Home / Leagues / Sweden / Allsvenskan / 1925-26
‹ ›

1925-26 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Orgryte

35 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Norrkoping

4.94 points above expected

20 points · 15.06 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Eskilstuna City

8.89 points below expected

6 points · 14.89 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Orgryte 22 15 5 2 35 75 33 +42 31.59 +3.41
2 GAIS 22 16 2 4 34 67 20 +47 31.78 +2.22
3 Goteborg 22 13 7 2 33 65 27 +38 31.48 +1.52
4 Helsingborg 22 15 2 5 32 75 36 +39 30.32 +1.68
5 AIK Stockholm 22 7 7 8 21 45 50 -5 22.76 -1.76
6 Norrkoping 22 9 2 11 20 47 57 -10 15.06 +4.94
7 Landskrona 22 7 4 11 18 56 67 -11 19.61 -1.61
8 Sleipner 22 8 2 12 18 40 52 -12 17.59 +0.41
9 IFK Eskilstuna 22 6 5 11 17 40 63 -23 17.83 -0.83
10 Uddevalla 22 4 8 10 16 31 49 -18 18.22 -2.22
11 IFK Malmo 22 4 6 12 14 30 66 -36 12.87 +1.13
12 Eskilstuna City 22 1 4 17 6 32 83 -51 14.89 -8.89

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Norrkoping 20 15.06 +4.94
2 Orgryte 35 31.59 +3.41
3 GAIS 34 31.78 +2.22
4 Helsingborg 32 30.32 +1.68
5 Goteborg 33 31.48 +1.52

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Eskilstuna City 6 14.89 -8.89
2 Uddevalla 16 18.22 -2.22
3 AIK Stockholm 21 22.76 -1.76
4 Landskrona 18 19.61 -1.61
5 IFK Eskilstuna 17 17.83 -0.83

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orgryte 10 Aug 9 – Oct 25 1 in 142
2 Sleipner 4 Apr 25 – May 13 1 in 100
3 Landskrona 4 Aug 16 – Aug 30 1 in 84
4 IFK Eskilstuna 2 Oct 25 – Nov 1 1 in 43
5 Norrkoping 4 May 13 – May 24 1 in 37

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sleipner 7 Sep 13 – Apr 18 1 in 59
2 IFK Malmo 6 Aug 2 – Aug 30 1 in 37
3 Helsingborg 2 May 9 – May 13 1 in 23
4 Eskilstuna City 7 May 2 – Jun 6 1 in 17
5 IFK Eskilstuna 4 Aug 30 – Sep 20 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IFK Malmo 4 Oct 4 – Apr 18 1 in 41
2 Uddevalla 6 Aug 2 – Sep 13 1 in 33
3 Norrkoping 6 May 13 – Jun 6 1 in 22
4 Sleipner 4 Apr 25 – May 13 1 in 12
5 Landskrona 4 Aug 16 – Aug 30 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Eskilstuna City 14 Aug 2 – Apr 11 1 in 291
2 Landskrona 6 Apr 18 – May 21 1 in 36
3 AIK Stockholm 6 Nov 1 – May 9 1 in 24
4 IFK Eskilstuna 7 Apr 2 – May 16 1 in 20
5 GAIS 3 Apr 30 – May 9 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Orgryte 1885 35 +32 8 7.1 +0.9
GAIS 1895 34 +53 7 7.5 -0.5
Goteborg 1862 33 +32 7 6.1 +0.9
Helsingborg 1700 32 -151 2 6.6 -4.6
AIK Stockholm 1580 21 -25 4 6.0 -2.0
Norrkoping 1560 20 +108 9 5.0 +4.0
Sleipner 1557 18 +54 6 4.3 +1.7
Landskrona 1477 18 -48 4 5.5 -1.5
IFK Eskilstuna 1457 17 -32 4 5.4 -1.4
Uddevalla 1369 16 -29 3 3.1 -0.1
IFK Malmo 1431 14 -41 2 3.5 -1.5
Eskilstuna City 1264 6 -57 0 2.3 -2.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS EC GAI GOT HEL IE IM LAN NOR ORG SLE UDD
AIK Stockholm —
2-0-0
4.39
1-0-1
1.30
1-0-1
1.29
0-0-2
1.65
1-1-0
3.60
0-2-0
4.26
1-1-0
3.31
1-0-1
4.30
0-1-1
1.23
0-1-1
3.40
0-1-1
3.63
Eskilstuna City
0-0-2
1.20
—
0-0-2
0.69
0-1-1
1.06
0-0-2
0.84
1-1-0
2.20
0-1-1
3.75
0-0-2
2.60
0-0-2
2.55
0-0-2
0.81
0-0-2
2.72
0-1-1
2.32
GAIS
1-0-1
4.28
2-0-0
4.93
—
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.87
2-0-0
4.49
2-0-0
4.71
2-0-0
3.99
2-0-0
4.79
0-1-1
2.75
2-0-0
4.73
1-0-1
4.70
Goteborg
1-0-1
4.29
1-1-0
4.55
0-1-1
2.82
—
1-1-0
2.92
2-0-0
4.54
1-1-0
5.06
2-0-0
4.69
1-1-0
4.84
1-1-0
2.74
2-0-0
4.34
1-1-0
4.52
Helsingborg
2-0-0
3.93
2-0-0
4.77
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.65
—
2-0-0
4.59
1-0-1
4.73
2-0-0
4.35
1-0-1
4.33
0-1-1
2.69
2-0-0
4.52
2-0-0
4.36
IFK Eskilstuna
0-1-1
1.97
0-1-1
3.37
0-0-2
1.10
0-0-2
1.06
0-0-2
1.00
—
1-1-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.12
2-0-0
3.67
1-0-1
1.05
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
3.07
IFK Malmo
0-2-0
1.32
1-1-0
1.82
0-0-2
0.89
0-1-1
0.57
1-0-1
0.87
0-1-1
2.44
—
0-1-1
2.46
0-0-2
2.70
0-0-2
0.81
1-0-1
1.88
1-0-1
1.60
Landskrona
0-1-1
2.26
2-0-0
2.98
0-0-2
1.59
0-0-2
0.91
0-0-2
1.24
1-1-0
3.45
1-1-0
3.10
—
1-0-1
4.21
0-0-2
1.30
1-0-1
2.97
1-1-0
3.08
Norrkoping
1-0-1
1.28
2-0-0
3.01
0-0-2
0.81
0-1-1
0.77
1-0-1
1.26
0-0-2
1.90
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
1.37
—
0-0-2
0.74
1-0-1
2.22
1-1-0
3.56
Orgryte
1-1-0
4.35
2-0-0
4.81
1-1-0
2.82
0-1-1
2.82
1-1-0
2.87
1-0-1
4.55
2-0-0
4.80
2-0-0
4.28
2-0-0
4.88
—
2-0-0
4.88
1-1-0
4.51
Sleipner
1-1-0
2.16
2-0-0
2.85
0-0-2
0.87
0-0-2
1.25
0-0-2
1.07
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
3.69
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
3.35
0-0-2
0.73
—
1-1-0
2.40
Uddevalla
1-1-0
1.95
1-1-0
3.24
1-0-1
0.90
0-1-1
1.08
0-0-2
1.23
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
3.97
0-1-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.00
0-1-1
1.10
0-1-1
3.17
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.84 +5.1
Allowed 0.88 -4.7
Differential 0.98 +2.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%3.79%2.27%3.41%1.52%3.79%18.56%
13.79%4.55%3.41%2.65%2.27%5.68%22.35%
22.27%3.41%5.30%3.03%1.52%2.27%17.80%
33.41%2.65%3.03%6.06%1.89%2.27%19.32%
41.52%2.27%1.52%1.89%0.76%—7.95%
5+3.79%5.68%2.27%2.27%——14.02%
