1944-45 Segunda División Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Alcoyano

7.58 points above expected

34 points · 26.42 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Barakaldo

10.35 points below expected

13 points · 23.35 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Alcoyano	26	13	8	5	34	57	35	+22	26.4	+7.58
2	Hercules	26	15	3	8	33	55	39	+16	26.6	+6.45
3	Celta Vigo	26	14	4	8	32	65	40	+25	29.0	+3.00
4	Real Sociedad	26	12	7	7	31	56	34	+22	29.7	+1.32
5	Xerez	26	11	7	8	29	52	50	+2	26.0	+3.04
6	Real Santander	26	11	4	11	26	69	57	+12	24.4	+1.58
7	Real Betis	26	11	4	11	26	45	47	-2	26.4	-0.42
8	Real Zaragoza	26	12	2	12	26	50	53	-3	26.9	-0.91
9	SD Ceuta	26	10	4	12	24	40	49	-9	24.5	-0.48
10	Racing Ferrol	26	10	4	12	24	44	68	-24	24.3	-0.29
11	Leonesa	26	10	2	14	22	41	49	-8	26.0	-4.02
12	Mallorca	26	9	4	13	22	44	55	-11	25.4	-3.41
13	Constancia	26	9	4	13	22	42	53	-11	25.1	-3.09
14	Barakaldo	26	5	3	18	13	31	62	-31	23.4	-10.35

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Real Sociedad	1621	31	29.68	+1.32	67.0%	21	24	27	30	32	36	40
Celta Vigo	1609	32	29.00	+3.00	81.0%	21	23	26	28	32	37	39
Alcoyano	1569	34	26.42	+7.58	99.0%	19	20	23	26	29	32	36
Hercules	1549	33	26.55	+6.45	93.0%	18	20	23	26	29	34	37
Real Betis	1543	26	26.42	-0.42	51.0%	18	19	24	26	30	33	35
Real Zaragoza	1538	26	26.91	-0.91	48.0%	19	21	25	27	29	33	36
Real Santander	1529	26	24.42	+1.58	73.0%	14	17	22	25	27	30	33
Xerez	1527	29	25.96	+3.04	83.0%	17	20	24	26	28	31	33
Constancia	1521	22	25.09	-3.09	27.0%	16	19	22	25	28	31	32
Mallorca	1514	22	25.41	-3.41	21.0%	19	19	23	25	28	32	35
Leonesa	1512	22	26.02	-4.02	19.0%	19	20	23	26	29	32	35
SD Ceuta	1502	24	24.48	-0.48	54.0%	16	18	22	24	27	31	35
Racing Ferrol	1491	24	24.29	-0.29	53.0%	14	18	22	24	27	31	33
Barakaldo	1452	13	23.35	-10.35	0.0%	15	17	21	23	25	29	33

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ALC	BAR	CV	CON	HER	LEO	MAL	RF	RB	RS	RS	RZ	SC	XER
Alcoyano	—	2-0-0 3.07	1-1-0 2.57	1-0-1 2.93	1-1-0 2.83	0-1-1 2.92	0-1-1 2.99	1-0-1 3.17	0-2-0 2.85	1-1-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.50	2-0-0 2.86	2-0-0 2.99	1-1-0 2.93
Barakaldo	0-0-2 2.66	—	0-1-1 2.25	0-0-2 2.71	0-0-2 2.53	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.59	0-0-2 2.69	0-1-1 2.23	1-0-1 2.54	0-0-2 2.73	0-1-1 2.63
Celta Vigo	0-1-1 3.16	1-1-0 3.49	—	2-0-0 3.25	1-0-1 3.15	2-0-0 3.25	2-0-0 3.22	1-0-1 3.42	1-0-1 3.17	1-1-0 3.28	0-1-1 2.77	1-0-1 3.09	1-0-1 3.32	1-0-1 3.19
Constancia	1-0-1 2.79	2-0-0 3.01	0-0-2 2.48	—	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 3.01	0-1-1 2.79	0-2-0 2.88	0-0-2 2.45	1-0-1 2.69	0-1-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.79
Hercules	0-1-1 2.90	2-0-0 3.20	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 3.00	—	2-0-0 2.89	1-0-1 2.99	1-1-0 3.12	1-0-1 2.86	2-0-0 2.99	1-1-0 2.49	2-0-0 2.83	1-0-1 3.05	0-0-2 2.93
Leonesa	1-1-0 2.81	1-0-1 3.09	0-0-2 2.48	1-0-1 2.90	0-0-2 2.83	—	1-0-1 2.90	0-0-2 3.06	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 2.43	1-0-1 2.75	2-0-0 2.91	0-1-1 2.85
Mallorca	1-1-0 2.74	1-0-1 3.02	0-0-2 2.51	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.83	—	0-1-1 3.00	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.92	1-1-0 2.37	1-0-1 2.72	0-0-2 2.92	0-1-1 2.77
Racing Ferrol	1-0-1 2.56	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.32	1-0-1 2.72	0-1-1 2.61	2-0-0 2.66	1-1-0 2.73	—	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-1 2.77	0-1-1 2.28	0-0-2 2.61	0-1-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.65
Real Betis	0-2-0 2.87	1-0-1 3.14	1-0-1 2.55	1-1-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 3.09	—	1-0-1 2.97	0-0-2 2.50	1-0-1 2.79	1-1-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.87
Real Santander	0-1-1 2.73	2-0-0 3.04	0-1-1 2.45	0-2-0 2.84	0-0-2 2.74	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.81	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.76	—	1-0-1 2.33	1-0-1 2.62	2-0-0 2.88	1-0-1 2.75
Real Sociedad	1-0-1 3.22	1-1-0 3.51	1-1-0 2.96	2-0-0 3.29	0-1-1 3.24	1-0-1 3.31	0-1-1 3.36	1-1-0 3.45	2-0-0 3.23	1-0-1 3.41	—	0-1-1 3.24	1-0-1 3.41	1-1-0 3.26
Real Zaragoza	0-0-2 2.87	1-0-1 3.18	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-1 3.04	0-0-2 2.89	1-0-1 2.97	1-0-1 3.01	2-0-0 3.12	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 3.10	1-1-0 2.49	—	1-0-1 3.04	1-1-0 2.94
SD Ceuta	0-0-2 2.74	2-0-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.42	1-1-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.67	0-0-2 2.82	2-0-0 2.80	1-1-0 2.94	0-1-1 2.73	0-0-2 2.84	1-0-1 2.33	1-0-1 2.69	—	0-1-1 2.76
Xerez	0-1-1 2.80	1-1-0 3.09	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 2.94	2-0-0 2.79	1-1-0 2.88	1-1-0 2.95	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.98	0-1-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.79	1-1-0 2.97	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.20%	4.12%	5.49%	3.30%	1.65%	1.37%	18.13%
1	4.12%	7.69%	4.95%	6.87%	2.47%	3.57%	29.67%
2	5.49%	4.95%	5.49%	2.47%	2.75%	1.37%	22.53%
3	3.30%	6.87%	2.47%	1.10%	1.10%	0.27%	15.11%
4	1.65%	2.47%	2.75%	1.10%	—	—	7.97%
5+	1.37%	3.57%	1.37%	0.27%	—	—	6.59%
Total	18.13%	29.67%	22.53%	15.11%	7.97%	6.59%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.90
Mean allowed	1.90
StdDev scored	1.57
StdDev allowed	1.57
Mean total goals/game	3.80
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.017
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%
1	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	15.38%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	23.08%	42.31%	19.23%	7.69%	7.69%	—	100%

Alcoyano — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.19
Mean allowed	1.35
StdDev scored	1.77
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	3.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.286
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.38%	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	38.46%
1	—	—	—	19.23%	—	3.85%	23.08%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	23.08%
3	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.85%	26.92%	26.92%	30.77%	—	11.54%	100%

Barakaldo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.19
Mean allowed	2.38
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.53
Mean total goals/game	3.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.067
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
1	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
2	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	26.92%	23.08%	30.77%	7.69%	11.54%	—	100%

