1947-48 Segunda División Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Real Valladolid

5.96 points above expected

36 points · 30.04 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Badalona

4.12 points below expected

24 points · 28.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Real Valladolid	26	15	6	5	36	60	43	+17	30.0	+5.96
2	Deportivo La Coruna	26	15	3	8	33	67	29	+38	27.4	+5.59
3	Racing Ferrol	26	13	2	11	28	66	44	+22	24.6	+3.35
4	CD Malaga	26	13	2	11	28	65	52	+13	25.2	+2.84
5	Levante	26	11	5	10	27	64	53	+11	24.8	+2.19
6	Hercules	26	12	2	12	26	68	63	+5	26.4	-0.40
7	Mestalla	26	10	4	12	24	59	65	-6	27.1	-3.14
8	Granada	26	10	4	12	24	48	58	-10	24.9	-0.95
9	Badalona	26	10	4	12	24	63	76	-13	28.1	-4.12
10	Barakaldo	26	12	0	14	24	52	67	-15	23.6	+0.37
11	Castellon	26	10	3	13	23	48	60	-12	26.6	-3.59
12	Real Murcia	26	9	5	12	23	43	59	-16	27.1	-4.12
13	RCD Cordoba	26	9	4	13	22	42	55	-13	24.1	-2.05
14	Mallorca	26	9	4	13	22	44	65	-21	23.9	-1.93

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Real Valladolid	1366	36	30.04	+5.96	96.0%	22	24	28	30	32	35	39
Deportivo La Coruna	1326	33	27.41	+5.59	96.0%	17	22	25	27	30	33	35
Badalona	1302	24	28.12	-4.12	16.0%	20	21	26	28	31	35	37
Mestalla	1281	24	27.14	-3.14	27.0%	15	21	24	27	30	33	37
Castellon	1277	23	26.59	-3.59	20.0%	19	20	24	26	29	34	36
Real Murcia	1258	23	27.12	-4.12	10.0%	17	20	25	27	30	31	35
Hercules	1257	26	26.40	-0.40	51.0%	18	19	24	26	29	33	34
Racing Ferrol	1252	28	24.65	+3.35	90.0%	14	19	23	25	27	30	33
CD Malaga	1246	28	25.16	+2.84	82.0%	16	20	23	25	28	32	33
Levante	1240	27	24.81	+2.19	76.0%	12	19	22	25	27	32	35
Granada	1228	24	24.95	-0.95	44.0%	16	18	22	25	28	31	34
Barakaldo	1208	24	23.63	+0.37	62.0%	12	18	21	23	27	30	32
Mallorca	1204	22	23.93	-1.93	34.0%	11	18	21	24	26	30	33
RCD Cordoba	1204	22	24.05	-2.05	33.0%	16	19	22	24	26	30	33

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BAD	BAR	CM	CAS	DLC	GRA	HER	LEV	MAL	MES	RC	RF	RM	RV
Badalona	—	1-0-1 3.33	1-0-1 3.25	1-0-1 3.03	1-0-1 2.91	0-1-1 3.22	0-0-2 3.10	0-2-0 3.21	1-0-1 3.33	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 3.36	1-0-1 3.28	2-0-0 2.99	0-1-1 2.70
Barakaldo	1-0-1 2.41	—	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.53	1-0-1 2.43	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.47	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.53	0-0-2 2.29
CD Malaga	1-0-1 2.49	1-0-1 3.06	—	2-0-0 2.67	1-0-1 2.59	1-1-0 2.90	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 3.01	1-0-1 2.60	1-0-1 3.02	0-1-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.37
Castellon	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 3.21	0-0-2 3.07	—	0-0-2 2.77	1-1-0 3.07	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 3.16	1-1-0 2.80	1-0-1 3.16	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 2.93	0-1-1 2.53
Deportivo La Coruna	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 3.30	1-0-1 3.15	2-0-0 2.97	—	2-0-0 3.14	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 3.20	2-0-0 3.16	1-0-1 2.93	1-1-0 3.22	1-0-1 3.19	1-1-0 3.02	0-1-1 2.67
Granada	1-1-0 2.52	1-0-1 3.00	0-1-1 2.83	0-1-1 2.67	0-0-2 2.60	—	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.96	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.39
Hercules	2-0-0 2.64	1-0-1 3.19	1-0-1 3.01	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 3.05	—	0-1-1 3.06	1-0-1 3.16	1-0-1 2.74	0-0-2 3.15	1-0-1 2.97	1-0-1 2.82	1-1-0 2.51
Levante	0-2-0 2.53	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 2.81	1-0-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.54	1-0-1 2.86	1-1-0 2.67	—	1-1-0 2.93	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.93	0-1-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.30
Mallorca	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.57	0-0-2 2.58	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.58	0-1-1 2.80	—	0-2-0 2.54	1-0-1 2.85	1-1-0 2.85	1-0-1 2.62	0-0-2 2.25
Mestalla	1-0-1 2.81	1-0-1 3.27	1-0-1 3.14	0-1-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.81	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 3.09	0-2-0 3.20	—	1-0-1 3.23	1-0-1 3.22	0-1-1 2.94	1-0-1 2.54
RCD Cordoba	1-0-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.58	0-1-1 2.52	0-1-1 2.78	2-0-0 2.59	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.89	1-0-1 2.51	—	0-0-2 2.76	0-1-1 2.58	0-1-1 2.25
Racing Ferrol	1-0-1 2.46	1-0-1 3.01	1-1-0 2.79	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.80	0-1-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.52	2-0-0 2.97	—	2-0-0 2.64	0-0-2 2.30
Real Murcia	0-0-2 2.75	1-0-1 3.21	1-0-1 3.09	1-0-1 2.81	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 3.01	1-0-1 2.91	1-1-0 3.12	1-0-1 3.11	1-1-0 2.80	1-1-0 3.15	0-0-2 3.11	—	0-1-1 2.51
Real Valladolid	1-1-0 3.03	2-0-0 3.46	1-0-1 3.37	1-1-0 3.21	1-1-0 3.07	1-0-1 3.36	0-1-1 3.23	1-0-1 3.44	2-0-0 3.49	1-0-1 3.19	1-1-0 3.50	2-0-0 3.44	1-1-0 3.23	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.20%	1.92%	6.32%	3.85%	1.92%	3.57%	19.78%
1	1.92%	4.40%	4.40%	4.12%	3.02%	2.75%	20.60%
2	6.32%	4.40%	4.40%	4.40%	1.37%	3.02%	23.90%
3	3.85%	4.12%	4.40%	2.20%	0.27%	2.20%	17.03%
4	1.92%	3.02%	1.37%	0.27%	—	—	6.59%
5+	3.57%	2.75%	3.02%	2.20%	—	0.55%	12.09%
Total	19.78%	20.60%	23.90%	17.03%	6.59%	12.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.17
Mean allowed	2.17
StdDev scored	1.84
StdDev allowed	1.84
Mean total goals/game	4.34
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.096
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	3.85%	—	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	19.23%
2	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	11.54%	30.77%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
Total	11.54%	11.54%	23.08%	30.77%	—	23.08%	100%

Badalona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.42
Mean allowed	2.92
StdDev scored	1.81
StdDev allowed	2.12
Mean total goals/game	5.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.168
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
1	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	11.54%	26.92%
2	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%
3	3.85%	—	11.54%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	15.38%	15.38%	26.92%	11.54%	11.54%	19.23%	100%

Barakaldo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.00
Mean allowed	2.58
StdDev scored	1.74
StdDev allowed	1.94
Mean total goals/game	4.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.531
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
2	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	30.77%
3	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
Total	11.54%	23.08%	30.77%	26.92%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

CD Malaga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.50
Mean allowed	2.00
StdDev scored	2.27
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.215
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	23.08%
1	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	19.23%
2	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	7.69%	34.62%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	19.23%	19.23%	23.08%	11.54%	11.54%	15.38%	100%

