2024-25 Slovenian PrvaLiga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Olimpija Ljubljana

74 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Koper

9.62 points above expected

66 points · 56.38 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

NS Mura

9.79 points below expected

35 points · 44.79 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Olimpija Ljubljana	36	21	11	4	74	63	20	+43	66.42	+7.58
2	Maribor	36	19	10	7	67	64	32	+32	66.61	+0.39
3	Koper	36	19	9	8	66	60	35	+25	56.38	+9.62
4	Celje	36	17	10	9	61	76	51	+25	61.70	-0.70
5	Bravo	36	14	13	9	55	52	44	+8	51.83	+3.17
6	Primorje	36	11	10	15	43	41	61	-20	38.96	+4.04
7	NS Mura	36	9	8	19	35	37	51	-14	44.79	-9.79
8	Radomlje	36	10	5	21	35	37	69	-32	40.47	-5.47
9	Domzale	36	7	8	21	29	35	66	-31	36.09	-7.09
10	Nafta	36	6	10	20	28	33	69	-36	32.49	-4.49

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Koper	66	56.38	+9.62
2	Olimpija Ljubljana	74	66.42	+7.58
3	Primorje	43	38.96	+4.04
4	Bravo	55	51.83	+3.17
5	Maribor	67	66.61	+0.39

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	NS Mura	35	44.79	-9.79
2	Domzale	29	36.09	-7.09
3	Radomlje	35	40.47	-5.47
4	Nafta	28	32.49	-4.49
5	Celje	61	61.70	-0.70

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bravo	4	Feb 1 – Feb 22	1 in 97
2	Radomlje	4	Oct 4 – Oct 27	1 in 83
3	Primorje	3	Aug 10 – Aug 25	1 in 72
4	Domzale	2	Mar 1 – Mar 5	1 in 32
5	NS Mura	3	Jul 20 – Aug 3	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	NS Mura	5	Mar 29 – Apr 21	1 in 96
2	Nafta	4	Aug 5 – Aug 26	1 in 18
3	Olimpija Ljubljana	2	Mar 5 – Mar 9	1 in 18
4	Bravo	3	Oct 6 – Oct 27	1 in 18
5	Domzale	3	Jul 21 – Aug 2	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bravo	11	Nov 3 – Mar 8	1 in 79
2	Koper	11	Mar 29 – May 25	1 in 52
3	Celje	10	Mar 9 – May 7	1 in 23
4	Nafta	4	Feb 21 – Mar 13	1 in 22
5	Olimpija Ljubljana	11	Oct 19 – Mar 2	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bravo	10	Mar 2 – Apr 28	1 in 282
2	Celje	5	Dec 1 – Feb 16	1 in 47
3	NS Mura	10	Mar 29 – May 25	1 in 34
4	Domzale	10	Jul 21 – Sep 29	1 in 33
5	Nafta	12	Sep 15 – Feb 2	1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Olimpija Ljubljana	1717	74	-2	6	9.3	-3.3
Maribor	1692	67	-2	8	8.9	-0.9
Koper	1645	66	+23	11	7.7	+3.3
Celje	1677	61	+20	8	9.1	-1.1
Bravo	1559	55	+21	9	7.8	+1.2
Primorje	1480	43	-4	7	5.5	+1.5
Radomlje	1435	35	-28	3	4.8	-1.8
NS Mura	1461	35	-29	2	5.2	-3.2
Domzale	1451	29	+4	6	5.4	+0.6
Nafta	1391	28	-25	3	3.9	-0.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRA	CEL	DOM	KOP	MAR	NM	NAF	OL	PRI	RAD
Bravo	—	2-0-2 4.22	1-3-0 7.31	2-0-2 5.05	1-2-1 3.78	2-2-0 6.14	3-1-0 7.66	0-3-1 3.67	2-0-2 6.92	1-2-1 6.95
Celje	2-0-2 6.73	—	2-2-0 8.26	1-2-1 6.05	2-1-1 4.84	2-1-1 7.27	3-1-0 8.62	0-2-2 4.93	2-1-1 7.92	3-0-1 7.72
Domzale	0-3-1 3.68	0-2-2 2.85	—	0-0-4 3.59	1-0-3 2.76	2-0-2 4.50	2-0-2 6.04	1-1-2 2.70	1-2-1 5.14	0-0-4 5.21
Koper	2-0-2 5.87	1-2-1 4.86	4-0-0 7.44	—	0-2-2 4.33	3-1-0 6.79	3-1-0 7.90	1-1-2 4.19	1-2-1 7.28	4-0-0 6.98
Maribor	1-2-1 7.19	1-1-2 6.08	3-0-1 8.36	2-2-0 6.61	—	3-1-0 7.67	2-1-1 8.98	2-2-0 5.46	2-0-2 8.39	3-1-0 8.15
NS Mura	0-2-2 4.77	1-1-2 3.72	2-0-2 6.45	0-1-3 4.15	0-1-3 3.34	—	1-2-1 7.01	0-1-3 3.28	2-0-2 6.03	3-0-1 6.04
Nafta	0-1-3 3.37	0-1-3 2.53	2-0-2 4.87	0-1-3 3.15	1-1-2 2.25	1-2-1 3.95	—	0-1-3 2.42	0-3-1 4.81	2-0-2 4.71
Olimpija Ljubljana	1-3-0 7.31	2-2-0 5.98	2-1-1 8.46	2-1-1 6.77	0-2-2 5.44	3-1-0 7.76	3-1-0 8.77	—	4-0-0 8.17	4-0-0 8.32
Primorje	2-0-2 4.03	1-1-2 3.14	1-2-1 5.76	1-2-1 3.70	2-0-2 2.73	2-0-2 4.88	1-3-0 6.12	0-0-4 2.92	—	1-2-1 5.56
Radomlje	1-2-1 4.00	1-0-3 3.31	4-0-0 5.71	0-0-4 3.99	0-1-3 2.94	1-0-3 4.88	2-0-2 6.20	0-0-4 2.80	1-2-1 5.34	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.83	+10.3
Allowed	0.84	-9.3
Differential	0.96	+5.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.22%	8.61%	5.56%	3.61%	2.22%	0.83%	28.06%
1	8.61%	14.44%	6.39%	2.78%	1.11%	0.83%	34.17%
2	5.56%	6.39%	3.33%	2.78%	1.39%	0.28%	19.72%
3	3.61%	2.78%	2.78%	1.11%	0.56%	—	10.83%
4	2.22%	1.11%	1.39%	0.56%	—	—	5.28%
5+	0.83%	0.83%	0.28%	—	—	—	1.94%
Total	28.06%	34.17%	19.72%	10.83%	5.28%	1.94%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.38	+0.00
SD	1.31	1.31	1.94
CV	0.95	0.95	—
Max	9	9	+8
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	25.00%
1	8.33%	22.22%	5.56%	—	—	—	36.11%
2	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
3	—	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
4	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	38.89%	25.00%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.22	+0.22
SD	1.23	0.96	1.48
CV	0.85	0.79	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
1	5.56%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
2	—	13.89%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	33.33%
3	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
5+	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
Total	19.44%	41.67%	19.44%	16.67%	2.78%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.11	1.42	+0.69
SD	1.86	1.08	2.10
CV	0.88	0.76	—
Max	9	4	+8
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	13.89%	2.78%	—	38.89%
1	8.33%	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	30.56%
2	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	8.33%	—	2.78%	25.00%
3	—	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	22.22%	19.44%	25.00%	8.33%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.83	-0.86
SD	0.94	1.40	1.62
CV	0.97	0.77	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
1	13.89%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	36.11%
2	2.78%	5.56%	—	—	2.78%	—	11.11%
3	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	27.78%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	36.11%	41.67%	16.67%	—	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.67	0.97	+0.69
SD	1.31	1.03	1.53
CV	0.79	1.06	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	11.11%
1	8.33%	25.00%	8.33%	—	—	—	41.67%
2	5.56%	13.89%	—	2.78%	—	—	22.22%
3	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	52.78%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	0.89	+0.89
SD	1.27	0.75	1.60
CV	0.71	0.84	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	36.11%
1	11.11%	11.11%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	41.67%
2	2.78%	2.78%	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	11.11%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	5.56%
4	2.78%	—	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	27.78%	27.78%	8.33%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.42	-0.39
SD	1.11	1.23	1.54
CV	1.08	0.87	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	—	47.22%
1	2.78%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	2.78%	5.56%	30.56%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
3	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
Total	13.89%	27.78%	30.56%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.92	1.92	-1.00
SD	1.20	1.40	1.77
CV	1.31	0.73	—
Max	5	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
1	11.11%	16.67%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	33.33%
2	22.22%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	30.56%
3	11.11%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	61.11%	27.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.75	0.56	+1.19
SD	1.27	0.84	1.65
CV	0.73	1.52	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	5.56%	11.11%	—	5.56%	5.56%	30.56%
1	8.33%	16.67%	—	11.11%	2.78%	—	38.89%
2	5.56%	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	19.44%
3	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	27.78%	19.44%	13.89%	8.33%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.69	-0.56
SD	1.05	1.49	2.10
CV	0.92	0.88	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	38.89%
1	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	2.78%	36.11%
2	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	5.56%	—	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.44%	33.33%	19.44%	8.33%	13.89%	5.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.92	-0.89
SD	1.16	1.86	2.34
CV	1.13	0.97	—
Max	4	9	+3
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Olimpija Ljubljana	1717	74	66.42	+7.58	89.0%	46	54	62	66	72	78	82
Maribor	1692	67	66.61	+0.39	58.0%	51	56	62	65	72	78	84
Celje	1677	61	61.70	-0.70	53.0%	40	48	57	61	67	74	80
Koper	1645	66	56.38	+9.62	90.0%	38	44	51	56	61	67	82
Bravo	1559	55	51.83	+3.17	71.0%	34	39	47	52	56	64	74
Primorje	1480	43	38.96	+4.04	72.0%	23	26	34	39	44	51	57
NS Mura	1461	35	44.79	-9.79	10.0%	30	32	40	45	49	55	61
Domzale	1451	29	36.09	-7.09	16.0%	22	26	32	35	40	49	52
Radomlje	1435	35	40.47	-5.47	23.0%	24	28	36	40	45	54	60
Nafta	1391	28	32.49	-4.49	31.0%	17	21	27	32	38	44	48

