1949-50 La Liga Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Atletico Madrid

33 points · 3rd Title

Last Title: 1940-41

Relegated

Real Oviedo

15 pts

Gimnastico · 16 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Deportivo La Coruna

6.49 points above expected

32 points · 25.51 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Real Oviedo

9.77 points below expected

15 points · 24.77 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Atletico Madrid	26	15	3	8	33	71	51	+20	27.9	+5.08
2	Deportivo La Coruna	26	12	8	6	32	48	38	+10	25.5	+6.49
3	Valencia	26	12	7	7	31	71	43	+28	27.8	+3.23
4	Real Madrid	26	11	9	6	31	60	49	+11	28.0	+3.00
5	Barcelona	26	13	3	10	29	67	47	+20	28.7	+0.32
6	Atletico Bilbao	26	12	5	9	29	72	66	+6	27.2	+1.83
7	Celta Vigo	26	13	2	11	28	63	50	+13	27.2	+0.76
8	Real Sociedad	26	9	9	8	27	57	43	+14	24.6	+2.45
9	Real Valladolid	26	8	9	9	25	49	46	+3	26.5	-1.46
10	Sevilla	26	11	3	12	25	60	61	-1	24.5	+0.46
11	Espanol	26	8	6	12	22	42	64	-22	25.6	-3.63
12	CD Malaga	26	8	5	13	21	44	51	-7	23.1	-2.05
13	Gimnastic	26	7	2	17	16	39	99	-60	22.7	-6.71
14	Real Oviedo	26	4	7	15	15	30	65	-35	24.8	-9.77

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Atletico Madrid	1730	33	27.92	+5.08	93.0%	18	21	25	28	32	34	37
Valencia	1719	31	27.77	+3.23	84.0%	17	20	25	28	30	33	36
Barcelona	1708	29	28.68	+0.32	58.0%	20	23	26	28	32	35	38
Real Madrid	1703	31	28.00	+3.00	78.0%	18	20	25	28	31	34	37
Deportivo La Coruna	1662	32	25.51	+6.49	98.0%	17	20	23	25	28	31	36
Celta Vigo	1657	28	27.24	+0.76	62.0%	17	21	24	28	30	33	37
Atletico Bilbao	1648	29	27.17	+1.83	70.0%	15	20	24	27	30	33	35
Sevilla	1633	25	24.54	+0.46	60.0%	16	19	22	24	27	30	32
Real Sociedad	1627	27	24.55	+2.45	77.0%	17	18	21	24	27	32	36
Real Valladolid	1619	25	26.46	-1.46	43.0%	18	21	24	26	29	32	37
Espanol	1582	22	25.63	-3.63	18.0%	15	20	23	25	29	32	34
CD Malaga	1562	21	23.05	-2.05	27.0%	11	14	21	23	25	28	30
Real Oviedo	1562	15	24.77	-9.77	1.0%	13	19	22	25	28	30	37
Gimnastic	1490	16	22.71	-6.71	2.0%	16	17	21	22	25	28	31

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AB	AM	BAR	CM	CV	DLC	ESP	GIM	RM	RO	RS	RV	SEV	VAL
Atletico Bilbao	—	1-1-0 2.72	1-0-1 2.72	2-0-0 3.22	1-1-0 2.86	0-2-0 2.88	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 3.42	1-1-0 2.69	1-0-1 3.02	2-0-0 3.05	1-0-1 2.92	0-0-2 3.02	0-0-2 2.72
Atletico Madrid	0-1-1 2.94	—	1-0-1 2.78	1-1-0 3.33	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 3.02	2-0-0 2.96	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 2.84	2-0-0 3.35	1-0-1 3.19	2-0-0 2.93	1-0-1 3.16	0-1-1 2.85
Barcelona	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 2.88	—	1-1-0 3.48	1-0-1 3.01	1-0-1 3.10	0-1-1 3.29	2-0-0 3.32	0-0-2 2.90	2-0-0 3.17	2-0-0 3.17	0-1-1 3.14	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 2.86
CD Malaga	0-0-2 2.45	0-1-1 2.34	0-1-1 2.19	—	1-0-1 2.43	1-0-1 2.44	1-1-0 2.54	1-0-1 2.84	0-0-2 2.30	1-1-0 2.72	1-0-1 2.59	1-1-0 2.52	1-0-1 2.55	0-0-2 2.32
Celta Vigo	0-1-1 2.81	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.66	1-0-1 3.24	—	0-1-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.95	2-0-0 3.30	1-0-1 2.71	2-0-0 2.90	0-0-2 3.07	1-0-1 2.97	1-0-1 3.04	2-0-0 2.66
Deportivo La Coruna	0-2-0 2.78	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.57	1-0-1 3.22	1-1-0 2.74	—	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 2.97	1-1-0 2.57	1-1-0 2.93	1-1-0 2.94	1-1-0 2.86	1-1-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.58
Espanol	1-0-1 2.63	0-0-2 2.70	1-1-0 2.37	0-1-1 3.13	1-0-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.70	—	1-0-1 3.10	0-2-0 2.51	1-1-0 2.89	0-1-1 3.02	0-0-2 2.85	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.66
Gimnastic	1-0-1 2.24	0-0-2 2.31	0-0-2 2.34	1-0-1 2.83	0-0-2 2.36	1-0-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.57	—	0-0-2 2.29	1-1-0 2.62	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.30	0-0-2 2.39	0-1-1 2.40
Real Madrid	0-1-1 2.97	1-0-1 2.82	2-0-0 2.76	2-0-0 3.38	1-0-1 2.96	0-1-1 3.10	0-2-0 3.16	2-0-0 3.39	—	1-0-1 3.18	0-2-0 3.21	1-1-0 3.09	1-0-1 3.07	0-2-0 2.80
Real Oviedo	1-0-1 2.64	0-0-2 2.31	0-0-2 2.51	0-1-1 2.95	0-0-2 2.76	0-1-1 2.73	0-1-1 2.77	0-1-1 3.04	1-0-1 2.48	—	0-1-1 2.82	0-2-0 2.62	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.41
Real Sociedad	0-0-2 2.61	1-0-1 2.48	0-0-2 2.50	1-0-1 3.08	2-0-0 2.59	0-1-1 2.72	1-1-0 2.65	1-0-1 2.94	0-2-0 2.46	1-1-0 2.84	—	0-2-0 2.65	2-0-0 2.73	0-2-0 2.43
Real Valladolid	1-0-1 2.74	0-0-2 2.74	1-1-0 2.53	0-1-1 3.15	1-0-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.81	2-0-0 2.81	1-0-1 3.36	0-1-1 2.58	0-2-0 3.05	0-2-0 3.02	—	1-1-0 2.78	1-0-1 2.61
Sevilla	2-0-0 2.65	1-0-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.56	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 2.62	0-1-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.87	2-0-0 3.27	1-0-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.83	0-0-2 2.94	0-1-1 2.88	—	0-1-1 2.51
Valencia	2-0-0 2.94	1-1-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.81	2-0-0 3.35	0-0-2 3.00	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 3.01	1-1-0 3.29	0-2-0 2.87	1-0-1 3.27	0-2-0 3.24	1-0-1 3.06	1-1-0 3.16	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.20%	3.85%	3.02%	2.20%	2.75%	3.02%	17.03%
1	3.85%	8.24%	4.95%	2.75%	3.57%	3.30%	26.65%
2	3.02%	4.95%	8.24%	3.85%	1.65%	2.20%	23.90%
3	2.20%	2.75%	3.85%	1.10%	0.55%	1.10%	11.54%
4	2.75%	3.57%	1.65%	0.55%	1.10%	0.55%	10.16%
5+	3.02%	3.30%	2.20%	1.10%	0.55%	0.55%	10.71%
Total	17.03%	26.65%	23.90%	11.54%	10.16%	10.71%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.12
Mean allowed	2.12
StdDev scored	1.80
StdDev allowed	1.80
Mean total goals/game	4.25
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.049
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%	3.85%
1	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	23.08%
2	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	11.54%	30.77%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
Total	15.38%	19.23%	26.92%	7.69%	7.69%	23.08%	100%

