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1929-30 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Helsingborg

31 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sleipner

6.32 points above expected

29 points · 22.68 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Norrkoping

4.12 points below expected

12 points · 16.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Helsingborg 22 13 5 4 31 78 33 +45 31.17 -0.17
2 Goteborg 22 12 6 4 30 67 28 +39 25.94 +4.06
3 Sleipner 22 12 5 5 29 48 37 +11 22.68 +6.32
4 GAIS 22 11 6 5 28 46 31 +15 24.50 +3.50
5 AIK Stockholm 22 10 6 6 26 52 35 +17 23.68 +2.32
6 Orgryte 22 12 2 8 26 59 43 +16 28.11 -2.11
7 Landskrona 22 8 4 10 20 54 56 -2 19.99 +0.01
8 Elfsborg 22 8 4 10 20 45 49 -4 20.45 -0.45
9 Sandvikens IF 22 8 1 13 17 39 56 -17 21.09 -4.09
10 IFK Malmo 22 6 4 12 16 37 59 -22 17.99 -1.99
11 Norrkoping 22 5 2 15 12 32 77 -45 16.12 -4.12
12 Stattena 22 3 3 16 9 28 81 -53 12.28 -3.28

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sleipner 29 22.68 +6.32
2 Goteborg 30 25.94 +4.06
3 GAIS 28 24.50 +3.50
4 AIK Stockholm 26 23.68 +2.32
5 Landskrona 20 19.99 +0.01

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Norrkoping 12 16.12 -4.12
2 Sandvikens IF 17 21.09 -4.09
3 Stattena 9 12.28 -3.28
4 Orgryte 26 28.11 -2.11
5 IFK Malmo 16 17.99 -1.99

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sleipner 8 Apr 21 – Jun 1 1 in 270
2 Orgryte 6 Aug 18 – Sep 22 1 in 61
3 Sandvikens IF 3 Apr 18 – May 4 1 in 60
4 IFK Malmo 3 May 4 – May 18 1 in 49
5 GAIS 3 Aug 16 – Sep 1 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orgryte 3 Aug 4 – Aug 16 1 in 52
2 Sandvikens IF 4 Oct 20 – Apr 13 1 in 30
3 Norrkoping 3 Aug 18 – Sep 1 1 in 26
4 Stattena 6 Aug 25 – Oct 13 1 in 21
5 Goteborg 2 May 11 – May 16 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Goteborg 12 Aug 25 – May 4 1 in 93
2 GAIS 10 Aug 16 – Nov 10 1 in 60
3 Sleipner 8 Apr 21 – Jun 1 1 in 20
4 AIK Stockholm 6 Oct 13 – Apr 21 1 in 19
5 IFK Malmo 4 Apr 21 – May 18 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AIK Stockholm 5 Apr 21 – May 18 1 in 18
2 Orgryte 4 Apr 20 – May 11 1 in 17
3 Norrkoping 5 Aug 11 – Sep 1 1 in 12
4 Sleipner 4 Aug 14 – Sep 8 1 in 11
5 IFK Malmo 6 Oct 27 – Apr 21 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Helsingborg 1639 31 +15 7 7.4 -0.4
Goteborg 1562 30 -18 6 6.5 -0.5
Sleipner 1506 29 +60 10 5.9 +4.1
GAIS 1507 28 -2 7 5.8 +1.2
Orgryte 1552 26 +7 7 6.1 +0.9
AIK Stockholm 1475 26 +1 6 5.3 +0.7
Landskrona 1415 20 +22 6 5.2 +0.8
Elfsborg 1412 20 -28 3 5.6 -2.6
Sandvikens IF 1395 17 -26 1 4.2 -3.2
IFK Malmo 1350 16 -13 4 3.7 +0.3
Norrkoping 1297 12 -22 3 3.2 -0.2
Stattena 1220 9 -15 2 2.6 -0.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS ELF GAI GOT HEL IM LAN NOR ORG SI SLE STA
AIK Stockholm —
1-1-0
3.10
0-2-0
2.42
0-0-2
2.34
1-0-1
1.58
1-1-0
3.75
2-0-0
3.23
2-0-0
3.95
0-1-1
2.21
0-0-2
3.33
1-1-0
2.91
2-0-0
3.84
Elfsborg
0-1-1
2.52
—
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
1.66
0-0-2
1.43
1-1-0
3.04
1-1-0
2.97
1-0-1
3.64
1-0-1
1.84
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
4.17
GAIS
0-2-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.45
—
0-1-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.01
1-1-0
3.77
1-1-0
3.70
2-0-0
3.89
2-0-0
2.43
0-0-2
3.18
1-0-1
2.68
2-0-0
4.43
Goteborg
2-0-0
3.28
1-0-1
3.97
1-1-0
3.00
—
0-2-0
1.96
1-1-0
3.80
1-0-1
3.36
2-0-0
3.97
0-0-2
2.78
2-0-0
3.63
0-2-0
3.53
2-0-0
4.66
Helsingborg
1-0-1
4.05
2-0-0
4.21
1-1-0
3.61
0-2-0
3.66
—
1-0-1
4.40
1-0-1
4.37
1-1-0
4.61
1-0-1
3.29
2-0-0
3.95
1-1-0
4.11
2-0-0
4.81
IFK Malmo
0-1-1
1.88
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
1.85
0-1-1
1.83
1-0-1
1.25
—
0-0-2
2.71
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
1.56
1-0-1
2.32
0-0-2
2.30
1-0-1
3.71
