1941-42 La Liga Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Valencia

40 points · 1st Title

Relegated

Real Sociedad

12 pts

Hercules · 17 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Valencia

10.76 points above expected

40 points · 29.24 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Real Sociedad

10.20 points below expected

12 points · 22.20 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Valencia	26	18	4	4	40	85	39	+46	29.2	+10.76
2	Real Madrid	26	14	5	7	33	65	43	+22	28.1	+4.89
3	Atletico Aviacion	26	14	5	7	33	50	44	+6	28.9	+4.13
4	Deportivo La Coruna	26	12	4	10	28	36	37	-1	22.4	+5.64
5	Celta Vigo	26	11	6	9	28	53	58	-5	25.7	+2.26
6	Atletico Bilbao	26	10	7	9	27	55	41	+14	29.0	-2.04
7	Sevilla	26	10	7	9	27	58	45	+13	28.3	-1.32
8	Espanol	26	10	6	10	26	49	42	+7	28.0	-2.01
9	Castellon	26	10	6	10	26	54	63	-9	20.4	+5.58
10	Granada	26	10	5	11	25	64	52	+12	21.4	+3.59
11	Real Oviedo	26	8	7	11	23	42	63	-21	26.9	-3.92
12	Barcelona	26	8	3	15	19	57	66	-9	27.9	-8.92
13	Hercules	26	6	5	15	17	42	71	-29	25.4	-8.44
14	Real Sociedad	26	5	2	19	12	31	77	-46	22.2	-10.20

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Valencia	1734	40	29.24	+10.76	100.0%	18	22	27	29	32	35	40
Real Madrid	1730	33	28.11	+4.89	89.0%	18	22	25	28	31	35	38
Atletico Bilbao	1719	27	29.04	-2.04	38.0%	20	23	26	29	31	35	41
Atletico Aviacion	1709	33	28.87	+4.13	84.0%	19	22	26	29	32	35	36
Sevilla	1703	27	28.32	-1.32	44.0%	18	22	25	29	31	34	37
Espanol	1690	26	28.01	-2.01	31.0%	15	21	26	28	30	34	37
Barcelona	1682	19	27.92	-8.92	4.0%	14	20	25	28	31	34	37
Real Oviedo	1673	23	26.92	-3.92	19.0%	16	19	24	26	30	34	39
Celta Vigo	1645	28	25.74	+2.26	76.0%	14	20	23	26	28	33	37
Hercules	1634	17	25.44	-8.44	1.0%	17	19	22	25	28	34	37
Granada	1591	25	21.41	+3.59	87.0%	9	16	19	21	24	28	32
Deportivo La Coruna	1578	28	22.36	+5.64	92.0%	11	15	20	22	24	29	31
Real Sociedad	1564	12	22.20	-10.20	0.0%	15	17	19	22	25	28	31
Castellon	1559	26	20.42	+5.58	93.0%	12	15	18	20	23	28	30

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AA	AB	BAR	CAS	CV	DLC	ESP	GRA	HER	RM	RO	RS	SEV	VAL
Atletico Aviacion	—	0-1-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.99	1-1-0 3.74	2-0-0 3.17	0-1-1 3.61	1-0-1 2.93	2-0-0 3.63	1-1-0 3.17	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 3.04	2-0-0 3.53	0-1-1 2.88	2-0-0 2.87
Atletico Bilbao	1-1-0 2.86	—	2-0-0 3.03	0-1-1 3.81	1-0-1 3.23	0-1-1 3.66	0-1-1 2.96	2-0-0 3.67	0-1-1 3.25	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 3.12	2-0-0 3.58	0-1-1 2.91	0-1-1 2.89
Barcelona	1-0-1 2.70	0-0-2 2.66	—	1-1-0 3.62	0-0-2 3.13	1-0-1 3.44	0-0-2 2.85	1-0-1 3.50	0-1-1 3.09	0-0-2 2.70	1-1-0 2.94	1-0-1 3.42	2-0-0 2.72	0-0-2 2.76
Castellon	0-1-1 1.98	1-1-0 1.93	0-1-1 2.09	—	1-0-1 2.35	1-0-1 2.69	2-0-0 2.07	1-0-1 2.70	2-0-0 2.26	0-0-2 1.94	1-1-0 2.17	1-0-1 2.69	0-1-1 2.01	0-1-1 1.97
Celta Vigo	0-0-2 2.53	1-0-1 2.47	2-0-0 2.57	1-0-1 3.35	—	1-0-1 3.21	1-0-1 2.59	0-2-0 3.24	2-0-0 2.83	1-0-1 2.45	1-0-1 2.71	1-1-0 3.23	0-2-0 2.51	0-1-1 2.43
Deportivo La Coruna	1-1-0 2.11	1-1-0 2.06	1-0-1 2.27	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 2.49	—	2-0-0 2.19	0-0-2 2.89	1-0-1 2.43	1-0-1 2.07	1-1-0 2.35	1-0-1 2.80	1-1-0 2.15	0-0-2 2.14
Espanol	1-0-1 2.76	1-1-0 2.74	2-0-0 2.83	0-0-2 3.65	1-0-1 3.10	0-0-2 3.52	—	0-1-1 3.48	1-1-0 3.08	0-2-0 2.69	1-1-0 2.97	2-0-0 3.47	1-0-1 2.80	0-0-2 2.74
Granada	0-0-2 2.10	0-0-2 2.05	1-0-1 2.21	1-0-1 2.99	0-2-0 2.46	2-0-0 2.80	1-1-0 2.24	—	1-1-0 2.48	1-0-1 2.04	1-0-1 2.30	1-1-0 2.76	1-0-1 2.15	0-0-2 2.13
Hercules	0-1-1 2.53	1-1-0 2.45	1-1-0 2.61	0-0-2 3.44	0-0-2 2.86	1-0-1 3.27	0-1-1 2.62	0-1-1 3.21	—	0-0-2 2.46	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 3.19	1-0-1 2.58	0-0-2 2.45
Real Madrid	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.87	2-0-0 2.99	2-0-0 3.79	1-0-1 3.26	1-0-1 3.64	0-2-0 3.00	1-0-1 3.68	2-0-0 3.25	—	0-2-0 3.11	2-0-0 3.54	0-1-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.87
Real Oviedo	1-0-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.57	0-1-1 2.75	0-1-1 3.55	1-0-1 2.98	0-1-1 3.35	0-1-1 2.72	1-0-1 3.40	1-0-1 2.94	0-2-0 2.58	—	2-0-0 3.32	1-0-1 2.68	0-1-1 2.60
Real Sociedad	0-0-2 2.18	0-0-2 2.13	1-0-1 2.29	1-0-1 3.01	0-1-1 2.47	1-0-1 2.88	0-0-2 2.24	0-1-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.50	0-0-2 2.18	0-0-2 2.38	—	1-0-1 2.19	0-0-2 2.24
Sevilla	1-1-0 2.81	1-1-0 2.77	0-0-2 2.97	1-1-0 3.72	0-2-0 3.18	0-1-1 3.56	1-0-1 2.89	1-0-1 3.57	1-0-1 3.11	1-1-0 2.76	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 3.53	—	1-0-1 2.82
Valencia	0-0-2 2.82	1-1-0 2.80	2-0-0 2.93	1-1-0 3.76	1-1-0 3.26	2-0-0 3.57	2-0-0 2.96	2-0-0 3.58	2-0-0 3.24	1-0-1 2.82	1-1-0 3.09	2-0-0 3.46	1-0-1 2.87	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.20%	4.12%	4.12%	3.30%	1.92%	3.02%	18.68%
1	4.12%	8.79%	6.32%	4.40%	2.47%	1.65%	27.75%
2	4.12%	6.32%	6.04%	2.47%	1.92%	1.92%	22.80%
3	3.30%	4.40%	2.47%	1.10%	0.55%	1.37%	13.19%
4	1.92%	2.47%	1.92%	0.55%	1.65%	0.55%	9.07%
5+	3.02%	1.65%	1.92%	1.37%	0.55%	—	8.52%
Total	18.68%	27.75%	22.80%	13.19%	9.07%	8.52%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.04
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	1.83
StdDev allowed	1.83
Mean total goals/game	4.07
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.051
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	23.08%
1	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%
2	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	26.92%
3	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
Total	38.46%	15.38%	23.08%	—	11.54%	11.54%	100%

