1948-49 La Liga Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Barcelona

37 points · 4th Title

Last Title: 1947-48

Relegated

Sabadell

13 pts

Alcoyano · 21 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Barcelona

7.95 points above expected

37 points · 29.05 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sabadell

11.23 points below expected

13 points · 24.23 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Barcelona	26	16	5	5	37	66	36	+30	29.1	+7.95
2	Valencia	26	16	3	7	35	78	47	+31	27.8	+7.21
3	Real Madrid	26	15	4	7	34	67	42	+25	26.8	+7.25
4	Atletico Madrid	26	15	4	7	34	54	32	+22	28.3	+5.71
5	Real Oviedo	26	13	4	9	30	50	43	+7	26.8	+3.21
6	Espanol	26	10	4	12	24	51	46	+5	25.8	-1.82
7	Atletico Bilbao	26	11	2	13	24	61	63	-2	26.8	-2.77
8	Sevilla	26	11	1	14	23	35	40	-5	25.7	-2.68
9	Gimnastic	26	10	3	13	23	59	72	-13	25.2	-2.22
10	Deportivo La Coruna	26	9	4	13	22	56	60	-4	23.4	-1.41
11	Celta Vigo	26	9	4	13	22	51	64	-13	26.0	-4.01
12	Real Valladolid	26	10	2	14	22	38	59	-21	24.0	-1.98
13	Alcoyano	26	8	5	13	21	30	54	-24	24.2	-3.21
14	Sabadell	26	5	3	18	13	43	81	-38	24.2	-11.23

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Valencia	1641	35	27.79	+7.21	99.0%	18	22	26	28	30	33	37
Barcelona	1635	37	29.05	+7.95	100.0%	21	23	27	29	31	35	37
Atletico Madrid	1621	34	28.29	+5.71	98.0%	20	23	26	29	30	33	37
Real Madrid	1598	34	26.75	+7.25	99.0%	18	21	24	26	29	32	35
Real Oviedo	1578	30	26.79	+3.21	83.0%	19	20	24	27	30	32	37
Atletico Bilbao	1564	24	26.77	-2.77	21.0%	17	21	25	27	29	32	33
Espanol	1548	24	25.82	-1.82	36.0%	18	20	24	26	28	32	35
Celta Vigo	1536	22	26.01	-4.01	20.0%	18	19	23	26	29	32	35
Sevilla	1531	23	25.68	-2.68	24.0%	19	21	24	26	28	30	34
Gimnastic	1490	23	25.22	-2.22	30.0%	16	20	23	25	27	31	36
Alcoyano	1485	21	24.21	-3.21	16.0%	15	18	23	24	26	29	36
Real Valladolid	1485	22	23.98	-1.98	33.0%	18	19	21	24	26	29	31
Deportivo La Coruna	1478	22	23.41	-1.41	39.0%	12	17	21	24	26	29	30
Sabadell	1457	13	24.23	-11.23	0.0%	18	19	21	24	26	30	35

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ALC	AB	AM	BAR	CV	DLC	ESP	GIM	RM	RO	RV	SAB	SEV	VAL
Alcoyano	—	1-0-1 2.61	0-1-1 2.48	0-0-2 2.46	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 3.02	1-1-0 2.66	0-1-1 2.85	0-1-1 2.54	1-1-0 2.69	1-0-1 2.89	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.75	0-0-2 2.51
Atletico Bilbao	1-0-1 3.20	—	0-0-2 2.77	1-0-1 2.73	2-0-0 2.98	1-0-1 3.29	1-1-0 3.01	1-0-1 3.07	0-0-2 2.93	0-0-2 3.02	1-0-1 3.23	1-1-0 3.22	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 2.74
Atletico Madrid	1-1-0 3.33	2-0-0 3.05	—	1-0-1 2.88	1-1-0 3.13	1-0-1 3.41	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 3.21	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 3.14	2-0-0 3.36	2-0-0 3.29	1-1-0 3.16	0-1-1 2.86
Barcelona	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 2.93	—	1-1-0 3.14	1-1-0 3.42	1-1-0 3.15	1-1-0 3.24	2-0-0 3.06	1-0-1 3.14	1-1-0 3.36	1-0-1 3.32	2-0-0 3.22	1-0-1 2.90
Celta Vigo	1-0-1 3.09	0-0-2 2.83	0-1-1 2.68	0-1-1 2.67	—	0-2-0 3.20	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 3.03	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.89	1-0-1 3.13	1-0-1 3.09	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 2.65
Deportivo La Coruna	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.53	1-0-1 2.40	0-1-1 2.39	0-2-0 2.61	—	1-0-1 2.61	2-0-0 2.71	0-0-2 2.53	0-0-2 2.62	1-0-1 2.83	1-1-0 2.78	1-0-1 2.70	0-0-2 2.45
Espanol	0-1-1 3.15	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 3.20	—	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 2.81	0-1-1 2.95	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 3.17	2-0-0 2.93	1-0-1 2.68
Gimnastic	1-1-0 2.96	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.60	0-1-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.79	0-0-2 3.11	1-0-1 2.75	—	0-1-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 3.02	2-0-0 2.95	0-0-2 2.89	1-0-1 2.57
Real Madrid	1-1-0 3.28	2-0-0 2.88	1-0-1 2.75	0-0-2 2.75	1-0-1 3.01	2-0-0 3.28	1-0-1 3.00	1-1-0 3.14	—	0-1-1 3.01	1-0-1 3.23	2-0-0 3.07	2-0-0 3.01	1-1-0 2.76
Real Oviedo	0-1-1 3.13	2-0-0 2.79	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.92	2-0-0 3.20	1-1-0 2.86	1-0-1 3.07	1-1-0 2.80	—	1-0-1 3.12	1-1-0 3.24	0-0-2 2.98	1-0-1 2.71
Real Valladolid	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.59	0-0-2 2.45	0-1-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.69	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 2.69	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.69	—	1-0-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.38
Sabadell	1-0-1 2.91	0-1-1 2.59	0-0-2 2.53	1-0-1 2.49	1-0-1 2.72	0-1-1 3.03	1-0-1 2.64	0-0-2 2.86	0-0-2 2.74	0-1-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.88	—	0-0-2 2.73	0-0-2 2.49
Sevilla	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 2.78	0-1-1 2.65	0-0-2 2.60	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 3.10	0-0-2 2.89	2-0-0 2.92	0-0-2 2.80	2-0-0 2.83	1-0-1 3.11	2-0-0 3.08	—	0-0-2 2.60
Valencia	2-0-0 3.30	1-0-1 3.07	1-1-0 2.95	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 3.16	2-0-0 3.37	1-0-1 3.13	1-0-1 3.24	0-1-1 3.06	1-0-1 3.10	1-1-0 3.43	2-0-0 3.32	2-0-0 3.21	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	1.10%	4.67%	4.95%	2.75%	1.65%	2.47%	17.58%
1	4.67%	4.95%	5.77%	6.59%	2.75%	2.20%	26.92%
2	4.95%	5.77%	4.95%	2.47%	1.92%	2.47%	22.53%
3	2.75%	6.59%	2.47%	1.10%	1.37%	0.55%	14.84%
4	1.65%	2.75%	1.92%	1.37%	1.10%	0.82%	9.62%
5+	2.47%	2.20%	2.47%	0.55%	0.82%	—	8.52%
Total	17.58%	26.92%	22.53%	14.84%	9.62%	8.52%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.03
Mean allowed	2.03
StdDev scored	1.64
StdDev allowed	1.64
Mean total goals/game	4.06
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.033
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	23.08%
1	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	—	7.69%	42.31%
2	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	30.77%
3	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	23.08%	15.38%	15.38%	11.54%	11.54%	100%

Alcoyano — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	2.08
StdDev scored	0.83
StdDev allowed	1.79
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.035
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	—	—	—	7.69%	19.23%
1	—	3.85%	—	11.54%	—	—	15.38%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
3	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
5+	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	11.54%	23.08%	19.23%	26.92%	3.85%	15.38%	100%

