1945-46 La Liga Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Sevilla

36 points · 1st Title

Relegated

Hercules

15 pts

Alcoyano · 19 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Sevilla

8.11 points above expected

36 points · 27.89 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Espanol

7.68 points below expected

19 points · 26.68 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sevilla	26	14	8	4	36	53	37	+16	27.9	+8.11
2	Barcelona	26	14	7	5	35	48	31	+17	28.1	+6.94
3	Atletico Bilbao	26	14	5	7	33	63	38	+25	29.1	+3.90
4	Real Madrid	26	11	9	6	31	46	30	+16	29.8	+1.25
5	Real Oviedo	26	10	10	6	30	44	37	+7	28.7	+1.32
6	Valencia	26	9	10	7	28	44	36	+8	29.3	-1.27
7	Atletico Aviacion	26	10	6	10	26	50	48	+2	27.0	-1.03
8	Castellon	26	11	4	11	26	38	54	-16	25.6	+0.45
9	Real Gijon	26	9	7	10	25	37	39	-2	25.2	-0.20
10	Celta Vigo	26	9	3	14	21	57	56	+1	22.6	-1.64
11	Real Murcia	26	5	10	11	20	21	39	-18	22.8	-2.79
12	Espanol	26	6	7	13	19	41	53	-12	26.7	-7.68
13	Alcoyano	26	7	5	14	19	39	54	-15	21.4	-2.44
14	Hercules	26	5	5	16	15	30	59	-29	19.9	-4.92

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Real Madrid	1734	31	29.75	+1.25	68.0%	17	23	27	30	32	36	40
Atletico Bilbao	1728	33	29.10	+3.90	86.0%	22	24	26	29	32	36	39
Barcelona	1726	35	28.06	+6.94	97.0%	18	22	25	28	31	34	36
Valencia	1722	28	29.27	-1.27	44.0%	17	23	27	29	32	35	38
Sevilla	1713	36	27.89	+8.11	99.0%	19	20	26	28	30	34	37
Real Oviedo	1711	30	28.68	+1.32	73.0%	22	23	26	29	31	34	36
Atletico Aviacion	1700	26	27.03	-1.03	41.0%	16	21	25	27	30	33	36
Castellon	1658	26	25.55	+0.45	58.0%	11	19	23	26	28	31	38
Espanol	1656	19	26.68	-7.68	4.0%	16	20	24	27	29	32	36
Real Gijon	1626	25	25.20	-0.20	58.0%	17	19	23	25	28	32	34
Celta Vigo	1608	21	22.64	-1.64	38.0%	12	16	20	23	26	29	31
Real Murcia	1599	20	22.79	-2.79	29.0%	12	17	20	23	25	29	30
Alcoyano	1564	19	21.44	-2.44	32.0%	14	16	18	22	24	27	29
Hercules	1530	15	19.92	-4.92	17.0%	11	13	17	21	23	25	28

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ALC	AA	AB	BAR	CAS	CV	ESP	HER	RG	RM	RM	RO	SEV	VAL
Alcoyano	—	1-0-1 2.16	1-0-1 1.93	0-1-1 2.07	0-1-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.64	0-1-1 2.36	1-0-1 2.94	1-1-0 2.45	0-0-2 1.99	2-0-0 2.60	0-1-1 2.15	0-0-2 2.14	0-0-2 2.00
Atletico Aviacion	1-0-1 3.47	—	2-0-0 2.60	1-0-1 2.69	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-1 3.27	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 3.60	1-0-1 3.09	1-0-1 2.58	0-2-0 3.25	0-2-0 2.72	0-1-1 2.76	0-1-1 2.63
Atletico Bilbao	1-0-1 3.72	0-0-2 3.01	—	2-0-0 2.81	1-0-1 3.21	2-0-0 3.43	2-0-0 3.13	1-1-0 3.86	0-1-1 3.30	1-1-0 2.74	1-1-0 3.33	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.69
Barcelona	1-1-0 3.57	1-0-1 2.91	0-0-2 2.81	—	1-1-0 3.11	2-0-0 3.36	2-0-0 3.02	1-1-0 3.76	1-0-1 3.20	1-0-1 2.71	1-1-0 3.35	1-1-0 2.77	1-1-0 2.86	1-1-0 2.68
Castellon	1-1-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.39	0-1-1 2.49	—	1-0-1 3.14	1-0-1 2.75	2-0-0 3.44	1-0-1 2.88	0-0-2 2.50	2-0-0 3.09	0-1-1 2.50	0-1-1 2.60	1-0-1 2.44
Celta Vigo	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 2.35	0-0-2 2.20	0-0-2 2.26	1-0-1 2.46	—	1-0-1 2.51	2-0-0 3.09	0-0-2 2.65	1-0-1 2.11	0-1-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.24	1-1-0 2.31	0-1-1 2.20
Espanol	1-1-0 3.26	1-0-1 2.64	0-0-2 2.49	0-0-2 2.60	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 3.11	—	1-1-0 3.43	0-1-1 2.93	0-2-0 2.47	0-1-1 3.09	0-0-2 2.59	0-1-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.43
Hercules	1-0-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.04	0-1-1 1.79	0-1-1 1.89	0-0-2 2.19	0-0-2 2.53	0-1-1 2.20	—	1-0-1 2.32	0-0-2 1.81	1-1-0 2.52	0-0-2 1.97	0-0-2 2.08	1-1-0 1.88
Real Gijon	0-1-1 3.15	1-0-1 2.51	1-1-0 2.31	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-1 2.71	2-0-0 2.95	1-1-0 2.66	1-0-1 3.28	—	0-2-0 2.33	0-0-2 3.01	1-1-0 2.37	0-0-2 2.51	0-1-1 2.36
Real Madrid	2-0-0 3.66	1-0-1 3.02	0-1-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.90	2-0-0 3.11	1-0-1 3.52	0-2-0 3.15	2-0-0 3.86	0-2-0 3.28	—	1-0-1 3.47	1-1-0 2.86	0-1-1 2.98	0-2-0 2.80
Real Murcia	0-0-2 3.00	0-2-0 2.36	0-1-1 2.30	0-1-1 2.27	0-0-2 2.52	1-1-0 2.76	1-1-0 2.52	0-1-1 3.08	2-0-0 2.60	1-0-1 2.15	—	0-1-1 2.29	0-1-1 2.23	0-1-1 2.16
Real Oviedo	1-1-0 3.49	0-2-0 2.87	1-0-1 2.76	0-1-1 2.84	1-1-0 3.10	1-0-1 3.39	2-0-0 2.99	2-0-0 3.68	0-1-1 3.24	0-1-1 2.74	1-1-0 3.34	—	0-1-1 2.86	1-1-0 2.68
Sevilla	2-0-0 3.48	1-1-0 2.84	1-0-1 2.67	0-1-1 2.74	1-1-0 3.00	0-1-1 3.31	1-1-0 2.98	2-0-0 3.57	2-0-0 3.10	1-1-0 2.62	1-1-0 3.38	1-1-0 2.74	—	1-0-1 2.68
Valencia	2-0-0 3.64	1-1-0 2.96	0-1-1 2.89	0-1-1 2.93	1-0-1 3.17	1-1-0 3.43	1-0-1 3.18	0-1-1 3.79	1-1-0 3.26	0-2-0 2.80	1-1-0 3.46	0-1-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.92	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.49%	4.67%	5.22%	2.47%	2.20%	0.82%	20.88%
1	4.67%	13.74%	6.59%	2.47%	1.92%	2.47%	31.87%
2	5.22%	6.59%	5.49%	4.67%	1.65%	0.55%	24.18%
3	2.47%	2.47%	4.67%	1.65%	0.55%	0.55%	12.36%
4	2.20%	1.92%	1.65%	0.55%	—	—	6.32%
5+	0.82%	2.47%	0.55%	0.55%	—	—	4.40%
Total	20.88%	31.87%	24.18%	12.36%	6.32%	4.40%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.68
Mean allowed	1.68
StdDev scored	1.44
StdDev allowed	1.44
Mean total goals/game	3.36
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.011
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	15.38%	15.38%	3.85%	—	7.69%	46.15%
2	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%
3	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.85%	34.62%	38.46%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Alcoyano — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	2.08
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	1.44
Mean total goals/game	3.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.022
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	7.69%	30.77%
2	15.38%	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	34.62%	7.69%	23.08%	23.08%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Atletico Aviacion — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	1.85
StdDev scored	1.62
StdDev allowed	1.78
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.093
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
2	3.85%	19.23%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	42.31%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
Total	23.08%	42.31%	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	—	100%