Atletico Aviacion — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	1.57
StdDev allowed	1.87
Mean total goals/game	3.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.063
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%
1	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
2	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	30.77%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
Total	26.92%	23.08%	23.08%	19.23%	7.69%	—	100%

Atletico Bilbao — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.12
Mean allowed	1.58
StdDev scored	2.21
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.218
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	23.08%
1	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
2	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%
5+	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
Total	3.85%	30.77%	26.92%	7.69%	15.38%	15.38%	100%

Barcelona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.19
Mean allowed	2.54
StdDev scored	1.88
StdDev allowed	1.70
Mean total goals/game	4.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.079
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	11.54%	—	—	11.54%
1	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
3	—	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
4	11.54%	—	—	—	7.69%	—	19.23%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	11.54%	19.23%	15.38%	15.38%	11.54%	100%

Castellon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.08
Mean allowed	2.42
StdDev scored	1.44
StdDev allowed	2.34
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.188
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	26.92%
4	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	26.92%	26.92%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Celta Vigo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.04
Mean allowed	2.23
StdDev scored	1.46
StdDev allowed	2.21
Mean total goals/game	4.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.239
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
1	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	34.62%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.77%	30.77%	15.38%	11.54%	11.54%	—	100%

Deportivo La Coruna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	1.06
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	2.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.200
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
1	—	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	—	26.92%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	15.38%	42.31%	26.92%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Espanol — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	1.62
StdDev scored	1.97
StdDev allowed	1.39
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.310
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
1	—	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
2	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
Total	11.54%	34.62%	15.38%	26.92%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Granada — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.46
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	2.39
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	4.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.391
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	42.31%
2	—	—	11.54%	—	—	7.69%	19.23%
3	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.85%	23.08%	34.62%	11.54%	11.54%	15.38%	100%

Hercules — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	2.73
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	1.95
Mean total goals/game	4.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.094
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
2	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
Total	15.38%	30.77%	30.77%	19.23%	3.85%	—	100%

Real Madrid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.50
Mean allowed	1.65
StdDev scored	2.16
StdDev allowed	1.09
Mean total goals/game	4.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.212
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	19.23%
1	—	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	26.92%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	38.46%	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	15.38%	100%

Real Oviedo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	2.42
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	2.53
Mean total goals/game	4.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.312
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	11.54%	—	11.54%	30.77%
1	—	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	34.62%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	19.23%	15.38%	26.92%	11.54%	19.23%	100%

Real Sociedad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	2.96
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	2.01
Mean total goals/game	4.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.214
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
1	7.69%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	38.46%
2	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	26.92%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	26.92%	26.92%	26.92%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Sevilla — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.23
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	2.32
StdDev allowed	1.91
Mean total goals/game	3.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.238
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
1	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	26.92%
4	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
Total	23.08%	34.62%	23.08%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Valencia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.27
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	2.20
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	4.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.049
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Valencia	40	29.2	+10.76
2	Deportivo La Coruna	28	22.4	+5.64
3	Castellon	26	20.4	+5.58
4	Real Madrid	33	28.1	+4.89
5	Atletico Aviacion	33	28.9	+4.13

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Real Sociedad	12	22.2	-10.20
2	Barcelona	19	27.9	-8.92
3	Hercules	17	25.4	-8.44
4	Real Oviedo	23	26.9	-3.92
5	Atletico Bilbao	27	29.0	-2.04

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Valencia	6	Jan 11 – Feb 15	1 in 173
2	Castellon	3	Feb 1 – Feb 15	1 in 144
3	Atletico Aviacion	5	Sep 28 – Oct 26	1 in 36
4	Atletico Bilbao	4	Feb 1 – Feb 22	1 in 28
5	Deportivo La Coruna	3	Jan 11 – Jan 25	1 in 27

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hercules	8	Jan 25 – Mar 22	1 in 1,237
2	Real Sociedad	9	Dec 7 – Feb 8	1 in 618
3	Barcelona	5	Oct 5 – Nov 2	1 in 166
4	Celta Vigo	4	Nov 23 – Dec 14	1 in 38
5	Deportivo La Coruna	4	Feb 1 – Feb 22	1 in 35

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Valencia	12	Jan 11 – Apr 5	1 in 465
2	Castellon	5	Jan 18 – Feb 15	1 in 196
3	Celta Vigo	8	Sep 28 – Nov 16	1 in 173
4	Real Madrid	8	Jan 18 – Mar 8	1 in 72
5	Deportivo La Coruna	5	Mar 1 – Apr 5	1 in 67

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hercules	10	Jan 25 – Apr 5	1 in 294
2	Real Oviedo	8	Sep 28 – Nov 16	1 in 223
3	Barcelona	6	Sep 28 – Nov 2	1 in 78
4	Atletico Bilbao	6	Nov 23 – Jan 4	1 in 53
5	Real Sociedad	9	Dec 7 – Feb 8	1 in 42