Atletico Bilbao — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.77
Mean allowed	2.54
StdDev scored	1.75
StdDev allowed	1.98
Mean total goals/game	5.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.124
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
1	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
2	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
5+	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	23.08%
Total	15.38%	38.46%	15.38%	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Atletico Madrid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.73
Mean allowed	1.96
StdDev scored	2.01
StdDev allowed	1.71
Mean total goals/game	4.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.055
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%
1	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
2	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	34.62%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
5+	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
Total	38.46%	11.54%	19.23%	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Barcelona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.58
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	2.30
StdDev allowed	1.94
Mean total goals/game	4.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.288
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	7.69%	—	23.08%
1	—	—	11.54%	7.69%	—	3.85%	23.08%
2	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	34.62%
3	—	—	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	11.54%	30.77%	23.08%	23.08%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

CD Malaga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	1.96
StdDev scored	1.44
StdDev allowed	1.31
Mean total goals/game	3.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.134
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
Total	11.54%	38.46%	19.23%	7.69%	23.08%	—	100%

Celta Vigo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.42
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	2.32
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	4.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.114
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
1	15.38%	15.38%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	38.46%
2	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
3	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	30.77%	26.92%	23.08%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Deportivo La Coruna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.85
Mean allowed	1.46
StdDev scored	1.19
StdDev allowed	1.48
Mean total goals/game	3.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.049
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%	3.85%	23.08%
1	—	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	30.77%
2	—	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	23.08%
3	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
Total	3.85%	26.92%	30.77%	3.85%	26.92%	7.69%	100%

Espanol — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	2.46
StdDev scored	1.44
StdDev allowed	1.45
Mean total goals/game	4.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.313
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	23.08%
1	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	3.85%	26.92%	46.15%
2	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	7.69%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	—	26.92%	7.69%	19.23%	11.54%	34.62%	100%

Gimnastic — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	3.81
StdDev scored	1.48
StdDev allowed	2.73
Mean total goals/game	5.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.422
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
1	3.85%	19.23%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	30.77%
2	—	3.85%	15.38%	—	—	7.69%	26.92%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	7.69%	38.46%	38.46%	3.85%	—	11.54%	100%

Real Madrid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.31
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	1.67
StdDev allowed	1.45
Mean total goals/game	4.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.150
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	11.54%	26.92%
1	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	—	15.38%	7.69%	—	3.85%	34.62%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	11.54%	34.62%	19.23%	3.85%	15.38%	100%

Real Oviedo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	2.50
StdDev scored	0.88
StdDev allowed	1.96
Mean total goals/game	3.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.324
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
2	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	23.08%
3	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
5+	11.54%	—	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	34.62%	23.08%	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Real Sociedad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.19
Mean allowed	1.65
StdDev scored	1.86
StdDev allowed	1.74
Mean total goals/game	3.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.034
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
1	—	15.38%	7.69%	—	11.54%	—	34.62%
2	—	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	30.77%	30.77%	7.69%	15.38%	—	100%

Real Valladolid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.51
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	3.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.202
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%	26.92%
1	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
2	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	26.92%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
4	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
Total	11.54%	23.08%	26.92%	15.38%	11.54%	11.54%	100%

Sevilla — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.31
Mean allowed	2.35
StdDev scored	2.29
StdDev allowed	1.72
Mean total goals/game	4.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.383
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
2	—	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
5+	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
Total	26.92%	26.92%	23.08%	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

Valencia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.73
Mean allowed	1.65
StdDev scored	1.80
StdDev allowed	1.60
Mean total goals/game	4.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.131
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Deportivo La Coruna	32	25.5	+6.49
2	Atletico Madrid	33	27.9	+5.08
3	Valencia	31	27.8	+3.23
4	Real Madrid	31	28.0	+3.00
5	Real Sociedad	27	24.6	+2.45

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Real Oviedo	15	24.8	-9.77
2	Gimnastic	16	22.7	-6.71
3	Espanol	22	25.6	-3.63
4	CD Malaga	21	23.1	-2.05
5	Real Valladolid	25	26.5	-1.46

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atletico Madrid	4	Feb 5 – Feb 26	1 in 37
2	Sevilla	4	Nov 13 – Dec 11	1 in 31
3	Celta Vigo	3	Sep 4 – Sep 18	1 in 20
4	Deportivo La Coruna	3	Sep 25 – Oct 9	1 in 13
5	Atletico Bilbao	3	Sep 4 – Sep 18	1 in 12

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Celta Vigo	4	Mar 5 – Apr 23	1 in 154
2	Gimnastic	7	Nov 6 – Jan 15	1 in 81
3	CD Malaga	4	Oct 9 – Oct 30	1 in 37
4	Atletico Madrid	3	Oct 16 – Oct 30	1 in 22
5	Sevilla	3	Sep 25 – Oct 9	1 in 16

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Madrid	11	Sep 18 – Dec 4	1 in 342
2	Atletico Madrid	9	Dec 11 – Feb 26	1 in 82
3	Real Valladolid	8	Oct 2 – Nov 20	1 in 75
4	Sevilla	5	Nov 13 – Dec 18	1 in 20
5	Deportivo La Coruna	6	Sep 11 – Oct 16	1 in 19

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sevilla	7	Sep 4 – Oct 16	1 in 153
2	Real Valladolid	7	Nov 27 – Jan 29	1 in 58
3	Real Oviedo	8	Feb 5 – Apr 23	1 in 32
4	Real Madrid	4	Jan 22 – Feb 12	1 in 20
5	Celta Vigo	4	Mar 5 – Apr 23	1 in 17

