1926-27 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

GAIS

36 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Helsingborg

5.23 points above expected

32 points · 26.77 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Uddevalla

3.78 points below expected

8 points · 11.78 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	GAIS	22	16	4	2	36	70	25	+45	33.57	+2.43
2	Goteborg	22	16	1	5	33	58	27	+31	31.69	+1.31
3	Helsingborg	22	16	0	6	32	74	34	+40	26.77	+5.23
4	Orgryte	22	13	3	6	29	43	30	+13	31.13	-2.13
5	AIK Stockholm	22	10	3	9	23	38	36	+2	20.48	+2.52
6	Sleipner	22	9	2	11	20	44	42	+2	20.90	-0.90
7	IFK Eskilstuna	22	7	5	10	19	51	61	-10	16.63	+2.37
8	Norrkoping	22	6	6	10	18	35	50	-15	20.02	-2.02
9	Landskrona	22	7	2	13	16	36	56	-20	16.57	-0.57
10	Elfsborg	22	6	4	12	16	33	60	-27	17.59	-1.59
11	Westermalms	22	5	4	13	14	35	58	-23	16.87	-2.87
12	Uddevalla	22	2	4	16	8	27	65	-38	11.78	-3.78

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Helsingborg	32	26.77	+5.23
2	AIK Stockholm	23	20.48	+2.52
3	GAIS	36	33.57	+2.43
4	IFK Eskilstuna	19	16.63	+2.37
5	Goteborg	33	31.69	+1.31

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Uddevalla	8	11.78	-3.78
2	Westermalms	14	16.87	-2.87
3	Orgryte	29	31.13	-2.13
4	Norrkoping	18	20.02	-2.02
5	Elfsborg	16	17.59	-1.59

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AIK Stockholm	3	May 1 – May 15	1 in 61
2	Helsingborg	5	Aug 15 – Sep 12	1 in 34
3	Norrkoping	2	Oct 17 – Oct 24	1 in 26
4	GAIS	7	Oct 17 – May 6	1 in 10
5	IFK Eskilstuna	3	Oct 10 – Oct 24	1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Goteborg	2	Jun 3 – Jun 6	1 in 93
2	Elfsborg	5	Oct 10 – Apr 10	1 in 43
3	Landskrona	5	Aug 22 – Sep 19	1 in 18
4	Norrkoping	3	Oct 31 – Apr 18	1 in 16
5	Orgryte	3	May 6 – May 22	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AIK Stockholm	7	May 1 – Jun 6	1 in 100
2	Norrkoping	4	Sep 26 – Oct 24	1 in 41
3	IFK Eskilstuna	5	Sep 26 – Oct 31	1 in 12
4	Landskrona	3	Sep 26 – Oct 10	1 in 9
5	Helsingborg	5	Aug 15 – Sep 12	1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Uddevalla	17	Aug 1 – May 1	1 in 79
2	Norrkoping	6	May 1 – Jun 6	1 in 37
3	Orgryte	4	May 1 – May 22	1 in 26
4	GAIS	2	Sep 26 – Oct 10	1 in 16
5	Elfsborg	6	Sep 26 – Apr 10	1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
GAIS	1719	36	+1	7	7.3	-0.3
Goteborg	1669	33	-14	6	7.2	-1.2
Helsingborg	1591	32	+6	6	6.9	-0.9
Orgryte	1635	29	-9	4	5.4	-1.4
AIK Stockholm	1465	23	+18	8	5.9	+2.1
Sleipner	1440	20	-5	4	5.0	-1.0
IFK Eskilstuna	1376	19	+8	5	3.7	+1.3
Norrkoping	1409	18	-24	2	4.7	-2.7
Landskrona	1370	16	+5	6	4.2	+1.8
Elfsborg	1340	16	-14	4	3.8	+0.2
Westermalms	1357	14	+6	3	4.0	-1.0
Uddevalla	1259	8	+14	4	2.2	+1.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AS	ELF	GAI	GOT	HEL	IE	LAN	NOR	ORG	SLE	UDD	WES
AIK Stockholm	—	0-1-1 3.66	1-0-1 1.19	0-0-2 1.46	0-0-2 1.98	2-0-0 3.37	2-0-0 3.47	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 1.53	2-0-0 2.83	1-1-0 4.17	0-1-1 3.54
Elfsborg	1-1-0 2.04	—	0-0-2 0.94	1-0-1 1.05	0-0-2 1.64	0-1-1 2.99	1-1-0 2.80	0-1-1 2.33	0-0-2 1.13	0-0-2 2.36	2-0-0 3.58	1-0-1 2.92
GAIS	1-0-1 4.53	2-0-0 4.79	—	1-1-0 3.09	1-0-1 3.85	2-0-0 4.77	1-1-0 4.86	1-1-0 4.50	2-0-0 3.23	1-1-0 4.53	2-0-0 5.15	2-0-0 4.90
Goteborg	2-0-0 4.25	1-0-1 4.67	0-1-1 2.60	—	0-0-2 3.68	2-0-0 4.67	2-0-0 4.70	2-0-0 4.40	2-0-0 2.99	2-0-0 4.25	1-0-1 5.03	2-0-0 4.74
Helsingborg	2-0-0 3.72	2-0-0 4.07	1-0-1 1.86	2-0-0 2.02	—	1-0-1 4.26	2-0-0 4.09	2-0-0 3.93	0-0-2 2.40	1-0-1 3.66	2-0-0 4.76	1-0-1 4.25
IFK Eskilstuna	0-0-2 2.33	1-1-0 2.71	0-0-2 0.95	0-0-2 1.05	1-0-1 1.45	—	1-0-1 3.00	0-2-0 2.55	0-1-1 1.15	1-0-1 2.38	2-0-0 3.49	1-1-0 2.97
Landskrona	0-0-2 2.23	0-1-1 2.89	0-1-1 0.87	0-0-2 1.02	0-0-2 1.61	1-0-1 2.69	—	1-0-1 2.27	0-0-2 1.06	1-0-1 2.22	2-0-0 3.56	2-0-0 2.81
Norrkoping	1-0-1 2.73	1-1-0 3.37	0-1-1 1.21	0-0-2 1.31	0-0-2 1.77	0-2-0 3.14	1-0-1 3.43	—	1-0-1 1.36	1-0-1 2.75	0-2-0 4.12	1-0-1 3.42
Orgryte	1-0-1 4.18	2-0-0 4.59	0-0-2 2.47	0-0-2 2.71	2-0-0 3.30	1-1-0 4.56	2-0-0 4.66	1-0-1 4.36	—	1-1-0 4.18	2-0-0 4.99	1-1-0 4.67
Sleipner	0-0-2 2.87	2-0-0 3.34	0-1-1 1.19	0-0-2 1.46	1-0-1 2.04	1-0-1 3.32	1-0-1 3.48	1-0-1 2.95	0-1-1 1.53	—	1-0-1 4.22	2-0-0 3.43
Uddevalla	0-1-1 1.54	0-0-2 2.12	0-0-2 0.60	1-0-1 0.71	0-0-2 0.96	0-0-2 2.21	0-0-2 2.14	0-2-0 1.59	0-0-2 0.75	1-0-1 1.48	—	0-1-1 2.12
Westermalms	1-1-0 2.16	1-0-1 2.78	0-0-2 0.84	0-0-2 0.98	1-0-1 1.46	0-1-1 2.73	0-0-2 2.89	1-0-1 2.28	0-1-1 1.05	0-0-2 2.27	1-1-0 3.58	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.76	+5.0
Allowed	0.87	-5.5
Differential	0.96	+3.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	0.76%	3.79%	2.27%	3.79%	1.89%	3.03%	15.53%
1	3.79%	6.82%	7.58%	3.41%	3.79%	3.41%	28.79%
2	2.27%	7.58%	5.30%	4.92%	1.52%	1.52%	23.11%
3	3.79%	3.41%	4.92%	1.52%	1.14%	0.76%	15.53%
4	1.89%	3.79%	1.52%	1.14%	—	—	8.33%
5+	3.03%	3.41%	1.52%	0.76%	—	—	8.71%
Total	15.53%	28.79%	23.11%	15.53%	8.33%	8.71%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.06	2.06	+0.00
SD	1.67	1.67	2.72
CV	0.81	0.81	—
Max	8	8	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	—	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	22.73%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	40.91%
3	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	40.91%	31.82%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.64	+0.09
SD	0.98	1.00	1.60
CV	0.57	0.61	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	13.64%	31.82%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	27.27%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
3	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	4.55%	31.82%	18.18%	18.18%	9.09%	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	2.73	-1.23
SD	1.54	2.03	2.96
CV	1.02	0.74	—
Max	5	7	+4
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
1	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
5+	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
Total	22.73%	50.00%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.18	1.14	+2.05
SD	1.89	0.89	2.32
CV	0.60	0.78	—
Max	7	3	+7
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
1	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	27.27%
3	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
4	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	40.91%	27.27%	13.64%	4.55%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.64	1.23	+1.41
SD	1.47	1.41	2.17
CV	0.56	1.15	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
1	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
2	4.55%	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
5+	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
Total	22.73%	22.73%	31.82%	22.73%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.36	1.55	+1.82
SD	2.24	1.10	2.68
CV	0.67	0.71	—
Max	8	3	+7
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	13.64%
1	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	9.09%	22.73%
2	4.55%	—	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	22.73%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	4.55%	18.18%	31.82%	22.73%	4.55%	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.32	2.77	-0.45
SD	1.78	1.88	3.05
CV	0.77	0.68	—
Max	7	8	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	18.18%
1	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%	—	9.09%	4.55%	40.91%
2	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	9.09%	22.73%	27.27%	9.09%	18.18%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	2.55	-0.91
SD	1.36	1.77	2.79
CV	0.83	0.69	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	22.73%
1	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	27.27%
2	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	31.82%	18.18%	13.64%	18.18%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	2.27	-0.68
SD	1.22	1.55	2.23
CV	0.77	0.68	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	—	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
3	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
4	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	27.27%	27.27%	18.18%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	1.36	+0.59
SD	1.21	1.09	1.65
CV	0.62	0.80	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%
1	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	22.73%	22.73%	22.73%	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.91	+0.09
SD	2.05	1.60	2.88
CV	1.02	0.84	—
Max	8	5	+6
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	45.45%
2	—	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	27.27%	22.73%	22.73%	9.09%	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	2.95	-1.73
SD	1.02	2.01	2.27
CV	0.83	0.68	—
Max	4	8	+3
Min	0	1	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
1	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	36.36%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	22.73%	13.64%	18.18%	13.64%	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	2.64	-1.05
SD	1.53	1.99	2.85
CV	0.96	0.75	—
Max	6	7	+6
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
GAIS	1719	36	33.57	+2.43	76.0%	24	28	31	34	36	40	43
Goteborg	1669	33	31.69	+1.31	68.0%	25	26	29	32	34	37	39
Orgryte	1635	29	31.13	-2.13	29.0%	23	25	29	31	33	36	39
Helsingborg	1591	32	26.77	+5.23	96.0%	17	20	24	27	30	32	37
AIK Stockholm	1465	23	20.48	+2.52	78.0%	11	14	17	20	23	28	30
Sleipner	1440	20	20.90	-0.90	45.0%	11	16	19	21	23	26	29
Norrkoping	1409	18	20.02	-2.02	32.0%	11	13	17	20	23	26	31
IFK Eskilstuna	1376	19	16.63	+2.37	72.0%	6	9	14	16	20	24	29
Landskrona	1370	16	16.57	-0.57	51.0%	8	10	14	16	19	22	29
Westermalms	1357	14	16.87	-2.87	27.0%	6	12	14	17	19	23	24
Elfsborg	1340	16	17.59	-1.59	43.0%	11	12	14	17	20	23	29
Uddevalla	1259	8	11.78	-3.78	17.0%	4	7	9	11	14	17	21

