1943-44 La Liga Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Valencia

40 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1941-42

Relegated

Celta

9 pts

Real Sociedad · 17 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Valencia

10.99 points above expected

40 points · 29.01 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Celta Vigo

15.36 points below expected

9 points · 24.36 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Valencia	26	18	4	4	40	73	32	+41	29.0	+10.99
2	Atletico Aviacion	26	15	4	7	34	66	49	+17	27.1	+6.91
3	Sevilla	26	12	8	6	32	60	46	+14	27.8	+4.25
4	Real Oviedo	26	12	5	9	29	71	47	+24	26.9	+2.05
5	Castellon	26	13	3	10	29	42	36	+6	25.1	+3.93
6	Barcelona	26	10	8	8	28	59	46	+13	27.4	+0.60
7	Real Madrid	26	11	6	9	28	48	38	+10	26.8	+1.19
8	Granada	26	9	8	9	26	41	46	-5	25.1	+0.85
9	Atletico Bilbao	26	10	5	11	25	47	51	-4	26.8	-1.80
10	Sabadell	26	11	3	12	25	53	60	-7	22.8	+2.23
11	Espanol	26	9	5	12	23	42	50	-8	26.2	-3.17
12	Deportivo La Coruna	26	6	7	13	19	35	64	-29	25.1	-6.09
13	Real Sociedad	26	5	7	14	17	34	54	-20	23.6	-6.58
14	Celta Vigo	26	2	5	19	9	23	75	-52	24.4	-15.36

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Valencia	1760	40	29.01	+10.99	99.0%	18	21	26	29	32	35	41
Sevilla	1720	32	27.75	+4.25	91.0%	18	20	25	28	30	34	37
Real Oviedo	1719	29	26.95	+2.05	76.0%	17	21	25	27	29	32	33
Atletico Aviacion	1717	34	27.09	+6.91	95.0%	19	21	25	26	29	34	40
Barcelona	1710	28	27.40	+0.60	60.0%	17	20	25	27	30	34	38
Real Madrid	1705	28	26.81	+1.19	65.0%	16	20	24	27	30	32	34
Atletico Bilbao	1698	25	26.80	-1.80	43.0%	16	19	24	26	30	33	35
Castellon	1681	29	25.07	+3.93	87.0%	16	19	22	25	28	31	33
Espanol	1678	23	26.17	-3.17	29.0%	18	20	23	26	29	33	37
Granada	1674	26	25.15	+0.85	60.0%	17	19	22	25	28	31	34
Sabadell	1640	25	22.77	+2.23	76.0%	15	17	20	23	25	31	34
Deportivo La Coruna	1628	19	25.09	-6.09	10.0%	12	18	22	25	29	32	38
Real Sociedad	1623	17	23.58	-6.58	7.0%	9	17	21	23	26	32	36
Celta Vigo	1604	9	24.36	-15.36	0.0%	15	18	21	24	27	31	33

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AA	AB	BAR	CAS	CV	DLC	ESP	GRA	RM	RO	RS	SAB	SEV	VAL
Atletico Aviacion	—	1-1-0 2.79	2-0-0 2.76	1-0-1 3.04	2-0-0 3.07	2-0-0 3.11	2-0-0 3.02	1-1-0 3.07	1-0-1 2.87	0-0-2 2.87	1-0-1 3.25	1-0-1 3.37	0-1-1 2.83	1-1-0 2.64
Atletico Bilbao	0-1-1 2.83	—	1-1-0 2.81	0-0-2 3.01	1-0-1 3.21	1-0-1 3.08	0-1-1 2.96	0-2-0 3.01	1-0-1 2.81	2-0-0 2.73	2-0-0 3.19	1-0-1 3.31	0-0-2 2.84	1-0-1 2.60
Barcelona	0-0-2 2.86	0-1-1 2.81	—	1-0-1 3.03	1-1-0 3.30	1-1-0 3.11	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 3.09	1-0-1 2.91	1-1-0 2.82	1-1-0 3.23	1-0-1 3.37	0-2-0 2.89	1-1-0 2.75
Castellon	1-0-1 2.58	2-0-0 2.61	1-0-1 2.59	—	1-1-0 2.90	1-0-1 2.96	2-0-0 2.75	0-1-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.66	2-0-0 3.05	1-0-1 3.15	0-0-2 2.63	0-1-1 2.51
Celta Vigo	0-0-2 2.55	1-0-1 2.41	0-1-1 2.32	0-1-1 2.74	—	0-1-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.70	0-0-2 2.57	1-0-1 2.48	0-0-2 2.55	0-1-1 2.91	0-0-2 2.99	0-0-2 2.32	0-0-2 2.25
Deportivo La Coruna	0-0-2 2.52	1-0-1 2.54	0-1-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.66	1-1-0 2.93	—	1-0-1 2.70	0-2-0 2.73	0-1-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.49	1-1-0 2.91	0-0-2 3.01	0-1-1 2.58	0-0-2 2.54
Espanol	0-0-2 2.60	1-1-0 2.67	1-0-1 2.60	0-0-2 2.87	1-1-0 2.92	1-0-1 2.92	—	1-0-1 2.86	0-1-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.64	0-1-1 3.05	1-1-0 3.16	2-0-0 2.58	0-0-2 2.46
Granada	0-1-1 2.55	0-2-0 2.61	1-0-1 2.53	1-1-0 2.76	2-0-0 3.07	0-2-0 2.89	1-0-1 2.76	—	0-2-0 2.69	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 3.17	1-0-1 2.58	0-0-2 2.50
Real Madrid	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.81	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 3.16	1-1-0 2.96	1-1-0 2.92	0-2-0 2.93	—	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 3.19	2-0-0 3.25	0-1-1 2.77	0-1-1 2.53
Real Oviedo	2-0-0 2.75	0-0-2 2.89	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.97	2-0-0 3.09	1-0-1 3.15	1-0-1 2.97	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 2.91	—	0-2-0 3.24	1-1-0 3.36	1-1-0 2.77	1-0-1 2.62
Real Sociedad	1-0-1 2.39	0-0-2 2.45	0-1-1 2.41	0-0-2 2.57	1-1-0 2.73	0-1-1 2.71	1-1-0 2.58	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-1 2.44	0-2-0 2.39	—	0-0-2 2.92	0-1-1 2.43	0-0-2 2.40
Sabadell	1-0-1 2.26	1-0-1 2.33	1-0-1 2.27	1-0-1 2.48	2-0-0 2.63	2-0-0 2.60	0-1-1 2.47	1-0-1 2.46	0-0-2 2.39	0-1-1 2.28	2-0-0 2.70	—	0-1-1 2.28	0-0-2 2.12
Sevilla	1-1-0 2.79	2-0-0 2.79	0-2-0 2.74	2-0-0 3.00	2-0-0 3.32	1-1-0 3.05	0-0-2 3.04	1-0-1 3.04	1-1-0 2.86	0-1-1 2.85	1-1-0 3.20	1-1-0 3.35	—	0-0-2 2.73
Valencia	0-1-1 2.99	1-0-1 3.04	0-1-1 2.87	1-1-0 3.13	2-0-0 3.41	2-0-0 3.10	2-0-0 3.16	2-0-0 3.14	1-1-0 3.09	1-0-1 3.00	2-0-0 3.24	2-0-0 3.53	2-0-0 2.89	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.57%	4.67%	4.40%	2.20%	1.65%	20.33%
1	3.57%	6.59%	6.32%	3.30%	1.92%	2.47%	24.18%
2	4.67%	6.32%	8.24%	3.02%	1.92%	1.65%	25.82%
3	4.40%	3.30%	3.02%	2.75%	1.10%	0.55%	15.11%
4	2.20%	1.92%	1.92%	1.10%	—	0.55%	7.69%
5+	1.65%	2.47%	1.65%	0.55%	0.55%	—	6.87%
Total	20.33%	24.18%	25.82%	15.11%	7.69%	6.87%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.91
Mean allowed	1.91
StdDev scored	1.58
StdDev allowed	1.58
Mean total goals/game	3.81
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.074
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	11.54%
2	3.85%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	38.46%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
5+	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
Total	15.38%	23.08%	34.62%	11.54%	15.38%	—	100%

