1934-35 Segunda División Season

153 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Osasuna

8.16 points above expected

19 points · 10.84 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sport la Plana

10.45 points below expected

3 points · 13.45 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Celta Vigo 14 9 2 3 20 44 21 +23 13.5 +6.48
2 Real Valladolid 14 8 2 4 18 41 21 +20 15.3 +2.74
3 Sporting Gijon 14 7 2 5 16 23 21 +2 13.2 +2.77
4 Nacional Madrid 14 6 2 6 14 25 26 -1 14.5 -0.52
5 Real Aviles Club de Futbol 14 6 2 6 14 28 38 -10 14.7 -0.72
6 Barakaldo 13 5 1 7 11 22 22 0 12.7 -1.71
7 Deportivo La Coruna 14 3 4 7 10 14 27 -13 12.6 -2.64
8 Racing Ferrol 13 2 3 8 7 11 32 -21 13.4 -6.40
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Osasuna 12 9 1 2 19 31 9 +22 10.8 +8.16
2 Sabadell 12 6 3 3 15 22 22 0 11.3 +3.73
3 Real Zaragoza 12 6 2 4 14 30 17 +13 12.9 +1.14
4 Girona 12 4 4 4 12 12 15 -3 12.2 -0.17
5 Real Union 12 2 5 5 9 19 29 -10 11.9 -2.89
6 Badalona 12 3 2 7 8 16 28 -12 12.3 -4.34
7 Jupiter 12 1 5 6 7 12 22 -10 12.6 -5.63
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Hercules 14 10 2 2 22 32 13 +19 14.7 +7.29
2 Real Murcia 14 7 3 4 17 28 24 +4 12.5 +4.47
3 Levante 14 5 6 3 16 27 19 +8 14.2 +1.84
4 Malacitano 14 6 2 6 14 33 27 +6 14.4 -0.42
5 Elche 14 5 4 5 14 22 24 -2 14.3 -0.27
6 Gimnastico 14 6 1 7 13 23 22 +1 14.3 -1.35
7 Granada 14 6 1 7 13 22 22 0 14.1 -1.11
8 Sport la Plana 14 1 1 12 3 7 43 -36 13.4 -10.45

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Hercules 1669 22 14.71 +7.29 100.0% 8 10 12 15 17 19 22
Real Valladolid 1665 18 15.26 +2.74 87.0% 9 11 13 15 17 20 26
Malacitano 1658 14 14.42 -0.42 53.0% 9 10 12 14 17 20 23
Real Zaragoza 1658 14 12.86 +1.14 77.0% 6 9 11 13 14 17 18
Levante 1656 16 14.16 +1.84 80.0% 8 10 12 14 16 19 20
Granada 1651 13 14.11 -1.11 40.0% 8 10 12 14 16 18 21
Gimnastico 1647 13 14.35 -1.35 38.0% 9 10 12 14 16 18 22
Girona 1644 12 12.17 -0.17 56.0% 5 8 10 12 14 16 19
Nacional Madrid 1644 14 14.52 -0.52 51.0% 7 9 13 14 16 20 22
Elche 1643 14 14.27 -0.27 53.0% 7 10 12 14 16 20 21
Real Aviles Club de Futbol 1640 14 14.72 -0.72 47.0% 6 9 13 15 16 20 26
Barakaldo 1640 11 13.71 -2.71 26.0% 7 8 11 14 16 19 22
Badalona 1632 8 12.34 -4.34 8.0% 6 7 10 12 14 17 19
Jupiter 1632 7 12.63 -5.63 3.0% 6 8 11 13 15 17 19
Racing Ferrol 1625 7 14.40 -7.40 2.0% 7 9 13 14 16 20 22
Osasuna 1625 19 10.84 +8.16 100.0% 5 7 9 11 12 15 16
Real Union 1625 9 11.89 -2.89 22.0% 4 7 10 12 14 17 19
Celta Vigo 1609 20 13.52 +6.48 99.0% 6 8 12 14 15 18 21
Real Murcia 1608 17 12.53 +4.47 89.0% 4 6 10 12 15 19 21
Sabadell 1608 15 11.27 +3.73 94.0% 3 7 9 11 13 16 17
Sporting Gijon 1603 16 13.23 +2.77 89.0% 6 8 11 13 15 17 22
Sport la Plana 1602 3 13.45 -10.45 0.0% 5 8 12 13 15 18 21
Deportivo La Coruna 1579 10 12.64 -2.64 23.0% 3 8 11 12 15 17 21

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Group A

Team BAR CV DLC NM RF RACD RV SG
Barakaldo
1-1-0
3.14
1-0-1
3.20
0-0-2
2.88
1-0-0
2.21
1-0-1
2.85
0-0-2
2.81
1-0-1
3.11
Celta Vigo
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
2.60
2-0-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.57
2-0-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.90
Deportivo La Coruna
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.54
0-2-0
2.58
0-0-2
2.55
0-1-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.83
Nacional Madrid
2-0-0
2.90
0-0-2
3.18
1-0-1
3.24
1-1-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
3.15
Racing Ferrol
0-0-1
0.68
0-0-2
3.08
0-2-0
3.20
0-1-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.87
0-0-2
2.74
1-0-1
3.16
Real Aviles Club de Futbol
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-1
3.20
2-0-0
3.23
1-1-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
2.76
0-0-2
3.16
Real Valladolid
2-0-0
2.96
0-0-2
3.23
1-1-0
3.29
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.02
1-1-0
3.24
Sporting Gijon
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.88
1-1-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.62
2-0-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.54

Group B

Team BAD GIR JUP OSA RU RZ SAB
Badalona
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-2
3.09
1-1-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.81
0-0-2
3.11
Girona
1-1-0
2.94
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
3.09
Jupiter
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.87
0-1-1
3.12
0-1-1
2.95
0-1-1
2.87
0-1-1
3.08
Osasuna
2-0-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.65
2-0-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
2.90
Real Union
0-1-1
2.86
1-1-0
2.81
1-1-0
2.82
0-0-2
3.01
0-1-1
2.77
0-1-1
3.04
Real Zaragoza
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
3.12
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
3.13
Sabadell
2-0-0
2.67
1-1-0
2.69
1-1-0
2.70
0-0-2
2.88
1-1-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.65

Group C

Team ELC GIM GRA HER LEV MAL RM SLP
Elche
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.96
0-1-1
2.83
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
3.19
2-0-0
2.99
Gimnastico
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
2.93
0-0-2
2.86
0-1-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
3.17
2-0-0
2.96
Granada
1-1-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-2
3.14
1-0-1
2.90
Hercules
1-1-0
2.94
2-0-0
2.92
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
2.94
2-0-0
2.97
1-1-0
3.23
2-0-0
3.09
Levante
0-1-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.89
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.84
0-2-0
2.92
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
2.97
Malacitano
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.91
0-0-2
2.81
0-2-0
2.86
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
3.02
Real Murcia
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.61
2-0-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.67
2-0-0
2.73
Sport la Plana
0-0-2
2.78
0-0-2
2.82
1-0-1
2.87
0-0-2
2.69
0-1-1
2.81
0-0-2
2.75
0-0-2
3.05

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.19%4.25%4.90%4.58%2.61%3.27%26.80%
14.25%5.23%6.86%4.90%1.63%1.31%24.18%
24.90%6.86%5.88%0.98%1.63%1.96%22.22%
34.58%4.90%0.98%0.65%1.31%12.42%
42.61%1.63%1.63%1.31%7.19%
5+3.27%1.31%1.96%0.65%7.19%
Total26.80%24.18%22.22%12.42%7.19%7.19%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.78
Mean allowed1.78
StdDev scored1.75
StdDev allowed1.75
Mean total goals/game3.56
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.027
Sample size (games)153
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%8.33%25.00%
18.33%8.33%16.67%8.33%41.67%
28.33%8.33%
38.33%8.33%8.33%25.00%
4
5+
Total8.33%33.33%16.67%25.00%8.33%8.33%100%

