1948-49 Segunda División Season

182 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Granada

9.21 points above expected

35 points · 25.79 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Racing Ferrol

8.88 points below expected

15 points · 23.88 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	CD Malaga	26	15	5	6	35	73	33	+40	26.4	+8.59
2	Real Sociedad	26	17	1	8	35	80	41	+39	28.8	+6.25
3	Granada	26	16	3	7	35	50	37	+13	25.8	+9.21
4	Hercules	26	14	4	8	32	64	53	+11	25.8	+6.19
5	Real Gijon	26	12	5	9	29	56	44	+12	27.9	+1.07
6	Barakaldo	26	13	3	10	29	48	37	+11	25.1	+3.86
7	Real Murcia	26	12	2	12	26	51	71	-20	25.4	+0.58
8	Castellon	26	11	2	13	24	47	61	-14	26.1	-2.11
9	Levante	26	9	4	13	22	48	53	-5	25.7	-3.66
10	Girona	26	10	2	14	22	45	53	-8	27.2	-5.19
11	Real Santander	26	8	5	13	21	50	67	-17	23.7	-2.72
12	Mestalla	26	9	2	15	20	43	50	-7	26.1	-6.13
13	Badalona	26	8	3	15	19	40	63	-23	26.1	-7.06
14	Racing Ferrol	26	6	3	17	15	39	71	-32	23.9	-8.88

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Real Sociedad	1438	35	28.75	+6.25	96.0%	20	22	26	29	31	34	39
Real Gijon	1410	29	27.93	+1.07	70.0%	18	23	26	28	30	34	36
Girona	1400	22	27.19	-5.19	5.0%	19	22	25	27	29	32	36
CD Malaga	1393	35	26.41	+8.59	99.0%	16	19	24	27	29	32	36
Granada	1357	35	25.79	+9.21	100.0%	18	21	24	26	28	31	33
Hercules	1357	32	25.81	+6.19	97.0%	17	21	23	26	28	32	35
Barakaldo	1333	29	25.14	+3.86	94.0%	17	20	23	25	28	30	35
Castellon	1327	24	26.11	-2.11	34.0%	18	20	24	26	28	32	35
Levante	1322	22	25.66	-3.66	17.0%	18	20	23	25	28	31	33
Mestalla	1319	20	26.13	-6.13	5.0%	18	20	24	26	28	32	36
Real Murcia	1316	26	25.42	+0.58	68.0%	17	19	24	25	27	31	34
Badalona	1311	19	26.06	-7.06	3.0%	19	20	24	26	28	32	34
Real Santander	1290	21	23.72	-2.72	24.0%	15	18	22	24	26	29	33
Racing Ferrol	1275	15	23.88	-8.88	0.0%	16	18	21	24	26	29	33

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BAD	BAR	CM	CAS	GIR	GRA	HER	LEV	MES	RF	RG	RM	RS	RS
Badalona	—	0-0-2 2.98	0-1-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.90	0-0-2 2.71	1-0-1 2.89	0-0-2 2.94	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-1 2.93	1-0-1 3.06	0-1-1 2.65	2-0-0 2.96	0-1-1 3.04	1-0-1 2.69
Barakaldo	2-0-0 2.82	—	1-0-1 2.78	2-0-0 2.85	1-1-0 2.59	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.79	1-1-0 2.85	1-0-1 2.81	1-0-1 2.91	1-1-0 2.56	1-0-1 2.90	0-0-2 2.95	0-0-2 2.57
CD Malaga	1-1-0 2.89	1-0-1 3.03	—	1-1-0 2.96	1-1-0 2.70	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 2.94	2-0-0 2.98	1-1-0 2.98	2-0-0 3.14	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.95	1-1-0 3.13	1-0-1 2.69
Castellon	1-0-1 2.91	0-0-2 2.96	0-1-1 2.85	—	2-0-0 2.62	1-0-1 2.96	0-0-2 2.89	0-0-2 2.92	1-0-1 2.89	2-0-0 3.01	1-0-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.96	1-1-0 3.02	1-0-1 2.65
Girona	2-0-0 3.10	0-1-1 3.22	0-1-1 3.11	0-0-2 3.20	—	0-0-2 3.12	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 3.22	1-0-1 3.14	1-0-1 3.32	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 3.19	1-0-1 3.32	1-0-1 2.87
Granada	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.85	2-0-0 2.69	—	0-2-0 2.86	2-0-0 2.91	2-0-0 2.85	1-1-0 2.95	1-0-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.95	2-0-0 2.97	1-0-1 2.61
Hercules	2-0-0 2.87	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 2.87	2-0-0 2.92	1-0-1 2.70	0-2-0 2.95	—	1-1-0 2.96	1-1-0 2.93	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 3.03	1-0-1 3.07	1-0-1 2.68
Levante	1-0-1 2.82	0-1-1 2.96	0-0-2 2.83	2-0-0 2.89	1-0-1 2.59	0-0-2 2.90	0-1-1 2.85	—	1-0-1 2.84	2-0-0 2.96	0-1-1 2.63	1-1-0 2.89	1-0-1 3.03	0-0-2 2.63
Mestalla	1-0-1 2.88	1-0-1 3.01	0-1-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.67	0-0-2 2.96	0-1-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.97	—	1-0-1 3.03	0-0-2 2.69	1-0-1 2.97	2-0-0 3.05	0-0-2 2.60
Racing Ferrol	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.90	0-0-2 2.67	0-0-2 2.81	1-0-1 2.49	0-1-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.76	0-0-2 2.85	1-0-1 2.78	—	0-1-1 2.58	0-0-2 2.87	1-1-0 2.91	0-0-2 2.52
Real Gijon	1-1-0 3.16	0-1-1 3.25	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 3.15	1-0-1 2.90	1-0-1 3.15	1-0-1 3.13	1-1-0 3.18	2-0-0 3.12	1-1-0 3.23	—	1-0-1 3.22	1-0-1 3.27	0-1-1 2.89
Real Murcia	0-0-2 2.85	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.79	0-1-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.84	2-0-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.59	—	1-1-0 2.98	1-0-1 2.65
Real Santander	1-1-0 2.77	2-0-0 2.86	0-1-1 2.68	0-1-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.49	0-0-2 2.84	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.78	0-0-2 2.76	0-1-1 2.90	1-0-1 2.55	0-1-1 2.83	—	1-0-1 2.41
Real Sociedad	1-0-1 3.12	2-0-0 3.25	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 3.16	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 3.20	1-0-1 3.13	2-0-0 3.18	2-0-0 3.21	2-0-0 3.29	1-1-0 2.92	1-0-1 3.16	1-0-1 3.40	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	1.65%	5.49%	3.85%	4.95%	1.37%	2.20%	19.51%
1	5.49%	5.49%	5.49%	3.30%	2.75%	4.40%	26.92%
2	3.85%	5.49%	3.30%	4.12%	2.20%	1.92%	20.88%
3	4.95%	3.30%	4.12%	1.10%	1.10%	0.55%	15.11%
4	1.37%	2.75%	2.20%	1.10%	0.55%	—	7.97%
5+	2.20%	4.40%	1.92%	0.55%	—	0.55%	9.62%
Total	19.51%	26.92%	20.88%	15.11%	7.97%	9.62%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.02
Mean allowed	2.02
StdDev scored	1.74
StdDev allowed	1.74
Mean total goals/game	4.03
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.048
Sample size (games)	182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	19.23%
1	—	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
2	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	30.77%	19.23%	11.54%	19.23%	11.54%	100%

Badalona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.54
Mean allowed	2.42
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.65
Mean total goals/game	3.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.283
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	30.77%	26.92%	23.08%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Barakaldo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.85
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	1.78
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	3.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.186
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
1	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	—	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
Total	30.77%	30.77%	26.92%	7.69%	—	3.85%	100%

