2023-24 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Celje

79 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Celje

12.72 points above expected

79 points · 66.28 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rogaska

5.90 points below expected

36 points · 41.90 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Celje	36	24	7	5	79	75	34	+41	66.28	+12.72
2	Maribor	36	19	10	7	67	67	35	+32	61.96	+5.04
3	Olimpija Ljubljana	36	18	10	8	64	69	44	+25	61.13	+2.87
4	Bravo	36	12	14	10	50	42	42	0	46.15	+3.85
5	Koper	36	12	12	12	48	51	49	+2	52.24	-4.24
6	NS Mura	36	11	10	15	43	42	55	-13	46.67	-3.67
7	Domzale	36	13	4	19	43	52	60	-8	47.04	-4.04
8	Rogaska	36	10	6	20	36	37	64	-27	41.90	-5.90
9	Radomlje	36	7	12	17	33	33	51	-18	38.30	-5.30
10	Aluminij	36	8	7	21	31	37	71	-34	32.51	-1.51

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Celje	79	66.28	+12.72
2	Maribor	67	61.96	+5.04
3	Bravo	50	46.15	+3.85
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	64	61.13	+2.87
5	Aluminij	31	32.51	-1.51

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Rogaska	36	41.90	-5.90
2	Radomlje	33	38.30	-5.30
3	Koper	48	52.24	-4.24
4	Domzale	43	47.04	-4.04
5	NS Mura	43	46.67	-3.67

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Domzale	4	Nov 11 – Dec 6	1 in 48
2	Aluminij	2	Sep 27 – Oct 1	1 in 39
3	Celje	6	Nov 12 – Feb 11	1 in 35
4	Rogaska	3	Mar 3 – Mar 13	1 in 23
5	Koper	3	Aug 18 – Sep 2	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Domzale	4	Dec 10 – Feb 21	1 in 70
2	Aluminij	5	Aug 19 – Sep 22	1 in 36
3	Rogaska	5	Oct 1 – Nov 4	1 in 33
4	Maribor	3	Sep 3 – Sep 24	1 in 24
5	Radomlje	4	Nov 11 – Dec 5	1 in 23

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Maribor	15	Feb 22 – May 19	1 in 92
2	Koper	11	Aug 18 – Nov 4	1 in 66
3	Olimpija Ljubljana	13	Dec 7 – Apr 14	1 in 28
4	Rogaska	6	Feb 25 – Mar 29	1 in 27
5	Bravo	6	Apr 14 – May 19	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bravo	9	Mar 16 – May 12	1 in 55
2	Koper	6	Nov 11 – Feb 10	1 in 28
3	NS Mura	6	Feb 25 – Mar 23	1 in 22
4	Maribor	5	Aug 20 – Sep 24	1 in 17
5	Domzale	6	Jul 30 – Sep 17	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Celje	1575	79	-13	7	9.3	-2.3
Maribor	1565	67	+23	11	8.6	+2.4
Olimpija Ljubljana	1522	64	-12	4	8.6	-4.6
Bravo	1395	50	+7	7	6.9	+0.1
Koper	1420	48	+7	6	6.2	-0.2
NS Mura	1382	43	+7	8	7.1	+0.9
Domzale	1389	43	+8	8	6.1	+1.9
Rogaska	1346	36	-28	4	6.4	-2.4
Radomlje	1333	33	+5	6	5.3	+0.7
Aluminij	1264	31	-3	4	4.2	-0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ALU	BRA	CEL	DOM	KOP	MAR	NM	OL	RAD	ROG
Aluminij	—	0-3-1 3.93	1-2-1 2.54	0-0-4 3.89	1-0-3 3.28	1-0-3 2.79	1-0-3 3.83	0-1-3 2.69	2-1-1 4.62	2-0-2 4.28
Bravo	1-3-0 7.05	—	0-1-3 3.24	2-1-1 5.23	0-3-1 4.77	1-1-2 3.78	2-2-0 5.36	2-2-0 3.68	2-1-1 6.24	2-0-2 5.71
Celje	1-2-1 8.65	3-1-0 7.82	—	2-0-2 7.64	3-1-0 7.22	2-1-1 6.02	4-0-0 7.24	2-1-1 5.99	3-1-0 8.44	4-0-0 7.87
Domzale	4-0-0 7.08	1-1-2 5.69	2-0-2 3.41	—	2-0-2 4.71	0-2-2 3.82	1-0-3 5.62	0-0-4 3.95	1-1-2 6.42	2-0-2 6.10
Koper	3-0-1 7.77	1-3-0 6.16	0-1-3 3.78	2-0-2 6.23	—	1-2-1 4.32	1-2-1 6.20	1-1-2 4.66	1-2-1 6.99	2-1-1 6.69
Maribor	3-0-1 8.34	2-1-1 7.21	1-1-2 4.91	2-2-0 7.16	1-2-1 6.64	—	2-1-1 7.06	3-0-1 5.47	3-1-0 7.67	2-2-0 7.60
NS Mura	3-0-1 7.16	0-2-2 5.56	0-0-4 3.77	3-0-1 5.30	1-2-1 4.73	1-1-2 3.92	—	0-2-2 3.76	1-2-1 6.43	2-1-1 5.98
Olimpija Ljubljana	3-1-0 8.47	0-2-2 7.32	1-1-2 4.94	4-0-0 7.03	2-1-1 6.28	1-0-3 5.45	2-2-0 7.23	—	2-2-0 7.88	3-1-0 7.17
Radomlje	1-1-2 6.31	1-1-2 4.69	0-1-3 2.71	2-1-1 4.52	1-2-1 3.98	0-1-3 3.37	1-2-1 4.51	0-2-2 3.18	—	1-1-2 5.18
Rogaska	2-0-2 6.67	2-0-2 5.22	0-0-4 3.20	2-0-2 4.82	1-1-2 4.27	0-2-2 3.43	1-1-2 4.95	0-1-3 3.83	2-1-1 5.75	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.90	+10.0
Allowed	0.75	-11.3
Differential	0.96	+6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	6.94%	6.39%	1.94%	1.11%	1.67%	23.61%
1	6.94%	15.00%	8.33%	6.11%	1.39%	—	37.78%
2	6.39%	8.33%	4.44%	1.94%	0.83%	—	21.94%
3	1.94%	6.11%	1.94%	0.56%	—	0.28%	10.83%
4	1.11%	1.39%	0.83%	—	—	0.28%	3.61%
5+	1.67%	—	—	0.28%	0.28%	—	2.22%
Total	23.61%	37.78%	21.94%	10.83%	3.61%	2.22%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.40	1.40	+0.00
SD	1.21	1.21	1.84
CV	0.86	0.86	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	—	2.78%	8.33%	38.89%
1	5.56%	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	—	36.11%
2	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	27.78%	30.56%	8.33%	5.56%	11.11%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.97	-0.94
SD	1.13	1.66	2.10
CV	1.10	0.84	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	—	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
1	5.56%	27.78%	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	47.22%
2	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	38.89%	30.56%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	1.17	+0.00
SD	1.00	0.88	1.31
CV	0.86	0.75	—
Max	4	3	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
2	13.89%	16.67%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	38.89%
3	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	33.33%	47.22%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.08	0.94	+1.14
SD	1.20	0.89	1.59
CV	0.58	0.95	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
1	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	—	44.44%
2	2.78%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
3	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	19.44%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	16.67%	33.33%	25.00%	19.44%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.67	-0.22
SD	1.18	1.22	1.87
CV	0.82	0.73	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	8.33%	19.44%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	41.67%
2	—	13.89%	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	27.78%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	47.22%	13.89%	16.67%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	1.36	+0.06
SD	1.00	1.07	1.37
CV	0.70	0.79	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
1	5.56%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	—	25.00%
2	2.78%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	5.56%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	27.78%	52.78%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	0.97	+0.89
SD	1.53	0.81	1.92
CV	0.82	0.83	—
Max	7	3	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	2.78%	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	30.56%
1	8.33%	13.89%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	41.67%
2	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
3	2.78%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
Total	27.78%	27.78%	22.22%	13.89%	2.78%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	1.53	-0.36
SD	1.16	1.40	1.88
CV	0.99	0.92	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
1	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
2	8.33%	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	25.00%
3	—	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	2.78%	—	8.33%
Total	30.56%	36.11%	22.22%	2.78%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.92	1.22	+0.69
SD	1.40	1.17	1.70
CV	0.73	0.96	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	—	30.56%
1	5.56%	25.00%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	50.00%
2	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	41.67%	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.42	-0.50
SD	0.77	1.11	1.54
CV	0.84	0.78	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	38.89%
1	8.33%	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	27.78%
2	5.56%	8.33%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	25.00%	27.78%	16.67%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.78	-0.75
SD	1.03	1.33	1.86
CV	1.00	0.75	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Celje	1575	79	66.28	+12.72	98.0%	44	55	61	67	71	77	83
Maribor	1565	67	61.96	+5.04	73.0%	43	48	56	62	68	74	81
Olimpija Ljubljana	1522	64	61.13	+2.87	70.0%	45	49	56	62	65	76	82
Koper	1420	48	52.24	-4.24	30.0%	27	39	47	52	58	64	76
Bravo	1395	50	46.15	+3.85	68.0%	29	33	41	46	52	58	71
Domzale	1389	43	47.04	-4.04	31.0%	30	33	42	47	52	59	66
NS Mura	1382	43	46.67	-3.67	29.0%	24	35	43	46	51	57	63
Rogaska	1346	36	41.90	-5.90	24.0%	26	28	37	42	47	54	62
Radomlje	1333	33	38.30	-5.30	23.0%	20	26	34	38	43	49	55
Aluminij	1264	31	32.51	-1.51	42.0%	14	21	28	33	36	44	47

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+3.33%

No Edge

38.89%25.56%35.56%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 11.59 Elo pts.

