1942-43 La Liga Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Athletic Bilbao

5th Title

Last Title: 1935-36

Relegated

Real Betis

10 pts

Zaragoza · 13 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Castellon

7.37 points above expected

31 points · 23.63 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Real Betis

11.78 points below expected

10 points · 21.78 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Atletico Bilbao	26	16	4	6	36	73	38	+35	29.1	+6.95
2	Sevilla	26	15	3	8	33	63	47	+16	27.9	+5.12
3	Barcelona	26	14	4	8	32	77	50	+27	27.1	+4.85
4	Castellon	26	13	5	8	31	41	43	-2	23.6	+7.37
5	Celta Vigo	26	14	2	10	30	52	50	+2	25.8	+4.23
6	Real Oviedo	26	12	4	10	28	53	63	-10	27.6	+0.41
7	Valencia	26	10	7	9	27	58	45	+13	28.5	-1.49
8	Atletico Aviacion	26	11	5	10	27	54	44	+10	27.0	+0.02
9	Deportivo La Coruna	26	7	12	7	26	35	32	+3	24.6	+1.41
10	Real Madrid	26	10	5	11	25	52	50	+2	27.3	-2.30
11	Espanol	26	9	6	11	24	45	51	-6	26.1	-2.06
12	Granada	26	9	4	13	22	56	68	-12	25.1	-3.09
13	Real Zaragoza	26	2	9	15	13	25	57	-32	22.6	-9.64
14	Real Betis	26	2	6	18	10	28	74	-46	21.8	-11.78

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Atletico Bilbao	1704	36	29.05	+6.95	96.0%	18	22	26	29	32	36	38
Barcelona	1688	32	27.15	+4.85	91.0%	19	21	25	27	30	33	37
Valencia	1686	27	28.49	-1.49	41.0%	18	21	26	28	31	35	37
Real Madrid	1681	25	27.30	-2.30	32.0%	19	20	25	28	30	33	38
Sevilla	1680	33	27.88	+5.12	93.0%	20	22	25	28	30	34	36
Atletico Aviacion	1676	27	26.98	+0.02	53.0%	19	21	24	27	30	32	34
Real Oviedo	1664	28	27.59	+0.41	62.0%	19	21	25	27	30	34	37
Espanol	1658	24	26.06	-2.06	31.0%	16	18	24	26	29	32	35
Celta Vigo	1652	30	25.77	+4.23	92.0%	18	20	23	25	28	32	34
Deportivo La Coruna	1621	26	24.59	+1.41	73.0%	14	18	22	24	27	31	34
Granada	1616	22	25.09	-3.09	26.0%	14	18	22	25	28	31	34
Castellon	1615	31	23.63	+7.37	97.0%	10	17	20	23	27	30	32
Real Zaragoza	1562	13	22.64	-9.64	2.0%	12	16	20	23	25	28	30
Real Betis	1548	10	21.78	-11.78	0.0%	13	15	19	22	25	28	32

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AA	AB	BAR	CAS	CV	DLC	ESP	GRA	RB	RM	RO	RZ	SEV	VAL
Atletico Aviacion	—	0-0-2 2.74	1-0-1 2.85	1-1-0 3.17	1-1-0 3.01	0-1-1 3.15	0-0-2 2.88	1-0-1 3.13	2-0-0 3.44	2-0-0 2.80	1-0-1 2.90	1-1-0 3.39	1-0-1 2.81	0-1-1 2.76
Atletico Bilbao	2-0-0 2.94	—	2-0-0 2.96	1-1-0 3.29	1-0-1 3.11	0-0-2 3.31	1-1-0 2.97	2-0-0 3.26	1-0-1 3.51	1-0-1 2.95	1-1-0 3.03	2-0-0 3.52	1-0-1 2.96	1-1-0 2.85
Barcelona	1-0-1 2.83	0-0-2 2.71	—	2-0-0 3.15	1-0-1 2.98	0-2-0 3.10	2-0-0 2.88	2-0-0 3.15	2-0-0 3.37	0-1-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.92	1-1-0 3.29	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.69
Castellon	0-1-1 2.52	0-1-1 2.40	0-0-2 2.53	—	1-0-1 2.67	2-0-0 2.79	1-0-1 2.56	2-0-0 2.76	1-1-0 3.07	1-1-0 2.45	1-0-1 2.53	1-1-0 3.01	1-0-1 2.47	2-0-0 2.38
Celta Vigo	0-1-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.56	1-0-1 2.69	1-0-1 3.01	—	0-0-2 2.99	1-0-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.95	2-0-0 3.27	2-0-0 2.62	1-0-1 2.73	2-0-0 3.19	1-0-1 2.64	1-1-0 2.60
Deportivo La Coruna	1-1-0 2.53	2-0-0 2.39	0-2-0 2.58	0-0-2 2.89	2-0-0 2.69	—	0-2-0 2.61	1-1-0 2.82	0-2-0 3.10	0-0-2 2.50	0-1-1 2.60	1-1-0 3.04	0-1-1 2.56	0-1-1 2.44
Espanol	2-0-0 2.80	0-1-1 2.71	0-0-2 2.80	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 2.98	0-2-0 3.08	—	1-1-0 3.10	1-1-0 3.40	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.88	0-1-1 3.33	0-0-2 2.79	1-0-1 2.72
Granada	1-0-1 2.55	0-0-2 2.43	0-0-2 2.53	0-0-2 2.92	1-0-1 2.73	0-1-1 2.86	0-1-1 2.59	—	2-0-0 3.10	1-1-0 2.51	1-0-1 2.60	1-1-0 3.04	1-0-1 2.53	1-0-1 2.44
Real Betis	0-0-2 2.26	1-0-1 2.19	0-0-2 2.32	0-1-1 2.62	0-0-2 2.42	0-2-0 2.59	0-1-1 2.30	0-0-2 2.58	—	1-0-1 2.22	0-0-2 2.30	0-1-1 2.79	0-0-2 2.31	0-1-1 2.17
Real Madrid	0-0-2 2.88	1-0-1 2.73	1-1-0 2.92	0-1-1 3.24	0-0-2 3.06	2-0-0 3.18	1-0-1 2.89	0-1-1 3.17	1-0-1 3.47	—	2-0-0 2.92	2-0-0 3.39	0-1-1 2.88	0-1-1 2.78
Real Oviedo	1-0-1 2.78	0-1-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 3.15	1-0-1 2.95	1-1-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 3.08	2-0-0 3.40	0-0-2 2.76	—	1-1-0 3.32	1-1-0 2.73	1-0-1 2.68
Real Zaragoza	0-1-1 2.30	0-0-2 2.18	0-1-1 2.40	0-1-1 2.66	0-0-2 2.51	0-1-1 2.63	1-1-0 2.36	0-1-1 2.65	1-1-0 2.88	0-0-2 2.31	0-1-1 2.37	—	0-0-2 2.36	0-1-1 2.23
Sevilla	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 3.23	1-0-1 3.04	1-1-0 3.13	2-0-0 2.89	1-0-1 3.15	2-0-0 3.38	1-1-0 2.80	0-1-1 2.96	2-0-0 3.32	—	1-0-1 2.73
Valencia	1-1-0 2.92	0-1-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.99	0-0-2 3.30	0-1-1 3.09	1-1-0 3.25	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 3.24	1-1-0 3.53	1-1-0 2.90	1-0-1 3.01	1-1-0 3.47	1-0-1 2.95	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	4.12%	3.57%	2.75%	0.82%	3.57%	18.68%
1	4.12%	8.79%	5.49%	5.77%	2.20%	1.65%	28.02%
2	3.57%	5.49%	6.04%	3.02%	3.30%	1.65%	23.08%
3	2.75%	5.77%	3.02%	1.10%	1.10%	0.55%	14.29%
4	0.82%	2.20%	3.30%	1.10%	0.55%	—	7.97%
5+	3.57%	1.65%	1.65%	0.55%	—	0.55%	7.97%
Total	18.68%	28.02%	23.08%	14.29%	7.97%	7.97%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.96
Mean allowed	1.96
StdDev scored	1.67
StdDev allowed	1.67
Mean total goals/game	3.91
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.018
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
2	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
3	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	19.23%	38.46%	15.38%	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Atletico Aviacion — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.08
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	1.72
StdDev allowed	1.46
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.261
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	15.38%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%
2	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
Total	23.08%	23.08%	42.31%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Atletico Bilbao — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.81
Mean allowed	1.46
StdDev scored	2.00
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	4.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.407
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
2	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	30.77%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	23.08%
Total	19.23%	26.92%	23.08%	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Barcelona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.96
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	2.07
StdDev allowed	1.55
Mean total goals/game	4.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.288
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
1	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	30.77%
2	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	42.31%	19.23%	11.54%	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	100%

