%	-0.86	+7.9	25
2023-03-16	Koper	L 1-2	53.6	1425	1419	39.39%	30.96%	29.65%	+0.18	-6.1	38
2023-03-16	@ NS Mura	W 2-1	53.6	1419	1425	29.65%	30.96%	39.39%	-0.18	+6.0	40
2023-03-16	Gorica	L 0-1	43.6	1265	1265	38.56%	31.05%	30.39%	+0.15	-6.3	20
2023-03-16	@ Tabor Sezana	W 1-0	43.6	1265	1265	30.39%	31.05%	38.56%	-0.15	+6.3	22
2023-03-18	Domzale	W 1-0	45.5	1394	1416	35.28%	31.23%	33.49%	+0.03	+5.7	47
2023-03-18	@ Celje	L 0-1	45.5	1416	1394	33.49%	31.23%	35.28%	-0.03	-5.7	42
2023-03-18	Maribor	D 1-1	56.1	1296	1501	16.86%	25.15%	57.99%	-0.92	+1.4	26
2023-03-18	@ Radomlje	D 1-1	56.1	1501	1296	57.99%	25.15%	16.86%	+0.92	-1.4	48
2023-03-19	Koper	L 0-1	37.9	1259	1425	19.46%	27.29%	53.25%	-0.72	-3.6	20
2023-03-19	@ Tabor Sezana	W 1-0	37.9	1425	1259	53.25%	27.29%	19.46%	+0.72	+3.6	43
2023-03-19	Gorica	W 2-1	44.4	1339	1271	47.87%	29.21%	22.93%	+0.51	+4.0	27
2023-03-19	@ Bravo	L 1-2	44.4	1271	1339	22.93%	29.21%	47.87%	-0.51	-4.0	22
2023-03-19	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	55.6	1419	1487	29.19%	30.90%	39.91%	-0.20	+6.1	41
2023-03-19	@ NS Mura	L 1-2	55.6	1487	1419	39.91%	30.90%	29.19%	+0.20	-6.1	63
2023-04-01	Bravo	W 1-0	40.1	1429	1343	50.36%	28.39%	21.25%	+0.60	+4.0	46
2023-04-01	@ Koper	L 0-1	40.1	1343	1429	21.25%	28.39%	50.36%	-0.60	-4.0	27
2023-04-01	Maribor	L 0-3	32.1	1267	1499	15.22%	23.43%	61.35%	-1.06	-7.6	22
2023-04-01	@ Gorica	W 3-0	32.1	1499	1267	61.35%	23.43%	15.22%	+1.06	+7.6	51
2023-04-01	Radomlje	D 1-1	53.7	1399	1298	52.36%	27.64%	19.99%	+0.68	-1.1	48
2023-04-01	@ Celje	D 1-1	53.7	1298	1399	19.99%	27.64%	52.36%	-0.68	+1.1	27
2023-04-02	NS Mura	D 0-0	50.5	1411	1425	36.45%	31.19%	32.35%	+0.08	-0.1	43
2023-04-02	@ Domzale	D 0-0	50.5	1425	1411	32.35%	31.19%	36.45%	-0.08	+0.1	42
2023-04-02	Tabor Sezana	W 1-0	34.4	1481	1255	67.29%	20.10%	12.62%	+1.34	+2.2	66
2023-04-02	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	34.4	1255	1481	12.62%	20.10%	67.29%	-1.34	-2.2	20
2023-04-08	Domzale	D 1-1	53.2	1253	1410	20.15%	27.74%	52.11%	-0.67	+1.1	21
2023-04-08	@ Tabor Sezana	D 1-1	53.2	1410	1253	52.11%	27.74%	20.15%	+0.67	-1.1	44
2023-04-08	Koper	W 3-1	48.0	1507	1433	48.74%	28.94%	22.32%	+0.54	+6.8	54
2023-04-08	@ Maribor	L 1-3	48.0	1433	1507	22.32%	28.94%	48.74%	-0.54	-6.8	46
2023-04-08	Gorica	W 2-0	36.8	1299	1259	44.03%	30.20%	25.77%	+0.36	+8.9	30
2023-04-08	@ Radomlje	L 0-2	36.8	1259	1299	25.77%	30.20%	44.03%	-0.36	-8.9	22
2023-04-10	Celje	L 0-2	45.3	1425	1398	42.35%	30.53%	27.12%	+0.29	-12.8	42
2023-04-10	@ NS Mura	W 2-0	45.3	1398	1425	27.12%	30.53%	42.35%	-0.29	+12.8	51
