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1928-29 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Helsingborg

35 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Helsingborg

5.21 points above expected

35 points · 29.79 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

IFK Malmo

4.17 points below expected

18 points · 22.17 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Helsingborg 22 16 3 3 35 89 35 +54 29.79 +5.21
2 Orgryte 22 15 3 4 33 72 42 +30 28.87 +4.13
3 Goteborg 22 14 4 4 32 56 34 +22 26.90 +5.10
4 Sleipner 22 11 3 8 25 54 49 +5 22.87 +2.13
5 GAIS 22 9 4 9 22 47 43 +4 24.71 -2.71
6 Elfsborg 22 8 3 11 19 41 54 -13 20.94 -1.94
7 Landskrona 22 8 2 12 18 37 47 -10 20.65 -2.65
8 IFK Malmo 22 8 2 12 18 32 47 -15 22.17 -4.17
9 AIK Stockholm 22 7 3 12 17 47 55 -8 18.10 -1.10
10 Norrkoping 22 4 8 10 16 25 33 -8 16.82 -0.82
11 IFK Eskilstuna 22 7 2 13 16 41 74 -33 16.62 -0.62
12 Westermalms 22 5 3 14 13 34 62 -28 15.56 -2.56

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Helsingborg 35 29.79 +5.21
2 Goteborg 32 26.90 +5.10
3 Orgryte 33 28.87 +4.13
4 Sleipner 25 22.87 +2.13
5 IFK Eskilstuna 16 16.62 -0.62

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 IFK Malmo 18 22.17 -4.17
2 GAIS 22 24.71 -2.71
3 Landskrona 18 20.65 -2.65
4 Westermalms 13 15.56 -2.56
5 Elfsborg 19 20.94 -1.94

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Goteborg 5 Aug 5 – Aug 24 1 in 122
2 IFK Malmo 5 Aug 19 – Sep 16 1 in 80
3 Orgryte 9 Sep 23 – Apr 28 1 in 78
4 Helsingborg 6 May 5 – Jun 2 1 in 16
5 AIK Stockholm 3 Apr 28 – May 9 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IFK Malmo 4 Sep 23 – Oct 21 1 in 93
2 Landskrona 4 Nov 4 – Apr 14 1 in 22
3 Elfsborg 4 Oct 14 – Nov 4 1 in 21
4 IFK Eskilstuna 7 Oct 21 – Apr 28 1 in 21
5 AIK Stockholm 4 Aug 5 – Aug 19 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Goteborg 7 Aug 5 – Sep 9 1 in 59
2 AIK Stockholm 6 Apr 28 – May 26 1 in 22
3 Elfsborg 5 Mar 31 – May 5 1 in 21
4 Helsingborg 10 Aug 12 – Oct 21 1 in 18
5 IFK Malmo 5 Aug 19 – Sep 16 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IFK Malmo 8 Apr 14 – Jun 2 1 in 47
2 GAIS 5 Aug 19 – Sep 16 1 in 29
3 IFK Eskilstuna 11 Oct 21 – May 26 1 in 27
4 Landskrona 6 Oct 21 – Apr 14 1 in 23
5 Norrkoping 9 Sep 2 – Apr 7 1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Helsingborg 1647 35 +71 10 7.6 +2.4
Orgryte 1577 33 +13 8 6.9 +1.1
Goteborg 1499 32 -20 5 7.0 -2.0
Sleipner 1439 25 +23 5 4.4 +0.6
GAIS 1451 22 -1 5 4.5 +0.5
Elfsborg 1338 19 -83 4 4.6 -0.6
Landskrona 1344 18 +0 4 3.6 +0.4
IFK Malmo 1332 18 -29 1 4.8 -3.8
AIK Stockholm 1374 17 +45 7 4.9 +2.1
Norrkoping 1310 16 -11 5 4.8 +0.2
IFK Eskilstuna 1254 16 -3 4 3.9 +0.1
Westermalms 1285 13 -25 2 3.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS ELF GAI GOT HEL IE IM LAN NOR ORG SLE WES
AIK Stockholm —
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
1.73
0-1-1
1.48
0-1-1
1.62
1-0-1
2.92
1-1-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.26
2-0-0
2.69
0-0-2
1.55
0-0-2
2.36
1-0-1
3.11
Elfsborg
1-0-1
3.37
—
0-2-0
2.22
1-0-1
1.91
0-0-2
1.79
1-0-1
3.51
1-0-1
2.33
2-0-0
2.78
0-1-1
3.53
0-0-2
1.68
0-0-2
2.65
2-0-0
3.43
GAIS
2-0-0
3.96
0-2-0
3.46
—
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-2
1.87
1-0-1
3.80
1-0-1
3.29
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
3.94
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.91
2-0-0
3.80
Goteborg
1-1-0
4.21
1-0-1
3.78
1-1-0
3.08
—
1-1-0
2.48
2-0-0
3.96
1-0-1
3.42
2-0-0
3.29
1-0-1
4.20
1-1-0
2.33
2-0-0
3.24
1-0-1
4.22
Helsingborg
1-1-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.90
2-0-0
3.81
0-1-1
3.20
—
2-0-0
4.51
1-0-1
3.53
2-0-0
4.24
2-0-0
4.49
1-1-0
2.92
1-0-1
4.06
2-0-0
4.42
IFK Eskilstuna
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.17
1-0-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.73
0-0-2
1.18
—
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.32
1-1-0
2.66
0-0-2
1.52
0-1-1
1.86
2-0-0
2.99
IFK Malmo
0-1-1
2.73
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.15
1-0-1
3.44
—
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
3.41
0-0-2
1.54
2-0-0
2.95
0-0-2
3.65
Landskrona
1-0-1
3.42
0-0-2
2.90
1-0-1
2.42
0-0-2
2.39
0-0-2
1.44
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
2.61
—
1-1-0
3.35
1-0-1
1.47
1-0-1
2.20
0-1-1
3.60
Norrkoping
0-0-2
2.99
1-1-0
2.15
1-0-1
1.75
1-0-1
1.48
0-0-2
1.21
0-1-1
3.02
1-1-0
2.27
0-1-1
2.33
—
0-0-2
1.51
0-2-0
2.19
0-2-0
2.84
Orgryte
2-0-0
4.14
2-0-0
4.00
1-1-0
3.27
0-1-1
3.35
0-1-1
2.76
2-0-0
4.16
2-0-0
4.15
1-0-1
4.22
2-0-0
4.18
—
1-0-1
3.78
2-0-0
4.36
Sleipner
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
1.63
1-1-0
3.82
0-0-2
2.73
1-0-1
3.48
0-2-0
3.49
1-0-1
1.90
—
2-0-0
3.53
Westermalms
1-0-1
2.57
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-2
1.88
1-0-1
1.47
0-0-2
1.27
0-0-2
2.69
2-0-0
2.03
1-1-0
2.08
0-2-0
2.84
0-0-2
1.33
0-0-2
2.15
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.81 +3.8
Allowed 0.37 -3.8
Differential 0.89 +2.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%3.79%3.79%0.76%1.52%3.03%16.67%
13.79%5.30%6.82%3.03%4.17%3.79%26.89%
23.79%6.82%3.79%3.79%1.14%3.41%22.73%
30.76%3.03%3.79%2.27%1.52%0.76%12.12%
