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1945 Group A Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Dynamo Moscow

40 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

CDKA Moscow

6.22 points above expected

39 points · 32.78 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lokomotiv Moscow

5.82 points below expected

5 points · 10.82 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dynamo Moscow 22 19 2 1 40 73 13 +60 34.54 +5.46
2 CDKA Moscow 22 18 3 1 39 69 23 +46 32.78 +6.22
3 Torpedo Moscow 22 12 3 7 27 41 21 +20 27.10 -0.10
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 22 9 8 5 26 37 22 +15 27.65 -1.65
5 Dynamo Leningrad 22 11 3 8 25 42 29 +13 26.55 -1.55
6 Zenit Leningrad 22 8 7 7 23 35 31 +4 21.41 +1.59
7 Traktor Stalingrad 22 9 3 10 21 23 38 -15 19.25 +1.75
8 Krylia Sovetov 22 6 6 10 18 23 48 -25 16.75 +1.25
9 Dinamo Minsk 22 5 7 10 17 20 39 -19 17.85 -0.85
10 Spartak Moscow 22 6 3 13 15 22 44 -22 17.13 -2.13
11 Dynamo Kyiv 22 1 6 15 8 13 50 -37 12.17 -4.17
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 22 1 3 18 5 14 54 -40 10.82 -5.82

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 CDKA Moscow 39 32.78 +6.22
2 Dynamo Moscow 40 34.54 +5.46
3 Traktor Stalingrad 21 19.25 +1.75
4 Zenit Leningrad 23 21.41 +1.59
5 Krylia Sovetov 18 16.75 +1.25

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lokomotiv Moscow 5 10.82 -5.82
2 Dynamo Kyiv 8 12.17 -4.17
3 Spartak Moscow 15 17.13 -2.13
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 26 27.65 -1.65
5 Dynamo Leningrad 25 26.55 -1.55

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dynamo Moscow 17 Jun 14 – Sep 16 1 in 499
2 Spartak Moscow 3 Sep 9 – Sep 21 1 in 112
3 CDKA Moscow 8 Aug 14 – Sep 22 1 in 83
4 Krylia Sovetov 2 Jul 13 – Jul 20 1 in 14
5 Torpedo Moscow 4 Jun 13 – Jun 26 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dynamo Leningrad 2 Sep 2 – Sep 9 1 in 70
2 Torpedo Moscow 3 Aug 23 – Sep 2 1 in 34
3 Lokomotiv Moscow 10 Jul 31 – Sep 21 1 in 27
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 Jul 15 – Jul 20 1 in 15
5 Spartak Moscow 6 Jul 22 – Aug 26 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zenit Leningrad 10 Jul 22 – Sep 5 1 in 85
2 Krylia Sovetov 4 Jul 2 – Jul 20 1 in 20
3 Torpedo Moscow 7 May 27 – Jun 26 1 in 17
4 Dynamo Moscow 21 May 20 – Sep 16 1 in 15
5 Lokomotiv Moscow 2 Jun 23 – Jun 28 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 10 Jun 19 – Aug 15 1 in 2,220
2 Dynamo Kyiv 20 May 27 – Sep 17 1 in 33
3 Dinamo Minsk 10 Jul 8 – Sep 8 1 in 26
4 Spartak Moscow 10 Jun 28 – Aug 26 1 in 17
5 Torpedo Moscow 4 Aug 23 – Sep 8 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Dynamo Moscow 1972 40 -37 8 8.4 -0.4
CDKA Moscow 1963 39 +145 10 7.1 +2.9
Torpedo Moscow 1547 27 -85 3 5.2 -2.2
Dinamo Tbilisi 1593 26 +36 7 6.3 +0.7
Dynamo Leningrad 1610 25 -29 4 5.6 -1.6
Zenit Leningrad 1668 23 +154 7 4.9 +2.1
Traktor Stalingrad 1491 21 -13 4 3.9 +0.1
Krylia Sovetov 1261 18 -102 3 3.8 -0.8
Dinamo Minsk 1359 17 +5 6 5.7 +0.3
Spartak Moscow 1372 15 +127 6 3.9 +2.1
Dynamo Kyiv 1119 8 -46 1 2.3 -1.3
Lokomotiv Moscow 1085 5 -86 0 2.1 -2.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team CM DM DT DK DL DM KS LM SM TM TS ZL
CDKA Moscow —
2-0-0
4.88
2-0-0
4.28
2-0-0
4.51
1-1-0
3.68
1-0-1
1.98
1-1-0
4.86
2-0-0
4.27
2-0-0
4.95
2-0-0
3.74
2-0-0
4.84
1-1-0
4.61
Dinamo Minsk
0-0-2
0.71
 —
0-1-1
1.22
1-1-0
3.77
0-0-2
1.91
0-0-2
0.76
1-1-0
2.50
2-0-0
4.14
0-1-1
3.21
0-1-1
1.13
1-0-1
2.13
0-2-0
2.24
Dinamo Tbilisi
0-0-2
1.30
1-1-0
4.36
 —
1-1-0
4.87
1-1-0
2.82
0-0-2
1.76
0-1-1
4.57
1-1-0
4.92
2-0-0
4.67
1-1-0
2.51
1-1-0
4.07
1-1-0
3.63
Dynamo Kyiv
0-0-2
1.09
0-1-1
1.80
0-1-1
0.72
 —
0-1-1
0.68
0-0-2
0.70
0-1-1
1.71
0-1-1
2.96
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
1.89
0-0-2
1.61
0-1-1
1.14
Dynamo Leningrad
0-1-1
1.89
2-0-0
3.66
0-1-1
2.74
1-1-0
4.91
 —
0-0-2
0.90
1-0-1
4.45
2-0-0
4.92
1-0-1
4.55
1-0-1
2.85
2-0-0
3.56
1-0-1
3.49
Dynamo Moscow
1-0-1
3.59
2-0-0
4.83
2-0-0
3.82
2-0-0
4.91
2-0-0
4.69
 —
2-0-0
5.08
2-0-0
4.92
1-1-0
4.26
1-1-0
3.91
2-0-0
4.98
2-0-0
4.60
Krylia Sovetov
0-1-1
0.73
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
1.01
1-1-0
3.86
1-0-1
1.13
0-0-2
0.53
 —
2-0-0
4.17
1-0-1
3.28
0-0-2
1.19
0-1-1
2.44
0-1-1
1.65
Lokomotiv Moscow
0-0-2
1.32
0-0-2
1.43
0-1-1
0.67
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-2
0.67
0-0-2
0.69
0-0-2
1.40
 —
0-1-1
1.15
0-0-2
0.84
0-0-2
1.47
0-0-2
1.41
Spartak Moscow
0-0-2
0.65
1-1-0
2.36
0-0-2
0.91
2-0-0
3.40
1-0-1
1.03
0-1-1
1.34
1-0-1
2.29
1-1-0
4.42
 —
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
2.60
0-0-2
1.33
Torpedo Moscow
0-0-2
1.83
1-1-0
4.45
0-1-1
3.06
1-0-1
3.70
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
1.66
2-0-0
4.39
2-0-0
4.75
2-0-0
3.23
 —
2-0-0
4.13
1-0-1
3.99
Traktor Stalingrad
0-0-2
0.75
1-0-1
3.43
0-1-1
1.50
2-0-0
3.96
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
0.61
1-1-0
3.13
2-0-0
4.10
2-0-0
2.97
0-0-2
1.45
 —
1-1-0
2.92
Zenit Leningrad
0-1-1
0.97
0-2-0
3.33
0-1-1
1.94
1-1-0
4.43
1-0-1
2.08
0-0-2
0.98
1-1-0
3.92
2-0-0
4.17
2-0-0
4.25
1-0-1
1.58
0-1-1
2.65
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.92 +5.2
Allowed 0.85 -7.4
Differential 0.95 +3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.58%6.06%6.82%3.79%4.17%2.27%30.68%
16.06%9.85%5.30%2.65%2.27%1.89%28.03%
26.82%5.30%3.03%1.89%1.14%1.14%19.32%
33.79%2.65%1.89%—0.38%—8.71%
44.17%2.27%1.14%0.38%——7.95%
5+2.27%1.89%1.14%———5.30%
Total30.68%28.03%19.32%8.71%7.95%5.30%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.56 +0.00
SD 1.63 1.63 2.58
CV 1.04 1.04 —
Max 10 10 +10