2023-04-10	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	50.0	1339	1483	21.24%	28.39%	50.37%	-0.60	+7.7	30
2023-04-10	@ Bravo	L 0-1	50.0	1483	1339	50.37%	28.39%	21.24%	+0.60	-7.7	66
2023-04-14	Gorica	W 1-0	35.4	1426	1251	61.50%	23.35%	15.15%	+1.07	+2.7	49
2023-04-14	@ Koper	L 0-1	35.4	1251	1426	15.15%	23.35%	61.50%	-1.07	-2.8	22
2023-04-15	Bravo	D 2-2	59.6	1409	1346	47.29%	29.38%	23.33%	+0.48	-0.6	45
2023-04-15	@ Domzale	D 2-2	59.6	1346	1409	23.33%	29.38%	47.29%	-0.48	+0.6	31
2023-04-15	Radomlje	D 1-1	54.0	1413	1308	52.79%	27.47%	19.73%	+0.70	-1.1	43
2023-04-15	@ NS Mura	D 1-1	54.0	1308	1413	19.73%	27.47%	52.79%	-0.70	+1.1	31
2023-04-15	Tabor Sezana	D 0-0	49.5	1411	1254	59.31%	24.49%	16.20%	+0.98	-1.6	52
2023-04-15	@ Celje	D 0-0	49.5	1254	1411	16.20%	24.49%	59.31%	-0.98	+1.7	22
2023-04-16	Maribor	W 2-0	48.9	1475	1514	33.06%	31.22%	35.72%	-0.05	+11.3	69
2023-04-16	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	48.9	1514	1475	35.72%	31.22%	33.06%	+0.05	-11.3	54
2023-04-22	Domzale	W 1-0	43.6	1502	1409	51.30%	28.05%	20.65%	+0.64	+3.9	57
2023-04-22	@ Maribor	L 0-1	43.6	1409	1502	20.65%	28.05%	51.30%	-0.64	-3.9	45
2023-04-22	Koper	D 1-1	53.7	1309	1429	23.44%	29.42%	47.13%	-0.48	+0.8	32
2023-04-22	@ Radomlje	D 1-1	53.7	1429	1309	47.13%	29.42%	23.44%	+0.48	-0.8	50
2023-04-22	NS Mura	L 1-2	43.7	1255	1412	20.28%	27.83%	51.88%	-0.67	-3.6	22
2023-04-22	@ Tabor Sezana	W 2-1	43.7	1412	1255	51.88%	27.83%	20.28%	+0.67	+3.6	46
2023-04-23	Celje	L 0-3	38.6	1347	1409	29.85%	30.99%	39.17%	-0.18	-14.4	31
2023-04-23	@ Bravo	W 3-0	38.6	1409	1347	39.17%	30.99%	29.85%	+0.18	+14.4	55
2023-04-23	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 2-2	61.2	1248	1487	14.86%	23.02%	62.12%	-1.10	+1.2	23
2023-04-23	@ Gorica	D 2-2	61.2	1487	1248	62.12%	23.02%	14.86%	+1.10	-1.2	70
2023-04-28	Gorica	D 1-1	54.1	1405	1249	59.15%	24.57%	16.27%	+0.97	-1.5	46
2023-04-28	@ Domzale	D 1-1	54.1	1249	1405	16.27%	24.57%	59.15%	-0.97	+1.5	24
2023-04-29	Bravo	L 0-1	48.3	1415	1332	49.88%	28.56%	21.56%	+0.59	-7.6	46
2023-04-29	@ NS Mura	W 1-0	48.3	1332	1415	21.56%	28.56%	49.88%	-0.59	+7.6	34
2023-04-29	Maribor	W 3-1	54.1	1424	1506	27.43%	30.60%	41.97%	-0.28	+11.0	58
2023-04-29	@ Celje	L 1-3	54.1	1506	1424	41.97%	30.60%	27.43%	+0.28	-11.0	57
2023-04-30	Koper	W 3-2	55.5	1485	1428	46.50%	29.60%	23.90%	+0.45	+3.9	73
2023-04-30	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-3	55.5	1428	1485	23.90%	29.60%	46.50%	-0.45	-3.9	50
2023-04-30	Radomlje	L 1-2	46.9	1252	1309	30.48%	31.06%	38.47%	-0.15	-5.1	22