Castellon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.85
Mean allowed	2.31
StdDev scored	1.54
StdDev allowed	1.89
Mean total goals/game	4.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.436
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
1	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
2	11.54%	—	—	—	—	—	11.54%
3	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	—	15.38%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	15.38%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	23.08%
Total	42.31%	30.77%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Deportivo La Coruna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.58
Mean allowed	1.12
StdDev scored	2.39
StdDev allowed	1.45
Mean total goals/game	3.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.413
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%
1	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	26.92%
2	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	7.69%	30.77%
3	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	15.38%	26.92%	26.92%	3.85%	11.54%	100%

Granada — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.85
Mean allowed	2.23
StdDev scored	1.32
StdDev allowed	1.50
Mean total goals/game	4.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.224
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
1	—	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	19.23%
2	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	7.69%	23.08%
3	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	3.85%	—	19.23%	—	—	—	23.08%
Total	15.38%	7.69%	50.00%	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Hercules — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.62
Mean allowed	2.42
StdDev scored	1.83
StdDev allowed	2.06
Mean total goals/game	5.04
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.251
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%
1	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
2	3.85%	—	7.69%	7.69%	7.69%	—	26.92%
3	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
Total	23.08%	11.54%	23.08%	26.92%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Levante — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.46
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	1.96
StdDev allowed	1.48
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.350
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	19.23%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	30.77%
2	3.85%	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	26.92%
3	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
Total	11.54%	26.92%	15.38%	23.08%	3.85%	19.23%	100%

Mallorca — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.69
Mean allowed	2.50
StdDev scored	1.38
StdDev allowed	1.94
Mean total goals/game	4.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.298
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	7.69%	26.92%
1	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
2	15.38%	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
3	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	—	—	11.54%	—	3.85%	19.23%
Total	19.23%	15.38%	15.38%	26.92%	7.69%	15.38%	100%

Mestalla — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.27
Mean allowed	2.50
StdDev scored	2.32
StdDev allowed	1.98
Mean total goals/game	4.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.056
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	11.54%	7.69%	—	3.85%	26.92%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	—	3.85%	23.08%
2	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	26.92%
3	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	15.38%	23.08%	26.92%	19.23%	3.85%	11.54%	100%

RCD Cordoba — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.62
Mean allowed	2.12
StdDev scored	1.44
StdDev allowed	1.61
Mean total goals/game	3.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.359
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	15.38%	—	3.85%	—	19.23%
1	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
2	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	15.38%	—	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
4	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	11.54%	—	—	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
Total	26.92%	30.77%	19.23%	3.85%	11.54%	7.69%	100%

Racing Ferrol — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.54
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	2.14
StdDev allowed	1.69
Mean total goals/game	4.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.295
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	23.08%
1	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
2	7.69%	11.54%	—	7.69%	—	—	26.92%
3	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%
4	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.08%	30.77%	7.69%	11.54%	11.54%	15.38%	100%

Real Murcia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.65
Mean allowed	2.27
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	2.34
Mean total goals/game	3.92
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.251
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
1	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
2	3.85%	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
3	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	23.08%
4	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
Total	26.92%	26.92%	30.77%	7.69%	—	7.69%	100%

Real Valladolid — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.31
Mean allowed	1.65
StdDev scored	1.76
StdDev allowed	1.85
Mean total goals/game	3.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.156
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Real Valladolid	36	30.0	+5.96
2	Deportivo La Coruna	33	27.4	+5.59
3	Racing Ferrol	28	24.6	+3.35
4	CD Malaga	28	25.2	+2.84
5	Levante	27	24.8	+2.19

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Badalona	24	28.1	-4.12
2	Real Murcia	23	27.1	-4.12
3	Castellon	23	26.6	-3.59
4	Mestalla	24	27.1	-3.14
5	RCD Cordoba	22	24.1	-2.05

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	CD Malaga	3	Oct 26 – Nov 9	1 in 25
2	Racing Ferrol	3	Nov 9 – Nov 23	1 in 23
3	Hercules	3	Sep 21 – Oct 5	1 in 20
4	RCD Cordoba	2	Apr 4 – Apr 11	1 in 17
5	Castellon	3	Feb 15 – Feb 29	1 in 16

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Badalona	3	Sep 21 – Oct 5	1 in 27
2	Hercules	3	Mar 28 – Apr 11	1 in 24
3	Mestalla	4	Feb 8 – Feb 29	1 in 23
4	Castellon	3	Oct 26 – Nov 9	1 in 21
5	Granada	4	Dec 21 – Jan 18	1 in 11

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Valladolid	9	Nov 16 – Jan 18	1 in 131
2	Levante	5	Feb 29 – Apr 11	1 in 31
3	Granada	5	Feb 15 – Mar 28	1 in 25
4	Real Murcia	4	Sep 21 – Oct 12	1 in 12
5	RCD Cordoba	3	Oct 26 – Nov 9	1 in 8

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hercules	5	Feb 29 – Apr 11	1 in 35
2	Badalona	5	Nov 16 – Dec 14	1 in 32
3	Castellon	5	Oct 26 – Nov 23	1 in 26
4	Real Murcia	4	Oct 26 – Nov 16	1 in 25
5	RCD Cordoba	5	Sep 28 – Nov 2	1 in 12