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 17% * Clear Edge: 17% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.78%

Slight Edge

43.33%26.11%30.56%

Elo Value

Home Edge

144 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

044.64400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.36 goals

Neutral

-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.19 * Comfortable: 0.19 to 0.25 * Runaway: 0.25 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.3

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

40%

Olimpija Ljubljana, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.19/gm

Comfortable

00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.82 * Some Luck: 5.82 to 8.73 * Lucky: 8.73 to 11.64 * Wild Swing: 11.64 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.9 * Close: 0.9 to 1.34 * Off: 1.34 to 1.79 * Way Off: 1.79 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.10 points

Some Luck

07.2818

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.80

Pinpoint

01.122.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

90.00%

Koper

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

10.00%

NS Mura

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.15 * Even: 0.15 to 0.17 * Top-Heavy: 0.17 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.8 * Moderate Separation: 1.8 to 2.05 * Strong Separation: 2.05 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63.5% * Slight Edge: 63.5% to 68% * Clear Edge: 68% to 72% * Wide Edge: 72% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85% * Clear Edge: 85% to 88.5% * Strong Edge: 88.5% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 58.5% * Some Drama: 58.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63% * Very Frequent: 63% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15% * Occasional: 15% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 21% * Very Frequent: 21% and up.

Gini Index

0.19

Lopsided

00.150.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 122.31

2.20

Wide Separation

11.82.052.75

Interquartile Edge

78%

Wide Edge

50%63.5%72%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

87%

Clear Edge

50%91%100%

Close Games

Expected

63%

Frequent

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

18%

Occasional

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.31 * Slight Separation: 0.31 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.42 * Some Carryover: 0.42 to 0.63 * Strong Carryover: 0.63 to 0.79 * Near-Lock: 0.79 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 22.5% * Upset-Prone: 22.5% to 25% * Very Upset-Prone: 25% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16.5% * As Expected: 16.5% to 19% * Shaky Favorites: 19% to 21% * Very Shaky: 21% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.37