Landskrona
0-0-2
2.39
0-1-1
2.64
0-1-1
1.93
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
1.28
2-0-0
2.91
—
2-0-0
3.22
0-0-2
1.77
1-1-0
2.41
0-0-2
2.34
1-1-0
3.86
Norrkoping
0-0-2
1.68
1-0-1
1.98
0-0-2
1.74
0-0-2
1.66
0-1-1
1.05
0-0-2
2.74
0-0-2
2.40
—
2-0-0
1.47
1-0-1
2.02
0-1-1
1.95
1-0-1
3.59
Orgryte
1-1-0
3.41
1-0-1
3.79
0-0-2
3.19
2-0-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
4.08
2-0-0
3.85
0-0-2
4.17
—
2-0-0
3.54
1-0-1
3.51
1-1-0
4.55
Sandvikens IF
2-0-0
2.29
1-0-1
3.31
2-0-0
2.44
0-0-2
2.00
0-0-2
1.68
1-0-1
3.30
0-1-1
3.20
1-0-1
3.60
0-0-2
2.09
—
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
4.02
Sleipner
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.93
0-2-0
2.09
0-1-1
1.53
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.68
1-0-1
2.12
2-0-0
3.33
—
2-0-0
4.10
Stattena
0-0-2
1.78
0-1-1
1.47
0-0-2
1.21
0-0-2
1.00
0-0-2
0.87
1-0-1
1.92
0-1-1
1.76
1-0-1
2.04
0-1-1
1.11
1-0-1
1.61
0-0-2
1.53
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.72 +4.3
Allowed 0.95 -4.1
Differential 0.94 +2.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.52%3.03%3.41%1.89%1.52%5.30%16.67%
13.03%9.85%4.92%4.55%3.41%3.41%29.17%
23.41%4.92%4.55%2.65%1.14%2.27%18.94%
31.89%4.55%2.65%2.27%1.14%1.14%13.64%
41.52%3.41%1.14%1.14%—1.14%8.33%
5+5.30%3.41%2.27%1.14%1.14%—13.26%
Total16.67%29.17%18.94%13.64%8.33%13.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.22 2.22 +0.00
SD 1.95 1.95 3.11
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 11 11 +11
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
1—18.18%13.64%4.55%——36.36%
2—9.09%————9.09%
3—13.64%—9.09%——22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+9.09%9.09%————18.18%
Total9.09%54.55%13.64%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 1.59 +0.77
SD 1.76 1.18 2.62
CV 0.74 0.74 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
14.55%4.55%4.55%—9.09%—22.73%
2—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
3——13.64%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
44.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%22.73%13.64%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 2.23 -0.18
SD 1.68 1.74 2.28
CV 0.82 0.78 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%4.55%4.55%—13.64%
113.64%22.73%4.55%———40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+9.09%———4.55%—13.64%
Total22.73%45.45%13.64%4.55%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.41 +0.68
SD 1.85 1.30 2.38
CV 0.88 0.92 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
14.55%9.09%—4.55%—9.09%27.27%
24.55%—13.64%———18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+18.18%4.55%4.55%———27.27%
Total45.45%18.18%22.73%4.55%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.05 1.27 +1.77
SD 2.50 1.67 3.53
CV 0.82 1.31 —
Max 8 6 +8
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
1—9.09%———4.55%13.64%
24.55%4.55%13.64%9.09%——31.82%
39.09%4.55%————13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
Total27.27%27.27%22.73%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.55 1.50 +2.05
SD 2.70 1.34 3.27
CV 0.76 0.89 —
Max 11 5 +11
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
1—13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
29.09%——4.55%—9.09%22.73%
3——9.09%—4.55%—13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%22.73%13.64%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 2.68 -1.00
SD 1.36 2.36 2.60
CV 0.81 0.88 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%————9.09%13.64%
1—4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%27.27%
24.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
3——4.55%——9.09%13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
Total13.64%22.73%22.73%13.64%4.55%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 2.55 -0.09
SD 2.22 2.06 3.41
CV 0.90 0.81 —