Atletico Bilbao — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.35
Mean allowed	2.42
StdDev scored	1.92
StdDev allowed	1.72
Mean total goals/game	4.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.179
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
1	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	26.92%
2	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	42.31%	19.23%	23.08%	3.85%	11.54%	—	100%

Atletico Madrid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.08
Mean allowed	1.23
StdDev scored	1.65
StdDev allowed	1.37
Mean total goals/game	3.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.364
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
2	—	19.23%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	34.62%
3	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	11.54%	50.00%	30.77%	3.85%	3.85%	—	100%

Barcelona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.54
Mean allowed	1.38
StdDev scored	1.70
StdDev allowed	0.90
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.246
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	23.08%
1	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
2	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
Total	3.85%	30.77%	19.23%	23.08%	11.54%	11.54%	100%

Celta Vigo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.96
Mean allowed	2.46
StdDev scored	1.56
StdDev allowed	1.53
Mean total goals/game	4.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.126
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
1	—	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	38.46%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	11.54%	26.92%	19.23%	19.23%	15.38%	7.69%	100%

Deportivo La Coruna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.15
Mean allowed	2.31
StdDev scored	1.87
StdDev allowed	1.69
Mean total goals/game	4.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.357
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	—	38.46%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
Total	19.23%	26.92%	26.92%	11.54%	15.38%	—	100%

Espanol — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.96
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.89
StdDev allowed	1.34
Mean total goals/game	3.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.115
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
1	—	—	—	19.23%	7.69%	—	26.92%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
3	—	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	15.38%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	3.85%	23.08%	23.08%	23.08%	11.54%	15.38%	100%

Gimnastic — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.27
Mean allowed	2.77
StdDev scored	1.43
StdDev allowed	1.77
Mean total goals/game	5.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.243
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
1	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
5+	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	15.38%	34.62%	26.92%	19.23%	3.85%	—	100%

Real Madrid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.58
Mean allowed	1.62
StdDev scored	1.58
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	4.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.190
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
1	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
2	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	30.77%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%
Total	23.08%	30.77%	26.92%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Real Oviedo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	1.65
StdDev scored	1.67
StdDev allowed	1.55
Mean total goals/game	3.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.128
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	19.23%
1	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	42.31%
2	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	23.08%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	19.23%	26.92%	3.85%	7.69%	19.23%	100%

Real Valladolid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	2.27
StdDev scored	1.21
StdDev allowed	2.11
Mean total goals/game	3.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.176
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%
1	3.85%	—	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	30.77%
2	3.85%	—	7.69%	11.54%	—	11.54%	34.62%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	7.69%	15.38%	26.92%	15.38%	23.08%	100%

Sabadell — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.65
Mean allowed	3.12
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.88
Mean total goals/game	4.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.131
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	—	38.46%
1	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
3	—	15.38%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	42.31%	26.92%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Sevilla — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.35
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.55
StdDev allowed	1.21
Mean total goals/game	2.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.446
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
1	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	—	19.23%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
Total	30.77%	19.23%	15.38%	15.38%	15.38%	3.85%	100%

Valencia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.00
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	1.88
StdDev allowed	1.70
Mean total goals/game	4.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.138
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Barcelona	37	29.1	+7.95
2	Real Madrid	34	26.8	+7.25
3	Valencia	35	27.8	+7.21
4	Atletico Madrid	34	28.3	+5.71
5	Real Oviedo	30	26.8	+3.21

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sabadell	13	24.2	-11.23
2	Celta Vigo	22	26.0	-4.01
3	Alcoyano	21	24.2	-3.21
4	Atletico Bilbao	24	26.8	-2.77
5	Sevilla	23	25.7	-2.68

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Madrid	4	Oct 10 – Oct 31	1 in 156
2	Sevilla	4	Feb 20 – Apr 3	1 in 96
3	Atletico Madrid	4	Nov 28 – Jan 9	1 in 40
4	Valencia	4	Oct 3 – Oct 24	1 in 38
5	Real Oviedo	3	Jan 16 – Jan 30	1 in 17

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Gimnastic	6	Feb 20 – Apr 17	1 in 1,418
2	Sabadell	5	Sep 12 – Oct 10	1 in 145
3	Sevilla	4	Nov 28 – Jan 9	1 in 49
4	Atletico Madrid	3	Jan 16 – Jan 30	1 in 22
5	Atletico Bilbao	3	Oct 3 – Oct 17	1 in 20

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Madrid	10	Oct 10 – Dec 12	1 in 848
2	Real Oviedo	5	Feb 27 – Apr 17	1 in 86
3	Valencia	8	Feb 6 – Apr 17	1 in 67
4	Atletico Madrid	5	Nov 21 – Jan 9	1 in 57
5	Deportivo La Coruna	5	Nov 28 – Jan 16	1 in 54

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sabadell	8	Feb 6 – Apr 17	1 in 222
2	Gimnastic	6	Feb 20 – Apr 17	1 in 158
3	Celta Vigo	5	Nov 14 – Dec 12	1 in 34
4	Espanol	4	Nov 14 – Dec 5	1 in 32
5	Real Madrid	3	Sep 19 – Oct 3	1 in 19

