1947-48 La Liga Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Barcelona

37 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1944-45

Relegated

Real Gijon

18 pts

Real Sociedad · 19 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Barcelona

9.17 points above expected

37 points · 27.83 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Real Gijon

7.00 points below expected

18 points · 25.00 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Barcelona	26	15	7	4	37	65	31	+34	27.8	+9.17
2	Valencia	26	15	4	7	34	59	34	+25	28.3	+5.67
3	Atletico Madrid	26	13	7	6	33	73	45	+28	28.0	+5.04
4	Celta Vigo	26	14	3	9	31	59	48	+11	26.5	+4.54
5	Sevilla	26	12	5	9	29	50	40	+10	27.8	+1.18
6	Atletico Bilbao	26	12	4	10	28	56	44	+12	27.9	+0.08
7	Gimnastic	26	10	4	12	24	49	55	-6	22.5	+1.54
8	Espanol	26	9	6	11	24	39	47	-8	25.0	-0.99
9	Real Oviedo	26	9	5	12	23	49	57	-8	26.6	-3.58
10	Alcoyano	26	9	4	13	22	40	52	-12	23.8	-1.82
11	Real Madrid	26	7	7	12	21	41	56	-15	26.1	-5.14
12	Sabadell	26	9	3	14	21	41	62	-21	25.2	-4.18
13	Real Sociedad	26	8	3	15	19	38	56	-18	23.5	-4.51
14	Real Gijon	26	7	4	15	18	37	69	-32	25.0	-7.00

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Barcelona	1553	37	27.83	+9.17	99.0%	20	22	25	28	30	34	39
Valencia	1539	34	28.33	+5.67	96.0%	20	23	26	28	31	33	37
Atletico Madrid	1534	33	27.96	+5.04	91.0%	19	21	25	28	30	34	36
Atletico Bilbao	1529	28	27.92	+0.08	58.0%	21	22	25	28	30	35	40
Sevilla	1490	29	27.82	+1.18	64.0%	17	20	25	28	30	33	37
Celta Vigo	1479	31	26.46	+4.54	92.0%	17	20	24	27	29	33	36
Real Oviedo	1473	23	26.58	-3.58	20.0%	16	20	24	27	29	33	36
Real Madrid	1453	21	26.14	-5.14	9.0%	18	21	24	26	28	32	35
Espanol	1442	24	24.99	-0.99	42.0%	15	19	23	25	27	30	34
Sabadell	1417	21	25.18	-4.18	12.0%	17	20	22	25	27	31	34
Real Gijon	1391	18	25.00	-7.00	1.0%	17	19	23	25	28	30	33
Gimnastic	1388	24	22.46	+1.54	71.0%	15	16	20	22	25	27	30
Alcoyano	1385	22	23.82	-1.82	35.0%	15	17	21	24	26	29	35
Real Sociedad	1376	19	23.51	-4.51	14.0%	16	17	21	23	26	29	32

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ALC	AB	AM	BAR	CV	ESP	GIM	RG	RM	RO	RS	SAB	SEV	VAL
Alcoyano	—	0-0-2 2.41	1-0-1 2.35	0-0-2 2.48	1-0-1 2.58	1-1-0 2.69	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.71	1-1-0 2.51	1-0-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.47	0-0-2 2.28
Atletico Bilbao	2-0-0 3.34	—	0-1-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 3.10	0-0-2 3.19	1-0-1 3.52	1-1-0 3.17	1-0-1 3.11	1-1-0 3.05	1-0-1 3.42	2-0-0 3.20	0-1-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.79
Atletico Madrid	1-0-1 3.38	1-1-0 2.84	—	0-1-1 2.83	1-0-1 3.05	1-1-0 3.13	1-0-1 3.43	2-0-0 3.26	1-1-0 3.05	1-1-0 2.99	1-0-1 3.41	2-0-0 3.12	1-1-0 2.89	0-1-1 2.80
Barcelona	2-0-0 3.26	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.91	—	0-1-1 3.04	1-0-1 3.19	1-1-0 3.42	2-0-0 3.23	1-1-0 2.99	1-1-0 2.96	1-1-0 3.41	2-0-0 3.16	1-0-1 2.98	1-1-0 2.82
Celta Vigo	1-0-1 3.15	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.69	1-1-0 2.69	—	1-0-1 2.98	1-1-0 3.24	1-0-1 3.05	2-0-0 2.81	2-0-0 2.79	1-0-1 3.28	1-0-1 3.03	0-1-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.62
Espanol	0-1-1 3.05	2-0-0 2.55	0-1-1 2.60	1-0-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.75	—	1-0-1 3.13	1-1-0 2.88	1-0-1 2.77	1-1-0 2.73	1-0-1 3.12	0-1-1 2.91	0-0-2 2.70	0-1-1 2.55
Gimnastic	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.22	1-0-1 2.32	0-1-1 2.33	0-1-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.60	—	1-0-1 2.61	1-1-0 2.40	1-0-1 2.47	1-0-1 2.83	0-1-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.35	1-0-1 2.23
Real Gijon	0-1-1 3.03	0-1-1 2.58	0-0-2 2.47	0-0-2 2.51	1-0-1 2.69	0-1-1 2.85	1-0-1 3.12	—	2-0-0 2.69	1-1-0 2.67	1-0-1 3.05	0-0-2 2.88	1-0-1 2.56	0-0-2 2.53
Real Madrid	0-1-1 3.22	1-0-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.68	0-1-1 2.75	0-0-2 2.93	1-0-1 2.97	0-1-1 3.34	0-0-2 3.05	—	1-0-1 2.83	1-1-0 3.22	1-1-0 3.04	2-0-0 2.75	0-1-1 2.56
Real Oviedo	1-0-1 3.25	0-1-1 2.68	0-1-1 2.74	0-1-1 2.78	0-0-2 2.95	0-1-1 3.01	1-0-1 3.26	0-1-1 3.06	1-0-1 2.90	—	2-0-0 3.23	2-0-0 3.06	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.65
Real Sociedad	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.32	1-0-1 2.34	0-1-1 2.34	1-0-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.68	0-1-1 2.52	0-0-2 2.51	—	1-0-1 2.68	0-1-1 2.40	0-0-2 2.39
Sabadell	1-0-1 3.04	0-0-2 2.53	0-0-2 2.62	0-0-2 2.58	1-0-1 2.70	1-1-0 2.83	1-1-0 3.13	2-0-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.70	0-0-2 2.67	1-0-1 3.06	—	1-0-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.45
Sevilla	1-1-0 3.27	1-1-0 2.78	0-1-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.76	1-1-0 2.97	2-0-0 3.04	1-0-1 3.39	1-0-1 3.18	0-0-2 2.99	1-0-1 2.96	1-1-0 3.34	1-0-1 3.16	—	1-0-1 2.75
Valencia	2-0-0 3.46	1-0-1 2.94	1-1-0 2.93	0-1-1 2.91	1-0-1 3.12	1-1-0 3.19	1-0-1 3.52	2-0-0 3.21	1-1-0 3.18	1-0-1 3.09	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 3.29	1-0-1 2.98	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.75%	3.57%	4.40%	3.30%	1.92%	3.02%	18.96%
1	3.57%	8.24%	5.77%	6.04%	2.20%	3.30%	29.12%
2	4.40%	5.77%	6.04%	2.75%	1.92%	1.37%	22.25%
3	3.30%	6.04%	2.75%	1.10%	0.82%	0.55%	14.56%
4	1.92%	2.20%	1.92%	0.82%	—	—	6.87%
5+	3.02%	3.30%	1.37%	0.55%	—	—	8.24%
Total	18.96%	29.12%	22.25%	14.56%	6.87%	8.24%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.91
Mean allowed	1.91
StdDev scored	1.62
StdDev allowed	1.62
Mean total goals/game	3.82
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.139
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
1	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
2	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	30.77%	23.08%	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Alcoyano — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.45
StdDev allowed	1.60
Mean total goals/game	3.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.207
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
1	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	11.54%	26.92%
2	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	26.92%	30.77%	19.23%	11.54%	—	11.54%	100%