Total18.56%22.35%17.80%19.32%7.95%14.02%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.28 2.28 +0.00
SD 1.88 1.88 2.91
CV 0.82 0.82 —
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%——9.09%—4.55%22.73%
14.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
2——9.09%13.64%—4.55%27.27%
34.55%9.09%—9.09%——22.73%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———9.09%——9.09%
Total18.18%13.64%13.64%45.45%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 2.27 -0.23
SD 1.65 1.58 2.16
CV 0.81 0.69 —
Max 6 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%31.82%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%31.82%
2————4.55%—4.55%
3———9.09%13.64%—22.73%
4———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
5+———————
Total—4.55%9.09%27.27%31.82%27.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 3.77 -2.32
SD 1.41 1.27 2.01
CV 0.97 0.34 —
Max 4 6 +1
Min 0 1 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
118.18%4.55%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
2——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+18.18%13.64%————31.82%
Total50.00%22.73%18.18%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.05 0.91 +2.14
SD 2.01 1.15 2.66
CV 0.66 1.27 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
1—13.64%—4.55%——18.18%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
39.09%—————9.09%
4—9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
5+4.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
Total27.27%40.91%18.18%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.95 1.23 +1.73
SD 2.17 1.11 2.21
CV 0.73 0.90 —
Max 8 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
1————4.55%—4.55%
213.64%4.55%9.09%———27.27%
3——4.55%———4.55%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+—13.64%13.64%9.09%——36.36%
Total18.18%31.82%31.82%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.41 1.64 +1.77
SD 2.68 1.29 3.01
CV 0.79 0.79 —
Max 9 5 +8
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
14.55%4.55%—9.09%13.64%—31.82%
2—4.55%———9.09%13.64%
3—4.55%13.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%40.91%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%18.18%13.64%27.27%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.86 -1.05
SD 1.14 1.93 2.03
CV 0.63 0.68 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%——4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
19.09%—4.55%4.55%—27.27%45.45%
2——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
34.55%——9.09%——13.64%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%—13.64%22.73%4.55%31.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 3.00 -1.64
SD 1.26 2.47 3.05
CV 0.92 0.82 —
Max 5 9 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
1—————9.09%9.09%
2—4.55%9.09%—9.09%9.09%31.82%
3—4.55%—9.09%—9.09%22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+9.09%9.09%————18.18%
Total9.09%27.27%13.64%9.09%13.64%27.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 3.05 -0.50
SD 1.68 2.28 3.36
CV 0.66 0.75 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—4.55%—4.55%18.18%
1—9.09%—4.55%4.55%9.09%27.27%
24.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
3——4.55%——9.09%13.64%
4———9.09%——9.09%
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total9.09%36.36%4.55%22.73%4.55%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 2.59 -0.45
SD 1.78 2.02 2.94
CV 0.83 0.78 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
14.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
2—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
313.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%13.64%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
Total22.73%27.27%31.82%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.41 1.50 +1.91
SD 1.71 1.14 1.95
CV 0.50 0.76 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%—4.55%31.82%
14.55%—9.09%——4.55%18.18%
24.55%——4.55%—4.55%13.64%
3—9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total18.18%22.73%22.73%18.18%—18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.36 -0.55
SD 1.82 2.17 2.92
CV 1.00 0.92 —
Max 7 8 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%——13.64%31.82%
1—9.09%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
2—9.09%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
34.55%——13.64%——18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%22.73%22.73%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 2.23 -0.82
SD 1.26 1.57 2.11
CV 0.89 0.71 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
GAIS 1895 34 31.78 +2.22 75.0% 22 25 29 32 34 37 39
Orgryte 1885 35 31.59 +3.41 86.0% 22 25 29 31 34 37 40
Goteborg 1862 33 31.48 +1.52 70.0% 20 25 29 31 34 37 42
Helsingborg 1700 32 30.32 +1.68 72.0% 20 24 28 30 33 36 39
AIK Stockholm 1580 21 22.76 -1.76 38.0% 13 17 20 23 25 29 32
Norrkoping 1560 20 15.06 +4.94 96.0% 6 8 13 15 18 20 27
Sleipner 1557 18 17.59 +0.41 64.0% 10 11 15 17 20 23 28
Landskrona 1477 18 19.61 -1.61 37.0% 12 15 17 20 22 24 27
IFK Eskilstuna 1457 17 17.83 -0.83 50.0% 9 12 15 17 20 24 27
IFK Malmo 1431 14 12.87 +1.13 75.0% 3 7 11 13 14 19 20
Uddevalla 1369 16 18.22 -2.22 35.0% 12 13 16 18 20 24 26
