1944-45 La Liga Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Barcelona

39 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1929

Relegated

Sabadell

17 pts

Deportivo La Coruna · 17 pts

Granada · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Barcelona

11.60 points above expected

39 points · 27.40 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sabadell

7.74 points below expected

17 points · 24.74 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Barcelona	26	17	5	4	39	50	30	+20	27.4	+11.60
2	Real Madrid	26	18	2	6	38	68	35	+33	28.1	+9.92
3	Atletico Aviacion	26	13	5	8	31	46	41	+5	27.6	+3.39
4	Real Oviedo	26	13	5	8	31	50	48	+2	27.6	+3.38
5	Valencia	26	12	6	8	30	61	35	+26	28.9	+1.13
6	Atletico Bilbao	26	14	2	10	30	54	41	+13	27.1	+2.90
7	Real Gijon	26	9	6	11	24	42	46	-4	22.1	+1.92
8	Castellon	26	10	4	12	24	43	50	-7	26.0	-1.99
9	Espanol	26	10	3	13	23	44	39	+5	26.1	-3.08
10	Sevilla	26	9	4	13	22	52	49	+3	27.3	-5.26
11	Granada	26	7	5	14	19	40	55	-15	25.1	-6.10
12	Real Murcia	26	7	5	14	19	40	58	-18	21.6	-2.64
13	Deportivo La Coruna	26	5	7	14	17	36	62	-26	24.4	-7.43
14	Sabadell	26	6	5	15	17	30	67	-37	24.7	-7.74

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Valencia	1803	30	28.87	+1.13	71.0%	21	23	26	29	31	35	38
Real Madrid	1800	38	28.08	+9.92	100.0%	19	22	25	28	31	34	36
Barcelona	1792	39	27.40	+11.60	100.0%	19	23	25	27	30	34	37
Atletico Aviacion	1776	31	27.61	+3.39	85.0%	20	22	25	28	30	34	37
Real Oviedo	1765	31	27.62	+3.38	91.0%	20	22	25	28	30	33	35
Atletico Bilbao	1762	30	27.10	+2.90	83.0%	19	21	25	27	29	33	36
Sevilla	1751	22	27.26	-5.26	8.0%	17	21	25	27	30	32	35
Espanol	1742	23	26.08	-3.08	24.0%	17	20	24	26	28	33	37
Castellon	1727	24	25.99	-1.99	38.0%	18	19	24	26	28	31	37
Granada	1713	19	25.10	-6.10	4.0%	18	20	22	25	27	31	35
Deportivo La Coruna	1680	17	24.43	-7.43	5.0%	15	17	22	25	27	31	34
Sabadell	1668	17	24.74	-7.74	3.0%	16	18	22	25	27	31	37
Real Gijon	1661	24	22.08	+1.92	77.0%	15	16	20	22	24	27	29
Real Murcia	1640	19	21.64	-2.64	32.0%	10	14	18	22	25	28	34

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AA	AB	BAR	CAS	DLC	ESP	GRA	RG	RM	RM	RO	SAB	SEV	VAL
Atletico Aviacion	—	2-0-0 2.88	0-2-0 2.87	2-0-0 2.92	0-1-1 3.24	2-0-0 3.04	0-1-1 3.04	1-0-1 3.45	0-0-2 2.86	1-1-0 3.46	1-0-1 2.89	2-0-0 3.13	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 2.71
Atletico Bilbao	0-0-2 2.84	—	1-0-1 2.79	0-0-2 2.91	2-0-0 3.18	2-0-0 3.00	2-0-0 3.08	1-0-1 3.37	1-0-1 2.85	1-1-0 3.41	0-0-2 2.84	2-0-0 3.05	2-0-0 2.86	0-1-1 2.71
Barcelona	0-2-0 2.86	1-0-1 2.94	—	2-0-0 2.93	2-0-0 3.21	1-1-0 3.12	2-0-0 3.02	2-0-0 3.43	1-0-1 2.86	1-1-0 3.43	0-0-2 2.85	2-0-0 3.14	1-1-0 2.97	2-0-0 2.75
Castellon	0-0-2 2.80	2-0-0 2.81	0-0-2 2.79	—	1-1-0 3.10	1-0-1 2.96	2-0-0 2.94	1-0-1 3.35	0-0-2 2.74	1-0-1 3.37	1-0-1 2.78	1-1-0 3.08	0-1-1 2.82	0-1-1 2.62
Deportivo La Coruna	1-1-0 2.49	0-0-2 2.55	0-0-2 2.53	0-1-1 2.63	—	1-0-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.76	0-2-0 3.11	0-1-1 2.59	1-0-1 3.12	1-1-0 2.53	0-0-2 2.88	1-0-1 2.56	0-0-2 2.43
Espanol	0-0-2 2.69	0-0-2 2.73	0-1-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 3.02	—	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 3.24	1-0-1 2.70	2-0-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.99	1-1-0 2.69	0-0-2 2.58
Granada	1-1-0 2.69	0-0-2 2.65	0-0-2 2.71	0-0-2 2.79	1-1-0 2.96	1-0-1 2.84	—	0-1-1 3.23	0-0-2 2.64	0-1-1 3.23	1-1-0 2.65	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.69	1-0-1 2.47
Real Gijon	1-0-1 2.28	1-0-1 2.37	0-0-2 2.30	1-0-1 2.38	0-2-0 2.61	0-1-1 2.49	1-1-0 2.50	—	0-0-2 2.27	1-1-0 2.86	1-0-1 2.30	1-1-0 2.63	1-0-1 2.30	1-0-1 2.15
Real Madrid	2-0-0 2.87	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.87	2-0-0 2.99	1-1-0 3.14	1-0-1 3.02	2-0-0 3.10	2-0-0 3.47	—	2-0-0 3.54	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 3.24	2-0-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.74
Real Murcia	0-1-1 2.28	0-1-1 2.32	0-1-1 2.30	1-0-1 2.36	1-0-1 2.61	0-0-2 2.50	1-1-0 2.50	0-1-1 2.87	0-0-2 2.20	—	1-0-1 2.28	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-1 2.28	1-0-1 2.18
Real Oviedo	1-0-1 2.84	2-0-0 2.88	2-0-0 2.88	1-0-1 2.95	0-1-1 3.20	1-0-1 3.05	0-1-1 3.07	1-0-1 3.44	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 3.46	—	1-1-0 3.19	1-1-0 2.92	1-1-0 2.71
Sabadell	0-0-2 2.60	0-0-2 2.69	0-0-2 2.59	0-1-1 2.65	2-0-0 2.85	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.78	0-1-1 3.10	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 3.09	0-1-1 2.54	—	0-0-2 2.62	0-2-0 2.49
Sevilla	1-0-1 2.79	0-0-2 2.86	0-1-1 2.75	1-1-0 2.90	1-0-1 3.17	0-1-1 3.03	1-0-1 3.03	1-0-1 3.43	0-0-2 2.87	1-0-1 3.45	0-1-1 2.80	2-0-0 3.11	—	1-0-1 2.69
Valencia	1-0-1 3.01	1-1-0 3.01	0-0-2 2.98	1-1-0 3.11	2-0-0 3.30	2-0-0 3.15	1-0-1 3.26	1-0-1 3.59	1-1-0 2.98	1-0-1 3.56	0-1-1 3.02	0-2-0 3.24	1-0-1 3.03	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.30%	6.04%	5.22%	2.75%	2.75%	3.02%	23.08%
1	6.04%	8.79%	5.22%	3.30%	4.12%	1.65%	29.12%
2	5.22%	5.22%	4.95%	3.57%	0.55%	1.65%	21.15%
3	2.75%	3.30%	3.57%	0.55%	0.55%	0.82%	11.54%
4	2.75%	4.12%	0.55%	0.55%	—	—	7.97%
5+	3.02%	1.65%	1.65%	0.82%	—	—	7.14%
Total	23.08%	29.12%	21.15%	11.54%	7.97%	7.14%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.80
Mean allowed	1.80
StdDev scored	1.68
StdDev allowed	1.68
Mean total goals/game	3.60
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.069
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	38.46%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	30.77%	15.38%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Atletico Aviacion — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	1.58
StdDev scored	1.34
StdDev allowed	1.45
Mean total goals/game	3.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.094
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
1	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%
2	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
3	3.85%	—	11.54%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	11.54%	46.15%	26.92%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Atletico Bilbao — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.08
Mean allowed	1.58
StdDev scored	1.65
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	3.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.190
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	19.23%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	34.62%	38.46%	19.23%	—	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Barcelona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	1.15
StdDev scored	1.55
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	3.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.013
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	30.77%
2	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	30.77%	19.23%	15.38%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Castellon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.65
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	1.83
StdDev allowed	1.98
Mean total goals/game	3.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.317
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
1	3.85%	11.54%	15.38%	—	—	3.85%	34.62%
2	—	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.85%	26.92%	34.62%	19.23%	3.85%	11.54%	100%