161 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.13 goals

Neutral

-2+0.07+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.0

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

48%

Celje, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.33/gm

Runaway

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.01 * Some Luck: 6.01 to 9.01 * Lucky: 9.01 to 12.02 * Wild Swing: 12.02 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.05 * Close: 1.05 to 1.57 * Off: 1.57 to 2.09 * Way Off: 2.09 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.69 points

As Expected

07.5119

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.60

Pinpoint

01.313

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

98.00%

Celje

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

23.00%

Radomlje

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.

Gini Index

0.17

Even

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 103.05

2.02

Moderate Separation

11.82.052.75

Interquartile Edge

69%

Clear Edge

50%63.5%72%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

86%

Clear Edge

50%88%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Frequent

0%59%100%

Blowouts

Expected

12%

Rare

0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.31

Slight Separation

00.310.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.59

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.73

Strong Carryover

00.420.630.791

Upset Rate

Expected

27%

Very Upset-Prone

0%26%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

19%

Shaky Favorites

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.95

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.17

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.069

Well Within Noise

00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Celje	48.00%	29.00%	14.00%	7.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Maribor	25.00%	29.00%	21.00%	6.00%	12.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Olimpija Ljubljana	20.00%	28.00%	30.00%	9.00%	9.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—
Bravo	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	17.00%	15.00%	13.00%	15.00%	20.00%	8.00%	4.00%
Koper	5.00%	10.00%	12.00%	26.00%	15.00%	14.00%	6.00%	7.00%	3.00%	2.00%
NS Mura	—	1.00%	8.00%	11.00%	17.00%	26.00%	17.00%	9.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Domzale	1.00%	1.00%	7.00%	18.00%	18.00%	13.00%	18.00%	13.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Rogaska	—	—	3.00%	4.00%	8.00%	14.00%	20.00%	21.00%	17.00%	13.00%
Radomlje	—	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	10.00%	12.00%	23.00%	30.00%	18.00%
Aluminij	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	10.00%	6.00%	27.00%	56.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Celje	100%	—	—
Maribor	100%	—	—
Olimpija Ljubljana	100%	—	—
Koper	95.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Domzale	89.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Bravo	88.00%	8.00%	4.00%
NS Mura	89.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Rogaska	70.00%	17.00%	13.00%
Radomlje	52.00%	30.00%	18.00%
Aluminij	17.00%	27.00%	56.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2023-07-22	Domzale	L 2-3	57.8	1427	1425	38.33%	27.08%	34.59%	+0.08	-5.8	0
2023-07-22	@ NS Mura	W 3-2	57.8	1425	1427	34.59%	27.08%	38.33%	-0.08	+5.9	3
2023-07-22	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	53.8	1421	1460	32.68%	26.99%	40.32%	-0.17	+6.4	3
2023-07-22	@ Koper	L 1-2	53.8	1460	1421	40.32%	26.99%	32.68%	+0.17	-6.4	0
2023-07-22	Rogaska	W 2-0	44.2	1378	1447	28.96%	26.63%	44.41%	-0.35	+13.8	3
2023-07-22	@ Bravo	L 0-2	44.2	1447	1378	44.41%	26.63%	28.96%	+0.35	-13.8	0
2023-07-23	Celje	D 2-2	61.9	1313	1460	20.90%	24.54%	54.56%	-0.84	+0.9	1
2023-07-23	@ Aluminij	D 2-2	61.9	1460	1313	54.56%	24.54%	20.90%	+0.84	-0.9	1
2023-07-23	Maribor	L 0-4	36.8	1374	1488	23.91%	25.58%	50.50%	-0.64	-16.1	0
2023-07-23	@ Radomlje	W 4-0	36.8	1488	1374	50.50%	25.58%	23.91%	+0.64	+16.1	3
2023-07-29	Radomlje	W 1-0	41.0	1428	1358	47.76%	26.13%	26.11%	+0.51	+4.9	6
2023-07-29	@ Koper	L 0-1	41.0	1358	1428	26.11%	26.13%	47.76%	-0.51	-4.9	0
2023-07-29	Rogaska	W 5-0	41.2	1454	1433	41.04%	26.95%	32.02%	+0.20	+25.2	3
2023-07-29	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-5	41.2	1433	1454	32.02%	26.95%	41.04%	-0.20	-25.2	0
2023-07-30	Aluminij	W 1-0	37.4	1504	1314	62.28%	21.81%	15.92%	+1.25	+3.0	6
2023-07-30	@ Maribor	L 0-1	37.4	1314	1504	15.92%	21.81%	62.28%	-1.25	-3.0	1
2023-07-30	Bravo	D 1-1	56.2	1431	1392	43.53%	26.73%	29.74%	+0.31	-0.5	4
2023-07-30	@ Domzale	D 1-1	56.2	1392	1431	29.74%	26.73%	43.53%	-0.31	+0.5	4
2023-07-30	NS Mura	W 5-0	40.2	1459	1421	43.44%	26.74%	29.82%	+0.31	+23.9	4
2023-07-30	@ Celje	L 0-5	40.2	1421	1459	29.82%	26.74%	43.44%	-0.31	-23.9	0
2023-08-12	Aluminij	L 0-2	41.4	1353	1311	44.01%	26.68%	29.32%	+0.33	-13.7	0
2023-08-12	@ Radomlje	W 2-0	41.4	1311	1353	29.32%	26.68%	44.01%	-0.33	+13.7	4
2023-08-12	Domzale	W 2-1	51.1	1479	1430	44.87%	26.57%	28.56%	+0.37	+4.9	6
2023-08-12	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	51.1	1430	1479	28.56%	26.57%	44.87%	-0.37	-4.9	4
2023-08-13	Bravo	W 2-1	48.2	1507	1393	53.43%	24.86%	21.71%	+0.78	+3.9	9
2023-08-13	@ Maribor	L 1-2	48.2	1393	1507	21.71%	24.86%	53.43%	-0.78	-3.9	4