Atletico Aviacion — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.54
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	1.75
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	4.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.029
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
1	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
2	—	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	42.31%	11.54%	19.23%	3.85%	11.54%	100%

Atletico Bilbao — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.81
Mean allowed	1.96
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	1.54
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.038
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
1	7.69%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
2	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	11.54%	—	—	23.08%
4	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%
5+	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	19.23%	23.08%	26.92%	26.92%	—	3.85%	100%

Barcelona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.27
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.64
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	4.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.088
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	30.77%
1	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
2	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
3	7.69%	—	11.54%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	26.92%	30.77%	11.54%	3.85%	—	100%

Castellon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	1.42
StdDev allowed	1.13
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.502
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	42.31%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	15.38%	34.62%
2	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	15.38%	26.92%	15.38%	7.69%	26.92%	100%

Celta Vigo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.88
Mean allowed	2.88
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	1.82
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.038
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
1	7.69%	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	—	—	15.38%	—	11.54%	—	26.92%
3	—	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	3.85%	34.62%	23.08%	19.23%	3.85%	100%

Deportivo La Coruna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.35
Mean allowed	2.46
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.58
Mean total goals/game	3.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.093
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	15.38%	—	7.69%	46.15%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	23.08%	26.92%	15.38%	19.23%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Espanol — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	1.65
StdDev allowed	1.74
Mean total goals/game	3.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.414
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
1	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
2	7.69%	7.69%	19.23%	3.85%	—	3.85%	42.31%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	26.92%	11.54%	38.46%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Granada — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.58
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.42
StdDev allowed	1.58
Mean total goals/game	3.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.010
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	—	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
2	—	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
4	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	50.00%	26.92%	7.69%	—	3.85%	100%

Real Madrid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.85
Mean allowed	1.46
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	3.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.127
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	—	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
2	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
3	3.85%	—	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	19.23%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
Total	15.38%	26.92%	34.62%	15.38%	—	7.69%	100%

Real Oviedo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.73
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	2.07
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	4.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.136
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	38.46%
1	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	—	15.38%
2	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
3	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	23.08%	15.38%	23.08%	15.38%	3.85%	100%

Real Sociedad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.31
Mean allowed	2.08
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	1.60
Mean total goals/game	3.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.064
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%
1	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
2	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	23.08%
4	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	30.77%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	19.23%	15.38%	100%

Sabadell — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.04
Mean allowed	2.31
StdDev scored	1.37
StdDev allowed	2.29
Mean total goals/game	4.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.233
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
1	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	—	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
5+	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
Total	23.08%	23.08%	34.62%	11.54%	—	7.69%	100%

Sevilla — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.31
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.62
StdDev allowed	1.75
Mean total goals/game	4.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.228
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
2	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
4	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
Total	38.46%	26.92%	19.23%	3.85%	11.54%	—	100%

Valencia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.81
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.67
StdDev allowed	1.34
Mean total goals/game	4.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.074
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Valencia	40	29.0	+10.99
2	Atletico Aviacion	34	27.1	+6.91
3	Sevilla	32	27.8	+4.25
4	Castellon	29	25.1	+3.93
5	Sabadell	25	22.8	+2.23

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Celta Vigo	9	24.4	-15.36
2	Real Sociedad	17	23.6	-6.58
3	Deportivo La Coruna	19	25.1	-6.09
4	Espanol	23	26.2	-3.17
5	Atletico Bilbao	25	26.8	-1.80

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atletico Bilbao	7	Nov 21 – Jan 9	1 in 667
2	Espanol	4	Mar 12 – Apr 2	1 in 104
3	Valencia	5	Nov 21 – Dec 19	1 in 43
4	Granada	3	Dec 12 – Jan 2	1 in 43
5	Atletico Aviacion	3	Dec 19 – Jan 9	1 in 25

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celta Vigo	5	Dec 19 – Jan 23	1 in 178
2	Barcelona	4	Feb 13 – Mar 12	1 in 117
3	Espanol	4	Dec 19 – Jan 16	1 in 66
4	Real Madrid	3	Dec 12 – Jan 2	1 in 37
5	Sabadell	4	Nov 28 – Dec 19	1 in 23

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Valencia	10	Oct 10 – Dec 19	1 in 142
2	Atletico Bilbao	7	Nov 21 – Jan 9	1 in 35
3	Atletico Aviacion	6	Oct 24 – Dec 5	1 in 29
4	Barcelona	6	Sep 26 – Nov 7	1 in 27
5	Espanol	5	Jan 23 – Feb 20	1 in 27