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Atletico Madrid	21.00%	10.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	12.00%	8.00%	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Deportivo La Coruna	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	7.00%	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	14.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%
Valencia	13.00%	16.00%	12.00%	11.00%	6.00%	5.00%	9.00%	6.00%	1.00%	7.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Real Madrid	13.00%	15.00%	12.00%	5.00%	4.00%	14.00%	11.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	6.00%
Barcelona	21.00%	12.00%	8.00%	12.00%	9.00%	8.00%	11.00%	6.00%	1.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—
Atletico Bilbao	8.00%	8.00%	11.00%	13.00%	6.00%	10.00%	4.00%	11.00%	11.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Celta Vigo	6.00%	13.00%	13.00%	11.00%	12.00%	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Real Sociedad	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	4.00%	10.00%	5.00%	10.00%	8.00%	7.00%	8.00%	12.00%	13.00%	8.00%
Real Valladolid	6.00%	5.00%	9.00%	5.00%	7.00%	8.00%	11.00%	11.00%	8.00%	7.00%	11.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%
Sevilla	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	4.00%	7.00%	10.00%	12.00%	5.00%	14.00%	9.00%	10.00%
Espanol	2.00%	6.00%	6.00%	6.00%	9.00%	6.00%	7.00%	3.00%	11.00%	8.00%	14.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%
CD Malaga	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	3.00%	7.00%	10.00%	8.00%	15.00%	12.00%	8.00%	18.00%
Gimnastic	—	3.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	12.00%	10.00%	13.00%	26.00%	19.00%
Real Oviedo	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	9.00%	7.00%	2.00%	11.00%	10.00%	9.00%	3.00%	9.00%	9.00%	10.00%	13.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff
Atletico Bilbao	94.0%	6.0%
Atletico Madrid	95.0%	5.0%
Barcelona	98.0%	2.0%
CD Malaga	74.0%	26.0%
Celta Vigo	93.0%	7.0%
Deportivo La Coruna	89.0%	11.0%
Espanol	85.0%	15.0%
Gimnastic	55.0%	45.0%
Real Madrid	93.0%	7.0%
Real Oviedo	77.0%	23.0%
Real Sociedad	79.0%	21.0%
Real Valladolid	93.0%	7.0%
Sevilla	81.0%	19.0%
Valencia	94.0%	6.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1949-09-04	Barcelona	W 3-1	1648	1677	66.7%	17.2%	16.1%	+3.6	3
1949-09-04	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-3	1677	1648	16.1%	17.2%	66.7%	-3.7	0
1949-09-04	Valencia	L 1-2	1572	1680	59.1%	17.7%	23.1%	-6.6	0
1949-09-04	@ CD Malaga	W 2-1	1680	1572	23.1%	17.7%	59.1%	+6.6	3
1949-09-04	Real Oviedo	W 3-1	1635	1652	67.8%	17.0%	15.2%	+3.4	3
1949-09-04	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-3	1652	1635	15.2%	17.0%	67.8%	-3.4	0
1949-09-04	Real Sociedad	D 2-2	1643	1592	72.9%	16.1%	11.0%	-1.4	1
1949-09-04	@ Espanol	D 2-2	1592	1643	11.0%	16.1%	72.9%	+1.4	1
1949-09-04	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-2	1614	1614	69.2%	16.8%	14.0%	+1.8	3
1949-09-04	@ Gimnastic	L 2-3	1614	1614	14.0%	16.8%	69.2%	-1.7	0
1949-09-04	Sevilla	W 4-2	1661	1633	71.3%	16.5%	12.2%	+2.5	3
1949-09-04	@ Real Madrid	L 2-4	1633	1661	12.2%	16.5%	71.3%	-2.5	0
1949-09-11	CD Malaga	W 3-2	1671	1566	76.4%	15.2%	8.4%	+1.0	3
1949-09-11	@ Atletico Madrid	L 2-3	1566	1671	8.4%	15.2%	76.4%	-1.0	0
1949-09-11	Gimnastic	W 10-1	1674	1616	73.4%	16.0%	10.6%	+9.4	3
1949-09-11	@ Barcelona	L 1-10	1616	1674	10.6%	16.0%	73.4%	-9.3	3
1949-09-11	Real Madrid	W 3-0	1612	1664	64.7%	17.4%	17.9%	+6.8	3
1949-09-11	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-3	1664	1612	17.9%	17.4%	64.7%	-6.8	3
1949-09-11	Espanol	L 2-3	1648	1641	69.7%	16.8%	13.6%	-7.4	0
1949-09-11	@ Real Oviedo	W 3-2	1641	1648	13.6%	16.8%	69.7%	+7.4	4
1949-09-11	Atletico Bilbao	L 2-3	1593	1651	64.2%	17.4%	18.4%	-6.8	1
1949-09-11	@ Real Sociedad	W 3-2	1651	1593	18.4%	17.4%	64.2%	+6.8	6
1949-09-11	Real Valladolid	L 2-3	1631	1608	70.9%	16.5%	12.6%	-7.5	0
1949-09-11	@ Sevilla	W 3-2	1608	1631	12.6%	16.5%	70.9%	+7.5	3
1949-09-11	Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1687	1638	72.7%	16.2%	11.1%	-8.1	3
1949-09-11	@ Valencia	W 2-1	1638	1687	11.1%	16.2%	72.7%	+8.1	6
1949-09-18	Real Oviedo	W 3-0	1658	1641	70.5%	16.6%	12.9%	+4.9	9
1949-09-18	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-3	1641	1658	12.9%	16.6%	70.5%	-4.9	0
1949-09-18	Atletico Madrid	W 2-0	1647	1673	67.0%	17.1%	15.8%	+4.2	9
1949-09-18	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-2	1673	1647	15.8%	17.1%	67.0%	-4.1	3
1949-09-18	Valencia	W 6-4	1649	1679	66.7%	17.2%	16.1%	+3.0	7
1949-09-18	@ Espanol	L 4-6	1679	1649	16.1%	17.2%	66.7%	-3.0	3
1949-09-18	Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1606	1587	70.7%	16.6%	12.7%	+1.7	6
1949-09-18	@ Gimnastic	L 1-2	1587	1606	12.7%	16.6%	70.7%	-1.7	1
1949-09-18	Barcelona	W 6-1	1657	1683	67.0%	17.1%	15.9%	+8.0	6
1949-09-18	@ Real Madrid	L 1-6	1683	1657	15.9%	17.1%	67.0%	-8.0	3
1949-09-18	CD Malaga	D 3-3	1615	1565	72.9%	16.1%	10.9%	-1.1	4
1949-09-18	@ Real Valladolid	D 3-3	1565	1615	10.9%	16.1%	72.9%	+1.1	1
1949-09-18	Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1623	1619	69.5%	16.8%	13.7%	-1.2	1
1949-09-18	@ Sevilla	D 2-2	1619	1623	13.7%	16.8%	69.5%	+1.2	4
1949-09-25	Espanol	W 5-2	1668	1652	70.5%	16.6%	12.9%	+3.6	6
1949-09-25	@ Atletico Madrid	L 2-5	1652	1668	12.9%	16.6%	70.5%	-3.6	7
1949-09-25	Sevilla	W 7-0	1675	1622	73.1%	16.1%	10.8%	+9.2	6