Atletico Bilbao — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.42
Mean allowed	1.46
StdDev scored	2.08
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	3.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.149
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	11.54%	19.23%	3.85%	—	—	—	34.62%
2	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	38.46%	30.77%	15.38%	11.54%	—	3.85%	100%

Barcelona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.85
Mean allowed	1.19
StdDev scored	1.46
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	3.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.082
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	15.38%	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
2	3.85%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	34.62%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	34.62%	15.38%	7.69%	23.08%	3.85%	100%

Castellon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	2.08
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	1.74
Mean total goals/game	3.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.512
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
1	—	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	38.46%
2	—	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	11.54%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	11.54%	30.77%	23.08%	15.38%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Celta Vigo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.19
Mean allowed	2.15
StdDev scored	1.74
StdDev allowed	1.62
Mean total goals/game	4.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.465
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
1	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	34.62%
2	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
4	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	38.46%	19.23%	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Espanol — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.58
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	1.53
StdDev allowed	1.68
Mean total goals/game	3.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.131
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	30.77%
1	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	30.77%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	11.54%	34.62%	11.54%	7.69%	15.38%	100%

Hercules — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	2.27
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	1.73
Mean total goals/game	3.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.261
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%	—	—	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	11.54%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
3	—	—	11.54%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	23.08%	50.00%	3.85%	3.85%	—	100%

Real Gijon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.42
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	0.99
Mean total goals/game	2.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.018
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	26.92%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	38.46%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	23.08%	50.00%	15.38%	11.54%	—	—	100%

Real Madrid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	1.15
StdDev scored	1.42
StdDev allowed	0.92
Mean total goals/game	2.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.246
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.38%	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	38.46%
1	15.38%	15.38%	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	42.31%
2	3.85%	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	34.62%	19.23%	19.23%	23.08%	—	3.85%	100%

Real Murcia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.81
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	0.75
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	2.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.160
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
1	7.69%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
2	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
3	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	26.92%	26.92%	15.38%	3.85%	—	100%

Real Oviedo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	1.19
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	3.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.046
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
1	3.85%	23.08%	—	—	—	—	26.92%
2	—	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
3	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
4	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	50.00%	19.23%	7.69%	7.69%	—	100%

Sevilla — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.04
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	3.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.084
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	30.77%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	15.38%	46.15%	26.92%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Valencia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	1.69
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	3.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.215
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sevilla	36	27.9	+8.11
2	Barcelona	35	28.1	+6.94
3	Atletico Bilbao	33	29.1	+3.90
4	Real Oviedo	30	28.7	+1.32
5	Real Madrid	31	29.8	+1.25

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Espanol	19	26.7	-7.68
2	Hercules	15	19.9	-4.92
3	Real Murcia	20	22.8	-2.79
4	Alcoyano	19	21.4	-2.44
5	Celta Vigo	21	22.6	-1.64

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atletico Bilbao	5	Jan 6 – Feb 3	1 in 123
2	Barcelona	4	Dec 2 – Dec 30	1 in 48
3	Real Oviedo	3	Oct 14 – Oct 28	1 in 48
4	Sevilla	4	Feb 3 – Feb 24	1 in 42
5	Valencia	4	Dec 2 – Dec 30	1 in 31

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Espanol	6	Dec 2 – Jan 13	1 in 653
2	Hercules	6	Nov 25 – Jan 6	1 in 46
3	Valencia	3	Oct 21 – Nov 4	1 in 28
4	Atletico Bilbao	2	Nov 25 – Dec 2	1 in 15
5	Barcelona	2	Oct 14 – Oct 21	1 in 12

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sevilla	9	Sep 23 – Nov 25	1 in 77
2	Real Oviedo	6	Sep 23 – Oct 28	1 in 22
3	Atletico Bilbao	7	Jan 6 – Feb 17	1 in 21
4	Valencia	7	Jan 20 – Mar 3	1 in 19
5	Real Madrid	8	Oct 21 – Dec 16	1 in 18

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Valencia	8	Jan 6 – Feb 24	1 in 352
2	Real Murcia	11	Sep 23 – Dec 9	1 in 260
3	Real Gijon	10	Jan 27 – Mar 31	1 in 127
4	Real Madrid	7	Jan 20 – Mar 3	1 in 105
5	Real Oviedo	6	Jan 20 – Feb 24	1 in 52