Badalona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.33
Mean allowed2.33
StdDev scored1.15
StdDev allowed1.87
Mean total goals/game3.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.434
Games played12
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%23.08%46.15%
17.69%7.69%15.38%
27.69%7.69%15.38%
37.69%7.69%
47.69%7.69%
5+7.69%7.69%
Total15.38%30.77%23.08%30.77%100%

Barakaldo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.69
Mean allowed1.69
StdDev scored2.56
StdDev allowed1.11
Mean total goals/game3.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.329
Games played13
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
17.14%7.14%14.29%
27.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%35.71%
314.29%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
Total14.29%42.86%28.57%7.14%7.14%100%

Celta Vigo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored3.14
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored2.93
StdDev allowed1.09
Mean total goals/game4.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.000
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
028.57%21.43%7.14%57.14%
114.29%7.14%21.43%
2
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%14.29%
5+
Total35.71%21.43%28.57%7.14%7.14%100%

Deportivo La Coruna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.93
StdDev scored1.52
StdDev allowed1.69
Mean total goals/game2.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.060
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%14.29%
114.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%35.71%
27.14%21.43%7.14%35.71%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total28.57%14.29%28.57%21.43%7.14%100%

Elche — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.57
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored1.09
StdDev allowed1.49
Mean total goals/game3.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.366
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%21.43%14.29%7.14%7.14%57.14%
1
214.29%14.29%
3
47.14%7.14%14.29%
5+14.29%14.29%
Total21.43%28.57%35.71%7.14%7.14%100%

Gimnastico — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.64
Mean allowed1.57
StdDev scored2.21
StdDev allowed1.34
Mean total goals/game3.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.056
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%8.33%25.00%
18.33%25.00%8.33%8.33%50.00%
28.33%16.67%25.00%
3
4
5+
Total25.00%50.00%8.33%8.33%8.33%100%

Girona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.25
StdDev scored0.74
StdDev allowed1.22
Mean total goals/game2.25
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.304
Games played12
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%35.71%
17.14%7.14%
214.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%35.71%
314.29%14.29%
4
5+7.14%7.14%
Total35.71%14.29%21.43%14.29%14.29%100%

Granada — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.57
Mean allowed1.57
StdDev scored1.50
StdDev allowed1.50
Mean total goals/game3.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.597
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
121.43%7.14%28.57%
27.14%7.14%14.29%
37.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%
Total42.86%28.57%21.43%7.14%100%

Hercules — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.29
Mean allowed0.93
StdDev scored2.05
StdDev allowed1.00
Mean total goals/game3.21
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.027
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%33.33%
125.00%8.33%33.33%
28.33%8.33%16.67%33.33%
3
4
5+
Total16.67%33.33%16.67%16.67%16.67%100%

Jupiter — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.83
StdDev scored0.85
StdDev allowed1.40
Mean total goals/game2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.304
Games played12
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.43%7.14%7.14%35.71%
17.14%7.14%
221.43%21.43%
314.29%14.29%
47.14%7.14%
5+14.29%14.29%
Total42.86%14.29%28.57%7.14%7.14%100%

Levante — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.93
Mean allowed1.36
StdDev scored1.86
StdDev allowed1.60
Mean total goals/game3.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.431
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%7.14%14.29%
27.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
37.14%14.29%21.43%
47.14%7.14%
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total28.57%14.29%21.43%21.43%7.14%7.14%100%

Malacitano — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.36
Mean allowed1.93
StdDev scored1.60
StdDev allowed1.77
Mean total goals/game4.29
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.397
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.29%14.29%
17.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
27.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
314.29%7.14%21.43%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total21.43%21.43%21.43%21.43%14.29%100%

Nacional Madrid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.79
Mean allowed1.86
StdDev scored1.19
StdDev allowed1.41
Mean total goals/game3.64
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.158
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%
116.67%8.33%8.33%33.33%
28.33%8.33%16.67%
316.67%16.67%
48.33%8.33%
5+8.33%8.33%16.67%
Total41.67%41.67%16.67%100%

Osasuna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.58
Mean allowed0.75
StdDev scored2.15
StdDev allowed0.75
Mean total goals/game3.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.014
Games played12
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%7.69%7.69%15.38%46.15%
17.69%15.38%7.69%30.77%
27.69%7.69%15.38%
37.69%7.69%
4
5+
Total23.08%7.69%23.08%7.69%23.08%15.38%100%

Racing Ferrol — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.85
Mean allowed2.46
StdDev scored0.99
StdDev allowed1.85
Mean total goals/game3.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.049
Games played13
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
214.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
37.14%7.14%14.29%
4
5+14.29%14.29%
Total21.43%28.57%28.57%21.43%100%

Real Aviles Club de Futbol — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.00
Mean allowed2.71
StdDev scored1.57
StdDev allowed3.58
Mean total goals/game4.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.370
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%14.29%21.43%
214.29%7.14%7.14%28.57%
37.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
47.14%7.14%14.29%
5+
Total28.57%21.43%21.43%14.29%7.14%7.14%100%

Real Murcia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.00
Mean allowed1.71
StdDev scored1.30
StdDev allowed1.59
Mean total goals/game3.71
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.298
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%8.33%25.00%
18.33%16.67%8.33%8.33%41.67%
28.33%8.33%
38.33%8.33%
48.33%8.33%
5+8.33%8.33%
Total16.67%25.00%8.33%25.00%8.33%16.67%100%

Real Union — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.58
Mean allowed2.42
StdDev scored1.62
StdDev allowed1.93
Mean total goals/game4.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.380
Games played12
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%7.14%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
37.14%14.29%21.43%
414.29%7.14%21.43%
5+7.14%7.14%14.29%
Total42.86%14.29%21.43%14.29%7.14%100%

Real Valladolid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.93
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored2.09
StdDev allowed1.74
Mean total goals/game4.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.200
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%
125.00%25.00%
28.33%8.33%16.67%
3
48.33%8.33%8.33%25.00%
5+8.33%8.33%16.67%
Total33.33%25.00%33.33%8.33%100%

Real Zaragoza — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.50
Mean allowed1.42
StdDev scored2.02
StdDev allowed1.68
Mean total goals/game3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.121
Games played12
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%8.33%25.00%
18.33%8.33%16.67%
216.67%8.33%25.00%
316.67%8.33%25.00%
4
5+8.33%8.33%
Total16.67%33.33%33.33%16.67%100%

Sabadell — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.83
Mean allowed1.83
StdDev scored1.53
StdDev allowed1.64
Mean total goals/game3.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.242
Games played12
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%7.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%57.14%
17.14%7.14%14.29%7.14%35.71%
27.14%7.14%
3
4
5+
Total14.29%14.29%7.14%21.43%21.43%21.43%100%

Sport la Plana — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.50
Mean allowed3.07
StdDev scored0.65
StdDev allowed2.20
Mean total goals/game3.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.403
Games played14
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%
17.14%14.29%7.14%28.57%
214.29%14.29%7.14%7.14%42.86%
37.14%7.14%
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total35.71%28.57%21.43%7.14%7.14%100%

Sporting Gijon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.64
Mean allowed1.50
StdDev scored1.08
StdDev allowed2.10
Mean total goals/game3.14
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.017
Games played14

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Osasuna 19 10.8 +8.16
2 Hercules 22 14.7 +7.29
3 Celta Vigo 20 13.5 +6.48
4 Real Murcia 17 12.5 +4.47
5 Sabadell 15 11.3 +3.73