41.52%4.17%1.14%1.52%—0.76%9.09%
5+3.03%3.79%3.41%0.76%0.76%0.76%12.50%
Total16.67%26.89%22.73%12.12%9.09%12.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 2.18 +0.00
SD 1.88 1.88 2.82
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 13 13 +12
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————4.55%—4.55%
14.55%4.55%9.09%—13.64%4.55%36.36%
2—4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%27.27%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total13.64%18.18%18.18%13.64%27.27%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 2.50 -0.36
SD 1.46 1.63 2.57
CV 0.68 0.65 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%—4.55%13.64%31.82%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
2—13.64%9.09%———22.73%
34.55%————4.55%9.09%
4—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total9.09%31.82%22.73%9.09%4.55%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 2.45 -0.59
SD 1.73 1.92 3.00
CV 0.93 0.78 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
14.55%——4.55%9.09%4.55%22.73%
2—4.55%9.09%13.64%——27.27%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+9.09%—4.55%———13.64%
Total22.73%13.64%27.27%22.73%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.95 +0.18
SD 1.81 1.46 2.50
CV 0.85 0.75 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—————9.09%
14.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
29.09%13.64%———4.55%27.27%
3——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
44.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
5+—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
Total27.27%27.27%22.73%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 1.55 +1.00
SD 1.92 1.41 2.07
CV 0.75 0.91 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
1—————4.55%4.55%
24.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
3—4.55%18.18%4.55%——27.27%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+9.09%18.18%9.09%4.55%——40.91%
Total18.18%31.82%31.82%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 4.05 1.59 +2.45
SD 2.95 1.22 3.42
CV 0.73 0.77 —
Max 13 5 +12
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%—4.55%4.55%18.18%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%—9.09%22.73%
213.64%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%36.36%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
Total13.64%13.64%18.18%18.18%4.55%31.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 3.36 -1.50
SD 1.46 2.98 3.39
CV 0.78 0.89 —
Max 5 13 +4
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%——4.55%4.55%22.73%
19.09%4.55%18.18%4.55%—4.55%40.91%
29.09%9.09%———4.55%22.73%
3————4.55%—4.55%
4———————
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total22.73%27.27%22.73%4.55%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.14 -0.68
SD 1.41 2.27 2.70
CV 0.97 1.06 —
Max 5 9 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%——4.55%13.64%
14.55%4.55%13.64%—13.64%4.55%40.91%
2—13.64%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total9.09%31.82%27.27%9.09%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 2.14 -0.45
SD 1.32 1.49 2.46
CV 0.79 0.70 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
14.55%22.73%4.55%9.09%——40.91%
2——4.55%4.55%—4.55%13.64%
3—9.09%————9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%45.45%13.64%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.50 -0.36
SD 1.13 1.26 1.65
CV 0.99 0.84 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
14.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
2—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
4—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
5+—9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
Total9.09%40.91%22.73%9.09%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.27 1.91 +1.36
SD 1.91 1.38 2.34
CV 0.58 0.72 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%————9.09%13.64%
14.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
29.09%9.09%——4.55%—22.73%
3———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
44.55%9.09%———4.55%18.18%
5+4.55%—4.55%——4.55%13.64%
Total27.27%22.73%13.64%4.55%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 2.23 +0.23
SD 1.87 2.16 2.88
CV 0.76 0.97 —
Max 7 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%31.82%
2—4.55%9.09%——9.09%22.73%
3——4.55%—4.55%4.55%13.64%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total9.09%18.18%31.82%9.09%9.09%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.82 -1.27
SD 1.26 2.11 2.39
CV 0.82 0.75 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Helsingborg 1647 35 29.79 +5.21 91.0% 22 25 27 29 32 37 38
Orgryte 1577 33 28.87 +4.13 92.0% 17 23 26 29 32 34 41
Goteborg 1499 32 26.90 +5.10 95.0% 19 21 24 27 29 32 35
GAIS 1451 22 24.71 -2.71 28.0% 13 17 22 25 27 31 36
Sleipner 1439 25 22.87 +2.13 71.0% 11 15 21 23 26 29 32
AIK Stockholm 1374 17 18.10 -1.10 43.0% 7 10 16 18 22 25 31
Landskrona 1344 18 20.65 -2.65 30.0% 10 12 18 21 24 27 32
Elfsborg 1338 19 20.94 -1.94 34.0% 10 13 18 21 24 27 31
IFK Malmo 1332 18 22.17 -4.17 16.0% 14 15 19 22 25 28 30
Norrkoping 1310 16 16.82 -0.82 48.0% 7 10 14 17 19 23 27
Westermalms 1285 13 15.56 -2.56 27.0% 5 9 13 16 18 21 29