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
19.09%4.55%——4.55%—18.18%
29.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
34.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+9.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
Total36.36%31.82%27.27%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.14 1.05 +2.09
SD 2.05 1.05 2.29
CV 0.65 1.00 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%50.00%
14.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
2—9.09%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%13.64%13.64%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.77 -0.86
SD 1.15 1.66 2.14
CV 1.27 0.94 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%——4.55%——22.73%
19.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
29.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total50.00%18.18%18.18%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.00 +0.68
SD 1.76 1.23 2.12
CV 1.04 1.23 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%22.73%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%54.55%
1—13.64%9.09%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
2—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%40.91%18.18%9.09%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.59 2.27 -1.68
SD 0.73 2.00 2.01
CV 1.24 0.88 —
Max 2 7 +1
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
19.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
29.09%4.55%4.55%13.64%——31.82%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%31.82%22.73%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.32 +0.59
SD 1.44 1.09 1.99
CV 0.76 0.82 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
1—9.09%————9.09%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
313.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
422.73%4.55%4.55%———31.82%
5+9.09%4.55%————13.64%
Total54.55%31.82%13.64%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.32 0.59 +2.73
SD 1.99 0.73 2.35
CV 0.60 1.24 —
Max 10 2 +10
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%36.36%
19.09%9.09%9.09%—4.55%4.55%36.36%
24.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%18.18%27.27%4.55%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.18 -1.14
SD 1.09 2.44 2.73
CV 1.04 1.12 —
Max 4 10 +2
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%18.18%13.64%9.09%—50.00%
14.55%13.64%13.64%4.55%—4.55%40.91%
2————4.55%—4.55%
3————4.55%—4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%22.73%31.82%18.18%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 2.45 -1.82
SD 0.79 1.53 1.59
CV 1.24 0.63 —
Max 3 7 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%—9.09%4.55%31.82%
19.09%9.09%4.55%13.64%—4.55%40.91%
24.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%18.18%18.18%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.00 -1.00
SD 0.87 1.57 2.09
CV 0.87 0.79 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
19.09%9.09%9.09%—9.09%—36.36%
29.09%4.55%————13.64%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
413.64%4.55%————18.18%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total45.45%31.82%13.64%—9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 0.95 +0.91
SD 1.55 1.21 2.33
CV 0.83 1.27 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%40.91%
19.09%—4.55%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
218.18%4.55%——4.55%—27.27%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total45.45%9.09%13.64%4.55%18.18%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.73 -0.68
SD 1.05 1.98 2.55
CV 1.00 1.15 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%—4.55%4.55%36.36%
1—18.18%————18.18%
29.09%—4.55%4.55%——18.18%
3—9.09%————9.09%
44.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%45.45%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.41 +0.18
SD 1.62 1.33 2.28
CV 1.02 0.95 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dynamo Moscow 1972 40 34.54 +5.46 98.0% 26 30 33 35 37 39 41
CDKA Moscow 1963 39 32.78 +6.22 98.0% 22 26 32 33 35 37 40
Zenit Leningrad 1668 23 21.41 +1.59 68.0% 9 15 19 21 24 28 29
Dynamo Leningrad 1610 25 26.55 -1.55 41.0% 18 20 24 26 29 33 35
Dinamo Tbilisi 1593 26 27.65 -1.65 38.0% 21 23 26 27 30 33 36
Torpedo Moscow 1547 27 27.10 -0.10 54.0% 19 22 24 27 29 32 36
Traktor Stalingrad 1491 21 19.25 +1.75 73.0% 8 13 16 19 22 25 30
Spartak Moscow 1372 15 17.13 -2.13 30.0% 9 11 15 18 19 22 23
Dinamo Minsk 1359 17 17.85 -0.85 48.0% 11 12 16 18 20 24 26
Krylia Sovetov 1261 18 16.75 +1.25 73.0% 7 11 15 17 19 21 26
Dynamo Kyiv 1119 8 12.17 -4.17 14.0% 5 7 10 12 14 19 21
Lokomotiv Moscow 1085 5 10.82 -5.82 4.0% 5 6 8 11 13 16 21

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 16.5% * Slight Edge: 16.5% to 25% * Clear Edge: 25% to 33% * Strong Edge: 33% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.79%
No Edge
41.67%20.45%37.88%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 13.17 Elo pts.
192 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.15 goals
Neutral
-2+0.07+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.12 * Comfortable: 0.12 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
67%
Dynamo Moscow, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.72 * Some Luck: 2.72 to 4.08 * Lucky: 4.08 to 5.44 * Wild Swing: 5.44 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.88 * Close: 0.88 to 1.31 * Off: 1.31 to 1.75 * Way Off: 1.75 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.38 points
Some Luck
03.408
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.50
Pinpoint
01.092.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Dynamo Moscow
