1946-47 La Liga Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Valencia

34 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1943-44

Relegated

Castellon

13 pts

Deportivo La Coruna · 18 pts

Murcia · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

Sabadell

6.52 points above expected

30 points · 23.48 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Castellon

11.10 points below expected

13 points · 24.10 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Atletico Bilbao	26	15	4	7	34	72	38	+34	29.6	+4.38
2	Valencia	26	16	2	8	34	54	34	+20	27.6	+6.38
3	Atletico Madrid	26	13	6	7	32	58	44	+14	27.6	+4.37
4	Barcelona	26	14	3	9	31	59	42	+17	27.7	+3.28
5	Sabadell	26	11	8	7	30	42	36	+6	23.5	+6.52
6	Sevilla	26	12	5	9	29	54	48	+6	27.8	+1.23
7	Real Oviedo	26	10	7	9	27	52	42	+10	27.7	-0.68
8	Real Madrid	26	11	5	10	27	62	56	+6	28.7	-1.71
9	Celta Vigo	26	11	4	11	26	53	48	+5	25.1	+0.87
10	Real Gijon	26	10	5	11	25	51	59	-8	24.5	+0.47
11	Espanol	26	9	1	16	19	46	59	-13	25.3	-6.28
12	Real Murcia	26	6	7	13	19	30	58	-28	23.4	-4.39
13	Deportivo La Coruna	26	5	8	13	18	32	60	-28	21.3	-3.34
14	Castellon	26	4	5	17	13	39	80	-41	24.1	-11.10

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Atletico Bilbao	1518	34	29.62	+4.38	86.0%	19	23	27	30	32	37	39
Valencia	1500	34	27.62	+6.38	97.0%	21	22	25	27	30	33	36
Atletico Madrid	1493	32	27.63	+4.37	91.0%	20	22	25	27	30	34	38
Barcelona	1488	31	27.72	+3.28	84.0%	17	21	25	28	30	35	37
Real Madrid	1474	27	28.71	-1.71	35.0%	18	22	27	28	31	36	38
Real Oviedo	1469	27	27.68	-0.68	48.0%	18	20	25	28	31	34	38
Sevilla	1469	29	27.77	+1.23	65.0%	19	22	25	28	30	33	36
Celta Vigo	1411	26	25.13	+0.87	67.0%	17	19	22	25	28	32	34
Espanol	1410	19	25.28	-6.28	8.0%	16	17	23	26	28	31	35
Real Gijon	1410	25	24.53	+0.47	61.0%	15	18	22	24	27	31	34
Sabadell	1395	30	23.48	+6.52	97.0%	12	17	20	24	26	30	32
Real Murcia	1354	19	23.39	-4.39	17.0%	16	17	21	23	26	29	36
Castellon	1354	13	24.10	-11.10	0.0%	15	18	21	24	26	32	33
Deportivo La Coruna	1337	18	21.34	-3.34	22.0%	11	15	19	22	23	27	29

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AB	AM	BAR	CAS	CV	DLC	ESP	RG	RM	RM	RO	SAB	SEV	VAL
Atletico Bilbao	—	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.93	1-1-0 3.26	1-0-1 3.27	1-1-0 3.72	2-0-0 3.12	1-0-1 3.30	2-0-0 2.87	2-0-0 3.47	1-0-1 3.03	1-1-0 3.55	1-1-0 3.03	0-0-2 3.00
Atletico Madrid	1-0-1 2.77	—	0-1-1 2.86	2-0-0 3.42	2-0-0 3.13	1-0-1 3.50	1-0-1 3.17	1-1-0 3.20	1-0-1 2.89	1-1-0 3.39	1-0-1 2.98	0-1-1 3.40	1-1-0 2.91	1-1-0 2.85
Barcelona	1-0-1 2.76	1-1-0 2.83	—	0-1-1 3.46	0-1-1 3.17	1-0-1 3.47	2-0-0 3.13	1-0-1 3.25	1-0-1 2.86	2-0-0 3.38	2-0-0 2.93	1-0-1 3.40	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.86
Castellon	0-1-1 2.44	0-0-2 2.27	1-1-0 2.23	—	0-1-1 2.70	0-1-1 3.09	1-0-1 2.73	0-0-2 2.78	0-0-2 2.41	1-0-1 2.98	0-1-1 2.42	1-0-1 2.91	0-0-2 2.52	0-0-2 2.40
Celta Vigo	1-0-1 2.43	0-0-2 2.57	1-1-0 2.52	1-1-0 2.98	—	2-0-0 3.15	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.84	0-1-1 2.52	2-0-0 2.98	0-1-1 2.57	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 2.57	0-0-2 2.54
Deportivo La Coruna	0-1-1 1.99	1-0-1 2.21	1-0-1 2.24	1-1-0 2.60	0-0-2 2.55	—	1-0-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.55	0-1-1 2.17	1-0-1 2.75	0-1-1 2.31	0-1-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.31	0-1-1 2.22
Espanol	0-0-2 2.57	1-0-1 2.53	0-0-2 2.57	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 3.22	—	1-1-0 2.95	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 2.61	0-0-2 3.15	1-0-1 2.64	0-0-2 2.56
Real Gijon	1-0-1 2.40	0-1-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.44	2-0-0 2.90	1-0-1 2.85	1-1-0 3.14	0-1-1 2.74	—	1-0-1 2.47	1-0-1 2.98	0-1-1 2.57	1-1-0 3.01	0-0-2 2.58	1-0-1 2.44
Real Madrid	0-0-2 2.82	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.84	2-0-0 3.28	1-1-0 3.18	1-1-0 3.53	1-0-1 3.15	1-0-1 3.23	—	1-1-0 3.42	1-1-0 2.96	0-1-1 3.48	1-0-1 2.96	0-0-2 2.85
Real Murcia	0-0-2 2.24	0-1-1 2.32	0-0-2 2.32	1-0-1 2.71	0-0-2 2.72	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.28	—	0-1-1 2.37	0-2-0 2.88	0-2-0 2.34	2-0-0 2.27
Real Oviedo	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.71	0-0-2 2.75	1-1-0 3.28	1-1-0 3.12	1-1-0 3.39	1-0-1 3.08	1-1-0 3.13	0-1-1 2.73	1-1-0 3.33	—	0-1-1 3.32	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.76
Sabadell	0-1-1 2.15	1-1-0 2.31	1-0-1 2.29	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.68	1-1-0 2.98	2-0-0 2.54	0-1-1 2.68	1-1-0 2.22	0-2-0 2.80	1-1-0 2.38	—	1-0-1 2.40	1-0-1 2.25
Sevilla	0-1-1 2.66	0-1-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.78	2-0-0 3.18	1-0-1 3.12	1-1-0 3.40	1-0-1 3.04	2-0-0 3.11	1-0-1 2.72	0-2-0 3.35	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 3.30	—	1-0-1 2.79
Valencia	2-0-0 2.69	0-1-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.83	2-0-0 3.31	2-0-0 3.15	1-1-0 3.48	2-0-0 3.13	1-0-1 3.26	2-0-0 2.83	0-0-2 3.43	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 3.45	1-0-1 2.90	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.30%	3.85%	3.85%	2.75%	3.02%	3.02%	19.78%
1	3.85%	8.24%	5.77%	3.85%	4.67%	0.55%	26.92%
2	3.85%	5.77%	4.40%	3.85%	1.92%	1.65%	21.43%
3	2.75%	3.85%	3.85%	3.30%	0.55%	0.55%	14.84%
4	3.02%	4.67%	1.92%	0.55%	—	0.55%	10.71%
5+	3.02%	0.55%	1.65%	0.55%	0.55%	—	6.32%
Total	19.78%	26.92%	21.43%	14.84%	10.71%	6.32%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.93
Mean allowed	1.93
StdDev scored	1.60
StdDev allowed	1.60
Mean total goals/game	3.87
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.054
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	11.54%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
Total	23.08%	30.77%	26.92%	15.38%	3.85%	—	100%

