1940-41 La Liga Season

132 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Atletico Aviacion

33 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1939-40

Relegated

Murcia

13 pts

Zaragoza · 14 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Atletico Aviacion

10.27 points above expected

33 points · 22.73 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Real Oviedo

7.28 points below expected

16 points · 23.28 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Atletico Aviacion	22	13	7	2	33	70	36	+34	22.7	+10.27
2	Atletico Bilbao	22	13	5	4	31	49	24	+25	23.4	+7.56
3	Barcelona	22	13	1	8	27	55	45	+10	23.6	+3.37
4	Valencia	22	11	5	6	27	60	52	+8	22.4	+4.61
5	Sevilla	22	12	2	8	26	70	43	+27	22.7	+3.34
6	Madrid CF	22	11	2	9	24	51	38	+13	23.7	+0.26
7	Espanol	22	10	2	10	22	50	54	-4	22.8	-0.83
8	Real Oviedo	22	7	2	13	16	36	63	-27	23.3	-7.28
9	Hercules	22	7	2	13	16	28	67	-39	21.2	-5.18
10	Celta Vigo	22	7	1	14	15	45	51	-6	19.0	-3.96
11	Real Zaragoza	22	5	4	13	14	26	41	-15	19.5	-5.54
12	Real Murcia	22	5	3	14	13	29	55	-26	19.6	-6.62

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Atletico Bilbao	1757	31	23.44	+7.56	99.0%	15	18	21	23	26	29	32
Madrid CF	1753	24	23.74	+0.26	56.0%	15	19	21	24	26	29	32
Barcelona	1738	27	23.63	+3.37	86.0%	10	18	21	24	26	29	33
Atletico Aviacion	1735	33	22.73	+10.27	100.0%	15	17	20	22	25	28	29
Valencia	1727	27	22.39	+4.61	95.0%	16	17	20	23	25	27	31
Sevilla	1720	26	22.66	+3.34	85.0%	12	16	20	23	25	29	34
Espanol	1711	22	22.83	-0.83	48.0%	12	18	21	23	25	28	31
Real Oviedo	1706	16	23.28	-7.28	1.0%	15	17	21	23	26	29	30
Hercules	1661	16	21.18	-5.18	9.0%	10	15	19	21	23	27	31
Celta Vigo	1623	15	18.96	-3.96	13.0%	11	13	16	19	21	24	27
Real Zaragoza	1610	14	19.54	-5.54	5.0%	12	14	17	20	22	24	28
Real Murcia	1606	13	19.62	-6.62	5.0%	9	12	17	20	22	26	28

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AA	AB	BAR	CV	ESP	HER	MC	RM	RO	RZ	SEV	VAL
Atletico Aviacion	—	1-1-0 2.76	1-1-0 2.87	2-0-0 3.30	2-0-0 2.94	1-1-0 3.08	2-0-0 2.70	1-1-0 3.32	1-0-1 2.96	1-1-0 3.41	1-1-0 2.92	0-1-1 2.91
Atletico Bilbao	0-1-1 3.04	—	1-0-1 2.98	2-0-0 3.46	1-1-0 3.03	1-0-1 3.16	2-0-0 2.87	2-0-0 3.53	2-0-0 3.02	0-2-0 3.50	1-0-1 3.05	1-1-0 3.04
Barcelona	0-1-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.82	—	2-0-0 3.40	0-0-2 2.96	2-0-0 3.07	2-0-0 2.79	2-0-0 3.41	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 3.39	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-1 2.95
Celta Vigo	0-0-2 2.50	0-0-2 2.35	0-0-2 2.40	—	1-0-1 2.47	2-0-0 2.61	0-0-2 2.28	1-0-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.94	0-1-1 2.48	1-0-1 2.43
Espanol	0-0-2 2.86	0-1-1 2.77	2-0-0 2.84	1-0-1 3.33	—	0-0-2 3.07	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 3.36	1-1-0 2.84	2-0-0 3.33	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.87
Hercules	0-1-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.64	0-0-2 2.72	0-0-2 3.19	2-0-0 2.73	—	0-0-2 2.62	1-1-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 3.21	1-0-1 2.72	0-0-2 2.77
Madrid CF	0-0-2 3.10	0-0-2 2.93	0-0-2 3.01	2-0-0 3.53	1-0-1 3.08	2-0-0 3.18	—	1-0-1 3.56	2-0-0 3.05	1-1-0 3.51	1-0-1 3.07	1-1-0 3.03
Real Murcia	0-1-1 2.49	0-0-2 2.28	0-0-2 2.39	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.44	0-1-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.25	—	0-0-2 2.43	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.43	0-1-1 2.39
Real Oviedo	1-0-1 2.84	0-0-2 2.77	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 3.34	0-1-1 2.95	1-0-1 3.04	0-0-2 2.75	2-0-0 3.37	—	1-0-1 3.36	0-0-2 2.96	0-1-1 2.86
Real Zaragoza	0-1-1 2.39	0-2-0 2.31	1-0-1 2.42	1-0-1 2.86	0-0-2 2.47	1-0-1 2.59	0-1-1 2.30	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.45	—	0-0-2 2.45	0-0-2 2.46
Sevilla	0-1-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.81	1-1-0 3.32	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 3.07	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 3.37	2-0-0 2.84	2-0-0 3.35	—	1-0-1 2.89
Valencia	1-1-0 2.89	0-1-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.85	1-0-1 3.37	1-0-1 2.93	2-0-0 3.03	0-1-1 2.77	1-1-0 3.41	1-1-0 2.93	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 2.90	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	1.52%	4.17%	2.65%	4.55%	1.52%	3.79%	18.18%
1	4.17%	5.30%	5.68%	6.44%	3.41%	3.03%	28.03%
2	2.65%	5.68%	3.03%	2.27%	0.38%	1.14%	15.15%
3	4.55%	6.44%	2.27%	3.03%	1.52%	1.52%	19.32%
4	1.52%	3.41%	0.38%	1.52%	0.76%	1.14%	8.71%
5+	3.79%	3.03%	1.14%	1.52%	1.14%	—	10.61%
Total	18.18%	28.03%	15.15%	19.32%	8.71%	10.61%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.16
Mean allowed	2.16
StdDev scored	1.88
StdDev allowed	1.88
Mean total goals/game	4.31
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.099
Sample size (games)	132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	—	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
5+	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
Total	18.18%	40.91%	13.64%	13.64%	13.64%	—	100%

