1943-44 Segunda División Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Real Gijon

9.35 points above expected

37 points · 27.65 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Osasuna

6.76 points below expected

18 points · 24.76 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Real Gijon	26	16	5	5	37	50	19	+31	27.6	+9.35
2	Real Murcia	26	15	2	9	32	62	40	+22	26.9	+5.13
3	Constancia	26	15	1	10	31	49	37	+12	26.7	+4.33
4	Alcoyano	26	12	7	7	31	44	33	+11	25.1	+5.92
5	Real Zaragoza	26	12	5	9	29	56	40	+16	28.4	+0.57
6	Xerez	26	13	3	10	29	49	41	+8	25.5	+3.54
7	Real Betis	26	11	7	8	29	50	44	+6	27.4	+1.62
8	SD Ceuta	26	10	5	11	25	47	45	+2	25.4	-0.45
9	Leonesa	26	11	3	12	25	42	45	-3	27.2	-2.22
10	Hercules	26	9	4	13	22	38	45	-7	26.4	-4.45
11	Arenas de Getxo	26	7	5	14	19	39	60	-21	24.2	-5.21
12	Barakaldo	26	8	3	15	19	34	61	-27	23.9	-4.86
13	Real Valladolid	26	6	6	14	18	30	53	-23	24.5	-6.51
14	Osasuna	26	7	4	15	18	33	60	-27	24.8	-6.76

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Real Gijon	1531	37	27.65	+9.35	99.0%	15	20	25	28	31	35	39
Real Zaragoza	1529	29	28.43	+0.57	60.0%	19	22	25	28	31	35	41
Real Murcia	1515	32	26.87	+5.13	89.0%	18	20	23	27	30	34	38
Real Betis	1513	29	27.38	+1.62	63.0%	15	19	24	28	31	35	36
Constancia	1495	31	26.67	+4.33	91.0%	17	19	25	27	29	33	37
Alcoyano	1486	31	25.08	+5.92	97.0%	12	18	23	25	27	31	36
Hercules	1485	22	26.45	-4.45	14.0%	17	20	23	26	29	33	36
Xerez	1483	29	25.46	+3.54	84.0%	17	19	23	25	28	32	34
Leonesa	1475	25	27.22	-2.22	35.0%	19	21	25	27	29	35	38
SD Ceuta	1475	25	25.45	-0.45	50.0%	12	19	23	25	28	32	36
Osasuna	1446	18	24.76	-6.76	4.0%	12	19	22	24	27	34	35
Arenas de Getxo	1444	19	24.21	-5.21	17.0%	16	16	21	24	27	31	36
Real Valladolid	1441	18	24.51	-6.51	9.0%	16	17	21	24	28	30	33
Barakaldo	1437	19	23.86	-4.86	13.0%	12	17	21	24	27	30	32

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ALC	ADG	BAR	CON	HER	LEO	OSA	RB	RG	RM	RV	RZ	SC	XER
Alcoyano	—	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 2.74	1-1-0 2.70	1-1-0 2.76	1-0-1 2.99	0-2-0 2.62	0-0-2 2.70	1-1-0 2.70	1-1-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.52	2-0-0 2.81	1-1-0 2.82
Arenas de Getxo	1-0-1 2.66	—	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.53	1-1-0 2.53	0-0-2 2.66	1-1-0 2.74	0-0-2 2.44	0-1-1 2.52	0-0-2 2.65	0-1-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.32	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.67
Barakaldo	1-0-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.75	—	1-0-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.73	0-1-1 2.43	0-0-2 2.46	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.74	0-1-1 2.42	0-1-1 2.60	0-0-2 2.71
Constancia	1-0-1 2.89	1-0-1 3.09	1-0-1 3.04	—	2-0-0 2.73	2-0-0 2.86	1-1-0 3.01	1-0-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.97	1-0-1 2.60	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.87
Hercules	0-1-1 2.93	0-1-1 3.10	1-0-1 3.17	0-0-2 2.90	—	1-0-1 2.90	2-0-0 3.02	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.82	1-1-0 2.99	0-0-2 2.67	0-1-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.95
Leonesa	0-1-1 2.86	2-0-0 2.97	1-0-1 3.04	0-0-2 2.77	1-0-1 2.72	—	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.72	0-0-2 2.77	1-1-0 2.95	1-1-0 2.59	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.84
Osasuna	1-0-1 2.64	0-1-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.89	0-1-1 2.62	0-0-2 2.61	1-0-1 2.60	—	1-0-1 2.45	0-1-1 2.63	0-0-2 2.57	1-0-1 2.78	0-1-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.70
Real Betis	0-2-0 3.01	2-0-0 3.18	1-1-0 3.20	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 3.01	1-0-1 3.17	—	1-0-1 2.79	1-1-0 2.91	1-1-0 3.10	1-0-1 2.73	0-1-1 3.07	0-1-1 3.04
Real Gijon	2-0-0 2.92	1-1-0 3.12	2-0-0 3.18	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.89	1-1-0 2.98	1-0-1 2.84	—	1-0-1 2.83	2-0-0 3.12	1-1-0 2.66	1-1-0 3.03	1-1-0 3.05
Real Murcia	0-1-1 2.93	2-0-0 2.99	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.80	2-0-0 2.85	2-0-0 3.06	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.80	—	2-0-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.93
Real Valladolid	0-1-1 2.68	1-1-0 2.88	1-0-1 2.89	1-0-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.69	1-0-1 2.84	0-1-1 2.52	0-0-2 2.52	0-0-2 2.62	—	0-1-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.77
Real Zaragoza	1-0-1 3.10	1-0-1 3.32	1-1-0 3.22	1-0-1 3.03	2-0-0 2.95	0-1-1 3.04	1-1-0 3.25	1-0-1 2.88	0-1-1 2.96	1-0-1 2.97	1-1-0 3.17	—	1-0-1 3.09	1-0-1 3.09
SD Ceuta	0-0-2 2.81	1-1-0 2.92	1-1-0 3.02	1-0-1 2.73	1-1-0 2.68	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.85	1-1-0 2.56	0-1-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.53	—	0-0-2 2.78
Xerez	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.95	2-0-0 2.92	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.59	0-1-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.70	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.54	2-0-0 2.84	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	1.65%	7.42%	3.02%	3.85%	1.92%	1.37%	19.23%
1	7.42%	10.99%	6.59%	6.04%	4.12%	3.57%	38.74%
2	3.02%	6.59%	2.75%	2.20%	0.55%	—	15.11%
3	3.85%	6.04%	2.20%	0.55%	0.55%	0.55%	13.74%
4	1.92%	4.12%	0.55%	0.55%	0.55%	—	7.69%
5+	1.37%	3.57%	—	0.55%	—	—	5.49%
Total	19.23%	38.74%	15.11%	13.74%	7.69%	5.49%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.71
Mean allowed	1.71
StdDev scored	1.49
StdDev allowed	1.49
Mean total goals/game	3.42
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.042
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
1	11.54%	15.38%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	38.46%
2	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	26.92%	42.31%	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	—	100%

Alcoyano — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.59
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	2.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.084
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	11.54%	23.08%
1	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	26.92%	11.54%	11.54%	15.38%	15.38%	100%

Arenas de Getxo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	2.31
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	1.95
Mean total goals/game	3.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.363
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	15.38%	—	—	19.23%
1	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	11.54%	11.54%	53.85%
2	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.38%	23.08%	19.23%	19.23%	11.54%	11.54%	100%

Barakaldo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.31
Mean allowed	2.35
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	1.85
Mean total goals/game	3.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.418
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
1	19.23%	3.85%	11.54%	—	11.54%	3.85%	50.00%
2	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
3	—	19.23%	3.85%	—	—	—	23.08%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	26.92%	38.46%	19.23%	—	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Constancia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	1.66
StdDev allowed	1.42
Mean total goals/game	3.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.268
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
1	—	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	38.46%	23.08%	19.23%	7.69%	—	100%