Deportivo La Coruna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	2.38
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	1.63
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.276
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	15.38%	11.54%	—	—	38.46%
1	7.69%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	23.08%	30.77%	19.23%	26.92%	—	—	100%

Espanol — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	2.19
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	3.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.257
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	—	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	30.77%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	15.38%	34.62%	15.38%	11.54%	15.38%	7.69%	100%

Granada — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	2.12
StdDev scored	1.36
StdDev allowed	1.84
Mean total goals/game	3.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.153
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	34.62%
1	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	19.23%
2	3.85%	—	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	19.23%	30.77%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Real Gijon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.65
StdDev allowed	1.63
Mean total goals/game	3.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.227
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%
1	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
2	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
Total	34.62%	30.77%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Real Madrid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.62
Mean allowed	1.35
StdDev scored	2.10
StdDev allowed	1.44
Mean total goals/game	3.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.351
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
2	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	26.92%	19.23%	7.69%	15.38%	11.54%	100%

Real Murcia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	2.23
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	2.10
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.138
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%
1	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	38.46%
2	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	—	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	38.46%	15.38%	15.38%	3.85%	11.54%	15.38%	100%

Real Oviedo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	1.85
StdDev scored	1.57
StdDev allowed	1.99
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.182
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%	38.46%
1	—	11.54%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
2	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	34.62%	26.92%	3.85%	7.69%	19.23%	100%

Sabadell — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	2.58
StdDev scored	1.19
StdDev allowed	2.28
Mean total goals/game	3.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.343
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	23.08%
1	—	7.69%	7.69%	19.23%	—	—	34.62%
2	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
3	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	19.23%	23.08%	23.08%	23.08%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Sevilla — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	2.04
StdDev allowed	1.40
Mean total goals/game	3.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.548
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	—	15.38%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
2	11.54%	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	30.77%	30.77%	19.23%	11.54%	7.69%	—	100%

Valencia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.35
Mean allowed	1.35
StdDev scored	1.96
StdDev allowed	1.26
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.018
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Barcelona	39	27.4	+11.60
2	Real Madrid	38	28.1	+9.92
3	Atletico Aviacion	31	27.6	+3.39
4	Real Oviedo	31	27.6	+3.38
5	Atletico Bilbao	30	27.1	+2.90

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sabadell	17	24.7	-7.74
2	Deportivo La Coruna	17	24.4	-7.43
3	Granada	19	25.1	-6.10
4	Sevilla	22	27.3	-5.26
5	Espanol	23	26.1	-3.08

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atletico Bilbao	6	Oct 1 – Nov 5	1 in 349
2	Barcelona	6	Jan 28 – Mar 25	1 in 245
3	Real Madrid	5	Oct 29 – Nov 26	1 in 104
4	Espanol	4	Dec 17 – Jan 28	1 in 51
5	Real Gijon	3	Jan 28 – Feb 18	1 in 37

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sabadell	5	Jan 14 – Feb 25	1 in 62
2	Valencia	3	Apr 15 – May 13	1 in 17
3	Sevilla	3	Feb 18 – Mar 18	1 in 16
4	Granada	3	Nov 12 – Nov 26	1 in 12
5	Castellon	3	Jan 14 – Feb 4	1 in 12

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Barcelona	11	Jan 28 – May 20	1 in 1,340
2	Real Oviedo	6	Feb 25 – Apr 22	1 in 63
3	Atletico Aviacion	7	Dec 17 – Feb 25	1 in 46
4	Atletico Bilbao	6	Oct 1 – Nov 5	1 in 40
5	Real Gijon	5	Mar 25 – May 13	1 in 35

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sabadell	12	Jan 7 – May 13	1 in 1,943
2	Granada	6	Oct 22 – Nov 26	1 in 85
3	Deportivo La Coruna	8	Nov 19 – Jan 28	1 in 72
4	Sevilla	5	Apr 8 – May 20	1 in 45
5	Espanol	5	Oct 22 – Nov 19	1 in 16