Eskilstuna City 1264 6 14.89 -8.89 0.0% 7 8 12 15 17 20 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.91%
Clear Edge
47.73%20.45%31.82%
Elo Value
Home Edge
140 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
055.75400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.43 goals
Neutral
-2+0.40+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.8
Top-Heavy
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
24%
Orgryte, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.85 * Some Luck: 2.85 to 4.27 * Lucky: 4.27 to 5.69 * Wild Swing: 5.69 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.13 * Close: 1.13 to 1.69 * Off: 1.69 to 2.25 * Way Off: 2.25 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.39 points
Some Luck
03.569
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Close
01.413
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Norrkoping
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Eskilstuna City
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 208.67
2.22
Wide Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
84%
Wide Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
45%
Few
0%39%100%
Blowouts
Expected
41%
Very Frequent
0%39%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.53
Lopsided
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.88
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.68
Strong Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Solid Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.02
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.93
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.118
Well Within Noise
00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Orgryte24.00%30.00%25.00%19.00%1.00%1.00%——————
GAIS31.00%22.00%23.00%16.00%6.00%2.00%——————
Goteborg29.00%25.00%24.00%17.00%4.00%1.00%——————
Helsingborg16.00%23.00%25.00%31.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%—————
AIK Stockholm——3.00%13.00%40.00%21.00%10.00%7.00%4.00%—2.00%—
Norrkoping———1.00%1.00%3.00%11.00%10.00%25.00%16.00%20.00%13.00%
Landskrona———1.00%16.00%25.00%22.00%12.00%9.00%13.00%2.00%—
Sleipner———1.00%6.00%13.00%20.00%14.00%16.00%12.00%12.00%6.00%
IFK Eskilstuna———1.00%10.00%15.00%13.00%13.00%17.00%14.00%10.00%7.00%
Uddevalla————10.00%14.00%17.00%24.00%11.00%13.00%11.00%—
IFK Malmo—————1.00%1.00%8.00%7.00%15.00%23.00%45.00%
Eskilstuna City————3.00%3.00%5.00%12.00%11.00%17.00%20.00%29.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
GAIS 100% —
Goteborg 100% —
Helsingborg 100% —
Orgryte 100% —
AIK Stockholm 98.00% 2.00%
Landskrona 98.00% 2.00%
Uddevalla 89.00% 11.00%
IFK Eskilstuna 83.00% 17.00%
Sleipner 82.00% 18.00%
Norrkoping 67.00% 33.00%
Eskilstuna City 51.00% 49.00%
IFK Malmo 32.00% 68.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1925-08-02 Landskrona W 6-353.5 1597 1482 62.36% 21.28% 16.36%+1.22 +13.3 2
1925-08-02 @ AIK Stockholm L 3-653.5 1482 1597 16.36% 21.28% 62.36%-1.22 -13.3 0
1925-08-02 Goteborg D 4-481.1 1534 1775 20.07% 21.20% 58.73%-1.32 +1.8 1
1925-08-02 @ Eskilstuna City D 4-481.1 1775 1534 58.73% 21.20% 20.07%+1.32 -1.8 1
1925-08-02 Norrkoping W 1-046.5 1768 1409 75.95% 19.39% 4.66%+2.96 +2.2 2
1925-08-02 @ GAIS L 0-146.5 1409 1768 4.66% 19.39% 75.95%-2.96 -2.2 0
1925-08-02 Sleipner W 8-350.7 1680 1516 66.15% 21.01% 12.83%+1.57 +16.0 2
1925-08-02 @ Helsingborg L 3-850.7 1516 1680 12.83% 21.01% 66.15%-1.57 -16.0 0
1925-08-02 IFK Eskilstuna L 2-358.9 1455 1516 42.46% 21.69% 35.84%-0.03 -14.2 0
1925-08-02 @ IFK Malmo W 3-258.9 1516 1455 35.84% 21.69% 42.46%+0.03 +14.2 2
1925-08-02 Orgryte D 2-273.7 1534 1770 20.52% 21.23% 58.25%-1.29 +2.4 1
1925-08-02 @ Uddevalla D 2-273.7 1770 1534 58.25% 21.23% 20.52%+1.29 -2.4 1
1925-08-07 Orgryte W 4-368.9 1773 1768 51.03% 21.64% 27.33%+0.44 +9.8 3
1925-08-07 @ Goteborg L 3-468.9 1768 1773 27.33% 21.64% 51.03%-0.44 -9.8 1
1925-08-07 Eskilstuna City D 3-371.9 1530 1536 49.65% 21.66% 28.69%+0.36 -1.0 3
1925-08-07 @ IFK Eskilstuna D 3-371.9 1536 1530 28.69% 21.66% 49.65%-0.36 +1.0 2
1925-08-07 Helsingborg L 0-249.3 1469 1696 21.46% 21.28% 57.27%-1.22 -17.1 0
1925-08-07 @ Landskrona W 2-049.3 1696 1469 57.27% 21.28% 21.46%+1.22 +17.1 4
1925-08-07 Norrkoping W 1-042.0 1500 1407 60.43% 21.38% 18.19%+1.06 +7.9 2
1925-08-07 @ Sleipner L 0-142.0 1407 1500 18.19% 21.38% 60.43%-1.06 -7.9 0
1925-08-09 Norrkoping W 7-348.2 1713 1399 74.28% 19.83% 5.89%+2.64 +6.3 6
1925-08-09 @ Helsingborg L 3-748.2 1399 1713 5.89% 19.83% 74.28%-2.64 -6.3 0
1925-08-09 Goteborg L 2-456.0 1452 1783 12.93% 20.63% 66.44%-1.97 -8.4 0
1925-08-09 @ Landskrona W 4-256.0 1783 1452 66.44% 20.63% 12.93%+1.97 +8.4 5
1925-08-09 IFK Malmo W 6-144.3 1758 1441 74.41% 19.80% 5.79%+2.66 +9.9 3
1925-08-09 @ Orgryte L 1-644.3 1441 1758 5.79% 19.80% 74.41%-2.66 -9.8 0
1925-08-09 AIK Stockholm D 0-063.3 1508 1611 36.47% 21.66% 41.87%-0.33 +0.5 3
1925-08-09 @ Sleipner D 0-063.3 1611 1508 41.87% 21.66% 36.47%+0.33 -0.5 3
1925-08-09 Eskilstuna City D 1-164.3 1536 1537 50.32% 21.65% 28.03%+0.39 -1.8 2
1925-08-09 @ Uddevalla D 1-164.3 1537 1536 28.03% 21.65% 50.32%-0.39 +1.8 3
1925-08-14 IFK Malmo W 9-142.6 1719 1431 73.18% 20.07% 6.75%+2.45 +17.8 8