Atletico Aviacion — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.18
Mean allowed	1.64
StdDev scored	1.71
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	4.82
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.051
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
1	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
2	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	22.73%	59.09%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	100%

Atletico Bilbao — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.23
Mean allowed	1.09
StdDev scored	1.88
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	3.32
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.154
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%	—	4.55%	31.82%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	31.82%	18.18%	9.09%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Barcelona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.50
Mean allowed	2.05
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	2.46
Mean total goals/game	4.55
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.354
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	36.36%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
5+	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
Total	13.64%	18.18%	27.27%	13.64%	18.18%	9.09%	100%

Celta Vigo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.05
Mean allowed	2.32
StdDev scored	2.10
StdDev allowed	1.55
Mean total goals/game	4.36
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.252
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
1	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	27.27%
2	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	31.82%
4	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	22.73%	13.64%	31.82%	4.55%	13.64%	100%

Espanol — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.27
Mean allowed	2.45
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	1.87
Mean total goals/game	4.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.405
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%	40.91%
1	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
2	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	22.73%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	4.55%	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	31.82%	100%

Hercules — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	3.05
StdDev scored	1.35
StdDev allowed	2.63
Mean total goals/game	4.32
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.178
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
Total	18.18%	40.91%	4.55%	27.27%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Madrid CF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.32
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.81
StdDev allowed	1.42
Mean total goals/game	4.05
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.168
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%
1	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%	9.09%	—	9.09%	50.00%
2	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	13.64%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	18.18%	22.73%	22.73%	4.55%	18.18%	100%

Real Murcia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.32
Mean allowed	2.50
StdDev scored	0.99
StdDev allowed	1.82
Mean total goals/game	3.82
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.303
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	40.91%
1	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%
2	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	9.09%	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
Total	4.55%	18.18%	13.64%	36.36%	13.64%	13.64%	100%

Real Oviedo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.64
Mean allowed	2.86
StdDev scored	1.87
StdDev allowed	1.61
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.318
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	45.45%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	36.36%	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Real Zaragoza — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.18
Mean allowed	1.86
StdDev scored	1.71
StdDev allowed	1.64
Mean total goals/game	3.05
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.161
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	31.82%
2	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
3	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
4	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	18.18%
Total	18.18%	27.27%	18.18%	13.64%	22.73%	—	100%

Sevilla — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.18
Mean allowed	1.95
StdDev scored	3.02
StdDev allowed	1.46
Mean total goals/game	5.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.030
Games played	22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
1	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
2	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	31.82%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
Total	18.18%	31.82%	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	18.18%	100%

Valencia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.73
Mean allowed	2.36
StdDev scored	1.55
StdDev allowed	2.50
Mean total goals/game	5.09
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.256
Games played	22

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Atletico Aviacion	33	22.7	+10.27
2	Atletico Bilbao	31	23.4	+7.56
3	Valencia	27	22.4	+4.61
4	Barcelona	27	23.6	+3.37
5	Sevilla	26	22.7	+3.34

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Real Oviedo	16	23.3	-7.28
2	Real Murcia	13	19.6	-6.62
3	Real Zaragoza	14	19.5	-5.54
4	Hercules	16	21.2	-5.18
5	Celta Vigo	15	19.0	-3.96

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Barcelona	5	Feb 2 – Mar 2	1 in 64
2	Atletico Bilbao	6	Jan 19 – Feb 23	1 in 54
3	Espanol	3	Nov 3 – Nov 17	1 in 44
4	Sevilla	3	Sep 29 – Oct 13	1 in 14
5	Atletico Aviacion	4	Feb 9 – Mar 2	1 in 13

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celta Vigo	6	Jan 5 – Feb 16	1 in 35
2	Real Murcia	6	Jan 26 – Mar 2	1 in 33
3	Real Zaragoza	4	Dec 29 – Jan 26	1 in 28
4	Hercules	4	Oct 20 – Nov 10	1 in 15
5	Madrid CF	3	Feb 9 – Feb 23	1 in 14

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atletico Aviacion	11	Dec 15 – Mar 2	1 in 1,331
2	Valencia	10	Dec 22 – Mar 2	1 in 314
3	Atletico Bilbao	11	Dec 8 – Feb 23	1 in 231
4	Sevilla	5	Sep 29 – Oct 27	1 in 20
5	Espanol	4	Oct 27 – Nov 17	1 in 18

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Zaragoza	9	Dec 8 – Feb 9	1 in 107
2	Atletico Bilbao	5	Sep 29 – Oct 27	1 in 51
3	Real Oviedo	5	Jan 21 – Feb 16	1 in 24
4	Hercules	6	Dec 8 – Jan 19	1 in 23
5	Celta Vigo	6	Jan 5 – Feb 16	1 in 11