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Barcelona	12.00%	9.00%	14.00%	4.00%	8.00%	7.00%	11.00%	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	8.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Real Madrid	14.00%	14.00%	14.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	6.00%	4.00%	5.00%	—	1.00%
Atletico Aviacion	12.00%	13.00%	8.00%	13.00%	9.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	2.00%	8.00%	10.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—
Real Oviedo	7.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	15.00%	12.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—
Valencia	19.00%	15.00%	7.00%	17.00%	12.00%	5.00%	8.00%	5.00%	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
Atletico Bilbao	12.00%	4.00%	14.00%	6.00%	7.00%	13.00%	7.00%	7.00%	7.00%	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	—
Real Gijon	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	9.00%	14.00%	8.00%	22.00%	24.00%
Castellon	4.00%	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	11.00%	12.00%	11.00%	6.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	5.00%
Espanol	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%	11.00%	8.00%	4.00%	5.00%	15.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	11.00%	7.00%	1.00%
Sevilla	6.00%	11.00%	10.00%	8.00%	11.00%	11.00%	9.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Granada	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	7.00%	2.00%	5.00%	8.00%	8.00%	12.00%	10.00%	9.00%	11.00%	13.00%	4.00%
Real Murcia	1.00%	—	3.00%	—	1.00%	8.00%	5.00%	2.00%	6.00%	5.00%	10.00%	11.00%	10.00%	38.00%
Deportivo La Coruna	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%	10.00%	4.00%	9.00%	8.00%	12.00%	14.00%	13.00%
Sabadell	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%	9.00%	3.00%	13.00%	8.00%	8.00%	15.00%	11.00%	11.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Barcelona	97.0%	1.0%	—	2.0%
Real Madrid	94.0%	4.0%	1.0%	1.0%
Valencia	97.0%	1.0%	—	2.0%
Real Oviedo	94.0%	3.0%	—	3.0%
Atletico Aviacion	94.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%
Atletico Bilbao	90.0%	6.0%	—	4.0%
Sevilla	91.0%	3.0%	—	6.0%
Espanol	81.0%	9.0%	2.0%	8.0%
Castellon	79.0%	6.0%	3.0%	12.0%
Granada	72.0%	9.0%	2.0%	17.0%
Sabadell	63.0%	10.0%	5.0%	22.0%
Deportivo La Coruna	61.0%	8.0%	4.0%	27.0%
Real Murcia	41.0%	9.0%	2.0%	48.0%
Real Gijon	46.0%	3.0%	5.0%	46.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1944-09-24	Castellon	L 1-3	1750	1741	71.8%	13.6%	14.6%	-7.2	0
1944-09-24	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 3-1	1741	1750	14.6%	13.6%	71.8%	+7.2	3
1944-09-24	Barcelona	D 1-1	1762	1758	71.4%	13.7%	15.0%	-0.9	1
1944-09-24	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 1-1	1758	1762	15.0%	13.7%	71.4%	+0.9	1
1944-09-24	Real Murcia	W 3-1	1708	1645	75.9%	12.8%	11.3%	+1.3	3
1944-09-24	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-3	1645	1708	11.3%	12.8%	75.9%	-1.3	0
1944-09-24	Real Gijon	D 0-0	1739	1654	77.4%	12.4%	10.2%	-1.2	1
1944-09-24	@ Espanol	D 0-0	1654	1739	10.2%	12.4%	77.4%	+1.2	1
1944-09-24	Real Madrid	W 4-0	1763	1755	71.7%	13.6%	14.7%	+3.7	3
1944-09-24	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-4	1755	1763	14.7%	13.6%	71.7%	-3.7	0
1944-09-24	Granada	W 4-1	1763	1736	73.2%	13.4%	13.4%	+2.2	3
1944-09-24	@ Sevilla	L 1-4	1736	1763	13.4%	13.4%	73.2%	-2.2	0
1944-09-24	Sabadell	D 1-1	1786	1717	76.3%	12.7%	10.9%	-1.0	1
1944-09-24	@ Valencia	D 1-1	1717	1786	10.9%	12.7%	76.3%	+1.0	1
1944-10-01	Real Oviedo	L 0-1	1759	1767	70.4%	13.8%	15.8%	-4.3	1
1944-10-01	@ Barcelona	W 1-0	1767	1759	15.8%	13.8%	70.4%	+4.3	6
1944-10-01	Sevilla	D 2-2	1748	1765	69.6%	13.9%	16.5%	-0.6	4
1944-10-01	@ Castellon	D 2-2	1765	1748	16.5%	13.9%	69.6%	+0.6	4
1944-10-01	Atletico Aviacion	W 2-1	1734	1761	68.8%	14.0%	17.2%	+1.1	3
1944-10-01	@ Granada	L 1-2	1761	1734	17.2%	14.0%	68.8%	-1.1	1
1944-10-01	Espanol	W 3-0	1752	1738	72.2%	13.5%	14.3%	+2.7	3
1944-10-01	@ Real Madrid	L 0-3	1738	1752	14.3%	13.5%	72.2%	-2.7	1
1944-10-01	Valencia	W 2-1	1644	1785	56.6%	14.7%	28.7%	+1.8	3
1944-10-01	@ Real Murcia	L 1-2	1785	1644	28.7%	14.7%	56.6%	-1.8	1
1944-10-01	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1718	1743	68.8%	14.0%	17.2%	-4.0	1
1944-10-01	@ Sabadell	W 2-1	1743	1718	17.2%	14.0%	68.8%	+4.0	3
1944-10-01	Deportivo La Coruna	D 3-3	1655	1709	66.2%	14.3%	19.5%	-0.4	2
1944-10-01	@ Real Gijon	D 3-3	1709	1655	19.5%	14.3%	66.2%	+0.4	4
1944-10-08	Real Murcia	W 5-1	1747	1646	78.5%	12.2%	9.4%	+1.9	6
1944-10-08	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-5	1646	1747	9.4%	12.2%	78.5%	-1.9	3
1944-10-08	Castellon	W 4-0	1760	1748	72.0%	13.6%	14.4%	+3.6	4
1944-10-08	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-4	1748	1760	14.4%	13.6%	72.0%	-3.6	4
1944-10-08	Granada	W 4-2	1755	1735	72.7%	13.5%	13.9%	+1.4	4
1944-10-08	@ Barcelona	L 2-4	1735	1755	13.9%	13.5%	72.7%	-1.4	3
1944-10-08	Real Madrid	D 2-2	1709	1754	67.1%	14.2%	18.8%	-0.5	5
1944-10-08	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1754	1709	18.8%	14.2%	67.1%	+0.5	4
1944-10-08	Espanol	W 1-0	1771	1735	73.9%	13.2%	12.8%	+0.9	9
1944-10-08	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-1	1735	1771	12.8%	13.2%	73.9%	-0.9	1
1944-10-08	Sabadell	W 4-0	1766	1714	75.1%	13.0%	11.9%	+3.0	7