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celta Vigo	13	Nov 21 – Feb 20	1 in 607
2	Granada	9	Oct 3 – Dec 5	1 in 104
3	Atletico Bilbao	7	Jan 16 – Mar 5	1 in 64
4	Barcelona	6	Feb 6 – Mar 19	1 in 58
5	Real Sociedad	7	Jan 23 – Mar 12	1 in 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Valencia	19.00%	15.00%	17.00%	9.00%	4.00%	9.00%	4.00%	5.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—
Atletico Aviacion	9.00%	11.00%	6.00%	5.00%	10.00%	8.00%	12.00%	12.00%	9.00%	2.00%	6.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Sevilla	14.00%	8.00%	12.00%	10.00%	12.00%	7.00%	10.00%	4.00%	3.00%	8.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%
Real Oviedo	8.00%	12.00%	8.00%	9.00%	11.00%	9.00%	9.00%	5.00%	9.00%	5.00%	9.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Castellon	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	8.00%	6.00%	7.00%	4.00%	11.00%	8.00%	14.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%
Barcelona	12.00%	8.00%	11.00%	9.00%	12.00%	5.00%	10.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Real Madrid	6.00%	9.00%	10.00%	14.00%	9.00%	9.00%	8.00%	7.00%	5.00%	6.00%	6.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%
Granada	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	2.00%	7.00%	14.00%	4.00%	11.00%	11.00%	10.00%	11.00%	8.00%	9.00%	3.00%
Atletico Bilbao	9.00%	11.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	10.00%	8.00%	9.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Sabadell	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	12.00%	8.00%	14.00%	10.00%	25.00%
Espanol	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	9.00%	6.00%	6.00%	9.00%	6.00%	9.00%	5.00%	11.00%	10.00%	10.00%	1.00%
Deportivo La Coruna	5.00%	1.00%	10.00%	7.00%	5.00%	9.00%	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	11.00%	8.00%	10.00%	12.00%
Real Sociedad	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	1.00%	6.00%	6.00%	9.00%	4.00%	8.00%	11.00%	15.00%	22.00%
Celta Vigo	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%	6.00%	5.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%	2.00%	10.00%	5.00%	13.00%	15.00%	14.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Atletico Aviacion	84.0%	10.0%	2.0%	4.0%
Valencia	92.0%	2.0%	3.0%	3.0%
Real Oviedo	85.0%	8.0%	4.0%	3.0%
Barcelona	84.0%	9.0%	—	7.0%
Sevilla	88.0%	5.0%	—	7.0%
Real Madrid	83.0%	7.0%	2.0%	8.0%
Atletico Bilbao	78.0%	11.0%	4.0%	7.0%
Espanol	68.0%	14.0%	7.0%	11.0%
Castellon	70.0%	11.0%	4.0%	15.0%
Granada	69.0%	10.0%	9.0%	12.0%
Deportivo La Coruna	59.0%	12.0%	7.0%	22.0%
Celta Vigo	53.0%	12.0%	6.0%	29.0%
Real Sociedad	44.0%	15.0%	4.0%	37.0%
Sabadell	43.0%	16.0%	6.0%	35.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1943-09-26	Celta Vigo	W 7-0	1697	1687	62.8%	18.6%	18.6%	+7.6	3
1943-09-26	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-7	1687	1697	18.6%	18.6%	62.8%	-7.6	0
1943-09-26	Atletico Bilbao	D 3-3	1701	1706	61.3%	19.0%	19.8%	-0.4	1
1943-09-26	@ Barcelona	D 3-3	1706	1701	19.8%	19.0%	61.3%	+0.4	1
1943-09-26	Espanol	W 2-1	1672	1690	59.8%	19.3%	20.9%	+1.3	3
1943-09-26	@ Castellon	L 1-2	1690	1672	20.9%	19.3%	59.8%	-1.3	0
1943-09-26	Real Madrid	D 2-2	1678	1698	59.7%	19.3%	21.0%	-0.4	1
1943-09-26	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1698	1678	21.0%	19.3%	59.7%	+0.4	1
1943-09-26	Real Oviedo	W 5-2	1676	1691	60.2%	19.2%	20.6%	+2.8	3
1943-09-26	@ Granada	L 2-5	1691	1676	20.6%	19.2%	60.2%	-2.8	0
1943-09-26	Valencia	L 2-4	1645	1700	55.5%	20.0%	24.5%	-4.7	0
1943-09-26	@ Real Sociedad	W 4-2	1700	1645	24.5%	20.0%	55.5%	+4.7	3
1943-09-26	Sabadell	W 5-2	1698	1618	70.0%	16.3%	13.8%	+1.8	3
1943-09-26	@ Sevilla	L 2-5	1618	1698	13.8%	16.3%	70.0%	-1.8	0
1943-10-03	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-1	1706	1678	64.8%	18.1%	17.2%	+1.9	4
1943-10-03	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-3	1678	1706	17.2%	18.1%	64.8%	-1.9	1
1943-10-03	Castellon	D 2-2	1680	1673	62.5%	18.7%	18.8%	-0.5	1
1943-10-03	@ Celta Vigo	D 2-2	1673	1680	18.8%	18.7%	62.5%	+0.4	4
1943-10-03	Real Sociedad	D 2-2	1689	1640	66.9%	17.4%	15.7%	-0.5	1
1943-10-03	@ Espanol	D 2-2	1640	1689	15.7%	17.4%	66.9%	+0.5	1
1943-10-03	Sevilla	L 3-5	1698	1699	61.7%	18.9%	19.4%	-4.9	1
1943-10-03	@ Real Madrid	W 5-3	1699	1698	19.4%	18.9%	61.7%	+4.9	6
1943-10-03	Atletico Aviacion	W 4-1	1688	1704	60.1%	19.2%	20.7%	+3.2	3
1943-10-03	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-4	1704	1688	20.7%	19.2%	60.1%	-3.2	3
1943-10-03	Granada	W 2-0	1616	1679	54.6%	20.1%	25.3%	+3.2	3
1943-10-03	@ Sabadell	L 0-2	1679	1616	25.3%	20.1%	54.6%	-3.2	3
1943-10-03	Barcelona	L 3-4	1705	1700	62.3%	18.7%	19.0%	-3.1	3
1943-10-03	@ Valencia	W 4-3	1700	1705	19.0%	18.7%	62.3%	+3.1	4
1943-10-10	Sabadell	W 4-3	1701	1619	70.2%	16.2%	13.6%	+0.8	6
1943-10-10	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 3-4	1619	1701	13.6%	16.2%	70.2%	-0.8	3
1943-10-10	Valencia	L 0-2	1676	1702	59.0%	19.4%	21.6%	-6.5	1
1943-10-10	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-0	1702	1676	21.6%	19.4%	59.0%	+6.5	6
1943-10-10	Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1688	1679	62.8%	18.6%	18.6%	-0.6	2
1943-10-10	@ Espanol	D 1-1	1679	1688	18.6%	18.6%	62.8%	+0.6	2
1943-10-10	Real Madrid	D 2-2	1676	1693	59.9%	19.3%	20.8%	-0.4	4
1943-10-10	@ Granada	D 2-2	1693	1676	20.8%	19.3%	59.9%	+0.4	2
1943-10-10	Barcelona	D 1-1	1640	1703	54.6%	20.1%	25.3%	-0.4	2
1943-10-10	@ Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1703	1640	25.3%	20.1%	54.6%	+0.4	5
1943-10-10	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-0	1704	1708	61.4%	18.9%	19.7%	+3.6	9
1943-10-10	@ Sevilla	L 0-3	1708	1704	19.7%	18.9%	61.4%	-3.6	4
1943-10-12	Real Oviedo	W 2-0	1674	1692	59.8%	19.3%	20.9%	+2.6	7
1943-10-12	@ Castellon	L 0-2	1692	1674	20.9%	19.3%	59.8%	-2.7	3
1943-10-17	Granada	D 2-2	1704	1675	64.9%	18.0%	17.1%	-0.5	5