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Atletico Aviacion	11.00%	14.00%	9.00%	12.00%	7.00%	17.00%	2.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Atletico Bilbao	14.00%	13.00%	10.00%	12.00%	10.00%	7.00%	10.00%	7.00%	9.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Barcelona	17.00%	13.00%	9.00%	9.00%	15.00%	4.00%	8.00%	7.00%	4.00%	6.00%	6.00%	2.00%
Valencia	4.00%	11.00%	10.00%	10.00%	13.00%	9.00%	14.00%	2.00%	7.00%	12.00%	7.00%	1.00%
Sevilla	10.00%	12.00%	10.00%	10.00%	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%	5.00%	7.00%	7.00%	11.00%	4.00%
Madrid CF	17.00%	10.00%	13.00%	13.00%	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	9.00%	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	—
Espanol	11.00%	6.00%	10.00%	12.00%	11.00%	8.00%	5.00%	15.00%	12.00%	4.00%	2.00%	4.00%
Real Oviedo	9.00%	10.00%	12.00%	9.00%	10.00%	6.00%	13.00%	13.00%	5.00%	7.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Hercules	4.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	10.00%	9.00%	12.00%	11.00%	14.00%	12.00%
Celta Vigo	—	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	5.00%	6.00%	15.00%	11.00%	17.00%	24.00%
Real Zaragoza	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	6.00%	11.00%	10.00%	11.00%	16.00%	13.00%	20.00%
Real Murcia	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	2.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	10.00%	9.00%	13.00%	10.00%	26.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff
Atletico Aviacion	89.0%	11.0%
Atletico Bilbao	96.0%	4.0%
Barcelona	92.0%	8.0%
Celta Vigo	59.0%	41.0%
Espanol	94.0%	6.0%
Hercules	74.0%	26.0%
Madrid CF	94.0%	6.0%
Real Murcia	64.0%	36.0%
Real Oviedo	94.0%	6.0%
Real Zaragoza	67.0%	33.0%
Sevilla	85.0%	15.0%
Valencia	92.0%	8.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1940-09-29	Celta Vigo	W 5-4	1702	1621	80.9%	9.1%	10.0%	+0.3	3
1940-09-29	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 4-5	1621	1702	10.0%	9.1%	80.9%	-0.3	0
1940-09-29	Real Oviedo	W 5-0	1711	1732	73.3%	10.3%	16.4%	+2.5	3
1940-09-29	@ Espanol	L 0-5	1732	1711	16.4%	10.3%	73.3%	-2.5	0
1940-09-29	Real Murcia	W 4-0	1694	1621	80.3%	9.2%	10.4%	+1.3	3
1940-09-29	@ Hercules	L 0-4	1621	1694	10.4%	9.2%	80.3%	-1.3	0
1940-09-29	Madrid CF	D 1-1	1621	1750	62.4%	11.0%	26.6%	-0.3	1
1940-09-29	@ Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1750	1621	26.6%	11.0%	62.4%	+0.3	1
1940-09-29	Barcelona	W 11-1	1701	1728	72.8%	10.4%	16.9%	+4.1	3
1940-09-29	@ Sevilla	L 1-11	1728	1701	16.9%	10.4%	72.8%	-4.0	0
1940-09-29	Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1716	1749	72.3%	10.4%	17.3%	-0.3	1
1940-09-29	@ Valencia	D 2-2	1749	1716	17.3%	10.4%	72.3%	+0.3	1
1940-10-06	Real Zaragoza	D 0-0	1749	1621	83.6%	8.4%	7.9%	-0.7	2
1940-10-06	@ Atletico Bilbao	D 0-0	1621	1749	7.9%	8.4%	83.6%	+0.7	2
1940-10-06	Valencia	W 4-3	1724	1716	75.7%	10.0%	14.3%	+0.4	3
1940-10-06	@ Barcelona	L 3-4	1716	1724	14.3%	10.0%	75.7%	-0.4	1
1940-10-06	Espanol	W 7-1	1621	1714	66.4%	10.8%	22.7%	+3.3	3
1940-10-06	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-7	1714	1621	22.7%	10.8%	66.4%	-3.3	3
1940-10-06	Hercules	W 5-3	1751	1695	79.2%	9.4%	11.4%	+0.5	4
1940-10-06	@ Madrid CF	L 3-5	1695	1751	11.4%	9.4%	79.2%	-0.5	3
1940-10-06	Atletico Aviacion	D 1-1	1619	1703	67.4%	10.8%	21.8%	-0.4	1
1940-10-06	@ Real Murcia	D 1-1	1703	1619	21.8%	10.8%	67.4%	+0.4	4
1940-10-06	Sevilla	L 0-4	1730	1705	77.0%	9.8%	13.2%	-8.6	0
1940-10-06	@ Real Oviedo	W 4-0	1705	1730	13.2%	9.8%	77.0%	+8.6	6
1940-10-12	Barcelona	W 2-1	1621	1724	65.4%	10.9%	23.7%	+0.8	5
1940-10-12	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-2	1724	1621	23.7%	10.9%	65.4%	-0.8	3
1940-10-13	Madrid CF	W 3-1	1703	1751	70.9%	10.5%	18.6%	+1.0	7
1940-10-13	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-3	1751	1703	18.6%	10.5%	70.9%	-1.0	4
1940-10-13	Real Murcia	W 2-1	1710	1619	81.5%	9.0%	9.6%	+0.3	6
1940-10-13	@ Espanol	L 1-2	1619	1710	9.6%	9.0%	81.5%	-0.3	1