1944-10-08	@ Sevilla	L 0-4	1714	1766	11.9%	13.0%	75.1%	-3.0	1
1944-10-08	Real Gijon	W 4-1	1783	1655	80.1%	11.7%	8.2%	+1.3	4
1944-10-08	@ Valencia	L 1-4	1655	1783	8.2%	11.7%	80.1%	-1.3	2
1944-10-15	Barcelona	L 0-1	1744	1756	70.0%	13.8%	16.1%	-4.3	4
1944-10-15	@ Castellon	W 1-0	1756	1744	16.1%	13.8%	70.0%	+4.3	7
1944-10-15	Deportivo La Coruna	W 7-1	1734	1709	73.1%	13.4%	13.5%	+4.1	4
1944-10-15	@ Espanol	L 1-7	1709	1734	13.5%	13.4%	73.1%	-4.1	5
1944-10-15	Real Oviedo	W 5-1	1734	1772	67.7%	14.1%	18.2%	+3.8	6
1944-10-15	@ Granada	L 1-5	1772	1734	18.2%	14.1%	67.7%	-3.8	9
1944-10-15	Valencia	D 1-1	1755	1785	68.5%	14.0%	17.5%	-0.8	5
1944-10-15	@ Real Madrid	D 1-1	1785	1755	17.5%	14.0%	68.5%	+0.8	5
1944-10-15	Sevilla	W 3-1	1644	1769	58.5%	14.7%	26.8%	+2.9	6
1944-10-15	@ Real Murcia	L 1-3	1769	1644	26.8%	14.7%	58.5%	-3.0	7
1944-10-15	Atletico Aviacion	L 0-1	1711	1763	66.3%	14.2%	19.4%	-4.1	1
1944-10-15	@ Sabadell	W 1-0	1763	1711	19.4%	14.2%	66.3%	+4.1	7
1944-10-15	Atletico Bilbao	L 0-2	1654	1749	61.9%	14.6%	23.6%	-7.2	2
1944-10-15	@ Real Gijon	W 2-0	1749	1654	23.6%	14.6%	61.9%	+7.2	9
1944-10-22	Real Madrid	W 2-1	1756	1754	71.3%	13.7%	15.1%	+1.0	12
1944-10-22	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1754	1756	15.1%	13.7%	71.3%	-1.0	5
1944-10-22	Real Murcia	W 4-3	1767	1647	79.7%	11.8%	8.5%	+0.5	10
1944-10-22	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 3-4	1647	1767	8.5%	11.8%	79.7%	-0.5	6
1944-10-22	Sabadell	W 2-1	1760	1707	75.2%	13.0%	11.8%	+0.8	10
1944-10-22	@ Barcelona	L 1-2	1707	1760	11.8%	13.0%	75.2%	-0.8	1
1944-10-22	Castellon	L 0-2	1738	1740	70.9%	13.7%	15.4%	-8.2	6
1944-10-22	@ Granada	W 2-0	1740	1738	15.4%	13.7%	70.9%	+8.2	7
1944-10-22	Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1768	1705	75.9%	12.8%	11.3%	-0.7	10
1944-10-22	@ Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1705	1768	11.3%	12.8%	75.9%	+0.7	6
1944-10-22	Real Gijon	W 6-0	1766	1646	79.6%	11.8%	8.6%	+3.1	10
1944-10-22	@ Sevilla	L 0-6	1646	1766	8.6%	11.8%	79.6%	-3.1	2
1944-10-22	Espanol	W 2-0	1785	1738	74.8%	13.1%	12.2%	+1.6	8
1944-10-22	@ Valencia	L 0-2	1738	1785	12.2%	13.1%	74.8%	-1.6	4
1944-10-29	Real Oviedo	W 5-3	1748	1768	69.4%	13.9%	16.7%	+1.6	10
1944-10-29	@ Castellon	L 3-5	1768	1748	16.7%	13.9%	69.4%	-1.6	10
1944-10-29	Valencia	L 2-3	1706	1787	63.4%	14.5%	22.1%	-3.5	6
1944-10-29	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-2	1787	1706	22.1%	14.5%	63.4%	+3.5	11
1944-10-29	Atletico Bilbao	L 2-3	1737	1757	69.3%	13.9%	16.8%	-3.8	4
1944-10-29	@ Espanol	W 3-2	1757	1737	16.8%	13.9%	69.3%	+3.8	15
1944-10-29	Sevilla	W 5-0	1753	1769	69.7%	13.9%	16.4%	+5.0	8
1944-10-29	@ Real Madrid	L 0-5	1769	1753	16.4%	13.9%	69.7%	-5.0	10
1944-10-29	Barcelona	D 1-1	1646	1761	59.7%	14.6%	25.7%	-0.5	7
1944-10-29	@ Real Murcia	D 1-1	1761	1646	25.7%	14.6%	59.7%	+0.5	11
1944-10-29	Granada	W 3-2	1706	1729	69.0%	14.0%	17.0%	+1.1	4
1944-10-29	@ Sabadell	L 2-3	1729	1706	17.0%	14.0%	69.0%	-1.1	6
1944-10-29	Atletico Aviacion	W 2-0	1643	1768	58.6%	14.7%	26.7%	+3.4	5
1944-10-29	@ Real Gijon	L 0-2	1768	1643	26.7%	14.7%	58.6%	-3.4	10
1944-11-05	Deportivo La Coruna	W 5-2	1761	1702	75.6%	12.9%	11.5%	+1.6	18
1944-11-05	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 2-5	1702	1761	11.5%	12.9%	75.6%	-1.6	6
1944-11-05	Real Madrid	L 0-1	1764	1758	71.6%	13.6%	14.8%	-4.4	10
1944-11-05	@ Atletico Aviacion	W 1-0	1758	1764	14.8%	13.6%	71.6%	+4.4	11
1944-11-05	Real Gijon	W 2-0	1762	1647	79.3%	11.9%	8.8%	+1.1	14
1944-11-05	@ Barcelona	L 0-2	1647	1762	8.8%	11.9%	79.3%	-1.1	5
1944-11-05	Sabadell	W 8-0	1750	1707	74.4%	13.1%	12.4%	+6.0	13
1944-11-05	@ Castellon	L 0-8	1707	1750	12.4%	13.1%	74.4%	-6.0	4
1944-11-05	Real Murcia	D 1-1	1728	1646	77.2%	12.5%	10.3%	-1.0	7
1944-11-05	@ Granada	D 1-1	1646	1728	10.3%	12.5%	77.2%	+1.0	8
1944-11-05	Valencia	W 2-0	1766	1791	68.9%	14.0%	17.1%	+2.2	13
1944-11-05	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-2	1791	1766	17.1%	14.0%	68.9%	-2.2	11
1944-11-05	Espanol	D 1-1	1764	1733	73.5%	13.3%	13.2%	-0.9	11
1944-11-05	@ Sevilla	D 1-1	1733	1764	13.2%	13.3%	73.5%	+0.9	5
1944-11-12	Sevilla	W 1-0	1700	1763	65.3%	14.3%	20.3%	+1.4	9
1944-11-12	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1763	1700	20.3%	14.3%	65.3%	-1.4	11
1944-11-12	Atletico Aviacion	L 0-3	1734	1760	68.8%	14.0%	17.2%	-11.6	5
1944-11-12	@ Espanol	W 3-0	1760	1734	17.2%	14.0%	68.8%	+11.6	13
1944-11-12	Barcelona	W 1-0	1763	1763	71.0%	13.7%	15.3%	+1.1	14
1944-11-12	@ Real Madrid	L 0-1	1763	1763	15.3%	13.7%	71.0%	-1.1	14
1944-11-12	Castellon	W 2-0	1647	1756	60.4%	14.6%	25.0%	+3.2	11
1944-11-12	@ Real Murcia	L 0-2	1756	1647	25.0%	14.6%	60.4%	-3.2	13
1944-11-12	Real Oviedo	D 0-0	1701	1768	64.8%	14.4%	20.8%	-0.7	5
1944-11-12	@ Sabadell	D 0-0	1768	1701	20.8%	14.4%	64.8%	+0.7	14
1944-11-12	Granada	W 3-1	1646	1727	63.4%	14.5%	22.2%	+2.5	8
1944-11-12	@ Real Gijon	L 1-3	1727	1646	22.2%	14.5%	63.4%	-2.5	7
1944-11-12	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-0	1788	1763	73.1%	13.4%	13.5%	+2.6	14
1944-11-12	@ Valencia	L 0-3	1763	1788	13.5%	13.4%	73.1%	-2.6	18
1944-11-19	Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1772	1702	76.4%	12.7%	10.9%	-1.0	14
1944-11-19	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 1-1	1702	1772	10.9%	12.7%	76.4%	+1.0	10
1944-11-19	Espanol	W 1-0	1762	1722	74.2%	13.2%	12.6%	+0.9	17