2023-08-13	Rogaska	W 2-0	40.3	1483	1408	48.41%	26.01%	25.57%	+0.54	+9.0	7
2023-08-13	@ Celje	L 0-2	40.3	1408	1483	25.57%	26.01%	48.41%	-0.54	-9.0	0
2023-08-14	NS Mura	L 1-3	50.1	1432	1397	43.12%	26.77%	30.11%	+0.29	-11.7	6
2023-08-14	@ Koper	W 3-1	50.1	1397	1432	30.11%	26.77%	43.12%	-0.29	+11.7	3
2023-08-18	Koper	L 0-3	38.9	1389	1421	33.61%	27.04%	39.35%	-0.13	-16.3	4
2023-08-18	@ Bravo	W 3-0	38.9	1421	1389	39.35%	27.04%	33.61%	+0.13	+16.3	9
2023-08-19	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 4-5	53.8	1325	1484	19.85%	24.08%	56.07%	-0.92	-3.3	4
2023-08-19	@ Aluminij	W 5-4	53.8	1484	1325	56.07%	24.08%	19.85%	+0.92	+3.2	9
2023-08-19	Radomlje	L 0-2	43.5	1409	1339	47.70%	26.14%	26.16%	+0.50	-14.6	3
2023-08-19	@ NS Mura	W 2-0	43.5	1339	1409	26.16%	26.14%	47.70%	-0.50	+14.6	3
2023-08-20	Celje	L 1-2	51.6	1426	1492	29.22%	26.66%	44.12%	-0.34	-5.0	4
2023-08-20	@ Domzale	W 2-1	51.6	1492	1426	44.12%	26.66%	29.22%	+0.34	+5.0	10
2023-08-20	Maribor	D 2-2	65.2	1399	1511	24.10%	25.64%	50.26%	-0.62	+0.7	1
2023-08-20	@ Rogaska	D 2-2	65.2	1511	1399	50.26%	25.64%	24.10%	+0.62	-0.7	10
2023-08-25	NS Mura	L 0-1	40.6	1321	1394	28.43%	26.55%	45.02%	-0.38	-5.2	4
2023-08-25	@ Aluminij	W 1-0	40.6	1394	1321	45.02%	26.55%	28.43%	+0.38	+5.2	6
2023-08-26	Domzale	D 1-1	59.8	1510	1420	50.35%	25.62%	24.04%	+0.63	-0.9	11
2023-08-26	@ Maribor	D 1-1	59.8	1420	1510	24.04%	25.62%	50.35%	-0.63	+0.9	5
2023-08-26	Rogaska	W 3-0	38.4	1437	1399	43.41%	26.74%	29.85%	+0.31	+14.8	12
2023-08-26	@ Koper	L 0-3	38.4	1399	1437	29.85%	26.74%	43.41%	-0.31	-14.8	1
2023-08-27	Bravo	L 1-2	48.8	1354	1373	35.41%	27.09%	37.50%	-0.05	-5.8	3
2023-08-27	@ Radomlje	W 2-1	48.8	1373	1354	37.50%	27.09%	35.41%	+0.05	+5.8	7
2023-08-27	Celje	L 2-4	57.4	1487	1497	36.74%	27.10%	36.16%	+0.01	-9.3	9
2023-08-27	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 4-2	57.4	1497	1487	36.16%	27.10%	36.74%	-0.01	+9.3	13
2023-09-02	Aluminij	W 2-0	36.5	1378	1316	46.76%	26.30%	26.94%	+0.46	+9.4	10
2023-09-02	@ Bravo	L 0-2	36.5	1316	1378	26.94%	26.30%	46.76%	-0.46	-9.4	4
2023-09-02	Koper	L 1-2	51.6	1421	1452	33.80%	27.05%	39.15%	-0.12	-5.6	5
2023-09-02	@ Domzale	W 2-1	51.6	1452	1421	39.15%	27.05%	33.80%	+0.12	+5.6	15
2023-09-03	Maribor	W 2-0	48.0	1506	1509	37.61%	27.09%	35.30%	+0.05	+11.6	16
2023-09-03	@ Celje	L 0-2	48.0	1509	1506	35.30%	27.09%	37.61%	-0.05	-11.6	11
2023-09-03	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	46.7	1399	1478	27.74%	26.44%	45.82%	-0.42	-8.3	6
2023-09-03	@ NS Mura	W 3-1	46.7	1478	1399	45.82%	26.44%	27.74%	+0.42	+8.3	12
2023-09-03	Radomlje	D 1-1	54.4	1384	1348	43.26%	26.76%	29.99%	+0.30	-0.5	2
2023-09-03	@ Rogaska	D 1-1	54.4	1348	1384	29.99%	26.76%	43.26%	-0.30	+0.4	4
2023-09-16	Bravo	D 1-1	55.1	1391	1388	38.53%	27.07%	34.40%	+0.09	-0.1	7
2023-09-16	@ NS Mura	D 1-1	55.1	1388	1391	34.40%	27.07%	38.53%	-0.09	+0.1	11
2023-09-16	Maribor	W 2-1	56.3	1486	1498	36.44%	27.10%	36.46%	+0.00	+6.0	15
2023-09-16	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	56.3	1498	1486	36.46%	27.10%	36.44%	+0.00	-6.0	11
2023-09-16	Rogaska	L 1-2	45.9	1307	1384	27.87%	26.46%	45.66%	-0.41	-4.8	4
2023-09-16	@ Aluminij	W 2-1	45.9	1384	1307	45.66%	26.46%	27.87%	+0.41	+4.8	5
2023-09-17	Celje	D 1-1	61.1	1457	1517	29.96%	26.75%	43.28%	-0.30	+0.5	16
2023-09-17	@ Koper	D 1-1	61.1	1517	1457	43.28%	26.75%	29.96%	+0.30	-0.5	17
2023-09-17	Domzale	W 3-1	49.0	1348	1416	29.05%	26.64%	44.31%	-0.35	+11.9	7
2023-09-17	@ Radomlje	L 1-3	49.0	1416	1348	44.31%	26.64%	29.05%	+0.35	-11.9	5
2023-09-22	Aluminij	W 2-1	44.2	1404	1302	51.90%	25.26%	22.84%	+0.71	+4.1	8
2023-09-22	@ Domzale	L 1-2	44.2	1302	1404	22.84%	25.26%	51.90%	-0.71	-4.1	4
2023-09-23	NS Mura	L 0-2	41.4	1389	1391	37.86%	27.09%	35.05%	+0.06	-12.2	5
2023-09-23	@ Rogaska	W 2-0	41.4	1391	1389	35.05%	27.09%	37.86%	-0.06	+12.2	10
2023-09-23	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 4-2	57.1	1388	1492	24.95%	25.86%	49.19%	-0.57	+11.6	14
2023-09-23	@ Bravo	L 2-4	57.1	1492	1388	49.19%	25.86%	24.95%	+0.57	-11.6	15
2023-09-23	Radomlje	W 1-0	40.2	1517	1360	58.50%	23.26%	18.24%	+1.04	+3.5	20
2023-09-23	@ Celje	L 0-1	40.2	1360	1517	18.24%	23.26%	58.50%	-1.04	-3.5	7
2023-09-24	Koper	L 0-1	51.1	1492	1458	42.88%	26.80%	30.33%	+0.28	-7.1	11
2023-09-24	@ Maribor	W 1-0	51.1	1458	1492	30.33%	26.80%	42.88%	-0.28	+7.1	19
2023-09-27	Aluminij	L 1-3	54.7	1520	1298	65.74%	20.29%	13.97%	+1.45	-16.4	20
2023-09-27	@ Celje	W 3-1	54.7	1298	1520	13.97%	20.29%	65.74%	-1.45	+16.4	7
2023-09-27	Bravo	W 2-0	41.4	1377	1400	34.84%	27.08%	38.08%	-0.07	+12.3	8
2023-09-27	@ Rogaska	L 0-2	41.4	1400	1377	38.08%	27.08%	34.84%	+0.07	-12.3	14
2023-09-27	NS Mura	L 0-2	42.3	1408	1403	38.83%	27.06%	34.11%	+0.10	-12.5	8
2023-09-27	@ Domzale	W 2-0	42.3	1403	1408	34.11%	27.06%	38.83%	-0.10	+12.5	13
2023-09-28	Koper	D 1-1	59.9	1480	1465	40.29%	26.99%	32.72%	+0.17	-0.2	16
2023-09-28	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	59.9	1465	1480	32.72%	26.99%	40.29%	-0.17	+0.2	20
2023-09-28	Radomlje	W 3-1	42.9	1485	1357	55.09%	24.39%	20.53%	+0.86	+6.4	14
2023-09-28	@ Maribor	L 1-3	42.9	1357	1485	20.53%	24.39%	55.09%	-0.86	-6.4	7
2023-09-30	Celje	L 0-2	41.6	1415	1504	26.59%	26.23%	47.18%	-0.48	-9.3	13
2023-09-30	@ NS Mura	W 2-0	41.6	1504	1415	47.18%	26.23%	26.59%	+0.48	+9.3	23
2023-09-30	Domzale	W 3-2	55.4	1387	1395	36.95%	27.10%	35.95%	+0.02	+5.6	17