1949-09-25	@ Barcelona	L 0-7	1622	1675	10.8%	16.1%	73.1%	-9.2	1
1949-09-25	Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1566	1651	61.5%	17.6%	20.9%	+5.4	4
1949-09-25	@ CD Malaga	L 0-2	1651	1566	20.9%	17.6%	61.5%	-5.4	9
1949-09-25	Real Valladolid	W 1-0	1620	1614	69.6%	16.8%	13.6%	+1.9	7
1949-09-25	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1614	1620	13.6%	16.8%	69.6%	-1.9	4
1949-09-25	Gimnastic	D 1-1	1636	1608	71.3%	16.5%	12.2%	-1.7	1
1949-09-25	@ Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1608	1636	12.2%	16.5%	71.3%	+1.7	7
1949-09-25	Real Madrid	D 1-1	1585	1665	62.0%	17.6%	20.4%	-1.2	2
1949-09-25	@ Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1665	1585	20.4%	17.6%	62.0%	+1.2	7
1949-09-25	Atletico Bilbao	W 4-1	1676	1663	70.2%	16.7%	13.2%	+4.2	6
1949-09-25	@ Valencia	L 1-4	1663	1676	13.2%	16.7%	70.2%	-4.2	9
1949-10-02	Atletico Madrid	W 1-0	1659	1672	68.1%	17.0%	14.9%	+2.1	12
1949-10-02	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-1	1672	1659	14.9%	17.0%	68.1%	-2.1	6
1949-10-02	Barcelona	W 3-0	1622	1684	63.7%	17.4%	18.8%	+7.1	10
1949-10-02	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-3	1684	1622	18.8%	17.4%	63.7%	-7.1	6
1949-10-02	CD Malaga	D 2-2	1648	1571	74.6%	15.7%	9.6%	-1.4	8
1949-10-02	@ Espanol	D 2-2	1571	1648	9.6%	15.7%	74.6%	+1.4	5
1949-10-02	Valencia	D 1-1	1610	1680	63.0%	17.5%	19.5%	-1.2	8
1949-10-02	@ Gimnastic	D 1-1	1680	1610	19.5%	17.5%	63.0%	+1.2	7
1949-10-02	Real Oviedo	W 6-2	1666	1634	71.6%	16.4%	12.0%	+4.2	10
1949-10-02	@ Real Madrid	L 2-6	1634	1666	12.0%	16.4%	71.6%	-4.2	1
1949-10-02	Celta Vigo	W 4-1	1612	1645	66.4%	17.2%	16.4%	+5.2	7
1949-10-02	@ Real Valladolid	L 1-4	1645	1612	16.4%	17.2%	66.4%	-5.2	9
1949-10-02	Real Sociedad	L 3-4	1613	1584	71.4%	16.4%	12.2%	-7.4	1
1949-10-02	@ Sevilla	W 4-3	1584	1613	12.2%	16.4%	71.4%	+7.4	5
1949-10-09	Gimnastic	W 5-1	1670	1609	73.6%	16.0%	10.4%	+4.3	9
1949-10-09	@ Atletico Madrid	L 1-5	1609	1670	10.4%	16.0%	73.6%	-4.3	8
1949-10-09	Real Valladolid	D 2-2	1677	1618	73.5%	16.0%	10.5%	-1.4	7
1949-10-09	@ Barcelona	D 2-2	1618	1677	10.5%	16.0%	73.5%	+1.4	8
1949-10-09	Atletico Bilbao	L 2-3	1573	1661	61.2%	17.6%	21.2%	-6.5	5
1949-10-09	@ CD Malaga	W 3-2	1661	1573	21.2%	17.6%	61.2%	+6.5	15
1949-10-09	Espanol	W 4-1	1640	1647	68.6%	16.9%	14.4%	+4.7	12
1949-10-09	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-4	1647	1640	14.4%	16.9%	68.6%	-4.6	8
1949-10-09	Sevilla	W 1-0	1630	1605	71.0%	16.5%	12.4%	+1.7	4
1949-10-09	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-1	1605	1630	12.4%	16.5%	71.0%	-1.7	1
1949-10-09	Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1591	1629	66.0%	17.2%	16.7%	-7.8	5
1949-10-09	@ Real Sociedad	W 1-0	1629	1591	16.7%	17.2%	66.0%	+7.8	13
1949-10-09	Real Madrid	D 2-2	1681	1670	70.0%	16.7%	13.3%	-1.2	8
1949-10-09	@ Valencia	D 2-2	1670	1681	13.3%	16.7%	70.0%	+1.2	11
1949-10-16	Celta Vigo	W 4-1	1667	1645	70.9%	16.5%	12.6%	+4.0	18
1949-10-16	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-4	1645	1667	12.6%	16.5%	70.9%	-4.0	12
1949-10-16	Real Sociedad	W 2-0	1676	1583	75.6%	15.5%	8.9%	+2.4	10
1949-10-16	@ Barcelona	L 0-2	1583	1676	8.9%	15.5%	75.6%	-2.3	5
1949-10-16	Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1637	1632	69.6%	16.8%	13.7%	-1.2	14
1949-10-16	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1632	1637	13.7%	16.8%	69.6%	+1.2	5
1949-10-16	CD Malaga	W 5-1	1604	1566	72.0%	16.3%	11.6%	+4.9	11
1949-10-16	@ Gimnastic	L 1-5	1566	1604	11.6%	16.3%	72.0%	-4.8	5
1949-10-16	Atletico Madrid	W 4-2	1672	1674	69.0%	16.9%	14.2%	+2.9	14
1949-10-16	@ Real Madrid	L 2-4	1674	1672	14.2%	16.9%	69.0%	-2.9	9
1949-10-16	Espanol	W 4-0	1619	1642	67.3%	17.1%	15.6%	+7.8	11
1949-10-16	@ Real Valladolid	L 0-4	1642	1619	15.6%	17.1%	67.3%	-7.8	8
1949-10-16	Valencia	D 2-2	1604	1680	62.4%	17.5%	20.0%	-0.9	2
1949-10-16	@ Sevilla	D 2-2	1680	1604	20.0%	17.5%	62.4%	+0.9	9
1949-10-23	Sevilla	L 0-1	1671	1603	74.1%	15.9%	10.0%	-8.8	9
1949-10-23	@ Atletico Madrid	W 1-0	1603	1671	10.0%	15.9%	74.1%	+8.8	5
1949-10-23	Real Madrid	L 1-3	1561	1675	58.5%	17.8%	23.7%	-11.4	5
1949-10-23	@ CD Malaga	W 3-1	1675	1561	23.7%	17.8%	58.5%	+11.4	17
1949-10-23	Gimnastic	W 10-1	1641	1609	71.6%	16.4%	12.0%	+10.6	15
1949-10-23	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-10	1609	1641	12.0%	16.4%	71.6%	-10.6	11
1949-10-23	Atletico Bilbao	W 4-1	1634	1671	66.1%	17.2%	16.7%	+5.3	11
1949-10-23	@ Espanol	L 1-4	1671	1634	16.7%	17.2%	66.1%	-5.3	18
1949-10-23	Barcelona	L 0-2	1633	1678	65.3%	17.3%	17.4%	-14.6	5
1949-10-23	@ Real Oviedo	W 2-0	1678	1633	17.4%	17.3%	65.3%	+14.6	13
1949-10-23	Real Valladolid	D 1-1	1581	1627	65.3%	17.3%	17.4%	-1.4	6
1949-10-23	@ Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1627	1581	17.4%	17.3%	65.3%	+1.4	12
1949-10-23	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-0	1681	1635	72.5%	16.2%	11.2%	+4.3	12
1949-10-23	@ Valencia	L 0-3	1635	1681	11.2%	16.2%	72.5%	-4.3	14
1949-10-30	Valencia	W 2-0	1693	1685	69.8%	16.7%	13.5%	+3.5	16
1949-10-30	@ Barcelona	L 0-2	1685	1693	13.5%	16.7%	69.8%	-3.5	12
1949-10-30	Atletico Madrid	W 3-1	1631	1663	66.6%	17.2%	16.3%	+3.7	17
1949-10-30	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-3	1663	1631	16.3%	17.2%	66.6%	-3.7	9
1949-10-30	Espanol	W 3-1	1598	1640	65.7%	17.3%	17.0%	+3.8	14
1949-10-30	@ Gimnastic	L 1-3	1640	1598	17.0%	17.3%	65.7%	-3.8	11