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Lokomotiv Moscow
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.13 * Even: 0.13 to 0.14 * Top-Heavy: 0.14 to 0.17 * Lopsided: 0.17 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 67.5% * Clear Edge: 67.5% to 71% * Wide Edge: 71% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 85.5% * Clear Edge: 85.5% to 89% * Strong Edge: 89% to 92.5% * Dominant: 92.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 57.5% * Some Drama: 57.5% to 65.5% * Frequent: 65.5% to 69.5% * Very Frequent: 69.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 11.5% * Occasional: 11.5% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 20% * Very Frequent: 20% and up.
Gini Index
0.26
Lopsided
00.130.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 285.91
2.54
Wide Separation
0.91.41.61.82.5
Interquartile Edge
84%
Wide Edge
50%65%71%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
99%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
48%
Few
0%44%100%
Blowouts
Expected
31%
Very Frequent
0%34%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.48 * Notable Separation: 0.48 to 0.54 * Lopsided: 0.54 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.48 * Some Carryover: 0.48 to 0.58 * Strong Carryover: 0.58 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21% * Upset-Prone: 21% to 23.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 23.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Shaky Favorites: 18.5% to 22% * Very Shaky: 22% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.47
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.56
Lopsided
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.12
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.45
Weak Carryover
00.480.651
Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Chalky
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
9%
Solid Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.92
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.28
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.118
Well Within Noise
00.1320.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Dynamo Moscow67.00%27.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%———————
CDKA Moscow29.00%53.00%13.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%——————
Torpedo Moscow1.00%4.00%28.00%32.00%19.00%11.00%5.00%—————
Dinamo Tbilisi2.00%7.00%33.00%26.00%24.00%6.00%2.00%—————
Dynamo Leningrad1.00%9.00%19.00%27.00%25.00%14.00%2.00%3.00%————
Zenit Leningrad——3.00%10.00%14.00%26.00%23.00%8.00%9.00%5.00%—2.00%
Traktor Stalingrad——1.00%—9.00%17.00%21.00%20.00%23.00%6.00%3.00%—
Krylia Sovetov————2.00%2.00%15.00%22.00%21.00%22.00%14.00%2.00%
Dinamo Minsk————3.00%15.00%15.00%21.00%15.00%24.00%6.00%1.00%
Spartak Moscow————2.00%7.00%15.00%21.00%24.00%20.00%8.00%3.00%
Dynamo Kyiv—————1.00%2.00%3.00%8.00%13.00%32.00%41.00%
Lokomotiv Moscow———————2.00%—10.00%37.00%51.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
CDKA Moscow 100%
Dinamo Minsk 100%
Dinamo Tbilisi 100%
Dynamo Kyiv 100%
Dynamo Leningrad 100%
Dynamo Moscow 100%
Krylia Sovetov 100%
Lokomotiv Moscow 100%
Spartak Moscow 100%
Torpedo Moscow 100%
Traktor Stalingrad 100%
Zenit Leningrad 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1945-05-13 Lokomotiv Moscow D 1-159.5 1455 1434 45.44% 21.68% 32.87%+0.18 -2.1 1
1945-05-13 @ Dynamo Kyiv D 1-159.5 1434 1455 32.87% 21.68% 45.44%-0.18 +2.1 1
1945-05-13 Dynamo Leningrad W 2-051.8 1597 1542 49.81% 21.66% 28.53%+0.36 +46.4 2
1945-05-13 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-251.8 1542 1597 28.53% 21.66% 49.81%-0.36 -46.4 0
1945-05-14 Zenit Leningrad D 1-160.2 1446 1463 40.06% 21.69% 38.25%-0.02 -0.3 1
1945-05-14 @ Dinamo Minsk D 1-160.2 1463 1446 38.25% 21.69% 40.06%+0.02 +0.3 1
1945-05-19 Zenit Leningrad W 2-047.0 1644 1464 62.67% 21.43% 15.89%+1.01 +28.2 4
1945-05-19 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-247.0 1464 1644 15.89% 21.43% 62.67%-1.01 -28.2 1
1945-05-19 CDKA Moscow L 1-745.1 1436 1539 28.54% 21.64% 49.82%-0.47 -106.3 1
1945-05-19 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 7-145.1 1539 1436 49.82% 21.64% 28.54%+0.47 +106.3 2
1945-05-20 Torpedo Moscow W 2-150.1 1453 1419 47.12% 21.68% 31.21%+0.25 +25.0 3
1945-05-20 @ Dynamo Kyiv L 1-250.1 1419 1453 31.21% 21.68% 47.12%-0.25 -25.0 0
1945-05-20 Dynamo Leningrad L 0-444.0 1445 1496 35.45% 21.69% 42.86%-0.19 -104.9 1
1945-05-20 @ Dinamo Minsk W 4-044.0 1496 1445 42.86% 21.69% 35.45%+0.19 +104.9 2
1945-05-20 Krylia Sovetov D 0-056.2 1494 1411 53.12% 21.63% 25.25%+0.50 -5.5 1
1945-05-20 @ Traktor Stalingrad D 0-056.2 1411 1494 25.25% 21.63% 53.12%-0.50 +5.4 1
1945-05-20 Dynamo Moscow D 1-170.6 1575 1665 30.09% 21.66% 48.26%-0.40 +3.1 1
1945-05-20 @ Spartak Moscow D 1-170.6 1665 1575 48.26% 21.66% 30.09%+0.40 -3.1 1
1945-05-26 Dynamo Moscow L 1-345.7 1330 1662 9.27% 21.03% 69.70%-1.66 -15.0 1
1945-05-26 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 3-145.7 1662 1330 69.70% 21.03% 9.27%+1.66 +15.0 3
1945-05-27 CDKA Moscow L 0-746.2 1478 1645 21.34% 21.54% 57.12%-0.80 -117.1 3
1945-05-27 @ Dynamo Kyiv W 7-046.2 1645 1478 57.12% 21.54% 21.34%+0.80 +117.1 4
1945-05-27 Dinamo Minsk W 5-037.6 1672 1341 71.88% 20.89% 7.22%+1.79 +32.1 6
1945-05-27 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-537.6 1341 1672 7.22% 20.89% 71.88%-1.79 -32.0 1
1945-05-27 Zenit Leningrad W 1-046.5 1489 1435 49.56% 21.66% 28.78%+0.35 +24.8 3
1945-05-27 @ Traktor Stalingrad L 0-146.5 1435 1489 28.78% 21.66% 49.56%-0.35 -24.8 1
1945-05-27 Spartak Moscow W 5-051.7 1394 1578 19.74% 21.50% 58.76%-0.89 +199.9 2