1943-10-17	@ Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1675	1704	17.1%	18.0%	64.9%	+0.5	5
1943-10-17	Deportivo La Coruna	D 3-3	1704	1670	65.4%	17.9%	16.7%	-0.4	6
1943-10-17	@ Barcelona	D 3-3	1670	1704	16.7%	17.9%	65.4%	+0.4	2
1943-10-17	Real Sociedad	L 0-2	1680	1640	66.0%	17.7%	16.3%	-7.1	2
1943-10-17	@ Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1640	1680	16.3%	17.7%	66.0%	+7.1	5
1943-10-17	Atletico Aviacion	W 3-2	1694	1702	61.0%	19.1%	20.0%	+1.2	5
1943-10-17	@ Real Madrid	L 2-3	1702	1694	20.0%	19.1%	61.0%	-1.2	6
1943-10-17	Espanol	W 6-1	1689	1688	61.9%	18.8%	19.2%	+4.7	6
1943-10-17	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-6	1688	1689	19.2%	18.8%	61.9%	-4.7	2
1943-10-17	Castellon	W 1-0	1618	1676	55.2%	20.0%	24.8%	+1.6	6
1943-10-17	@ Sabadell	L 0-1	1676	1618	24.8%	20.0%	55.2%	-1.6	7
1943-10-17	Sevilla	W 8-0	1708	1708	61.8%	18.9%	19.3%	+9.0	9
1943-10-17	@ Valencia	L 0-8	1708	1708	19.3%	18.9%	61.8%	-9.0	9
1943-10-24	Atletico Bilbao	W 2-1	1700	1704	61.4%	18.9%	19.6%	+1.2	9
1943-10-24	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-2	1704	1700	19.6%	18.9%	61.4%	-1.2	5
1943-10-24	Real Madrid	W 2-1	1675	1695	59.6%	19.3%	21.1%	+1.3	10
1943-10-24	@ Castellon	L 1-2	1695	1675	21.1%	19.3%	59.6%	-1.3	5
1943-10-24	Real Oviedo	L 0-5	1673	1694	59.5%	19.4%	21.2%	-15.2	2
1943-10-24	@ Celta Vigo	W 5-0	1694	1673	21.2%	19.4%	59.5%	+15.2	9
1943-10-24	Sabadell	W 5-1	1683	1620	68.3%	16.9%	14.8%	+2.9	5
1943-10-24	@ Espanol	L 1-5	1620	1683	14.8%	16.9%	68.3%	-2.9	6
1943-10-24	Valencia	L 1-3	1676	1717	57.2%	19.7%	23.1%	-5.4	5
1943-10-24	@ Granada	W 3-1	1717	1676	23.1%	19.7%	57.2%	+5.4	12
1943-10-24	Deportivo La Coruna	L 2-3	1647	1670	59.3%	19.4%	21.3%	-3.1	5
1943-10-24	@ Real Sociedad	W 3-2	1670	1647	21.3%	19.4%	59.3%	+3.1	5
1943-10-24	Barcelona	D 2-2	1699	1703	61.3%	19.0%	19.7%	-0.4	10
1943-10-24	@ Sevilla	D 2-2	1703	1699	19.7%	19.0%	61.3%	+0.4	7
1943-11-07	Castellon	L 2-3	1703	1676	64.7%	18.1%	17.2%	-3.3	5
1943-11-07	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 3-2	1676	1703	17.2%	18.1%	64.7%	+3.3	13
1943-11-07	Granada	W 7-2	1704	1670	65.3%	17.9%	16.8%	+3.4	10
1943-11-07	@ Barcelona	L 2-7	1670	1704	16.8%	17.9%	65.3%	-3.5	5
1943-11-07	Sevilla	L 0-3	1673	1699	59.0%	19.4%	21.6%	-9.4	5
1943-11-07	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-0	1699	1673	21.6%	19.4%	59.0%	+9.4	13
1943-11-07	Espanol	W 3-1	1694	1686	62.6%	18.6%	18.7%	+2.1	8
1943-11-07	@ Real Madrid	L 1-3	1686	1694	18.7%	18.6%	62.6%	-2.1	5
1943-11-07	Real Sociedad	D 3-3	1709	1644	68.5%	16.8%	14.7%	-0.5	10
1943-11-07	@ Real Oviedo	D 3-3	1644	1709	14.7%	16.8%	68.5%	+0.5	6
1943-11-07	Celta Vigo	W 4-0	1617	1657	57.3%	19.7%	23.0%	+5.5	9
1943-11-07	@ Sabadell	L 0-4	1657	1617	23.0%	19.7%	57.3%	-5.5	2
1943-11-07	Atletico Aviacion	D 2-2	1722	1702	64.0%	18.3%	17.7%	-0.5	13
1943-11-07	@ Valencia	D 2-2	1702	1722	17.7%	18.3%	64.0%	+0.5	10
1943-11-14	Barcelona	W 2-1	1702	1707	61.3%	19.0%	19.8%	+1.2	13
1943-11-14	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-2	1707	1702	19.8%	19.0%	61.3%	-1.2	10
1943-11-14	Valencia	D 1-1	1679	1722	57.0%	19.8%	23.2%	-0.5	14
1943-11-14	@ Castellon	D 1-1	1722	1679	23.2%	19.8%	57.0%	+0.5	14
1943-11-14	Real Madrid	W 1-0	1652	1696	56.9%	19.8%	23.3%	+1.6	5
1943-11-14	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-1	1696	1652	23.3%	19.8%	56.9%	-1.6	8
1943-11-14	Atletico Bilbao	W 4-0	1684	1699	60.1%	19.2%	20.6%	+5.0	8
1943-11-14	@ Espanol	L 0-4	1699	1684	20.6%	19.2%	60.1%	-5.0	5
1943-11-14	Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1667	1664	62.2%	18.8%	19.1%	-0.4	6
1943-11-14	@ Granada	D 2-2	1664	1667	19.1%	18.8%	62.2%	+0.4	6
1943-11-14	Sabadell	W 9-2	1708	1622	70.5%	16.1%	13.4%	+3.6	13
1943-11-14	@ Real Oviedo	L 2-9	1622	1708	13.4%	16.1%	70.5%	-3.6	9
1943-11-14	Sevilla	D 0-0	1645	1708	54.6%	20.1%	25.4%	-0.4	7
1943-11-14	@ Real Sociedad	D 0-0	1708	1645	25.4%	20.1%	54.6%	+0.4	14
1943-11-21	Celta Vigo	W 5-1	1694	1653	66.1%	17.6%	16.2%	+3.2	8
1943-11-21	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-5	1653	1694	16.2%	17.6%	66.1%	-3.2	5
1943-11-21	Castellon	W 1-0	1706	1679	64.7%	18.1%	17.2%	+1.2	13
1943-11-21	@ Barcelona	L 0-1	1679	1706	17.2%	18.1%	64.7%	-1.2	14
1943-11-21	Atletico Aviacion	L 2-4	1664	1703	57.4%	19.7%	22.9%	-4.9	6
1943-11-21	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-2	1703	1664	22.9%	19.7%	57.4%	+4.9	16
1943-11-21	Real Sociedad	W 2-0	1619	1644	59.0%	19.4%	21.6%	+2.7	12
1943-11-21	@ Sabadell	L 0-2	1644	1619	21.6%	19.4%	59.0%	-2.7	7
1943-11-21	Granada	W 4-1	1708	1667	66.2%	17.6%	16.2%	+2.5	17
1943-11-21	@ Sevilla	L 1-4	1667	1708	16.2%	17.6%	66.2%	-2.5	6
1943-11-21	Espanol	W 4-0	1722	1689	65.3%	17.9%	16.8%	+4.0	17
1943-11-21	@ Valencia	L 0-4	1689	1722	16.8%	17.9%	65.3%	-4.0	8
1943-11-23	Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1694	1712	59.8%	19.3%	20.9%	+1.3	11
1943-11-23	@ Real Madrid	L 1-2	1712	1694	20.9%	19.3%	59.8%	-1.3	13
1943-11-28	Sevilla	D 2-2	1708	1711	61.5%	18.9%	19.6%	-0.4	17
1943-11-28	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 2-2	1711	1708	19.6%	18.9%	61.5%	+0.4	18
1943-11-28	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-1	1678	1659	63.8%	18.4%	17.9%	+1.1	17
1943-11-28	@ Castellon	L 1-2	1659	1678	17.9%	18.4%	63.8%	-1.1	6
1943-11-28	Valencia	L 1-2	1650	1726	53.0%	20.2%	26.8%	-2.9	5
1943-11-28	@ Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1726	1650	26.8%	20.2%	53.0%	+2.9	20
1943-11-28	Barcelona	L 1-3	1685	1707	59.4%	19.4%	21.3%	-5.6	8
1943-11-28	@ Espanol	W 3-1	1707	1685	21.3%	19.4%	59.4%	+5.6	16
1943-11-28	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1711	1698	63.2%	18.5%	18.3%	-3.4	13
1943-11-28	@ Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1698	1711	18.3%	18.5%	63.2%	+3.4	11
1943-11-28	Granada	W 3-0	1641	1664	59.3%	19.4%	21.3%	+3.9	10
1943-11-28	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-3	1664	1641	21.3%	19.4%	59.3%	-3.9	6