Notable Separation

00.310.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.73

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.80

Near-Lock

00.420.630.791

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

17%

As Expected

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.97

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.17

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.085

Well Within Noise

00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Olimpija Ljubljana	40.00%	32.00%	17.00%	6.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Maribor	32.00%	37.00%	23.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Koper	7.00%	10.00%	17.00%	33.00%	19.00%	8.00%	5.00%	1.00%	—	—
Celje	18.00%	20.00%	23.00%	28.00%	9.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—
Bravo	3.00%	1.00%	16.00%	17.00%	27.00%	23.00%	7.00%	6.00%	—	—
Primorje	—	—	—	5.00%	5.00%	14.00%	20.00%	24.00%	19.00%	13.00%
NS Mura	—	—	3.00%	3.00%	22.00%	29.00%	18.00%	14.00%	9.00%	2.00%
Radomlje	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	13.00%	23.00%	30.00%	17.00%	8.00%
Domzale	—	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	8.00%	13.00%	15.00%	30.00%	28.00%
Nafta	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	14.00%	9.00%	25.00%	49.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Bravo	100%	—	—
Celje	100%	—	—
Koper	100%	—	—
Maribor	100%	—	—
Olimpija Ljubljana	100%	—	—
NS Mura	89.00%	9.00%	2.00%
Radomlje	75.00%	17.00%	8.00%
Primorje	68.00%	19.00%	13.00%
Domzale	42.00%	30.00%	28.00%
Nafta	26.00%	25.00%	49.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2024-07-19	Primorje	W 2-0	44.9	1616	1476	59.98%	23.17%	16.85%	+1.28	+6.5	3
2024-07-19	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	44.9	1476	1616	16.85%	23.17%	59.98%	-1.28	-6.5	0
2024-07-20	Koper	L 0-1	53.3	1499	1553	34.77%	27.69%	37.54%	-0.07	-6.5	0
2024-07-20	@ Radomlje	W 1-0	53.3	1553	1499	37.54%	27.69%	34.77%	+0.07	+6.5	3
2024-07-20	Nafta	W 1-0	47.8	1526	1474	49.33%	26.37%	24.30%	+0.66	+4.9	3
2024-07-20	@ NS Mura	L 0-1	47.8	1474	1526	24.30%	26.37%	49.33%	-0.66	-4.9	0
2024-07-21	Bravo	W 2-1	56.8	1650	1535	57.12%	24.21%	18.66%	+1.10	+3.6	3
2024-07-21	@ Celje	L 1-2	56.8	1535	1650	18.66%	24.21%	57.12%	-1.10	-3.6	0
2024-07-21	Domzale	W 4-1	51.4	1645	1533	56.75%	24.34%	18.91%	+1.08	+9.0	3
2024-07-21	@ Maribor	L 1-4	51.4	1533	1645	18.91%	24.34%	56.75%	-1.08	-9.0	0
2024-07-26	Radomlje	W 2-1	54.8	1469	1492	39.24%	27.63%	33.13%	+0.15	+6.0	3
2024-07-26	@ Nafta	L 1-2	54.8	1492	1469	33.13%	27.63%	39.24%	-0.15	-5.9	0
2024-07-27	NS Mura	L 1-2	60.7	1524	1531	41.57%	27.49%	30.94%	+0.26	-7.0	0
2024-07-27	@ Domzale	W 2-1	60.7	1531	1524	30.94%	27.49%	41.57%	-0.26	+7.0	6
2024-07-28	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	57.0	1560	1623	33.58%	27.65%	38.76%	-0.13	-6.4	3
2024-07-28	@ Koper	W 1-0	57.0	1623	1560	38.76%	27.65%	33.58%	+0.13	+6.4	6
2024-07-29	Primorje	W 4-0	42.0	1532	1470	50.68%	26.07%	23.25%	+0.74	+16.9	3
2024-07-29	@ Bravo	L 0-4	42.0	1470	1532	23.25%	26.07%	50.68%	-0.74	-16.9	0
2024-08-02	Domzale	W 1-0	51.3	1486	1517	38.15%	27.68%	34.18%	+0.10	+6.5	3
2024-08-02	@ Radomlje	L 0-1	51.3	1517	1486	34.18%	27.68%	38.15%	-0.10	-6.5	0
2024-08-03	Celje	W 1-0	60.7	1538	1654	26.93%	26.95%	46.12%	-0.50	+8.1	9
2024-08-03	@ NS Mura	L 0-1	60.7	1654	1538	46.12%	26.95%	26.93%	+0.50	-8.1	3
2024-08-03	Koper	L 0-2	46.6	1453	1553	28.76%	27.24%	43.99%	-0.39	-10.7	0
2024-08-03	@ Primorje	W 2-0	46.6	1553	1453	43.99%	27.24%	28.76%	+0.39	+10.7	6
2024-08-04	Bravo	D 1-1	69.2	1654	1549	55.98%	24.59%	19.43%	+1.04	-1.4	4
2024-08-04	@ Maribor	D 1-1	69.2	1549	1654	19.43%	24.59%	55.98%	-1.04	+1.4	4
2024-08-05	Nafta	W 2-0	44.8	1629	1475	61.53%	22.55%	15.92%	+1.37	+6.1	9
2024-08-05	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	44.8	1475	1629	15.92%	22.55%	61.53%	-1.37	-6.1	3
2024-08-10	Primorje	L 0-3	46.3	1469	1442	46.12%	26.95%	26.93%	+0.50	-22.2	3
2024-08-10	@ Nafta	W 3-0	46.3	1442	1469	26.93%	26.95%	46.12%	-0.50	+22.2	3
2024-08-11	NS Mura	W 2-1	57.4	1652	1546	56.16%	24.53%	19.30%	+1.05	+3.7	7
2024-08-11	@ Maribor	L 1-2	57.4	1546	1652	19.30%	24.53%	56.16%	-1.05	-3.7	9
2024-08-11	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	62.7	1511	1635	26.00%	26.77%	47.23%	-0.55	+0.9	1
2024-08-11	@ Domzale	D 0-0	62.7	1635	1511	47.23%	26.77%	26.00%	+0.55	-0.9	10
2024-08-11	Radomlje	W 4-2	55.3	1646	1493	61.43%	22.59%	15.98%	+1.37	+4.8	6
2024-08-11	@ Celje	L 2-4	55.3	1493	1646	15.98%	22.59%	61.43%	-1.37	-4.8	3
2024-08-12	Koper	W 1-0	54.5	1550	1564	40.51%	27.56%	31.92%	+0.21	+6.1	7
2024-08-12	@ Bravo	L 0-1	54.5	1564	1550	31.92%	27.56%	40.51%	-0.21	-6.1	6
2024-08-16	Domzale	W 2-1	56.3	1464	1512	35.80%	27.70%	36.50%	-0.02	+6.4	6
2024-08-16	@ Primorje	L 1-2	56.3	1512	1464	36.50%	27.70%	35.80%	+0.02	-6.4	1
2024-08-17	Bravo	L 2-3	66.9	1542	1556	40.47%	27.57%	31.96%	+0.21	-6.5	9
2024-08-17	@ NS Mura	W 3-2	66.9	1556	1542	31.96%	27.57%	40.47%	-0.21	+6.5	10
2024-08-17	Nafta	W 3-0	40.8	1558	1447	56.67%	24.37%	18.96%	+1.08	+10.7	9
2024-08-17	@ Koper	L 0-3	40.8	1447	1558	18.96%	24.37%	56.67%	-1.08	-10.7	3
2024-08-18	Celje	D 2-2	75.3	1634	1650	40.21%	27.58%	32.21%	+0.20	-0.2	11
2024-08-18	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 2-2	75.3	1650	1634	32.21%	27.58%	40.21%	-0.20	+0.2	7
2024-08-18	Maribor	D 1-1	67.4	1488	1656	21.67%	25.54%	52.79%	-0.85	+1.2	4
2024-08-18	@ Radomlje	D 1-1	67.4	1656	1488	52.79%	25.54%	21.67%	+0.85	-1.2	8
2024-08-24	Koper	L 0-3	48.7	1505	1569	33.51%	27.65%	38.84%	-0.13	-17.4	1
2024-08-24	@ Domzale	W 3-0	48.7	1569	1505	38.84%	27.65%	33.51%	+0.13	+17.4	12
2024-08-24	Radomlje	W 1-0	49.0	1535	1489	48.65%	26.50%	24.84%	+0.63	+5.0	12
2024-08-24	@ NS Mura	L 0-1	49.0	1489	1535	24.84%	26.50%	48.65%	-0.63	-5.0	4
2024-08-25	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	70.0	1655	1634	45.30%	27.07%	27.63%	+0.45	-0.6	9
2024-08-25	@ Maribor	D 1-1	70.0	1634	1655	27.63%	27.07%	45.30%	-0.45	+0.7	12
2024-08-25	Primorje	L 0-3	57.6	1651	1471	64.33%	21.33%	14.34%	+1.55	-28.9	7
2024-08-25	@ Celje	W 3-0	57.6	1471	1651	14.34%	21.33%	64.33%	-1.55	+28.9	9
2024-08-26	Nafta	W 2-0	42.0	1563	1436	58.47%	23.74%	17.79%	+1.18	+6.9	13
2024-08-26	@ Bravo	L 0-2	42.0	1436	1563	17.79%	23.74%	58.47%	-1.18	-6.9	3
2024-08-30	Domzale	W 5-2	52.0	1429	1488	34.22%	27.68%	38.11%	-0.09	+14.0	6