1940-10-13	Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1695	1749	70.3%	10.6%	19.1%	+0.6	6
1940-10-13	@ Hercules	L 0-1	1749	1695	19.1%	10.6%	70.3%	-0.6	2
1940-10-13	Celta Vigo	W 4-3	1721	1624	81.8%	8.9%	9.3%	+0.3	3
1940-10-13	@ Real Oviedo	L 3-4	1624	1721	9.3%	8.9%	81.8%	-0.3	3
1940-10-13	Valencia	W 10-3	1714	1715	74.9%	10.1%	15.0%	+1.9	9
1940-10-13	@ Sevilla	L 3-10	1715	1714	15.0%	10.1%	74.9%	-1.9	1
1940-10-20	Atletico Aviacion	L 0-5	1748	1704	78.4%	9.6%	12.0%	-10.8	2
1940-10-20	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 5-0	1704	1748	12.0%	9.6%	78.4%	+10.8	10
1940-10-20	Hercules	W 3-2	1723	1695	77.2%	9.8%	13.0%	+0.4	6
1940-10-20	@ Barcelona	L 2-3	1695	1723	13.0%	9.8%	77.2%	-0.4	6
1940-10-20	Sevilla	D 2-2	1624	1715	66.6%	10.8%	22.6%	-0.3	4
1940-10-20	@ Celta Vigo	D 2-2	1715	1624	22.6%	10.8%	66.6%	+0.3	10
1940-10-20	Espanol	W 4-1	1750	1711	78.1%	9.7%	12.3%	+1.0	7
1940-10-20	@ Madrid CF	L 1-4	1711	1750	12.3%	9.7%	78.1%	-1.0	6
1940-10-20	Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1619	1721	65.4%	10.9%	23.7%	-1.9	1
1940-10-20	@ Real Murcia	W 2-1	1721	1619	23.7%	10.9%	65.4%	+1.9	6
1940-10-20	Real Zaragoza	W 1-0	1714	1622	81.5%	9.0%	9.6%	+0.3	4
1940-10-20	@ Valencia	L 0-1	1622	1714	9.6%	9.0%	81.5%	-0.3	5
1940-10-27	Barcelona	D 4-4	1715	1724	74.3%	10.2%	15.5%	-0.2	11
1940-10-27	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 4-4	1724	1715	15.5%	10.2%	74.3%	+0.2	7
1940-10-27	Real Murcia	W 5-1	1624	1617	75.6%	10.0%	14.4%	+1.5	7
1940-10-27	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-5	1617	1624	14.4%	10.0%	75.6%	-1.5	1
1940-10-27	Atletico Bilbao	D 1-1	1710	1737	72.7%	10.4%	16.9%	-0.4	7
1940-10-27	@ Espanol	D 1-1	1737	1710	16.9%	10.4%	72.7%	+0.4	3
1940-10-27	Valencia	L 0-2	1695	1714	73.5%	10.3%	16.2%	-4.4	6
1940-10-27	@ Hercules	W 2-0	1714	1695	16.2%	10.3%	73.5%	+4.3	7
1940-10-27	Madrid CF	L 0-2	1723	1751	72.7%	10.4%	16.9%	-4.3	6
1940-10-27	@ Real Oviedo	W 2-0	1751	1723	16.9%	10.4%	72.7%	+4.3	10
1940-10-27	Real Zaragoza	W 4-1	1716	1622	81.6%	8.9%	9.4%	+0.7	13
1940-10-27	@ Sevilla	L 1-4	1622	1716	9.4%	8.9%	81.6%	-0.7	5
1940-11-03	Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1738	1719	76.5%	9.9%	13.6%	+0.4	6
1940-11-03	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1719	1738	13.6%	9.9%	76.5%	-0.4	6
1940-11-03	Espanol	L 2-3	1724	1709	76.2%	9.9%	13.8%	-2.1	7
1940-11-03	@ Barcelona	W 3-2	1709	1724	13.8%	9.9%	76.2%	+2.1	10
1940-11-03	Celta Vigo	W 3-1	1756	1625	83.7%	8.4%	7.9%	+0.4	13
1940-11-03	@ Madrid CF	L 1-3	1625	1756	7.9%	8.4%	83.7%	-0.4	7
1940-11-03	Sevilla	W 2-1	1615	1716	65.6%	10.9%	23.5%	+0.8	4
1940-11-03	@ Real Murcia	L 1-2	1716	1615	23.5%	10.9%	65.6%	-0.8	13
1940-11-03	Hercules	W 7-0	1621	1691	68.8%	10.7%	20.5%	+4.2	8
1940-11-03	@ Real Zaragoza	L 0-7	1691	1621	20.5%	10.7%	68.8%	-4.2	6
1940-11-03	Atletico Aviacion	W 3-1	1718	1715	75.3%	10.1%	14.6%	+0.8	10
1940-11-03	@ Valencia	L 1-3	1715	1718	14.6%	10.1%	75.3%	-0.8	11
1940-11-10	Real Zaragoza	W 3-1	1714	1625	81.3%	9.0%	9.7%	+0.5	14
1940-11-10	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-3	1625	1714	9.7%	9.0%	81.3%	-0.5	8
1940-11-10	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1625	1738	64.2%	10.9%	24.9%	-1.9	7
1940-11-10	@ Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1738	1625	24.9%	10.9%	64.2%	+1.9	9
1940-11-10	Valencia	W 2-1	1711	1719	74.4%	10.2%	15.4%	+0.5	13
1940-11-10	@ Espanol	L 1-2	1719	1711	15.4%	10.2%	74.4%	-0.5	10
1940-11-10	Madrid CF	W 3-1	1616	1756	61.2%	11.0%	27.8%	+1.5	7
1940-11-10	@ Real Murcia	L 1-3	1756	1616	27.8%	11.0%	61.2%	-1.5	13
1940-11-10	Barcelona	W 3-1	1719	1722	74.8%	10.1%	15.1%	+0.9	9
1940-11-10	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-3	1722	1719	15.1%	10.1%	74.8%	-0.8	7
1940-11-10	Hercules	W 8-3	1716	1686	77.3%	9.8%	12.9%	+1.2	16
1940-11-10	@ Sevilla	L 3-8	1686	1716	12.9%	9.8%	77.3%	-1.2	6
1940-11-17	Real Murcia	W 6-1	1740	1618	83.3%	8.5%	8.2%	+1.0	12
1940-11-17	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-6	1618	1740	8.2%	8.5%	83.3%	-1.0	7