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Real Valladolid	29.00%	19.00%	13.00%	11.00%	8.00%	1.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	2.00%	—
Deportivo La Coruna	12.00%	8.00%	20.00%	7.00%	10.00%	8.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%	4.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Racing Ferrol	1.00%	5.00%	1.00%	7.00%	5.00%	6.00%	13.00%	12.00%	6.00%	15.00%	8.00%	7.00%	8.00%	6.00%
CD Malaga	2.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	7.00%	4.00%	8.00%	10.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	13.00%	3.00%	8.00%
Levante	6.00%	7.00%	2.00%	5.00%	8.00%	5.00%	8.00%	6.00%	5.00%	4.00%	16.00%	6.00%	12.00%	10.00%
Hercules	5.00%	10.00%	14.00%	4.00%	9.00%	8.00%	3.00%	9.00%	10.00%	8.00%	3.00%	4.00%	9.00%	4.00%
Mestalla	10.00%	6.00%	10.00%	15.00%	7.00%	4.00%	8.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	3.00%	8.00%	6.00%	1.00%
Granada	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	11.00%	5.00%	8.00%	10.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	11.00%
Badalona	13.00%	11.00%	8.00%	11.00%	12.00%	14.00%	2.00%	5.00%	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	3.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Barakaldo	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	5.00%	1.00%	9.00%	5.00%	9.00%	4.00%	9.00%	10.00%	11.00%	10.00%	21.00%
Castellon	9.00%	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%	6.00%	11.00%	7.00%	4.00%	9.00%	10.00%	1.00%
Real Murcia	7.00%	8.00%	6.00%	12.00%	7.00%	12.00%	9.00%	11.00%	6.00%	8.00%	5.00%	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%
RCD Cordoba	—	4.00%	5.00%	1.00%	6.00%	7.00%	8.00%	5.00%	7.00%	8.00%	12.00%	12.00%	12.00%	13.00%
Mallorca	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	8.00%	7.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%	14.00%	12.00%	18.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Direct relegation
Real Valladolid	49.0%	49.0%	2.0%
Badalona	26.0%	69.0%	5.0%
Deportivo La Coruna	25.0%	71.0%	4.0%
Real Murcia	16.0%	77.0%	7.0%
Hercules	19.0%	68.0%	13.0%
Castellon	16.0%	73.0%	11.0%
CD Malaga	8.0%	81.0%	11.0%
Mestalla	—	93.0%	7.0%
Levante	14.0%	64.0%	22.0%
Racing Ferrol	6.0%	80.0%	14.0%
Granada	8.0%	74.0%	18.0%
RCD Cordoba	5.0%	70.0%	25.0%
Mallorca	4.0%	66.0%	30.0%
Barakaldo	4.0%	65.0%	31.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1947-09-21	Mestalla	W 3-2	1212	1308	66.2%	14.0%	19.8%	+1.6	3
1947-09-21	@ Barakaldo	L 2-3	1308	1212	19.8%	14.0%	66.2%	-1.6	0
1947-09-21	Castellon	D 2-2	1244	1298	70.0%	13.7%	16.3%	-0.8	1
1947-09-21	@ Granada	D 2-2	1298	1244	16.3%	13.7%	70.0%	+0.8	1
1947-09-21	CD Malaga	W 3-0	1257	1215	77.0%	12.8%	10.2%	+2.5	3
1947-09-21	@ Hercules	L 0-3	1215	1257	10.2%	12.8%	77.0%	-2.5	0
1947-09-21	Real Murcia	D 3-3	1221	1294	68.3%	13.9%	17.8%	-0.6	1
1947-09-21	@ Levante	D 3-3	1294	1221	17.8%	13.9%	68.3%	+0.6	1
1947-09-21	Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-3	1224	1286	69.3%	13.8%	16.9%	-9.0	0
1947-09-21	@ Mallorca	W 3-1	1286	1224	16.9%	13.8%	69.3%	+8.9	3
1947-09-21	Real Valladolid	L 1-2	1203	1342	61.8%	14.2%	24.0%	-4.6	0
1947-09-21	@ Racing Ferrol	W 2-1	1342	1203	24.0%	14.2%	61.8%	+4.6	3
1947-09-21	Badalona	W 5-0	1210	1336	63.2%	14.1%	22.6%	+8.7	3
1947-09-21	@ RCD Cordoba	L 0-5	1336	1210	22.6%	14.1%	63.2%	-8.7	0
1947-09-28	Hercules	L 1-3	1327	1259	78.6%	12.5%	9.0%	-10.1	0
1947-09-28	@ Badalona	W 3-1	1259	1327	9.0%	12.5%	78.6%	+10.1	6
1947-09-28	Levante	W 4-2	1299	1220	79.2%	12.3%	8.5%	+1.1	4
1947-09-28	@ Castellon	L 2-4	1220	1299	8.5%	12.3%	79.2%	-1.1	1
1947-09-28	Racing Ferrol	D 1-1	1212	1198	75.2%	13.1%	11.7%	-1.3	1
1947-09-28	@ CD Malaga	D 1-1	1198	1212	11.7%	13.1%	75.2%	+1.3	1
1947-09-28	Granada	W 3-0	1295	1243	77.6%	12.7%	9.7%	+2.4	6
1947-09-28	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-3	1243	1295	9.7%	12.7%	77.6%	-2.4	1
1947-09-28	Barakaldo	W 4-1	1294	1213	79.3%	12.3%	8.4%	+1.7	4
1947-09-28	@ Real Murcia	L 1-4	1213	1294	8.4%	12.3%	79.3%	-1.7	3
1947-09-28	Mallorca	W 3-2	1346	1215	81.9%	11.6%	6.5%	+0.5	6
1947-09-28	@ Real Valladolid	L 2-3	1215	1346	6.5%	11.6%	81.9%	-0.5	0
1947-09-28	RCD Cordoba	W 2-0	1306	1219	79.6%	12.2%	8.2%	+1.4	3
1947-09-28	@ Mestalla	L 0-2	1219	1306	8.2%	12.2%	79.6%	-1.4	3
1947-10-05	Castellon	W 5-2	1211	1300	66.9%	14.0%	19.1%	+3.4	6
1947-10-05	@ Barakaldo	L 2-5	1300	1211	19.1%	14.0%	66.9%	-3.4	4
1947-10-05	Badalona	W 8-3	1211	1317	65.2%	14.1%	20.8%	+5.0	4
1947-10-05	@ CD Malaga	L 3-8	1317	1211	20.8%	14.1%	65.2%	-5.0	0
1947-10-05	Real Valladolid	W 1-0	1241	1347	65.2%	14.1%	20.7%	+1.8	4
1947-10-05	@ Granada	L 0-1	1347	1241	20.7%	14.1%	65.2%	-1.8	6
1947-10-05	Mestalla	W 4-0	1269	1308	71.3%	13.6%	15.1%	+4.8	9
1947-10-05	@ Hercules	L 0-4	1308	1269	15.1%	13.6%	71.3%	-4.8	3
1947-10-05	Deportivo La Coruna	W 3-0	1219	1297	67.9%	13.9%	18.2%	+4.4	4
1947-10-05	@ Levante	L 0-3	1297	1219	18.2%	13.9%	67.9%	-4.4	6
1947-10-05	Mallorca	D 1-1	1199	1215	73.1%	13.4%	13.5%	-1.2	2
1947-10-05	@ Racing Ferrol	D 1-1	1215	1199	13.5%	13.4%	73.1%	+1.2	1
1947-10-05	Real Murcia	D 0-0	1218	1296	67.8%	13.9%	18.2%	-1.1	4
1947-10-05	@ RCD Cordoba	D 0-0	1296	1218	18.2%	13.9%	67.8%	+1.1	5
1947-10-12	Racing Ferrol	W 4-0	1312	1198	81.0%	11.8%	7.1%	+2.3	3
1947-10-12	@ Badalona	L 0-4	1198	1312	7.1%	11.8%	81.0%	-2.3	2
1947-10-12	RCD Cordoba	W 2-1	1297	1217	79.2%	12.3%	8.5%	+0.7	7