Celta Vigo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.50
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.88
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	4.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.228
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	11.54%	—	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
1	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
3	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	30.77%	23.08%	19.23%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Constancia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	1.33
StdDev allowed	1.43
Mean total goals/game	3.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.224
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	19.23%
1	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
2	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	30.77%	26.92%	15.38%	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Hercules — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.12
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.80
StdDev allowed	1.42
Mean total goals/game	3.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.290
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	—	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
2	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	11.54%	23.08%	26.92%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

Leonesa — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.58
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	1.48
Mean total goals/game	3.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.275
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
1	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	26.92%
2	7.69%	3.85%	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
3	—	15.38%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	38.46%	15.38%	15.38%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Mallorca — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	2.12
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	1.73
Mean total goals/game	3.81
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.073
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	—	11.54%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	38.46%
2	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	—	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	—	34.62%	30.77%	11.54%	7.69%	15.38%	100%

Racing Ferrol — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	2.62
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	1.96
Mean total goals/game	4.31
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.349
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
1	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	34.62%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	23.08%
3	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	30.77%	19.23%	19.23%	11.54%	15.38%	3.85%	100%

Real Betis — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.79
Mean total goals/game	3.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.250
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
2	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	26.92%
3	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
Total	15.38%	26.92%	23.08%	11.54%	11.54%	11.54%	100%

Real Santander — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.65
Mean allowed	2.19
StdDev scored	1.92
StdDev allowed	1.77
Mean total goals/game	4.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.298
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	—	19.23%	11.54%	—	—	—	30.77%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
3	—	11.54%	—	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
5+	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	15.38%	53.85%	23.08%	3.85%	—	3.85%	100%

Real Sociedad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.15
Mean allowed	1.31
StdDev scored	1.76
StdDev allowed	1.05
Mean total goals/game	3.46
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.082
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
1	—	3.85%	—	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	30.77%
2	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	11.54%	38.46%	15.38%	15.38%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Real Zaragoza — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	1.72
StdDev allowed	1.59
Mean total goals/game	3.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.483
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	30.77%
1	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	26.92%	23.08%	19.23%	7.69%	3.85%	100%

SD Ceuta — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	1.45
StdDev allowed	1.61
Mean total goals/game	3.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.195
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
1	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	38.46%
2	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
3	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	26.92%	15.38%	26.92%	11.54%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Xerez — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	1.23
StdDev allowed	1.70
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.211
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Alcoyano	34	26.4	+7.58
2	Hercules	33	26.6	+6.45
3	Xerez	29	26.0	+3.04
4	Celta Vigo	32	29.0	+3.00
5	Real Santander	26	24.4	+1.58

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Barakaldo	13	23.4	-10.35
2	Leonesa	22	26.0	-4.02
3	Mallorca	22	25.4	-3.41
4	Constancia	22	25.1	-3.09
5	Real Zaragoza	26	26.9	-0.91

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Alcoyano	3	Nov 19 – Dec 3	1 in 68
2	Real Sociedad	5	Sep 24 – Oct 22	1 in 46
3	Racing Ferrol	3	Mar 25 – Apr 15	1 in 19
4	Hercules	4	Jan 14 – Feb 18	1 in 16
5	Xerez	3	Nov 19 – Dec 3	1 in 13

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Zaragoza	4	Nov 12 – Dec 3	1 in 115
2	Barakaldo	4	Feb 25 – Apr 8	1 in 14
3	SD Ceuta	4	Apr 8 – May 13	1 in 12
4	Leonesa	3	Jan 14 – Feb 4	1 in 12
5	Hercules	2	Feb 25 – Mar 18	1 in 10

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Xerez	9	Nov 5 – Jan 14	1 in 367
2	Alcoyano	7	Sep 24 – Nov 5	1 in 83
3	Real Sociedad	8	Dec 10 – Feb 25	1 in 76
4	SD Ceuta	5	Oct 15 – Nov 12	1 in 58
5	Real Zaragoza	4	Dec 10 – Jan 14	1 in 19

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Barakaldo	12	Jan 14 – May 20	1 in 359
2	Real Sociedad	7	Nov 12 – Jan 7	1 in 79
3	Alcoyano	6	Oct 8 – Nov 12	1 in 64
4	Real Zaragoza	5	Nov 12 – Dec 10	1 in 23
5	SD Ceuta	4	Sep 24 – Oct 15	1 in 16