2024-08-30	@ Nafta	L 2-5	52.0	1488	1429	38.11%	27.68%	34.22%	+0.09	-14.0	1
2024-08-31	Bravo	D 1-1	63.9	1484	1570	30.62%	27.46%	41.92%	-0.28	+0.4	5
2024-08-31	@ Radomlje	D 1-1	63.9	1570	1484	41.92%	27.46%	30.62%	+0.28	-0.4	14
2024-09-01	Celje	D 0-0	63.9	1586	1622	37.43%	27.69%	34.88%	+0.06	-0.1	13
2024-09-01	@ Koper	D 0-0	63.9	1622	1586	34.88%	27.69%	37.43%	-0.06	+0.1	8
2024-09-01	NS Mura	W 4-0	46.5	1635	1540	54.70%	25.00%	20.31%	+0.96	+14.9	15
2024-09-01	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-4	46.5	1540	1635	20.31%	25.00%	54.70%	-0.96	-14.9	12
2024-09-01	Primorje	W 4-1	49.3	1654	1500	61.61%	22.51%	15.88%	+1.38	+7.5	12
2024-09-01	@ Maribor	L 1-4	49.3	1500	1654	15.88%	22.51%	61.61%	-1.38	-7.5	9
2024-09-14	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	48.5	1485	1650	21.94%	25.64%	52.42%	-0.83	-8.5	5
2024-09-14	@ Radomlje	W 2-0	48.5	1650	1485	52.42%	25.64%	21.94%	+0.83	+8.5	18
2024-09-14	Primorje	W 4-0	43.7	1525	1492	46.96%	26.81%	26.22%	+0.54	+18.8	15
2024-09-14	@ NS Mura	L 0-4	43.7	1492	1525	26.22%	26.81%	46.96%	-0.54	-18.8	9
2024-09-15	Domzale	D 0-0	59.8	1569	1474	54.84%	24.95%	20.21%	+0.97	-1.5	15
2024-09-15	@ Bravo	D 0-0	59.8	1474	1569	20.21%	24.95%	54.84%	-0.97	+1.5	2
2024-09-15	Koper	W 2-0	51.1	1662	1586	52.43%	25.64%	21.94%	+0.83	+8.5	15
2024-09-15	@ Maribor	L 0-2	51.1	1586	1662	21.94%	25.64%	52.43%	-0.83	-8.5	13
2024-09-15	Nafta	W 3-1	48.2	1622	1443	64.19%	21.40%	14.41%	+1.54	+4.8	11
2024-09-15	@ Celje	L 1-3	48.2	1443	1622	14.41%	21.40%	64.19%	-1.54	-4.8	6
2024-09-18	Maribor	W 2-1	65.1	1627	1670	36.30%	27.70%	35.99%	+0.01	+6.3	14
2024-09-18	@ Celje	L 1-2	65.1	1670	1627	35.99%	27.70%	36.30%	-0.01	-6.3	15
2024-09-21	Bravo	D 1-1	69.5	1658	1568	54.22%	25.14%	20.64%	+0.93	-1.3	19
2024-09-21	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	69.5	1568	1658	20.64%	25.14%	54.22%	-0.93	+1.3	16
2024-09-22	Celje	L 0-3	46.0	1475	1633	22.62%	25.87%	51.51%	-0.78	-12.6	2
2024-09-22	@ Domzale	W 3-0	46.0	1633	1475	51.51%	25.87%	22.62%	+0.78	+12.6	17
2024-09-22	Maribor	L 0-3	43.4	1439	1664	17.12%	23.33%	59.55%	-1.25	-9.6	6
2024-09-22	@ Nafta	W 3-0	43.4	1664	1439	59.55%	23.33%	17.12%	+1.25	+9.6	18
2024-09-22	NS Mura	D 0-0	61.9	1577	1544	46.96%	26.81%	26.22%	+0.54	-0.9	14
2024-09-22	@ Koper	D 0-0	61.9	1544	1577	26.22%	26.81%	46.96%	-0.54	+0.9	16
2024-09-28	Celje	W 3-2	70.1	1569	1646	31.76%	27.55%	40.69%	-0.22	+6.6	19
2024-09-28	@ Bravo	L 2-3	70.1	1646	1569	40.69%	27.55%	31.76%	+0.22	-6.6	17
2024-09-28	NS Mura	D 0-0	56.7	1429	1545	26.94%	26.95%	46.11%	-0.49	+0.8	7
2024-09-28	@ Nafta	D 0-0	56.7	1545	1429	46.11%	26.95%	26.94%	+0.49	-0.8	17
2024-09-28	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	47.7	1473	1657	20.33%	25.01%	54.67%	-0.96	-7.9	9
2024-09-28	@ Primorje	W 2-0	47.7	1657	1473	54.67%	25.01%	20.33%	+0.96	+7.9	22
2024-09-29	Maribor	L 0-3	45.0	1463	1673	18.15%	23.94%	57.92%	-1.15	-10.2	2
2024-09-29	@ Domzale	W 3-0	45.0	1673	1463	57.92%	23.94%	18.15%	+1.15	+10.2	21
2024-09-29	Radomlje	W 1-0	48.0	1577	1476	55.42%	24.77%	19.80%	+1.00	+4.1	17
2024-09-29	@ Koper	L 0-1	48.0	1476	1577	19.80%	24.77%	55.42%	-1.00	-4.1	5
2024-10-04	Nafta	W 2-0	41.6	1472	1430	48.17%	26.60%	25.24%	+0.60	+9.6	8
2024-10-04	@ Radomlje	L 0-2	41.6	1430	1472	25.24%	26.60%	48.17%	-0.60	-9.6	7
2024-10-05	Domzale	L 0-1	56.4	1544	1452	54.41%	25.08%	20.51%	+0.95	-9.2	17
2024-10-05	@ NS Mura	W 1-0	56.4	1452	1544	20.51%	25.08%	54.41%	-0.95	+9.2	5
2024-10-06	Bravo	W 1-0	55.9	1466	1576	27.63%	27.07%	45.29%	-0.45	+8.0	12
2024-10-06	@ Primorje	L 0-1	55.9	1576	1466	45.29%	27.07%	27.63%	+0.45	-8.0	19
2024-10-06	Celje	L 1-2	68.8	1684	1639	48.47%	26.54%	24.99%	+0.62	-8.0	21
2024-10-06	@ Maribor	W 2-1	68.8	1639	1684	24.99%	26.54%	48.47%	-0.62	+7.9	20
2024-10-06	Koper	L 0-1	63.6	1665	1581	53.44%	25.36%	21.20%	+0.89	-9.1	22
2024-10-06	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	63.6	1581	1665	21.20%	25.36%	53.44%	-0.89	+9.1	20
2024-10-12	Radomlje	L 0-1	51.6	1474	1482	41.33%	27.51%	31.16%	+0.25	-7.4	12
2024-10-12	@ Primorje	W 1-0	51.6	1482	1474	31.16%	27.51%	41.33%	-0.25	+7.4	11
2024-10-19	NS Mura	W 4-3	64.6	1647	1535	56.78%	24.33%	18.89%	+1.08	+3.4	23
2024-10-19	@ Celje	L 3-4	64.6	1535	1647	18.89%	24.33%	56.78%	-1.08	-3.4	17
2024-10-19	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	47.2	1420	1656	16.42%	22.89%	60.69%	-1.32	-3.4	7
2024-10-19	@ Nafta	W 1-0	47.2	1656	1420	60.69%	22.89%	16.42%	+1.32	+3.4	25
2024-10-19	Primorje	L 3-4	72.3	1590	1466	58.15%	23.85%	18.00%	+1.17	-8.5	20
2024-10-19	@ Koper	W 4-3	72.3	1466	1590	18.00%	23.85%	58.15%	-1.17	+8.5	15
2024-10-20	Maribor	L 0-1	56.4	1568	1676	27.85%	27.11%	45.04%	-0.44	-5.5	19
2024-10-20	@ Bravo	W 1-0	56.4	1676	1568	45.04%	27.11%	27.85%	+0.44	+5.5	24
2024-10-20	Radomlje	L 1-4	50.6	1462	1489	38.59%	27.66%	33.75%	+0.12	-16.3	5
2024-10-20	@ Domzale	W 4-1	50.6	1489	1462	33.75%	27.66%	38.59%	-0.12	+16.3	14
2024-10-26	Maribor	D 1-1	68.9	1532	1681	23.40%	26.11%	50.48%	-0.73	+1.0	18
2024-10-26	@ NS Mura	D 1-1	68.9	1681	1532	50.48%	26.11%	23.40%	+0.73	-1.0	25
2024-10-26	Nafta	D 1-1	58.4	1475	1417	50.17%	26.19%	23.65%	+0.71	-1.0	16
2024-10-26	@ Primorje	D 1-1	58.4	1417	1475	23.65%	26.19%	50.17%	-0.71	+1.0	8
2024-10-27	Bravo	W 3-2	64.3	1581	1562	45.08%	27.10%	27.81%	+0.44	+4.9	23
2024-10-27	@ Koper	L 2-3	64.3	1562	1581	27.81%	27.10%	45.08%	-0.44	-4.9	19
2024-10-27	Celje	W 4-2	67.1	1505	1650	23.87%	26.25%	49.88%	-0.69	+12.6	17
2024-10-27	@ Radomlje	L 2-4	67.1	1650	1505	49.88%	26.25%	23.87%	+0.69	-12.6	23
2024-10-27	Domzale	W 3-0	41.0	1659	1445	67.80%	19.69%	12.51%	+1.79	+6.8	28
2024-10-27	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-3	41.0	1445	1659	12.51%	19.69%	67.80%	-1.79	-6.8	5
2024-11-02	Primorje	D 0-0	54.2	1438	1474	37.50%	27.69%	34.81%	+0.07	-0.1	6
2024-11-02	@ Domzale	D 0-0	54.2	1474	1438	34.81%	27.69%	37.50%	-0.07	+0.1	17
2024-11-02	Radomlje	W 1-0	50.2	1680	1518	62.45%	22.16%	15.39%	+1.43	+3.1	28
2024-11-02	@ Maribor	L 0-1	50.2	1518	1680	15.39%	22.16%	62.45%	-1.43	-3.1	17
2024-11-03	Koper	L 1-2	52.3	1418	1586	21.64%	25.53%	52.84%	-0.86	-4.2	8
2024-11-03	@ Nafta	W 2-1	52.3	1586	1418	52.84%	25.53%	21.64%	+0.86	+4.2	26
2024-11-03	NS Mura	W 2-1	57.5	1557	1533	45.80%	27.00%	27.20%	+0.48	+5.1	22
2024-11-03	@ Bravo	L 1-2	57.5	1533	1557	27.20%	27.00%	45.80%	-0.48	-5.1	18
2024-11-03	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	60.6	1638	1666	38.53%	27.66%	33.81%	+0.12	-7.0	23