Max 9 8 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————9.09%13.64%22.73%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%36.36%
24.55%4.55%—9.09%4.55%4.55%27.27%
34.55%—————4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total9.09%13.64%9.09%18.18%27.27%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 3.50 -2.05
SD 1.30 2.48 3.30
CV 0.89 0.71 —
Max 5 11 +3
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
14.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
24.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
3—9.09%—4.55%—4.55%18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%—27.27%
Total13.64%36.36%13.64%18.18%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.68 1.95 +0.73
SD 2.21 1.46 2.43
CV 0.82 0.75 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%—9.09%22.73%
1——9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%27.27%
2—13.64%4.55%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
3———————
44.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total4.55%31.82%22.73%13.64%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.55 -0.77
SD 1.54 1.77 2.89
CV 0.87 0.69 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
19.09%18.18%—4.55%—4.55%36.36%
29.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
34.55%13.64%————18.18%
4———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
5+4.55%—4.55%———9.09%
Total27.27%40.91%9.09%9.09%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.68 +0.50
SD 1.71 1.96 2.72
CV 0.78 1.17 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%——18.18%27.27%
1—4.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%9.09%40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
3——4.55%4.55%4.55%—13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total—9.09%31.82%18.18%9.09%31.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 3.68 -2.41
SD 1.16 2.17 2.75
CV 0.91 0.59 —
Max 4 8 +1
Min 0 1 -8

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Helsingborg 1639 31 31.17 -0.17 56.0% 22 26 29 31 34 38 41
Goteborg 1562 30 25.94 +4.06 91.0% 14 20 23 27 28 32 38
Orgryte 1552 26 28.11 -2.11 31.0% 21 22 26 28 31 34 37
GAIS 1507 28 24.50 +3.50 86.0% 12 19 22 24 27 30 34
Sleipner 1506 29 22.68 +6.32 95.0% 14 16 20 23 26 29 32
AIK Stockholm 1475 26 23.68 +2.32 74.0% 15 17 21 24 27 29 31
Landskrona 1415 20 19.99 +0.01 56.0% 13 14 17 20 22 26 30
Elfsborg 1412 20 20.45 -0.45 52.0% 9 14 18 20 23 27 29
Sandvikens IF 1395 17 21.09 -4.09 20.0% 7 14 18 21 24 27 31
IFK Malmo 1350 16 17.99 -1.99 35.0% 9 12 15 18 21 24 26
Norrkoping 1297 12 16.12 -4.12 16.0% 9 10 13 16 18 24 29
Stattena 1220 9 12.28 -3.28 27.0% 4 6 9 12 15 19 22

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+13.64%
Slight Edge
47.73%18.18%34.09%
Elo Value
Home Edge
95 Elo
0.011 goals per Elo point
047.67250
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.58 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.50+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
59%
Helsingborg, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.09 * Some Luck: 3.09 to 4.63 * Lucky: 4.63 to 6.17 * Wild Swing: 6.17 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.33 * Close: 1.33 to 2 * Off: 2 to 2.67 * Way Off: 2.67 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.26 points
Some Luck
03.8610
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.674
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
Sleipner
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
16.00%
Norrkoping
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Lopsided
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 119.64
1.74
Strong Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
68%
Clear Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Dominant
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