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+17.42%

Clear Edge

51.52%14.39%34.09%

Elo Value

Home Edge

140 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

061.16400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.56 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.44+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.4

One-Team Race

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

58%

GAIS, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.14/gm

Tight Race

00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.99 * Some Luck: 2.99 to 4.48 * Lucky: 4.48 to 5.97 * Wild Swing: 5.97 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.14 * Close: 1.14 to 1.71 * Off: 1.71 to 2.28 * Way Off: 2.28 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.61 points

As Expected

03.739

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.17

01.423

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

96.00%

Helsingborg

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

17.00%

Uddevalla

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.21

Lopsided

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 148.02

2.00

Wide Separation

0.951.41.652.75

Interquartile Edge

79%

Wide Edge

50%63%71.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

93%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

49%

Few

0%42%100%

Blowouts

Expected

35%

Very Frequent

0%36%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.48

Highly Predictable

00.512

Matchup Imbalance

0.47

Lopsided

00.30.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.49

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.88

Near-Lock

00.380.530.691

Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Chalky

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

14%

Solid Favorites

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.89

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.16

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.105

Well Within Noise

00.1330.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
GAIS	58.00%	19.00%	17.00%	6.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Goteborg	22.00%	39.00%	20.00%	17.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Helsingborg	2.00%	11.00%	23.00%	39.00%	15.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Orgryte	18.00%	31.00%	34.00%	13.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
AIK Stockholm	—	—	3.00%	8.00%	16.00%	21.00%	17.00%	16.00%	12.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Sleipner	—	—	—	10.00%	23.00%	26.00%	15.00%	11.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—
IFK Eskilstuna	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	8.00%	7.00%	12.00%	9.00%	20.00%	12.00%	20.00%	10.00%
Norrkoping	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	19.00%	13.00%	23.00%	14.00%	12.00%	5.00%	8.00%	1.00%
Landskrona	—	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	10.00%	7.00%	14.00%	19.00%	23.00%	14.00%	9.00%
Elfsborg	—	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	10.00%	14.00%	16.00%	12.00%	20.00%	17.00%	5.00%
Westermalms	—	—	—	—	6.00%	6.00%	10.00%	17.00%	13.00%	19.00%	19.00%	10.00%
Uddevalla	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	3.00%	14.00%	17.00%	63.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
GAIS	100%	—
Goteborg	100%	—
Helsingborg	100%	—
Orgryte	100%	—
Sleipner	97.00%	3.00%
AIK Stockholm	96.00%	4.00%
Norrkoping	91.00%	9.00%
Elfsborg	78.00%	22.00%
Landskrona	77.00%	23.00%
Westermalms	71.00%	29.00%
IFK Eskilstuna	70.00%	30.00%
Uddevalla	20.00%	80.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1926-08-01	Sleipner	W 2-1	45.6	1448	1433	56.68%	15.17%	28.15%	+0.55	+2.9	2
1926-08-01	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	45.6	1433	1448	28.15%	15.17%	56.68%	-0.55	-2.9	0
1926-08-01	Orgryte	L 0-1	44.6	1380	1653	20.48%	14.53%	64.99%	-1.51	-2.3	0
1926-08-01	@ Elfsborg	W 1-0	44.6	1653	1380	64.99%	14.53%	20.48%	+1.51	+2.3	2
1926-08-01	Landskrona	W 4-2	47.4	1649	1377	78.17%	13.52%	8.31%	+2.38	+1.4	2
1926-08-01	@ Goteborg	L 2-4	47.4	1377	1649	8.31%	13.52%	78.17%	-2.38	-1.4	0
1926-08-01	Westermalms	W 7-0	33.7	1533	1380	70.42%	14.51%	15.07%	+1.53	+10.5	2
1926-08-01	@ Helsingborg	L 0-7	33.7	1380	1533	15.07%	14.51%	70.42%	-1.53	-10.5	0
1926-08-01	GAIS	L 0-3	43.7	1434	1682	22.86%	14.69%	62.46%	-1.34	-7.0	0
1926-08-01	@ Norrkoping	W 3-0	43.7	1682	1434	62.46%	14.69%	22.86%	+1.34	+7.0	2
1926-08-01	IFK Eskilstuna	L 1-7	40.5	1300	1362	46.56%	15.27%	38.18%	-0.01	-20.7	0
1926-08-01	@ Uddevalla	W 7-1	40.5	1362	1300	38.18%	15.27%	46.56%	+0.01	+20.7	2