2023-04-30	@ Tabor Sezana	W 2-1	46.9	1309	1252	38.47%	31.06%	30.48%	+0.15	+5.0	35
2023-05-02	NS Mura	W 3-1	46.2	1495	1407	50.56%	28.32%	21.12%	+0.61	+6.4	60
2023-05-02	@ Maribor	L 1-3	46.2	1407	1495	21.12%	28.32%	50.56%	-0.61	-6.4	46
2023-05-03	Celje	L 1-2	42.9	1251	1435	18.19%	26.33%	55.48%	-0.81	-3.2	24
2023-05-03	@ Gorica	W 2-1	42.9	1435	1251	55.48%	26.33%	18.19%	+0.81	+3.2	61
2023-05-03	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	55.8	1315	1489	18.86%	26.85%	54.29%	-0.76	+7.7	38
2023-05-03	@ Radomlje	L 1-2	55.8	1489	1315	54.29%	26.85%	18.86%	+0.76	-7.7	73
2023-05-04	Domzale	L 2-3	58.5	1424	1404	41.43%	30.69%	27.88%	+0.26	-6.0	50
2023-05-04	@ Koper	W 3-2	58.5	1404	1424	27.88%	30.69%	41.43%	-0.26	+6.0	49
2023-05-04	Tabor Sezana	D 1-1	52.5	1340	1247	51.26%	28.06%	20.67%	+0.64	-1.0	35
2023-05-04	@ Bravo	D 1-1	52.5	1247	1340	20.67%	28.06%	51.26%	-0.64	+1.0	23
2023-05-13	Koper	W 2-0	41.9	1438	1418	41.34%	30.70%	27.96%	+0.26	+9.5	64
2023-05-13	@ Celje	L 0-2	41.9	1418	1438	27.96%	30.70%	41.34%	-0.26	-9.4	50
2023-05-13	Gorica	W 4-2	42.2	1401	1247	58.88%	24.71%	16.41%	+0.96	+4.4	49
2023-05-13	@ NS Mura	L 2-4	42.2	1247	1401	16.41%	24.71%	58.88%	-0.96	-4.4	24
2023-05-13	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	55.3	1409	1482	28.65%	30.82%	40.53%	-0.23	+6.2	52
2023-05-13	@ Domzale	L 1-2	55.3	1482	1409	40.53%	30.82%	28.65%	+0.23	-6.2	73
2023-05-14	Maribor	D 1-1	56.1	1248	1502	14.07%	22.05%	63.88%	-1.18	+1.7	24
2023-05-14	@ Tabor Sezana	D 1-1	56.1	1502	1248	63.88%	22.05%	14.07%	+1.18	-1.7	61
2023-05-14	Radomlje	L 0-1	45.2	1339	1322	40.92%	30.77%	28.32%	+0.24	-6.6	35
2023-05-14	@ Bravo	W 1-0	45.2	1322	1339	28.32%	30.77%	40.92%	-0.24	+6.6	41
2023-05-19	Tabor Sezana	W 1-0	41.4	1243	1250	37.59%	31.13%	31.29%	+0.12	+5.5	27
2023-05-19	@ Gorica	L 0-1	41.4	1250	1243	31.29%	31.13%	37.59%	-0.12	-5.5	24
2023-05-20	Bravo	D 1-1	57.4	1500	1332	60.55%	23.85%	15.59%	+1.03	-1.5	62
2023-05-20	@ Maribor	D 1-1	57.4	1332	1500	15.59%	23.85%	60.55%	-1.03	+1.5	36
2023-05-20	Celje	L 0-2	48.3	1475	1447	42.48%	30.51%	27.01%	+0.30	-12.8	73
2023-05-20	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-0	48.3	1447	1475	27.01%	30.51%	42.48%	-0.30	+12.8	67
2023-05-20	Domzale	W 1-0	46.7	1329	1416	26.92%	30.49%	42.59%	-0.30	+6.8	44
2023-05-20	@ Radomlje	L 0-1	46.7	1416	1329	42.59%	30.49%	26.92%	+0.30	-6.8	52
2023-05-20	NS Mura	L 1-2	52.7	1409	1405	38.99%	31.00%	30.00%	+0.17	-6.0	50
2023-05-20	@ Koper	W 2-1	52.7	1405	1409	30.00%	31.00%	38.99%	-0.17	+6.0	52

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2023-02-12	14.28%	Tabor Sezana	1228	4	@ Domzale	1419	0