42%
Few
0%37%100%
Blowouts
Expected
36%
Very Frequent
0%42%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Notable Separation
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.69
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.81
Near-Lock
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.23
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.08
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.069
Well Within Noise
00.1380.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Helsingborg59.00%19.00%14.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%——————
Goteborg10.00%16.00%24.00%15.00%13.00%9.00%8.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%—
Sleipner3.00%3.00%7.00%16.00%16.00%11.00%13.00%11.00%11.00%6.00%3.00%—
GAIS3.00%13.00%19.00%12.00%11.00%16.00%15.00%5.00%5.00%—1.00%—
AIK Stockholm3.00%9.00%15.00%11.00%15.00%13.00%11.00%11.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%—
Orgryte21.00%32.00%12.00%16.00%8.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%————
Landskrona—2.00%3.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%11.00%19.00%22.00%12.00%7.00%5.00%
Elfsborg1.00%—3.00%7.00%9.00%12.00%17.00%13.00%18.00%13.00%4.00%3.00%
Sandvikens IF—5.00%2.00%10.00%10.00%16.00%12.00%12.00%7.00%14.00%8.00%4.00%
IFK Malmo——1.00%2.00%6.00%5.00%8.00%15.00%12.00%27.00%18.00%6.00%
Norrkoping—1.00%—3.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%10.00%13.00%12.00%37.00%19.00%
Stattena——————1.00%2.00%4.00%10.00%20.00%63.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Helsingborg 100% —
Orgryte 100% —
AIK Stockholm 99.00% 1.00%
GAIS 99.00% 1.00%
Goteborg 99.00% 1.00%
Sleipner 97.00% 3.00%
Elfsborg 93.00% 7.00%
Landskrona 88.00% 12.00%
Sandvikens IF 88.00% 12.00%
IFK Malmo 76.00% 24.00%
Norrkoping 44.00% 56.00%
Stattena 17.00% 83.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1929-08-04 Stattena W 6-030.5 1421 1297 63.88% 18.46% 17.66%+1.81 +13.5 2
1929-08-04 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-630.5 1297 1421 17.66% 18.46% 63.88%-1.81 -13.5 0
1929-08-04 Landskrona L 1-552.9 1499 1400 61.49% 18.68% 19.83%+1.55 -22.9 0
1929-08-04 @ Goteborg W 5-152.9 1400 1499 19.83% 18.68% 61.49%-1.55 +22.9 2
1929-08-04 Elfsborg W 6-244.2 1598 1394 70.40% 17.57% 12.03%+2.66 +4.5 2
1929-08-04 @ Helsingborg L 2-644.2 1394 1598 12.03% 17.57% 70.40%-2.66 -4.5 0
1929-08-04 Sleipner L 2-550.3 1390 1462 40.27% 19.26% 40.46%-0.26 -10.5 0
1929-08-04 @ IFK Malmo W 5-250.3 1462 1390 40.46% 19.26% 40.27%+0.26 +10.5 2
1929-08-04 Orgryte W 5-361.6 1380 1548 27.74% 18.87% 53.39%-1.27 +9.2 2
1929-08-04 @ Norrkoping L 3-561.6 1548 1380 53.39% 18.87% 27.74%+1.27 -9.2 0
1929-08-04 GAIS W 4-252.1 1473 1470 50.54% 19.21% 30.25%+0.54 +6.1 2
1929-08-04 @ Sandvikens IF L 2-452.1 1470 1473 30.25% 19.21% 50.54%-0.54 -6.1 0
1929-08-07 Helsingborg L 0-236.8 1283 1603 13.97% 17.31% 68.71%-2.86 -3.9 0
1929-08-07 @ Stattena W 2-036.8 1603 1283 68.71% 17.31% 13.97%+2.86 +3.9 4
1929-08-09 Goteborg D 1-159.9 1463 1476 48.46% 19.25% 32.30%+0.37 -0.5 1
1929-08-09 @ GAIS D 1-159.9 1476 1463 32.30% 19.25% 48.46%-0.37 +0.5 1
1929-08-11 Orgryte W 4-046.7 1389 1539 29.94% 18.99% 51.07%-1.07 +23.1 2
1929-08-11 @ Elfsborg L 0-446.7 1539 1389 51.07% 18.99% 29.94%+1.07 -23.0 0
1929-08-11 Sleipner L 0-249.5 1463 1472 48.95% 19.24% 31.81%+0.41 -11.7 1
1929-08-11 @ GAIS W 2-049.5 1472 1463 31.81% 19.24% 48.95%-0.41 +11.7 4
1929-08-11 Norrkoping W 4-142.1 1379 1389 48.78% 19.24% 31.98%+0.39 +10.1 2
1929-08-11 @ IFK Malmo L 1-442.1 1389 1379 31.98% 19.24% 48.78%-0.39 -10.1 2
1929-08-11 Goteborg L 0-542.7 1423 1477 42.87% 19.28% 37.85%-0.07 -24.5 2
1929-08-11 @ Landskrona W 5-042.7 1477 1423 37.85% 19.28% 42.87%+0.07 +24.5 3
1929-08-11 Helsingborg L 2-556.1 1479 1606 32.68% 19.10% 48.22%-0.84 -8.9 2