1926-08-06	Orgryte	W 3-2	63.7	1650	1655	54.21%	15.21%	30.58%	+0.40	+3.0	4
1926-08-06	@ Goteborg	L 2-3	63.7	1655	1650	30.58%	15.21%	54.21%	-0.40	-3.0	2
1926-08-08	Norrkoping	D 3-3	66.9	1383	1427	49.01%	15.26%	35.73%	+0.12	-0.2	3
1926-08-08	@ IFK Eskilstuna	D 3-3	66.9	1427	1383	35.73%	15.26%	49.01%	-0.12	+0.2	1
1926-08-08	Elfsborg	D 2-2	60.9	1375	1378	54.48%	15.21%	30.31%	+0.42	-0.4	1
1926-08-08	@ Landskrona	D 2-2	60.9	1378	1375	30.31%	15.21%	54.48%	-0.42	+0.4	1
1926-08-08	AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	48.3	1652	1451	73.93%	14.16%	11.91%	+1.87	+1.3	4
1926-08-08	@ Orgryte	L 1-2	48.3	1451	1652	11.91%	14.16%	73.93%	-1.87	-1.3	2
1926-08-08	Helsingborg	W 2-0	47.6	1430	1544	39.30%	15.22%	45.48%	-0.37	+8.8	2
1926-08-08	@ Sleipner	L 0-2	47.6	1544	1430	45.48%	15.22%	39.30%	+0.37	-8.8	2
1926-08-08	Uddevalla	W 4-1	35.3	1370	1279	64.88%	14.88%	20.24%	+1.08	+5.3	2
1926-08-08	@ Westermalms	L 1-4	35.3	1279	1370	20.24%	14.88%	64.88%	-1.08	-5.3	0
1926-08-13	GAIS	L 2-3	70.0	1653	1689	50.15%	15.26%	34.59%	+0.18	-4.6	4
1926-08-13	@ Orgryte	W 3-2	70.0	1689	1653	34.59%	15.26%	50.15%	-0.18	+4.6	4
1926-08-15	IFK Eskilstuna	W 2-1	42.4	1450	1383	62.55%	14.99%	22.46%	+0.92	+2.4	4
1926-08-15	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	42.4	1383	1450	22.46%	14.99%	62.55%	-0.92	-2.4	3
1926-08-15	Westermalms	W 5-1	38.1	1378	1375	55.21%	15.20%	29.59%	+0.46	+9.6	3
1926-08-15	@ Elfsborg	L 1-5	38.1	1375	1378	29.59%	15.20%	55.21%	-0.46	-9.6	2
1926-08-15	Uddevalla	W 6-0	30.9	1694	1274	84.22%	11.92%	3.86%	+3.44	+2.3	6
1926-08-15	@ GAIS	L 0-6	30.9	1274	1694	3.86%	11.92%	84.22%	-3.44	-2.3	0
1926-08-15	Goteborg	W 4-2	64.4	1535	1653	38.56%	15.21%	46.23%	-0.41	+7.0	4
1926-08-15	@ Helsingborg	L 2-4	64.4	1653	1535	46.23%	15.21%	38.56%	+0.41	-7.0	4
1926-08-15	Sleipner	W 3-1	44.4	1427	1439	53.34%	15.23%	31.44%	+0.35	+5.6	3
1926-08-15	@ Norrkoping	L 1-3	44.4	1439	1427	31.44%	15.23%	53.34%	-0.35	-5.6	2
1926-08-20	Goteborg	D 1-1	72.2	1696	1647	60.65%	15.06%	24.29%	+0.79	-0.9	7
1926-08-20	@ GAIS	D 1-1	72.2	1647	1696	24.29%	15.06%	60.65%	-0.79	+0.9	5
1926-08-20	AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	44.0	1365	1452	43.04%	15.26%	41.71%	-0.19	+4.4	4
1926-08-20	@ Westermalms	L 0-1	44.0	1452	1365	41.71%	15.26%	43.04%	+0.19	-4.3	4
1926-08-22	Norrkoping	W 4-0	37.7	1647	1433	74.82%	14.04%	11.14%	+1.97	+4.6	7
1926-08-22	@ Goteborg	L 0-4	37.7	1433	1647	11.14%	14.04%	74.82%	-1.97	-4.6	3
1926-08-22	Orgryte	L 1-2	48.5	1380	1649	20.86%	14.56%	64.58%	-1.48	-2.2	3
1926-08-22	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 2-1	48.5	1649	1380	64.58%	14.56%	20.86%	+1.48	+2.2	6
1926-08-22	Helsingborg	L 1-2	47.9	1375	1542	32.17%	15.08%	52.75%	-0.75	-3.3	1
1926-08-22	@ Landskrona	W 2-1	47.9	1542	1375	52.75%	15.08%	32.17%	+0.75	+3.3	6
1926-08-22	Elfsborg	W 2-1	42.9	1433	1388	60.17%	15.08%	24.75%	+0.76	+2.6	4
1926-08-22	@ Sleipner	L 1-2	42.9	1388	1433	24.75%	15.08%	60.17%	-0.76	-2.6	3
1926-08-25	Elfsborg	W 7-0	36.9	1695	1385	80.00%	13.14%	6.85%	+2.65	+4.8	9
1926-08-25	@ GAIS	L 0-7	36.9	1385	1695	6.85%	13.14%	80.00%	-2.65	-4.8	3
1926-08-29	Goteborg	L 2-3	58.2	1448	1652	27.65%	14.93%	57.43%	-1.02	-2.7	4
1926-08-29	@ AIK Stockholm	W 3-2	58.2	1652	1448	57.43%	14.93%	27.65%	+1.02	+2.7	9
1926-08-29	Uddevalla	W 1-0	33.5	1545	1272	78.21%	13.51%	8.28%	+2.39	+1.0	8
1926-08-29	@ Helsingborg	L 0-1	33.5	1272	1545	8.28%	13.51%	78.21%	-2.39	-1.0	0
1926-08-29	Norrkoping	L 1-2	49.2	1372	1428	47.31%	15.27%	37.42%	+0.03	-4.6	1
1926-08-29	@ Landskrona	W 2-1	49.2	1428	1372	37.42%	15.27%	47.31%	-0.03	+4.6	5
1926-08-29	Westermalms	W 4-1	40.6	1651	1370	78.63%	13.43%	7.93%	+2.45	+2.1	8
1926-08-29	@ Orgryte	L 1-4	40.6	1370	1651	7.93%	13.43%	78.63%	-2.45	-2.1	4
1926-08-29	IFK Eskilstuna	W 8-2	37.4	1436	1378	61.54%	15.03%	23.43%	+0.85	+9.4	6
1926-08-29	@ Sleipner	L 2-8	37.4	1378	1436	23.43%	15.03%	61.54%	-0.85	-9.4	3
1926-09-05	Landskrona	W 4-0	32.0	1445	1367	63.68%	14.94%	21.38%	+1.00	+8.6	6
1926-09-05	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-4	32.0	1367	1445	21.38%	14.94%	63.68%	-1.00	-8.6	1
1926-09-05	Helsingborg	L 1-4	44.9	1380	1546	32.35%	15.08%	52.57%	-0.74	-8.1	3
1926-09-05	@ Elfsborg	W 4-1	44.9	1546	1380	52.57%	15.08%	32.35%	+0.74	+8.1	10
1926-09-05	Sleipner	W 2-1	48.6	1700	1445	77.23%	13.69%	9.09%	+2.26	+1.0	11
1926-09-05	@ GAIS	L 1-2	48.6	1445	1700	9.09%	13.69%	77.23%	-2.26	-1.0	6
1926-09-05	Westermalms	W 4-1	39.3	1369	1368	54.94%	15.20%	29.85%	+0.45	+7.5	5
1926-09-05	@ IFK Eskilstuna	L 1-4	39.3	1368	1369	29.85%	15.20%	54.94%	-0.45	-7.5	4
1926-09-05	Orgryte	L 3-4	61.2	1433	1653	25.80%	14.84%	59.35%	-1.14	-2.5	5
