1945-46 Segunda División Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

RCD Cordoba

6.40 points above expected

29 points · 22.60 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

SD Ceuta

6.04 points below expected

18 points · 24.04 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sabadell	26	14	7	5	35	50	29	+21	30.0	+5.02
2	Deportivo La Coruna	26	14	5	7	33	38	28	+10	30.2	+2.84
3	Granada	26	12	5	9	29	49	35	+14	31.0	-2.02
4	Gimnastic	26	12	5	9	29	50	46	+4	25.1	+3.93
5	RCD Cordoba	26	13	3	10	29	36	34	+2	22.6	+6.40
6	Real Sociedad	26	12	3	11	27	46	33	+13	28.0	-1.03
7	Mallorca	26	8	9	9	25	37	39	-2	25.0	+0.02
8	Racing Ferrol	26	10	5	11	25	39	52	-13	24.5	+0.48
9	Real Santander	26	11	2	13	24	56	51	+5	25.6	-1.61
10	Real Betis	26	10	4	12	24	41	40	+1	26.3	-2.26
11	Real Zaragoza	26	10	4	12	24	44	53	-9	25.3	-1.27
12	Xerez	26	9	4	13	22	43	59	-16	24.3	-2.32
13	Salamanca	26	8	4	14	20	41	48	-7	22.1	-2.14
14	SD Ceuta	26	8	2	16	18	35	58	-23	24.0	-6.04

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Granada	1568	29	31.02	-2.02	36.0%	24	26	28	31	33	38	41
Sabadell	1556	35	29.98	+5.02	98.0%	21	23	28	31	33	35	36
Deportivo La Coruna	1553	33	30.16	+2.84	82.0%	22	24	27	31	32	36	41
Real Sociedad	1520	27	28.03	-1.03	41.0%	20	22	25	28	31	34	39
Real Santander	1459	24	25.61	-1.61	40.0%	15	19	23	26	28	32	34
Real Betis	1455	24	26.26	-2.26	31.0%	18	19	24	26	29	31	34
Real Zaragoza	1444	24	25.27	-1.27	42.0%	18	19	23	25	28	31	34
Gimnastic	1443	29	25.07	+3.93	94.0%	17	19	23	25	27	30	35
Mallorca	1435	25	24.98	+0.02	59.0%	17	18	22	25	28	31	35
Xerez	1423	22	24.32	-2.32	36.0%	13	18	21	24	27	30	34
Racing Ferrol	1417	25	24.52	+0.48	64.0%	15	17	22	25	27	30	33
RCD Cordoba	1413	29	22.60	+6.40	95.0%	14	17	20	23	25	29	31
SD Ceuta	1410	18	24.04	-6.04	10.0%	14	17	21	24	26	31	33
Salamanca	1379	20	22.14	-2.14	34.0%	14	16	19	22	24	29	32

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	DLC	GIM	GRA	MAL	RC	RF	RB	RS	RS	RZ	SC	SAB	SAL	XER
Deportivo La Coruna	—	0-0-2 3.40	1-1-0 2.64	0-2-0 3.31	1-0-1 3.53	2-0-0 3.41	1-0-1 3.20	2-0-0 3.24	1-0-1 2.86	2-0-0 3.28	2-0-0 3.46	1-0-1 2.82	0-2-0 3.68	1-0-1 3.35
Gimnastic	2-0-0 2.23	—	0-1-1 2.10	0-1-1 2.75	2-0-0 2.90	2-0-0 2.75	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.68	0-0-2 2.38	1-1-0 2.72	1-1-0 2.89	0-0-2 2.25	2-0-0 3.03	0-1-1 2.87
Granada	0-1-1 2.96	1-1-0 3.52	—	0-0-2 3.46	1-0-1 3.75	1-0-1 3.55	1-0-1 3.36	1-0-1 3.36	1-1-0 3.05	1-0-1 3.44	2-0-0 3.64	0-2-0 2.89	2-0-0 3.80	1-0-1 3.57
Mallorca	0-2-0 2.30	1-1-0 2.85	2-0-0 2.17	—	1-0-1 3.03	0-1-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.72	1-0-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.43	0-1-1 2.79	0-0-2 2.99	0-1-1 2.27	1-0-1 3.14	1-1-0 2.84
RCD Cordoba	1-0-1 2.10	0-0-2 2.70	1-0-1 1.90	1-0-1 2.57	—	1-0-1 2.68	2-0-0 2.50	2-0-0 2.50	1-0-1 2.16	1-0-1 2.58	2-0-0 2.67	0-1-1 2.05	0-2-0 2.89	1-0-1 2.70
Racing Ferrol	0-0-2 2.20	0-0-2 2.85	1-0-1 2.08	1-1-0 2.72	1-0-1 2.93	—	0-1-1 2.63	1-1-0 2.64	0-1-1 2.33	1-0-1 2.72	1-1-0 2.83	2-0-0 2.17	1-0-1 3.03	1-0-1 2.87
Real Betis	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 2.27	0-1-1 2.89	0-0-2 3.10	1-1-0 2.96	—	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.48	1-0-1 2.85	1-0-1 3.05	0-1-1 2.38	2-0-0 3.20	0-1-1 3.01
Real Santander	0-0-2 2.38	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.27	1-0-1 2.89	0-0-2 3.10	0-1-1 2.96	1-0-1 2.75	—	2-0-0 2.46	1-0-1 2.87	2-0-0 2.98	0-1-1 2.37	1-0-1 3.18	1-0-1 3.00
Real Sociedad	1-0-1 2.73	2-0-0 3.24	0-1-1 2.56	1-1-0 3.17	1-0-1 3.47	1-1-0 3.28	1-0-1 3.12	0-0-2 3.14	—	1-0-1 3.19	1-0-1 3.39	0-0-2 2.66	1-0-1 3.51	2-0-0 3.20
Real Zaragoza	0-0-2 2.34	0-1-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.18	1-1-0 2.82	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.42	—	1-0-1 2.94	0-1-1 2.31	1-0-1 3.14	1-1-0 2.94
SD Ceuta	0-0-2 2.16	0-1-1 2.71	0-0-2 2.01	2-0-0 2.60	0-0-2 2.94	0-1-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.55	0-0-2 2.62	1-0-1 2.23	1-0-1 2.66	—	1-0-1 2.07	1-0-1 2.97	1-0-1 2.76
Sabadell	1-0-1 2.77	2-0-0 3.38	0-2-0 2.71	1-1-0 3.35	1-1-0 3.58	0-0-2 3.45	1-1-0 3.24	1-1-0 3.24	2-0-0 2.93	1-1-0 3.31	1-0-1 3.56	—	1-0-1 3.66	2-0-0 3.38
Salamanca	0-2-0 1.97	0-0-2 2.56	0-0-2 1.86	1-0-1 2.46	0-2-0 2.70	1-0-1 2.57	0-0-2 2.41	1-0-1 2.44	1-0-1 2.13	1-0-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-1 1.99	—	1-0-1 2.54
Xerez	1-0-1 2.28	1-1-0 2.72	1-0-1 2.06	0-1-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.89	1-0-1 2.74	1-1-0 2.59	1-0-1 2.60	0-0-2 2.44	0-1-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.84	0-0-2 2.22	1-0-1 3.07	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.42%	5.77%	2.75%	2.75%	1.65%	24.18%
1	7.42%	7.14%	6.59%	3.85%	3.30%	1.37%	29.67%
2	5.77%	6.59%	4.40%	2.47%	1.92%	0.82%	21.98%
3	2.75%	3.85%	2.47%	1.10%	0.55%	0.27%	10.99%
4	2.75%	3.30%	1.92%	0.55%	0.55%	—	9.07%
5+	1.65%	1.37%	0.82%	0.27%	—	—	4.12%
Total	24.18%	29.67%	21.98%	10.99%	9.07%	4.12%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.66
Mean allowed	1.66
StdDev scored	1.48
StdDev allowed	1.48
Mean total goals/game	3.32
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.007
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	19.23%	—	—	—	30.77%
1	19.23%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
2	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	34.62%	30.77%	26.92%	7.69%	—	—	100%