IFK Eskilstuna 1254 16 16.62 -0.62 46.0% 7 10 14 17 19 22 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.70%
Strong Edge
52.27%15.15%32.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge
103 Elo
0.010 goals per Elo point
069.34300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.87 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.67+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Top-Heavy
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
46%
Helsingborg, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.17 * Some Luck: 3.17 to 4.75 * Lucky: 4.75 to 6.34 * Wild Swing: 6.34 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.43 * Close: 1.43 to 2.15 * Off: 2.15 to 2.86 * Way Off: 2.86 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.15 points
As Expected
03.9610
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.50
Pinpoint
01.794
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
Goteborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
16.00%
IFK Malmo
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 120.86
1.73
Strong Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
69%
Clear Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
91%
Dominant
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
48%
Few
0%40%100%
Blowouts
Expected
34%
Very Frequent
0%38%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Notable Separation
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.70
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.94
Near-Lock
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.82
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.16
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.042
Well Within Noise
00.1380.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Helsingborg46.00%24.00%14.00%9.00%7.00%———————
Orgryte31.00%27.00%21.00%12.00%5.00%3.00%———1.00%——
Goteborg9.00%29.00%24.00%10.00%14.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%————
Sleipner2.00%5.00%11.00%14.00%18.00%14.00%16.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%
GAIS10.00%9.00%13.00%21.00%15.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%
Elfsborg—2.00%4.00%8.00%15.00%11.00%14.00%14.00%10.00%12.00%6.00%4.00%
Landskrona1.00%1.00%5.00%10.00%12.00%14.00%10.00%11.00%12.00%11.00%8.00%5.00%
IFK Malmo—2.00%7.00%12.00%6.00%19.00%19.00%12.00%11.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%
AIK Stockholm—1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%11.00%10.00%17.00%14.00%15.00%12.00%14.00%
Norrkoping———1.00%2.00%4.00%8.00%15.00%16.00%17.00%20.00%17.00%
IFK Eskilstuna————1.00%5.00%6.00%13.00%18.00%11.00%23.00%23.00%
Westermalms1.00%——1.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%6.00%9.00%23.00%22.00%32.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Goteborg 100% —
Helsingborg 100% —
Orgryte 100% —
GAIS 98.00% 2.00%
Sleipner 96.00% 4.00%
IFK Malmo 92.00% 8.00%
Elfsborg 90.00% 10.00%
Landskrona 87.00% 13.00%
AIK Stockholm 74.00% 26.00%
Norrkoping 63.00% 37.00%
IFK Eskilstuna 54.00% 46.00%
Westermalms 46.00% 54.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1928-08-05 Elfsborg W 2-040.7 1303 1411 41.35% 16.06% 42.60%-0.38 +16.0 2
1928-08-05 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 0-240.7 1411 1303 42.60% 16.06% 41.35%+0.38 -16.0 0
1928-08-05 Helsingborg W 5-146.0 1393 1515 39.40% 16.04% 44.55%-0.51 +26.2 2
1928-08-05 @ IFK Malmo L 1-546.0 1515 1393 44.55% 16.04% 39.40%+0.51 -26.2 0
1928-08-05 AIK Stockholm W 2-141.9 1380 1363 57.81% 16.00% 26.20%+0.83 +5.3 2
1928-08-05 @ Landskrona L 1-241.9 1363 1380 26.20% 16.00% 57.81%-0.83 -5.3 0
1928-08-05 Norrkoping W 5-238.9 1513 1321 73.20% 15.38% 11.42%+2.52 +5.2 2
1928-08-05 @ Orgryte L 2-538.9 1321 1513 11.42% 15.38% 73.20%-2.52 -5.2 0
1928-08-05 Goteborg L 3-458.7 1395 1432 51.25% 16.06% 32.69%+0.32 -8.7 0
1928-08-05 @ Sleipner W 4-358.7 1432 1395 32.69% 16.06% 51.25%-0.32 +8.7 2
1928-08-05 GAIS L 2-644.6 1346 1479 37.81% 16.03% 46.16%-0.62 -19.4 0
1928-08-05 @ Westermalms W 6-244.6 1479 1346 46.16% 16.03% 37.81%+0.62 +19.4 2
1928-08-10 Orgryte L 1-552.7 1499 1518 53.46% 16.05% 30.49%+0.48 -30.9 2
1928-08-10 @ GAIS W 5-152.7 1518 1499 30.49% 16.05% 53.46%-0.48 +30.9 4
1928-08-10 Norrkoping D 0-052.8 1386 1316 63.50% 15.87% 20.63%+1.35 -2.2 1
1928-08-10 @ Sleipner D 0-052.8 1316 1386 20.63% 15.87% 63.50%-1.35 +2.2 1
1928-08-10 AIK Stockholm W 4-244.8 1327 1358 51.92% 16.06% 32.03%+0.37 +9.7 2
1928-08-10 @ Westermalms L 2-444.8 1358 1327 32.03% 16.06% 51.92%-0.37 -9.7 0
1928-08-12 Sleipner L 2-549.0 1348 1384 51.38% 16.06% 32.56%+0.33 -20.0 0
1928-08-12 @ AIK Stockholm W 5-249.0 1384 1348 32.56% 16.06% 51.38%-0.33 +20.0 3
1928-08-12 IFK Malmo W 3-142.3 1468 1419 61.36% 15.93% 22.71%+1.14 +8.0 4
1928-08-12 @ GAIS L 1-342.3 1419 1468 22.71% 15.93% 61.36%-1.14 -8.0 2
1928-08-12 Elfsborg W 5-347.9 1489 1395 65.72% 15.80% 18.49%+1.57 +5.6 2
1928-08-12 @ Helsingborg L 3-547.9 1395 1489 18.49% 15.80% 65.72%-1.57 -5.6 0
1928-08-12 Goteborg L 1-250.4 1385 1440 48.80% 16.07% 35.13%+0.14 -9.0 2
1928-08-12 @ Landskrona W 2-150.4 1440 1385 35.13% 16.07% 48.80%-0.14 +9.0 4
1928-08-12 IFK Eskilstuna L 0-243.8 1319 1319 55.83% 16.02% 28.15%+0.67 -20.4 1