1949-10-30	Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1686	1651	71.8%	16.4%	11.8%	+1.6	20
1949-10-30	@ Real Madrid	L 0-1	1651	1686	11.8%	16.4%	71.8%	-1.7	15
1949-10-30	Real Oviedo	W 7-0	1580	1618	65.9%	17.2%	16.8%	+14.1	9
1949-10-30	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-7	1618	1580	16.8%	17.2%	65.9%	-14.1	5
1949-10-30	Atletico Bilbao	W 6-2	1628	1666	66.0%	17.2%	16.8%	+5.9	15
1949-10-30	@ Real Valladolid	L 2-6	1666	1628	16.8%	17.2%	66.0%	-5.9	18
1949-10-30	CD Malaga	W 3-1	1612	1550	73.6%	16.0%	10.4%	+2.4	8
1949-10-30	@ Sevilla	L 1-3	1550	1612	10.4%	16.0%	73.6%	-2.4	5
1949-11-06	Gimnastic	W 7-0	1660	1602	73.4%	16.0%	10.6%	+9.0	21
1949-11-06	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-7	1602	1660	10.6%	16.0%	73.4%	-9.0	14
1949-11-06	Barcelona	W 4-1	1659	1696	66.0%	17.2%	16.7%	+5.3	12
1949-11-06	@ Atletico Madrid	L 1-4	1696	1659	16.7%	17.2%	66.0%	-5.3	16
1949-11-06	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-1	1547	1635	61.3%	17.6%	21.1%	+2.7	8
1949-11-06	@ CD Malaga	L 1-2	1635	1547	21.1%	17.6%	61.3%	-2.7	17
1949-11-06	Sevilla	W 4-2	1650	1614	71.9%	16.4%	11.8%	+2.4	18
1949-11-06	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-4	1614	1650	11.8%	16.4%	71.9%	-2.4	8
1949-11-06	Real Madrid	D 1-1	1636	1688	64.8%	17.4%	17.9%	-1.3	12
1949-11-06	@ Espanol	D 1-1	1688	1636	17.9%	17.4%	64.8%	+1.4	21
1949-11-06	Real Valladolid	D 2-2	1604	1634	66.7%	17.2%	16.1%	-1.1	6
1949-11-06	@ Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1634	1604	16.1%	17.2%	66.7%	+1.1	16
1949-11-06	Real Sociedad	D 0-0	1682	1594	75.3%	15.6%	9.1%	-2.2	13
1949-11-06	@ Valencia	D 0-0	1594	1682	9.1%	15.6%	75.3%	+2.2	10
1949-11-13	CD Malaga	W 4-0	1691	1550	78.4%	14.6%	7.0%	+3.5	19
1949-11-13	@ Barcelona	L 0-4	1550	1691	7.0%	14.6%	78.4%	-3.5	8
1949-11-13	Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1632	1652	67.5%	17.1%	15.4%	-1.5	18
1949-11-13	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1652	1632	15.4%	17.1%	67.5%	+1.5	19
1949-11-13	Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1689	1669	70.7%	16.6%	12.7%	-1.3	22
1949-11-13	@ Real Madrid	D 2-2	1669	1689	12.7%	16.6%	70.7%	+1.3	22
1949-11-13	Valencia	W 2-0	1603	1679	62.4%	17.5%	20.1%	+5.2	9
1949-11-13	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-2	1679	1603	20.1%	17.5%	62.4%	-5.2	13
1949-11-13	Atletico Madrid	W 4-1	1596	1664	63.2%	17.5%	19.3%	+6.1	13
1949-11-13	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-4	1664	1596	19.3%	17.5%	63.2%	-6.1	12
1949-11-13	Gimnastic	W 3-0	1635	1593	72.3%	16.3%	11.4%	+4.4	19
1949-11-13	@ Real Valladolid	L 0-3	1593	1635	11.4%	16.3%	72.3%	-4.4	14
1949-11-13	Espanol	W 2-1	1611	1635	67.3%	17.1%	15.6%	+2.0	11
1949-11-13	@ Sevilla	L 1-2	1635	1611	15.6%	17.1%	67.3%	-2.0	12
1949-11-20	Sevilla	L 2-3	1671	1614	73.3%	16.0%	10.6%	-7.8	22
1949-11-20	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 3-2	1614	1671	10.6%	16.0%	73.3%	+7.8	14
1949-11-20	Real Oviedo	W 4-1	1658	1608	72.9%	16.2%	11.0%	+3.6	15
1949-11-20	@ Atletico Madrid	L 1-4	1608	1658	11.0%	16.2%	72.9%	-3.5	9
1949-11-20	Real Sociedad	W 5-2	1547	1602	64.4%	17.4%	18.2%	+5.0	11
1949-11-20	@ CD Malaga	L 2-5	1602	1547	18.2%	17.4%	64.4%	-5.0	13
1949-11-20	Barcelona	W 6-4	1654	1694	65.7%	17.3%	17.0%	+3.1	22
1949-11-20	@ Celta Vigo	L 4-6	1694	1654	17.0%	17.3%	65.7%	-3.1	19
1949-11-20	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-2	1632	1631	69.3%	16.8%	13.9%	+1.7	15
1949-11-20	@ Espanol	L 2-3	1631	1632	13.9%	16.8%	69.3%	-1.7	18
1949-11-20	Real Madrid	L 0-3	1589	1688	60.1%	17.7%	22.2%	-19.6	14
1949-11-20	@ Gimnastic	W 3-0	1688	1589	22.2%	17.7%	60.1%	+19.6	25
1949-11-20	Valencia	W 3-2	1640	1674	66.3%	17.2%	16.5%	+2.0	22
1949-11-20	@ Real Valladolid	L 2-3	1674	1640	16.5%	17.2%	66.3%	-2.0	13
1949-11-27	Atletico Madrid	L 0-1	1642	1662	67.5%	17.1%	15.4%	-8.0	22
1949-11-27	@ Real Valladolid	W 1-0	1662	1642	15.4%	17.1%	67.5%	+8.0	18
1949-12-04	Espanol	L 1-2	1691	1634	73.3%	16.0%	10.6%	-8.2	19
1949-12-04	@ Barcelona	W 2-1	1634	1691	10.6%	16.0%	73.3%	+8.2	18
1949-12-04	Atletico Bilbao	D 1-1	1629	1663	66.3%	17.2%	16.4%	-1.4	19
1949-12-04	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1663	1629	16.4%	17.2%	66.3%	+1.5	23
1949-12-04	Real Valladolid	D 1-1	1707	1634	74.4%	15.8%	9.8%	-1.9	26
1949-12-04	@ Real Madrid	D 1-1	1634	1707	9.8%	15.8%	74.4%	+1.9	23
1949-12-04	CD Malaga	D 2-2	1605	1552	73.1%	16.1%	10.8%	-1.4	10
1949-12-04	@ Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1552	1605	10.8%	16.1%	73.1%	+1.4	12
1949-12-04	Celta Vigo	W 4-0	1597	1657	64.0%	17.4%	18.6%	+9.1	16
1949-12-04	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-4	1657	1597	18.6%	17.4%	64.0%	-9.1	22
1949-12-04	Gimnastic	W 9-0	1621	1569	73.0%	16.1%	10.9%	+11.7	17
1949-12-04	@ Sevilla	L 0-9	1569	1621	10.9%	16.1%	73.0%	-11.7	14
1949-12-04	Atletico Madrid	W 6-0	1672	1670	69.4%	16.8%	13.8%	+10.1	16
1949-12-04	@ Valencia	L 0-6	1670	1672	13.8%	16.8%	69.4%	-10.1	18
1949-12-11	Real Valladolid	W 2-1	1660	1636	71.0%	16.5%	12.5%	+1.6	21
1949-12-11	@ Atletico Madrid	L 1-2	1636	1660	12.5%	16.5%	71.0%	-1.6	23
1949-12-11	Atletico Bilbao	W 5-0	1683	1664	70.6%	16.6%	12.8%	+7.9	22
1949-12-11	@ Barcelona	L 0-5	1664	1683	12.8%	16.6%	70.6%	-7.9	23
1949-12-11	Gimnastic	W 1-0	1627	1558	74.2%	15.8%	10.0%	+1.4	22
1949-12-11	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1558	1627	10.0%	15.8%	74.2%	-1.4	14