Atletico Bilbao — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.15
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	1.93
StdDev allowed	1.78
Mean total goals/game	3.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.438
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
1	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	—	3.85%	15.38%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	7.69%	—	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
Total	15.38%	23.08%	38.46%	19.23%	3.85%	—	100%

Atletico Madrid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.81
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	2.12
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	4.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.111
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
1	—	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
2	3.85%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	34.62%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	26.92%	42.31%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	—	100%

Barcelona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.50
Mean allowed	1.19
StdDev scored	1.63
StdDev allowed	1.06
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.359
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
2	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	19.23%	26.92%	30.77%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Celta Vigo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.27
Mean allowed	1.85
StdDev scored	1.64
StdDev allowed	1.64
Mean total goals/game	4.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.475
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
1	7.69%	7.69%	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	30.77%
2	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	38.46%
3	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	38.46%	7.69%	19.23%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Espanol — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.55
Mean total goals/game	3.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.011
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%	15.38%
1	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	7.69%	30.77%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	23.08%	23.08%	15.38%	23.08%	—	15.38%	100%

Gimnastic — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	2.12
StdDev scored	1.61
StdDev allowed	1.95
Mean total goals/game	4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.264
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	19.23%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	42.31%
2	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	23.08%	11.54%	15.38%	11.54%	23.08%	100%

Real Gijon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.42
Mean allowed	2.65
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	2.04
Mean total goals/game	4.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.146
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
1	—	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	38.46%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	34.62%	19.23%	11.54%	15.38%	7.69%	100%

Real Madrid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.58
Mean allowed	2.15
StdDev scored	1.30
StdDev allowed	1.71
Mean total goals/game	3.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.328
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	—	11.54%	7.69%	—	11.54%	34.62%
2	—	7.69%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	19.23%	11.54%	34.62%	15.38%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Real Oviedo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	2.19
StdDev scored	1.82
StdDev allowed	1.65
Mean total goals/game	4.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.219
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	—	15.38%	11.54%	—	7.69%	42.31%
1	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
2	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
3	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	19.23%	30.77%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Real Sociedad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	2.15
StdDev scored	1.61
StdDev allowed	1.57
Mean total goals/game	3.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.363
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
1	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	26.92%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	11.54%	38.46%	19.23%	15.38%	3.85%	100%

Sabadell — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.58
Mean allowed	2.38
StdDev scored	1.39
StdDev allowed	1.65
Mean total goals/game	3.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.414
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%
1	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	26.92%	38.46%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Sevilla — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.49
StdDev allowed	1.61
Mean total goals/game	3.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.365
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
1	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	23.08%
3	3.85%	15.38%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	19.23%	53.85%	11.54%	11.54%	—	3.85%	100%

Valencia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.27
Mean allowed	1.31
StdDev scored	1.73
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	3.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.123
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Barcelona	37	27.8	+9.17
2	Valencia	34	28.3	+5.67
3	Atletico Madrid	33	28.0	+5.04
4	Celta Vigo	31	26.5	+4.54
5	Gimnastic	24	22.5	+1.54

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Real Gijon	18	25.0	-7.00
2	Real Madrid	21	26.1	-5.14
3	Real Sociedad	19	23.5	-4.51
4	Sabadell	21	25.2	-4.18
5	Real Oviedo	23	26.6	-3.58

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celta Vigo	4	Jan 25 – Feb 15	1 in 19
2	Espanol	2	Nov 2 – Nov 9	1 in 16
3	Atletico Bilbao	5	Nov 16 – Dec 21	1 in 14
4	Valencia	4	Oct 12 – Nov 9	1 in 13
5	Real Gijon	2	Feb 8 – Feb 15	1 in 13

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Espanol	4	Sep 28 – Oct 26	1 in 432
2	Sabadell	4	Feb 15 – Mar 7	1 in 57
3	Sevilla	3	Feb 15 – Feb 29	1 in 21
4	Atletico Bilbao	3	Jan 25 – Feb 8	1 in 18
5	Real Oviedo	2	Sep 21 – Sep 28	1 in 12

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Barcelona	8	Sep 21 – Nov 16	1 in 147
2	Espanol	6	Jan 18 – Feb 22	1 in 135
3	Celta Vigo	6	Sep 21 – Nov 2	1 in 83
4	Sevilla	7	Sep 21 – Nov 9	1 in 70
5	Atletico Madrid	7	Dec 21 – Feb 8	1 in 68

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Gijon	6	Sep 21 – Nov 2	1 in 85
2	Espanol	5	Sep 21 – Oct 26	1 in 58
3	Real Madrid	5	Sep 21 – Oct 26	1 in 31
4	Atletico Bilbao	4	Oct 12 – Nov 9	1 in 24
5	Real Oviedo	4	Oct 12 – Nov 9	1 in 21