1944-11-19	@ Barcelona	L 0-1	1722	1762	12.6%	13.2%	74.2%	-0.9	5
1944-11-19	Real Gijon	W 3-0	1752	1648	78.6%	12.1%	9.2%	+1.8	16
1944-11-19	@ Castellon	L 0-3	1648	1752	9.2%	12.1%	78.6%	-1.8	8
1944-11-19	Real Madrid	L 0-1	1725	1764	67.6%	14.1%	18.2%	-4.2	7
1944-11-19	@ Granada	W 1-0	1764	1725	18.2%	14.1%	67.6%	+4.2	17
1944-11-19	Atletico Bilbao	W 2-0	1769	1760	71.8%	13.6%	14.6%	+1.9	17
1944-11-19	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-2	1760	1769	14.6%	13.6%	71.8%	-1.9	18
1944-11-19	Real Murcia	W 4-0	1700	1650	75.0%	13.0%	12.0%	+3.0	8
1944-11-19	@ Sabadell	L 0-4	1650	1700	12.0%	13.0%	75.0%	-3.0	11
1944-11-19	Valencia	W 3-2	1762	1791	68.5%	14.0%	17.5%	+1.1	14
1944-11-19	@ Sevilla	L 2-3	1791	1762	17.5%	14.0%	68.5%	-1.1	14
1944-11-26	Sevilla	W 4-0	1758	1763	70.7%	13.8%	15.6%	+3.9	21
1944-11-26	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-4	1763	1758	15.6%	13.8%	70.7%	-3.9	14
1944-11-26	Barcelona	L 1-2	1703	1763	65.6%	14.3%	20.1%	-3.8	10
1944-11-26	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-1	1763	1703	20.1%	14.3%	65.6%	+3.8	20
1944-11-26	Granada	W 7-2	1721	1721	71.1%	13.7%	15.2%	+3.2	8
1944-11-26	@ Espanol	L 2-7	1721	1721	15.2%	13.7%	71.1%	-3.2	7
1944-11-26	Castellon	W 2-1	1768	1754	72.2%	13.5%	14.3%	+0.9	20
1944-11-26	@ Real Madrid	L 1-2	1754	1768	14.3%	13.5%	72.2%	-0.9	16
1944-11-26	Real Oviedo	W 5-1	1647	1771	58.7%	14.7%	26.7%	+5.4	14
1944-11-26	@ Real Murcia	L 1-5	1771	1647	26.7%	14.7%	58.7%	-5.4	17
1944-11-26	Sabadell	W 1-0	1646	1703	65.9%	14.3%	19.8%	+1.4	11
1944-11-26	@ Real Gijon	L 0-1	1703	1646	19.8%	14.3%	65.9%	-1.4	8
1944-11-26	Atletico Aviacion	W 5-0	1790	1771	72.6%	13.5%	13.9%	+4.3	17
1944-11-26	@ Valencia	L 0-5	1771	1790	13.9%	13.5%	72.6%	-4.3	14
1944-12-03	Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1766	1762	71.4%	13.7%	14.9%	+1.0	17
1944-12-03	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-1	1762	1766	14.9%	13.7%	71.4%	-1.0	21
1944-12-03	Valencia	W 1-0	1766	1794	68.7%	14.0%	17.3%	+1.2	23
1944-12-03	@ Barcelona	L 0-1	1794	1766	17.3%	14.0%	68.7%	-1.2	17
1944-12-03	Espanol	W 2-0	1753	1725	73.4%	13.3%	13.3%	+1.8	19
1944-12-03	@ Castellon	L 0-2	1725	1753	13.3%	13.3%	73.4%	-1.8	8
1944-12-03	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-0	1717	1699	72.5%	13.5%	14.0%	+2.7	10
1944-12-03	@ Granada	L 0-3	1699	1717	14.0%	13.5%	72.5%	-2.7	10
1944-12-03	Real Gijon	D 2-2	1652	1648	71.5%	13.6%	14.9%	-0.6	15
1944-12-03	@ Real Murcia	D 2-2	1648	1652	14.9%	13.6%	71.5%	+0.6	12
1944-12-03	Sevilla	W 2-0	1766	1759	71.6%	13.6%	14.8%	+1.9	20
1944-12-03	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-2	1759	1766	14.8%	13.6%	71.6%	-1.9	14
1944-12-03	Real Madrid	W 3-2	1702	1769	64.9%	14.4%	20.7%	+1.3	11
1944-12-03	@ Sabadell	L 2-3	1769	1702	20.7%	14.4%	64.9%	-1.3	20
1944-12-10	Barcelona	W 4-1	1761	1768	70.5%	13.8%	15.7%	+2.5	24
1944-12-10	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-4	1768	1761	15.7%	13.8%	70.5%	-2.5	23
1944-12-10	Castellon	D 1-1	1696	1755	65.7%	14.3%	20.0%	-0.7	11
1944-12-10	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1755	1696	20.0%	14.3%	65.7%	+0.7	20
1944-12-10	Sabadell	L 1-3	1723	1703	72.7%	13.4%	13.9%	-7.3	8
1944-12-10	@ Espanol	W 3-1	1703	1723	13.9%	13.4%	72.7%	+7.3	14
1944-12-10	Real Murcia	W 2-1	1767	1652	79.4%	11.9%	8.7%	+0.6	23
1944-12-10	@ Real Madrid	L 1-2	1652	1767	8.7%	11.9%	79.4%	-0.6	15
1944-12-10	Real Gijon	W 2-1	1768	1648	79.6%	11.8%	8.6%	+0.6	23
1944-12-10	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1648	1768	8.6%	11.8%	79.6%	-0.5	12
1944-12-10	Atletico Aviacion	W 4-1	1757	1767	70.2%	13.8%	16.0%	+2.6	17
1944-12-10	@ Sevilla	L 1-4	1767	1757	16.0%	13.8%	70.2%	-2.6	17
1944-12-10	Granada	W 4-0	1793	1720	76.6%	12.7%	10.8%	+2.7	20
1944-12-10	@ Valencia	L 0-4	1720	1793	10.8%	12.7%	76.6%	-2.7	10
1944-12-17	Real Oviedo	W 4-3	1765	1768	70.8%	13.7%	15.5%	+1.0	20
1944-12-17	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 3-4	1768	1765	15.5%	13.7%	70.8%	-0.9	23
1944-12-17	Sevilla	W 3-1	1765	1759	71.5%	13.6%	14.8%	+1.7	26
1944-12-17	@ Barcelona	L 1-3	1759	1765	14.8%	13.6%	71.5%	-1.7	17
1944-12-17	Valencia	D 0-0	1756	1796	67.5%	14.1%	18.3%	-0.8	21
1944-12-17	@ Castellon	D 0-0	1796	1756	18.3%	14.1%	67.5%	+0.8	21
1944-12-17	Atletico Bilbao	L 2-3	1717	1764	66.9%	14.2%	18.9%	-3.7	10
1944-12-17	@ Granada	W 3-2	1764	1717	18.9%	14.2%	66.9%	+3.7	27
1944-12-17	Espanol	L 1-2	1651	1716	65.1%	14.3%	20.5%	-3.8	15
1944-12-17	@ Real Murcia	W 2-1	1716	1651	20.5%	14.3%	65.1%	+3.8	11
1944-12-17	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-1	1710	1696	72.3%	13.5%	14.2%	+0.9	17
1944-12-17	@ Sabadell	L 1-2	1696	1710	14.2%	13.5%	72.3%	-0.9	11
1944-12-17	Real Madrid	L 0-1	1648	1768	59.1%	14.7%	26.2%	-3.7	12
1944-12-17	@ Real Gijon	W 1-0	1768	1648	26.2%	14.7%	59.1%	+3.7	26
1945-01-07	Atletico Aviacion	D 2-2	1767	1766	71.2%	13.7%	15.2%	-0.6	27
1945-01-07	@ Barcelona	D 2-2	1766	1767	15.2%	13.7%	71.2%	+0.6	21
1945-01-07	Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1755	1767	70.0%	13.9%	16.2%	+1.1	24
1945-01-07	@ Castellon	L 0-1	1767	1755	16.2%	13.9%	70.0%	-1.1	27
1945-01-07	Sevilla	W 3-1	1714	1758	67.1%	14.2%	18.7%	+2.1	13
1945-01-07	@ Granada	L 1-3	1758	1714	18.7%	14.2%	67.1%	-2.1	17
1945-01-07	Real Oviedo	W 4-1	1772	1767	71.4%	13.6%	14.9%	+2.4	29