Hercules — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	3.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.383
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	—	11.54%	—	—	23.08%
1	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	34.62%
2	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	30.77%	15.38%	30.77%	—	3.85%	100%

Leonesa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.39
StdDev allowed	1.31
Mean total goals/game	3.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.169
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	30.77%
1	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	—	42.31%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	23.08%	11.54%	23.08%	19.23%	7.69%	100%

Osasuna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	2.31
StdDev scored	1.34
StdDev allowed	1.59
Mean total goals/game	3.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.713
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	19.23%
1	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	38.46%
2	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
3	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	15.38%	46.15%	11.54%	7.69%	19.23%	—	100%

Real Betis — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	1.70
StdDev allowed	1.38
Mean total goals/game	3.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.199
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
1	15.38%	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	23.08%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	46.15%	46.15%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	100%

Real Gijon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	0.73
StdDev scored	1.52
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	2.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.097
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	11.54%	—	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
5+	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	19.23%	42.31%	15.38%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Real Murcia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.38
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.83
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.124
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
1	7.69%	11.54%	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	57.69%
2	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	30.77%	30.77%	11.54%	3.85%	11.54%	100%

Real Valladolid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.15
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	3.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.060
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
1	—	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
2	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
Total	11.54%	57.69%	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Real Zaragoza — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.15
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.85
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.116
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	19.23%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	34.62%
2	—	19.23%	—	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	11.54%	50.00%	19.23%	7.69%	—	11.54%	100%

SD Ceuta — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.81
Mean allowed	1.73
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	1.54
Mean total goals/game	3.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.024
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	23.08%
1	3.85%	11.54%	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	19.23%	46.15%	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Xerez — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	1.58
StdDev scored	1.66
StdDev allowed	1.55
Mean total goals/game	3.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.222
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Real Gijon	37	27.6	+9.35
2	Alcoyano	31	25.1	+5.92
3	Real Murcia	32	26.9	+5.13
4	Constancia	31	26.7	+4.33
5	Xerez	29	25.5	+3.54

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Osasuna	18	24.8	-6.76
2	Real Valladolid	18	24.5	-6.51
3	Arenas de Getxo	19	24.2	-5.21
4	Barakaldo	19	23.9	-4.86
5	Hercules	22	26.4	-4.45

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Constancia	5	Oct 3 – Nov 7	1 in 118
2	Alcoyano	4	Nov 14 – Dec 5	1 in 79
3	SD Ceuta	3	Jan 16 – Jan 30	1 in 16
4	Leonesa	3	Nov 21 – Dec 5	1 in 14
5	Real Murcia	3	Feb 20 – Mar 12	1 in 10

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Valladolid	5	Nov 21 – Dec 19	1 in 92
2	Arenas de Getxo	4	Sep 26 – Oct 17	1 in 56
3	Constancia	3	Jan 16 – Jan 30	1 in 17
4	Barakaldo	4	Nov 21 – Dec 12	1 in 16
5	SD Ceuta	3	Oct 3 – Oct 17	1 in 12

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Betis	11	Nov 28 – Feb 13	1 in 185
2	Alcoyano	6	Nov 14 – Dec 19	1 in 39
3	Real Gijon	8	Feb 13 – Apr 9	1 in 30
4	Constancia	5	Oct 3 – Nov 7	1 in 13
5	SD Ceuta	4	Nov 28 – Dec 19	1 in 11

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Zaragoza	5	Jan 9 – Feb 6	1 in 49
2	Real Valladolid	7	Nov 7 – Dec 19	1 in 32
3	Osasuna	6	Nov 14 – Dec 19	1 in 27
4	Hercules	3	Dec 12 – Jan 2	1 in 12
5	Arenas de Getxo	5	Nov 7 – Dec 5	1 in 10