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Sevilla	9.00%	10.00%	17.00%	9.00%	10.00%	12.00%	8.00%	6.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Barcelona	9.00%	12.00%	10.00%	12.00%	10.00%	14.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Atletico Bilbao	15.00%	18.00%	8.00%	4.00%	19.00%	6.00%	8.00%	10.00%	6.00%	4.00%	—	2.00%	—	—
Real Madrid	27.00%	16.00%	12.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%
Real Oviedo	10.00%	9.00%	15.00%	18.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	9.00%	9.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%
Valencia	18.00%	15.00%	11.00%	11.00%	12.00%	9.00%	3.00%	7.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%
Atletico Aviacion	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	6.00%	15.00%	7.00%	16.00%	9.00%	6.00%	7.00%	8.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Castellon	—	2.00%	8.00%	5.00%	3.00%	14.00%	8.00%	9.00%	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	12.00%	8.00%	1.00%
Real Gijon	3.00%	—	5.00%	10.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	9.00%	10.00%	17.00%	5.00%	15.00%	6.00%	3.00%
Celta Vigo	1.00%	—	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	15.00%	12.00%	14.00%	16.00%
Real Murcia	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	—	2.00%	10.00%	7.00%	9.00%	14.00%	12.00%	9.00%	18.00%	14.00%
Espanol	2.00%	11.00%	4.00%	7.00%	12.00%	10.00%	7.00%	7.00%	11.00%	10.00%	12.00%	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%
Alcoyano	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	6.00%	9.00%	8.00%	9.00%	19.00%	29.00%	14.00%
Hercules	—	—	—	—	—	—	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	14.00%	14.00%	15.00%	43.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Atletico Bilbao	98.0%	1.0%	1.0%	—
Real Madrid	98.0%	1.0%	—	1.0%
Real Oviedo	97.0%	2.0%	—	1.0%
Atletico Aviacion	94.0%	3.0%	—	3.0%
Sevilla	92.0%	5.0%	1.0%	2.0%
Valencia	97.0%	—	—	3.0%
Barcelona	93.0%	3.0%	—	4.0%
Espanol	93.0%	—	2.0%	5.0%
Real Gijon	76.0%	11.0%	4.0%	9.0%
Castellon	79.0%	6.0%	6.0%	9.0%
Celta Vigo	58.0%	9.0%	3.0%	30.0%
Real Murcia	59.0%	3.0%	6.0%	32.0%
Alcoyano	38.0%	8.0%	11.0%	43.0%
Hercules	28.0%	8.0%	6.0%	58.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1945-09-23	Real Gijon	W 2-0	1709	1631	72.3%	16.6%	11.1%	+1.6	3
1945-09-23	@ Barcelona	L 0-2	1631	1709	11.1%	16.6%	72.3%	-1.6	0
1945-09-23	Castellon	W 4-0	1597	1673	56.5%	22.4%	21.1%	+6.0	3
1945-09-23	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-4	1673	1597	21.1%	22.4%	56.5%	-5.9	0
1945-09-23	Sevilla	L 1-2	1559	1693	49.7%	23.2%	27.1%	-3.2	0
1945-09-23	@ Hercules	W 2-1	1693	1559	27.1%	23.2%	49.7%	+3.2	3
1945-09-23	Atletico Bilbao	D 1-1	1718	1696	66.9%	19.2%	13.9%	-0.8	1
1945-09-23	@ Real Madrid	D 1-1	1696	1718	13.9%	19.2%	66.9%	+0.8	1
1945-09-23	Alcoyano	L 2-3	1617	1572	69.2%	18.1%	12.6%	-4.0	0
1945-09-23	@ Real Murcia	W 3-2	1572	1617	12.6%	18.1%	69.2%	+4.0	3
1945-09-23	Espanol	W 1-0	1693	1686	65.3%	19.8%	14.8%	+1.2	3
1945-09-23	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-1	1686	1693	14.8%	19.8%	65.3%	-1.2	0
1945-09-23	Atletico Aviacion	W 6-1	1728	1701	67.4%	19.0%	13.6%	+3.9	3
1945-09-23	@ Valencia	L 1-6	1701	1728	13.6%	19.0%	67.4%	-3.9	0
1945-09-30	Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1576	1694	51.5%	23.1%	25.4%	-0.4	4
1945-09-30	@ Alcoyano	D 1-1	1694	1576	25.4%	23.1%	51.5%	+0.4	4
1945-09-30	Valencia	D 2-2	1697	1732	61.0%	21.3%	17.6%	-0.5	2
1945-09-30	@ Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1732	1697	17.6%	21.3%	61.0%	+0.5	4
1945-09-30	Real Murcia	D 0-0	1697	1613	72.9%	16.3%	10.8%	-1.1	1
1945-09-30	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 0-0	1613	1697	10.8%	16.3%	72.9%	+1.1	1
1945-09-30	Real Madrid	L 0-3	1667	1717	59.4%	21.8%	18.8%	-10.8	0
1945-09-30	@ Castellon	W 3-0	1717	1667	18.8%	21.8%	59.4%	+10.8	4
1945-09-30	Barcelona	L 0-2	1685	1710	62.0%	21.0%	16.9%	-7.7	0
1945-09-30	@ Espanol	W 2-0	1710	1685	16.9%	21.0%	62.0%	+7.7	6
1945-09-30	Celta Vigo	D 3-3	1696	1603	73.7%	15.8%	10.4%	-0.6	4
1945-09-30	@ Sevilla	D 3-3	1603	1696	10.4%	15.8%	73.7%	+0.6	4
1945-09-30	Hercules	W 2-0	1630	1556	72.0%	16.8%	11.3%	+1.6	3
1945-09-30	@ Real Gijon	L 0-2	1556	1630	11.3%	16.8%	72.0%	-1.6	0
1945-10-07	Alcoyano	W 2-0	1718	1575	78.2%	13.2%	8.5%	+1.1	9
1945-10-07	@ Barcelona	L 0-2	1575	1718	8.5%	13.2%	78.2%	-1.1	4
1945-10-07	Sevilla	D 2-2	1656	1695	60.6%	21.5%	17.9%	-0.5	1
1945-10-07	@ Castellon	D 2-2	1695	1656	17.9%	21.5%	60.6%	+0.5	5
1945-10-07	Real Gijon	L 2-3	1604	1631	61.8%	21.1%	17.1%	-3.7	4
1945-10-07	@ Celta Vigo	W 3-2	1631	1604	17.1%	21.1%	61.8%	+3.6	6
1945-10-07	Espanol	D 0-0	1554	1678	50.9%	23.1%	25.9%	-0.4	1
1945-10-07	@ Hercules	D 0-0	1678	1554	25.9%	23.1%	50.9%	+0.4	1
1945-10-07	Valencia	D 1-1	1728	1732	64.2%	20.3%	15.5%	-0.8	5
1945-10-07	@ Real Madrid	D 1-1	1732	1728	15.5%	20.3%	64.2%	+0.8	5
1945-10-07	Atletico Bilbao	D 0-0	1615	1697	55.8%	22.6%	21.6%	-0.6	2
1945-10-07	@ Real Murcia	D 0-0	1697	1615	21.6%	22.6%	55.8%	+0.6	3
1945-10-07	Atletico Aviacion	D 3-3	1695	1696	64.5%	20.2%	15.3%	-0.5	5
1945-10-07	@ Real Oviedo	D 3-3	1696	1695	15.3%	20.2%	64.5%	+0.5	2
1945-10-14	Hercules	W 3-1	1574	1554	66.7%	19.3%	14.0%	+1.8	7
1945-10-14	@ Alcoyano	L 1-3	1554	1574	14.0%	19.3%	66.7%	-1.8	1