1929-08-11 @ Sandvikens IF W 5-256.1 1606 1479 48.22% 19.10% 32.68%+0.84 +8.9 6
1929-08-11 AIK Stockholm L 0-534.2 1280 1435 29.25% 18.95% 51.80%-1.13 -17.8 0
1929-08-11 @ Stattena W 5-034.2 1435 1280 51.80% 18.95% 29.25%+1.13 +17.8 4
1929-08-14 Norrkoping D 1-157.6 1484 1379 62.02% 18.63% 19.35%+1.61 -1.3 5
1929-08-14 @ Sleipner D 1-157.6 1379 1484 19.35% 18.63% 62.02%-1.61 +1.3 3
1929-08-16 GAIS L 0-155.3 1516 1451 57.84% 18.93% 23.23%+1.18 -7.2 0
1929-08-16 @ Orgryte W 1-055.3 1451 1516 23.23% 18.93% 57.84%-1.18 +7.2 3
1929-08-18 AIK Stockholm W 5-039.9 1615 1452 67.24% 18.07% 14.69%+2.22 +9.6 8
1929-08-18 @ Helsingborg L 0-539.9 1452 1615 14.69% 18.07% 67.24%-2.22 -9.6 4
1929-08-18 Goteborg D 0-055.7 1389 1501 34.71% 19.16% 46.13%-0.68 +0.4 3
1929-08-18 @ IFK Malmo D 0-055.7 1501 1389 46.13% 19.16% 34.71%+0.68 -0.4 4
1929-08-18 Stattena L 2-356.7 1381 1262 63.39% 18.51% 18.11%+1.76 -7.1 3
1929-08-18 @ Norrkoping W 3-256.7 1262 1381 18.11% 18.51% 63.39%-1.76 +7.1 2
1929-08-18 Landskrona W 5-350.5 1508 1399 62.54% 18.59% 18.88%+1.66 +3.8 2
1929-08-18 @ Orgryte L 3-550.5 1399 1508 18.88% 18.59% 62.54%-1.66 -3.8 2
1929-08-18 Elfsborg W 4-142.5 1470 1412 57.07% 18.97% 23.96%+1.11 +7.9 4
1929-08-18 @ Sandvikens IF L 1-442.5 1412 1470 23.96% 18.97% 57.07%-1.11 -7.9 2
1929-08-21 IFK Malmo W 4-356.0 1269 1389 33.62% 19.13% 47.25%-0.77 +5.2 4
1929-08-21 @ Stattena L 3-456.0 1389 1269 47.25% 19.13% 33.62%+0.77 -5.2 3
1929-08-23 Orgryte L 0-252.3 1501 1512 48.68% 19.24% 32.08%+0.38 -11.7 4
1929-08-23 @ Goteborg W 2-052.3 1512 1501 32.08% 19.24% 48.68%-0.38 +11.7 4
1929-08-25 Sandvikens IF W 4-147.6 1405 1478 40.13% 19.26% 40.61%-0.27 +12.2 4
1929-08-25 @ Elfsborg L 1-447.6 1478 1405 40.61% 19.26% 40.13%+0.27 -12.2 4
1929-08-25 Norrkoping W 4-034.6 1489 1374 63.10% 18.54% 18.37%+1.72 +9.6 6
1929-08-25 @ Goteborg L 0-434.6 1374 1489 18.37% 18.54% 63.10%-1.72 -9.6 3
1929-08-25 AIK Stockholm L 1-348.7 1395 1443 43.67% 19.28% 37.04%+0.00 -9.2 2
1929-08-25 @ Landskrona W 3-148.7 1443 1395 37.04% 19.28% 43.67%+0.00 +9.2 6
1929-08-25 GAIS L 0-647.0 1483 1459 53.17% 19.13% 27.70%+0.76 -35.1 5
1929-08-25 @ Sleipner W 6-047.0 1459 1483 27.70% 19.13% 53.17%-0.76 +35.1 5
1929-08-25 Orgryte L 2-640.4 1274 1524 19.33% 18.16% 62.51%-2.13 -7.0 4
1929-08-25 @ Stattena W 6-240.4 1524 1274 62.51% 18.16% 19.33%+2.13 +7.0 6
1929-09-01 Sleipner W 3-146.5 1452 1448 50.72% 19.20% 30.08%+0.55 +6.8 8
1929-09-01 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-346.5 1448 1452 30.08% 19.20% 50.72%-0.55 -6.8 5
1929-09-01 Stattena W 3-136.5 1494 1267 71.94% 17.28% 10.78%+2.89 +2.6 7
1929-09-01 @ GAIS L 1-336.5 1267 1494 10.78% 17.28% 71.94%-2.89 -2.6 4
1929-09-01 Goteborg D 2-270.6 1625 1499 64.05% 18.44% 17.51%+1.83 -1.1 9
1929-09-01 @ Helsingborg D 2-270.6 1499 1625 17.51% 18.44% 64.05%-1.83 +1.0 7
1929-09-01 Elfsborg D 1-155.8 1384 1417 45.81% 19.28% 34.91%+0.16 -0.3 4
1929-09-01 @ IFK Malmo D 1-155.8 1417 1384 34.91% 19.28% 45.81%-0.16 +0.3 5
1929-09-01 Landskrona L 1-249.4 1364 1386 47.31% 19.26% 33.43%+0.28 -5.7 3
1929-09-01 @ Norrkoping W 2-149.4 1386 1364 33.43% 19.26% 47.31%-0.28 +5.7 4
1929-09-01 Orgryte L 1-649.4 1465 1531 41.23% 19.27% 39.50%-0.19 -19.6 4
1929-09-01 @ Sandvikens IF W 6-149.4 1531 1465 39.50% 19.27% 41.23%+0.19 +19.6 8
1929-09-08 GAIS D 1-158.2 1391 1496 35.69% 19.19% 45.12%-0.60 +0.3 5
1929-09-08 @ Landskrona D 1-158.2 1496 1391 45.12% 19.19% 35.69%+0.60 -0.3 8
1929-09-08 AIK Stockholm W 2-148.9 1551 1459 60.73% 18.74% 20.53%+1.47 +2.8 10
1929-09-08 @ Orgryte L 1-248.9 1459 1551 20.53% 18.74% 60.73%-1.47 -2.8 8
1929-09-08 IFK Malmo W 4-140.8 1446 1384 57.58% 18.94% 23.48%+1.16 +7.7 6
1929-09-08 @ Sandvikens IF L 1-440.8 1384 1446 23.48% 18.94% 57.58%-1.16 -7.7 4
1929-09-08 Helsingborg D 1-164.7 1441 1624 26.00% 18.77% 55.23%-1.43 +0.8 6
1929-09-08 @ Sleipner D 1-164.7 1624 1441 55.23% 18.77% 26.00%+1.43 -0.8 10