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Real Gijon	14.00%	10.00%	9.00%	9.00%	12.00%	5.00%	8.00%	7.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	6.00%	3.00%
Real Murcia	16.00%	10.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	6.00%	9.00%	8.00%	2.00%
Constancia	6.00%	7.00%	10.00%	8.00%	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	7.00%	6.00%	2.00%	8.00%	2.00%	4.00%
Alcoyano	3.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	13.00%	10.00%	5.00%	10.00%	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	8.00%	6.00%
Real Zaragoza	16.00%	17.00%	10.00%	6.00%	9.00%	6.00%	6.00%	9.00%	8.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Xerez	4.00%	6.00%	7.00%	10.00%	5.00%	4.00%	8.00%	8.00%	13.00%	9.00%	10.00%	2.00%	8.00%	6.00%
Real Betis	14.00%	10.00%	12.00%	9.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	9.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%
SD Ceuta	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	9.00%	8.00%	12.00%	3.00%	10.00%	10.00%	7.00%	10.00%	5.00%	9.00%	6.00%
Leonesa	10.00%	7.00%	7.00%	8.00%	9.00%	5.00%	15.00%	6.00%	6.00%	15.00%	1.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Hercules	4.00%	5.00%	11.00%	9.00%	11.00%	5.00%	8.00%	7.00%	9.00%	8.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%
Arenas de Getxo	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	5.00%	9.00%	3.00%	11.00%	6.00%	14.00%	7.00%	19.00%
Barakaldo	—	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	5.00%	9.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	16.00%	11.00%	6.00%	16.00%
Real Valladolid	2.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	10.00%	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	7.00%	8.00%	13.00%	10.00%	14.00%
Osasuna	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	12.00%	9.00%	17.00%	12.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Won promotion playoff	Lost promotion playoff	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Real Zaragoza	33.0%	8.0%	8.0%	44.0%	4.0%	3.0%
Real Gijon	24.0%	7.0%	11.0%	43.0%	6.0%	9.0%
Real Betis	24.0%	6.0%	15.0%	31.0%	15.0%	9.0%
Real Murcia	26.0%	5.0%	11.0%	33.0%	15.0%	10.0%
Leonesa	17.0%	6.0%	9.0%	56.0%	5.0%	7.0%
Constancia	13.0%	5.0%	13.0%	53.0%	10.0%	6.0%
Hercules	9.0%	3.0%	17.0%	48.0%	11.0%	12.0%
Xerez	10.0%	4.0%	13.0%	47.0%	12.0%	14.0%
Alcoyano	8.0%	4.0%	7.0%	49.0%	18.0%	14.0%
SD Ceuta	6.0%	3.0%	11.0%	50.0%	15.0%	15.0%
Real Valladolid	8.0%	2.0%	11.0%	34.0%	21.0%	24.0%
Osasuna	11.0%	3.0%	5.0%	31.0%	21.0%	29.0%
Barakaldo	4.0%	2.0%	5.0%	40.0%	27.0%	22.0%
Arenas de Getxo	7.0%	—	6.0%	41.0%	20.0%	26.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1943-09-26	Constancia	W 2-1	1472	1477	61.3%	19.0%	19.8%	+1.2	3
1943-09-26	@ Alcoyano	L 1-2	1477	1472	19.8%	19.0%	61.3%	-1.3	0
1943-09-26	Real Murcia	L 0-1	1466	1485	59.8%	19.3%	20.9%	-3.5	0
1943-09-26	@ Arenas de Getxo	W 1-0	1485	1466	20.9%	19.3%	59.8%	+3.5	3
1943-09-26	Xerez	L 1-2	1470	1470	61.8%	18.8%	19.3%	-3.4	0
1943-09-26	@ Barakaldo	W 2-1	1470	1470	19.3%	18.8%	61.8%	+3.4	3
1943-09-26	Real Valladolid	D 2-2	1501	1477	64.3%	18.2%	17.5%	-0.5	1
1943-09-26	@ Hercules	D 2-2	1477	1501	17.5%	18.2%	64.3%	+0.5	1
1943-09-26	Real Zaragoza	W 2-1	1482	1516	58.0%	19.6%	22.4%	+1.4	3
1943-09-26	@ Leonesa	L 1-2	1516	1482	22.4%	19.6%	58.0%	-1.4	0
1943-09-26	Real Betis	W 2-1	1475	1511	57.8%	19.7%	22.6%	+1.4	3
1943-09-26	@ SD Ceuta	L 1-2	1511	1475	22.6%	19.7%	57.8%	-1.4	0
1943-09-26	Osasuna	W 3-0	1479	1476	62.1%	18.8%	19.1%	+3.5	3
1943-09-26	@ Real Gijon	L 0-3	1476	1479	19.1%	18.8%	62.1%	-3.5	0
1943-10-03	Real Gijon	W 1-0	1475	1482	61.1%	19.0%	19.9%	+1.3	3
1943-10-03	@ Constancia	L 0-1	1482	1475	19.9%	19.0%	61.1%	-1.3	3
1943-10-03	SD Ceuta	W 5-1	1472	1477	61.4%	18.9%	19.7%	+4.0	3
1943-10-03	@ Osasuna	L 1-5	1477	1472	19.7%	18.9%	61.4%	-4.0	3
1943-10-03	Barakaldo	W 4-1	1510	1467	66.4%	17.6%	16.1%	+2.5	3
1943-10-03	@ Real Betis	L 1-4	1467	1510	16.1%	17.6%	66.4%	-2.5	0
1943-10-03	Leonesa	W 3-1	1488	1483	62.4%	18.7%	18.9%	+2.1	6
1943-10-03	@ Real Murcia	L 1-3	1483	1488	18.9%	18.7%	62.4%	-2.1	3
1943-10-03	Arenas de Getxo	W 3-2	1478	1463	63.4%	18.4%	18.1%	+1.1	4
1943-10-03	@ Real Valladolid	L 2-3	1463	1478	18.1%	18.4%	63.4%	-1.1	0
1943-10-03	Alcoyano	W 4-1	1514	1473	66.2%	17.6%	16.2%	+2.5	3
1943-10-03	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-4	1473	1514	16.2%	17.6%	66.2%	-2.5	3
1943-10-03	Hercules	W 4-2	1473	1500	58.8%	19.5%	21.7%	+2.1	6
1943-10-03	@ Xerez	L 2-4	1500	1473	21.7%	19.5%	58.8%	-2.1	1
1943-10-10	Real Murcia	W 3-2	1470	1490	59.6%	19.3%	21.1%	+1.3	6
1943-10-10	@ Alcoyano	L 2-3	1490	1470	21.1%	19.3%	59.6%	-1.3	6
1943-10-10	Leonesa	L 3-4	1462	1481	59.7%	19.3%	21.0%	-3.0	0
1943-10-10	@ Arenas de Getxo	W 4-3	1481	1462	21.0%	19.3%	59.7%	+3.0	6
1943-10-10	Osasuna	W 4-1	1464	1476	60.5%	19.1%	20.4%	+3.2	3
1943-10-10	@ Barakaldo	L 1-4	1476	1464	20.4%	19.1%	60.5%	-3.2	3
1943-10-10	Real Betis	W 2-0	1498	1513	60.2%	19.2%	20.6%	+2.6	4
1943-10-10	@ Hercules	L 0-2	1513	1498	20.6%	19.2%	60.2%	-2.6	3
1943-10-10	Xerez	W 1-0	1479	1475	62.2%	18.8%	19.0%	+1.3	7
1943-10-10	@ Real Valladolid	L 0-1	1475	1479	19.0%	18.8%	62.2%	-1.3	6
1943-10-10	Constancia	L 2-3	1473	1477	61.4%	19.0%	19.7%	-3.2	3
1943-10-10	@ SD Ceuta	W 3-2	1477	1473	19.7%	19.0%	61.4%	+3.2	6
1943-10-10	Real Zaragoza	W 1-0	1481	1517	57.8%	19.6%	22.5%	+1.5	6