CD Malaga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.81
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	2.28
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	4.08
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.269
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
1	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	34.62%
2	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
3	—	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	23.08%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	26.92%	30.77%	3.85%	11.54%	15.38%	100%

Castellon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.81
Mean allowed	2.35
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	1.87
Mean total goals/game	4.15
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.140
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	34.62%
1	—	—	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	15.38%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	19.23%	26.92%	15.38%	23.08%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Girona — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.73
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	1.71
StdDev allowed	1.73
Mean total goals/game	3.77
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.415
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	34.62%
2	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
3	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
4	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	34.62%	26.92%	23.08%	3.85%	—	11.54%	100%

Granada — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	1.42
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	1.58
Mean total goals/game	3.35
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.254
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	23.08%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
5+	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%
Total	15.38%	38.46%	15.38%	19.23%	—	11.54%	100%

Hercules — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.46
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	1.92
StdDev allowed	2.05
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.148
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%
1	7.69%	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	7.69%	38.46%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	30.77%	19.23%	15.38%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Levante — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.85
Mean allowed	2.04
StdDev scored	1.35
StdDev allowed	1.59
Mean total goals/game	3.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.278
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
1	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	30.77%	23.08%	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Mestalla — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.65
Mean allowed	1.92
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	1.49
Mean total goals/game	3.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.044
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
1	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	38.46%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	30.77%
3	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	15.38%	11.54%	19.23%	11.54%	23.08%	100%

Racing Ferrol — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	2.73
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	2.09
Mean total goals/game	4.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.028
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
1	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
Total	23.08%	26.92%	15.38%	26.92%	7.69%	—	100%

Real Gijon — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.15
Mean allowed	1.69
StdDev scored	1.91
StdDev allowed	1.32
Mean total goals/game	3.85
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.060
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	26.92%
1	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	15.38%	15.38%	30.77%	15.38%	3.85%	19.23%	100%

Real Murcia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.96
Mean allowed	2.73
StdDev scored	1.78
StdDev allowed	2.41
Mean total goals/game	4.69
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.479
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%
1	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	30.77%
2	7.69%	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
5+	—	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
Total	11.54%	15.38%	26.92%	15.38%	19.23%	11.54%	100%

Real Santander — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.92
Mean allowed	2.58
StdDev scored	1.83
StdDev allowed	1.72
Mean total goals/game	4.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.125
Games played	26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
1	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	15.38%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
5+	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
Total	23.08%	34.62%	11.54%	23.08%	7.69%	—	100%

Real Sociedad — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	3.08
Mean allowed	1.58
StdDev scored	2.40
StdDev allowed	1.30
Mean total goals/game	4.65
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.399
Games played	26

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Granada	35	25.8	+9.21
2	CD Malaga	35	26.4	+8.59
3	Real Sociedad	35	28.8	+6.25
4	Hercules	32	25.8	+6.19
5	Barakaldo	29	25.1	+3.86

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Racing Ferrol	15	23.9	-8.88
2	Badalona	19	26.1	-7.06
3	Mestalla	20	26.1	-6.13
4	Girona	22	27.2	-5.19
5	Levante	22	25.7	-3.66

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Granada	5	Jan 9 – Feb 6	1 in 136
2	Castellon	2	Nov 21 – Nov 28	1 in 106
3	CD Malaga	5	Sep 12 – Oct 10	1 in 23
4	Barakaldo	3	Nov 28 – Dec 12	1 in 18
5	Hercules	3	Sep 12 – Sep 26	1 in 16

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Racing Ferrol	8	Nov 14 – Jan 23	1 in 5,325
2	Real Santander	5	Jan 23 – Feb 20	1 in 730
3	Girona	3	Nov 21 – Dec 5	1 in 240
4	Badalona	6	Feb 6 – Apr 3	1 in 165
5	Mestalla	4	Mar 6 – Apr 17	1 in 66

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hercules	7	Jan 9 – Feb 20	1 in 160
2	CD Malaga	7	Sep 12 – Oct 24	1 in 43
3	Barakaldo	5	Nov 14 – Dec 12	1 in 42
4	Granada	6	Jan 9 – Feb 13	1 in 35
5	Real Sociedad	7	Nov 21 – Jan 23	1 in 24

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Real Santander	7	Jan 23 – Mar 6	1 in 453
2	Racing Ferrol	8	Nov 14 – Jan 23	1 in 436
3	Badalona	8	Feb 6 – Apr 17	1 in 190
4	Levante	6	Dec 12 – Feb 6	1 in 116
5	Girona	4	Mar 6 – Apr 17	1 in 11