1945-05-27 @ Torpedo Moscow L 0-551.7 1578 1394 58.76% 21.50% 19.74%+0.89 -199.9 1
1945-05-31 Dynamo Leningrad L 1-552.8 1513 1600 30.52% 21.66% 47.82%-0.39 -77.5 3
1945-05-31 @ Traktor Stalingrad W 5-152.8 1600 1513 47.82% 21.66% 30.52%+0.39 +77.5 4
1945-06-01 Krylia Sovetov W 2-151.1 1378 1417 37.05% 21.69% 41.26%-0.13 +31.2 3
1945-06-01 @ Spartak Moscow L 1-251.1 1417 1378 41.26% 21.69% 37.05%+0.13 -31.2 1
1945-06-02 Torpedo Moscow L 0-140.9 1315 1594 12.23% 21.23% 66.54%-1.39 -11.8 1
1945-06-02 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 1-040.9 1594 1315 66.54% 21.23% 12.23%+1.39 +11.9 4
1945-06-03 Dynamo Moscow L 1-543.9 1361 1677 10.10% 21.09% 68.81%-1.58 -29.6 3
1945-06-03 @ Dynamo Kyiv W 5-143.9 1677 1361 68.81% 21.09% 10.10%+1.58 +29.6 5
1945-06-03 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-444.1 1436 1704 12.97% 21.27% 65.77%-1.33 -44.7 3
1945-06-03 @ Traktor Stalingrad W 4-044.1 1704 1436 65.77% 21.27% 12.97%+1.33 +44.7 8
1945-06-03 Zenit Leningrad W 1-048.0 1762 1411 72.73% 20.80% 6.47%+1.90 +6.5 6
1945-06-03 @ CDKA Moscow L 0-148.0 1411 1762 6.47% 20.80% 72.73%-1.90 -6.5 1
1945-06-07 Dynamo Leningrad D 2-277.8 1769 1678 54.05% 21.62% 24.33%+0.54 -3.9 7
1945-06-07 @ CDKA Moscow D 2-277.8 1678 1769 24.33% 21.62% 54.05%-0.54 +3.9 5
1945-06-08 Dynamo Moscow D 1-171.7 1606 1707 28.79% 21.64% 49.56%-0.46 +3.6 5
1945-06-08 @ Torpedo Moscow D 1-171.7 1707 1606 49.56% 21.64% 28.79%+0.46 -3.6 6
1945-06-08 Lokomotiv Moscow W 4-034.5 1404 1303 55.17% 21.60% 23.23%+0.60 +74.3 3
1945-06-08 @ Zenit Leningrad L 0-434.5 1303 1404 23.23% 21.60% 55.17%-0.60 -74.3 1
1945-06-09 Dynamo Kyiv W 1-041.4 1385 1331 49.68% 21.66% 28.66%+0.35 +24.7 3
1945-06-09 @ Krylia Sovetov L 0-141.4 1331 1385 28.66% 21.66% 49.68%-0.35 -24.7 3
1945-06-10 Dinamo Tbilisi L 1-253.0 1409 1749 8.93% 21.00% 70.07%-1.70 -8.4 3
1945-06-10 @ Spartak Moscow W 2-153.0 1749 1409 70.07% 21.00% 8.93%+1.70 +8.4 10
1945-06-11 Traktor Stalingrad W 4-147.5 1309 1391 31.10% 21.66% 47.24%-0.36 +85.5 3
1945-06-11 @ Dinamo Minsk L 1-447.5 1391 1309 47.24% 21.66% 31.10%+0.36 -85.5 3
1945-06-12 Lokomotiv Moscow W 3-034.1 1682 1229 76.00% 20.26% 3.73%+2.43 +10.5 7
1945-06-12 @ Dynamo Leningrad L 0-334.1 1229 1682 3.73% 20.26% 76.00%-2.43 -10.5 1
1945-06-13 Torpedo Moscow L 0-146.8 1410 1610 18.29% 21.47% 60.24%-0.97 -16.9 3
1945-06-13 @ Krylia Sovetov W 1-046.8 1610 1410 60.24% 21.47% 18.29%+0.97 +16.9 7
1945-06-13 Dynamo Kyiv W 2-036.7 1478 1307 61.99% 21.46% 16.56%+0.96 +29.3 5
1945-06-13 @ Zenit Leningrad L 0-236.7 1307 1478 16.56% 21.46% 61.99%-0.96 -29.3 3
1945-06-14 Dynamo Moscow L 0-343.1 1394 1703 10.47% 21.12% 68.41%-1.54 -28.2 3
1945-06-14 @ Dinamo Minsk W 3-043.1 1703 1394 68.41% 21.12% 10.47%+1.54 +28.1 8
1945-06-14 Spartak Moscow W 5-146.7 1765 1401 73.22% 20.74% 6.05%+1.97 +18.3 9
1945-06-14 @ CDKA Moscow L 1-546.7 1401 1765 6.05% 20.74% 73.22%-1.97 -18.3 3
1945-06-17 Dynamo Kyiv D 1-162.7 1692 1277 74.92% 20.48% 4.60%+2.23 -13.9 8
1945-06-17 @ Dynamo Leningrad D 1-162.7 1277 1692 4.60% 20.48% 74.92%-2.23 +14.0 4
1945-06-17 Krylia Sovetov D 0-065.8 1783 1393 74.13% 20.61% 5.26%+2.10 -15.2 10
1945-06-17 @ CDKA Moscow D 0-065.8 1393 1783 5.26% 20.61% 74.13%-2.10 +15.2 4
1945-06-17 Lokomotiv Moscow W 2-036.4 1306 1218 53.65% 21.62% 24.73%+0.52 +41.2 5
1945-06-17 @ Traktor Stalingrad L 0-236.4 1218 1306 24.73% 21.62% 53.65%-0.52 -41.2 1
1945-06-18 Torpedo Moscow L 0-251.1 1508 1626 26.62% 21.62% 51.75%-0.55 -43.8 5
1945-06-18 @ Zenit Leningrad W 2-051.1 1626 1508 51.75% 21.62% 26.62%+0.55 +43.8 9
1945-06-19 Dinamo Tbilisi W 3-058.0 1731 1757 38.92% 21.69% 39.39%-0.06 +87.2 10
1945-06-19 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-358.0 1757 1731 39.39% 21.69% 38.92%+0.06 -87.2 10
1945-06-22 CDKA Moscow L 2-550.8 1366 1768 6.39% 20.71% 72.90%-2.03 -12.9 3
1945-06-22 @ Dinamo Minsk W 5-250.8 1768 1366 72.90% 20.71% 6.39%+2.03 +12.9 12
1945-06-22 Torpedo Moscow L 1-365.2 1678 1670 43.65% 21.69% 34.66%+0.11 -56.5 8
1945-06-22 @ Dynamo Leningrad W 3-165.2 1670 1678 34.66% 21.69% 43.65%-0.11 +56.5 11
1945-06-23 Krylia Sovetov W 5-143.7 1464 1408 49.84% 21.66% 28.51%+0.36 +73.3 7
1945-06-23 @ Zenit Leningrad L 1-543.7 1408 1464 28.51% 21.66% 49.84%-0.36 -73.3 4
1945-06-23 Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-158.7 1177 1670 3.91% 20.22% 75.87%-2.50 +14.3 2
1945-06-23 @ Lokomotiv Moscow D 1-158.7 1670 1177 75.87% 20.22% 3.91%+2.50 -14.3 11
1945-06-24 Traktor Stalingrad W 4-253.5 1819 1347 76.47% 20.15% 3.38%+2.53 +5.1 12
1945-06-24 @ Dynamo Moscow L 2-453.5 1347 1819 3.38% 20.15% 76.47%-2.53 -5.1 5
1945-06-24 Spartak Moscow L 1-245.8 1291 1382 30.01% 21.65% 48.34%-0.41 -24.2 4
1945-06-24 @ Dynamo Kyiv W 2-145.8 1382 1291 48.34% 21.65% 30.01%+0.41 +24.2 5
1945-06-26 Dinamo Minsk W 4-145.7 1727 1353 73.56% 20.69% 5.74%+2.02 +13.5 13
1945-06-26 @ Torpedo Moscow L 1-445.7 1353 1727 5.74% 20.69% 73.56%-2.02 -13.5 3
1945-06-27 Zenit Leningrad W 3-262.8 1622 1537 53.34% 21.62% 25.04%+0.51 +19.8 10
1945-06-27 @ Dynamo Leningrad L 2-362.8 1537 1622 25.04% 21.62% 53.34%-0.51 -19.8 7
1945-06-28 Krylia Sovetov W 10-041.9 1824 1335 76.87% 20.05% 3.08%+2.61 +26.9 14
1945-06-28 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-1041.9 1335 1824 3.08% 20.05% 76.87%-2.61 -26.9 4
1945-06-28 Lokomotiv Moscow D 1-154.5 1407 1191 65.39% 21.33% 13.28%+1.19 -9.8 6
1945-06-28 @ Spartak Moscow D 1-154.5 1191 1407 13.28% 21.33% 65.39%-1.19 +9.8 3
1945-06-30 CDKA Moscow L 0-161.3 1740 1781 36.75% 21.69% 41.56%-0.14 -30.2 13
1945-06-30 @ Torpedo Moscow W 1-061.3 1781 1740 41.56% 21.69% 36.75%+0.14 +30.2 14
1945-07-01 Zenit Leningrad L 1-348.2 1397 1517 26.43% 21.62% 51.95%-0.56 -37.7 6