1940-11-17	Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1721	1623	81.9%	8.9%	9.2%	+0.6	10
1940-11-17	@ Barcelona	L 0-2	1623	1721	9.2%	8.9%	81.9%	-0.6	7
1940-11-17	Atletico Aviacion	D 3-3	1685	1714	72.6%	10.4%	17.0%	-0.3	7
1940-11-17	@ Hercules	D 3-3	1714	1685	17.0%	10.4%	72.6%	+0.3	15
1940-11-17	Sevilla	W 4-1	1754	1717	77.9%	9.7%	12.4%	+1.0	16
1940-11-17	@ Madrid CF	L 1-4	1717	1754	12.4%	9.7%	77.9%	-1.0	16
1940-11-17	Espanol	L 0-3	1625	1712	67.0%	10.8%	22.1%	-5.8	8
1940-11-17	@ Real Zaragoza	W 3-0	1712	1625	22.1%	10.8%	67.0%	+5.8	16
1940-11-17	Real Oviedo	W 5-1	1719	1719	75.0%	10.1%	14.9%	+1.5	13
1940-11-17	@ Valencia	L 1-5	1719	1719	14.9%	10.1%	75.0%	-1.5	9
1940-11-24	Valencia	W 6-2	1622	1720	65.9%	10.9%	23.2%	+2.0	10
1940-11-24	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-6	1720	1622	23.2%	10.9%	65.9%	-2.0	13
1940-11-24	Hercules	L 1-2	1718	1685	77.6%	9.7%	12.7%	-2.3	16
1940-11-24	@ Espanol	W 2-1	1685	1718	12.7%	9.7%	77.6%	+2.3	10
1940-11-24	Atletico Bilbao	L 0-1	1755	1741	76.2%	9.9%	13.9%	-2.4	16
1940-11-24	@ Madrid CF	W 1-0	1741	1755	13.9%	9.9%	76.2%	+2.4	15
1940-11-24	Barcelona	L 1-3	1617	1722	65.1%	10.9%	24.0%	-3.4	7
1940-11-24	@ Real Murcia	W 3-1	1722	1617	24.0%	10.9%	65.1%	+3.3	13
1940-11-24	Real Zaragoza	W 5-4	1718	1619	81.9%	8.9%	9.2%	+0.3	12
1940-11-24	@ Real Oviedo	L 4-5	1619	1718	9.2%	8.9%	81.9%	-0.3	8
1940-11-24	Atletico Aviacion	D 1-1	1716	1715	75.1%	10.1%	14.8%	-0.5	17
1940-11-24	@ Sevilla	D 1-1	1715	1716	14.8%	10.1%	75.1%	+0.5	16
1940-12-01	Espanol	W 5-3	1715	1715	75.0%	10.1%	14.9%	+0.7	19
1940-12-01	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 3-5	1715	1715	14.9%	10.1%	75.0%	-0.7	16
1940-12-01	Madrid CF	W 3-0	1725	1753	72.7%	10.4%	16.9%	+1.6	16
1940-12-01	@ Barcelona	L 0-3	1753	1725	16.9%	10.4%	72.7%	-1.6	16
1940-12-01	Real Oviedo	W 3-0	1687	1718	72.4%	10.4%	17.2%	+1.6	13
1940-12-01	@ Hercules	L 0-3	1718	1687	17.2%	10.4%	72.4%	-1.6	12
1940-12-01	Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1619	1624	74.6%	10.2%	15.2%	+0.5	11
1940-12-01	@ Real Zaragoza	L 0-1	1624	1619	15.2%	10.2%	74.6%	-0.5	10
1940-12-01	Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1715	1743	72.7%	10.4%	16.9%	+0.6	20
1940-12-01	@ Sevilla	L 0-1	1743	1715	16.9%	10.4%	72.7%	-0.6	15
1940-12-01	Real Murcia	D 3-3	1718	1613	82.3%	8.8%	8.9%	-0.4	14
1940-12-01	@ Valencia	D 3-3	1613	1718	8.9%	8.8%	82.3%	+0.4	8
1940-12-08	Barcelona	W 3-1	1743	1727	76.3%	9.9%	13.8%	+0.8	18
1940-12-08	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-3	1727	1743	13.8%	9.9%	76.3%	-0.8	16
1940-12-08	Hercules	W 2-0	1624	1689	69.2%	10.7%	20.1%	+1.3	13
1940-12-08	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-2	1689	1624	20.1%	10.7%	69.2%	-1.3	13
1940-12-08	Sevilla	W 4-3	1715	1716	74.9%	10.1%	14.9%	+0.5	19
1940-12-08	@ Espanol	L 3-4	1716	1715	14.9%	10.1%	74.9%	-0.5	20
1940-12-08	Valencia	W 6-1	1751	1718	77.6%	9.7%	12.7%	+1.6	19
1940-12-08	@ Madrid CF	L 1-6	1718	1751	12.7%	9.7%	77.6%	-1.6	14
1940-12-08	Real Zaragoza	W 1-0	1614	1619	74.6%	10.2%	15.3%	+0.5	11
1940-12-08	@ Real Murcia	L 0-1	1619	1614	15.3%	10.2%	74.6%	-0.5	11
1940-12-08	Atletico Aviacion	W 4-3	1717	1716	75.1%	10.1%	14.8%	+0.4	15
1940-12-08	@ Real Oviedo	L 3-4	1716	1717	14.8%	10.1%	75.1%	-0.4	19
1940-12-15	Valencia	W 5-0	1743	1716	77.2%	9.8%	13.0%	+2.0	21
1940-12-15	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-5	1716	1743	13.0%	9.8%	77.2%	-2.0	14
1940-12-15	Sevilla	W 4-0	1726	1716	75.9%	10.0%	14.1%	+1.7	19
1940-12-15	@ Barcelona	L 0-4	1716	1726	14.1%	10.0%	75.9%	-1.7	20
1940-12-15	Atletico Aviacion	L 0-2	1625	1715	66.7%	10.8%	22.5%	-4.0	13
1940-12-15	@ Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1715	1625	22.5%	10.8%	66.7%	+4.0	22
1940-12-15	Real Zaragoza	W 6-0	1753	1619	84.0%	8.3%	7.7%	+1.4	22
1940-12-15	@ Madrid CF	L 0-6	1619	1753	7.7%	8.3%	84.0%	-1.4	11
1940-12-15	Hercules	D 0-0	1614	1687	68.5%	10.7%	20.8%	-0.4	12
1940-12-15	@ Real Murcia	D 0-0	1687	1614	20.8%	10.7%	68.5%	+0.4	14
1940-12-15	Espanol	D 3-3	1717	1715	75.2%	10.1%	14.7%	-0.3	16