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Alcoyano	6.00%	7.00%	13.00%	9.00%	6.00%	10.00%	9.00%	6.00%	10.00%	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%
Hercules	9.00%	11.00%	7.00%	12.00%	5.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	10.00%	3.00%	8.00%	4.00%	6.00%
Celta Vigo	18.00%	16.00%	15.00%	7.00%	12.00%	9.00%	7.00%	3.00%	7.00%	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—
Real Sociedad	30.00%	18.00%	9.00%	9.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—
Xerez	4.00%	6.00%	9.00%	8.00%	11.00%	5.00%	9.00%	8.00%	7.00%	13.00%	7.00%	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%
Real Santander	—	3.00%	4.00%	7.00%	5.00%	12.00%	9.00%	10.00%	5.00%	7.00%	13.00%	11.00%	6.00%	8.00%
Real Betis	6.00%	6.00%	13.00%	6.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	10.00%	5.00%	11.00%	5.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%
Real Zaragoza	8.00%	10.00%	5.00%	10.00%	9.00%	7.00%	7.00%	15.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%
SD Ceuta	6.00%	4.00%	4.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	14.00%	11.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Racing Ferrol	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	6.00%	4.00%	7.00%	8.00%	4.00%	10.00%	6.00%	6.00%	8.00%	18.00%	16.00%
Leonesa	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	14.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	6.00%	7.00%	11.00%	8.00%	11.00%	2.00%
Mallorca	6.00%	3.00%	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%	9.00%	8.00%	12.00%	8.00%	9.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%	7.00%
Constancia	—	3.00%	5.00%	9.00%	10.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	13.00%	9.00%
Barakaldo	1.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	5.00%	2.00%	4.00%	8.00%	10.00%	11.00%	17.00%	9.00%	24.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Won promotion playoff	Lost promotion playoff	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Real Sociedad	48.0%	2.0%	7.0%	42.0%	1.0%	—
Celta Vigo	34.0%	3.0%	12.0%	47.0%	3.0%	1.0%
Real Zaragoza	18.0%	2.0%	3.0%	67.0%	5.0%	5.0%
Hercules	20.0%	3.0%	4.0%	55.0%	8.0%	10.0%
Xerez	10.0%	6.0%	3.0%	68.0%	3.0%	10.0%
Alcoyano	13.0%	—	13.0%	57.0%	7.0%	10.0%
Real Betis	12.0%	3.0%	10.0%	58.0%	4.0%	13.0%
Leonesa	11.0%	2.0%	5.0%	61.0%	8.0%	13.0%
Mallorca	9.0%	2.0%	3.0%	64.0%	7.0%	15.0%
SD Ceuta	10.0%	—	4.0%	55.0%	11.0%	20.0%
Real Santander	3.0%	1.0%	3.0%	68.0%	11.0%	14.0%
Constancia	3.0%	—	5.0%	63.0%	7.0%	22.0%
Barakaldo	5.0%	1.0%	—	44.0%	17.0%	33.0%
Racing Ferrol	4.0%	1.0%	2.0%	51.0%	8.0%	34.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1944-09-24	Constancia	W 3-1	1526	1531	70.6%	13.8%	15.6%	+1.8	3
1944-09-24	@ Alcoyano	L 1-3	1531	1526	15.6%	13.8%	70.6%	-1.8	0
1944-09-24	Real Betis	W 4-3	1526	1542	69.7%	13.9%	16.4%	+1.0	3
1944-09-24	@ Hercules	L 3-4	1542	1526	16.4%	13.9%	69.7%	-1.0	0
1944-09-24	Barakaldo	W 2-0	1527	1498	73.4%	13.3%	13.3%	+1.8	3
1944-09-24	@ Mallorca	L 0-2	1498	1527	13.3%	13.3%	73.4%	-1.8	0
1944-09-24	Celta Vigo	D 2-2	1510	1595	63.0%	14.5%	22.5%	-0.5	1
1944-09-24	@ Real Santander	D 2-2	1595	1510	22.5%	14.5%	63.0%	+0.5	1
1944-09-24	Racing Ferrol	W 7-1	1606	1502	78.6%	12.1%	9.2%	+2.8	3
1944-09-24	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-7	1502	1606	9.2%	12.1%	78.6%	-2.8	0
1944-09-24	Xerez	W 3-2	1551	1525	73.2%	13.4%	13.5%	+0.8	3
1944-09-24	@ Real Zaragoza	L 2-3	1525	1551	13.5%	13.4%	73.2%	-0.8	0
1944-09-24	Leonesa	L 0-3	1520	1520	71.0%	13.7%	15.2%	-12.0	0
1944-09-24	@ SD Ceuta	W 3-0	1520	1520	15.2%	13.7%	71.0%	+12.0	3
1944-10-01	Alcoyano	L 0-1	1496	1528	68.2%	14.1%	17.7%	-4.2	0
1944-10-01	@ Barakaldo	W 1-0	1528	1496	17.7%	14.1%	68.2%	+4.2	6
1944-10-01	Hercules	W 5-0	1595	1527	76.3%	12.7%	11.0%	+3.4	4
1944-10-01	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-5	1527	1595	11.0%	12.7%	76.3%	-3.4	3
1944-10-01	Real Sociedad	L 0-2	1529	1609	63.6%	14.5%	22.0%	-7.4	0
1944-10-01	@ Constancia	W 2-0	1609	1529	22.0%	14.5%	63.6%	+7.4	6
1944-10-01	Real Santander	W 6-2	1532	1509	72.9%	13.4%	13.7%	+2.4	6
1944-10-01	@ Leonesa	L 2-6	1509	1532	13.7%	13.4%	72.9%	-2.4	1
1944-10-01	Real Zaragoza	L 0-2	1499	1552	66.3%	14.2%	19.4%	-7.7	0
1944-10-01	@ Racing Ferrol	W 2-0	1552	1499	19.4%	14.2%	66.3%	+7.7	6
1944-10-01	Mallorca	W 1-0	1541	1529	72.1%	13.6%	14.4%	+1.0	3
1944-10-01	@ Real Betis	L 0-1	1529	1541	14.4%	13.6%	72.1%	-1.0	3
1944-10-01	SD Ceuta	W 3-0	1524	1508	72.4%	13.5%	14.1%	+2.7	3
1944-10-01	@ Xerez	L 0-3	1508	1524	14.1%	13.5%	72.4%	-2.7	0
1944-10-08	Real Betis	D 2-2	1532	1542	70.2%	13.8%	16.0%	-0.6	7
1944-10-08	@ Alcoyano	D 2-2	1542	1532	16.0%	13.8%	70.2%	+0.6	4
1944-10-08	Leonesa	W 3-0	1523	1534	70.1%	13.8%	16.1%	+3.1	6
1944-10-08	@ Hercules	L 0-3	1534	1523	16.1%	13.8%	70.1%	-3.1	6
1944-10-08	Celta Vigo	L 0-1	1528	1599	64.5%	14.4%	21.1%	-4.0	3
1944-10-08	@ Mallorca	W 1-0	1599	1528	21.1%	14.4%	64.5%	+4.0	7
1944-10-08	Barakaldo	W 5-1	1617	1492	79.9%	11.7%	8.4%	+1.7	9
1944-10-08	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-5	1492	1617	8.4%	11.7%	79.9%	-1.7	0
1944-10-08	Constancia	W 5-1	1560	1522	74.1%	13.2%	12.8%	+2.7	9