1945-07-01 @ Spartak Moscow W 3-148.2 1517 1397 51.95% 21.62% 26.43%+0.56 +37.7 9
1945-07-01 Dinamo Minsk L 0-141.4 1267 1339 32.44% 21.67% 45.89%-0.31 -27.3 4
1945-07-01 @ Dynamo Kyiv W 1-041.4 1339 1267 45.89% 21.67% 32.44%+0.31 +27.3 5
1945-07-02 Dynamo Leningrad W 3-268.8 1308 1642 9.22% 21.02% 69.75%-1.67 +48.5 6
1945-07-02 @ Krylia Sovetov L 2-368.8 1642 1308 69.75% 21.02% 9.22%+1.67 -48.5 10
1945-07-05 Dinamo Minsk L 1-242.4 1201 1367 21.49% 21.54% 56.97%-0.79 -18.3 3
1945-07-05 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 2-142.4 1367 1201 56.97% 21.54% 21.49%+0.79 +18.3 7
1945-07-05 Dynamo Moscow L 0-447.9 1555 1851 11.25% 21.17% 67.58%-1.47 -39.3 9
1945-07-05 @ Zenit Leningrad W 4-047.9 1851 1555 67.58% 21.17% 11.25%+1.47 +39.3 16
1945-07-06 Dynamo Leningrad L 0-143.4 1359 1593 15.42% 21.37% 63.21%-1.15 -14.6 6
1945-07-06 @ Spartak Moscow W 1-043.4 1593 1359 63.21% 21.37% 15.42%+1.15 +14.6 12
1945-07-07 CDKA Moscow L 0-641.4 1342 1811 4.45% 20.35% 75.20%-2.38 -23.7 5
1945-07-07 @ Traktor Stalingrad W 6-041.4 1811 1342 75.20% 20.35% 4.45%+2.38 +23.7 16
1945-07-07 Torpedo Moscow D 1-172.3 1655 1710 34.81% 21.68% 43.50%-0.22 +1.5 12
1945-07-07 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-172.3 1710 1655 43.50% 21.68% 34.81%+0.22 -1.4 14
1945-07-08 Dinamo Minsk D 1-156.0 1357 1385 38.51% 21.69% 39.80%-0.08 +0.2 7
1945-07-08 @ Krylia Sovetov D 1-156.0 1385 1357 39.80% 21.69% 38.51%+0.08 -0.2 8
1945-07-10 Dynamo Moscow L 2-363.0 1608 1890 12.06% 21.22% 66.73%-1.40 -10.5 12
1945-07-10 @ Dynamo Leningrad W 3-263.0 1890 1608 66.73% 21.22% 12.06%+1.40 +10.5 18
1945-07-11 Dynamo Kyiv D 0-056.3 1657 1240 74.99% 20.47% 4.55%+2.24 -15.6 13
1945-07-11 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-056.3 1240 1657 4.55% 20.47% 74.99%-2.24 +15.6 5
1945-07-13 Lokomotiv Moscow W 1-036.1 1357 1183 62.20% 21.45% 16.35%+0.98 +15.4 9
1945-07-13 @ Krylia Sovetov L 0-136.1 1183 1357 16.35% 21.45% 62.20%-0.98 -15.4 3
1945-07-15 Dinamo Minsk D 2-260.7 1345 1385 36.81% 21.69% 41.50%-0.14 +0.6 7
1945-07-15 @ Spartak Moscow D 2-260.7 1385 1345 41.50% 21.69% 36.81%+0.14 -0.6 9
1945-07-15 CDKA Moscow L 2-462.5 1641 1835 18.80% 21.48% 59.72%-0.94 -25.3 13
1945-07-15 @ Dinamo Tbilisi W 4-262.5 1835 1641 59.72% 21.48% 18.80%+0.94 +25.3 18
1945-07-15 Torpedo Moscow L 1-248.0 1318 1709 6.80% 20.77% 72.43%-1.97 -6.5 5
1945-07-15 @ Traktor Stalingrad W 2-148.0 1709 1318 72.43% 20.77% 6.80%+1.97 +6.5 16
1945-07-18 Dynamo Kyiv W 3-035.9 1312 1255 49.94% 21.66% 28.40%+0.36 +67.2 7
1945-07-18 @ Traktor Stalingrad L 0-335.9 1255 1312 28.40% 21.66% 49.94%-0.36 -67.2 5
1945-07-20 Krylia Sovetov L 1-264.8 1616 1372 67.28% 21.24% 11.48%+1.34 -49.2 13
1945-07-20 @ Dinamo Tbilisi W 2-164.8 1372 1616 11.48% 21.24% 67.28%-1.34 +49.2 11
1945-07-22 Spartak Moscow W 2-040.1 1379 1345 47.08% 21.68% 31.25%+0.24 +50.0 9
1945-07-22 @ Traktor Stalingrad L 0-240.1 1345 1379 31.25% 21.68% 47.08%-0.24 -50.0 7
1945-07-22 Dynamo Moscow L 1-462.4 1860 1900 36.85% 21.69% 41.46%-0.14 -69.8 18
1945-07-22 @ CDKA Moscow W 4-162.4 1900 1860 41.46% 21.69% 36.85%+0.14 +69.8 20
1945-07-22 Dinamo Minsk D 0-056.1 1516 1384 58.31% 21.55% 20.14%+0.75 -7.7 10
1945-07-22 @ Zenit Leningrad D 0-056.1 1384 1516 20.14% 21.55% 58.31%-0.75 +7.7 10
1945-07-24 Dynamo Kyiv W 1-042.4 1167 1188 39.57% 21.69% 38.74%-0.04 +31.4 5
1945-07-24 @ Lokomotiv Moscow L 0-142.4 1188 1167 38.74% 21.69% 39.57%+0.04 -31.4 5
1945-07-26 Dinamo Minsk W 2-148.9 1597 1392 64.65% 21.36% 13.99%+1.14 +12.6 14
1945-07-26 @ Dynamo Leningrad L 1-248.9 1392 1597 13.99% 21.36% 64.65%-1.14 -12.6 10
1945-07-27 Dinamo Tbilisi D 2-271.1 1508 1567 34.30% 21.68% 44.02%-0.24 +1.2 11
1945-07-27 @ Zenit Leningrad D 2-271.1 1567 1508 44.02% 21.68% 34.30%+0.24 -1.2 14
1945-07-28 Dynamo Kyiv W 4-031.1 1715 1157 78.30% 19.60% 2.10%+2.98 +7.7 18
1945-07-28 @ Torpedo Moscow L 0-431.1 1157 1715 2.10% 19.60% 78.30%-2.98 -7.7 5
1945-07-29 Spartak Moscow W 4-042.6 1970 1295 80.14% 18.75% 1.11%+3.58 +4.0 22
1945-07-29 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-442.6 1295 1970 1.11% 18.75% 80.14%-3.58 -4.0 7
1945-07-30 Traktor Stalingrad L 0-245.8 1422 1429 41.52% 21.69% 36.79%+0.03 -62.6 11
1945-07-30 @ Krylia Sovetov W 2-045.8 1429 1422 36.79% 21.69% 41.52%-0.03 +62.6 11
1945-07-31 Lokomotiv Moscow W 2-144.7 1790 1199 78.88% 19.37% 1.75%+3.15 +1.7 20
1945-07-31 @ CDKA Moscow L 1-244.7 1199 1790 1.75% 19.37% 78.88%-3.15 -1.7 5
1945-07-31 Dinamo Tbilisi D 1-169.2 1610 1565 48.45% 21.67% 29.88%+0.30 -3.2 15
1945-07-31 @ Dynamo Leningrad D 1-169.2 1565 1610 29.88% 21.67% 48.45%-0.30 +3.2 15
1945-08-02 Torpedo Moscow L 0-437.4 1291 1723 5.45% 20.56% 73.99%-2.18 -19.8 7
1945-08-02 @ Spartak Moscow W 4-037.4 1723 1291 73.99% 20.56% 5.45%+2.18 +19.8 20
1945-08-03 Traktor Stalingrad D 0-059.7 1509 1491 44.99% 21.69% 33.33%+0.16 -2.2 12
1945-08-03 @ Zenit Leningrad D 0-059.7 1491 1509 33.33% 21.69% 44.99%-0.16 +2.2 12
1945-08-04 Lokomotiv Moscow W 4-040.3 1974 1197 81.44% 17.92% 0.64%+4.12 +2.2 24
1945-08-04 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-440.3 1197 1974 0.64% 17.92% 81.44%-4.12 -2.2 5
1945-08-05 Dynamo Kyiv W 3-140.8 1792 1149 79.69% 18.99% 1.32%+3.42 +2.2 22
1945-08-05 @ CDKA Moscow L 1-340.8 1149 1792 1.32% 18.99% 79.69%-3.42 -2.2 5
1945-08-06 Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-057.8 1379 1569 19.21% 21.49% 59.29%-0.92 +8.1 11
1945-08-06 @ Dinamo Minsk D 0-057.8 1569 1379 59.29% 21.49% 19.21%+0.92 -8.1 16
1945-08-07 Traktor Stalingrad W 2-048.6 1607 1494 56.43% 21.58% 21.98%+0.66 +37.4 17
1945-08-07 @ Dynamo Leningrad L 0-248.6 1494 1607 21.98% 21.58% 56.43%-0.66 -37.4 12