1945-01-07	@ Real Madrid	L 1-4	1767	1772	14.9%	13.6%	71.4%	-2.4	23
1945-01-07	Deportivo La Coruna	W 1-0	1647	1695	66.8%	14.2%	19.0%	+1.3	18
1945-01-07	@ Real Murcia	L 0-1	1695	1647	19.0%	14.2%	66.8%	-1.3	11
1945-01-07	Valencia	D 1-1	1711	1796	63.0%	14.5%	22.5%	-0.6	18
1945-01-07	@ Sabadell	D 1-1	1796	1711	22.5%	14.5%	63.0%	+0.6	22
1945-01-07	Espanol	L 0-1	1644	1719	64.0%	14.4%	21.6%	-4.0	12
1945-01-07	@ Real Gijon	W 1-0	1719	1644	21.6%	14.4%	64.0%	+4.0	14
1945-01-14	Sabadell	W 4-1	1766	1711	75.4%	12.9%	11.7%	+1.9	30
1945-01-14	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-4	1711	1766	11.7%	12.9%	75.4%	-1.9	18
1945-01-14	Real Gijon	D 2-2	1693	1640	75.2%	13.0%	11.8%	-0.7	12
1945-01-14	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1640	1693	11.8%	13.0%	75.2%	+0.7	13
1945-01-14	Real Madrid	W 2-0	1723	1774	66.5%	14.2%	19.3%	+2.5	17
1945-01-14	@ Espanol	L 0-2	1774	1723	19.3%	14.2%	66.5%	-2.5	29
1945-01-14	Barcelona	W 6-0	1765	1766	70.9%	13.7%	15.3%	+5.6	26
1945-01-14	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-6	1766	1765	15.3%	13.7%	70.9%	-5.6	27
1945-01-14	Castellon	W 8-1	1756	1756	71.0%	13.7%	15.2%	+5.3	20
1945-01-14	@ Sevilla	L 1-8	1756	1756	15.2%	13.7%	71.0%	-5.3	24
1945-01-14	Real Murcia	W 9-3	1797	1649	81.3%	11.3%	7.4%	+1.6	25
1945-01-14	@ Valencia	L 3-9	1649	1797	7.4%	11.3%	81.3%	-1.6	18
1945-01-16	Granada	D 1-1	1766	1716	75.0%	13.0%	12.0%	-1.0	22
1945-01-16	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 1-1	1716	1766	12.0%	13.0%	75.0%	+1.0	14
1945-01-28	Atletico Aviacion	L 2-3	1751	1765	69.8%	13.9%	16.3%	-3.8	24
1945-01-28	@ Castellon	W 3-2	1765	1751	16.3%	13.9%	69.8%	+3.9	25
1945-01-28	Real Oviedo	W 3-0	1726	1770	67.1%	14.2%	18.7%	+3.6	20
1945-01-28	@ Espanol	L 0-3	1770	1726	18.7%	14.2%	67.1%	-3.6	26
1945-01-28	Barcelona	L 1-2	1717	1761	67.2%	14.2%	18.7%	-3.9	14
1945-01-28	@ Granada	W 2-1	1761	1717	18.7%	14.2%	67.2%	+3.9	30
1945-01-28	Deportivo La Coruna	W 6-0	1772	1693	77.0%	12.6%	10.5%	+3.8	32
1945-01-28	@ Real Madrid	L 0-6	1693	1772	10.5%	12.6%	77.0%	-3.8	12
1945-01-28	Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1647	1768	59.0%	14.7%	26.3%	-0.4	19
1945-01-28	@ Real Murcia	D 2-2	1768	1647	26.3%	14.7%	59.0%	+0.4	31
1945-01-28	Sevilla	L 2-3	1709	1761	66.4%	14.2%	19.4%	-3.7	18
1945-01-28	@ Sabadell	W 3-2	1761	1709	19.4%	14.2%	66.4%	+3.7	23
1945-01-28	Valencia	W 4-2	1641	1799	54.6%	14.7%	30.7%	+3.0	16
1945-01-28	@ Real Gijon	L 2-4	1799	1641	30.7%	14.7%	54.6%	-3.0	25
1945-02-04	Real Gijon	L 0-1	1768	1644	79.9%	11.7%	8.4%	-4.9	31
1945-02-04	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1644	1768	8.4%	11.7%	79.9%	+4.9	19
1945-02-04	Sabadell	W 2-1	1769	1705	76.0%	12.8%	11.2%	+0.7	28
1945-02-04	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-2	1705	1769	11.2%	12.8%	76.0%	-0.7	18
1945-02-04	Castellon	W 3-1	1764	1747	72.5%	13.5%	14.0%	+1.6	33
1945-02-04	@ Barcelona	L 1-3	1747	1764	14.0%	13.5%	72.5%	-1.6	24
1945-02-04	Espanol	W 3-2	1689	1729	67.5%	14.1%	18.4%	+1.1	15
1945-02-04	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 2-3	1729	1689	18.4%	14.1%	67.5%	-1.2	20
1945-02-04	Granada	D 1-1	1767	1713	75.3%	13.0%	11.8%	-1.0	27
1945-02-04	@ Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1713	1767	11.8%	13.0%	75.3%	+1.0	15
1945-02-04	Real Murcia	W 4-0	1765	1647	79.5%	11.9%	8.6%	+2.1	26
1945-02-04	@ Sevilla	L 0-4	1647	1765	8.6%	11.9%	79.5%	-2.1	19
1945-02-04	Real Madrid	W 4-1	1796	1775	72.7%	13.4%	13.9%	+2.2	28
1945-02-04	@ Valencia	L 1-4	1775	1796	13.9%	13.4%	72.7%	-2.2	32
1945-02-18	Granada	W 2-0	1745	1714	73.6%	13.3%	13.1%	+1.7	27
1945-02-18	@ Castellon	L 0-2	1714	1745	13.1%	13.3%	73.6%	-1.7	15
1945-02-18	Real Oviedo	W 4-1	1690	1766	64.0%	14.4%	21.6%	+3.4	18
1945-02-18	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-4	1766	1690	21.6%	14.4%	64.0%	-3.4	27
1945-02-18	Valencia	L 0-2	1728	1798	64.6%	14.4%	21.0%	-7.5	20
1945-02-18	@ Espanol	W 2-0	1798	1728	21.0%	14.4%	64.6%	+7.5	31
1945-02-18	Atletico Bilbao	W 4-1	1773	1764	71.9%	13.6%	14.6%	+2.4	35
1945-02-18	@ Real Madrid	L 1-4	1764	1773	14.6%	13.6%	71.9%	-2.3	31
1945-02-18	Atletico Aviacion	D 0-0	1644	1770	58.5%	14.7%	26.8%	-0.5	20
1945-02-18	@ Real Murcia	D 0-0	1770	1644	26.8%	14.7%	58.5%	+0.5	29
1945-02-18	Barcelona	L 0-1	1704	1766	65.4%	14.3%	20.2%	-4.0	18
1945-02-18	@ Sabadell	W 1-0	1766	1704	20.2%	14.3%	65.4%	+4.0	36
1945-02-18	Sevilla	W 3-1	1649	1767	59.4%	14.7%	26.0%	+2.9	22
1945-02-18	@ Real Gijon	L 1-3	1767	1649	26.0%	14.7%	59.4%	-2.9	26
1945-02-25	Espanol	W 3-0	1761	1721	74.3%	13.2%	12.6%	+2.4	34
1945-02-25	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-3	1721	1761	12.6%	13.2%	74.3%	-2.4	20
1945-02-25	Real Gijon	W 2-0	1770	1652	79.5%	11.8%	8.6%	+1.1	32
1945-02-25	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-2	1652	1770	8.6%	11.8%	79.5%	-1.1	22
1945-02-25	Real Murcia	W 1-0	1770	1644	80.0%	11.7%	8.3%	+0.6	39
1945-02-25	@ Barcelona	L 0-1	1644	1770	8.3%	11.7%	80.0%	-0.6	20
1945-02-25	Sabadell	W 5-0	1712	1700	72.0%	13.6%	14.4%	+4.4	18
1945-02-25	@ Granada	L 0-5	1700	1712	14.4%	13.6%	72.0%	-4.4	18
1945-02-25	Castellon	W 2-0	1762	1747	72.3%	13.5%	14.2%	+1.9	30
1945-02-25	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-2	1747	1762	14.2%	13.5%	72.3%	-1.9	27
1945-02-25	Real Madrid	L 1-2	1764	1775	70.1%	13.8%	16.1%	-4.1	26