Atletico Bilbao — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.77
Mean allowed	1.46
StdDev scored	2.12
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	4.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.169
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
1	—	11.54%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	7.69%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	42.31%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	15.38%	34.62%	23.08%	19.23%	7.69%	—	100%

Atletico Madrid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.23
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	1.66
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.084
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
1	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	—	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	19.23%	30.77%	26.92%	15.38%	7.69%	—	100%

Barcelona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.27
Mean allowed	1.62
StdDev scored	1.71
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	3.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.278
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	30.77%
1	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%	3.85%	26.92%
2	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	19.23%
3	—	—	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	7.69%	19.23%	23.08%	23.08%	15.38%	100%

Castellon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	3.08
StdDev scored	1.42
StdDev allowed	2.00
Mean total goals/game	4.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.042
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	26.92%
1	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
2	3.85%	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	23.08%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	15.38%	19.23%	38.46%	19.23%	7.69%	—	100%

Celta Vigo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.04
Mean allowed	1.85
StdDev scored	1.75
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	3.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.175
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	38.46%
1	7.69%	11.54%	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	—	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	23.08%	15.38%	23.08%	11.54%	11.54%	100%

Deportivo La Coruna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	2.31
StdDev scored	1.70
StdDev allowed	1.69
Mean total goals/game	3.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.220
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
1	—	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	11.54%	—	11.54%	—	—	26.92%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	30.77%	15.38%	23.08%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Espanol — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	2.27
StdDev scored	1.45
StdDev allowed	1.80
Mean total goals/game	4.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.220
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%
1	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	11.54%	34.62%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	30.77%	15.38%	3.85%	11.54%	19.23%	100%

Real Gijon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.96
Mean allowed	2.27
StdDev scored	1.18
StdDev allowed	2.05
Mean total goals/game	4.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.276
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
1	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	23.08%
4	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
Total	26.92%	7.69%	23.08%	19.23%	15.38%	7.69%	100%

Real Madrid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.38
Mean allowed	2.15
StdDev scored	1.68
StdDev allowed	1.74
Mean total goals/game	4.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.076
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	30.77%
1	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	38.46%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	23.08%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	26.92%	19.23%	7.69%	11.54%	15.38%	100%

Real Murcia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	2.23
StdDev scored	1.16
StdDev allowed	1.97
Mean total goals/game	3.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.213
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
3	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
4	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.92%	23.08%	26.92%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Real Oviedo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	1.62
StdDev scored	1.44
StdDev allowed	1.42
Mean total goals/game	3.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.137
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	—	15.38%
1	7.69%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	42.31%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	7.69%	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	46.15%	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	—	100%

Sabadell — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.301
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%
1	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	19.23%	34.62%	15.38%	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Sevilla — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.08
Mean allowed	1.85
StdDev scored	1.65
StdDev allowed	1.57
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.522
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
1	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	34.62%
2	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
3	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	30.77%	30.77%	23.08%	7.69%	7.69%	—	100%

Valencia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.08
Mean allowed	1.31
StdDev scored	1.65
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	3.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.290
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sabadell	30	23.5	+6.52
2	Valencia	34	27.6	+6.38
3	Atletico Bilbao	34	29.6	+4.38
4	Atletico Madrid	32	27.6	+4.37
5	Barcelona	31	27.7	+3.28

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Castellon	13	24.1	-11.10
2	Espanol	19	25.3	-6.28
3	Real Murcia	19	23.4	-4.39
4	Deportivo La Coruna	18	21.3	-3.34
5	Real Madrid	27	28.7	-1.71

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atletico Bilbao	7	Dec 1 – Jan 19	1 in 313
2	Sabadell	3	Feb 9 – Mar 9	1 in 111
3	Sevilla	5	Nov 10 – Dec 8	1 in 74
4	Valencia	5	Mar 16 – Apr 13	1 in 71
5	Barcelona	4	Oct 27 – Nov 17	1 in 46

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Espanol	5	Dec 8 – Jan 12	1 in 139
2	Castellon	6	Jan 19 – Mar 16	1 in 110
3	Valencia	3	Oct 27 – Nov 10	1 in 100
4	Real Murcia	4	Nov 17 – Dec 8	1 in 31
5	Atletico Bilbao	3	Nov 10 – Nov 24	1 in 15

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sabadell	12	Dec 29 – Apr 13	1 in 12,693
2	Atletico Bilbao	11	Dec 1 – Mar 9	1 in 227
3	Real Gijon	6	Feb 2 – Mar 23	1 in 44
4	Barcelona	7	Oct 13 – Nov 24	1 in 43
5	Atletico Madrid	6	Sep 22 – Oct 27	1 in 39

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Deportivo La Coruna	9	Feb 2 – Apr 13	1 in 54
2	Castellon	6	Sep 22 – Oct 27	1 in 42
3	Valencia	5	Oct 13 – Nov 10	1 in 28
4	Real Murcia	7	Dec 29 – Feb 16	1 in 28
5	Real Oviedo	4	Sep 22 – Oct 13	1 in 20