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Barcelona	29.00%	13.00%	10.00%	15.00%	8.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%
Valencia	18.00%	12.00%	12.00%	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%	10.00%	6.00%	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Real Madrid	11.00%	11.00%	10.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	5.00%	8.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%
Atletico Madrid	11.00%	15.00%	21.00%	12.00%	5.00%	5.00%	10.00%	8.00%	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—
Real Oviedo	8.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	8.00%	10.00%	3.00%	8.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	2.00%
Espanol	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	8.00%	11.00%	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%	12.00%	7.00%	7.00%	3.00%	4.00%	9.00%
Atletico Bilbao	4.00%	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%	12.00%	14.00%	11.00%	9.00%	7.00%	3.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	6.00%
Sevilla	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	9.00%	8.00%	11.00%	12.00%	8.00%	10.00%	6.00%	8.00%	6.00%	9.00%	4.00%
Gimnastic	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	5.00%	8.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%	14.00%	7.00%	11.00%	12.00%	5.00%
Deportivo La Coruna	—	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	7.00%	4.00%	5.00%	8.00%	13.00%	5.00%	7.00%	14.00%	10.00%	19.00%
Celta Vigo	5.00%	9.00%	8.00%	10.00%	5.00%	3.00%	8.00%	9.00%	7.00%	3.00%	8.00%	11.00%	5.00%	9.00%
Real Valladolid	—	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	7.00%	13.00%	7.00%	9.00%	11.00%	15.00%	15.00%
Alcoyano	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	7.00%	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	18.00%	13.00%	12.00%	12.00%	12.00%
Sabadell	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	5.00%	3.00%	8.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	10.00%	13.00%	12.00%	17.00%	13.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Atletico Madrid	98.0%	2.0%
Barcelona	98.0%	2.0%
Valencia	98.0%	2.0%
Atletico Bilbao	93.0%	7.0%
Real Madrid	92.0%	8.0%
Real Oviedo	91.0%	9.0%
Espanol	87.0%	13.0%
Sevilla	87.0%	13.0%
Celta Vigo	86.0%	14.0%
Gimnastic	83.0%	17.0%
Alcoyano	76.0%	24.0%
Deportivo La Coruna	71.0%	29.0%
Real Valladolid	70.0%	30.0%
Sabadell	70.0%	30.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1948-09-12	Deportivo La Coruna	W 1-0	1507	1474	81.1%	9.4%	9.6%	+1.0	3
1948-09-12	@ Alcoyano	L 0-1	1474	1507	9.6%	9.4%	81.1%	-1.0	0
1948-09-12	Real Valladolid	W 7-2	1588	1497	83.8%	9.1%	7.1%	+2.1	3
1948-09-12	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 2-7	1497	1588	7.1%	9.1%	83.8%	-2.1	0
1948-09-12	Sevilla	D 1-1	1591	1566	80.6%	9.4%	10.0%	-1.6	1
1948-09-12	@ Atletico Madrid	D 1-1	1566	1591	10.0%	9.4%	80.6%	+1.6	1
1948-09-12	Real Oviedo	W 5-2	1601	1557	81.7%	9.3%	9.0%	+1.8	3
1948-09-12	@ Barcelona	L 2-5	1557	1601	9.0%	9.3%	81.7%	-1.8	0
1948-09-12	Gimnastic	W 6-4	1558	1509	81.9%	9.3%	8.8%	+1.2	3
1948-09-12	@ Celta Vigo	L 4-6	1509	1558	8.8%	9.3%	81.9%	-1.2	0
1948-09-12	Real Madrid	L 1-2	1524	1545	77.8%	9.5%	12.7%	-6.6	0
1948-09-12	@ Sabadell	W 2-1	1545	1524	12.7%	9.5%	77.8%	+6.6	3
1948-09-12	Espanol	W 4-1	1593	1538	82.2%	9.3%	8.5%	+1.9	3
1948-09-12	@ Valencia	L 1-4	1538	1593	8.5%	9.3%	82.2%	-1.9	0
1948-09-19	Sabadell	W 5-2	1473	1517	76.3%	9.6%	14.1%	+2.8	3
1948-09-19	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 2-5	1517	1473	14.1%	9.6%	76.3%	-2.8	0
1948-09-19	Atletico Madrid	W 4-1	1536	1589	75.6%	9.6%	14.7%	+3.3	3
1948-09-19	@ Espanol	L 1-4	1589	1536	14.7%	9.6%	75.6%	-3.3	1
1948-09-19	Alcoyano	W 3-1	1508	1508	79.2%	9.5%	11.3%	+1.8	3
1948-09-19	@ Gimnastic	L 1-3	1508	1508	11.3%	9.5%	79.2%	-1.8	3
1948-09-19	Barcelona	L 1-2	1552	1603	75.8%	9.6%	14.6%	-6.4	3
1948-09-19	@ Real Madrid	W 2-1	1603	1552	14.6%	9.6%	75.8%	+6.4	6
1948-09-19	Valencia	W 2-1	1555	1595	76.5%	9.6%	13.9%	+1.3	3
1948-09-19	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1595	1555	13.9%	9.6%	76.5%	-1.3	3
1948-09-19	Celta Vigo	W 4-2	1494	1560	74.7%	9.7%	15.7%	+2.2	3
1948-09-19	@ Real Valladolid	L 2-4	1560	1494	15.7%	9.7%	74.7%	-2.2	3
1948-09-19	Atletico Bilbao	W 6-0	1568	1590	77.8%	9.5%	12.7%	+6.5	4
1948-09-19	@ Sevilla	L 0-6	1590	1568	12.7%	9.5%	77.8%	-6.5	3
1948-09-26	Espanol	W 4-3	1583	1540	81.6%	9.3%	9.1%	+0.8	6
1948-09-26	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 3-4	1540	1583	9.1%	9.3%	81.6%	-0.8	3
1948-09-26	Real Oviedo	W 6-0	1586	1556	80.9%	9.4%	9.7%	+5.0	4
1948-09-26	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-6	1556	1586	9.7%	9.4%	80.9%	-5.0	3
1948-09-26	Deportivo La Coruna	W 5-1	1609	1476	85.4%	8.9%	5.6%	+1.7	9
1948-09-26	@ Barcelona	L 1-5	1476	1609	5.6%	8.9%	85.4%	-1.7	3
1948-09-26	Alcoyano	W 5-1	1557	1506	82.0%	9.3%	8.7%	+2.6	6
1948-09-26	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-5	1506	1557	8.7%	9.3%	82.0%	-2.6	3
1948-09-26	Sevilla	W 2-0	1497	1574	73.7%	9.7%	16.6%	+3.0	6
1948-09-26	@ Real Valladolid	L 0-2	1574	1497	16.6%	9.7%	73.7%	-3.0	4
1948-09-26	Gimnastic	L 2-3	1514	1510	79.5%	9.5%	11.1%	-6.4	0
1948-09-26	@ Sabadell	W 3-2	1510	1514	11.1%	9.5%	79.5%	+6.4	6
1948-09-26	Real Madrid	D 4-4	1594	1546	81.9%	9.3%	8.8%	-0.9	4