Castellon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.58
Mean allowed	1.65
StdDev scored	1.30
StdDev allowed	2.02
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.378
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	26.92%
1	3.85%	7.69%	—	11.54%	—	—	23.08%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	15.38%	34.62%	23.08%	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Celta Vigo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	1.98
StdDev allowed	1.76
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.206
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	23.08%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
2	7.69%	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	30.77%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	50.00%	23.08%	3.85%	3.85%	—	100%

Deportivo La Coruna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.35
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	0.94
StdDev allowed	0.95
Mean total goals/game	2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.356
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	34.62%
2	—	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	15.38%	38.46%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Espanol — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.96
StdDev scored	1.31
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.259
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
2	—	—	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
3	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
4	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	7.69%	15.38%	34.62%	23.08%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Granada — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.15
Mean allowed	2.62
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.86
Mean total goals/game	4.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.008
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	30.77%
1	—	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	42.31%
2	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	15.38%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.85%	30.77%	15.38%	15.38%	11.54%	23.08%	100%

Real Betis — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.08
Mean allowed	2.85
StdDev scored	0.98
StdDev allowed	1.97
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.235
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
1	—	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
2	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	34.62%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
Total	19.23%	26.92%	11.54%	30.77%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Real Madrid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	1.67
StdDev allowed	1.44
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.066
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	19.23%
1	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	—	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
4	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	34.62%	15.38%	15.38%	7.69%	15.38%	100%

Real Oviedo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.04
Mean allowed	2.42
StdDev scored	1.56
StdDev allowed	2.14
Mean total goals/game	4.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.340
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	7.69%	34.62%
1	3.85%	19.23%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	46.15%
2	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	11.54%
3	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	23.08%	23.08%	23.08%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Real Zaragoza — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.96
Mean allowed	2.19
StdDev scored	1.00
StdDev allowed	1.74
Mean total goals/game	3.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.073
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	19.23%
1	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
2	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
5+	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	19.23%	34.62%	19.23%	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Sevilla — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.42
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	1.75
StdDev allowed	1.55
Mean total goals/game	4.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.235
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
2	—	3.85%	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	23.08%
3	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
Total	26.92%	19.23%	26.92%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Valencia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.23
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	2.16
StdDev allowed	1.48
Mean total goals/game	3.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.092
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Castellon	31	23.6	+7.37
2	Atletico Bilbao	36	29.1	+6.95
3	Sevilla	33	27.9	+5.12
4	Barcelona	32	27.1	+4.85
5	Celta Vigo	30	25.8	+4.23

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Real Betis	10	21.8	-11.78
2	Real Zaragoza	13	22.6	-9.64
3	Granada	22	25.1	-3.09
4	Real Madrid	25	27.3	-2.30
5	Espanol	24	26.1	-2.06

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atletico Bilbao	4	Nov 15 – Dec 6	1 in 48
2	Castellon	3	Jan 24 – Feb 7	1 in 17
3	Atletico Aviacion	3	Nov 1 – Nov 15	1 in 14
4	Celta Vigo	4	Mar 7 – Mar 28	1 in 12
5	Deportivo La Coruna	2	Feb 28 – Mar 7	1 in 12

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atletico Aviacion	5	Sep 27 – Oct 25	1 in 106
2	Valencia	4	Mar 7 – Mar 28	1 in 34
3	Real Betis	4	Nov 29 – Dec 27	1 in 26
4	Real Madrid	3	Nov 1 – Nov 15	1 in 16
5	Sevilla	3	Nov 8 – Nov 22	1 in 14

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atletico Bilbao	11	Sep 27 – Dec 6	1 in 859
2	Atletico Aviacion	9	Nov 1 – Jan 10	1 in 110
3	Valencia	9	Sep 27 – Nov 22	1 in 75
4	Barcelona	7	Dec 27 – Feb 14	1 in 36
5	Sevilla	6	Nov 29 – Jan 17	1 in 30

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Zaragoza	15	Dec 13 – Apr 4	1 in 1,185
2	Real Betis	12	Jan 17 – Apr 4	1 in 205
3	Deportivo La Coruna	8	Dec 27 – Feb 21	1 in 155
4	Real Oviedo	6	Feb 14 – Mar 21	1 in 52
5	Real Madrid	5	Oct 18 – Nov 15	1 in 28