1925-08-14 @ Helsingborg L 1-942.6 1431 1719 6.75% 20.07% 73.18%-2.45 -17.8 0
1925-08-14 GAIS W 4-263.5 1768 1770 50.18% 21.65% 28.17%+0.39 +16.7 5
1925-08-14 @ Orgryte L 2-463.5 1770 1768 28.17% 21.65% 50.18%-0.39 -16.7 2
1925-08-16 Helsingborg L 2-561.7 1610 1737 33.17% 21.62% 45.21%-0.51 -26.1 3
1925-08-16 @ AIK Stockholm W 5-261.7 1737 1610 45.21% 21.62% 33.17%+0.51 +26.1 10
1925-08-16 Landskrona L 1-260.5 1539 1443 60.60% 21.37% 18.03%+1.08 -20.7 3
1925-08-16 @ Eskilstuna City W 2-160.5 1443 1539 18.03% 21.37% 60.60%-1.08 +20.7 2
1925-08-16 Sleipner W 2-047.2 1792 1509 72.95% 20.12% 6.93%+2.42 +6.1 7
1925-08-16 @ Goteborg L 0-247.2 1509 1792 6.93% 20.12% 72.95%-2.42 -6.1 3
1925-08-16 GAIS L 0-442.6 1413 1753 12.41% 20.57% 67.02%-2.02 -19.9 0
1925-08-16 @ IFK Malmo W 4-042.6 1753 1413 67.02% 20.57% 12.41%+2.02 +19.9 4
1925-08-16 IFK Eskilstuna L 1-347.9 1393 1529 31.94% 21.60% 46.46%-0.57 -20.7 0
1925-08-16 @ Norrkoping W 3-147.9 1529 1393 46.46% 21.60% 31.94%+0.57 +20.7 5
1925-08-21 Goteborg W 1-059.0 1773 1798 47.25% 21.68% 31.07%+0.22 +12.4 6
1925-08-21 @ GAIS L 0-159.0 1798 1773 31.07% 21.68% 47.25%-0.22 -12.4 7
1925-08-21 Landskrona L 0-540.4 1394 1464 41.03% 21.69% 37.28%-0.10 -68.2 0
1925-08-21 @ IFK Malmo W 5-040.4 1464 1394 37.28% 21.69% 41.03%+0.10 +68.2 4
1925-08-23 Eskilstuna City W 5-147.8 1785 1518 72.23% 20.25% 7.52%+2.31 +10.4 8
1925-08-23 @ GAIS L 1-547.8 1518 1785 7.52% 20.25% 72.23%-2.31 -10.4 3
1925-08-23 Uddevalla D 3-372.6 1549 1534 52.18% 21.62% 26.20%+0.50 -1.3 6
1925-08-23 @ IFK Eskilstuna D 3-372.6 1534 1549 26.20% 21.62% 52.18%-0.50 +1.3 3
1925-08-23 Landskrona L 1-652.0 1502 1532 46.59% 21.68% 31.73%+0.19 -62.8 3
1925-08-23 @ Sleipner W 6-152.0 1532 1502 31.73% 21.68% 46.59%-0.19 +62.8 6
1925-08-30 Sleipner L 0-252.9 1507 1440 57.96% 21.47% 20.57%+0.88 -39.6 3
1925-08-30 @ Eskilstuna City W 2-052.9 1440 1507 20.57% 21.47% 57.96%-0.88 +39.6 5
1925-08-30 GAIS W 2-056.8 1763 1796 46.23% 21.69% 32.09%+0.17 +24.0 12
1925-08-30 @ Helsingborg L 0-256.8 1796 1763 32.09% 21.69% 46.23%-0.17 -24.0 8
1925-08-30 IFK Eskilstuna W 3-152.9 1595 1548 55.79% 21.54% 22.67%+0.73 +15.6 8
1925-08-30 @ Landskrona L 1-352.9 1548 1595 22.67% 21.54% 55.79%-0.73 -15.6 6
1925-08-30 IFK Malmo W 5-136.4 1372 1325 55.75% 21.54% 22.71%+0.73 +28.5 2
1925-08-30 @ Norrkoping L 1-536.4 1325 1372 22.71% 21.54% 55.75%-0.73 -28.5 0
1925-08-30 AIK Stockholm W 3-047.0 1785 1584 68.60% 20.77% 10.63%+1.83 +13.3 7
1925-08-30 @ Orgryte L 0-347.0 1584 1785 10.63% 20.77% 68.60%-1.83 -13.3 3
1925-08-30 Goteborg D 0-067.6 1536 1785 19.31% 21.16% 59.53%-1.38 +3.8 4
1925-08-30 @ Uddevalla D 0-067.6 1785 1536 59.53% 21.16% 19.31%+1.38 -3.8 8
1925-09-06 Helsingborg D 2-275.1 1781 1787 49.66% 21.66% 28.68%+0.36 -1.3 9
1925-09-06 @ Goteborg D 2-275.1 1787 1781 28.68% 21.66% 49.66%-0.36 +1.3 13
1925-09-06 Orgryte L 3-562.3 1533 1798 17.87% 21.07% 61.06%-1.50 -10.7 6
1925-09-06 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 5-362.3 1798 1533 61.06% 21.07% 17.87%+1.50 +10.7 9
1925-09-06 AIK Stockholm D 2-261.0 1297 1571 17.16% 21.02% 61.82%-1.56 +2.9 1
1925-09-06 @ IFK Malmo D 2-261.0 1571 1297 61.82% 21.02% 17.16%+1.56 -2.9 4
1925-09-06 GAIS L 0-157.5 1611 1772 28.79% 21.53% 49.67%-0.75 -11.6 8
1925-09-06 @ Landskrona W 1-057.5 1772 1611 49.67% 21.53% 28.79%+0.75 +11.6 10
1925-09-06 Uddevalla D 3-370.2 1479 1540 42.46% 21.69% 35.85%-0.03 -0.3 6
1925-09-06 @ Sleipner D 3-370.2 1540 1479 35.85% 21.69% 42.46%+0.03 +0.3 5
1925-09-13 IFK Eskilstuna W 1-050.0 1568 1522 55.71% 21.54% 22.75%+0.73 +9.6 6
1925-09-13 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-150.0 1522 1568 22.75% 21.54% 55.71%-0.73 -9.6 6
1925-09-13 Orgryte L 1-352.4 1468 1809 12.31% 20.56% 67.13%-2.04 -9.0 3
1925-09-13 @ Eskilstuna City W 3-152.4 1809 1468 67.13% 20.56% 12.31%+2.04 +9.0 11
1925-09-13 Sleipner W 3-256.1 1783 1479 73.88% 19.92% 6.20%+2.57 +2.6 12
1925-09-13 @ GAIS L 2-356.1 1479 1783 6.20% 19.92% 73.88%-2.57 -2.6 6
1925-09-13 Goteborg L 1-645.2 1400 1780 10.12% 20.24% 69.64%-2.31 -16.8 2
1925-09-13 @ Norrkoping W 6-145.2 1780 1400 69.64% 20.24% 10.12%+2.31 +16.8 11
1925-09-13 IFK Malmo W 3-032.1 1540 1300 70.86% 20.47% 8.66%+2.11 +10.9 7
1925-09-13 @ Uddevalla L 0-332.1 1300 1540 8.66% 20.47% 70.86%-2.11 -11.0 1
1925-09-20 Uddevalla W 2-048.3 1788 1551 70.72% 20.50% 8.78%+2.09 +7.6 15
1925-09-20 @ Helsingborg L 0-248.3 1551 1788 8.78% 20.50% 70.72%-2.09 -7.6 7
1925-09-20 GAIS L 0-348.3 1512 1786 17.19% 21.02% 61.79%-1.55 -20.5 6
1925-09-20 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 3-048.3 1786 1512 61.79% 21.02% 17.19%+1.55 +20.5 14
1925-09-20 Eskilstuna City D 3-362.2 1289 1459 27.70% 21.51% 50.79%-0.82 +1.2 2
1925-09-20 @ IFK Malmo D 3-362.2 1459 1289 50.79% 21.51% 27.70%+0.82 -1.2 4
1925-09-20 Landskrona W 6-357.5 1818 1599 69.68% 20.64% 9.68%+1.96 +8.2 13
1925-09-20 @ Orgryte L 3-657.5 1599 1818 9.68% 20.64% 69.68%-1.96 -8.2 8
1925-09-27 GAIS W 3-167.3 1578 1806 21.27% 21.27% 57.47%-1.24 +34.0 8
1925-09-27 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-367.3 1806 1578 57.47% 21.27% 21.27%+1.24 -34.0 14
1925-09-27 Helsingborg L 0-444.5 1458 1796 12.47% 20.58% 66.95%-2.02 -20.0 4
1925-09-27 @ Eskilstuna City W 4-044.5 1796 1458 66.95% 20.58% 12.47%+2.02 +20.0 17