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
CD Malaga	11.00%	12.00%	9.00%	9.00%	9.00%	7.00%	3.00%	8.00%	5.00%	3.00%	6.00%	9.00%	3.00%	6.00%
Real Sociedad	29.00%	15.00%	13.00%	11.00%	2.00%	7.00%	4.00%	—	6.00%	—	3.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Granada	4.00%	9.00%	7.00%	5.00%	10.00%	7.00%	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%	10.00%	9.00%	8.00%	3.00%	5.00%
Hercules	6.00%	9.00%	5.00%	8.00%	7.00%	3.00%	9.00%	10.00%	2.00%	11.00%	6.00%	11.00%	8.00%	5.00%
Real Gijon	16.00%	9.00%	16.00%	9.00%	11.00%	12.00%	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Barakaldo	3.00%	2.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	14.00%	7.00%	10.00%	9.00%	6.00%	8.00%	10.00%	5.00%
Real Murcia	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	8.00%	4.00%	9.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	12.00%	15.00%	8.00%	5.00%	5.00%
Castellon	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%	6.00%	8.00%	15.00%	5.00%	5.00%	12.00%	5.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	6.00%
Levante	4.00%	4.00%	7.00%	10.00%	11.00%	4.00%	4.00%	9.00%	5.00%	10.00%	8.00%	11.00%	10.00%	3.00%
Girona	6.00%	16.00%	11.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	5.00%	9.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	4.00%	1.00%	4.00%
Real Santander	2.00%	—	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	10.00%	11.00%	8.00%	12.00%	23.00%
Mestalla	6.00%	2.00%	8.00%	10.00%	13.00%	2.00%	11.00%	10.00%	10.00%	3.00%	6.00%	—	12.00%	7.00%
Badalona	3.00%	10.00%	6.00%	4.00%	5.00%	8.00%	13.00%	7.00%	12.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%
Racing Ferrol	1.00%	5.00%	1.00%	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	8.00%	11.00%	15.00%	22.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Direct relegation
Real Sociedad	45.0%	50.0%	5.0%
Real Gijon	25.0%	70.0%	5.0%
Girona	24.0%	71.0%	5.0%
CD Malaga	25.0%	66.0%	9.0%
Granada	13.0%	79.0%	8.0%
Hercules	16.0%	71.0%	13.0%
Badalona	13.0%	74.0%	13.0%
Castellon	10.0%	77.0%	13.0%
Levante	9.0%	78.0%	13.0%
Real Murcia	6.0%	84.0%	10.0%
Barakaldo	5.0%	80.0%	15.0%
Mestalla	—	81.0%	19.0%
Racing Ferrol	7.0%	56.0%	37.0%
Real Santander	2.0%	63.0%	35.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1948-09-12	Real Murcia	W 8-0	1326	1333	78.8%	9.5%	11.7%	+7.9	3
1948-09-12	@ CD Malaga	L 0-8	1333	1326	11.7%	9.5%	78.8%	-7.9	0
1948-09-12	Castellon	W 1-0	1316	1343	77.4%	9.6%	13.0%	+1.3	3
1948-09-12	@ Granada	L 0-1	1343	1316	13.0%	9.6%	77.4%	-1.3	0
1948-09-12	Real Sociedad	W 4-2	1332	1399	74.6%	9.7%	15.8%	+2.2	3
1948-09-12	@ Hercules	L 2-4	1399	1332	15.8%	9.7%	74.6%	-2.2	0
1948-09-12	Barakaldo	W 1-0	1330	1305	80.6%	9.4%	10.0%	+1.0	3
1948-09-12	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-1	1305	1330	10.0%	9.4%	80.6%	-1.0	0
1948-09-12	Girona	W 7-1	1303	1426	69.6%	9.8%	20.6%	+8.6	3
1948-09-12	@ Real Santander	L 1-7	1426	1303	20.6%	9.8%	69.6%	-8.6	0
1948-09-12	Levante	W 2-1	1407	1323	83.5%	9.2%	7.3%	+0.7	3
1948-09-12	@ Real Gijon	L 1-2	1323	1407	7.3%	9.2%	83.5%	-0.7	0
1948-09-12	Badalona	W 3-2	1346	1358	78.5%	9.5%	12.0%	+1.1	3
1948-09-12	@ Mestalla	L 2-3	1358	1346	12.0%	9.5%	78.5%	-1.0	0
1948-09-19	Hercules	L 3-4	1356	1335	80.5%	9.4%	10.2%	-6.3	0
1948-09-19	@ Badalona	W 4-3	1335	1356	10.2%	9.4%	80.5%	+6.3	6
1948-09-19	Granada	W 5-1	1304	1317	78.4%	9.5%	12.1%	+3.5	3
1948-09-19	@ Barakaldo	L 1-5	1317	1304	12.1%	9.5%	78.4%	-3.5	3
1948-09-19	Real Santander	W 3-2	1342	1311	81.0%	9.4%	9.7%	+0.8	3
1948-09-19	@ Castellon	L 2-3	1311	1342	9.7%	9.4%	81.0%	-0.8	3
1948-09-19	Real Sociedad	W 3-1	1334	1397	74.9%	9.7%	15.5%	+2.5	6
1948-09-19	@ CD Malaga	L 1-3	1397	1334	15.5%	9.7%	74.9%	-2.5	0
1948-09-19	Real Gijon	W 4-2	1418	1408	79.8%	9.4%	10.8%	+1.5	3
1948-09-19	@ Girona	L 2-4	1408	1418	10.8%	9.4%	79.8%	-1.5	3
1948-09-19	Mestalla	W 1-0	1322	1347	77.6%	9.6%	12.8%	+1.2	3
1948-09-19	@ Levante	L 0-1	1347	1322	12.8%	9.6%	77.6%	-1.3	3
1948-09-19	Racing Ferrol	W 6-2	1325	1330	78.9%	9.5%	11.7%	+2.9	3
1948-09-19	@ Real Murcia	L 2-6	1330	1325	11.7%	9.5%	78.9%	-2.9	3
1948-09-26	Badalona	W 6-1	1337	1350	78.3%	9.5%	12.1%	+4.3	9
1948-09-26	@ CD Malaga	L 1-6	1350	1337	12.1%	9.5%	78.3%	-4.4	0
1948-09-26	Levante	W 4-2	1341	1323	80.2%	9.4%	10.4%	+1.5	9
1948-09-26	@ Hercules	L 2-4	1323	1341	10.4%	9.4%	80.2%	-1.5	3
1948-09-26	Granada	D 1-1	1328	1314	80.0%	9.4%	10.6%	-1.6	4
1948-09-26	@ Racing Ferrol	D 1-1	1314	1328	10.6%	9.4%	80.0%	+1.6	4
1948-09-26	Barakaldo	W 2-0	1311	1308	79.4%	9.5%	11.2%	+2.1	6
1948-09-26	@ Real Santander	L 0-2	1308	1311	11.2%	9.5%	79.4%	-2.1	3
1948-09-26	Real Sociedad	W 3-0	1328	1395	74.6%	9.7%	15.8%	+4.2	6
1948-09-26	@ Real Murcia	L 0-3	1395	1328	15.8%	9.7%	74.6%	-4.2	0
1948-09-26	Castellon	W 5-2	1406	1343	82.6%	9.2%	8.2%	+1.6	6
1948-09-26	@ Real Gijon	L 2-5	1343	1406	8.2%	9.2%	82.6%	-1.6	3
1948-09-26	Girona	W 3-1	1345	1419	74.0%	9.7%	16.3%	+2.6	6
1948-09-26	@ Mestalla	L 1-3	1419	1345	16.3%	9.7%	74.0%	-2.6	3
1948-10-03	Real Murcia	W 3-0	1346	1332	80.0%	9.4%	10.6%	+2.9	3
1948-10-03	@ Badalona	L 0-3	1332	1346	10.6%	9.4%	80.0%	-2.9	6
1948-10-03	Real Gijon	W 1-0	1306	1408	71.6%	9.7%	18.7%	+1.8	6
1948-10-03	@ Barakaldo	L 0-1	1408	1306	18.7%	9.7%	71.6%	-1.8	6