1944-10-08	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-5	1522	1560	12.8%	13.2%	74.1%	-2.6	0
1944-10-08	Real Santander	L 0-1	1505	1507	70.9%	13.7%	15.4%	-4.4	0
1944-10-08	@ SD Ceuta	W 1-0	1507	1505	15.4%	13.7%	70.9%	+4.4	4
1944-10-08	Racing Ferrol	W 5-0	1526	1492	73.8%	13.2%	12.9%	+4.0	6
1944-10-08	@ Xerez	L 0-5	1492	1526	12.9%	13.2%	73.8%	-4.0	0
1944-10-15	Real Zaragoza	W 3-1	1490	1562	64.3%	14.4%	21.2%	+2.4	3
1944-10-15	@ Barakaldo	L 1-3	1562	1490	21.2%	14.4%	64.3%	-2.4	9
1944-10-15	Alcoyano	D 2-2	1603	1531	76.5%	12.7%	10.9%	-0.8	8
1944-10-15	@ Celta Vigo	D 2-2	1531	1603	10.9%	12.7%	76.5%	+0.8	8
1944-10-15	Xerez	W 2-1	1519	1530	70.1%	13.8%	16.0%	+1.0	3
1944-10-15	@ Constancia	L 1-2	1530	1519	16.0%	13.8%	70.1%	-1.0	6
1944-10-15	Mallorca	W 3-1	1531	1524	71.7%	13.6%	14.7%	+1.7	9
1944-10-15	@ Leonesa	L 1-3	1524	1531	14.7%	13.6%	71.7%	-1.7	3
1944-10-15	SD Ceuta	D 2-2	1488	1501	70.0%	13.9%	16.2%	-0.6	1
1944-10-15	@ Racing Ferrol	D 2-2	1501	1488	16.2%	13.9%	70.0%	+0.6	1
1944-10-15	Hercules	L 1-4	1511	1526	69.8%	13.9%	16.3%	-9.9	4
1944-10-15	@ Real Santander	W 4-1	1526	1511	16.3%	13.9%	69.8%	+9.9	9
1944-10-15	Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1542	1618	64.0%	14.4%	21.6%	-6.5	4
1944-10-15	@ Real Betis	W 3-1	1618	1542	21.6%	14.4%	64.0%	+6.5	12
1944-10-22	Leonesa	D 0-0	1532	1533	71.0%	13.7%	15.3%	-1.0	9
1944-10-22	@ Alcoyano	D 0-0	1533	1532	15.3%	13.7%	71.0%	+1.0	10
1944-10-22	Real Santander	W 5-2	1522	1501	72.8%	13.4%	13.8%	+1.9	6
1944-10-22	@ Mallorca	L 2-5	1501	1522	13.8%	13.4%	72.8%	-1.9	4
1944-10-22	Constancia	W 3-2	1487	1520	68.1%	14.1%	17.8%	+1.1	4
1944-10-22	@ Racing Ferrol	L 2-3	1520	1487	17.8%	14.1%	68.1%	-1.1	3
1944-10-22	Celta Vigo	W 4-3	1625	1602	72.9%	13.4%	13.7%	+0.8	15
1944-10-22	@ Real Sociedad	L 3-4	1602	1625	13.7%	13.4%	72.9%	-0.8	8
1944-10-22	Real Betis	W 7-1	1560	1536	73.0%	13.4%	13.6%	+4.1	12
1944-10-22	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-7	1536	1560	13.6%	13.4%	73.0%	-4.1	4
1944-10-22	Hercules	W 4-2	1501	1536	68.0%	14.1%	17.9%	+1.8	4
1944-10-22	@ SD Ceuta	L 2-4	1536	1501	17.9%	14.1%	68.0%	-1.8	9
1944-10-22	Barakaldo	W 2-0	1529	1492	74.0%	13.2%	12.8%	+1.7	9
1944-10-22	@ Xerez	L 0-2	1492	1529	12.8%	13.2%	74.0%	-1.7	3
1944-10-29	Racing Ferrol	W 2-1	1491	1488	71.3%	13.7%	15.1%	+1.0	6
1944-10-29	@ Barakaldo	L 1-2	1488	1491	15.1%	13.7%	71.3%	-1.0	4
1944-10-29	Real Zaragoza	W 3-1	1601	1564	74.0%	13.2%	12.8%	+1.5	11
1944-10-29	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-3	1564	1601	12.8%	13.2%	74.0%	-1.5	12
1944-10-29	SD Ceuta	D 3-3	1519	1503	72.4%	13.5%	14.1%	-0.5	4
1944-10-29	@ Constancia	D 3-3	1503	1519	14.1%	13.5%	72.4%	+0.6	5
1944-10-29	Mallorca	W 6-1	1534	1524	71.9%	13.6%	14.5%	+3.7	12
1944-10-29	@ Hercules	L 1-6	1524	1534	14.5%	13.6%	71.9%	-3.7	6
1944-10-29	Real Sociedad	W 2-0	1534	1626	62.3%	14.5%	23.2%	+3.0	13
1944-10-29	@ Leonesa	L 0-2	1626	1534	23.2%	14.5%	62.3%	-3.0	15
1944-10-29	Alcoyano	D 1-1	1499	1531	68.3%	14.1%	17.7%	-0.8	5
1944-10-29	@ Real Santander	D 1-1	1531	1499	17.7%	14.1%	68.3%	+0.8	10
1944-10-29	Xerez	W 5-1	1532	1531	71.1%	13.7%	15.2%	+3.1	7
1944-10-29	@ Real Betis	L 1-5	1531	1532	15.2%	13.7%	71.1%	-3.2	9
1944-11-05	Hercules	D 2-2	1532	1538	70.6%	13.8%	15.7%	-0.6	11
1944-11-05	@ Alcoyano	D 2-2	1538	1532	15.7%	13.8%	70.6%	+0.6	13
1944-11-05	Barakaldo	W 1-0	1519	1492	73.3%	13.3%	13.4%	+0.9	7
1944-11-05	@ Constancia	L 0-1	1492	1519	13.4%	13.3%	73.3%	-0.9	6
1944-11-05	Real Betis	W 2-1	1487	1535	66.8%	14.2%	19.0%	+1.2	7
1944-11-05	@ Racing Ferrol	L 1-2	1535	1487	19.0%	14.2%	66.8%	-1.2	7
1944-11-05	Real Santander	W 4-2	1623	1499	79.8%	11.8%	8.4%	+0.8	18
1944-11-05	@ Real Sociedad	L 2-4	1499	1623	8.4%	11.8%	79.8%	-0.9	5
1944-11-05	Leonesa	W 4-0	1562	1537	73.1%	13.4%	13.5%	+3.4	15
1944-11-05	@ Real Zaragoza	L 0-4	1537	1562	13.5%	13.4%	73.1%	-3.4	13
1944-11-05	Mallorca	W 5-1	1504	1520	69.7%	13.9%	16.5%	+3.4	8
1944-11-05	@ SD Ceuta	L 1-5	1520	1504	16.5%	13.9%	69.7%	-3.4	6
1944-11-05	Celta Vigo	W 4-2	1528	1602	64.1%	14.4%	21.5%	+2.2	12
1944-11-05	@ Xerez	L 2-4	1602	1528	21.5%	14.4%	64.1%	-2.2	11
1944-11-12	SD Ceuta	L 0-1	1491	1507	69.7%	13.9%	16.5%	-4.3	6
1944-11-12	@ Barakaldo	W 1-0	1507	1491	16.5%	13.9%	69.7%	+4.3	11
1944-11-12	Racing Ferrol	W 4-2	1600	1489	79.1%	12.0%	8.9%	+0.9	14
1944-11-12	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-4	1489	1600	8.9%	12.0%	79.1%	-0.9	7
1944-11-12	Real Sociedad	W 1-0	1539	1623	63.0%	14.5%	22.5%	+1.5	16
1944-11-12	@ Hercules	L 0-1	1623	1539	22.5%	14.5%	63.0%	-1.5	18
1944-11-12	Xerez	D 2-2	1534	1530	71.4%	13.7%	15.0%	-0.6	14
1944-11-12	@ Leonesa	D 2-2	1530	1534	15.0%	13.7%	71.4%	+0.7	13
1944-11-12	Alcoyano	W 3-1	1517	1531	69.8%	13.9%	16.3%	+1.9	9
1944-11-12	@ Mallorca	L 1-3	1531	1517	16.3%	13.9%	69.8%	-1.9	11
1944-11-12	Real Zaragoza	W 6-0	1498	1566	64.8%	14.4%	20.8%	+7.5	8
1944-11-12	@ Real Santander	L 0-6	1566	1498	20.8%	14.4%	64.8%	-7.5	15
1944-11-12	Constancia	W 2-0	1534	1520	72.2%	13.5%	14.3%	+1.9	10
1944-11-12	@ Real Betis	L 0-2	1520	1534	14.3%	13.5%	72.2%	-1.9	7
1944-11-19	Real Betis	W 3-1	1486	1536	66.6%	14.2%	19.1%	+2.2	9