1945-10-14	Real Oviedo	L 2-4	1697	1694	65.0%	20.0%	15.0%	-6.2	3
1945-10-14	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 4-2	1694	1697	15.0%	20.0%	65.0%	+6.2	8
1945-10-14	Barcelona	W 2-0	1697	1719	62.3%	20.9%	16.8%	+2.5	5
1945-10-14	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-2	1719	1697	16.8%	20.9%	62.3%	-2.5	9
1945-10-14	Celta Vigo	W 4-1	1678	1600	72.3%	16.6%	11.1%	+1.9	4
1945-10-14	@ Espanol	L 1-4	1600	1678	11.1%	16.6%	72.3%	-1.9	4
1945-10-14	Real Madrid	W 2-1	1696	1727	61.4%	21.2%	17.4%	+1.3	8
1945-10-14	@ Sevilla	L 1-2	1727	1696	17.4%	21.2%	61.4%	-1.3	5
1945-10-14	Castellon	W 2-0	1635	1656	62.5%	20.9%	16.6%	+2.5	9
1945-10-14	@ Real Gijon	L 0-2	1656	1635	16.6%	20.9%	62.5%	-2.5	1
1945-10-14	Real Murcia	W 2-0	1733	1614	76.2%	14.4%	9.4%	+1.3	8
1945-10-14	@ Valencia	L 0-2	1614	1733	9.4%	14.4%	76.2%	-1.3	2
1945-10-21	Atletico Bilbao	L 0-6	1717	1691	67.3%	19.0%	13.7%	-22.9	9
1945-10-21	@ Barcelona	W 6-0	1691	1717	13.7%	19.0%	67.3%	+22.9	6
1945-10-21	Espanol	W 4-1	1653	1680	61.9%	21.1%	17.0%	+3.1	4
1945-10-21	@ Castellon	L 1-4	1680	1653	17.0%	21.1%	61.9%	-3.1	4
1945-10-21	Alcoyano	W 6-1	1598	1576	66.9%	19.2%	13.9%	+4.0	7
1945-10-21	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-6	1576	1598	13.9%	19.2%	66.9%	-4.0	7
1945-10-21	Atletico Aviacion	W 3-2	1552	1699	48.0%	23.2%	28.8%	+1.9	4
1945-10-21	@ Hercules	L 2-3	1699	1552	28.8%	23.2%	48.0%	-1.9	5
1945-10-21	Real Murcia	W 3-1	1726	1613	75.6%	14.8%	9.6%	+1.2	8
1945-10-21	@ Real Madrid	L 1-3	1613	1726	9.6%	14.8%	75.6%	-1.2	2
1945-10-21	Valencia	W 3-0	1700	1734	61.1%	21.3%	17.6%	+3.8	11
1945-10-21	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-3	1734	1700	17.6%	21.3%	61.1%	-3.8	8
1945-10-21	Real Gijon	W 3-2	1697	1637	70.6%	17.4%	11.9%	+0.8	11
1945-10-21	@ Sevilla	L 2-3	1637	1697	11.9%	17.4%	70.6%	-0.8	9
1945-10-28	Castellon	D 1-1	1572	1656	55.5%	22.6%	21.9%	-0.5	8
1945-10-28	@ Alcoyano	D 1-1	1656	1572	21.9%	22.6%	55.5%	+0.5	5
1945-10-28	Hercules	W 6-0	1714	1554	79.7%	12.3%	7.9%	+2.9	9
1945-10-28	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-6	1554	1714	7.9%	12.3%	79.7%	-2.9	4
1945-10-28	Celta Vigo	W 3-2	1697	1602	74.0%	15.7%	10.3%	+0.7	8
1945-10-28	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 2-3	1602	1697	10.3%	15.7%	74.0%	-0.7	7
1945-10-28	Sevilla	D 1-1	1677	1698	62.5%	20.9%	16.6%	-0.7	5
1945-10-28	@ Espanol	D 1-1	1698	1677	16.6%	20.9%	62.5%	+0.7	12
1945-10-28	Real Oviedo	L 0-3	1612	1704	54.5%	22.8%	22.7%	-10.0	2
1945-10-28	@ Real Murcia	W 3-0	1704	1612	22.7%	22.8%	54.5%	+10.0	14
1945-10-28	Real Madrid	D 1-1	1637	1727	54.8%	22.7%	22.5%	-0.5	10
1945-10-28	@ Real Gijon	D 1-1	1727	1637	22.5%	22.7%	54.8%	+0.5	9
1945-10-28	Barcelona	L 0-1	1731	1694	68.4%	18.5%	13.1%	-4.4	8
1945-10-28	@ Valencia	W 1-0	1694	1731	13.1%	18.5%	68.4%	+4.4	12
1945-11-04	Real Murcia	D 1-1	1698	1602	74.1%	15.6%	10.3%	-1.0	13
1945-11-04	@ Barcelona	D 1-1	1602	1698	10.3%	15.6%	74.1%	+1.0	3
1945-11-04	Atletico Aviacion	W 2-1	1657	1698	60.4%	21.5%	18.1%	+1.4	8
1945-11-04	@ Castellon	L 1-2	1698	1657	18.1%	21.5%	60.4%	-1.4	8
1945-11-04	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1602	1717	51.9%	23.1%	25.0%	-3.3	7
1945-11-04	@ Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1717	1602	25.0%	23.1%	51.9%	+3.3	12
1945-11-04	Valencia	W 2-1	1551	1726	44.5%	23.1%	32.5%	+2.2	7
1945-11-04	@ Hercules	L 1-2	1726	1551	32.5%	23.1%	44.5%	-2.2	8
1945-11-04	Real Oviedo	W 3-1	1727	1714	66.0%	19.6%	14.4%	+1.8	12
1945-11-04	@ Real Madrid	L 1-3	1714	1727	14.4%	19.6%	66.0%	-1.9	14
1945-11-04	Alcoyano	W 4-2	1698	1572	76.9%	14.1%	9.1%	+1.0	15
1945-11-04	@ Sevilla	L 2-4	1572	1698	9.1%	14.1%	76.9%	-1.0	8
1945-11-04	Espanol	W 4-1	1636	1676	60.4%	21.5%	18.0%	+3.3	13
1945-11-04	@ Real Gijon	L 1-4	1676	1636	18.0%	21.5%	60.4%	-3.3	5
1945-11-18	Real Gijon	W 4-1	1571	1639	57.3%	22.3%	20.4%	+3.7	11
1945-11-18	@ Alcoyano	L 1-4	1639	1571	20.4%	22.3%	57.3%	-3.7	13
1945-11-18	Castellon	W 7-1	1720	1658	70.8%	17.3%	11.8%	+3.9	15
1945-11-18	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-7	1658	1720	11.8%	17.3%	70.8%	-3.9	8
1945-11-18	Sevilla	D 1-1	1696	1699	64.3%	20.2%	15.4%	-0.8	9
1945-11-18	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 1-1	1699	1696	15.4%	20.2%	64.3%	+0.8	16
1945-11-18	Real Madrid	D 1-1	1673	1729	58.6%	22.0%	19.4%	-0.6	6
1945-11-18	@ Espanol	D 1-1	1729	1673	19.4%	22.0%	58.6%	+0.6	13
1945-11-18	Hercules	D 1-1	1603	1553	69.6%	18.0%	12.4%	-0.9	4
1945-11-18	@ Real Murcia	D 1-1	1553	1603	12.4%	18.0%	69.6%	+0.9	8
1945-11-18	Barcelona	D 1-1	1712	1697	66.2%	19.5%	14.3%	-0.8	15
1945-11-18	@ Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1697	1712	14.3%	19.5%	66.2%	+0.8	14
1945-11-18	Celta Vigo	W 5-1	1724	1598	76.8%	14.1%	9.1%	+2.0	11
1945-11-18	@ Valencia	L 1-5	1598	1724	9.1%	14.1%	76.8%	-2.0	7
1945-11-25	Valencia	W 1-0	1654	1726	57.0%	22.4%	20.7%	+1.6	11
1945-11-25	@ Castellon	L 0-1	1726	1654	20.7%	22.4%	57.0%	-1.6	11
1945-11-25	Real Murcia	D 1-1	1596	1602	64.1%	20.3%	15.6%	-0.8	8
1945-11-25	@ Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1602	1596	15.6%	20.3%	64.1%	+0.8	5
1945-11-25	Alcoyano	W 2-1	1672	1574	74.2%	15.6%	10.2%	+0.7	9
1945-11-25	@ Espanol	L 1-2	1574	1672	10.2%	15.6%	74.2%	-0.7	11