1947-10-12	@ Castellon	L 1-2	1217	1297	8.5%	12.3%	79.2%	-0.7	4
1947-10-12	Barakaldo	W 7-1	1293	1215	79.1%	12.3%	8.5%	+3.3	9
1947-10-12	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-7	1215	1293	8.5%	12.3%	79.1%	-3.3	6
1947-10-12	Granada	W 2-1	1216	1243	72.2%	13.5%	14.3%	+1.2	4
1947-10-12	@ Mallorca	L 1-2	1243	1216	14.3%	13.5%	72.2%	-1.2	4
1947-10-12	Hercules	W 2-1	1297	1274	75.8%	13.0%	11.2%	+1.0	8
1947-10-12	@ Real Murcia	L 1-2	1274	1297	11.2%	13.0%	75.8%	-0.9	9
1947-10-12	Levante	W 3-1	1345	1224	81.4%	11.7%	6.9%	+1.0	9
1947-10-12	@ Real Valladolid	L 1-3	1224	1345	6.9%	11.7%	81.4%	-1.0	4
1947-10-12	CD Malaga	W 3-2	1303	1216	79.6%	12.2%	8.2%	+0.7	6
1947-10-12	@ Mestalla	L 2-3	1216	1303	8.2%	12.2%	79.6%	-0.7	4
1947-10-26	Mestalla	W 7-3	1314	1303	75.0%	13.1%	11.9%	+2.5	6
1947-10-26	@ Badalona	L 3-7	1303	1314	11.9%	13.1%	75.0%	-2.5	6
1947-10-26	Real Valladolid	L 0-3	1211	1346	62.3%	14.2%	23.6%	-13.5	6
1947-10-26	@ Barakaldo	W 3-0	1346	1211	23.6%	14.2%	62.3%	+13.5	12
1947-10-26	Real Murcia	W 3-2	1215	1298	67.4%	13.9%	18.6%	+1.5	7
1947-10-26	@ CD Malaga	L 2-3	1298	1215	18.6%	13.9%	67.4%	-1.5	8
1947-10-26	Castellon	W 5-2	1273	1297	72.4%	13.5%	14.1%	+2.5	12
1947-10-26	@ Hercules	L 2-5	1297	1273	14.1%	13.5%	72.4%	-2.5	7
1947-10-26	Mallorca	W 8-0	1223	1217	74.6%	13.2%	12.2%	+7.5	7
1947-10-26	@ Levante	L 0-8	1217	1223	12.2%	13.2%	74.6%	-7.5	4
1947-10-26	Granada	W 3-1	1196	1241	70.7%	13.7%	15.6%	+2.3	5
1947-10-26	@ Racing Ferrol	L 1-3	1241	1196	15.6%	13.7%	70.7%	-2.3	4
1947-10-26	Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1216	1296	67.7%	13.9%	18.4%	-1.0	5
1947-10-26	@ RCD Cordoba	D 1-1	1296	1216	18.4%	13.9%	67.7%	+1.0	10
1947-11-02	CD Malaga	L 0-2	1295	1217	79.1%	12.3%	8.5%	-11.7	7
1947-11-02	@ Castellon	W 2-0	1217	1295	8.5%	12.3%	79.1%	+11.7	10
1947-11-02	Hercules	W 2-0	1297	1276	75.7%	13.0%	11.3%	+1.9	13
1947-11-02	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-2	1276	1297	11.3%	13.0%	75.7%	-1.9	12
1947-11-02	Levante	W 3-2	1239	1230	74.8%	13.2%	12.0%	+1.0	7
1947-11-02	@ Granada	L 2-3	1230	1239	12.0%	13.2%	74.8%	-1.0	7
1947-11-02	Barakaldo	W 3-2	1209	1198	75.0%	13.1%	11.9%	+1.0	7
1947-11-02	@ Mallorca	L 2-3	1198	1209	11.9%	13.1%	75.0%	-1.0	6
1947-11-02	Badalona	L 0-1	1297	1317	72.7%	13.5%	13.8%	-5.7	8
1947-11-02	@ Real Murcia	W 1-0	1317	1297	13.8%	13.5%	72.7%	+5.7	9
1947-11-02	RCD Cordoba	D 2-2	1359	1215	82.5%	11.4%	6.1%	-1.1	13
1947-11-02	@ Real Valladolid	D 2-2	1215	1359	6.1%	11.4%	82.5%	+1.1	6
1947-11-02	Racing Ferrol	W 6-5	1301	1198	80.5%	12.0%	7.5%	+0.6	9
1947-11-02	@ Mestalla	L 5-6	1198	1301	7.5%	12.0%	80.5%	-0.6	5
1947-11-09	Castellon	W 4-1	1323	1283	76.8%	12.8%	10.3%	+2.2	12
1947-11-09	@ Badalona	L 1-4	1283	1323	10.3%	12.8%	76.8%	-2.1	7
1947-11-09	Granada	W 3-2	1197	1240	70.9%	13.6%	15.4%	+1.2	9
1947-11-09	@ Barakaldo	L 2-3	1240	1197	15.4%	13.6%	70.9%	-1.2	7
1947-11-09	Deportivo La Coruna	W 4-1	1228	1299	68.6%	13.8%	17.6%	+3.6	13
1947-11-09	@ CD Malaga	L 1-4	1299	1228	17.6%	13.8%	68.6%	-3.6	13
1947-11-09	Real Valladolid	W 6-2	1274	1358	67.3%	13.9%	18.8%	+4.2	15
1947-11-09	@ Hercules	L 2-6	1358	1274	18.8%	13.9%	67.3%	-4.2	13
1947-11-09	Levante	W 5-0	1198	1229	71.8%	13.6%	14.6%	+5.8	8
1947-11-09	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-5	1229	1198	14.6%	13.6%	71.8%	-5.8	7
1947-11-09	Mallorca	W 2-0	1216	1210	74.6%	13.2%	12.2%	+2.1	9
1947-11-09	@ RCD Cordoba	L 0-2	1210	1216	12.2%	13.2%	74.6%	-2.1	7
1947-11-09	Real Murcia	D 1-1	1302	1291	74.9%	13.1%	11.9%	-1.2	10
1947-11-09	@ Mestalla	D 1-1	1291	1302	11.9%	13.1%	74.9%	+1.2	9
1947-11-16	Mestalla	D 2-2	1281	1300	72.8%	13.4%	13.8%	-0.9	8
1947-11-16	@ Castellon	D 2-2	1300	1281	13.8%	13.4%	72.8%	+0.9	11
1947-11-16	Badalona	W 3-1	1295	1325	72.0%	13.5%	14.5%	+2.1	16
1947-11-16	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-3	1325	1295	14.5%	13.5%	72.0%	-2.1	12
1947-11-16	RCD Cordoba	W 3-2	1239	1218	75.6%	13.0%	11.3%	+0.9	10
1947-11-16	@ Granada	L 2-3	1218	1239	11.3%	13.0%	75.6%	-0.9	9
1947-11-16	Barakaldo	W 5-1	1223	1198	75.9%	13.0%	11.1%	+3.0	10
1947-11-16	@ Levante	L 1-5	1198	1223	11.1%	13.0%	75.9%	-3.0	9
1947-11-16	Hercules	W 3-1	1208	1278	68.6%	13.8%	17.5%	+2.5	10
1947-11-16	@ Mallorca	L 1-3	1278	1208	17.5%	13.8%	68.6%	-2.5	15
1947-11-16	Racing Ferrol	L 1-4	1292	1203	79.7%	12.2%	8.1%	-14.5	9
1947-11-16	@ Real Murcia	W 4-1	1203	1292	8.1%	12.2%	79.7%	+14.4	11
1947-11-16	CD Malaga	W 5-0	1354	1232	81.4%	11.7%	6.8%	+2.7	16
1947-11-16	@ Real Valladolid	L 0-5	1232	1354	6.8%	11.7%	81.4%	-2.7	13
1947-11-23	Real Valladolid	D 2-2	1323	1357	71.6%	13.6%	14.8%	-0.8	13
1947-11-23	@ Badalona	D 2-2	1357	1323	14.8%	13.6%	71.6%	+0.8	17
1947-11-23	Mallorca	W 5-1	1229	1211	75.5%	13.1%	11.5%	+3.1	16
1947-11-23	@ CD Malaga	L 1-5	1211	1229	11.5%	13.1%	75.5%	-3.1	10
1947-11-23	Granada	W 5-2	1275	1240	76.6%	12.9%	10.5%	+1.9	18
1947-11-23	@ Hercules	L 2-5	1240	1275	10.5%	12.9%	76.6%	-1.9	10
1947-11-23	Barakaldo	W 4-0	1218	1195	75.8%	13.0%	11.2%	+3.6	14
1947-11-23	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-4	1195	1218	11.2%	13.0%	75.8%	-3.6	9
1947-11-23	Levante	W 2-1	1217	1226	73.5%	13.3%	13.1%	+1.1	12
1947-11-23	@ RCD Cordoba	L 1-2	1226	1217	13.1%	13.3%	73.5%	-1.1	10
1947-11-23	Castellon	W 4-1	1278	1280	74.0%	13.3%	12.7%	+2.6	12
1947-11-23	@ Real Murcia	L 1-4	1280	1278	12.7%	13.3%	74.0%	-2.6	8
1947-11-23	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-0	1301	1297	74.5%	13.2%	12.3%	+2.1	14