1943-10-10	@ Real Gijon	L 0-1	1517	1481	22.5%	19.6%	57.8%	-1.5	3
1943-10-17	Barakaldo	W 5-1	1480	1467	63.2%	18.5%	18.3%	+3.7	9
1943-10-17	@ Constancia	L 1-5	1467	1480	18.3%	18.5%	63.2%	-3.7	3
1943-10-17	Alcoyano	D 1-1	1484	1472	63.1%	18.5%	18.4%	-0.6	7
1943-10-17	@ Leonesa	D 1-1	1472	1484	18.4%	18.5%	63.1%	+0.6	7
1943-10-17	Hercules	L 1-2	1473	1501	58.7%	19.5%	21.8%	-3.2	3
1943-10-17	@ Osasuna	W 2-1	1501	1473	21.8%	19.5%	58.7%	+3.2	7
1943-10-17	Real Valladolid	W 6-1	1510	1480	65.0%	18.0%	17.0%	+4.2	6
1943-10-17	@ Real Betis	L 1-6	1480	1510	17.0%	18.0%	65.0%	-4.2	7
1943-10-17	Real Gijon	W 4-2	1489	1483	62.5%	18.7%	18.8%	+1.8	9
1943-10-17	@ Real Murcia	L 2-4	1483	1489	18.8%	18.7%	62.5%	-1.9	6
1943-10-17	SD Ceuta	W 6-3	1515	1469	66.6%	17.5%	15.9%	+2.0	6
1943-10-17	@ Real Zaragoza	L 3-6	1469	1515	15.9%	17.5%	66.6%	-2.0	3
1943-10-17	Arenas de Getxo	W 4-0	1474	1459	63.5%	18.4%	18.1%	+4.4	9
1943-10-17	@ Xerez	L 0-4	1459	1474	18.1%	18.4%	63.5%	-4.4	0
1943-10-24	Alcoyano	W 1-0	1454	1472	59.8%	19.3%	20.9%	+1.4	3
1943-10-24	@ Arenas de Getxo	L 0-1	1472	1454	20.9%	19.3%	59.8%	-1.4	7
1943-10-24	Real Zaragoza	L 0-3	1464	1517	55.7%	20.0%	24.3%	-8.9	3
1943-10-24	@ Barakaldo	W 3-0	1517	1464	24.3%	20.0%	55.7%	+8.9	9
1943-10-24	Constancia	L 0-1	1504	1484	64.0%	18.3%	17.7%	-3.7	7
1943-10-24	@ Hercules	W 1-0	1484	1504	17.7%	18.3%	64.0%	+3.7	12
1943-10-24	Osasuna	W 2-1	1476	1470	62.5%	18.7%	18.9%	+1.2	10
1943-10-24	@ Real Valladolid	L 1-2	1470	1476	18.9%	18.7%	62.5%	-1.2	3
1943-10-24	Real Murcia	W 5-1	1467	1491	59.2%	19.4%	21.4%	+4.3	6
1943-10-24	@ SD Ceuta	L 1-5	1491	1467	21.4%	19.4%	59.2%	-4.3	9
1943-10-24	Leonesa	W 3-0	1481	1483	61.6%	18.9%	19.5%	+3.6	9
1943-10-24	@ Real Gijon	L 0-3	1483	1481	19.5%	18.9%	61.6%	-3.6	7
1943-10-24	Real Betis	W 4-1	1478	1514	57.8%	19.7%	22.6%	+3.5	12
1943-10-24	@ Xerez	L 1-4	1514	1478	22.6%	19.7%	57.8%	-3.5	6
1943-11-07	Real Gijon	L 0-3	1471	1484	60.3%	19.2%	20.5%	-9.6	7
1943-11-07	@ Alcoyano	W 3-0	1484	1471	20.5%	19.2%	60.3%	+9.6	12
1943-11-07	Real Valladolid	W 3-1	1487	1477	62.9%	18.6%	18.5%	+2.0	15
1943-11-07	@ Constancia	L 1-3	1477	1487	18.5%	18.6%	62.9%	-2.0	10
1943-11-07	SD Ceuta	W 3-2	1480	1472	62.7%	18.6%	18.7%	+1.1	10
1943-11-07	@ Leonesa	L 2-3	1472	1480	18.7%	18.6%	62.7%	-1.1	6
1943-11-07	Xerez	W 1-0	1469	1482	60.4%	19.2%	20.4%	+1.4	6
1943-11-07	@ Osasuna	L 0-1	1482	1469	20.4%	19.2%	60.4%	-1.4	12
1943-11-07	Arenas de Getxo	W 3-2	1511	1456	67.5%	17.2%	15.3%	+0.9	9
1943-11-07	@ Real Betis	L 2-3	1456	1511	15.3%	17.2%	67.5%	-0.9	3
1943-11-07	Barakaldo	W 7-1	1487	1455	65.2%	17.9%	16.9%	+4.9	12
1943-11-07	@ Real Murcia	L 1-7	1455	1487	16.9%	17.9%	65.2%	-4.9	3
1943-11-07	Hercules	W 3-1	1526	1500	64.5%	18.1%	17.3%	+1.9	12
1943-11-07	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-3	1500	1526	17.3%	18.1%	64.5%	-1.9	7
1943-11-14	Real Gijon	D 1-1	1455	1494	57.4%	19.7%	22.9%	-0.5	4
1943-11-14	@ Arenas de Getxo	D 1-1	1494	1455	22.9%	19.7%	57.4%	+0.5	13
1943-11-14	Leonesa	W 1-0	1450	1481	58.4%	19.6%	22.1%	+1.5	6
1943-11-14	@ Barakaldo	L 0-1	1481	1450	22.1%	19.6%	58.4%	-1.5	10
1943-11-14	Real Murcia	W 2-0	1498	1491	62.6%	18.7%	18.8%	+2.4	10
1943-11-14	@ Hercules	L 0-2	1491	1498	18.8%	18.7%	62.6%	-2.4	12
1943-11-14	Osasuna	W 5-0	1512	1470	66.2%	17.6%	16.2%	+4.8	12
1943-11-14	@ Real Betis	L 0-5	1470	1512	16.2%	17.6%	66.2%	-4.8	6
1943-11-14	Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1475	1528	55.8%	19.9%	24.3%	-0.4	11
1943-11-14	@ Real Valladolid	D 1-1	1528	1475	24.3%	19.9%	55.8%	+0.4	13
1943-11-14	Alcoyano	L 0-2	1471	1461	62.8%	18.6%	18.6%	-6.8	6
1943-11-14	@ SD Ceuta	W 2-0	1461	1471	18.6%	18.6%	62.8%	+6.8	10
1943-11-14	Constancia	W 2-0	1480	1489	60.8%	19.1%	20.1%	+2.5	15
1943-11-14	@ Xerez	L 0-2	1489	1480	20.1%	19.1%	60.8%	-2.6	15
1943-11-21	Barakaldo	W 6-1	1468	1451	63.6%	18.4%	18.0%	+4.4	13
1943-11-21	@ Alcoyano	L 1-6	1451	1468	18.0%	18.4%	63.6%	-4.4	6
1943-11-21	Real Betis	W 4-1	1487	1516	58.5%	19.5%	21.9%	+3.4	18
1943-11-21	@ Constancia	L 1-4	1516	1487	21.9%	19.5%	58.5%	-3.4	12
1943-11-21	Hercules	W 2-1	1479	1501	59.4%	19.4%	21.2%	+1.3	13
1943-11-21	@ Leonesa	L 1-2	1501	1479	21.2%	19.4%	59.4%	-1.4	10
1943-11-21	Arenas de Getxo	D 2-2	1465	1454	63.0%	18.6%	18.4%	-0.5	7
1943-11-21	@ Osasuna	D 2-2	1454	1465	18.4%	18.6%	63.0%	+0.5	5
1943-11-21	Real Valladolid	W 1-0	1489	1475	63.3%	18.5%	18.2%	+1.2	15
1943-11-21	@ Real Murcia	L 0-1	1475	1489	18.2%	18.5%	63.3%	-1.2	11
1943-11-21	Xerez	W 7-1	1528	1483	66.6%	17.5%	15.9%	+4.6	16
1943-11-21	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-7	1483	1528	15.9%	17.5%	66.6%	-4.6	15
1943-11-21	SD Ceuta	W 1-0	1494	1464	65.1%	18.0%	17.0%	+1.1	16
1943-11-21	@ Real Gijon	L 0-1	1464	1494	17.0%	18.0%	65.1%	-1.1	6
1943-11-28	SD Ceuta	D 1-1	1455	1463	61.0%	19.1%	20.0%	-0.6	6
1943-11-28	@ Arenas de Getxo	D 1-1	1463	1455	20.0%	19.1%	61.0%	+0.6	7
1943-11-28	Real Gijon	L 0-3	1447	1496	56.3%	19.9%	23.8%	-9.0	6
1943-11-28	@ Barakaldo	W 3-0	1496	1447	23.8%	19.9%	56.3%	+9.0	19
1943-11-28	Alcoyano	L 0-1	1500	1473	64.7%	18.1%	17.2%	-3.7	10
1943-11-28	@ Hercules	W 1-0	1473	1500	17.2%	18.1%	64.7%	+3.7	16
1943-11-28	Constancia	D 1-1	1465	1490	59.0%	19.4%	21.6%	-0.5	8
1943-11-28	@ Osasuna	D 1-1	1490	1465	21.6%	19.4%	59.0%	+0.5	19
1943-11-28	Real Zaragoza	W 1-0	1513	1533	59.6%	19.3%	21.1%	+1.4	15
1943-11-28	@ Real Betis	L 0-1	1533	1513	21.1%	19.3%	59.6%	-1.4	16