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Atletico Bilbao	23.00%	15.00%	11.00%	10.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%	—	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Sevilla	13.00%	12.00%	11.00%	8.00%	8.00%	11.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—
Barcelona	11.00%	4.00%	12.00%	12.00%	11.00%	7.00%	8.00%	6.00%	4.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Castellon	1.00%	2.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	16.00%	16.00%
Celta Vigo	2.00%	6.00%	6.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%	12.00%	7.00%	9.00%	7.00%	14.00%	6.00%	7.00%	3.00%
Real Oviedo	9.00%	10.00%	4.00%	9.00%	9.00%	13.00%	10.00%	4.00%	11.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Valencia	18.00%	10.00%	10.00%	9.00%	8.00%	12.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Atletico Aviacion	5.00%	12.00%	10.00%	9.00%	13.00%	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	—
Deportivo La Coruna	2.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	7.00%	10.00%	16.00%	11.00%	11.00%	6.00%	8.00%
Real Madrid	7.00%	10.00%	14.00%	10.00%	6.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	7.00%	7.00%	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Espanol	6.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	11.00%	12.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	4.00%	6.00%	6.00%
Granada	2.00%	2.00%	7.00%	4.00%	10.00%	7.00%	3.00%	10.00%	10.00%	4.00%	13.00%	7.00%	14.00%	7.00%
Real Zaragoza	—	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	9.00%	17.00%	18.00%	15.00%	16.00%
Real Betis	1.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	6.00%	2.00%	6.00%	4.00%	11.00%	4.00%	15.00%	10.00%	37.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Sevilla	88.0%	10.0%	2.0%
Atletico Bilbao	95.0%	2.0%	3.0%
Barcelona	85.0%	11.0%	4.0%
Real Oviedo	83.0%	13.0%	4.0%
Valencia	90.0%	5.0%	5.0%
Real Madrid	84.0%	9.0%	7.0%
Atletico Aviacion	84.0%	8.0%	8.0%
Celta Vigo	70.0%	20.0%	10.0%
Espanol	76.0%	12.0%	12.0%
Deportivo La Coruna	64.0%	22.0%	14.0%
Granada	59.0%	20.0%	21.0%
Real Zaragoza	34.0%	35.0%	31.0%
Castellon	54.0%	14.0%	32.0%
Real Betis	34.0%	19.0%	47.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1942-09-27	Real Betis	W 5-0	1683	1581	76.8%	12.4%	10.7%	+2.2	3
1942-09-27	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-5	1581	1683	10.7%	12.4%	76.8%	-2.2	0
1942-09-27	Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1668	1646	69.5%	15.4%	15.1%	+0.7	3
1942-09-27	@ Espanol	L 0-1	1646	1668	15.1%	15.4%	69.5%	-0.7	0
1942-09-27	Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-2	1623	1613	68.3%	15.8%	15.9%	-2.7	0
1942-09-27	@ Granada	W 2-1	1613	1623	15.9%	15.8%	68.3%	+2.7	3
1942-09-27	Barcelona	W 3-0	1685	1665	69.3%	15.4%	15.3%	+2.0	3
1942-09-27	@ Real Madrid	L 0-3	1665	1685	15.3%	15.4%	69.3%	-2.0	0
1942-09-27	Castellon	W 4-1	1659	1604	72.6%	14.2%	13.2%	+1.4	3
1942-09-27	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-4	1604	1659	13.2%	14.2%	72.6%	-1.4	0
1942-09-27	Real Zaragoza	W 6-0	1675	1589	75.5%	13.1%	11.5%	+2.8	3
1942-09-27	@ Sevilla	L 0-6	1589	1675	11.5%	13.1%	75.5%	-2.8	0
1942-09-27	Atletico Aviacion	W 3-0	1685	1673	68.5%	15.7%	15.8%	+2.1	3
1942-09-27	@ Valencia	L 0-3	1673	1685	15.8%	15.7%	68.5%	-2.1	0
1942-10-04	Espanol	L 2-3	1671	1669	67.5%	16.0%	16.5%	-2.5	0
1942-10-04	@ Atletico Aviacion	W 3-2	1669	1671	16.5%	16.0%	67.5%	+2.5	6
1942-10-04	Valencia	L 1-2	1663	1688	64.8%	16.7%	18.5%	-2.6	0
1942-10-04	@ Barcelona	W 2-1	1688	1663	18.5%	16.7%	64.8%	+2.6	6
1942-10-04	Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1602	1686	58.3%	17.9%	23.8%	-0.3	1
1942-10-04	@ Castellon	D 2-2	1686	1602	23.8%	17.9%	58.3%	+0.3	4
1942-10-04	Real Oviedo	W 2-0	1645	1660	65.8%	16.5%	17.7%	+1.6	3
1942-10-04	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-2	1660	1645	17.7%	16.5%	65.8%	-1.6	3
1942-10-04	Real Madrid	L 1-2	1616	1687	59.7%	17.7%	22.6%	-2.4	3
1942-10-04	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-1	1687	1616	22.6%	17.7%	59.7%	+2.4	6
1942-10-04	Sevilla	L 2-5	1579	1678	56.4%	18.1%	25.4%	-4.8	0
1942-10-04	@ Real Betis	W 5-2	1678	1579	25.4%	18.1%	56.4%	+4.8	6
1942-10-04	Granada	L 2-3	1586	1621	63.7%	17.0%	19.3%	-2.4	0
1942-10-04	@ Real Zaragoza	W 3-2	1621	1586	19.3%	17.0%	63.7%	+2.4	3
1942-10-11	Celta Vigo	W 4-0	1686	1647	71.1%	14.8%	14.1%	+2.4	7
1942-10-11	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-4	1647	1686	14.1%	14.8%	71.1%	-2.4	3
1942-10-11	Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1661	1614	71.9%	14.5%	13.6%	-0.6	1
1942-10-11	@ Barcelona	D 1-1	1614	1661	13.6%	14.5%	71.9%	+0.6	4
1942-10-11	Real Betis	W 6-2	1623	1574	72.1%	14.4%	13.5%	+1.6	6
1942-10-11	@ Granada	L 2-6	1574	1623	13.5%	14.4%	72.1%	-1.6	0
1942-10-11	Real Zaragoza	W 2-1	1690	1584	77.2%	12.3%	10.5%	+0.5	9
1942-10-11	@ Real Madrid	L 1-2	1584	1690	10.5%	12.3%	77.2%	-0.5	0
1942-10-11	Atletico Aviacion	W 2-1	1658	1669	66.3%	16.4%	17.4%	+0.8	6
1942-10-11	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1669	1658	17.4%	16.4%	66.3%	-0.8	0
1942-10-11	Castellon	W 4-1	1683	1602	75.0%	13.3%	11.8%	+1.3	9
1942-10-11	@ Sevilla	L 1-4	1602	1683	11.8%	13.3%	75.0%	-1.3	1
1942-10-11	Espanol	W 3-0	1690	1672	69.2%	15.5%	15.4%	+2.0	9
1942-10-11	@ Valencia	L 0-3	1672	1690	15.4%	15.5%	69.2%	-2.0	6
1942-10-18	Atletico Bilbao	L 2-3	1668	1688	65.2%	16.6%	18.2%	-2.5	0
1942-10-18	@ Atletico Aviacion	W 3-2	1688	1668	18.2%	16.6%	65.2%	+2.5	10
1942-10-18	Granada	W 3-2	1601	1625	64.9%	16.7%	18.4%	+0.8	4
1942-10-18	@ Castellon	L 2-3	1625	1601	18.4%	16.7%	64.9%	-0.8	6
1942-10-18	Sevilla	W 1-0	1645	1684	63.2%	17.1%	19.7%	+1.0	6
1942-10-18	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-1	1684	1645	19.7%	17.1%	63.2%	-1.0	9
1942-10-18	Valencia	D 2-2	1614	1692	58.9%	17.8%	23.2%	-0.3	5