2024-11-03	@ Celje	W 1-0	60.6	1666	1638	33.81%	27.66%	38.53%	-0.12	+7.1	31
2024-11-09	Bravo	L 0-1	46.6	1414	1562	23.50%	26.14%	50.36%	-0.72	-4.8	8
2024-11-09	@ Nafta	W 1-0	46.6	1562	1414	50.36%	26.14%	23.50%	+0.72	+4.8	25
2024-11-09	Domzale	W 4-0	39.8	1590	1438	61.34%	22.62%	16.04%	+1.36	+11.7	29
2024-11-09	@ Koper	L 0-4	39.8	1438	1590	16.04%	22.62%	61.34%	-1.36	-11.7	6
2024-11-10	Celje	L 1-3	53.4	1474	1631	22.70%	25.90%	51.41%	-0.78	-7.6	17
2024-11-10	@ Primorje	W 3-1	53.4	1631	1474	51.41%	25.90%	22.70%	+0.78	+7.6	26
2024-11-10	Maribor	D 0-0	66.2	1673	1683	40.99%	27.53%	31.48%	+0.24	-0.4	32
2024-11-10	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	66.2	1683	1673	31.48%	27.53%	40.99%	-0.24	+0.4	29
2024-11-10	NS Mura	L 2-4	61.0	1515	1528	40.69%	27.55%	31.75%	+0.22	-10.7	17
2024-11-10	@ Radomlje	W 4-2	61.0	1528	1515	31.75%	27.55%	40.69%	-0.22	+10.7	21
2024-11-23	Koper	W 1-0	55.6	1638	1602	47.35%	26.75%	25.90%	+0.56	+5.2	29
2024-11-23	@ Celje	L 0-1	55.6	1602	1638	25.90%	26.75%	47.35%	-0.56	-5.2	29
2024-11-23	Nafta	W 2-1	49.0	1427	1409	44.89%	27.13%	27.98%	+0.43	+5.2	9
2024-11-23	@ Domzale	L 1-2	49.0	1409	1427	27.98%	27.13%	44.89%	-0.43	-5.2	8
2024-11-24	Maribor	W 2-0	59.4	1466	1684	17.66%	23.66%	58.68%	-1.20	+18.5	20
2024-11-24	@ Primorje	L 0-2	59.4	1684	1466	58.68%	23.66%	17.66%	+1.20	-18.5	29
2024-11-24	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-1	54.7	1538	1672	24.97%	26.54%	48.49%	-0.62	-5.0	21
2024-11-24	@ NS Mura	W 1-0	54.7	1672	1538	48.49%	26.54%	24.97%	+0.62	+5.0	35
2024-11-29	Bravo	L 2-3	58.3	1432	1567	24.86%	26.51%	48.63%	-0.63	-4.5	9
2024-11-29	@ Domzale	W 3-2	58.3	1567	1432	48.63%	26.51%	24.86%	+0.63	+4.5	28
2024-11-30	Maribor	D 1-1	69.4	1597	1665	32.85%	27.62%	39.53%	-0.16	+0.2	30
2024-11-30	@ Koper	D 1-1	69.4	1665	1597	39.53%	27.62%	32.85%	+0.16	-0.2	30
2024-11-30	NS Mura	W 1-0	52.7	1485	1533	35.59%	27.70%	36.71%	-0.03	+6.8	23
2024-11-30	@ Primorje	L 0-1	52.7	1533	1485	36.71%	27.70%	35.59%	+0.03	-6.8	21
2024-12-01	Celje	D 0-0	60.7	1404	1643	16.13%	22.69%	61.17%	-1.35	+2.0	9
2024-12-01	@ Nafta	D 0-0	60.7	1643	1404	61.17%	22.69%	16.13%	+1.35	-2.0	30
2024-12-01	Radomlje	W 2-0	46.4	1677	1504	63.64%	21.64%	14.72%	+1.51	+5.6	38
2024-12-01	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	46.4	1504	1677	14.72%	21.64%	63.64%	-1.51	-5.6	17
2024-12-04	Radomlje	D 0-0	60.6	1572	1499	52.08%	25.73%	22.19%	+0.81	-1.3	29
2024-12-04	@ Bravo	D 0-0	60.6	1499	1572	22.19%	25.73%	52.08%	-0.81	+1.3	18
2024-12-07	Domzale	D 2-2	72.3	1641	1427	67.84%	19.67%	12.49%	+1.79	-1.6	31
2024-12-07	@ Celje	D 2-2	72.3	1427	1641	12.49%	19.67%	67.84%	-1.79	+1.6	10
2024-12-07	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	69.4	1570	1683	27.31%	27.02%	45.67%	-0.47	+0.7	30
2024-12-07	@ Bravo	D 1-1	69.4	1683	1570	45.67%	27.02%	27.31%	+0.47	-0.7	39
2024-12-08	Koper	L 1-3	57.5	1526	1597	32.53%	27.60%	39.86%	-0.18	-10.2	21
2024-12-08	@ NS Mura	W 3-1	57.5	1597	1526	39.86%	27.60%	32.53%	+0.18	+10.2	33
2024-12-08	Nafta	W 4-0	38.1	1665	1406	72.17%	17.42%	10.41%	+2.10	+7.1	33
2024-12-08	@ Maribor	L 0-4	38.1	1406	1665	10.41%	17.42%	72.17%	-2.10	-7.1	9
2024-12-08	Primorje	D 1-1	61.6	1500	1492	43.60%	27.29%	29.11%	+0.37	-0.5	19
2024-12-08	@ Radomlje	D 1-1	61.6	1492	1500	29.11%	27.29%	43.60%	-0.37	+0.5	24
2025-02-01	Bravo	L 2-3	72.7	1640	1571	51.56%	25.86%	22.58%	+0.79	-7.9	31
2025-02-01	@ Celje	W 3-2	72.7	1571	1640	22.58%	25.86%	51.56%	-0.79	+7.9	33
2025-02-01	Domzale	W 2-1	50.4	1672	1429	70.66%	18.23%	11.12%	+1.99	+2.0	36
2025-02-01	@ Maribor	L 1-2	50.4	1429	1672	11.12%	18.23%	70.66%	-1.99	-2.0	10
2025-02-02	Koper	L 1-2	58.3	1499	1607	27.86%	27.11%	45.03%	-0.44	-5.2	19
2025-02-02	@ Radomlje	W 2-1	58.3	1607	1499	45.03%	27.11%	27.86%	+0.44	+5.2	36
2025-02-02	Nafta	D 0-0	55.4	1516	1398	57.47%	24.09%	18.43%	+1.12	-1.7	22
2025-02-02	@ NS Mura	D 0-0	55.4	1398	1516	18.43%	24.09%	57.47%	-1.12	+1.7	10
2025-02-02	Primorje	W 5-0	43.6	1682	1492	65.43%	20.83%	13.74%	+1.63	+12.2	42
2025-02-02	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-5	43.6	1492	1682	13.74%	20.83%	65.43%	-1.63	-12.2	24
2025-02-07	Primorje	W 3-1	50.7	1579	1480	55.25%	24.83%	19.92%	+0.99	+6.7	36
2025-02-07	@ Bravo	L 1-3	50.7	1480	1579	19.92%	24.83%	55.25%	-0.99	-6.7	24
2025-02-07	Radomlje	W 2-1	55.3	1400	1494	29.56%	27.34%	43.10%	-0.34	+7.2	13
2025-02-07	@ Nafta	L 1-2	55.3	1494	1400	43.10%	27.34%	29.56%	+0.34	-7.2	19
2025-02-08	Maribor	L 1-2	65.4	1632	1674	36.49%	27.70%	35.81%	+0.02	-6.4	31
2025-02-08	@ Celje	W 2-1	65.4	1674	1632	35.81%	27.70%	36.49%	-0.02	+6.4	39
2025-02-08	NS Mura	L 0-1	47.8	1427	1515	30.34%	27.43%	42.24%	-0.30	-5.9	10
2025-02-08	@ Domzale	W 1-0	47.8	1515	1427	42.24%	27.43%	30.34%	+0.30	+5.9	25
2025-02-08	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	63.7	1613	1695	31.04%	27.49%	41.46%	-0.26	-5.7	36
2025-02-08	@ Koper	W 2-1	63.7	1695	1613	41.46%	27.49%	31.04%	+0.26	+5.7	45
2025-02-15	Bravo	L 2-3	74.5	1681	1586	54.78%	24.97%	20.25%	+0.97	-8.3	39
2025-02-15	@ Maribor	W 3-2	74.5	1586	1681	20.25%	24.97%	54.78%	-0.97	+8.3	39
2025-02-16	Celje	D 0-0	62.6	1520	1626	28.22%	27.16%	44.62%	-0.42	+0.7	26
2025-02-16	@ NS Mura	D 0-0	62.6	1626	1520	44.62%	27.16%	28.22%	+0.42	-0.7	32
2025-02-16	Nafta	W 3-0	38.9	1700	1407	75.14%	15.79%	9.07%	+2.34	+4.6	48
2025-02-16	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-3	38.9	1407	1700	9.07%	15.79%	75.14%	-2.34	-4.6	13
2025-02-17	Domzale	W 1-0	44.0	1487	1421	51.17%	25.95%	22.88%	+0.76	+4.7	22
2025-02-17	@ Radomlje	L 0-1	44.0	1421	1487	22.88%	25.95%	51.17%	-0.76	-4.7	10
2025-02-21	Primorje	D 2-2	63.0	1403	1473	32.57%	27.61%	39.82%	-0.18	+0.2	14
2025-02-21	@ Nafta	D 2-2	63.0	1473	1403	39.82%	27.61%	32.57%	+0.18	-0.2	25
2025-02-22	Koper	W 2-1	62.1	1594	1607	40.65%	27.55%	31.80%	+0.22	+5.8	42
2025-02-22	@ Bravo	L 1-2	62.1	1607	1594	31.80%	27.55%	40.65%	-0.22	-5.8	36
2025-02-22	NS Mura	W 2-0	47.4	1672	1521	61.23%	22.67%	16.10%	+1.35	+6.2	42
2025-02-22	@ Maribor	L 0-2	47.4	1521	1672	16.10%	22.67%	61.23%	-1.35	-6.2	26
2025-02-23	Radomlje	W 9-1	46.2	1625	1491	59.26%	23.44%	17.30%	+1.23	+20.1	35
2025-02-23	@ Celje	L 1-9	46.2	1491	1625	17.30%	23.44%	59.26%	-1.23	-20.1	22
2025-03-01	Domzale	L 0-1	51.6	1473	1416	50.01%	26.22%	23.77%	+0.70	-8.6	25
2025-03-01	@ Primorje	W 1-0	51.6	1416	1473	23.77%	26.22%	50.01%	-0.70	+8.6	13