1926-09-05	@ Norrkoping	W 4-3	61.2	1653	1433	59.35%	14.84%	25.80%	+1.14	+2.5	10
1926-09-05	Goteborg	L 1-2	41.7	1271	1655	12.07%	13.62%	74.30%	-2.31	-1.3	0
1926-09-05	@ Uddevalla	W 2-1	41.7	1655	1271	74.30%	13.62%	12.07%	+2.31	+1.3	11
1926-09-12	Uddevalla	W 5-1	33.4	1372	1269	66.10%	14.82%	19.09%	+1.17	+6.5	5
1926-09-12	@ Elfsborg	L 1-5	33.4	1269	1372	19.09%	14.82%	66.10%	-1.17	-6.5	0
1926-09-12	IFK Eskilstuna	W 3-0	36.0	1656	1376	78.55%	13.45%	8.00%	+2.44	+2.5	13
1926-09-12	@ Goteborg	L 0-3	36.0	1376	1656	8.00%	13.45%	78.55%	-2.44	-2.5	5
1926-09-12	GAIS	W 2-0	57.4	1554	1701	34.70%	15.14%	50.16%	-0.62	+9.6	12
1926-09-12	@ Helsingborg	L 0-2	57.4	1701	1554	50.16%	15.14%	34.70%	+0.62	-9.7	11
1926-09-12	Orgryte	L 0-3	38.7	1358	1656	18.29%	14.36%	67.36%	-1.69	-5.7	1
1926-09-12	@ Landskrona	W 3-0	38.7	1656	1358	67.36%	14.36%	18.29%	+1.69	+5.7	12
1926-09-12	AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	47.1	1430	1454	51.79%	15.24%	32.97%	+0.27	+3.4	7
1926-09-12	@ Norrkoping	L 1-2	47.1	1454	1430	32.97%	15.24%	51.79%	-0.27	-3.4	6
1926-09-12	Sleipner	L 2-3	53.2	1360	1444	43.43%	15.26%	41.31%	-0.17	-4.0	4
1926-09-12	@ Westermalms	W 3-2	53.2	1444	1360	41.31%	15.26%	43.43%	+0.17	+4.0	8
1926-09-19	Goteborg	W 1-0	58.3	1379	1659	19.84%	14.48%	65.68%	-1.56	+6.6	7
1926-09-19	@ Elfsborg	L 0-1	58.3	1659	1379	65.68%	14.48%	19.84%	+1.56	-6.6	13
1926-09-19	GAIS	L 1-6	42.7	1374	1692	16.61%	14.20%	69.19%	-1.83	-6.9	5
1926-09-19	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 6-1	42.7	1692	1374	69.19%	14.20%	16.61%	+1.83	+6.9	13
1926-09-19	Helsingborg	W 3-2	59.0	1661	1564	65.60%	14.85%	19.55%	+1.14	+2.0	14
1926-09-19	@ Orgryte	L 2-3	59.0	1564	1661	19.55%	14.85%	65.60%	-1.14	-2.0	12
1926-09-19	Landskrona	W 6-0	31.4	1448	1353	65.40%	14.86%	19.75%	+1.12	+11.7	10
1926-09-19	@ Sleipner	L 0-6	31.4	1353	1448	19.75%	14.86%	65.40%	-1.12	-11.7	1
1926-09-19	AIK Stockholm	D 2-2	60.4	1263	1451	29.58%	15.00%	55.42%	-0.90	+0.5	1
1926-09-19	@ Uddevalla	D 2-2	60.4	1451	1263	55.42%	15.00%	29.58%	+0.90	-0.5	7
1926-09-19	Norrkoping	W 4-1	43.5	1356	1434	44.36%	15.26%	40.38%	-0.12	+9.8	6
1926-09-19	@ Westermalms	L 1-4	43.5	1434	1356	40.38%	15.26%	44.36%	+0.12	-9.8	7
1926-09-26	Helsingborg	L 1-3	52.0	1450	1562	39.57%	15.22%	45.20%	-0.36	-6.8	7
1926-09-26	@ AIK Stockholm	W 3-1	52.0	1562	1450	45.20%	15.22%	39.57%	+0.36	+6.8	14
1926-09-26	Norrkoping	D 2-2	73.0	1698	1424	78.28%	13.50%	8.22%	+2.40	-1.3	14
1926-09-26	@ GAIS	D 2-2	73.0	1424	1698	8.22%	13.50%	78.28%	-2.40	+1.3	8
1926-09-26	Elfsborg	D 3-3	65.7	1367	1386	52.41%	15.24%	32.35%	+0.30	-0.3	6
1926-09-26	@ IFK Eskilstuna	D 3-3	65.7	1386	1367	32.35%	15.24%	52.41%	-0.30	+0.3	8
1926-09-26	Westermalms	W 4-2	46.4	1341	1366	51.63%	15.25%	33.13%	+0.26	+5.2	3
1926-09-26	@ Landskrona	L 2-4	46.4	1366	1341	33.13%	15.25%	51.63%	-0.26	-5.2	6
1926-09-26	Uddevalla	W 1-0	33.0	1460	1263	73.65%	14.19%	12.16%	+1.84	+1.4	12
1926-09-26	@ Sleipner	L 0-1	33.0	1263	1460	12.16%	14.19%	73.65%	-1.84	-1.4	1
1926-10-03	Landskrona	L 1-3	43.7	1262	1346	43.45%	15.26%	41.29%	-0.16	-7.4	1
1926-10-03	@ Uddevalla	W 3-1	43.7	1346	1262	41.29%	15.26%	43.45%	+0.16	+7.4	5
1926-10-10	IFK Eskilstuna	L 2-3	56.2	1386	1366	57.16%	15.16%	27.69%	+0.58	-5.2	8
1926-10-10	@ Elfsborg	W 3-2	56.2	1366	1386	27.69%	15.16%	57.16%	-0.58	+5.2	8
1926-10-10	AIK Stockholm	W 2-0	41.5	1652	1443	74.45%	14.09%	11.46%	+1.93	+2.5	15
1926-10-10	@ Goteborg	L 0-2	41.5	1443	1652	11.46%	14.09%	74.45%	-1.93	-2.5	7
1926-10-10	Sleipner	W 4-3	57.1	1568	1462	66.46%	14.80%	18.75%	+1.20	+1.9	16
1926-10-10	@ Helsingborg	L 3-4	57.1	1462	1568	18.75%	14.80%	66.46%	-1.20	-1.9	12
1926-10-10	GAIS	D 1-1	65.8	1354	1697	14.70%	13.99%	71.31%	-2.02	+1.4	6
1926-10-10	@ Landskrona	D 1-1	65.8	1697	1354	71.31%	13.99%	14.70%	+2.02	-1.4	15
1926-10-10	Uddevalla	D 1-1	55.4	1425	1255	71.79%	14.39%	13.82%	+1.66	-1.5	9
1926-10-10	@ Norrkoping	D 1-1	55.4	1255	1425	13.82%	14.39%	71.79%	-1.66	+1.5	2
1926-10-10	Orgryte	D 0-0	61.8	1361	1663	17.82%	14.31%	67.86%	-1.73	+1.4	7
1926-10-10	@ Westermalms	D 0-0	61.8	1663	1361	67.86%	14.31%	17.82%	+1.73	-1.4	15
1926-10-17	GAIS	L 1-4	49.1	1441	1696	22.19%	14.65%	63.17%	-1.38	-5.7	7
1926-10-17	@ AIK Stockholm	W 4-1	49.1	1696	1441	63.17%	14.65%	22.19%	+1.38	+5.7	17
1926-10-17	Elfsborg	W 7-1	36.7	1570	1381	73.16%	14.25%	12.59%	+1.79	+6.3	18
1926-10-17	@ Helsingborg	L 1-7	36.7	1381	1570	12.59%	14.25%	73.16%	-1.79	-6.3	8
1926-10-17	Landskrona	W 5-1	37.2	1372	1355	56.84%	15.16%	28.00%	+0.56	+9.2	10
1926-10-17	@ IFK Eskilstuna	L 1-5	37.2	1355	1372	28.00%	15.16%	56.84%	-0.56	-9.2	6
1926-10-17	Norrkoping	L 0-3	58.5	1662	1424	76.27%	13.84%	9.89%	+2.14	-21.0	15