1942-10-18	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1692	1614	23.2%	17.8%	58.9%	+0.3	10
1942-10-18	Real Oviedo	W 5-0	1669	1659	68.3%	15.7%	15.9%	+3.4	9
1942-10-18	@ Espanol	L 0-5	1659	1669	15.9%	15.7%	68.3%	-3.4	6
1942-10-18	Real Madrid	W 3-1	1572	1690	54.2%	18.3%	27.5%	+2.1	3
1942-10-18	@ Real Betis	L 1-3	1690	1572	27.5%	18.3%	54.2%	-2.1	9
1942-10-18	Barcelona	D 1-1	1583	1660	59.0%	17.8%	23.1%	-0.4	1
1942-10-18	@ Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1660	1583	23.1%	17.8%	59.0%	+0.4	2
1942-10-25	Espanol	W 2-1	1691	1673	69.1%	15.5%	15.4%	+0.7	13
1942-10-25	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1673	1691	15.4%	15.5%	69.1%	-0.7	9
1942-10-25	Real Betis	W 4-1	1660	1575	75.4%	13.1%	11.5%	+1.2	5
1942-10-25	@ Barcelona	L 1-4	1575	1660	11.5%	13.1%	75.4%	-1.2	3
1942-10-25	Real Zaragoza	W 3-1	1614	1583	70.4%	15.1%	14.6%	+1.1	8
1942-10-25	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-3	1583	1614	14.6%	15.1%	70.4%	-1.1	1
1942-10-25	Celta Vigo	W 3-1	1624	1646	65.1%	16.7%	18.3%	+1.5	9
1942-10-25	@ Granada	L 1-3	1646	1624	18.3%	16.7%	65.1%	-1.4	6
1942-10-25	Castellon	D 0-0	1688	1602	75.5%	13.1%	11.5%	-0.7	10
1942-10-25	@ Real Madrid	D 0-0	1602	1688	11.5%	13.1%	75.5%	+0.7	5
1942-10-25	Atletico Aviacion	W 2-1	1683	1665	69.1%	15.5%	15.4%	+0.7	12
1942-10-25	@ Sevilla	L 1-2	1665	1683	15.4%	15.5%	69.1%	-0.7	0
1942-10-25	Real Oviedo	W 7-0	1692	1656	70.9%	14.9%	14.2%	+4.1	13
1942-10-25	@ Valencia	L 0-7	1656	1692	14.2%	14.9%	70.9%	-4.1	6
1942-11-01	Granada	W 7-1	1665	1625	71.2%	14.8%	14.1%	+2.9	3
1942-11-01	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-7	1625	1665	14.1%	14.8%	71.2%	-2.9	9
1942-11-01	Barcelona	L 0-2	1602	1662	61.0%	17.5%	21.4%	-4.9	5
1942-11-01	@ Castellon	W 2-0	1662	1602	21.4%	17.5%	61.0%	+4.9	8
1942-11-01	Real Madrid	W 2-1	1644	1687	62.8%	17.2%	20.0%	+0.9	9
1942-11-01	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1687	1644	20.0%	17.2%	62.8%	-0.9	10
1942-11-01	Sevilla	L 1-2	1672	1684	66.1%	16.4%	17.5%	-2.6	9
1942-11-01	@ Espanol	W 2-1	1684	1672	17.5%	16.4%	66.1%	+2.6	15
1942-11-01	Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1573	1615	62.9%	17.2%	19.9%	-0.4	4
1942-11-01	@ Real Betis	D 1-1	1615	1573	19.9%	17.2%	62.9%	+0.4	9
1942-11-01	Atletico Bilbao	D 3-3	1652	1691	63.2%	17.1%	19.7%	-0.3	7
1942-11-01	@ Real Oviedo	D 3-3	1691	1652	19.7%	17.1%	63.2%	+0.3	14
1942-11-01	Valencia	D 0-0	1582	1697	54.6%	18.3%	27.2%	-0.3	2
1942-11-01	@ Real Zaragoza	D 0-0	1697	1582	27.2%	18.3%	54.6%	+0.3	14
1942-11-08	Celta Vigo	W 8-0	1667	1645	69.5%	15.4%	15.2%	+5.0	11
1942-11-08	@ Barcelona	L 0-8	1645	1667	15.2%	15.4%	69.5%	-5.0	9
1942-11-08	Castellon	L 0-1	1615	1598	69.1%	15.5%	15.4%	-2.9	9
1942-11-08	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 1-0	1598	1615	15.4%	15.5%	69.1%	+2.9	8
1942-11-08	Espanol	D 2-2	1622	1670	62.4%	17.3%	20.4%	-0.3	10
1942-11-08	@ Granada	D 2-2	1670	1622	20.4%	17.3%	62.4%	+0.3	10
1942-11-08	Atletico Aviacion	L 1-3	1686	1667	69.2%	15.5%	15.3%	-4.7	10
1942-11-08	@ Real Madrid	W 3-1	1667	1686	15.3%	15.5%	69.2%	+4.7	6
1942-11-08	Real Betis	W 1-0	1581	1573	68.2%	15.8%	16.0%	+0.8	5
1942-11-08	@ Real Zaragoza	L 0-1	1573	1581	16.0%	15.8%	68.2%	-0.8	4
1942-11-08	Real Oviedo	L 0-5	1687	1651	70.8%	14.9%	14.3%	-13.0	15
1942-11-08	@ Sevilla	W 5-0	1651	1687	14.3%	14.9%	70.8%	+13.0	10
1942-11-08	Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1697	1692	67.8%	15.9%	16.3%	-0.4	15
1942-11-08	@ Valencia	D 2-2	1692	1697	16.3%	15.9%	67.8%	+0.4	15
1942-11-15	Sevilla	W 5-0	1692	1674	69.2%	15.5%	15.4%	+3.3	18
1942-11-15	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-5	1674	1692	15.4%	15.5%	69.2%	-3.3	15
1942-11-15	Barcelona	W 4-0	1672	1672	67.4%	16.0%	16.6%	+2.9	9
1942-11-15	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-4	1672	1672	16.6%	16.0%	67.4%	-2.9	11
1942-11-15	Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1640	1613	70.0%	15.2%	14.8%	-2.9	9
1942-11-15	@ Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1613	1640	14.8%	15.2%	70.0%	+2.9	12
1942-11-15	Real Madrid	W 4-2	1670	1682	66.1%	16.4%	17.5%	+1.2	13
1942-11-15	@ Espanol	L 2-4	1682	1670	17.5%	16.4%	66.1%	-1.2	10
1942-11-15	Valencia	D 2-2	1572	1696	53.4%	18.3%	28.3%	-0.2	5
1942-11-15	@ Real Betis	D 2-2	1696	1572	28.3%	18.3%	53.4%	+0.2	16
1942-11-15	Granada	W 4-2	1664	1622	71.5%	14.7%	13.9%	+1.0	13
1942-11-15	@ Real Oviedo	L 2-4	1622	1664	13.9%	14.7%	71.5%	-1.0	10
1942-11-17	Real Zaragoza	W 3-0	1600	1582	69.1%	15.5%	15.4%	+2.0	11
1942-11-17	@ Castellon	L 0-3	1582	1600	15.4%	15.5%	69.1%	-2.0	5
1942-11-22	Espanol	W 2-0	1669	1671	67.1%	16.1%	16.8%	+1.5	14
1942-11-22	@ Barcelona	L 0-2	1671	1669	16.8%	16.1%	67.1%	-1.5	13
1942-11-22	Atletico Aviacion	D 0-0	1616	1675	61.0%	17.5%	21.5%	-0.5	13
1942-11-22	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 0-0	1675	1616	21.5%	17.5%	61.0%	+0.5	10
1942-11-22	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-3	1621	1695	59.3%	17.8%	22.9%	-4.1	10
1942-11-22	@ Granada	W 3-1	1695	1621	22.9%	17.8%	59.3%	+4.1	21
1942-11-22	Castellon	D 1-1	1572	1603	64.1%	16.9%	19.0%	-0.5	6
1942-11-22	@ Real Betis	D 1-1	1603	1572	19.0%	16.9%	64.1%	+0.5	12
1942-11-22	Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1681	1665	68.8%	15.6%	15.6%	+0.7	13
1942-11-22	@ Real Madrid	L 1-2	1665	1681	15.6%	15.6%	68.8%	-0.7	13
1942-11-22	Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1580	1637	61.3%	17.5%	21.2%	-2.5	5
1942-11-22	@ Real Zaragoza	W 2-1	1637	1580	21.2%	17.5%	61.3%	+2.5	12
1942-11-22	Sevilla	W 4-2	1697	1670	69.9%	15.2%	14.9%	+1.0	19
1942-11-22	@ Valencia	L 2-4	1670	1697	14.9%	15.2%	69.9%	-1.0	15
1942-11-29	Real Madrid	W 3-2	1699	1681	69.1%	15.5%	15.4%	+0.7	24
1942-11-29	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 2-3	1681	1699	15.4%	15.5%	69.1%	-0.7	13
1942-11-29	Real Zaragoza	W 3-1	1676	1578	76.5%	12.6%	10.9%	+0.8	13