1947-11-23	@ Mestalla	L 0-2	1297	1301	12.3%	13.2%	74.5%	-2.1	16
1947-11-30	RCD Cordoba	W 3-0	1192	1218	72.2%	13.5%	14.3%	+3.5	12
1947-11-30	@ Barakaldo	L 0-3	1218	1192	14.3%	13.5%	72.2%	-3.5	12
1947-11-30	Racing Ferrol	W 2-0	1278	1221	77.9%	12.6%	9.5%	+1.6	11
1947-11-30	@ Castellon	L 0-2	1221	1278	9.5%	12.6%	77.9%	-1.6	14
1947-11-30	Real Murcia	W 7-1	1295	1280	75.2%	13.1%	11.7%	+4.5	19
1947-11-30	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-7	1280	1295	11.7%	13.1%	75.2%	-4.5	12
1947-11-30	CD Malaga	L 1-3	1238	1232	74.6%	13.2%	12.2%	-9.6	10
1947-11-30	@ Granada	W 3-1	1232	1238	12.2%	13.2%	74.6%	+9.6	19
1947-11-30	Hercules	W 4-1	1225	1277	70.2%	13.7%	16.1%	+3.3	13
1947-11-30	@ Levante	L 1-4	1277	1225	16.1%	13.7%	70.2%	-3.3	18
1947-11-30	Badalona	W 5-3	1208	1322	64.4%	14.1%	21.5%	+2.6	13
1947-11-30	@ Mallorca	L 3-5	1322	1208	21.5%	14.1%	64.4%	-2.6	13
1947-11-30	Mestalla	W 1-0	1358	1303	77.8%	12.6%	9.6%	+0.9	20
1947-11-30	@ Real Valladolid	L 0-1	1303	1358	9.6%	12.6%	77.8%	-0.9	14
1947-12-07	Granada	D 3-3	1319	1228	79.8%	12.2%	8.0%	-0.9	14
1947-12-07	@ Badalona	D 3-3	1228	1319	8.0%	12.2%	79.8%	+0.9	11
1947-12-07	Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-1	1279	1300	72.7%	13.5%	13.9%	-5.7	11
1947-12-07	@ Castellon	W 1-0	1300	1279	13.9%	13.5%	72.7%	+5.7	22
1947-12-07	Levante	W 4-2	1242	1229	75.1%	13.1%	11.8%	+1.5	22
1947-12-07	@ CD Malaga	L 2-4	1229	1242	11.8%	13.1%	75.1%	-1.5	13
1947-12-07	Barakaldo	W 6-2	1274	1195	79.2%	12.3%	8.5%	+1.9	21
1947-12-07	@ Hercules	L 2-6	1195	1274	8.5%	12.3%	79.2%	-1.9	12
1947-12-07	RCD Cordoba	W 3-0	1220	1215	74.6%	13.2%	12.2%	+3.0	17
1947-12-07	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-3	1215	1220	12.2%	13.2%	74.6%	-3.0	12
1947-12-07	Real Valladolid	D 0-0	1276	1358	67.5%	13.9%	18.6%	-1.1	13
1947-12-07	@ Real Murcia	D 0-0	1358	1276	18.6%	13.9%	67.5%	+1.1	21
1947-12-07	Mallorca	D 3-3	1302	1210	79.9%	12.2%	8.0%	-0.9	15
1947-12-07	@ Mestalla	D 3-3	1210	1302	8.0%	12.2%	79.9%	+0.9	14
1947-12-14	CD Malaga	W 2-1	1193	1244	70.3%	13.7%	16.0%	+1.3	15
1947-12-14	@ Barakaldo	L 1-2	1244	1193	16.0%	13.7%	70.3%	-1.4	22
1947-12-14	Mestalla	W 2-0	1229	1302	68.4%	13.9%	17.8%	+3.0	14
1947-12-14	@ Granada	L 0-2	1302	1229	17.8%	13.9%	68.4%	-3.0	15
1947-12-14	Badalona	D 3-3	1227	1318	66.7%	14.0%	19.4%	-0.6	14
1947-12-14	@ Levante	D 3-3	1318	1227	19.4%	14.0%	66.7%	+0.6	15
1947-12-14	Real Murcia	W 2-1	1211	1275	69.2%	13.8%	17.0%	+1.4	17
1947-12-14	@ Mallorca	L 1-2	1275	1211	17.0%	13.8%	69.2%	-1.4	13
1947-12-14	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-0	1223	1305	67.5%	13.9%	18.6%	+3.1	20
1947-12-14	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-2	1305	1223	18.6%	13.9%	67.5%	-3.1	22
1947-12-14	Hercules	W 3-2	1212	1276	69.2%	13.8%	17.1%	+1.4	15
1947-12-14	@ RCD Cordoba	L 2-3	1276	1212	17.1%	13.8%	69.2%	-1.4	21
1947-12-14	Castellon	W 4-2	1360	1273	79.6%	12.2%	8.2%	+1.1	24
1947-12-14	@ Real Valladolid	L 2-4	1273	1360	8.2%	12.2%	79.6%	-1.1	11
1947-12-21	Barakaldo	W 2-0	1319	1195	81.5%	11.7%	6.8%	+1.1	18
1947-12-21	@ Badalona	L 0-2	1195	1319	6.8%	11.7%	81.5%	-1.1	15
1947-12-21	Mallorca	W 2-0	1272	1213	78.1%	12.6%	9.3%	+1.6	14
1947-12-21	@ Castellon	L 0-2	1213	1272	9.3%	12.6%	78.1%	-1.6	17
1947-12-21	RCD Cordoba	W 2-0	1242	1213	76.2%	12.9%	10.9%	+1.9	25
1947-12-21	@ CD Malaga	L 0-2	1213	1242	10.9%	12.9%	76.2%	-1.8	15
1947-12-21	Real Valladolid	D 0-0	1302	1361	69.6%	13.8%	16.6%	-1.2	23
1947-12-21	@ Deportivo La Coruna	D 0-0	1361	1302	16.6%	13.8%	69.6%	+1.2	25
1947-12-21	Racing Ferrol	W 3-2	1274	1226	77.4%	12.7%	9.9%	+0.8	24
1947-12-21	@ Hercules	L 2-3	1226	1274	9.9%	12.7%	77.4%	-0.8	20
1947-12-21	Granada	W 2-1	1273	1232	77.0%	12.8%	10.2%	+0.9	16
1947-12-21	@ Real Murcia	L 1-2	1232	1273	10.2%	12.8%	77.0%	-0.9	14
1947-12-21	Levante	W 2-0	1299	1227	78.8%	12.4%	8.8%	+1.5	18
1947-12-21	@ Mestalla	L 0-2	1227	1299	8.8%	12.4%	78.8%	-1.5	14
1948-01-04	RCD Cordoba	W 5-2	1320	1211	80.8%	11.9%	7.3%	+1.3	21
1948-01-04	@ Badalona	L 2-5	1211	1320	7.3%	11.9%	80.8%	-1.3	15
1948-01-04	Granada	W 4-0	1274	1231	77.0%	12.8%	10.2%	+3.3	17
1948-01-04	@ Castellon	L 0-4	1231	1274	10.2%	12.8%	77.0%	-3.3	14
1948-01-04	Hercules	W 9-2	1244	1275	71.9%	13.5%	14.6%	+5.3	28
1948-01-04	@ CD Malaga	L 2-9	1275	1244	14.6%	13.5%	71.9%	-5.3	24
1948-01-04	Mallorca	W 5-0	1301	1211	79.8%	12.2%	8.0%	+3.2	26
1948-01-04	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-5	1211	1301	8.0%	12.2%	79.8%	-3.2	17
1948-01-04	Levante	W 3-0	1274	1225	77.4%	12.7%	9.8%	+2.4	19
1948-01-04	@ Real Murcia	L 0-3	1225	1274	9.8%	12.7%	77.4%	-2.4	14
1948-01-04	Racing Ferrol	W 2-0	1362	1225	82.1%	11.5%	6.3%	+1.1	28
1948-01-04	@ Real Valladolid	L 0-2	1225	1362	6.3%	11.5%	82.1%	-1.1	20
1948-01-04	Barakaldo	W 2-0	1300	1193	80.7%	11.9%	7.4%	+1.2	21
1948-01-04	@ Mestalla	L 0-2	1193	1300	7.4%	11.9%	80.7%	-1.2	15
1948-01-11	Real Murcia	W 4-0	1192	1277	67.3%	13.9%	18.8%	+6.0	18
1948-01-11	@ Barakaldo	L 0-4	1277	1192	18.8%	13.9%	67.3%	-6.0	19
1948-01-11	Deportivo La Coruna	L 1-3	1228	1304	68.0%	13.9%	18.1%	-8.8	14
1948-01-11	@ Granada	W 3-1	1304	1228	18.1%	13.9%	68.0%	+8.8	29
1948-01-11	Badalona	W 3-0	1270	1321	70.2%	13.7%	16.1%	+3.9	27
1948-01-11	@ Hercules	L 0-3	1321	1270	16.1%	13.7%	70.2%	-3.9	21
1948-01-11	Castellon	W 2-0	1223	1277	70.0%	13.7%	16.3%	+2.8	17
1948-01-11	@ Levante	L 0-2	1277	1223	16.3%	13.7%	70.0%	-2.8	17