1929-09-08 Norrkoping L 1-244.8 1264 1358 37.22% 19.22% 43.56%-0.49 -4.7 4
1929-09-08 @ Stattena W 2-144.8 1358 1264 43.56% 19.22% 37.22%+0.49 +4.7 5
1929-09-15 Landskrona W 5-139.9 1456 1392 57.86% 18.93% 23.22%+1.18 +9.9 10
1929-09-15 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-539.9 1392 1456 23.22% 18.93% 57.86%-1.18 -9.9 5
1929-09-15 Helsingborg L 3-458.8 1417 1623 23.54% 18.58% 57.88%-1.67 -2.9 5
1929-09-15 @ Elfsborg W 4-358.8 1623 1417 57.88% 18.58% 23.54%+1.67 +2.9 12
1929-09-15 Sandvikens IF W 6-039.0 1500 1454 55.81% 19.03% 25.16%+0.99 +18.6 9
1929-09-15 @ Goteborg L 0-639.0 1454 1500 25.16% 19.03% 55.81%-0.99 -18.6 6
1929-09-15 GAIS L 1-444.2 1363 1496 31.99% 19.07% 48.93%-0.90 -10.1 5
1929-09-15 @ Norrkoping W 4-144.2 1496 1363 48.93% 19.07% 31.99%+0.90 +10.0 10
1929-09-15 Sleipner L 3-450.0 1260 1442 26.13% 18.77% 55.09%-1.42 -3.2 4
1929-09-15 @ Stattena W 4-350.0 1442 1260 55.09% 18.77% 26.13%+1.42 +3.2 8
1929-09-22 Elfsborg W 6-453.3 1506 1414 60.75% 18.73% 20.51%+1.47 +4.0 12
1929-09-22 @ GAIS L 4-653.3 1414 1506 20.51% 18.73% 60.75%-1.47 -4.0 5
1929-09-22 Norrkoping W 11-036.0 1626 1353 74.82% 16.61% 8.57%+3.38 +11.9 14
1929-09-22 @ Helsingborg L 0-1136.0 1353 1626 8.57% 16.61% 74.82%-3.38 -11.9 5
1929-09-22 Orgryte L 4-655.5 1376 1553 26.65% 18.81% 54.54%-1.37 -5.0 4
1929-09-22 @ IFK Malmo W 6-455.5 1553 1376 54.54% 18.81% 26.65%+1.37 +5.0 12
1929-09-22 Stattena W 4-135.8 1382 1257 63.96% 18.45% 17.59%+1.82 +5.9 7
1929-09-22 @ Landskrona L 1-435.8 1257 1382 17.59% 18.45% 63.96%-1.82 -6.0 4
1929-09-22 AIK Stockholm D 1-158.9 1445 1466 47.38% 19.26% 33.36%+0.28 -0.4 9
1929-09-22 @ Sleipner D 1-158.9 1466 1445 33.36% 19.26% 47.38%-0.28 +0.4 11
1929-09-29 Elfsborg D 0-053.2 1388 1410 47.17% 19.26% 33.57%+0.26 -0.4 8
1929-09-29 @ Landskrona D 0-053.2 1410 1388 33.57% 19.26% 47.17%-0.26 +0.4 6
1929-09-29 Norrkoping W 4-033.2 1435 1341 60.97% 18.72% 20.31%+1.50 +10.5 8
1929-09-29 @ Sandvikens IF L 0-433.2 1341 1435 20.31% 18.72% 60.97%-1.50 -10.5 5
1929-10-06 Goteborg L 0-347.8 1466 1519 43.10% 19.28% 37.62%-0.05 -15.2 11
1929-10-06 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-047.8 1519 1466 37.62% 19.28% 43.10%+0.05 +15.3 11
1929-10-06 Sleipner W 1-044.8 1411 1444 45.65% 19.28% 35.07%+0.15 +4.7 8
1929-10-06 @ Elfsborg L 0-144.8 1444 1411 35.07% 19.28% 45.65%-0.15 -4.7 9
1929-10-06 Landskrona W 8-344.1 1638 1387 73.49% 16.94% 9.57%+3.15 +4.0 16
1929-10-06 @ Helsingborg L 3-844.1 1387 1638 9.57% 16.94% 73.49%-3.15 -3.9 8
1929-10-06 Sandvikens IF W 4-252.2 1330 1445 34.34% 19.15% 46.51%-0.71 +8.7 7
1929-10-06 @ Norrkoping L 2-452.2 1445 1330 46.51% 19.15% 34.34%+0.71 -8.7 8
1929-10-06 IFK Malmo L 2-364.4 1558 1371 69.15% 17.78% 13.07%+2.48 -7.7 12
1929-10-06 @ Orgryte W 3-264.4 1371 1558 13.07% 17.78% 69.15%-2.48 +7.7 6
1929-10-13 GAIS D 1-160.7 1451 1510 42.16% 19.28% 38.56%-0.12 -0.1 12
1929-10-13 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-160.7 1510 1451 38.56% 19.28% 42.16%+0.12 +0.1 13
1929-10-13 Norrkoping W 3-245.9 1415 1339 59.12% 18.85% 22.03%+1.31 +2.8 10
1929-10-13 @ Elfsborg L 2-345.9 1339 1415 22.03% 18.85% 59.12%-1.31 -2.8 7
1929-10-13 Helsingborg D 2-271.8 1534 1642 35.29% 19.18% 45.54%-0.64 +0.2 12
1929-10-13 @ Goteborg D 2-271.8 1642 1534 45.54% 19.18% 35.29%+0.64 -0.2 17
1929-10-13 Orgryte L 0-539.2 1383 1551 27.79% 18.88% 53.34%-1.26 -17.0 8
1929-10-13 @ Landskrona W 5-039.2 1551 1383 53.34% 18.88% 27.79%+1.26 +17.0 14
1929-10-13 Stattena W 5-133.4 1437 1251 69.07% 17.80% 13.13%+2.47 +5.8 10
1929-10-13 @ Sandvikens IF L 1-533.4 1251 1437 13.13% 17.80% 69.07%-2.47 -5.8 4
1929-10-13 IFK Malmo W 1-040.3 1440 1379 57.46% 18.95% 23.60%+1.15 +3.4 11
1929-10-13 @ Sleipner L 0-140.3 1379 1440 23.60% 18.95% 57.46%-1.15 -3.4 6