1942-11-29	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-3	1578	1676	10.9%	12.6%	76.5%	-0.8	5
1942-11-29	Valencia	W 1-0	1603	1698	57.0%	18.1%	25.0%	+1.2	15
1942-11-29	@ Castellon	L 0-1	1698	1603	25.0%	18.1%	57.0%	-1.2	19
1942-11-29	Real Betis	W 4-2	1640	1572	73.8%	13.8%	12.4%	+0.8	15
1942-11-29	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-4	1572	1640	12.4%	13.8%	73.8%	-0.9	6
1942-11-29	Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1670	1615	72.6%	14.2%	13.2%	-0.6	14
1942-11-29	@ Espanol	D 1-1	1615	1670	13.2%	14.2%	72.6%	+0.6	14
1942-11-29	Barcelona	W 3-2	1665	1670	66.7%	16.2%	17.0%	+0.7	16
1942-11-29	@ Real Oviedo	L 2-3	1670	1665	17.0%	16.2%	66.7%	-0.7	14
1942-11-29	Granada	W 3-2	1669	1617	72.4%	14.3%	13.3%	+0.6	18
1942-11-29	@ Sevilla	L 2-3	1617	1669	13.3%	14.3%	72.4%	-0.6	10
1942-12-06	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-3	1670	1700	64.1%	16.9%	19.0%	-4.4	14
1942-12-06	@ Barcelona	W 3-1	1700	1670	19.0%	16.9%	64.1%	+4.4	27
1942-12-06	Celta Vigo	W 5-0	1604	1640	63.5%	17.0%	19.4%	+4.2	18
1942-12-06	@ Castellon	L 0-5	1640	1604	19.4%	17.0%	63.5%	-4.1	15
1942-12-06	Real Oviedo	L 0-1	1616	1665	62.1%	17.3%	20.6%	-2.6	14
1942-12-06	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 1-0	1665	1616	20.6%	17.3%	62.1%	+2.6	19
1942-12-06	Atletico Aviacion	L 1-2	1571	1676	55.6%	18.2%	26.2%	-2.2	6
1942-12-06	@ Real Betis	W 2-1	1676	1571	26.2%	18.2%	55.6%	+2.2	16
1942-12-06	Sevilla	D 1-1	1681	1670	68.4%	15.7%	15.9%	-0.5	14
1942-12-06	@ Real Madrid	D 1-1	1670	1681	15.9%	15.7%	68.4%	+0.5	19
1942-12-06	Espanol	W 4-2	1577	1669	57.3%	18.0%	24.7%	+1.7	8
1942-12-06	@ Real Zaragoza	L 2-4	1669	1577	24.7%	18.0%	57.3%	-1.7	14
1942-12-06	Granada	W 3-2	1696	1616	74.9%	13.3%	11.8%	+0.5	22
1942-12-06	@ Valencia	L 2-3	1616	1696	11.8%	13.3%	74.9%	-0.5	10
1942-12-13	Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-2	1704	1613	75.9%	12.8%	11.2%	-5.8	27
1942-12-13	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 2-0	1613	1704	11.2%	12.8%	75.9%	+5.9	17
1942-12-13	Castellon	W 5-1	1679	1608	74.0%	13.7%	12.3%	+1.7	19
1942-12-13	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-5	1608	1679	12.3%	13.7%	74.0%	-1.7	18
1942-12-13	Real Betis	W 3-0	1667	1568	76.5%	12.6%	10.9%	+1.4	17
1942-12-13	@ Espanol	L 0-3	1568	1667	10.9%	12.6%	76.5%	-1.4	6
1942-12-13	Real Madrid	W 1-0	1616	1680	60.5%	17.6%	21.9%	+1.1	13
1942-12-13	@ Granada	L 0-1	1680	1616	21.9%	17.6%	60.5%	-1.0	14
1942-12-13	Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1668	1579	75.7%	12.9%	11.3%	-0.7	20
1942-12-13	@ Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1579	1668	11.3%	12.9%	75.7%	+0.7	9
1942-12-13	Barcelona	W 4-2	1670	1665	67.8%	15.9%	16.3%	+1.2	22
1942-12-13	@ Sevilla	L 2-4	1665	1670	16.3%	15.9%	67.8%	-1.1	14
1942-12-13	Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1697	1636	73.2%	14.0%	12.8%	-0.6	23
1942-12-13	@ Valencia	D 1-1	1636	1697	12.8%	14.0%	73.2%	+0.6	16
1942-12-27	Granada	W 5-2	1664	1617	71.9%	14.5%	13.6%	+1.3	17
1942-12-27	@ Barcelona	L 2-5	1617	1664	13.6%	14.5%	71.9%	-1.3	13
1942-12-27	Espanol	W 2-1	1607	1669	60.7%	17.6%	21.7%	+1.0	21
1942-12-27	@ Castellon	L 1-2	1669	1607	21.7%	17.6%	60.7%	-1.0	17
1942-12-27	Atletico Aviacion	D 1-1	1637	1680	62.8%	17.2%	20.1%	-0.4	17
1942-12-27	@ Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1680	1637	20.1%	17.2%	62.8%	+0.4	20
1942-12-27	Sevilla	D 1-1	1619	1672	61.8%	17.4%	20.8%	-0.4	18
1942-12-27	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1672	1619	20.8%	17.4%	61.8%	+0.4	23
1942-12-27	Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1567	1667	56.3%	18.1%	25.6%	-2.3	6
1942-12-27	@ Real Betis	W 2-1	1667	1567	25.6%	18.1%	56.3%	+2.3	23
1942-12-27	Valencia	L 0-1	1679	1696	65.5%	16.6%	17.9%	-2.8	14
1942-12-27	@ Real Madrid	W 1-0	1696	1679	17.9%	16.6%	65.5%	+2.8	26
1942-12-27	Atletico Bilbao	L 0-1	1579	1699	54.0%	18.3%	27.7%	-2.3	9
1942-12-27	@ Real Zaragoza	W 1-0	1699	1579	27.7%	18.3%	54.0%	+2.3	30
1943-01-10	Valencia	D 1-1	1681	1699	65.4%	16.6%	18.0%	-0.5	21
1943-01-10	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 1-1	1699	1681	18.0%	16.6%	65.4%	+0.5	27
1943-01-10	Real Madrid	D 5-5	1665	1676	66.2%	16.4%	17.4%	-0.2	18
1943-01-10	@ Barcelona	D 5-5	1676	1665	17.4%	16.4%	66.2%	+0.2	15
1943-01-10	Real Oviedo	W 3-0	1608	1670	60.7%	17.6%	21.7%	+2.9	24
1943-01-10	@ Castellon	L 0-3	1670	1608	21.7%	17.6%	60.7%	-2.9	23
1943-01-10	Espanol	W 3-2	1636	1668	64.1%	16.9%	19.0%	+0.8	20
1943-01-10	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-3	1668	1636	19.0%	16.9%	64.1%	-0.8	17
1943-01-10	Granada	D 2-2	1618	1616	67.6%	16.0%	16.4%	-0.4	19
1943-01-10	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1616	1618	16.4%	16.0%	67.6%	+0.4	14
1943-01-10	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-1	1565	1701	51.9%	18.4%	29.7%	+2.3	9
1943-01-10	@ Real Betis	L 1-3	1701	1565	29.7%	18.4%	51.9%	-2.3	30
1943-01-10	Sevilla	L 3-4	1577	1672	56.9%	18.1%	25.0%	-2.1	9
1943-01-10	@ Real Zaragoza	W 4-3	1672	1577	25.0%	18.1%	56.9%	+2.1	26
1943-01-17	Castellon	W 4-0	1699	1610	75.6%	13.0%	11.4%	+1.9	33
1943-01-17	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-4	1610	1699	11.4%	13.0%	75.6%	-1.9	24
1943-01-17	Atletico Aviacion	W 4-2	1667	1680	65.9%	16.4%	17.6%	+1.2	20
1943-01-17	@ Espanol	L 2-4	1680	1667	17.6%	16.4%	65.9%	-1.2	21
1943-01-17	Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1616	1575	71.3%	14.7%	14.0%	-0.6	15
1943-01-17	@ Granada	D 1-1	1575	1616	14.0%	14.7%	71.3%	+0.6	10
1943-01-17	Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-3	1676	1618	72.9%	14.1%	13.0%	+0.5	18
1943-01-17	@ Real Madrid	L 3-4	1618	1676	13.0%	14.1%	72.9%	-0.5	19
1943-01-17	Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1667	1637	70.2%	15.1%	14.7%	+0.7	26
1943-01-17	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-1	1637	1667	14.7%	15.1%	70.2%	-0.7	20