1926-10-17	@ Orgryte	W 3-0	58.5	1424	1662	9.89%	13.84%	76.27%	-2.14	+21.0	11
1926-10-17	Goteborg	L 0-5	44.1	1460	1655	28.72%	14.97%	56.31%	-0.96	-13.9	12
1926-10-17	@ Sleipner	W 5-0	44.1	1655	1460	56.31%	14.97%	28.72%	+0.96	+13.8	17
1926-10-17	Westermalms	D 2-2	59.3	1256	1362	40.37%	15.23%	44.39%	-0.32	+0.1	3
1926-10-17	@ Uddevalla	D 2-2	59.3	1362	1256	44.39%	15.23%	40.37%	+0.32	-0.1	8
1926-10-24	Norrkoping	L 2-4	52.2	1374	1445	45.38%	15.27%	39.35%	-0.07	-6.8	8
1926-10-24	@ Elfsborg	W 4-2	52.2	1445	1374	39.35%	15.27%	45.38%	+0.07	+6.8	13
1926-10-24	Helsingborg	W 2-1	54.1	1701	1577	68.08%	14.69%	17.23%	+1.33	+1.8	19
1926-10-24	@ GAIS	L 1-2	54.1	1577	1701	17.23%	14.69%	68.08%	-1.33	-1.9	18
1926-10-24	Uddevalla	W 2-0	31.2	1381	1256	68.06%	14.69%	17.24%	+1.33	+3.7	12
1926-10-24	@ IFK Eskilstuna	L 0-2	31.2	1256	1381	17.24%	14.69%	68.06%	-1.33	-3.7	3
1926-10-24	AIK Stockholm	L 2-3	52.4	1346	1435	42.73%	15.25%	42.02%	-0.20	-4.0	6
1926-10-24	@ Landskrona	W 3-2	52.4	1435	1346	42.02%	15.25%	42.73%	+0.20	+4.0	9
1926-10-24	Orgryte	D 1-1	66.8	1446	1641	28.68%	14.97%	56.35%	-0.96	+0.7	13
1926-10-24	@ Sleipner	D 1-1	66.8	1641	1446	56.35%	14.97%	28.68%	+0.96	-0.7	16
1926-10-24	Goteborg	L 1-6	41.7	1362	1668	17.52%	14.29%	68.19%	-1.75	-7.3	8
1926-10-24	@ Westermalms	W 6-1	41.7	1668	1362	68.19%	14.29%	17.52%	+1.75	+7.3	19
1926-10-31	GAIS	L 0-5	38.3	1367	1703	15.26%	14.05%	70.69%	-1.96	-7.7	8
1926-10-31	@ Elfsborg	W 5-0	38.3	1703	1367	70.69%	14.05%	15.26%	+1.96	+7.7	21
1926-10-31	Sleipner	W 4-0	38.7	1676	1446	75.74%	13.92%	10.34%	+2.07	+4.3	21
1926-10-31	@ Goteborg	L 0-4	38.7	1446	1676	10.34%	13.92%	75.74%	-2.07	-4.3	13
1926-10-31	AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	46.6	1575	1439	69.01%	14.63%	16.37%	+1.41	+1.8	20
1926-10-31	@ Helsingborg	L 1-2	46.6	1439	1575	16.37%	14.63%	69.01%	-1.41	-1.8	9
1926-10-31	Landskrona	L 0-3	46.3	1452	1342	66.74%	14.78%	18.48%	+1.22	-18.4	13
1926-10-31	@ Norrkoping	W 3-0	46.3	1342	1452	18.48%	14.78%	66.74%	-1.22	+18.4	8
1926-10-31	IFK Eskilstuna	D 2-2	60.7	1355	1385	50.93%	15.25%	33.82%	+0.22	-0.3	9
1926-10-31	@ Westermalms	D 2-2	60.7	1385	1355	33.82%	15.25%	50.93%	-0.22	+0.3	13
1926-11-21	Orgryte	L 0-1	36.7	1252	1640	11.85%	13.59%	74.57%	-2.33	-1.4	3
1926-11-21	@ Uddevalla	W 1-0	36.7	1640	1252	74.57%	13.59%	11.85%	+2.33	+1.4	18
1927-04-10	Sleipner	L 0-3	39.7	1360	1442	43.71%	15.26%	41.03%	-0.15	-12.4	8
1927-04-10	@ Elfsborg	W 3-0	39.7	1442	1360	41.03%	15.26%	43.71%	+0.15	+12.4	15
1927-04-10	Goteborg	L 0-1	48.2	1433	1680	23.02%	14.70%	62.28%	-1.33	-2.6	13
1927-04-10	@ Norrkoping	W 1-0	48.2	1680	1433	62.28%	14.70%	23.02%	+1.33	+2.6	23
1927-04-10	Uddevalla	W 3-1	36.3	1642	1251	83.23%	12.26%	4.51%	+3.23	+0.8	20
1927-04-10	@ Orgryte	L 1-3	36.3	1251	1642	4.51%	12.26%	83.23%	-3.23	-0.8	3
1927-04-15	Westermalms	W 3-1	42.9	1711	1354	81.98%	12.64%	5.38%	+2.99	+1.0	23
1927-04-15	@ GAIS	L 1-3	42.9	1354	1711	5.38%	12.64%	81.98%	-2.99	-1.0	9
1927-04-16	Landskrona	W 2-1	43.3	1643	1360	78.67%	13.42%	7.90%	+2.45	+0.9	22
1927-04-16	@ Orgryte	L 1-2	43.3	1360	1643	7.90%	13.42%	78.67%	-2.45	-0.9	8
1927-04-17	Westermalms	W 2-0	37.5	1682	1353	80.85%	12.94%	6.20%	+2.79	+1.4	25
1927-04-17	@ Goteborg	L 0-2	37.5	1353	1682	6.20%	12.94%	80.85%	-2.79	-1.4	9
1927-04-18	Norrkoping	W 2-1	45.5	1437	1431	55.60%	15.19%	29.21%	+0.48	+3.0	11
1927-04-18	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	45.5	1431	1437	29.21%	15.19%	55.60%	-0.48	-3.0	13
1927-04-18	Landskrona	W 4-1	41.5	1712	1359	81.82%	12.69%	5.50%	+2.96	+1.5	25
1927-04-18	@ GAIS	L 1-4	41.5	1359	1712	5.50%	12.69%	81.82%	-2.96	-1.5	8
1927-04-18	IFK Eskilstuna	W 5-3	49.6	1576	1385	73.30%	14.23%	12.47%	+1.81	+2.0	22
1927-04-18	@ Helsingborg	L 3-5	49.6	1385	1576	12.47%	14.23%	73.30%	-1.81	-2.0	13
1927-04-18	Elfsborg	L 2-3	49.8	1250	1347	41.60%	15.25%	43.16%	-0.26	-3.9	3
1927-04-18	@ Uddevalla	W 3-2	49.8	1347	1250	43.16%	15.25%	41.60%	+0.26	+3.9	10
1927-04-24	Elfsborg	L 2-3	59.2	1440	1351	64.75%	14.89%	20.36%	+1.07	-5.8	11
1927-04-24	@ AIK Stockholm	W 3-2	59.2	1351	1440	20.36%	14.89%	64.75%	-1.07	+5.8	12
1927-04-24	Helsingborg	L 2-3	73.7	1684	1578	66.32%	14.81%	18.88%	+1.19	-6.0	25
1927-04-24	@ Goteborg	W 3-2	73.7	1578	1684	18.88%	14.81%	66.32%	-1.19	+6.0	24
1927-04-24	IFK Eskilstuna	W 5-1	39.0	1358	1383	51.60%	15.25%	33.16%	+0.26	+10.7	10
1927-04-24	@ Landskrona	L 1-5	39.0	1383	1358	33.16%	15.25%	51.60%	-0.26	-10.7	13
1927-04-24	Westermalms	W 3-0	32.5	1428	1352	63.43%	14.95%	21.62%	+0.98	+6.7	15
1927-04-24	@ Norrkoping	L 0-3	32.5	1352	1428	21.62%	14.95%	63.43%	-0.98	-6.7	9
1927-04-24	GAIS	L 1-4	38.1	1246	1713	7.97%	12.77%	79.26%	-2.90	-2.1	3