1929-10-20 AIK Stockholm L 1-251.7 1418 1451 45.79% 19.28% 34.93%+0.16 -5.5 10
1929-10-20 @ Elfsborg W 2-151.7 1451 1418 34.93% 19.28% 45.79%-0.16 +5.5 14
1929-10-20 Landskrona W 4-139.7 1510 1366 65.65% 18.27% 16.09%+2.02 +5.5 15
1929-10-20 @ GAIS L 1-439.7 1366 1510 16.09% 18.27% 65.65%-2.02 -5.5 8
1929-10-20 Orgryte L 0-163.3 1642 1568 58.88% 18.86% 22.25%+1.28 -7.4 17
1929-10-20 @ Helsingborg W 1-063.3 1568 1642 22.25% 18.86% 58.88%-1.28 +7.4 16
1929-10-20 Sandvikens IF W 2-043.2 1376 1443 40.99% 19.27% 39.74%-0.21 +9.8 8
1929-10-20 @ IFK Malmo L 0-243.2 1443 1376 39.74% 19.27% 40.99%+0.21 -9.8 10
1929-10-20 Goteborg D 2-265.1 1443 1534 37.63% 19.23% 43.15%-0.46 +0.1 12
1929-10-20 @ Sleipner D 2-265.1 1534 1443 43.15% 19.23% 37.63%+0.46 -0.1 13
1929-10-27 Elfsborg D 3-365.6 1456 1413 55.52% 19.04% 25.44%+0.97 -0.5 15
1929-10-27 @ AIK Stockholm D 3-365.6 1413 1456 25.44% 19.04% 55.52%-0.97 +0.5 11
1929-10-27 Sleipner W 6-143.4 1634 1443 69.44% 17.74% 12.83%+2.52 +7.0 19
1929-10-27 @ Helsingborg L 1-643.4 1443 1634 12.83% 17.74% 69.44%-2.52 -7.0 12
1929-10-27 GAIS D 1-158.7 1385 1516 32.35% 19.09% 48.56%-0.87 +0.5 9
1929-10-27 @ IFK Malmo D 1-158.7 1516 1385 48.56% 19.09% 32.35%+0.87 -0.5 16
1929-10-27 Sandvikens IF W 5-039.0 1361 1433 40.28% 19.26% 40.45%-0.26 +23.3 10
1929-10-27 @ Landskrona L 0-539.0 1433 1361 40.45% 19.26% 40.28%+0.26 -23.3 10
1929-10-27 Goteborg L 2-545.9 1336 1534 24.41% 18.65% 56.94%-1.58 -6.9 7
1929-10-27 @ Norrkoping W 5-245.9 1534 1336 56.94% 18.65% 24.41%+1.58 +6.9 15
1929-10-27 Stattena D 1-157.3 1575 1245 77.86% 15.71% 6.44%+3.99 -2.2 17
1929-10-27 @ Orgryte D 1-157.3 1245 1575 6.44% 15.71% 77.86%-3.99 +2.2 5
1929-11-03 Helsingborg W 5-158.2 1456 1641 25.76% 18.75% 55.49%-1.45 +20.7 17
1929-11-03 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-558.2 1641 1456 55.49% 18.75% 25.76%+1.45 -20.7 19
1929-11-03 IFK Malmo W 3-248.4 1413 1386 53.57% 19.12% 27.31%+0.79 +3.4 13
1929-11-03 @ Elfsborg L 2-348.4 1386 1413 27.31% 19.12% 53.57%-0.79 -3.4 9
1929-11-03 Sleipner D 1-161.5 1541 1436 62.02% 18.63% 19.35%+1.61 -1.3 16
1929-11-03 @ Goteborg D 1-161.5 1436 1541 19.35% 18.63% 62.02%-1.61 +1.3 13
1929-11-03 Sandvikens IF W 2-149.6 1247 1410 28.37% 18.91% 52.72%-1.21 +6.2 7
1929-11-03 @ Stattena L 1-249.6 1410 1247 52.72% 18.91% 28.37%+1.21 -6.2 10
1929-11-10 IFK Malmo W 3-142.2 1515 1382 64.66% 18.38% 16.96%+1.90 +4.1 18
1929-11-10 @ GAIS L 1-342.2 1382 1515 16.96% 18.38% 64.66%-1.90 -4.1 9
1930-04-06 Landskrona L 0-244.9 1378 1384 49.40% 19.23% 31.37%+0.44 -11.8 9
1930-04-06 @ IFK Malmo W 2-044.9 1384 1378 31.37% 19.23% 49.40%-0.44 +11.8 12
1930-04-06 Sleipner W 6-455.4 1573 1438 64.89% 18.35% 16.76%+1.93 +3.3 19
1930-04-06 @ Orgryte L 4-655.4 1438 1573 16.76% 18.35% 64.89%-1.93 -3.3 13
1930-04-13 Landskrona W 3-249.0 1417 1396 52.75% 19.15% 28.10%+0.72 +3.5 15
1930-04-13 @ Elfsborg L 2-349.0 1396 1417 28.10% 19.15% 52.75%-0.72 -3.5 12
1930-04-13 IFK Malmo W 7-034.0 1540 1366 68.06% 17.95% 13.99%+2.33 +12.6 18
1930-04-13 @ Goteborg L 0-734.0 1366 1540 13.99% 17.95% 68.06%-2.33 -12.6 9
1930-04-13 Sandvikens IF W 2-146.2 1620 1403 71.31% 17.40% 11.28%+2.80 +1.6 21
1930-04-13 @ Helsingborg L 1-246.2 1403 1620 11.28% 17.40% 71.31%-2.80 -1.6 10
1930-04-13 AIK Stockholm L 1-442.3 1329 1477 30.21% 19.00% 50.79%-1.05 -9.6 7
1930-04-13 @ Norrkoping W 4-142.3 1477 1329 50.79% 19.00% 30.21%+1.05 +9.6 19
1930-04-18 Sandvikens IF L 1-258.4 1519 1402 63.26% 18.52% 18.22%+1.74 -7.4 18
1930-04-18 @ GAIS W 2-158.4 1402 1519 18.22% 18.52% 63.26%-1.74 +7.4 12
1930-04-20 Norrkoping L 0-254.9 1576 1320 73.83% 16.86% 9.31%+3.21 -17.3 19
1930-04-20 @ Orgryte W 2-054.9 1320 1576 9.31% 16.86% 73.83%-3.21 +17.3 9
1930-04-21 Stattena W 8-029.1 1552 1253 76.25% 16.21% 7.53%+3.66 +7.7 20
1930-04-21 @ Goteborg L 0-829.1 1253 1552 7.53% 16.21% 76.25%-3.66 -7.7 7