1948-09-26	@ Valencia	D 4-4	1546	1594	8.8%	9.3%	81.9%	+0.9	4
1948-10-03	Sabadell	W 2-1	1503	1508	78.9%	9.5%	11.6%	+1.1	6
1948-10-03	@ Alcoyano	L 1-2	1508	1503	11.6%	9.5%	78.9%	-1.1	0
1948-10-03	Valencia	L 1-2	1474	1593	70.0%	9.8%	20.2%	-5.9	3
1948-10-03	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-1	1593	1474	20.2%	9.8%	70.0%	+5.9	7
1948-10-03	Real Valladolid	W 5-1	1539	1500	81.4%	9.3%	9.3%	+2.7	6
1948-10-03	@ Espanol	L 1-5	1500	1539	9.3%	9.3%	81.4%	-2.7	6
1948-10-03	Barcelona	D 2-2	1516	1611	72.2%	9.7%	18.1%	-0.9	7
1948-10-03	@ Gimnastic	D 2-2	1611	1516	18.1%	9.7%	72.2%	+0.9	10
1948-10-03	Atletico Madrid	L 1-2	1546	1591	76.2%	9.6%	14.1%	-6.4	4
1948-10-03	@ Real Madrid	W 2-1	1591	1546	14.1%	9.6%	76.2%	+6.5	7
1948-10-03	Atletico Bilbao	W 6-3	1551	1584	77.0%	9.6%	13.4%	+2.4	6
1948-10-03	@ Real Oviedo	L 3-6	1584	1551	13.4%	9.6%	77.0%	-2.4	6
1948-10-03	Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1571	1560	79.8%	9.4%	10.7%	+1.0	7
1948-10-03	@ Sevilla	L 1-2	1560	1571	10.7%	9.4%	79.8%	-1.0	6
1948-10-10	Real Madrid	L 2-3	1582	1540	81.5%	9.3%	9.2%	-6.5	6
1948-10-10	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 3-2	1540	1582	9.2%	9.3%	81.5%	+6.5	7
1948-10-10	Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-0	1597	1468	85.3%	8.9%	5.8%	+2.0	10
1948-10-10	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-4	1468	1597	5.8%	8.9%	85.3%	-2.0	3
1948-10-10	Alcoyano	W 4-0	1612	1505	84.5%	9.0%	6.5%	+2.3	13
1948-10-10	@ Barcelona	L 0-4	1505	1612	6.5%	9.0%	84.5%	-2.3	6
1948-10-10	Sabadell	W 3-2	1559	1507	82.0%	9.3%	8.7%	+0.8	9
1948-10-10	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-3	1507	1559	8.7%	9.3%	82.0%	-0.8	0
1948-10-10	Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1497	1554	75.3%	9.6%	15.0%	+1.4	9
1948-10-10	@ Real Valladolid	L 1-2	1554	1497	15.0%	9.6%	75.3%	-1.4	6
1948-10-10	Espanol	L 0-3	1572	1542	80.9%	9.4%	9.7%	-19.9	7
1948-10-10	@ Sevilla	W 3-0	1542	1572	9.7%	9.4%	80.9%	+19.9	9
1948-10-10	Gimnastic	W 7-0	1599	1515	83.5%	9.2%	7.3%	+4.4	10
1948-10-10	@ Valencia	L 0-7	1515	1599	7.3%	9.2%	83.5%	-4.4	7
1948-10-17	Valencia	L 0-1	1502	1604	71.7%	9.7%	18.6%	-6.4	6
1948-10-17	@ Alcoyano	W 1-0	1604	1502	18.6%	9.7%	71.7%	+6.4	13
1948-10-17	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-1	1466	1575	71.0%	9.7%	19.3%	+3.0	6
1948-10-17	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-3	1575	1466	19.3%	9.7%	71.0%	-3.0	6
1948-10-17	Celta Vigo	W 5-0	1562	1560	79.3%	9.5%	11.2%	+4.9	12
1948-10-17	@ Espanol	L 0-5	1560	1562	11.2%	9.5%	79.3%	-4.9	9
1948-10-17	Atletico Madrid	W 2-1	1511	1599	72.8%	9.7%	17.5%	+1.6	10
1948-10-17	@ Gimnastic	L 1-2	1599	1511	17.5%	9.7%	72.8%	-1.6	10
1948-10-17	Real Valladolid	W 4-1	1547	1498	81.8%	9.3%	8.9%	+2.0	10
1948-10-17	@ Real Madrid	L 1-4	1498	1547	8.9%	9.3%	81.8%	-2.0	9
1948-10-17	Sevilla	L 0-1	1552	1552	79.2%	9.5%	11.3%	-7.1	6
1948-10-17	@ Real Oviedo	W 1-0	1552	1552	11.3%	9.5%	79.2%	+7.1	10
1948-10-17	Barcelona	W 1-0	1506	1614	71.0%	9.7%	19.2%	+1.9	3
1948-10-17	@ Sabadell	L 0-1	1614	1506	19.2%	9.7%	71.0%	-1.9	13
1948-10-24	Gimnastic	W 4-1	1572	1512	82.4%	9.2%	8.3%	+1.9	9
1948-10-24	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-4	1512	1572	8.3%	9.2%	82.4%	-1.9	10
1948-10-24	Alcoyano	W 4-0	1598	1496	84.2%	9.1%	6.7%	+2.4	13
1948-10-24	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-4	1496	1598	6.7%	9.1%	84.2%	-2.3	6
1948-10-24	Barcelona	D 2-2	1555	1612	75.3%	9.6%	15.1%	-1.0	10
1948-10-24	@ Celta Vigo	D 2-2	1612	1555	15.1%	9.6%	75.3%	+1.0	14
1948-10-24	Real Oviedo	D 0-0	1566	1545	80.4%	9.4%	10.2%	-1.8	13
1948-10-24	@ Espanol	D 0-0	1545	1566	10.2%	9.4%	80.4%	+1.8	7
1948-10-24	Deportivo La Coruna	W 1-0	1496	1469	80.8%	9.4%	9.9%	+1.0	12
1948-10-24	@ Real Valladolid	L 0-1	1469	1496	9.9%	9.4%	80.8%	-1.0	6
1948-10-24	Real Madrid	L 1-5	1559	1549	79.8%	9.4%	10.7%	-21.4	10
1948-10-24	@ Sevilla	W 5-1	1549	1559	10.7%	9.4%	79.8%	+21.4	13
1948-10-24	Sabadell	W 3-0	1610	1508	84.2%	9.1%	6.7%	+1.8	16
1948-10-24	@ Valencia	L 0-3	1508	1610	6.7%	9.1%	84.2%	-1.8	3
1948-10-31	Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1493	1574	73.5%	9.7%	16.9%	+1.6	9
1948-10-31	@ Alcoyano	L 0-1	1574	1493	16.9%	9.7%	73.5%	-1.6	9
1948-10-31	Valencia	W 4-3	1613	1612	79.3%	9.5%	11.2%	+1.0	17
1948-10-31	@ Barcelona	L 3-4	1612	1613	11.2%	9.5%	79.3%	-1.0	16
1948-10-31	Sevilla	W 2-0	1468	1538	74.3%	9.7%	16.0%	+3.0	9
1948-10-31	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-2	1538	1468	16.0%	9.7%	74.3%	-2.9	10
1948-10-31	Real Valladolid	W 4-2	1510	1497	80.0%	9.4%	10.6%	+1.5	13
1948-10-31	@ Gimnastic	L 2-4	1497	1510	10.6%	9.4%	80.0%	-1.5	12
1948-10-31	Espanol	W 3-1	1570	1565	79.5%	9.5%	11.0%	+1.8	16
1948-10-31	@ Real Madrid	L 1-3	1565	1570	11.0%	9.5%	79.5%	-1.8	13
1948-10-31	Celta Vigo	W 5-2	1547	1554	78.8%	9.5%	11.7%	+2.3	10
1948-10-31	@ Real Oviedo	L 2-5	1554	1547	11.7%	9.5%	78.8%	-2.3	10
1948-10-31	Atletico Madrid	L 1-3	1506	1600	72.3%	9.7%	18.0%	-10.6	3
1948-10-31	@ Sabadell	W 3-1	1600	1506	18.0%	9.7%	72.3%	+10.6	16
1948-11-07	Sabadell	W 7-2	1572	1495	83.2%	9.2%	7.6%	+2.3	12
1948-11-07	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 2-7	1495	1572	7.6%	9.2%	83.2%	-2.3	3
1948-11-07	Barcelona	W 2-0	1611	1614	79.0%	9.5%	11.6%	+2.1	19
1948-11-07	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-2	1614	1611	11.6%	9.5%	79.0%	-2.1	17