1927-04-24	@ Uddevalla	W 4-1	38.1	1713	1246	79.26%	12.77%	7.97%	+2.90	+2.1	27
1927-04-29	Elfsborg	W 3-0	34.7	1643	1357	78.87%	13.38%	7.74%	+2.48	+2.5	24
1927-04-29	@ Orgryte	L 0-3	34.7	1357	1643	7.74%	13.38%	78.87%	-2.48	-2.5	12
1927-05-01	Landskrona	W 2-1	43.1	1355	1369	53.03%	15.23%	31.74%	+0.34	+3.2	14
1927-05-01	@ Elfsborg	L 1-2	43.1	1369	1355	31.74%	15.23%	53.03%	-0.34	-3.2	10
1927-05-01	IFK Eskilstuna	D 2-2	69.4	1646	1372	78.23%	13.51%	8.26%	+2.39	-1.3	25
1927-05-01	@ Orgryte	D 2-2	69.4	1372	1646	8.26%	13.51%	78.23%	-2.39	+1.3	14
1927-05-01	AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	54.5	1455	1434	57.25%	15.16%	27.59%	+0.58	-5.5	15
1927-05-01	@ Sleipner	W 2-1	54.5	1434	1455	27.59%	15.16%	57.25%	-0.58	+5.5	13
1927-05-01	Norrkoping	D 1-1	55.3	1244	1434	29.28%	14.99%	55.74%	-0.92	+0.6	4
1927-05-01	@ Uddevalla	D 1-1	55.3	1434	1244	55.74%	14.99%	29.28%	+0.92	-0.6	16
1927-05-01	Helsingborg	W 2-1	57.0	1345	1584	23.78%	14.74%	61.48%	-1.27	+5.8	11
1927-05-01	@ Westermalms	L 1-2	57.0	1584	1345	61.48%	14.74%	23.78%	+1.27	-5.8	24
1927-05-06	Orgryte	W 2-1	56.6	1716	1645	62.93%	14.97%	22.09%	+0.94	+2.4	29
1927-05-06	@ GAIS	L 1-2	56.6	1645	1716	22.09%	14.97%	62.93%	-0.94	-2.3	25
1927-05-08	AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	69.6	1718	1440	78.46%	13.47%	8.08%	+2.42	-7.4	29
1927-05-08	@ GAIS	W 2-1	69.6	1440	1718	8.08%	13.47%	78.46%	-2.42	+7.4	15
1927-05-08	Norrkoping	W 4-0	36.7	1579	1434	69.77%	14.57%	15.66%	+1.47	+6.4	26
1927-05-08	@ Helsingborg	L 0-4	36.7	1434	1579	15.66%	14.57%	69.77%	-1.47	-6.5	16
1927-05-08	Goteborg	L 0-3	39.8	1374	1678	17.70%	14.30%	67.99%	-1.74	-5.5	14
1927-05-08	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 3-0	39.8	1678	1374	67.99%	14.30%	17.70%	+1.74	+5.5	27
1927-05-08	Sleipner	W 3-2	55.3	1245	1449	27.62%	14.92%	57.46%	-1.02	+5.2	6
1927-05-08	@ Uddevalla	L 2-3	55.3	1449	1245	57.46%	14.92%	27.62%	+1.02	-5.2	15
1927-05-08	Landskrona	L 1-3	47.7	1351	1365	52.99%	15.23%	31.78%	+0.34	-8.8	11
1927-05-08	@ Westermalms	W 3-1	47.7	1365	1351	31.78%	15.23%	52.99%	-0.34	+8.8	12
1927-05-13	Goteborg	L 1-2	64.6	1642	1683	49.43%	15.26%	35.31%	+0.14	-4.8	25
1927-05-13	@ Orgryte	W 2-1	64.6	1683	1642	35.31%	15.26%	49.43%	-0.14	+4.8	29
1927-05-15	Uddevalla	W 3-2	41.6	1447	1250	73.69%	14.18%	12.13%	+1.85	+1.3	17
1927-05-15	@ AIK Stockholm	L 2-3	41.6	1250	1447	12.13%	14.18%	73.69%	-1.85	-1.2	6
1927-05-15	Elfsborg	W 1-0	40.3	1688	1358	80.90%	12.93%	6.17%	+2.80	+0.7	31
1927-05-15	@ Goteborg	L 0-1	40.3	1358	1688	6.17%	12.93%	80.90%	-2.80	-0.7	14
1927-05-15	Helsingborg	W 3-1	55.5	1368	1585	26.17%	14.86%	58.97%	-1.11	+9.7	16
1927-05-15	@ IFK Eskilstuna	L 1-3	55.5	1585	1368	58.97%	14.86%	26.17%	+1.11	-9.7	26
1927-05-15	GAIS	D 1-1	69.0	1444	1710	21.06%	14.57%	64.37%	-1.47	+1.1	16
1927-05-15	@ Sleipner	D 1-1	69.0	1710	1444	64.37%	14.57%	21.06%	+1.47	-1.1	30
1927-05-18	Westermalms	D 1-1	57.1	1449	1342	66.41%	14.80%	18.79%	+1.20	-1.2	18
1927-05-18	@ AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	57.1	1342	1449	18.79%	14.80%	66.41%	-1.20	+1.2	12
1927-05-18	Landskrona	W 6-0	33.3	1575	1374	73.96%	14.15%	11.89%	+1.88	+7.2	28
1927-05-18	@ Helsingborg	L 0-6	33.3	1374	1575	11.89%	14.15%	73.96%	-1.88	-7.2	12
1927-05-22	Orgryte	W 2-0	54.7	1447	1637	29.30%	14.99%	55.71%	-0.92	+10.6	20
1927-05-22	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	54.7	1637	1447	55.71%	14.99%	29.30%	+0.92	-10.6	25
1927-05-22	Sleipner	W 5-2	47.9	1378	1445	45.85%	15.27%	38.89%	-0.04	+8.2	18
1927-05-22	@ IFK Eskilstuna	L 2-5	47.9	1445	1378	38.89%	15.27%	45.85%	+0.04	-8.2	16
1927-05-22	Uddevalla	W 3-1	35.9	1367	1249	67.48%	14.73%	17.79%	+1.28	+3.3	14
1927-05-22	@ Landskrona	L 1-3	35.9	1249	1367	17.79%	14.73%	67.48%	-1.28	-3.3	6
1927-05-22	Elfsborg	D 1-1	56.9	1427	1357	62.84%	14.98%	22.18%	+0.94	-1.0	17
1927-05-22	@ Norrkoping	D 1-1	56.9	1357	1427	22.18%	14.98%	62.84%	-0.94	+1.0	15
1927-05-26	AIK Stockholm	L 1-3	47.9	1386	1458	45.16%	15.27%	39.57%	-0.08	-7.6	18
1927-05-26	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 3-1	47.9	1458	1386	39.57%	15.27%	45.16%	+0.08	+7.6	22
1927-05-26	Helsingborg	L 2-5	52.4	1426	1583	33.52%	15.11%	51.37%	-0.68	-7.2	17
1927-05-26	@ Norrkoping	W 5-2	52.4	1583	1426	51.37%	15.11%	33.52%	+0.68	+7.2	30
1927-05-26	Sleipner	W 3-0	38.7	1627	1437	73.19%	14.24%	12.57%	+1.79	+4.0	27
1927-05-26	@ Orgryte	L 0-3	38.7	1437	1627	12.57%	14.24%	73.19%	-1.79	-4.0	16
1927-05-26	Elfsborg	W 6-0	33.4	1343	1358	52.93%	15.23%	31.84%	+0.33	+18.1	14
1927-05-26	@ Westermalms	L 0-6	33.4	1358	1343	31.84%	15.23%	52.93%	-0.33	-18.1	15
1927-05-29	IFK Eskilstuna	W 4-0	36.1	1709	1378	80.93%	12.92%	6.15%	+2.80	+2.5	32