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Atletico Bilbao	28.00%	15.00%	6.00%	16.00%	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—
Valencia	10.00%	6.00%	15.00%	7.00%	13.00%	8.00%	7.00%	6.00%	4.00%	15.00%	3.00%	6.00%	—	—
Atletico Madrid	14.00%	7.00%	12.00%	9.00%	7.00%	12.00%	7.00%	5.00%	7.00%	7.00%	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	—
Barcelona	10.00%	11.00%	12.00%	13.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	4.00%	3.00%	5.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Sabadell	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	9.00%	4.00%	10.00%	9.00%	3.00%	10.00%	9.00%	15.00%	14.00%
Sevilla	4.00%	10.00%	19.00%	13.00%	6.00%	11.00%	5.00%	7.00%	12.00%	4.00%	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	—
Real Oviedo	7.00%	18.00%	7.00%	9.00%	10.00%	4.00%	8.00%	11.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	1.00%	5.00%	3.00%
Real Madrid	16.00%	11.00%	7.00%	8.00%	23.00%	4.00%	13.00%	1.00%	5.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Celta Vigo	1.00%	9.00%	4.00%	5.00%	3.00%	6.00%	15.00%	7.00%	11.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	14.00%	5.00%
Real Gijon	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	7.00%	2.00%	10.00%	5.00%	7.00%	9.00%	11.00%	11.00%	13.00%	9.00%	7.00%
Espanol	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	13.00%	10.00%	9.00%	11.00%	7.00%	10.00%	11.00%	4.00%	4.00%	11.00%
Real Murcia	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	8.00%	7.00%	11.00%	15.00%	6.00%	19.00%	13.00%
Deportivo La Coruna	—	—	—	2.00%	—	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	13.00%	19.00%	12.00%	30.00%
Castellon	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%	7.00%	1.00%	10.00%	7.00%	11.00%	9.00%	17.00%	9.00%	13.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Won relegation playoff	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Valencia	94.0%	4.0%	2.0%	—
Atletico Bilbao	95.0%	2.0%	—	3.0%
Real Madrid	95.0%	2.0%	—	3.0%
Atletico Madrid	91.0%	4.0%	1.0%	4.0%
Barcelona	92.0%	3.0%	2.0%	3.0%
Sevilla	92.0%	2.0%	2.0%	4.0%
Real Oviedo	91.0%	1.0%	—	8.0%
Espanol	81.0%	4.0%	—	15.0%
Real Gijon	71.0%	9.0%	4.0%	16.0%
Celta Vigo	74.0%	5.0%	2.0%	19.0%
Castellon	61.0%	9.0%	8.0%	22.0%
Real Murcia	62.0%	5.0%	1.0%	32.0%
Sabadell	62.0%	5.0%	4.0%	29.0%
Deportivo La Coruna	39.0%	12.0%	7.0%	42.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1946-09-22	Espanol	W 4-1	1481	1437	72.2%	14.8%	13.0%	+2.5	3
1946-09-22	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-4	1437	1481	13.0%	14.8%	72.2%	-2.5	0
1946-09-22	Real Gijon	D 2-2	1462	1410	72.8%	14.7%	12.5%	-0.8	1
1946-09-22	@ Atletico Madrid	D 2-2	1410	1462	12.5%	14.7%	72.8%	+0.8	1
1946-09-22	Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1472	1406	73.9%	14.4%	11.7%	-1.1	1
1946-09-22	@ Barcelona	D 1-1	1406	1472	11.7%	14.4%	73.9%	+1.1	1
1946-09-22	Sevilla	D 0-0	1359	1457	58.6%	16.5%	24.9%	-0.6	1
1946-09-22	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 0-0	1457	1359	24.9%	16.5%	58.6%	+0.7	1
1946-09-22	Castellon	W 2-0	1386	1420	65.4%	15.9%	18.7%	+2.9	3
1946-09-22	@ Real Murcia	L 0-2	1420	1386	18.7%	15.9%	65.4%	-2.9	0
1946-09-22	Real Madrid	D 0-0	1464	1488	66.3%	15.8%	17.8%	-1.0	1
1946-09-22	@ Real Oviedo	D 0-0	1488	1464	17.8%	15.8%	66.3%	+1.0	1
1946-09-22	Sabadell	W 1-0	1478	1362	77.4%	13.4%	9.2%	+0.8	3
1946-09-22	@ Valencia	L 0-1	1362	1478	9.2%	13.4%	77.4%	-0.8	0
1946-09-29	Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1417	1484	62.0%	16.3%	21.7%	-0.5	1
1946-09-29	@ Castellon	D 2-2	1484	1417	21.7%	16.3%	62.0%	+0.5	4
1946-09-29	Valencia	L 1-2	1407	1479	61.5%	16.3%	22.2%	-4.2	1
1946-09-29	@ Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1479	1407	22.2%	16.3%	61.5%	+4.2	6
1946-09-29	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-1	1434	1358	74.6%	14.2%	11.2%	+1.5	3
1946-09-29	@ Espanol	L 1-3	1358	1434	11.2%	14.2%	74.6%	-1.5	1
1946-09-29	Real Murcia	W 5-0	1489	1389	76.3%	13.7%	10.0%	+3.6	4
1946-09-29	@ Real Madrid	L 0-5	1389	1489	10.0%	13.7%	76.3%	-3.7	3
1946-09-29	Atletico Madrid	D 1-1	1361	1461	58.4%	16.5%	25.2%	-0.6	1
1946-09-29	@ Sabadell	D 1-1	1461	1361	25.2%	16.5%	58.4%	+0.6	2
1946-09-29	Barcelona	W 3-1	1458	1470	67.4%	15.7%	17.0%	+2.3	4
1946-09-29	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1470	1458	17.0%	15.7%	67.4%	-2.3	1
1946-09-29	Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1411	1463	63.5%	16.1%	20.3%	-0.8	2
1946-09-29	@ Real Gijon	D 1-1	1463	1411	20.3%	16.1%	63.5%	+0.8	2
1946-10-06	Real Madrid	W 2-0	1484	1492	67.8%	15.6%	16.6%	+2.6	7
1946-10-06	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-2	1492	1484	16.6%	15.6%	67.8%	-2.6	4
1946-10-06	Celta Vigo	W 3-2	1462	1403	73.3%	14.5%	12.1%	+0.9	5
1946-10-06	@ Atletico Madrid	L 2-3	1403	1462	12.1%	14.5%	73.3%	-0.9	1
1946-10-06	Barcelona	W 3-2	1357	1468	57.1%	16.5%	26.4%	+1.9	4
1946-10-06	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 2-3	1468	1357	26.4%	16.5%	57.1%	-1.9	1
1946-10-06	Castellon	W 5-0	1436	1416	70.1%	15.2%	14.6%	+5.4	6
1946-10-06	@ Espanol	L 0-5	1416	1436	14.6%	15.2%	70.1%	-5.4	1
1946-10-06	Real Gijon	W 5-4	1385	1410	66.2%	15.8%	17.9%	+1.3	6
1946-10-06	@ Real Murcia	L 4-5	1410	1385	17.9%	15.8%	66.2%	-1.3	2
1946-10-06	Sabadell	L 0-1	1464	1360	76.5%	13.7%	9.8%	-5.5	2
1946-10-06	@ Real Oviedo	W 1-0	1360	1464	9.8%	13.7%	76.5%	+5.5	4
1946-10-06	Sevilla	W 4-1	1483	1460	70.5%	15.2%	14.4%	+2.8	9
1946-10-06	@ Valencia	L 1-4	1460	1483	14.4%	15.2%	70.5%	-2.8	4
1946-10-13	Valencia	W 2-1	1466	1486	66.7%	15.8%	17.5%	+1.4	4
1946-10-13	@ Barcelona	L 1-2	1486	1466	17.5%	15.8%	66.7%	-1.4	9
1946-10-13	Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1411	1359	72.8%	14.7%	12.5%	-1.1	2
1946-10-13	@ Castellon	D 1-1	1359	1411	12.5%	14.7%	72.8%	+1.1	5