1944-11-19	@ Barakaldo	L 1-3	1536	1486	19.1%	14.2%	66.6%	-2.2	10
1944-11-19	Celta Vigo	L 0-1	1518	1601	63.2%	14.5%	22.3%	-3.9	7
1944-11-19	@ Constancia	W 1-0	1601	1518	22.3%	14.5%	63.2%	+3.9	17
1944-11-19	Leonesa	W 3-1	1488	1533	67.0%	14.2%	18.8%	+2.1	10
1944-11-19	@ Racing Ferrol	L 1-3	1533	1488	18.8%	14.2%	67.0%	-2.1	14
1944-11-19	Mallorca	D 1-1	1622	1519	78.6%	12.1%	9.3%	-1.1	19
1944-11-19	@ Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1519	1622	9.3%	12.1%	78.6%	+1.1	10
1944-11-19	Hercules	L 0-1	1558	1540	72.5%	13.5%	14.0%	-4.5	15
1944-11-19	@ Real Zaragoza	W 1-0	1540	1558	14.0%	13.5%	72.5%	+4.5	19
1944-11-19	Alcoyano	L 2-3	1511	1530	69.5%	13.9%	16.6%	-3.8	11
1944-11-19	@ SD Ceuta	W 3-2	1530	1511	16.6%	13.9%	69.5%	+3.8	14
1944-11-19	Real Santander	W 4-3	1531	1505	73.1%	13.4%	13.5%	+0.8	16
1944-11-19	@ Xerez	L 3-4	1505	1531	13.5%	13.4%	73.1%	-0.8	8
1944-11-26	Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1533	1621	62.8%	14.5%	22.7%	+1.5	17
1944-11-26	@ Alcoyano	L 1-2	1621	1533	22.7%	14.5%	62.8%	-1.5	19
1944-11-26	Barakaldo	W 7-2	1605	1489	79.4%	11.9%	8.7%	+1.8	20
1944-11-26	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-7	1489	1605	8.7%	11.9%	79.4%	-1.8	9
1944-11-26	Xerez	L 1-2	1545	1532	72.2%	13.5%	14.3%	-4.2	19
1944-11-26	@ Hercules	W 2-1	1532	1545	14.3%	13.5%	72.2%	+4.2	19
1944-11-26	Constancia	W 4-3	1531	1514	72.4%	13.5%	14.1%	+0.9	17
1944-11-26	@ Leonesa	L 3-4	1514	1531	14.1%	13.5%	72.4%	-0.9	7
1944-11-26	Real Zaragoza	W 3-1	1520	1554	68.1%	14.1%	17.9%	+2.0	13
1944-11-26	@ Mallorca	L 1-3	1554	1520	17.9%	14.1%	68.1%	-2.0	15
1944-11-26	Racing Ferrol	W 8-1	1505	1490	72.3%	13.5%	14.2%	+4.9	11
1944-11-26	@ Real Santander	L 1-8	1490	1505	14.2%	13.5%	72.3%	-5.0	10
1944-11-26	SD Ceuta	D 0-0	1534	1508	73.2%	13.4%	13.5%	-1.0	11
1944-11-26	@ Real Betis	D 0-0	1508	1534	13.5%	13.4%	73.2%	+1.0	12
1944-12-03	Leonesa	W 2-0	1487	1532	67.0%	14.2%	18.8%	+2.5	12
1944-12-03	@ Barakaldo	L 0-2	1532	1487	18.8%	14.2%	67.0%	-2.5	17
1944-12-03	Real Santander	D 2-2	1513	1509	71.4%	13.7%	15.0%	-0.6	8
1944-12-03	@ Constancia	D 2-2	1509	1513	15.0%	13.7%	71.4%	+0.7	12
1944-12-03	Hercules	D 1-1	1485	1540	66.0%	14.3%	19.7%	-0.7	11
1944-12-03	@ Racing Ferrol	D 1-1	1540	1485	19.7%	14.3%	66.0%	+0.7	20
1944-12-03	Celta Vigo	W 4-0	1532	1607	64.1%	14.4%	21.4%	+5.3	14
1944-12-03	@ Real Betis	L 0-4	1607	1532	21.4%	14.4%	64.1%	-5.3	20
1944-12-03	Alcoyano	L 1-4	1552	1535	72.5%	13.5%	14.1%	-10.3	15
1944-12-03	@ Real Zaragoza	W 4-1	1535	1552	14.1%	13.5%	72.5%	+10.3	20
1944-12-03	Real Sociedad	W 1-0	1509	1619	60.2%	14.6%	25.2%	+1.7	15
1944-12-03	@ SD Ceuta	L 0-1	1619	1509	25.2%	14.6%	60.2%	-1.7	19
1944-12-03	Mallorca	W 2-0	1536	1522	72.2%	13.5%	14.3%	+1.9	22
1944-12-03	@ Xerez	L 0-2	1522	1536	14.3%	13.5%	72.2%	-1.9	13
1944-12-10	Xerez	D 1-1	1545	1538	71.7%	13.6%	14.7%	-0.9	21
1944-12-10	@ Alcoyano	D 1-1	1538	1545	14.7%	13.6%	71.7%	+0.9	23
1944-12-10	Constancia	W 5-0	1541	1512	73.4%	13.3%	13.3%	+4.1	23
1944-12-10	@ Hercules	L 0-5	1512	1541	13.3%	13.3%	73.4%	-4.1	8
1944-12-10	Real Betis	W 2-0	1529	1538	70.3%	13.8%	15.9%	+2.1	20
1944-12-10	@ Leonesa	L 0-2	1538	1529	15.9%	13.8%	70.3%	-2.1	14
1944-12-10	Racing Ferrol	D 1-1	1520	1484	73.9%	13.2%	12.9%	-0.9	14
1944-12-10	@ Mallorca	D 1-1	1484	1520	12.9%	13.2%	73.9%	+0.9	12
1944-12-10	Barakaldo	W 3-1	1510	1489	72.8%	13.4%	13.8%	+1.6	15
1944-12-10	@ Real Santander	L 1-3	1489	1510	13.8%	13.4%	72.8%	-1.6	12
1944-12-10	Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1618	1542	76.8%	12.6%	10.6%	-1.0	20
1944-12-10	@ Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1542	1618	10.6%	12.6%	76.8%	+1.0	16
1944-12-10	Celta Vigo	W 2-1	1510	1602	62.4%	14.5%	23.1%	+1.5	18
1944-12-10	@ SD Ceuta	L 1-2	1602	1510	23.1%	14.5%	62.4%	-1.5	20
1944-12-17	Hercules	L 1-3	1488	1545	65.8%	14.3%	19.9%	-6.6	12
1944-12-17	@ Barakaldo	W 3-1	1545	1488	19.9%	14.3%	65.8%	+6.6	26
1944-12-17	Leonesa	W 3-0	1600	1531	76.3%	12.7%	11.0%	+2.1	23
1944-12-17	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-3	1531	1600	11.0%	12.7%	76.3%	-2.1	20
1944-12-17	Mallorca	W 2-1	1508	1519	70.2%	13.8%	16.0%	+1.0	11
1944-12-17	@ Constancia	L 1-2	1519	1508	16.0%	13.8%	70.2%	-1.1	14
1944-12-17	Alcoyano	W 2-1	1485	1544	65.7%	14.3%	20.0%	+1.3	15
1944-12-17	@ Racing Ferrol	L 1-2	1544	1485	20.0%	14.3%	65.7%	-1.3	21
1944-12-17	Real Santander	W 3-2	1536	1512	73.0%	13.4%	13.6%	+0.8	17
1944-12-17	@ Real Betis	L 2-3	1512	1536	13.6%	13.4%	73.0%	-0.9	15
1944-12-17	SD Ceuta	W 4-1	1543	1512	73.5%	13.3%	13.2%	+2.1	19
1944-12-17	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-4	1512	1543	13.2%	13.3%	73.5%	-2.1	18
1944-12-17	Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1538	1617	63.7%	14.4%	21.8%	-0.6	24
1944-12-17	@ Xerez	D 1-1	1617	1538	21.8%	14.4%	63.7%	+0.6	21
1945-01-07	Mallorca	W 4-2	1481	1518	67.8%	14.1%	18.1%	+1.8	15
1945-01-07	@ Barakaldo	L 2-4	1518	1481	18.1%	14.1%	67.8%	-1.8	14
1945-01-07	Real Santander	W 2-1	1602	1511	77.8%	12.3%	9.8%	+0.6	26
1945-01-07	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1511	1602	9.8%	12.3%	77.8%	-0.6	15
1945-01-07	Alcoyano	W 4-2	1509	1543	68.1%	14.1%	17.8%	+1.8	14