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sport la Plana 3 13.4 -10.45
2 Racing Ferrol 7 13.4 -6.40
3 Jupiter 7 12.6 -5.63
4 Badalona 8 12.3 -4.34
5 Real Union 9 11.9 -2.89

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Osasuna 6 Dec 2 – Jan 6 1 in 857
2 Hercules 8 Dec 2 – Jan 20 1 in 625
3 Real Murcia 3 Feb 2 – Feb 17 1 in 52
4 Real Valladolid 4 Dec 16 – Jan 6 1 in 45
5 Gimnastico 3 Dec 9 – Dec 23 1 in 34

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sport la Plana 7 Dec 9 – Jan 21 1 in 145
2 Badalona 4 Jan 27 – Feb 24 1 in 18
3 Granada 3 Dec 2 – Dec 16 1 in 12
4 Gimnastico 3 Jan 13 – Jan 27 1 in 11
5 Racing Ferrol 3 Dec 30 – Jan 13 1 in 10

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hercules 10 Dec 2 – Feb 2 1 in 266
2 Osasuna 6 Dec 2 – Jan 6 1 in 113
3 Real Murcia 5 Jan 20 – Feb 17 1 in 87
4 Sabadell 5 Jan 13 – Feb 17 1 in 28
5 Celta Vigo 4 Jan 6 – Jan 27 1 in 25

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Jupiter 11 Dec 9 – Mar 3 1 in 5,082
2 Sport la Plana 13 Dec 9 – Mar 5 1 in 3,681
3 Racing Ferrol 7 Dec 2 – Jan 13 1 in 35
4 Real Union 6 Dec 23 – Feb 2 1 in 27
5 Gimnastico 5 Dec 30 – Jan 27 1 in 22