1946-10-13	Real Oviedo	D 3-3	1402	1458	63.1%	16.2%	20.7%	-0.5	2
1946-10-13	@ Celta Vigo	D 3-3	1458	1402	20.7%	16.2%	63.1%	+0.5	3
1946-10-13	Espanol	W 2-0	1490	1441	72.5%	14.7%	12.7%	+2.0	7
1946-10-13	@ Real Madrid	L 0-2	1441	1490	12.7%	14.7%	72.5%	-2.0	6
1946-10-13	Real Murcia	D 1-1	1366	1386	66.6%	15.8%	17.6%	-0.9	5
1946-10-13	@ Sabadell	D 1-1	1386	1366	17.6%	15.8%	66.6%	+0.9	7
1946-10-13	Atletico Madrid	L 1-2	1458	1463	68.0%	15.6%	16.4%	-4.6	4
1946-10-13	@ Sevilla	W 2-1	1463	1458	16.4%	15.6%	68.0%	+4.7	8
1946-10-13	Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1409	1487	60.8%	16.4%	22.9%	+1.9	5
1946-10-13	@ Real Gijon	L 0-1	1487	1409	22.9%	16.4%	60.8%	-1.9	7
1946-10-20	Sabadell	W 2-1	1485	1365	77.6%	13.3%	9.1%	+0.7	10
1946-10-20	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1365	1485	9.1%	13.3%	77.6%	-0.7	5
1946-10-20	Barcelona	D 2-2	1467	1468	68.5%	15.5%	16.0%	-0.7	9
1946-10-20	@ Atletico Madrid	D 2-2	1468	1467	16.0%	15.5%	68.5%	+0.7	5
1946-10-20	Real Madrid	L 2-3	1410	1492	60.4%	16.4%	23.2%	-4.0	2
1946-10-20	@ Castellon	W 3-2	1492	1410	23.2%	16.4%	60.4%	+3.9	10
1946-10-20	Valencia	D 0-0	1360	1485	55.5%	16.6%	27.9%	-0.5	6
1946-10-20	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 0-0	1485	1360	27.9%	16.6%	55.5%	+0.5	10
1946-10-20	Real Gijon	W 2-1	1439	1410	70.9%	15.1%	14.0%	+1.1	9
1946-10-20	@ Espanol	L 1-2	1410	1439	14.0%	15.1%	70.9%	-1.1	5
1946-10-20	Celta Vigo	L 0-2	1387	1401	67.3%	15.7%	17.1%	-9.2	7
1946-10-20	@ Real Murcia	W 2-0	1401	1387	17.1%	15.7%	67.3%	+9.2	5
1946-10-20	Sevilla	W 4-2	1459	1453	69.0%	15.4%	15.6%	+1.9	6
1946-10-20	@ Real Oviedo	L 2-4	1453	1459	15.6%	15.4%	69.0%	-1.9	4
1946-10-27	Real Oviedo	W 2-0	1468	1461	69.2%	15.4%	15.4%	+2.4	8
1946-10-27	@ Barcelona	L 0-2	1461	1468	15.4%	15.4%	69.2%	-2.4	6
1946-10-27	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-2	1410	1486	61.1%	16.3%	22.5%	+1.6	8
1946-10-27	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-3	1486	1410	22.5%	16.3%	61.1%	-1.7	10
1946-10-27	Deportivo La Coruna	W 5-0	1496	1359	78.6%	13.0%	8.4%	+3.0	13
1946-10-27	@ Real Madrid	L 0-5	1359	1496	8.4%	13.0%	78.6%	-3.0	6
1946-10-27	Espanol	W 3-1	1364	1440	61.1%	16.3%	22.6%	+3.0	8
1946-10-27	@ Sabadell	L 1-3	1440	1364	22.6%	16.3%	61.1%	-3.0	9
1946-10-27	Real Murcia	D 1-1	1451	1378	74.4%	14.3%	11.4%	-1.1	5
1946-10-27	@ Sevilla	D 1-1	1378	1451	11.4%	14.3%	74.4%	+1.1	8
1946-10-27	Castellon	W 4-0	1409	1406	68.8%	15.5%	15.8%	+4.7	8
1946-10-27	@ Real Gijon	L 0-4	1406	1409	15.8%	15.5%	68.8%	-4.7	2
1946-10-27	Atletico Madrid	L 0-2	1485	1467	70.1%	15.2%	14.7%	-9.6	10
1946-10-27	@ Valencia	W 2-0	1467	1485	14.7%	15.2%	70.1%	+9.6	12
1946-11-03	Sevilla	W 5-0	1484	1450	71.4%	15.0%	13.6%	+5.0	13
1946-11-03	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-5	1450	1484	13.6%	15.0%	71.4%	-5.0	5
1946-11-03	Sabadell	W 4-0	1401	1367	71.4%	15.0%	13.6%	+4.1	5
1946-11-03	@ Castellon	L 0-4	1367	1401	13.6%	15.0%	71.4%	-4.1	8
1946-11-03	Atletico Madrid	W 1-0	1356	1476	56.1%	16.6%	27.4%	+2.2	9
1946-11-03	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1476	1356	27.4%	16.6%	56.1%	-2.2	12
1946-11-03	Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1437	1412	70.6%	15.1%	14.2%	+2.2	12
1946-11-03	@ Espanol	L 0-2	1412	1437	14.2%	15.1%	70.6%	-2.2	8
1946-11-03	Real Gijon	W 4-0	1499	1414	75.2%	14.1%	10.8%	+3.2	16
1946-11-03	@ Real Madrid	L 0-4	1414	1499	10.8%	14.1%	75.2%	-3.2	8
1946-11-03	Barcelona	L 0-1	1379	1471	59.4%	16.4%	24.2%	-4.3	8
1946-11-03	@ Real Murcia	W 1-0	1471	1379	24.2%	16.4%	59.4%	+4.3	11
1946-11-03	Valencia	W 4-1	1458	1475	67.0%	15.7%	17.3%	+3.3	9
1946-11-03	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-4	1475	1458	17.3%	15.7%	67.0%	-3.3	10
1946-11-10	Real Oviedo	W 5-2	1474	1462	69.6%	15.3%	15.1%	+2.5	15
1946-11-10	@ Atletico Madrid	L 2-5	1462	1474	15.1%	15.3%	69.6%	-2.5	9
1946-11-10	Atletico Bilbao	W 2-1	1475	1489	67.2%	15.7%	17.1%	+1.3	14
1946-11-10	@ Barcelona	L 1-2	1489	1475	17.1%	15.7%	67.2%	-1.3	13
1946-11-10	Castellon	D 0-0	1410	1405	68.9%	15.4%	15.7%	-1.1	9
1946-11-10	@ Celta Vigo	D 0-0	1405	1410	15.7%	15.4%	68.9%	+1.1	6
1946-11-10	Real Madrid	D 3-3	1363	1502	53.8%	16.6%	29.6%	-0.3	9
1946-11-10	@ Sabadell	D 3-3	1502	1363	29.6%	16.6%	53.8%	+0.2	17
1946-11-10	Espanol	W 3-1	1445	1439	69.0%	15.4%	15.6%	+2.1	8
1946-11-10	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1439	1445	15.6%	15.4%	69.0%	-2.1	12
1946-11-10	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-0	1411	1359	72.8%	14.7%	12.5%	+2.0	11
1946-11-10	@ Real Gijon	L 0-2	1359	1411	12.5%	14.7%	72.8%	-2.0	9
1946-11-10	Real Murcia	L 1-2	1472	1375	76.1%	13.8%	10.1%	-5.2	10
1946-11-10	@ Valencia	W 2-1	1375	1472	10.1%	13.8%	76.1%	+5.2	11
1946-11-17	Valencia	L 0-1	1488	1467	70.3%	15.2%	14.5%	-5.1	13
1946-11-17	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1467	1488	14.5%	15.2%	70.3%	+5.1	13
1946-11-17	Sevilla	L 1-4	1406	1447	64.7%	16.0%	19.3%	-10.9	6
1946-11-17	@ Castellon	W 4-1	1447	1406	19.3%	16.0%	64.7%	+10.9	11
1946-11-17	Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1357	1459	58.1%	16.5%	25.4%	-0.4	10
1946-11-17	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1459	1357	25.4%	16.5%	58.1%	+0.4	10
1946-11-17	Barcelona	L 0-1	1437	1476	64.8%	16.0%	19.2%	-4.7	12
1946-11-17	@ Espanol	W 1-0	1476	1437	19.2%	16.0%	64.8%	+4.7	17
1946-11-17	Celta Vigo	D 3-3	1502	1409	75.8%	13.9%	10.3%	-0.7	18
1946-11-17	@ Real Madrid	D 3-3	1409	1502	10.3%	13.9%	75.8%	+0.7	10
1946-11-17	Atletico Madrid	L 1-2	1380	1476	58.8%	16.5%	24.7%	-4.1	11
1946-11-17	@ Real Murcia	W 2-1	1476	1380	24.7%	16.5%	58.8%	+4.0	18
1946-11-17	Sabadell	W 3-1	1413	1363	72.6%	14.7%	12.7%	+1.7	14
1946-11-17	@ Real Gijon	L 1-3	1363	1413	12.7%	14.7%	72.6%	-1.7	9
1946-11-24	Atletico Bilbao	W 4-0	1481	1483	68.3%	15.5%	16.2%	+4.8	21