1943-11-28	Leonesa	L 0-1	1473	1481	61.0%	19.0%	19.9%	-3.5	11
1943-11-28	@ Real Valladolid	W 1-0	1481	1473	19.9%	19.0%	61.0%	+3.5	16
1943-11-28	Real Murcia	W 3-1	1478	1490	60.5%	19.1%	20.3%	+2.2	18
1943-11-28	@ Xerez	L 1-3	1490	1478	20.3%	19.1%	60.5%	-2.2	15
1943-12-05	Real Valladolid	W 2-0	1476	1470	62.5%	18.7%	18.8%	+2.4	19
1943-12-05	@ Alcoyano	L 0-2	1470	1476	18.8%	18.7%	62.5%	-2.4	11
1943-12-05	Arenas de Getxo	W 7-0	1491	1454	65.7%	17.8%	16.5%	+6.7	22
1943-12-05	@ Constancia	L 0-7	1454	1491	16.5%	17.8%	65.7%	-6.7	6
1943-12-05	Xerez	W 3-0	1484	1481	62.2%	18.8%	19.0%	+3.5	19
1943-12-05	@ Leonesa	L 0-3	1481	1484	19.0%	18.8%	62.2%	-3.5	18
1943-12-05	Real Betis	D 4-4	1488	1514	58.9%	19.5%	21.6%	-0.3	16
1943-12-05	@ Real Murcia	D 4-4	1514	1488	21.6%	19.5%	58.9%	+0.3	16
1943-12-05	Osasuna	W 4-0	1532	1464	68.7%	16.7%	14.5%	+3.5	19
1943-12-05	@ Real Zaragoza	L 0-4	1464	1532	14.5%	16.7%	68.7%	-3.5	8
1943-12-05	Barakaldo	W 2-1	1463	1438	64.5%	18.1%	17.3%	+1.1	10
1943-12-05	@ SD Ceuta	L 1-2	1438	1463	17.3%	18.1%	64.5%	-1.1	6
1943-12-05	Hercules	L 1-3	1505	1496	62.8%	18.6%	18.6%	-5.9	19
1943-12-05	@ Real Gijon	W 3-1	1496	1505	18.6%	18.6%	62.8%	+5.9	13
1943-12-12	Barakaldo	W 3-1	1447	1437	63.0%	18.6%	18.5%	+2.0	9
1943-12-12	@ Arenas de Getxo	L 1-3	1437	1447	18.5%	18.6%	63.0%	-2.0	6
1943-12-12	Real Zaragoza	W 3-1	1497	1535	57.6%	19.7%	22.7%	+2.5	25
1943-12-12	@ Constancia	L 1-3	1535	1497	22.7%	19.7%	57.6%	-2.5	19
1943-12-12	SD Ceuta	D 1-1	1502	1464	65.8%	17.8%	16.5%	-0.7	14
1943-12-12	@ Hercules	D 1-1	1464	1502	16.5%	17.8%	65.8%	+0.7	11
1943-12-12	Real Murcia	L 1-3	1461	1488	58.8%	19.5%	21.7%	-5.6	8
1943-12-12	@ Osasuna	W 3-1	1488	1461	21.7%	19.5%	58.8%	+5.6	19
1943-12-12	Leonesa	W 2-1	1515	1488	64.7%	18.1%	17.2%	+1.1	19
1943-12-12	@ Real Betis	L 1-2	1488	1515	17.2%	18.1%	64.7%	-1.1	19
1943-12-12	Real Gijon	L 1-5	1468	1499	58.3%	19.6%	22.1%	-10.1	11
1943-12-12	@ Real Valladolid	W 5-1	1499	1468	22.1%	19.6%	58.3%	+10.1	22
1943-12-12	Alcoyano	D 1-1	1477	1479	61.6%	18.9%	19.5%	-0.6	19
1943-12-12	@ Xerez	D 1-1	1479	1477	19.5%	18.9%	61.6%	+0.6	20
1943-12-19	Real Betis	D 0-0	1479	1516	57.7%	19.7%	22.6%	-0.5	21
1943-12-19	@ Alcoyano	D 0-0	1516	1479	22.6%	19.7%	57.7%	+0.5	20
1943-12-19	Real Zaragoza	W 2-1	1449	1533	52.1%	20.3%	27.6%	+1.7	12
1943-12-19	@ Arenas de Getxo	L 1-2	1533	1449	27.6%	20.3%	52.1%	-1.7	19
1943-12-19	Hercules	W 3-0	1435	1501	54.2%	20.1%	25.7%	+4.6	9
1943-12-19	@ Barakaldo	L 0-3	1501	1435	25.7%	20.1%	54.2%	-4.6	14
1943-12-19	Osasuna	W 4-1	1487	1455	65.1%	18.0%	16.9%	+2.6	22
1943-12-19	@ Leonesa	L 1-4	1455	1487	16.9%	18.0%	65.1%	-2.6	8
1943-12-19	Constancia	W 4-1	1493	1500	61.1%	19.0%	19.9%	+3.1	22
1943-12-19	@ Real Murcia	L 1-4	1500	1493	19.9%	19.0%	61.1%	-3.1	25
1943-12-19	Real Valladolid	W 2-1	1465	1457	62.6%	18.6%	18.7%	+1.2	14
1943-12-19	@ SD Ceuta	L 1-2	1457	1465	18.7%	18.6%	62.6%	-1.2	11
1943-12-19	Xerez	W 3-1	1509	1476	65.2%	17.9%	16.8%	+1.9	25
1943-12-19	@ Real Gijon	L 1-3	1476	1509	16.8%	17.9%	65.2%	-1.8	19
1944-01-02	Leonesa	W 1-0	1497	1489	62.6%	18.6%	18.7%	+1.3	28
1944-01-02	@ Constancia	L 0-1	1489	1497	18.7%	18.6%	62.6%	-1.3	22
1944-01-02	Arenas de Getxo	D 1-1	1496	1451	66.5%	17.5%	15.9%	-0.7	15
1944-01-02	@ Hercules	D 1-1	1451	1496	15.9%	17.5%	66.5%	+0.7	13
1944-01-02	Alcoyano	W 3-1	1453	1479	58.9%	19.4%	21.6%	+2.4	11
1944-01-02	@ Osasuna	L 1-3	1479	1453	21.6%	19.4%	58.9%	-2.4	21
1944-01-02	Real Gijon	W 1-0	1516	1511	62.4%	18.7%	18.9%	+1.3	23
1944-01-02	@ Real Betis	L 0-1	1511	1516	18.9%	18.7%	62.4%	-1.3	25
1944-01-02	Barakaldo	W 4-1	1456	1439	63.6%	18.4%	18.0%	+2.8	14
1944-01-02	@ Real Valladolid	L 1-4	1439	1456	18.0%	18.4%	63.6%	-2.8	9
1944-01-02	Real Murcia	W 3-1	1531	1496	65.5%	17.9%	16.7%	+1.8	22
1944-01-02	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-3	1496	1531	16.7%	17.9%	65.5%	-1.8	22
1944-01-02	SD Ceuta	W 5-3	1475	1466	62.7%	18.6%	18.6%	+1.7	22
1944-01-02	@ Xerez	L 3-5	1466	1475	18.6%	18.6%	62.7%	-1.7	14
1944-01-09	Alcoyano	W 1-0	1498	1476	64.1%	18.2%	17.6%	+1.2	31
1944-01-09	@ Constancia	L 0-1	1476	1498	17.6%	18.2%	64.1%	-1.2	21
1944-01-09	Real Gijon	D 1-1	1455	1509	55.6%	20.0%	24.4%	-0.4	12
1944-01-09	@ Osasuna	D 1-1	1509	1455	24.4%	20.0%	55.6%	+0.4	26
1944-01-09	SD Ceuta	D 1-1	1518	1464	67.3%	17.2%	15.4%	-0.7	24
1944-01-09	@ Real Betis	D 1-1	1464	1518	15.4%	17.2%	67.3%	+0.7	15
1944-01-09	Arenas de Getxo	W 5-1	1495	1452	66.3%	17.6%	16.1%	+3.2	25
1944-01-09	@ Real Murcia	L 1-5	1452	1495	16.1%	17.6%	66.3%	-3.2	13
1944-01-09	Hercules	L 1-2	1459	1496	57.7%	19.7%	22.6%	-3.2	14
1944-01-09	@ Real Valladolid	W 2-1	1496	1459	22.6%	19.7%	57.7%	+3.2	18
1944-01-09	Leonesa	D 1-1	1533	1488	66.5%	17.5%	16.0%	-0.7	23
1944-01-09	@ Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1488	1533	16.0%	17.5%	66.5%	+0.7	23
1944-01-09	Barakaldo	W 4-1	1476	1437	66.0%	17.7%	16.3%	+2.5	25
1944-01-09	@ Xerez	L 1-4	1437	1476	16.3%	17.7%	66.0%	-2.5	9
1944-01-16	Real Zaragoza	W 6-1	1475	1532	55.3%	20.0%	24.7%	+6.0	24
1944-01-16	@ Alcoyano	L 1-6	1532	1475	24.7%	20.0%	55.3%	-6.0	23
1944-01-16	Real Valladolid	D 0-0	1449	1456	61.0%	19.0%	20.0%	-0.6	14
1944-01-16	@ Arenas de Getxo	D 0-0	1456	1449	20.0%	19.0%	61.0%	+0.6	15
1944-01-16	Real Betis	D 1-1	1434	1517	52.2%	20.3%	27.6%	-0.3	10
1944-01-16	@ Barakaldo	D 1-1	1517	1434	27.6%	20.3%	52.2%	+0.3	25
1944-01-16	Xerez	W 3-1	1499	1479	63.9%	18.3%	17.8%	+2.0	21