1948-10-03	Mestalla	W 1-0	1341	1348	78.8%	9.5%	11.7%	+1.1	6
1948-10-03	@ Castellon	L 0-1	1348	1341	11.7%	9.5%	78.8%	-1.1	6
1948-10-03	Hercules	W 2-0	1417	1343	83.1%	9.2%	7.7%	+1.4	6
1948-10-03	@ Girona	L 0-2	1343	1417	7.7%	9.2%	83.1%	-1.4	9
1948-10-03	Real Santander	W 3-0	1315	1313	79.4%	9.5%	11.2%	+3.0	7
1948-10-03	@ Granada	L 0-3	1313	1315	11.2%	9.5%	79.4%	-3.0	6
1948-10-03	CD Malaga	L 2-3	1322	1341	78.0%	9.5%	12.5%	-6.2	3
1948-10-03	@ Levante	W 3-2	1341	1322	12.5%	9.5%	78.0%	+6.3	12
1948-10-03	Racing Ferrol	W 3-1	1390	1326	82.6%	9.2%	8.1%	+1.3	3
1948-10-03	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1326	1390	8.1%	9.2%	82.6%	-1.3	4
1948-10-10	Girona	W 4-2	1347	1418	74.2%	9.7%	16.1%	+2.3	15
1948-10-10	@ CD Malaga	L 2-4	1418	1347	16.1%	9.7%	74.2%	-2.3	6
1948-10-10	Castellon	W 5-3	1341	1343	79.1%	9.5%	11.4%	+1.6	12
1948-10-10	@ Hercules	L 3-5	1343	1341	11.4%	9.5%	79.1%	-1.5	6
1948-10-10	Real Santander	D 2-2	1325	1310	80.1%	9.4%	10.5%	-1.2	5
1948-10-10	@ Racing Ferrol	D 2-2	1310	1325	10.5%	9.4%	80.1%	+1.2	7
1948-10-10	Levante	L 1-3	1329	1316	80.0%	9.4%	10.6%	-11.7	6
1948-10-10	@ Real Murcia	W 3-1	1316	1329	10.6%	9.4%	80.0%	+11.7	6
1948-10-10	Badalona	W 4-1	1392	1349	81.6%	9.3%	9.1%	+2.1	6
1948-10-10	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-4	1349	1392	9.1%	9.3%	81.6%	-2.1	3
1948-10-10	Granada	W 2-0	1406	1318	83.7%	9.1%	7.2%	+1.3	9
1948-10-10	@ Real Gijon	L 0-2	1318	1406	7.2%	9.1%	83.7%	-1.3	7
1948-10-10	Barakaldo	W 2-0	1347	1307	81.4%	9.3%	9.3%	+1.7	9
1948-10-10	@ Mestalla	L 0-2	1307	1347	9.3%	9.3%	81.4%	-1.7	6
1948-10-17	Racing Ferrol	W 2-1	1347	1324	80.5%	9.4%	10.1%	+0.9	6
1948-10-17	@ Badalona	L 1-2	1324	1347	10.1%	9.4%	80.5%	-0.9	5
1948-10-17	Hercules	W 3-0	1306	1343	76.8%	9.6%	13.6%	+3.7	9
1948-10-17	@ Barakaldo	L 0-3	1343	1306	13.6%	9.6%	76.8%	-3.7	12
1948-10-17	CD Malaga	D 1-1	1341	1349	78.7%	9.5%	11.8%	-1.5	7
1948-10-17	@ Castellon	D 1-1	1349	1341	11.8%	9.5%	78.7%	+1.5	16
1948-10-17	Real Murcia	W 2-1	1416	1318	84.1%	9.1%	6.8%	+0.6	9
1948-10-17	@ Girona	L 1-2	1318	1416	6.8%	9.1%	84.1%	-0.6	6
1948-10-17	Mestalla	W 4-2	1317	1349	77.1%	9.6%	13.3%	+1.9	10
1948-10-17	@ Granada	L 2-4	1349	1317	13.3%	9.6%	77.1%	-1.9	9
1948-10-17	Real Sociedad	L 1-2	1327	1394	74.6%	9.7%	15.8%	-6.3	6
1948-10-17	@ Levante	W 2-1	1394	1327	15.8%	9.7%	74.6%	+6.3	9
1948-10-17	Real Gijon	W 3-2	1311	1407	72.1%	9.7%	18.2%	+1.6	10
1948-10-17	@ Real Santander	L 2-3	1407	1311	18.2%	9.7%	72.1%	-1.6	9
1948-10-24	Levante	W 3-2	1348	1321	80.7%	9.4%	9.9%	+0.9	9
1948-10-24	@ Badalona	L 2-3	1321	1348	9.9%	9.4%	80.7%	-0.9	6
1948-10-24	Barakaldo	W 3-0	1351	1309	81.5%	9.3%	9.2%	+2.5	19
1948-10-24	@ CD Malaga	L 0-3	1309	1351	9.2%	9.3%	81.5%	-2.5	9
1948-10-24	Granada	D 3-3	1339	1319	80.4%	9.4%	10.2%	-1.0	13
1948-10-24	@ Hercules	D 3-3	1319	1339	10.2%	9.4%	80.4%	+1.0	11
1948-10-24	Real Gijon	D 3-3	1323	1406	73.2%	9.7%	17.1%	-0.8	6
1948-10-24	@ Racing Ferrol	D 3-3	1406	1323	17.1%	9.7%	73.2%	+0.8	10
1948-10-24	Castellon	W 2-0	1317	1340	77.8%	9.5%	12.7%	+2.3	9
1948-10-24	@ Real Murcia	L 0-2	1340	1317	12.7%	9.5%	77.8%	-2.3	7
1948-10-24	Girona	W 5-1	1400	1417	78.1%	9.5%	12.3%	+3.6	12
1948-10-24	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-5	1417	1400	12.3%	9.5%	78.1%	-3.6	9
1948-10-24	Real Santander	W 4-2	1347	1312	81.1%	9.3%	9.5%	+1.4	12
1948-10-24	@ Mestalla	L 2-4	1312	1347	9.5%	9.3%	81.1%	-1.4	10
1948-10-31	Real Murcia	W 3-0	1307	1319	78.4%	9.5%	12.1%	+3.2	12
1948-10-31	@ Barakaldo	L 0-3	1319	1307	12.1%	9.5%	78.4%	-3.2	9
1948-10-31	Real Sociedad	W 3-1	1337	1404	74.6%	9.7%	15.8%	+2.5	10
1948-10-31	@ Castellon	L 1-3	1404	1337	15.8%	9.7%	74.6%	-2.5	12
1948-10-31	Badalona	W 5-0	1413	1348	82.6%	9.2%	8.1%	+3.5	12
1948-10-31	@ Girona	L 0-5	1348	1413	8.1%	9.2%	82.6%	-3.5	9
1948-10-31	CD Malaga	W 1-0	1320	1353	77.0%	9.6%	13.4%	+1.3	14
1948-10-31	@ Granada	L 0-1	1353	1320	13.4%	9.6%	77.0%	-1.3	19
1948-10-31	Racing Ferrol	W 5-2	1320	1322	79.1%	9.5%	11.4%	+2.2	9
1948-10-31	@ Levante	L 2-5	1322	1320	11.4%	9.5%	79.1%	-2.2	6
1948-10-31	Hercules	W 6-5	1311	1338	77.5%	9.6%	13.0%	+1.1	13
1948-10-31	@ Real Santander	L 5-6	1338	1311	13.0%	9.6%	77.5%	-1.1	13
1948-10-31	Mestalla	W 3-2	1407	1348	82.3%	9.3%	8.4%	+0.7	13
1948-10-31	@ Real Gijon	L 2-3	1348	1407	8.4%	9.3%	82.3%	-0.7	12
1948-11-07	Castellon	W 4-1	1345	1340	79.5%	9.5%	11.0%	+2.5	12
1948-11-07	@ Badalona	L 1-4	1340	1345	11.0%	9.5%	79.5%	-2.5	10
1948-11-07	Real Santander	W 7-1	1352	1312	81.4%	9.3%	9.2%	+3.9	22
1948-11-07	@ CD Malaga	L 1-7	1312	1352	9.2%	9.3%	81.4%	-3.9	13
1948-11-07	Real Gijon	W 3-1	1337	1407	74.3%	9.7%	16.1%	+2.6	16
1948-11-07	@ Hercules	L 1-3	1407	1337	16.1%	9.7%	74.3%	-2.6	13
1948-11-07	Girona	W 4-0	1323	1417	72.3%	9.7%	18.0%	+6.2	12
1948-11-07	@ Levante	L 0-4	1417	1323	18.0%	9.7%	72.3%	-6.2	12
1948-11-07	Mestalla	W 3-0	1320	1347	77.4%	9.6%	13.0%	+3.5	9
1948-11-07	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-3	1347	1320	13.0%	9.6%	77.4%	-3.5	12
1948-11-07	Granada	W 2-1	1316	1321	78.9%	9.5%	11.6%	+1.1	12
1948-11-07	@ Real Murcia	L 1-2	1321	1316	11.6%	9.5%	78.9%	-1.1	14
1948-11-07	Barakaldo	W 4-1	1401	1310	83.8%	9.1%	7.1%	+1.6	15
1948-11-07	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-4	1310	1401	7.1%	9.1%	83.8%	-1.6	12