1949-12-11	Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1603	1648	65.4%	17.3%	17.3%	-7.3	10
1949-12-11	@ Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1648	1603	17.3%	17.3%	65.4%	+7.3	25
1949-12-11	Espanol	W 5-0	1606	1642	66.1%	17.2%	16.6%	+10.1	19
1949-12-11	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-5	1642	1606	16.6%	17.2%	66.1%	-10.2	18
1949-12-11	Real Madrid	W 2-1	1633	1705	62.8%	17.5%	19.7%	+2.5	20
1949-12-11	@ Sevilla	L 1-2	1705	1633	19.7%	17.5%	62.8%	-2.5	26
1949-12-11	CD Malaga	W 4-0	1682	1553	77.7%	14.8%	7.5%	+3.7	19
1949-12-11	@ Valencia	L 0-4	1553	1682	7.5%	14.8%	77.7%	-3.7	12
1949-12-18	Real Sociedad	W 5-2	1656	1616	72.2%	16.3%	11.5%	+3.2	26
1949-12-18	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 2-5	1616	1656	11.5%	16.3%	72.2%	-3.2	19
1949-12-18	Atletico Madrid	D 3-3	1549	1661	58.7%	17.7%	23.6%	-0.6	13
1949-12-18	@ CD Malaga	D 3-3	1661	1549	23.6%	17.7%	58.7%	+0.6	22
1949-12-18	Valencia	W 3-2	1655	1686	66.6%	17.2%	16.2%	+2.0	28
1949-12-18	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-3	1686	1655	16.2%	17.2%	66.6%	-2.0	19
1949-12-18	Real Oviedo	D 1-1	1632	1596	71.9%	16.4%	11.8%	-1.8	19
1949-12-18	@ Espanol	D 1-1	1596	1632	11.8%	16.4%	71.9%	+1.8	11
1949-12-18	Barcelona	L 1-4	1556	1691	56.1%	17.8%	26.1%	-15.5	14
1949-12-18	@ Gimnastic	W 4-1	1691	1556	26.1%	17.8%	56.1%	+15.5	25
1949-12-18	Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1703	1629	74.4%	15.8%	9.8%	-1.9	27
1949-12-18	@ Real Madrid	D 1-1	1629	1703	9.8%	15.8%	74.4%	+1.9	23
1949-12-18	Sevilla	D 1-1	1634	1636	69.0%	16.9%	14.1%	-1.6	24
1949-12-18	@ Real Valladolid	D 1-1	1636	1634	14.1%	16.9%	69.0%	+1.6	21
1950-01-15	Celta Vigo	W 4-2	1662	1657	69.6%	16.8%	13.7%	+2.8	25
1950-01-15	@ Atletico Madrid	L 2-4	1657	1662	13.7%	16.8%	69.6%	-2.8	28
1950-01-15	Real Madrid	L 2-3	1707	1701	69.6%	16.8%	13.6%	-7.4	25
1950-01-15	@ Barcelona	W 3-2	1701	1707	13.6%	16.8%	69.6%	+7.4	30
1950-01-15	Real Valladolid	W 2-1	1549	1632	61.7%	17.6%	20.7%	+2.7	16
1950-01-15	@ CD Malaga	L 1-2	1632	1549	20.7%	17.6%	61.7%	-2.7	24
1950-01-15	Sevilla	W 3-0	1631	1637	68.7%	16.9%	14.4%	+5.5	26
1950-01-15	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-3	1637	1631	14.4%	16.9%	68.7%	-5.5	21
1950-01-15	Atletico Bilbao	W 3-1	1598	1660	63.8%	17.4%	18.8%	+4.2	14
1950-01-15	@ Real Oviedo	L 1-3	1660	1598	18.8%	17.4%	63.8%	-4.2	26
1950-01-15	Gimnastic	W 3-1	1613	1541	74.3%	15.8%	9.9%	+2.2	22
1950-01-15	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1541	1613	9.9%	15.8%	74.3%	-2.2	14
1950-01-15	Espanol	W 4-0	1684	1630	73.1%	16.1%	10.8%	+5.4	22
1950-01-15	@ Valencia	L 0-4	1630	1684	10.8%	16.1%	73.1%	-5.4	19
1950-01-22	Valencia	L 3-6	1655	1689	66.3%	17.2%	16.5%	-14.6	26
1950-01-22	@ Atletico Bilbao	W 6-3	1689	1655	16.5%	17.2%	66.3%	+14.6	25
1950-01-22	CD Malaga	W 1-0	1654	1551	76.2%	15.3%	8.5%	+1.2	31
1950-01-22	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-1	1551	1654	8.5%	15.3%	76.2%	-1.2	16
1950-01-22	Atletico Madrid	L 0-2	1625	1665	65.8%	17.2%	16.9%	-14.7	19
1950-01-22	@ Espanol	W 2-0	1665	1625	16.9%	17.2%	65.8%	+14.7	28
1950-01-22	Real Oviedo	W 3-2	1539	1602	63.6%	17.5%	18.9%	+2.3	17
1950-01-22	@ Gimnastic	L 2-3	1602	1539	18.9%	17.5%	63.6%	-2.3	14
1950-01-22	Real Sociedad	D 2-2	1708	1615	75.6%	15.5%	8.9%	-1.5	31
1950-01-22	@ Real Madrid	D 2-2	1615	1708	8.9%	15.5%	75.6%	+1.5	23
1950-01-22	Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1630	1636	68.7%	16.9%	14.4%	-1.6	25
1950-01-22	@ Real Valladolid	D 1-1	1636	1630	14.4%	16.9%	68.7%	+1.6	27
1950-01-22	Barcelona	W 5-2	1632	1699	63.3%	17.5%	19.2%	+5.3	24
1950-01-22	@ Sevilla	L 2-5	1699	1632	19.2%	17.5%	63.3%	-5.3	25
1950-01-29	Atletico Bilbao	D 6-6	1679	1641	72.1%	16.3%	11.6%	-0.8	29
1950-01-29	@ Atletico Madrid	D 6-6	1641	1679	11.6%	16.3%	72.1%	+0.8	27
1950-01-29	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-0	1694	1638	73.3%	16.1%	10.7%	+2.8	28
1950-01-29	@ Barcelona	L 0-2	1638	1694	10.7%	16.1%	73.3%	-2.8	27
1950-01-29	Espanol	W 4-1	1550	1610	64.0%	17.4%	18.6%	+5.9	19
1950-01-29	@ CD Malaga	L 1-4	1610	1550	18.6%	17.4%	64.0%	-5.9	19
1950-01-29	Real Valladolid	W 4-0	1655	1628	71.2%	16.5%	12.3%	+6.1	34
1950-01-29	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-4	1628	1655	12.3%	16.5%	71.2%	-6.1	25
1950-01-29	Real Madrid	W 2-0	1600	1707	59.2%	17.7%	23.1%	+5.9	17
1950-01-29	@ Real Oviedo	L 0-2	1707	1600	23.1%	17.7%	59.2%	-5.9	31
1950-01-29	Sevilla	W 5-0	1617	1637	67.5%	17.1%	15.4%	+9.5	26
1950-01-29	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-5	1637	1617	15.4%	17.1%	67.5%	-9.4	24
1950-01-29	Gimnastic	W 5-1	1704	1541	79.5%	14.1%	6.3%	+2.6	28
1950-01-29	@ Valencia	L 1-5	1541	1704	6.3%	14.1%	79.5%	-2.6	17
1950-02-05	CD Malaga	W 2-1	1642	1556	75.2%	15.6%	9.2%	+1.2	30
1950-02-05	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 1-2	1556	1642	9.2%	15.6%	75.2%	-1.2	19
1950-02-05	Real Sociedad	D 4-4	1635	1626	69.9%	16.7%	13.4%	-0.9	28
1950-02-05	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 4-4	1626	1635	13.4%	16.7%	69.9%	+0.9	27
1950-02-05	Celta Vigo	W 3-0	1604	1661	64.2%	17.4%	18.3%	+6.9	22
1950-02-05	@ Espanol	L 0-3	1661	1604	18.3%	17.4%	64.2%	-6.9	34
1950-02-05	Atletico Madrid	L 0-4	1538	1679	55.5%	17.8%	26.7%	-23.7	17
1950-02-05	@ Gimnastic	W 4-0	1679	1538	26.7%	17.8%	55.5%	+23.7	32
1950-02-05	Valencia	D 2-2	1701	1706	68.7%	16.9%	14.4%	-1.2	32
1950-02-05	@ Real Madrid	D 2-2	1706	1701	14.4%	16.9%	68.7%	+1.2	29