Deportivo La Coruna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	1.39
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	2.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.061
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	19.23%
1	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	34.62%
2	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	26.92%	38.46%	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Gimnastic — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	1.77
StdDev scored	1.67
StdDev allowed	1.88
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.387
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	23.08%
2	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	30.77%
3	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	11.54%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	—	3.85%	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	42.31%	23.08%	15.38%	—	—	100%

Granada — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.88
Mean allowed	1.35
StdDev scored	1.51
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	3.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.273
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	23.08%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	42.31%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
3	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	34.62%	30.77%	7.69%	7.69%	—	100%

Mallorca — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.42
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.048
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	38.46%
1	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	15.38%
2	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	23.08%
3	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.46%	30.77%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	100%

RCD Cordoba — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	1.31
StdDev scored	1.36
StdDev allowed	1.62
Mean total goals/game	2.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.292
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	30.77%
1	11.54%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	—	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	30.77%	26.92%	7.69%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Racing Ferrol — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	1.67
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.159
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
1	15.38%	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	34.62%
2	—	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	30.77%	19.23%	26.92%	11.54%	11.54%	—	100%

Real Betis — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.58
Mean allowed	1.54
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	3.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.201
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	3.85%	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	23.08%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	19.23%
5+	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	19.23%	15.38%	38.46%	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	100%

Real Santander — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.15
Mean allowed	1.96
StdDev scored	1.57
StdDev allowed	1.43
Mean total goals/game	4.12
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.444
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	23.08%
2	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	7.69%	—	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	26.92%	38.46%	23.08%	3.85%	7.69%	—	100%

Real Sociedad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.77
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.84
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	3.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.498
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
1	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
2	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
3	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	30.77%	23.08%	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	100%

Real Zaragoza — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	1.49
StdDev allowed	1.64
Mean total goals/game	3.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.192
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	7.69%	15.38%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	50.00%
2	—	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	11.54%	23.08%	23.08%	19.23%	19.23%	3.85%	100%

SD Ceuta — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.35
Mean allowed	2.23
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.42
Mean total goals/game	3.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.495
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.54%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
1	11.54%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
2	15.38%	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	38.46%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	42.31%	26.92%	15.38%	11.54%	—	3.85%	100%

Sabadell — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	1.12
StdDev scored	1.65
StdDev allowed	1.31
Mean total goals/game	3.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.097
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	15.38%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	34.62%
1	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%
2	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	—	19.23%
3	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	42.31%	7.69%	15.38%	15.38%	3.85%	100%

Salamanca — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.58
Mean allowed	1.85
StdDev scored	1.60
StdDev allowed	1.49
Mean total goals/game	3.42
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.028
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	19.23%
1	11.54%	7.69%	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	38.46%
2	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	19.23%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	11.54%	23.08%	23.08%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Xerez — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.65
Mean allowed	2.27
StdDev scored	1.38
StdDev allowed	1.93
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.113
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	RCD Cordoba	29	22.6	+6.40
2	Sabadell	35	30.0	+5.02
3	Gimnastic	29	25.1	+3.93
4	Deportivo La Coruna	33	30.2	+2.84
5	Racing Ferrol	25	24.5	+0.48

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	SD Ceuta	18	24.0	-6.04
2	Xerez	22	24.3	-2.32
3	Real Betis	24	26.3	-2.26
4	Salamanca	20	22.1	-2.14
5	Granada	29	31.0	-2.02

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Racing Ferrol	6	Oct 7 – Nov 18	1 in 2,112
2	Deportivo La Coruna	5	Feb 10 – Mar 10	1 in 72
3	Real Sociedad	5	Oct 21 – Nov 25	1 in 72
4	Sabadell	5	Sep 30 – Oct 28	1 in 71
5	Gimnastic	3	Jan 6 – Jan 20	1 in 21

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	SD Ceuta	4	Sep 23 – Oct 14	1 in 114
2	Salamanca	5	Nov 18 – Dec 16	1 in 43
3	Real Zaragoza	3	Nov 18 – Dec 2	1 in 36
4	Deportivo La Coruna	3	Sep 30 – Oct 14	1 in 33
5	Gimnastic	3	Mar 3 – Mar 17	1 in 31

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Mallorca	6	Dec 2 – Jan 13	1 in 250
2	Real Zaragoza	7	Jan 20 – Mar 3	1 in 85
3	Racing Ferrol	7	Sep 30 – Nov 18	1 in 77
4	Deportivo La Coruna	8	Feb 10 – Mar 31	1 in 41
5	Sabadell	7	Nov 18 – Jan 6	1 in 22

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	SD Ceuta	8	Sep 23 – Nov 18	1 in 82
2	Racing Ferrol	6	Jan 6 – Feb 10	1 in 36
3	Real Sociedad	5	Feb 10 – Mar 10	1 in 25
4	Real Zaragoza	6	Oct 21 – Dec 2	1 in 21
5	Real Betis	4	Mar 10 – Mar 31	1 in 13