1948-11-14	Badalona	W 3-1	1308	1347	76.6%	9.6%	13.8%	+2.2	15
1948-11-14	@ Barakaldo	L 1-3	1347	1308	13.8%	9.6%	76.6%	-2.2	12
1948-11-14	Levante	L 1-2	1337	1329	79.7%	9.4%	10.9%	-6.7	10
1948-11-14	@ Castellon	W 2-1	1329	1337	10.9%	9.4%	79.7%	+6.7	15
1948-11-14	Racing Ferrol	W 4-1	1410	1323	83.6%	9.1%	7.2%	+1.6	15
1948-11-14	@ Girona	L 1-4	1323	1410	7.2%	9.1%	83.6%	-1.6	9
1948-11-14	Real Sociedad	W 3-0	1320	1403	73.3%	9.7%	17.0%	+4.5	17
1948-11-14	@ Granada	L 0-3	1403	1320	17.0%	9.7%	73.3%	-4.5	15
1948-11-14	Real Murcia	D 2-2	1308	1317	78.6%	9.5%	11.9%	-1.1	14
1948-11-14	@ Real Santander	D 2-2	1317	1308	11.9%	9.5%	78.6%	+1.1	13
1948-11-14	CD Malaga	W 2-1	1405	1356	81.9%	9.3%	8.8%	+0.8	16
1948-11-14	@ Real Gijon	L 1-2	1356	1405	8.8%	9.3%	81.9%	-0.8	22
1948-11-14	Hercules	D 1-1	1344	1339	79.5%	9.5%	11.1%	-1.6	13
1948-11-14	@ Mestalla	D 1-1	1339	1344	11.1%	9.5%	79.5%	+1.6	17
1948-11-21	Granada	W 2-0	1345	1325	80.4%	9.4%	10.2%	+1.9	15
1948-11-21	@ Badalona	L 0-2	1325	1345	10.2%	9.4%	80.4%	-1.9	17
1948-11-21	Mestalla	D 1-1	1355	1342	80.0%	9.4%	10.6%	-1.6	23
1948-11-21	@ CD Malaga	D 1-1	1342	1355	10.6%	9.4%	80.0%	+1.6	14
1948-11-21	Castellon	L 2-3	1412	1330	83.4%	9.2%	7.4%	-6.7	15
1948-11-21	@ Girona	W 3-2	1330	1412	7.4%	9.2%	83.4%	+6.7	13
1948-11-21	Barakaldo	D 1-1	1336	1311	80.6%	9.4%	10.0%	-1.6	16
1948-11-21	@ Levante	D 1-1	1311	1336	10.0%	9.4%	80.6%	+1.6	16
1948-11-21	Hercules	L 0-1	1321	1341	78.0%	9.5%	12.5%	-7.0	9
1948-11-21	@ Racing Ferrol	W 1-0	1341	1321	12.5%	9.5%	78.0%	+7.0	20
1948-11-21	Real Gijon	W 3-2	1318	1406	72.9%	9.7%	17.4%	+1.5	16
1948-11-21	@ Real Murcia	L 2-3	1406	1318	17.4%	9.7%	72.9%	-1.5	16
1948-11-21	Real Santander	W 5-0	1398	1307	83.8%	9.1%	7.1%	+3.1	18
1948-11-21	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-5	1307	1398	7.1%	9.1%	83.8%	-3.1	14
1948-11-28	Girona	W 3-0	1312	1405	72.4%	9.7%	17.9%	+4.8	19
1948-11-28	@ Barakaldo	L 0-3	1405	1312	17.9%	9.7%	72.4%	-4.8	15
1948-11-28	Levante	W 3-0	1323	1334	78.5%	9.5%	12.0%	+3.2	20
1948-11-28	@ Granada	L 0-3	1334	1323	12.0%	9.5%	78.5%	-3.2	16
1948-11-28	CD Malaga	W 3-0	1348	1354	78.8%	9.5%	11.7%	+3.1	23
1948-11-28	@ Hercules	L 0-3	1354	1348	11.7%	9.5%	78.8%	-3.1	23
1948-11-28	Castellon	L 2-4	1314	1337	77.8%	9.5%	12.7%	-10.2	9
1948-11-28	@ Racing Ferrol	W 4-2	1337	1314	12.7%	9.5%	77.8%	+10.2	16
1948-11-28	Badalona	W 1-0	1304	1347	76.3%	9.6%	14.1%	+1.4	17
1948-11-28	@ Real Santander	L 0-1	1347	1304	14.1%	9.6%	76.3%	-1.4	15
1948-11-28	Real Sociedad	D 0-0	1404	1401	79.4%	9.5%	11.2%	-1.7	17
1948-11-28	@ Real Gijon	D 0-0	1401	1404	11.2%	9.5%	79.4%	+1.7	19
1948-11-28	Real Murcia	W 2-0	1344	1320	80.6%	9.4%	10.0%	+1.9	17
1948-11-28	@ Mestalla	L 0-2	1320	1344	10.0%	9.4%	80.6%	-1.9	16
1948-12-05	Real Gijon	D 1-1	1346	1402	75.3%	9.6%	15.0%	-1.4	16
1948-12-05	@ Badalona	D 1-1	1402	1346	15.0%	9.6%	75.3%	+1.4	18
1948-12-05	Barakaldo	L 0-2	1347	1317	80.9%	9.4%	9.7%	-13.7	16
1948-12-05	@ Castellon	W 2-0	1317	1347	9.7%	9.4%	80.9%	+13.7	22
1948-12-05	Racing Ferrol	W 6-2	1350	1304	81.8%	9.3%	8.9%	+2.2	26
1948-12-05	@ CD Malaga	L 2-6	1304	1350	8.9%	9.3%	81.8%	-2.2	9
1948-12-05	Granada	L 0-1	1400	1326	83.1%	9.2%	7.7%	-7.5	15
1948-12-05	@ Girona	W 1-0	1326	1400	7.7%	9.2%	83.1%	+7.5	23
1948-12-05	Real Santander	W 3-1	1331	1305	80.7%	9.4%	10.0%	+1.6	19
1948-12-05	@ Levante	L 1-3	1305	1331	10.0%	9.4%	80.7%	-1.6	17
1948-12-05	Hercules	W 5-1	1318	1351	77.0%	9.6%	13.4%	+3.9	19
1948-12-05	@ Real Murcia	L 1-5	1351	1318	13.4%	9.6%	77.0%	-3.9	23
1948-12-05	Mestalla	W 2-0	1403	1346	82.3%	9.3%	8.5%	+1.6	22
1948-12-05	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-2	1346	1403	8.5%	9.3%	82.3%	-1.6	17
1948-12-12	Mestalla	W 2-1	1344	1344	79.2%	9.5%	11.3%	+1.1	19
1948-12-12	@ Badalona	L 1-2	1344	1344	11.3%	9.5%	79.2%	-1.0	17
1948-12-12	Racing Ferrol	W 2-0	1331	1302	80.8%	9.4%	9.8%	+1.8	25
1948-12-12	@ Barakaldo	L 0-2	1302	1331	9.8%	9.4%	80.8%	-1.8	9
1948-12-12	Granada	W 1-0	1334	1333	79.2%	9.5%	11.3%	+1.1	19
1948-12-12	@ Castellon	L 0-1	1333	1334	11.3%	9.5%	79.2%	-1.1	23
1948-12-12	Real Santander	W 4-0	1393	1304	83.7%	9.1%	7.1%	+2.5	18
1948-12-12	@ Girona	L 0-4	1304	1393	7.1%	9.1%	83.7%	-2.5	17
1948-12-12	Real Gijon	D 1-1	1332	1404	74.2%	9.7%	16.1%	-1.3	20
1948-12-12	@ Levante	D 1-1	1404	1332	16.1%	9.7%	74.2%	+1.3	19
1948-12-12	CD Malaga	W 1-0	1322	1353	77.2%	9.6%	13.2%	+1.3	22
1948-12-12	@ Real Murcia	L 0-1	1353	1322	13.2%	9.6%	77.2%	-1.3	26
1948-12-12	Hercules	W 9-2	1405	1347	82.3%	9.3%	8.4%	+3.4	25
1948-12-12	@ Real Sociedad	L 2-9	1347	1405	8.4%	9.3%	82.3%	-3.4	23
1949-01-09	Barakaldo	W 3-1	1332	1333	79.2%	9.5%	11.3%	+1.8	26
1949-01-09	@ Granada	L 1-3	1333	1332	11.3%	9.5%	79.2%	-1.8	25
1949-01-09	Badalona	W 2-1	1344	1345	79.1%	9.5%	11.4%	+1.1	26
1949-01-09	@ Hercules	L 1-2	1345	1344	11.4%	9.5%	79.1%	-1.1	19
1949-01-09	Real Murcia	L 2-3	1300	1323	77.7%	9.5%	12.7%	-6.2	9
1949-01-09	@ Racing Ferrol	W 3-2	1323	1300	12.7%	9.5%	77.7%	+6.2	25
1949-01-09	Castellon	D 4-4	1301	1335	77.0%	9.6%	13.4%	-0.8	18
1949-01-09	@ Real Santander	D 4-4	1335	1301	13.4%	9.6%	77.0%	+0.8	20
1949-01-09	CD Malaga	W 5-1	1408	1351	82.3%	9.3%	8.5%	+2.5	28
1949-01-09	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-5	1351	1408	8.5%	9.3%	82.3%	-2.5	26