1946-11-24	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-4	1483	1481	16.2%	15.5%	68.3%	-4.8	13
1946-11-24	Castellon	D 3-3	1481	1396	75.3%	14.0%	10.7%	-0.7	18
1946-11-24	@ Barcelona	D 3-3	1396	1481	10.7%	14.0%	75.3%	+0.7	7
1946-11-24	Real Gijon	W 6-2	1409	1415	68.0%	15.6%	16.4%	+3.5	13
1946-11-24	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-6	1415	1409	16.4%	15.6%	68.0%	-3.5	14
1946-11-24	Real Murcia	W 3-0	1460	1376	75.1%	14.1%	10.8%	+2.5	13
1946-11-24	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-3	1376	1460	10.8%	14.1%	75.1%	-2.5	11
1946-11-24	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-0	1361	1356	68.9%	15.4%	15.6%	+3.6	12
1946-11-24	@ Sabadell	L 0-3	1356	1361	15.6%	15.4%	68.9%	-3.6	10
1946-11-24	Real Madrid	W 5-0	1458	1501	64.4%	16.0%	19.5%	+7.1	14
1946-11-24	@ Sevilla	L 0-5	1501	1458	19.5%	16.0%	64.4%	-7.1	18
1946-11-24	Espanol	W 3-2	1472	1432	71.8%	14.9%	13.3%	+1.0	16
1946-11-24	@ Valencia	L 2-3	1432	1472	13.3%	14.9%	71.8%	-1.0	12
1946-12-01	Real Oviedo	W 4-1	1478	1462	69.9%	15.3%	14.9%	+2.9	16
1946-12-01	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-4	1462	1478	14.9%	15.3%	69.9%	-2.9	13
1946-12-01	Valencia	L 2-4	1396	1473	61.0%	16.3%	22.7%	-6.5	7
1946-12-01	@ Castellon	W 4-2	1473	1396	22.7%	16.3%	61.0%	+6.5	19
1946-12-01	Real Murcia	W 3-1	1353	1374	66.6%	15.8%	17.6%	+2.4	13
1946-12-01	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-3	1374	1353	17.6%	15.8%	66.6%	-2.4	11
1946-12-01	Atletico Madrid	W 4-1	1431	1485	63.4%	16.1%	20.5%	+3.9	15
1946-12-01	@ Espanol	L 1-4	1485	1431	20.5%	16.1%	63.4%	-3.9	21
1946-12-01	Barcelona	W 2-1	1494	1480	69.7%	15.3%	15.0%	+1.2	21
1946-12-01	@ Real Madrid	L 1-2	1480	1494	15.0%	15.3%	69.7%	-1.2	18
1946-12-01	Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1365	1413	63.9%	16.1%	20.0%	+3.1	15
1946-12-01	@ Sabadell	L 0-2	1413	1365	20.0%	16.1%	63.9%	-3.1	13
1946-12-01	Sevilla	L 1-4	1411	1465	63.4%	16.1%	20.5%	-10.7	14
1946-12-01	@ Real Gijon	W 4-1	1465	1411	20.5%	16.1%	63.4%	+10.7	17
1946-12-08	Castellon	W 3-2	1481	1390	75.7%	13.9%	10.4%	+0.8	24
1946-12-08	@ Atletico Madrid	L 2-3	1390	1481	10.4%	13.9%	75.7%	-0.8	7
1946-12-08	Real Gijon	W 4-1	1479	1400	74.8%	14.2%	11.1%	+2.1	21
1946-12-08	@ Barcelona	L 1-4	1400	1479	11.1%	14.2%	74.8%	-2.1	14
1946-12-08	Celta Vigo	L 1-4	1355	1410	63.3%	16.2%	20.6%	-10.6	13
1946-12-08	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-1	1410	1355	20.6%	16.2%	63.3%	+10.7	16
1946-12-08	Atletico Bilbao	L 2-4	1371	1481	57.3%	16.5%	26.2%	-6.1	11
1946-12-08	@ Real Murcia	W 4-2	1481	1371	26.2%	16.5%	57.3%	+6.1	19
1946-12-08	Espanol	W 4-0	1459	1435	70.5%	15.1%	14.3%	+4.3	16
1946-12-08	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-4	1435	1459	14.3%	15.1%	70.5%	-4.3	15
1946-12-08	Sabadell	W 4-0	1476	1368	76.8%	13.6%	9.6%	+2.8	20
1946-12-08	@ Sevilla	L 0-4	1368	1476	9.6%	13.6%	76.8%	-2.8	15
1946-12-08	Real Madrid	W 4-1	1480	1495	67.1%	15.7%	17.2%	+3.3	22
1946-12-08	@ Valencia	L 1-4	1495	1480	17.2%	15.7%	67.1%	-3.3	21
1946-12-15	Deportivo La Coruna	W 6-0	1487	1344	79.0%	12.8%	8.2%	+3.5	22
1946-12-15	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-6	1344	1487	8.2%	12.8%	79.0%	-3.5	13
1946-12-15	Real Oviedo	D 3-3	1389	1463	61.2%	16.3%	22.4%	-0.4	8
1946-12-15	@ Castellon	D 3-3	1463	1389	22.4%	16.3%	61.2%	+0.4	17
1946-12-15	Sevilla	W 3-0	1420	1478	63.0%	16.2%	20.9%	+4.7	19
1946-12-15	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-3	1478	1420	20.9%	16.2%	63.0%	-4.7	20
1946-12-15	Real Murcia	L 2-3	1431	1365	73.9%	14.4%	11.7%	-4.8	15
1946-12-15	@ Espanol	W 3-2	1365	1431	11.7%	14.4%	73.9%	+4.8	14
1946-12-15	Atletico Madrid	L 1-2	1492	1482	69.4%	15.4%	15.3%	-4.8	21
1946-12-15	@ Real Madrid	W 2-1	1482	1492	15.3%	15.4%	69.4%	+4.8	27
1946-12-15	Barcelona	L 1-4	1365	1481	56.5%	16.6%	27.0%	-9.5	15
1946-12-15	@ Sabadell	W 4-1	1481	1365	27.0%	16.6%	56.5%	+9.5	24
1946-12-15	Valencia	W 4-1	1398	1483	60.1%	16.4%	23.5%	+4.4	17
1946-12-15	@ Real Gijon	L 1-4	1483	1398	23.5%	16.4%	60.1%	-4.4	22
1946-12-29	Real Murcia	W 1-0	1389	1370	70.1%	15.2%	14.7%	+1.2	11
1946-12-29	@ Castellon	L 0-1	1370	1389	14.7%	15.2%	70.1%	-1.2	14
1946-12-29	Barcelona	W 2-1	1425	1491	62.2%	16.2%	21.6%	+1.7	22
1946-12-29	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1491	1425	21.6%	16.2%	62.2%	-1.7	24
1946-12-29	Atletico Bilbao	L 0-3	1426	1490	62.3%	16.2%	21.4%	-12.4	15
1946-12-29	@ Espanol	W 3-0	1490	1426	21.4%	16.2%	62.3%	+12.4	25
1946-12-29	Real Oviedo	W 2-0	1487	1464	70.5%	15.2%	14.3%	+2.3	24
1946-12-29	@ Real Madrid	L 0-2	1464	1487	14.3%	15.2%	70.5%	-2.3	17
1946-12-29	Valencia	W 3-0	1355	1478	55.7%	16.6%	27.7%	+6.1	18
1946-12-29	@ Sabadell	L 0-3	1478	1355	27.7%	16.6%	55.7%	-6.1	22
1946-12-29	Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-0	1474	1341	78.4%	13.0%	8.5%	+2.5	23
1946-12-29	@ Sevilla	L 0-4	1341	1474	8.5%	13.0%	78.4%	-2.5	13
1946-12-29	Atletico Madrid	L 1-2	1403	1487	60.2%	16.4%	23.4%	-4.1	17
1946-12-29	@ Real Gijon	W 2-1	1487	1403	23.4%	16.4%	60.2%	+4.1	30
1947-01-01	Castellon	W 6-0	1503	1390	77.1%	13.5%	9.4%	+4.1	28
1947-01-01	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-6	1390	1503	9.4%	13.5%	77.1%	-4.1	11
1947-01-05	Sevilla	W 5-1	1489	1476	69.6%	15.3%	15.1%	+3.8	27
1947-01-05	@ Barcelona	L 1-5	1476	1489	15.1%	15.3%	69.6%	-3.8	23
1947-01-05	Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1472	1427	72.3%	14.8%	12.9%	+1.0	25
1947-01-05	@ Valencia	L 1-2	1427	1472	12.9%	14.8%	72.3%	-1.0	22
1947-01-07	Sabadell	L 1-3	1491	1361	78.2%	13.1%	8.7%	-9.1	30
1947-01-07	@ Atletico Madrid	W 3-1	1361	1491	8.7%	13.1%	78.2%	+9.1	21
1947-01-07	Espanol	W 1-0	1338	1414	61.1%	16.3%	22.6%	+1.9	16
1947-01-07	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1414	1338	22.6%	16.3%	61.1%	-1.8	15