1927-05-29	@ GAIS	L 0-4	36.1	1378	1709	6.15%	12.92%	80.93%	-2.80	-2.5	18
1927-05-29	Goteborg	L 1-4	44.8	1370	1689	16.55%	14.19%	69.25%	-1.84	-4.4	14
1927-05-29	@ Landskrona	W 4-1	44.8	1689	1370	69.25%	14.19%	16.55%	+1.84	+4.4	33
1927-05-29	Westermalms	W 1-0	37.5	1433	1362	62.96%	14.97%	22.07%	+0.95	+2.5	18
1927-05-29	@ Sleipner	L 0-1	37.5	1362	1433	22.07%	14.97%	62.96%	-0.95	-2.5	14
1927-05-29	Helsingborg	L 2-8	35.0	1245	1590	14.65%	13.98%	71.37%	-2.02	-6.0	6
1927-05-29	@ Uddevalla	W 8-2	35.0	1590	1245	71.37%	13.98%	14.65%	+2.02	+6.0	32
1927-06-03	GAIS	L 3-4	75.3	1693	1712	52.41%	15.24%	32.36%	+0.30	-4.7	33
1927-06-03	@ Goteborg	W 4-3	75.3	1712	1693	32.36%	15.24%	52.41%	-0.30	+4.6	34
1927-06-03	Norrkoping	W 5-1	40.0	1435	1419	56.77%	15.17%	28.06%	+0.55	+9.2	20
1927-06-03	@ Sleipner	L 1-5	40.0	1419	1435	28.06%	15.17%	56.77%	-0.55	-9.2	17
1927-06-06	AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	57.3	1340	1466	37.62%	15.20%	47.19%	-0.46	+0.2	16
1927-06-06	@ Elfsborg	D 1-1	57.3	1466	1340	47.19%	15.20%	37.62%	+0.46	-0.2	23
1927-06-06	Uddevalla	L 1-4	59.8	1689	1239	85.11%	11.57%	3.31%	+3.65	-19.5	33
1927-06-06	@ Goteborg	W 4-1	59.8	1239	1689	3.31%	11.57%	85.11%	-3.65	+19.5	8
1927-06-06	Orgryte	L 2-3	68.4	1596	1631	50.27%	15.26%	34.48%	+0.19	-4.6	32
1927-06-06	@ Helsingborg	W 3-2	68.4	1631	1596	34.48%	15.26%	50.27%	-0.19	+4.6	29
1927-06-06	Sleipner	W 1-0	43.5	1366	1444	44.24%	15.26%	40.49%	-0.12	+4.2	16
1927-06-06	@ Landskrona	L 0-1	43.5	1444	1366	40.49%	15.26%	44.24%	+0.12	-4.2	20
1927-06-06	IFK Eskilstuna	D 2-2	61.6	1410	1376	58.90%	15.11%	25.99%	+0.68	-0.6	18
1927-06-06	@ Norrkoping	D 2-2	61.6	1376	1410	25.99%	15.11%	58.90%	-0.68	+0.6	19
1927-06-06	GAIS	L 3-5	54.1	1359	1717	13.74%	13.86%	72.40%	-2.12	-2.2	14
1927-06-06	@ Westermalms	W 5-3	54.1	1717	1359	72.40%	13.86%	13.74%	+2.12	+2.2	36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1927-06-06	3.31%	Uddevalla	1239	4	@ Goteborg	1689	1
2	1927-05-08	8.08%	AIK Stockholm	1440	2	@ GAIS	1718	1
3	1926-10-17	9.89%	Norrkoping	1424	3	@ Orgryte	1662	0
4	1926-10-31	18.48%	Landskrona	1342	3	@ Norrkoping	1452	0
5	1927-04-24	18.88%	Helsingborg	1578	3	@ Goteborg	1684	2
6	1926-09-19	19.84%	@ Elfsborg	1379	1	Goteborg	1659	0
7	1927-04-24	20.36%	Elfsborg	1351	3	@ AIK Stockholm	1440	2
8	1927-05-01	23.78%	@ Westermalms	1345	2	Helsingborg	1584	1
9	1927-05-15	26.17%	@ IFK Eskilstuna	1368	3	Helsingborg	1585	1
10	1927-05-01	27.59%	AIK Stockholm	1434	2	@ Sleipner	1455	1
11	1927-05-08	27.62%	@ Uddevalla	1245	3	Sleipner	1449	2
12	1926-10-10	27.69%	IFK Eskilstuna	1366	3	@ Elfsborg	1386	2
13	1927-05-22	29.30%	@ AIK Stockholm	1447	2	Orgryte	1637	0
14	1927-05-08	31.78%	Landskrona	1365	3	@ Westermalms	1351	1
15	1927-06-03	32.36%	GAIS	1712	4	@ Goteborg	1693	3
16	1927-06-06	34.48%	Orgryte	1631	3	@ Helsingborg	1596	2
17	1926-08-13	34.59%	GAIS	1689	3	@ Orgryte	1653	2
18	1926-09-12	34.70%	@ Helsingborg	1554	2	GAIS	1701	0
19	1927-05-13	35.31%	Goteborg	1683	2	@ Orgryte	1642	1
20	1926-08-29	37.42%	Norrkoping	1428	2	@ Landskrona	1372	1
21	1926-08-01	38.18%	IFK Eskilstuna	1362	7	@ Uddevalla	1300	1
22	1926-08-15	38.56%	@ Helsingborg	1535	4	Goteborg	1653	2
23	1926-08-08	39.30%	@ Sleipner	1430	2	Helsingborg	1544	0
24	1926-10-24	39.35%	Norrkoping	1445	4	@ Elfsborg	1374	2
25	1927-05-26	39.57%	AIK Stockholm	1458	3	@ IFK Eskilstuna	1386	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1926-10-17	21.03	Norrkoping	3	1424	9.89%	@ Orgryte	0	1662	76.27%	13.84%
2	1926-08-01	20.70	IFK Eskilstuna	7	1362	38.18%	@ Uddevalla	1	1300	46.56%	15.27%
3	1927-06-06	19.53	Uddevalla	4	1239	3.31%	@ Goteborg	1	1689	85.11%	11.57%
4	1926-10-31	18.42	Landskrona	3	1342	18.48%	@ Norrkoping	0	1452	66.74%	14.78%
5	1927-05-26	18.08	@ Westermalms	6	1343	52.93%	Elfsborg	0	1358	31.84%	15.23%
6	1926-10-17	13.85	Goteborg	5	1655	56.31%	@ Sleipner	0	1460	28.72%	14.97%
7	1927-04-10	12.42	Sleipner	3	1442	41.03%	@ Elfsborg	0	1360	43.71%	15.26%
8	1926-09-19	11.73	@ Sleipner	6	1448	65.40%	Landskrona	0	1353	19.75%	14.86%
9	1927-04-24	10.66	@ Landskrona	5	1358	51.60%	IFK Eskilstuna	1	1383	33.16%	15.25%
10	1927-05-22	10.62	@ AIK Stockholm	2	1447	29.30%	Orgryte	0	1637	55.71%	14.99%
11	1926-08-01	10.52	@ Helsingborg	7	1533	70.42%	Westermalms	0	1380	15.07%	14.51%
12	1926-09-19	9.79	@ Westermalms	4	1356	44.36%	Norrkoping	1	1434	40.38%	15.26%
13	1927-05-15	9.71	@ IFK Eskilstuna	3	1368	26.17%	Helsingborg	1	1585	58.97%	14.86%
14	1926-09-12	9.65	@ Helsingborg	2	1554	34.70%	GAIS	0	1701	50.16%	15.14%
15	1926-08-15	9.64	@ Elfsborg	5	1378	55.21%	Westermalms	1	1375	29.59%	15.20%
16	1926-08-29	9.38	@ Sleipner	8	1436	61.54%	IFK Eskilstuna	2	1378	23.43%	15.03%