1948-01-11	Real Valladolid	L 2-3	1208	1363	60.0%	14.2%	25.8%	-4.2	17
1948-01-11	@ Mallorca	W 3-2	1363	1208	25.8%	14.2%	60.0%	+4.2	31
1948-01-11	CD Malaga	W 3-1	1224	1249	72.3%	13.5%	14.2%	+2.1	23
1948-01-11	@ Racing Ferrol	L 1-3	1249	1224	14.2%	13.5%	72.3%	-2.1	28
1948-01-11	Mestalla	W 3-1	1210	1301	66.7%	14.0%	19.4%	+2.8	18
1948-01-11	@ RCD Cordoba	L 1-3	1301	1210	19.4%	14.0%	66.7%	-2.8	21
1948-01-18	CD Malaga	W 3-2	1317	1247	78.7%	12.4%	8.9%	+0.7	24
1948-01-18	@ Badalona	L 2-3	1247	1317	8.9%	12.4%	78.7%	-0.7	28
1948-01-18	Barakaldo	W 5-0	1274	1198	79.0%	12.4%	8.6%	+3.4	20
1948-01-18	@ Castellon	L 0-5	1198	1274	8.6%	12.4%	79.0%	-3.4	18
1948-01-18	Levante	W 4-0	1313	1225	79.7%	12.2%	8.1%	+2.6	32
1948-01-18	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-4	1225	1313	8.1%	12.2%	79.7%	-2.6	17
1948-01-18	Racing Ferrol	W 2-0	1204	1226	72.5%	13.5%	14.0%	+2.4	20
1948-01-18	@ Mallorca	L 0-2	1226	1204	14.0%	13.5%	72.5%	-2.4	23
1948-01-18	RCD Cordoba	W 2-0	1271	1213	78.0%	12.6%	9.4%	+1.6	22
1948-01-18	@ Real Murcia	L 0-2	1213	1271	9.4%	12.6%	78.0%	-1.6	18
1948-01-18	Granada	W 1-0	1367	1219	82.7%	11.3%	6.0%	+0.5	34
1948-01-18	@ Real Valladolid	L 0-1	1219	1367	6.0%	11.3%	82.7%	-0.5	14
1948-01-18	Hercules	W 7-3	1298	1274	75.9%	13.0%	11.1%	+2.3	24
1948-01-18	@ Mestalla	L 3-7	1274	1298	11.1%	13.0%	75.9%	-2.3	27
1948-01-25	Deportivo La Coruna	W 1-0	1195	1316	63.7%	14.1%	22.2%	+1.9	21
1948-01-25	@ Barakaldo	L 0-1	1316	1195	22.2%	14.1%	63.7%	-1.9	32
1948-01-25	Mestalla	W 3-2	1247	1301	70.0%	13.7%	16.3%	+1.3	31
1948-01-25	@ CD Malaga	L 2-3	1301	1247	16.3%	13.7%	70.0%	-1.3	24
1948-01-25	Mallorca	W 5-1	1219	1206	75.1%	13.1%	11.8%	+3.2	17
1948-01-25	@ Granada	L 1-5	1206	1219	11.8%	13.1%	75.1%	-3.2	20
1948-01-25	Real Murcia	W 5-0	1272	1272	74.1%	13.3%	12.6%	+5.0	30
1948-01-25	@ Hercules	L 0-5	1272	1272	12.6%	13.3%	74.1%	-5.0	22
1948-01-25	Real Valladolid	W 3-0	1223	1368	61.2%	14.2%	24.7%	+5.9	20
1948-01-25	@ Levante	L 0-3	1368	1223	24.7%	14.2%	61.2%	-5.9	34
1948-01-25	Badalona	W 3-1	1224	1318	66.4%	14.0%	19.6%	+2.8	26
1948-01-25	@ Racing Ferrol	L 1-3	1318	1224	19.6%	14.0%	66.4%	-2.8	24
1948-01-25	Castellon	W 3-1	1211	1278	68.9%	13.8%	17.3%	+2.5	21
1948-01-25	@ RCD Cordoba	L 1-3	1278	1211	17.3%	13.8%	68.9%	-2.5	20
1948-02-01	Hercules	W 5-2	1275	1277	74.1%	13.3%	12.6%	+2.3	23
1948-02-01	@ Castellon	L 2-5	1277	1275	12.6%	13.3%	74.1%	-2.3	30
1948-02-01	RCD Cordoba	W 6-0	1314	1214	80.3%	12.0%	7.6%	+3.6	35
1948-02-01	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-6	1214	1314	7.6%	12.0%	80.3%	-3.6	21
1948-02-01	Racing Ferrol	W 4-2	1222	1227	73.8%	13.3%	12.9%	+1.7	20
1948-02-01	@ Granada	L 2-4	1227	1222	12.9%	13.3%	73.8%	-1.7	26
1948-02-01	Levante	D 0-0	1203	1229	72.3%	13.5%	14.2%	-1.3	21
1948-02-01	@ Mallorca	D 0-0	1229	1203	14.2%	13.5%	72.3%	+1.3	21
1948-02-01	CD Malaga	W 3-0	1267	1248	75.5%	13.1%	11.4%	+2.8	25
1948-02-01	@ Real Murcia	L 0-3	1248	1267	11.4%	13.1%	75.5%	-2.8	31
1948-02-01	Barakaldo	W 4-1	1362	1197	83.4%	11.1%	5.5%	+1.1	37
1948-02-01	@ Real Valladolid	L 1-4	1197	1362	5.5%	11.1%	83.4%	-1.1	21
1948-02-01	Badalona	W 6-3	1300	1315	73.0%	13.4%	13.6%	+2.2	27
1948-02-01	@ Mestalla	L 3-6	1315	1300	13.6%	13.4%	73.0%	-2.2	24
1948-02-08	Real Murcia	W 3-2	1313	1270	77.0%	12.8%	10.2%	+0.8	27
1948-02-08	@ Badalona	L 2-3	1270	1313	10.2%	12.8%	77.0%	-0.8	25
1948-02-08	Mallorca	W 4-1	1196	1202	73.8%	13.3%	12.9%	+2.7	24
1948-02-08	@ Barakaldo	L 1-4	1202	1196	12.9%	13.3%	73.8%	-2.7	21
1948-02-08	Castellon	W 5-1	1245	1278	71.8%	13.6%	14.7%	+3.9	34
1948-02-08	@ CD Malaga	L 1-5	1278	1245	14.7%	13.6%	71.8%	-3.9	23
1948-02-08	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-1	1274	1317	70.9%	13.6%	15.4%	+1.3	33
1948-02-08	@ Hercules	L 1-2	1317	1274	15.4%	13.6%	70.9%	-1.3	35
1948-02-08	Granada	W 5-2	1230	1223	74.7%	13.2%	12.2%	+2.2	24
1948-02-08	@ Levante	L 2-5	1223	1230	12.2%	13.2%	74.7%	-2.2	20
1948-02-08	Mestalla	W 6-0	1225	1302	68.0%	13.9%	18.1%	+8.4	29
1948-02-08	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-6	1302	1225	18.1%	13.9%	68.0%	-8.4	27
1948-02-08	Real Valladolid	L 1-3	1210	1363	60.3%	14.2%	25.5%	-7.8	21
1948-02-08	@ RCD Cordoba	W 3-1	1363	1210	25.5%	14.2%	60.3%	+7.8	40
1948-02-15	Badalona	W 3-0	1274	1314	71.2%	13.6%	15.2%	+3.7	26
1948-02-15	@ Castellon	L 0-3	1314	1274	15.2%	13.6%	71.2%	-3.7	27
1948-02-15	CD Malaga	W 2-0	1316	1249	78.5%	12.5%	9.0%	+1.5	38
1948-02-15	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-2	1249	1316	9.0%	12.5%	78.5%	-1.5	34
1948-02-15	Barakaldo	W 3-0	1221	1198	75.8%	13.0%	11.2%	+2.8	23
1948-02-15	@ Granada	L 0-3	1198	1221	11.2%	13.0%	75.8%	-2.8	24
1948-02-15	Racing Ferrol	W 5-3	1232	1233	74.1%	13.3%	12.6%	+1.6	27
1948-02-15	@ Levante	L 3-5	1233	1232	12.6%	13.3%	74.1%	-1.6	29
1948-02-15	RCD Cordoba	W 5-1	1199	1202	73.9%	13.3%	12.8%	+3.4	24
1948-02-15	@ Mallorca	L 1-5	1202	1199	12.8%	13.3%	73.9%	-3.4	21
1948-02-15	Mestalla	W 2-0	1269	1293	72.4%	13.5%	14.1%	+2.4	28
1948-02-15	@ Real Murcia	L 0-2	1293	1269	14.1%	13.5%	72.4%	-2.4	27
1948-02-15	Hercules	D 2-2	1371	1276	80.1%	12.1%	7.8%	-1.1	41
1948-02-15	@ Real Valladolid	D 2-2	1276	1371	7.8%	12.1%	80.1%	+1.1	34
1948-02-22	Deportivo La Coruna	W 6-1	1310	1318	73.7%	13.3%	13.0%	+4.3	30
1948-02-22	@ Badalona	L 1-6	1318	1310	13.0%	13.3%	73.7%	-4.3	38
1948-02-22	Levante	W 3-2	1196	1234	71.3%	13.6%	15.1%	+1.2	27
1948-02-22	@ Barakaldo	L 2-3	1234	1196	15.1%	13.6%	71.3%	-1.2	27