1945-11-25	Real Oviedo	L 0-3	1554	1712	46.7%	23.2%	30.1%	-8.7	8
1945-11-25	@ Hercules	W 3-0	1712	1554	30.1%	23.2%	46.7%	+8.7	18
1945-11-25	Barcelona	W 3-2	1730	1698	67.9%	18.8%	13.4%	+0.9	16
1945-11-25	@ Real Madrid	L 2-3	1698	1730	13.4%	18.8%	67.9%	-0.9	14
1945-11-25	Atletico Bilbao	W 4-2	1700	1724	62.2%	21.0%	16.8%	+2.0	19
1945-11-25	@ Sevilla	L 2-4	1724	1700	16.8%	21.0%	62.2%	-2.0	15
1945-11-25	Atletico Aviacion	W 3-2	1636	1696	58.2%	22.1%	19.7%	+1.4	16
1945-11-25	@ Real Gijon	L 2-3	1696	1636	19.7%	22.1%	58.2%	-1.4	9
1945-12-02	Real Madrid	L 1-3	1574	1731	46.7%	23.2%	30.1%	-5.2	11
1945-12-02	@ Alcoyano	W 3-1	1731	1574	30.1%	23.2%	46.7%	+5.2	19
1945-12-02	Real Gijon	L 2-3	1722	1637	73.0%	16.2%	10.8%	-4.1	15
1945-12-02	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 3-2	1637	1722	10.8%	16.2%	73.0%	+4.1	19
1945-12-02	Espanol	W 7-3	1694	1673	66.8%	19.2%	13.9%	+2.5	12
1945-12-02	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 3-7	1673	1694	13.9%	19.2%	66.8%	-2.5	9
1945-12-02	Hercules	W 5-3	1697	1546	79.0%	12.8%	8.2%	+0.8	17
1945-12-02	@ Barcelona	L 3-5	1546	1697	8.2%	12.8%	79.0%	-0.8	8
1945-12-02	Castellon	L 2-3	1602	1656	59.0%	21.9%	19.1%	-3.5	5
1945-12-02	@ Real Murcia	W 3-2	1656	1602	19.1%	21.9%	59.0%	+3.5	14
1945-12-02	Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1720	1596	76.7%	14.1%	9.2%	+0.7	21
1945-12-02	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-1	1596	1720	9.2%	14.1%	76.7%	-0.7	8
1945-12-02	Sevilla	W 1-0	1724	1702	66.9%	19.2%	13.9%	+1.1	14
1945-12-02	@ Valencia	L 0-1	1702	1724	13.9%	19.2%	66.9%	-1.1	19
1945-12-09	Atletico Aviacion	W 3-1	1568	1697	50.3%	23.2%	26.5%	+3.3	14
1945-12-09	@ Alcoyano	L 1-3	1697	1568	26.5%	23.2%	50.3%	-3.3	12
1945-12-09	Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1660	1721	58.1%	22.1%	19.8%	-0.6	15
1945-12-09	@ Castellon	D 1-1	1721	1660	19.8%	22.1%	58.1%	+0.6	22
1945-12-09	Barcelona	L 1-5	1595	1698	53.3%	22.9%	23.7%	-10.7	8
1945-12-09	@ Celta Vigo	W 5-1	1698	1595	23.7%	22.9%	53.3%	+10.7	20
1945-12-09	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-5	1670	1718	59.6%	21.7%	18.6%	-11.8	9
1945-12-09	@ Espanol	W 5-1	1718	1670	18.6%	21.7%	59.6%	+11.8	18
1945-12-09	Hercules	W 2-0	1736	1545	82.3%	10.8%	7.0%	+0.9	22
1945-12-09	@ Real Madrid	L 0-2	1545	1736	7.0%	10.8%	82.3%	-0.9	8
1945-12-09	Real Murcia	W 3-1	1701	1599	74.6%	15.3%	10.1%	+1.2	22
1945-12-09	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1599	1701	10.1%	15.3%	74.6%	-1.2	5
1945-12-09	Valencia	L 1-2	1641	1725	55.5%	22.6%	21.9%	-3.5	19
1945-12-09	@ Real Gijon	W 2-1	1725	1641	21.9%	22.6%	55.5%	+3.5	17
1945-12-16	Alcoyano	W 2-0	1730	1572	79.5%	12.4%	8.0%	+1.1	21
1945-12-16	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-2	1572	1730	8.0%	12.4%	79.5%	-1.1	14
1945-12-16	Castellon	W 4-0	1709	1659	69.6%	17.9%	12.4%	+3.4	23
1945-12-16	@ Barcelona	L 0-4	1659	1709	12.4%	17.9%	69.6%	-3.4	15
1945-12-16	Celta Vigo	L 1-4	1544	1584	60.4%	21.5%	18.1%	-9.2	8
1945-12-16	@ Hercules	W 4-1	1584	1544	18.1%	21.5%	60.4%	+9.2	11
1945-12-16	Atletico Aviacion	W 2-1	1737	1693	69.0%	18.2%	12.7%	+0.9	25
1945-12-16	@ Real Madrid	L 1-2	1693	1737	12.7%	18.2%	69.0%	-0.9	12
1945-12-16	Real Gijon	W 1-0	1598	1638	60.5%	21.5%	18.0%	+1.4	8
1945-12-16	@ Real Murcia	L 0-1	1638	1598	18.0%	21.5%	60.5%	-1.4	19
1945-12-16	Sevilla	D 1-1	1722	1702	66.6%	19.3%	14.1%	-0.8	23
1945-12-16	@ Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1702	1722	14.1%	19.3%	66.6%	+0.8	23
1945-12-16	Espanol	W 3-2	1729	1658	71.7%	16.9%	11.4%	+0.8	20
1945-12-16	@ Valencia	L 2-3	1658	1729	11.4%	16.9%	71.7%	-0.8	9
1945-12-30	Valencia	L 1-2	1571	1730	46.5%	23.2%	30.3%	-3.0	14
1945-12-30	@ Alcoyano	W 2-1	1730	1571	30.3%	23.2%	46.5%	+3.0	23
1945-12-30	Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1693	1731	60.6%	21.5%	17.9%	+1.4	15
1945-12-30	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-1	1731	1693	17.9%	21.5%	60.6%	-1.4	21
1945-12-30	Hercules	W 2-1	1656	1535	76.3%	14.3%	9.3%	+0.6	18
1945-12-30	@ Castellon	L 1-2	1535	1656	9.3%	14.3%	76.3%	-0.6	8
1945-12-30	Real Madrid	W 3-0	1593	1738	48.3%	23.2%	28.5%	+5.9	14
1945-12-30	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-3	1738	1593	28.5%	23.2%	48.3%	-5.9	25
1945-12-30	Real Murcia	L 0-1	1658	1599	70.5%	17.5%	12.0%	-4.5	9
1945-12-30	@ Espanol	W 1-0	1599	1658	12.0%	17.5%	70.5%	+4.5	11
1945-12-30	Barcelona	L 2-3	1703	1712	63.7%	20.4%	15.8%	-3.7	23
1945-12-30	@ Sevilla	W 3-2	1712	1703	15.8%	20.4%	63.7%	+3.7	26
1945-12-30	Real Oviedo	W 1-0	1636	1721	55.5%	22.6%	21.9%	+1.7	22
1945-12-30	@ Real Gijon	L 0-1	1721	1636	21.9%	22.6%	55.5%	-1.7	23
1946-01-06	Real Murcia	W 1-0	1568	1604	60.9%	21.4%	17.7%	+1.4	17
1946-01-06	@ Alcoyano	L 0-1	1604	1568	17.7%	21.4%	60.9%	-1.4	11
1946-01-06	Real Madrid	W 3-2	1729	1732	64.4%	20.2%	15.4%	+1.1	24
1946-01-06	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 2-3	1732	1729	15.4%	20.2%	64.4%	-1.1	25
1946-01-06	Valencia	D 0-0	1694	1733	60.6%	21.5%	17.9%	-0.7	16
1946-01-06	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 0-0	1733	1694	17.9%	21.5%	60.6%	+0.7	24
1946-01-06	Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1656	1599	70.3%	17.6%	12.1%	+0.9	21
1946-01-06	@ Castellon	L 1-2	1599	1656	12.1%	17.6%	70.3%	-0.9	14