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Barcelona	14.00%	12.00%	14.00%	10.00%	6.00%	9.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Valencia	15.00%	16.00%	10.00%	7.00%	10.00%	14.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Atletico Madrid	17.00%	15.00%	8.00%	11.00%	10.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	—	5.00%	7.00%	1.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Celta Vigo	9.00%	4.00%	11.00%	8.00%	14.00%	8.00%	4.00%	1.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	3.00%	6.00%	4.00%
Sevilla	10.00%	17.00%	16.00%	8.00%	5.00%	4.00%	12.00%	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%	6.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Atletico Bilbao	13.00%	12.00%	9.00%	12.00%	7.00%	7.00%	12.00%	10.00%	3.00%	5.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%
Gimnastic	—	—	1.00%	—	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	9.00%	10.00%	11.00%	11.00%	18.00%	19.00%
Espanol	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	7.00%	2.00%	7.00%	11.00%	10.00%	7.00%	8.00%	12.00%	7.00%	8.00%	10.00%
Real Oviedo	8.00%	9.00%	4.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	7.00%	7.00%	10.00%	2.00%	8.00%	8.00%	4.00%	5.00%
Alcoyano	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	3.00%	8.00%	12.00%	8.00%	7.00%	10.00%	14.00%	17.00%
Real Madrid	3.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	10.00%	11.00%	6.00%	11.00%	5.00%	12.00%	10.00%	6.00%	7.00%	1.00%
Sabadell	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	12.00%	9.00%	13.00%	5.00%	12.00%	10.00%	5.00%
Real Sociedad	2.00%	—	7.00%	4.00%	7.00%	1.00%	6.00%	1.00%	8.00%	6.00%	11.00%	16.00%	10.00%	21.00%
Real Gijon	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	8.00%	3.00%	7.00%	9.00%	9.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	12.00%	9.00%	10.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Valencia	98.0%	2.0%
Atletico Bilbao	97.0%	3.0%
Barcelona	97.0%	3.0%
Atletico Madrid	93.0%	7.0%
Sevilla	93.0%	7.0%
Real Madrid	92.0%	8.0%
Real Oviedo	91.0%	9.0%
Celta Vigo	90.0%	10.0%
Sabadell	85.0%	15.0%
Espanol	82.0%	18.0%
Real Gijon	81.0%	19.0%
Alcoyano	69.0%	31.0%
Real Sociedad	69.0%	31.0%
Gimnastic	63.0%	37.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1947-09-21	Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1496	1486	74.9%	13.2%	11.9%	+1.0	3
1947-09-21	@ Barcelona	L 1-2	1486	1496	11.9%	13.2%	74.9%	-1.0	0
1947-09-21	Atletico Bilbao	W 5-1	1454	1514	69.5%	13.8%	16.7%	+4.4	3
1947-09-21	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-5	1514	1454	16.7%	13.8%	69.5%	-4.4	0
1947-09-21	Alcoyano	D 2-2	1488	1413	79.0%	12.4%	8.6%	-1.0	1
1947-09-21	@ Real Madrid	D 2-2	1413	1488	8.6%	12.4%	79.0%	+1.1	1
1947-09-21	Valencia	L 0-2	1395	1502	65.1%	14.1%	20.9%	-9.7	0
1947-09-21	@ Real Sociedad	W 2-0	1502	1395	20.9%	14.1%	65.1%	+9.7	3
1947-09-21	Gimnastic	D 2-2	1443	1367	79.0%	12.4%	8.6%	-1.1	1
1947-09-21	@ Sabadell	D 2-2	1367	1443	8.6%	12.4%	79.0%	+1.0	1
1947-09-21	Atletico Madrid	D 1-1	1485	1498	73.2%	13.4%	13.4%	-1.2	1
1947-09-21	@ Sevilla	D 1-1	1498	1485	13.4%	13.4%	73.2%	+1.2	1
1947-09-21	Espanol	D 1-1	1452	1454	74.0%	13.3%	12.7%	-1.2	1
1947-09-21	@ Real Gijon	D 1-1	1454	1452	12.7%	13.3%	74.0%	+1.2	1
1947-09-28	Barcelona	L 0-2	1414	1497	67.4%	13.9%	18.6%	-10.1	1
1947-09-28	@ Alcoyano	W 2-0	1497	1414	18.6%	13.9%	67.4%	+10.1	6
1947-09-28	Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1509	1385	81.5%	11.7%	6.8%	-10.4	0
1947-09-28	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 3-1	1385	1509	6.8%	11.7%	81.5%	+10.4	3
1947-09-28	Sabadell	W 8-0	1500	1442	77.9%	12.6%	9.5%	+5.8	4
1947-09-28	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-8	1442	1500	9.5%	12.6%	77.9%	-5.8	1
1947-09-28	Sevilla	L 0-1	1455	1484	72.0%	13.5%	14.4%	-5.7	1
1947-09-28	@ Espanol	W 1-0	1484	1455	14.4%	13.5%	72.0%	+5.7	4
1947-09-28	Real Madrid	D 3-3	1368	1487	63.9%	14.1%	22.0%	-0.5	2
1947-09-28	@ Gimnastic	D 3-3	1487	1368	22.0%	14.1%	63.9%	+0.5	2
1947-09-28	Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1485	1458	76.0%	13.0%	11.0%	-5.7	0
1947-09-28	@ Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1458	1485	11.0%	13.0%	76.0%	+5.7	6
1947-09-28	Real Gijon	W 3-1	1512	1451	78.2%	12.6%	9.3%	+1.4	6
1947-09-28	@ Valencia	L 1-3	1451	1512	9.3%	12.6%	78.2%	-1.4	1
1947-10-05	Espanol	W 5-2	1505	1450	77.8%	12.6%	9.5%	+1.7	7
1947-10-05	@ Atletico Madrid	L 2-5	1450	1505	9.5%	12.6%	77.8%	-1.7	1
1947-10-05	Gimnastic	D 1-1	1507	1368	82.2%	11.5%	6.3%	-1.5	7
1947-10-05	@ Barcelona	D 1-1	1368	1507	6.3%	11.5%	82.2%	+1.5	3
1947-10-05	Alcoyano	W 2-0	1464	1404	78.1%	12.6%	9.3%	+1.6	9
1947-10-05	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-2	1404	1464	9.3%	12.6%	78.1%	-1.6	1
1947-10-05	Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1395	1479	67.4%	13.9%	18.7%	-5.0	3
1947-10-05	@ Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1479	1395	18.7%	13.9%	67.4%	+5.0	3
1947-10-05	Real Madrid	D 1-1	1436	1488	70.2%	13.7%	16.1%	-1.1	2
1947-10-05	@ Sabadell	D 1-1	1488	1436	16.1%	13.7%	70.2%	+1.1	3
1947-10-05	Valencia	W 3-0	1490	1513	72.5%	13.5%	14.1%	+3.5	7
1947-10-05	@ Sevilla	L 0-3	1513	1490	14.1%	13.5%	72.5%	-3.5	6
1947-10-05	Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1449	1499	70.4%	13.7%	15.9%	-5.2	1
1947-10-05	@ Real Gijon	W 2-1	1499	1449	15.9%	13.7%	70.4%	+5.2	3
1947-10-12	Real Sociedad	W 3-1	1402	1390	75.0%	13.1%	11.8%	+1.7	4
1947-10-12	@ Alcoyano	L 1-3	1390	1402	11.8%	13.1%	75.0%	-1.7	3
1947-10-12	Sevilla	D 2-2	1504	1493	74.9%	13.1%	11.9%	-0.9	4
1947-10-12	@ Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1493	1504	11.9%	13.1%	74.9%	+0.9	8