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Sabadell	25.00%	21.00%	14.00%	13.00%	7.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Deportivo La Coruna	22.00%	22.00%	14.00%	10.00%	4.00%	11.00%	5.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Granada	26.00%	19.00%	17.00%	11.00%	9.00%	8.00%	5.00%	4.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Gimnastic	3.00%	1.00%	3.00%	4.00%	12.00%	6.00%	14.00%	10.00%	12.00%	11.00%	7.00%	9.00%	3.00%	5.00%
RCD Cordoba	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	6.00%	2.00%	12.00%	6.00%	8.00%	14.00%	10.00%	18.00%	15.00%
Real Sociedad	9.00%	11.00%	12.00%	12.00%	14.00%	12.00%	3.00%	3.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—	2.00%
Mallorca	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	8.00%	11.00%	4.00%	7.00%	9.00%	8.00%	10.00%	10.00%	12.00%	5.00%
Racing Ferrol	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	5.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	11.00%	13.00%	8.00%	14.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%
Real Santander	3.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%	10.00%	9.00%	5.00%	9.00%	10.00%	2.00%	9.00%	5.00%
Real Betis	3.00%	5.00%	9.00%	11.00%	7.00%	9.00%	16.00%	9.00%	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	9.00%	6.00%	4.00%
Real Zaragoza	1.00%	1.00%	7.00%	6.00%	9.00%	4.00%	14.00%	8.00%	13.00%	7.00%	9.00%	11.00%	8.00%	2.00%
Xerez	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	6.00%	10.00%	4.00%	15.00%	12.00%	11.00%
Salamanca	—	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	9.00%	12.00%	12.00%	10.00%	12.00%	27.00%
SD Ceuta	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	7.00%	10.00%	11.00%	12.00%	10.00%	10.00%	14.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Won promotion playoff	Lost promotion playoff	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Granada	45.0%	9.0%	8.0%	38.0%	—	—
Sabadell	46.0%	8.0%	6.0%	36.0%	2.0%	2.0%
Deportivo La Coruna	44.0%	7.0%	7.0%	40.0%	1.0%	1.0%
Real Sociedad	20.0%	3.0%	9.0%	63.0%	3.0%	2.0%
Real Betis	8.0%	3.0%	6.0%	64.0%	9.0%	10.0%
Gimnastic	4.0%	2.0%	1.0%	76.0%	9.0%	8.0%
Real Santander	9.0%	2.0%	6.0%	67.0%	2.0%	14.0%
Real Zaragoza	2.0%	2.0%	5.0%	70.0%	11.0%	10.0%
Mallorca	5.0%	—	6.0%	62.0%	10.0%	17.0%
Racing Ferrol	3.0%	1.0%	1.0%	70.0%	8.0%	17.0%
SD Ceuta	6.0%	2.0%	—	58.0%	10.0%	24.0%
Xerez	4.0%	—	3.0%	55.0%	15.0%	23.0%
RCD Cordoba	2.0%	—	1.0%	54.0%	10.0%	33.0%
Salamanca	2.0%	1.0%	1.0%	47.0%	10.0%	39.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1945-09-23	Real Santander	W 3-1	1549	1451	74.2%	15.5%	10.2%	+1.2	3
1945-09-23	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-3	1451	1549	10.2%	15.5%	74.2%	-1.2	0
1945-09-23	Racing Ferrol	W 1-0	1421	1426	64.1%	20.3%	15.6%	+1.2	3
1945-09-23	@ Gimnastic	L 0-1	1426	1421	15.6%	20.3%	64.1%	-1.2	0
1945-09-23	Real Sociedad	W 4-1	1573	1510	71.0%	17.2%	11.7%	+2.1	3
1945-09-23	@ Granada	L 1-4	1510	1573	11.7%	17.2%	71.0%	-2.1	0
1945-09-23	Xerez	W 3-0	1441	1450	63.8%	20.4%	15.8%	+3.4	3
1945-09-23	@ Mallorca	L 0-3	1450	1441	15.8%	20.4%	63.8%	-3.4	0
1945-09-23	Real Zaragoza	W 4-0	1460	1457	65.0%	20.0%	15.0%	+4.3	3
1945-09-23	@ Real Betis	L 0-4	1457	1460	15.0%	20.0%	65.0%	-4.3	0
1945-09-23	Sabadell	W 3-1	1380	1534	47.1%	23.2%	29.7%	+3.6	3
1945-09-23	@ Salamanca	L 1-3	1534	1380	29.7%	23.2%	47.1%	-3.6	0
1945-09-23	RCD Cordoba	L 1-2	1434	1390	69.1%	18.2%	12.7%	-4.2	0
1945-09-23	@ SD Ceuta	W 2-1	1390	1434	12.7%	18.2%	69.1%	+4.2	3
1945-09-30	Real Betis	D 2-2	1425	1464	60.6%	21.5%	18.0%	-0.5	1
1945-09-30	@ Racing Ferrol	D 2-2	1464	1425	18.0%	21.5%	60.6%	+0.5	4
1945-09-30	Gimnastic	W 6-0	1450	1422	67.5%	18.9%	13.6%	+5.6	3
1945-09-30	@ Real Santander	L 0-6	1422	1450	13.6%	18.9%	67.5%	-5.6	3
1945-09-30	Granada	W 2-0	1394	1576	43.6%	23.0%	33.4%	+4.6	6
1945-09-30	@ RCD Cordoba	L 0-2	1576	1394	33.4%	23.0%	43.6%	-4.6	3
1945-09-30	Mallorca	W 2-1	1508	1445	70.9%	17.3%	11.8%	+0.8	3
1945-09-30	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-2	1445	1508	11.8%	17.3%	70.9%	-0.8	3
1945-09-30	SD Ceuta	W 5-1	1452	1429	67.0%	19.1%	13.9%	+3.2	3
1945-09-30	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-5	1429	1452	13.9%	19.1%	67.0%	-3.2	0
1945-09-30	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-0	1530	1550	62.6%	20.8%	16.6%	+2.5	3
1945-09-30	@ Sabadell	L 0-2	1550	1530	16.6%	20.8%	62.6%	-2.5	3
1945-09-30	Salamanca	W 4-3	1446	1384	70.9%	17.3%	11.8%	+0.8	3
1945-09-30	@ Xerez	L 3-4	1384	1446	11.8%	17.3%	70.9%	-0.8	3
1945-10-07	Gimnastic	L 1-3	1548	1416	77.2%	13.8%	8.9%	-7.8	3
1945-10-07	@ Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-1	1416	1548	8.9%	13.8%	77.2%	+7.8	6
1945-10-07	Real Zaragoza	W 3-1	1571	1456	75.8%	14.6%	9.5%	+1.1	6
1945-10-07	@ Granada	L 1-3	1456	1571	9.5%	14.6%	75.8%	-1.1	3
1945-10-07	RCD Cordoba	W 1-0	1444	1398	69.2%	18.1%	12.6%	+1.0	6
1945-10-07	@ Mallorca	L 0-1	1398	1444	12.6%	18.1%	69.2%	-1.0	6
1945-10-07	Real Santander	W 3-2	1464	1455	65.6%	19.7%	14.7%	+1.0	7
1945-10-07	@ Real Betis	L 2-3	1455	1464	14.7%	19.7%	65.6%	-1.0	3
1945-10-07	Xerez	W 7-2	1533	1447	73.1%	16.2%	10.7%	+2.5	6
1945-10-07	@ Sabadell	L 2-7	1447	1533	10.7%	16.2%	73.1%	-2.5	3
1945-10-07	Real Sociedad	W 2-0	1383	1508	50.7%	23.1%	26.2%	+3.8	6
1945-10-07	@ Salamanca	L 0-2	1508	1383	26.2%	23.1%	50.7%	-3.8	3
1945-10-07	Racing Ferrol	L 1-2	1426	1424	64.8%	20.0%	15.1%	-4.0	0
1945-10-07	@ SD Ceuta	W 2-1	1424	1426	15.1%	20.0%	64.8%	+4.0	4
1945-10-14	Real Betis	W 4-1	1424	1465	60.3%	21.6%	18.1%	+3.3	9
1945-10-14	@ Gimnastic	L 1-4	1465	1424	18.1%	21.6%	60.3%	-3.3	7