1946-01-06	Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1653	1719	57.6%	22.2%	20.2%	-3.6	9
1946-01-06	@ Espanol	W 2-1	1719	1653	20.2%	22.2%	57.6%	+3.6	26
1946-01-06	Hercules	W 2-1	1699	1534	80.2%	12.1%	7.8%	+0.5	26
1946-01-06	@ Sevilla	L 1-2	1534	1699	7.8%	12.1%	80.2%	-0.5	8
1946-01-06	Barcelona	W 2-0	1638	1716	56.2%	22.5%	21.3%	+3.2	25
1946-01-06	@ Real Gijon	L 0-2	1716	1638	21.3%	22.5%	56.2%	-3.2	26
1946-01-13	Espanol	W 1-0	1713	1650	70.9%	17.3%	11.8%	+0.9	29
1946-01-13	@ Barcelona	L 0-1	1650	1713	11.8%	17.3%	70.9%	-0.9	9
1946-01-13	Sevilla	W 4-0	1598	1700	53.5%	22.9%	23.6%	+6.6	17
1946-01-13	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-4	1700	1598	23.6%	22.9%	53.5%	-6.6	26
1946-01-13	Real Gijon	W 2-1	1534	1641	52.8%	23.0%	24.2%	+1.8	11
1946-01-13	@ Hercules	L 1-2	1641	1534	24.2%	23.0%	52.8%	-1.8	25
1946-01-13	Castellon	W 4-0	1731	1657	72.0%	16.8%	11.3%	+3.0	28
1946-01-13	@ Real Madrid	L 0-4	1657	1731	11.3%	16.8%	72.0%	-3.1	21
1946-01-13	Atletico Aviacion	D 0-0	1602	1693	54.8%	22.7%	22.5%	-0.5	12
1946-01-13	@ Real Murcia	D 0-0	1693	1602	22.5%	22.7%	54.8%	+0.5	17
1946-01-13	Alcoyano	W 3-2	1723	1569	79.2%	12.7%	8.2%	+0.5	29
1946-01-13	@ Real Oviedo	L 2-3	1569	1723	8.2%	12.7%	79.2%	-0.5	17
1946-01-13	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1733	1730	65.0%	20.0%	15.0%	-4.0	24
1946-01-13	@ Valencia	W 2-1	1730	1733	15.0%	20.0%	65.0%	+4.0	27
1946-01-20	Barcelona	D 3-3	1569	1714	48.3%	23.2%	28.5%	-0.2	18
1946-01-20	@ Alcoyano	D 3-3	1714	1569	28.5%	23.2%	48.3%	+0.2	30
1946-01-20	Real Murcia	W 6-1	1734	1602	77.4%	13.7%	8.9%	+2.3	30
1946-01-20	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-6	1602	1734	8.9%	13.7%	77.4%	-2.3	12
1946-01-20	Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1694	1723	61.6%	21.2%	17.2%	-0.5	18
1946-01-20	@ Atletico Aviacion	D 2-2	1723	1694	17.2%	21.2%	61.6%	+0.5	30
1946-01-20	Hercules	W 5-2	1649	1535	75.7%	14.7%	9.6%	+1.4	12
1946-01-20	@ Espanol	L 2-5	1535	1649	9.6%	14.7%	75.7%	-1.4	11
1946-01-20	Castellon	W 3-2	1693	1654	68.6%	18.4%	13.0%	+0.9	29
1946-01-20	@ Sevilla	L 2-3	1654	1693	13.0%	18.4%	68.6%	-0.9	21
1946-01-20	Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1639	1605	68.1%	18.6%	13.2%	+1.0	28
1946-01-20	@ Real Gijon	L 1-2	1605	1639	13.2%	18.6%	68.1%	-1.0	17
1946-01-20	Real Madrid	D 1-1	1729	1734	64.2%	20.3%	15.5%	-0.8	25
1946-01-20	@ Valencia	D 1-1	1734	1729	15.5%	20.3%	64.2%	+0.8	29
1946-01-27	Atletico Aviacion	W 2-1	1714	1693	66.7%	19.3%	14.0%	+1.0	33
1946-01-27	@ Barcelona	L 1-2	1693	1714	14.0%	19.3%	66.7%	-1.0	18
1946-01-27	Real Gijon	W 2-0	1653	1640	66.0%	19.6%	14.4%	+2.2	24
1946-01-27	@ Castellon	L 0-2	1640	1653	14.4%	19.6%	66.0%	-2.1	28
1946-01-27	Espanol	W 4-1	1604	1650	59.8%	21.7%	18.5%	+3.4	20
1946-01-27	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-4	1650	1604	18.5%	21.7%	59.8%	-3.4	12
1946-01-27	Alcoyano	W 1-0	1534	1568	61.0%	21.3%	17.6%	+1.4	14
1946-01-27	@ Hercules	L 0-1	1568	1534	17.6%	21.3%	61.0%	-1.4	18
1946-01-27	Sevilla	D 1-1	1735	1694	68.7%	18.4%	12.9%	-0.9	30
1946-01-27	@ Real Madrid	D 1-1	1694	1735	12.9%	18.4%	68.7%	+0.9	30
1946-01-27	Valencia	D 2-2	1599	1729	50.2%	23.2%	26.6%	-0.3	13
1946-01-27	@ Real Murcia	D 2-2	1729	1599	26.6%	23.2%	50.2%	+0.3	26
1946-01-27	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1724	1737	63.3%	20.6%	16.1%	-3.9	30
1946-01-27	@ Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1737	1724	16.1%	20.6%	63.3%	+3.9	33
1946-02-03	Celta Vigo	W 4-2	1567	1607	60.4%	21.5%	18.1%	+2.1	21
1946-02-03	@ Alcoyano	L 2-4	1607	1567	18.1%	21.5%	60.4%	-2.1	20
1946-02-03	Barcelona	W 2-1	1741	1715	67.3%	19.0%	13.7%	+1.0	36
1946-02-03	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1715	1741	13.7%	19.0%	67.3%	-1.0	33
1946-02-03	Hercules	W 5-2	1692	1535	79.5%	12.5%	8.0%	+1.1	21
1946-02-03	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 2-5	1535	1692	8.0%	12.5%	79.5%	-1.1	14
1946-02-03	Castellon	W 4-1	1647	1655	63.8%	20.4%	15.8%	+2.9	15
1946-02-03	@ Espanol	L 1-4	1655	1647	15.8%	20.4%	63.8%	-2.9	24
1946-02-03	Real Madrid	W 1-0	1599	1734	49.5%	23.2%	27.3%	+2.1	16
1946-02-03	@ Real Murcia	L 0-1	1734	1599	27.3%	23.2%	49.5%	-2.1	30
1946-02-03	Sevilla	L 1-2	1638	1695	58.6%	22.0%	19.4%	-3.7	28
1946-02-03	@ Real Gijon	W 2-1	1695	1638	19.4%	22.0%	58.6%	+3.7	33
1946-02-03	Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1729	1720	65.6%	19.7%	14.7%	-0.6	27
1946-02-03	@ Valencia	D 2-2	1720	1729	14.7%	19.7%	65.6%	+0.6	31
1946-02-10	Valencia	D 1-1	1714	1728	63.1%	20.7%	16.2%	-0.7	34
1946-02-10	@ Barcelona	D 1-1	1728	1714	16.2%	20.7%	63.1%	+0.7	28
1946-02-10	Alcoyano	W 2-1	1652	1569	72.9%	16.3%	10.8%	+0.8	27
1946-02-10	@ Castellon	L 1-2	1569	1652	10.8%	16.3%	72.9%	-0.8	21
1946-02-10	Atletico Aviacion	W 6-1	1605	1693	55.1%	22.7%	22.2%	+6.4	23
1946-02-10	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-6	1693	1605	22.2%	22.7%	55.1%	-6.4	21
1946-02-10	Atletico Bilbao	D 0-0	1534	1742	40.2%	22.6%	37.2%	-0.0	15
1946-02-10	@ Hercules	D 0-0	1742	1534	37.2%	22.6%	40.2%	+0.0	37
1946-02-10	Real Gijon	D 2-2	1732	1634	74.2%	15.6%	10.2%	-0.8	31
1946-02-10	@ Real Madrid	D 2-2	1634	1732	10.2%	15.6%	74.2%	+0.8	29
1946-02-10	Real Murcia	D 0-0	1720	1601	76.2%	14.4%	9.4%	-1.2	32
1946-02-10	@ Real Oviedo	D 0-0	1601	1720	9.4%	14.4%	76.2%	+1.2	17