1945-02-25	@ Sevilla	W 2-1	1775	1764	16.1%	13.8%	70.1%	+4.1	38
1945-02-25	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-0	1805	1694	79.1%	12.0%	8.9%	+1.2	34
1945-02-25	@ Valencia	L 0-2	1694	1805	8.9%	12.0%	79.1%	-1.2	18
1945-03-18	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1692	1764	64.4%	14.4%	21.2%	-3.8	18
1945-03-18	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-1	1764	1692	21.2%	14.4%	64.4%	+3.8	37
1945-03-18	Sevilla	W 2-1	1718	1760	67.4%	14.1%	18.5%	+1.2	23
1945-03-18	@ Espanol	L 1-2	1760	1718	18.5%	14.1%	67.4%	-1.2	26
1945-03-18	Atletico Aviacion	W 3-1	1780	1772	71.7%	13.6%	14.7%	+1.7	41
1945-03-18	@ Real Madrid	L 1-3	1772	1780	14.7%	13.6%	71.7%	-1.7	32
1945-03-18	Granada	W 2-0	1643	1716	64.2%	14.4%	21.3%	+2.8	23
1945-03-18	@ Real Murcia	L 0-2	1716	1643	21.3%	14.4%	64.2%	-2.8	18
1945-03-18	Castellon	D 1-1	1696	1745	66.7%	14.2%	19.1%	-0.7	19
1945-03-18	@ Sabadell	D 1-1	1745	1696	19.1%	14.2%	66.7%	+0.7	28
1945-03-18	Barcelona	L 2-5	1650	1771	59.1%	14.7%	26.2%	-7.3	22
1945-03-18	@ Real Gijon	W 5-2	1771	1650	26.2%	14.7%	59.1%	+7.3	42
1945-03-18	Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1807	1764	74.4%	13.1%	12.5%	-1.0	35
1945-03-18	@ Valencia	D 1-1	1764	1807	12.5%	13.1%	74.4%	+1.0	31
1945-03-25	Valencia	D 2-2	1767	1806	67.7%	14.1%	18.2%	-0.6	38
1945-03-25	@ Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1806	1767	18.2%	14.1%	67.7%	+0.6	36
1945-03-25	Espanol	W 3-1	1770	1720	75.0%	13.0%	12.0%	+1.4	35
1945-03-25	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-3	1720	1770	12.0%	13.0%	75.0%	-1.4	23
1945-03-25	Real Madrid	W 5-0	1778	1781	70.8%	13.7%	15.5%	+4.8	45
1945-03-25	@ Barcelona	L 0-5	1781	1778	15.5%	13.7%	70.8%	-4.8	41
1945-03-25	Real Murcia	W 2-1	1746	1646	78.3%	12.2%	9.5%	+0.6	31
1945-03-25	@ Castellon	L 1-2	1646	1746	9.5%	12.2%	78.3%	-0.6	23
1945-03-25	Real Gijon	D 0-0	1714	1643	76.4%	12.7%	10.9%	-1.1	19
1945-03-25	@ Granada	D 0-0	1643	1714	10.9%	12.7%	76.4%	+1.1	23
1945-03-25	Sabadell	W 6-2	1765	1695	76.4%	12.7%	10.9%	+1.9	34
1945-03-25	@ Real Oviedo	L 2-6	1695	1765	10.9%	12.7%	76.4%	-1.9	19
1945-03-25	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-0	1759	1689	76.4%	12.7%	10.9%	+2.1	29
1945-03-25	@ Sevilla	L 0-3	1689	1759	10.9%	12.7%	76.4%	-2.1	18
1945-04-08	Real Oviedo	L 0-1	1767	1767	71.0%	13.7%	15.2%	-4.4	38
1945-04-08	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1767	1767	15.2%	13.7%	71.0%	+4.4	37
1945-04-08	Atletico Aviacion	W 4-1	1687	1771	63.0%	14.5%	22.5%	+3.6	21
1945-04-08	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-4	1771	1687	22.5%	14.5%	63.0%	-3.6	35
1945-04-08	Barcelona	D 1-1	1718	1783	65.1%	14.3%	20.5%	-0.7	24
1945-04-08	@ Espanol	D 1-1	1783	1718	20.5%	14.3%	65.1%	+0.7	46
1945-04-08	Granada	W 6-2	1776	1713	76.0%	12.8%	11.2%	+2.0	44
1945-04-08	@ Real Madrid	L 2-6	1713	1776	11.2%	12.8%	76.0%	-2.0	19
1945-04-08	Sabadell	W 2-0	1645	1693	66.8%	14.2%	19.0%	+2.5	26
1945-04-08	@ Real Murcia	L 0-2	1693	1645	19.0%	14.2%	66.8%	-2.5	19
1945-04-08	Castellon	W 4-0	1644	1746	61.2%	14.6%	24.2%	+5.9	26
1945-04-08	@ Real Gijon	L 0-4	1746	1644	24.2%	14.6%	61.2%	-5.9	31
1945-04-08	Sevilla	W 4-0	1806	1761	74.6%	13.1%	12.3%	+3.1	39
1945-04-08	@ Valencia	L 0-4	1761	1806	12.3%	13.1%	74.6%	-3.1	29
1945-04-15	Valencia	W 4-1	1768	1809	67.4%	14.1%	18.5%	+3.0	38
1945-04-15	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-4	1809	1768	18.5%	14.1%	67.4%	-3.0	39
1945-04-15	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-0	1783	1690	78.0%	12.3%	9.8%	+1.8	49
1945-04-15	@ Barcelona	L 0-3	1690	1783	9.8%	12.3%	78.0%	-1.8	21
1945-04-15	Real Madrid	L 0-3	1740	1778	67.7%	14.1%	18.2%	-11.4	31
1945-04-15	@ Castellon	W 3-0	1778	1740	18.2%	14.1%	67.7%	+11.4	47
1945-04-15	Espanol	W 2-0	1711	1718	70.5%	13.8%	15.7%	+2.1	22
1945-04-15	@ Granada	L 0-2	1718	1711	15.7%	13.8%	70.5%	-2.1	24
1945-04-15	Real Murcia	W 3-2	1771	1648	79.8%	11.8%	8.4%	+0.5	40
1945-04-15	@ Real Oviedo	L 2-3	1648	1771	8.4%	11.8%	79.8%	-0.5	26
1945-04-15	Real Gijon	D 2-2	1691	1650	74.3%	13.2%	12.6%	-0.7	20
1945-04-15	@ Sabadell	D 2-2	1650	1691	12.6%	13.2%	74.3%	+0.7	27
1945-04-15	Atletico Bilbao	L 2-3	1758	1762	70.7%	13.8%	15.6%	-3.9	29
1945-04-15	@ Sevilla	W 3-2	1762	1758	15.6%	13.8%	70.7%	+3.9	41
1945-04-22	Atletico Aviacion	L 0-1	1766	1771	70.7%	13.8%	15.5%	-4.4	41
1945-04-22	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1771	1766	15.5%	13.8%	70.7%	+4.4	41
1945-04-22	Granada	D 1-1	1688	1713	68.9%	14.0%	17.1%	-0.8	22
1945-04-22	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1713	1688	17.1%	14.0%	68.9%	+0.8	23
1945-04-22	Castellon	W 5-1	1716	1729	69.9%	13.9%	16.2%	+3.4	27
1945-04-22	@ Espanol	L 1-5	1729	1716	16.2%	13.9%	69.9%	-3.4	31
1945-04-22	Sabadell	W 8-0	1790	1690	78.3%	12.2%	9.4%	+4.5	50
1945-04-22	@ Real Madrid	L 0-8	1690	1790	9.4%	12.2%	78.3%	-4.5	20
1945-04-22	Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1754	1772	69.5%	13.9%	16.6%	-0.8	30
1945-04-22	@ Sevilla	D 1-1	1772	1754	16.6%	13.9%	69.5%	+0.8	41
1945-04-22	Real Murcia	W 4-1	1651	1647	71.4%	13.7%	15.0%	+2.4	30
1945-04-22	@ Real Gijon	L 1-4	1647	1651	15.0%	13.7%	71.4%	-2.4	26
1945-04-22	Barcelona	L 2-3	1806	1785	72.8%	13.4%	13.8%	-4.0	39
1945-04-22	@ Valencia	W 3-2	1785	1806	13.8%	13.4%	72.8%	+4.0	52
1945-05-13	Sevilla	W 3-1	1775	1753	72.9%	13.4%	13.7%	+1.6	44