1947-10-12	Sabadell	L 2-3	1448	1435	75.1%	13.1%	11.8%	-5.3	1
1947-10-12	@ Espanol	W 3-2	1435	1448	11.8%	13.1%	75.1%	+5.3	5
1947-10-12	Celta Vigo	D 2-2	1369	1466	66.2%	14.0%	19.8%	-0.7	4
1947-10-12	@ Gimnastic	D 2-2	1466	1369	19.8%	14.0%	66.2%	+0.7	10
1947-10-12	Barcelona	D 1-1	1489	1505	73.0%	13.4%	13.6%	-1.2	4
1947-10-12	@ Real Madrid	D 1-1	1505	1489	13.6%	13.4%	73.0%	+1.2	8
1947-10-12	Real Gijon	D 0-0	1484	1444	76.9%	12.8%	10.3%	-1.5	4
1947-10-12	@ Real Oviedo	D 0-0	1444	1484	10.3%	12.8%	76.9%	+1.5	2
1947-10-12	Atletico Madrid	W 3-1	1510	1507	74.4%	13.2%	12.4%	+1.8	9
1947-10-12	@ Valencia	L 1-3	1507	1510	12.4%	13.2%	74.4%	-1.8	7
1947-10-26	Atletico Bilbao	D 1-1	1505	1503	74.4%	13.2%	12.4%	-1.2	8
1947-10-26	@ Atletico Madrid	D 1-1	1503	1505	12.4%	13.2%	74.4%	+1.2	5
1947-10-26	Real Madrid	W 4-1	1466	1488	72.6%	13.5%	13.9%	+2.9	13
1947-10-26	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-4	1488	1466	13.9%	13.5%	72.6%	-2.9	4
1947-10-26	Valencia	L 1-3	1443	1512	68.7%	13.8%	17.5%	-8.9	1
1947-10-26	@ Espanol	W 3-1	1512	1443	17.5%	13.8%	68.7%	+8.9	12
1947-10-26	Gimnastic	W 3-1	1389	1369	75.6%	13.0%	11.4%	+1.7	6
1947-10-26	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1369	1389	11.4%	13.0%	75.6%	-1.7	4
1947-10-26	Barcelona	L 2-4	1441	1507	69.0%	13.8%	17.2%	-8.0	5
1947-10-26	@ Sabadell	W 4-2	1507	1441	17.2%	13.8%	69.0%	+8.0	11
1947-10-26	Real Oviedo	W 5-1	1494	1483	75.0%	13.1%	11.9%	+3.2	11
1947-10-26	@ Sevilla	L 1-5	1483	1494	11.9%	13.1%	75.0%	-3.2	4
1947-10-26	Alcoyano	D 1-1	1446	1404	77.0%	12.8%	10.2%	-1.3	3
1947-10-26	@ Real Gijon	D 1-1	1404	1446	10.2%	12.8%	77.0%	+1.3	5
1947-11-02	Sevilla	D 1-1	1405	1497	66.6%	14.0%	19.4%	-0.9	6
1947-11-02	@ Alcoyano	D 1-1	1497	1405	19.4%	14.0%	66.6%	+0.9	12
1947-11-02	Espanol	L 1-2	1504	1434	78.7%	12.4%	8.9%	-5.8	5
1947-11-02	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 2-1	1434	1504	8.9%	12.4%	78.7%	+5.8	4
1947-11-02	Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1515	1469	77.2%	12.8%	10.0%	-1.3	12
1947-11-02	@ Barcelona	D 1-1	1469	1515	10.0%	12.8%	77.2%	+1.3	14
1947-11-02	Real Gijon	W 5-0	1367	1444	68.0%	13.9%	18.2%	+7.1	7
1947-11-02	@ Gimnastic	L 0-5	1444	1367	18.2%	13.9%	68.0%	-7.1	3
1947-11-02	Real Sociedad	W 3-0	1485	1390	80.0%	12.1%	7.9%	+1.9	7
1947-11-02	@ Real Madrid	L 0-3	1390	1485	7.9%	12.1%	80.0%	-1.9	6
1947-11-02	Atletico Madrid	D 2-2	1479	1504	72.4%	13.5%	14.1%	-0.9	5
1947-11-02	@ Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1504	1479	14.1%	13.5%	72.4%	+0.9	9
1947-11-02	Sabadell	W 4-1	1521	1433	79.7%	12.2%	8.1%	+1.7	15
1947-11-02	@ Valencia	L 1-4	1433	1521	8.1%	12.2%	79.7%	-1.7	5
1947-11-09	Alcoyano	W 3-2	1505	1404	80.3%	12.0%	7.6%	+0.6	12
1947-11-09	@ Atletico Madrid	L 2-3	1404	1505	7.6%	12.0%	80.3%	-0.6	6
1947-11-09	Real Oviedo	W 3-1	1440	1479	71.2%	13.6%	15.1%	+2.2	7
1947-11-09	@ Espanol	L 1-3	1479	1440	15.1%	13.6%	71.2%	-2.2	5
1947-11-09	Barcelona	D 0-0	1388	1513	63.3%	14.1%	22.6%	-0.9	7
1947-11-09	@ Real Sociedad	D 0-0	1513	1388	22.6%	14.1%	63.3%	+0.9	13
1947-11-09	Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1431	1470	71.2%	13.6%	15.2%	+2.6	8
1947-11-09	@ Sabadell	L 0-2	1470	1431	15.2%	13.6%	71.2%	-2.6	14
1947-11-09	Gimnastic	W 3-1	1498	1374	81.5%	11.7%	6.8%	+1.0	15
1947-11-09	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1374	1498	6.8%	11.7%	81.5%	-1.0	7
1947-11-09	Real Madrid	W 2-0	1437	1487	70.4%	13.7%	15.9%	+2.7	6
1947-11-09	@ Real Gijon	L 0-2	1487	1437	15.9%	13.7%	70.4%	-2.7	7
1947-11-09	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-0	1522	1498	75.8%	13.0%	11.2%	+2.8	18
1947-11-09	@ Valencia	L 0-3	1498	1522	11.2%	13.0%	75.8%	-2.8	5
1947-11-16	Espanol	W 1-0	1404	1442	71.3%	13.6%	15.1%	+1.4	9
1947-11-16	@ Alcoyano	L 0-1	1442	1404	15.1%	13.6%	71.3%	-1.4	7
1947-11-16	Sabadell	W 3-1	1496	1434	78.2%	12.6%	9.2%	+1.3	8
1947-11-16	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-3	1434	1496	9.2%	12.6%	78.2%	-1.4	8
1947-11-16	Real Gijon	W 4-0	1514	1440	78.9%	12.4%	8.7%	+2.8	16
1947-11-16	@ Barcelona	L 0-4	1440	1514	8.7%	12.4%	78.9%	-2.8	6
1947-11-16	Real Sociedad	W 2-0	1468	1388	79.3%	12.3%	8.4%	+1.4	17
1947-11-16	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-2	1388	1468	8.4%	12.3%	79.3%	-1.4	7
1947-11-16	Atletico Madrid	W 2-1	1373	1506	62.5%	14.1%	23.3%	+1.9	10
1947-11-16	@ Gimnastic	L 1-2	1506	1373	23.3%	14.1%	62.5%	-1.9	12
1947-11-16	Sevilla	W 2-1	1484	1499	73.1%	13.4%	13.5%	+1.2	10
1947-11-16	@ Real Madrid	L 1-2	1499	1484	13.5%	13.4%	73.1%	-1.1	15
1947-11-16	Valencia	W 1-0	1476	1525	70.5%	13.7%	15.9%	+1.4	8
1947-11-16	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-1	1525	1476	15.9%	13.7%	70.5%	-1.4	18
1947-11-23	Real Oviedo	W 5-1	1497	1478	75.5%	13.1%	11.4%	+3.1	11
1947-11-23	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-5	1478	1497	11.4%	13.1%	75.5%	-3.1	8
1947-11-23	Real Madrid	W 5-0	1504	1485	75.5%	13.1%	11.5%	+4.5	15
1947-11-23	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-5	1485	1504	11.5%	13.1%	75.5%	-4.5	10
1947-11-23	Gimnastic	W 1-0	1441	1375	78.4%	12.5%	9.1%	+0.8	10
1947-11-23	@ Espanol	L 0-1	1375	1441	9.1%	12.5%	78.4%	-0.8	10
1947-11-23	Real Sociedad	W 4-2	1432	1386	77.3%	12.7%	10.0%	+1.3	11
1947-11-23	@ Sabadell	L 2-4	1386	1432	10.0%	12.7%	77.3%	-1.3	7
1947-11-23	Barcelona	W 4-0	1498	1517	72.8%	13.4%	13.7%	+4.4	18
1947-11-23	@ Sevilla	L 0-4	1517	1498	13.7%	13.4%	72.8%	-4.4	16
1947-11-23	Celta Vigo	W 3-1	1437	1469	71.8%	13.6%	14.7%	+2.1	9
1947-11-23	@ Real Gijon	L 1-3	1469	1437	14.7%	13.6%	71.8%	-2.1	17
1947-11-23	Alcoyano	W 1-0	1524	1405	81.2%	11.8%	7.0%	+0.6	21
1947-11-23	@ Valencia	L 0-1	1405	1524	7.0%	11.8%	81.2%	-0.6	9