1945-08-07 Spartak Moscow W 2-037.1 1359 1271 53.65% 21.62% 24.73%+0.52 +41.2 13
1945-08-07 @ Krylia Sovetov L 0-237.1 1271 1359 24.73% 21.62% 53.65%-0.52 -41.2 7
1945-08-08 Lokomotiv Moscow W 3-034.4 1743 1195 78.10% 19.67% 2.23%+2.92 +6.2 22
1945-08-08 @ Torpedo Moscow L 0-334.4 1195 1743 2.23% 19.67% 78.10%-2.92 -6.2 5
1945-08-09 Dynamo Kyiv W 4-038.8 1976 1147 82.04% 17.48% 0.48%+4.39 +1.7 26
1945-08-09 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-438.8 1147 1976 0.48% 17.48% 82.04%-4.39 -1.7 5
1945-08-10 CDKA Moscow D 1-171.7 1507 1794 11.75% 21.20% 67.05%-1.43 +10.5 13
1945-08-10 @ Zenit Leningrad D 1-171.7 1794 1507 67.05% 21.20% 11.75%+1.43 -10.5 23
1945-08-12 Torpedo Moscow W 2-052.0 1978 1749 66.34% 21.29% 12.37%+1.26 +22.6 28
1945-08-12 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-252.0 1749 1978 12.37% 21.29% 66.34%-1.26 -22.6 22
1945-08-14 Krylia Sovetov D 2-259.2 1145 1400 13.88% 21.31% 64.81%-1.26 +7.1 6
1945-08-14 @ Dynamo Kyiv D 2-259.2 1400 1145 64.81% 21.31% 13.88%+1.26 -7.1 14
1945-08-14 CDKA Moscow L 2-366.4 1644 1784 24.23% 21.59% 54.18%-0.66 -19.2 17
1945-08-14 @ Dynamo Leningrad W 3-266.4 1784 1644 54.18% 21.59% 24.23%+0.66 +19.2 25
1945-08-14 Zenit Leningrad L 3-447.7 1189 1518 9.44% 21.04% 69.52%-1.64 -8.1 5
1945-08-14 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 4-347.7 1518 1189 69.52% 21.04% 9.44%+1.64 +8.2 15
1945-08-15 Traktor Stalingrad D 0-060.3 1560 1456 55.51% 21.60% 22.90%+0.61 -6.5 17
1945-08-15 @ Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-060.3 1456 1560 22.90% 21.60% 55.51%-0.61 +6.5 13
1945-08-17 Dinamo Minsk W 3-045.4 2001 1387 79.23% 19.21% 1.56%+3.26 +4.3 30
1945-08-17 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-345.4 1387 2001 1.56% 19.21% 79.23%-3.26 -4.3 11
1945-08-18 Krylia Sovetov W 4-041.7 1726 1393 71.97% 20.89% 7.15%+1.80 +25.7 24
1945-08-18 @ Torpedo Moscow L 0-441.7 1393 1726 7.15% 20.89% 71.97%-1.80 -25.8 14
1945-08-19 Zenit Leningrad D 1-155.4 1152 1526 7.46% 20.85% 71.69%-1.88 +12.5 7
1945-08-19 @ Dynamo Kyiv D 1-155.4 1526 1152 71.69% 20.85% 7.46%+1.88 -12.5 16
1945-08-19 Spartak Moscow W 1-036.0 1554 1230 71.56% 20.93% 7.51%+1.76 +7.5 19
1945-08-19 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-136.0 1230 1554 7.51% 20.93% 71.56%-1.76 -7.5 7
1945-08-19 Dynamo Leningrad L 0-233.4 1180 1625 5.09% 20.49% 74.42%-2.25 -9.8 5
1945-08-19 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 2-033.4 1625 1180 74.42% 20.49% 5.09%+2.25 +9.8 19
1945-08-22 Dinamo Minsk W 1-043.1 1463 1383 52.74% 21.63% 25.63%+0.48 +22.5 15
1945-08-22 @ Traktor Stalingrad L 0-143.1 1383 1463 25.63% 21.63% 52.74%-0.48 -22.5 11
1945-08-22 CDKA Moscow L 2-648.7 1367 1803 5.33% 20.54% 74.13%-2.20 -13.7 14
1945-08-22 @ Krylia Sovetov W 6-248.7 1803 1367 74.13% 20.54% 5.33%+2.20 +13.7 27
1945-08-23 Zenit Leningrad L 1-469.0 1752 1513 66.97% 21.26% 11.77%+1.31 -120.0 24
1945-08-23 @ Torpedo Moscow W 4-169.0 1513 1752 11.77% 21.26% 66.97%-1.31 +120.0 18
1945-08-24 Dynamo Leningrad L 0-135.2 1165 1635 4.44% 20.35% 75.21%-2.38 -4.5 7
1945-08-24 @ Dynamo Kyiv W 1-035.2 1635 1165 75.21% 20.35% 4.44%+2.38 +4.5 21
1945-08-24 Dynamo Moscow L 1-256.1 1562 2005 5.12% 20.50% 74.38%-2.24 -4.9 19
1945-08-24 @ Dinamo Tbilisi W 2-156.1 2005 1562 74.38% 20.50% 5.12%+2.24 +4.9 32
1945-08-26 CDKA Moscow L 2-351.5 1223 1817 2.25% 19.57% 78.18%-3.03 -2.0 7
1945-08-26 @ Spartak Moscow W 3-251.5 1817 1223 78.18% 19.57% 2.25%+3.03 +2.0 29
1945-08-26 Traktor Stalingrad L 0-232.8 1171 1485 10.19% 21.10% 68.71%-1.57 -18.9 5
1945-08-26 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 2-032.8 1485 1171 68.71% 21.10% 10.19%+1.57 +18.9 17
1945-08-27 Zenit Leningrad D 1-163.1 1354 1633 12.22% 21.23% 66.56%-1.39 +10.3 15
1945-08-27 @ Krylia Sovetov D 1-163.1 1633 1354 66.56% 21.23% 12.22%+1.39 -10.3 19
1945-08-28 Dynamo Leningrad L 1-461.5 1632 1639 41.55% 21.69% 36.76%+0.03 -76.8 24
1945-08-28 @ Torpedo Moscow W 4-161.5 1639 1632 36.76% 21.69% 41.55%-0.03 +76.8 23
1945-08-29 Dinamo Minsk W 2-045.0 1819 1361 76.13% 20.23% 3.63%+2.45 +7.0 31
1945-08-29 @ CDKA Moscow L 0-245.0 1361 1819 3.63% 20.23% 76.13%-2.45 -7.0 11
1945-08-29 Dynamo Kyiv W 1-039.2 1221 1160 50.42% 21.65% 27.92%+0.38 +24.2 9
1945-08-29 @ Spartak Moscow L 0-139.2 1160 1221 27.92% 21.65% 50.42%-0.38 -24.2 7
1945-08-30 Dynamo Moscow L 0-445.8 1504 2010 3.65% 20.14% 76.21%-2.57 -13.3 17
1945-08-30 @ Traktor Stalingrad W 4-045.8 2010 1504 76.21% 20.14% 3.65%+2.57 +13.3 34
1945-09-02 Torpedo Moscow W 2-157.0 1826 1555 68.89% 21.14% 9.97%+1.48 +9.3 33
1945-09-02 @ CDKA Moscow L 1-257.0 1555 1826 9.97% 21.14% 68.89%-1.48 -9.3 24
1945-09-02 Lokomotiv Moscow W 3-029.8 1557 1152 74.61% 20.53% 4.85%+2.18 +13.6 21
1945-09-02 @ Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-329.8 1152 1557 4.85% 20.53% 74.61%-2.18 -13.6 5
1945-09-02 Dynamo Leningrad W 2-061.6 1623 1716 29.79% 21.65% 48.56%-0.42 +71.5 21
1945-09-02 @ Zenit Leningrad L 0-261.6 1716 1623 48.56% 21.65% 29.79%+0.42 -71.5 23
1945-09-03 Dynamo Kyiv D 0-050.2 1354 1136 65.53% 21.33% 13.15%+1.20 -11.0 12
1945-09-03 @ Dinamo Minsk D 0-050.2 1136 1354 13.15% 21.33% 65.53%-1.20 +11.0 8
1945-09-05 Spartak Moscow W 3-141.9 1694 1245 75.91% 20.28% 3.80%+2.41 +6.4 23
1945-09-05 @ Zenit Leningrad L 1-341.9 1245 1694 3.80% 20.28% 75.91%-2.41 -6.4 9
1945-09-05 Dynamo Moscow L 1-253.9 1364 2023 1.58% 19.11% 79.32%-3.37 -1.5 15
1945-09-05 @ Krylia Sovetov W 2-153.9 2023 1364 79.32% 19.11% 1.58%+3.37 +1.5 36
1945-09-08 Traktor Stalingrad W 3-046.8 1835 1491 72.43% 20.83% 6.73%+1.86 +18.6 35
1945-09-08 @ CDKA Moscow L 0-346.8 1491 1835 6.73% 20.83% 72.43%-1.86 -18.6 17