1949-01-09	Girona	W 2-0	1405	1396	79.8%	9.4%	10.8%	+2.0	22
1949-01-09	@ Real Gijon	L 0-2	1396	1405	10.8%	9.4%	79.8%	-2.0	18
1949-01-09	Levante	W 1-0	1343	1331	79.9%	9.4%	10.7%	+1.0	20
1949-01-09	@ Mestalla	L 0-1	1331	1343	10.7%	9.4%	79.9%	-1.0	20
1949-01-16	CD Malaga	D 2-2	1344	1349	78.9%	9.5%	11.6%	-1.1	20
1949-01-16	@ Badalona	D 2-2	1349	1344	11.6%	9.5%	78.9%	+1.1	27
1949-01-16	Real Santander	L 2-3	1331	1300	80.9%	9.4%	9.7%	-6.5	25
1949-01-16	@ Barakaldo	W 3-2	1300	1331	9.7%	9.4%	80.9%	+6.5	21
1949-01-16	Real Gijon	W 4-1	1336	1407	74.2%	9.7%	16.2%	+3.6	23
1949-01-16	@ Castellon	L 1-4	1407	1336	16.2%	9.7%	74.2%	-3.6	22
1949-01-16	Mestalla	W 2-1	1394	1344	81.9%	9.3%	8.8%	+0.8	21
1949-01-16	@ Girona	L 1-2	1344	1394	8.8%	9.3%	81.9%	-0.8	20
1949-01-16	Racing Ferrol	W 3-0	1334	1294	81.4%	9.3%	9.2%	+2.5	29
1949-01-16	@ Granada	L 0-3	1294	1334	9.2%	9.3%	81.4%	-2.5	9
1949-01-16	Hercules	D 1-1	1330	1345	78.2%	9.5%	12.2%	-1.5	21
1949-01-16	@ Levante	D 1-1	1345	1330	12.2%	9.5%	78.2%	+1.5	27
1949-01-16	Real Murcia	W 7-0	1411	1329	83.4%	9.2%	7.4%	+4.5	31
1949-01-16	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-7	1329	1411	7.4%	9.2%	83.4%	-4.5	25
1949-01-23	Levante	W 5-0	1350	1328	80.5%	9.4%	10.2%	+4.4	30
1949-01-23	@ CD Malaga	L 0-5	1328	1350	10.2%	9.4%	80.5%	-4.4	21
1949-01-23	Girona	W 2-0	1346	1394	76.0%	9.6%	14.4%	+2.7	30
1949-01-23	@ Hercules	L 0-2	1394	1346	14.4%	9.6%	76.0%	-2.7	21
1949-01-23	Real Sociedad	L 3-4	1291	1415	69.6%	9.8%	20.6%	-5.4	9
1949-01-23	@ Racing Ferrol	W 4-3	1415	1291	20.6%	9.8%	69.6%	+5.4	34
1949-01-23	Granada	L 1-2	1307	1337	77.3%	9.6%	13.2%	-6.5	21
1949-01-23	@ Real Santander	W 2-1	1337	1307	13.2%	9.6%	77.3%	+6.5	32
1949-01-23	Badalona	L 1-2	1325	1343	78.0%	9.5%	12.4%	-6.6	25
1949-01-23	@ Real Murcia	W 2-1	1343	1325	12.4%	9.5%	78.0%	+6.6	23
1949-01-23	Barakaldo	D 0-0	1403	1324	83.3%	9.2%	7.5%	-1.9	23
1949-01-23	@ Real Gijon	D 0-0	1324	1403	7.5%	9.2%	83.3%	+2.0	26
1949-01-23	Castellon	W 3-1	1343	1339	79.5%	9.5%	11.1%	+1.8	23
1949-01-23	@ Mestalla	L 1-3	1339	1343	11.1%	9.5%	79.5%	-1.8	23
1949-01-30	Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1350	1420	74.2%	9.7%	16.1%	+1.5	26
1949-01-30	@ Badalona	L 1-2	1420	1350	16.1%	9.7%	74.2%	-1.5	34
1949-01-30	Mestalla	W 6-2	1326	1345	78.0%	9.5%	12.5%	+3.1	29
1949-01-30	@ Barakaldo	L 2-6	1345	1326	12.5%	9.5%	78.0%	-3.1	23
1949-01-30	Hercules	L 1-2	1337	1349	78.5%	9.5%	12.0%	-6.6	23
1949-01-30	@ Castellon	W 2-1	1349	1337	12.0%	9.5%	78.5%	+6.6	33
1949-01-30	CD Malaga	D 2-2	1392	1354	81.3%	9.3%	9.4%	-1.2	22
1949-01-30	@ Girona	D 2-2	1354	1392	9.4%	9.3%	81.3%	+1.2	31
1949-01-30	Real Gijon	W 1-0	1343	1402	75.2%	9.6%	15.1%	+1.5	35
1949-01-30	@ Granada	L 0-1	1402	1343	15.1%	9.6%	75.2%	-1.5	23
1949-01-30	Real Murcia	D 2-2	1324	1318	79.5%	9.4%	11.0%	-1.2	22
1949-01-30	@ Levante	D 2-2	1318	1324	11.0%	9.4%	79.5%	+1.2	26
1949-01-30	Racing Ferrol	L 1-2	1300	1286	80.0%	9.4%	10.5%	-6.8	21
1949-01-30	@ Real Santander	W 2-1	1286	1300	10.5%	9.4%	80.0%	+6.8	12
1949-02-06	Castellon	W 1-0	1356	1331	80.6%	9.4%	10.0%	+1.0	34
1949-02-06	@ CD Malaga	L 0-1	1331	1356	10.0%	9.4%	80.6%	-1.0	23
1949-02-06	Barakaldo	W 2-0	1356	1329	80.7%	9.4%	9.9%	+1.8	36
1949-02-06	@ Hercules	L 0-2	1329	1356	9.9%	9.4%	80.7%	-1.8	29
1949-02-06	Badalona	W 4-0	1293	1351	75.2%	9.6%	15.2%	+5.3	15
1949-02-06	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-4	1351	1293	15.2%	9.6%	75.2%	-5.3	26
1949-02-06	Girona	W 3-0	1319	1390	74.2%	9.7%	16.1%	+4.3	29
1949-02-06	@ Real Murcia	L 0-3	1390	1319	16.1%	9.7%	74.2%	-4.3	22
1949-02-06	Levante	W 4-3	1419	1323	84.0%	9.1%	6.9%	+0.6	37
1949-02-06	@ Real Sociedad	L 3-4	1323	1419	6.9%	9.1%	84.0%	-0.6	22
1949-02-06	Real Santander	W 3-0	1400	1294	84.4%	9.0%	6.5%	+1.8	26
1949-02-06	@ Real Gijon	L 0-3	1294	1400	6.5%	9.0%	84.4%	-1.8	21
1949-02-06	Granada	L 1-2	1342	1345	79.0%	9.5%	11.5%	-6.7	23
1949-02-06	@ Mestalla	W 2-1	1345	1342	11.5%	9.5%	79.0%	+6.7	38
1949-02-13	CD Malaga	W 3-2	1327	1357	77.3%	9.6%	13.1%	+1.1	32
1949-02-13	@ Barakaldo	L 2-3	1357	1327	13.1%	9.6%	77.3%	-1.2	34
1949-02-13	Real Murcia	W 4-0	1330	1324	79.5%	9.4%	11.0%	+3.9	26
1949-02-13	@ Castellon	L 0-4	1324	1330	11.0%	9.4%	79.5%	-3.9	29
1949-02-13	Real Sociedad	W 4-1	1386	1420	77.0%	9.6%	13.4%	+3.0	25
1949-02-13	@ Girona	L 1-4	1420	1386	13.4%	9.6%	77.0%	-3.0	37
1949-02-13	Hercules	D 1-1	1351	1358	78.8%	9.5%	11.7%	-1.5	39
1949-02-13	@ Granada	D 1-1	1358	1351	11.7%	9.5%	78.8%	+1.5	37
1949-02-13	Badalona	W 4-0	1322	1346	77.7%	9.6%	12.8%	+4.5	25
1949-02-13	@ Levante	L 0-4	1346	1322	12.8%	9.6%	77.7%	-4.5	26
1949-02-13	Mestalla	L 0-1	1292	1335	76.3%	9.6%	14.1%	-6.8	21
1949-02-13	@ Real Santander	W 1-0	1335	1292	14.1%	9.6%	76.3%	+6.8	26
1949-02-13	Racing Ferrol	W 6-1	1402	1298	84.3%	9.1%	6.6%	+2.4	29
1949-02-13	@ Real Gijon	L 1-6	1298	1402	6.6%	9.1%	84.3%	-2.4	15
1949-02-20	Girona	L 0-3	1341	1389	76.0%	9.6%	14.4%	-18.7	26
1949-02-20	@ Badalona	W 3-0	1389	1341	14.4%	9.6%	76.0%	+18.7	28
1949-02-20	Granada	W 5-0	1356	1350	79.5%	9.4%	11.0%	+4.8	37
1949-02-20	@ CD Malaga	L 0-5	1350	1356	11.0%	9.4%	79.5%	-4.8	39
1949-02-20	Real Santander	W 4-1	1359	1285	83.1%	9.2%	7.7%	+1.8	40