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678
Celta Vigo13.00%10.00%10.00%17.00%14.00%15.00%7.00%14.00%
Real Valladolid24.00%19.00%14.00%11.00%12.00%8.00%6.00%6.00%
Sporting Gijon8.00%9.00%19.00%8.00%8.00%17.00%17.00%14.00%
Nacional Madrid14.00%16.00%12.00%11.00%21.00%11.00%8.00%7.00%
Real Aviles Club de Futbol15.00%15.00%11.00%14.00%14.00%13.00%11.00%7.00%
Barakaldo12.00%15.00%12.00%15.00%9.00%7.00%14.00%16.00%
Deportivo La Coruna5.00%5.00%12.00%8.00%8.00%18.00%20.00%24.00%
Racing Ferrol9.00%11.00%10.00%16.00%14.00%11.00%17.00%12.00%
Team1234567
Osasuna6.00%11.00%14.00%11.00%25.00%19.00%14.00%
Sabadell11.00%12.00%16.00%10.00%17.00%15.00%19.00%
Real Zaragoza24.00%18.00%17.00%20.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%
Girona13.00%15.00%14.00%14.00%14.00%16.00%14.00%
Real Union14.00%16.00%9.00%13.00%14.00%15.00%19.00%
Badalona13.00%14.00%14.00%18.00%12.00%15.00%14.00%
Jupiter19.00%14.00%16.00%14.00%12.00%13.00%12.00%
Team12345678
Hercules23.00%14.00%11.00%15.00%8.00%10.00%15.00%4.00%
Real Murcia12.00%6.00%9.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%17.00%28.00%
Levante11.00%16.00%19.00%8.00%15.00%11.00%11.00%9.00%
Malacitano15.00%17.00%13.00%8.00%12.00%13.00%11.00%11.00%
Elche13.00%10.00%12.00%13.00%16.00%8.00%15.00%13.00%
Gimnastico10.00%19.00%14.00%15.00%8.00%13.00%12.00%9.00%
Granada7.00%9.00%17.00%17.00%20.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%
Sport la Plana9.00%9.00%5.00%15.00%12.00%23.00%9.00%18.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Won promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Real Valladolid 19.0% 75.0% 6.0%
Nacional Madrid 8.0% 85.0% 7.0%
Real Aviles Club de Futbol 8.0% 85.0% 7.0%
Racing Ferrol 8.0% 80.0% 12.0%
Barakaldo 10.0% 74.0% 16.0%
Celta Vigo 8.0% 78.0% 14.0%
Sporting Gijon 7.0% 79.0% 14.0%
Deportivo La Coruna 3.0% 73.0% 24.0%
Team Won promotion playoff Same level
Real Zaragoza 16.0% 84.0%
Real Union 12.0% 88.0%
Jupiter 11.0% 89.0%
Girona 10.0% 90.0%
Badalona 8.0% 92.0%
Sabadell 7.0% 93.0%
Osasuna 5.0% 95.0%
Team Won promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Hercules 21.0% 75.0% 4.0%
Malacitano 11.0% 78.0% 11.0%
Levante 8.0% 83.0% 9.0%
Elche 9.0% 78.0% 13.0%
Gimnastico 5.0% 86.0% 9.0%
Granada 2.0% 90.0% 8.0%
Sport la Plana 2.0% 80.0% 18.0%
Real Murcia 2.0% 70.0% 28.0%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1934-12-02 Real Aviles Club de Futbol W 12-2 1581 1649 62.0% 11.5% 26.4% +7.2 3
1934-12-02 @ Celta Vigo L 2-12 1649 1581 26.4% 11.5% 62.0% -7.2 0
1934-12-02 Barakaldo W 2-0 1649 1649 69.2% 11.2% 19.7% +1.8 3
1934-12-02 @ Nacional Madrid L 0-2 1649 1649 19.7% 11.2% 69.2% -1.8 0
1934-12-02 Deportivo La Coruna W 4-0 1649 1589 74.4% 10.7% 14.9% +2.6 3
1934-12-02 @ Real Valladolid L 0-4 1589 1649 14.9% 10.7% 74.4% -2.6 0
1934-12-02 Racing Ferrol W 4-1 1592 1649 63.3% 11.5% 25.2% +2.8 3
1934-12-02 @ Sporting Gijon L 1-4 1649 1592 25.2% 11.5% 63.3% -2.8 0
1934-12-02 Jupiter L 0-2 1649 1649 69.2% 11.2% 19.7% -5.8 0
1934-12-02 @ Badalona W 2-0 1649 1649 19.7% 11.2% 69.2% +5.8 3
1934-12-02 Girona W 3-1 1593 1649 63.4% 11.5% 25.1% +2.0 3
1934-12-02 @ Osasuna L 1-3 1649 1593 25.1% 11.5% 63.4% -2.0 0
1934-12-02 Sabadell D 5-5 1635 1602 72.2% 10.9% 16.9% -0.3 1
1934-12-02 @ Real Union D 5-5 1602 1635 16.9% 10.9% 72.2% +0.3 1
1934-12-02 Levante D 0-0 1649 1649 69.2% 11.2% 19.7% -0.6 1
1934-12-02 @ Malacitano D 0-0 1649 1649 19.7% 11.2% 69.2% +0.6 1
1934-12-02 Hercules L 0-1 1649 1649 69.2% 11.2% 19.7% -3.1 0
1934-12-02 @ Gimnastico W 1-0 1649 1649 19.7% 11.2% 69.2% +3.1 3
1934-12-02 Elche W 3-0 1594 1649 63.5% 11.5% 25.1% +3.3 3
1934-12-02 @ Real Murcia L 0-3 1649 1594 25.1% 11.5% 63.5% -3.3 0
1934-12-02 Granada W 1-0 1649 1649 69.2% 11.2% 19.7% +1.0 3
1934-12-02 @ Sport la Plana L 0-1 1649 1649 19.7% 11.2% 69.2% -1.0 0
1934-12-08 Celta Vigo W 2-0 1647 1588 74.3% 10.7% 15.0% +1.4 3
1934-12-08 @ Barakaldo L 0-2 1588 1647 15.0% 10.7% 74.3% -1.4 3
1934-12-08 Real Valladolid W 4-3 1650 1651 69.1% 11.2% 19.7% +0.9 6
1934-12-08 @ Nacional Madrid L 3-4 1651 1650 19.7% 11.2% 69.1% -0.9 3
1934-12-08 Malacitano W 4-0 1645 1648 68.9% 11.2% 19.9% +3.5 3
1934-12-08 @ Elche L 0-4 1648 1645 19.9% 11.2% 68.9% -3.5 1
1934-12-09 Sporting Gijon D 0-0 1587 1595 68.4% 11.2% 20.4% -0.6 1
1934-12-09 @ Deportivo La Coruna D 0-0 1595 1587 20.4% 11.2% 68.4% +0.6 4
1934-12-09 Racing Ferrol W 5-0 1641 1646 68.8% 11.2% 20.1% +4.3 3
1934-12-09 @ Real Aviles Club de Futbol L 0-5 1646 1641 20.1% 11.2% 68.8% -4.3 0
1934-12-09 Real Zaragoza W 2-1 1647 1649 69.0% 11.2% 19.8% +0.9 3
1934-12-09 @ Girona L 1-2 1649 1647 19.8% 11.2% 69.0% -0.9 0
1934-12-09 Osasuna L 0-1 1654 1595 74.4% 10.7% 14.9% -3.3 3
1934-12-09 @ Jupiter W 1-0 1595 1654 14.9% 10.7% 74.4% +3.3 6
1934-12-09 Badalona W 1-0 1603 1643 65.1% 11.4% 23.5% +1.1 4
1934-12-09 @ Sabadell L 0-1 1643 1603 23.5% 11.4% 65.1% -1.2 0
1934-12-09 Gimnastico L 0-2 1648 1645 69.4% 11.2% 19.5% -5.9 0
1934-12-09 @ Granada W 2-0 1645 1648 19.5% 11.2% 69.4% +5.9 3
1934-12-09 Real Murcia W 3-1 1652 1597 74.0% 10.7% 15.2% +1.2 6
1934-12-09 @ Hercules L 1-3 1597 1652 15.2% 10.7% 74.0% -1.2 3
1934-12-09 Sport la Plana W 5-0 1649 1649 69.2% 11.2% 19.7% +4.3 4