1945-01-07	@ Constancia	L 2-4	1543	1509	17.8%	14.1%	68.1%	-1.8	21
1945-01-07	SD Ceuta	W 3-1	1529	1510	72.7%	13.5%	13.9%	+1.6	23
1945-01-07	@ Leonesa	L 1-3	1510	1529	13.9%	13.5%	72.7%	-1.6	18
1945-01-07	Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1486	1617	57.9%	14.7%	27.4%	-0.4	16
1945-01-07	@ Racing Ferrol	D 1-1	1617	1486	27.4%	14.7%	57.9%	+0.5	22
1945-01-07	Hercules	W 3-0	1537	1552	69.8%	13.9%	16.4%	+3.1	20
1945-01-07	@ Real Betis	L 0-3	1552	1537	16.4%	13.9%	69.8%	-3.1	26
1945-01-07	Real Zaragoza	D 2-2	1538	1545	70.5%	13.8%	15.7%	-0.6	25
1945-01-07	@ Xerez	D 2-2	1545	1538	15.7%	13.8%	70.5%	+0.6	20
1945-01-14	Barakaldo	W 2-0	1541	1483	75.6%	12.9%	11.5%	+1.5	24
1945-01-14	@ Alcoyano	L 0-2	1483	1541	11.5%	12.9%	75.6%	-1.5	15
1945-01-14	Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1549	1603	66.2%	14.3%	19.6%	+2.5	29
1945-01-14	@ Hercules	L 0-2	1603	1549	19.6%	14.3%	66.2%	-2.6	26
1945-01-14	Real Betis	W 4-2	1516	1540	69.0%	14.0%	17.0%	+1.7	17
1945-01-14	@ Mallorca	L 2-4	1540	1516	17.0%	14.0%	69.0%	-1.7	20
1945-01-14	Leonesa	W 5-1	1510	1531	69.3%	13.9%	16.8%	+3.5	18
1945-01-14	@ Real Santander	L 1-5	1531	1510	16.8%	13.9%	69.3%	-3.5	23
1945-01-14	Constancia	W 3-1	1618	1511	78.8%	12.1%	9.2%	+1.0	25
1945-01-14	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1511	1618	9.2%	12.1%	78.8%	-1.0	14
1945-01-14	Racing Ferrol	W 3-1	1545	1486	75.6%	12.9%	11.5%	+1.3	23
1945-01-14	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-3	1486	1545	11.5%	12.9%	75.6%	-1.3	16
1945-01-14	Xerez	D 1-1	1508	1537	68.5%	14.0%	17.4%	-0.8	19
1945-01-14	@ SD Ceuta	D 1-1	1537	1508	17.4%	14.0%	68.5%	+0.8	26
1945-01-28	Real Sociedad	D 2-2	1481	1619	57.1%	14.7%	28.2%	-0.3	16
1945-01-28	@ Barakaldo	D 2-2	1619	1481	28.2%	14.7%	57.1%	+0.3	26
1945-01-28	Mallorca	W 4-0	1600	1518	77.2%	12.5%	10.3%	+2.6	29
1945-01-28	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-4	1518	1600	10.3%	12.5%	77.2%	-2.6	17
1945-01-28	Real Zaragoza	W 5-1	1510	1547	67.8%	14.1%	18.1%	+3.7	17
1945-01-28	@ Constancia	L 1-5	1547	1510	18.1%	14.1%	67.8%	-3.7	23
1945-01-28	Hercules	L 2-3	1527	1551	69.0%	14.0%	17.1%	-3.8	23
1945-01-28	@ Leonesa	W 3-2	1551	1527	17.1%	14.0%	69.0%	+3.8	32
1945-01-28	Xerez	W 4-2	1485	1538	66.2%	14.3%	19.5%	+2.0	19
1945-01-28	@ Racing Ferrol	L 2-4	1538	1485	19.5%	14.3%	66.2%	-2.0	26
1945-01-28	SD Ceuta	W 2-1	1514	1507	71.6%	13.6%	14.8%	+1.0	21
1945-01-28	@ Real Santander	L 1-2	1507	1514	14.8%	13.6%	71.6%	-1.0	19
1945-01-28	Alcoyano	D 1-1	1538	1543	70.7%	13.8%	15.6%	-0.8	21
1945-01-28	@ Real Betis	D 1-1	1543	1538	15.6%	13.8%	70.7%	+0.8	25
1945-02-04	Celta Vigo	W 1-0	1544	1603	65.6%	14.3%	20.0%	+1.4	28
1945-02-04	@ Alcoyano	L 0-1	1603	1544	20.0%	14.3%	65.6%	-1.4	29
1945-02-04	Real Santander	W 3-1	1555	1515	74.3%	13.2%	12.6%	+1.4	35
1945-02-04	@ Hercules	L 1-3	1515	1555	12.6%	13.2%	74.3%	-1.4	21
1945-02-04	Leonesa	W 3-1	1515	1523	70.4%	13.8%	15.8%	+1.8	20
1945-02-04	@ Mallorca	L 1-3	1523	1515	15.8%	13.8%	70.4%	-1.8	23
1945-02-04	Real Betis	W 2-1	1619	1537	77.2%	12.5%	10.3%	+0.7	29
1945-02-04	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-2	1537	1619	10.3%	12.5%	77.2%	-0.7	21
1945-02-04	Barakaldo	W 3-1	1543	1481	75.8%	12.8%	11.3%	+1.3	26
1945-02-04	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-3	1481	1543	11.3%	12.8%	75.8%	-1.3	16
1945-02-04	Racing Ferrol	W 2-0	1506	1487	72.7%	13.4%	13.9%	+1.8	22
1945-02-04	@ SD Ceuta	L 0-2	1487	1506	13.9%	13.4%	72.7%	-1.8	19
1945-02-04	Constancia	W 3-2	1536	1514	72.9%	13.4%	13.7%	+0.9	29
1945-02-04	@ Xerez	L 2-3	1514	1536	13.7%	13.4%	72.9%	-0.9	17
1945-02-18	Xerez	D 2-2	1480	1537	65.9%	14.3%	19.9%	-0.5	17
1945-02-18	@ Barakaldo	D 2-2	1537	1480	19.9%	14.3%	65.9%	+0.5	30
1945-02-18	Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1602	1620	69.5%	13.9%	16.6%	-0.8	30
1945-02-18	@ Celta Vigo	D 1-1	1620	1602	16.6%	13.9%	69.5%	+0.8	30
1945-02-18	Racing Ferrol	W 3-1	1513	1485	73.4%	13.3%	13.3%	+1.5	20
1945-02-18	@ Constancia	L 1-3	1485	1513	13.3%	13.3%	73.4%	-1.5	19
1945-02-18	SD Ceuta	W 1-0	1557	1508	74.9%	13.0%	12.1%	+0.8	38
1945-02-18	@ Hercules	L 0-1	1508	1557	12.1%	13.0%	74.9%	-0.8	22
1945-02-18	Alcoyano	W 3-0	1522	1545	69.0%	14.0%	17.0%	+3.2	26
1945-02-18	@ Leonesa	L 0-3	1545	1522	17.0%	14.0%	69.0%	-3.2	28
1945-02-18	Mallorca	W 6-2	1513	1517	70.7%	13.8%	15.5%	+2.7	24
1945-02-18	@ Real Santander	L 2-6	1517	1513	15.5%	13.8%	70.7%	-2.7	20
1945-02-18	Real Zaragoza	W 1-0	1536	1544	70.4%	13.8%	15.8%	+1.1	24
1945-02-18	@ Real Betis	L 0-1	1544	1536	15.8%	13.8%	70.4%	-1.1	26
1945-02-25	Real Santander	W 6-1	1542	1516	73.1%	13.4%	13.5%	+3.4	31
1945-02-25	@ Alcoyano	L 1-6	1516	1542	13.5%	13.4%	73.1%	-3.4	24
1945-02-25	Hercules	W 3-1	1514	1557	67.2%	14.2%	18.6%	+2.1	23
1945-02-25	@ Mallorca	L 1-3	1557	1514	18.6%	14.2%	67.2%	-2.1	38
1945-02-25	Barakaldo	W 5-2	1483	1479	71.4%	13.7%	14.9%	+2.1	22
1945-02-25	@ Racing Ferrol	L 2-5	1479	1483	14.9%	13.7%	71.4%	-2.1	17
1945-02-25	Leonesa	W 4-1	1621	1525	78.1%	12.3%	9.6%	+1.5	33
1945-02-25	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-4	1525	1621	9.6%	12.3%	78.1%	-1.5	26
1945-02-25	Celta Vigo	W 2-0	1543	1601	65.8%	14.3%	19.9%	+2.6	29