1949-02-20	@ Hercules	L 1-4	1285	1359	7.7%	9.2%	83.1%	-1.8	21
1949-02-20	Levante	L 0-1	1296	1327	77.2%	9.6%	13.2%	-6.9	15
1949-02-20	@ Racing Ferrol	W 1-0	1327	1296	13.2%	9.6%	77.2%	+6.9	28
1949-02-20	Barakaldo	W 5-1	1320	1329	78.7%	9.5%	11.8%	+3.5	32
1949-02-20	@ Real Murcia	L 1-5	1329	1320	11.8%	9.5%	78.7%	-3.5	32
1949-02-20	Castellon	W 7-0	1417	1334	83.5%	9.2%	7.4%	+4.4	40
1949-02-20	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-7	1334	1417	7.4%	9.2%	83.5%	-4.4	26
1949-02-20	Real Gijon	L 2-3	1342	1404	74.9%	9.7%	15.4%	-6.0	26
1949-02-20	@ Mestalla	W 3-2	1404	1342	15.4%	9.7%	74.9%	+6.0	32
1949-02-27	Real Sociedad	L 1-2	1325	1421	72.2%	9.7%	18.1%	-6.1	32
1949-02-27	@ Barakaldo	W 2-1	1421	1325	18.1%	9.7%	72.2%	+6.1	43
1949-02-27	Badalona	W 2-1	1329	1323	79.6%	9.4%	11.0%	+1.0	29
1949-02-27	@ Castellon	L 1-2	1323	1329	11.0%	9.4%	79.6%	-1.0	26
1949-02-27	Levante	W 5-1	1408	1334	83.1%	9.2%	7.7%	+2.3	31
1949-02-27	@ Girona	L 1-5	1334	1408	7.7%	9.2%	83.1%	-2.3	28
1949-02-27	Real Murcia	W 5-1	1345	1323	80.5%	9.4%	10.2%	+3.0	42
1949-02-27	@ Granada	L 1-5	1323	1345	10.2%	9.4%	80.5%	-3.0	32
1949-02-27	CD Malaga	D 2-2	1283	1360	73.7%	9.7%	16.6%	-1.0	22
1949-02-27	@ Real Santander	D 2-2	1360	1283	16.6%	9.7%	73.7%	+1.0	38
1949-02-27	Hercules	W 3-2	1410	1361	81.9%	9.3%	8.8%	+0.8	35
1949-02-27	@ Real Gijon	L 2-3	1361	1410	8.8%	9.3%	81.9%	-0.8	40
1949-02-27	Racing Ferrol	W 6-1	1336	1289	81.8%	9.3%	8.9%	+3.2	29
1949-02-27	@ Mestalla	L 1-6	1289	1336	8.9%	9.3%	81.8%	-3.2	15
1949-03-06	Barakaldo	L 1-2	1322	1319	79.4%	9.5%	11.2%	-6.7	26
1949-03-06	@ Badalona	W 2-1	1319	1322	11.2%	9.5%	79.4%	+6.7	35
1949-03-06	Real Gijon	W 3-0	1361	1411	75.9%	9.6%	14.5%	+3.9	41
1949-03-06	@ CD Malaga	L 0-3	1411	1361	14.5%	9.6%	75.9%	-3.9	35
1949-03-06	Mestalla	W 4-1	1360	1339	80.4%	9.4%	10.2%	+2.3	43
1949-03-06	@ Hercules	L 1-4	1339	1360	10.2%	9.4%	80.4%	-2.3	29
1949-03-06	Castellon	W 4-1	1331	1330	79.3%	9.5%	11.3%	+2.6	31
1949-03-06	@ Levante	L 1-4	1330	1331	11.3%	9.5%	79.3%	-2.5	29
1949-03-06	Girona	W 1-0	1286	1410	69.5%	9.8%	20.7%	+2.0	18
1949-03-06	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-1	1410	1286	20.7%	9.8%	69.5%	-2.0	31
1949-03-06	Real Santander	W 4-1	1320	1282	81.3%	9.3%	9.3%	+2.1	35
1949-03-06	@ Real Murcia	L 1-4	1282	1320	9.3%	9.3%	81.3%	-2.1	22
1949-03-06	Granada	W 5-1	1427	1348	83.3%	9.2%	7.5%	+2.2	46
1949-03-06	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-5	1348	1427	7.5%	9.2%	83.3%	-2.2	42
1949-04-03	Levante	W 2-1	1326	1334	78.7%	9.5%	11.8%	+1.1	38
1949-04-03	@ Barakaldo	L 1-2	1334	1326	11.8%	9.5%	78.7%	-1.1	31
1949-04-03	Girona	W 3-1	1328	1408	73.5%	9.7%	16.9%	+2.7	32
1949-04-03	@ Castellon	L 1-3	1408	1328	16.9%	9.7%	73.5%	-2.7	31
1949-04-03	Badalona	W 4-2	1346	1315	80.9%	9.4%	9.7%	+1.4	45
1949-04-03	@ Granada	L 2-4	1315	1346	9.7%	9.4%	80.9%	-1.4	26
1949-04-03	Racing Ferrol	L 0-1	1362	1288	83.1%	9.2%	7.7%	-7.5	43
1949-04-03	@ Hercules	W 1-0	1288	1362	7.7%	9.2%	83.1%	+7.5	21
1949-04-03	Real Sociedad	W 2-0	1280	1429	67.1%	9.8%	23.1%	+4.2	25
1949-04-03	@ Real Santander	L 0-2	1429	1280	23.1%	9.8%	67.1%	-4.2	46
1949-04-03	Real Murcia	W 7-0	1407	1322	83.5%	9.2%	7.3%	+4.4	38
1949-04-03	@ Real Gijon	L 0-7	1322	1407	7.3%	9.2%	83.5%	-4.4	35
1949-04-03	CD Malaga	L 0-1	1337	1365	77.4%	9.6%	13.1%	-6.9	29
1949-04-03	@ Mestalla	W 1-0	1365	1337	13.1%	9.6%	77.4%	+6.9	44
1949-04-10	Real Santander	D 1-1	1314	1284	80.9%	9.4%	9.8%	-1.6	27
1949-04-10	@ Badalona	D 1-1	1284	1314	9.8%	9.4%	80.9%	+1.6	26
1949-04-10	Racing Ferrol	W 3-2	1330	1295	81.2%	9.3%	9.5%	+0.8	35
1949-04-10	@ Castellon	L 2-3	1295	1330	9.5%	9.3%	81.2%	-0.8	21
1949-04-10	Hercules	W 1-0	1372	1355	80.2%	9.4%	10.4%	+1.0	47
1949-04-10	@ CD Malaga	L 0-1	1355	1372	10.4%	9.4%	80.2%	-1.0	43
1949-04-10	Barakaldo	D 0-0	1405	1327	83.3%	9.2%	7.5%	-2.0	32
1949-04-10	@ Girona	D 0-0	1327	1405	7.5%	9.2%	83.3%	+1.9	39
1949-04-10	Granada	L 2-3	1333	1347	78.3%	9.5%	12.2%	-6.3	31
1949-04-10	@ Levante	W 3-2	1347	1333	12.2%	9.5%	78.3%	+6.3	48
1949-04-10	Mestalla	W 4-3	1318	1330	78.4%	9.5%	12.0%	+1.0	38
1949-04-10	@ Real Murcia	L 3-4	1330	1318	12.0%	9.5%	78.4%	-1.0	29
1949-04-10	Real Gijon	W 3-0	1425	1411	80.0%	9.4%	10.6%	+2.9	49
1949-04-10	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-3	1411	1425	10.6%	9.4%	80.0%	-2.9	38
1949-04-17	Castellon	W 6-1	1329	1331	79.0%	9.5%	11.5%	+4.1	42
1949-04-17	@ Barakaldo	L 1-6	1331	1329	11.5%	9.5%	79.0%	-4.1	35
1949-04-17	Girona	W 3-0	1354	1404	75.8%	9.6%	14.5%	+3.9	51
1949-04-17	@ Granada	L 0-3	1404	1354	14.5%	9.6%	75.8%	-3.9	32
1949-04-17	Real Murcia	W 8-2	1354	1319	81.2%	9.3%	9.5%	+3.3	46
1949-04-17	@ Hercules	L 2-8	1319	1354	9.5%	9.3%	81.2%	-3.3	38
1949-04-17	CD Malaga	L 1-5	1294	1373	73.6%	9.7%	16.7%	-19.7	21
1949-04-17	@ Racing Ferrol	W 5-1	1373	1294	16.7%	9.7%	73.6%	+19.7	50
1949-04-17	Levante	W 5-1	1286	1327	76.5%	9.6%	13.9%	+4.0	29
1949-04-17	@ Real Santander	L 1-5	1327	1286	13.9%	9.6%	76.5%	-4.0	31
1949-04-17	Badalona	W 5-3	1409	1312	84.0%	9.1%	6.9%	+0.9	41
1949-04-17	@ Real Gijon	L 3-5	1312	1409	6.9%	9.1%	84.0%	-0.9	27
1949-04-17	Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1329	1428	71.9%	9.7%	18.4%	-10.5	29
1949-04-17	@ Mestalla	W 3-1	1428	1329	18.4%	9.7%	71.9%	+10.5	52