1945-10-14	Granada	W 1-0	1428	1572	48.4%	23.2%	28.4%	+2.1	7
1945-10-14	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-1	1572	1428	28.4%	23.2%	48.4%	-2.1	6
1945-10-14	SD Ceuta	W 4-0	1454	1422	67.9%	18.8%	13.4%	+3.7	6
1945-10-14	@ Real Santander	L 0-4	1422	1454	13.4%	18.8%	67.9%	-3.7	0
1945-10-14	Salamanca	D 1-1	1397	1387	65.8%	19.7%	14.6%	-0.8	7
1945-10-14	@ RCD Cordoba	D 1-1	1387	1397	14.6%	19.7%	65.8%	+0.8	7
1945-10-14	Sabadell	L 0-2	1505	1535	61.4%	21.2%	17.3%	-7.6	3
1945-10-14	@ Real Sociedad	W 2-0	1535	1505	17.3%	21.2%	61.4%	+7.7	9
1945-10-14	Mallorca	W 4-2	1455	1445	65.6%	19.7%	14.6%	+1.7	6
1945-10-14	@ Real Zaragoza	L 2-4	1445	1455	14.6%	19.7%	65.6%	-1.7	6
1945-10-14	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-0	1445	1540	54.3%	22.8%	22.9%	+3.4	6
1945-10-14	@ Xerez	L 0-2	1540	1445	22.9%	22.8%	54.3%	-3.4	3
1945-10-21	Real Betis	W 1-0	1536	1462	72.0%	16.7%	11.2%	+0.9	6
1945-10-21	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1462	1536	11.2%	16.7%	72.0%	-0.9	7
1945-10-21	Real Santander	W 2-0	1570	1458	75.5%	14.8%	9.7%	+1.3	9
1945-10-21	@ Granada	L 0-2	1458	1570	9.7%	14.8%	75.5%	-1.3	6
1945-10-21	Racing Ferrol	L 0-1	1443	1431	66.0%	19.6%	14.5%	-4.3	6
1945-10-21	@ Mallorca	W 1-0	1431	1443	14.5%	19.6%	66.0%	+4.3	10
1945-10-21	RCD Cordoba	W 2-0	1543	1397	78.6%	13.0%	8.4%	+1.1	12
1945-10-21	@ Sabadell	L 0-2	1397	1543	8.4%	13.0%	78.6%	-1.1	7
1945-10-21	Real Zaragoza	W 4-1	1387	1456	57.3%	22.3%	20.4%	+3.7	10
1945-10-21	@ Salamanca	L 1-4	1456	1387	20.4%	22.3%	57.3%	-3.7	6
1945-10-21	Gimnastic	D 1-1	1418	1428	63.7%	20.4%	15.8%	-0.8	1
1945-10-21	@ SD Ceuta	D 1-1	1428	1418	15.8%	20.4%	63.7%	+0.8	10
1945-10-21	Real Sociedad	L 0-7	1448	1497	59.5%	21.8%	18.8%	-23.9	6
1945-10-21	@ Xerez	W 7-0	1497	1448	18.8%	21.8%	59.5%	+23.9	6
1945-10-28	Granada	D 3-3	1428	1571	48.5%	23.2%	28.3%	-0.2	11
1945-10-28	@ Gimnastic	D 3-3	1571	1428	28.3%	23.2%	48.5%	+0.2	10
1945-10-28	Salamanca	W 4-2	1435	1391	69.0%	18.2%	12.7%	+1.4	13
1945-10-28	@ Racing Ferrol	L 2-4	1391	1435	12.7%	18.2%	69.0%	-1.4	10
1945-10-28	Mallorca	W 3-1	1457	1439	66.5%	19.4%	14.2%	+1.8	9
1945-10-28	@ Real Santander	L 1-3	1439	1457	14.2%	19.4%	66.5%	-1.8	6
1945-10-28	Xerez	W 3-0	1395	1424	61.7%	21.1%	17.2%	+3.7	10
1945-10-28	@ RCD Cordoba	L 0-3	1424	1395	17.2%	21.1%	61.7%	-3.7	6
1945-10-28	SD Ceuta	W 2-1	1461	1418	69.0%	18.2%	12.7%	+0.9	10
1945-10-28	@ Real Betis	L 1-2	1418	1461	12.7%	18.2%	69.0%	-0.9	1
1945-10-28	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-0	1521	1537	63.0%	20.7%	16.3%	+2.5	9
1945-10-28	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-2	1537	1521	16.3%	20.7%	63.0%	-2.5	6
1945-10-28	Sabadell	L 1-2	1453	1544	54.7%	22.7%	22.6%	-3.5	6
1945-10-28	@ Real Zaragoza	W 2-1	1544	1453	22.6%	22.7%	54.7%	+3.5	15
1945-11-04	SD Ceuta	W 3-0	1535	1417	76.1%	14.5%	9.4%	+1.9	9
1945-11-04	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-3	1417	1535	9.4%	14.5%	76.1%	-1.9	1
1945-11-04	Real Betis	L 0-1	1571	1462	75.3%	15.0%	9.8%	-4.7	10
1945-11-04	@ Granada	W 1-0	1462	1571	9.8%	15.0%	75.3%	+4.7	13
1945-11-04	Gimnastic	W 3-0	1437	1428	65.6%	19.7%	14.7%	+3.2	9
1945-11-04	@ Mallorca	L 0-3	1428	1437	14.7%	19.7%	65.6%	-3.2	11
1945-11-04	RCD Cordoba	W 3-1	1523	1399	76.6%	14.2%	9.2%	+1.1	12
1945-11-04	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1399	1523	9.2%	14.2%	76.6%	-1.1	10
1945-11-04	Racing Ferrol	L 2-3	1548	1436	75.4%	14.9%	9.7%	-4.2	15
1945-11-04	@ Sabadell	W 3-2	1436	1548	9.7%	14.9%	75.4%	+4.2	16
1945-11-04	Real Santander	W 2-1	1390	1458	57.3%	22.3%	20.4%	+1.5	13
1945-11-04	@ Salamanca	L 1-2	1458	1390	20.4%	22.3%	57.3%	-1.5	9
1945-11-04	Real Zaragoza	D 4-4	1420	1449	61.6%	21.2%	17.2%	-0.4	7
1945-11-04	@ Xerez	D 4-4	1449	1420	17.2%	21.2%	61.6%	+0.4	7
1945-11-18	Salamanca	W 3-0	1425	1391	68.1%	18.7%	13.3%	+2.8	14
1945-11-18	@ Gimnastic	L 0-3	1391	1425	13.3%	18.7%	68.1%	-2.8	13
1945-11-18	Xerez	W 3-2	1441	1420	66.8%	19.2%	14.0%	+1.0	19
1945-11-18	@ Racing Ferrol	L 2-3	1420	1441	14.0%	19.2%	66.8%	-1.0	7
1945-11-18	Sabadell	D 2-2	1457	1543	55.3%	22.7%	22.1%	-0.4	10
1945-11-18	@ Real Santander	D 2-2	1543	1457	22.1%	22.7%	55.3%	+0.4	16
1945-11-18	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-0	1398	1537	49.1%	23.2%	27.8%	+4.0	13
1945-11-18	@ RCD Cordoba	L 0-2	1537	1398	27.8%	23.2%	49.1%	-4.0	9
1945-11-18	Mallorca	L 2-3	1467	1440	67.4%	19.0%	13.7%	-3.9	13
1945-11-18	@ Real Betis	W 3-2	1440	1467	13.7%	19.0%	67.4%	+3.9	12
1945-11-18	Real Sociedad	L 1-2	1449	1524	56.6%	22.4%	21.0%	-3.6	7
1945-11-18	@ Real Zaragoza	W 2-1	1524	1449	21.0%	22.4%	56.6%	+3.6	15
1945-11-18	Granada	L 2-3	1415	1567	47.4%	23.2%	29.4%	-2.9	1
1945-11-18	@ SD Ceuta	W 3-2	1567	1415	29.4%	23.2%	47.4%	+2.9	13
1945-11-25	Granada	D 1-1	1533	1570	60.8%	21.4%	17.8%	-0.7	10
1945-11-25	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1570	1533	17.8%	21.4%	60.8%	+0.7	14
1945-11-25	SD Ceuta	L 1-2	1444	1412	67.9%	18.7%	13.3%	-4.1	12
1945-11-25	@ Mallorca	W 2-1	1412	1444	13.3%	18.7%	67.9%	+4.1	4
1945-11-25	Real Zaragoza	W 2-0	1402	1446	60.0%	21.6%	18.3%	+2.8	16
1945-11-25	@ RCD Cordoba	L 0-2	1446	1402	18.3%	21.6%	60.0%	-2.8	7
1945-11-25	Racing Ferrol	W 4-0	1528	1442	73.2%	16.1%	10.7%	+2.9	18
1945-11-25	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-4	1442	1528	10.7%	16.1%	73.2%	-2.9	19
1945-11-25	Gimnastic	W 3-1	1544	1428	75.9%	14.6%	9.5%	+1.1	19
1945-11-25	@ Sabadell	L 1-3	1428	1544	9.5%	14.6%	75.9%	-1.1	14
1945-11-25	Real Betis	L 0-1	1388	1463	56.6%	22.4%	20.9%	-3.8	13
1945-11-25	@ Salamanca	W 1-0	1463	1388	20.9%	22.4%	56.6%	+3.8	16