1945-05-13	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-3	1753	1775	13.7%	13.4%	72.9%	-1.6	30
1945-05-13	Atletico Bilbao	W 5-2	1789	1762	73.3%	13.3%	13.4%	+1.9	55
1945-05-13	@ Barcelona	L 2-5	1762	1789	13.4%	13.3%	73.3%	-1.9	41
1945-05-13	Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-0	1726	1687	74.1%	13.2%	12.7%	+3.2	34
1945-05-13	@ Castellon	L 0-4	1687	1726	12.7%	13.2%	74.1%	-3.2	22
1945-05-13	Valencia	W 2-1	1713	1802	62.6%	14.5%	22.9%	+1.5	26
1945-05-13	@ Granada	L 1-2	1802	1713	22.9%	14.5%	62.6%	-1.5	39
1945-05-13	Real Madrid	L 3-5	1645	1794	55.6%	14.7%	29.6%	-4.8	26
1945-05-13	@ Real Murcia	W 5-3	1794	1645	29.6%	14.7%	55.6%	+4.8	53
1945-05-13	Espanol	L 0-6	1686	1719	68.1%	14.1%	17.8%	-22.0	20
1945-05-13	@ Sabadell	W 6-0	1719	1686	17.8%	14.1%	68.1%	+22.0	30
1945-05-13	Real Oviedo	W 6-0	1653	1773	59.2%	14.7%	26.1%	+9.3	33
1945-05-13	@ Real Gijon	L 0-6	1773	1653	26.1%	14.7%	59.2%	-9.3	41
1945-05-20	Granada	W 4-1	1760	1715	74.6%	13.1%	12.3%	+2.0	44
1945-05-20	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-4	1715	1760	12.3%	13.1%	74.6%	-2.0	26
1945-05-20	Sabadell	L 1-2	1684	1664	72.7%	13.4%	13.8%	-4.2	22
1945-05-20	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-1	1664	1684	13.8%	13.4%	72.7%	+4.2	23
1945-05-20	Real Murcia	W 1-0	1741	1640	78.4%	12.2%	9.4%	+0.6	33
1945-05-20	@ Espanol	L 0-1	1640	1741	9.4%	12.2%	78.4%	-0.7	26
1945-05-20	Real Gijon	W 4-1	1799	1663	80.6%	11.5%	7.9%	+1.2	56
1945-05-20	@ Real Madrid	L 1-4	1663	1799	7.9%	11.5%	80.6%	-1.2	33
1945-05-20	Atletico Aviacion	W 3-2	1764	1777	70.0%	13.9%	16.2%	+1.0	44
1945-05-20	@ Real Oviedo	L 2-3	1777	1764	16.2%	13.9%	70.0%	-1.0	44
1945-05-20	Barcelona	D 0-0	1751	1791	67.5%	14.1%	18.3%	-0.8	31
1945-05-20	@ Sevilla	D 0-0	1791	1751	18.3%	14.1%	67.5%	+0.8	56
1945-05-20	Castellon	W 4-1	1801	1729	76.5%	12.7%	10.8%	+1.7	42
1945-05-20	@ Valencia	L 1-4	1729	1801	10.8%	12.7%	76.5%	-1.7	34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1945-02-04	8.37%	Real Gijon	1644	1	@ Atletico Bilbao	1768	0
2	1945-04-22	13.80%	Barcelona	1785	3	@ Valencia	1806	2
3	1945-05-20	13.82%	Sabadell	1664	2	@ Deportivo La Coruna	1684	1
4	1944-12-10	13.87%	Sabadell	1703	3	@ Espanol	1723	1
5	1944-09-24	14.58%	Castellon	1741	3	@ Atletico Bilbao	1750	1
6	1944-11-05	14.80%	Real Madrid	1758	1	@ Atletico Aviacion	1764	0
7	1945-04-08	15.25%	Real Oviedo	1767	1	@ Atletico Bilbao	1767	0
8	1944-10-22	15.40%	Castellon	1740	2	@ Granada	1738	0
9	1945-04-22	15.54%	Atletico Aviacion	1771	1	@ Atletico Bilbao	1766	0
10	1945-04-15	15.59%	Atletico Bilbao	1762	3	@ Sevilla	1758	2
11	1944-10-01	15.81%	Real Oviedo	1767	1	@ Barcelona	1759	0
12	1945-02-25	16.08%	Real Madrid	1775	2	@ Sevilla	1764	1
13	1944-10-15	16.12%	Barcelona	1756	1	@ Castellon	1744	0
14	1945-01-28	16.32%	Atletico Aviacion	1765	3	@ Castellon	1751	2
15	1944-10-29	16.77%	Atletico Bilbao	1757	3	@ Espanol	1737	2
16	1944-10-01	17.16%	Atletico Bilbao	1743	2	@ Sabadell	1718	1
17	1944-11-12	17.20%	Atletico Aviacion	1760	3	@ Espanol	1734	0
18	1945-05-13	17.79%	Espanol	1719	6	@ Sabadell	1686	0
19	1945-04-15	18.18%	Real Madrid	1778	3	@ Castellon	1740	0
20	1944-11-19	18.25%	Real Madrid	1764	1	@ Granada	1725	0
21	1945-01-28	18.68%	Barcelona	1761	2	@ Granada	1717	1
22	1944-12-17	18.89%	Atletico Bilbao	1764	3	@ Granada	1717	2
23	1945-01-28	19.39%	Sevilla	1761	3	@ Sabadell	1709	2
24	1944-10-15	19.42%	Atletico Aviacion	1763	1	@ Sabadell	1711	0
25	1944-11-26	20.08%	Barcelona	1763	2	@ Deportivo La Coruna	1703	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1945-05-13	22.01	Espanol	6	1719	17.79%	@ Sabadell	0	1686	68.14%
2	1944-11-12	11.62	Atletico Aviacion	3	1760	17.20%	@ Espanol	0	1734	68.81%
3	1945-04-15	11.43	Real Madrid	3	1778	18.18%	@ Castellon	0	1740	67.70%
4	1945-05-13	9.28	@ Real Gijon	6	1653	59.19%	Real Oviedo	0	1773	26.14%
5	1944-10-22	8.23	Castellon	2	1740	15.40%	@ Granada	0	1738	70.88%
6	1945-02-18	7.53	Valencia	2	1798	20.98%	@ Espanol	0	1728	64.63%
7	1945-03-18	7.33	Barcelona	5	1771	26.23%	@ Real Gijon	2	1650	59.10%
8	1944-12-10	7.30	Sabadell	3	1703	13.87%	@ Espanol	1	1723	72.68%
9	1944-09-24	7.22	Castellon	3	1741	14.58%	@ Atletico Bilbao	1	1750	71.84%
10	1944-10-15	7.21	Atletico Bilbao	2	1749	23.57%	@ Real Gijon	0	1654	61.88%
11	1944-11-05	5.98	@ Castellon	8	1750	74.43%	Sabadell	0	1707	12.45%
12	1945-04-08	5.92	@ Real Gijon	4	1644	61.16%	Castellon	0	1746	24.25%
13	1945-01-14	5.60	@ Real Oviedo	6	1765	70.94%	Barcelona	0	1766	15.34%
14	1944-11-26	5.38	@ Real Murcia	5	1647	58.66%	Real Oviedo	1	1771	26.66%
15	1945-01-14	5.31	@ Sevilla	8	1756	71.04%	Castellon	1	1756	15.25%
16	1944-10-29	5.04	@ Real Madrid	5	1753	69.70%	Sevilla	0	1769	16.41%
17	1945-02-04	4.87	Real Gijon	1	1644	8.37%	@ Atletico Bilbao	0	1768	79.89%
18	1945-05-13	4.77	Real Madrid	5	1794	29.64%	@ Real Murcia	3	1645	55.63%
19	1945-03-25	4.76	@ Barcelona	5	1778	70.80%	Real Madrid	0	1781	15.46%
20	1945-04-22	4.51	@ Real Madrid	8	1790	78.35%	Sabadell	0	1690	9.45%
21	1945-02-25	4.44	@ Granada	5	1712	72.02%	Sabadell	0	1700	14.43%
22	1944-11-05	4.41	Real Madrid	1	1758	14.80%	@ Atletico Aviacion	0	1764	71.58%
23	1945-04-08	4.37	Real Oviedo	1	1767	15.25%	@ Atletico Bilbao	0	1767	71.05%
24	1945-04-22	4.36	Atletico Aviacion	1	1771	15.54%	@ Atletico Bilbao	0	1766	70.71%
25	1944-10-01	4.33	Real Oviedo	1	1767	15.81%	@ Barcelona	0	1759	70.40%