1943-01-17	Real Betis	W 5-0	1674	1567	77.2%	12.2%	10.5%	+2.1	29
1943-01-17	@ Sevilla	L 0-5	1567	1674	10.5%	12.2%	77.2%	-2.1	9
1943-01-17	Barcelona	L 2-4	1700	1665	70.7%	14.9%	14.3%	-4.3	27
1943-01-17	@ Valencia	W 4-2	1665	1700	14.3%	14.9%	70.7%	+4.3	21
1943-01-24	Real Oviedo	W 3-0	1679	1667	68.5%	15.7%	15.8%	+2.1	24
1943-01-24	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-3	1667	1679	15.8%	15.7%	68.5%	-2.1	26
1943-01-24	Sevilla	W 2-0	1609	1676	60.1%	17.7%	22.2%	+2.0	27
1943-01-24	@ Castellon	L 0-2	1676	1609	22.2%	17.7%	60.1%	-2.0	29
1943-01-24	Atletico Bilbao	W 4-1	1637	1701	60.5%	17.6%	21.9%	+2.4	23
1943-01-24	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-4	1701	1637	21.9%	17.6%	60.5%	-2.4	33
1943-01-24	Barcelona	D 2-2	1618	1669	61.9%	17.4%	20.8%	-0.3	20
1943-01-24	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1669	1618	20.8%	17.4%	61.9%	+0.3	22
1943-01-24	Valencia	W 1-0	1668	1695	64.5%	16.8%	18.7%	+0.9	23
1943-01-24	@ Espanol	L 0-1	1695	1668	18.7%	16.8%	64.5%	-0.9	27
1943-01-24	Granada	L 0-1	1565	1615	62.0%	17.3%	20.7%	-2.6	9
1943-01-24	@ Real Betis	W 1-0	1615	1565	20.7%	17.3%	62.0%	+2.6	18
1943-01-24	Real Madrid	L 0-2	1575	1677	56.1%	18.1%	25.7%	-4.5	10
1943-01-24	@ Real Zaragoza	W 2-0	1677	1575	25.7%	18.1%	56.1%	+4.5	21
1943-01-31	Atletico Aviacion	W 5-2	1698	1681	69.0%	15.5%	15.5%	+1.5	36
1943-01-31	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 2-5	1681	1698	15.5%	15.5%	69.0%	-1.5	24
1943-01-31	Real Zaragoza	W 4-1	1670	1571	76.5%	12.6%	10.9%	+1.2	25
1943-01-31	@ Barcelona	L 1-4	1571	1670	10.9%	12.6%	76.5%	-1.2	10
1943-01-31	Castellon	L 1-2	1618	1611	68.1%	15.8%	16.1%	-2.7	18
1943-01-31	@ Granada	W 2-1	1611	1618	16.1%	15.8%	68.1%	+2.7	30
1943-01-31	Real Betis	W 3-1	1682	1562	78.3%	11.8%	10.0%	+0.7	24
1943-01-31	@ Real Madrid	L 1-3	1562	1682	10.0%	11.8%	78.3%	-0.7	9
1943-01-31	Espanol	W 3-1	1665	1669	66.9%	16.2%	16.9%	+1.3	29
1943-01-31	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-3	1669	1665	16.9%	16.2%	66.9%	-1.3	23
1943-01-31	Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1674	1639	70.8%	14.9%	14.3%	+1.3	32
1943-01-31	@ Sevilla	L 0-2	1639	1674	14.3%	14.9%	70.8%	-1.3	23
1943-01-31	Deportivo La Coruna	W 1-0	1694	1617	74.6%	13.4%	11.9%	+0.6	30
1943-01-31	@ Valencia	L 0-1	1617	1694	11.9%	13.4%	74.6%	-0.6	20
1943-02-07	Sevilla	W 1-0	1680	1675	67.7%	15.9%	16.3%	+0.8	27
1943-02-07	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-1	1675	1680	16.3%	15.9%	67.7%	-0.8	32
1943-02-07	Real Madrid	W 3-0	1613	1682	59.9%	17.7%	22.4%	+3.0	33
1943-02-07	@ Castellon	L 0-3	1682	1613	22.4%	17.7%	59.9%	-3.0	24
1943-02-07	Granada	W 8-3	1638	1615	69.5%	15.4%	15.1%	+2.0	26
1943-02-07	@ Celta Vigo	L 3-8	1615	1638	15.1%	15.4%	69.5%	-2.0	18
1943-02-07	Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1668	1700	64.0%	16.9%	19.1%	-0.3	24
1943-02-07	@ Espanol	D 2-2	1700	1668	19.1%	16.9%	64.0%	+0.3	37
1943-02-07	Barcelona	L 0-2	1562	1671	55.2%	18.2%	26.6%	-4.5	9
1943-02-07	@ Real Betis	W 2-0	1671	1562	26.6%	18.2%	55.2%	+4.5	28
1943-02-07	Valencia	W 4-1	1667	1695	64.4%	16.8%	18.8%	+2.1	32
1943-02-07	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-4	1695	1667	18.8%	16.8%	64.4%	-2.1	30
1943-02-07	Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1570	1617	62.4%	17.3%	20.3%	-0.4	11
1943-02-07	@ Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1617	1570	20.3%	17.3%	62.4%	+0.4	21
1943-02-14	Real Oviedo	W 8-1	1700	1669	70.4%	15.1%	14.5%	+3.5	40
1943-02-14	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-8	1669	1700	14.5%	15.1%	70.4%	-3.5	32
1943-02-14	Castellon	W 7-1	1675	1616	73.0%	14.1%	12.9%	+2.6	31
1943-02-14	@ Barcelona	L 1-7	1616	1675	12.9%	14.1%	73.0%	-2.6	33
1943-02-14	Real Betis	D 0-0	1617	1557	73.1%	14.0%	12.9%	-0.7	22
1943-02-14	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 0-0	1557	1617	12.9%	14.0%	73.1%	+0.7	10
1943-02-14	Atletico Aviacion	W 3-1	1613	1680	60.2%	17.7%	22.2%	+1.7	21
1943-02-14	@ Granada	L 1-3	1680	1613	22.2%	17.7%	60.2%	-1.7	27
1943-02-14	Celta Vigo	L 2-4	1679	1640	71.2%	14.8%	14.0%	-4.3	24
1943-02-14	@ Real Madrid	W 4-2	1640	1679	14.0%	14.8%	71.2%	+4.3	29
1943-02-14	Espanol	W 4-2	1675	1667	68.0%	15.8%	16.1%	+1.1	35
1943-02-14	@ Sevilla	L 2-4	1667	1675	16.1%	15.8%	68.0%	-1.1	24
1943-02-14	Real Zaragoza	W 7-0	1693	1569	78.6%	11.6%	9.8%	+2.7	33
1943-02-14	@ Valencia	L 0-7	1569	1693	9.8%	11.6%	78.6%	-2.7	11
1943-02-21	Valencia	W 5-1	1703	1696	68.1%	15.8%	16.1%	+2.3	43
1943-02-21	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-5	1696	1703	16.1%	15.8%	68.1%	-2.3	33
1943-02-21	Real Madrid	W 2-1	1679	1675	67.7%	16.0%	16.4%	+0.7	30
1943-02-21	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-2	1675	1679	16.4%	16.0%	67.7%	-0.7	24
1943-02-21	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-1	1614	1616	67.0%	16.1%	16.8%	+1.3	36
1943-02-21	@ Castellon	L 1-3	1616	1614	16.8%	16.1%	67.0%	-1.3	22
1943-02-21	Barcelona	W 4-2	1644	1678	63.8%	17.0%	19.2%	+1.4	32
1943-02-21	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-4	1678	1644	19.2%	17.0%	63.8%	-1.4	31
1943-02-21	Granada	W 2-1	1666	1615	72.3%	14.4%	13.4%	+0.6	27
1943-02-21	@ Espanol	L 1-2	1615	1666	13.4%	14.4%	72.3%	-0.6	21
1943-02-21	Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1558	1567	66.4%	16.3%	17.3%	-0.5	11
1943-02-21	@ Real Betis	D 1-1	1567	1558	17.3%	16.3%	66.4%	+0.5	12
1943-02-21	Sevilla	D 4-4	1665	1676	66.2%	16.4%	17.4%	-0.3	33
1943-02-21	@ Real Oviedo	D 4-4	1676	1665	17.4%	16.4%	66.2%	+0.3	36
1943-02-28	Atletico Aviacion	W 5-0	1676	1679	67.0%	16.1%	16.9%	+3.6	34
1943-02-28	@ Barcelona	L 0-5	1679	1676	16.9%	16.1%	67.0%	-3.6	30
1943-02-28	Celta Vigo	W 3-1	1615	1645	64.2%	16.9%	18.9%	+1.5	25
1943-02-28	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-3	1645	1615	18.9%	16.9%	64.2%	-1.5	32