1945-11-25	Real Santander	W 4-3	1419	1456	60.7%	21.4%	17.8%	+1.2	10
1945-11-25	@ Xerez	L 3-4	1456	1419	17.8%	21.4%	60.7%	-1.2	10
1945-12-02	Xerez	D 1-1	1427	1420	65.3%	19.8%	14.8%	-0.8	15
1945-12-02	@ Gimnastic	D 1-1	1420	1427	14.8%	19.8%	65.3%	+0.8	11
1945-12-02	Mallorca	L 1-2	1570	1440	77.2%	13.9%	9.0%	-4.5	14
1945-12-02	@ Granada	W 2-1	1440	1570	9.0%	13.9%	77.2%	+4.5	15
1945-12-02	RCD Cordoba	W 6-0	1439	1405	68.1%	18.7%	13.2%	+5.4	22
1945-12-02	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-6	1405	1439	13.2%	18.7%	68.1%	-5.4	16
1945-12-02	Real Sociedad	W 4-0	1455	1531	56.5%	22.4%	21.1%	+6.0	13
1945-12-02	@ Real Santander	L 0-4	1531	1455	21.1%	22.4%	56.5%	-6.0	18
1945-12-02	Sabadell	L 0-1	1467	1545	56.2%	22.5%	21.3%	-3.8	16
1945-12-02	@ Real Betis	W 1-0	1545	1467	21.3%	22.5%	56.2%	+3.8	22
1945-12-02	Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-2	1443	1532	55.0%	22.7%	22.3%	-3.5	7
1945-12-02	@ Real Zaragoza	W 2-1	1532	1443	22.3%	22.7%	55.0%	+3.5	13
1945-12-02	Salamanca	W 1-0	1416	1385	67.8%	18.8%	13.4%	+1.0	7
1945-12-02	@ SD Ceuta	L 0-1	1385	1416	13.4%	18.8%	67.8%	-1.0	13
1945-12-09	Mallorca	D 2-2	1535	1445	73.6%	15.9%	10.5%	-0.8	14
1945-12-09	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 2-2	1445	1535	10.5%	15.9%	73.6%	+0.8	16
1945-12-09	Real Santander	W 4-2	1399	1461	58.1%	22.1%	19.8%	+2.3	19
1945-12-09	@ RCD Cordoba	L 2-4	1461	1399	19.8%	22.1%	58.1%	-2.3	13
1945-12-09	Gimnastic	W 5-0	1525	1426	74.3%	15.5%	10.2%	+3.3	21
1945-12-09	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-5	1426	1525	10.2%	15.5%	74.3%	-3.3	15
1945-12-09	Racing Ferrol	W 4-0	1440	1444	64.2%	20.3%	15.5%	+4.4	10
1945-12-09	@ Real Zaragoza	L 0-4	1444	1440	15.5%	20.3%	64.2%	-4.4	22
1945-12-09	SD Ceuta	W 3-1	1549	1417	77.3%	13.8%	8.9%	+1.0	25
1945-12-09	@ Sabadell	L 1-3	1417	1549	8.9%	13.8%	77.3%	-1.0	7
1945-12-09	Granada	L 0-1	1384	1566	43.5%	23.0%	33.5%	-3.0	13
1945-12-09	@ Salamanca	W 1-0	1566	1384	33.5%	23.0%	43.5%	+3.0	17
1945-12-09	Real Betis	W 1-0	1421	1463	60.2%	21.6%	18.2%	+1.5	14
1945-12-09	@ Xerez	L 0-1	1463	1421	18.2%	21.6%	60.2%	-1.5	16
1945-12-16	Racing Ferrol	W 3-1	1535	1440	74.0%	15.7%	10.3%	+1.3	17
1945-12-16	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-3	1440	1535	10.3%	15.7%	74.0%	-1.3	22
1945-12-16	RCD Cordoba	W 5-1	1422	1402	66.8%	19.2%	14.0%	+3.3	18
1945-12-16	@ Gimnastic	L 1-5	1402	1422	14.0%	19.2%	66.8%	-3.3	19
1945-12-16	Sabadell	D 2-2	1569	1550	66.6%	19.3%	14.1%	-0.6	18
1945-12-16	@ Granada	D 2-2	1550	1569	14.1%	19.3%	66.6%	+0.6	26
1945-12-16	Salamanca	W 2-0	1445	1381	71.1%	17.2%	11.7%	+1.7	19
1945-12-16	@ Mallorca	L 0-2	1381	1445	11.7%	17.2%	71.1%	-1.7	13
1945-12-16	Real Zaragoza	W 4-2	1459	1444	66.2%	19.5%	14.3%	+1.7	16
1945-12-16	@ Real Santander	L 2-4	1444	1459	14.3%	19.5%	66.2%	-1.6	10
1945-12-16	Real Sociedad	W 1-0	1462	1528	57.5%	22.2%	20.2%	+1.6	19
1945-12-16	@ Real Betis	L 0-1	1528	1462	20.2%	22.2%	57.5%	-1.6	21
1945-12-16	Xerez	W 2-1	1416	1422	64.0%	20.3%	15.6%	+1.2	10
1945-12-16	@ SD Ceuta	L 1-2	1422	1416	15.6%	20.3%	64.0%	-1.2	14
1945-12-30	Real Santander	W 2-1	1438	1461	62.4%	20.9%	16.7%	+1.3	25
1945-12-30	@ Racing Ferrol	L 1-2	1461	1438	16.7%	20.9%	62.4%	-1.2	16
1945-12-30	Real Betis	W 2-0	1398	1463	57.7%	22.2%	20.1%	+3.0	22
1945-12-30	@ RCD Cordoba	L 0-2	1463	1398	20.1%	22.2%	57.7%	-3.0	19
1945-12-30	SD Ceuta	W 4-0	1527	1417	75.3%	14.9%	9.8%	+2.6	24
1945-12-30	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-4	1417	1527	9.8%	14.9%	75.3%	-2.6	10
1945-12-30	Gimnastic	D 0-0	1442	1426	66.4%	19.4%	14.2%	-0.9	11
1945-12-30	@ Real Zaragoza	D 0-0	1426	1442	14.2%	19.4%	66.4%	+0.9	19
1945-12-30	Mallorca	D 1-1	1550	1447	74.7%	15.3%	10.0%	-1.0	27
1945-12-30	@ Sabadell	D 1-1	1447	1550	10.0%	15.3%	74.7%	+1.0	20
1945-12-30	Deportivo La Coruna	D 0-0	1379	1536	46.8%	23.2%	30.1%	-0.3	14
1945-12-30	@ Salamanca	D 0-0	1536	1379	30.1%	23.2%	46.8%	+0.3	18
1945-12-30	Granada	W 1-0	1421	1568	48.0%	23.2%	28.8%	+2.2	17
1945-12-30	@ Xerez	L 0-1	1568	1421	28.8%	23.2%	48.0%	-2.2	18
1946-01-06	Gimnastic	L 0-2	1440	1427	66.0%	19.6%	14.4%	-8.1	25
1946-01-06	@ Racing Ferrol	W 2-0	1427	1440	14.4%	19.6%	66.0%	+8.1	22
1946-01-06	Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1459	1536	56.4%	22.5%	21.2%	-3.8	16
1946-01-06	@ Real Santander	W 1-0	1536	1459	21.2%	22.5%	56.4%	+3.8	21
1946-01-06	SD Ceuta	W 4-1	1401	1415	63.3%	20.6%	16.1%	+3.0	25
1946-01-06	@ RCD Cordoba	L 1-4	1415	1401	16.1%	20.6%	63.3%	-3.0	10
1946-01-06	Granada	D 1-1	1529	1566	60.8%	21.4%	17.8%	-0.7	25
1946-01-06	@ Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1566	1529	17.8%	21.4%	60.8%	+0.7	19
1946-01-06	Real Betis	W 4-1	1441	1460	62.7%	20.8%	16.5%	+3.0	14
1946-01-06	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-4	1460	1441	16.5%	20.8%	62.7%	-3.0	19
1946-01-06	Salamanca	W 5-1	1549	1379	80.6%	11.8%	7.6%	+1.6	30
1946-01-06	@ Sabadell	L 1-5	1379	1549	7.6%	11.8%	80.6%	-1.6	14
1946-01-06	Mallorca	D 1-1	1423	1448	62.1%	21.0%	16.9%	-0.7	18
1946-01-06	@ Xerez	D 1-1	1448	1423	16.9%	21.0%	62.1%	+0.7	21
1946-01-13	Sabadell	W 2-0	1540	1551	63.5%	20.5%	15.9%	+2.4	24
1946-01-13	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-2	1551	1540	15.9%	20.5%	63.5%	-2.4	30
1946-01-13	Real Santander	W 4-1	1435	1456	62.5%	20.9%	16.6%	+3.0	25
1946-01-13	@ Gimnastic	L 1-4	1456	1435	16.6%	20.9%	62.5%	-3.0	16
1946-01-13	RCD Cordoba	W 2-0	1567	1404	79.9%	12.2%	7.9%	+1.0	22
1946-01-13	@ Granada	L 0-2	1404	1567	7.9%	12.2%	79.9%	-1.0	25
1946-01-13	Real Sociedad	D 1-1	1449	1528	56.0%	22.5%	21.4%	-0.5	22
1946-01-13	@ Mallorca	D 1-1	1528	1449	21.4%	22.5%	56.0%	+0.5	26