1945-02-25	@ Real Zaragoza	L 0-2	1601	1543	19.9%	14.3%	65.8%	-2.6	30
1945-02-25	Constancia	W 2-1	1507	1515	70.5%	13.8%	15.8%	+1.0	25
1945-02-25	@ SD Ceuta	L 1-2	1515	1507	15.8%	13.8%	70.5%	-1.0	20
1945-02-25	Real Betis	W 4-2	1537	1538	71.1%	13.7%	15.2%	+1.6	33
1945-02-25	@ Xerez	L 2-4	1538	1537	15.2%	13.7%	71.1%	-1.5	24
1945-03-18	Constancia	L 0-2	1477	1514	67.8%	14.1%	18.1%	-7.9	17
1945-03-18	@ Barakaldo	W 2-0	1514	1477	18.1%	14.1%	67.8%	+7.9	23
1945-03-18	Xerez	W 6-1	1598	1539	75.6%	12.9%	11.5%	+2.9	33
1945-03-18	@ Celta Vigo	L 1-6	1539	1598	11.5%	12.9%	75.6%	-2.9	33
1945-03-18	Alcoyano	L 0-2	1555	1545	71.9%	13.6%	14.5%	-8.3	38
1945-03-18	@ Hercules	W 2-0	1545	1555	14.5%	13.6%	71.9%	+8.4	34
1945-03-18	Real Zaragoza	W 3-0	1523	1546	69.1%	14.0%	16.9%	+3.2	29
1945-03-18	@ Leonesa	L 0-3	1546	1523	16.9%	14.0%	69.1%	-3.2	29
1945-03-18	SD Ceuta	L 2-3	1516	1508	71.7%	13.6%	14.7%	-4.0	23
1945-03-18	@ Mallorca	W 3-2	1508	1516	14.7%	13.6%	71.7%	+4.0	28
1945-03-18	Real Sociedad	W 5-3	1513	1622	60.3%	14.6%	25.1%	+2.4	27
1945-03-18	@ Real Santander	L 3-5	1622	1513	25.1%	14.6%	60.3%	-2.3	33
1945-03-18	Racing Ferrol	W 3-0	1536	1485	75.0%	13.0%	12.0%	+2.3	27
1945-03-18	@ Real Betis	L 0-3	1485	1536	12.0%	13.0%	75.0%	-2.3	22
1945-03-25	Mallorca	D 1-1	1553	1512	74.3%	13.1%	12.6%	-1.0	35
1945-03-25	@ Alcoyano	D 1-1	1512	1553	12.6%	13.1%	74.3%	+1.0	24
1945-03-25	Real Betis	D 1-1	1521	1538	69.6%	13.9%	16.5%	-0.8	24
1945-03-25	@ Constancia	D 1-1	1538	1521	16.5%	13.9%	69.6%	+0.8	28
1945-03-25	Celta Vigo	W 3-1	1483	1601	59.4%	14.7%	26.0%	+2.9	25
1945-03-25	@ Racing Ferrol	L 1-3	1601	1483	26.0%	14.7%	59.4%	-2.9	33
1945-03-25	Hercules	D 0-0	1620	1547	76.6%	12.7%	10.8%	-1.1	34
1945-03-25	@ Real Sociedad	D 0-0	1547	1620	10.8%	12.7%	76.6%	+1.1	39
1945-03-25	Real Santander	W 2-1	1542	1515	73.3%	13.3%	13.4%	+0.9	32
1945-03-25	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-2	1515	1542	13.4%	13.3%	73.3%	-0.9	27
1945-03-25	Barakaldo	W 3-0	1512	1469	74.5%	13.1%	12.4%	+2.4	31
1945-03-25	@ SD Ceuta	L 0-3	1469	1512	12.4%	13.1%	74.5%	-2.4	17
1945-03-25	Leonesa	W 1-0	1536	1527	71.9%	13.6%	14.6%	+1.0	36
1945-03-25	@ Xerez	L 0-1	1527	1536	14.6%	13.6%	71.9%	-1.0	29
1945-04-08	SD Ceuta	W 7-0	1553	1515	74.1%	13.2%	12.7%	+5.4	38
1945-04-08	@ Alcoyano	L 0-7	1515	1553	12.7%	13.2%	74.1%	-5.4	31
1945-04-08	Constancia	W 4-0	1598	1521	76.9%	12.6%	10.5%	+2.6	36
1945-04-08	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-4	1521	1598	10.5%	12.6%	76.9%	-2.6	24
1945-04-08	Real Zaragoza	W 2-0	1548	1543	71.5%	13.6%	14.9%	+2.0	42
1945-04-08	@ Hercules	L 0-2	1543	1548	14.9%	13.6%	71.5%	-2.0	32
1945-04-08	Racing Ferrol	L 1-3	1526	1486	74.2%	13.2%	12.6%	-7.4	29
1945-04-08	@ Leonesa	W 3-1	1486	1526	12.6%	13.2%	74.2%	+7.4	28
1945-04-08	Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1513	1619	60.8%	14.6%	24.6%	+1.6	27
1945-04-08	@ Mallorca	L 1-2	1619	1513	24.6%	14.6%	60.8%	-1.6	34
1945-04-08	Xerez	W 4-1	1514	1537	69.1%	14.0%	17.0%	+2.7	30
1945-04-08	@ Real Santander	L 1-4	1537	1514	17.0%	14.0%	69.1%	-2.7	36
1945-04-08	Barakaldo	W 3-1	1539	1467	76.5%	12.7%	10.8%	+1.2	31
1945-04-08	@ Real Betis	L 1-3	1467	1539	10.8%	12.7%	76.5%	-1.2	17
1945-04-15	Celta Vigo	D 3-3	1466	1601	57.4%	14.7%	27.9%	-0.3	18
1945-04-15	@ Barakaldo	D 3-3	1601	1466	27.9%	14.7%	57.4%	+0.3	37
1945-04-15	Leonesa	W 2-0	1518	1518	71.1%	13.7%	15.2%	+2.0	27
1945-04-15	@ Constancia	L 0-2	1518	1518	15.2%	13.7%	71.1%	-2.0	29
1945-04-15	Real Santander	W 2-1	1493	1517	69.0%	14.0%	17.0%	+1.1	31
1945-04-15	@ Racing Ferrol	L 1-2	1517	1493	17.0%	14.0%	69.0%	-1.1	30
1945-04-15	Alcoyano	W 4-0	1617	1558	75.6%	12.9%	11.5%	+2.9	37
1945-04-15	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-4	1558	1617	11.5%	12.9%	75.6%	-2.9	38
1945-04-15	Mallorca	W 3-2	1541	1515	73.2%	13.4%	13.5%	+0.8	35
1945-04-15	@ Real Zaragoza	L 2-3	1515	1541	13.5%	13.4%	73.2%	-0.8	27
1945-04-15	Real Betis	L 0-2	1509	1540	68.4%	14.1%	17.6%	-7.9	31
1945-04-15	@ SD Ceuta	W 2-0	1540	1509	17.6%	14.1%	68.4%	+7.9	34
1945-04-15	Hercules	W 3-0	1534	1550	69.7%	13.9%	16.4%	+3.1	39
1945-04-15	@ Xerez	L 0-3	1550	1534	16.4%	13.9%	69.7%	-3.1	42
1945-04-22	Real Zaragoza	W 4-1	1555	1542	72.1%	13.5%	14.3%	+2.3	41
1945-04-22	@ Alcoyano	L 1-4	1542	1555	14.3%	13.5%	72.1%	-2.3	35
1945-04-22	Real Betis	W 4-0	1601	1548	75.2%	13.0%	11.9%	+3.0	40
1945-04-22	@ Celta Vigo	L 0-4	1548	1601	11.9%	13.0%	75.2%	-3.0	34
1945-04-22	Racing Ferrol	W 6-1	1547	1494	75.1%	13.0%	11.9%	+3.0	45
1945-04-22	@ Hercules	L 1-6	1494	1547	11.9%	13.0%	75.1%	-3.0	31
1945-04-22	Barakaldo	W 1-0	1516	1465	75.0%	13.0%	12.0%	+0.8	32
1945-04-22	@ Leonesa	L 0-1	1465	1516	12.0%	13.0%	75.0%	-0.8	18
1945-04-22	Xerez	D 0-0	1514	1537	69.0%	14.0%	17.0%	-0.9	28
1945-04-22	@ Mallorca	D 0-0	1537	1514	17.0%	14.0%	69.0%	+0.9	40
1945-04-22	Constancia	D 1-1	1516	1520	70.7%	13.8%	15.6%	-0.8	31
1945-04-22	@ Real Santander	D 1-1	1520	1516	15.6%	13.8%	70.7%	+0.9	28
1945-04-22	SD Ceuta	W 2-0	1620	1501	79.5%	11.9%	8.6%	+1.1	40
1945-04-22	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-2	1501	1620	8.6%	11.9%	79.5%	-1.1	31
1945-05-13	Real Santander	L 0-3	1464	1515	66.5%	14.2%	19.2%	-11.2	18