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Valencia	15.00%	17.00%	13.00%	9.00%	13.00%	11.00%	3.00%	7.00%	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—
Real Madrid	13.00%	8.00%	13.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	10.00%	11.00%	9.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Atletico Aviacion	12.00%	14.00%	9.00%	16.00%	9.00%	13.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	7.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
Deportivo La Coruna	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	2.00%	6.00%	3.00%	7.00%	13.00%	19.00%	15.00%	13.00%	13.00%
Celta Vigo	2.00%	9.00%	2.00%	7.00%	5.00%	8.00%	14.00%	5.00%	16.00%	5.00%	9.00%	10.00%	3.00%	5.00%
Atletico Bilbao	15.00%	8.00%	13.00%	16.00%	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%	14.00%	5.00%	—	3.00%	2.00%	—	—
Sevilla	12.00%	17.00%	12.00%	7.00%	8.00%	12.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	11.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Espanol	12.00%	7.00%	9.00%	12.00%	10.00%	10.00%	12.00%	6.00%	4.00%	8.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Castellon	—	—	2.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	7.00%	4.00%	10.00%	9.00%	21.00%	33.00%
Granada	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	6.00%	10.00%	10.00%	16.00%	24.00%	15.00%
Real Oviedo	7.00%	4.00%	9.00%	7.00%	6.00%	4.00%	14.00%	11.00%	11.00%	11.00%	6.00%	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%
Barcelona	7.00%	12.00%	9.00%	10.00%	12.00%	12.00%	7.00%	5.00%	8.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Hercules	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	3.00%	9.00%	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	9.00%	9.00%	10.00%	9.00%	10.00%	5.00%
Real Sociedad	1.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	12.00%	22.00%	14.00%	18.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Atletico Bilbao	97.0%	3.0%	—
Atletico Aviacion	95.0%	3.0%	2.0%
Valencia	95.0%	3.0%	2.0%
Real Madrid	93.0%	4.0%	3.0%
Barcelona	91.0%	5.0%	4.0%
Espanol	92.0%	4.0%	4.0%
Sevilla	94.0%	2.0%	4.0%
Real Oviedo	87.0%	6.0%	7.0%
Celta Vigo	83.0%	9.0%	8.0%
Hercules	75.0%	10.0%	15.0%
Deportivo La Coruna	55.0%	19.0%	26.0%
Real Sociedad	56.0%	12.0%	32.0%
Granada	51.0%	10.0%	39.0%
Castellon	36.0%	10.0%	54.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1941-09-28	Espanol	L 2-4	1719	1691	69.9%	14.6%	15.4%	-3.8	0
1941-09-28	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 4-2	1691	1719	15.4%	14.6%	69.9%	+3.9	3
1941-09-28	Valencia	W 3-0	1703	1698	67.6%	15.4%	17.0%	+2.0	3
1941-09-28	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-3	1698	1703	17.0%	15.4%	67.6%	-2.0	0
1941-09-28	Hercules	D 4-4	1705	1661	71.5%	14.1%	14.4%	-0.3	1
1941-09-28	@ Barcelona	D 4-4	1661	1705	14.4%	14.1%	71.5%	+0.3	1
1941-09-28	Castellon	W 2-1	1573	1550	69.5%	14.8%	15.7%	+0.6	3
1941-09-28	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-2	1550	1573	15.7%	14.8%	69.5%	-0.6	0
1941-09-28	Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1568	1640	59.4%	17.1%	23.6%	-0.3	1
1941-09-28	@ Granada	D 1-1	1640	1568	23.6%	17.1%	59.4%	+0.3	1
1941-09-28	Real Madrid	L 2-3	1598	1719	53.3%	17.6%	29.1%	-1.8	0
1941-09-28	@ Real Sociedad	W 3-2	1719	1598	29.1%	17.6%	53.3%	+1.8	3
1941-09-28	Real Oviedo	W 10-0	1698	1687	68.2%	15.2%	16.6%	+6.1	3
1941-09-28	@ Sevilla	L 0-10	1687	1698	16.6%	15.2%	68.2%	-6.1	0
1941-10-05	Sevilla	D 1-1	1549	1704	49.0%	17.6%	33.4%	-0.1	1
1941-10-05	@ Castellon	D 1-1	1704	1549	33.4%	17.6%	49.0%	+0.1	4
1941-10-05	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-0	1640	1715	58.9%	17.1%	23.9%	+2.8	4
1941-10-05	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-3	1715	1640	23.9%	17.1%	58.9%	-2.8	0
1941-10-05	Barcelona	W 5-2	1694	1705	66.0%	15.8%	18.2%	+1.6	6
1941-10-05	@ Espanol	L 2-5	1705	1694	18.2%	15.8%	66.0%	-1.6	1
1941-10-05	Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-2	1661	1574	75.4%	12.6%	11.9%	+0.7	4
1941-10-05	@ Hercules	L 2-4	1574	1661	11.9%	12.6%	75.4%	-0.7	3
1941-10-05	Granada	W 5-2	1721	1568	80.9%	10.1%	9.0%	+0.7	6
1941-10-05	@ Real Madrid	L 2-5	1568	1721	9.0%	10.1%	80.9%	-0.7	1
1941-10-05	Atletico Aviacion	L 2-3	1681	1705	64.6%	16.1%	19.3%	-2.2	0
1941-10-05	@ Real Oviedo	W 3-2	1705	1681	19.3%	16.1%	64.6%	+2.2	6
1941-10-05	Real Sociedad	W 6-0	1696	1596	76.6%	12.1%	11.3%	+2.5	3
1941-10-05	@ Valencia	L 0-6	1596	1696	11.3%	12.1%	76.6%	-2.5	0
1941-10-12	Real Madrid	W 1-0	1712	1721	66.2%	15.8%	18.1%	+0.8	3
1941-10-12	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-1	1721	1712	18.1%	15.8%	66.2%	-0.8	6
1941-10-12	Real Sociedad	W 4-1	1707	1593	77.8%	11.6%	10.6%	+1.0	9
1941-10-12	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-4	1593	1707	10.6%	11.6%	77.8%	-1.0	0
1941-10-12	Celta Vigo	L 0-2	1703	1643	73.0%	13.6%	13.4%	-5.1	1
1941-10-12	@ Barcelona	W 2-0	1643	1703	13.4%	13.6%	73.0%	+5.1	7
1941-10-12	Espanol	W 2-0	1573	1696	53.1%	17.6%	29.3%	+2.3	6
1941-10-12	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-2	1696	1573	29.3%	17.6%	53.1%	-2.3	6
1941-10-12	Valencia	L 1-2	1567	1699	52.1%	17.6%	30.3%	-1.9	1
1941-10-12	@ Granada	W 2-1	1699	1567	30.3%	17.6%	52.1%	+1.9	6
1941-10-12	Castellon	D 4-4	1679	1549	79.1%	11.0%	9.9%	-0.4	1
1941-10-12	@ Real Oviedo	D 4-4	1549	1679	9.9%	11.0%	79.1%	+0.3	2
1941-10-12	Hercules	W 7-2	1704	1662	71.3%	14.2%	14.5%	+1.9	7
1941-10-12	@ Sevilla	L 2-7	1662	1704	14.5%	14.2%	71.3%	-1.9	4
1941-10-19	Atletico Aviacion	L 2-4	1549	1708	48.5%	17.6%	34.0%	-2.8	2
1941-10-19	@ Castellon	W 4-2	1708	1549	34.0%	17.6%	48.5%	+2.8	12
1941-10-19	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-1	1648	1575	74.1%	13.1%	12.7%	+0.5	10
1941-10-19	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1575	1648	12.7%	13.1%	74.1%	-0.5	6
1941-10-19	Sevilla	W 3-1	1694	1706	65.8%	15.8%	18.4%	+1.3	9