1947-01-07	Real Madrid	D 1-1	1369	1490	55.9%	16.6%	27.5%	-0.5	15
1947-01-07	@ Real Murcia	D 1-1	1490	1369	27.5%	16.6%	55.9%	+0.5	25
1947-01-07	Real Gijon	W 3-2	1462	1399	73.6%	14.5%	11.9%	+0.9	20
1947-01-07	@ Real Oviedo	L 2-3	1399	1462	11.9%	14.5%	73.6%	-0.9	17
1947-01-12	Deportivo La Coruna	W 5-0	1493	1340	79.7%	12.6%	7.8%	+2.8	30
1947-01-12	@ Barcelona	L 0-5	1340	1493	7.8%	12.6%	79.7%	-2.8	16
1947-01-12	Espanol	W 4-3	1386	1412	66.1%	15.8%	18.1%	+1.3	14
1947-01-12	@ Castellon	L 3-4	1412	1386	18.1%	15.8%	66.1%	-1.3	15
1947-01-12	Atletico Madrid	L 0-4	1426	1482	63.1%	16.2%	20.7%	-16.5	22
1947-01-12	@ Celta Vigo	W 4-0	1482	1426	20.7%	16.2%	63.1%	+16.5	33
1947-01-12	Atletico Bilbao	L 3-6	1490	1507	67.0%	15.7%	17.3%	-9.0	25
1947-01-12	@ Real Madrid	W 6-3	1507	1490	17.3%	15.7%	67.0%	+9.0	31
1947-01-12	Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1371	1462	59.3%	16.4%	24.2%	-0.6	22
1947-01-12	@ Sabadell	D 1-1	1462	1371	24.2%	16.4%	59.3%	+0.6	21
1947-01-12	Valencia	W 3-1	1473	1473	68.4%	15.5%	16.1%	+2.2	26
1947-01-12	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1473	1473	16.1%	15.5%	68.4%	-2.2	25
1947-01-12	Real Murcia	W 4-1	1398	1368	71.0%	15.0%	13.9%	+2.7	20
1947-01-12	@ Real Gijon	L 1-4	1368	1398	13.9%	15.0%	71.0%	-2.7	15
1947-01-19	Real Gijon	W 6-2	1516	1400	77.3%	13.4%	9.3%	+1.9	34
1947-01-19	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 2-6	1400	1516	9.3%	13.4%	77.3%	-1.9	20
1947-01-19	Sevilla	D 1-1	1498	1475	70.5%	15.1%	14.3%	-1.0	34
1947-01-19	@ Atletico Madrid	D 1-1	1475	1498	14.3%	15.1%	70.5%	+1.0	27
1947-01-19	Castellon	W 8-1	1337	1387	63.8%	16.1%	20.1%	+8.3	19
1947-01-19	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-8	1387	1337	20.1%	16.1%	63.8%	-8.3	14
1947-01-19	Real Madrid	W 4-2	1411	1481	61.7%	16.3%	22.1%	+2.6	18
1947-01-19	@ Espanol	L 2-4	1481	1411	22.1%	16.3%	61.7%	-2.7	25
1947-01-19	Sabadell	D 0-0	1365	1370	68.1%	15.6%	16.3%	-1.0	16
1947-01-19	@ Real Murcia	D 0-0	1370	1365	16.3%	15.6%	68.1%	+1.0	23
1947-01-19	Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1463	1409	72.9%	14.6%	12.4%	+2.0	24
1947-01-19	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-2	1409	1463	12.4%	14.6%	72.9%	-2.0	22
1947-01-19	Barcelona	W 4-0	1471	1496	66.2%	15.8%	17.9%	+5.3	28
1947-01-19	@ Valencia	L 0-4	1496	1471	17.9%	15.8%	66.2%	-5.3	30
1947-02-02	Atletico Madrid	W 3-2	1490	1497	67.9%	15.6%	16.5%	+1.2	33
1947-02-02	@ Barcelona	L 2-3	1497	1490	16.5%	15.6%	67.9%	-1.2	34
1947-02-02	Real Murcia	W 6-0	1407	1364	72.1%	14.8%	13.1%	+5.7	25
1947-02-02	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-6	1364	1407	13.1%	14.8%	72.1%	-5.7	16
1947-02-02	Castellon	W 7-4	1478	1379	76.2%	13.7%	10.0%	+1.5	28
1947-02-02	@ Real Madrid	L 4-7	1379	1478	10.0%	13.7%	76.2%	-1.5	14
1947-02-02	Atletico Bilbao	D 1-1	1371	1518	52.8%	16.6%	30.6%	-0.4	24
1947-02-02	@ Sabadell	D 1-1	1518	1371	30.6%	16.6%	52.8%	+0.4	35
1947-02-02	Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1476	1465	69.4%	15.3%	15.2%	+1.2	30
1947-02-02	@ Sevilla	L 1-2	1465	1476	15.2%	15.3%	69.4%	-1.2	24
1947-02-02	Espanol	D 1-1	1398	1413	67.2%	15.7%	17.1%	-0.9	21
1947-02-02	@ Real Gijon	D 1-1	1413	1398	17.1%	15.7%	67.2%	+0.9	19
1947-02-02	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-0	1477	1346	78.3%	13.1%	8.6%	+1.9	31
1947-02-02	@ Valencia	L 0-3	1346	1477	8.6%	13.1%	78.3%	-1.9	19
1947-02-09	Celta Vigo	W 3-2	1518	1413	76.6%	13.6%	9.8%	+0.7	38
1947-02-09	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 2-3	1413	1518	9.8%	13.6%	76.6%	-0.7	25
1947-02-09	Valencia	D 1-1	1496	1478	70.0%	15.2%	14.7%	-1.0	35
1947-02-09	@ Atletico Madrid	D 1-1	1478	1496	14.7%	15.2%	70.0%	+1.0	32
1947-02-09	Real Gijon	L 0-2	1377	1398	66.7%	15.8%	17.6%	-9.1	14
1947-02-09	@ Castellon	W 2-0	1398	1377	17.6%	15.8%	66.7%	+9.1	24
1947-02-09	Real Madrid	D 2-2	1344	1480	54.1%	16.6%	29.3%	-0.3	20
1947-02-09	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1480	1344	29.3%	16.6%	54.1%	+0.3	29
1947-02-09	Sabadell	L 1-2	1414	1371	72.1%	14.8%	13.1%	-4.9	19
1947-02-09	@ Espanol	W 2-1	1371	1414	13.1%	14.8%	72.1%	+4.9	27
1947-02-09	Sevilla	D 1-1	1359	1477	56.3%	16.6%	27.2%	-0.5	17
1947-02-09	@ Real Murcia	D 1-1	1477	1359	27.2%	16.6%	56.3%	+0.5	31
1947-02-09	Barcelona	L 2-3	1464	1492	65.9%	15.9%	18.2%	-4.3	24
1947-02-09	@ Real Oviedo	W 3-2	1492	1464	18.2%	15.9%	65.9%	+4.3	36
1947-02-16	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-1	1495	1343	79.6%	12.6%	7.8%	+1.0	38
1947-02-16	@ Atletico Madrid	L 1-3	1343	1495	7.8%	12.6%	79.6%	-1.0	20
1947-02-16	Real Murcia	W 6-2	1496	1358	78.7%	12.9%	8.3%	+1.7	39
1947-02-16	@ Barcelona	L 2-6	1358	1496	8.3%	12.9%	78.7%	-1.7	17
1947-02-16	Espanol	W 3-2	1412	1409	68.8%	15.5%	15.8%	+1.2	28
1947-02-16	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-3	1409	1412	15.8%	15.5%	68.8%	-1.2	19
1947-02-16	Castellon	W 4-1	1376	1368	69.1%	15.4%	15.5%	+3.0	30
1947-02-16	@ Sabadell	L 1-4	1368	1376	15.5%	15.4%	69.1%	-3.0	14
1947-02-16	Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1477	1519	64.6%	16.0%	19.4%	-0.6	32
1947-02-16	@ Sevilla	D 2-2	1519	1477	19.4%	16.0%	64.6%	+0.6	39
1947-02-16	Real Madrid	W 2-1	1407	1480	61.3%	16.3%	22.4%	+1.7	27
1947-02-16	@ Real Gijon	L 1-2	1480	1407	22.4%	16.3%	61.3%	-1.7	29
1947-02-16	Real Oviedo	W 4-1	1479	1460	70.2%	15.2%	14.6%	+2.8	35
1947-02-16	@ Valencia	L 1-4	1460	1479	14.6%	15.2%	70.2%	-2.8	24
1947-03-09	Barcelona	W 1-0	1520	1498	70.4%	15.2%	14.5%	+1.2	42
1947-03-09	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-1	1498	1520	14.5%	15.2%	70.4%	-1.2	39
1947-03-09	Real Gijon	D 1-1	1342	1408	62.1%	16.2%	21.6%	-0.7	21
1947-03-09	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1408	1342	21.6%	16.2%	62.1%	+0.7	28
1947-03-09	Sevilla	W 4-0	1408	1477	61.8%	16.3%	21.9%	+6.4	22