2025-03-01	Maribor	L 0-4	45.0	1471	1678	18.44%	24.09%	57.47%	-1.12	-13.6	22
2025-03-01	@ Radomlje	W 4-0	45.0	1678	1471	57.47%	24.09%	18.44%	+1.12	+13.6	45
2025-03-01	Nafta	D 0-0	59.7	1601	1403	66.23%	20.45%	13.32%	+1.68	-2.3	37
2025-03-01	@ Koper	D 0-0	59.7	1403	1601	13.32%	20.45%	66.23%	-1.68	+2.3	15
2025-03-02	Bravo	D 1-1	66.0	1515	1600	30.71%	27.47%	41.82%	-0.28	+0.4	27
2025-03-02	@ NS Mura	D 1-1	66.0	1600	1515	41.82%	27.47%	30.71%	+0.28	-0.4	43
2025-03-02	Celje	W 2-0	53.1	1705	1645	50.43%	26.13%	23.44%	+0.72	+9.0	51
2025-03-02	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	53.1	1645	1705	23.44%	26.13%	50.43%	-0.72	-9.0	35
2025-03-05	Koper	D 1-1	64.5	1464	1599	24.95%	26.53%	48.52%	-0.62	+0.9	26
2025-03-05	@ Primorje	D 1-1	64.5	1599	1464	48.52%	26.53%	24.95%	+0.62	-0.9	38
2025-03-05	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 3-1	65.9	1425	1714	13.24%	20.38%	66.38%	-1.69	+17.7	16
2025-03-05	@ Domzale	L 1-3	65.9	1714	1425	66.38%	20.38%	13.24%	+1.69	-17.7	51
2025-03-08	Koper	L 2-3	59.1	1443	1598	22.86%	25.95%	51.19%	-0.77	-4.2	16
2025-03-08	@ Domzale	W 3-2	59.1	1598	1443	51.19%	25.95%	22.86%	+0.77	+4.2	41
2025-03-08	Nafta	D 1-1	64.1	1599	1405	65.79%	20.66%	13.55%	+1.65	-2.1	44
2025-03-08	@ Bravo	D 1-1	64.1	1405	1599	13.55%	20.66%	65.79%	-1.65	+2.1	16
2025-03-08	Radomlje	W 2-0	43.5	1515	1458	50.13%	26.19%	23.68%	+0.71	+9.1	30
2025-03-08	@ NS Mura	L 0-2	43.5	1458	1515	23.68%	26.19%	50.13%	-0.71	-9.1	22
2025-03-09	Olimpija Ljubljana	W 1-0	59.1	1692	1696	41.88%	27.46%	30.66%	+0.28	+6.0	48
2025-03-09	@ Maribor	L 0-1	59.1	1696	1692	30.66%	27.46%	41.88%	-0.28	-6.0	51
2025-03-09	Primorje	D 2-2	72.8	1636	1465	63.37%	21.76%	14.87%	+1.49	-1.4	36
2025-03-09	@ Celje	D 2-2	72.8	1465	1636	14.87%	21.76%	63.37%	-1.49	+1.4	27
2025-03-11	Bravo	W 2-0	54.2	1449	1597	23.52%	26.15%	50.33%	-0.72	+16.4	25
2025-03-11	@ Radomlje	L 0-2	54.2	1597	1449	50.33%	26.15%	23.52%	+0.72	-16.4	44
2025-03-12	Maribor	W 2-1	68.4	1467	1698	16.70%	23.07%	60.23%	-1.29	+9.5	30
2025-03-12	@ Primorje	L 1-2	68.4	1698	1467	60.23%	23.07%	16.70%	+1.29	-9.5	48
2025-03-12	NS Mura	W 2-1	55.8	1690	1524	62.85%	21.99%	15.17%	+1.46	+2.9	54
2025-03-12	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 1-2	55.8	1524	1690	15.17%	21.99%	62.85%	-1.46	-2.9	30
2025-03-13	Domzale	W 3-2	56.3	1407	1439	38.09%	27.68%	34.24%	+0.09	+5.8	19
2025-03-13	@ Nafta	L 2-3	56.3	1439	1407	34.24%	27.68%	38.09%	-0.09	-5.8	16
2025-03-15	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-3	45.0	1465	1693	16.92%	23.21%	59.87%	-1.27	-9.5	25
2025-03-15	@ Radomlje	W 3-0	45.0	1693	1465	59.87%	23.21%	16.92%	+1.27	+9.5	57
2025-03-15	Primorje	W 3-1	50.4	1522	1476	48.56%	26.52%	24.92%	+0.62	+8.2	33
2025-03-15	@ NS Mura	L 1-3	50.4	1476	1522	24.92%	26.52%	48.56%	-0.62	-8.2	30
2025-03-16	Domzale	D 3-3	73.2	1581	1433	60.90%	22.80%	16.30%	+1.33	-1.1	45
2025-03-16	@ Bravo	D 3-3	73.2	1433	1581	16.30%	22.80%	60.90%	-1.33	+1.1	17
2025-03-16	Koper	W 4-2	60.8	1689	1602	53.74%	25.28%	20.98%	+0.91	+6.3	51
2025-03-16	@ Maribor	L 2-4	60.8	1602	1689	20.98%	25.28%	53.74%	-0.91	-6.3	41
2025-03-16	Nafta	W 3-2	54.1	1635	1413	68.56%	19.31%	12.14%	+1.84	+2.1	39
2025-03-16	@ Celje	L 2-3	54.1	1413	1635	12.14%	19.31%	68.56%	-1.84	-2.1	19
2025-03-29	Celje	L 0-1	48.1	1434	1637	18.76%	24.26%	56.98%	-1.10	-3.9	17
2025-03-29	@ Domzale	W 1-0	48.1	1637	1434	56.98%	24.26%	18.76%	+1.10	+3.9	42
2025-03-29	NS Mura	W 1-0	51.7	1596	1530	51.21%	25.94%	22.85%	+0.77	+4.7	44
2025-03-29	@ Koper	L 0-1	51.7	1530	1596	22.85%	25.94%	51.21%	-0.77	-4.7	33
2025-03-30	Bravo	W 3-0	48.1	1703	1580	58.07%	23.88%	18.05%	+1.16	+10.2	60
2025-03-30	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-3	48.1	1580	1703	18.05%	23.88%	58.07%	-1.16	-10.2	45
2025-03-30	Radomlje	D 1-1	59.2	1468	1456	44.15%	27.22%	28.62%	+0.39	-0.6	31
2025-03-30	@ Primorje	D 1-1	59.2	1456	1468	28.62%	27.22%	44.15%	-0.39	+0.6	26
2025-04-05	NS Mura	W 4-2	58.5	1411	1525	27.18%	26.99%	45.83%	-0.48	+11.8	22
2025-04-05	@ Nafta	L 2-4	58.5	1525	1411	45.83%	26.99%	27.18%	+0.48	-11.8	33
2025-04-05	Radomlje	W 3-1	49.1	1600	1456	60.48%	22.97%	16.55%	+1.31	+5.5	47
2025-04-05	@ Koper	L 1-3	49.1	1456	1600	16.55%	22.97%	60.48%	-1.31	-5.5	26
2025-04-06	Celje	L 1-2	62.6	1570	1641	32.49%	27.60%	39.91%	-0.18	-5.9	45
2025-04-06	@ Bravo	W 2-1	62.6	1641	1570	39.91%	27.60%	32.49%	+0.18	+5.9	45
2025-04-06	Maribor	W 1-0	62.6	1430	1695	14.58%	21.53%	63.88%	-1.52	+10.5	20
2025-04-06	@ Domzale	L 0-1	62.6	1695	1430	63.88%	21.53%	14.58%	+1.52	-10.5	51
2025-04-06	Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	46.9	1467	1713	15.77%	22.43%	61.80%	-1.39	-6.1	31
2025-04-06	@ Primorje	W 2-0	46.9	1713	1467	61.80%	22.43%	15.77%	+1.39	+6.1	63
2025-04-08	Nafta	W 4-1	44.3	1451	1423	46.24%	26.93%	26.83%	+0.50	+12.4	29
2025-04-08	@ Radomlje	L 1-4	44.3	1423	1451	26.83%	26.93%	46.24%	-0.50	-12.3	22
2025-04-09	Koper	D 1-1	71.2	1719	1606	56.91%	24.29%	18.80%	+1.09	-1.5	64
2025-04-09	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	71.2	1606	1719	18.80%	24.29%	56.91%	-1.09	+1.5	48
2025-04-10	Bravo	W 3-0	50.0	1461	1564	28.53%	27.21%	44.26%	-0.40	+21.5	34
2025-04-10	@ Primorje	L 0-3	50.0	1564	1461	44.26%	27.21%	28.53%	+0.40	-21.5	45
2025-04-10	Domzale	L 0-2	51.2	1513	1440	52.06%	25.73%	22.21%	+0.81	-16.8	33
2025-04-10	@ NS Mura	W 2-0	51.2	1440	1513	22.21%	25.73%	52.06%	-0.81	+16.8	23
2025-04-12	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	68.8	1410	1717	12.31%	19.49%	68.20%	-1.82	+2.2	23
2025-04-12	@ Nafta	D 1-1	68.8	1717	1410	68.20%	19.49%	12.31%	+1.82	-2.2	65
2025-04-13	Maribor	D 1-1	69.2	1542	1684	24.15%	26.33%	49.52%	-0.67	+1.0	46
2025-04-13	@ Bravo	D 1-1	69.2	1684	1542	49.52%	26.33%	24.15%	+0.67	-1.0	52
2025-04-13	NS Mura	W 2-1	54.5	1646	1496	61.11%	22.72%	16.17%	+1.35	+3.1	48
2025-04-13	@ Celje	L 1-2	54.5	1496	1646	16.17%	22.72%	61.11%	-1.35	-3.1	33
2025-04-13	Primorje	D 1-1	66.3	1607	1483	58.27%	23.81%	17.92%	+1.17	-1.6	49
2025-04-13	@ Koper	D 1-1	66.3	1483	1607	17.92%	23.81%	58.27%	-1.17	+1.6	35
2025-04-14	Radomlje	L 1-2	55.8	1457	1463	41.67%	27.48%	30.85%	+0.27	-7.0	23
2025-04-14	@ Domzale	W 2-1	55.8	1463	1457	30.85%	27.48%	41.67%	-0.27	+7.0	32
2025-04-16	Maribor	D 1-1	67.2	1413	1683	14.25%	21.26%	64.49%	-1.56	+2.0	24
2025-04-16	@ Nafta	D 1-1	67.2	1683	1413	64.49%	21.26%	14.25%	+1.56	-2.0	53
2025-04-19	Bravo	W 1-0	52.5	1606	1543	50.78%	26.04%	23.17%	+0.74	+4.7	52