1948-02-22	Real Valladolid	W 2-0	1248	1370	63.6%	14.1%	22.3%	+3.7	37
1948-02-22	@ CD Malaga	L 0-2	1370	1248	22.3%	14.1%	63.6%	-3.7	41
1948-02-22	Mallorca	W 5-2	1277	1202	78.9%	12.4%	8.7%	+1.6	37
1948-02-22	@ Hercules	L 2-5	1202	1277	8.7%	12.4%	78.9%	-1.6	24
1948-02-22	Real Murcia	W 9-0	1232	1272	71.2%	13.6%	15.2%	+10.5	32
1948-02-22	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-9	1272	1232	15.2%	13.6%	71.2%	-10.5	28
1948-02-22	Granada	D 1-1	1199	1224	72.4%	13.5%	14.2%	-1.1	22
1948-02-22	@ RCD Cordoba	D 1-1	1224	1199	14.2%	13.5%	72.4%	+1.2	24
1948-02-22	Castellon	L 1-4	1291	1277	75.1%	13.1%	11.8%	-13.7	27
1948-02-22	@ Mestalla	W 4-1	1277	1291	11.8%	13.1%	75.1%	+13.7	29
1948-02-29	Racing Ferrol	W 4-1	1197	1242	70.7%	13.7%	15.6%	+3.2	30
1948-02-29	@ Barakaldo	L 1-4	1242	1197	15.6%	13.7%	70.7%	-3.2	32
1948-02-29	Real Murcia	W 2-1	1291	1261	76.2%	12.9%	10.8%	+0.9	32
1948-02-29	@ Castellon	L 1-2	1261	1291	10.8%	12.9%	76.2%	-0.9	28
1948-02-29	Mestalla	W 6-0	1313	1277	76.6%	12.9%	10.5%	+5.0	41
1948-02-29	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-6	1277	1313	10.5%	12.9%	76.6%	-4.9	27
1948-02-29	Hercules	W 2-1	1225	1278	70.1%	13.7%	16.2%	+1.4	27
1948-02-29	@ Granada	L 1-2	1278	1225	16.2%	13.7%	70.1%	-1.4	37
1948-02-29	RCD Cordoba	W 4-2	1232	1198	76.5%	12.9%	10.6%	+1.4	30
1948-02-29	@ Levante	L 2-4	1198	1232	10.6%	12.9%	76.5%	-1.4	22
1948-02-29	CD Malaga	W 2-1	1201	1251	70.3%	13.7%	16.0%	+1.4	27
1948-02-29	@ Mallorca	L 1-2	1251	1201	16.0%	13.7%	70.3%	-1.3	37
1948-02-29	Badalona	W 7-2	1366	1314	77.6%	12.7%	9.7%	+2.7	44
1948-02-29	@ Real Valladolid	L 2-7	1314	1366	9.7%	12.7%	77.6%	-2.7	30
1948-03-07	Mallorca	W 3-1	1312	1202	80.8%	11.9%	7.3%	+1.1	33
1948-03-07	@ Badalona	L 1-3	1202	1312	7.3%	11.9%	80.8%	-1.1	27
1948-03-07	Granada	D 2-2	1250	1227	75.8%	13.0%	11.2%	-1.0	38
1948-03-07	@ CD Malaga	D 2-2	1227	1250	11.2%	13.0%	75.8%	+1.0	28
1948-03-07	Levante	D 2-2	1277	1234	77.1%	12.8%	10.2%	-1.0	38
1948-03-07	@ Hercules	D 2-2	1234	1277	10.2%	12.8%	77.1%	+1.0	31
1948-03-07	Castellon	W 3-0	1239	1292	70.1%	13.7%	16.2%	+4.0	35
1948-03-07	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-3	1292	1239	16.2%	13.7%	70.1%	-4.0	32
1948-03-07	Barakaldo	W 5-1	1197	1200	74.0%	13.3%	12.8%	+3.4	25
1948-03-07	@ RCD Cordoba	L 1-5	1200	1197	12.8%	13.3%	74.0%	-3.4	30
1948-03-07	Deportivo La Coruna	D 1-1	1260	1318	69.7%	13.8%	16.6%	-1.0	29
1948-03-07	@ Real Murcia	D 1-1	1318	1260	16.6%	13.8%	69.7%	+1.0	42
1948-03-07	Real Valladolid	W 8-3	1272	1369	66.2%	14.0%	19.8%	+4.8	30
1948-03-07	@ Mestalla	L 3-8	1369	1272	19.8%	14.0%	66.2%	-4.8	44
1948-03-28	Hercules	W 4-0	1197	1276	67.8%	13.9%	18.3%	+5.8	33
1948-03-28	@ Barakaldo	L 0-4	1276	1197	18.3%	13.9%	67.8%	-5.8	38
1948-03-28	Castellon	W 7-0	1319	1288	76.3%	12.9%	10.8%	+5.9	45
1948-03-28	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-7	1288	1319	10.8%	12.9%	76.3%	-5.9	32
1948-03-28	Badalona	W 2-0	1227	1313	67.2%	13.9%	18.8%	+3.2	31
1948-03-28	@ Granada	L 0-2	1313	1227	18.8%	13.9%	67.2%	-3.2	33
1948-03-28	CD Malaga	W 4-1	1235	1249	73.2%	13.4%	13.4%	+2.8	34
1948-03-28	@ Levante	L 1-4	1249	1235	13.4%	13.4%	73.2%	-2.8	38
1948-03-28	Mestalla	D 1-1	1201	1277	68.1%	13.9%	18.1%	-1.0	28
1948-03-28	@ Mallorca	D 1-1	1277	1201	18.1%	13.9%	68.1%	+1.0	31
1948-03-28	Racing Ferrol	L 1-3	1200	1243	70.9%	13.6%	15.5%	-9.2	25
1948-03-28	@ RCD Cordoba	W 3-1	1243	1200	15.5%	13.6%	70.9%	+9.2	38
1948-03-28	Real Murcia	W 5-3	1364	1259	80.5%	12.0%	7.5%	+0.9	47
1948-03-28	@ Real Valladolid	L 3-5	1259	1364	7.5%	12.0%	80.5%	-0.9	29
1948-04-04	Levante	D 2-2	1310	1238	78.8%	12.4%	8.8%	-1.0	34
1948-04-04	@ Badalona	D 2-2	1238	1310	8.8%	12.4%	78.8%	+1.0	35
1948-04-04	Real Valladolid	D 1-1	1282	1365	67.5%	13.9%	18.6%	-1.0	33
1948-04-04	@ Castellon	D 1-1	1365	1282	18.6%	13.9%	67.5%	+0.9	48
1948-04-04	Barakaldo	W 2-1	1246	1202	77.1%	12.8%	10.1%	+0.9	41
1948-04-04	@ CD Malaga	L 1-2	1202	1246	10.1%	12.8%	77.1%	-0.8	33
1948-04-04	Racing Ferrol	W 2-0	1325	1252	78.8%	12.4%	8.8%	+1.5	48
1948-04-04	@ Deportivo La Coruna	L 0-2	1252	1325	8.8%	12.4%	78.8%	-1.5	38
1948-04-04	RCD Cordoba	L 0-2	1270	1191	79.2%	12.3%	8.5%	-11.7	38
1948-04-04	@ Hercules	W 2-0	1191	1270	8.5%	12.3%	79.2%	+11.7	28
1948-04-04	Mallorca	W 2-1	1258	1200	78.0%	12.6%	9.4%	+0.8	32
1948-04-04	@ Real Murcia	L 1-2	1200	1258	9.4%	12.6%	78.0%	-0.8	28
1948-04-04	Granada	W 5-0	1278	1231	77.3%	12.7%	9.9%	+3.9	34
1948-04-04	@ Mestalla	L 0-5	1231	1278	9.9%	12.7%	77.3%	-3.9	31
1948-04-11	Badalona	W 6-1	1202	1308	65.1%	14.1%	20.8%	+6.7	36
1948-04-11	@ Barakaldo	L 1-6	1308	1202	20.8%	14.1%	65.1%	-6.7	34
1948-04-11	Real Murcia	W 4-3	1227	1259	71.8%	13.6%	14.7%	+1.1	34
1948-04-11	@ Granada	L 3-4	1259	1227	14.7%	13.6%	71.8%	-1.2	32
1948-04-11	Mestalla	W 1-0	1239	1282	70.9%	13.6%	15.5%	+1.4	38
1948-04-11	@ Levante	L 0-1	1282	1239	15.5%	13.6%	70.9%	-1.4	34
1948-04-11	Castellon	W 3-0	1199	1281	67.5%	13.9%	18.6%	+4.5	31
1948-04-11	@ Mallorca	L 0-3	1281	1199	18.6%	13.9%	67.5%	-4.5	33
1948-04-11	Hercules	W 2-1	1251	1258	73.7%	13.3%	13.0%	+1.1	41
1948-04-11	@ Racing Ferrol	L 1-2	1258	1251	13.0%	13.3%	73.7%	-1.1	38
1948-04-11	CD Malaga	W 3-2	1203	1247	70.8%	13.7%	15.6%	+1.2	31
1948-04-11	@ RCD Cordoba	L 2-3	1247	1203	15.6%	13.7%	70.8%	-1.2	41
1948-04-11	Deportivo La Coruna	W 2-1	1366	1327	76.8%	12.8%	10.4%	+0.9	51
1948-04-11	@ Real Valladolid	L 1-2	1327	1366	10.4%	12.8%	76.8%	-0.9	48