1943-11-28	Real Madrid	L 1-3	1622	1695	53.3%	20.2%	26.5%	-5.1	12
1943-11-28	@ Sabadell	W 3-1	1695	1622	26.5%	20.2%	53.3%	+5.1	14
1943-12-05	Sabadell	W 4-3	1701	1616	70.4%	16.1%	13.5%	+0.8	14
1943-12-05	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 3-4	1616	1701	13.5%	16.1%	70.4%	-0.8	12
1943-12-05	Celta Vigo	W 3-0	1713	1647	68.6%	16.8%	14.6%	+2.7	19
1943-12-05	@ Barcelona	L 0-3	1647	1713	14.6%	16.8%	68.6%	-2.7	5
1943-12-05	Espanol	W 3-1	1658	1679	59.5%	19.4%	21.2%	+2.3	9
1943-12-05	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-3	1679	1658	21.2%	19.4%	59.5%	-2.3	8
1943-12-05	Atletico Aviacion	L 2-3	1660	1708	56.4%	19.9%	23.7%	-2.9	6
1943-12-05	@ Granada	W 3-2	1708	1660	23.7%	19.9%	56.4%	+3.0	20
1943-12-05	Real Sociedad	W 4-1	1701	1645	67.5%	17.2%	15.3%	+2.4	17
1943-12-05	@ Real Madrid	L 1-4	1645	1701	15.3%	17.2%	67.5%	-2.4	10
1943-12-05	Castellon	W 4-0	1711	1679	65.3%	17.9%	16.8%	+4.1	21
1943-12-05	@ Sevilla	L 0-4	1679	1711	16.8%	17.9%	65.3%	-4.0	17
1943-12-05	Real Oviedo	W 5-3	1729	1707	64.2%	18.2%	17.6%	+1.6	23
1943-12-05	@ Valencia	L 3-5	1707	1729	17.6%	18.2%	64.2%	-1.6	13
1943-12-12	Granada	L 0-2	1675	1657	63.7%	18.4%	17.9%	-6.9	17
1943-12-12	@ Castellon	W 2-0	1657	1675	17.9%	18.4%	63.7%	+6.9	9
1943-12-12	Deportivo La Coruna	D 0-0	1645	1661	60.1%	19.2%	20.7%	-0.6	6
1943-12-12	@ Celta Vigo	D 0-0	1661	1645	20.7%	19.2%	60.1%	+0.6	10
1943-12-12	Sevilla	W 3-2	1677	1715	57.5%	19.7%	22.8%	+1.4	11
1943-12-12	@ Espanol	L 2-3	1715	1677	22.8%	19.7%	57.5%	-1.4	21
1943-12-12	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-3	1703	1702	61.9%	18.8%	19.2%	-5.8	17
1943-12-12	@ Real Madrid	W 3-1	1702	1703	19.2%	18.8%	61.9%	+5.9	17
1943-12-12	Barcelona	D 3-3	1706	1715	60.7%	19.1%	20.2%	-0.3	14
1943-12-12	@ Real Oviedo	D 3-3	1715	1706	20.2%	19.1%	60.7%	+0.3	20
1943-12-12	Atletico Aviacion	W 2-0	1643	1711	54.0%	20.1%	25.9%	+3.2	13
1943-12-12	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-2	1711	1643	25.9%	20.1%	54.0%	-3.2	20
1943-12-12	Valencia	L 2-4	1616	1731	48.0%	20.4%	31.6%	-4.2	12
1943-12-12	@ Sabadell	W 4-2	1731	1616	31.6%	20.4%	48.0%	+4.2	26
1943-12-19	Castellon	W 2-0	1708	1668	66.0%	17.7%	16.3%	+2.1	23
1943-12-19	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-2	1668	1708	16.3%	17.7%	66.0%	-2.1	17
1943-12-19	Sabadell	W 5-0	1716	1611	72.3%	15.3%	12.4%	+3.6	23
1943-12-19	@ Barcelona	L 0-5	1611	1716	12.4%	15.3%	72.3%	-3.6	12
1943-12-19	Real Oviedo	W 1-0	1661	1705	56.8%	19.8%	23.4%	+1.6	13
1943-12-19	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1705	1661	23.4%	19.8%	56.8%	-1.6	14
1943-12-19	Espanol	W 4-0	1664	1678	60.2%	19.2%	20.5%	+4.9	12
1943-12-19	@ Granada	L 0-4	1678	1664	20.5%	19.2%	60.2%	-4.9	11
1943-12-19	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-4	1646	1708	54.8%	20.1%	25.2%	-7.4	13
1943-12-19	@ Real Sociedad	W 4-1	1708	1646	25.2%	20.1%	54.8%	+7.4	20
1943-12-19	Celta Vigo	W 4-3	1714	1644	69.0%	16.6%	14.3%	+0.8	24
1943-12-19	@ Sevilla	L 3-4	1644	1714	14.3%	16.6%	69.0%	-0.8	6
1943-12-19	Real Madrid	W 1-0	1735	1697	65.8%	17.7%	16.4%	+1.1	29
1943-12-19	@ Valencia	L 0-1	1697	1735	16.4%	17.7%	65.8%	-1.1	17
1944-01-02	Valencia	W 2-1	1715	1736	59.5%	19.4%	21.2%	+1.3	23
1944-01-02	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1736	1715	21.2%	19.4%	59.5%	-1.3	29
1944-01-02	Real Sociedad	W 3-0	1666	1639	64.7%	18.1%	17.2%	+3.2	20
1944-01-02	@ Castellon	L 0-3	1639	1666	17.2%	18.1%	64.7%	-3.2	13
1944-01-02	Granada	L 0-1	1643	1669	58.9%	19.4%	21.6%	-3.4	6
1944-01-02	@ Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1669	1643	21.6%	19.4%	58.9%	+3.4	15
1944-01-02	Atletico Aviacion	L 1-2	1673	1710	57.8%	19.7%	22.6%	-3.2	11
1944-01-02	@ Espanol	W 2-1	1710	1673	22.6%	19.7%	57.8%	+3.2	26
1944-01-02	Barcelona	L 0-1	1696	1719	59.2%	19.4%	21.4%	-3.4	17
1944-01-02	@ Real Madrid	W 1-0	1719	1696	21.4%	19.4%	59.2%	+3.4	26
1944-01-02	Sevilla	W 5-1	1704	1715	60.6%	19.1%	20.3%	+4.1	17
1944-01-02	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-5	1715	1704	20.3%	19.1%	60.6%	-4.1	24
1944-01-02	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-1	1608	1663	55.6%	20.0%	24.5%	+2.6	15
1944-01-02	@ Sabadell	L 1-3	1663	1608	24.5%	20.0%	55.6%	-2.7	13
1944-01-09	Barcelona	W 2-1	1716	1723	61.1%	19.0%	19.9%	+1.3	26
1944-01-09	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1723	1716	19.9%	19.0%	61.1%	-1.3	26
1944-01-09	Atletico Aviacion	L 1-2	1640	1713	53.4%	20.2%	26.5%	-3.0	6
1944-01-09	@ Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1713	1640	26.5%	20.2%	53.4%	+3.0	29
1944-01-09	Castellon	L 0-1	1670	1669	62.0%	18.8%	19.2%	-3.6	11
1944-01-09	@ Espanol	W 1-0	1669	1670	19.2%	18.8%	62.0%	+3.6	23
1944-01-09	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-0	1693	1660	65.2%	17.9%	16.8%	+3.1	20
1944-01-09	@ Real Madrid	L 0-3	1660	1693	16.8%	17.9%	65.2%	-3.1	13
1944-01-09	Granada	W 2-0	1708	1672	65.5%	17.8%	16.6%	+2.1	20
1944-01-09	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-2	1672	1708	16.6%	17.8%	65.5%	-2.1	15
1944-01-09	Sevilla	D 1-1	1611	1711	50.0%	20.4%	29.6%	-0.3	16
1944-01-09	@ Sabadell	D 1-1	1711	1611	29.6%	20.4%	50.0%	+0.3	25
1944-01-09	Real Sociedad	W 3-0	1735	1636	71.8%	15.5%	12.7%	+2.3	32
1944-01-09	@ Valencia	L 0-3	1636	1735	12.7%	15.5%	71.8%	-2.3	13
1944-01-16	Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1716	1710	62.4%	18.7%	18.9%	-3.4	29
1944-01-16	@ Atletico Aviacion	W 2-1	1710	1716	18.9%	18.7%	62.4%	+3.4	23
1944-01-16	Valencia	D 1-1	1722	1737	60.1%	19.2%	20.7%	-0.5	27
1944-01-16	@ Barcelona	D 1-1	1737	1722	20.7%	19.2%	60.1%	+0.5	33
1944-01-16	Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1672	1637	65.6%	17.8%	16.6%	+2.1	26
1944-01-16	@ Castellon	L 0-2	1637	1672	16.6%	17.8%	65.6%	-2.1	6
1944-01-16	Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1657	1718	54.9%	20.0%	25.1%	+1.7	16