1940-12-15	@ Real Oviedo	D 3-3	1715	1717	14.7%	10.1%	75.2%	+0.3	20
1940-12-22	Real Murcia	W 6-0	1719	1614	82.3%	8.8%	8.9%	+1.6	25
1940-12-22	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-6	1614	1719	8.9%	8.8%	82.3%	-1.6	12
1940-12-22	Celta Vigo	W 4-1	1715	1621	81.7%	8.9%	9.4%	+0.7	23
1940-12-22	@ Espanol	L 1-4	1621	1715	9.4%	8.9%	81.7%	-0.7	13
1940-12-22	Madrid CF	L 0-3	1688	1754	69.1%	10.7%	20.2%	-6.0	14
1940-12-22	@ Hercules	W 3-0	1754	1688	20.2%	10.7%	69.1%	+6.0	25
1940-12-22	Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1617	1745	62.5%	11.0%	26.5%	-0.2	12
1940-12-22	@ Real Zaragoza	D 2-2	1745	1617	26.5%	11.0%	62.5%	+0.2	22
1940-12-22	Real Oviedo	W 4-1	1714	1717	74.8%	10.1%	15.1%	+1.2	23
1940-12-22	@ Sevilla	L 1-4	1717	1714	15.1%	10.1%	74.8%	-1.2	16
1940-12-22	Barcelona	W 3-1	1714	1728	73.9%	10.2%	15.8%	+0.9	17
1940-12-22	@ Valencia	L 1-3	1728	1714	15.8%	10.2%	73.9%	-0.9	19
1940-12-29	Hercules	W 4-0	1746	1682	79.7%	9.3%	10.9%	+1.3	25
1940-12-29	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-4	1682	1746	10.9%	9.3%	79.7%	-1.3	14
1940-12-29	Real Zaragoza	W 2-0	1727	1617	82.6%	8.7%	8.7%	+0.6	22
1940-12-29	@ Barcelona	L 0-2	1617	1727	8.7%	8.7%	82.6%	-0.6	12
1940-12-29	Real Oviedo	W 3-1	1620	1715	66.2%	10.8%	23.0%	+1.3	16
1940-12-29	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-3	1715	1620	23.0%	10.8%	66.2%	-1.3	16
1940-12-29	Atletico Aviacion	L 1-4	1760	1721	78.0%	9.7%	12.3%	-5.6	25
1940-12-29	@ Madrid CF	W 4-1	1721	1760	12.3%	9.7%	78.0%	+5.6	28
1940-12-29	Espanol	W 3-1	1612	1716	65.2%	10.9%	23.8%	+1.3	15
1940-12-29	@ Real Murcia	L 1-3	1716	1612	23.8%	10.9%	65.2%	-1.3	23
1940-12-29	Sevilla	W 4-1	1715	1715	75.0%	10.1%	14.8%	+1.2	20
1940-12-29	@ Valencia	L 1-4	1715	1715	14.8%	10.1%	75.0%	-1.2	23
1941-01-05	Madrid CF	W 3-2	1715	1755	71.6%	10.5%	17.9%	+0.5	26
1941-01-05	@ Espanol	L 2-3	1755	1715	17.9%	10.5%	71.6%	-0.5	25
1941-01-05	Barcelona	L 1-3	1681	1727	71.0%	10.5%	18.5%	-3.6	14
1941-01-05	@ Hercules	W 3-1	1727	1681	18.5%	10.5%	71.0%	+3.6	25
1941-01-05	Real Murcia	W 2-1	1714	1614	82.0%	8.8%	9.1%	+0.3	19
1941-01-05	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1614	1714	9.1%	8.8%	82.0%	-0.3	15
1941-01-05	Valencia	L 1-2	1617	1716	65.7%	10.9%	23.4%	-2.0	12
1941-01-05	@ Real Zaragoza	W 2-1	1716	1617	23.4%	10.9%	65.7%	+2.0	23
1941-01-05	Celta Vigo	W 3-0	1714	1621	81.5%	8.9%	9.5%	+0.9	26
1941-01-05	@ Sevilla	L 0-3	1621	1714	9.5%	8.9%	81.5%	-0.9	16
1941-01-06	Atletico Bilbao	D 1-1	1727	1747	73.3%	10.3%	16.4%	-0.5	29
1941-01-06	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 1-1	1747	1727	16.4%	10.3%	73.3%	+0.5	26
1941-01-19	Espanol	W 6-2	1747	1715	77.5%	9.7%	12.8%	+1.1	29
1941-01-19	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 2-6	1715	1747	12.8%	9.7%	77.5%	-1.1	26
1941-01-19	Atletico Aviacion	L 2-4	1731	1726	75.4%	10.1%	14.5%	-3.5	25
1941-01-19	@ Barcelona	W 4-2	1726	1731	14.5%	10.1%	75.4%	+3.5	32
1941-01-19	Celta Vigo	W 3-0	1613	1621	74.5%	10.2%	15.4%	+1.5	18
1941-01-19	@ Real Murcia	L 0-3	1621	1613	15.4%	10.2%	74.5%	-1.4	16
1941-01-19	Sevilla	L 0-3	1615	1715	65.7%	10.9%	23.4%	-5.7	12
1941-01-19	@ Real Zaragoza	W 3-0	1715	1615	23.4%	10.9%	65.7%	+5.7	29
1941-01-19	Hercules	W 6-0	1718	1677	78.2%	9.6%	12.2%	+2.2	26
1941-01-19	@ Valencia	L 0-6	1677	1718	12.2%	9.6%	78.2%	-2.2	14
1941-01-21	Real Oviedo	W 1-0	1754	1714	78.1%	9.7%	12.3%	+0.4	28
1941-01-21	@ Madrid CF	L 0-1	1714	1754	12.3%	9.7%	78.1%	-0.4	19
1941-01-26	Valencia	D 2-2	1730	1720	75.8%	10.0%	14.2%	-0.4	33
1941-01-26	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 2-2	1720	1730	14.2%	10.0%	75.8%	+0.4	27
1941-01-26	Madrid CF	L 1-2	1619	1755	61.7%	11.0%	27.3%	-1.8	16
1941-01-26	@ Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1755	1619	27.3%	11.0%	61.7%	+1.8	31
1941-01-26	Barcelona	W 3-1	1714	1728	74.0%	10.2%	15.8%	+0.9	29
1941-01-26	@ Espanol	L 1-3	1728	1714	15.8%	10.2%	74.0%	-0.9	25
1941-01-26	Real Zaragoza	W 1-0	1675	1609	79.8%	9.3%	10.8%	+0.4	17
1941-01-26	@ Hercules	L 0-1	1609	1675	10.8%	9.3%	79.8%	-0.4	12