2025-04-19	@ Koper	L 0-1	52.5	1543	1606	23.17%	26.04%	50.78%	-0.74	-4.7	46
2025-04-19	Domzale	W 2-0	43.3	1715	1450	72.68%	17.14%	10.17%	+2.14	+3.7	68
2025-04-19	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-2	43.3	1450	1715	10.17%	17.14%	72.68%	-2.14	-3.7	23
2025-04-19	Nafta	D 2-2	64.3	1484	1415	51.66%	25.83%	22.51%	+0.79	-0.8	36
2025-04-19	@ Primorje	D 2-2	64.3	1415	1484	22.51%	25.83%	51.66%	-0.79	+0.8	25
2025-04-21	Celje	L 1-3	53.0	1470	1650	20.66%	25.14%	54.20%	-0.93	-6.9	32
2025-04-21	@ Radomlje	W 3-1	53.0	1650	1470	54.20%	25.14%	20.66%	+0.93	+6.9	51
2025-04-21	Maribor	L 1-2	57.2	1493	1681	19.94%	24.83%	55.22%	-0.99	-3.9	33
2025-04-21	@ NS Mura	W 2-1	57.2	1681	1493	55.22%	24.83%	19.94%	+0.99	+3.9	56
2025-04-26	Primorje	D 1-1	59.3	1447	1483	37.26%	27.70%	35.05%	+0.05	-0.1	24
2025-04-26	@ Domzale	D 1-1	59.3	1483	1447	35.05%	27.70%	37.26%	-0.05	+0.1	37
2025-04-26	Radomlje	W 4-0	41.6	1685	1463	68.63%	19.27%	12.10%	+1.85	+8.5	59
2025-04-26	@ Maribor	L 0-4	41.6	1463	1685	12.10%	19.27%	68.63%	-1.85	-8.5	32
2025-04-27	Koper	L 1-5	45.2	1416	1611	19.37%	24.57%	56.06%	-1.04	-11.9	25
2025-04-27	@ Nafta	W 5-1	45.2	1611	1416	56.06%	24.57%	19.37%	+1.04	+11.9	55
2025-04-27	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 3-3	80.1	1656	1719	33.65%	27.66%	38.70%	-0.12	+0.1	52
2025-04-27	@ Celje	D 3-3	80.1	1719	1656	38.70%	27.66%	33.65%	+0.12	-0.1	69
2025-04-28	NS Mura	D 1-1	63.3	1538	1489	49.02%	26.43%	24.55%	+0.65	-0.9	47
2025-04-28	@ Bravo	D 1-1	63.3	1489	1538	24.55%	26.43%	49.02%	-0.65	+0.9	34
2025-04-30	Celje	D 1-1	69.6	1622	1657	37.66%	27.69%	34.66%	+0.07	-0.1	56
2025-04-30	@ Koper	D 1-1	69.6	1657	1622	34.66%	27.69%	37.66%	-0.07	+0.1	53
2025-05-02	Bravo	L 0-1	45.9	1404	1538	25.00%	26.54%	48.46%	-0.62	-5.0	25
2025-05-02	@ Nafta	W 1-0	45.9	1538	1404	48.46%	26.54%	25.00%	+0.62	+5.0	50
2025-05-03	Maribor	L 1-2	69.0	1719	1694	45.87%	26.99%	27.14%	+0.48	-7.6	69
2025-05-03	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	W 2-1	69.0	1694	1719	27.14%	26.99%	45.87%	-0.48	+7.6	62
2025-05-03	NS Mura	W 2-0	46.3	1455	1490	37.41%	27.69%	34.89%	+0.06	+12.4	35
2025-05-03	@ Radomlje	L 0-2	46.3	1490	1455	34.89%	27.69%	37.41%	-0.06	-12.4	34
2025-05-04	Celje	L 0-5	46.3	1484	1657	21.22%	25.37%	53.42%	-0.89	-19.2	37
2025-05-04	@ Primorje	W 5-0	46.3	1657	1484	53.42%	25.37%	21.22%	+0.89	+19.2	56
2025-05-04	Domzale	W 3-0	41.0	1622	1446	63.91%	21.52%	14.57%	+1.53	+8.1	59
2025-05-04	@ Koper	L 0-3	41.0	1446	1622	14.57%	21.52%	63.91%	-1.53	-8.1	24
2025-05-07	Celje	D 1-1	70.9	1701	1676	45.94%	26.98%	27.09%	+0.49	-0.7	63
2025-05-07	@ Maribor	D 1-1	70.9	1676	1701	27.09%	26.98%	45.94%	-0.49	+0.7	57
2025-05-10	Koper	L 2-3	73.7	1677	1630	48.65%	26.50%	24.84%	+0.63	-7.6	57
2025-05-10	@ Celje	W 3-2	73.7	1630	1677	24.84%	26.50%	48.65%	-0.63	+7.6	62
2025-05-10	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 1-1	69.4	1478	1711	16.57%	22.99%	60.44%	-1.31	+1.7	35
2025-05-10	@ NS Mura	D 1-1	69.4	1711	1478	60.44%	22.99%	16.57%	+1.31	-1.7	70
2025-05-10	Radomlje	W 4-0	41.7	1543	1467	52.41%	25.64%	21.95%	+0.83	+16.1	53
2025-05-10	@ Bravo	L 0-4	41.7	1467	1543	21.95%	25.64%	52.41%	-0.83	-16.1	35
2025-05-11	Nafta	W 2-0	39.8	1438	1399	47.83%	26.66%	25.51%	+0.58	+9.7	27
2025-05-11	@ Domzale	L 0-2	39.8	1399	1438	25.51%	26.66%	47.83%	-0.58	-9.7	25
2025-05-11	Primorje	W 3-1	49.6	1701	1464	70.00%	18.57%	11.43%	+1.94	+3.6	66
2025-05-11	@ Maribor	L 1-3	49.6	1464	1701	11.43%	18.57%	70.00%	-1.94	-3.6	37
2025-05-17	NS Mura	W 2-0	45.4	1461	1480	39.81%	27.61%	32.59%	+0.18	+11.8	40
2025-05-17	@ Primorje	L 0-2	45.4	1480	1461	32.59%	27.61%	39.81%	-0.18	-11.8	35
2025-05-17	Radomlje	W 5-0	41.3	1709	1451	72.10%	17.46%	10.44%	+2.10	+8.8	73
2025-05-17	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	L 0-5	41.3	1451	1709	10.44%	17.46%	72.10%	-2.10	-8.8	35
2025-05-18	Bravo	D 2-2	67.8	1448	1559	27.57%	27.06%	45.37%	-0.46	+0.5	28
2025-05-18	@ Domzale	D 2-2	67.8	1559	1448	45.37%	27.06%	27.57%	+0.46	-0.5	54
2025-05-18	Celje	L 1-6	42.7	1389	1669	13.72%	20.81%	65.47%	-1.63	-10.1	25
2025-05-18	@ Nafta	W 6-1	42.7	1669	1389	65.47%	20.81%	13.72%	+1.63	+10.1	60
2025-05-18	Maribor	D 1-1	70.4	1638	1704	33.12%	27.63%	39.25%	-0.15	+0.2	63
2025-05-18	@ Koper	D 1-1	70.4	1704	1638	39.25%	27.63%	33.12%	+0.15	-0.2	67
2025-05-23	Primorje	L 0-1	49.3	1442	1473	38.18%	27.67%	34.15%	+0.10	-7.0	35
2025-05-23	@ Radomlje	W 1-0	49.3	1473	1442	34.15%	27.67%	38.18%	-0.10	+7.0	43
2025-05-24	Olimpija Ljubljana	D 0-0	65.7	1558	1718	22.39%	25.79%	51.81%	-0.80	+1.2	55
2025-05-24	@ Bravo	D 0-0	65.7	1718	1558	51.81%	25.79%	22.39%	+0.80	-1.2	74
2025-05-25	Domzale	D 1-1	68.9	1679	1449	69.45%	18.85%	11.70%	+1.90	-2.3	61
2025-05-25	@ Celje	D 1-1	68.9	1449	1679	11.70%	18.85%	69.45%	-1.90	+2.3	29
2025-05-25	Koper	L 1-3	53.0	1468	1638	21.47%	25.47%	53.06%	-0.87	-7.2	35
2025-05-25	@ NS Mura	W 3-1	53.0	1638	1468	53.06%	25.47%	21.47%	+0.87	+7.2	66
2025-05-25	Nafta	L 0-1	63.3	1704	1379	77.82%	14.26%	7.92%	+2.56	-12.0	67
2025-05-25	@ Maribor	W 1-0	63.3	1379	1704	7.92%	14.26%	77.82%	-2.56	+12.0	28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2025-05-25	7.92%	Nafta	1379	1	@ Maribor	1704	0
2	2025-03-05	13.24%	@ Domzale	1425	3	Olimpija Ljubljana	1714	1
3	2024-08-25	14.34%	Primorje	1471	3	@ Celje	1651	0
4	2025-04-06	14.58%	@ Domzale	1430	1	Maribor	1695	0
5	2025-03-12	16.70%	@ Primorje	1467	2	Maribor	1698	1
6	2024-11-24	17.66%	@ Primorje	1466	2	Maribor	1684	0
7	2024-10-19	18.00%	Primorje	1466	4	@ Koper	1590	3
8	2025-02-15	20.25%	Bravo	1586	3	@ Maribor	1681	2
9	2024-10-05	20.51%	Domzale	1452	1	@ NS Mura	1544	0
10	2024-10-06	21.20%	Koper	1581	1	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1665	0
11	2025-04-10	22.21%	Domzale	1440	2	@ NS Mura	1513	0
12	2025-02-01	22.58%	Bravo	1571	3	@ Celje	1640	2
13	2025-03-11	23.52%	@ Radomlje	1449	2	Bravo	1597	0
14	2025-03-01	23.77%	Domzale	1416	1	@ Primorje	1473	0
15	2024-10-27	23.87%	@ Radomlje	1505	4	Celje	1650	2
16	2025-05-10	24.84%	Koper	1630	3	@ Celje	1677	2
17	2024-10-06	24.99%	Celje	1639	2	@ Maribor	1684	1
18	2024-08-03	26.93%	@ NS Mura	1538	1	Celje	1654	0
19	2024-08-10	26.93%	Primorje	1442	3	@ Nafta	1469	0
20	2025-05-03	27.14%	Maribor	1694	2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1719	1
21	2025-04-05	27.18%	@ Nafta	1411	4	NS Mura	1525	2
22	2024-10-06	27.63%	@ Primorje	1466	1	Bravo	1576	0
23	2025-04-10	28.53%	@ Primorje	1461	3	Bravo	1564	0