1928-08-12 @ Norrkoping W 2-043.8 1319 1319 28.15% 16.02% 55.83%-0.67 +20.4 4
1928-08-15 Landskrona W 5-136.3 1494 1376 67.85% 15.71% 16.44%+1.81 +10.9 4
1928-08-15 @ Helsingborg L 1-536.3 1376 1494 16.44% 15.71% 67.85%-1.81 -10.9 2
1928-08-17 Goteborg L 2-463.2 1549 1449 66.29% 15.78% 17.94%+1.64 -18.7 4
1928-08-17 @ Orgryte W 4-263.2 1449 1549 17.94% 15.78% 66.29%-1.64 +18.7 6
1928-08-19 Helsingborg L 2-349.5 1328 1505 32.06% 15.95% 51.99%-1.04 -5.9 0
1928-08-19 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-249.5 1505 1328 51.99% 15.95% 32.06%+1.04 +5.9 6
1928-08-19 GAIS D 2-262.5 1389 1476 44.48% 16.07% 39.45%-0.16 -0.2 1
1928-08-19 @ Elfsborg D 2-262.5 1476 1389 39.45% 16.07% 44.48%+0.16 +0.2 5
1928-08-19 Norrkoping W 1-034.9 1468 1298 71.77% 15.49% 12.74%+2.31 +2.9 8
1928-08-19 @ Goteborg L 0-134.9 1298 1468 12.74% 15.49% 71.77%-2.31 -2.9 1
1928-08-19 IFK Malmo L 0-242.5 1339 1411 46.51% 16.07% 37.42%-0.02 -17.2 4
1928-08-19 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 2-042.5 1411 1339 37.42% 16.07% 46.51%+0.02 +17.2 4
1928-08-19 Westermalms W 2-034.6 1404 1336 63.28% 15.88% 20.84%+1.33 +8.6 5
1928-08-19 @ Sleipner L 0-234.6 1336 1404 20.84% 15.88% 63.28%-1.33 -8.5 2
1928-08-24 GAIS W 3-252.1 1471 1476 55.22% 16.03% 28.75%+0.62 +5.4 10
1928-08-24 @ Goteborg L 2-352.1 1476 1471 28.75% 16.03% 55.22%-0.62 -5.4 5
1928-08-26 AIK Stockholm D 2-261.8 1511 1322 73.01% 15.40% 11.59%+2.49 -2.2 7
1928-08-26 @ Helsingborg D 2-261.8 1322 1511 11.59% 15.40% 73.01%-2.49 +2.2 1
1928-08-26 Sleipner W 2-144.0 1428 1413 57.69% 16.00% 26.32%+0.82 +5.3 6
1928-08-26 @ IFK Malmo L 1-244.0 1413 1428 26.32% 16.00% 57.69%-0.82 -5.3 5
1928-08-26 IFK Eskilstuna W 3-138.3 1365 1322 60.79% 15.94% 23.27%+1.09 +8.2 4
1928-08-26 @ Landskrona L 1-338.3 1322 1365 23.27% 15.94% 60.79%-1.09 -8.2 4
1928-08-26 Elfsborg W 4-036.0 1295 1389 43.40% 16.07% 40.53%-0.24 +29.1 3
1928-08-26 @ Norrkoping L 0-436.0 1389 1295 40.53% 16.07% 43.40%+0.24 -29.1 1
1928-08-26 Westermalms W 6-341.8 1530 1328 73.89% 15.32% 10.79%+2.63 +4.5 6
1928-08-26 @ Orgryte L 3-641.8 1328 1530 10.79% 15.32% 73.89%-2.63 -4.5 2
1928-09-02 IFK Malmo L 0-145.7 1360 1433 46.33% 16.07% 37.60%-0.04 -9.1 1
1928-09-02 @ Elfsborg W 1-045.7 1433 1360 37.60% 16.07% 46.33%+0.04 +9.1 8
1928-09-02 Landskrona L 1-452.1 1471 1374 66.05% 15.79% 18.17%+1.61 -29.4 5
1928-09-02 @ GAIS W 4-152.1 1374 1471 18.17% 15.79% 66.05%-1.61 +29.4 6
1928-09-02 Goteborg D 0-060.3 1509 1476 59.60% 15.97% 24.44%+0.98 -1.8 8
1928-09-02 @ Helsingborg D 0-060.3 1476 1509 24.44% 15.97% 59.60%-0.98 +1.8 11
1928-09-02 AIK Stockholm W 5-136.1 1314 1325 54.50% 16.04% 29.46%+0.56 +18.4 6
1928-09-02 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 1-536.1 1325 1314 29.46% 16.04% 54.50%-0.56 -18.4 1
1928-09-02 Orgryte W 4-149.1 1407 1535 38.62% 16.04% 45.34%-0.56 +20.6 7
1928-09-02 @ Sleipner L 1-449.1 1535 1407 45.34% 16.04% 38.62%+0.56 -20.6 6
1928-09-02 Norrkoping D 1-154.8 1323 1324 55.70% 16.02% 28.28%+0.66 -1.2 3
1928-09-02 @ Westermalms D 1-154.8 1324 1323 28.28% 16.02% 55.70%-0.66 +1.2 4
1928-09-09 Norrkoping W 1-038.6 1306 1326 53.46% 16.05% 30.49%+0.48 +6.4 3
1928-09-09 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-138.6 1326 1306 30.49% 16.05% 53.46%-0.48 -6.4 4
1928-09-09 Elfsborg D 2-260.7 1441 1351 65.41% 15.81% 18.78%+1.54 -1.6 6
1928-09-09 @ GAIS D 2-260.7 1351 1441 18.78% 15.81% 65.41%-1.54 +1.6 2
1928-09-09 Landskrona W 4-139.4 1478 1403 64.00% 15.86% 20.14%+1.40 +10.2 13
1928-09-09 @ Goteborg L 1-439.4 1403 1478 20.14% 15.86% 64.00%-1.40 -10.2 6
1928-09-09 Orgryte W 5-145.5 1507 1514 54.95% 16.03% 29.01%+0.60 +18.2 10
1928-09-09 @ Helsingborg L 1-545.5 1514 1507 29.01% 16.03% 54.95%-0.60 -18.2 6
1928-09-09 Westermalms W 2-035.3 1332 1322 57.05% 16.01% 26.94%+0.77 +10.8 8
1928-09-09 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 0-235.3 1322 1332 26.94% 16.01% 57.05%-0.77 -10.8 3
1928-09-09 IFK Malmo L 1-253.2 1428 1443 54.06% 16.04% 29.90%+0.53 -9.9 7
1928-09-09 @ Sleipner W 2-153.2 1443 1428 29.90% 16.04% 54.06%-0.53 +9.9 10
1928-09-16 AIK Stockholm W 4-136.2 1353 1313 60.43% 15.95% 23.62%+1.06 +11.7 4
1928-09-16 @ Elfsborg L 1-436.2 1313 1353 23.62% 15.95% 60.43%-1.06 -11.7 3
1928-09-16 Goteborg W 5-248.8 1452 1488 51.36% 16.06% 32.58%+0.32 +13.5 12
1928-09-16 @ IFK Malmo L 2-548.8 1488 1452 32.58% 16.06% 51.36%-0.32 -13.5 13
1928-09-16 Norrkoping D 1-155.6 1393 1319 63.84% 15.86% 20.29%+1.38 -2.0 7
1928-09-16 @ Landskrona D 1-155.6 1319 1393 20.29% 15.86% 63.84%-1.38 +2.0 5
1928-09-16 Helsingborg D 3-371.9 1496 1525 52.24% 16.06% 31.70%+0.39 -0.6 7
1928-09-16 @ Orgryte D 3-371.9 1525 1496 31.70% 16.06% 52.24%-0.39 +0.6 11
1928-09-16 GAIS W 2-040.2 1418 1440 53.19% 16.05% 30.76%+0.46 +12.1 9
1928-09-16 @ Sleipner L 0-240.2 1440 1418 30.76% 16.05% 53.19%-0.46 -12.1 6
1928-09-16 IFK Eskilstuna L 3-456.0 1311 1343 51.90% 16.06% 32.05%+0.36 -8.8 3
1928-09-16 @ Westermalms W 4-356.0 1343 1311 32.05% 16.06% 51.90%-0.36 +8.8 10
1928-09-23 Orgryte L 1-440.1 1301 1496 29.80% 15.91% 54.29%-1.21 -14.4 3
1928-09-23 @ AIK Stockholm W 4-140.1 1496 1301 54.29% 15.91% 29.80%+1.21 +14.4 9
1928-09-23 Westermalms W 3-031.5 1365 1302 62.72% 15.89% 21.38%+1.27 +12.7 6
1928-09-23 @ Elfsborg L 0-331.5 1302 1365 21.38% 15.89% 62.72%-1.27 -12.7 3