1946-02-10	Espanol	W 1-0	1699	1650	69.6%	17.9%	12.4%	+1.0	36
1946-02-10	@ Sevilla	L 0-1	1650	1699	12.4%	17.9%	69.6%	-1.0	15
1946-02-17	Sevilla	L 1-2	1568	1700	50.0%	23.2%	26.9%	-3.2	21
1946-02-17	@ Alcoyano	W 2-1	1700	1568	26.9%	23.2%	50.0%	+3.2	39
1946-02-17	Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1742	1612	77.1%	13.9%	9.0%	+0.6	40
1946-02-17	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1612	1742	9.0%	13.9%	77.1%	-0.6	23
1946-02-17	Castellon	W 4-0	1687	1653	68.1%	18.7%	13.2%	+3.7	24
1946-02-17	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-4	1653	1687	13.2%	18.7%	68.1%	-3.7	27
1946-02-17	Real Gijon	D 2-2	1649	1635	66.0%	19.6%	14.4%	-0.6	16
1946-02-17	@ Espanol	D 2-2	1635	1649	14.4%	19.6%	66.0%	+0.6	30
1946-02-17	Barcelona	L 0-2	1602	1713	52.4%	23.0%	24.6%	-6.7	17
1946-02-17	@ Real Murcia	W 2-0	1713	1602	24.6%	23.0%	52.4%	+6.7	37
1946-02-17	Real Madrid	D 1-1	1719	1731	63.4%	20.6%	16.0%	-0.8	33
1946-02-17	@ Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1731	1719	16.0%	20.6%	63.4%	+0.8	32
1946-02-17	Hercules	D 2-2	1729	1534	82.6%	10.6%	6.9%	-0.9	29
1946-02-17	@ Valencia	D 2-2	1534	1729	6.9%	10.6%	82.6%	+0.9	16
1946-02-24	Real Oviedo	W 4-0	1720	1718	64.8%	20.1%	15.2%	+4.3	40
1946-02-24	@ Barcelona	L 0-4	1718	1720	15.2%	20.1%	64.8%	-4.3	33
1946-02-24	Atletico Bilbao	W 4-0	1649	1742	54.5%	22.8%	22.7%	+6.4	30
1946-02-24	@ Castellon	L 0-4	1742	1649	22.7%	22.8%	54.5%	-6.4	40
1946-02-24	Valencia	D 1-1	1611	1728	51.7%	23.1%	25.2%	-0.4	24
1946-02-24	@ Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1728	1611	25.2%	23.1%	51.7%	+0.4	30
1946-02-24	Real Murcia	W 2-0	1535	1596	58.2%	22.1%	19.7%	+3.0	19
1946-02-24	@ Hercules	L 0-2	1596	1535	19.7%	22.1%	58.2%	-3.0	17
1946-02-24	Espanol	D 0-0	1732	1648	72.9%	16.3%	10.8%	-1.1	33
1946-02-24	@ Real Madrid	D 0-0	1648	1732	10.8%	16.3%	72.9%	+1.1	17
1946-02-24	Atletico Aviacion	W 3-0	1703	1691	65.9%	19.6%	14.5%	+3.1	42
1946-02-24	@ Sevilla	L 0-3	1691	1703	14.5%	19.6%	65.9%	-3.1	24
1946-02-24	Alcoyano	D 1-1	1636	1565	71.7%	16.9%	11.4%	-1.0	31
1946-02-24	@ Real Gijon	D 1-1	1565	1636	11.4%	16.9%	71.7%	+1.0	22
1946-03-03	Espanol	D 1-1	1566	1649	55.7%	22.6%	21.7%	-0.5	23
1946-03-03	@ Alcoyano	D 1-1	1649	1566	21.7%	22.6%	55.7%	+0.5	18
1946-03-03	Sevilla	W 4-3	1736	1706	67.7%	18.8%	13.5%	+0.9	43
1946-03-03	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 3-4	1706	1736	13.5%	18.8%	67.7%	-0.9	42
1946-03-03	Real Gijon	W 2-0	1688	1635	69.9%	17.8%	12.3%	+1.8	27
1946-03-03	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-2	1635	1688	12.3%	17.8%	69.9%	-1.8	31
1946-03-03	Real Madrid	W 1-0	1724	1731	64.0%	20.4%	15.7%	+1.2	43
1946-03-03	@ Barcelona	L 0-1	1731	1724	15.7%	20.4%	64.0%	-1.2	33
1946-03-03	Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1593	1611	62.8%	20.8%	16.4%	+1.3	20
1946-03-03	@ Real Murcia	L 0-1	1611	1593	16.4%	20.8%	62.8%	-1.3	24
1946-03-03	Hercules	W 2-0	1714	1538	81.1%	11.5%	7.4%	+1.0	36
1946-03-03	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-2	1538	1714	7.4%	11.5%	81.1%	-1.0	19
1946-03-03	Castellon	W 2-0	1729	1656	71.9%	16.8%	11.3%	+1.6	33
1946-03-03	@ Valencia	L 0-2	1656	1729	11.3%	16.8%	71.9%	-1.6	30
1946-03-10	Real Murcia	W 3-0	1654	1594	70.7%	17.4%	11.9%	+2.5	33
1946-03-10	@ Castellon	L 0-3	1594	1654	11.9%	17.4%	70.7%	-2.5	20
1946-03-10	Real Oviedo	W 3-2	1609	1715	53.0%	22.9%	24.0%	+1.7	27
1946-03-10	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-3	1715	1609	24.0%	22.9%	53.0%	-1.7	36
1946-03-10	Atletico Aviacion	W 4-3	1650	1689	60.5%	21.5%	18.0%	+1.2	21
1946-03-10	@ Espanol	L 3-4	1689	1650	18.0%	21.5%	60.5%	-1.2	27
1946-03-10	Barcelona	D 0-0	1537	1725	42.7%	22.9%	34.4%	-0.1	20
1946-03-10	@ Hercules	D 0-0	1725	1537	34.4%	22.9%	42.7%	+0.1	44
1946-03-10	Alcoyano	W 1-0	1729	1566	80.0%	12.2%	7.8%	+0.5	36
1946-03-10	@ Real Madrid	L 0-1	1566	1729	7.8%	12.2%	80.0%	-0.6	23
1946-03-10	Valencia	W 3-0	1705	1730	62.0%	21.0%	16.9%	+3.7	45
1946-03-10	@ Sevilla	L 0-3	1730	1705	16.9%	21.0%	62.0%	-3.7	33
1946-03-10	Atletico Bilbao	D 0-0	1633	1737	53.3%	22.9%	23.8%	-0.5	32
1946-03-10	@ Real Gijon	D 0-0	1737	1633	23.8%	22.9%	53.3%	+0.5	44
1946-03-17	Espanol	W 3-1	1737	1651	73.2%	16.1%	10.7%	+1.3	47
1946-03-17	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-3	1651	1737	10.7%	16.1%	73.2%	-1.3	21
1946-03-17	Alcoyano	W 2-0	1688	1565	76.5%	14.2%	9.2%	+1.3	30
1946-03-17	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 0-2	1565	1688	9.2%	14.2%	76.5%	-1.3	23
1946-03-17	Celta Vigo	W 3-1	1725	1611	75.7%	14.7%	9.6%	+1.2	47
1946-03-17	@ Barcelona	L 1-3	1611	1725	9.6%	14.7%	75.7%	-1.1	27
1946-03-17	Real Madrid	L 2-3	1537	1730	42.1%	22.8%	35.1%	-2.6	20
1946-03-17	@ Hercules	W 3-2	1730	1537	35.1%	22.8%	42.1%	+2.6	39
1946-03-17	Sevilla	D 1-1	1592	1709	51.6%	23.1%	25.3%	-0.4	21
1946-03-17	@ Real Murcia	D 1-1	1709	1592	25.3%	23.1%	51.6%	+0.4	46
1946-03-17	Castellon	W 4-2	1713	1657	70.3%	17.6%	12.1%	+1.3	39
1946-03-17	@ Real Oviedo	L 2-4	1657	1713	12.1%	17.6%	70.3%	-1.4	33
1946-03-17	Real Gijon	D 1-1	1726	1633	73.9%	15.7%	10.4%	-1.0	34
1946-03-17	@ Valencia	D 1-1	1633	1726	10.4%	15.7%	73.9%	+1.0	33
1946-03-24	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-2	1564	1739	44.5%	23.1%	32.5%	+2.1	26