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1947-11-16	8.08%	Racing Ferrol	1203	4	@ Real Murcia	1292	1
2	1948-04-04	8.48%	RCD Cordoba	1191	2	@ Hercules	1270	0
3	1947-11-02	8.53%	CD Malaga	1217	2	@ Castellon	1295	0
4	1947-09-28	8.97%	Hercules	1259	3	@ Badalona	1327	1
5	1948-02-22	11.75%	Castellon	1277	4	@ Mestalla	1291	1
6	1947-11-30	12.23%	CD Malaga	1232	3	@ Granada	1238	1
7	1947-11-02	13.84%	Badalona	1317	1	@ Real Murcia	1297	0
8	1947-12-07	13.87%	Deportivo La Coruna	1300	1	@ Castellon	1279	0
9	1948-03-28	15.46%	Racing Ferrol	1243	3	@ RCD Cordoba	1200	1
10	1947-09-21	16.87%	Deportivo La Coruna	1286	3	@ Mallorca	1224	1
11	1948-01-11	18.09%	Deportivo La Coruna	1304	3	@ Granada	1228	1
12	1947-10-26	23.57%	Real Valladolid	1346	3	@ Barakaldo	1211	0
13	1947-09-21	24.03%	Real Valladolid	1342	2	@ Racing Ferrol	1203	1
14	1948-02-08	25.51%	Real Valladolid	1363	3	@ RCD Cordoba	1210	1
15	1948-01-11	25.77%	Real Valladolid	1363	3	@ Mallorca	1208	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1947-11-16	14.46	Racing Ferrol	4	1203	8.08%	@ Real Murcia	1	1292	79.72%
2	1948-02-22	13.69	Castellon	4	1277	11.75%	@ Mestalla	1	1291	75.14%
3	1947-10-26	13.49	Real Valladolid	3	1346	23.57%	@ Barakaldo	0	1211	62.28%
4	1948-04-04	11.73	RCD Cordoba	2	1191	8.48%	@ Hercules	0	1270	79.19%
5	1947-11-02	11.72	CD Malaga	2	1217	8.53%	@ Castellon	0	1295	79.13%
6	1948-02-22	10.48	@ Racing Ferrol	9	1232	71.17%	Real Murcia	0	1272	15.22%
7	1947-09-28	10.09	Hercules	3	1259	8.97%	@ Badalona	1	1327	78.57%
8	1947-11-30	9.61	CD Malaga	3	1232	12.23%	@ Granada	1	1238	74.57%
9	1948-03-28	9.15	Racing Ferrol	3	1243	15.46%	@ RCD Cordoba	1	1200	70.90%
10	1947-09-21	8.95	Deportivo La Coruna	3	1286	16.87%	@ Mallorca	1	1224	69.34%
11	1948-01-11	8.78	Deportivo La Coruna	3	1304	18.09%	@ Granada	1	1228	68.03%
12	1947-09-21	8.74	@ RCD Cordoba	5	1210	63.23%	Badalona	0	1336	22.64%
13	1948-02-08	8.42	@ Racing Ferrol	6	1225	68.00%	Mestalla	0	1302	18.12%
14	1948-02-08	7.80	Real Valladolid	3	1363	25.51%	@ RCD Cordoba	1	1210	60.28%
15	1947-10-26	7.55	@ Levante	8	1223	74.60%	Mallorca	0	1217	12.21%
16	1948-04-11	6.70	@ Barakaldo	6	1202	65.12%	Badalona	1	1308	20.83%
17	1948-01-11	5.96	@ Barakaldo	4	1192	67.29%	Real Murcia	0	1277	18.78%
18	1948-01-25	5.87	@ Levante	3	1223	61.15%	Real Valladolid	0	1368	24.66%
19	1948-03-28	5.86	@ Deportivo La Coruna	7	1319	76.31%	Castellon	0	1288	10.77%
20	1948-03-28	5.82	@ Barakaldo	4	1197	67.77%	Hercules	0	1276	18.33%
21	1947-11-09	5.78	@ Racing Ferrol	5	1198	71.83%	Levante	0	1229	14.63%
22	1947-11-02	5.74	Badalona	1	1317	13.84%	@ Real Murcia	0	1297	72.72%
23	1947-12-07	5.74	Deportivo La Coruna	1	1300	13.87%	@ Castellon	0	1279	72.68%
24	1948-01-04	5.35	@ CD Malaga	9	1244	71.86%	Hercules	2	1275	14.59%
25	1947-10-05	5.05	@ CD Malaga	8	1211	65.20%	Badalona	3	1317	20.75%