1946-01-13	Racing Ferrol	W 4-0	1457	1432	67.3%	19.0%	13.7%	+3.8	22
1946-01-13	@ Real Betis	L 0-4	1432	1457	13.7%	19.0%	67.3%	-3.8	25
1946-01-13	Xerez	W 2-0	1377	1423	59.8%	21.7%	18.5%	+2.8	17
1946-01-13	@ Salamanca	L 0-2	1423	1377	18.5%	21.7%	59.8%	-2.8	18
1946-01-13	Real Zaragoza	W 3-0	1412	1445	61.2%	21.3%	17.5%	+3.8	13
1946-01-13	@ SD Ceuta	L 0-3	1445	1412	17.5%	21.3%	61.2%	-3.8	14
1946-01-20	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-0	1438	1542	53.2%	22.9%	23.9%	+3.5	28
1946-01-20	@ Gimnastic	L 0-2	1542	1438	23.9%	22.9%	53.2%	-3.5	24
1946-01-20	SD Ceuta	D 1-1	1428	1416	65.9%	19.6%	14.5%	-0.8	26
1946-01-20	@ Racing Ferrol	D 1-1	1416	1428	14.5%	19.6%	65.9%	+0.8	14
1946-01-20	Real Betis	W 4-0	1452	1461	63.8%	20.4%	15.8%	+4.5	19
1946-01-20	@ Real Santander	L 0-4	1461	1452	15.8%	20.4%	63.8%	-4.5	22
1946-01-20	Mallorca	W 1-0	1403	1448	59.9%	21.7%	18.4%	+1.5	28
1946-01-20	@ RCD Cordoba	L 0-1	1448	1403	18.4%	21.7%	59.9%	-1.5	22
1946-01-20	Salamanca	W 1-0	1529	1380	78.8%	12.9%	8.3%	+0.6	29
1946-01-20	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-1	1380	1529	8.3%	12.9%	78.8%	-0.6	17
1946-01-20	Granada	W 2-1	1441	1568	50.5%	23.1%	26.4%	+1.9	17
1946-01-20	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-2	1568	1441	26.4%	23.1%	50.5%	-1.9	22
1946-01-20	Sabadell	L 1-2	1420	1548	50.3%	23.2%	26.5%	-3.2	18
1946-01-20	@ Xerez	W 2-1	1548	1420	26.5%	23.2%	50.3%	+3.2	33
1946-01-27	Xerez	W 4-1	1539	1417	76.4%	14.3%	9.3%	+1.5	27
1946-01-27	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-4	1417	1539	9.3%	14.3%	76.4%	-1.6	18
1946-01-27	Racing Ferrol	W 6-3	1566	1427	77.9%	13.4%	8.6%	+1.2	25
1946-01-27	@ Granada	L 3-6	1427	1566	8.6%	13.4%	77.9%	-1.1	26
1946-01-27	Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1447	1443	65.1%	19.9%	15.0%	-0.8	23
1946-01-27	@ Mallorca	D 1-1	1443	1447	15.0%	19.9%	65.1%	+0.8	18
1946-01-27	Gimnastic	W 6-1	1457	1441	66.2%	19.5%	14.3%	+4.1	25
1946-01-27	@ Real Betis	L 1-6	1441	1457	14.3%	19.5%	66.2%	-4.1	28
1946-01-27	Real Sociedad	W 1-0	1552	1530	66.9%	19.2%	13.9%	+1.1	36
1946-01-27	@ Sabadell	L 0-1	1530	1552	13.9%	19.2%	66.9%	-1.1	29
1946-01-27	RCD Cordoba	D 0-0	1379	1405	62.0%	21.0%	17.0%	-0.8	18
1946-01-27	@ Salamanca	D 0-0	1405	1379	17.0%	21.0%	62.0%	+0.8	29
1946-01-27	Real Santander	L 1-3	1416	1457	60.4%	21.5%	18.1%	-6.5	14
1946-01-27	@ SD Ceuta	W 3-1	1457	1416	18.1%	21.5%	60.4%	+6.5	22
1946-02-03	SD Ceuta	W 4-1	1437	1410	67.4%	18.9%	13.6%	+2.5	31
1946-02-03	@ Gimnastic	L 1-4	1410	1437	13.6%	18.9%	67.4%	-2.4	14
1946-02-03	Mallorca	D 1-1	1426	1446	62.6%	20.9%	16.6%	-0.7	27
1946-02-03	@ Racing Ferrol	D 1-1	1446	1426	16.6%	20.9%	62.6%	+0.7	24
1946-02-03	Granada	W 3-2	1463	1567	53.3%	22.9%	23.8%	+1.7	25
1946-02-03	@ Real Santander	L 2-3	1567	1463	23.8%	22.9%	53.3%	-1.7	25
1946-02-03	Sabadell	D 0-0	1406	1553	48.0%	23.2%	28.8%	-0.3	30
1946-02-03	@ RCD Cordoba	D 0-0	1553	1406	28.8%	23.2%	48.0%	+0.3	37
1946-02-03	Deportivo La Coruna	W 1-0	1461	1540	56.0%	22.5%	21.4%	+1.7	28
1946-02-03	@ Real Betis	L 0-1	1540	1461	21.4%	22.5%	56.0%	-1.7	27
1946-02-03	Xerez	W 2-0	1529	1415	75.6%	14.7%	9.6%	+1.3	32
1946-02-03	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-2	1415	1529	9.6%	14.7%	75.6%	-1.3	18
1946-02-03	Salamanca	W 2-1	1443	1379	71.1%	17.2%	11.7%	+0.8	21
1946-02-03	@ Real Zaragoza	L 1-2	1379	1443	11.7%	17.2%	71.1%	-0.8	18
1946-02-10	Real Sociedad	W 1-0	1539	1530	65.6%	19.7%	14.7%	+1.2	30
1946-02-10	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1530	1539	14.7%	19.7%	65.6%	-1.2	32
1946-02-10	Gimnastic	W 2-1	1565	1440	76.8%	14.1%	9.1%	+0.6	28
1946-02-10	@ Granada	L 1-2	1440	1565	9.1%	14.1%	76.8%	-0.6	31
1946-02-10	Real Santander	W 4-2	1447	1465	62.7%	20.8%	16.5%	+1.9	27
1946-02-10	@ Mallorca	L 2-4	1465	1447	16.5%	20.8%	62.7%	-1.9	25
1946-02-10	Real Zaragoza	D 1-1	1553	1444	75.2%	15.0%	9.8%	-1.0	38
1946-02-10	@ Sabadell	D 1-1	1444	1553	9.8%	15.0%	75.2%	+1.0	22
1946-02-10	Racing Ferrol	W 6-1	1378	1425	59.6%	21.7%	18.6%	+5.4	21
1946-02-10	@ Salamanca	L 1-6	1425	1378	18.6%	21.7%	59.6%	-5.4	27
1946-02-10	Real Betis	W 2-1	1407	1462	58.8%	21.9%	19.2%	+1.4	17
1946-02-10	@ SD Ceuta	L 1-2	1462	1407	19.2%	21.9%	58.8%	-1.4	28
1946-02-10	RCD Cordoba	W 4-0	1414	1405	65.5%	19.8%	14.7%	+4.2	21
1946-02-10	@ Xerez	L 0-4	1405	1414	14.7%	19.8%	65.5%	-4.2	30
1946-02-17	Mallorca	D 1-1	1439	1449	63.7%	20.5%	15.8%	-0.8	32
1946-02-17	@ Gimnastic	D 1-1	1449	1439	15.8%	20.5%	63.7%	+0.8	28
1946-02-17	Sabadell	W 3-1	1420	1552	49.8%	23.2%	27.0%	+3.4	30
1946-02-17	@ Racing Ferrol	L 1-3	1552	1420	27.0%	23.2%	49.8%	-3.4	38
1946-02-17	Salamanca	W 4-2	1463	1383	72.6%	16.4%	11.0%	+1.2	28
1946-02-17	@ Real Santander	L 2-4	1383	1463	11.0%	16.4%	72.6%	-1.2	21
1946-02-17	Real Sociedad	W 3-0	1401	1529	50.4%	23.1%	26.4%	+5.6	33
1946-02-17	@ RCD Cordoba	L 0-3	1529	1401	26.4%	23.1%	50.4%	-5.5	32
1946-02-17	Granada	L 1-2	1461	1566	53.1%	22.9%	23.9%	-3.4	28
1946-02-17	@ Real Betis	W 2-1	1566	1461	23.9%	22.9%	53.1%	+3.4	31
1946-02-17	Xerez	W 3-2	1445	1418	67.4%	19.0%	13.6%	+1.0	25
1946-02-17	@ Real Zaragoza	L 2-3	1418	1445	13.6%	19.0%	67.4%	-1.0	21
1946-02-17	Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-2	1409	1540	50.0%	23.2%	26.9%	-3.2	17
1946-02-17	@ SD Ceuta	W 2-1	1540	1409	26.9%	23.2%	50.0%	+3.2	33
1946-02-24	RCD Cordoba	W 1-0	1543	1407	77.7%	13.6%	8.7%	+0.6	36
1946-02-24	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1407	1543	8.7%	13.6%	77.7%	-0.6	33
1946-02-24	SD Ceuta	W 2-0	1569	1406	80.0%	12.2%	7.8%	+1.0	34
1946-02-24	@ Granada	L 0-2	1406	1569	7.8%	12.2%	80.0%	-1.0	17