1941-10-19	@ Espanol	L 1-3	1706	1694	18.4%	15.8%	65.8%	-1.3	7
1941-10-19	Real Oviedo	W 4-1	1660	1679	65.2%	16.0%	18.8%	+1.9	7
1941-10-19	@ Hercules	L 1-4	1679	1660	18.8%	16.0%	65.2%	-1.9	1
1941-10-19	Barcelona	W 4-3	1720	1698	69.4%	14.8%	15.8%	+0.6	9
1941-10-19	@ Real Madrid	L 3-4	1698	1720	15.8%	14.8%	69.4%	-0.6	1
1941-10-19	Granada	D 1-1	1592	1566	69.8%	14.7%	15.5%	-0.5	1
1941-10-19	@ Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1566	1592	15.5%	14.7%	69.8%	+0.5	2
1941-10-19	Atletico Bilbao	D 1-1	1701	1713	65.8%	15.8%	18.3%	-0.4	7
1941-10-19	@ Valencia	D 1-1	1713	1701	18.3%	15.8%	65.8%	+0.4	4
1941-10-26	Real Sociedad	W 4-1	1713	1592	78.4%	11.3%	10.3%	+1.0	7
1941-10-26	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-4	1592	1713	10.3%	11.3%	78.4%	-1.0	1
1941-10-26	Granada	W 3-0	1711	1566	80.3%	10.4%	9.3%	+1.0	15
1941-10-26	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-3	1566	1711	9.3%	10.4%	80.3%	-1.0	2
1941-10-26	Valencia	L 2-4	1697	1700	66.8%	15.6%	17.6%	-3.7	1
1941-10-26	@ Barcelona	W 4-2	1700	1697	17.6%	15.6%	66.8%	+3.7	10
1941-10-26	Hercules	W 4-0	1547	1662	54.1%	17.5%	28.4%	+4.3	5
1941-10-26	@ Castellon	L 0-4	1662	1547	28.4%	17.5%	54.1%	-4.3	7
1941-10-26	Real Madrid	W 1-0	1575	1721	50.1%	17.6%	32.2%	+1.3	9
1941-10-26	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1721	1575	32.2%	17.6%	50.1%	-1.3	9
1941-10-26	Espanol	L 1-3	1677	1695	65.2%	16.0%	18.8%	-4.1	1
1941-10-26	@ Real Oviedo	W 3-1	1695	1677	18.8%	16.0%	65.2%	+4.0	12
1941-10-26	Celta Vigo	D 2-2	1705	1648	72.6%	13.7%	13.7%	-0.4	8
1941-10-26	@ Sevilla	D 2-2	1648	1705	13.7%	13.7%	72.6%	+0.4	11
1941-11-02	Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1649	1673	64.6%	16.1%	19.3%	+0.8	14
1941-11-02	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1673	1649	19.3%	16.1%	64.6%	-0.8	1
1941-11-02	Castellon	L 2-3	1699	1551	80.5%	10.3%	9.2%	-2.6	12
1941-11-02	@ Espanol	W 3-2	1551	1699	9.2%	10.3%	80.5%	+2.6	8
1941-11-02	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-3	1565	1714	49.8%	17.6%	32.6%	-3.2	2
1941-11-02	@ Granada	W 3-1	1714	1565	32.6%	17.6%	49.8%	+3.2	10
1941-11-02	Atletico Aviacion	D 2-2	1657	1712	61.2%	16.8%	22.0%	-0.3	8
1941-11-02	@ Hercules	D 2-2	1712	1657	22.0%	16.8%	61.2%	+0.3	16
1941-11-02	Sevilla	L 0-2	1720	1705	68.7%	15.1%	16.3%	-4.9	9
1941-11-02	@ Real Madrid	W 2-0	1705	1720	16.3%	15.1%	68.7%	+4.9	11
1941-11-02	Barcelona	W 2-0	1591	1694	55.6%	17.4%	27.0%	+2.2	4
1941-11-02	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-2	1694	1591	27.0%	17.4%	55.6%	-2.2	1
1941-11-02	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-0	1704	1576	78.9%	11.1%	10.0%	+0.8	13
1941-11-02	@ Valencia	L 0-2	1576	1704	10.0%	11.1%	78.9%	-0.8	9
1941-11-09	Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1713	1717	66.6%	15.6%	17.8%	-0.3	17
1941-11-09	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 2-2	1717	1713	17.8%	15.6%	66.6%	+0.3	11
1941-11-09	Granada	W 4-0	1692	1562	79.1%	11.0%	9.9%	+1.5	4
1941-11-09	@ Barcelona	L 0-4	1562	1692	9.9%	11.0%	79.1%	-1.4	2
1941-11-09	Celta Vigo	L 0-3	1554	1650	56.4%	17.4%	26.2%	-6.0	8
1941-11-09	@ Castellon	W 3-0	1650	1554	26.2%	17.4%	56.4%	+6.0	17
1941-11-09	Real Sociedad	W 3-0	1575	1593	65.3%	16.0%	18.8%	+2.2	12
1941-11-09	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-3	1593	1575	18.8%	16.0%	65.3%	-2.2	4
1941-11-09	Espanol	D 1-1	1657	1696	63.0%	16.5%	20.6%	-0.4	9
1941-11-09	@ Hercules	D 1-1	1696	1657	20.6%	16.5%	63.0%	+0.4	13
1941-11-09	Real Madrid	D 2-2	1672	1715	62.5%	16.6%	20.9%	-0.3	2
1941-11-09	@ Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1715	1672	20.9%	16.6%	62.5%	+0.3	10
1941-11-09	Valencia	W 4-1	1709	1705	67.6%	15.4%	17.0%	+1.7	14
1941-11-09	@ Sevilla	L 1-4	1705	1709	17.0%	15.4%	67.6%	-1.7	13
1941-11-16	Barcelona	W 6-3	1718	1693	69.6%	14.8%	15.6%	+1.2	14
1941-11-16	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 3-6	1693	1718	15.6%	14.8%	69.6%	-1.2	4
1941-11-16	Hercules	W 4-1	1656	1657	67.0%	15.5%	17.5%	+1.8	20
1941-11-16	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-4	1657	1656	17.5%	15.5%	67.0%	-1.8	9
1941-11-16	Atletico Aviacion	W 5-0	1697	1712	65.5%	15.9%	18.6%	+3.6	16
1941-11-16	@ Espanol	L 0-5	1712	1697	18.6%	15.9%	65.5%	-3.5	17
1941-11-16	Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-1	1560	1578	65.3%	16.0%	18.7%	+1.9	5
1941-11-16	@ Granada	L 1-4	1578	1560	18.7%	16.0%	65.3%	-1.9	12
1941-11-16	Castellon	W 9-1	1715	1548	82.0%	9.5%	8.4%	+1.9	13
1941-11-16	@ Real Madrid	L 1-9	1548	1715	8.4%	9.5%	82.0%	-1.9	8
1941-11-16	Sevilla	W 2-1	1591	1711	53.4%	17.6%	29.0%	+1.2	7
1941-11-16	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-2	1711	1591	29.0%	17.6%	53.4%	-1.2	14
1941-11-16	Real Oviedo	W 5-2	1703	1672	70.2%	14.5%	15.2%	+1.3	16
1941-11-16	@ Valencia	L 2-5	1672	1703	15.2%	14.5%	70.2%	-1.3	2
1941-11-23	Barcelona	W 5-4	1709	1692	68.8%	15.0%	16.2%	+0.6	20
1941-11-23	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 4-5	1692	1709	16.2%	15.0%	68.8%	-0.6	4
1941-11-23	Valencia	D 2-2	1546	1704	48.5%	17.6%	33.9%	-0.1	9
1941-11-23	@ Castellon	D 2-2	1704	1546	33.9%	17.6%	48.5%	+0.1	17
1941-11-23	Atletico Bilbao	W 2-1	1576	1719	50.5%	17.6%	31.9%	+1.3	15
1941-11-23	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-2	1719	1576	31.9%	17.6%	50.5%	-1.2	14
1941-11-23	Celta Vigo	W 3-1	1700	1657	71.4%	14.2%	14.5%	+1.0	19
1941-11-23	@ Espanol	L 1-3	1657	1700	14.5%	14.2%	71.4%	-1.0	20
1941-11-23	Real Madrid	L 1-2	1655	1717	60.4%	16.9%	22.7%	-2.2	9
1941-11-23	@ Hercules	W 2-1	1717	1655	22.7%	16.9%	60.4%	+2.2	16
1941-11-23	Real Sociedad	W 3-1	1670	1592	74.7%	12.9%	12.4%	+0.8	5
1941-11-23	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-3	1592	1670	12.4%	12.9%	74.7%	-0.9	7
1941-11-23	Granada	W 3-0	1710	1562	80.5%	10.3%	9.2%	+1.0	17
1941-11-23	@ Sevilla	L 0-3	1562	1710	9.2%	10.3%	80.5%	-1.0	5