2023-09-30	@ Bravo	L 2-3	55.4	1395	1387	35.95%	27.10%	36.95%	-0.02	-5.6	8
2023-10-01	Koper	D 1-1	56.4	1350	1465	23.85%	25.56%	50.59%	-0.64	+0.9	8
2023-10-01	@ Radomlje	D 1-1	56.4	1465	1350	50.59%	25.56%	23.85%	+0.64	-0.9	21
2023-10-01	Maribor	W 1-0	50.2	1314	1491	18.46%	23.38%	58.16%	-1.03	+9.1	10
2023-10-01	@ Aluminij	L 0-1	50.2	1491	1314	58.16%	23.38%	18.46%	+1.03	-9.1	14
2023-10-01	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	39.9	1389	1480	26.32%	26.17%	47.51%	-0.49	-9.2	8
2023-10-01	@ Rogaska	W 2-0	39.9	1480	1389	47.51%	26.17%	26.32%	+0.49	+9.2	19
2023-10-07	Bravo	W 2-1	48.2	1513	1393	54.20%	24.65%	21.16%	+0.82	+3.8	26
2023-10-07	@ Celje	L 1-2	48.2	1393	1513	21.16%	24.65%	54.20%	-0.82	-3.8	17
2023-10-07	NS Mura	W 3-1	46.3	1482	1406	48.54%	25.99%	25.47%	+0.54	+7.8	17
2023-10-07	@ Maribor	L 1-3	46.3	1406	1482	25.47%	25.99%	48.54%	-0.54	-7.8	13
2023-10-08	Aluminij	W 4-1	38.6	1464	1323	56.69%	23.88%	19.43%	+0.95	+8.5	24
2023-10-08	@ Koper	L 1-4	38.6	1323	1464	19.43%	23.88%	56.69%	-0.95	-8.5	10
2023-10-08	Radomlje	D 1-1	57.5	1489	1351	56.30%	24.01%	19.69%	+0.93	-1.3	20
2023-10-08	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	57.5	1351	1489	19.69%	24.01%	56.30%	-0.93	+1.3	9
2023-10-08	Rogaska	W 3-0	38.0	1390	1380	39.56%	27.03%	33.41%	+0.13	+16.2	11
2023-10-08	@ Domzale	L 0-3	38.0	1380	1390	33.41%	27.03%	39.56%	-0.13	-16.2	8
2023-10-21	Celje	L 0-4	35.9	1364	1517	20.30%	24.29%	55.41%	-0.88	-13.8	8
2023-10-21	@ Rogaska	W 4-0	35.9	1517	1364	55.41%	24.29%	20.30%	+0.88	+13.8	29
2023-10-21	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	41.0	1406	1488	27.35%	26.37%	46.28%	-0.44	-9.5	11
2023-10-21	@ Domzale	W 2-0	41.0	1488	1406	46.28%	26.37%	27.35%	+0.44	+9.5	23
2023-10-22	Koper	D 2-2	63.7	1398	1473	28.20%	26.51%	45.29%	-0.39	+0.4	14
2023-10-22	@ NS Mura	D 2-2	63.7	1473	1398	45.29%	26.51%	28.20%	+0.39	-0.4	25
2023-10-22	Maribor	W 2-1	56.0	1389	1490	25.31%	25.95%	48.74%	-0.55	+7.4	20
2023-10-22	@ Bravo	L 1-2	56.0	1490	1389	48.74%	25.95%	25.31%	+0.55	-7.4	17
2023-10-22	Radomlje	L 0-2	38.1	1315	1353	32.78%	27.00%	40.23%	-0.16	-11.0	10
2023-10-22	@ Aluminij	W 2-0	38.1	1353	1315	40.23%	27.00%	32.78%	+0.16	+11.0	12
2023-10-27	Domzale	W 3-1	45.4	1531	1397	55.89%	24.14%	19.97%	+0.91	+6.2	32
2023-10-27	@ Celje	L 1-3	45.4	1397	1531	19.97%	24.14%	55.89%	-0.91	-6.2	11
2023-10-28	Bravo	D 1-1	57.7	1472	1397	48.55%	25.99%	25.46%	+0.54	-0.8	26
2023-10-28	@ Koper	D 1-1	57.7	1397	1472	25.46%	25.99%	48.55%	-0.54	+0.8	21
2023-10-28	Rogaska	W 2-1	45.5	1482	1350	55.66%	24.21%	20.13%	+0.89	+3.6	20
2023-10-28	@ Maribor	L 1-2	45.5	1350	1482	20.13%	24.21%	55.66%	-0.89	-3.6	8
2023-10-29	Aluminij	D 0-0	52.6	1498	1304	62.67%	21.64%	15.69%	+1.27	-1.9	24
2023-10-29	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	52.6	1304	1498	15.69%	21.64%	62.67%	-1.27	+1.9	11
2023-10-29	NS Mura	D 1-1	54.8	1364	1399	33.18%	27.02%	39.80%	-0.15	+0.2	13
2023-10-29	@ Radomlje	D 1-1	54.8	1399	1364	39.80%	27.02%	33.18%	+0.15	-0.2	15
2023-11-04	Aluminij	W 1-0	38.8	1398	1306	50.75%	25.53%	23.72%	+0.65	+4.5	18
2023-11-04	@ NS Mura	L 0-1	38.8	1306	1398	23.72%	25.53%	50.75%	-0.65	-4.5	11
2023-11-04	Koper	L 0-1	40.5	1346	1472	22.80%	25.24%	51.95%	-0.71	-4.3	8
2023-11-04	@ Rogaska	W 1-0	40.5	1472	1346	51.95%	25.24%	22.80%	+0.71	+4.3	29
2023-11-04	Maribor	L 1-2	49.0	1390	1486	25.85%	26.07%	48.08%	-0.52	-4.5	11
2023-11-04	@ Domzale	W 2-1	49.0	1486	1390	48.08%	26.07%	25.85%	+0.52	+4.5	23
2023-11-05	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	54.4	1537	1496	43.95%	26.68%	29.37%	+0.33	-7.3	32
2023-11-05	@ Celje	W 1-0	54.4	1496	1537	29.37%	26.68%	43.95%	-0.33	+7.3	27
2023-11-05	Radomlje	L 0-2	42.4	1397	1364	42.82%	26.80%	30.38%	+0.28	-13.4	21
2023-11-05	@ Bravo	W 2-0	42.4	1364	1397	30.38%	26.80%	42.82%	-0.28	+13.4	16
2023-11-10	Bravo	D 1-1	53.9	1301	1384	27.26%	26.36%	46.39%	-0.44	+0.7	12
2023-11-10	@ Aluminij	D 1-1	53.9	1384	1301	46.39%	26.36%	27.26%	+0.44	-0.7	22
2023-11-11	Domzale	L 0-1	50.1	1476	1386	50.40%	25.61%	23.99%	+0.63	-8.1	29
2023-11-11	@ Koper	W 1-0	50.1	1386	1476	23.99%	25.61%	50.40%	-0.63	+8.1	14
2023-11-11	Rogaska	L 1-3	47.9	1377	1342	43.12%	26.77%	30.11%	+0.29	-11.7	16
2023-11-11	@ Radomlje	W 3-1	47.9	1342	1377	30.11%	26.77%	43.12%	-0.29	+11.7	11
2023-11-12	Celje	L 0-1	50.6	1490	1530	32.58%	26.99%	40.44%	-0.17	-5.8	23
2023-11-12	@ Maribor	W 1-0	50.6	1530	1490	40.44%	26.99%	32.58%	+0.17	+5.8	35
2023-11-12	NS Mura	W 1-0	43.1	1503	1403	51.63%	25.32%	23.04%	+0.69	+4.4	30
2023-11-12	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	43.1	1403	1503	23.04%	25.32%	51.63%	-0.69	-4.4	18
2023-11-25	Domzale	L 1-2	48.3	1353	1394	32.46%	26.98%	40.56%	-0.18	-5.5	11
2023-11-25	@ Rogaska	W 2-1	48.3	1394	1353	40.56%	26.98%	32.46%	+0.18	+5.4	17
2023-11-25	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	38.1	1366	1507	21.34%	24.72%	53.94%	-0.81	-7.6	16
2023-11-25	@ Radomlje	W 2-0	38.1	1507	1366	53.94%	24.72%	21.34%	+0.81	+7.6	33
2023-11-26	Celje	L 0-2	39.2	1383	1536	20.40%	24.33%	55.27%	-0.87	-7.3	22
2023-11-26	@ Bravo	W 2-0	39.2	1536	1383	55.27%	24.33%	20.40%	+0.87	+7.3	38
2023-11-26	Koper	W 3-2	60.4	1302	1468	19.29%	23.82%	56.89%	-0.96	+8.0	15
2023-11-26	@ Aluminij	L 2-3	60.4	1468	1302	56.89%	23.82%	19.29%	+0.96	-8.0	29
2023-11-26	Maribor	D 0-0	53.4	1399	1485	26.90%	26.29%	46.81%	-0.46	+0.8	19
2023-11-26	@ NS Mura	D 0-0	53.4	1485	1399	46.81%	26.29%	26.90%	+0.46	-0.8	24