1941-01-26	Atletico Bilbao	L 0-2	1714	1749	72.1%	10.4%	17.5%	-4.3	19
1941-01-26	@ Real Oviedo	W 2-0	1749	1714	17.5%	10.4%	72.1%	+4.3	32
1941-01-26	Real Murcia	W 3-2	1720	1615	82.3%	8.8%	8.9%	+0.3	32
1941-01-26	@ Sevilla	L 2-3	1615	1720	8.9%	8.8%	82.3%	-0.3	18
1941-02-02	Celta Vigo	W 4-1	1753	1617	84.0%	8.3%	7.7%	+0.6	35
1941-02-02	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-4	1617	1753	7.7%	8.3%	84.0%	-0.6	16
1941-02-02	Real Oviedo	W 7-0	1727	1710	76.4%	9.9%	13.7%	+2.9	28
1941-02-02	@ Barcelona	L 0-7	1710	1727	13.7%	9.9%	76.4%	-2.9	19
1941-02-02	Sevilla	W 1-0	1675	1721	71.1%	10.5%	18.4%	+0.6	20
1941-02-02	@ Hercules	L 0-1	1721	1675	18.4%	10.5%	71.1%	-0.6	32
1941-02-02	Real Murcia	W 2-1	1756	1614	84.4%	8.2%	7.4%	+0.2	34
1941-02-02	@ Madrid CF	L 1-2	1614	1756	7.4%	8.2%	84.4%	-0.2	18
1941-02-02	Atletico Aviacion	D 1-1	1609	1729	63.4%	11.0%	25.6%	-0.3	13
1941-02-02	@ Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1729	1609	25.6%	11.0%	63.4%	+0.3	34
1941-02-02	Espanol	W 3-0	1721	1715	75.5%	10.0%	14.5%	+1.4	30
1941-02-02	@ Valencia	L 0-3	1715	1721	14.5%	10.0%	75.5%	-1.4	29
1941-02-09	Hercules	W 7-1	1729	1676	79.0%	9.5%	11.5%	+1.7	37
1941-02-09	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-7	1676	1729	11.5%	9.5%	79.0%	-1.7	20
1941-02-09	Barcelona	L 1-4	1617	1729	64.3%	10.9%	24.8%	-4.7	16
1941-02-09	@ Celta Vigo	W 4-1	1729	1617	24.8%	10.9%	64.3%	+4.7	31
1941-02-09	Real Zaragoza	W 3-0	1714	1608	82.3%	8.8%	8.9%	+0.8	32
1941-02-09	@ Espanol	L 0-3	1608	1714	8.9%	8.8%	82.3%	-0.8	13
1941-02-09	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-3	1614	1753	61.2%	11.0%	27.7%	-3.2	18
1941-02-09	@ Real Murcia	W 3-1	1753	1614	27.7%	11.0%	61.2%	+3.2	38
1941-02-09	Valencia	D 3-3	1707	1722	73.8%	10.2%	16.0%	-0.3	20
1941-02-09	@ Real Oviedo	D 3-3	1722	1707	16.0%	10.2%	73.8%	+0.3	31
1941-02-09	Madrid CF	W 5-4	1720	1757	71.9%	10.4%	17.6%	+0.5	35
1941-02-09	@ Sevilla	L 4-5	1757	1720	17.6%	10.4%	71.9%	-0.5	34
1941-02-16	Madrid CF	W 3-1	1757	1756	75.1%	10.1%	14.8%	+0.8	41
1941-02-16	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-3	1756	1757	14.8%	10.1%	75.1%	-0.8	34
1941-02-16	Sevilla	W 3-1	1731	1721	75.9%	10.0%	14.1%	+0.8	40
1941-02-16	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-3	1721	1731	14.1%	10.0%	75.9%	-0.8	35
1941-02-16	Real Murcia	W 3-0	1734	1611	83.3%	8.5%	8.2%	+0.8	34
1941-02-16	@ Barcelona	L 0-3	1611	1734	8.2%	8.5%	83.3%	-0.8	18
1941-02-16	Espanol	W 3-2	1674	1715	71.6%	10.5%	18.0%	+0.5	23
1941-02-16	@ Hercules	L 2-3	1715	1674	18.0%	10.5%	71.6%	-0.5	32
1941-02-16	Real Oviedo	W 3-0	1608	1707	65.8%	10.9%	23.4%	+2.2	16
1941-02-16	@ Real Zaragoza	L 0-3	1707	1608	23.4%	10.9%	65.8%	-2.2	20
1941-02-16	Celta Vigo	W 5-1	1722	1612	82.6%	8.7%	8.7%	+0.9	34
1941-02-16	@ Valencia	L 1-5	1612	1722	8.7%	8.7%	82.6%	-0.9	16
1941-02-23	Sevilla	W 2-1	1757	1720	77.9%	9.7%	12.4%	+0.4	44
1941-02-23	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1720	1757	12.4%	9.7%	77.9%	-0.4	35
1941-02-23	Atletico Aviacion	L 2-3	1714	1732	73.6%	10.3%	16.2%	-2.1	32
1941-02-23	@ Espanol	W 3-2	1732	1714	16.2%	10.3%	73.6%	+2.1	43
1941-02-23	Barcelona	L 1-2	1755	1735	76.6%	9.9%	13.5%	-2.3	34
1941-02-23	@ Madrid CF	W 2-1	1735	1755	13.5%	9.9%	76.6%	+2.3	37
1941-02-23	Valencia	L 2-5	1610	1723	64.2%	10.9%	24.8%	-4.0	18
1941-02-23	@ Real Murcia	W 5-2	1723	1610	24.8%	10.9%	64.2%	+4.0	37
1941-02-23	Hercules	W 6-0	1704	1675	77.3%	9.8%	12.9%	+2.3	23
1941-02-23	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-6	1675	1704	12.9%	9.8%	77.3%	-2.3	23
1941-03-02	Real Oviedo	W 3-0	1734	1707	77.2%	9.8%	13.1%	+1.2	46
1941-03-02	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-3	1707	1734	13.1%	9.8%	77.2%	-1.2	23
1941-03-02	Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1737	1758	73.3%	10.3%	16.4%	+0.6	40
1941-03-02	@ Barcelona	L 0-1	1758	1737	16.4%	10.3%	73.3%	-0.6	44
1941-03-02	Celta Vigo	L 0-5	1672	1611	79.5%	9.4%	11.1%	-11.0	23
1941-03-02	@ Hercules	W 5-0	1611	1672	11.1%	9.4%	79.5%	+11.0	19