1944-01-16	@ Hercules	L 1-3	1479	1499	17.8%	18.3%	63.9%	-2.0	25
1944-01-16	Real Murcia	L 0-1	1489	1498	60.8%	19.1%	20.1%	-3.5	23
1944-01-16	@ Leonesa	W 1-0	1498	1489	20.1%	19.1%	60.8%	+3.5	28
1944-01-16	Osasuna	W 5-0	1465	1455	62.9%	18.6%	18.5%	+5.5	18
1944-01-16	@ SD Ceuta	L 0-5	1455	1465	18.5%	18.6%	62.9%	-5.5	12
1944-01-16	Constancia	W 2-1	1510	1499	62.9%	18.6%	18.5%	+1.2	29
1944-01-16	@ Real Gijon	L 1-2	1499	1510	18.5%	18.6%	62.9%	-1.2	31
1944-01-23	SD Ceuta	L 0-1	1498	1471	64.7%	18.1%	17.2%	-3.7	31
1944-01-23	@ Constancia	W 1-0	1471	1498	17.2%	18.1%	64.7%	+3.7	21
1944-01-23	Arenas de Getxo	W 4-3	1485	1448	65.7%	17.8%	16.5%	+1.0	26
1944-01-23	@ Leonesa	L 3-4	1448	1485	16.5%	17.8%	65.7%	-1.0	14
1944-01-23	Barakaldo	W 3-0	1449	1434	63.5%	18.4%	18.1%	+3.3	15
1944-01-23	@ Osasuna	L 0-3	1434	1449	18.1%	18.4%	63.5%	-3.3	10
1944-01-23	Hercules	W 3-1	1517	1501	63.6%	18.4%	18.0%	+2.0	28
1944-01-23	@ Real Betis	L 1-3	1501	1517	18.0%	18.4%	63.6%	-2.0	21
1944-01-23	Alcoyano	D 2-2	1501	1481	64.0%	18.3%	17.7%	-0.5	29
1944-01-23	@ Real Murcia	D 2-2	1481	1501	17.7%	18.3%	64.0%	+0.5	25
1944-01-23	Real Gijon	D 0-0	1526	1511	63.4%	18.4%	18.1%	-0.7	24
1944-01-23	@ Real Zaragoza	D 0-0	1511	1526	18.1%	18.4%	63.4%	+0.7	30
1944-01-23	Real Valladolid	W 3-0	1477	1457	64.0%	18.3%	17.7%	+3.3	28
1944-01-23	@ Xerez	L 0-3	1457	1477	17.7%	18.3%	64.0%	-3.3	15
1944-01-30	Leonesa	W 3-0	1482	1486	61.3%	19.0%	19.7%	+3.6	28
1944-01-30	@ Alcoyano	L 0-3	1486	1482	19.7%	19.0%	61.3%	-3.6	26
1944-01-30	Xerez	W 2-0	1447	1480	58.1%	19.6%	22.3%	+2.8	17
1944-01-30	@ Arenas de Getxo	L 0-2	1480	1447	22.3%	19.6%	58.1%	-2.8	28
1944-01-30	Constancia	W 2-1	1430	1494	54.5%	20.1%	25.4%	+1.6	13
1944-01-30	@ Barakaldo	L 1-2	1494	1430	25.4%	20.1%	54.5%	-1.6	31
1944-01-30	Osasuna	W 4-0	1499	1453	66.7%	17.5%	15.9%	+3.8	24
1944-01-30	@ Hercules	L 0-4	1453	1499	15.9%	17.5%	66.7%	-3.8	15
1944-01-30	Real Betis	D 1-1	1453	1519	54.2%	20.1%	25.6%	-0.4	16
1944-01-30	@ Real Valladolid	D 1-1	1519	1453	25.6%	20.1%	54.2%	+0.4	29
1944-01-30	Real Zaragoza	W 3-2	1474	1525	56.0%	19.9%	24.1%	+1.4	24
1944-01-30	@ SD Ceuta	L 2-3	1525	1474	24.1%	19.9%	56.0%	-1.4	24
1944-01-30	Real Murcia	W 1-0	1512	1501	63.0%	18.6%	18.5%	+1.2	33
1944-01-30	@ Real Gijon	L 0-1	1501	1512	18.5%	18.6%	63.0%	-1.2	29
1944-02-06	Arenas de Getxo	W 2-1	1485	1450	65.5%	17.8%	16.6%	+1.0	31
1944-02-06	@ Alcoyano	L 1-2	1450	1485	16.6%	17.8%	65.5%	-1.1	17
1944-02-06	Hercules	W 3-1	1493	1503	60.7%	19.1%	20.2%	+2.2	34
1944-02-06	@ Constancia	L 1-3	1503	1493	20.2%	19.1%	60.7%	-2.2	24
1944-02-06	Real Gijon	W 1-0	1482	1513	58.4%	19.5%	22.0%	+1.5	29
1944-02-06	@ Leonesa	L 0-1	1513	1482	22.0%	19.5%	58.4%	-1.5	33
1944-02-06	Real Valladolid	W 2-1	1449	1453	61.4%	18.9%	19.7%	+1.2	18
1944-02-06	@ Osasuna	L 1-2	1453	1449	19.7%	18.9%	61.4%	-1.2	16
1944-02-06	Xerez	D 1-1	1520	1477	66.2%	17.6%	16.2%	-0.7	30
1944-02-06	@ Real Betis	D 1-1	1477	1520	16.2%	17.6%	66.2%	+0.7	29
1944-02-06	SD Ceuta	W 2-0	1500	1476	64.3%	18.2%	17.5%	+2.2	32
1944-02-06	@ Real Murcia	L 0-2	1476	1500	17.5%	18.2%	64.3%	-2.2	24
1944-02-06	Barakaldo	D 2-2	1524	1432	71.1%	15.8%	13.1%	-0.6	25
1944-02-06	@ Real Zaragoza	D 2-2	1432	1524	13.1%	15.8%	71.1%	+0.6	14
1944-02-13	Real Betis	L 1-3	1449	1519	53.8%	20.2%	26.1%	-5.1	17
1944-02-13	@ Arenas de Getxo	W 3-1	1519	1449	26.1%	20.2%	53.8%	+5.2	33
1944-02-13	Real Murcia	W 1-0	1433	1502	53.8%	20.2%	26.0%	+1.7	17
1944-02-13	@ Barakaldo	L 0-1	1502	1433	26.0%	20.2%	53.8%	-1.7	32
1944-02-13	Real Zaragoza	L 1-2	1500	1523	59.3%	19.4%	21.3%	-3.2	24
1944-02-13	@ Hercules	W 2-1	1523	1500	21.3%	19.4%	59.3%	+3.2	28
1944-02-13	Constancia	W 1-0	1452	1495	56.9%	19.8%	23.3%	+1.6	19
1944-02-13	@ Real Valladolid	L 0-1	1495	1452	23.3%	19.8%	56.9%	-1.6	34
1944-02-13	Leonesa	W 2-1	1474	1484	60.7%	19.1%	20.2%	+1.3	27
1944-02-13	@ SD Ceuta	L 1-2	1484	1474	20.2%	19.1%	60.7%	-1.3	29
1944-02-13	Alcoyano	W 3-1	1511	1486	64.5%	18.1%	17.4%	+1.9	36
1944-02-13	@ Real Gijon	L 1-3	1486	1511	17.4%	18.1%	64.5%	-1.9	31
1944-02-13	Osasuna	W 3-0	1478	1450	64.8%	18.1%	17.2%	+3.2	32
1944-02-13	@ Xerez	L 0-3	1450	1478	17.2%	18.1%	64.8%	-3.2	18
1944-02-20	SD Ceuta	W 1-0	1484	1475	62.8%	18.6%	18.6%	+1.3	34
1944-02-20	@ Alcoyano	L 0-1	1475	1484	18.6%	18.6%	62.8%	-1.2	27
1944-02-20	Xerez	W 2-0	1494	1481	63.1%	18.5%	18.4%	+2.3	37
1944-02-20	@ Constancia	L 0-2	1481	1494	18.4%	18.5%	63.1%	-2.3	32
1944-02-20	Barakaldo	W 3-0	1483	1434	66.9%	17.4%	15.7%	+2.9	32
1944-02-20	@ Leonesa	L 0-3	1434	1483	15.7%	17.4%	66.9%	-2.9	17
1944-02-20	Real Betis	W 4-0	1447	1524	52.9%	20.2%	26.9%	+6.3	21
1944-02-20	@ Osasuna	L 0-4	1524	1447	26.9%	20.2%	52.9%	-6.3	33
1944-02-20	Hercules	W 3-2	1500	1497	62.1%	18.8%	19.1%	+1.1	35
1944-02-20	@ Real Murcia	L 2-3	1497	1500	19.1%	18.8%	62.1%	-1.2	24
1944-02-20	Real Valladolid	W 2-1	1527	1453	69.3%	16.5%	14.1%	+0.9	31
1944-02-20	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-2	1453	1527	14.1%	16.5%	69.3%	-0.9	19
1944-02-20	Arenas de Getxo	W 5-0	1513	1444	69.0%	16.7%	14.4%	+4.2	39
1944-02-20	@ Real Gijon	L 0-5	1444	1513	14.4%	16.7%	69.0%	-4.2	17
1944-03-05	Osasuna	W 3-0	1439	1453	60.3%	19.2%	20.5%	+3.8	20
1944-03-05	@ Arenas de Getxo	L 0-3	1453	1439	20.5%	19.2%	60.3%	-3.8	21
1944-03-05	Alcoyano	W 2-0	1431	1486	55.6%	20.0%	24.4%	+3.1	20
1944-03-05	@ Barakaldo	L 0-2	1486	1431	24.4%	20.0%	55.6%	-3.1	34