1950-02-05	Barcelona	W 2-1	1622	1697	62.5%	17.5%	19.9%	+2.6	28
1950-02-05	@ Real Valladolid	L 1-2	1697	1622	19.9%	17.5%	62.5%	-2.6	28
1950-02-05	Real Oviedo	W 7-0	1628	1606	70.9%	16.6%	12.6%	+10.7	27
1950-02-05	@ Sevilla	L 0-7	1606	1628	12.6%	16.6%	70.9%	-10.7	17
1950-02-12	Real Madrid	W 5-1	1702	1700	69.4%	16.8%	13.8%	+5.8	35
1950-02-12	@ Atletico Madrid	L 1-5	1700	1702	13.8%	16.8%	69.4%	-5.8	32
1950-02-12	Gimnastic	W 5-1	1555	1515	72.2%	16.3%	11.5%	+4.8	22
1950-02-12	@ CD Malaga	L 1-5	1515	1555	11.5%	16.3%	72.2%	-4.8	17
1950-02-12	Atletico Bilbao	D 1-1	1655	1643	70.1%	16.7%	13.2%	-1.7	35
1950-02-12	@ Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1643	1655	13.2%	16.7%	70.1%	+1.7	31
1950-02-12	Real Valladolid	L 0-4	1611	1624	68.1%	17.0%	14.9%	-28.9	22
1950-02-12	@ Espanol	W 4-0	1624	1611	14.9%	17.0%	68.1%	+28.9	31
1950-02-12	Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-2	1595	1634	65.9%	17.2%	16.9%	-14.8	17
1950-02-12	@ Real Oviedo	W 2-0	1634	1595	16.9%	17.2%	65.9%	+14.8	31
1950-02-12	Barcelona	L 2-4	1627	1694	63.3%	17.5%	19.2%	-11.0	27
1950-02-12	@ Real Sociedad	W 4-2	1694	1627	19.2%	17.5%	63.3%	+11.0	31
1950-02-12	Sevilla	W 5-0	1708	1638	74.2%	15.8%	10.0%	+6.2	32
1950-02-12	@ Valencia	L 0-5	1638	1708	10.0%	15.8%	74.2%	-6.2	27
1950-02-19	Espanol	W 4-0	1644	1582	73.7%	16.0%	10.4%	+5.2	34
1950-02-19	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 0-4	1582	1644	10.4%	16.0%	73.7%	-5.2	22
1950-02-19	Real Oviedo	W 5-0	1705	1580	77.5%	14.9%	7.6%	+4.7	34
1950-02-19	@ Barcelona	L 0-5	1580	1705	7.6%	14.9%	77.5%	-4.6	17
1950-02-19	Valencia	W 5-1	1649	1714	63.5%	17.5%	19.0%	+7.8	34
1950-02-19	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-5	1714	1649	19.0%	17.5%	63.5%	-7.8	32
1950-02-19	Celta Vigo	L 1-5	1510	1653	55.1%	17.8%	27.0%	-19.6	17
1950-02-19	@ Gimnastic	W 5-1	1653	1510	27.0%	17.8%	55.1%	+19.6	38
1950-02-19	CD Malaga	W 2-1	1694	1560	78.0%	14.7%	7.3%	+1.0	35
1950-02-19	@ Real Madrid	L 1-2	1560	1694	7.3%	14.7%	78.0%	-1.0	22
1950-02-19	Real Sociedad	D 0-0	1653	1616	72.0%	16.3%	11.7%	-2.0	32
1950-02-19	@ Real Valladolid	D 0-0	1616	1653	11.7%	16.3%	72.0%	+2.0	28
1950-02-19	Atletico Madrid	L 0-1	1632	1708	62.4%	17.5%	20.0%	-7.4	27
1950-02-19	@ Sevilla	W 1-0	1708	1632	20.0%	17.5%	62.4%	+7.4	38
1950-02-26	Real Valladolid	W 3-2	1650	1651	69.0%	16.9%	14.1%	+1.8	37
1950-02-26	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 2-3	1651	1650	14.1%	16.9%	69.0%	-1.8	32
1950-02-26	Deportivo La Coruna	W 6-1	1715	1657	73.5%	16.0%	10.5%	+5.4	41
1950-02-26	@ Atletico Madrid	L 1-6	1657	1715	10.5%	16.0%	73.5%	-5.4	34
1950-02-26	Sevilla	W 2-0	1559	1625	63.4%	17.5%	19.1%	+4.9	25
1950-02-26	@ CD Malaga	L 0-2	1625	1559	19.1%	17.5%	63.4%	-4.9	27
1950-02-26	Real Madrid	W 5-2	1673	1695	67.3%	17.1%	15.6%	+4.3	41
1950-02-26	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-5	1695	1673	15.6%	17.1%	67.3%	-4.3	35
1950-02-26	Gimnastic	W 3-1	1577	1490	75.3%	15.6%	9.2%	+2.1	25
1950-02-26	@ Espanol	L 1-3	1490	1577	9.2%	15.6%	75.3%	-2.1	17
1950-02-26	Real Sociedad	D 0-0	1575	1618	65.6%	17.3%	17.2%	-1.6	18
1950-02-26	@ Real Oviedo	D 0-0	1618	1575	17.2%	17.3%	65.6%	+1.6	29
1950-02-26	Barcelona	W 4-0	1706	1710	68.9%	16.9%	14.2%	+7.1	35
1950-02-26	@ Valencia	L 0-4	1710	1706	14.2%	16.9%	68.9%	-7.1	34
1950-03-05	Atletico Madrid	W 1-0	1703	1721	67.7%	17.0%	15.3%	+2.1	37
1950-03-05	@ Barcelona	L 0-1	1721	1703	15.3%	17.0%	67.7%	-2.1	41
1950-03-05	CD Malaga	W 1-0	1651	1564	75.3%	15.6%	9.2%	+1.3	37
1950-03-05	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1564	1651	9.2%	15.6%	75.3%	-1.3	25
1950-03-05	Atletico Bilbao	W 5-3	1488	1651	52.7%	17.9%	29.5%	+5.3	20
1950-03-05	@ Gimnastic	L 3-5	1651	1488	29.5%	17.9%	52.7%	-5.3	37
1950-03-05	Espanol	D 1-1	1691	1579	76.7%	15.1%	8.2%	-2.0	36
1950-03-05	@ Real Madrid	D 1-1	1579	1691	8.2%	15.1%	76.7%	+2.0	26
1950-03-05	Valencia	D 1-1	1620	1713	60.7%	17.7%	21.7%	-1.1	30
1950-03-05	@ Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1713	1620	21.7%	17.7%	60.7%	+1.1	36
1950-03-05	Real Oviedo	D 2-2	1650	1574	74.6%	15.8%	9.7%	-1.4	33
1950-03-05	@ Real Valladolid	D 2-2	1574	1650	9.7%	15.8%	74.6%	+1.4	19
1950-03-05	Celta Vigo	W 4-3	1620	1677	64.2%	17.4%	18.4%	+2.2	30
1950-03-05	@ Sevilla	L 3-4	1677	1620	18.4%	17.4%	64.2%	-2.2	41
1950-03-12	Real Madrid	W 6-2	1646	1689	65.6%	17.3%	17.1%	+6.0	40
1950-03-12	@ Atletico Bilbao	L 2-6	1689	1646	17.1%	17.3%	65.6%	-6.0	36
1950-03-12	Real Sociedad	W 5-3	1719	1619	76.1%	15.3%	8.6%	+1.7	44
1950-03-12	@ Atletico Madrid	L 3-5	1619	1719	8.6%	15.3%	76.1%	-1.6	30
1950-03-12	Barcelona	D 0-0	1562	1705	55.2%	17.8%	26.9%	-0.9	26
1950-03-12	@ CD Malaga	D 0-0	1705	1562	26.9%	17.8%	55.2%	+0.9	38
1950-03-12	Deportivo La Coruna	L 2-3	1675	1652	70.9%	16.6%	12.6%	-7.5	41
1950-03-12	@ Celta Vigo	W 3-2	1652	1675	12.6%	16.6%	70.9%	+7.5	40
1950-03-12	Sevilla	W 2-1	1581	1622	65.8%	17.3%	17.0%	+2.2	29
1950-03-12	@ Espanol	L 1-2	1622	1581	17.0%	17.3%	65.8%	-2.2	30
1950-03-12	Real Valladolid	W 4-1	1493	1648	53.7%	17.8%	28.4%	+8.6	23
1950-03-12	@ Gimnastic	L 1-4	1648	1493	28.4%	17.8%	53.7%	-8.6	33
1950-03-12	Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1714	1575	78.3%	14.6%	7.1%	+0.9	39
1950-03-12	@ Valencia	L 1-2	1575	1714	7.1%	14.6%	78.3%	-0.9	19
1950-04-16	Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1706	1667	72.1%	16.3%	11.6%	+1.5	41