1941-11-30	Sevilla	D 1-1	1718	1711	67.8%	15.3%	16.9%	-0.5	15
1941-11-30	@ Atletico Bilbao	D 1-1	1711	1718	16.9%	15.3%	67.8%	+0.5	18
1941-11-30	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-1	1691	1577	77.8%	11.6%	10.6%	+0.4	7
1941-11-30	@ Barcelona	L 1-2	1577	1691	10.6%	11.6%	77.8%	-0.4	15
1941-11-30	Atletico Aviacion	L 0-2	1656	1709	61.4%	16.8%	21.8%	-4.4	20
1941-11-30	@ Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1709	1656	21.8%	16.8%	61.4%	+4.4	23
1941-11-30	Real Oviedo	W 8-0	1561	1671	54.7%	17.5%	27.8%	+8.1	8
1941-11-30	@ Granada	L 0-8	1671	1561	27.8%	17.5%	54.7%	-8.1	5
1941-11-30	Espanol	D 1-1	1719	1701	68.9%	15.0%	16.1%	-0.5	17
1941-11-30	@ Real Madrid	D 1-1	1701	1719	16.1%	15.0%	68.9%	+0.5	20
1941-11-30	Castellon	W 3-0	1591	1546	71.6%	14.1%	14.3%	+1.7	10
1941-11-30	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-3	1546	1591	14.3%	14.1%	71.6%	-1.7	9
1941-11-30	Hercules	W 7-1	1704	1653	72.2%	13.9%	14.0%	+2.6	20
1941-11-30	@ Valencia	L 1-7	1653	1704	14.0%	13.9%	72.2%	-2.6	9
1941-12-07	Deportivo La Coruna	D 0-0	1714	1577	79.7%	10.7%	9.6%	-0.7	24
1941-12-07	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 0-0	1577	1714	9.6%	10.7%	79.7%	+0.7	16
1941-12-07	Granada	W 3-2	1544	1569	64.4%	16.2%	19.4%	+0.8	12
1941-12-07	@ Castellon	L 2-3	1569	1544	19.4%	16.2%	64.4%	-0.8	8
1941-12-07	Real Madrid	L 2-4	1652	1719	59.9%	17.0%	23.1%	-3.4	20
1941-12-07	@ Celta Vigo	W 4-2	1719	1652	23.1%	17.0%	59.9%	+3.3	20
1941-12-07	Valencia	L 0-1	1702	1707	66.6%	15.6%	17.8%	-2.5	20
1941-12-07	@ Espanol	W 1-0	1707	1702	17.8%	15.6%	66.6%	+2.5	23
1941-12-07	Real Sociedad	W 3-1	1650	1593	72.8%	13.7%	13.6%	+0.9	12
1941-12-07	@ Hercules	L 1-3	1593	1650	13.6%	13.7%	72.8%	-0.9	10
1941-12-07	Atletico Bilbao	W 2-1	1663	1717	61.3%	16.8%	21.9%	+0.9	8
1941-12-07	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1717	1663	21.9%	16.8%	61.3%	-0.9	15
1941-12-07	Barcelona	L 1-2	1711	1692	69.1%	14.9%	16.0%	-2.5	18
1941-12-07	@ Sevilla	W 2-1	1692	1711	16.0%	14.9%	69.1%	+2.5	10
1941-12-14	Castellon	D 2-2	1716	1545	82.4%	9.4%	8.2%	-0.5	16
1941-12-14	@ Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1545	1716	8.2%	9.4%	82.4%	+0.5	13
1941-12-14	Real Madrid	W 2-0	1713	1722	66.2%	15.8%	18.1%	+1.5	27
1941-12-14	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-2	1722	1713	18.1%	15.8%	66.2%	-1.5	20
1941-12-14	Real Oviedo	W 6-3	1694	1664	70.1%	14.6%	15.3%	+1.2	13
1941-12-14	@ Barcelona	L 3-6	1664	1694	15.3%	14.6%	70.1%	-1.2	8
1941-12-14	Sevilla	W 2-1	1577	1709	52.0%	17.6%	30.4%	+1.2	19
1941-12-14	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-2	1709	1577	30.4%	17.6%	52.0%	-1.2	18
1941-12-14	Hercules	W 7-2	1569	1651	58.0%	17.2%	24.8%	+3.2	11
1941-12-14	@ Granada	L 2-7	1651	1569	24.8%	17.2%	58.0%	-3.2	12
1941-12-14	Espanol	L 1-2	1592	1699	55.0%	17.5%	27.5%	-2.0	10
1941-12-14	@ Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1699	1592	27.5%	17.5%	55.0%	+2.0	23
1941-12-14	Celta Vigo	W 7-3	1709	1649	73.0%	13.6%	13.4%	+1.3	26
1941-12-14	@ Valencia	L 3-7	1649	1709	13.4%	13.6%	73.0%	-1.3	20
1941-12-21	Barcelona	D 1-1	1545	1695	49.6%	17.6%	32.8%	-0.1	14
1941-12-21	@ Castellon	D 1-1	1695	1545	32.8%	17.6%	49.6%	+0.1	14
1941-12-21	Real Sociedad	W 6-1	1647	1590	72.7%	13.7%	13.6%	+2.1	23
1941-12-21	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-6	1590	1647	13.6%	13.7%	72.7%	-2.1	10
1941-12-21	Granada	D 1-1	1701	1572	79.0%	11.0%	10.0%	-0.6	24
1941-12-21	@ Espanol	D 1-1	1572	1701	10.0%	11.0%	79.0%	+0.6	12
1941-12-21	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-1	1648	1716	59.7%	17.0%	23.2%	+1.6	15
1941-12-21	@ Hercules	L 1-3	1716	1648	23.2%	17.0%	59.7%	-1.6	16
1941-12-21	Valencia	W 5-3	1721	1711	68.1%	15.2%	16.7%	+1.0	23
1941-12-21	@ Real Madrid	L 3-5	1711	1721	16.7%	15.2%	68.1%	-1.0	26
1941-12-21	Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1663	1578	75.2%	12.7%	12.1%	-0.6	9
1941-12-21	@ Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1578	1663	12.1%	12.7%	75.2%	+0.6	20
1941-12-21	Atletico Aviacion	W 1-0	1708	1714	66.4%	15.7%	17.9%	+0.8	21
1941-12-21	@ Sevilla	L 0-1	1714	1708	17.9%	15.7%	66.4%	-0.8	27
1942-01-04	Deportivo La Coruna	W 1-0	1545	1579	63.5%	16.4%	20.1%	+0.9	17
1942-01-04	@ Castellon	L 0-1	1579	1545	20.1%	16.4%	63.5%	-0.9	20
1942-01-04	Granada	D 3-3	1649	1573	74.5%	13.0%	12.5%	-0.4	24
1942-01-04	@ Celta Vigo	D 3-3	1573	1649	12.5%	13.0%	74.5%	+0.4	13
1942-01-04	Atletico Bilbao	D 1-1	1701	1714	65.7%	15.9%	18.4%	-0.4	25
1942-01-04	@ Espanol	D 1-1	1714	1701	18.4%	15.9%	65.7%	+0.4	17
1942-01-04	Barcelona	W 3-1	1650	1695	62.2%	16.6%	21.2%	+1.5	18
1942-01-04	@ Hercules	L 1-3	1695	1650	21.2%	16.6%	62.2%	-1.5	14
1942-01-04	Real Sociedad	W 6-4	1722	1588	79.4%	10.8%	9.8%	+0.5	26
1942-01-04	@ Real Madrid	L 4-6	1588	1722	9.8%	10.8%	79.4%	-0.5	10
1942-01-04	Sevilla	W 4-0	1662	1709	62.2%	16.6%	21.2%	+3.3	12
1942-01-04	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-4	1709	1662	21.2%	16.6%	62.2%	-3.3	21
1942-01-04	Atletico Aviacion	L 0-1	1710	1714	66.7%	15.6%	17.7%	-2.5	26
1942-01-04	@ Valencia	W 1-0	1714	1710	17.7%	15.6%	66.7%	+2.5	30
1942-01-11	Celta Vigo	W 10-0	1715	1649	73.5%	13.4%	13.1%	+4.7	20
1942-01-11	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-10	1649	1715	13.1%	13.4%	73.5%	-4.7	24
1942-01-11	Real Oviedo	L 0-2	1716	1665	72.1%	13.9%	14.0%	-5.1	30
1942-01-11	@ Atletico Aviacion	W 2-0	1665	1716	14.0%	13.9%	72.1%	+5.1	15
1942-01-11	Espanol	L 1-2	1694	1700	66.5%	15.7%	17.9%	-2.4	14
1942-01-11	@ Barcelona	W 2-1	1700	1694	17.9%	15.7%	66.5%	+2.4	28
1942-01-11	Hercules	W 3-1	1578	1651	59.2%	17.1%	23.8%	+1.7	23
1942-01-11	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-3	1651	1578	23.8%	17.1%	59.2%	-1.7	18
1942-01-11	Real Madrid	W 3-1	1573	1722	49.8%	17.6%	32.6%	+2.2	16
1942-01-11	@ Granada	L 1-3	1722	1573	32.6%	17.6%	49.8%	-2.2	26