2	2023-02-21	15.59%	Radomlje	1272	2	@ Koper	1440	1
3	2023-03-04	16.94%	Gorica	1255	1	@ Celje	1400	0
4	2023-03-15	17.53%	Radomlje	1288	2	@ Domzale	1424	1
5	2023-05-03	18.86%	@ Radomlje	1315	2	Olimpija Ljubljana	1489	1
6	2023-03-12	20.63%	Domzale	1406	4	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1500	1
7	2023-04-10	21.24%	@ Bravo	1339	1	Olimpija Ljubljana	1483	0
8	2022-07-16	21.46%	Radomlje	1366	3	@ Maribor	1450	0
9	2023-04-29	21.56%	Bravo	1332	1	@ NS Mura	1415	0
10	2022-09-02	22.63%	Celje	1366	2	@ Koper	1437	0
11	2022-10-09	22.86%	@ Bravo	1354	6	Olimpija Ljubljana	1480	1
12	2022-10-22	23.79%	Domzale	1383	3	@ Maribor	1441	0
13	2022-09-10	25.87%	@ Celje	1380	4	Olimpija Ljubljana	1477	3
14	2023-03-11	26.30%	Celje	1392	1	@ Koper	1426	0
15	2023-05-20	26.92%	@ Radomlje	1329	1	Domzale	1416	0
16	2023-05-20	27.01%	Celje	1447	2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1475	0
17	2023-03-05	27.05%	@ NS Mura	1420	2	Maribor	1506	1
18	2023-04-10	27.12%	Celje	1398	2	@ NS Mura	1425	0
19	2023-04-29	27.43%	@ Celje	1424	3	Maribor	1506	1
20	2022-12-12	27.69%	Domzale	1413	1	@ NS Mura	1435	0
21	2023-05-04	27.88%	Domzale	1404	3	@ Koper	1424	2
22	2022-10-08	28.05%	Koper	1434	1	@ Maribor	1453	0
23	2023-03-12	28.29%	@ Radomlje	1278	3	Bravo	1353	1
24	2023-05-14	28.32%	Radomlje	1322	1	@ Bravo	1339	0
25	2023-05-13	28.65%	@ Domzale	1409	2	Olimpija Ljubljana	1482	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-02-12	32.57	Tabor Sezana	4	1228	14.28%	@ Domzale	0	1419	63.41%	22.31%
2	2022-10-09	27.09	@ Bravo	6	1354	22.86%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1480	47.95%	29.18%
3	2022-09-18	23.16	Maribor	5	1421	39.32%	@ Radomlje	0	1357	29.71%	30.97%
4	2022-08-26	21.97	Bravo	4	1337	31.80%	@ Tabor Sezana	0	1326	37.04%	31.16%
5	2022-08-13	21.85	@ Koper	5	1415	41.86%	Radomlje	0	1392	27.52%	30.62%
6	2022-07-16	20.97	Radomlje	3	1366	21.46%	@ Maribor	0	1450	50.04%	28.51%
7	2022-10-22	19.90	Domzale	3	1383	23.79%	@ Maribor	0	1441	46.66%	29.56%
8	2022-12-11	19.02	Olimpija Ljubljana	8	1479	61.35%	@ Tabor Sezana	0	1247	15.22%	23.43%
9	2023-03-12	18.03	Domzale	4	1406	20.63%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1500	51.33%	28.04%
10	2022-12-06	17.66	@ Maribor	7	1463	59.89%	Radomlje	0	1301	15.91%	24.20%
11	2022-11-06	17.14	@ Maribor	5	1421	35.08%	NS Mura	1	1445	33.69%	31.24%
12	2022-11-12	14.91	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1466	37.70%	@ Domzale	0	1414	31.19%	31.12%
13	2023-04-23	14.43	Celje	3	1409	39.17%	@ Bravo	0	1347	29.85%	30.99%