1947-11-30	Atletico Bilbao	L 0-4	1405	1500	66.2%	14.0%	19.8%	-18.7	9
1947-11-30	@ Alcoyano	W 4-0	1500	1405	19.8%	14.0%	66.2%	+18.7	14
1947-11-30	Atletico Madrid	W 2-1	1512	1508	74.5%	13.2%	12.3%	+1.0	19
1947-11-30	@ Barcelona	L 1-2	1508	1512	12.3%	13.2%	74.5%	-1.0	15
1947-11-30	Sevilla	D 1-1	1467	1503	71.5%	13.6%	14.9%	-1.1	18
1947-11-30	@ Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1503	1467	14.9%	13.6%	71.5%	+1.1	19
1947-11-30	Valencia	W 1-0	1374	1524	60.6%	14.2%	25.2%	+2.2	13
1947-11-30	@ Gimnastic	L 0-1	1524	1374	25.2%	14.2%	60.6%	-2.2	21
1947-11-30	Sabadell	W 4-2	1475	1434	77.0%	12.8%	10.2%	+1.3	11
1947-11-30	@ Real Oviedo	L 2-4	1434	1475	10.2%	12.8%	77.0%	-1.3	11
1947-11-30	Real Gijon	W 3-2	1385	1439	70.0%	13.7%	16.3%	+1.3	10
1947-11-30	@ Real Sociedad	L 2-3	1439	1385	16.3%	13.7%	70.0%	-1.3	9
1947-12-07	Gimnastic	W 7-0	1519	1377	82.4%	11.4%	6.2%	+3.3	17
1947-12-07	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-7	1377	1519	6.2%	11.4%	82.4%	-3.3	13
1947-12-07	Celta Vigo	W 3-1	1507	1466	76.9%	12.8%	10.3%	+1.5	18
1947-12-07	@ Atletico Madrid	L 1-3	1466	1507	10.3%	12.8%	76.9%	-1.5	18
1947-12-07	Barcelona	W 2-1	1441	1513	68.4%	13.9%	17.7%	+1.5	13
1947-12-07	@ Espanol	L 1-2	1513	1441	17.7%	13.9%	68.4%	-1.5	19
1947-12-07	Alcoyano	W 4-3	1476	1386	79.8%	12.2%	8.0%	+0.6	14
1947-12-07	@ Real Oviedo	L 3-4	1386	1476	8.0%	12.2%	79.8%	-0.6	9
1947-12-07	Real Gijon	W 5-0	1432	1438	73.8%	13.3%	12.9%	+5.1	14
1947-12-07	@ Sabadell	L 0-5	1438	1432	12.9%	13.3%	73.8%	-5.1	9
1947-12-07	Real Sociedad	W 5-0	1504	1386	81.2%	11.8%	7.0%	+2.8	22
1947-12-07	@ Sevilla	L 0-5	1386	1504	7.0%	11.8%	81.2%	-2.7	10
1947-12-07	Real Madrid	W 4-2	1522	1480	77.0%	12.8%	10.2%	+1.3	24
1947-12-07	@ Valencia	L 2-4	1480	1522	10.2%	12.8%	77.0%	-1.3	10
1947-12-14	Valencia	D 1-1	1512	1523	73.4%	13.4%	13.3%	-1.2	20
1947-12-14	@ Barcelona	D 1-1	1523	1512	13.3%	13.4%	73.4%	+1.2	25
1947-12-14	Espanol	W 4-0	1465	1443	75.7%	13.0%	11.3%	+3.6	21
1947-12-14	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-4	1443	1465	11.3%	13.0%	75.7%	-3.6	13
1947-12-14	Real Oviedo	W 3-0	1373	1477	65.5%	14.0%	20.5%	+5.0	16
1947-12-14	@ Gimnastic	L 0-3	1477	1373	20.5%	14.0%	65.5%	-5.0	14
1947-12-14	Atletico Madrid	W 3-1	1383	1509	63.2%	14.1%	22.6%	+3.2	13
1947-12-14	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1509	1383	22.6%	14.1%	63.2%	-3.2	18
1947-12-14	Alcoyano	W 3-2	1437	1385	77.6%	12.7%	9.7%	+0.8	17
1947-12-14	@ Sabadell	L 2-3	1385	1437	9.7%	12.7%	77.6%	-0.8	9
1947-12-14	Sevilla	W 3-1	1433	1506	68.3%	13.9%	17.8%	+2.6	12
1947-12-14	@ Real Gijon	L 1-3	1506	1433	17.8%	13.9%	68.3%	-2.6	22
1947-12-18	Espanol	W 3-1	1479	1439	76.9%	12.8%	10.3%	+1.5	13
1947-12-18	@ Real Madrid	L 1-3	1439	1479	10.3%	12.8%	76.9%	-1.5	13
1947-12-21	Gimnastic	W 2-1	1384	1378	74.6%	13.2%	12.2%	+1.0	12
1947-12-21	@ Alcoyano	L 1-2	1378	1384	12.2%	13.2%	74.6%	-1.0	16
1947-12-21	Barcelona	W 3-2	1522	1511	75.0%	13.1%	11.9%	+1.0	20
1947-12-21	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 2-3	1511	1522	11.9%	13.1%	75.0%	-1.0	20
1947-12-21	Real Gijon	W 5-3	1505	1435	78.7%	12.4%	8.9%	+1.1	21
1947-12-21	@ Atletico Madrid	L 3-5	1435	1505	8.9%	12.4%	78.7%	-1.1	12
1947-12-21	Real Sociedad	W 2-0	1438	1387	77.6%	12.7%	9.8%	+1.7	16
1947-12-21	@ Espanol	L 0-2	1387	1438	9.8%	12.7%	77.6%	-1.6	13
1947-12-21	Real Madrid	W 7-1	1472	1481	73.6%	13.3%	13.1%	+5.1	17
1947-12-21	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-7	1481	1472	13.1%	13.3%	73.6%	-5.1	13
1947-12-21	Sabadell	W 3-0	1504	1438	78.4%	12.5%	9.1%	+2.2	25
1947-12-21	@ Sevilla	L 0-3	1438	1504	9.1%	12.5%	78.4%	-2.2	17
1947-12-21	Celta Vigo	W 7-1	1525	1468	77.9%	12.6%	9.5%	+3.7	28
1947-12-21	@ Valencia	L 1-7	1468	1525	9.5%	12.6%	77.9%	-3.7	21
1947-12-28	Atletico Bilbao	W 5-1	1476	1523	70.5%	13.7%	15.8%	+4.2	16
1947-12-28	@ Real Madrid	L 1-5	1523	1476	15.8%	13.7%	70.5%	-4.2	20
1948-01-04	Real Madrid	W 2-1	1385	1480	66.4%	14.0%	19.7%	+1.6	15
1948-01-04	@ Alcoyano	L 1-2	1480	1385	19.7%	14.0%	66.4%	-1.6	16
1948-01-04	Celta Vigo	W 5-0	1519	1465	77.8%	12.6%	9.6%	+3.8	23
1948-01-04	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-5	1465	1519	9.6%	12.6%	77.8%	-3.8	21
1948-01-04	Sevilla	W 5-3	1507	1506	74.2%	13.2%	12.5%	+1.5	24
1948-01-04	@ Atletico Madrid	L 3-5	1506	1507	12.5%	13.2%	74.2%	-1.6	25
1948-01-04	Real Gijon	W 5-1	1439	1434	74.6%	13.2%	12.2%	+3.3	19
1948-01-04	@ Espanol	L 1-5	1434	1439	12.2%	13.2%	74.6%	-3.3	12
1948-01-04	Sabadell	L 0-1	1377	1436	69.6%	13.8%	16.7%	-5.5	16
1948-01-04	@ Gimnastic	W 1-0	1436	1377	16.7%	13.8%	69.6%	+5.5	20
1948-01-04	Barcelona	D 2-2	1477	1510	71.7%	13.6%	14.7%	-0.8	18
1948-01-04	@ Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1510	1477	14.7%	13.6%	71.7%	+0.8	21
1948-01-04	Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1528	1385	82.5%	11.4%	6.1%	+0.5	31
1948-01-04	@ Valencia	L 1-2	1385	1528	6.1%	11.4%	82.5%	-0.5	13
1948-01-11	Alcoyano	W 3-0	1511	1387	81.5%	11.7%	6.8%	+1.6	24
1948-01-11	@ Barcelona	L 0-3	1387	1511	6.8%	11.7%	81.5%	-1.6	15
1948-01-11	Real Oviedo	W 4-2	1461	1476	73.1%	13.4%	13.5%	+1.8	24
1948-01-11	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-4	1476	1461	13.5%	13.4%	73.1%	-1.8	18
1948-01-11	Gimnastic	L 1-3	1478	1372	80.7%	11.9%	7.4%	-10.3	16
1948-01-11	@ Real Madrid	W 3-1	1372	1478	7.4%	11.9%	80.7%	+10.3	19
1948-01-11	Atletico Bilbao	L 0-3	1384	1523	61.9%	14.2%	23.9%	-13.4	13
1948-01-11	@ Real Sociedad	W 3-0	1523	1384	23.9%	14.2%	61.9%	+13.4	26
1948-01-11	Atletico Madrid	L 1-2	1441	1508	68.9%	13.8%	17.3%	-5.1	20
1948-01-11	@ Sabadell	W 2-1	1508	1441	17.3%	13.8%	68.9%	+5.1	27
1948-01-11	Espanol	W 3-1	1505	1443	78.2%	12.6%	9.2%	+1.4	28