1941-03-02	Real Murcia	W 2-1	1610	1606	75.3%	10.1%	14.6%	+0.5	19
1941-03-02	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-2	1606	1610	14.6%	10.1%	75.3%	-0.5	18
1941-03-02	Espanol	W 3-1	1719	1712	75.6%	10.0%	14.3%	+0.8	38
1941-03-02	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1712	1719	14.3%	10.0%	75.6%	-0.8	32
1941-03-02	Madrid CF	D 1-1	1727	1753	72.9%	10.3%	16.8%	-0.4	38
1941-03-02	@ Valencia	D 1-1	1753	1727	16.8%	10.3%	72.9%	+0.4	35
1941-03-30	Real Zaragoza	W 1-0	1622	1610	76.0%	10.0%	14.0%	+0.5	22
1941-03-30	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-1	1610	1622	14.0%	10.0%	76.0%	-0.5	19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1941-03-02	11.08%	Celta Vigo	1611	5	@ Hercules	1672	0
2	1940-10-20	12.04%	Atletico Aviacion	1704	5	@ Atletico Bilbao	1748	0
3	1940-12-29	12.30%	Atletico Aviacion	1721	4	@ Madrid CF	1760	1
4	1940-11-24	12.70%	Hercules	1685	2	@ Espanol	1718	1
5	1940-10-06	13.20%	Sevilla	1705	4	@ Real Oviedo	1730	0
6	1941-02-23	13.48%	Barcelona	1735	2	@ Madrid CF	1755	1
7	1940-11-03	13.84%	Espanol	1709	3	@ Barcelona	1724	2
8	1940-11-24	13.87%	Atletico Bilbao	1741	1	@ Madrid CF	1755	0
9	1941-01-19	14.52%	Atletico Aviacion	1726	4	@ Barcelona	1731	2
10	1941-02-23	16.17%	Atletico Aviacion	1732	3	@ Espanol	1714	2
11	1940-10-27	16.25%	Valencia	1714	2	@ Hercules	1695	0
12	1940-10-27	16.94%	Madrid CF	1751	2	@ Real Oviedo	1723	0
13	1941-01-26	17.46%	Atletico Bilbao	1749	2	@ Real Oviedo	1714	0
14	1941-01-05	18.48%	Barcelona	1727	3	@ Hercules	1681	1
15	1940-12-22	20.22%	Madrid CF	1754	3	@ Hercules	1688	0
16	1940-11-17	22.15%	Espanol	1712	3	@ Real Zaragoza	1625	0
17	1940-12-15	22.49%	Atletico Aviacion	1715	2	@ Celta Vigo	1625	0
18	1941-01-05	23.41%	Valencia	1716	2	@ Real Zaragoza	1617	1
19	1941-01-19	23.45%	Sevilla	1715	3	@ Real Zaragoza	1615	0
20	1940-10-20	23.71%	Real Oviedo	1721	2	@ Real Murcia	1619	1
21	1940-11-24	23.97%	Barcelona	1722	3	@ Real Murcia	1617	1
22	1941-02-09	24.79%	Barcelona	1729	4	@ Celta Vigo	1617	1
23	1941-02-23	24.81%	Valencia	1723	5	@ Real Murcia	1610	2
24	1940-11-10	24.85%	Atletico Bilbao	1738	2	@ Celta Vigo	1625	1
25	1941-01-26	27.30%	Madrid CF	1755	2	@ Celta Vigo	1619	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1941-03-02	10.96	Celta Vigo	5	1611	11.08%	@ Hercules	0	1672	79.55%
2	1940-10-20	10.82	Atletico Aviacion	5	1704	12.04%	@ Atletico Bilbao	0	1748	78.36%
3	1940-10-06	8.63	Sevilla	4	1705	13.20%	@ Real Oviedo	0	1730	76.98%
4	1940-12-22	5.96	Madrid CF	3	1754	20.22%	@ Hercules	0	1688	69.11%
5	1940-11-17	5.78	Espanol	3	1712	22.15%	@ Real Zaragoza	0	1625	67.04%
6	1941-01-19	5.67	Sevilla	3	1715	23.45%	@ Real Zaragoza	0	1615	65.67%
7	1940-12-29	5.65	Atletico Aviacion	4	1721	12.30%	@ Madrid CF	1	1760	78.05%
8	1941-02-09	4.67	Barcelona	4	1729	24.79%	@ Celta Vigo	1	1617	64.28%
9	1940-10-27	4.35	Valencia	2	1714	16.25%	@ Hercules	0	1695	73.47%
10	1940-10-27	4.31	Madrid CF	2	1751	16.94%	@ Real Oviedo	0	1723	72.69%
11	1941-01-26	4.28	Atletico Bilbao	2	1749	17.46%	@ Real Oviedo	0	1714	72.11%
12	1940-11-03	4.24	@ Real Zaragoza	7	1621	68.82%	Hercules	0	1691	20.48%
13	1940-09-29	4.05	@ Sevilla	11	1701	72.77%	Barcelona	1	1728	16.86%
14	1941-02-23	4.05	Valencia	5	1723	24.81%	@ Real Murcia	2	1610	64.25%
15	1940-12-15	3.96	Atletico Aviacion	2	1715	22.49%	@ Celta Vigo	0	1625	66.68%
16	1941-01-05	3.64	Barcelona	3	1727	18.48%	@ Hercules	1	1681	70.99%
17	1941-01-19	3.45	Atletico Aviacion	4	1726	14.52%	@ Barcelona	2	1731	75.44%
18	1940-11-24	3.35	Barcelona	3	1722	23.97%	@ Real Murcia	1	1617	65.13%
19	1940-10-06	3.34	@ Celta Vigo	7	1621	66.43%	Espanol	1	1714	22.73%
20	1941-02-09	3.16	Atletico Bilbao	3	1753	27.74%	@ Real Murcia	1	1614	61.24%
21	1941-02-02	2.86	@ Barcelona	7	1727	76.37%	Real Oviedo	0	1710	13.72%
22	1940-09-29	2.49	@ Espanol	5	1711	73.29%	Real Oviedo	0	1732	16.40%
23	1940-11-24	2.38	Atletico Bilbao	1	1741	13.87%	@ Madrid CF	0	1755	76.19%
24	1941-02-23	2.32	@ Real Oviedo	6	1704	77.35%	Hercules	0	1675	12.88%
25	1940-11-24	2.29	Hercules	2	1685	12.70%	@ Espanol	1	1718	77.57%