14	2022-09-02	14.07	Celje	2	1366	22.63%	@ Koper	0	1437	48.30%	29.08%
15	2022-10-23	13.97	NS Mura	4	1427	50.87%	@ Tabor Sezana	0	1278	20.92%	28.21%
16	2022-11-13	12.78	Maribor	4	1438	53.82%	@ Tabor Sezana	0	1267	19.13%	27.05%
17	2023-05-20	12.78	Celje	2	1447	27.01%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	0	1475	42.48%	30.51%
18	2023-04-10	12.76	Celje	2	1398	27.12%	@ NS Mura	0	1425	42.35%	30.53%
19	2022-12-11	12.64	Celje	3	1386	44.75%	@ Radomlje	0	1283	25.21%	30.04%
20	2022-07-18	11.93	@ Gorica	2	1304	30.33%	Bravo	0	1362	38.62%	31.04%
21	2022-11-29	11.90	@ Maribor	3	1451	47.04%	Bravo	0	1390	23.51%	29.45%
22	2022-08-07	11.46	Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1441	32.30%	@ Maribor	0	1427	36.51%	31.19%
23	2023-02-19	11.34	Domzale	2	1387	32.85%	@ Bravo	0	1369	35.94%	31.21%
24	2023-04-16	11.29	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1475	33.06%	Maribor	0	1514	35.72%	31.22%
25	2022-08-20	11.24	Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1458	33.26%	@ Koper	0	1437	35.51%	31.23%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-10-29	63.7	@ Celje	3	1380	32.74%	Maribor	3	1421	36.05%	31.21%
2	2022-07-31	63.0	@ Celje	3	1362	31.81%	NS Mura	3	1410	37.03%	31.16%
3	2022-09-10	62.4	@ Celje	4	1380	25.87%	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1477	43.91%	30.23%
4	2023-04-23	61.2	@ Gorica	2	1248	14.86%	Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1487	62.12%	23.02%
5	2023-02-21	60.1	@ NS Mura	2	1421	59.71%	Tabor Sezana	2	1261	16.00%	24.29%
6	2022-08-21	59.8	@ Maribor	2	1410	45.35%	Celje	2	1361	24.75%	29.90%
7	2022-10-01	59.8	@ Domzale	2	1384	35.11%	NS Mura	2	1407	33.66%	31.23%
8	2022-09-03	59.7	@ Maribor	2	1416	53.67%	Tabor Sezana	2	1304	19.21%	27.11%
9	2022-10-24	59.7	@ Radomlje	2	1318	23.39%	Koper	2	1439	47.21%	29.40%
10	2022-08-13	59.6	@ NS Mura	2	1410	50.17%	Tabor Sezana	2	1325	21.37%	28.46%
11	2023-02-18	59.6	@ Gorica	2	1264	18.72%	Koper	2	1440	54.52%	26.75%
12	2023-04-15	59.6	@ Domzale	2	1409	47.29%	Bravo	2	1346	23.33%	29.38%
13	2023-02-18	58.7	@ Tabor Sezana	2	1260	21.29%	Celje	2	1404	50.29%	28.42%
14	2023-05-04	58.5	Domzale	3	1404	27.88%	@ Koper	2	1424	41.43%	30.69%
15	2023-02-23	57.4	@ Domzale	1	1398	25.38%	Maribor	1	1499	44.52%	30.09%
16	2023-05-20	57.4	@ Maribor	1	1500	60.55%	Bravo	1	1332	15.59%	23.85%
17	2023-03-11	57.1	@ Maribor	1	1499	68.43%	Tabor Sezana	1	1263	12.15%	19.42%
18	2022-09-17	56.9	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1471	38.58%	@ NS Mura	2	1412	30.38%	31.05%
19	2023-03-05	56.9	@ NS Mura	2	1420	27.05%	Maribor	1	1506	42.43%	30.52%