1948-01-11	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1443	1505	9.2%	12.6%	78.2%	-1.4	19
1948-01-11	Valencia	L 1-4	1431	1529	66.0%	14.0%	20.0%	-12.1	12
1948-01-11	@ Real Gijon	W 4-1	1529	1431	20.0%	14.0%	66.0%	+12.0	34
1948-01-18	Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1385	1462	68.0%	13.9%	18.1%	+3.0	18
1948-01-18	@ Alcoyano	L 0-2	1462	1385	18.1%	13.9%	68.0%	-3.0	24
1948-01-18	Real Gijon	D 0-0	1536	1419	81.2%	11.8%	7.0%	-1.7	27
1948-01-18	@ Atletico Bilbao	D 0-0	1419	1536	7.0%	11.8%	81.2%	+1.7	13
1948-01-18	Atletico Madrid	D 2-2	1441	1513	68.4%	13.9%	17.7%	-0.7	20
1948-01-18	@ Espanol	D 2-2	1513	1441	17.7%	13.9%	68.4%	+0.7	28
1948-01-18	Barcelona	L 1-2	1382	1512	62.7%	14.1%	23.1%	-4.7	19
1948-01-18	@ Gimnastic	W 2-1	1512	1382	23.1%	14.1%	62.7%	+4.7	27
1948-01-18	Sabadell	W 4-0	1468	1436	76.3%	12.9%	10.8%	+3.5	19
1948-01-18	@ Real Madrid	L 0-4	1436	1468	10.8%	12.9%	76.3%	-3.5	20
1948-01-18	Real Sociedad	W 3-0	1474	1371	80.5%	12.0%	7.5%	+1.8	21
1948-01-18	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-3	1371	1474	7.5%	12.0%	80.5%	-1.8	13
1948-01-18	Sevilla	W 1-0	1541	1506	76.5%	12.9%	10.6%	+1.0	37
1948-01-18	@ Valencia	L 0-1	1506	1541	10.6%	12.9%	76.5%	-0.9	28
1948-01-25	Valencia	D 2-2	1514	1542	72.1%	13.5%	14.4%	-0.9	29
1948-01-25	@ Atletico Madrid	D 2-2	1542	1514	14.4%	13.5%	72.1%	+0.8	38
1948-01-25	Real Madrid	W 4-2	1517	1471	77.2%	12.8%	10.0%	+1.3	30
1948-01-25	@ Barcelona	L 2-4	1471	1517	10.0%	12.8%	77.2%	-1.3	19
1948-01-25	Gimnastic	W 5-0	1459	1377	79.4%	12.3%	8.4%	+3.3	27
1948-01-25	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-5	1377	1459	8.4%	12.3%	79.4%	-3.3	19
1948-01-25	Alcoyano	W 5-0	1369	1388	72.8%	13.4%	13.8%	+5.5	16
1948-01-25	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-5	1388	1369	13.8%	13.4%	72.8%	-5.5	18
1948-01-25	Espanol	D 3-3	1433	1441	73.6%	13.3%	13.0%	-0.7	21
1948-01-25	@ Sabadell	D 3-3	1441	1433	13.0%	13.3%	73.6%	+0.7	21
1948-01-25	Atletico Bilbao	W 2-1	1505	1534	72.0%	13.5%	14.5%	+1.2	31
1948-01-25	@ Sevilla	L 1-2	1534	1505	14.5%	13.5%	72.0%	-1.2	27
1948-01-25	Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1421	1476	69.9%	13.7%	16.4%	+1.4	16
1948-01-25	@ Real Gijon	L 1-2	1476	1421	16.4%	13.7%	69.9%	-1.4	21
1948-02-01	Real Gijon	W 6-1	1383	1422	71.2%	13.6%	15.2%	+5.0	21
1948-02-01	@ Alcoyano	L 1-6	1422	1383	15.2%	13.6%	71.2%	-5.0	16
1948-02-01	Atletico Madrid	L 0-1	1533	1513	75.6%	13.0%	11.4%	-6.0	27
1948-02-01	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1513	1533	11.4%	13.0%	75.6%	+6.0	32
1948-02-01	Sabadell	W 2-1	1518	1432	79.6%	12.2%	8.2%	+0.7	33
1948-02-01	@ Barcelona	L 1-2	1432	1518	8.2%	12.2%	79.6%	-0.7	21
1948-02-01	Real Sociedad	W 2-0	1374	1375	74.2%	13.3%	12.6%	+2.1	22
1948-02-01	@ Gimnastic	L 0-2	1375	1374	12.6%	13.3%	74.2%	-2.1	16
1948-02-01	Celta Vigo	L 1-4	1470	1463	74.7%	13.2%	12.1%	-13.6	19
1948-02-01	@ Real Madrid	W 4-1	1463	1470	12.1%	13.2%	74.7%	+13.6	30
1948-02-01	Sevilla	W 4-0	1475	1506	71.8%	13.6%	14.6%	+4.7	24
1948-02-01	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-4	1506	1475	14.6%	13.6%	71.8%	-4.7	31
1948-02-01	Espanol	D 1-1	1543	1441	80.4%	12.0%	7.6%	-1.5	39
1948-02-01	@ Valencia	D 1-1	1441	1543	7.6%	12.0%	80.4%	+1.5	22
1948-02-08	Real Oviedo	W 4-0	1519	1479	76.8%	12.8%	10.3%	+3.3	35
1948-02-08	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-4	1479	1519	10.3%	12.8%	76.8%	-3.3	24
1948-02-08	Barcelona	W 3-2	1476	1519	70.9%	13.6%	15.4%	+1.2	33
1948-02-08	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-3	1519	1476	15.4%	13.6%	70.9%	-1.2	33
1948-02-08	Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1443	1527	67.3%	13.9%	18.8%	+1.7	25
1948-02-08	@ Espanol	L 0-1	1527	1443	18.8%	13.9%	67.3%	-1.7	27
1948-02-08	Real Madrid	D 1-1	1373	1456	67.3%	13.9%	18.7%	-1.0	17
1948-02-08	@ Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1456	1373	18.7%	13.9%	67.3%	+1.0	20
1948-02-08	Valencia	W 3-2	1431	1541	64.8%	14.1%	21.1%	+1.6	24
1948-02-08	@ Sabadell	L 2-3	1541	1431	21.1%	14.1%	64.8%	-1.7	39
1948-02-08	Alcoyano	W 2-0	1501	1388	81.0%	11.8%	7.1%	+1.2	34
1948-02-08	@ Sevilla	L 0-2	1388	1501	7.1%	11.8%	81.0%	-1.2	21
1948-02-08	Gimnastic	W 3-2	1417	1376	76.9%	12.8%	10.3%	+0.8	19
1948-02-08	@ Real Gijon	L 2-3	1376	1417	10.3%	12.8%	76.9%	-0.8	22
1948-02-15	Atletico Madrid	W 1-0	1387	1522	62.2%	14.2%	23.7%	+2.1	24
1948-02-15	@ Alcoyano	L 0-1	1522	1387	23.7%	14.2%	62.2%	-2.1	35
1948-02-15	Valencia	W 2-1	1526	1539	73.2%	13.4%	13.4%	+1.1	30
1948-02-15	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1539	1526	13.4%	13.4%	73.2%	-1.1	39
1948-02-15	Real Sociedad	W 6-0	1518	1372	82.6%	11.4%	6.0%	+2.8	36
1948-02-15	@ Barcelona	L 0-6	1372	1518	6.0%	11.4%	82.6%	-2.8	17
1948-02-15	Sabadell	W 2-0	1478	1433	77.2%	12.8%	10.1%	+1.7	36
1948-02-15	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-2	1433	1478	10.1%	12.8%	77.2%	-1.7	24
1948-02-15	Sevilla	W 2-0	1375	1503	63.0%	14.1%	22.8%	+3.8	25
1948-02-15	@ Gimnastic	L 0-2	1503	1375	22.8%	14.1%	63.0%	-3.8	34
1948-02-15	Real Gijon	L 0-1	1457	1418	76.8%	12.8%	10.3%	-6.1	20
1948-02-15	@ Real Madrid	W 1-0	1418	1457	10.3%	12.8%	76.8%	+6.0	22
1948-02-15	Espanol	D 0-0	1476	1444	76.3%	12.9%	10.8%	-1.5	25
1948-02-15	@ Real Oviedo	D 0-0	1444	1476	10.8%	12.9%	76.3%	+1.5	26
1948-02-22	Gimnastic	W 5-2	1520	1379	82.3%	11.4%	6.2%	+1.1	38
1948-02-22	@ Atletico Madrid	L 2-5	1379	1520	6.2%	11.4%	82.3%	-1.1	25
1948-02-22	Alcoyano	D 2-2	1446	1389	77.9%	12.6%	9.5%	-1.0	27
1948-02-22	@ Espanol	D 2-2	1389	1446	9.5%	12.6%	77.9%	+1.0	25
1948-02-22	Celta Vigo	W 4-1	1369	1479	64.8%	14.1%	21.2%	+4.3	20