1948-11-07	Valencia	W 4-2	1552	1611	75.1%	9.6%	15.2%	+2.2	13
1948-11-07	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-4	1611	1552	15.2%	9.6%	75.1%	-2.2	16
1948-11-07	Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-1	1563	1471	83.8%	9.1%	7.0%	+1.6	16
1948-11-07	@ Espanol	L 1-4	1471	1563	7.0%	9.1%	83.8%	-1.6	9
1948-11-07	Real Madrid	D 1-1	1549	1572	77.8%	9.5%	12.7%	-1.5	11
1948-11-07	@ Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1572	1549	12.7%	9.5%	77.8%	+1.5	17
1948-11-07	Alcoyano	W 4-2	1496	1495	79.2%	9.5%	11.3%	+1.6	15
1948-11-07	@ Real Valladolid	L 2-4	1495	1496	11.3%	9.5%	79.2%	-1.6	9
1948-11-07	Gimnastic	W 3-1	1535	1512	80.5%	9.4%	10.1%	+1.6	13
1948-11-07	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1512	1535	10.1%	9.4%	80.5%	-1.6	13
1948-11-14	Sevilla	W 2-0	1493	1537	76.3%	9.6%	14.1%	+2.6	12
1948-11-14	@ Alcoyano	L 0-2	1537	1493	14.1%	9.6%	76.3%	-2.6	13
1948-11-14	Atletico Bilbao	W 5-2	1612	1575	81.3%	9.3%	9.4%	+1.8	20
1948-11-14	@ Barcelona	L 2-5	1575	1612	9.4%	9.3%	81.3%	-1.8	12
1948-11-14	Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1469	1548	73.6%	9.7%	16.7%	-6.2	9
1948-11-14	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-1	1548	1469	16.7%	9.7%	73.6%	+6.2	14
1948-11-14	Espanol	W 4-1	1510	1565	75.5%	9.6%	14.8%	+3.3	16
1948-11-14	@ Gimnastic	L 1-4	1565	1510	14.8%	9.6%	75.5%	-3.3	16
1948-11-14	Celta Vigo	W 6-0	1573	1554	80.3%	9.4%	10.3%	+5.3	20
1948-11-14	@ Real Madrid	L 0-6	1554	1573	10.3%	9.4%	80.3%	-5.3	13
1948-11-14	Real Valladolid	W 3-1	1493	1497	78.9%	9.5%	11.6%	+1.9	6
1948-11-14	@ Sabadell	L 1-3	1497	1493	11.6%	9.5%	78.9%	-1.9	15
1948-11-14	Atletico Madrid	W 4-3	1609	1613	78.9%	9.5%	11.6%	+1.0	19
1948-11-14	@ Valencia	L 3-4	1613	1609	11.6%	9.5%	78.9%	-1.0	19
1948-11-21	Valencia	W 3-2	1573	1610	76.8%	9.6%	13.6%	+1.2	15
1948-11-21	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 2-3	1610	1573	13.6%	9.6%	76.8%	-1.2	19
1948-11-21	Atletico Madrid	D 2-2	1548	1612	74.8%	9.7%	15.5%	-1.0	14
1948-11-21	@ Celta Vigo	D 2-2	1612	1548	15.5%	9.7%	74.8%	+1.0	20
1948-11-21	Alcoyano	D 1-1	1561	1496	82.7%	9.2%	8.1%	-1.7	17
1948-11-21	@ Espanol	D 1-1	1496	1561	8.1%	9.2%	82.7%	+1.7	13
1948-11-21	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-1	1578	1463	84.8%	9.0%	6.2%	+1.0	23
1948-11-21	@ Real Madrid	L 1-3	1463	1578	6.2%	9.0%	84.8%	-1.0	9
1948-11-21	Gimnastic	L 0-2	1554	1514	81.5%	9.3%	9.2%	-13.8	14
1948-11-21	@ Real Oviedo	W 2-0	1514	1554	9.2%	9.3%	81.5%	+13.8	19
1948-11-21	Barcelona	D 1-1	1496	1614	70.1%	9.8%	20.1%	-1.1	16
1948-11-21	@ Real Valladolid	D 1-1	1614	1496	20.1%	9.8%	70.1%	+1.1	21
1948-11-21	Sabadell	W 4-1	1534	1495	81.4%	9.3%	9.3%	+2.1	16
1948-11-21	@ Sevilla	L 1-4	1495	1534	9.3%	9.3%	81.4%	-2.1	6
1948-11-28	Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1498	1540	76.4%	9.6%	14.0%	+1.3	16
1948-11-28	@ Alcoyano	L 1-2	1540	1498	14.0%	9.6%	76.4%	-1.3	14
1948-11-28	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-2	1613	1574	81.4%	9.3%	9.3%	+0.8	23
1948-11-28	@ Atletico Madrid	L 2-3	1574	1613	9.3%	9.3%	81.4%	-0.8	15
1948-11-28	Sevilla	W 2-1	1615	1536	83.3%	9.2%	7.5%	+0.7	24
1948-11-28	@ Barcelona	L 1-2	1536	1615	7.5%	9.2%	83.3%	-0.7	16
1948-11-28	Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1547	1462	83.6%	9.2%	7.3%	-1.8	15
1948-11-28	@ Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1462	1547	7.3%	9.2%	83.6%	+1.8	10
1948-11-28	Real Madrid	D 3-3	1527	1579	75.7%	9.6%	14.7%	-0.9	20
1948-11-28	@ Gimnastic	D 3-3	1579	1527	14.7%	9.6%	75.7%	+0.9	24
1948-11-28	Espanol	W 2-0	1493	1559	74.6%	9.7%	15.8%	+2.9	9
1948-11-28	@ Sabadell	L 0-2	1559	1493	15.8%	9.7%	74.6%	-2.9	17
1948-11-28	Real Valladolid	W 6-2	1608	1494	84.7%	9.0%	6.3%	+1.6	22
1948-11-28	@ Valencia	L 2-6	1494	1608	6.3%	9.0%	84.7%	-1.6	16
1948-12-05	Celta Vigo	W 3-2	1573	1546	80.8%	9.4%	9.8%	+0.9	18
1948-12-05	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 2-3	1546	1573	9.8%	9.4%	80.8%	-0.9	15
1948-12-05	Gimnastic	W 6-2	1464	1527	74.9%	9.7%	15.5%	+3.8	13
1948-12-05	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 2-6	1527	1464	15.5%	9.7%	74.9%	-3.8	20
1948-12-05	Barcelona	D 1-1	1557	1616	75.1%	9.6%	15.2%	-1.4	18
1948-12-05	@ Espanol	D 1-1	1616	1557	15.2%	9.6%	75.1%	+1.4	25
1948-12-05	Alcoyano	W 3-1	1580	1499	83.4%	9.2%	7.4%	+1.2	27
1948-12-05	@ Real Madrid	L 1-3	1499	1580	7.4%	9.2%	83.4%	-1.2	16
1948-12-05	Sabadell	W 5-4	1539	1496	81.6%	9.3%	9.1%	+0.8	17
1948-12-05	@ Real Oviedo	L 4-5	1496	1539	9.1%	9.3%	81.6%	-0.8	9
1948-12-05	Atletico Madrid	L 0-1	1493	1614	69.9%	9.8%	20.3%	-6.3	16
1948-12-05	@ Real Valladolid	W 1-0	1614	1493	20.3%	9.8%	69.9%	+6.3	26
1948-12-05	Valencia	L 0-2	1535	1610	73.9%	9.7%	16.4%	-12.5	16
1948-12-05	@ Sevilla	W 2-0	1610	1535	16.4%	9.7%	73.9%	+12.5	25
1948-12-12	Alcoyano	W 6-1	1468	1498	77.2%	9.6%	13.2%	+4.7	16
1948-12-12	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-6	1498	1468	13.2%	9.6%	77.2%	-4.7	16
1948-12-12	Valencia	W 3-0	1555	1622	74.5%	9.7%	15.8%	+4.2	21
1948-12-12	@ Espanol	L 0-3	1622	1555	15.8%	9.7%	74.5%	-4.2	25
1948-12-12	Celta Vigo	W 3-2	1523	1545	77.8%	9.5%	12.7%	+1.1	23
1948-12-12	@ Gimnastic	L 2-3	1545	1523	12.7%	9.5%	77.8%	-1.1	15
1948-12-12	Sabadell	W 5-1	1582	1495	83.6%	9.1%	7.2%	+2.1	30
1948-12-12	@ Real Madrid	L 1-5	1495	1582	7.2%	9.1%	83.6%	-2.1	9
1948-12-12	Barcelona	W 2-0	1540	1617	73.7%	9.7%	16.6%	+3.1	20