1934-12-09 @ Levante L 0-5 1649 1649 19.7% 11.2% 69.2% -4.3 3
1934-12-16 Real Valladolid L 0-2 1648 1650 69.0% 11.2% 19.9% -5.8 3
1934-12-16 @ Barakaldo W 2-0 1650 1648 19.9% 11.2% 69.0% +5.8 6
1934-12-16 Deportivo La Coruna W 5-1 1587 1586 69.2% 11.2% 19.6% +2.9 6
1934-12-16 @ Celta Vigo L 1-5 1586 1587 19.6% 11.2% 69.2% -2.9 1
1934-12-16 Nacional Madrid D 2-2 1641 1651 68.2% 11.2% 20.5% -0.4 1
1934-12-16 @ Racing Ferrol D 2-2 1651 1641 20.5% 11.2% 68.2% +0.4 7
1934-12-16 Real Aviles Club de Futbol W 2-1 1596 1646 64.0% 11.5% 24.5% +1.1 7
1934-12-16 @ Sporting Gijon L 1-2 1646 1596 24.5% 11.5% 64.0% -1.1 3
1934-12-16 Osasuna L 1-3 1642 1598 73.1% 10.8% 16.1% -5.3 0
1934-12-16 @ Badalona W 3-1 1598 1642 16.1% 10.8% 73.1% +5.3 9
1934-12-16 Girona W 1-0 1635 1647 67.9% 11.2% 20.8% +1.0 4
1934-12-16 @ Real Union L 0-1 1647 1635 20.8% 11.2% 67.9% -1.0 3
1934-12-16 Jupiter W 4-2 1648 1651 68.8% 11.2% 20.0% +1.4 3
1934-12-16 @ Real Zaragoza L 2-4 1651 1648 20.0% 11.2% 68.8% -1.4 3
1934-12-16 Hercules L 2-3 1644 1653 68.4% 11.2% 20.4% -2.7 1
1934-12-16 @ Malacitano W 3-2 1653 1644 20.4% 11.2% 68.4% +2.7 9
1934-12-16 Elche D 2-2 1653 1649 69.6% 11.1% 19.2% -0.4 5
1934-12-16 @ Levante D 2-2 1649 1653 19.2% 11.1% 69.6% +0.4 4
1934-12-16 Granada W 4-2 1596 1642 64.5% 11.4% 24.1% +1.7 6
1934-12-16 @ Real Murcia L 2-4 1642 1596 24.1% 11.4% 64.5% -1.7 0
1934-12-16 Gimnastico L 0-2 1645 1651 68.6% 11.2% 20.2% -5.8 3
1934-12-16 @ Sport la Plana W 2-0 1651 1645 20.2% 11.2% 68.6% +5.8 6
1934-12-22 Celta Vigo L 0-2 1652 1590 74.6% 10.7% 14.7% -6.3 7
1934-12-22 @ Nacional Madrid W 2-0 1590 1652 14.7% 10.7% 74.6% +6.3 9
1934-12-23 Racing Ferrol D 0-0 1583 1641 63.1% 11.5% 25.4% -0.5 2
1934-12-23 @ Deportivo La Coruna D 0-0 1641 1583 25.4% 11.5% 63.1% +0.5 2
1934-12-23 Barakaldo W 3-0 1644 1642 69.4% 11.2% 19.5% +2.6 6
1934-12-23 @ Real Aviles Club de Futbol L 0-3 1642 1644 19.5% 11.2% 69.4% -2.6 3
1934-12-23 Sabadell L 1-2 1646 1604 73.0% 10.8% 16.1% -3.1 3
1934-12-23 @ Girona W 2-1 1604 1646 16.1% 10.8% 73.0% +3.1 7
1934-12-23 Real Union D 1-1 1650 1636 70.5% 11.1% 18.4% -0.6 4
1934-12-23 @ Jupiter D 1-1 1636 1650 18.4% 11.1% 70.5% +0.6 5
1934-12-23 Real Zaragoza W 6-2 1603 1649 64.5% 11.4% 24.1% +3.0 12
1934-12-23 @ Osasuna L 2-6 1649 1603 24.1% 11.4% 64.5% -3.0 3
1934-12-23 Sport la Plana W 3-0 1649 1639 70.1% 11.1% 18.8% +2.5 7
1934-12-23 @ Elche L 0-3 1639 1649 18.8% 11.1% 70.1% -2.5 3
1934-12-23 Real Murcia W 4-2 1657 1597 74.4% 10.7% 14.9% +1.1 9
1934-12-23 @ Gimnastico L 2-4 1597 1657 14.9% 10.7% 74.4% -1.1 6
1934-12-23 Malacitano W 2-1 1640 1642 69.0% 11.2% 19.8% +0.9 3
1934-12-23 @ Granada L 1-2 1642 1640 19.8% 11.2% 69.0% -0.9 1
1934-12-23 Levante W 4-0 1656 1653 69.4% 11.1% 19.4% +3.4 12
1934-12-23 @ Hercules L 0-4 1653 1656 19.4% 11.1% 69.4% -3.4 5
1934-12-25 Sporting Gijon W 8-2 1656 1597 74.4% 10.7% 14.9% +2.6 9
1934-12-25 @ Real Valladolid L 2-8 1597 1656 14.9% 10.7% 74.4% -2.6 7
1934-12-30 Real Aviles Club de Futbol D 1-1 1645 1647 69.0% 11.2% 19.8% -0.5 8
1934-12-30 @ Nacional Madrid D 1-1 1647 1645 19.8% 11.2% 69.0% +0.6 7
1934-12-30 Real Valladolid L 1-2 1641 1659 67.5% 11.3% 21.3% -2.9 2
1934-12-30 @ Racing Ferrol W 2-1 1659 1641 21.3% 11.3% 67.5% +2.8 12
1934-12-30 Celta Vigo W 2-1 1594 1596 69.0% 11.2% 19.8% +0.9 10
1934-12-30 @ Sporting Gijon L 1-2 1596 1594 19.8% 11.2% 69.0% -0.9 9
1934-12-30 Real Zaragoza W 2-1 1636 1646 68.2% 11.2% 20.6% +0.9 3
1934-12-30 @ Badalona L 1-2 1646 1636 20.6% 11.2% 68.2% -1.0 3
1934-12-30 Osasuna L 0-1 1636 1606 71.9% 10.9% 17.2% -3.2 5
1934-12-30 @ Real Union W 1-0 1606 1636 17.2% 10.9% 71.9% +3.2 15
1934-12-30 Jupiter D 2-2 1607 1649 64.9% 11.4% 23.7% -0.3 8
1934-12-30 @ Sabadell D 2-2 1649 1607 23.7% 11.4% 64.9% +0.3 5
1934-12-30 Gimnastico W 3-0 1641 1658 67.5% 11.3% 21.3% +2.8 4
1934-12-30 @ Malacitano L 0-3 1658 1641 21.3% 11.3% 67.5% -2.8 9
1934-12-30 Elche W 2-1 1659 1652 69.9% 11.1% 19.0% +0.9 15
1934-12-30 @ Hercules L 1-2 1652 1659 19.0% 11.1% 69.9% -0.9 7
1934-12-30 Granada W 4-0 1650 1641 70.0% 11.1% 18.9% +3.3 8
1934-12-30 @ Levante L 0-4 1641 1650 18.9% 11.1% 70.0% -3.3 3
1934-12-30 Sport la Plana W 4-1 1596 1637 65.0% 11.4% 23.6% +2.7 9
1934-12-30 @ Real Murcia L 1-4 1637 1596 23.6% 11.4% 65.0% -2.7 3
1935-01-01 Deportivo La Coruna W 3-0 1640 1583 74.2% 10.7% 15.1% +2.0 6
1935-01-01 @ Barakaldo L 0-3 1583 1640 15.1% 10.7% 74.2% -2.0 2
1935-01-06 Racing Ferrol W 5-0 1595 1639 64.7% 11.4% 23.8% +5.1 12
1935-01-06 @ Celta Vigo L 0-5 1639 1595 23.8% 11.4% 64.7% -5.1 2
1935-01-06 Nacional Madrid W 4-3 1581 1645 62.4% 11.5% 26.1% +1.1 5
1935-01-06 @ Deportivo La Coruna L 3-4 1645 1581 26.1% 11.5% 62.4% -1.1 8
1935-01-06 Real Aviles Club de Futbol W 5-0 1662 1648 70.5% 11.1% 18.4% +4.0 15
1935-01-06 @ Real Valladolid L 0-5 1648 1662 18.4% 11.1% 70.5% -4.0 7
1935-01-06 Barakaldo W 1-0 1595 1642 64.4% 11.4% 24.2% +1.2 13
1935-01-06 @ Sporting Gijon L 0-1 1642 1595 24.2% 11.4% 64.4% -1.2 6
1935-01-06 Girona D 1-1 1637 1643 68.6% 11.2% 20.2% -0.5 4
1935-01-06 @ Badalona D 1-1 1643 1637 20.2% 11.2% 68.6% +0.5 4
1935-01-06 Sabadell W 2-1 1610 1607 69.5% 11.1% 19.4% +0.9 18
1935-01-06 @ Osasuna L 1-2 1607 1610 19.4% 11.1% 69.5% -0.9 8