1948-02-22	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-4	1479	1369	21.2%	14.1%	64.8%	-4.3	36
1948-02-22	Atletico Bilbao	L 0-2	1431	1527	66.3%	14.0%	19.7%	-9.9	24
1948-02-22	@ Sabadell	W 2-0	1527	1431	19.7%	14.0%	66.3%	+9.9	33
1948-02-22	Real Madrid	L 2-3	1499	1451	77.3%	12.7%	9.9%	-5.4	34
1948-02-22	@ Sevilla	W 3-2	1451	1499	9.9%	12.7%	77.3%	+5.5	23
1948-02-22	Real Oviedo	W 6-1	1538	1475	78.3%	12.5%	9.2%	+3.0	42
1948-02-22	@ Valencia	L 1-6	1475	1538	9.2%	12.5%	78.3%	-3.0	25
1948-02-24	Barcelona	L 1-4	1424	1521	66.1%	14.0%	19.9%	-12.1	22
1948-02-24	@ Real Gijon	W 4-1	1521	1424	19.9%	14.0%	66.1%	+12.1	39
1948-02-29	Valencia	L 0-2	1390	1541	60.4%	14.2%	25.4%	-9.0	25
1948-02-29	@ Alcoyano	W 2-0	1541	1390	25.4%	14.2%	60.4%	+9.0	45
1948-02-29	Sevilla	W 6-0	1533	1493	76.8%	12.8%	10.3%	+4.9	42
1948-02-29	@ Barcelona	L 0-6	1493	1533	10.3%	12.8%	76.8%	-4.9	34
1948-02-29	Real Gijon	W 3-2	1475	1412	78.3%	12.5%	9.2%	+0.7	39
1948-02-29	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-3	1412	1475	9.2%	12.5%	78.3%	-0.7	22
1948-02-29	Espanol	W 1-0	1378	1445	68.9%	13.8%	17.3%	+1.5	28
1948-02-29	@ Gimnastic	L 0-1	1445	1378	17.3%	13.8%	68.9%	-1.5	27
1948-02-29	Atletico Madrid	D 1-1	1457	1521	69.1%	13.8%	17.1%	-1.0	24
1948-02-29	@ Real Madrid	D 1-1	1521	1457	17.1%	13.8%	69.1%	+1.0	39
1948-02-29	Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1472	1537	69.0%	13.8%	17.1%	-0.8	26
1948-02-29	@ Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1537	1472	17.1%	13.8%	69.0%	+0.8	34
1948-02-29	Sabadell	W 3-0	1373	1421	70.5%	13.7%	15.8%	+3.9	23
1948-02-29	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-3	1421	1373	15.8%	13.7%	70.5%	-3.9	24
1948-03-07	Alcoyano	W 6-1	1537	1381	83.0%	11.2%	5.7%	+1.9	37
1948-03-07	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-6	1381	1537	5.7%	11.2%	83.0%	-1.8	25
1948-03-07	Barcelona	D 2-2	1522	1538	73.1%	13.4%	13.5%	-0.9	40
1948-03-07	@ Atletico Madrid	D 2-2	1538	1522	13.5%	13.4%	73.1%	+0.9	43
1948-03-07	Real Madrid	W 2-0	1443	1456	73.3%	13.4%	13.3%	+2.2	30
1948-03-07	@ Espanol	L 0-2	1456	1443	13.3%	13.4%	73.3%	-2.3	24
1948-03-07	Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1418	1471	70.1%	13.7%	16.2%	-5.2	24
1948-03-07	@ Sabadell	W 2-1	1471	1418	16.2%	13.7%	70.1%	+5.2	29
1948-03-07	Celta Vigo	W 3-1	1489	1476	75.1%	13.1%	11.8%	+1.7	37
1948-03-07	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1476	1489	11.8%	13.1%	75.1%	-1.7	39
1948-03-07	Real Sociedad	W 4-1	1411	1377	76.5%	12.9%	10.6%	+2.2	25
1948-03-07	@ Real Gijon	L 1-4	1377	1411	10.6%	12.9%	76.5%	-2.2	23
1948-03-07	Gimnastic	W 3-1	1550	1380	83.7%	11.0%	5.3%	+0.8	48
1948-03-07	@ Valencia	L 1-3	1380	1550	5.3%	11.0%	83.7%	-0.8	28
1948-03-28	Real Oviedo	W 3-1	1379	1476	66.1%	14.0%	19.9%	+2.9	28
1948-03-28	@ Alcoyano	L 1-3	1476	1379	19.9%	14.0%	66.1%	-2.9	29
1948-03-28	Espanol	W 5-1	1538	1446	79.9%	12.1%	7.9%	+2.1	46
1948-03-28	@ Barcelona	L 1-5	1446	1538	7.9%	12.1%	79.9%	-2.1	30
1948-03-28	Atletico Madrid	W 4-1	1474	1522	70.5%	13.7%	15.8%	+3.3	42
1948-03-28	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-4	1522	1474	15.8%	13.7%	70.5%	-3.3	40
1948-03-28	Atletico Bilbao	W 7-1	1379	1539	59.4%	14.2%	26.4%	+9.8	31
1948-03-28	@ Gimnastic	L 1-7	1539	1379	26.4%	14.2%	59.4%	-9.8	37
1948-03-28	Valencia	D 1-1	1453	1551	66.0%	14.0%	20.0%	-0.9	25
1948-03-28	@ Real Madrid	D 1-1	1551	1453	20.0%	14.0%	66.0%	+0.9	49
1948-03-28	Sevilla	D 0-0	1375	1490	64.3%	14.1%	21.6%	-0.9	24
1948-03-28	@ Real Sociedad	D 0-0	1490	1375	21.6%	14.1%	64.3%	+0.9	38
1948-03-28	Sabadell	L 1-2	1413	1412	74.3%	13.2%	12.5%	-5.5	25
1948-03-28	@ Real Gijon	W 2-1	1412	1413	12.5%	13.2%	74.3%	+5.5	27
1948-04-04	Sabadell	W 3-0	1382	1418	71.5%	13.6%	14.9%	+3.7	31
1948-04-04	@ Alcoyano	L 0-3	1418	1382	14.9%	13.6%	71.5%	-3.7	27
1948-04-04	Real Madrid	W 3-0	1529	1453	79.1%	12.4%	8.6%	+2.1	40
1948-04-04	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-3	1453	1529	8.6%	12.4%	79.1%	-2.1	25
1948-04-04	Real Sociedad	W 4-3	1518	1374	82.5%	11.4%	6.1%	+0.5	43
1948-04-04	@ Atletico Madrid	L 3-4	1374	1518	6.1%	11.4%	82.5%	-0.5	24
1948-04-04	Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1444	1477	71.7%	13.6%	14.8%	+1.2	33
1948-04-04	@ Espanol	L 1-2	1477	1444	14.8%	13.6%	71.7%	-1.2	42
1948-04-04	Gimnastic	W 6-2	1473	1389	79.5%	12.2%	8.3%	+1.9	32
1948-04-04	@ Real Oviedo	L 2-6	1389	1473	8.3%	12.2%	79.5%	-1.9	31
1948-04-04	Real Gijon	W 3-1	1491	1408	79.4%	12.3%	8.3%	+1.2	41
1948-04-04	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1408	1491	8.3%	12.3%	79.4%	-1.2	25
1948-04-04	Barcelona	L 1-3	1552	1541	75.0%	13.1%	11.9%	-9.7	49
1948-04-04	@ Valencia	W 3-1	1541	1552	11.9%	13.1%	75.0%	+9.7	49
1948-04-11	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-0	1550	1531	75.5%	13.1%	11.5%	+2.8	52
1948-04-11	@ Barcelona	L 0-3	1531	1550	11.5%	13.1%	75.5%	-2.8	40
1948-04-11	Valencia	W 5-2	1476	1542	68.9%	13.8%	17.2%	+3.1	45
1948-04-11	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-5	1542	1476	17.2%	13.8%	68.9%	-3.1	49
1948-04-11	Alcoyano	W 4-3	1387	1386	74.3%	13.2%	12.5%	+1.0	34
1948-04-11	@ Gimnastic	L 3-4	1386	1387	12.5%	13.2%	74.3%	-1.0	31
1948-04-11	Real Oviedo	W 2-0	1450	1475	72.4%	13.5%	14.1%	+2.4	28
1948-04-11	@ Real Madrid	L 0-2	1475	1450	14.1%	13.5%	72.4%	-2.4	32
1948-04-11	Espanol	W 4-2	1373	1445	68.5%	13.9%	17.7%	+2.3	27
1948-04-11	@ Real Sociedad	L 2-4	1445	1373	17.7%	13.9%	68.5%	-2.3	33
1948-04-11	Sevilla	W 3-1	1414	1492	67.9%	13.9%	18.2%	+2.7	30
1948-04-11	@ Sabadell	L 1-3	1492	1414	18.2%	13.9%	67.9%	-2.7	41
1948-04-11	Atletico Madrid	L 2-7	1407	1519	64.6%	14.1%	21.3%	-15.6	25
1948-04-11	@ Real Gijon	W 7-2	1519	1407	21.3%	14.1%	64.6%	+15.6	46