1948-12-12	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-2	1617	1540	16.6%	9.7%	73.7%	-3.1	25
1948-12-12	Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1487	1574	72.9%	9.7%	17.4%	+1.7	19
1948-12-12	@ Real Valladolid	L 0-1	1574	1487	17.4%	9.7%	72.9%	-1.7	18
1948-12-12	Atletico Madrid	L 0-1	1523	1620	72.0%	9.7%	18.2%	-6.4	16
1948-12-12	@ Sevilla	W 1-0	1620	1523	18.2%	9.7%	72.0%	+6.5	29
1949-01-09	Gimnastic	D 2-2	1493	1524	77.2%	9.6%	13.2%	-1.1	17
1949-01-09	@ Alcoyano	D 2-2	1524	1493	13.2%	9.6%	77.2%	+1.1	24
1949-01-09	Sevilla	W 4-0	1572	1516	82.2%	9.3%	8.5%	+3.0	21
1949-01-09	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-4	1516	1572	8.5%	9.3%	82.2%	-3.0	16
1949-01-09	Espanol	W 2-1	1626	1559	82.7%	9.2%	8.0%	+0.7	32
1949-01-09	@ Atletico Madrid	L 1-2	1559	1626	8.0%	9.2%	82.7%	-0.8	21
1949-01-09	Real Madrid	W 3-1	1614	1584	80.9%	9.4%	9.7%	+1.6	28
1949-01-09	@ Barcelona	L 1-3	1584	1614	9.7%	9.4%	80.9%	-1.6	30
1949-01-09	Real Valladolid	W 2-0	1544	1488	82.2%	9.3%	8.5%	+1.6	18
1949-01-09	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-2	1488	1544	8.5%	9.3%	82.2%	-1.6	19
1949-01-09	Deportivo La Coruna	D 4-4	1493	1472	80.4%	9.4%	10.2%	-0.9	10
1949-01-09	@ Sabadell	D 4-4	1472	1493	10.2%	9.4%	80.4%	+0.9	17
1949-01-09	Real Oviedo	W 3-1	1618	1543	83.1%	9.2%	7.7%	+1.2	28
1949-01-09	@ Valencia	L 1-3	1543	1618	7.7%	9.2%	83.1%	-1.2	20
1949-01-16	Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1492	1545	75.6%	9.6%	14.8%	+1.4	20
1949-01-16	@ Alcoyano	L 0-1	1545	1492	14.8%	9.6%	75.6%	-1.4	18
1949-01-16	Barcelona	D 2-2	1473	1616	67.8%	9.8%	22.5%	-0.8	18
1949-01-16	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1616	1473	22.5%	9.8%	67.8%	+0.8	29
1949-01-16	Atletico Bilbao	D 1-1	1559	1575	78.1%	9.5%	12.3%	-1.5	22
1949-01-16	@ Espanol	D 1-1	1575	1559	12.3%	9.5%	78.1%	+1.5	22
1949-01-16	Sabadell	W 3-2	1525	1492	81.1%	9.4%	9.6%	+0.8	27
1949-01-16	@ Gimnastic	L 2-3	1492	1525	9.6%	9.4%	81.1%	-0.8	10
1949-01-16	Valencia	W 4-3	1582	1619	76.8%	9.6%	13.7%	+1.2	33
1949-01-16	@ Real Madrid	L 3-4	1619	1582	13.7%	9.6%	76.8%	-1.2	28
1949-01-16	Atletico Madrid	W 2-0	1541	1627	73.0%	9.7%	17.3%	+3.2	23
1949-01-16	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-2	1627	1541	17.3%	9.7%	73.0%	-3.2	32
1949-01-16	Real Valladolid	W 2-1	1513	1487	80.7%	9.4%	9.9%	+0.9	19
1949-01-16	@ Sevilla	L 1-2	1487	1513	9.9%	9.4%	80.7%	-0.9	19
1949-01-23	Real Oviedo	L 0-1	1577	1545	81.0%	9.4%	9.6%	-7.3	22
1949-01-23	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 1-0	1545	1577	9.6%	9.4%	81.0%	+7.3	26
1949-01-23	Real Madrid	L 0-2	1624	1583	81.5%	9.3%	9.2%	-13.8	32
1949-01-23	@ Atletico Madrid	W 2-0	1583	1624	9.2%	9.3%	81.5%	+13.8	36
1949-01-23	Gimnastic	W 3-1	1616	1526	83.8%	9.1%	7.1%	+1.1	32
1949-01-23	@ Barcelona	L 1-3	1526	1616	7.1%	9.1%	83.8%	-1.2	27
1949-01-23	Sevilla	W 3-1	1544	1514	80.9%	9.4%	9.8%	+1.6	21
1949-01-23	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-3	1514	1544	9.8%	9.4%	80.9%	-1.6	19
1949-01-23	Espanol	W 1-0	1486	1557	74.2%	9.7%	16.1%	+1.6	22
1949-01-23	@ Real Valladolid	L 0-1	1557	1486	16.1%	9.7%	74.2%	-1.6	22
1949-01-23	Alcoyano	W 3-1	1491	1494	79.0%	9.5%	11.5%	+1.8	13
1949-01-23	@ Sabadell	L 1-3	1494	1491	11.5%	9.5%	79.0%	-1.8	20
1949-01-23	Deportivo La Coruna	W 7-1	1618	1473	85.9%	8.9%	5.3%	+2.2	31
1949-01-23	@ Valencia	L 1-7	1473	1618	5.3%	8.9%	85.9%	-2.2	18
1949-01-30	Barcelona	L 1-2	1492	1618	69.4%	9.8%	20.8%	-5.9	20
1949-01-30	@ Alcoyano	W 2-1	1618	1492	20.8%	9.8%	69.4%	+5.9	35
1949-01-30	Atletico Madrid	W 3-1	1470	1610	68.0%	9.8%	22.2%	+3.5	21
1949-01-30	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-3	1610	1470	22.2%	9.8%	68.0%	-3.5	32
1949-01-30	Sevilla	W 1-0	1556	1513	81.6%	9.3%	9.1%	+0.9	25
1949-01-30	@ Espanol	L 0-1	1513	1556	9.1%	9.3%	81.6%	-0.9	19
1949-01-30	Valencia	W 6-1	1525	1621	72.1%	9.7%	18.1%	+6.4	30
1949-01-30	@ Gimnastic	L 1-6	1621	1525	18.1%	9.7%	72.1%	-6.4	31
1949-01-30	Atletico Bilbao	W 4-2	1597	1570	80.8%	9.4%	9.9%	+1.4	39
1949-01-30	@ Real Madrid	L 2-4	1570	1597	9.9%	9.4%	80.8%	-1.4	22
1949-01-30	Real Valladolid	W 2-1	1552	1487	82.6%	9.2%	8.1%	+0.8	29
1949-01-30	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-2	1487	1552	8.1%	9.2%	82.6%	-0.8	22
1949-01-30	Celta Vigo	W 3-0	1493	1545	75.7%	9.6%	14.7%	+3.9	16
1949-01-30	@ Sabadell	L 0-3	1545	1493	14.7%	9.6%	75.7%	-3.9	21
1949-02-06	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-1	1568	1474	83.9%	9.1%	7.0%	+1.1	25
1949-02-06	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-3	1474	1568	7.0%	9.1%	83.9%	-1.1	21
1949-02-06	Gimnastic	W 1-0	1607	1531	83.1%	9.2%	7.7%	+0.8	35
1949-02-06	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-1	1531	1607	7.7%	9.2%	83.1%	-0.8	30
1949-02-06	Sabadell	W 4-1	1623	1497	85.2%	8.9%	5.9%	+1.3	38
1949-02-06	@ Barcelona	L 1-4	1497	1623	5.9%	8.9%	85.2%	-1.3	16
1949-02-06	Espanol	W 2-1	1541	1557	78.2%	9.5%	12.2%	+1.1	24
1949-02-06	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1557	1541	12.2%	9.5%	78.2%	-1.1	25
1949-02-06	Real Madrid	W 2-0	1487	1598	70.7%	9.8%	19.5%	+3.6	25
1949-02-06	@ Real Valladolid	L 0-2	1598	1487	19.5%	9.8%	70.7%	-3.6	39
1949-02-06	Real Oviedo	W 1-0	1512	1553	76.5%	9.6%	13.9%	+1.4	22
1949-02-06	@ Sevilla	L 0-1	1553	1512	13.9%	9.6%	76.5%	-1.4	29
1949-02-06	Alcoyano	W 5-3	1614	1486	85.2%	8.9%	5.8%	+0.8	34