1947-03-09	@ Espanol	L 0-4	1477	1408	21.9%	16.3%	61.8%	-6.4	32
1947-03-09	Sabadell	L 1-3	1479	1379	76.3%	13.7%	10.0%	-9.0	29
1947-03-09	@ Real Madrid	W 3-1	1379	1479	10.0%	13.7%	76.3%	+9.0	33
1947-03-09	Valencia	W 1-0	1356	1482	55.4%	16.6%	28.1%	+2.2	20
1947-03-09	@ Real Murcia	L 0-1	1482	1356	28.1%	16.6%	55.4%	-2.2	35
1947-03-09	Atletico Madrid	W 4-0	1457	1496	64.8%	16.0%	19.2%	+5.7	27
1947-03-09	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-4	1496	1457	19.2%	16.0%	64.8%	-5.7	38
1947-03-11	Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1365	1414	63.9%	16.1%	20.0%	-4.4	14
1947-03-11	@ Castellon	W 2-1	1414	1365	20.0%	16.1%	63.9%	+4.4	31
1947-03-16	Real Murcia	D 2-2	1491	1359	78.4%	13.1%	8.6%	-0.9	39
1947-03-16	@ Atletico Madrid	D 2-2	1359	1491	8.6%	13.1%	78.4%	+0.9	21
1947-03-16	Espanol	W 5-0	1497	1415	75.0%	14.1%	10.9%	+4.0	42
1947-03-16	@ Barcelona	L 0-5	1415	1497	10.9%	14.1%	75.0%	-4.0	22
1947-03-16	Real Madrid	L 3-4	1418	1470	63.6%	16.1%	20.3%	-4.0	31
1947-03-16	@ Celta Vigo	W 4-3	1470	1418	20.3%	16.1%	63.6%	+4.0	32
1947-03-16	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-1	1462	1342	77.7%	13.3%	9.0%	+1.2	30
1947-03-16	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-3	1342	1462	9.0%	13.3%	77.7%	-1.2	21
1947-03-16	Real Gijon	D 2-2	1388	1409	66.5%	15.8%	17.7%	-0.7	34
1947-03-16	@ Sabadell	D 2-2	1409	1388	17.7%	15.8%	66.5%	+0.7	29
1947-03-16	Castellon	W 4-2	1470	1361	76.9%	13.5%	9.6%	+1.1	35
1947-03-16	@ Sevilla	L 2-4	1361	1470	9.6%	13.5%	76.9%	-1.1	14
1947-03-16	Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1480	1521	64.7%	16.0%	19.3%	+1.6	38
1947-03-16	@ Valencia	L 0-1	1521	1480	19.3%	16.0%	64.7%	-1.6	42
1947-03-23	Atletico Madrid	W 3-1	1519	1490	71.0%	15.0%	13.9%	+1.9	45
1947-03-23	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-3	1490	1519	13.9%	15.0%	71.0%	-1.9	39
1947-03-23	Barcelona	W 4-1	1360	1501	53.5%	16.6%	29.9%	+5.5	17
1947-03-23	@ Castellon	L 1-4	1501	1360	29.9%	16.6%	53.5%	-5.5	42
1947-03-23	Sabadell	D 1-1	1340	1387	64.1%	16.1%	19.8%	-0.8	22
1947-03-23	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1387	1340	19.8%	16.1%	64.1%	+0.8	35
1947-03-23	Valencia	L 1-2	1411	1482	61.6%	16.3%	22.1%	-4.2	22
1947-03-23	@ Espanol	W 2-1	1482	1411	22.1%	16.3%	61.6%	+4.2	41
1947-03-23	Sevilla	W 3-0	1474	1472	68.7%	15.5%	15.8%	+3.6	35
1947-03-23	@ Real Madrid	L 0-3	1472	1474	15.8%	15.5%	68.7%	-3.6	35
1947-03-23	Real Oviedo	D 0-0	1360	1464	57.9%	16.5%	25.6%	-0.6	22
1947-03-23	@ Real Murcia	D 0-0	1464	1360	25.6%	16.5%	57.9%	+0.6	31
1947-03-23	Celta Vigo	W 3-0	1410	1414	68.1%	15.6%	16.3%	+3.7	32
1947-03-23	@ Real Gijon	L 0-3	1414	1410	16.3%	15.6%	68.1%	-3.7	31
1947-03-30	Espanol	W 8-3	1488	1406	75.0%	14.1%	10.9%	+2.5	42
1947-03-30	@ Atletico Madrid	L 3-8	1406	1488	10.9%	14.1%	75.0%	-2.5	22
1947-03-30	Real Madrid	W 3-2	1495	1477	70.0%	15.2%	14.7%	+1.1	45
1947-03-30	@ Barcelona	L 2-3	1477	1495	14.7%	15.2%	70.0%	-1.1	35
1947-03-30	Deportivo La Coruna	W 1-0	1359	1340	70.2%	15.2%	14.6%	+1.2	25
1947-03-30	@ Real Murcia	L 0-1	1340	1359	14.6%	15.2%	70.2%	-1.2	22
1947-03-30	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-0	1464	1521	63.1%	16.2%	20.7%	+4.7	34
1947-03-30	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-3	1521	1464	20.7%	16.2%	63.1%	-4.7	45
1947-03-30	Real Gijon	W 5-2	1468	1414	73.0%	14.6%	12.4%	+2.1	38
1947-03-30	@ Sevilla	L 2-5	1414	1468	12.4%	14.6%	73.0%	-2.1	32
1947-03-30	Castellon	W 3-0	1486	1365	77.6%	13.3%	9.0%	+2.0	44
1947-03-30	@ Valencia	L 0-3	1365	1486	9.0%	13.3%	77.6%	-2.1	17
1947-04-06	Real Murcia	W 6-2	1516	1360	79.9%	12.5%	7.6%	+1.6	48
1947-04-06	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 2-6	1360	1516	7.6%	12.5%	79.9%	-1.6	25
1947-04-06	Atletico Madrid	L 0-2	1363	1490	55.2%	16.6%	28.2%	-7.6	17
1947-04-06	@ Castellon	W 2-0	1490	1363	28.2%	16.6%	55.2%	+7.6	45
1947-04-06	Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-2	1410	1338	74.3%	14.3%	11.4%	+1.4	34
1947-04-06	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-4	1338	1410	11.4%	14.3%	74.3%	-1.4	22
1947-04-06	Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1404	1469	62.2%	16.2%	21.5%	+1.7	25
1947-04-06	@ Espanol	L 1-2	1469	1404	21.5%	16.2%	62.2%	-1.7	34
1947-04-06	Valencia	L 2-4	1476	1488	67.5%	15.7%	16.9%	-7.2	35
1947-04-06	@ Real Madrid	W 4-2	1488	1476	16.9%	15.7%	67.5%	+7.2	47
1947-04-06	Sevilla	W 3-1	1388	1470	60.4%	16.4%	23.2%	+3.1	38
1947-04-06	@ Sabadell	L 1-3	1470	1388	23.2%	16.4%	60.4%	-3.1	38
1947-04-06	Barcelona	W 3-1	1411	1496	60.1%	16.4%	23.5%	+3.1	35
1947-04-06	@ Real Gijon	L 1-3	1496	1411	23.5%	16.4%	60.1%	-3.1	45
1947-04-13	Real Madrid	L 2-3	1498	1469	71.0%	15.1%	14.0%	-4.6	45
1947-04-13	@ Atletico Madrid	W 3-2	1469	1498	14.0%	15.1%	71.0%	+4.6	38
1947-04-13	Sabadell	L 0-1	1493	1391	76.4%	13.7%	9.9%	-5.5	45
1947-04-13	@ Barcelona	W 1-0	1391	1493	9.9%	13.7%	76.4%	+5.5	41
1947-04-13	Atletico Bilbao	D 3-3	1337	1518	48.4%	16.6%	35.1%	-0.1	23
1947-04-13	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 3-3	1518	1337	35.1%	16.6%	48.4%	+0.1	49
1947-04-13	Espanol	L 1-2	1359	1406	64.1%	16.1%	19.8%	-4.4	25
1947-04-13	@ Real Murcia	W 2-1	1406	1359	19.8%	16.1%	64.1%	+4.4	28
1947-04-13	Castellon	W 4-1	1467	1355	77.1%	13.5%	9.4%	+1.8	37
1947-04-13	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-4	1355	1467	9.4%	13.5%	77.1%	-1.8	17
1947-04-13	Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1467	1412	73.0%	14.6%	12.3%	+1.9	41
1947-04-13	@ Sevilla	L 0-2	1412	1467	12.3%	14.6%	73.0%	-1.9	34
1947-04-13	Real Gijon	W 6-0	1495	1415	74.9%	14.1%	11.0%	+4.8	50
1947-04-13	@ Valencia	L 0-6	1415	1495	11.0%	14.1%	74.9%	-4.8	35
1947-04-23	Sabadell	W 2-1	1410	1396	69.7%	15.3%	15.0%	+1.2	37
1947-04-23	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1396	1410	15.0%	15.3%	69.7%	-1.2	41