1943-02-28	Real Oviedo	W 3-1	1615	1665	62.0%	17.3%	20.7%	+1.6	24
1943-02-28	@ Granada	L 1-3	1665	1615	20.7%	17.3%	62.0%	-1.6	33
1943-02-28	Espanol	W 7-0	1674	1667	68.1%	15.8%	16.1%	+4.7	27
1943-02-28	@ Real Madrid	L 0-7	1667	1674	16.1%	15.8%	68.1%	-4.7	27
1943-02-28	Castellon	D 0-0	1567	1615	62.3%	17.3%	20.4%	-0.5	13
1943-02-28	@ Real Zaragoza	D 0-0	1615	1567	20.4%	17.3%	62.3%	+0.5	37
1943-02-28	Atletico Bilbao	W 2-0	1676	1706	64.2%	16.9%	18.9%	+1.7	39
1943-02-28	@ Sevilla	L 0-2	1706	1676	18.9%	16.9%	64.2%	-1.7	43
1943-02-28	Real Betis	W 8-3	1693	1557	79.6%	11.1%	9.3%	+1.2	36
1943-02-28	@ Valencia	L 3-8	1557	1693	9.3%	11.1%	79.6%	-1.1	11
1943-03-07	Granada	W 4-1	1704	1616	75.6%	13.0%	11.4%	+1.2	46
1943-03-07	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-4	1616	1704	11.4%	13.0%	75.6%	-1.2	24
1943-03-07	Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-2	1676	1617	73.0%	14.1%	12.9%	-2.8	30
1943-03-07	@ Atletico Aviacion	W 2-1	1617	1676	12.9%	14.1%	73.0%	+2.8	28
1943-03-07	Real Betis	W 3-0	1615	1556	73.0%	14.1%	12.9%	+1.7	40
1943-03-07	@ Castellon	L 0-3	1556	1615	12.9%	14.1%	73.0%	-1.7	11
1943-03-07	Real Zaragoza	W 3-2	1644	1567	74.7%	13.4%	11.9%	+0.5	35
1943-03-07	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-3	1567	1644	11.9%	13.4%	74.7%	-0.5	13
1943-03-07	Barcelona	L 1-3	1662	1680	65.5%	16.6%	18.0%	-4.5	27
1943-03-07	@ Espanol	W 3-1	1680	1662	18.0%	16.6%	65.5%	+4.5	37
1943-03-07	Real Madrid	L 3-4	1663	1679	65.7%	16.5%	17.8%	-2.4	33
1943-03-07	@ Real Oviedo	W 4-3	1679	1663	17.8%	16.5%	65.7%	+2.4	30
1943-03-07	Valencia	W 3-1	1678	1694	65.6%	16.5%	17.9%	+1.4	42
1943-03-07	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1694	1678	17.9%	16.5%	65.6%	-1.4	36
1943-03-14	Real Oviedo	W 6-2	1685	1661	69.7%	15.3%	15.0%	+1.8	40
1943-03-14	@ Barcelona	L 2-6	1661	1685	15.0%	15.3%	69.7%	-1.8	33
1943-03-14	Espanol	D 2-2	1619	1658	63.3%	17.1%	19.6%	-0.3	29
1943-03-14	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1658	1619	19.6%	17.1%	63.3%	+0.3	28
1943-03-14	Sevilla	W 4-3	1615	1679	60.5%	17.6%	21.9%	+0.9	27
1943-03-14	@ Granada	L 3-4	1679	1615	21.9%	17.6%	60.5%	-0.9	42
1943-03-14	Celta Vigo	L 1-3	1554	1644	57.5%	18.0%	24.5%	-4.0	11
1943-03-14	@ Real Betis	W 3-1	1644	1554	24.5%	18.0%	57.5%	+4.0	38
1943-03-14	Atletico Bilbao	W 2-0	1681	1705	64.8%	16.7%	18.4%	+1.7	33
1943-03-14	@ Real Madrid	L 0-2	1705	1681	18.4%	16.7%	64.8%	-1.7	46
1943-03-14	Atletico Aviacion	D 2-2	1566	1673	55.5%	18.2%	26.3%	-0.2	14
1943-03-14	@ Real Zaragoza	D 2-2	1673	1566	26.3%	18.2%	55.5%	+0.2	31
1943-03-14	Castellon	L 1-2	1693	1617	74.5%	13.5%	12.0%	-2.9	36
1943-03-14	@ Valencia	W 2-1	1617	1693	12.0%	13.5%	74.5%	+2.9	43
1943-03-21	Barcelona	W 5-2	1704	1686	69.0%	15.5%	15.5%	+1.5	49
1943-03-21	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 2-5	1686	1704	15.5%	15.5%	69.0%	-1.5	40
1943-03-21	Real Betis	W 5-1	1673	1550	78.6%	11.6%	9.8%	+1.3	34
1943-03-21	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-5	1550	1673	9.8%	11.6%	78.6%	-1.3	11
1943-03-21	Castellon	W 5-0	1648	1620	70.1%	15.2%	14.7%	+3.1	41
1943-03-21	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-5	1620	1648	14.7%	15.2%	70.1%	-3.1	43
1943-03-21	Real Zaragoza	D 0-0	1658	1566	75.9%	12.8%	11.2%	-0.7	29
1943-03-21	@ Espanol	D 0-0	1566	1658	11.2%	12.8%	75.9%	+0.8	15
1943-03-21	Valencia	W 4-2	1616	1690	59.3%	17.8%	22.9%	+1.6	30
1943-03-21	@ Granada	L 2-4	1690	1616	22.9%	17.8%	59.3%	-1.6	36
1943-03-21	Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1659	1619	71.2%	14.8%	14.0%	-0.6	34
1943-03-21	@ Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1619	1659	14.0%	14.8%	71.2%	+0.6	30
1943-03-21	Real Madrid	W 3-0	1678	1683	66.8%	16.2%	17.0%	+2.2	45
1943-03-21	@ Sevilla	L 0-3	1683	1678	17.0%	16.2%	66.8%	-2.2	33
1943-03-27	Atletico Aviacion	D 0-0	1617	1675	61.2%	17.5%	21.3%	-0.5	44
1943-03-27	@ Castellon	D 0-0	1675	1617	21.3%	17.5%	61.2%	+0.5	35
1943-03-28	Sevilla	W 3-1	1685	1681	67.8%	15.9%	16.3%	+1.3	43
1943-03-28	@ Barcelona	L 1-3	1681	1685	16.3%	15.9%	67.8%	-1.3	45
1943-03-28	Valencia	W 2-0	1651	1688	63.5%	17.0%	19.5%	+1.8	44
1943-03-28	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-2	1688	1651	19.5%	17.0%	63.5%	-1.8	36
1943-03-28	Atletico Bilbao	W 2-0	1620	1705	58.1%	17.9%	24.0%	+2.2	33
1943-03-28	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-2	1705	1620	24.0%	17.9%	58.1%	-2.2	49
1943-03-28	Espanol	D 1-1	1549	1657	55.4%	18.2%	26.4%	-0.3	12
1943-03-28	@ Real Betis	D 1-1	1657	1549	26.4%	18.2%	55.4%	+0.3	30
1943-03-28	Granada	D 2-2	1681	1617	73.4%	13.9%	12.7%	-0.5	34
1943-03-28	@ Real Madrid	D 2-2	1617	1681	12.7%	13.9%	73.4%	+0.5	31
1943-03-28	Real Oviedo	L 1-3	1567	1659	57.3%	18.0%	24.7%	-4.0	15
1943-03-28	@ Real Zaragoza	W 3-1	1659	1567	24.7%	18.0%	57.3%	+4.0	37
1943-04-04	Real Zaragoza	W 2-0	1703	1563	80.0%	10.9%	9.1%	+0.8	52
1943-04-04	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-2	1563	1703	9.1%	10.9%	80.0%	-0.8	15
1943-04-04	Celta Vigo	W 3-1	1675	1653	69.5%	15.4%	15.2%	+1.2	38
1943-04-04	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-3	1653	1675	15.2%	15.4%	69.5%	-1.2	44
1943-04-04	Castellon	W 3-1	1657	1616	71.3%	14.7%	14.0%	+1.1	33
1943-04-04	@ Espanol	L 1-3	1616	1657	14.0%	14.7%	71.3%	-1.1	44
1943-04-04	Barcelona	L 2-3	1618	1686	60.0%	17.7%	22.3%	-2.3	31
1943-04-04	@ Granada	W 3-2	1686	1618	22.3%	17.7%	60.0%	+2.3	46
1943-04-04	Real Betis	W 4-1	1663	1549	77.8%	12.0%	10.2%	+1.1	40
1943-04-04	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-4	1549	1663	10.2%	12.0%	77.8%	-1.1	12
1943-04-04	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-1	1679	1622	72.9%	14.1%	13.0%	+0.6	48
1943-04-04	@ Sevilla	L 1-2	1622	1679	13.0%	14.1%	72.9%	-0.6	33
1943-04-04	Real Madrid	D 3-3	1687	1680	67.9%	15.9%	16.2%	-0.3	37
1943-04-04	@ Valencia	D 3-3	1680	1687	16.2%	15.9%	67.9%	+0.3	35