1935-01-06 Real Union W 6-1 1645 1633 70.3% 11.1% 18.6% +3.3 6
1935-01-06 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-6 1633 1645 18.6% 11.1% 70.3% -3.3 5
1935-01-06 Levante D 0-0 1655 1653 69.4% 11.1% 19.4% -0.6 10
1935-01-06 @ Gimnastico D 0-0 1653 1655 19.4% 11.1% 69.4% +0.6 9
1935-01-06 Elche D 2-2 1638 1651 67.9% 11.2% 20.9% -0.4 4
1935-01-06 @ Granada D 2-2 1651 1638 20.9% 11.2% 67.9% +0.4 8
1935-01-06 Malacitano W 3-2 1599 1644 64.6% 11.4% 24.0% +1.0 12
1935-01-06 @ Real Murcia L 2-3 1644 1599 24.0% 11.4% 64.6% -1.0 4
1935-01-06 Hercules L 0-1 1634 1660 66.6% 11.3% 22.1% -3.0 3
1935-01-06 @ Sport la Plana W 1-0 1660 1634 22.1% 11.3% 66.6% +3.0 18
1935-01-12 Sporting Gijon W 2-1 1644 1596 73.4% 10.8% 15.8% +0.7 11
1935-01-12 @ Nacional Madrid L 1-2 1596 1644 15.8% 10.8% 73.4% -0.7 13
1935-01-13 Racing Ferrol W 4-3 1640 1633 69.8% 11.1% 19.0% +0.8 9
1935-01-13 @ Barakaldo L 3-4 1633 1640 19.0% 11.1% 69.8% -0.8 2
1935-01-13 Deportivo La Coruna W 2-1 1644 1582 74.6% 10.7% 14.7% +0.7 10
1935-01-13 @ Real Aviles Club de Futbol L 1-2 1582 1644 14.7% 10.7% 74.6% -0.7 5
1935-01-13 Celta Vigo L 1-2 1666 1600 74.9% 10.6% 14.5% -3.2 15
1935-01-13 @ Real Valladolid W 2-1 1600 1666 14.5% 10.6% 74.9% +3.2 15
1935-01-13 Jupiter W 2-0 1644 1649 68.7% 11.2% 20.2% +1.9 7
1935-01-13 @ Girona L 0-2 1649 1644 20.2% 11.2% 68.7% -1.9 5
1935-01-13 Badalona D 3-3 1630 1637 68.5% 11.2% 20.3% -0.3 6
1935-01-13 @ Real Union D 3-3 1637 1630 20.3% 11.2% 68.5% +0.3 5
1935-01-13 Real Zaragoza W 2-1 1606 1648 64.8% 11.4% 23.8% +1.1 11
1935-01-13 @ Sabadell L 1-2 1648 1606 23.8% 11.4% 64.8% -1.1 6
1935-01-13 Sport la Plana W 5-2 1643 1631 70.2% 11.1% 18.7% +1.8 7
1935-01-13 @ Malacitano L 2-5 1631 1643 18.7% 11.1% 70.2% -1.8 3
1935-01-13 Gimnastico W 1-0 1651 1655 68.8% 11.2% 20.0% +1.0 11
1935-01-13 @ Elche L 0-1 1655 1651 20.0% 11.2% 68.8% -1.0 10
1935-01-13 Granada W 3-0 1663 1637 71.6% 11.0% 17.5% +2.4 21
1935-01-13 @ Hercules L 0-3 1637 1663 17.5% 11.0% 71.6% -2.4 4
1935-01-13 Real Murcia W 3-1 1653 1600 73.9% 10.7% 15.3% +1.2 12
1935-01-13 @ Levante L 1-3 1600 1653 15.3% 10.7% 73.9% -1.2 12
1935-01-20 Nacional Madrid L 1-2 1641 1644 68.9% 11.2% 19.9% -2.9 9
1935-01-20 @ Barakaldo W 2-1 1644 1641 19.9% 11.2% 68.9% +2.9 14
1935-01-20 Real Valladolid D 0-0 1581 1662 60.4% 11.6% 28.0% -0.4 6
1935-01-20 @ Deportivo La Coruna D 0-0 1662 1581 28.0% 11.6% 60.4% +0.4 16
1935-01-20 Sporting Gijon W 1-0 1633 1595 72.6% 10.9% 16.6% +0.8 5
1935-01-20 @ Racing Ferrol L 0-1 1595 1633 16.6% 10.9% 72.6% -0.8 13
1935-01-20 Celta Vigo D 2-2 1644 1603 72.9% 10.8% 16.3% -0.5 11
1935-01-20 @ Real Aviles Club de Futbol D 2-2 1603 1644 16.3% 10.8% 72.9% +0.5 16
1935-01-20 Osasuna W 1-0 1646 1611 72.4% 10.9% 16.7% +0.8 10
1935-01-20 @ Girona L 0-1 1611 1646 16.7% 10.9% 72.4% -0.8 18
1935-01-20 Badalona L 0-3 1647 1637 70.2% 11.1% 18.7% -8.6 5
1935-01-20 @ Jupiter W 3-0 1637 1647 18.7% 11.1% 70.2% +8.6 8
1935-01-20 Real Union W 3-2 1607 1629 66.9% 11.3% 21.8% +1.0 14
1935-01-20 @ Sabadell L 2-3 1629 1607 21.8% 11.3% 66.9% -1.0 6
1935-01-20 Real Murcia D 1-1 1652 1599 73.9% 10.7% 15.3% -0.7 12
1935-01-20 @ Elche D 1-1 1599 1652 15.3% 10.7% 73.9% +0.7 13
1935-01-20 Gimnastico W 1-0 1665 1654 70.3% 11.1% 18.6% +0.9 24
1935-01-20 @ Hercules L 0-1 1654 1665 18.6% 11.1% 70.3% -0.9 10
1935-01-20 Malacitano D 2-2 1655 1644 70.2% 11.1% 18.8% -0.4 13
1935-01-20 @ Levante D 2-2 1644 1655 18.8% 11.1% 70.2% +0.4 8
1935-01-21 Sport la Plana W 3-0 1635 1629 69.7% 11.1% 19.2% +2.6 7
1935-01-21 @ Granada L 0-3 1629 1635 19.2% 11.1% 69.7% -2.6 3
1935-01-27 Barakaldo D 1-1 1604 1638 65.7% 11.4% 22.9% -0.5 17
1935-01-27 @ Celta Vigo D 1-1 1638 1604 22.9% 11.4% 65.7% +0.5 10
1935-01-27 Real Aviles Club de Futbol W 2-1 1633 1644 68.2% 11.2% 20.6% +1.0 8
1935-01-27 @ Racing Ferrol L 1-2 1644 1633 20.6% 11.2% 68.2% -0.9 11
1935-01-27 Nacional Madrid W 4-1 1663 1647 70.7% 11.1% 18.3% +2.1 19
1935-01-27 @ Real Valladolid L 1-4 1647 1663 18.3% 11.1% 70.7% -2.1 14
1935-01-27 Deportivo La Coruna W 3-0 1595 1581 70.5% 11.1% 18.4% +2.5 16
1935-01-27 @ Sporting Gijon L 0-3 1581 1595 18.4% 11.1% 70.5% -2.5 6
1935-01-27 Sabadell L 1-3 1646 1608 72.6% 10.9% 16.5% -5.3 8
1935-01-27 @ Badalona W 3-1 1608 1646 16.5% 10.9% 72.6% +5.3 17
1935-01-27 Girona W 4-0 1647 1647 69.3% 11.2% 19.6% +3.4 9
1935-01-27 @ Real Zaragoza L 0-4 1647 1647 19.6% 11.2% 69.3% -3.4 10
1935-01-27 Elche W 3-1 1645 1651 68.5% 11.2% 20.3% +1.6 11
1935-01-27 @ Malacitano L 1-3 1651 1645 20.3% 11.2% 68.5% -1.6 12
1935-01-27 Granada L 0-2 1653 1637 70.6% 11.1% 18.3% -6.0 10
1935-01-27 @ Gimnastico W 2-0 1637 1653 18.3% 11.1% 70.6% +6.0 10
1935-01-27 Hercules D 0-0 1599 1666 62.1% 11.5% 26.4% -0.4 14
1935-01-27 @ Real Murcia D 0-0 1666 1599 26.4% 11.5% 62.1% +0.4 25
1935-01-27 Levante D 0-0 1627 1654 66.4% 11.3% 22.2% -0.5 4
1935-01-27 @ Sport la Plana D 0-0 1654 1627 22.2% 11.3% 66.4% +0.5 14
1935-01-31 Jupiter D 1-1 1610 1639 66.2% 11.3% 22.4% -0.5 19
1935-01-31 @ Osasuna D 1-1 1639 1610 22.4% 11.3% 66.2% +0.5 6
1935-02-02 Racing Ferrol W 3-0 1645 1634 70.2% 11.1% 18.7% +2.5 17
1935-02-02 @ Nacional Madrid L 0-3 1634 1645 18.7% 11.1% 70.2% -2.5 8
1935-02-02 Real Union D 1-1 1643 1628 70.6% 11.1% 18.4% -0.6 11