1946-02-24	Real Betis	D 2-2	1449	1458	63.8%	20.4%	15.8%	-0.6	29
1946-02-24	@ Mallorca	D 2-2	1458	1449	15.8%	20.4%	63.8%	+0.6	29
1946-02-24	Real Zaragoza	L 1-2	1523	1446	72.3%	16.6%	11.1%	-4.3	32
1946-02-24	@ Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1446	1523	11.1%	16.6%	72.3%	+4.3	28
1946-02-24	Real Santander	W 5-0	1549	1464	73.0%	16.2%	10.8%	+3.6	41
1946-02-24	@ Sabadell	L 0-5	1464	1549	10.8%	16.2%	73.0%	-3.6	28
1946-02-24	Gimnastic	L 1-3	1382	1438	58.7%	22.0%	19.4%	-6.4	21
1946-02-24	@ Salamanca	W 3-1	1438	1382	19.4%	22.0%	58.7%	+6.4	35
1946-02-24	Racing Ferrol	W 1-0	1417	1423	64.0%	20.3%	15.6%	+1.2	24
1946-02-24	@ Xerez	L 0-1	1423	1417	15.6%	20.3%	64.0%	-1.2	30
1946-03-03	Sabadell	L 0-1	1445	1552	52.8%	23.0%	24.2%	-3.6	35
1946-03-03	@ Gimnastic	W 1-0	1552	1445	24.2%	23.0%	52.8%	+3.6	44
1946-03-03	Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-2	1570	1544	67.3%	19.0%	13.7%	-4.1	34
1946-03-03	@ Granada	W 2-1	1544	1570	13.7%	19.0%	67.3%	+4.1	39
1946-03-03	Real Sociedad	D 2-2	1422	1519	54.0%	22.8%	23.1%	-0.3	31
1946-03-03	@ Racing Ferrol	D 2-2	1519	1422	23.1%	22.8%	54.0%	+0.4	33
1946-03-03	Xerez	W 2-1	1461	1418	69.0%	18.3%	12.8%	+0.9	31
1946-03-03	@ Real Santander	L 1-2	1418	1461	12.8%	18.3%	69.0%	-0.9	24
1946-03-03	Salamanca	W 3-0	1458	1376	72.8%	16.3%	10.9%	+2.2	32
1946-03-03	@ Real Betis	L 0-3	1376	1458	10.9%	16.3%	72.8%	-2.2	21
1946-03-03	RCD Cordoba	W 1-0	1451	1406	69.1%	18.2%	12.7%	+1.0	31
1946-03-03	@ Real Zaragoza	L 0-1	1406	1451	12.7%	18.2%	69.1%	-1.0	33
1946-03-03	Mallorca	W 4-0	1405	1449	60.0%	21.6%	18.4%	+5.2	20
1946-03-03	@ SD Ceuta	L 0-4	1449	1405	18.4%	21.6%	60.0%	-5.2	29
1946-03-10	Real Zaragoza	W 5-2	1548	1452	74.1%	15.6%	10.3%	+1.5	42
1946-03-10	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 2-5	1452	1548	10.3%	15.6%	74.1%	-1.5	31
1946-03-10	Granada	W 3-2	1444	1566	51.0%	23.1%	25.9%	+1.8	32
1946-03-10	@ Mallorca	L 2-3	1566	1444	25.9%	23.1%	51.0%	-1.8	34
1946-03-10	Racing Ferrol	W 3-0	1405	1421	63.0%	20.7%	16.3%	+3.5	36
1946-03-10	@ RCD Cordoba	L 0-3	1421	1405	16.3%	20.7%	63.0%	-3.6	31
1946-03-10	Real Santander	L 0-1	1519	1462	70.4%	17.6%	12.0%	-4.5	33
1946-03-10	@ Real Sociedad	W 1-0	1462	1519	12.0%	17.6%	70.4%	+4.5	34
1946-03-10	Real Betis	D 0-0	1556	1460	74.0%	15.7%	10.3%	-1.1	45
1946-03-10	@ Sabadell	D 0-0	1460	1556	10.3%	15.7%	74.0%	+1.1	33
1946-03-10	SD Ceuta	W 4-1	1373	1410	60.8%	21.4%	17.8%	+3.3	24
1946-03-10	@ Salamanca	L 1-4	1410	1373	17.8%	21.4%	60.8%	-3.3	20
1946-03-10	Gimnastic	W 4-1	1417	1441	62.2%	21.0%	16.8%	+3.1	27
1946-03-10	@ Xerez	L 1-4	1441	1417	16.8%	21.0%	62.2%	-3.1	35
1946-03-17	Real Sociedad	L 2-4	1438	1515	56.4%	22.5%	21.1%	-5.5	35
1946-03-17	@ Gimnastic	W 4-2	1515	1438	21.1%	22.5%	56.4%	+5.5	36
1946-03-17	Salamanca	W 4-1	1564	1377	82.0%	10.9%	7.1%	+1.1	37
1946-03-17	@ Granada	L 1-4	1377	1564	7.1%	10.9%	82.0%	-1.1	24
1946-03-17	Deportivo La Coruna	D 0-0	1445	1549	53.2%	22.9%	23.8%	-0.5	33
1946-03-17	@ Mallorca	D 0-0	1549	1445	23.8%	22.9%	53.2%	+0.5	43
1946-03-17	Real Zaragoza	W 1-0	1418	1450	61.3%	21.3%	17.4%	+1.4	34
1946-03-17	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-1	1450	1418	17.4%	21.3%	61.3%	-1.4	31
1946-03-17	RCD Cordoba	L 1-2	1466	1409	70.4%	17.5%	12.0%	-4.2	34
1946-03-17	@ Real Santander	W 2-1	1409	1466	12.0%	17.5%	70.4%	+4.3	39
1946-03-17	Xerez	D 2-2	1461	1420	68.8%	18.3%	12.9%	-0.7	34
1946-03-17	@ Real Betis	D 2-2	1420	1461	12.9%	18.3%	68.8%	+0.7	28
1946-03-17	Sabadell	W 5-2	1407	1555	47.9%	23.2%	28.9%	+4.4	23
1946-03-17	@ SD Ceuta	L 2-5	1555	1407	28.9%	23.2%	47.9%	-4.4	45
1946-03-24	Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1419	1550	50.0%	23.2%	26.8%	-3.4	34
1946-03-24	@ Racing Ferrol	W 1-0	1550	1419	26.8%	23.2%	50.0%	+3.4	46
1946-03-24	Gimnastic	L 0-1	1413	1433	62.6%	20.8%	16.6%	-4.1	39
1946-03-24	@ RCD Cordoba	W 1-0	1433	1413	16.6%	20.8%	62.6%	+4.1	38
1946-03-24	Real Betis	W 3-1	1520	1461	70.6%	17.5%	11.9%	+1.5	39
1946-03-24	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1461	1520	11.9%	17.5%	70.6%	-1.5	34
1946-03-24	Real Santander	W 2-0	1449	1462	63.3%	20.6%	16.1%	+2.4	34
1946-03-24	@ Real Zaragoza	L 0-2	1462	1449	16.1%	20.6%	63.3%	-2.4	34
1946-03-24	Granada	D 0-0	1550	1565	63.1%	20.7%	16.2%	-0.8	46
1946-03-24	@ Sabadell	D 0-0	1565	1550	16.2%	20.7%	63.1%	+0.8	38
1946-03-24	Mallorca	W 3-1	1375	1445	57.2%	22.3%	20.5%	+2.6	27
1946-03-24	@ Salamanca	L 1-3	1445	1375	20.5%	22.3%	57.2%	-2.6	33
1946-03-24	SD Ceuta	W 3-0	1421	1411	65.7%	19.7%	14.6%	+3.2	31
1946-03-24	@ Xerez	L 0-3	1411	1421	14.6%	19.7%	65.7%	-3.2	23
1946-03-31	Salamanca	D 3-3	1553	1378	81.0%	11.6%	7.4%	-0.7	47
1946-03-31	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 3-3	1378	1553	7.4%	11.6%	81.0%	+0.7	28
1946-03-31	Real Zaragoza	W 6-0	1437	1451	63.2%	20.6%	16.2%	+6.7	41
1946-03-31	@ Gimnastic	L 0-6	1451	1437	16.2%	20.6%	63.2%	-6.7	34
1946-03-31	Xerez	W 4-1	1566	1424	78.2%	13.3%	8.5%	+1.4	41
1946-03-31	@ Granada	L 1-4	1424	1566	8.5%	13.3%	78.2%	-1.4	31
1946-03-31	Sabadell	L 0-2	1442	1549	52.8%	23.0%	24.2%	-6.7	33
1946-03-31	@ Mallorca	W 2-0	1549	1442	24.2%	23.0%	52.8%	+6.7	49
1946-03-31	Racing Ferrol	D 2-2	1460	1416	69.1%	18.2%	12.7%	-0.7	35
1946-03-31	@ Real Santander	D 2-2	1416	1460	12.7%	18.2%	69.1%	+0.7	35
1946-03-31	RCD Cordoba	L 2-3	1459	1409	69.7%	17.9%	12.4%	-4.0	34
1946-03-31	@ Real Betis	W 3-2	1409	1459	12.4%	17.9%	69.7%	+4.0	42
1946-03-31	Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1408	1522	52.1%	23.0%	24.9%	+1.8	26
1946-03-31	@ SD Ceuta	L 1-2	1522	1408	24.9%	23.0%	52.1%	-1.8	39