1928-09-23 Sleipner W 6-035.0 1427 1430 55.53% 16.03% 28.44%+0.64 +31.4 8
1928-09-23 @ GAIS L 0-635.0 1430 1427 28.44% 16.03% 55.53%-0.64 -31.4 9
1928-09-23 IFK Malmo W 9-241.7 1526 1466 62.48% 15.90% 21.62%+1.25 +19.2 13
1928-09-23 @ Helsingborg L 2-941.7 1466 1526 21.62% 15.90% 62.48%-1.25 -19.2 12
1928-09-23 Goteborg L 0-241.9 1352 1475 39.26% 16.04% 44.70%-0.52 -14.9 10
1928-09-23 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 2-041.9 1475 1352 44.70% 16.04% 39.26%+0.52 +14.9 15
1928-09-23 Landskrona L 0-144.4 1321 1391 46.84% 16.07% 37.08%+0.00 -9.2 5
1928-09-23 @ Norrkoping W 1-044.4 1391 1321 37.08% 16.07% 46.84%+0.00 +9.2 9
1928-09-30 Elfsborg L 3-462.2 1447 1377 63.45% 15.87% 20.68%+1.34 -10.7 12
1928-09-30 @ IFK Malmo W 4-362.2 1377 1447 20.68% 15.87% 63.45%-1.34 +10.7 8
1928-09-30 Westermalms L 2-357.3 1400 1290 67.20% 15.74% 17.06%+1.74 -11.6 9
1928-09-30 @ Landskrona W 3-257.3 1290 1400 17.06% 15.74% 67.20%-1.74 +11.6 5
1928-09-30 IFK Eskilstuna W 6-237.4 1510 1337 72.01% 15.47% 12.52%+2.35 +7.1 11
1928-09-30 @ Orgryte L 2-637.4 1337 1510 12.52% 15.47% 72.01%-2.35 -7.1 10
1928-10-14 Sleipner L 1-251.2 1388 1399 54.53% 16.04% 29.44%+0.57 -10.0 8
1928-10-14 @ Elfsborg W 2-151.2 1399 1388 29.44% 16.04% 54.53%-0.57 +10.0 11
1928-10-14 AIK Stockholm W 2-137.7 1490 1286 73.92% 15.32% 10.76%+2.63 +2.3 17
1928-10-14 @ Goteborg L 1-237.7 1286 1490 10.76% 15.32% 73.92%-2.63 -2.3 3
1928-10-14 GAIS W 3-252.5 1330 1459 38.39% 16.04% 45.57%-0.58 +8.0 12
1928-10-14 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 2-352.5 1459 1330 45.57% 16.04% 38.39%+0.58 -8.0 8
1928-10-14 IFK Malmo W 5-035.8 1388 1436 49.80% 16.07% 34.13%+0.21 +31.0 11
1928-10-14 @ Landskrona L 0-535.8 1436 1388 34.13% 16.07% 49.80%-0.21 -31.0 12
1928-10-14 Orgryte L 1-342.4 1312 1517 28.56% 15.88% 55.56%-1.31 -9.8 5
1928-10-14 @ Norrkoping W 3-142.4 1517 1312 55.56% 15.88% 28.56%+1.31 +9.8 13
1928-10-14 Helsingborg L 2-543.1 1301 1545 24.19% 15.76% 60.05%-1.69 -10.3 5
1928-10-14 @ Westermalms W 5-243.1 1545 1301 60.05% 15.76% 24.19%+1.69 +10.3 15
1928-10-21 Goteborg D 3-364.3 1284 1492 28.23% 15.87% 55.89%-1.34 +0.8 4
1928-10-21 @ AIK Stockholm D 3-364.3 1492 1284 55.89% 15.87% 28.23%+1.34 -0.8 18
1928-10-21 IFK Eskilstuna W 13-133.5 1555 1338 74.77% 15.24% 9.99%+2.78 +18.9 17
1928-10-21 @ Helsingborg L 1-1333.5 1338 1555 9.99% 15.24% 74.77%-2.78 -18.9 12
1928-10-21 Westermalms L 0-150.3 1405 1291 67.53% 15.73% 16.74%+1.77 -13.0 12
1928-10-21 @ IFK Malmo W 1-050.3 1291 1405 16.74% 15.73% 67.53%-1.77 +13.0 7
1928-10-21 GAIS L 2-356.5 1419 1451 51.91% 16.06% 32.03%+0.37 -9.0 11
1928-10-21 @ Landskrona W 3-256.5 1451 1419 32.03% 16.06% 51.91%-0.37 +9.0 10
1928-10-21 Sleipner D 1-155.5 1302 1409 41.63% 16.06% 42.31%-0.36 +0.0 6
1928-10-21 @ Norrkoping D 1-155.5 1409 1302 42.31% 16.06% 41.63%+0.36 -0.0 12
1928-10-21 Elfsborg W 5-452.2 1527 1378 70.29% 15.58% 14.13%+2.11 +2.7 15
1928-10-21 @ Orgryte L 4-552.2 1378 1527 14.13% 15.58% 70.29%-2.11 -2.7 8
1928-10-28 Goteborg L 0-243.3 1375 1491 40.28% 16.05% 43.67%-0.45 -15.2 8
1928-10-28 @ Elfsborg W 2-043.3 1491 1375 43.67% 16.05% 40.28%+0.45 +15.2 20
1928-10-28 AIK Stockholm W 3-241.6 1460 1285 72.12% 15.46% 12.41%+2.36 +2.5 12
1928-10-28 @ GAIS L 2-341.6 1285 1460 12.41% 15.46% 72.12%-2.36 -2.5 4
1928-10-28 Orgryte L 2-544.3 1319 1530 27.86% 15.87% 56.28%-1.37 -11.7 12
1928-10-28 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 5-244.3 1530 1319 56.28% 15.87% 27.86%+1.37 +11.7 17
1928-10-28 Norrkoping D 0-052.7 1392 1302 65.37% 15.81% 18.81%+1.54 -2.4 13
1928-10-28 @ IFK Malmo D 0-052.7 1302 1392 18.81% 15.81% 65.37%-1.54 +2.4 7
1928-10-28 Helsingborg W 1-052.8 1409 1574 33.50% 15.98% 50.52%-0.93 +9.8 14
1928-10-28 @ Sleipner L 0-152.8 1574 1409 50.52% 15.98% 33.50%+0.93 -9.8 17
1928-10-28 Landskrona D 2-259.3 1304 1410 41.63% 16.06% 42.31%-0.36 +0.0 8
1928-10-28 @ Westermalms D 2-259.3 1410 1304 42.31% 16.06% 41.63%+0.36 -0.0 12
1928-11-04 Landskrona W 4-143.0 1282 1410 38.60% 16.04% 45.36%-0.57 +20.6 6
1928-11-04 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-443.0 1410 1282 45.36% 16.04% 38.60%+0.57 -20.6 12
1928-11-04 Orgryte L 1-345.4 1360 1541 31.46% 15.94% 52.59%-1.08 -10.7 8
1928-11-04 @ Elfsborg W 3-145.4 1541 1360 52.59% 15.94% 31.46%+1.08 +10.7 19
1928-11-04 Westermalms W 8-131.1 1506 1304 73.88% 15.32% 10.80%+2.63 +12.2 22
1928-11-04 @ Goteborg L 1-831.1 1304 1506 10.80% 15.32% 73.88%-2.63 -12.2 8
1928-11-04 Norrkoping W 3-137.1 1564 1305 76.96% 14.99% 8.05%+3.18 +3.0 19
1928-11-04 @ Helsingborg L 1-337.1 1305 1564 8.05% 14.99% 76.96%-3.18 -3.0 7
1928-11-04 GAIS W 1-044.5 1390 1462 46.38% 16.07% 37.55%-0.03 +7.6 15
1928-11-04 @ IFK Malmo L 0-144.5 1462 1390 37.55% 16.07% 46.38%+0.03 -7.6 12
1928-11-04 IFK Eskilstuna W 7-546.6 1418 1307 67.31% 15.74% 16.95%+1.75 +4.9 16
1928-11-04 @ Sleipner L 5-746.6 1307 1418 16.95% 15.74% 67.31%-1.75 -4.9 12
1929-03-29 IFK Eskilstuna W 5-028.1 1455 1302 70.56% 15.57% 13.87%+2.15 +13.7 14
1929-03-29 @ GAIS L 0-528.1 1302 1455 13.87% 15.57% 70.56%-2.15 -13.7 12
1929-03-31 Elfsborg L 1-258.3 1519 1349 71.74% 15.49% 12.77%+2.31 -13.1 22
1929-03-31 @ Goteborg W 2-158.3 1349 1519 12.77% 15.49% 71.74%-2.31 +13.1 10