1935-02-02 @ Girona D 1-1 1628 1643 18.4% 11.1% 70.6% +0.6 7
1935-02-02 Real Zaragoza D 0-0 1639 1651 68.1% 11.2% 20.7% -0.6 7
1935-02-02 @ Jupiter D 0-0 1651 1639 20.7% 11.2% 68.1% +0.6 10
1935-02-02 Badalona W 7-0 1609 1640 66.1% 11.3% 22.6% +6.7 22
1935-02-02 @ Osasuna L 0-7 1640 1609 22.6% 11.3% 66.1% -6.7 8
1935-02-02 Levante W 2-1 1650 1655 68.7% 11.2% 20.1% +0.9 15
1935-02-02 @ Elche L 1-2 1655 1650 20.1% 11.2% 68.7% -0.9 14
1935-02-02 Sport la Plana W 4-1 1647 1626 71.1% 11.0% 17.9% +2.0 13
1935-02-02 @ Gimnastico L 1-4 1626 1647 17.9% 11.0% 71.1% -2.0 4
1935-02-02 Real Murcia L 0-2 1643 1599 73.2% 10.8% 16.0% -6.2 10
1935-02-02 @ Granada W 2-0 1599 1643 16.0% 10.8% 73.2% +6.2 17
1935-02-02 Malacitano W 3-1 1667 1646 71.1% 11.0% 17.9% +1.4 28
1935-02-02 @ Hercules L 1-3 1646 1667 17.9% 11.0% 71.1% -1.4 11
1935-02-03 Celta Vigo W 4-2 1578 1603 66.7% 11.3% 22.0% +1.6 9
1935-02-03 @ Deportivo La Coruna L 2-4 1603 1578 22.0% 11.3% 66.7% -1.6 17
1935-02-03 Sporting Gijon L 0-2 1643 1597 73.3% 10.8% 15.9% -6.2 11
1935-02-03 @ Real Aviles Club de Futbol W 2-0 1597 1643 15.9% 10.8% 73.3% +6.2 19
1935-02-03 Barakaldo W 3-0 1665 1639 71.6% 11.0% 17.4% +2.3 22
1935-02-03 @ Real Valladolid L 0-3 1639 1665 17.4% 11.0% 71.6% -2.3 10
1935-02-10 Nacional Madrid W 3-1 1602 1648 64.5% 11.4% 24.1% +1.9 20
1935-02-10 @ Celta Vigo L 1-3 1648 1602 24.1% 11.4% 64.5% -1.9 17
1935-02-10 Deportivo La Coruna D 0-0 1632 1580 73.8% 10.7% 15.4% -0.7 9
1935-02-10 @ Racing Ferrol D 0-0 1580 1632 15.4% 10.7% 73.8% +0.7 10
1935-02-10 Real Valladolid D 2-2 1603 1667 62.4% 11.5% 26.1% -0.3 20
1935-02-10 @ Sporting Gijon D 2-2 1667 1603 26.1% 11.5% 62.4% +0.3 23
1935-02-10 Jupiter W 4-2 1629 1639 68.2% 11.2% 20.6% +1.5 10
1935-02-10 @ Real Union L 2-4 1639 1629 20.6% 11.2% 68.2% -1.5 7
1935-02-10 Osasuna W 2-1 1651 1616 72.4% 10.9% 16.7% +0.8 13
1935-02-10 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-2 1616 1651 16.7% 10.9% 72.4% -0.8 22
1935-02-10 Girona D 0-0 1613 1643 66.2% 11.3% 22.4% -0.5 18
1935-02-10 @ Sabadell D 0-0 1643 1613 22.4% 11.3% 66.2% +0.5 12
1935-02-10 Granada W 3-1 1645 1637 69.9% 11.1% 19.0% +1.5 14
1935-02-10 @ Malacitano L 1-3 1637 1645 19.0% 11.1% 69.9% -1.5 10
1935-02-10 Hercules W 3-1 1654 1668 67.8% 11.2% 20.9% +1.7 17
1935-02-10 @ Levante L 1-3 1668 1654 20.9% 11.2% 67.8% -1.7 28
1935-02-10 Gimnastico W 2-0 1605 1649 64.7% 11.4% 23.9% +2.2 20
1935-02-10 @ Real Murcia L 0-2 1649 1605 23.9% 11.4% 64.7% -2.2 13
1935-02-10 Elche L 0-1 1624 1651 66.5% 11.3% 22.1% -3.0 4
1935-02-10 @ Sport la Plana W 1-0 1651 1624 22.1% 11.3% 66.5% +3.0 18
1935-02-17 Sporting Gijon W 3-1 1604 1603 69.2% 11.2% 19.6% +1.6 23
1935-02-17 @ Celta Vigo L 1-3 1603 1604 19.6% 11.2% 69.2% -1.6 20
1935-02-17 Barakaldo W 3-0 1581 1637 63.3% 11.5% 25.2% +3.3 13
1935-02-17 @ Deportivo La Coruna L 0-3 1637 1581 25.2% 11.5% 63.3% -3.3 10
1935-02-17 Nacional Madrid W 3-1 1637 1646 68.3% 11.2% 20.5% +1.6 14
1935-02-17 @ Real Aviles Club de Futbol L 1-3 1646 1637 20.5% 11.2% 68.3% -1.6 17
1935-02-17 Racing Ferrol W 4-0 1668 1631 72.5% 10.9% 16.6% +2.9 26
1935-02-17 @ Real Valladolid L 0-4 1631 1668 16.6% 10.9% 72.5% -2.9 9
1935-02-17 Sabadell L 1-3 1637 1612 71.5% 11.0% 17.5% -5.2 7
1935-02-17 @ Jupiter W 3-1 1612 1637 17.5% 11.0% 71.5% +5.2 21
1935-02-17 Real Union W 4-0 1615 1630 67.7% 11.3% 21.1% +3.7 25
1935-02-17 @ Osasuna L 0-4 1630 1615 21.1% 11.3% 67.7% -3.7 10
1935-02-17 Badalona W 4-1 1652 1634 70.9% 11.0% 18.1% +2.0 16
1935-02-17 @ Real Zaragoza L 1-4 1634 1652 18.1% 11.0% 70.9% -2.0 8
1935-02-17 Hercules D 2-2 1654 1666 68.0% 11.2% 20.8% -0.4 19
1935-02-17 @ Elche D 2-2 1666 1654 20.8% 11.2% 68.0% +0.4 29
1935-02-17 Malacitano W 6-2 1647 1647 69.2% 11.2% 19.7% +2.4 16
1935-02-17 @ Gimnastico L 2-6 1647 1647 19.7% 11.2% 69.2% -2.4 14
1935-02-17 Levante W 5-0 1636 1656 67.2% 11.3% 21.5% +4.6 13
1935-02-17 @ Granada L 0-5 1656 1636 21.5% 11.3% 67.2% -4.6 17
1935-02-17 Real Murcia L 1-3 1621 1607 70.5% 11.1% 18.4% -5.2 4
1935-02-17 @ Sport la Plana W 3-1 1607 1621 18.4% 11.1% 70.5% +5.2 23
1935-02-23 Deportivo La Coruna W 3-0 1644 1584 74.5% 10.7% 14.9% +2.0 20
1935-02-23 @ Nacional Madrid L 0-3 1584 1644 14.9% 10.7% 74.5% -2.0 13
1935-02-23 Real Murcia W 5-0 1644 1612 72.1% 10.9% 17.0% +3.7 17
1935-02-23 @ Malacitano L 0-5 1612 1644 17.0% 10.9% 72.1% -3.7 23
1935-02-23 Granada L 0-3 1653 1640 70.4% 11.1% 18.5% -8.6 19
1935-02-23 @ Elche W 3-0 1640 1653 18.5% 11.1% 70.4% +8.6 16
1935-02-23 Sport la Plana W 8-1 1667 1616 73.7% 10.8% 15.6% +3.8 32
1935-02-23 @ Hercules L 1-8 1616 1667 15.6% 10.8% 73.7% -3.8 4
1935-02-23 Gimnastico W 5-0 1651 1649 69.4% 11.2% 19.5% +4.2 20
1935-02-23 @ Levante L 0-5 1649 1651 19.5% 11.2% 69.4% -4.2 16
1935-02-24 Sporting Gijon W 2-1 1633 1601 72.1% 10.9% 17.0% +0.8 13
1935-02-24 @ Barakaldo L 1-2 1601 1633 17.0% 10.9% 72.1% -0.8 20
1935-02-24 Celta Vigo L 1-2 1628 1605 71.3% 11.0% 17.7% -3.0 9
1935-02-24 @ Racing Ferrol W 2-1 1605 1628 17.7% 11.0% 71.3% +3.0 26
1935-02-24 Real Valladolid W 5-0 1638 1670 65.9% 11.4% 22.7% +4.9 17
1935-02-24 @ Real Aviles Club de Futbol L 0-5 1670 1638 22.7% 11.4% 65.9% -4.9 26
1935-02-24 Badalona W 2-1 1643 1631 70.3% 11.1% 18.6% +0.9 15