2023-12-02	Radomlje	W 3-0	36.5	1399	1358	43.91%	26.69%	29.40%	+0.33	+14.7	20
2023-12-02	@ Domzale	L 0-3	36.5	1358	1399	29.40%	26.69%	43.91%	-0.33	-14.7	16
2023-12-03	NS Mura	W 2-0	41.4	1376	1399	34.77%	27.08%	38.15%	-0.07	+12.3	25
2023-12-03	@ Bravo	L 0-2	41.4	1399	1376	38.15%	27.08%	34.77%	+0.07	-12.3	19
2023-12-03	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 3-1	54.6	1484	1515	33.72%	27.05%	39.23%	-0.12	+10.9	27
2023-12-03	@ Maribor	L 1-3	54.6	1515	1484	39.23%	27.05%	33.72%	+0.12	-10.9	33
2023-12-05	Celje	L 0-4	34.5	1343	1543	16.82%	22.42%	60.76%	-1.17	-11.4	16
2023-12-05	@ Radomlje	W 4-0	34.5	1543	1343	60.76%	22.42%	16.82%	+1.17	+11.4	41
2023-12-06	Domzale	L 0-5	35.0	1310	1414	24.93%	25.86%	49.22%	-0.57	-20.6	15
2023-12-06	@ Aluminij	W 5-0	35.0	1414	1310	49.22%	25.86%	24.93%	+0.57	+20.6	23
2023-12-06	Maribor	D 3-3	70.4	1460	1495	33.21%	27.02%	39.77%	-0.14	+0.1	30
2023-12-06	@ Koper	D 3-3	70.4	1495	1460	39.77%	27.02%	33.21%	+0.14	-0.1	28
2023-12-07	Bravo	D 1-1	58.8	1504	1388	53.61%	24.81%	21.58%	+0.79	-1.1	34
2023-12-07	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	58.8	1388	1504	21.58%	24.81%	53.61%	-0.79	+1.2	26
2023-12-07	Rogaska	W 3-1	44.1	1387	1348	43.60%	26.72%	29.68%	+0.31	+8.8	22
2023-12-07	@ NS Mura	L 1-3	44.1	1348	1387	29.68%	26.72%	43.60%	-0.31	-8.8	11
2023-12-09	Celje	L 1-3	39.2	1289	1554	12.92%	19.36%	67.72%	-1.57	-3.9	15
2023-12-09	@ Aluminij	W 3-1	39.2	1554	1289	67.72%	19.36%	12.92%	+1.57	+3.9	44
2023-12-10	Domzale	W 1-0	46.6	1396	1435	32.69%	26.99%	40.31%	-0.17	+6.8	25
2023-12-10	@ NS Mura	L 0-1	46.6	1435	1396	40.31%	26.99%	32.69%	+0.17	-6.8	23
2023-12-10	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-4	55.2	1460	1503	32.15%	26.96%	40.89%	-0.19	-8.4	30
2023-12-10	@ Koper	W 4-2	55.2	1503	1460	40.89%	26.96%	32.15%	+0.19	+8.4	37
2023-12-10	Rogaska	W 3-2	52.0	1389	1339	45.12%	26.54%	28.34%	+0.38	+4.6	29
2023-12-10	@ Bravo	L 2-3	52.0	1339	1389	28.34%	26.54%	45.12%	-0.38	-4.7	11
2023-12-11	Maribor	D 2-2	63.3	1332	1495	19.57%	23.95%	56.48%	-0.94	+1.0	17
2023-12-11	@ Radomlje	D 2-2	63.3	1495	1332	56.48%	23.95%	19.57%	+0.94	-1.0	29
2023-12-16	Aluminij	L 0-1	44.6	1335	1285	44.99%	26.56%	28.46%	+0.38	-7.4	11
2023-12-16	@ Rogaska	W 1-0	44.6	1285	1335	28.46%	26.56%	44.99%	-0.38	+7.4	18
2023-12-16	Koper	W 2-0	43.3	1558	1452	52.49%	25.11%	22.40%	+0.73	+8.0	47
2023-12-16	@ Celje	L 0-2	43.3	1452	1558	22.40%	25.11%	52.49%	-0.73	-8.0	30
2024-02-10	Bravo	L 1-3	49.9	1428	1394	42.86%	26.80%	30.34%	+0.28	-11.6	23
2024-02-10	@ Domzale	W 3-1	49.9	1394	1428	30.34%	26.80%	42.86%	-0.28	+11.6	32
2024-02-10	Radomlje	L 0-1	48.6	1444	1333	52.99%	24.98%	22.03%	+0.76	-8.4	30
2024-02-10	@ Koper	W 1-0	48.6	1333	1444	22.03%	24.98%	52.99%	-0.76	+8.4	20
2024-02-10	Rogaska	D 2-2	64.1	1511	1327	61.60%	22.09%	16.32%	+1.21	-1.2	38
2024-02-10	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 2-2	64.1	1327	1511	16.32%	22.09%	61.60%	-1.21	+1.2	12
2024-02-11	Aluminij	W 7-0	33.3	1494	1293	63.43%	21.32%	15.25%	+1.32	+17.4	32
2024-02-11	@ Maribor	L 0-7	33.3	1293	1494	15.25%	21.32%	63.43%	-1.32	-17.4	18
2024-02-11	NS Mura	W 4-1	43.3	1566	1403	59.30%	22.97%	17.72%	+1.09	+7.8	50
2024-02-11	@ Celje	L 1-4	43.3	1403	1566	17.72%	22.97%	59.30%	-1.09	-7.8	25
2024-02-16	Koper	L 1-2	43.0	1275	1435	19.79%	24.06%	56.15%	-0.92	-3.5	18
2024-02-16	@ Aluminij	W 2-1	43.0	1435	1275	56.15%	24.06%	19.79%	+0.92	+3.5	33
2024-02-17	Domzale	W 4-1	46.8	1328	1416	26.70%	26.25%	47.05%	-0.47	+17.7	15
2024-02-17	@ Rogaska	L 1-4	46.8	1416	1328	47.05%	26.25%	26.70%	+0.47	-17.7	23
2024-02-17	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	42.6	1341	1510	19.09%	23.72%	57.19%	-0.97	-5.9	20
2024-02-17	@ Radomlje	W 3-1	42.6	1510	1341	57.19%	23.72%	19.09%	+0.97	+5.9	41
2024-02-18	Celje	D 0-0	57.6	1406	1574	19.11%	23.72%	57.17%	-0.97	+1.5	33
2024-02-18	@ Bravo	D 0-0	57.6	1574	1406	57.17%	23.72%	19.11%	+0.97	-1.5	51
2024-02-18	Maribor	W 3-0	46.4	1395	1511	23.73%	25.53%	50.74%	-0.65	+22.3	28
2024-02-18	@ NS Mura	L 0-3	46.4	1511	1395	50.74%	25.53%	23.73%	+0.65	-22.3	32
2024-02-20	Aluminij	L 1-2	50.8	1335	1272	46.93%	26.27%	26.80%	+0.47	-7.2	20
2024-02-20	@ Radomlje	W 2-1	50.8	1272	1335	26.80%	26.27%	46.93%	-0.47	+7.2	21
2024-02-21	Domzale	W 1-0	42.8	1516	1398	53.83%	24.75%	21.42%	+0.80	+4.1	44
2024-02-21	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	42.8	1398	1516	21.42%	24.75%	53.83%	-0.80	-4.1	23
2024-02-22	Bravo	W 2-1	49.3	1489	1407	49.27%	25.85%	24.89%	+0.58	+4.4	35
2024-02-22	@ Maribor	L 1-2	49.3	1407	1489	24.89%	25.85%	49.27%	-0.58	-4.4	33
2024-02-22	Rogaska	W 4-1	39.5	1573	1346	66.13%	20.11%	13.76%	+1.48	+5.9	54
2024-02-22	@ Celje	L 1-4	39.5	1346	1573	13.76%	20.11%	66.13%	-1.48	-5.9	15
2024-02-24	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-4	30.8	1279	1520	14.25%	20.53%	65.23%	-1.42	-9.5	21
2024-02-24	@ Aluminij	W 4-0	30.8	1520	1279	65.23%	20.53%	14.25%	+1.42	+9.5	47
2024-02-25	Celje	W 2-1	61.4	1394	1578	17.92%	23.09%	58.99%	-1.07	+8.7	26
2024-02-25	@ Domzale	L 1-2	61.4	1578	1394	58.99%	23.09%	17.92%	+1.07	-8.7	54
2024-02-25	Maribor	D 0-0	52.6	1340	1493	20.37%	24.32%	55.31%	-0.88	+1.4	16
2024-02-25	@ Rogaska	D 0-0	52.6	1493	1340	55.31%	24.32%	20.37%	+0.88	-1.4	36
2024-02-25	Radomlje	D 0-0	50.3	1417	1328	50.25%	25.64%	24.11%	+0.62	-1.0	29
2024-02-25	@ NS Mura	D 0-0	50.3	1328	1417	24.11%	25.64%	50.25%	-0.62	+1.0	21