1925-09-27 IFK Malmo W 5-140.4 1797 1290 80.19% 17.69% 2.12%+4.02 +2.9 13
1925-09-27 @ Goteborg L 1-540.4 1290 1797 2.12% 17.69% 80.19%-4.02 -2.9 2
1925-09-27 Norrkoping W 4-141.2 1591 1384 68.99% 20.72% 10.28%+1.88 +10.9 10
1925-09-27 @ Landskrona L 1-441.2 1384 1591 10.28% 20.72% 68.99%-1.88 -10.9 2
1925-09-27 IFK Eskilstuna L 0-153.3 1476 1492 48.46% 21.67% 29.87%+0.29 -17.8 6
1925-09-27 @ Sleipner W 1-053.3 1492 1476 29.87% 21.67% 48.46%-0.29 +17.8 8
1925-10-04 Uddevalla W 1-050.6 1772 1543 70.27% 20.56% 9.17%+2.03 +4.2 16
1925-10-04 @ GAIS L 0-150.6 1543 1772 9.17% 20.56% 70.27%-2.03 -4.2 7
1925-10-04 Orgryte L 0-164.5 1816 1826 49.14% 21.66% 29.20%+0.33 -18.0 17
1925-10-04 @ Helsingborg W 1-064.5 1826 1816 29.20% 21.66% 49.14%-0.33 +18.0 15
1925-10-04 Goteborg L 1-452.1 1510 1800 15.86% 20.92% 63.23%-1.67 -16.1 8
1925-10-04 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 4-152.1 1800 1510 63.23% 20.92% 15.86%+1.67 +16.1 15
1925-10-04 Sleipner W 1-047.8 1287 1459 27.52% 21.50% 50.98%-0.83 +18.6 4
1925-10-04 @ IFK Malmo L 0-147.8 1459 1287 50.98% 21.50% 27.52%+0.83 -18.6 6
1925-10-04 Eskilstuna City W 4-355.9 1373 1438 41.82% 21.69% 36.49%-0.06 +12.3 4
1925-10-04 @ Norrkoping L 3-455.9 1438 1373 36.49% 21.69% 41.82%+0.06 -12.3 4
1925-10-11 Norrkoping W 5-351.0 1611 1385 70.11% 20.58% 9.31%+2.01 +5.9 10
1925-10-11 @ AIK Stockholm L 3-551.0 1385 1611 9.31% 20.58% 70.11%-2.01 -5.9 4
1925-10-11 Helsingborg L 2-653.2 1493 1798 14.77% 20.82% 64.40%-1.78 -16.5 8
1925-10-11 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 6-253.2 1798 1493 64.40% 20.82% 14.77%+1.78 +16.5 19
1925-10-11 Sleipner W 2-151.3 1844 1440 77.43% 18.90% 3.66%+3.28 +1.6 17
1925-10-11 @ Orgryte L 1-251.3 1440 1844 3.66% 18.90% 77.43%-3.28 -1.6 6
1925-10-11 Landskrona D 3-374.3 1539 1602 42.13% 21.69% 36.18%-0.05 -0.3 8
1925-10-11 @ Uddevalla D 3-374.3 1602 1539 36.18% 21.69% 42.13%+0.05 +0.3 11
1925-10-18 Uddevalla L 2-454.5 1425 1539 34.98% 21.65% 43.37%-0.41 -19.9 4
1925-10-18 @ Eskilstuna City W 4-254.5 1539 1425 43.37% 21.65% 34.98%+0.41 +19.9 10
1925-10-18 AIK Stockholm W 3-047.5 1816 1617 68.46% 20.79% 10.75%+1.81 +13.5 17
1925-10-18 @ Goteborg L 0-347.5 1617 1816 10.75% 20.79% 68.46%-1.81 -13.5 10
1925-10-18 IFK Eskilstuna W 4-148.3 1815 1477 75.20% 19.60% 5.20%+2.81 +5.6 21
1925-10-18 @ Helsingborg L 1-448.3 1477 1815 5.20% 19.60% 75.20%-2.81 -5.6 8
1925-10-18 Orgryte L 2-656.2 1602 1846 19.83% 21.19% 58.98%-1.34 -21.5 11
1925-10-18 @ Landskrona W 6-256.2 1846 1602 58.98% 21.19% 19.83%+1.34 +21.5 19
1925-10-18 GAIS L 1-545.3 1379 1777 9.24% 20.09% 70.67%-2.44 -12.5 4
1925-10-18 @ Norrkoping W 5-145.3 1777 1379 70.67% 20.09% 9.24%+2.44 +12.5 18
1925-10-25 Eskilstuna City W 4-354.4 1604 1405 68.47% 20.78% 10.74%+1.81 +4.3 12
1925-10-25 @ AIK Stockholm L 3-454.4 1405 1604 10.74% 20.78% 68.47%-1.81 -4.3 4
1925-10-25 Landskrona W 4-045.3 1789 1580 69.09% 20.71% 10.20%+1.89 +16.7 20
1925-10-25 @ GAIS L 0-445.3 1580 1789 10.20% 20.71% 69.09%-1.89 -16.7 11
1925-10-25 Norrkoping W 3-246.9 1471 1367 61.46% 21.33% 17.22%+1.15 +6.7 10
1925-10-25 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 2-346.9 1367 1471 17.22% 21.33% 61.46%-1.15 -6.7 4
1925-10-25 Goteborg D 0-064.6 1306 1829 4.79% 18.81% 76.39%-3.34 +7.3 5
1925-10-25 @ IFK Malmo D 0-064.6 1829 1306 76.39% 18.81% 4.79%+3.34 -7.3 18
1925-10-25 Orgryte L 0-345.2 1438 1867 7.86% 19.80% 72.34%-2.66 -9.9 6
1925-10-25 @ Sleipner W 3-045.2 1867 1438 72.34% 19.80% 7.86%+2.66 +9.8 21
1925-10-25 Helsingborg L 1-257.3 1559 1820 18.22% 21.09% 60.69%-1.47 -7.4 10
1925-10-25 @ Uddevalla W 2-157.3 1820 1559 60.69% 21.09% 18.22%+1.47 +7.4 23
1925-11-01 IFK Malmo L 0-345.2 1401 1313 59.95% 21.40% 18.66%+1.03 -59.5 4
1925-11-01 @ Eskilstuna City W 3-045.2 1313 1401 18.66% 21.40% 59.95%-1.03 +59.5 7
1925-11-01 AIK Stockholm W 3-263.7 1360 1608 19.40% 21.17% 59.43%-1.37 +19.2 6
1925-11-01 @ Norrkoping L 2-363.7 1608 1360 59.43% 21.17% 19.40%+1.37 -19.2 12
1925-11-01 IFK Eskilstuna L 1-274.2 1877 1478 77.28% 18.96% 3.77%+3.24 -26.5 21
1925-11-01 @ Orgryte W 2-174.2 1478 1877 3.77% 18.96% 77.28%-3.24 +26.5 12
1926-04-02 IFK Eskilstuna W 8-247.7 1822 1505 74.41% 19.80% 5.79%+2.66 +9.6 20
1926-04-02 @ Goteborg L 2-847.7 1505 1822 5.79% 19.80% 74.41%-2.66 -9.6 12
1926-04-04 IFK Eskilstuna W 4-148.7 1806 1495 74.16% 19.86% 5.98%+2.62 +6.4 22
1926-04-04 @ GAIS L 1-448.7 1495 1806 5.98% 19.86% 74.16%-2.62 -6.4 12
1926-04-05 Uddevalla W 5-044.9 1564 1551 51.90% 21.63% 26.48%+0.49 +48.0 13
1926-04-05 @ Landskrona L 0-544.9 1551 1564 26.48% 21.63% 51.90%-0.49 -48.0 10
1926-04-05 Norrkoping W 3-041.9 1851 1379 79.31% 18.12% 2.57%+3.76 +3.2 23
1926-04-05 @ Orgryte L 0-341.9 1379 1851 2.57% 18.12% 79.31%-3.76 -3.2 6
1926-04-11 Eskilstuna City W 5-143.4 1854 1342 80.31% 17.63% 2.07%+4.05 +2.8 25
1926-04-11 @ Orgryte L 1-543.4 1342 1854 2.07% 17.63% 80.31%-4.05 -2.8 4
1926-04-11 Helsingborg L 2-552.9 1429 1828 9.16% 20.07% 70.76%-2.45 -8.3 6
1926-04-11 @ Sleipner W 5-252.9 1828 1429 70.76% 20.07% 9.16%+2.45 +8.3 25
1926-04-11 AIK Stockholm W 2-158.3 1503 1589 38.85% 21.68% 39.47%-0.21 +14.1 12
1926-04-11 @ Uddevalla L 1-258.3 1589 1503 39.47% 21.68% 38.85%+0.21 -14.1 12