1942-01-11	Valencia	L 0-3	1587	1707	53.5%	17.6%	29.0%	-5.7	10
1942-01-11	@ Real Sociedad	W 3-0	1707	1587	29.0%	17.6%	53.5%	+5.7	29
1942-01-11	Castellon	W 4-1	1705	1546	81.4%	9.9%	8.7%	+0.8	24
1942-01-11	@ Sevilla	L 1-4	1546	1705	8.7%	9.9%	81.4%	-0.8	17
1942-01-18	Real Oviedo	W 4-0	1545	1670	52.8%	17.6%	29.6%	+4.5	20
1942-01-18	@ Castellon	L 0-4	1670	1545	29.6%	17.6%	52.8%	-4.5	15
1942-01-18	Barcelona	W 1-0	1644	1692	62.1%	16.7%	21.3%	+0.9	27
1942-01-18	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-1	1692	1644	21.3%	16.7%	62.1%	-0.9	14
1942-01-18	Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-2	1703	1580	78.5%	11.3%	10.2%	-2.7	28
1942-01-18	@ Espanol	W 2-1	1580	1703	10.2%	11.3%	78.5%	+2.7	26
1942-01-18	Sevilla	W 1-0	1649	1706	61.0%	16.8%	22.2%	+1.0	21
1942-01-18	@ Hercules	L 0-1	1706	1649	22.2%	16.8%	61.0%	-1.0	24
1942-01-18	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-2	1720	1719	67.2%	15.5%	17.4%	+0.7	29
1942-01-18	@ Real Madrid	L 2-3	1719	1720	17.4%	15.5%	67.2%	-0.7	20
1942-01-18	Atletico Aviacion	L 1-2	1581	1711	52.3%	17.6%	30.1%	-1.9	10
1942-01-18	@ Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1711	1581	30.1%	17.6%	52.3%	+1.9	33
1942-01-18	Granada	W 5-0	1713	1575	79.7%	10.7%	9.6%	+1.7	32
1942-01-18	@ Valencia	L 0-5	1575	1713	9.6%	10.7%	79.7%	-1.7	16
1942-01-25	Valencia	L 2-3	1719	1715	67.5%	15.4%	17.1%	-2.3	20
1942-01-25	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 3-2	1715	1719	17.1%	15.4%	67.5%	+2.3	35
1942-01-25	Castellon	D 4-4	1713	1550	81.7%	9.7%	8.6%	-0.4	34
1942-01-25	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 4-4	1550	1713	8.6%	9.7%	81.7%	+0.4	21
1942-01-25	Real Madrid	L 0-2	1691	1721	64.0%	16.3%	19.8%	-4.6	14
1942-01-25	@ Barcelona	W 2-0	1721	1691	19.8%	16.3%	64.0%	+4.6	32
1942-01-25	Celta Vigo	W 4-0	1583	1645	60.3%	16.9%	22.7%	+3.5	29
1942-01-25	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-4	1645	1583	22.7%	16.9%	60.3%	-3.5	27
1942-01-25	Real Sociedad	W 3-1	1573	1579	66.5%	15.7%	17.8%	+1.3	19
1942-01-25	@ Granada	L 1-3	1579	1573	17.8%	15.7%	66.5%	-1.3	10
1942-01-25	Hercules	W 2-0	1666	1650	68.7%	15.0%	16.3%	+1.3	18
1942-01-25	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-2	1650	1666	16.3%	15.0%	68.7%	-1.3	21
1942-01-25	Espanol	W 6-0	1705	1700	67.6%	15.3%	17.0%	+3.9	27
1942-01-25	@ Sevilla	L 0-6	1700	1705	17.0%	15.3%	67.6%	-3.8	28
1942-02-01	Sevilla	D 1-1	1642	1709	59.8%	17.0%	23.2%	-0.3	28
1942-02-01	@ Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1709	1642	23.2%	17.0%	59.8%	+0.3	28
1942-02-01	Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1696	1667	70.0%	14.6%	15.4%	-0.5	29
1942-02-01	@ Espanol	D 1-1	1667	1696	15.4%	14.6%	70.0%	+0.5	19
1942-02-01	Atletico Aviacion	L 0-1	1575	1713	51.2%	17.6%	31.2%	-2.0	19
1942-02-01	@ Granada	W 1-0	1713	1575	31.2%	17.6%	51.2%	+2.0	37
1942-02-01	Castellon	L 0-1	1649	1550	76.5%	12.2%	11.3%	-2.8	21
1942-02-01	@ Hercules	W 1-0	1550	1649	11.3%	12.2%	76.5%	+2.8	24
1942-02-01	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-0	1725	1586	79.8%	10.6%	9.5%	+1.1	35
1942-02-01	@ Real Madrid	L 0-3	1586	1725	9.5%	10.6%	79.8%	-1.1	29
1942-02-01	Atletico Bilbao	L 0-1	1578	1716	51.2%	17.6%	31.2%	-2.0	10
1942-02-01	@ Real Sociedad	W 1-0	1716	1578	31.2%	17.6%	51.2%	+2.0	23
1942-02-01	Barcelona	W 4-2	1717	1686	70.2%	14.6%	15.2%	+1.0	38
1942-02-01	@ Valencia	L 2-4	1686	1717	15.2%	14.6%	70.2%	-1.0	14
1942-02-08	Granada	W 1-0	1718	1573	80.4%	10.4%	9.3%	+0.4	26
1942-02-08	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-1	1573	1718	9.3%	10.4%	80.4%	-0.4	19
1942-02-08	Hercules	W 5-1	1715	1646	73.7%	13.3%	13.0%	+1.6	40
1942-02-08	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-5	1646	1715	13.0%	13.3%	73.7%	-1.6	21
1942-02-08	Real Sociedad	W 4-2	1685	1576	77.3%	11.8%	10.9%	+0.7	17
1942-02-08	@ Barcelona	L 2-4	1576	1685	10.9%	11.8%	77.3%	-0.7	10
1942-02-08	Espanol	W 2-0	1553	1696	50.6%	17.6%	31.8%	+2.5	27
1942-02-08	@ Castellon	L 0-2	1696	1553	31.8%	17.6%	50.6%	-2.5	29
1942-02-08	Valencia	L 0-3	1585	1718	51.9%	17.6%	30.5%	-5.5	29
1942-02-08	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-0	1718	1585	30.5%	17.6%	51.9%	+5.5	41
1942-02-08	Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1668	1641	69.8%	14.7%	15.5%	+0.6	22
1942-02-08	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1641	1668	15.5%	14.7%	69.8%	-0.6	28
1942-02-08	Real Madrid	D 2-2	1709	1726	65.3%	16.0%	18.7%	-0.3	29
1942-02-08	@ Sevilla	D 2-2	1726	1709	18.7%	16.0%	65.3%	+0.3	36
1942-02-15	Atletico Aviacion	W 6-0	1719	1716	67.4%	15.4%	17.2%	+3.9	29
1942-02-15	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-6	1716	1719	17.2%	15.4%	67.4%	-3.9	40
1942-02-15	Castellon	L 1-2	1641	1555	75.3%	12.7%	12.0%	-2.6	28
1942-02-15	@ Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1555	1641	12.0%	12.7%	75.3%	+2.6	30
1942-02-15	Hercules	W 2-0	1693	1645	71.9%	14.0%	14.1%	+1.1	32
1942-02-15	@ Espanol	L 0-2	1645	1693	14.1%	14.0%	71.9%	-1.1	21
1942-02-15	Barcelona	W 6-0	1572	1686	54.3%	17.5%	28.2%	+6.3	22
1942-02-15	@ Granada	L 0-6	1686	1572	28.2%	17.5%	54.3%	-6.3	17
1942-02-15	Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1727	1668	72.8%	13.7%	13.6%	-0.5	37
1942-02-15	@ Real Madrid	D 1-1	1668	1727	13.6%	13.7%	72.8%	+0.5	23
1942-02-15	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-2	1576	1580	66.7%	15.6%	17.7%	+0.7	13
1942-02-15	@ Real Sociedad	L 2-3	1580	1576	17.7%	15.6%	66.7%	-0.7	29
1942-02-15	Sevilla	W 8-1	1723	1709	68.6%	15.1%	16.4%	+3.5	44
1942-02-15	@ Valencia	L 1-8	1709	1723	16.4%	15.1%	68.6%	-3.5	29
1942-02-22	Espanol	W 2-0	1712	1694	69.0%	15.0%	16.1%	+1.3	43
1942-02-22	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-2	1694	1712	16.1%	15.0%	69.0%	-1.3	32
1942-02-22	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1679	1723	62.5%	16.6%	20.9%	-2.3	17