1945-05-13	@ Barakaldo	W 3-0	1515	1464	19.2%	14.2%	66.5%	+11.2	34
1945-05-13	SD Ceuta	W 4-2	1604	1500	78.6%	12.1%	9.3%	+0.9	43
1945-05-13	@ Celta Vigo	L 2-4	1500	1604	9.3%	12.1%	78.6%	-0.9	31
1945-05-13	Hercules	W 3-1	1521	1550	68.5%	14.0%	17.4%	+2.0	31
1945-05-13	@ Constancia	L 1-3	1550	1521	17.4%	14.0%	68.5%	-2.0	45
1945-05-13	Mallorca	W 3-2	1491	1513	69.2%	14.0%	16.9%	+1.0	34
1945-05-13	@ Racing Ferrol	L 2-3	1513	1491	16.9%	14.0%	69.2%	-1.0	28
1945-05-13	Leonesa	W 2-1	1545	1517	73.3%	13.3%	13.3%	+0.9	37
1945-05-13	@ Real Betis	L 1-2	1517	1545	13.3%	13.3%	73.3%	-0.9	32
1945-05-13	Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1540	1621	63.4%	14.5%	22.1%	+1.4	38
1945-05-13	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-2	1621	1540	22.1%	14.5%	63.4%	-1.4	40
1945-05-13	Alcoyano	L 1-4	1538	1557	69.4%	13.9%	16.7%	-9.9	40
1945-05-13	@ Xerez	W 4-1	1557	1538	16.7%	13.9%	69.4%	+9.9	44
1945-05-20	Racing Ferrol	W 4-1	1567	1492	76.7%	12.6%	10.7%	+1.7	47
1945-05-20	@ Alcoyano	L 1-4	1492	1567	10.7%	12.6%	76.7%	-1.7	34
1945-05-20	Barakaldo	W 3-1	1548	1453	78.0%	12.3%	9.7%	+1.1	48
1945-05-20	@ Hercules	L 1-3	1453	1548	9.7%	12.3%	78.0%	-1.1	18
1945-05-20	Celta Vigo	L 1-2	1516	1605	62.6%	14.5%	22.9%	-3.6	32
1945-05-20	@ Leonesa	W 2-1	1605	1516	22.9%	14.5%	62.6%	+3.6	46
1945-05-20	Constancia	W 2-0	1512	1523	70.2%	13.8%	16.0%	+2.1	31
1945-05-20	@ Mallorca	L 0-2	1523	1512	16.0%	13.8%	70.2%	-2.1	31
1945-05-20	Real Betis	W 3-0	1526	1546	69.3%	13.9%	16.7%	+3.2	37
1945-05-20	@ Real Santander	L 0-3	1546	1526	16.7%	13.9%	69.3%	-3.2	37
1945-05-20	Xerez	W 3-1	1620	1528	77.8%	12.3%	9.9%	+1.1	43
1945-05-20	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1528	1620	9.9%	12.3%	77.8%	-1.1	40
1945-05-20	Real Zaragoza	W 4-1	1499	1541	67.3%	14.2%	18.5%	+3.0	34
1945-05-20	@ SD Ceuta	L 1-4	1541	1499	18.5%	14.2%	67.3%	-3.0	38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1945-04-08	12.62%	Racing Ferrol	1486	3	@ Leonesa	1526	1
2	1944-11-19	13.99%	Hercules	1540	1	@ Real Zaragoza	1558	0
3	1944-12-03	14.06%	Alcoyano	1535	4	@ Real Zaragoza	1552	1
4	1944-11-26	14.32%	Xerez	1532	2	@ Hercules	1545	1
5	1945-03-18	14.52%	Alcoyano	1545	2	@ Hercules	1555	0
6	1945-03-18	14.67%	SD Ceuta	1508	3	@ Mallorca	1516	2
7	1944-09-24	15.25%	Leonesa	1520	3	@ SD Ceuta	1520	0
8	1944-10-08	15.36%	Real Santander	1507	1	@ SD Ceuta	1505	0
9	1944-10-15	16.34%	Hercules	1526	4	@ Real Santander	1511	1
10	1944-11-12	16.46%	SD Ceuta	1507	1	@ Barakaldo	1491	0
11	1944-11-19	16.58%	Alcoyano	1530	3	@ SD Ceuta	1511	2
12	1945-05-13	16.65%	Alcoyano	1557	4	@ Xerez	1538	1
13	1945-01-28	17.05%	Hercules	1551	3	@ Leonesa	1527	2
14	1945-04-15	17.60%	Real Betis	1540	2	@ SD Ceuta	1509	0
15	1944-10-01	17.69%	Alcoyano	1528	1	@ Barakaldo	1496	0
16	1945-03-18	18.06%	Constancia	1514	2	@ Barakaldo	1477	0
17	1945-05-13	19.23%	Real Santander	1515	3	@ Barakaldo	1464	0
18	1944-10-01	19.42%	Real Zaragoza	1552	2	@ Racing Ferrol	1499	0
19	1944-12-17	19.89%	Hercules	1545	3	@ Barakaldo	1488	1
20	1944-10-08	21.11%	Celta Vigo	1599	1	@ Mallorca	1528	0
21	1944-10-15	21.59%	Real Sociedad	1618	3	@ Real Betis	1542	1
22	1944-10-01	21.96%	Real Sociedad	1609	2	@ Constancia	1529	0
23	1944-11-19	22.32%	Celta Vigo	1601	1	@ Constancia	1518	0
24	1945-05-20	22.87%	Celta Vigo	1605	2	@ Leonesa	1516	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1944-09-24	11.98	Leonesa	3	1520	15.25%	@ SD Ceuta	0	1520	71.05%
2	1945-05-13	11.25	Real Santander	3	1515	19.23%	@ Barakaldo	0	1464	66.53%
3	1944-12-03	10.29	Alcoyano	4	1535	14.06%	@ Real Zaragoza	1	1552	72.45%
4	1944-10-15	9.93	Hercules	4	1526	16.34%	@ Real Santander	1	1511	69.79%
5	1945-05-13	9.88	Alcoyano	4	1557	16.65%	@ Xerez	1	1538	69.43%
6	1945-03-18	8.35	Alcoyano	2	1545	14.52%	@ Hercules	0	1555	71.91%
7	1945-04-15	7.94	Real Betis	2	1540	17.60%	@ SD Ceuta	0	1509	68.36%
8	1945-03-18	7.89	Constancia	2	1514	18.06%	@ Barakaldo	0	1477	67.84%
9	1944-10-01	7.72	Real Zaragoza	2	1552	19.42%	@ Racing Ferrol	0	1499	66.33%
10	1944-11-12	7.53	@ Real Santander	6	1498	64.78%	Real Zaragoza	0	1566	20.84%
11	1945-04-08	7.44	Racing Ferrol	3	1486	12.62%	@ Leonesa	1	1526	74.21%
12	1944-10-01	7.41	Real Sociedad	2	1609	21.96%	@ Constancia	0	1529	63.57%
13	1944-12-17	6.63	Hercules	3	1545	19.89%	@ Barakaldo	1	1488	65.81%
14	1944-10-15	6.46	Real Sociedad	3	1618	21.59%	@ Real Betis	1	1542	63.97%
15	1945-04-08	5.39	@ Alcoyano	7	1553	74.07%	SD Ceuta	0	1515	12.74%
16	1944-12-03	5.28	@ Real Betis	4	1532	64.12%	Celta Vigo	0	1607	21.45%
17	1944-11-26	4.95	@ Real Santander	8	1505	72.28%	Racing Ferrol	1	1490	14.21%
18	1944-11-19	4.46	Hercules	1	1540	13.99%	@ Real Zaragoza	0	1558	72.54%
19	1944-10-08	4.37	Real Santander	1	1507	15.36%	@ SD Ceuta	0	1505	70.91%
20	1944-11-12	4.30	SD Ceuta	1	1507	16.46%	@ Barakaldo	0	1491	69.65%
21	1944-10-01	4.21	Alcoyano	1	1528	17.69%	@ Barakaldo	0	1496	68.25%
22	1944-11-26	4.18	Xerez	2	1532	14.32%	@ Hercules	1	1545	72.15%
23	1944-10-22	4.10	@ Real Zaragoza	7	1560	73.00%	Real Betis	1	1536	13.61%
24	1944-12-10	4.09	@ Hercules	5	1541	73.38%	Constancia	0	1512	13.30%
25	1944-10-08	3.99	Celta Vigo	1	1599	21.11%	@ Mallorca	0	1528	64.49%