2024-02-26	Koper	D 0-0	52.0	1403	1439	33.06%	27.01%	39.92%	-0.15	+0.3	34
2024-02-26	@ Bravo	D 0-0	52.0	1439	1403	39.92%	27.01%	33.06%	+0.15	-0.3	34
2024-03-01	NS Mura	W 2-0	44.1	1269	1416	20.89%	24.54%	54.57%	-0.84	+16.3	24
2024-03-01	@ Aluminij	L 0-2	44.1	1416	1269	54.57%	24.54%	20.89%	+0.84	-16.3	29
2024-03-02	Celje	D 1-1	65.5	1529	1570	32.48%	26.98%	40.54%	-0.18	+0.3	48
2024-03-02	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	65.5	1570	1529	40.54%	26.98%	32.48%	+0.18	-0.3	55
2024-03-02	Domzale	W 3-0	38.1	1492	1403	50.19%	25.65%	24.16%	+0.62	+12.4	39
2024-03-02	@ Maribor	L 0-3	38.1	1403	1492	24.16%	25.65%	50.19%	-0.62	-12.4	26
2024-03-03	Bravo	L 0-1	40.8	1329	1403	28.29%	26.53%	45.18%	-0.39	-5.2	21
2024-03-03	@ Radomlje	W 1-0	40.8	1403	1329	45.18%	26.53%	28.29%	+0.39	+5.2	37
2024-03-03	Rogaska	L 1-2	54.0	1438	1342	51.25%	25.41%	23.33%	+0.67	-7.7	34
2024-03-03	@ Koper	W 2-1	54.0	1342	1438	23.33%	25.41%	51.25%	-0.67	+7.7	19
2024-03-09	Aluminij	D 0-0	49.9	1408	1286	54.44%	24.58%	20.98%	+0.83	-1.3	38
2024-03-09	@ Bravo	D 0-0	49.9	1286	1408	20.98%	24.58%	54.44%	-0.83	+1.3	25
2024-03-09	Maribor	D 1-1	64.9	1570	1504	47.17%	26.23%	26.60%	+0.48	-0.7	56
2024-03-09	@ Celje	D 1-1	64.9	1504	1570	26.60%	26.23%	47.17%	-0.48	+0.7	40
2024-03-10	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	59.9	1400	1530	22.40%	25.11%	52.49%	-0.73	+1.1	30
2024-03-10	@ NS Mura	D 1-1	59.9	1530	1400	52.49%	25.11%	22.40%	+0.73	-1.1	49
2024-03-10	Radomlje	W 1-0	41.1	1349	1324	41.69%	26.90%	31.41%	+0.23	+5.6	22
2024-03-10	@ Rogaska	L 0-1	41.1	1324	1349	31.41%	26.90%	41.69%	-0.23	-5.6	21
2024-03-13	Bravo	L 1-2	50.9	1401	1407	37.26%	27.10%	35.64%	+0.03	-6.0	30
2024-03-13	@ NS Mura	W 2-1	50.9	1407	1401	35.64%	27.10%	37.26%	-0.03	+6.0	41
2024-03-13	Domzale	W 2-0	42.2	1318	1391	28.48%	26.56%	44.96%	-0.38	+13.9	24
2024-03-13	@ Radomlje	L 0-2	42.2	1391	1318	44.96%	26.56%	28.48%	+0.38	-13.9	26
2024-03-13	Rogaska	L 0-1	40.0	1287	1355	29.00%	26.63%	44.37%	-0.35	-5.3	25
2024-03-13	@ Aluminij	W 1-0	40.0	1355	1287	44.37%	26.63%	29.00%	+0.35	+5.3	25
2024-03-14	Celje	L 1-3	48.7	1431	1569	21.65%	24.84%	53.51%	-0.78	-6.7	34
2024-03-14	@ Koper	W 3-1	48.7	1569	1431	53.51%	24.84%	21.65%	+0.78	+6.7	59
2024-03-16	Aluminij	W 2-0	34.8	1377	1282	50.99%	25.47%	23.53%	+0.66	+8.4	29
2024-03-16	@ Domzale	L 0-2	34.8	1282	1377	23.53%	25.47%	50.99%	-0.66	-8.4	25
2024-03-16	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	60.2	1413	1529	23.76%	25.54%	50.70%	-0.65	+1.0	42
2024-03-16	@ Bravo	D 1-1	60.2	1529	1413	50.70%	25.54%	23.76%	+0.65	-0.9	50
2024-03-17	Koper	W 3-1	47.4	1505	1424	49.18%	25.86%	24.96%	+0.57	+7.6	43
2024-03-17	@ Maribor	L 1-3	47.4	1424	1505	24.96%	25.86%	49.18%	-0.57	-7.6	34
2024-03-17	NS Mura	D 0-0	50.1	1360	1395	33.24%	27.02%	39.74%	-0.14	+0.2	26
2024-03-17	@ Rogaska	D 0-0	50.1	1395	1360	39.74%	27.02%	33.24%	+0.14	-0.2	31
2024-03-17	Radomlje	W 2-1	44.1	1576	1332	67.83%	19.30%	12.87%	+1.58	+2.2	62
2024-03-17	@ Celje	L 1-2	44.1	1332	1576	12.87%	19.30%	67.83%	-1.58	-2.2	24
2024-03-23	NS Mura	W 2-1	49.4	1416	1395	41.19%	26.94%	31.87%	+0.21	+5.4	37
2024-03-23	@ Koper	L 1-2	49.4	1395	1416	31.87%	26.94%	41.19%	-0.21	-5.4	31
2024-03-29	Bravo	W 2-0	42.6	1361	1414	30.79%	26.84%	42.37%	-0.26	+13.3	29
2024-03-29	@ Rogaska	L 0-2	42.6	1414	1361	42.37%	26.84%	30.79%	+0.26	-13.3	42
2024-03-29	NS Mura	L 3-5	53.0	1385	1389	37.50%	27.09%	35.41%	+0.05	-8.9	29
2024-03-29	@ Domzale	W 5-3	53.0	1389	1385	35.41%	27.09%	37.50%	-0.05	+8.9	34
2024-03-29	Radomlje	W 1-0	38.3	1512	1330	61.40%	22.17%	16.44%	+1.20	+3.1	46
2024-03-29	@ Maribor	L 0-1	38.3	1330	1512	16.44%	22.17%	61.40%	-1.20	-3.1	24
2024-03-30	Aluminij	D 2-2	66.2	1578	1273	73.64%	16.31%	10.04%	+1.96	-1.8	63
2024-03-30	@ Celje	D 2-2	66.2	1273	1578	10.04%	16.31%	73.64%	-1.96	+1.8	26
2024-03-30	Koper	W 3-2	55.6	1528	1422	52.40%	25.13%	22.47%	+0.73	+3.8	53
2024-03-30	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-3	55.6	1422	1528	22.47%	25.13%	52.40%	-0.73	-3.8	37
2024-04-05	Maribor	L 0-2	32.6	1275	1516	14.29%	20.56%	65.15%	-1.42	-5.0	26
2024-04-05	@ Aluminij	W 2-0	32.6	1516	1275	65.15%	20.56%	14.29%	+1.42	+5.0	49
2024-04-06	Celje	L 1-3	46.4	1398	1576	18.39%	23.35%	58.27%	-1.03	-5.7	34
2024-04-06	@ NS Mura	W 3-1	46.4	1576	1398	58.27%	23.35%	18.39%	+1.03	+5.7	66
2024-04-06	Koper	D 1-1	54.8	1327	1418	26.34%	26.18%	47.48%	-0.49	+0.7	25
2024-04-06	@ Radomlje	D 1-1	54.8	1418	1327	47.48%	26.18%	26.34%	+0.49	-0.7	38
2024-04-06	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 2-3	53.0	1374	1532	19.97%	24.14%	55.89%	-0.91	-3.4	29
2024-04-06	@ Rogaska	W 3-2	53.0	1532	1374	55.89%	24.14%	19.97%	+0.91	+3.4	56
2024-04-07	Domzale	L 1-3	48.5	1401	1376	41.57%	26.91%	31.52%	+0.22	-11.4	42
2024-04-07	@ Bravo	W 3-1	48.5	1376	1401	31.52%	26.91%	41.57%	-0.22	+11.4	32
2024-04-09	NS Mura	W 5-0	37.8	1521	1392	55.12%	24.38%	20.51%	+0.87	+17.2	52
2024-04-09	@ Maribor	L 0-5	37.8	1392	1521	20.51%	24.38%	55.12%	-0.87	-17.2	34
2024-04-10	Bravo	W 2-1	48.0	1582	1389	62.52%	21.70%	15.77%	+1.27	+2.8	69
2024-04-10	@ Celje	L 1-2	48.0	1389	1582	15.77%	21.70%	62.52%	-1.27	-2.8	42
2024-04-10	Radomlje	D 2-2	65.1	1535	1328	64.11%	21.03%	14.87%	+1.36	-1.4	57
2024-04-10	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 2-2	65.1	1328	1535	14.87%	21.03%	64.11%	-1.36	+1.4	26
2024-04-10	Rogaska	L 0-1	45.1	1388	1370	40.53%	26.98%	32.49%	+0.18	-6.8	32