1942-02-22	@ Barcelona	W 2-1	1723	1679	20.9%	16.6%	62.5%	+2.2	32
1942-02-22	Granada	L 1-4	1579	1579	67.1%	15.5%	17.4%	-5.9	29
1942-02-22	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-1	1579	1579	17.4%	15.5%	67.1%	+5.9	25
1942-02-22	Celta Vigo	L 1-3	1643	1638	67.7%	15.3%	17.0%	-4.2	21
1942-02-22	@ Hercules	W 3-1	1638	1643	17.0%	15.3%	67.7%	+4.2	31
1942-02-22	Valencia	D 1-1	1669	1727	60.9%	16.9%	22.3%	-0.3	24
1942-02-22	@ Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1727	1669	22.3%	16.9%	60.9%	+0.4	45
1942-02-22	Real Sociedad	W 1-0	1705	1576	79.0%	11.0%	10.0%	+0.4	32
1942-02-22	@ Sevilla	L 0-1	1576	1705	10.0%	11.0%	79.0%	-0.4	13
1942-02-24	Real Madrid	L 0-3	1558	1726	47.3%	17.5%	35.2%	-5.1	30
1942-02-24	@ Castellon	W 3-0	1726	1558	35.2%	17.5%	47.3%	+5.1	40
1942-03-01	Deportivo La Coruna	D 0-0	1725	1573	80.8%	10.1%	9.0%	-0.8	33
1942-03-01	@ Atletico Bilbao	D 0-0	1573	1725	9.0%	10.1%	80.8%	+0.7	30
1942-03-01	Atletico Aviacion	W 5-1	1677	1714	63.2%	16.4%	20.3%	+2.6	20
1942-03-01	@ Barcelona	L 1-5	1714	1677	20.3%	16.4%	63.2%	-2.6	43
1942-03-01	Espanol	W 4-3	1642	1693	61.7%	16.7%	21.6%	+0.8	34
1942-03-01	@ Celta Vigo	L 3-4	1693	1642	21.6%	16.7%	61.7%	-0.8	32
1942-03-01	Sevilla	W 3-2	1584	1706	53.3%	17.6%	29.1%	+1.1	28
1942-03-01	@ Granada	L 2-3	1706	1584	29.1%	17.6%	53.3%	-1.1	32
1942-03-01	Hercules	W 2-1	1731	1639	75.8%	12.4%	11.7%	+0.5	43
1942-03-01	@ Real Madrid	L 1-2	1639	1731	11.7%	12.4%	75.8%	-0.5	21
1942-03-01	Real Oviedo	L 0-3	1576	1669	56.8%	17.3%	25.8%	-6.0	13
1942-03-01	@ Real Sociedad	W 3-0	1669	1576	25.8%	17.3%	56.8%	+6.0	27
1942-03-01	Castellon	W 6-2	1727	1553	82.6%	9.3%	8.2%	+0.8	48
1942-03-01	@ Valencia	L 2-6	1553	1727	8.2%	9.3%	82.6%	-0.8	30
1942-03-08	Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1711	1643	73.7%	13.3%	13.0%	+1.0	46
1942-03-08	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-2	1643	1711	13.0%	13.3%	73.7%	-1.0	34
1942-03-08	Barcelona	W 1-0	1574	1680	55.2%	17.5%	27.3%	+1.2	33
1942-03-08	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1680	1574	27.3%	17.5%	55.2%	-1.2	20
1942-03-08	Real Madrid	D 0-0	1692	1732	62.9%	16.5%	20.6%	-0.4	33
1942-03-08	@ Espanol	D 0-0	1732	1692	20.6%	16.5%	62.9%	+0.4	44
1942-03-08	Valencia	L 1-3	1639	1728	57.2%	17.3%	25.4%	-3.6	21
1942-03-08	@ Hercules	W 3-1	1728	1639	25.4%	17.3%	57.2%	+3.6	51
1942-03-08	Granada	W 3-1	1675	1586	75.6%	12.5%	11.9%	+0.8	30
1942-03-08	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-3	1586	1675	11.9%	12.5%	75.6%	-0.8	28
1942-03-08	Atletico Bilbao	W 2-1	1705	1724	65.1%	16.0%	18.9%	+0.8	35
1942-03-08	@ Sevilla	L 1-2	1724	1705	18.9%	16.0%	65.1%	-0.8	33
1942-03-09	Real Sociedad	W 5-0	1552	1570	65.2%	16.0%	18.8%	+3.6	33
1942-03-09	@ Castellon	L 0-5	1570	1552	18.8%	16.0%	65.2%	-3.6	13
1942-03-22	Real Oviedo	W 2-0	1723	1675	71.9%	14.0%	14.2%	+1.1	36
1942-03-22	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-2	1675	1723	14.2%	14.0%	71.9%	-1.1	30
1942-03-22	Sevilla	W 6-2	1679	1706	64.3%	16.2%	19.5%	+2.1	23
1942-03-22	@ Barcelona	L 2-6	1706	1679	19.5%	16.2%	64.3%	-2.1	35
1942-03-22	Atletico Aviacion	W 2-1	1575	1712	51.3%	17.6%	31.1%	+1.2	36
1942-03-22	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-2	1712	1575	31.1%	17.6%	51.3%	-1.2	46
1942-03-22	Castellon	W 7-3	1585	1556	70.0%	14.6%	15.3%	+1.5	31
1942-03-22	@ Granada	L 3-7	1556	1585	15.3%	14.6%	70.0%	-1.5	33
1942-03-22	Celta Vigo	L 2-3	1732	1642	75.7%	12.5%	11.8%	-2.5	44
1942-03-22	@ Real Madrid	W 3-2	1642	1732	11.8%	12.5%	75.7%	+2.5	37
1942-03-22	Hercules	W 2-1	1566	1635	59.6%	17.0%	23.4%	+1.0	16
1942-03-22	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-2	1635	1566	23.4%	17.0%	59.6%	-1.0	21
1942-03-22	Espanol	W 2-1	1732	1692	71.1%	14.3%	14.6%	+0.6	54
1942-03-22	@ Valencia	L 1-2	1692	1732	14.6%	14.3%	71.1%	-0.6	33
1942-03-29	Atletico Bilbao	W 4-0	1554	1725	47.0%	17.5%	35.5%	+5.2	36
1942-03-29	@ Castellon	L 0-4	1725	1554	35.5%	17.5%	47.0%	-5.2	36
1942-03-29	Valencia	D 3-3	1645	1732	57.4%	17.3%	25.3%	-0.2	38
1942-03-29	@ Celta Vigo	D 3-3	1732	1645	25.3%	17.3%	57.4%	+0.2	55
1942-03-29	Real Sociedad	W 8-0	1691	1567	78.6%	11.2%	10.2%	+2.9	36
1942-03-29	@ Espanol	L 0-8	1567	1691	10.2%	11.2%	78.6%	-2.9	16
1942-03-29	Granada	D 2-2	1634	1586	71.9%	14.0%	14.1%	-0.4	22
1942-03-29	@ Hercules	D 2-2	1586	1634	14.1%	14.0%	71.9%	+0.4	32
1942-03-29	Atletico Aviacion	W 4-1	1729	1711	69.0%	14.9%	16.1%	+1.6	47
1942-03-29	@ Real Madrid	L 1-4	1711	1729	16.1%	14.9%	69.0%	-1.6	46
1942-03-29	Barcelona	D 1-1	1674	1681	66.4%	15.7%	17.9%	-0.5	31
1942-03-29	@ Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1681	1674	17.9%	15.7%	66.4%	+0.5	24
1942-03-29	Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1703	1576	78.9%	11.1%	10.1%	-0.5	36
1942-03-29	@ Sevilla	D 2-2	1576	1703	10.1%	11.1%	78.9%	+0.5	37
1942-04-05	Hercules	D 2-2	1719	1634	75.3%	12.7%	12.0%	-0.4	37
1942-04-05	@ Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1634	1719	12.0%	12.7%	75.3%	+0.4	23
1942-04-05	Sevilla	D 0-0	1709	1703	67.8%	15.3%	16.9%	-0.5	47
1942-04-05	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 0-0	1703	1709	16.9%	15.3%	67.8%	+0.5	37
1942-04-05	Castellon	W 3-1	1681	1559	78.4%	11.3%	10.3%	+0.7	27
1942-04-05	@ Barcelona	L 1-3	1559	1681	10.3%	11.3%	78.4%	-0.7	36
1942-04-05	Real Oviedo	W 1-0	1577	1674	56.3%	17.4%	26.3%	+1.1	40
1942-04-05	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1674	1577	26.3%	17.4%	56.3%	-1.1	31
1942-04-05	Espanol	W 4-0	1587	1694	55.1%	17.5%	27.5%	+4.2	35
1942-04-05	@ Granada	L 0-4	1694	1587	27.5%	17.5%	55.1%	-4.2	36
1942-04-05	Celta Vigo	D 2-2	1564	1644	58.3%	17.2%	24.5%	-0.2	17
1942-04-05	@ Real Sociedad	D 2-2	1644	1564	24.5%	17.2%	58.3%	+0.2	39
1942-04-05	Real Madrid	W 3-1	1732	1731	67.2%	15.5%	17.3%	+1.2	58
1942-04-05	@ Valencia	L 1-3	1731	1732	17.3%	15.5%	67.2%	-1.2	47