1929-04-01 Landskrona W 4-139.2 1552 1390 71.26% 15.52% 13.22%+2.24 +6.9 21
1929-04-01 @ Orgryte L 1-439.2 1390 1552 13.22% 15.52% 71.26%-2.24 -6.9 12
1929-04-07 IFK Eskilstuna W 5-133.4 1362 1288 63.90% 15.86% 20.24%+1.39 +13.2 12
1929-04-07 @ Elfsborg L 1-533.4 1288 1362 20.24% 15.86% 63.90%-1.39 -13.2 12
1929-04-07 Sleipner W 6-451.6 1505 1423 64.67% 15.84% 19.49%+1.46 +5.7 24
1929-04-07 @ Goteborg L 4-651.6 1423 1505 19.49% 15.84% 64.67%-1.46 -5.7 16
1929-04-07 Landskrona W 2-037.0 1397 1383 57.55% 16.00% 26.45%+0.81 +10.6 17
1929-04-07 @ IFK Malmo L 0-237.0 1383 1397 26.45% 16.00% 57.55%-0.81 -10.6 12
1929-04-07 Helsingborg L 2-347.4 1302 1567 21.94% 15.68% 62.39%-1.90 -4.2 7
1929-04-07 @ Norrkoping W 3-247.4 1567 1302 62.39% 15.68% 21.94%+1.90 +4.2 21
1929-04-14 Norrkoping L 1-353.9 1468 1298 71.85% 15.48% 12.67%+2.32 -22.7 14
1929-04-14 @ GAIS W 3-153.9 1298 1468 12.67% 15.48% 71.85%-2.32 +22.7 9
1929-04-14 Elfsborg L 0-540.6 1372 1376 55.44% 16.03% 28.54%+0.64 -47.3 12
1929-04-14 @ Landskrona W 5-040.6 1376 1372 28.54% 16.03% 55.44%-0.64 +47.3 14
1929-04-14 AIK Stockholm W 4-029.2 1418 1303 67.57% 15.72% 16.71%+1.78 +13.2 18
1929-04-14 @ Sleipner L 0-429.2 1303 1418 16.71% 15.72% 67.57%-1.78 -13.2 6
1929-04-14 IFK Malmo W 4-037.1 1292 1408 40.25% 16.05% 43.70%-0.45 +31.0 10
1929-04-14 @ Westermalms L 0-437.1 1408 1292 43.70% 16.05% 40.25%+0.45 -31.0 17
1929-04-21 GAIS L 3-451.9 1290 1446 34.76% 16.00% 49.24%-0.84 -6.2 6
1929-04-21 @ AIK Stockholm W 4-351.9 1446 1290 49.24% 16.00% 34.76%+0.84 +6.2 16
1929-04-21 Helsingborg L 2-345.8 1275 1572 19.03% 15.55% 65.42%-2.20 -3.7 12
1929-04-21 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 3-245.8 1572 1275 65.42% 15.55% 19.03%+2.20 +3.7 23
1929-04-21 Sleipner W 4-143.0 1325 1431 41.68% 16.06% 42.27%-0.36 +19.4 14
1929-04-21 @ Landskrona L 1-443.0 1431 1325 42.27% 16.06% 41.68%+0.36 -19.4 18
1929-04-21 Westermalms D 2-258.5 1320 1323 55.55% 16.03% 28.42%+0.65 -0.9 10
1929-04-21 @ Norrkoping D 2-258.5 1323 1320 28.42% 16.03% 55.55%-0.65 +0.9 11
1929-04-21 IFK Malmo W 6-136.0 1559 1377 72.59% 15.43% 11.98%+2.43 +9.9 23
1929-04-21 @ Orgryte L 1-636.0 1377 1559 11.98% 15.43% 72.59%-2.43 -9.9 17
1929-04-28 IFK Eskilstuna W 6-237.7 1284 1271 57.29% 16.00% 26.71%+0.79 +14.3 8
1929-04-28 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-637.7 1271 1284 26.71% 16.00% 57.29%-0.79 -14.3 12
1929-04-28 Norrkoping D 1-156.1 1423 1319 66.62% 15.76% 17.62%+1.67 -2.3 15
1929-04-28 @ Elfsborg D 1-156.1 1319 1423 17.62% 15.76% 66.62%-1.67 +2.3 11
1929-04-28 Helsingborg W 3-259.5 1511 1575 47.58% 16.07% 36.35%+0.05 +6.6 26
1929-04-28 @ Goteborg L 2-359.5 1575 1511 36.35% 16.07% 47.58%-0.05 -6.6 23
1929-04-28 Orgryte L 1-247.8 1367 1569 28.94% 15.89% 55.17%-1.28 -5.7 17
1929-04-28 @ IFK Malmo W 2-147.8 1569 1367 55.17% 15.89% 28.94%+1.28 +5.7 25
1929-04-28 Landskrona W 2-140.5 1412 1344 63.23% 15.88% 20.89%+1.32 +4.3 20
1929-04-28 @ Sleipner L 1-240.5 1344 1412 20.89% 15.88% 63.23%-1.32 -4.3 14
1929-05-03 Goteborg D 0-059.7 1452 1518 47.34% 16.07% 36.58%+0.03 -0.5 17
1929-05-03 @ GAIS D 0-059.7 1518 1452 36.58% 16.07% 47.34%-0.03 +0.5 27
1929-05-05 Helsingborg L 2-358.2 1451 1569 40.10% 16.05% 43.86%-0.46 -7.2 17
1929-05-05 @ GAIS W 3-258.2 1569 1451 43.86% 16.05% 40.10%+0.46 +7.2 25
1929-05-05 Sleipner D 3-362.7 1257 1416 34.40% 15.99% 49.61%-0.86 +0.4 13
1929-05-05 @ IFK Eskilstuna D 3-362.7 1416 1257 49.61% 15.99% 34.40%+0.86 -0.4 21
1929-05-05 Orgryte W 2-156.0 1340 1574 25.19% 15.79% 59.02%-1.60 +10.7 16
1929-05-05 @ Landskrona L 1-256.0 1574 1340 59.02% 15.79% 25.19%+1.60 -10.7 25
1929-05-05 AIK Stockholm L 0-342.3 1322 1298 58.61% 15.98% 25.41%+0.90 -31.0 11
1929-05-05 @ Norrkoping W 3-042.3 1298 1322 25.41% 15.98% 58.61%-0.90 +31.0 10
1929-05-05 Elfsborg L 1-247.0 1324 1421 42.98% 16.07% 40.95%-0.27 -8.0 11
1929-05-05 @ Westermalms W 2-147.0 1421 1324 40.95% 16.07% 42.98%+0.27 +8.0 17
1929-05-09 Elfsborg W 5-036.6 1329 1429 42.59% 16.06% 41.34%-0.29 +36.4 12
1929-05-09 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-536.6 1429 1329 41.34% 16.06% 42.59%+0.29 -36.4 17
1929-05-09 IFK Malmo W 2-141.2 1518 1361 70.89% 15.55% 13.57%+2.19 +2.9 29
1929-05-09 @ Goteborg L 1-241.2 1361 1518 13.57% 15.55% 70.89%-2.19 -2.9 17
1929-05-09 Westermalms W 5-134.2 1576 1316 77.00% 14.99% 8.02%+3.19 +5.5 27
1929-05-09 @ Helsingborg L 1-534.2 1316 1576 8.02% 14.99% 77.00%-3.19 -5.5 11
1929-05-12 Helsingborg L 0-739.8 1392 1581 30.49% 15.92% 53.59%-1.16 -38.5 17
1929-05-12 @ Elfsborg W 7-039.8 1581 1392 53.59% 15.92% 30.49%+1.16 +38.5 29
1929-05-12 Landskrona L 1-245.6 1258 1351 43.52% 16.07% 40.42%-0.23 -8.1 13
1929-05-12 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 2-145.6 1351 1258 40.42% 16.07% 43.52%+0.23 +8.1 18
1929-05-12 AIK Stockholm D 1-155.7 1358 1365 55.00% 16.03% 28.97%+0.60 -1.2 18
1929-05-12 @ IFK Malmo D 1-155.7 1365 1358 28.97% 16.03% 55.00%-0.60 +1.2 13
1929-05-12 GAIS L 1-244.4 1291 1444 35.07% 16.00% 48.93%-0.82 -6.8 11
1929-05-12 @ Norrkoping W 2-144.4 1444 1291 48.93% 16.00% 35.07%+0.82 +6.8 19
1929-05-12 Sleipner W 4-246.8 1564 1415 70.24% 15.59% 14.17%+2.11 +4.6 27
1929-05-12 @ Orgryte L 2-446.8 1415 1564 14.17% 15.59% 70.24%-2.11 -4.6 21