1935-02-24 @ Girona L 1-2 1631 1643 18.6% 11.1% 70.3% -0.9 8
1935-02-24 Real Zaragoza D 0-0 1627 1654 66.4% 11.3% 22.2% -0.6 11
1935-02-24 @ Real Union D 0-0 1654 1627 22.2% 11.3% 66.4% +0.5 17
1935-02-24 Osasuna L 0-2 1618 1619 69.1% 11.2% 19.8% -5.9 21
1935-02-24 @ Sabadell W 2-0 1619 1618 19.8% 11.2% 69.1% +5.9 28
1935-03-03 Real Valladolid W 4-3 1608 1666 63.2% 11.5% 25.3% +1.1 29
1935-03-03 @ Celta Vigo L 3-4 1666 1608 25.3% 11.5% 63.2% -1.1 26
1935-03-03 Real Aviles Club de Futbol L 1-2 1582 1643 62.7% 11.5% 25.8% -2.7 13
1935-03-03 @ Deportivo La Coruna W 2-1 1643 1582 25.8% 11.5% 62.7% +2.7 20
1935-03-03 Nacional Madrid W 2-0 1601 1646 64.5% 11.4% 24.1% +2.2 23
1935-03-03 @ Sporting Gijon L 0-2 1646 1601 24.1% 11.4% 64.5% -2.2 20
1935-03-03 Real Union W 3-1 1631 1626 69.6% 11.1% 19.3% +1.5 11
1935-03-03 @ Badalona L 1-3 1626 1631 19.3% 11.1% 69.6% -1.5 11
1935-03-03 Girona D 1-1 1632 1644 68.0% 11.2% 20.7% -0.5 8
1935-03-03 @ Jupiter D 1-1 1644 1632 20.7% 11.2% 68.0% +0.5 16
1935-03-03 Sabadell W 5-0 1655 1612 73.1% 10.8% 16.1% +3.5 20
1935-03-03 @ Real Zaragoza L 0-5 1612 1655 16.1% 10.8% 73.1% -3.5 21
1935-03-03 Elche W 5-2 1645 1645 69.2% 11.2% 19.6% +1.9 19
1935-03-03 @ Gimnastico L 2-5 1645 1645 19.6% 11.2% 69.2% -1.9 19
1935-03-03 Hercules W 2-0 1649 1671 67.0% 11.3% 21.7% +2.0 19
1935-03-03 @ Granada L 0-2 1671 1649 21.7% 11.3% 67.0% -2.0 32
1935-03-03 Levante D 2-2 1609 1655 64.4% 11.4% 24.2% -0.3 24
1935-03-03 @ Real Murcia D 2-2 1655 1609 24.2% 11.4% 64.4% +0.3 21
1935-03-05 Malacitano L 0-4 1612 1648 65.6% 11.4% 23.0% -10.5 4
1935-03-05 @ Sport la Plana W 4-0 1648 1612 23.0% 11.4% 65.6% +10.5 20
1935-03-10 Real Aviles Club de Futbol W 9-1 1634 1646 68.0% 11.2% 20.8% +5.7 16
1935-03-10 @ Barakaldo L 1-9 1646 1634 20.8% 11.2% 68.0% -5.7 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1935-01-13 14.50% Celta Vigo 1600 2 @ Real Valladolid 1666 1
2 1934-12-22 14.74% Celta Vigo 1590 2 @ Nacional Madrid 1652 0
3 1934-12-09 14.90% Osasuna 1595 1 @ Jupiter 1654 0
4 1935-02-03 15.90% Sporting Gijon 1597 2 @ Real Aviles Club de Futbol 1643 0
5 1935-02-02 16.01% Real Murcia 1599 2 @ Granada 1643 0
6 1934-12-16 16.08% Osasuna 1598 3 @ Badalona 1642 1
7 1934-12-23 16.14% Sabadell 1604 2 @ Girona 1646 1
8 1935-01-27 16.51% Sabadell 1608 3 @ Badalona 1646 1
9 1934-12-30 17.15% Osasuna 1606 1 @ Real Union 1636 0
10 1935-02-17 17.54% Sabadell 1612 3 @ Jupiter 1637 1
11 1935-02-24 17.70% Celta Vigo 1605 2 @ Racing Ferrol 1628 1
12 1935-01-27 18.32% Granada 1637 2 @ Gimnastico 1653 0
13 1935-02-17 18.44% Real Murcia 1607 3 @ Sport la Plana 1621 1
14 1935-02-23 18.52% Granada 1640 3 @ Elche 1653 0
15 1935-01-20 18.73% Badalona 1637 3 @ Jupiter 1647 0
16 1934-12-09 19.47% Gimnastico 1645 2 @ Granada 1648 0
17 1934-12-02 19.66% Jupiter 1649 2 @ Badalona 1649 0
18 1934-12-02 19.66% Hercules 1649 1 @ Gimnastico 1649 0
19 1935-02-24 19.76% Osasuna 1619 2 @ Sabadell 1618 0
20 1934-12-16 19.86% Real Valladolid 1650 2 @ Barakaldo 1648 0
21 1935-01-20 19.93% Nacional Madrid 1644 2 @ Barakaldo 1641 1
22 1934-12-16 20.21% Gimnastico 1651 2 @ Sport la Plana 1645 0
23 1934-12-16 20.42% Hercules 1653 3 @ Malacitano 1644 2
24 1934-12-30 21.26% Real Valladolid 1659 2 @ Racing Ferrol 1641 1
25 1935-01-06 22.06% Hercules 1660 1 @ Sport la Plana 1634 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1935-03-05 10.54 Malacitano 4 1648 23.04% @ Sport la Plana 0 1612 65.59%
2 1935-02-23 8.65 Granada 3 1640 18.52% @ Elche 0 1653 70.41%
3 1935-01-20 8.62 Badalona 3 1637 18.73% @ Jupiter 0 1647 70.18%
4 1934-12-02 7.23 @ Celta Vigo 12 1581 62.04% Real Aviles Club de Futbol 2 1649 26.44%
5 1935-02-02 6.68 @ Osasuna 7 1609 66.06% Badalona 0 1640 22.59%
6 1934-12-22 6.30 Celta Vigo 2 1590 14.74% @ Nacional Madrid 0 1652 74.61%
7 1935-02-03 6.19 Sporting Gijon 2 1597 15.90% @ Real Aviles Club de Futbol 0 1643 73.30%
8 1935-02-02 6.18 Real Murcia 2 1599 16.01% @ Granada 0 1643 73.18%
9 1935-01-27 5.97 Granada 2 1637 18.32% @ Gimnastico 0 1653 70.63%
10 1934-12-09 5.87 Gimnastico 2 1645 19.47% @ Granada 0 1648 69.39%
11 1935-02-24 5.85 Osasuna 2 1619 19.76% @ Sabadell 0 1618 69.07%
12 1934-12-02 5.85 Jupiter 2 1649 19.66% @ Badalona 0 1649 69.18%
13 1934-12-16 5.84 Real Valladolid 2 1650 19.86% @ Barakaldo 0 1648 68.97%
14 1934-12-16 5.80 Gimnastico 2 1651 20.21% @ Sport la Plana 0 1645 68.59%
15 1935-03-10 5.74 @ Barakaldo 9 1634 68.01% Real Aviles Club de Futbol 1 1646 20.75%
16 1934-12-16 5.35 Osasuna 3 1598 16.08% @ Badalona 1 1642 73.10%
17 1935-01-27 5.32 Sabadell 3 1608 16.51% @ Badalona 1 1646 72.63%
18 1935-02-17 5.24 Sabadell 3 1612 17.54% @ Jupiter 1 1637 71.49%
19 1935-02-17 5.17 Real Murcia 3 1607 18.44% @ Sport la Plana 1 1621 70.50%
20 1935-01-06 5.11 @ Celta Vigo 5 1595 64.73% Racing Ferrol 0 1639 23.85%
21 1935-02-24 4.88 @ Real Aviles Club de Futbol 5 1638 65.94% Real Valladolid 0 1670 22.70%
22 1935-02-17 4.63 @ Granada 5 1636 67.21% Levante 0 1656 21.50%
23 1934-12-09 4.34 @ Real Aviles Club de Futbol 5 1641 68.75% Racing Ferrol 0 1646 20.06%
24 1934-12-09 4.26 @ Levante 5 1649 69.15% Sport la Plana 0 1649 19.69%
25 1935-02-23 4.21 @ Levante 5 1651 69.36% Gimnastico 0 1649 19.49%