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1948-11-21	7.44%	Castellon	1330	3	@ Girona	1412	2
2	1949-04-03	7.71%	Racing Ferrol	1288	1	@ Hercules	1362	0
3	1948-12-05	7.72%	Granada	1326	1	@ Girona	1400	0
4	1948-12-05	9.71%	Barakaldo	1317	2	@ Castellon	1347	0
5	1949-01-16	9.71%	Real Santander	1300	3	@ Barakaldo	1331	2
6	1948-09-19	10.15%	Hercules	1335	4	@ Badalona	1356	3
7	1949-01-30	10.54%	Racing Ferrol	1286	2	@ Real Santander	1300	1
8	1948-10-10	10.58%	Levante	1316	3	@ Real Murcia	1329	1
9	1948-11-14	10.86%	Levante	1329	2	@ Castellon	1337	1
10	1949-03-06	11.17%	Barakaldo	1319	2	@ Badalona	1322	1
11	1949-02-06	11.49%	Granada	1345	2	@ Mestalla	1342	1
12	1949-01-30	12.02%	Hercules	1349	2	@ Castellon	1337	1
13	1949-04-10	12.19%	Granada	1347	3	@ Levante	1333	2
14	1949-01-23	12.43%	Badalona	1343	2	@ Real Murcia	1325	1
15	1948-10-03	12.47%	CD Malaga	1341	3	@ Levante	1322	2
16	1948-11-21	12.51%	Hercules	1341	1	@ Racing Ferrol	1321	0
17	1948-11-28	12.71%	Castellon	1337	4	@ Racing Ferrol	1314	2
18	1949-01-09	12.72%	Real Murcia	1323	3	@ Racing Ferrol	1300	2
19	1949-04-03	13.05%	CD Malaga	1365	1	@ Mestalla	1337	0
20	1949-01-23	13.16%	Granada	1337	2	@ Real Santander	1307	1
21	1949-02-20	13.24%	Levante	1327	1	@ Racing Ferrol	1296	0
22	1949-02-13	14.09%	Mestalla	1335	1	@ Real Santander	1292	0
23	1949-02-20	14.38%	Girona	1389	3	@ Badalona	1341	0
24	1949-02-20	15.42%	Real Gijon	1404	3	@ Mestalla	1342	2
25	1948-10-17	15.75%	Real Sociedad	1394	2	@ Levante	1327	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1949-04-17	19.65	CD Malaga	5	1373	16.73%	@ Racing Ferrol	1	1294	73.58%
2	1949-02-20	18.66	Girona	3	1389	14.38%	@ Badalona	0	1341	76.00%
3	1948-12-05	13.69	Barakaldo	2	1317	9.71%	@ Castellon	0	1347	80.92%
4	1948-10-10	11.72	Levante	3	1316	10.58%	@ Real Murcia	1	1329	79.99%
5	1949-04-17	10.51	Real Sociedad	3	1428	18.38%	@ Mestalla	1	1329	71.89%
6	1948-11-28	10.18	Castellon	4	1337	12.71%	@ Racing Ferrol	2	1314	77.75%
7	1948-09-12	8.60	@ Real Santander	7	1303	69.60%	Girona	1	1426	20.64%
8	1948-09-12	7.94	@ CD Malaga	8	1326	78.77%	Real Murcia	0	1333	11.73%
9	1949-04-03	7.46	Racing Ferrol	1	1288	7.71%	@ Hercules	0	1362	83.10%
10	1948-12-05	7.45	Granada	1	1326	7.72%	@ Girona	0	1400	83.09%
11	1948-11-21	6.99	Hercules	1	1341	12.51%	@ Racing Ferrol	0	1321	77.95%
12	1949-04-03	6.94	CD Malaga	1	1365	13.05%	@ Mestalla	0	1337	77.39%
13	1949-02-20	6.92	Levante	1	1327	13.24%	@ Racing Ferrol	0	1296	77.19%
14	1949-02-13	6.84	Mestalla	1	1335	14.09%	@ Real Santander	0	1292	76.31%
15	1949-01-30	6.78	Racing Ferrol	2	1286	10.54%	@ Real Santander	1	1300	80.04%
16	1948-11-14	6.74	Levante	2	1329	10.86%	@ Castellon	1	1337	79.69%
17	1949-03-06	6.71	Barakaldo	2	1319	11.17%	@ Badalona	1	1322	79.36%
18	1948-11-21	6.70	Castellon	3	1330	7.44%	@ Girona	2	1412	83.40%
19	1949-02-06	6.69	Granada	2	1345	11.49%	@ Mestalla	1	1342	79.03%
20	1949-01-30	6.63	Hercules	2	1349	12.02%	@ Castellon	1	1337	78.47%
21	1949-01-23	6.60	Badalona	2	1343	12.43%	@ Real Murcia	1	1325	78.04%
22	1949-01-23	6.53	Granada	2	1337	13.16%	@ Real Santander	1	1307	77.27%
23	1949-01-16	6.50	Real Santander	3	1300	9.71%	@ Barakaldo	2	1331	80.92%
24	1948-09-19	6.31	Hercules	4	1335	10.15%	@ Badalona	3	1356	80.45%
25	1948-10-17	6.30	Real Sociedad	2	1394	15.75%	@ Levante	1	1327	74.60%