1929-05-12 Goteborg W 2-152.7 1310 1521 27.83% 15.86% 56.30%-1.37 +10.2 13
1929-05-12 @ Westermalms L 1-252.7 1521 1310 56.30% 15.86% 27.83%+1.37 -10.2 29
1929-05-17 Westermalms W 3-138.2 1367 1320 61.07% 15.93% 22.99%+1.12 +8.1 15
1929-05-17 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-338.2 1320 1367 22.99% 15.93% 61.07%-1.12 -8.1 13
1929-05-17 GAIS D 0-061.7 1568 1451 67.80% 15.71% 16.49%+1.80 -2.7 28
1929-05-17 @ Orgryte D 0-061.7 1451 1568 16.49% 15.71% 67.80%-1.80 +2.7 20
1929-05-20 IFK Eskilstuna W 4-027.0 1511 1249 77.06% 14.98% 7.97%+3.20 +6.5 31
1929-05-20 @ Goteborg L 0-427.0 1249 1511 7.97% 14.98% 77.06%-3.20 -6.5 13
1929-05-20 Sleipner W 6-035.4 1620 1411 74.27% 15.29% 10.44%+2.69 +12.4 31
1929-05-20 @ Helsingborg L 0-635.4 1411 1620 10.44% 15.29% 74.27%-2.69 -12.4 21
1929-05-20 IFK Malmo W 1-040.8 1284 1357 46.31% 16.07% 37.62%-0.04 +7.6 13
1929-05-20 @ Norrkoping L 0-140.8 1357 1284 37.62% 16.07% 46.31%+0.04 -7.6 18
1929-05-20 Orgryte L 0-140.9 1312 1566 23.16% 15.72% 61.11%-1.78 -5.0 13
1929-05-20 @ Westermalms W 1-040.9 1566 1312 61.11% 15.72% 23.16%+1.78 +5.0 30
1929-05-24 Orgryte D 1-166.7 1517 1571 49.06% 16.07% 34.87%+0.16 -0.6 32
1929-05-24 @ Goteborg D 1-166.7 1571 1517 34.87% 16.07% 49.06%-0.16 +0.6 31
1929-05-26 IFK Malmo W 2-141.3 1375 1350 58.77% 15.98% 25.25%+0.91 +5.1 17
1929-05-26 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-241.3 1350 1375 25.25% 15.98% 58.77%-0.91 -5.1 18
1929-05-26 Westermalms W 1-035.3 1454 1307 70.11% 15.59% 14.30%+2.09 +3.2 22
1929-05-26 @ GAIS L 0-135.3 1307 1454 14.30% 15.59% 70.11%-2.09 -3.2 13
1929-05-26 Norrkoping D 1-154.1 1243 1291 49.67% 16.07% 34.26%+0.20 -0.7 14
1929-05-26 @ IFK Eskilstuna D 1-154.1 1291 1243 34.26% 16.07% 49.67%-0.20 +0.7 14
1929-05-26 Helsingborg L 0-241.7 1359 1632 21.17% 15.64% 63.19%-1.97 -8.6 18
1929-05-26 @ Landskrona W 2-041.7 1632 1359 63.19% 15.64% 21.17%+1.97 +8.6 33
1929-05-26 Elfsborg W 5-031.0 1398 1354 60.92% 15.94% 23.14%+1.10 +22.0 23
1929-05-26 @ Sleipner L 0-531.0 1354 1398 23.14% 15.94% 60.92%-1.10 -22.0 17
1929-06-02 Landskrona W 2-142.3 1332 1350 53.56% 16.05% 30.39%+0.49 +6.0 19
1929-06-02 @ Elfsborg L 1-242.3 1350 1332 30.39% 16.05% 53.56%-0.49 -6.0 18
1929-06-02 GAIS W 4-144.5 1641 1457 72.72% 15.42% 11.86%+2.45 +6.2 35
1929-06-02 @ Helsingborg L 1-444.5 1457 1641 11.86% 15.42% 72.72%-2.45 -6.2 22
1929-06-02 IFK Eskilstuna L 1-252.2 1344 1242 66.50% 15.77% 17.73%+1.66 -12.1 18
1929-06-02 @ IFK Malmo W 2-152.2 1242 1344 17.73% 15.77% 66.50%-1.66 +12.1 16
1929-06-02 Goteborg W 3-150.7 1292 1517 26.27% 15.82% 57.90%-1.50 +18.2 16
1929-06-02 @ Norrkoping L 1-350.7 1517 1292 57.90% 15.82% 26.27%+1.50 -18.2 32
1929-06-02 AIK Stockholm W 4-139.0 1571 1380 73.20% 15.38% 11.42%+2.52 +6.0 33
1929-06-02 @ Orgryte L 1-439.0 1380 1571 11.42% 15.38% 73.20%-2.52 -6.0 17
1929-06-02 Sleipner L 1-441.9 1304 1420 40.22% 16.05% 43.73%-0.45 -18.6 13
1929-06-02 @ Westermalms W 4-141.9 1420 1304 43.73% 16.05% 40.22%+0.45 +18.6 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1929-04-14 12.67% Norrkoping 1298 3 @ GAIS 1468 1
2 1929-03-31 12.77% Elfsborg 1349 2 @ Goteborg 1519 1
3 1928-10-21 16.74% Westermalms 1291 1 @ IFK Malmo 1405 0
4 1928-09-30 17.06% Westermalms 1290 3 @ Landskrona 1400 2
5 1929-06-02 17.73% IFK Eskilstuna 1242 2 @ IFK Malmo 1344 1
6 1928-08-17 17.94% Goteborg 1449 4 @ Orgryte 1549 2
7 1928-09-02 18.17% Landskrona 1374 4 @ GAIS 1471 1
8 1928-09-30 20.68% Elfsborg 1377 4 @ IFK Malmo 1447 3
9 1929-05-05 25.19% @ Landskrona 1340 2 Orgryte 1574 1
10 1929-05-05 25.41% AIK Stockholm 1298 3 @ Norrkoping 1322 0
11 1929-06-02 26.27% @ Norrkoping 1292 3 Goteborg 1517 1
12 1929-05-12 27.83% @ Westermalms 1310 2 Goteborg 1521 1
13 1928-08-12 28.15% IFK Eskilstuna 1319 2 @ Norrkoping 1319 0
14 1929-04-14 28.54% Elfsborg 1376 5 @ Landskrona 1372 0
15 1928-10-14 29.44% Sleipner 1399 2 @ Elfsborg 1388 1
16 1928-09-09 29.90% IFK Malmo 1443 2 @ Sleipner 1428 1
17 1928-08-10 30.49% Orgryte 1518 5 @ GAIS 1499 1
18 1928-10-21 32.03% GAIS 1451 3 @ Landskrona 1419 2
19 1928-09-16 32.05% IFK Eskilstuna 1343 4 @ Westermalms 1311 3
20 1928-08-12 32.56% Sleipner 1384 5 @ AIK Stockholm 1348 2
21 1928-08-05 32.69% Goteborg 1432 4 @ Sleipner 1395 3
22 1928-10-28 33.50% @ Sleipner 1409 1 Helsingborg 1574 0
23 1928-08-12 35.13% Goteborg 1440 2 @ Landskrona 1385 1
24 1928-09-23 37.08% Landskrona 1391 1 @ Norrkoping 1321 0
25 1928-08-19 37.42% IFK Malmo 1411 2 @ IFK Eskilstuna 1339 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1929-04-14 47.28 Elfsborg 5 1376 28.54% @ Landskrona 0 1372 55.44% 16.03%
2 1929-05-12 38.53 Helsingborg 7 1581 53.59% @ Elfsborg 0 1392 30.49% 15.92%
3 1929-05-09 36.42 @ AIK Stockholm 5 1329 42.59% Elfsborg 0 1429 41.34% 16.06%
4 1928-09-23 31.38 @ GAIS 6 1427 55.53% Sleipner 0 1430 28.44% 16.03%
5 1929-04-14 30.97 @ Westermalms 4 1292 40.25% IFK Malmo 0 1408 43.70% 16.05%
6 1929-05-05 30.97 AIK Stockholm 3 1298 25.41% @ Norrkoping 0 1322 58.61% 15.98%
7 1928-10-14 30.96 @ Landskrona 5 1388 49.80% IFK Malmo 0 1436 34.13% 16.07%
8 1928-08-10 30.90 Orgryte 5 1518 30.49% @ GAIS 1 1499 53.46% 16.05%
9 1928-09-02 29.40 Landskrona 4 1374 18.17% @ GAIS 1 1471 66.05% 15.79%