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1947-01-07	8.67%	Sabadell	1361	3	@ Atletico Madrid	1491	1
2	1946-10-06	9.82%	Sabadell	1360	1	@ Real Oviedo	1464	0
3	1947-04-13	9.89%	Sabadell	1391	1	@ Barcelona	1493	0
4	1947-03-09	9.99%	Sabadell	1379	3	@ Real Madrid	1479	1
5	1946-11-10	10.13%	Real Murcia	1375	2	@ Valencia	1472	1
6	1946-12-15	11.74%	Real Murcia	1365	3	@ Espanol	1431	2
7	1947-02-09	13.05%	Sabadell	1371	2	@ Espanol	1414	1
8	1947-04-13	13.99%	Real Madrid	1469	3	@ Atletico Madrid	1498	2
9	1946-11-17	14.52%	Valencia	1467	1	@ Atletico Bilbao	1488	0
10	1946-10-27	14.68%	Atletico Madrid	1467	2	@ Valencia	1485	0
11	1946-12-15	15.28%	Atletico Madrid	1482	2	@ Real Madrid	1492	1
12	1946-10-13	16.38%	Atletico Madrid	1463	2	@ Sevilla	1458	1
13	1947-04-06	16.89%	Valencia	1488	4	@ Real Madrid	1476	2
14	1946-10-20	17.06%	Celta Vigo	1401	2	@ Real Murcia	1387	0
15	1947-01-12	17.28%	Atletico Bilbao	1507	6	@ Real Madrid	1490	3
16	1947-02-09	17.57%	Real Gijon	1398	2	@ Castellon	1377	0
17	1947-02-09	18.19%	Barcelona	1492	3	@ Real Oviedo	1464	2
18	1946-11-17	19.17%	Barcelona	1476	1	@ Espanol	1437	0
19	1946-11-17	19.27%	Sevilla	1447	4	@ Castellon	1406	1
20	1947-04-13	19.84%	Espanol	1406	2	@ Real Murcia	1359	1
21	1947-03-11	19.97%	Celta Vigo	1414	2	@ Castellon	1365	1
22	1947-03-16	20.27%	Real Madrid	1470	4	@ Celta Vigo	1418	3
23	1946-12-01	20.48%	Sevilla	1465	4	@ Real Gijon	1411	1
24	1946-12-08	20.56%	Celta Vigo	1410	4	@ Deportivo La Coruna	1355	1
25	1947-01-12	20.69%	Atletico Madrid	1482	4	@ Celta Vigo	1426	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1947-01-12	16.46	Atletico Madrid	4	1482	20.69%	@ Celta Vigo	0	1426	63.15%
2	1946-12-29	12.44	Atletico Bilbao	3	1490	21.44%	@ Espanol	0	1426	62.33%
3	1946-11-17	10.88	Sevilla	4	1447	19.27%	@ Castellon	1	1406	64.72%
4	1946-12-01	10.66	Sevilla	4	1465	20.48%	@ Real Gijon	1	1411	63.38%
5	1946-12-08	10.65	Celta Vigo	4	1410	20.56%	@ Deportivo La Coruna	1	1355	63.28%
6	1946-10-27	9.58	Atletico Madrid	2	1467	14.68%	@ Valencia	0	1485	70.09%
7	1946-12-15	9.55	Barcelona	4	1481	26.96%	@ Sabadell	1	1365	56.49%
8	1946-10-20	9.22	Celta Vigo	2	1401	17.06%	@ Real Murcia	0	1387	67.26%
9	1947-01-07	9.14	Sabadell	3	1361	8.67%	@ Atletico Madrid	1	1491	78.23%
10	1947-02-09	9.14	Real Gijon	2	1398	17.57%	@ Castellon	0	1377	66.66%
11	1947-01-12	9.01	Atletico Bilbao	6	1507	17.28%	@ Real Madrid	3	1490	66.99%
12	1947-03-09	8.95	Sabadell	3	1379	9.99%	@ Real Madrid	1	1479	76.27%
13	1947-01-19	8.29	@ Deportivo La Coruna	8	1337	63.81%	Castellon	1	1387	20.09%
14	1947-04-06	7.63	Atletico Madrid	2	1490	28.20%	@ Castellon	0	1363	55.21%
15	1947-04-06	7.16	Valencia	4	1488	16.89%	@ Real Madrid	2	1476	67.45%
16	1946-11-24	7.14	@ Sevilla	5	1458	64.42%	Real Madrid	0	1501	19.54%
17	1946-12-01	6.50	Valencia	4	1473	22.68%	@ Castellon	2	1396	60.98%
18	1947-03-09	6.43	@ Espanol	4	1408	61.84%	Sevilla	0	1477	21.88%
19	1946-12-08	6.13	Atletico Bilbao	4	1481	26.17%	@ Real Murcia	2	1371	57.30%
20	1946-12-29	6.10	@ Sabadell	3	1355	55.70%	Valencia	0	1478	27.73%
21	1947-02-02	5.73	@ Celta Vigo	6	1407	72.09%	Real Murcia	0	1364	13.09%
22	1947-03-09	5.69	@ Real Oviedo	4	1457	64.82%	Atletico Madrid	0	1496	19.19%
23	1946-10-06	5.50	Sabadell	1	1360	9.82%	@ Real Oviedo	0	1464	76.52%
24	1947-03-23	5.49	@ Castellon	4	1360	53.52%	Barcelona	1	1501	29.87%
25	1947-04-13	5.49	Sabadell	1	1391	9.89%	@ Barcelona	0	1493	76.43%