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1942-12-13	11.24%	Deportivo La Coruna	1613	2	@ Atletico Bilbao	1704	0
2	1943-03-14	12.02%	Castellon	1617	2	@ Valencia	1693	1
3	1943-03-07	12.91%	Deportivo La Coruna	1617	2	@ Atletico Aviacion	1676	1
4	1943-02-14	14.04%	Celta Vigo	1640	4	@ Real Madrid	1679	2
5	1942-11-08	14.31%	Real Oviedo	1651	5	@ Sevilla	1687	0
6	1943-01-17	14.35%	Barcelona	1665	4	@ Valencia	1700	2
7	1942-11-15	14.79%	Deportivo La Coruna	1613	1	@ Celta Vigo	1640	0
8	1942-11-08	15.34%	Atletico Aviacion	1667	3	@ Real Madrid	1686	1
9	1942-11-08	15.41%	Castellon	1598	1	@ Deportivo La Coruna	1615	0
10	1942-09-27	15.94%	Deportivo La Coruna	1613	2	@ Granada	1623	1
11	1943-01-31	16.11%	Castellon	1611	2	@ Granada	1618	1
12	1942-10-04	16.49%	Espanol	1669	3	@ Atletico Aviacion	1671	2
13	1942-11-01	17.50%	Sevilla	1684	2	@ Espanol	1672	1
14	1943-03-07	17.79%	Real Madrid	1679	4	@ Real Oviedo	1663	3
15	1942-12-27	17.92%	Valencia	1696	1	@ Real Madrid	1679	0
16	1943-03-07	17.98%	Barcelona	1680	3	@ Espanol	1662	1
17	1942-10-18	18.16%	Atletico Bilbao	1688	3	@ Atletico Aviacion	1668	2
18	1942-10-04	18.46%	Valencia	1688	2	@ Barcelona	1663	1
19	1942-12-06	18.97%	Atletico Bilbao	1700	3	@ Barcelona	1670	1
20	1942-10-04	19.28%	Granada	1621	3	@ Real Zaragoza	1586	2
21	1942-12-06	20.59%	Real Oviedo	1665	1	@ Deportivo La Coruna	1616	0
22	1943-01-24	20.66%	Granada	1615	1	@ Real Betis	1565	0
23	1942-11-22	21.24%	Celta Vigo	1637	2	@ Real Zaragoza	1580	1
24	1942-11-01	21.45%	Barcelona	1662	2	@ Castellon	1602	0
25	1943-04-04	22.31%	Barcelona	1686	3	@ Granada	1618	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1942-11-08	12.97	Real Oviedo	5	1651	14.31%	@ Sevilla	0	1687	70.76%
2	1942-12-13	5.85	Deportivo La Coruna	2	1613	11.24%	@ Atletico Bilbao	0	1704	75.91%
3	1942-11-08	5.02	@ Barcelona	8	1667	69.45%	Celta Vigo	0	1645	15.17%
4	1942-11-01	4.88	Barcelona	2	1662	21.45%	@ Castellon	0	1602	61.03%
5	1942-10-04	4.82	Sevilla	5	1678	25.45%	@ Real Betis	2	1579	56.43%
6	1942-11-08	4.72	Atletico Aviacion	3	1667	15.34%	@ Real Madrid	1	1686	69.20%
7	1943-02-28	4.71	@ Real Madrid	7	1674	68.06%	Espanol	0	1667	16.11%
8	1943-01-24	4.52	Real Madrid	2	1677	25.71%	@ Real Zaragoza	0	1575	56.15%
9	1943-03-07	4.50	Barcelona	3	1680	17.98%	@ Espanol	1	1662	65.46%
10	1943-02-07	4.46	Barcelona	2	1671	26.56%	@ Real Betis	0	1562	55.23%
11	1942-12-06	4.42	Atletico Bilbao	3	1700	18.97%	@ Barcelona	1	1670	64.14%
12	1943-02-14	4.32	Celta Vigo	4	1640	14.04%	@ Real Madrid	2	1679	71.19%
13	1943-01-17	4.29	Barcelona	4	1665	14.35%	@ Valencia	2	1700	70.71%
14	1942-12-06	4.16	@ Castellon	5	1604	63.54%	Celta Vigo	0	1640	19.43%
15	1942-10-25	4.13	@ Valencia	7	1692	70.90%	Real Oviedo	0	1656	14.22%
16	1942-11-22	4.12	Atletico Bilbao	3	1695	22.88%	@ Granada	1	1621	59.33%
17	1943-03-14	4.01	Celta Vigo	3	1644	24.47%	@ Real Betis	1	1554	57.52%
18	1943-03-28	3.99	Real Oviedo	3	1659	24.67%	@ Real Zaragoza	1	1567	57.30%
19	1943-02-28	3.59	@ Barcelona	5	1676	67.01%	Atletico Aviacion	0	1679	16.85%
20	1943-02-14	3.48	@ Atletico Bilbao	8	1700	70.39%	Real Oviedo	1	1669	14.55%
21	1942-10-18	3.38	@ Espanol	5	1669	68.34%	Real Oviedo	0	1659	15.92%
22	1942-11-15	3.26	@ Atletico Bilbao	5	1692	69.15%	Sevilla	0	1674	15.37%
23	1943-03-21	3.12	@ Celta Vigo	5	1648	70.12%	Castellon	0	1620	14.73%
24	1943-02-07	2.96	@ Castellon	3	1613	59.93%	Real Madrid	0	1682	22.37%
25	1942-11-15	2.92	Deportivo La Coruna	1	1613	14.79%	@ Celta Vigo	0	1640	70.02%