2024-04-10	@ Domzale	W 1-0	45.1	1370	1388	32.49%	26.98%	40.53%	-0.18	+6.8	32
2024-04-11	Aluminij	W 2-1	42.3	1417	1270	57.38%	23.65%	18.97%	+0.98	+3.4	41
2024-04-11	@ Koper	L 1-2	42.3	1270	1417	18.97%	23.65%	57.38%	-0.98	-3.4	26
2024-04-13	Celje	L 1-2	47.9	1377	1585	16.32%	22.08%	61.60%	-1.21	-2.9	32
2024-04-13	@ Rogaska	W 2-1	47.9	1585	1377	61.60%	22.08%	16.32%	+1.21	+2.9	72
2024-04-14	Koper	D 1-1	55.5	1375	1421	31.81%	26.93%	41.26%	-0.21	+0.3	35
2024-04-14	@ NS Mura	D 1-1	55.5	1421	1375	41.26%	26.93%	31.81%	+0.21	-0.3	42
2024-04-14	Maribor	D 1-1	60.0	1386	1538	20.50%	24.37%	55.13%	-0.87	+1.2	43
2024-04-14	@ Bravo	D 1-1	60.0	1538	1386	55.13%	24.37%	20.50%	+0.87	-1.2	53
2024-04-14	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-3	45.1	1381	1534	20.37%	24.32%	55.32%	-0.88	-6.3	32
2024-04-14	@ Domzale	W 3-1	45.1	1534	1381	55.32%	24.32%	20.37%	+0.88	+6.3	60
2024-04-15	Radomlje	D 1-1	53.0	1267	1329	29.67%	26.72%	43.61%	-0.31	+0.5	27
2024-04-15	@ Aluminij	D 1-1	53.0	1329	1267	43.61%	26.72%	29.67%	+0.31	-0.5	27
2024-04-17	Maribor	L 1-2	60.3	1540	1536	38.60%	27.07%	34.33%	+0.09	-6.2	60
2024-04-17	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	60.3	1536	1540	34.33%	27.07%	38.60%	-0.09	+6.2	56
2024-04-18	Koper	W 1-0	46.0	1374	1420	31.73%	26.93%	41.34%	-0.21	+6.9	35
2024-04-18	@ Domzale	L 0-1	46.0	1420	1374	41.34%	26.93%	31.73%	+0.21	-6.9	42
2024-04-20	Aluminij	W 5-0	30.1	1534	1267	70.12%	18.16%	11.72%	+1.73	+9.3	63
2024-04-20	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-5	30.1	1267	1534	11.72%	18.16%	70.12%	-1.73	-9.3	27
2024-04-20	NS Mura	L 1-2	47.3	1329	1376	31.61%	26.92%	41.48%	-0.22	-5.3	27
2024-04-20	@ Radomlje	W 2-1	47.3	1376	1329	41.48%	26.92%	31.61%	+0.22	+5.4	38
2024-04-21	Bravo	D 0-0	51.1	1413	1388	41.75%	26.89%	31.35%	+0.23	-0.4	43
2024-04-21	@ Koper	D 0-0	51.1	1388	1413	31.35%	26.89%	41.75%	-0.23	+0.4	44
2024-04-21	Domzale	L 2-3	67.6	1587	1381	64.00%	21.07%	14.93%	+1.35	-8.8	72
2024-04-21	@ Celje	W 3-2	67.6	1381	1587	14.93%	21.07%	64.00%	-1.35	+8.8	38
2024-04-21	Rogaska	W 3-0	35.9	1543	1374	59.83%	22.77%	17.39%	+1.12	+9.0	59
2024-04-21	@ Maribor	L 0-3	35.9	1374	1543	17.39%	22.77%	59.83%	-1.12	-9.0	32
2024-04-27	Maribor	D 1-1	60.7	1390	1552	19.64%	23.99%	56.37%	-0.93	+1.3	39
2024-04-27	@ Domzale	D 1-1	60.7	1552	1390	56.37%	23.99%	19.64%	+0.93	-1.3	60
2024-04-27	Radomlje	D 1-1	54.2	1388	1323	47.08%	26.25%	26.68%	+0.47	-0.7	45
2024-04-27	@ Bravo	D 1-1	54.2	1323	1388	26.68%	26.25%	47.08%	-0.47	+0.7	28
2024-04-28	Koper	D 2-2	61.3	1365	1413	31.51%	26.91%	41.58%	-0.22	+0.2	33
2024-04-28	@ Rogaska	D 2-2	61.3	1413	1365	41.58%	26.91%	31.51%	+0.22	-0.2	44
2024-04-28	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	53.4	1579	1543	43.12%	26.77%	30.11%	+0.29	+5.5	75
2024-04-28	@ Celje	L 0-1	53.4	1543	1579	30.11%	26.77%	43.12%	-0.29	-5.5	63
2024-04-29	Aluminij	W 3-1	39.7	1381	1258	54.50%	24.56%	20.94%	+0.84	+6.5	41
2024-04-29	@ NS Mura	L 1-3	39.7	1258	1381	20.94%	24.56%	54.50%	-0.84	-6.5	27
2024-05-04	Bravo	D 1-1	53.8	1251	1387	21.85%	24.91%	53.24%	-0.77	+1.1	28
2024-05-04	@ Aluminij	D 1-1	53.8	1387	1251	53.24%	24.91%	21.85%	+0.77	-1.1	46
2024-05-04	Celje	W 3-1	59.4	1550	1584	33.36%	27.03%	39.61%	-0.14	+10.9	63
2024-05-04	@ Maribor	L 1-3	59.4	1584	1550	39.61%	27.03%	33.36%	+0.14	-11.0	75
2024-05-04	Domzale	W 3-1	46.2	1413	1391	41.14%	26.94%	31.92%	+0.20	+9.3	47
2024-05-04	@ Koper	L 1-3	46.2	1391	1413	31.92%	26.94%	41.14%	-0.20	-9.3	39
2024-05-05	NS Mura	D 0-0	55.6	1538	1387	57.74%	23.53%	18.73%	+1.00	-1.6	64
2024-05-05	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	55.6	1387	1538	18.73%	23.53%	57.74%	-1.00	+1.6	42
2024-05-05	Rogaska	W 1-0	44.1	1324	1366	32.31%	26.97%	40.72%	-0.19	+6.8	31
2024-05-05	@ Radomlje	L 0-1	44.1	1366	1324	40.72%	26.97%	32.31%	+0.19	-6.8	33
2024-05-11	Aluminij	L 1-4	46.6	1359	1253	52.42%	25.13%	22.45%	+0.73	-19.3	33
2024-05-11	@ Rogaska	W 4-1	46.6	1253	1359	22.45%	25.13%	52.42%	-0.73	+19.3	31
2024-05-11	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	58.8	1561	1536	41.70%	26.90%	31.41%	+0.23	+5.3	66
2024-05-11	@ Maribor	L 1-2	58.8	1536	1561	31.41%	26.90%	41.70%	-0.23	-5.3	64
2024-05-11	Radomlje	D 1-1	54.2	1382	1331	45.26%	26.52%	28.22%	+0.39	-0.6	40
2024-05-11	@ Domzale	D 1-1	54.2	1331	1382	28.22%	26.52%	45.26%	-0.39	+0.6	32
2024-05-12	Koper	W 2-1	50.3	1573	1422	57.85%	23.49%	18.66%	+1.01	+3.3	78
2024-05-12	@ Celje	L 1-2	50.3	1422	1573	18.66%	23.49%	57.85%	-1.01	-3.3	47
2024-05-12	NS Mura	D 1-1	55.1	1386	1389	37.71%	27.09%	35.20%	+0.05	-0.1	47
2024-05-12	@ Bravo	D 1-1	55.1	1389	1386	35.20%	27.09%	37.71%	-0.05	+0.1	43
2024-05-18	Celje	D 1-1	60.6	1331	1577	14.01%	20.33%	65.66%	-1.45	+1.9	33
2024-05-18	@ Radomlje	D 1-1	60.6	1577	1331	65.66%	20.33%	14.01%	+1.45	-1.9	79
2024-05-18	Domzale	L 1-3	41.2	1272	1381	24.37%	25.71%	49.92%	-0.61	-7.5	31
2024-05-18	@ Aluminij	W 3-1	41.2	1381	1272	49.92%	25.71%	24.37%	+0.61	+7.5	43
2024-05-18	Rogaska	L 1-2	51.6	1389	1339	45.05%	26.55%	28.40%	+0.38	-7.0	43
2024-05-18	@ NS Mura	W 2-1	51.6	1339	1389	28.40%	26.55%	45.05%	-0.38	+7.0	36
2024-05-19	Bravo	L 0-1	53.3	1531	1386	57.09%	23.75%	19.16%	+0.97	-9.0	64
2024-05-19	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	53.3	1386	1531	19.16%	23.75%	57.09%	-0.97	+9.0	50
2024-05-19	Maribor	D 1-1	62.2	1419	1567	20.79%	24.50%	54.72%	-0.85	+1.2	48
2024-05-19	@ Koper	D 1-1	62.2	1567	1419	54.72%	24.50%	20.79%	+0.85	-1.2	67