1926-04-18 Orgryte D 3-379.0 1575 1857 16.53% 20.97% 62.49%-1.61 +2.5 13
1926-04-18 @ AIK Stockholm D 3-379.0 1857 1575 62.49% 20.97% 16.53%+1.61 -2.5 26
1926-04-18 Norrkoping D 1-169.2 1832 1376 78.90% 18.31% 2.79%+3.65 -7.0 21
1926-04-18 @ Goteborg D 1-169.2 1376 1832 2.79% 18.31% 78.90%-3.65 +7.0 7
1926-04-18 Landskrona D 3-373.1 1488 1612 33.65% 21.63% 44.72%-0.48 +0.5 13
1926-04-18 @ IFK Eskilstuna D 3-373.1 1612 1488 44.72% 21.63% 33.65%+0.48 -0.5 14
1926-04-18 Uddevalla W 5-043.3 1372 1517 30.81% 21.58% 47.61%-0.64 +77.2 9
1926-04-18 @ IFK Malmo L 0-543.3 1517 1372 47.61% 21.58% 30.81%+0.64 -77.2 12
1926-04-18 GAIS L 0-642.3 1420 1812 9.49% 20.14% 70.37%-2.40 -22.6 6
1926-04-18 @ Sleipner W 6-042.3 1812 1420 70.37% 20.14% 9.49%+2.40 +22.6 24
1926-04-25 IFK Eskilstuna W 4-359.8 1339 1489 30.14% 21.56% 48.30%-0.67 +15.5 6
1926-04-25 @ Eskilstuna City L 3-459.8 1489 1339 48.30% 21.56% 30.14%+0.67 -15.5 13
1926-04-25 IFK Malmo W 5-146.1 1835 1450 76.85% 19.11% 4.05%+3.15 +5.6 26
1926-04-25 @ GAIS L 1-546.1 1450 1835 4.05% 19.11% 76.85%-3.15 -5.6 9
1926-04-25 AIK Stockholm W 3-258.3 1836 1577 71.80% 20.33% 7.87%+2.24 +3.3 27
1926-04-25 @ Helsingborg L 2-358.3 1577 1836 7.87% 20.33% 71.80%-2.24 -3.3 13
1926-04-25 Landskrona W 6-153.6 1383 1611 21.33% 21.27% 57.41%-1.23 +75.9 9
1926-04-25 @ Norrkoping L 1-653.6 1611 1383 57.41% 21.27% 21.33%+1.23 -75.9 14
1926-04-25 Sleipner L 1-450.5 1440 1398 55.32% 21.55% 23.13%+0.70 -46.4 12
1926-04-25 @ Uddevalla W 4-150.5 1398 1440 23.13% 21.55% 55.32%-0.70 +46.4 8
1926-04-30 GAIS D 1-171.5 1825 1841 48.37% 21.67% 29.96%+0.28 -1.5 22
1926-04-30 @ Goteborg D 1-171.5 1841 1825 29.96% 21.67% 48.37%-0.28 +1.5 27
1926-05-02 Uddevalla D 0-058.1 1574 1394 67.30% 20.91% 11.80%+1.68 -5.5 14
1926-05-02 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-058.1 1394 1574 11.80% 20.91% 67.30%-1.68 +5.5 13
1926-05-02 IFK Malmo D 0-056.1 1474 1444 53.86% 21.59% 24.55%+0.61 -2.7 14
1926-05-02 @ IFK Eskilstuna D 0-056.1 1444 1474 24.55% 21.59% 53.86%-0.61 +2.7 10
1926-05-02 Helsingborg D 2-275.3 1854 1839 52.17% 21.62% 26.21%+0.50 -1.6 27
1926-05-02 @ Orgryte D 2-275.3 1839 1854 26.21% 21.62% 52.17%-0.50 +1.6 28
1926-05-02 Eskilstuna City W 4-032.7 1444 1354 60.09% 21.39% 18.52%+1.04 +28.7 10
1926-05-02 @ Sleipner L 0-432.7 1354 1444 18.52% 21.39% 60.09%-1.04 -28.7 6
1926-05-05 Uddevalla W 2-150.0 1823 1399 78.02% 18.68% 3.30%+3.42 +1.4 24
1926-05-05 @ Goteborg L 1-250.0 1399 1823 3.30% 18.68% 78.02%-3.42 -1.4 13
1926-05-05 Landskrona W 6-146.9 1841 1535 73.93% 19.91% 6.16%+2.58 +10.5 30
1926-05-05 @ Helsingborg L 1-646.9 1535 1841 6.16% 19.91% 73.93%-2.58 -10.5 14
1926-05-07 Orgryte D 2-275.3 1842 1852 49.08% 21.66% 29.26%+0.32 -1.2 28
1926-05-07 @ GAIS D 2-275.3 1852 1842 29.26% 21.66% 49.08%-0.32 +1.2 28
1926-05-09 Eskilstuna City W 6-037.5 1824 1326 79.99% 17.79% 2.22%+3.96 +5.3 26
1926-05-09 @ Goteborg L 0-637.5 1326 1824 2.22% 17.79% 79.99%-3.96 -5.3 6
1926-05-09 Sleipner L 1-354.2 1471 1473 50.15% 21.65% 28.20%+0.38 -30.0 14
1926-05-09 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 3-154.2 1473 1471 28.20% 21.65% 50.15%-0.38 +30.0 12
1926-05-09 Helsingborg W 1-068.8 1447 1851 8.91% 20.03% 71.06%-2.49 +25.8 12
1926-05-09 @ IFK Malmo L 0-168.8 1851 1447 71.06% 20.03% 8.91%+2.49 -25.7 30
1926-05-09 AIK Stockholm D 2-268.7 1525 1569 44.73% 21.69% 33.58%+0.09 -0.7 15
1926-05-09 @ Landskrona D 2-268.7 1569 1525 33.58% 21.69% 44.73%-0.09 +0.7 15
1926-05-09 Orgryte L 0-543.5 1459 1854 9.36% 20.11% 70.53%-2.42 -18.8 9
1926-05-09 @ Norrkoping W 5-043.5 1854 1459 70.53% 20.11% 9.36%+2.42 +18.8 30
1926-05-09 GAIS W 2-171.6 1398 1841 7.30% 19.66% 73.04%-2.76 +25.0 15
1926-05-09 @ Uddevalla L 1-271.6 1841 1398 73.04% 19.66% 7.30%+2.76 -24.9 28
1926-05-13 Goteborg W 3-168.3 1569 1830 18.31% 21.10% 60.59%-1.46 +35.8 17
1926-05-13 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-368.3 1830 1569 60.59% 21.10% 18.31%+1.46 -35.8 26
1926-05-13 Norrkoping L 3-454.1 1320 1440 34.12% 21.63% 44.24%-0.46 -11.7 6
1926-05-13 @ Eskilstuna City W 4-354.1 1440 1320 44.24% 21.63% 34.12%+0.46 +11.7 11
1926-05-13 Helsingborg W 5-051.5 1816 1826 49.18% 21.66% 29.15%+0.33 +51.9 30
1926-05-13 @ GAIS L 0-551.5 1826 1816 29.15% 21.66% 49.18%-0.33 -51.9 30
1926-05-13 Sleipner L 2-756.2 1524 1503 52.95% 21.61% 25.44%+0.55 -58.9 15
1926-05-13 @ Landskrona W 7-256.2 1503 1524 25.44% 21.61% 52.95%-0.55 +58.9 14
1926-05-16 Eskilstuna City W 5-140.5 1774 1309 79.14% 18.20% 2.65%+3.72 +3.6 32
1926-05-16 @ Helsingborg L 1-540.5 1309 1774 2.65% 18.20% 79.14%-3.72 -3.6 6
1926-05-16 AIK Stockholm D 1-163.4 1441 1605 28.42% 21.52% 50.06%-0.77 +1.8 15
1926-05-16 @ IFK Eskilstuna D 1-163.4 1605 1441 50.06% 21.52% 28.42%+0.77 -1.8 18
1926-05-16 Norrkoping L 1-256.2 1473 1452 52.87% 21.61% 25.52%+0.55 -18.2 12
1926-05-16 @ IFK Malmo W 2-156.2 1452 1473 25.52% 21.61% 52.87%-0.55 +18.2 13
1926-05-16 Uddevalla W 3-255.1 1872 1423 78.74% 18.38% 2.88%+3.61 +1.2 32
1926-05-16 @ Orgryte L 2-355.1 1423 1872 2.88% 18.38% 78.74%-3.61 -1.2 15
1926-05-16 Goteborg L 0-350.1 1562 1794 20.92% 21.25% 57.83%-1.26 -24.3 14
1926-05-16 @ Sleipner W 3-050.1 1794 1562 57.83% 21.25% 20.92%+1.26 +24.3 28