1950-04-16	@ Barcelona	L 1-2	1667	1706	11.6%	16.3%	72.1%	-1.5	41
1950-04-16	Espanol	W 2-1	1660	1584	74.6%	15.7%	9.7%	+1.3	43
1950-04-16	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-2	1584	1660	9.7%	15.7%	74.6%	-1.3	29
1950-04-16	Gimnastic	W 5-1	1683	1502	80.4%	13.8%	5.8%	+2.4	39
1950-04-16	@ Real Madrid	L 1-5	1502	1683	5.8%	13.8%	80.4%	-2.3	23
1950-04-16	Atletico Madrid	L 1-3	1574	1720	54.8%	17.8%	27.4%	-10.7	19
1950-04-16	@ Real Oviedo	W 3-1	1720	1574	27.4%	17.8%	54.8%	+10.7	47
1950-04-16	CD Malaga	W 1-0	1617	1562	73.2%	16.1%	10.7%	+1.5	33
1950-04-16	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-1	1562	1617	10.7%	16.1%	73.2%	-1.5	26
1950-04-16	Atletico Bilbao	W 5-3	1620	1652	66.5%	17.2%	16.3%	+3.1	33
1950-04-16	@ Sevilla	L 3-5	1652	1620	16.3%	17.2%	66.5%	-3.1	40
1950-04-16	Real Valladolid	W 4-1	1715	1640	74.6%	15.8%	9.7%	+3.1	42
1950-04-16	@ Valencia	L 1-4	1640	1715	9.7%	15.8%	74.6%	-3.1	33
1950-04-23	Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1649	1661	68.2%	17.0%	14.8%	-1.2	41
1950-04-23	@ Atletico Bilbao	D 2-2	1661	1649	14.8%	17.0%	68.2%	+1.2	44
1950-04-23	Valencia	D 4-4	1731	1718	70.2%	16.7%	13.2%	-0.9	48
1950-04-23	@ Atletico Madrid	D 4-4	1718	1731	13.2%	16.7%	70.2%	+0.9	43
1950-04-23	Real Oviedo	W 2-1	1560	1564	68.9%	16.9%	14.2%	+1.9	29
1950-04-23	@ CD Malaga	L 1-2	1564	1560	14.2%	16.9%	68.9%	-1.9	19
1950-04-23	Real Sociedad	L 0-1	1666	1618	72.7%	16.2%	11.2%	-8.6	41
1950-04-23	@ Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1618	1666	11.2%	16.2%	72.7%	+8.6	36
1950-04-23	Barcelona	D 2-2	1582	1707	57.2%	17.8%	25.0%	-0.7	30
1950-04-23	@ Espanol	D 2-2	1707	1582	25.0%	17.8%	57.2%	+0.7	42
1950-04-23	Sevilla	L 2-4	1500	1623	57.4%	17.8%	24.8%	-10.0	23
1950-04-23	@ Gimnastic	W 4-2	1623	1500	24.8%	17.8%	57.4%	+10.0	36
1950-04-23	Real Madrid	L 1-4	1636	1685	65.0%	17.3%	17.6%	-17.8	33
1950-04-23	@ Real Valladolid	W 4-1	1685	1636	17.6%	17.3%	65.0%	+17.8	42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1949-10-23	10.04%	Sevilla	1603	1	@ Atletico Madrid	1671	0
2	1949-12-04	10.62%	Espanol	1634	2	@ Barcelona	1691	1
3	1949-11-20	10.63%	Sevilla	1614	3	@ Atletico Bilbao	1671	2
4	1949-09-11	11.09%	Celta Vigo	1638	2	@ Valencia	1687	1
5	1950-04-23	11.15%	Real Sociedad	1618	1	@ Celta Vigo	1666	0
6	1949-10-02	12.17%	Real Sociedad	1584	4	@ Sevilla	1613	3
7	1949-09-11	12.55%	Real Valladolid	1608	3	@ Sevilla	1631	2
8	1950-03-12	12.58%	Deportivo La Coruna	1652	3	@ Celta Vigo	1675	2
9	1949-09-11	13.55%	Espanol	1641	3	@ Real Oviedo	1648	2
10	1950-01-15	13.62%	Real Madrid	1701	3	@ Barcelona	1707	2
11	1950-02-12	14.90%	Real Valladolid	1624	4	@ Espanol	1611	0
12	1949-11-27	15.41%	Atletico Madrid	1662	1	@ Real Valladolid	1642	0
13	1950-01-22	16.46%	Valencia	1689	6	@ Atletico Bilbao	1655	3
14	1949-10-09	16.74%	Deportivo La Coruna	1629	1	@ Real Sociedad	1591	0
15	1950-02-12	16.87%	Deportivo La Coruna	1634	2	@ Real Oviedo	1595	0
16	1950-01-22	16.90%	Atletico Madrid	1665	2	@ Espanol	1625	0
17	1949-12-11	17.28%	Celta Vigo	1648	2	@ Real Oviedo	1603	1
18	1949-10-23	17.36%	Barcelona	1678	2	@ Real Oviedo	1633	0
19	1950-04-23	17.62%	Real Madrid	1685	4	@ Real Valladolid	1636	1
20	1949-09-11	18.41%	Atletico Bilbao	1651	3	@ Real Sociedad	1593	2
21	1950-02-12	19.21%	Barcelona	1694	4	@ Real Sociedad	1627	2
22	1950-02-19	20.03%	Atletico Madrid	1708	1	@ Sevilla	1632	0
23	1949-10-09	21.19%	Atletico Bilbao	1661	3	@ CD Malaga	1573	2
24	1949-11-20	22.21%	Real Madrid	1688	3	@ Gimnastic	1589	0
25	1949-09-04	23.14%	Valencia	1680	2	@ CD Malaga	1572	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1950-02-12	28.91	Real Valladolid	4	1624	14.90%	@ Espanol	0	1611	68.12%
2	1950-02-05	23.68	Atletico Madrid	4	1679	26.71%	@ Gimnastic	0	1538	55.46%
3	1950-02-19	19.62	Celta Vigo	5	1653	27.03%	@ Gimnastic	1	1510	55.13%
4	1949-11-20	19.58	Real Madrid	3	1688	22.21%	@ Gimnastic	0	1589	60.11%
5	1950-04-23	17.84	Real Madrid	4	1685	17.62%	@ Real Valladolid	1	1636	65.05%
6	1949-12-18	15.46	Barcelona	4	1691	26.08%	@ Gimnastic	1	1556	56.10%
7	1950-02-12	14.75	Deportivo La Coruna	2	1634	16.87%	@ Real Oviedo	0	1595	65.88%
8	1950-01-22	14.74	Atletico Madrid	2	1665	16.90%	@ Espanol	0	1625	65.85%
9	1949-10-23	14.63	Barcelona	2	1678	17.36%	@ Real Oviedo	0	1633	65.34%
10	1950-01-22	14.58	Valencia	6	1689	16.46%	@ Atletico Bilbao	3	1655	66.34%
11	1949-10-30	14.11	@ Real Sociedad	7	1580	65.93%	Real Oviedo	0	1618	16.83%
12	1949-12-04	11.74	@ Sevilla	9	1621	72.99%	Gimnastic	0	1569	10.89%
13	1949-10-23	11.38	Real Madrid	3	1675	23.72%	@ CD Malaga	1	1561	58.53%
14	1950-02-12	10.98	Barcelona	4	1694	19.21%	@ Real Sociedad	2	1627	63.31%
15	1950-04-16	10.69	Atletico Madrid	3	1720	27.37%	@ Real Oviedo	1	1574	54.79%
16	1950-02-05	10.67	@ Sevilla	7	1628	70.86%	Real Oviedo	0	1606	12.59%
17	1949-10-23	10.63	@ Celta Vigo	10	1641	71.56%	Gimnastic	1	1609	12.02%
18	1949-12-11	10.15	@ Real Sociedad	5	1606	66.15%	Espanol	0	1642	16.63%
19	1949-12-04	10.11	@ Valencia	6	1672	69.36%	Atletico Madrid	0	1670	13.84%
20	1950-04-23	10.00	Sevilla	4	1623	24.78%	@ Gimnastic	2	1500	57.44%
21	1950-01-29	9.45	@ Real Sociedad	5	1617	67.53%	Sevilla	0	1637	15.41%
22	1949-09-11	9.35	@ Barcelona	10	1674	73.40%	Gimnastic	1	1616	10.57%
23	1949-09-25	9.18	@ Barcelona	7	1675	73.07%	Sevilla	0	1622	10.83%
24	1949-12-04	9.13	@ Real Sociedad	4	1597	64.00%	Celta Vigo	0	1657	18.57%
25	1949-11-06	8.96	@ Atletico Bilbao	7	1660	73.40%	Gimnastic	0	1602	10.57%