1949-02-06	@ Valencia	L 3-5	1486	1614	5.8%	8.9%	85.2%	-0.8	20
1949-02-13	Atletico Madrid	D 0-0	1485	1607	69.7%	9.8%	20.5%	-1.2	21
1949-02-13	@ Alcoyano	D 0-0	1607	1485	20.5%	9.8%	69.7%	+1.2	36
1949-02-13	Celta Vigo	W 3-1	1625	1543	83.4%	9.2%	7.4%	+1.2	41
1949-02-13	@ Barcelona	L 1-3	1543	1625	7.4%	9.2%	83.4%	-1.2	24
1949-02-13	Real Valladolid	W 5-0	1473	1490	78.1%	9.5%	12.4%	+5.3	24
1949-02-13	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-5	1490	1473	12.4%	9.5%	78.1%	-5.4	25
1949-02-13	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-1	1530	1569	76.6%	9.6%	13.8%	+2.2	33
1949-02-13	@ Gimnastic	L 1-3	1569	1530	13.8%	9.6%	76.6%	-2.2	25
1949-02-13	Sevilla	W 1-0	1595	1513	83.4%	9.2%	7.4%	+0.7	42
1949-02-13	@ Real Madrid	L 0-1	1513	1595	7.4%	9.2%	83.4%	-0.7	22
1949-02-13	Espanol	W 3-0	1551	1555	78.9%	9.5%	11.6%	+3.1	32
1949-02-13	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-3	1555	1551	11.6%	9.5%	78.9%	-3.1	25
1949-02-13	Valencia	L 0-3	1496	1615	70.0%	9.8%	20.2%	-17.2	16
1949-02-13	@ Sabadell	W 3-0	1615	1496	20.2%	9.8%	70.0%	+17.2	37
1949-02-20	Alcoyano	W 3-0	1567	1484	83.5%	9.2%	7.4%	+2.0	28
1949-02-20	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-3	1484	1567	7.4%	9.2%	83.5%	-2.0	21
1949-02-20	Sabadell	W 6-0	1609	1478	85.3%	8.9%	5.8%	+3.0	39
1949-02-20	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-6	1478	1609	5.8%	8.9%	85.3%	-3.0	16
1949-02-20	Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1541	1554	78.4%	9.5%	12.1%	+1.1	27
1949-02-20	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1554	1541	12.1%	9.5%	78.4%	-1.1	32
1949-02-20	Real Madrid	W 3-2	1552	1596	76.3%	9.6%	14.1%	+1.2	28
1949-02-20	@ Espanol	L 2-3	1596	1552	14.1%	9.6%	76.3%	-1.2	42
1949-02-20	Gimnastic	W 3-1	1485	1532	76.0%	9.6%	14.4%	+2.3	28
1949-02-20	@ Real Valladolid	L 1-3	1532	1485	14.4%	9.6%	76.0%	-2.3	33
1949-02-20	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-1	1512	1478	81.1%	9.3%	9.5%	+1.5	25
1949-02-20	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1478	1512	9.5%	9.3%	81.1%	-1.5	24
1949-02-20	Barcelona	W 4-2	1632	1626	79.6%	9.4%	11.0%	+1.6	40
1949-02-20	@ Valencia	L 2-4	1626	1632	11.0%	9.4%	79.6%	-1.6	41
1949-02-27	Real Valladolid	W 2-1	1482	1487	78.9%	9.5%	11.7%	+1.1	24
1949-02-27	@ Alcoyano	L 1-2	1487	1482	11.7%	9.5%	78.9%	-1.1	28
1949-02-27	Atletico Madrid	W 4-0	1624	1612	80.0%	9.4%	10.6%	+3.7	44
1949-02-27	@ Barcelona	L 0-4	1612	1624	10.6%	9.4%	80.0%	-3.7	39
1949-02-27	Espanol	W 3-0	1476	1554	73.7%	9.7%	16.6%	+4.4	27
1949-02-27	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-3	1554	1476	16.6%	9.7%	73.7%	-4.4	28
1949-02-27	Sevilla	L 1-3	1530	1514	80.1%	9.4%	10.4%	-11.7	33
1949-02-27	@ Gimnastic	W 3-1	1514	1530	10.4%	9.4%	80.1%	+11.7	28
1949-02-27	Real Oviedo	L 0-2	1594	1553	81.5%	9.3%	9.2%	-13.8	42
1949-02-27	@ Real Madrid	W 2-0	1553	1594	9.2%	9.3%	81.5%	+13.8	35
1949-02-27	Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1475	1569	72.3%	9.7%	17.9%	-0.9	17
1949-02-27	@ Sabadell	D 2-2	1569	1475	17.9%	9.7%	72.3%	+0.9	29
1949-02-27	Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1634	1543	83.8%	9.1%	7.1%	+0.7	43
1949-02-27	@ Valencia	L 0-1	1543	1634	7.1%	9.1%	83.8%	-0.7	27
1949-03-06	Barcelona	W 2-0	1570	1628	75.2%	9.6%	15.1%	+2.8	32
1949-03-06	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-2	1628	1570	15.1%	9.6%	75.2%	-2.8	44
1949-03-06	Valencia	D 2-2	1608	1634	77.5%	9.6%	13.0%	-1.1	40
1949-03-06	@ Atletico Madrid	D 2-2	1634	1608	13.0%	9.6%	77.5%	+1.1	44
1949-03-06	Real Madrid	W 3-1	1542	1581	76.6%	9.6%	13.8%	+2.2	30
1949-03-06	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-3	1581	1542	13.8%	9.6%	76.6%	-2.2	42
1949-03-06	Gimnastic	W 5-4	1549	1518	80.9%	9.4%	9.7%	+0.8	31
1949-03-06	@ Espanol	L 4-5	1518	1549	9.7%	9.4%	80.9%	-0.8	33
1949-03-06	Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-1	1567	1481	83.6%	9.1%	7.3%	+1.7	38
1949-03-06	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-4	1481	1567	7.3%	9.1%	83.6%	-1.7	27
1949-03-06	Sabadell	W 4-0	1486	1475	79.9%	9.4%	10.7%	+3.8	31
1949-03-06	@ Real Valladolid	L 0-4	1475	1486	10.7%	9.4%	79.9%	-3.8	17
1949-03-06	Alcoyano	W 2-0	1526	1483	81.6%	9.3%	9.1%	+1.7	31
1949-03-06	@ Sevilla	L 0-2	1483	1526	9.1%	9.3%	81.6%	-1.7	24
1949-04-03	Espanol	W 2-0	1481	1550	74.4%	9.7%	15.9%	+2.9	27
1949-04-03	@ Alcoyano	L 0-2	1550	1481	15.9%	9.7%	74.4%	-2.9	31
1949-04-03	Celta Vigo	W 3-0	1607	1544	82.5%	9.2%	8.2%	+2.2	43
1949-04-03	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-3	1544	1607	8.2%	9.2%	82.5%	-2.2	30
1949-04-03	Real Valladolid	W 6-0	1625	1490	85.5%	8.9%	5.6%	+2.9	47
1949-04-03	@ Barcelona	L 0-6	1490	1625	5.6%	8.9%	85.5%	-2.9	31
1949-04-03	Real Madrid	L 0-3	1479	1578	71.9%	9.7%	18.4%	-17.6	27
1949-04-03	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-0	1578	1479	18.4%	9.7%	71.9%	+17.6	45
1949-04-03	Real Oviedo	L 2-4	1518	1569	75.8%	9.6%	14.6%	-9.9	33
1949-04-03	@ Gimnastic	W 4-2	1569	1518	14.6%	9.6%	75.8%	+9.9	41
1949-04-03	Sevilla	L 1-3	1471	1527	75.3%	9.6%	15.0%	-11.0	17
1949-04-03	@ Sabadell	W 3-1	1527	1471	15.0%	9.6%	75.3%	+11.0	34
1949-04-03	Atletico Bilbao	W 5-0	1635	1573	82.5%	9.2%	8.2%	+3.6	47
1949-04-03	@ Valencia	L 0-5	1573	1635	8.2%	9.2%	82.5%	-3.6	32
1949-04-10	Atletico Madrid	L 1-3	1569	1609	76.6%	9.6%	13.8%	-11.2	32