1944-01-16	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1718	1657	25.1%	20.0%	54.9%	-1.7	26
1944-01-16	Sabadell	W 2-1	1670	1610	68.0%	17.0%	15.0%	+0.9	18
1944-01-16	@ Granada	L 1-2	1610	1670	15.0%	17.0%	68.0%	-0.9	16
1944-01-16	Espanol	W 6-1	1633	1667	58.1%	19.6%	22.3%	+5.5	16
1944-01-16	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-6	1667	1633	22.3%	19.6%	58.1%	-5.5	11
1944-01-16	Real Madrid	D 1-1	1711	1696	63.5%	18.4%	18.1%	-0.6	26
1944-01-16	@ Sevilla	D 1-1	1696	1711	18.1%	18.4%	63.5%	+0.6	21
1944-01-23	Sevilla	L 0-1	1716	1710	62.4%	18.7%	18.9%	-3.6	26
1944-01-23	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1710	1716	18.9%	18.7%	62.4%	+3.6	29
1944-01-23	Real Sociedad	W 2-0	1721	1639	70.2%	16.2%	13.6%	+1.7	30
1944-01-23	@ Barcelona	L 0-2	1639	1721	13.6%	16.2%	70.2%	-1.7	16
1944-01-23	Espanol	L 0-1	1635	1661	58.9%	19.5%	21.7%	-3.4	6
1944-01-23	@ Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1661	1635	21.7%	19.5%	58.9%	+3.4	14
1944-01-23	Granada	D 2-2	1696	1671	64.5%	18.1%	17.4%	-0.5	22
1944-01-23	@ Real Madrid	D 2-2	1671	1696	17.4%	18.1%	64.5%	+0.5	19
1944-01-23	Castellon	W 3-0	1713	1675	65.9%	17.7%	16.4%	+3.0	26
1944-01-23	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-3	1675	1713	16.4%	17.7%	65.9%	-3.0	26
1944-01-23	Atletico Aviacion	W 4-1	1609	1712	49.6%	20.4%	30.0%	+4.5	19
1944-01-23	@ Sabadell	L 1-4	1712	1609	30.0%	20.4%	49.6%	-4.5	29
1944-01-23	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-0	1738	1659	69.9%	16.3%	13.8%	+2.5	36
1944-01-23	@ Valencia	L 0-3	1659	1738	13.8%	16.3%	69.9%	-2.5	16
1944-01-30	Real Madrid	W 3-1	1708	1696	63.1%	18.5%	18.4%	+2.0	32
1944-01-30	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-3	1696	1708	18.4%	18.5%	63.1%	-2.0	22
1944-01-30	Sabadell	W 4-0	1672	1614	67.8%	17.1%	15.1%	+3.6	29
1944-01-30	@ Castellon	L 0-4	1614	1672	15.1%	17.1%	67.8%	-3.6	19
1944-01-30	Barcelona	L 1-4	1656	1723	54.2%	20.1%	25.7%	-7.3	16
1944-01-30	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-1	1723	1656	25.7%	20.1%	54.2%	+7.3	33
1944-01-30	Real Oviedo	W 2-0	1665	1716	55.9%	19.9%	24.1%	+3.0	17
1944-01-30	@ Espanol	L 0-2	1716	1665	24.1%	19.9%	55.9%	-3.0	26
1944-01-30	Atletico Bilbao	D 0-0	1672	1712	57.2%	19.7%	23.0%	-0.5	20
1944-01-30	@ Granada	D 0-0	1712	1672	23.0%	19.7%	57.2%	+0.5	27
1944-01-30	Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1637	1631	62.4%	18.7%	18.9%	-0.6	17
1944-01-30	@ Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1631	1637	18.9%	18.7%	62.4%	+0.6	7
1944-01-30	Valencia	L 0-2	1714	1740	58.9%	19.5%	21.6%	-6.5	29
1944-01-30	@ Sevilla	W 2-0	1740	1714	21.6%	19.5%	58.9%	+6.5	39
1944-02-06	Atletico Aviacion	D 0-0	1713	1710	62.1%	18.8%	19.1%	-0.7	28
1944-02-06	@ Atletico Bilbao	D 0-0	1710	1713	19.1%	18.8%	62.1%	+0.7	33
1944-02-06	Sevilla	D 1-1	1730	1708	64.2%	18.2%	17.6%	-0.6	34
1944-02-06	@ Barcelona	D 1-1	1708	1730	17.6%	18.2%	64.2%	+0.7	30
1944-02-06	Real Sociedad	D 0-0	1649	1636	63.1%	18.5%	18.4%	-0.7	17
1944-02-06	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 0-0	1636	1649	18.4%	18.5%	63.1%	+0.7	18
1944-02-06	Castellon	W 3-0	1694	1675	63.8%	18.3%	17.9%	+3.3	25
1944-02-06	@ Real Madrid	L 0-3	1675	1694	17.9%	18.3%	63.8%	-3.3	29
1944-02-06	Celta Vigo	W 5-1	1713	1632	70.1%	16.2%	13.7%	+2.7	29
1944-02-06	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-5	1632	1713	13.7%	16.2%	70.1%	-2.7	7
1944-02-06	Espanol	D 0-0	1610	1668	55.3%	20.0%	24.7%	-0.5	20
1944-02-06	@ Sabadell	D 0-0	1668	1610	24.7%	20.0%	55.3%	+0.5	18
1944-02-06	Granada	W 3-0	1747	1671	69.5%	16.4%	14.0%	+2.5	42
1944-02-06	@ Valencia	L 0-3	1671	1747	14.0%	16.4%	69.5%	-2.5	20
1944-02-13	Valencia	W 4-2	1711	1749	57.5%	19.7%	22.8%	+2.2	36
1944-02-13	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 2-4	1749	1711	22.8%	19.7%	57.5%	-2.2	42
1944-02-13	Atletico Bilbao	W 5-0	1672	1712	57.3%	19.7%	23.0%	+6.8	32
1944-02-13	@ Castellon	L 0-5	1712	1672	23.0%	19.7%	57.3%	-6.8	28
1944-02-13	Sabadell	L 0-3	1629	1610	63.9%	18.3%	17.8%	-10.1	7
1944-02-13	@ Celta Vigo	W 3-0	1610	1629	17.8%	18.3%	63.9%	+10.1	23
1944-02-13	Real Madrid	D 1-1	1668	1697	58.6%	19.5%	21.9%	-0.5	19
1944-02-13	@ Espanol	D 1-1	1697	1668	21.9%	19.5%	58.6%	+0.5	26
1944-02-13	Barcelona	W 2-0	1669	1729	54.9%	20.0%	25.1%	+3.1	23
1944-02-13	@ Granada	L 0-2	1729	1669	25.1%	20.0%	54.9%	-3.1	34
1944-02-13	Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1637	1716	52.7%	20.2%	27.1%	-0.2	19
1944-02-13	@ Real Sociedad	D 2-2	1716	1637	27.1%	20.2%	52.7%	+0.2	30
1944-02-13	Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1708	1648	68.0%	17.0%	15.0%	-0.6	31
1944-02-13	@ Sevilla	D 2-2	1648	1708	15.0%	17.0%	68.0%	+0.6	18
1944-02-20	Espanol	D 1-1	1706	1668	65.8%	17.8%	16.4%	-0.7	29
1944-02-20	@ Atletico Bilbao	D 1-1	1668	1706	16.4%	17.8%	65.8%	+0.7	20
1944-02-20	Atletico Aviacion	L 4-5	1726	1713	63.2%	18.5%	18.3%	-3.1	34
1944-02-20	@ Barcelona	W 5-4	1713	1726	18.3%	18.5%	63.2%	+3.1	39
1944-02-20	Granada	D 2-2	1649	1672	59.2%	19.4%	21.4%	-0.4	19
1944-02-20	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1672	1649	21.4%	19.4%	59.2%	+0.4	24
1944-02-20	Celta Vigo	W 3-0	1698	1619	69.8%	16.3%	13.8%	+2.5	29
1944-02-20	@ Real Madrid	L 0-3	1619	1698	13.8%	16.3%	69.8%	-2.5	7
1944-02-20	Real Oviedo	D 3-3	1620	1716	50.4%	20.4%	29.2%	-0.2	24
1944-02-20	@ Sabadell	D 3-3	1716	1620	29.2%	20.4%	50.4%	+0.2	31
1944-02-20	Real Sociedad	W 4-0	1708	1637	69.1%	16.6%	14.3%	+3.4	34
1944-02-20	@ Sevilla	L 0-4	1637	1708	14.3%	16.6%	69.1%	-3.4	19
1944-02-20	Castellon	W 2-0	1747	1679	68.8%	16.7%	14.4%	+1.8	45
1944-02-20	@ Valencia	L 0-2	1679	1747	14.4%	16.7%	68.8%	-1.8	32
1944-03-05	Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-2	1716	1648	68.8%	16.7%	14.5%	+1.4	42
1944-03-05	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 2-4	1648	1716	14.5%	16.7%	68.8%	-1.4	19
1944-03-05	Barcelona	W 3-0	1677	1723	56.6%	19.8%	23.6%	+4.3	35
1944-03-05	@ Castellon	L 0-3	1723	1677	23.6%	19.8%	56.6%	-4.3	34