1926-05-21 IFK Malmo D 2-262.5 1465 1454 51.70% 21.63% 26.67%+0.48 -1.5 16
1926-05-21 @ Landskrona D 2-262.5 1454 1465 26.67% 21.63% 51.70%-0.48 +1.5 13
1926-05-21 Sleipner W 2-154.4 1470 1537 41.46% 21.69% 36.85%-0.08 +13.4 15
1926-05-21 @ Norrkoping L 1-254.4 1537 1470 36.85% 21.69% 41.46%+0.08 -13.4 14
1926-05-23 AIK Stockholm L 0-336.3 1305 1603 15.24% 20.86% 63.89%-1.73 -18.4 6
1926-05-23 @ Eskilstuna City W 3-036.3 1603 1305 63.89% 20.86% 15.24%+1.73 +18.4 20
1926-05-24 IFK Malmo D 3-372.5 1622 1456 66.30% 21.00% 12.70%+1.58 -2.9 21
1926-05-24 @ AIK Stockholm D 3-372.5 1456 1622 12.70% 21.00% 66.30%-1.58 +2.9 14
1926-05-24 Uddevalla W 5-035.8 1483 1422 57.34% 21.50% 21.17%+0.84 +39.8 17
1926-05-24 @ Norrkoping L 0-535.8 1422 1483 21.17% 21.50% 57.34%-0.84 -39.8 15
1926-05-30 AIK Stockholm W 6-044.5 1868 1619 71.33% 20.40% 8.27%+2.18 +20.0 32
1926-05-30 @ GAIS L 0-644.5 1619 1868 8.27% 20.40% 71.33%-2.18 -20.0 21
1926-05-30 Goteborg L 1-462.7 1777 1818 45.08% 21.69% 33.23%+0.10 -38.6 32
1926-05-30 @ Helsingborg W 4-162.7 1818 1777 33.23% 21.69% 45.08%-0.10 +38.6 30
1926-05-30 Eskilstuna City W 5-133.8 1464 1287 67.08% 20.93% 11.99%+1.66 +16.2 18
1926-05-30 @ Landskrona L 1-533.8 1287 1464 11.99% 20.93% 67.08%-1.66 -16.2 6
1926-05-30 IFK Malmo W 3-146.8 1524 1459 57.69% 21.48% 20.83%+0.86 +14.5 16
1926-05-30 @ Sleipner L 1-346.8 1459 1524 20.83% 21.48% 57.69%-0.86 -14.5 14
1926-05-30 Norrkoping D 1-158.2 1382 1523 31.30% 21.59% 47.11%-0.61 +1.3 16
1926-05-30 @ Uddevalla D 1-158.2 1523 1382 47.11% 21.59% 31.30%+0.61 -1.3 18
1926-06-04 Goteborg D 1-171.6 1874 1857 52.39% 21.62% 26.00%+0.52 -2.2 33
1926-06-04 @ Orgryte D 1-171.6 1857 1874 26.00% 21.62% 52.39%-0.52 +2.2 31
1926-06-06 Sleipner L 2-369.1 1599 1538 57.20% 21.50% 21.30%+0.83 -18.6 21
1926-06-06 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-269.1 1538 1599 21.30% 21.50% 57.20%-0.83 +18.5 18
1926-06-06 GAIS L 0-637.9 1270 1888 2.93% 17.70% 79.37%-4.01 -6.9 6
1926-06-06 @ Eskilstuna City W 6-037.9 1888 1270 79.37% 17.70% 2.93%+4.01 +6.9 34
1926-06-06 Landskrona W 4-254.4 1859 1480 76.65% 19.17% 4.18%+3.10 +2.8 33
1926-06-06 @ Goteborg L 2-454.4 1480 1859 4.18% 19.17% 76.65%-3.10 -2.8 18
1926-06-06 Orgryte L 1-646.9 1444 1871 7.93% 19.81% 72.26%-2.65 -13.2 14
1926-06-06 @ IFK Malmo W 6-146.9 1871 1444 72.26% 19.81% 7.93%+2.65 +13.2 35
1926-06-06 Helsingborg W 2-061.8 1522 1739 22.48% 21.32% 56.20%-1.15 +38.4 20
1926-06-06 @ Norrkoping L 0-261.8 1739 1522 56.20% 21.32% 22.48%+1.15 -38.4 32
1926-06-06 IFK Eskilstuna L 2-354.3 1383 1443 42.57% 21.69% 35.74%-0.03 -14.3 16
1926-06-06 @ Uddevalla W 3-254.3 1443 1383 35.74% 21.69% 42.57%+0.03 +14.2 17

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1925-11-01 3.77% IFK Eskilstuna 1478 2 @ Orgryte 1877 1
2 1926-05-09 7.30% @ Uddevalla 1398 2 GAIS 1841 1
3 1926-05-09 8.91% @ IFK Malmo 1447 1 Helsingborg 1851 0
4 1925-08-16 18.03% Landskrona 1443 2 @ Eskilstuna City 1539 1
5 1926-05-13 18.31% @ AIK Stockholm 1569 3 Goteborg 1830 1
6 1925-11-01 18.66% IFK Malmo 1313 3 @ Eskilstuna City 1401 0
7 1925-11-01 19.40% @ Norrkoping 1360 3 AIK Stockholm 1608 2
8 1925-08-30 20.57% Sleipner 1440 2 @ Eskilstuna City 1507 0
9 1925-09-27 21.27% @ AIK Stockholm 1578 3 GAIS 1806 1
10 1926-06-06 21.30% Sleipner 1538 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1599 2
11 1926-04-25 21.33% @ Norrkoping 1383 6 Landskrona 1611 1
12 1926-06-06 22.48% @ Norrkoping 1522 2 Helsingborg 1739 0
13 1926-04-25 23.13% Sleipner 1398 4 @ Uddevalla 1440 1
14 1926-05-13 25.44% Sleipner 1503 7 @ Landskrona 1524 2
15 1926-05-16 25.52% Norrkoping 1452 2 @ IFK Malmo 1473 1
16 1925-10-04 27.52% @ IFK Malmo 1287 1 Sleipner 1459 0
17 1926-05-09 28.20% Sleipner 1473 3 @ IFK Eskilstuna 1471 1
18 1925-10-04 29.20% Orgryte 1826 1 @ Helsingborg 1816 0
19 1925-09-27 29.87% IFK Eskilstuna 1492 1 @ Sleipner 1476 0
20 1926-04-25 30.14% @ Eskilstuna City 1339 4 IFK Eskilstuna 1489 3
21 1926-04-18 30.81% @ IFK Malmo 1372 5 Uddevalla 1517 0
22 1925-08-23 31.73% Landskrona 1532 6 @ Sleipner 1502 1
23 1926-05-30 33.23% Goteborg 1818 4 @ Helsingborg 1777 1
24 1926-06-06 35.74% IFK Eskilstuna 1443 3 @ Uddevalla 1383 2
25 1925-08-02 35.84% IFK Eskilstuna 1516 3 @ IFK Malmo 1455 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1926-04-18 77.20 @ IFK Malmo 5 1372 30.81% Uddevalla 0 1517 47.61% 21.58%
2 1926-04-25 75.86 @ Norrkoping 6 1383 21.33% Landskrona 1 1611 57.41% 21.27%
3 1925-08-21 68.22 Landskrona 5 1464 37.28% @ IFK Malmo 0 1394 41.03% 21.69%
4 1925-08-23 62.79 Landskrona 6 1532 31.73% @ Sleipner 1 1502 46.59% 21.68%
5 1925-11-01 59.50 IFK Malmo 3 1313 18.66% @ Eskilstuna City 0 1401 59.95% 21.40%
6 1926-05-13 58.91 Sleipner 7 1503 25.44% @ Landskrona 2 1524 52.95% 21.61%
7 1926-05-13 51.94 @ GAIS 5 1816 49.18% Helsingborg 0 1826 29.15% 21.66%
8 1926-04-05 47.98 @ Landskrona 5 1564 51.90% Uddevalla 0 1551 26.48% 21.63%
9 1926-04-25 46.40 Sleipner 4 1398 23.13% @ Uddevalla 1 1440 55.32% 21.55%
10 1926-05-24 39.75 @ Norrkoping 5 1483 57.34% Uddevalla 0 1422 21.17% 21.50%
11 1925-08-30 39.63 Sleipner 2 1440 20.57% @ Eskilstuna City 0 1507 57.96% 21.47%
12 1926-05-30 38.61 Goteborg 4 1818 33.23% @ Helsingborg 1 1777 45.08% 21.69%