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1941-11-02	9.17%	Castellon	1551	3	@ Espanol	1699	2
2	1942-01-18	10.25%	Deportivo La Coruna	1580	2	@ Espanol	1703	1
3	1942-02-01	11.35%	Castellon	1550	1	@ Hercules	1649	0
4	1942-03-22	11.82%	Celta Vigo	1642	3	@ Real Madrid	1732	2
5	1942-02-15	12.05%	Castellon	1555	2	@ Celta Vigo	1641	1
6	1941-10-12	13.42%	Celta Vigo	1643	2	@ Barcelona	1703	0
7	1942-01-11	13.99%	Real Oviedo	1665	2	@ Atletico Aviacion	1716	0
8	1941-09-28	15.41%	Espanol	1691	4	@ Atletico Bilbao	1719	2
9	1941-12-07	15.97%	Barcelona	1692	2	@ Sevilla	1711	1
10	1941-11-02	16.29%	Sevilla	1705	2	@ Real Madrid	1720	0
11	1942-02-22	16.99%	Celta Vigo	1638	3	@ Hercules	1643	1
12	1942-01-25	17.08%	Valencia	1715	3	@ Atletico Bilbao	1719	2
13	1942-02-22	17.37%	Granada	1579	4	@ Deportivo La Coruna	1579	1
14	1941-10-26	17.59%	Valencia	1700	4	@ Barcelona	1697	2
15	1942-01-04	17.69%	Atletico Aviacion	1714	1	@ Valencia	1710	0
16	1941-12-07	17.77%	Valencia	1707	1	@ Espanol	1702	0
17	1942-01-11	17.87%	Espanol	1700	2	@ Barcelona	1694	1
18	1941-10-26	18.81%	Espanol	1695	3	@ Real Oviedo	1677	1
19	1941-10-05	19.29%	Atletico Aviacion	1705	3	@ Real Oviedo	1681	2
20	1942-01-25	19.77%	Real Madrid	1721	2	@ Barcelona	1691	0
21	1942-02-22	20.93%	Atletico Bilbao	1723	2	@ Barcelona	1679	1
22	1941-11-30	21.81%	Atletico Aviacion	1709	2	@ Celta Vigo	1656	0
23	1941-11-23	22.67%	Real Madrid	1717	2	@ Hercules	1655	1
24	1941-12-07	23.14%	Real Madrid	1719	4	@ Celta Vigo	1652	2
25	1942-03-08	25.44%	Valencia	1728	3	@ Hercules	1639	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1941-11-30	8.12	@ Granada	8	1561	54.74%	Real Oviedo	0	1671	27.75%
2	1942-02-15	6.26	@ Granada	6	1572	54.30%	Barcelona	0	1686	28.17%
3	1941-09-28	6.12	@ Sevilla	10	1698	68.21%	Real Oviedo	0	1687	16.60%
4	1942-03-01	5.99	Real Oviedo	3	1669	25.84%	@ Real Sociedad	0	1576	56.81%
5	1941-11-09	5.96	Celta Vigo	3	1650	26.20%	@ Castellon	0	1554	56.41%
6	1942-02-22	5.87	Granada	4	1579	17.37%	@ Deportivo La Coruna	1	1579	67.14%
7	1942-01-11	5.67	Valencia	3	1707	28.96%	@ Real Sociedad	0	1587	53.47%
8	1942-02-08	5.52	Valencia	3	1718	30.51%	@ Deportivo La Coruna	0	1585	51.88%
9	1942-03-29	5.20	@ Castellon	4	1554	46.96%	Atletico Bilbao	0	1725	35.53%
10	1941-10-12	5.14	Celta Vigo	2	1643	13.42%	@ Barcelona	0	1703	73.01%
11	1942-01-11	5.09	Real Oviedo	2	1665	13.99%	@ Atletico Aviacion	0	1716	72.11%
12	1942-02-24	5.07	Real Madrid	3	1726	35.19%	@ Castellon	0	1558	47.28%
13	1941-11-02	4.89	Sevilla	2	1705	16.29%	@ Real Madrid	0	1720	68.65%
14	1942-01-11	4.74	@ Atletico Bilbao	10	1715	73.50%	Celta Vigo	0	1649	13.12%
15	1942-01-25	4.60	Real Madrid	2	1721	19.77%	@ Barcelona	0	1691	63.96%
16	1942-01-18	4.47	@ Castellon	4	1545	52.81%	Real Oviedo	0	1670	29.60%
17	1941-11-30	4.44	Atletico Aviacion	2	1709	21.81%	@ Celta Vigo	0	1656	61.43%
18	1941-10-26	4.30	@ Castellon	4	1547	54.08%	Hercules	0	1662	28.38%
19	1942-02-22	4.18	Celta Vigo	3	1638	16.99%	@ Hercules	1	1643	67.66%
20	1942-04-05	4.18	@ Granada	4	1587	55.06%	Espanol	0	1694	27.45%
21	1941-10-26	4.05	Espanol	3	1695	18.81%	@ Real Oviedo	1	1677	65.21%
22	1942-02-15	3.90	@ Atletico Bilbao	6	1719	67.37%	Atletico Aviacion	0	1716	17.20%
23	1941-09-28	3.85	Espanol	4	1691	15.41%	@ Atletico Bilbao	2	1719	69.94%
24	1942-01-25	3.85	@ Sevilla	6	1705	67.64%	Espanol	0	1700	17.01%
25	1941-10-26	3.70	Valencia	4	1700	17.59%	@ Barcelona	2	1697	66.84%