1944-03-05	Leonesa	W 3-2	1496	1486	62.9%	18.6%	18.5%	+1.1	27
1944-03-05	@ Hercules	L 2-3	1486	1496	18.5%	18.6%	62.9%	-1.1	32
1944-03-05	Constancia	W 4-1	1518	1496	64.1%	18.2%	17.6%	+2.7	36
1944-03-05	@ Real Betis	L 1-4	1496	1518	17.6%	18.2%	64.1%	-2.7	37
1944-03-05	Real Murcia	L 1-4	1452	1501	56.3%	19.9%	23.9%	-7.6	19
1944-03-05	@ Real Valladolid	W 4-1	1501	1452	23.9%	19.9%	56.3%	+7.6	38
1944-03-05	Real Gijon	D 1-1	1474	1518	56.9%	19.8%	23.4%	-0.5	28
1944-03-05	@ SD Ceuta	D 1-1	1518	1474	23.4%	19.8%	56.9%	+0.5	40
1944-03-05	Real Zaragoza	W 1-0	1479	1528	56.3%	19.9%	23.8%	+1.6	35
1944-03-05	@ Xerez	L 0-1	1528	1479	23.8%	19.9%	56.3%	-1.6	31
1944-03-12	Hercules	D 1-1	1483	1497	60.2%	19.2%	20.6%	-0.5	35
1944-03-12	@ Alcoyano	D 1-1	1497	1483	20.6%	19.2%	60.2%	+0.5	28
1944-03-12	Osasuna	W 3-1	1493	1449	66.4%	17.6%	16.0%	+1.8	40
1944-03-12	@ Constancia	L 1-3	1449	1493	16.0%	17.6%	66.4%	-1.8	21
1944-03-12	Real Valladolid	D 2-2	1484	1445	66.0%	17.7%	16.3%	-0.5	33
1944-03-12	@ Leonesa	D 2-2	1445	1484	16.3%	17.7%	66.0%	+0.5	20
1944-03-12	Xerez	W 4-1	1509	1481	64.8%	18.1%	17.1%	+2.7	41
1944-03-12	@ Real Murcia	L 1-4	1481	1509	17.1%	18.1%	64.8%	-2.7	35
1944-03-12	Real Betis	W 3-1	1526	1520	62.4%	18.7%	18.9%	+2.1	34
1944-03-12	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-3	1520	1526	18.9%	18.7%	62.4%	-2.1	36
1944-03-12	Arenas de Getxo	W 5-0	1473	1443	65.0%	18.0%	17.0%	+5.0	31
1944-03-12	@ SD Ceuta	L 0-5	1443	1473	17.0%	18.0%	65.0%	-5.0	20
1944-03-12	Barakaldo	W 2-0	1518	1434	70.3%	16.1%	13.5%	+1.7	43
1944-03-12	@ Real Gijon	L 0-2	1434	1518	13.5%	16.1%	70.3%	-1.7	20
1944-03-19	Constancia	W 4-1	1438	1495	55.4%	20.0%	24.6%	+3.8	23
1944-03-19	@ Arenas de Getxo	L 1-4	1495	1438	24.6%	20.0%	55.4%	-3.8	40
1944-03-19	SD Ceuta	D 1-1	1433	1478	56.7%	19.8%	23.5%	-0.5	21
1944-03-19	@ Barakaldo	D 1-1	1478	1433	23.5%	19.8%	56.7%	+0.5	32
1944-03-19	Real Gijon	L 0-2	1498	1520	59.4%	19.4%	21.2%	-6.5	28
1944-03-19	@ Hercules	W 2-0	1520	1498	21.2%	19.4%	59.4%	+6.5	46
1944-03-19	Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1448	1528	52.5%	20.3%	27.3%	-0.3	22
1944-03-19	@ Osasuna	D 1-1	1528	1448	27.3%	20.3%	52.5%	+0.3	35
1944-03-19	Real Murcia	W 3-1	1518	1512	62.5%	18.7%	18.8%	+2.1	39
1944-03-19	@ Real Betis	L 1-3	1512	1518	18.8%	18.7%	62.5%	-2.1	41
1944-03-19	Alcoyano	D 1-1	1445	1482	57.7%	19.7%	22.7%	-0.5	21
1944-03-19	@ Real Valladolid	D 1-1	1482	1445	22.7%	19.7%	57.7%	+0.5	36
1944-03-19	Leonesa	W 5-1	1478	1484	61.2%	19.0%	19.9%	+4.0	38
1944-03-19	@ Xerez	L 1-5	1484	1478	19.9%	19.0%	61.2%	-4.0	33
1944-03-26	Xerez	W 1-0	1483	1482	61.9%	18.8%	19.3%	+1.3	39
1944-03-26	@ Alcoyano	L 0-1	1482	1483	19.3%	18.8%	61.9%	-1.3	38
1944-03-26	Arenas de Getxo	W 4-1	1432	1442	60.8%	19.1%	20.2%	+3.1	24
1944-03-26	@ Barakaldo	L 1-4	1442	1432	20.2%	19.1%	60.8%	-3.1	23
1944-03-26	Real Betis	W 4-0	1480	1520	57.3%	19.7%	23.0%	+5.5	36
1944-03-26	@ Leonesa	L 0-4	1520	1480	23.0%	19.7%	57.3%	-5.5	39
1944-03-26	Osasuna	W 4-0	1509	1447	68.2%	16.9%	14.8%	+3.5	44
1944-03-26	@ Real Murcia	L 0-4	1447	1509	14.8%	16.9%	68.2%	-3.5	22
1944-03-26	Constancia	W 5-1	1528	1491	65.7%	17.8%	16.5%	+3.3	38
1944-03-26	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-5	1491	1528	16.5%	17.8%	65.7%	-3.3	40
1944-03-26	Hercules	W 2-1	1479	1491	60.4%	19.2%	20.4%	+1.3	35
1944-03-26	@ SD Ceuta	L 1-2	1491	1479	20.4%	19.2%	60.4%	-1.3	28
1944-03-26	Real Valladolid	W 5-1	1526	1445	70.1%	16.2%	13.7%	+2.7	49
1944-03-26	@ Real Gijon	L 1-5	1445	1526	13.7%	16.2%	70.1%	-2.7	21
1944-04-02	Real Murcia	W 1-0	1488	1513	59.0%	19.4%	21.6%	+1.4	43
1944-04-02	@ Constancia	L 0-1	1513	1488	21.6%	19.4%	59.0%	-1.4	44
1944-04-02	Barakaldo	W 2-1	1490	1435	67.5%	17.2%	15.3%	+1.0	31
1944-04-02	@ Hercules	L 1-2	1435	1490	15.3%	17.2%	67.5%	-1.0	24
1944-04-02	Leonesa	W 3-0	1444	1485	57.1%	19.8%	23.1%	+4.2	25
1944-04-02	@ Osasuna	L 0-3	1485	1444	23.1%	19.8%	57.1%	-4.2	36
1944-04-02	Alcoyano	D 3-3	1515	1484	65.1%	18.0%	16.9%	-0.4	40
1944-04-02	@ Real Betis	D 3-3	1484	1515	16.9%	18.0%	65.1%	+0.4	40
1944-04-02	SD Ceuta	W 2-1	1442	1480	57.6%	19.7%	22.8%	+1.4	24
1944-04-02	@ Real Valladolid	L 1-2	1480	1442	22.8%	19.7%	57.6%	-1.4	35
1944-04-02	Arenas de Getxo	W 2-1	1532	1439	71.2%	15.8%	13.0%	+0.8	41
1944-04-02	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-2	1439	1532	13.0%	15.8%	71.2%	-0.8	23
1944-04-02	Real Gijon	D 1-1	1481	1529	56.3%	19.9%	23.8%	-0.4	39
1944-04-02	@ Xerez	D 1-1	1529	1481	23.8%	19.9%	56.3%	+0.4	50
1944-04-09	Osasuna	W 3-1	1484	1448	65.6%	17.8%	16.6%	+1.8	43
1944-04-09	@ Alcoyano	L 1-3	1448	1484	16.6%	17.8%	65.6%	-1.8	25
1944-04-09	Hercules	W 4-0	1438	1491	55.8%	19.9%	24.2%	+5.8	26
1944-04-09	@ Arenas de Getxo	L 0-4	1491	1438	24.2%	19.9%	55.8%	-5.8	31
1944-04-09	Real Valladolid	W 3-1	1434	1443	60.8%	19.1%	20.1%	+2.2	27
1944-04-09	@ Barakaldo	L 1-3	1443	1434	20.1%	19.1%	60.8%	-2.2	24
1944-04-09	Constancia	L 1-3	1481	1489	60.9%	19.1%	20.0%	-5.8	36
1944-04-09	@ Leonesa	W 3-1	1489	1481	20.0%	19.1%	60.9%	+5.8	46
1944-04-09	Real Zaragoza	W 4-1	1512	1532	59.5%	19.4%	21.1%	+3.3	47
1944-04-09	@ Real Murcia	L 1-4	1532	1512	21.1%	19.4%	59.5%	-3.3	41
1944-04-09	Xerez	L 1-2	1479	1480	61.6%	18.9%	19.5%	-3.4	35
1944-04-09	@ SD Ceuta	W 2-1	1480	1479	19.5%	18.9%	61.6%	+3.4	42
1944-04-09	Real Betis	W 1-0	1529	1514	63.4%	18.4%	18.1%	+1.2	53
1944-04-09	@ Real Gijon	L 0-1	1514	1529	18.1%	18.4%	63.4%	-1.2	40