1949-04-10	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 3-1	1609	1569	13.8%	9.6%	76.6%	+11.2	46
1949-04-10	Celta Vigo	D 3-3	1462	1542	73.5%	9.7%	16.8%	-0.8	28
1949-04-10	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 3-3	1542	1462	16.8%	9.7%	73.5%	+0.8	31
1949-04-10	Sabadell	W 6-2	1547	1460	83.6%	9.1%	7.2%	+1.8	34
1949-04-10	@ Espanol	L 2-6	1460	1547	7.2%	9.1%	83.6%	-1.8	17
1949-04-10	Gimnastic	W 3-1	1596	1508	83.7%	9.1%	7.2%	+1.2	48
1949-04-10	@ Real Madrid	L 1-3	1508	1596	7.2%	9.1%	83.7%	-1.2	33
1949-04-10	Alcoyano	D 1-1	1579	1484	84.0%	9.1%	7.0%	-1.8	42
1949-04-10	@ Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1484	1579	7.0%	9.1%	84.0%	+1.8	28
1949-04-10	Valencia	D 1-1	1487	1639	66.8%	9.8%	23.4%	-1.0	32
1949-04-10	@ Real Valladolid	D 1-1	1639	1487	23.4%	9.8%	66.8%	+1.0	48
1949-04-10	Barcelona	L 1-2	1538	1628	72.7%	9.7%	17.6%	-6.1	34
1949-04-10	@ Sevilla	W 2-1	1628	1538	17.6%	9.7%	72.7%	+6.1	50
1949-04-17	Real Madrid	D 2-2	1486	1597	70.8%	9.8%	19.5%	-0.9	29
1949-04-17	@ Alcoyano	D 2-2	1597	1486	19.5%	9.8%	70.8%	+0.8	49
1949-04-17	Real Valladolid	W 2-0	1620	1486	85.5%	8.9%	5.6%	+1.0	49
1949-04-17	@ Atletico Madrid	L 0-2	1486	1620	5.6%	8.9%	85.5%	-1.0	32
1949-04-17	Espanol	W 2-1	1634	1549	83.6%	9.1%	7.3%	+0.7	53
1949-04-17	@ Barcelona	L 1-2	1549	1634	7.3%	9.1%	83.6%	-0.7	34
1949-04-17	Atletico Bilbao	L 3-4	1543	1558	78.2%	9.5%	12.2%	-6.1	31
1949-04-17	@ Celta Vigo	W 4-3	1558	1543	12.2%	9.5%	78.2%	+6.1	35
1949-04-17	Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-4	1507	1461	81.7%	9.3%	9.0%	-16.9	33
1949-04-17	@ Gimnastic	W 4-1	1461	1507	9.0%	9.3%	81.7%	+16.9	31
1949-04-17	Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1458	1577	70.1%	9.8%	20.2%	-0.8	18
1949-04-17	@ Sabadell	D 2-2	1577	1458	20.2%	9.8%	70.1%	+0.8	43
1949-04-17	Sevilla	W 2-0	1640	1532	84.5%	9.0%	6.5%	+1.2	51
1949-04-17	@ Valencia	L 0-2	1532	1640	6.5%	9.0%	84.5%	-1.2	34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1949-04-17	8.97%	Deportivo La Coruna	1461	4	@ Gimnastic	1507	1
2	1948-10-10	9.15%	Real Madrid	1540	3	@ Atletico Bilbao	1582	2
3	1949-02-27	9.18%	Real Oviedo	1553	2	@ Real Madrid	1594	0
4	1949-01-23	9.21%	Real Madrid	1583	2	@ Atletico Madrid	1624	0
5	1948-11-21	9.22%	Gimnastic	1514	2	@ Real Oviedo	1554	0
6	1949-01-23	9.61%	Real Oviedo	1545	1	@ Atletico Bilbao	1577	0
7	1948-10-10	9.71%	Espanol	1542	3	@ Sevilla	1572	0
8	1949-02-27	10.44%	Sevilla	1514	3	@ Gimnastic	1530	1
9	1948-10-24	10.74%	Real Madrid	1549	5	@ Sevilla	1559	1
10	1948-09-26	11.07%	Gimnastic	1510	3	@ Sabadell	1514	2
11	1948-10-17	11.33%	Sevilla	1552	1	@ Real Oviedo	1552	0
12	1949-04-17	12.25%	Atletico Bilbao	1558	4	@ Celta Vigo	1543	3
13	1948-09-12	12.65%	Real Madrid	1545	2	@ Sabadell	1524	1
14	1949-04-10	13.83%	Atletico Madrid	1609	3	@ Atletico Bilbao	1569	1
15	1948-10-03	14.15%	Atletico Madrid	1591	2	@ Real Madrid	1546	1
16	1948-09-19	14.61%	Barcelona	1603	2	@ Real Madrid	1552	1
17	1949-04-03	14.62%	Real Oviedo	1569	4	@ Gimnastic	1518	2
18	1949-04-03	15.02%	Sevilla	1527	3	@ Sabadell	1471	1
19	1948-12-05	16.39%	Valencia	1610	2	@ Sevilla	1535	0
20	1948-11-14	16.68%	Real Oviedo	1548	2	@ Deportivo La Coruna	1469	1
21	1949-04-10	17.61%	Barcelona	1628	2	@ Sevilla	1538	1
22	1948-10-31	17.98%	Atletico Madrid	1600	3	@ Sabadell	1506	1
23	1948-12-12	18.23%	Atletico Madrid	1620	1	@ Sevilla	1523	0
24	1949-04-03	18.41%	Real Madrid	1578	3	@ Deportivo La Coruna	1479	0
25	1948-10-17	18.60%	Valencia	1604	1	@ Alcoyano	1502	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1948-10-24	21.35	Real Madrid	5	1549	10.74%	@ Sevilla	1	1559	79.82%
2	1948-10-10	19.88	Espanol	3	1542	9.71%	@ Sevilla	0	1572	80.92%
3	1949-04-03	17.62	Real Madrid	3	1578	18.41%	@ Deportivo La Coruna	0	1479	71.86%
4	1949-02-13	17.16	Valencia	3	1615	20.22%	@ Sabadell	0	1496	70.02%
5	1949-04-17	16.94	Deportivo La Coruna	4	1461	8.97%	@ Gimnastic	1	1507	81.72%
6	1949-01-23	13.79	Real Madrid	2	1583	9.21%	@ Atletico Madrid	0	1624	81.46%
7	1949-02-27	13.79	Real Oviedo	2	1553	9.18%	@ Real Madrid	0	1594	81.49%
8	1948-11-21	13.78	Gimnastic	2	1514	9.22%	@ Real Oviedo	0	1554	81.45%
9	1948-12-05	12.49	Valencia	2	1610	16.39%	@ Sevilla	0	1535	73.93%
10	1949-02-27	11.74	Sevilla	3	1514	10.44%	@ Gimnastic	1	1530	80.14%
11	1949-04-10	11.21	Atletico Madrid	3	1609	13.83%	@ Atletico Bilbao	1	1569	76.58%
12	1949-04-03	11.03	Sevilla	3	1527	15.02%	@ Sabadell	1	1471	75.34%
13	1948-10-31	10.57	Atletico Madrid	3	1600	17.98%	@ Sabadell	1	1506	72.31%
14	1949-04-03	9.92	Real Oviedo	4	1569	14.62%	@ Gimnastic	2	1518	75.76%
15	1949-01-23	7.28	Real Oviedo	1	1545	9.61%	@ Atletico Bilbao	0	1577	81.03%
16	1948-10-17	7.10	Sevilla	1	1552	11.33%	@ Real Oviedo	0	1552	79.20%
17	1948-09-12	6.58	Real Madrid	2	1545	12.65%	@ Sabadell	1	1524	77.81%
18	1948-10-10	6.54	Real Madrid	3	1540	9.15%	@ Atletico Bilbao	2	1582	81.52%
19	1948-09-19	6.51	@ Sevilla	6	1568	77.77%	Atletico Bilbao	0	1590	12.68%
20	1948-10-03	6.45	Atletico Madrid	2	1591	14.15%	@ Real Madrid	1	1546	76.25%
21	1948-12-12	6.45	Atletico Madrid	1	1620	18.23%	@ Sevilla	0	1523	72.05%
22	1949-01-30	6.43	@ Gimnastic	6	1525	72.14%	Valencia	1	1621	18.14%
23	1948-10-17	6.42	Valencia	1	1604	18.60%	@ Alcoyano	0	1502	71.67%
24	1948-09-19	6.41	Barcelona	2	1603	14.61%	@ Real Madrid	1	1552	75.76%
25	1948-09-26	6.38	Gimnastic	3	1510	11.07%	@ Sabadell	2	1514	79.47%