1945-09-08 Torpedo Moscow D 0-055.8 1343 1546 17.94% 21.46% 60.60%-0.99 +8.7 13
1945-09-08 @ Dinamo Minsk D 0-055.8 1546 1343 60.60% 21.46% 17.94%+0.99 -8.7 25
1945-09-09 Dinamo Tbilisi L 2-733.3 1147 1570 5.71% 20.60% 73.68%-2.13 -17.7 8
1945-09-09 @ Dynamo Kyiv W 7-233.3 1570 1147 73.68% 20.60% 5.71%+2.13 +17.7 23
1945-09-09 Zenit Leningrad W 5-047.1 2025 1701 71.56% 20.93% 7.51%+1.76 +33.3 38
1945-09-09 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-547.1 1701 2025 7.51% 20.93% 71.56%-1.76 -33.3 23
1945-09-09 Spartak Moscow L 0-158.6 1644 1238 74.65% 20.53% 4.83%+2.18 -58.5 23
1945-09-09 @ Dynamo Leningrad W 1-058.6 1238 1644 4.83% 20.53% 74.65%-2.18 +58.5 11
1945-09-09 Krylia Sovetov L 2-442.7 1138 1362 16.19% 21.40% 62.40%-1.10 -22.2 5
1945-09-09 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 4-242.7 1362 1138 62.40% 21.40% 16.19%+1.10 +22.2 17
1945-09-12 Traktor Stalingrad W 2-047.0 1537 1472 51.03% 21.65% 27.32%+0.41 +44.8 27
1945-09-12 @ Torpedo Moscow L 0-247.0 1472 1537 27.32% 21.65% 51.03%-0.41 -44.8 17
1945-09-13 Krylia Sovetov W 4-144.5 1586 1385 64.35% 21.38% 14.27%+1.12 +31.5 25
1945-09-13 @ Dynamo Leningrad L 1-444.5 1385 1586 14.27% 21.38% 64.35%-1.12 -31.5 17
1945-09-13 Lokomotiv Moscow W 2-139.1 1351 1116 66.74% 21.27% 11.99%+1.29 +11.0 15
1945-09-13 @ Dinamo Minsk L 1-239.1 1116 1351 11.99% 21.27% 66.74%-1.29 -11.0 5
1945-09-14 Dinamo Tbilisi W 3-155.6 1854 1588 68.61% 21.16% 10.22%+1.45 +16.4 37
1945-09-14 @ CDKA Moscow L 1-355.6 1588 1854 10.22% 21.16% 68.61%-1.45 -16.4 23
1945-09-16 Spartak Moscow L 0-343.4 1362 1297 51.07% 21.65% 27.28%+0.41 -108.7 15
1945-09-16 @ Dinamo Minsk W 3-043.4 1297 1362 27.28% 21.65% 51.07%-0.41 +108.7 13
1945-09-16 Dynamo Leningrad W 2-049.1 2058 1617 75.67% 20.34% 4.00%+2.36 +7.7 40
1945-09-16 @ Dynamo Moscow L 0-249.1 1617 2058 4.00% 20.34% 75.67%-2.36 -7.7 25
1945-09-17 Traktor Stalingrad L 1-239.1 1130 1427 11.12% 21.16% 67.72%-1.48 -10.2 8
1945-09-17 @ Dynamo Kyiv W 2-139.1 1427 1130 67.72% 21.16% 11.12%+1.48 +10.2 19
1945-09-18 Dinamo Tbilisi L 0-159.0 1582 1571 43.99% 21.69% 34.32%+0.12 -34.8 27
1945-09-18 @ Torpedo Moscow W 1-059.0 1571 1582 34.32% 21.69% 43.99%-0.12 +34.8 25
1945-09-20 Krylia Sovetov W 3-042.5 1254 1353 28.96% 21.65% 49.39%-0.45 +105.4 17
1945-09-20 @ Dinamo Minsk L 0-342.5 1353 1254 49.39% 21.65% 28.96%+0.45 -105.4 17
1945-09-21 Spartak Moscow L 0-232.1 1105 1405 10.96% 21.15% 67.88%-1.50 -20.2 5
1945-09-21 @ Lokomotiv Moscow W 2-032.1 1405 1105 67.88% 21.15% 10.96%+1.50 +20.2 15
1945-09-22 CDKA Moscow L 0-267.5 2066 1870 63.91% 21.39% 14.70%+1.09 -93.2 40
1945-09-22 @ Dynamo Moscow W 2-067.5 1870 2066 14.70% 21.39% 63.91%-1.09 +93.2 39
1945-09-23 Dinamo Tbilisi D 0-054.9 1248 1606 8.07% 20.91% 71.02%-1.80 +13.6 18
1945-09-23 @ Krylia Sovetov D 0-054.9 1606 1248 71.02% 20.91% 8.07%+1.80 -13.6 26
1945-09-24 Traktor Stalingrad L 1-351.0 1426 1438 40.86% 21.69% 37.44%+0.01 -53.6 15
1945-09-24 @ Spartak Moscow W 3-151.0 1438 1426 37.44% 21.69% 40.86%-0.01 +53.6 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1945-09-09 4.83% Spartak Moscow 1238 1 @ Dynamo Leningrad 1644 0
2 1945-07-02 9.22% @ Krylia Sovetov 1308 3 Dynamo Leningrad 1642 2
3 1945-07-20 11.48% Krylia Sovetov 1372 2 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1616 1
4 1945-08-23 11.77% Zenit Leningrad 1513 4 @ Torpedo Moscow 1752 1
5 1945-09-22 14.70% CDKA Moscow 1870 2 @ Dynamo Moscow 2066 0
6 1945-05-27 19.74% @ Torpedo Moscow 1394 5 Spartak Moscow 1578 0
7 1945-09-16 27.28% Spartak Moscow 1297 3 @ Dinamo Minsk 1362 0
8 1945-09-20 28.96% @ Dinamo Minsk 1254 3 Krylia Sovetov 1353 0
9 1945-09-02 29.79% @ Zenit Leningrad 1623 2 Dynamo Leningrad 1716 0
10 1945-06-11 31.10% @ Dinamo Minsk 1309 4 Traktor Stalingrad 1391 1
11 1945-09-18 34.32% Dinamo Tbilisi 1571 1 @ Torpedo Moscow 1582 0
12 1945-06-22 34.66% Torpedo Moscow 1670 3 @ Dynamo Leningrad 1678 1
13 1945-08-28 36.76% Dynamo Leningrad 1639 4 @ Torpedo Moscow 1632 1
14 1945-07-30 36.79% Traktor Stalingrad 1429 2 @ Krylia Sovetov 1422 0
15 1945-06-01 37.05% @ Spartak Moscow 1378 2 Krylia Sovetov 1417 1
16 1945-09-24 37.44% Traktor Stalingrad 1438 3 @ Spartak Moscow 1426 1
17 1945-06-19 38.92% @ Dynamo Moscow 1731 3 Dinamo Tbilisi 1757 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1945-05-27 199.90 @ Torpedo Moscow 5 1394 19.74% Spartak Moscow 0 1578 58.76% 21.50%
2 1945-08-23 119.97 Zenit Leningrad 4 1513 11.77% @ Torpedo Moscow 1 1752 66.97% 21.26%
3 1945-05-27 117.10 CDKA Moscow 7 1645 57.12% @ Dynamo Kyiv 0 1478 21.34% 21.54%
4 1945-09-16 108.66 Spartak Moscow 3 1297 27.28% @ Dinamo Minsk 0 1362 51.07% 21.65%
5 1945-05-19 106.33 CDKA Moscow 7 1539 49.82% @ Lokomotiv Moscow 1 1436 28.54% 21.64%
6 1945-09-20 105.43 @ Dinamo Minsk 3 1254 28.96% Krylia Sovetov 0 1353 49.39% 21.65%
7 1945-05-20 104.88 Dynamo Leningrad 4 1496 42.86% @ Dinamo Minsk 0 1445 35.45% 21.69%
8 1945-09-22 93.20 CDKA Moscow 2 1870 14.70% @ Dynamo Moscow 0 2066 63.91% 21.39%
9 1945-06-19 87.23 @ Dynamo Moscow 3 1731 38.92% Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1757 39.39% 21.69%
10 1945-06-11 85.48 @ Dinamo Minsk 4 1309 31.10% Traktor Stalingrad 1 1391 47.24% 21.66%
11 1945-05-31 77.50 Dynamo Leningrad 5 1600 47.82% @ Traktor Stalingrad 1 1513 30.52% 21.66%
12 1945-08-28 76.76 Dynamo Leningrad 4 1639 36.76% @ Torpedo Moscow 1 1632 41.55% 21.69%
13 1945-06-08 74.28 @ Zenit Leningrad 4 1404 55.17% Lokomotiv Moscow 0 1303 23.23% 21.60%
14 1945-06-23 73.33 @ Zenit Leningrad 5 1464 49.84% Krylia Sovetov 1 1408 28.51% 21.66%
15 1945-09-02 71.50 @ Zenit Leningrad 2 1623 29.79% Dynamo Leningrad 0 1716 48.56% 21.65%