13 1926-06-06 38.39 @ Norrkoping 2 1522 22.48% Helsingborg 0 1739 56.20% 21.32%
14 1926-05-13 35.77 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1569 18.31% Goteborg 1 1830 60.59% 21.10%
15 1925-09-27 33.96 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1578 21.27% GAIS 1 1806 57.47% 21.27%
16 1926-05-09 29.97 Sleipner 3 1473 28.20% @ IFK Eskilstuna 1 1471 50.15% 21.65%
17 1926-05-02 28.73 @ Sleipner 4 1444 60.09% Eskilstuna City 0 1354 18.52% 21.39%
18 1925-08-30 28.53 @ Norrkoping 5 1372 55.75% IFK Malmo 1 1325 22.71% 21.54%
19 1925-11-01 26.46 IFK Eskilstuna 2 1478 3.77% @ Orgryte 1 1877 77.28% 18.96%
20 1925-08-16 26.13 Helsingborg 5 1737 45.21% @ AIK Stockholm 2 1610 33.17% 21.62%
21 1926-05-09 25.75 @ IFK Malmo 1 1447 8.91% Helsingborg 0 1851 71.06% 20.03%
22 1926-05-09 24.95 @ Uddevalla 2 1398 7.30% GAIS 1 1841 73.04% 19.66%
23 1926-05-16 24.34 Goteborg 3 1794 57.83% @ Sleipner 0 1562 20.92% 21.25%
24 1925-08-30 24.00 @ Helsingborg 2 1763 46.23% GAIS 0 1796 32.09% 21.69%
25 1926-04-18 22.61 GAIS 6 1812 70.37% @ Sleipner 0 1420 9.49% 20.14%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1925-08-02 81.1 @ Eskilstuna City 4 1534 20.07% Goteborg 4 1775 58.73% 21.20%
2 1926-04-18 79.0 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1575 16.53% Orgryte 3 1857 62.49% 20.97%
3 1926-05-02 75.3 @ Orgryte 2 1854 52.17% Helsingborg 2 1839 26.21% 21.62%
4 1926-05-07 75.3 @ GAIS 2 1842 49.08% Orgryte 2 1852 29.26% 21.66%
5 1925-09-06 75.1 @ Goteborg 2 1781 49.66% Helsingborg 2 1787 28.68% 21.66%
6 1925-10-11 74.3 @ Uddevalla 3 1539 42.13% Landskrona 3 1602 36.18% 21.69%
7 1925-11-01 74.2 IFK Eskilstuna 2 1478 3.77% @ Orgryte 1 1877 77.28% 18.96%
8 1925-08-02 73.7 @ Uddevalla 2 1534 20.52% Orgryte 2 1770 58.25% 21.23%
9 1926-04-18 73.1 @ IFK Eskilstuna 3 1488 33.65% Landskrona 3 1612 44.72% 21.63%
10 1925-08-23 72.6 @ IFK Eskilstuna 3 1549 52.18% Uddevalla 3 1534 26.20% 21.62%
11 1926-05-24 72.5 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1622 66.30% IFK Malmo 3 1456 12.70% 21.00%
12 1925-08-07 71.9 @ IFK Eskilstuna 3 1530 49.65% Eskilstuna City 3 1536 28.69% 21.66%
13 1926-05-09 71.6 @ Uddevalla 2 1398 7.30% GAIS 1 1841 73.04% 19.66%
14 1926-06-04 71.6 @ Orgryte 1 1874 52.39% Goteborg 1 1857 26.00% 21.62%
15 1926-04-30 71.5 @ Goteborg 1 1825 48.37% GAIS 1 1841 29.96% 21.67%
16 1925-09-06 70.2 @ Sleipner 3 1479 42.46% Uddevalla 3 1540 35.85% 21.69%
17 1926-04-18 69.2 @ Goteborg 1 1832 78.90% Norrkoping 1 1376 2.79% 18.31%
18 1926-06-06 69.1 Sleipner 3 1538 21.30% @ AIK Stockholm 2 1599 57.20% 21.50%
19 1925-08-07 68.9 @ Goteborg 4 1773 51.03% Orgryte 3 1768 27.33% 21.64%
20 1926-05-09 68.8 @ IFK Malmo 1 1447 8.91% Helsingborg 0 1851 71.06% 20.03%
21 1926-05-09 68.7 @ Landskrona 2 1525 44.73% AIK Stockholm 2 1569 33.58% 21.69%
22 1926-05-13 68.3 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1569 18.31% Goteborg 1 1830 60.59% 21.10%
23 1925-08-30 67.6 @ Uddevalla 0 1536 19.31% Goteborg 0 1785 59.53% 21.16%
24 1925-09-27 67.3 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1578 21.27% GAIS 1 1806 57.47% 21.27%
25 1925-10-25 64.6 @ IFK Malmo 0 1306 4.79% Goteborg 0 1829 76.39% 18.81%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1925-09-13 32.1 @ Uddevalla 3 1540 70.86% IFK Malmo 0 1300 8.66% 20.47%
2 1926-05-02 32.7 @ Sleipner 4 1444 60.09% Eskilstuna City 0 1354 18.52% 21.39%
3 1926-05-30 33.8 @ Landskrona 5 1464 67.08% Eskilstuna City 1 1287 11.99% 20.93%
4 1926-05-24 35.8 @ Norrkoping 5 1483 57.34% Uddevalla 0 1422 21.17% 21.50%
5 1926-05-23 36.3 AIK Stockholm 3 1603 63.89% @ Eskilstuna City 0 1305 15.24% 20.86%
6 1925-08-30 36.4 @ Norrkoping 5 1372 55.75% IFK Malmo 1 1325 22.71% 21.54%
7 1926-05-09 37.5 @ Goteborg 6 1824 79.99% Eskilstuna City 0 1326 2.22% 17.79%
8 1926-06-06 37.9 GAIS 6 1888 79.37% @ Eskilstuna City 0 1270 2.93% 17.70%
9 1925-08-21 40.4 Landskrona 5 1464 37.28% @ IFK Malmo 0 1394 41.03% 21.69%
10 1925-09-27 40.4 @ Goteborg 5 1797 80.19% IFK Malmo 1 1290 2.12% 17.69%
11 1926-05-16 40.5 @ Helsingborg 5 1774 79.14% Eskilstuna City 1 1309 2.65% 18.20%
12 1925-09-27 41.2 @ Landskrona 4 1591 68.99% Norrkoping 1 1384 10.28% 20.72%
13 1926-04-05 41.9 @ Orgryte 3 1851 79.31% Norrkoping 0 1379 2.57% 18.12%
14 1925-08-07 42.0 @ Sleipner 1 1500 60.43% Norrkoping 0 1407 18.19% 21.38%
15 1926-04-18 42.3 GAIS 6 1812 70.37% @ Sleipner 0 1420 9.49% 20.14%
16 1925-08-14 42.6 @ Helsingborg 9 1719 73.18% IFK Malmo 1 1431 6.75% 20.07%
17 1925-08-16 42.6 GAIS 4 1753 67.02% @ IFK Malmo 0 1413 12.41% 20.57%
18 1926-04-18 43.3 @ IFK Malmo 5 1372 30.81% Uddevalla 0 1517 47.61% 21.58%
19 1926-04-11 43.4 @ Orgryte 5 1854 80.31% Eskilstuna City 1 1342 2.07% 17.63%
20 1926-05-09 43.5 Orgryte 5 1854 70.53% @ Norrkoping 0 1459 9.36% 20.11%
21 1925-08-09 44.3 @ Orgryte 6 1758 74.41% IFK Malmo 1 1441 5.79% 19.80%
22 1925-09-27 44.5 Helsingborg 4 1796 66.95% @ Eskilstuna City 0 1458 12.47% 20.58%
23 1926-05-30 44.5 @ GAIS 6 1868 71.33% AIK Stockholm 0 1619 8.27% 20.40%
24 1926-04-05 44.9 @ Landskrona 5 1564 51.90% Uddevalla 0 1551 26.48% 21.63%
25 1925-09-13 45.2 Goteborg 6 1780 69.64% @ Norrkoping 1 1400 10.12% 20.24%