1944-03-05	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-2	1617	1705	51.5%	20.3%	28.2%	+1.7	10
1944-03-05	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-3	1705	1617	28.2%	20.3%	51.5%	-1.6	29
1944-03-05	Valencia	L 0-3	1668	1749	52.4%	20.3%	27.3%	-8.5	20
1944-03-05	@ Espanol	W 3-0	1749	1668	27.3%	20.3%	52.4%	+8.4	48
1944-03-05	Sevilla	W 2-1	1672	1711	57.5%	19.7%	22.8%	+1.4	27
1944-03-05	@ Granada	L 1-2	1711	1672	22.8%	19.7%	57.5%	-1.4	34
1944-03-05	Real Madrid	W 2-0	1717	1700	63.6%	18.4%	18.0%	+2.3	34
1944-03-05	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-2	1700	1717	18.0%	18.4%	63.6%	-2.3	29
1944-03-05	Sabadell	L 0-1	1634	1620	63.3%	18.5%	18.2%	-3.6	19
1944-03-05	@ Real Sociedad	W 1-0	1620	1634	18.2%	18.5%	63.3%	+3.7	27
1944-03-12	Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1703	1719	60.1%	19.2%	20.7%	+1.3	32
1944-03-12	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1719	1703	20.7%	19.2%	60.1%	-1.3	34
1944-03-12	Espanol	L 1-3	1719	1660	67.9%	17.0%	15.0%	-6.3	34
1944-03-12	@ Barcelona	W 3-1	1660	1719	15.0%	17.0%	67.9%	+6.3	23
1944-03-12	Castellon	W 3-2	1647	1681	58.0%	19.6%	22.4%	+1.4	22
1944-03-12	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 2-3	1681	1647	22.4%	19.6%	58.0%	-1.3	35
1944-03-12	Real Sociedad	W 1-0	1674	1630	66.4%	17.5%	16.0%	+1.1	30
1944-03-12	@ Granada	L 0-1	1630	1674	16.0%	17.5%	66.4%	-1.1	19
1944-03-12	Sabadell	W 4-1	1698	1623	69.4%	16.5%	14.1%	+2.2	32
1944-03-12	@ Real Madrid	L 1-4	1623	1698	14.1%	16.5%	69.4%	-2.2	27
1944-03-12	Atletico Aviacion	W 4-2	1710	1717	61.0%	19.1%	20.0%	+2.0	37
1944-03-12	@ Sevilla	L 2-4	1717	1710	20.0%	19.1%	61.0%	-2.0	42
1944-03-12	Celta Vigo	W 5-1	1757	1618	75.4%	13.9%	10.7%	+2.1	51
1944-03-12	@ Valencia	L 1-5	1618	1757	10.7%	13.9%	75.4%	-2.0	10
1944-03-19	Granada	D 0-0	1715	1675	66.1%	17.7%	16.2%	-0.8	43
1944-03-19	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 0-0	1675	1715	16.2%	17.7%	66.1%	+0.8	31
1944-03-19	Sevilla	L 1-2	1680	1712	58.3%	19.6%	22.2%	-3.2	35
1944-03-19	@ Castellon	W 2-1	1712	1680	22.2%	19.6%	58.3%	+3.2	40
1944-03-19	Barcelona	D 2-2	1616	1713	50.5%	20.4%	29.2%	-0.2	11
1944-03-19	@ Celta Vigo	D 2-2	1713	1616	29.2%	20.4%	50.5%	+0.2	35
1944-03-19	Deportivo La Coruna	W 7-0	1666	1648	63.7%	18.4%	17.9%	+7.3	26
1944-03-19	@ Espanol	L 0-7	1648	1666	17.9%	18.4%	63.7%	-7.3	22
1944-03-19	Valencia	W 2-1	1718	1759	57.1%	19.8%	23.1%	+1.5	37
1944-03-19	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1759	1718	23.1%	19.8%	57.1%	-1.5	51
1944-03-19	Real Madrid	W 2-1	1629	1700	53.6%	20.2%	26.2%	+1.6	22
1944-03-19	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-2	1700	1629	26.2%	20.2%	53.6%	-1.6	32
1944-03-19	Atletico Bilbao	W 5-1	1621	1705	52.1%	20.3%	27.6%	+5.4	30
1944-03-19	@ Sabadell	L 1-5	1705	1621	27.6%	20.3%	52.1%	-5.4	32
1944-03-26	Real Madrid	L 1-2	1699	1698	61.9%	18.8%	19.3%	-3.4	32
1944-03-26	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 2-1	1698	1699	19.3%	18.8%	61.9%	+3.4	35
1944-03-26	Real Sociedad	W 6-2	1715	1630	70.4%	16.1%	13.5%	+2.3	46
1944-03-26	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 2-6	1630	1715	13.5%	16.1%	70.4%	-2.3	22
1944-03-26	Real Oviedo	W 3-1	1713	1719	61.1%	19.0%	19.9%	+2.2	38
1944-03-26	@ Barcelona	L 1-3	1719	1713	19.9%	19.0%	61.1%	-2.2	37
1944-03-26	Celta Vigo	W 3-2	1641	1616	64.5%	18.1%	17.4%	+1.1	25
1944-03-26	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 2-3	1616	1641	17.4%	18.1%	64.5%	-1.0	11
1944-03-26	Castellon	D 1-1	1676	1677	61.7%	18.9%	19.4%	-0.6	32
1944-03-26	@ Granada	D 1-1	1677	1676	19.4%	18.9%	61.7%	+0.6	36
1944-03-26	Espanol	L 1-2	1715	1673	66.1%	17.6%	16.2%	-3.6	40
1944-03-26	@ Sevilla	W 2-1	1673	1715	16.2%	17.6%	66.1%	+3.6	29
1944-03-26	Sabadell	W 2-1	1758	1626	74.7%	14.2%	11.1%	+0.7	54
1944-03-26	@ Valencia	L 1-2	1626	1758	11.1%	14.2%	74.7%	-0.7	30
1944-04-02	Real Sociedad	W 3-0	1696	1628	68.8%	16.7%	14.5%	+2.7	35
1944-04-02	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-3	1628	1696	14.5%	16.7%	68.8%	-2.7	22
1944-04-02	Atletico Aviacion	W 3-2	1677	1717	57.4%	19.7%	22.9%	+1.4	39
1944-04-02	@ Castellon	L 2-3	1717	1677	22.9%	19.7%	57.4%	-1.4	46
1944-04-02	Sevilla	L 1-5	1615	1711	50.5%	20.4%	29.2%	-8.9	11
1944-04-02	@ Celta Vigo	W 5-1	1711	1615	29.2%	20.4%	50.5%	+8.9	43
1944-04-02	Granada	W 2-0	1677	1675	62.0%	18.8%	19.2%	+2.4	32
1944-04-02	@ Espanol	L 0-2	1675	1677	19.2%	18.8%	62.0%	-2.4	32
1944-04-02	Valencia	D 1-1	1702	1759	55.3%	20.0%	24.7%	-0.4	36
1944-04-02	@ Real Madrid	D 1-1	1759	1702	24.7%	20.0%	55.3%	+0.4	55
1944-04-02	Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-2	1717	1642	69.5%	16.5%	14.1%	+1.4	40
1944-04-02	@ Real Oviedo	L 2-4	1642	1717	14.1%	16.5%	69.5%	-1.4	25
1944-04-02	Barcelona	W 3-2	1626	1715	51.4%	20.3%	28.3%	+1.7	33
1944-04-02	@ Sabadell	L 2-3	1715	1626	28.3%	20.3%	51.4%	-1.7	38
1944-04-09	Espanol	W 3-1	1716	1679	65.6%	17.8%	16.6%	+1.8	49
1944-04-09	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-3	1679	1716	16.6%	17.8%	65.6%	-1.8	32
1944-04-09	Real Madrid	L 1-2	1713	1701	63.1%	18.5%	18.4%	-3.4	38
1944-04-09	@ Barcelona	W 2-1	1701	1713	18.4%	18.5%	63.1%	+3.4	39
1944-04-09	Sabadell	L 0-4	1641	1627	63.2%	18.5%	18.3%	-13.0	25
1944-04-09	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-0	1627	1641	18.3%	18.5%	63.2%	+13.0	36
1944-04-09	Celta Vigo	W 5-2	1673	1606	68.7%	16.8%	14.6%	+1.9	35
1944-04-09	@ Granada	L 2-5	1606	1673	14.6%	16.8%	68.7%	-1.9	11
1944-04-09	Castellon	L 2-3	1626	1679	55.8%	19.9%	24.3%	-2.9	22
1944-04-09	@ Real Sociedad	W 3-2	1679	1626	24.3%	19.9%	55.8%	+2.9	42
1944-04-09	Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1720	1718	62.0%	18.8%	19.2%	-0.4	44
1944-04-09	@ Sevilla	D 2-2	1718	1720	19.2%	18.8%	62.0%	+0.4	41
1944-04-09	Atletico Bilbao	W 5-4	1759	1698	68.1%	17.0%	14.9%	+0.9	58
1944-04-09	@ Valencia	L 4-5	1698	1759	14.9%	17.0%	68.1%	-0.9	35