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2023-09-27	13.97%	Aluminij	1298	3	@ Celje	1520	1
2	2024-04-21	14.93%	Domzale	1381	3	@ Celje	1587	2
3	2024-02-25	17.92%	@ Domzale	1394	2	Celje	1578	1
4	2023-10-01	18.46%	@ Aluminij	1314	1	Maribor	1491	0
5	2024-05-19	19.16%	Bravo	1386	1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1531	0
6	2023-11-26	19.29%	@ Aluminij	1302	3	Koper	1468	2
7	2024-03-01	20.89%	@ Aluminij	1269	2	NS Mura	1416	0
8	2024-02-10	22.03%	Radomlje	1333	1	@ Koper	1444	0
9	2024-05-11	22.45%	Aluminij	1253	4	@ Rogaska	1359	1
10	2024-03-03	23.33%	Rogaska	1342	2	@ Koper	1438	1
11	2024-02-18	23.73%	@ NS Mura	1395	3	Maribor	1511	0
12	2023-11-11	23.99%	Domzale	1386	1	@ Koper	1476	0
13	2023-09-23	24.95%	@ Bravo	1388	4	Olimpija Ljubljana	1492	2
14	2023-10-22	25.31%	@ Bravo	1389	2	Maribor	1490	1
15	2023-08-19	26.16%	Radomlje	1339	2	@ NS Mura	1409	0
16	2024-02-17	26.70%	@ Rogaska	1328	4	Domzale	1416	1
17	2024-02-20	26.80%	Aluminij	1272	2	@ Radomlje	1335	1
18	2024-05-18	28.40%	Rogaska	1339	2	@ NS Mura	1389	1
19	2023-12-16	28.46%	Aluminij	1285	1	@ Rogaska	1335	0
20	2024-03-13	28.48%	@ Radomlje	1318	2	Domzale	1391	0
21	2023-07-22	28.96%	@ Bravo	1378	2	Rogaska	1447	0
22	2023-09-17	29.05%	@ Radomlje	1348	3	Domzale	1416	1
23	2023-08-12	29.32%	Aluminij	1311	2	@ Radomlje	1353	0
24	2023-11-05	29.37%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1496	1	@ Celje	1537	0
25	2023-08-14	30.11%	NS Mura	1397	3	@ Koper	1432	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-07-29	25.25	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	5	1454	41.04%	Rogaska	0	1433	32.02%	26.95%
2	2023-07-30	23.88	@ Celje	5	1459	43.44%	NS Mura	0	1421	29.82%	26.74%
3	2024-02-18	22.32	@ NS Mura	3	1395	23.73%	Maribor	0	1511	50.74%	25.53%
4	2023-12-06	20.57	Domzale	5	1414	49.22%	@ Aluminij	0	1310	24.93%	25.86%
5	2024-05-11	19.32	Aluminij	4	1253	22.45%	@ Rogaska	1	1359	52.42%	25.13%
6	2024-02-17	17.71	@ Rogaska	4	1328	26.70%	Domzale	1	1416	47.05%	26.25%
7	2024-02-11	17.40	@ Maribor	7	1494	63.43%	Aluminij	0	1293	15.25%	21.32%
8	2024-04-09	17.20	@ Maribor	5	1521	55.12%	NS Mura	0	1392	20.51%	24.38%
9	2023-09-27	16.36	Aluminij	3	1298	13.97%	@ Celje	1	1520	65.74%	20.29%
10	2024-03-01	16.30	@ Aluminij	2	1269	20.89%	NS Mura	0	1416	54.57%	24.54%
11	2023-08-18	16.27	Koper	3	1421	39.35%	@ Bravo	0	1389	33.61%	27.04%
12	2023-10-08	16.20	@ Domzale	3	1390	39.56%	Rogaska	0	1380	33.41%	27.03%
13	2023-07-23	16.09	Maribor	4	1488	50.50%	@ Radomlje	0	1374	23.91%	25.58%
14	2023-08-26	14.84	@ Koper	3	1437	43.41%	Rogaska	0	1399	29.85%	26.74%
15	2023-12-02	14.66	@ Domzale	3	1399	43.91%	Radomlje	0	1358	29.40%	26.69%
16	2023-08-19	14.62	Radomlje	2	1339	26.16%	@ NS Mura	0	1409	47.70%	26.14%
17	2024-03-13	13.95	@ Radomlje	2	1318	28.48%	Domzale	0	1391	44.96%	26.56%
18	2023-10-21	13.82	Celje	4	1517	55.41%	@ Rogaska	0	1364	20.30%	24.29%
19	2023-07-22	13.81	@ Bravo	2	1378	28.96%	Rogaska	0	1447	44.41%	26.63%
20	2023-08-12	13.72	Aluminij	2	1311	29.32%	@ Radomlje	0	1353	44.01%	26.68%
21	2023-11-05	13.43	Radomlje	2	1364	30.38%	@ Bravo	0	1397	42.82%	26.80%
22	2024-03-29	13.32	@ Rogaska	2	1361	30.79%	Bravo	0	1414	42.37%	26.84%
23	2023-09-27	12.46	NS Mura	2	1403	34.11%	@ Domzale	0	1408	38.83%	27.06%
24	2024-03-02	12.43	@ Maribor	3	1492	50.19%	Domzale	0	1403	24.16%	25.65%
25	2023-12-03	12.30	@ Bravo	2	1376	34.77%	NS Mura	0	1399	38.15%	27.08%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-12-06	70.4	@ Koper	3	1460	33.21%	Maribor	3	1495	39.77%	27.02%
2	2024-04-21	67.6	Domzale	3	1381	14.93%	@ Celje	2	1587	64.00%	21.07%
3	2024-03-30	66.2	@ Celje	2	1578	73.64%	Aluminij	2	1273	10.04%	16.31%
4	2024-03-02	65.5	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1529	32.48%	Celje	1	1570	40.54%	26.98%
5	2023-08-20	65.2	@ Rogaska	2	1399	24.10%	Maribor	2	1511	50.26%	25.64%
6	2024-04-10	65.1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1535	64.11%	Radomlje	2	1328	14.87%	21.03%
7	2024-03-09	64.9	@ Celje	1	1570	47.17%	Maribor	1	1504	26.60%	26.23%
8	2024-02-10	64.1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1511	61.60%	Rogaska	2	1327	16.32%	22.09%
9	2023-10-22	63.7	@ NS Mura	2	1398	28.20%	Koper	2	1473	45.29%	26.51%
10	2023-12-11	63.3	@ Radomlje	2	1332	19.57%	Maribor	2	1495	56.48%	23.95%
11	2024-05-19	62.2	@ Koper	1	1419	20.79%	Maribor	1	1567	54.72%	24.50%
12	2023-07-23	61.9	@ Aluminij	2	1313	20.90%	Celje	2	1460	54.56%	24.54%
13	2024-02-25	61.4	@ Domzale	2	1394	17.92%	Celje	1	1578	58.99%	23.09%
14	2024-04-28	61.3	@ Rogaska	2	1365	31.51%	Koper	2	1413	41.58%	26.91%
15	2023-09-17	61.1	@ Koper	1	1457	29.96%	Celje	1	1517	43.28%	26.75%
16	2024-04-27	60.7	@ Domzale	1	1390	19.64%	Maribor	1	1552	56.37%	23.99%
17	2024-05-18	60.6	@ Radomlje	1	1331	14.01%	Celje	1	1577	65.66%	20.33%
18	2023-11-26	60.4	@ Aluminij	3	1302	19.29%	Koper	2	1468	56.89%	23.82%
19	2024-04-17	60.3	Maribor	2	1536	34.33%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1540	38.60%	27.07%
20	2024-03-16	60.2	@ Bravo	1	1413	23.76%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1529	50.70%	25.54%
21	2024-04-14	60.0	@ Bravo	1	1386	20.50%	Maribor	1	1538	55.13%	24.37%
22	2023-09-28	59.9	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1480	40.29%	Koper	1	1465	32.72%	26.99%
23	2024-03-10	59.9	@ NS Mura	1	1400	22.40%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1530	52.49%	25.11%
24	2023-08-26	59.8	@ Maribor	1	1510	50.35%	Domzale	1	1420	24.04%	25.62%
25	2024-05-04	59.4	@ Maribor	3	1550	33.36%	Celje	1	1584	39.61%	27.03%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-04-20	30.1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	5	1534	70.12%	Aluminij	0	1267	11.72%	18.16%
2	2024-02-24	30.8	Olimpija Ljubljana	4	1520	65.23%	@ Aluminij	0	1279	14.25%	20.53%
3	2024-04-05	32.6	Maribor	2	1516	65.15%	@ Aluminij	0	1275	14.29%	20.56%
4	2024-02-11	33.3	@ Maribor	7	1494	63.43%	Aluminij	0	1293	15.25%	21.32%
5	2023-12-05	34.5	Celje	4	1543	60.76%	@ Radomlje	0	1343	16.82%	22.42%
6	2024-03-16	34.8	@ Domzale	2	1377	50.99%	Aluminij	0	1282	23.53%	25.47%
7	2023-12-06	35.0	Domzale	5	1414	49.22%	@ Aluminij	0	1310	24.93%	25.86%
8	2023-10-21	35.9	Celje	4	1517	55.41%	@ Rogaska	0	1364	20.30%	24.29%
9	2024-04-21	35.9	@ Maribor	3	1543	59.83%	Rogaska	0	1374	17.39%	22.77%
10	2023-09-02	36.5	@ Bravo	2	1378	46.76%	Aluminij	0	1316	26.94%	26.30%
11	2023-12-02	36.5	@ Domzale	3	1399	43.91%	Radomlje	0	1358	29.40%	26.69%
12	2023-07-23	36.8	Maribor	4	1488	50.50%	@ Radomlje	0	1374	23.91%	25.58%
13	2023-07-30	37.4	@ Maribor	1	1504	62.28%	Aluminij	0	1314	15.92%	21.81%
14	2024-04-09	37.8	@ Maribor	5	1521	55.12%	NS Mura	0	1392	20.51%	24.38%
15	2023-10-08	38.0	@ Domzale	3	1390	39.56%	Rogaska	0	1380	33.41%	27.03%
16	2023-10-22	38.1	Radomlje	2	1353	40.23%	@ Aluminij	0	1315	32.78%	27.00%
17	2023-11-25	38.1	Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1507	53.94%	@ Radomlje	0	1366	21.34%	24.72%
18	2024-03-02	38.1	@ Maribor	3	1492	50.19%	Domzale	0	1403	24.16%	25.65%
19	2024-03-29	38.3	@ Maribor	1	1512	61.40%	Radomlje	0	1330	16.44%	22.17%
20	2023-08-26	38.4	@ Koper	3	1437	43.41%	Rogaska	0	1399	29.85%	26.74%
21	2023-10-08	38.6	@ Koper	4	1464	56.69%	Aluminij	1	1323	19.43%	23.88%
22	2023-11-04	38.8	@ NS Mura	1	1398	50.75%	Aluminij	0	1306	23.72%	25.53%
23	2023-08-18	38.9	Koper	3	1421	39.35%	@ Bravo	0	1389	33.61%	27.04%
24	2023-11-26	39.2	Celje	2	1536	55.27%	@ Bravo	0	1383	20.40%	24.33%
25	2023-12-09	39.2	Celje	3	1554	67.72%	@ Aluminij	1	1289	12.92%	19.36%