24	2025-02-07	29.56%	@ Nafta	1400	2	Radomlje	1494	1
25	2025-04-14	30.85%	Radomlje	1463	2	@ Domzale	1457	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-08-25	28.92	Primorje	3	1471	14.34%	@ Celje	0	1651	64.33%	21.33%
2	2024-08-10	22.17	Primorje	3	1442	26.93%	@ Nafta	0	1469	46.12%	26.95%
3	2025-04-10	21.46	@ Primorje	3	1461	28.53%	Bravo	0	1564	44.26%	27.21%
4	2025-02-23	20.12	@ Celje	9	1625	59.26%	Radomlje	1	1491	17.30%	23.44%
5	2025-05-04	19.18	Celje	5	1657	53.42%	@ Primorje	0	1484	21.22%	25.37%
6	2024-09-14	18.78	@ NS Mura	4	1525	46.96%	Primorje	0	1492	26.22%	26.81%
7	2024-11-24	18.54	@ Primorje	2	1466	17.66%	Maribor	0	1684	58.68%	23.66%
8	2025-03-05	17.66	@ Domzale	3	1425	13.24%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1714	66.38%	20.38%
9	2024-08-24	17.44	Koper	3	1569	38.84%	@ Domzale	0	1505	33.51%	27.65%
10	2024-07-29	16.92	@ Bravo	4	1532	50.68%	Primorje	0	1470	23.25%	26.07%
11	2025-04-10	16.82	Domzale	2	1440	22.21%	@ NS Mura	0	1513	52.06%	25.73%
12	2025-03-11	16.38	@ Radomlje	2	1449	23.52%	Bravo	0	1597	50.33%	26.15%
13	2024-10-20	16.30	Radomlje	4	1489	33.75%	@ Domzale	1	1462	38.59%	27.66%
14	2025-05-10	16.06	@ Bravo	4	1543	52.41%	Radomlje	0	1467	21.95%	25.64%
15	2024-09-01	14.93	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	4	1635	54.70%	NS Mura	0	1540	20.31%	25.00%
16	2024-08-30	13.98	@ Nafta	5	1429	34.22%	Domzale	2	1488	38.11%	27.68%
17	2025-03-01	13.58	Maribor	4	1678	57.47%	@ Radomlje	0	1471	18.44%	24.09%
18	2024-09-22	12.64	Celje	3	1633	51.51%	@ Domzale	0	1475	22.62%	25.87%
19	2024-10-27	12.59	@ Radomlje	4	1505	23.87%	Celje	2	1650	49.88%	26.25%
20	2025-05-03	12.37	@ Radomlje	2	1455	37.41%	NS Mura	0	1490	34.89%	27.69%
21	2025-04-08	12.35	@ Radomlje	4	1451	46.24%	Nafta	1	1423	26.83%	26.93%
22	2025-02-02	12.20	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	5	1682	65.43%	Primorje	0	1492	13.74%	20.83%
23	2025-05-25	12.03	Nafta	1	1379	7.92%	@ Maribor	0	1704	77.82%	14.26%
24	2025-04-27	11.89	Koper	5	1611	56.06%	@ Nafta	1	1416	19.37%	24.57%
25	2025-04-05	11.77	@ Nafta	4	1411	27.18%	NS Mura	2	1525	45.83%	26.99%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2025-04-27	80.1	@ Celje	3	1656	33.65%	Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1719	38.70%	27.66%
2	2024-08-18	75.3	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1634	40.21%	Celje	2	1650	32.21%	27.58%
3	2025-02-15	74.5	Bravo	3	1586	20.25%	@ Maribor	2	1681	54.78%	24.97%
4	2025-05-10	73.7	Koper	3	1630	24.84%	@ Celje	2	1677	48.65%	26.50%
5	2025-03-16	73.2	@ Bravo	3	1581	60.90%	Domzale	3	1433	16.30%	22.80%
6	2025-03-09	72.8	@ Celje	2	1636	63.37%	Primorje	2	1465	14.87%	21.76%
7	2025-02-01	72.7	Bravo	3	1571	22.58%	@ Celje	2	1640	51.56%	25.86%
8	2024-10-19	72.3	Primorje	4	1466	18.00%	@ Koper	3	1590	58.15%	23.85%
9	2024-12-07	72.3	@ Celje	2	1641	67.84%	Domzale	2	1427	12.49%	19.67%
10	2025-04-09	71.2	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1719	56.91%	Koper	1	1606	18.80%	24.29%
11	2025-05-07	70.9	@ Maribor	1	1701	45.94%	Celje	1	1676	27.09%	26.98%
12	2025-05-18	70.4	@ Koper	1	1638	33.12%	Maribor	1	1704	39.25%	27.63%
13	2024-09-28	70.1	@ Bravo	3	1569	31.76%	Celje	2	1646	40.69%	27.55%
14	2024-08-25	70.0	@ Maribor	1	1655	45.30%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1634	27.63%	27.07%
15	2025-04-30	69.6	@ Koper	1	1622	37.66%	Celje	1	1657	34.66%	27.69%
16	2024-09-21	69.5	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1658	54.22%	Bravo	1	1568	20.64%	25.14%
17	2024-11-30	69.4	@ Koper	1	1597	32.85%	Maribor	1	1665	39.53%	27.62%
18	2024-12-07	69.4	@ Bravo	1	1570	27.31%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1683	45.67%	27.02%
19	2025-05-10	69.4	@ NS Mura	1	1478	16.57%	Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1711	60.44%	22.99%
20	2024-08-04	69.2	@ Maribor	1	1654	55.98%	Bravo	1	1549	19.43%	24.59%
21	2025-04-13	69.2	@ Bravo	1	1542	24.15%	Maribor	1	1684	49.52%	26.33%
22	2025-05-03	69.0	Maribor	2	1694	27.14%	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	1	1719	45.87%	26.99%
23	2024-10-26	68.9	@ NS Mura	1	1532	23.40%	Maribor	1	1681	50.48%	26.11%
24	2025-05-25	68.9	@ Celje	1	1679	69.45%	Domzale	1	1449	11.70%	18.85%
25	2024-10-06	68.8	Celje	2	1639	24.99%	@ Maribor	1	1684	48.47%	26.54%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-12-08	38.1	@ Maribor	4	1665	72.17%	Nafta	0	1406	10.41%	17.42%
2	2025-02-16	38.9	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1700	75.14%	Nafta	0	1407	9.07%	15.79%
3	2024-11-09	39.8	@ Koper	4	1590	61.34%	Domzale	0	1438	16.04%	22.62%
4	2025-05-11	39.8	@ Domzale	2	1438	47.83%	Nafta	0	1399	25.51%	26.66%
5	2024-08-17	40.8	@ Koper	3	1558	56.67%	Nafta	0	1447	18.96%	24.37%
6	2024-10-27	41.0	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	3	1659	67.80%	Domzale	0	1445	12.51%	19.69%
7	2025-05-04	41.0	@ Koper	3	1622	63.91%	Domzale	0	1446	14.57%	21.52%
8	2025-05-17	41.3	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	5	1709	72.10%	Radomlje	0	1451	10.44%	17.46%
9	2024-10-04	41.6	@ Radomlje	2	1472	48.17%	Nafta	0	1430	25.24%	26.60%
10	2025-04-26	41.6	@ Maribor	4	1685	68.63%	Radomlje	0	1463	12.10%	19.27%
11	2025-05-10	41.7	@ Bravo	4	1543	52.41%	Radomlje	0	1467	21.95%	25.64%
12	2024-07-29	42.0	@ Bravo	4	1532	50.68%	Primorje	0	1470	23.25%	26.07%
13	2024-08-26	42.0	@ Bravo	2	1563	58.47%	Nafta	0	1436	17.79%	23.74%
14	2025-05-18	42.7	Celje	6	1669	65.47%	@ Nafta	1	1389	13.72%	20.81%
15	2025-04-19	43.3	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1715	72.68%	Domzale	0	1450	10.17%	17.14%
16	2024-09-22	43.4	Maribor	3	1664	59.55%	@ Nafta	0	1439	17.12%	23.33%
17	2025-03-08	43.5	@ NS Mura	2	1515	50.13%	Radomlje	0	1458	23.68%	26.19%
18	2025-02-02	43.6	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	5	1682	65.43%	Primorje	0	1492	13.74%	20.83%
19	2024-09-14	43.7	@ NS Mura	4	1525	46.96%	Primorje	0	1492	26.22%	26.81%
20	2025-02-17	44.0	@ Radomlje	1	1487	51.17%	Domzale	0	1421	22.88%	25.95%
21	2025-04-08	44.3	@ Radomlje	4	1451	46.24%	Nafta	1	1423	26.83%	26.93%
22	2024-08-05	44.8	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1629	61.53%	Nafta	0	1475	15.92%	22.55%
23	2024-07-19	44.9	@ Olimpija Ljubljana	2	1616	59.98%	Primorje	0	1476	16.85%	23.17%
24	2024-09-29	45.0	Maribor	3	1673	57.92%	@ Domzale	0	1463	18.15%	23.94%
25	2025-03-01	45.0	Maribor	4	1678	57.47%	@ Radomlje	0	1471	18.44%	24.09%