16 1945-07-22 69.81 Dynamo Moscow 4 1900 41.46% @ CDKA Moscow 1 1860 36.85% 21.69%
17 1945-07-18 67.16 @ Traktor Stalingrad 3 1312 49.94% Dynamo Kyiv 0 1255 28.40% 21.66%
18 1945-07-30 62.64 Traktor Stalingrad 2 1429 36.79% @ Krylia Sovetov 0 1422 41.52% 21.69%
19 1945-09-09 58.48 Spartak Moscow 1 1238 4.83% @ Dynamo Leningrad 0 1644 74.65% 20.53%
20 1945-06-22 56.52 Torpedo Moscow 3 1670 34.66% @ Dynamo Leningrad 1 1678 43.65% 21.69%
21 1945-09-24 53.56 Traktor Stalingrad 3 1438 37.44% @ Spartak Moscow 1 1426 40.86% 21.69%
22 1945-07-22 49.97 @ Traktor Stalingrad 2 1379 47.08% Spartak Moscow 0 1345 31.25% 21.68%
23 1945-07-20 49.22 Krylia Sovetov 2 1372 11.48% @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1616 67.28% 21.24%
24 1945-07-02 48.54 @ Krylia Sovetov 3 1308 9.22% Dynamo Leningrad 2 1642 69.75% 21.02%
25 1945-05-13 46.41 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1597 49.81% Dynamo Leningrad 0 1542 28.53% 21.66%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1945-06-07 77.8 @ CDKA Moscow 2 1769 54.05% Dynamo Leningrad 2 1678 24.33% 21.62%
2 1945-07-07 72.3 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1655 34.81% Torpedo Moscow 1 1710 43.50% 21.68%
3 1945-06-08 71.7 @ Torpedo Moscow 1 1606 28.79% Dynamo Moscow 1 1707 49.56% 21.64%
4 1945-08-10 71.7 @ Zenit Leningrad 1 1507 11.75% CDKA Moscow 1 1794 67.05% 21.20%
5 1945-07-27 71.1 @ Zenit Leningrad 2 1508 34.30% Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1567 44.02% 21.68%
6 1945-05-20 70.6 @ Spartak Moscow 1 1575 30.09% Dynamo Moscow 1 1665 48.26% 21.66%
7 1945-07-31 69.2 @ Dynamo Leningrad 1 1610 48.45% Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1565 29.88% 21.67%
8 1945-08-23 69.0 Zenit Leningrad 4 1513 11.77% @ Torpedo Moscow 1 1752 66.97% 21.26%
9 1945-07-02 68.8 @ Krylia Sovetov 3 1308 9.22% Dynamo Leningrad 2 1642 69.75% 21.02%
10 1945-09-22 67.5 CDKA Moscow 2 1870 14.70% @ Dynamo Moscow 0 2066 63.91% 21.39%
11 1945-08-14 66.4 CDKA Moscow 3 1784 54.18% @ Dynamo Leningrad 2 1644 24.23% 21.59%
12 1945-06-17 65.8 @ CDKA Moscow 0 1783 74.13% Krylia Sovetov 0 1393 5.26% 20.61%
13 1945-06-22 65.2 Torpedo Moscow 3 1670 34.66% @ Dynamo Leningrad 1 1678 43.65% 21.69%
14 1945-07-20 64.8 Krylia Sovetov 2 1372 11.48% @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1616 67.28% 21.24%
15 1945-08-27 63.1 @ Krylia Sovetov 1 1354 12.22% Zenit Leningrad 1 1633 66.56% 21.23%
16 1945-07-10 63.0 Dynamo Moscow 3 1890 66.73% @ Dynamo Leningrad 2 1608 12.06% 21.22%
17 1945-06-27 62.8 @ Dynamo Leningrad 3 1622 53.34% Zenit Leningrad 2 1537 25.04% 21.62%
18 1945-06-17 62.7 @ Dynamo Leningrad 1 1692 74.92% Dynamo Kyiv 1 1277 4.60% 20.48%
19 1945-07-15 62.5 CDKA Moscow 4 1835 59.72% @ Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1641 18.80% 21.48%
20 1945-07-22 62.4 Dynamo Moscow 4 1900 41.46% @ CDKA Moscow 1 1860 36.85% 21.69%
21 1945-09-02 61.6 @ Zenit Leningrad 2 1623 29.79% Dynamo Leningrad 0 1716 48.56% 21.65%
22 1945-08-28 61.5 Dynamo Leningrad 4 1639 36.76% @ Torpedo Moscow 1 1632 41.55% 21.69%
23 1945-06-30 61.3 CDKA Moscow 1 1781 41.56% @ Torpedo Moscow 0 1740 36.75% 21.69%
24 1945-07-15 60.7 @ Spartak Moscow 2 1345 36.81% Dinamo Minsk 2 1385 41.50% 21.69%
25 1945-08-15 60.3 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 0 1560 55.51% Traktor Stalingrad 0 1456 22.90% 21.60%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1945-09-02 29.8 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 3 1557 74.61% Lokomotiv Moscow 0 1152 4.85% 20.53%
2 1945-07-28 31.1 @ Torpedo Moscow 4 1715 78.30% Dynamo Kyiv 0 1157 2.10% 19.60%
3 1945-09-21 32.1 Spartak Moscow 2 1405 67.88% @ Lokomotiv Moscow 0 1105 10.96% 21.15%
4 1945-08-26 32.8 Traktor Stalingrad 2 1485 68.71% @ Lokomotiv Moscow 0 1171 10.19% 21.10%
5 1945-09-09 33.3 Dinamo Tbilisi 7 1570 73.68% @ Dynamo Kyiv 2 1147 5.71% 20.60%
6 1945-08-19 33.4 Dynamo Leningrad 2 1625 74.42% @ Lokomotiv Moscow 0 1180 5.09% 20.49%
7 1945-06-12 34.1 @ Dynamo Leningrad 3 1682 76.00% Lokomotiv Moscow 0 1229 3.73% 20.26%
8 1945-08-08 34.4 @ Torpedo Moscow 3 1743 78.10% Lokomotiv Moscow 0 1195 2.23% 19.67%
9 1945-06-08 34.5 @ Zenit Leningrad 4 1404 55.17% Lokomotiv Moscow 0 1303 23.23% 21.60%
10 1945-08-24 35.2 Dynamo Leningrad 1 1635 75.21% @ Dynamo Kyiv 0 1165 4.44% 20.35%
11 1945-07-18 35.9 @ Traktor Stalingrad 3 1312 49.94% Dynamo Kyiv 0 1255 28.40% 21.66%
12 1945-08-19 36.0 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 1 1554 71.56% Spartak Moscow 0 1230 7.51% 20.93%
13 1945-07-13 36.1 @ Krylia Sovetov 1 1357 62.20% Lokomotiv Moscow 0 1183 16.35% 21.45%
14 1945-06-17 36.4 @ Traktor Stalingrad 2 1306 53.65% Lokomotiv Moscow 0 1218 24.73% 21.62%
15 1945-06-13 36.7 @ Zenit Leningrad 2 1478 61.99% Dynamo Kyiv 0 1307 16.56% 21.46%
16 1945-08-07 37.1 @ Krylia Sovetov 2 1359 53.65% Spartak Moscow 0 1271 24.73% 21.62%
17 1945-08-02 37.4 Torpedo Moscow 4 1723 73.99% @ Spartak Moscow 0 1291 5.45% 20.56%
18 1945-05-27 37.6 @ Dinamo Tbilisi 5 1672 71.88% Dinamo Minsk 0 1341 7.22% 20.89%
19 1945-08-09 38.8 @ Dynamo Moscow 4 1976 82.04% Dynamo Kyiv 0 1147 0.48% 17.48%
20 1945-09-13 39.1 @ Dinamo Minsk 2 1351 66.74% Lokomotiv Moscow 1 1116 11.99% 21.27%
21 1945-09-17 39.1 Traktor Stalingrad 2 1427 67.72% @ Dynamo Kyiv 1 1130 11.12% 21.16%
22 1945-08-29 39.2 @ Spartak Moscow 1 1221 50.42% Dynamo Kyiv 0 1160 27.92% 21.65%
23 1945-07-22 40.1 @ Traktor Stalingrad 2 1379 47.08% Spartak Moscow 0 1345 31.25% 21.68%
24 1945-08-04 40.3 @ Dynamo Moscow 4 1974 81.44% Lokomotiv Moscow 0 1197 0.64% 17.92%
25 1945-08-05 40.8 @ CDKA Moscow 3 1792 79.69% Dynamo Kyiv 1 1149 1.32% 18.99%