10 1928-08-26 29.07 @ Norrkoping 4 1295 43.40% Elfsborg 0 1389 40.53% 16.07%
11 1928-08-05 26.23 @ IFK Malmo 5 1393 39.40% Helsingborg 1 1515 44.55% 16.04%
12 1929-04-14 22.66 Norrkoping 3 1298 12.67% @ GAIS 1 1468 71.85% 15.48%
13 1929-05-26 22.00 @ Sleipner 5 1398 60.92% Elfsborg 0 1354 23.14% 15.94%
14 1928-11-04 20.64 @ AIK Stockholm 4 1282 38.60% Landskrona 1 1410 45.36% 16.04%
15 1928-09-02 20.63 @ Sleipner 4 1407 38.62% Orgryte 1 1535 45.34% 16.04%
16 1928-08-12 20.36 IFK Eskilstuna 2 1319 28.15% @ Norrkoping 0 1319 55.83% 16.02%
17 1928-08-12 19.98 Sleipner 5 1384 32.56% @ AIK Stockholm 2 1348 51.38% 16.06%
18 1929-04-21 19.43 @ Landskrona 4 1325 41.68% Sleipner 1 1431 42.27% 16.06%
19 1928-08-05 19.38 GAIS 6 1479 46.16% @ Westermalms 2 1346 37.81% 16.03%
20 1928-09-23 19.22 @ Helsingborg 9 1526 62.48% IFK Malmo 2 1466 21.62% 15.90%
21 1928-10-21 18.91 @ Helsingborg 13 1555 74.77% IFK Eskilstuna 1 1338 9.99% 15.24%
22 1928-08-17 18.67 Goteborg 4 1449 17.94% @ Orgryte 2 1549 66.29% 15.78%
23 1929-06-02 18.64 Sleipner 4 1420 43.73% @ Westermalms 1 1304 40.22% 16.05%
24 1928-09-02 18.42 @ IFK Eskilstuna 5 1314 54.50% AIK Stockholm 1 1325 29.46% 16.04%
25 1929-06-02 18.23 @ Norrkoping 3 1292 26.27% Goteborg 1 1517 57.90% 15.82%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1928-09-16 71.9 @ Orgryte 3 1496 52.24% Helsingborg 3 1525 31.70% 16.06%
2 1929-05-24 66.7 @ Goteborg 1 1517 49.06% Orgryte 1 1571 34.87% 16.07%
3 1928-10-21 64.3 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1284 28.23% Goteborg 3 1492 55.89% 15.87%
4 1928-08-17 63.2 Goteborg 4 1449 17.94% @ Orgryte 2 1549 66.29% 15.78%
5 1929-05-05 62.7 @ IFK Eskilstuna 3 1257 34.40% Sleipner 3 1416 49.61% 15.99%
6 1928-08-19 62.5 @ Elfsborg 2 1389 44.48% GAIS 2 1476 39.45% 16.07%
7 1928-09-30 62.2 Elfsborg 4 1377 20.68% @ IFK Malmo 3 1447 63.45% 15.87%
8 1928-08-26 61.8 @ Helsingborg 2 1511 73.01% AIK Stockholm 2 1322 11.59% 15.40%
9 1929-05-17 61.7 @ Orgryte 0 1568 67.80% GAIS 0 1451 16.49% 15.71%
10 1928-09-09 60.7 @ GAIS 2 1441 65.41% Elfsborg 2 1351 18.78% 15.81%
11 1928-09-02 60.3 @ Helsingborg 0 1509 59.60% Goteborg 0 1476 24.44% 15.97%
12 1929-05-03 59.7 @ GAIS 0 1452 47.34% Goteborg 0 1518 36.58% 16.07%
13 1929-04-28 59.5 @ Goteborg 3 1511 47.58% Helsingborg 2 1575 36.35% 16.07%
14 1928-10-28 59.3 @ Westermalms 2 1304 41.63% Landskrona 2 1410 42.31% 16.06%
15 1928-08-05 58.7 Goteborg 4 1432 32.69% @ Sleipner 3 1395 51.25% 16.06%
16 1929-04-21 58.5 @ Norrkoping 2 1320 55.55% Westermalms 2 1323 28.42% 16.03%
17 1929-03-31 58.3 Elfsborg 2 1349 12.77% @ Goteborg 1 1519 71.74% 15.49%
18 1929-05-05 58.2 Helsingborg 3 1569 43.86% @ GAIS 2 1451 40.10% 16.05%
19 1928-09-30 57.3 Westermalms 3 1290 17.06% @ Landskrona 2 1400 67.20% 15.74%
20 1928-10-21 56.5 GAIS 3 1451 32.03% @ Landskrona 2 1419 51.91% 16.06%
21 1929-04-28 56.1 @ Elfsborg 1 1423 66.62% Norrkoping 1 1319 17.62% 15.76%
22 1928-09-16 56.0 IFK Eskilstuna 4 1343 32.05% @ Westermalms 3 1311 51.90% 16.06%
23 1929-05-05 56.0 @ Landskrona 2 1340 25.19% Orgryte 1 1574 59.02% 15.79%
24 1929-05-12 55.7 @ IFK Malmo 1 1358 55.00% AIK Stockholm 1 1365 28.97% 16.03%
25 1928-09-16 55.6 @ Landskrona 1 1393 63.84% Norrkoping 1 1319 20.29% 15.86%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1929-05-20 27.0 @ Goteborg 4 1511 77.06% IFK Eskilstuna 0 1249 7.97% 14.98%
2 1929-03-29 28.1 @ GAIS 5 1455 70.56% IFK Eskilstuna 0 1302 13.87% 15.57%
3 1929-04-14 29.2 @ Sleipner 4 1418 67.57% AIK Stockholm 0 1303 16.71% 15.72%
4 1929-05-26 31.0 @ Sleipner 5 1398 60.92% Elfsborg 0 1354 23.14% 15.94%
5 1928-11-04 31.1 @ Goteborg 8 1506 73.88% Westermalms 1 1304 10.80% 15.32%
6 1928-09-23 31.5 @ Elfsborg 3 1365 62.72% Westermalms 0 1302 21.38% 15.89%
7 1929-04-07 33.4 @ Elfsborg 5 1362 63.90% IFK Eskilstuna 1 1288 20.24% 15.86%
8 1928-10-21 33.5 @ Helsingborg 13 1555 74.77% IFK Eskilstuna 1 1338 9.99% 15.24%
9 1929-05-09 34.2 @ Helsingborg 5 1576 77.00% Westermalms 1 1316 8.02% 14.99%
10 1928-08-19 34.6 @ Sleipner 2 1404 63.28% Westermalms 0 1336 20.84% 15.88%
11 1928-08-19 34.9 @ Goteborg 1 1468 71.77% Norrkoping 0 1298 12.74% 15.49%
12 1928-09-23 35.0 @ GAIS 6 1427 55.53% Sleipner 0 1430 28.44% 16.03%
13 1928-09-09 35.3 @ IFK Eskilstuna 2 1332 57.05% Westermalms 0 1322 26.94% 16.01%
14 1929-05-26 35.3 @ GAIS 1 1454 70.11% Westermalms 0 1307 14.30% 15.59%
15 1929-05-20 35.4 @ Helsingborg 6 1620 74.27% Sleipner 0 1411 10.44% 15.29%
16 1928-10-14 35.8 @ Landskrona 5 1388 49.80% IFK Malmo 0 1436 34.13% 16.07%
17 1928-08-26 36.0 @ Norrkoping 4 1295 43.40% Elfsborg 0 1389 40.53% 16.07%
18 1929-04-21 36.0 @ Orgryte 6 1559 72.59% IFK Malmo 1 1377 11.98% 15.43%
19 1928-09-02 36.1 @ IFK Eskilstuna 5 1314 54.50% AIK Stockholm 1 1325 29.46% 16.04%
20 1928-09-16 36.2 @ Elfsborg 4 1353 60.43% AIK Stockholm 1 1313 23.62% 15.95%
21 1928-08-15 36.3 @ Helsingborg 5 1494 67.85% Landskrona 1 1376 16.44% 15.71%
22 1929-05-09 36.6 @ AIK Stockholm 5 1329 42.59% Elfsborg 0 1429 41.34% 16.06%
23 1929-04-07 37.0 @ IFK Malmo 2 1397 57.55% Landskrona 0 1383 26.45% 16.00%
24 1928-11-04 37.1 @ Helsingborg 3 1564 76.96% Norrkoping 1 1305 8.05% 14.99%
25 1929-04-14 37.1 @ Westermalms 4 1292 40.25% IFK Malmo 0 1408 43.70% 16.05%