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1947-09-28	6.77%	Real Sociedad	1385	3	@ Atletico Bilbao	1509	1
2	1948-01-11	7.40%	Gimnastic	1372	3	@ Real Madrid	1478	1
3	1947-11-02	8.87%	Espanol	1434	2	@ Atletico Bilbao	1504	1
4	1948-02-22	9.93%	Real Madrid	1451	3	@ Sevilla	1499	2
5	1948-02-15	10.35%	Real Gijon	1418	1	@ Real Madrid	1457	0
6	1947-09-28	11.03%	Celta Vigo	1458	2	@ Real Oviedo	1485	1
7	1948-02-01	11.38%	Atletico Madrid	1513	1	@ Atletico Bilbao	1533	0
8	1947-10-12	11.80%	Sabadell	1435	3	@ Espanol	1448	2
9	1948-04-04	11.87%	Barcelona	1541	3	@ Valencia	1552	1
10	1948-02-01	12.12%	Celta Vigo	1463	4	@ Real Madrid	1470	1
11	1948-03-28	12.49%	Sabadell	1412	2	@ Real Gijon	1413	1
12	1947-09-28	14.42%	Sevilla	1484	1	@ Espanol	1455	0
13	1947-10-05	15.91%	Atletico Bilbao	1499	2	@ Real Gijon	1449	1
14	1948-03-07	16.22%	Real Oviedo	1471	2	@ Sabadell	1418	1
15	1948-01-04	16.65%	Sabadell	1436	1	@ Gimnastic	1377	0
16	1947-10-26	17.21%	Barcelona	1507	4	@ Sabadell	1441	2
17	1948-01-11	17.28%	Atletico Madrid	1508	2	@ Sabadell	1441	1
18	1947-10-26	17.46%	Valencia	1512	3	@ Espanol	1443	1
19	1947-09-28	18.65%	Barcelona	1497	2	@ Alcoyano	1414	0
20	1947-10-05	18.71%	Real Oviedo	1479	2	@ Real Sociedad	1395	1
21	1948-02-22	19.74%	Atletico Bilbao	1527	2	@ Sabadell	1431	0
22	1947-11-30	19.76%	Atletico Bilbao	1500	4	@ Alcoyano	1405	0
23	1948-02-24	19.86%	Barcelona	1521	4	@ Real Gijon	1424	1
24	1948-01-11	19.95%	Valencia	1529	4	@ Real Gijon	1431	1
25	1947-09-21	20.88%	Valencia	1502	2	@ Real Sociedad	1395	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1947-11-30	18.73	Atletico Bilbao	4	1500	19.76%	@ Alcoyano	0	1405	66.25%
2	1948-04-11	15.61	Atletico Madrid	7	1519	21.32%	@ Real Gijon	2	1407	64.61%
3	1948-02-01	13.61	Celta Vigo	4	1463	12.12%	@ Real Madrid	1	1470	74.70%
4	1948-01-11	13.40	Atletico Bilbao	3	1523	23.95%	@ Real Sociedad	0	1384	61.88%
5	1948-02-24	12.08	Barcelona	4	1521	19.86%	@ Real Gijon	1	1424	66.14%
6	1948-01-11	12.06	Valencia	4	1529	19.95%	@ Real Gijon	1	1431	66.04%
7	1947-09-28	10.42	Real Sociedad	3	1385	6.77%	@ Atletico Bilbao	1	1509	81.53%
8	1948-01-11	10.33	Gimnastic	3	1372	7.40%	@ Real Madrid	1	1478	80.65%
9	1947-09-28	10.05	Barcelona	2	1497	18.65%	@ Alcoyano	0	1414	67.43%
10	1948-02-22	9.88	Atletico Bilbao	2	1527	19.74%	@ Sabadell	0	1431	66.26%
11	1948-03-28	9.85	@ Gimnastic	7	1379	59.39%	Atletico Bilbao	1	1539	26.39%
12	1947-09-21	9.70	Valencia	2	1502	20.88%	@ Real Sociedad	0	1395	65.07%
13	1948-04-04	9.66	Barcelona	3	1541	11.87%	@ Valencia	1	1552	75.00%
14	1948-02-29	9.01	Valencia	2	1541	25.39%	@ Alcoyano	0	1390	60.41%
15	1947-10-26	8.87	Valencia	3	1512	17.46%	@ Espanol	1	1443	68.71%
16	1947-10-26	7.96	Barcelona	4	1507	17.21%	@ Sabadell	2	1441	68.98%
17	1947-11-02	7.11	@ Gimnastic	5	1367	67.96%	Real Gijon	0	1444	18.16%
18	1948-02-15	6.06	Real Gijon	1	1418	10.35%	@ Real Madrid	0	1457	76.83%
19	1948-02-01	5.96	Atletico Madrid	1	1513	11.38%	@ Atletico Bilbao	0	1533	75.58%
20	1947-09-28	5.84	@ Atletico Madrid	8	1500	77.93%	Sabadell	0	1442	9.46%
21	1947-11-02	5.83	Espanol	2	1434	8.87%	@ Atletico Bilbao	1	1504	78.69%
22	1947-09-28	5.69	Sevilla	1	1484	14.42%	@ Espanol	0	1455	72.05%
23	1947-09-28	5.65	Celta Vigo	2	1458	11.03%	@ Real Oviedo	1	1485	76.00%
24	1948-03-28	5.53	Sabadell	2	1412	12.49%	@ Real Gijon	1	1413	74.27%
25	1948-01-04	5.50	Sabadell	1	1436	16.65%	@ Gimnastic	0	1377	69.59%