1946-03-24	@ Alcoyano	L 2-3	1739	1564	32.5%	23.1%	44.5%	-2.1	47
1946-03-24	Real Madrid	W 3-1	1689	1733	60.1%	21.6%	18.3%	+2.4	33
1946-03-24	@ Atletico Aviacion	L 1-3	1733	1689	18.3%	21.6%	60.1%	-2.4	39
1946-03-24	Barcelona	D 1-1	1655	1726	57.0%	22.4%	20.6%	-0.6	34
1946-03-24	@ Castellon	D 1-1	1726	1655	20.6%	22.4%	57.0%	+0.6	48
1946-03-24	Hercules	W 4-2	1610	1534	72.2%	16.7%	11.2%	+1.2	30
1946-03-24	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-4	1534	1610	11.2%	16.7%	72.2%	-1.2	20
1946-03-24	Valencia	W 4-0	1650	1725	56.5%	22.4%	21.1%	+6.0	24
1946-03-24	@ Espanol	L 0-4	1725	1650	21.1%	22.4%	56.5%	-6.0	34
1946-03-24	Real Oviedo	W 3-0	1709	1715	64.1%	20.3%	15.6%	+3.4	49
1946-03-24	@ Sevilla	L 0-3	1715	1709	15.6%	20.3%	64.1%	-3.4	39
1946-03-24	Real Murcia	L 0-2	1634	1591	68.9%	18.3%	12.8%	-8.4	33
1946-03-24	@ Real Gijon	W 2-0	1591	1634	12.8%	18.3%	68.9%	+8.4	24
1946-03-31	Atletico Aviacion	L 0-2	1737	1692	69.2%	18.2%	12.7%	-8.4	47
1946-03-31	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 2-0	1692	1737	12.7%	18.2%	69.2%	+8.4	36
1946-03-31	Sevilla	D 1-1	1727	1713	66.1%	19.5%	14.3%	-0.8	49
1946-03-31	@ Barcelona	D 1-1	1713	1727	14.3%	19.5%	66.1%	+0.8	50
1946-03-31	Castellon	L 1-2	1533	1655	51.1%	23.1%	25.8%	-3.3	20
1946-03-31	@ Hercules	W 2-1	1655	1533	25.8%	23.1%	51.1%	+3.3	37
1946-03-31	Celta Vigo	W 6-0	1730	1611	76.2%	14.4%	9.4%	+3.6	42
1946-03-31	@ Real Madrid	L 0-6	1611	1730	9.4%	14.4%	76.2%	-3.6	30
1946-03-31	Espanol	D 2-2	1600	1656	58.7%	22.0%	19.3%	-0.5	25
1946-03-31	@ Real Murcia	D 2-2	1656	1600	19.3%	22.0%	58.7%	+0.5	25
1946-03-31	Real Gijon	D 2-2	1711	1625	73.2%	16.1%	10.7%	-0.7	40
1946-03-31	@ Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1625	1711	10.7%	16.1%	73.2%	+0.7	34
1946-03-31	Alcoyano	W 6-1	1720	1566	79.2%	12.7%	8.2%	+2.1	37
1946-03-31	@ Valencia	L 1-6	1566	1720	8.2%	12.7%	79.2%	-2.1	26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1945-12-02	10.77%	Real Gijon	1637	3	@ Atletico Bilbao	1722	2
2	1945-12-30	11.98%	Real Murcia	1599	1	@ Espanol	1658	0
3	1945-09-23	12.63%	Alcoyano	1572	3	@ Real Murcia	1617	2
4	1946-03-31	12.68%	Atletico Aviacion	1692	2	@ Atletico Bilbao	1737	0
5	1946-03-24	12.80%	Real Murcia	1591	2	@ Real Gijon	1634	0
6	1945-10-28	13.10%	Barcelona	1694	1	@ Valencia	1731	0
7	1945-10-21	13.70%	Atletico Bilbao	1691	6	@ Barcelona	1717	0
8	1945-10-14	15.05%	Real Oviedo	1694	4	@ Atletico Bilbao	1697	2
9	1946-01-13	15.05%	Atletico Bilbao	1730	2	@ Valencia	1733	1
10	1945-12-30	15.82%	Barcelona	1712	3	@ Sevilla	1703	2
11	1946-01-27	16.09%	Atletico Bilbao	1737	2	@ Real Oviedo	1724	1
12	1945-09-30	16.94%	Barcelona	1710	2	@ Espanol	1685	0
13	1945-10-07	17.09%	Real Gijon	1631	3	@ Celta Vigo	1604	2
14	1945-12-16	18.07%	Celta Vigo	1584	4	@ Hercules	1544	1
15	1945-12-09	18.64%	Atletico Bilbao	1718	5	@ Espanol	1670	1
16	1945-09-30	18.83%	Real Madrid	1717	3	@ Castellon	1667	0
17	1945-12-02	19.14%	Castellon	1656	3	@ Real Murcia	1602	2
18	1946-02-03	19.41%	Sevilla	1695	2	@ Real Gijon	1638	1
19	1946-01-06	20.17%	Real Oviedo	1719	2	@ Espanol	1653	1
20	1945-12-09	21.86%	Valencia	1725	2	@ Real Gijon	1641	1
21	1945-10-28	22.68%	Real Oviedo	1704	3	@ Real Murcia	1612	0
22	1945-12-09	23.74%	Barcelona	1698	5	@ Celta Vigo	1595	1
23	1946-02-17	24.55%	Barcelona	1713	2	@ Real Murcia	1602	0
24	1945-11-04	25.04%	Atletico Bilbao	1717	2	@ Celta Vigo	1602	1
25	1946-03-31	25.78%	Castellon	1655	2	@ Hercules	1533	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1945-10-21	22.86	Atletico Bilbao	6	1691	13.70%	@ Barcelona	0	1717	67.27%
2	1945-12-09	11.79	Atletico Bilbao	5	1718	18.64%	@ Espanol	1	1670	59.62%
3	1945-09-30	10.79	Real Madrid	3	1717	18.83%	@ Castellon	0	1667	59.36%
4	1945-12-09	10.70	Barcelona	5	1698	23.74%	@ Celta Vigo	1	1595	53.35%
5	1945-10-28	10.02	Real Oviedo	3	1704	22.68%	@ Real Murcia	0	1612	54.55%
6	1945-12-16	9.24	Celta Vigo	4	1584	18.07%	@ Hercules	1	1544	60.41%
7	1945-11-25	8.74	Real Oviedo	3	1712	30.10%	@ Hercules	0	1554	46.73%
8	1946-03-31	8.41	Atletico Aviacion	2	1692	12.68%	@ Atletico Bilbao	0	1737	69.17%
9	1946-03-24	8.39	Real Murcia	2	1591	12.80%	@ Real Gijon	0	1634	68.94%
10	1945-09-30	7.72	Barcelona	2	1710	16.94%	@ Espanol	0	1685	62.03%
11	1946-02-17	6.66	Barcelona	2	1713	24.55%	@ Real Murcia	0	1602	52.44%
12	1946-01-13	6.58	@ Celta Vigo	4	1598	53.53%	Sevilla	0	1700	23.57%
13	1946-02-10	6.38	@ Celta Vigo	6	1605	55.10%	Atletico Aviacion	1	1693	22.22%
14	1946-02-24	6.37	@ Castellon	4	1649	54.54%	Atletico Bilbao	0	1742	22.70%
15	1945-10-14	6.21	Real Oviedo	4	1694	15.05%	@ Atletico Bilbao	2	1697	64.96%
16	1945-09-23	5.95	@ Celta Vigo	4	1597	56.49%	Castellon	0	1673	21.06%
17	1946-03-24	5.95	@ Espanol	4	1650	56.48%	Valencia	0	1725	21.08%
18	1945-12-30	5.89	@ Celta Vigo	3	1593	48.33%	Real Madrid	0	1738	28.47%
19	1945-12-02	5.21	Real Madrid	3	1731	30.09%	@ Alcoyano	1	1574	46.74%
20	1945-12-30	4.52	Real Murcia	1	1599	11.98%	@ Espanol	0	1658	70.51%
21	1945-10-28	4.42	Barcelona	1	1694	13.10%	@ Valencia	0	1731	68.37%
22	1946-02-24	4.30	@ Barcelona	4	1720	64.78%	Real Oviedo	0	1718	15.16%
23	1945-12-02	4.14	Real Gijon	3	1637	10.77%	@ Atletico Bilbao	2	1722	73.03%
24	1946-01-13	4.01	Atletico Bilbao	2	1730	15.05%	@ Valencia	1	1733	64.97%
25	1945-09-23	3.99	Alcoyano	3	1572	12.63%	@ Real Murcia	2	1617	69.24%