20	2022-07-24	56.4	@ NS Mura	4	1405	40.74%	Domzale	3	1390	28.47%	30.79%
21	2023-03-18	56.1	@ Radomlje	1	1296	16.86%	Maribor	1	1501	57.99%	25.15%
22	2023-05-14	56.1	@ Tabor Sezana	1	1248	14.07%	Maribor	1	1502	63.88%	22.05%
23	2022-08-14	55.9	@ Domzale	3	1390	34.92%	Maribor	2	1415	33.84%	31.24%
24	2023-05-03	55.8	@ Radomlje	2	1315	18.86%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1489	54.29%	26.85%
25	2022-11-04	55.7	@ Koper	1	1434	41.43%	Domzale	1	1413	27.89%	30.69%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-04-01	32.1	Maribor	3	1499	61.35%	@ Gorica	0	1267	15.22%	23.43%
2	2022-10-01	33.2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1475	63.08%	Tabor Sezana	0	1286	14.42%	22.49%
3	2022-11-13	33.2	Maribor	4	1438	53.82%	@ Tabor Sezana	0	1267	19.13%	27.05%
4	2022-12-11	33.3	Olimpija Ljubljana	8	1479	61.35%	@ Tabor Sezana	0	1247	15.22%	23.43%
5	2022-11-13	33.4	@ NS Mura	2	1428	59.25%	Gorica	0	1271	16.22%	24.52%
6	2022-10-23	34.0	NS Mura	4	1427	50.87%	@ Tabor Sezana	0	1278	20.92%	28.21%
7	2022-12-06	34.0	@ Maribor	7	1463	59.89%	Radomlje	0	1301	15.91%	24.20%
8	2022-12-07	34.2	@ Koper	5	1433	61.82%	Tabor Sezana	1	1255	15.00%	23.18%
9	2023-04-02	34.4	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1481	67.29%	Tabor Sezana	0	1255	12.62%	20.10%
10	2022-08-15	34.5	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1453	58.36%	Gorica	0	1303	16.67%	24.97%
11	2022-10-16	35.0	@ NS Mura	3	1416	50.42%	Radomlje	0	1329	21.21%	28.37%
12	2023-03-04	35.4	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1498	66.40%	Radomlje	0	1280	12.99%	20.61%
13	2023-04-14	35.4	@ Koper	1	1426	61.50%	Gorica	0	1251	15.15%	23.35%
14	2022-12-11	35.7	Celje	3	1386	44.75%	@ Radomlje	0	1283	25.21%	30.04%
15	2023-02-26	35.9	Domzale	2	1399	49.24%	@ Gorica	0	1263	21.99%	28.78%
16	2022-10-28	36.7	@ Domzale	5	1402	53.64%	Gorica	1	1291	19.23%	27.13%
17	2023-04-08	36.8	@ Radomlje	2	1299	44.03%	Gorica	0	1259	25.77%	30.20%
18	2022-09-17	37.1	Koper	2	1418	47.53%	@ Tabor Sezana	0	1295	23.16%	29.31%
19	2022-09-18	37.1	@ Bravo	2	1354	45.30%	Gorica	0	1305	24.79%	29.91%
20	2022-11-05	37.4	Celje	2	1381	44.46%	@ Gorica	0	1280	25.43%	30.11%
21	2022-10-14	37.9	@ Celje	1	1387	52.79%	Tabor Sezana	0	1282	19.74%	27.48%
22	2023-03-19	37.9	Koper	1	1425	53.25%	@ Tabor Sezana	0	1259	19.46%	27.29%
23	2022-11-29	38.1	@ Maribor	3	1451	47.04%	Bravo	0	1390	23.51%	29.45%
24	2022-10-01	38.4	@ Koper	2	1426	47.32%	Bravo	0	1362	23.31%	29.37%
25	2022-11-30	38.4	Domzale	2	1399	42.83%	@ Radomlje	0	1310	26.72%	30.44%