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1944-01-23	17.20%	SD Ceuta	1471	1	@ Constancia	1498	0
2	1943-11-28	17.23%	Alcoyano	1473	1	@ Hercules	1500	0
3	1943-10-24	17.72%	Constancia	1484	1	@ Hercules	1504	0
4	1943-11-14	18.58%	Alcoyano	1461	2	@ SD Ceuta	1471	0
5	1943-12-05	18.62%	Hercules	1496	3	@ Real Gijon	1505	1
6	1943-09-26	19.32%	Xerez	1470	2	@ Barakaldo	1470	1
7	1944-04-09	19.47%	Xerez	1480	2	@ SD Ceuta	1479	1
8	1943-10-10	19.69%	Constancia	1477	3	@ SD Ceuta	1473	2
9	1943-11-28	19.94%	Leonesa	1481	1	@ Real Valladolid	1473	0
10	1944-04-09	20.01%	Constancia	1489	3	@ Leonesa	1481	1
11	1944-01-16	20.11%	Real Murcia	1498	1	@ Leonesa	1489	0
12	1943-11-07	20.49%	Real Gijon	1484	3	@ Alcoyano	1471	0
13	1943-09-26	20.93%	Real Murcia	1485	1	@ Arenas de Getxo	1466	0
14	1943-10-10	21.00%	Leonesa	1481	4	@ Arenas de Getxo	1462	3
15	1944-03-19	21.25%	Real Gijon	1520	2	@ Hercules	1498	0
16	1944-02-13	21.34%	Real Zaragoza	1523	2	@ Hercules	1500	1
17	1943-12-12	21.70%	Real Murcia	1488	3	@ Osasuna	1461	1
18	1943-10-17	21.77%	Hercules	1501	2	@ Osasuna	1473	1
19	1943-12-12	22.10%	Real Gijon	1499	5	@ Real Valladolid	1468	1
20	1944-01-09	22.63%	Hercules	1496	2	@ Real Valladolid	1459	1
21	1943-11-28	23.84%	Real Gijon	1496	3	@ Barakaldo	1447	0
22	1944-03-05	23.86%	Real Murcia	1501	4	@ Real Valladolid	1452	1
23	1943-10-24	24.34%	Real Zaragoza	1517	3	@ Barakaldo	1464	0
24	1944-02-13	26.09%	Real Betis	1519	3	@ Arenas de Getxo	1449	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1943-12-12	10.12	Real Gijon	5	1499	22.10%	@ Real Valladolid	1	1468	58.34%
2	1943-11-07	9.58	Real Gijon	3	1484	20.49%	@ Alcoyano	0	1471	60.33%
3	1943-11-28	9.00	Real Gijon	3	1496	23.84%	@ Barakaldo	0	1447	56.29%
4	1943-10-24	8.92	Real Zaragoza	3	1517	24.34%	@ Barakaldo	0	1464	55.72%
5	1944-03-05	7.58	Real Murcia	4	1501	23.86%	@ Real Valladolid	1	1452	56.27%
6	1943-11-14	6.83	Alcoyano	2	1461	18.58%	@ SD Ceuta	0	1471	62.82%
7	1943-12-05	6.74	@ Constancia	7	1491	65.67%	Arenas de Getxo	0	1454	16.54%
8	1944-03-19	6.50	Real Gijon	2	1520	21.25%	@ Hercules	0	1498	59.37%
9	1944-02-20	6.32	@ Osasuna	4	1447	52.87%	Real Betis	0	1524	26.90%
10	1944-01-16	5.98	@ Alcoyano	6	1475	55.33%	Real Zaragoza	1	1532	24.68%
11	1943-12-05	5.91	Hercules	3	1496	18.62%	@ Real Gijon	1	1505	62.76%
12	1944-04-09	5.77	@ Arenas de Getxo	4	1438	55.81%	Hercules	0	1491	24.25%
13	1944-04-09	5.77	Constancia	3	1489	20.01%	@ Leonesa	1	1481	60.94%
14	1943-12-12	5.58	Real Murcia	3	1488	21.70%	@ Osasuna	1	1461	58.83%
15	1944-03-26	5.50	@ Leonesa	4	1480	57.27%	Real Betis	0	1520	23.00%
16	1944-01-16	5.49	@ SD Ceuta	5	1465	62.94%	Osasuna	0	1455	18.49%
17	1944-02-13	5.15	Real Betis	3	1519	26.09%	@ Arenas de Getxo	1	1449	53.75%
18	1944-03-12	5.05	@ SD Ceuta	5	1473	64.99%	Arenas de Getxo	0	1443	17.01%
19	1943-11-07	4.91	@ Real Murcia	7	1487	65.19%	Barakaldo	1	1455	16.87%
20	1943-11-14	4.79	@ Real Betis	5	1512	66.16%	Osasuna	0	1470	16.21%
21	1943-12-19	4.65	@ Barakaldo	3	1435	54.19%	Hercules	0	1501	25.69%
22	1943-11-21	4.62	@ Real Zaragoza	7	1528	66.58%	Xerez	1	1483	15.92%
23	1943-11-21	4.43	@ Alcoyano	6	1468	63.62%	Barakaldo	1	1451	17.99%
24	1943-10-17	4.36	@ Xerez	4	1474	63.46%	Arenas de Getxo	0	1459	18.11%
25	1943-10-24	4.28	@ SD Ceuta	5	1467	59.23%	Real Murcia	1	1491	21.37%