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1944-03-12	15.03%	Espanol	1660	3	@ Barcelona	1719	1
2	1944-03-26	16.21%	Espanol	1673	2	@ Sevilla	1715	1
3	1943-10-17	16.32%	Real Sociedad	1640	2	@ Celta Vigo	1680	0
4	1943-11-07	17.25%	Castellon	1676	3	@ Atletico Bilbao	1703	2
5	1944-02-13	17.80%	Sabadell	1610	3	@ Celta Vigo	1629	0
6	1943-12-12	17.94%	Granada	1657	2	@ Castellon	1675	0
7	1944-03-05	18.22%	Sabadell	1620	1	@ Real Sociedad	1634	0
8	1944-02-20	18.26%	Atletico Aviacion	1713	5	@ Barcelona	1726	4
9	1943-11-28	18.28%	Atletico Bilbao	1698	2	@ Real Oviedo	1711	1
10	1944-04-09	18.28%	Sabadell	1627	4	@ Deportivo La Coruna	1641	0
11	1944-04-09	18.37%	Real Madrid	1701	2	@ Barcelona	1713	1
12	1944-01-16	18.86%	Real Oviedo	1710	2	@ Atletico Aviacion	1716	1
13	1944-01-23	18.88%	Sevilla	1710	1	@ Atletico Bilbao	1716	0
14	1943-10-03	18.98%	Barcelona	1700	4	@ Valencia	1705	3
15	1944-01-09	19.23%	Castellon	1669	1	@ Espanol	1670	0
16	1943-12-12	19.25%	Atletico Bilbao	1702	3	@ Real Madrid	1703	1
17	1944-03-26	19.27%	Real Madrid	1698	2	@ Atletico Bilbao	1699	1
18	1943-10-03	19.43%	Sevilla	1699	5	@ Real Madrid	1698	3
19	1943-10-24	21.17%	Real Oviedo	1694	5	@ Celta Vigo	1673	0
20	1943-11-28	21.27%	Barcelona	1707	3	@ Espanol	1685	1
21	1943-10-24	21.34%	Deportivo La Coruna	1670	3	@ Real Sociedad	1647	2
22	1944-01-02	21.38%	Barcelona	1719	1	@ Real Madrid	1696	0
23	1943-11-07	21.56%	Sevilla	1699	3	@ Deportivo La Coruna	1673	0
24	1943-10-10	21.57%	Valencia	1702	2	@ Deportivo La Coruna	1676	0
25	1944-01-02	21.61%	Granada	1669	1	@ Celta Vigo	1643	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1943-10-24	15.23	Real Oviedo	5	1694	21.17%	@ Celta Vigo	0	1673	59.48%
2	1944-04-09	13.04	Sabadell	4	1627	18.28%	@ Deportivo La Coruna	0	1641	63.22%
3	1944-02-13	10.07	Sabadell	3	1610	17.80%	@ Celta Vigo	0	1629	63.89%
4	1943-11-07	9.39	Sevilla	3	1699	21.56%	@ Deportivo La Coruna	0	1673	59.00%
5	1943-10-17	8.96	@ Valencia	8	1708	61.82%	Sevilla	0	1708	19.33%
6	1944-04-02	8.89	Sevilla	5	1711	29.16%	@ Celta Vigo	1	1615	50.48%
7	1944-03-05	8.45	Valencia	3	1749	27.29%	@ Espanol	0	1668	52.45%
8	1943-09-26	7.59	@ Atletico Aviacion	7	1697	62.82%	Celta Vigo	0	1687	18.58%
9	1943-12-19	7.41	Atletico Bilbao	4	1708	25.17%	@ Real Sociedad	1	1646	54.78%
10	1944-01-30	7.33	Barcelona	4	1723	25.72%	@ Deportivo La Coruna	1	1656	54.16%
11	1944-03-19	7.32	@ Espanol	7	1666	63.74%	Deportivo La Coruna	0	1648	17.91%
12	1943-10-17	7.12	Real Sociedad	2	1640	16.32%	@ Celta Vigo	0	1680	65.98%
13	1943-12-12	6.91	Granada	2	1657	17.94%	@ Castellon	0	1675	63.68%
14	1944-02-13	6.78	@ Castellon	5	1672	57.27%	Atletico Bilbao	0	1712	23.00%
15	1943-10-10	6.47	Valencia	2	1702	21.57%	@ Deportivo La Coruna	0	1676	58.99%
16	1944-01-30	6.46	Valencia	2	1740	21.64%	@ Sevilla	0	1714	58.90%
17	1944-03-12	6.32	Espanol	3	1660	15.03%	@ Barcelona	1	1719	67.93%
18	1943-12-12	5.85	Atletico Bilbao	3	1702	19.25%	@ Real Madrid	1	1703	61.93%
19	1943-11-28	5.63	Barcelona	3	1707	21.27%	@ Espanol	1	1685	59.35%
20	1943-11-07	5.50	@ Sabadell	4	1617	57.27%	Celta Vigo	0	1657	23.00%
21	1944-01-16	5.46	@ Real Sociedad	6	1633	58.09%	Espanol	1	1667	22.31%
22	1943-10-24	5.44	Valencia	3	1717	23.06%	@ Granada	1	1676	57.19%
23	1944-03-19	5.39	@ Sabadell	5	1621	52.10%	Atletico Bilbao	1	1705	27.62%
24	1943-11-28	5.11	Real Madrid	3	1695	26.53%	@ Sabadell	1	1622	53.27%
25	1943-11-14	4.97	@ Espanol	4	1684	60.12%	Atletico Bilbao	0	1699	20.65%