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1945-10-07	8.93%	Gimnastic	1416	3	@ Deportivo La Coruna	1548	1
2	1945-12-02	8.96%	Mallorca	1440	2	@ Granada	1570	1
3	1945-11-04	9.69%	Racing Ferrol	1436	3	@ Sabadell	1548	2
4	1945-11-04	9.77%	Real Betis	1462	1	@ Granada	1571	0
5	1946-02-24	11.13%	Real Zaragoza	1446	2	@ Real Sociedad	1523	1
6	1946-03-17	12.03%	RCD Cordoba	1409	2	@ Real Santander	1466	1
7	1946-03-10	12.04%	Real Santander	1462	1	@ Real Sociedad	1519	0
8	1946-03-31	12.38%	RCD Cordoba	1409	3	@ Real Betis	1459	2
9	1945-09-23	12.71%	RCD Cordoba	1390	2	@ SD Ceuta	1434	1
10	1945-11-25	13.34%	SD Ceuta	1412	2	@ Mallorca	1444	1
11	1945-11-18	13.65%	Mallorca	1440	3	@ Real Betis	1467	2
12	1946-03-03	13.66%	Deportivo La Coruna	1544	2	@ Granada	1570	1
13	1946-01-06	14.44%	Gimnastic	1427	2	@ Racing Ferrol	1440	0
14	1945-10-21	14.46%	Racing Ferrol	1431	1	@ Mallorca	1443	0
15	1945-10-07	15.13%	Racing Ferrol	1424	2	@ SD Ceuta	1426	1
16	1946-03-24	16.55%	Gimnastic	1433	1	@ RCD Cordoba	1413	0
17	1945-10-14	17.34%	Sabadell	1535	2	@ Real Sociedad	1505	0
18	1946-01-27	18.08%	Real Santander	1457	3	@ SD Ceuta	1416	1
19	1945-10-21	18.75%	Real Sociedad	1497	7	@ Xerez	1448	0
20	1946-02-24	19.37%	Gimnastic	1438	3	@ Salamanca	1382	1
21	1945-11-25	20.95%	Real Betis	1463	1	@ Salamanca	1388	0
22	1945-11-18	20.99%	Real Sociedad	1524	2	@ Real Zaragoza	1449	1
23	1946-03-17	21.14%	Real Sociedad	1515	4	@ Gimnastic	1438	2
24	1946-01-06	21.18%	Deportivo La Coruna	1536	1	@ Real Santander	1459	0
25	1945-12-02	21.27%	Sabadell	1545	1	@ Real Betis	1467	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1945-10-21	23.93	Real Sociedad	7	1497	18.75%	@ Xerez	0	1448	59.47%
2	1946-01-06	8.11	Gimnastic	2	1427	14.44%	@ Racing Ferrol	0	1440	65.99%
3	1945-10-07	7.83	Gimnastic	3	1416	8.93%	@ Deportivo La Coruna	1	1548	77.25%
4	1945-10-14	7.65	Sabadell	2	1535	17.34%	@ Real Sociedad	0	1505	61.44%
5	1946-03-31	6.74	@ Gimnastic	6	1437	63.17%	Real Zaragoza	0	1451	16.18%
6	1946-03-31	6.71	Sabadell	2	1549	24.19%	@ Mallorca	0	1442	52.85%
7	1946-01-27	6.53	Real Santander	3	1457	18.08%	@ SD Ceuta	1	1416	60.39%
8	1946-02-24	6.37	Gimnastic	3	1438	19.37%	@ Salamanca	1	1382	58.65%
9	1945-12-02	5.95	@ Real Santander	4	1455	56.51%	Real Sociedad	0	1531	21.05%
10	1945-09-30	5.57	@ Real Santander	6	1450	67.47%	Gimnastic	0	1422	13.59%
11	1946-02-17	5.55	@ RCD Cordoba	3	1401	50.41%	Real Sociedad	0	1529	26.44%
12	1946-03-17	5.51	Real Sociedad	4	1515	21.14%	@ Gimnastic	2	1438	56.40%
13	1945-12-02	5.41	@ Racing Ferrol	6	1439	68.09%	RCD Cordoba	0	1405	13.25%
14	1946-02-10	5.41	@ Salamanca	6	1378	59.64%	Racing Ferrol	1	1425	18.62%
15	1946-03-03	5.23	@ SD Ceuta	4	1405	60.00%	Mallorca	0	1449	18.36%
16	1945-11-04	4.73	Real Betis	1	1462	9.77%	@ Granada	0	1571	75.28%
17	1945-09-30	4.60	@ RCD Cordoba	2	1394	43.58%	Granada	0	1576	33.43%
18	1945-12-02	4.52	Mallorca	2	1440	8.96%	@ Granada	1	1570	77.17%
19	1946-03-10	4.51	Real Santander	1	1462	12.04%	@ Real Sociedad	0	1519	70.39%
20	1946-01-20	4.49	@ Real Santander	4	1452	63.77%	Real Betis	0	1461	15.79%
21	1945-12-09	4.40	@ Real Zaragoza	4	1440	64.20%	Racing Ferrol	0	1444	15.52%
22	1946-03-17	4.36	@ SD Ceuta	5	1407	47.89%	Sabadell	2	1555	28.91%
23	1946-02-24	4.33	Real Zaragoza	2	1446	11.13%	@ Real Sociedad	1	1523	72.27%
24	1945-10-21	4.30	Racing Ferrol	1	1431	14.46%	@ Mallorca	0	1443	65.95%
25	1945-09-23	4.26	@ Real Betis	4	1460	64.96%	Real Zaragoza	0	1457	15.05%