17	1927-06-03	9.21	@ Sleipner	5	1435	56.77%	Norrkoping	1	1419	28.06%	15.17%
18	1926-10-17	9.19	@ IFK Eskilstuna	5	1372	56.84%	Landskrona	1	1355	28.00%	15.16%
19	1926-08-08	8.85	@ Sleipner	2	1430	39.30%	Helsingborg	0	1544	45.48%	15.22%
20	1927-05-08	8.79	Landskrona	3	1365	31.78%	@ Westermalms	1	1351	52.99%	15.23%
21	1926-09-05	8.63	@ AIK Stockholm	4	1445	63.68%	Landskrona	0	1367	21.38%	14.94%
22	1927-05-22	8.21	@ IFK Eskilstuna	5	1378	45.85%	Sleipner	2	1445	38.89%	15.27%
23	1926-09-05	8.07	Helsingborg	4	1546	52.57%	@ Elfsborg	1	1380	32.35%	15.08%
24	1926-10-31	7.68	GAIS	5	1703	70.69%	@ Elfsborg	0	1367	15.26%	14.05%
25	1927-05-26	7.62	AIK Stockholm	3	1458	39.57%	@ IFK Eskilstuna	1	1386	45.16%	15.27%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1927-06-03	75.3	GAIS	4	1712	32.36%	@ Goteborg	3	1693	52.41%	15.24%
2	1927-04-24	73.7	Helsingborg	3	1578	18.88%	@ Goteborg	2	1684	66.32%	14.81%
3	1926-09-26	73.0	@ GAIS	2	1698	78.28%	Norrkoping	2	1424	8.22%	13.50%
4	1926-08-20	72.2	@ GAIS	1	1696	60.65%	Goteborg	1	1647	24.29%	15.06%
5	1926-08-13	70.0	GAIS	3	1689	34.59%	@ Orgryte	2	1653	50.15%	15.26%
6	1927-05-08	69.6	AIK Stockholm	2	1440	8.08%	@ GAIS	1	1718	78.46%	13.47%
7	1927-05-01	69.4	@ Orgryte	2	1646	78.23%	IFK Eskilstuna	2	1372	8.26%	13.51%
8	1927-05-15	69.0	@ Sleipner	1	1444	21.06%	GAIS	1	1710	64.37%	14.57%
9	1927-06-06	68.4	Orgryte	3	1631	34.48%	@ Helsingborg	2	1596	50.27%	15.26%
10	1926-08-08	66.9	@ IFK Eskilstuna	3	1383	49.01%	Norrkoping	3	1427	35.73%	15.26%
11	1926-10-24	66.8	@ Sleipner	1	1446	28.68%	Orgryte	1	1641	56.35%	14.97%
12	1926-10-10	65.8	@ Landskrona	1	1354	14.70%	GAIS	1	1697	71.31%	13.99%
13	1926-09-26	65.7	@ IFK Eskilstuna	3	1367	52.41%	Elfsborg	3	1386	32.35%	15.24%
14	1927-05-13	64.6	Goteborg	2	1683	35.31%	@ Orgryte	1	1642	49.43%	15.26%
15	1926-08-15	64.4	@ Helsingborg	4	1535	38.56%	Goteborg	2	1653	46.23%	15.21%
16	1926-08-06	63.7	@ Goteborg	3	1650	54.21%	Orgryte	2	1655	30.58%	15.21%
17	1926-10-10	61.8	@ Westermalms	0	1361	17.82%	Orgryte	0	1663	67.86%	14.31%
18	1927-06-06	61.6	@ Norrkoping	2	1410	58.90%	IFK Eskilstuna	2	1376	25.99%	15.11%
19	1926-09-05	61.2	Orgryte	4	1653	59.35%	@ Norrkoping	3	1433	25.80%	14.84%
20	1926-08-08	60.9	@ Landskrona	2	1375	54.48%	Elfsborg	2	1378	30.31%	15.21%
21	1926-10-31	60.7	@ Westermalms	2	1355	50.93%	IFK Eskilstuna	2	1385	33.82%	15.25%
22	1926-09-19	60.4	@ Uddevalla	2	1263	29.58%	AIK Stockholm	2	1451	55.42%	15.00%
23	1927-06-06	59.8	Uddevalla	4	1239	3.31%	@ Goteborg	1	1689	85.11%	11.57%
24	1926-10-17	59.3	@ Uddevalla	2	1256	40.37%	Westermalms	2	1362	44.39%	15.23%
25	1927-04-24	59.2	Elfsborg	3	1351	20.36%	@ AIK Stockholm	2	1440	64.75%	14.89%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1926-08-15	30.9	@ GAIS	6	1694	84.22%	Uddevalla	0	1274	3.86%	11.92%
2	1926-10-24	31.2	@ IFK Eskilstuna	2	1381	68.06%	Uddevalla	0	1256	17.24%	14.69%
3	1926-09-19	31.4	@ Sleipner	6	1448	65.40%	Landskrona	0	1353	19.75%	14.86%
4	1926-09-05	32.0	@ AIK Stockholm	4	1445	63.68%	Landskrona	0	1367	21.38%	14.94%
5	1927-04-24	32.5	@ Norrkoping	3	1428	63.43%	Westermalms	0	1352	21.62%	14.95%
6	1926-09-26	33.0	@ Sleipner	1	1460	73.65%	Uddevalla	0	1263	12.16%	14.19%
7	1927-05-18	33.3	@ Helsingborg	6	1575	73.96%	Landskrona	0	1374	11.89%	14.15%
8	1926-09-12	33.4	@ Elfsborg	5	1372	66.10%	Uddevalla	1	1269	19.09%	14.82%
9	1927-05-26	33.4	@ Westermalms	6	1343	52.93%	Elfsborg	0	1358	31.84%	15.23%
10	1926-08-29	33.5	@ Helsingborg	1	1545	78.21%	Uddevalla	0	1272	8.28%	13.51%
11	1926-08-01	33.7	@ Helsingborg	7	1533	70.42%	Westermalms	0	1380	15.07%	14.51%
12	1927-04-29	34.7	@ Orgryte	3	1643	78.87%	Elfsborg	0	1357	7.74%	13.38%
13	1927-05-29	35.0	Helsingborg	8	1590	71.37%	@ Uddevalla	2	1245	14.65%	13.98%
14	1926-08-08	35.3	@ Westermalms	4	1370	64.88%	Uddevalla	1	1279	20.24%	14.88%
15	1927-05-22	35.9	@ Landskrona	3	1367	67.48%	Uddevalla	1	1249	17.79%	14.73%
16	1926-09-12	36.0	@ Goteborg	3	1656	78.55%	IFK Eskilstuna	0	1376	8.00%	13.45%
17	1927-05-29	36.1	@ GAIS	4	1709	80.93%	IFK Eskilstuna	0	1378	6.15%	12.92%
18	1927-04-10	36.3	@ Orgryte	3	1642	83.23%	Uddevalla	1	1251	4.51%	12.26%
19	1926-10-17	36.7	@ Helsingborg	7	1570	73.16%	Elfsborg	1	1381	12.59%	14.25%
20	1926-11-21	36.7	Orgryte	1	1640	74.57%	@ Uddevalla	0	1252	11.85%	13.59%
21	1927-05-08	36.7	@ Helsingborg	4	1579	69.77%	Norrkoping	0	1434	15.66%	14.57%
22	1926-08-25	36.9	@ GAIS	7	1695	80.00%	Elfsborg	0	1385	6.85%	13.14%
23	1926-10-17	37.2	@ IFK Eskilstuna	5	1372	56.84%	Landskrona	1	1355	28.00%	15.16%
24	1926-08-29	37.4	@ Sleipner	8	1436	61.54%	IFK Eskilstuna	2	1378	23.43%	15.03%
25	1927-04-17	37.5	@ Goteborg	2	1682	80.85%	Westermalms	0	1353	6.20%	12.94%