1930-04-21 GAIS D 2-270.8 1622 1512 62.58% 18.58% 18.84%+1.67 -1.0 22
1930-04-21 @ Helsingborg D 2-270.8 1512 1622 18.84% 18.58% 62.58%-1.67 +1.0 19
1930-04-21 AIK Stockholm D 1-156.8 1354 1486 32.08% 19.08% 48.84%-0.89 +0.5 10
1930-04-21 @ IFK Malmo D 1-156.8 1486 1354 48.84% 19.08% 32.08%+0.89 -0.5 20
1930-04-21 Elfsborg W 1-042.9 1434 1420 51.94% 19.17% 28.89%+0.65 +4.0 15
1930-04-21 @ Sleipner L 0-142.9 1420 1434 28.89% 19.17% 51.94%-0.65 -4.0 15
1930-04-27 Sandvikens IF L 1-256.4 1486 1409 59.17% 18.85% 21.98%+1.31 -7.0 20
1930-04-27 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-156.4 1409 1486 21.98% 18.85% 59.17%-1.31 +7.0 14
1930-04-27 Norrkoping W 5-032.0 1513 1337 68.26% 17.92% 13.82%+2.36 +9.0 21
1930-04-27 @ GAIS L 0-532.0 1337 1513 13.82% 17.92% 68.26%-2.36 -9.0 9
1930-04-27 Helsingborg W 3-265.0 1392 1621 21.27% 18.37% 60.36%-1.91 +6.7 14
1930-04-27 @ Landskrona L 2-365.0 1621 1392 60.36% 18.37% 21.27%+1.91 -6.7 22
1930-04-27 Stattena W 3-136.1 1438 1246 69.56% 17.72% 12.72%+2.54 +3.1 17
1930-04-27 @ Sleipner L 1-336.1 1246 1438 12.72% 17.72% 69.56%-2.54 -3.1 7
1930-05-02 GAIS W 4-044.8 1560 1522 54.84% 19.07% 26.09%+0.90 +13.1 22
1930-05-02 @ Goteborg L 0-444.8 1522 1560 26.09% 19.07% 54.84%-0.90 -13.1 21
1930-05-04 Goteborg L 0-245.4 1416 1573 29.04% 18.94% 52.02%-1.15 -7.6 15
1930-05-04 @ Elfsborg W 2-045.4 1573 1416 52.02% 18.94% 29.04%+1.15 +7.6 24
1930-05-04 Sleipner L 1-250.5 1399 1441 44.49% 19.28% 36.23%+0.06 -5.4 14
1930-05-04 @ Landskrona W 2-150.5 1441 1399 36.23% 19.28% 44.49%-0.06 +5.4 19
1930-05-04 IFK Malmo L 2-450.9 1328 1354 46.67% 19.27% 34.06%+0.23 -8.7 9
1930-05-04 @ Norrkoping W 4-250.9 1354 1328 34.06% 19.27% 46.67%-0.23 +8.7 12
1930-05-04 Helsingborg L 1-359.6 1559 1614 42.63% 19.28% 38.09%-0.08 -9.0 19
1930-05-04 @ Orgryte W 3-159.6 1614 1559 38.09% 19.28% 42.63%+0.08 +9.0 24
1930-05-04 AIK Stockholm W 2-150.5 1416 1479 41.62% 19.28% 39.10%-0.16 +4.9 16
1930-05-04 @ Sandvikens IF L 1-250.5 1479 1416 39.10% 19.28% 41.62%+0.16 -4.8 20
1930-05-04 GAIS L 1-240.2 1243 1509 17.93% 17.98% 64.09%-2.30 -2.5 7
1930-05-04 @ Stattena W 2-140.2 1509 1243 64.09% 17.98% 17.93%+2.30 +2.4 23
1930-05-09 Orgryte W 1-052.2 1511 1550 44.99% 19.28% 35.73%+0.10 +4.8 25
1930-05-09 @ GAIS L 0-152.2 1550 1511 35.73% 19.28% 44.99%-0.10 -4.8 19
1930-05-09 Stattena W 2-033.3 1363 1240 63.77% 18.47% 17.76%+1.80 +4.9 14
1930-05-09 @ IFK Malmo L 0-233.3 1240 1363 17.76% 18.47% 63.77%-1.80 -4.9 7
1930-05-11 Orgryte D 3-370.8 1474 1545 40.44% 19.27% 40.30%-0.25 +0.0 21
1930-05-11 @ AIK Stockholm D 3-370.8 1545 1474 40.30% 19.27% 40.44%+0.25 +0.0 20
1930-05-11 Elfsborg L 1-656.8 1580 1409 67.97% 17.96% 14.06%+2.32 -30.9 24
1930-05-11 @ Goteborg W 6-156.8 1409 1580 14.06% 17.96% 67.97%-2.32 +30.9 17
1930-05-11 Helsingborg D 1-160.6 1319 1623 15.01% 17.51% 67.47%-2.71 +1.6 10
1930-05-11 @ Norrkoping D 1-160.6 1623 1319 67.47% 17.51% 15.01%+2.71 -1.6 25
1930-05-11 Landskrona D 2-260.0 1421 1394 53.55% 19.12% 27.33%+0.79 -0.6 17
1930-05-11 @ Sandvikens IF D 2-260.0 1394 1421 27.33% 19.12% 53.55%-0.79 +0.6 15
1930-05-14 Sleipner L 0-736.4 1321 1447 32.93% 19.11% 47.96%-0.82 -27.0 10
1930-05-14 @ Norrkoping W 7-036.4 1447 1321 47.96% 19.11% 32.93%+0.82 +27.0 21
1930-05-16 Goteborg W 3-153.8 1545 1550 49.55% 19.23% 31.22%+0.45 +7.0 22
1930-05-16 @ Orgryte L 1-353.8 1550 1545 31.22% 19.23% 49.55%-0.45 -7.0 24
1930-05-16 Landskrona D 2-257.3 1235 1394 28.77% 18.93% 52.30%-1.18 +0.5 8
1930-05-16 @ Stattena D 2-257.3 1394 1235 52.30% 18.93% 28.77%+1.18 -0.5 16
1930-05-18 Stattena W 2-137.2 1439 1236 70.37% 17.58% 12.05%+2.65 +1.7 19
1930-05-18 @ Elfsborg L 1-237.2 1236 1439 12.05% 17.58% 70.37%-2.65 -1.7 8
1930-05-18 AIK Stockholm D 1-161.8 1516 1474 55.29% 19.05% 25.65%+0.95 -0.9 26
1930-05-18 @ GAIS D 1-161.8 1474 1516 25.65% 19.05% 55.29%-0.95 +0.9 22
1930-05-18 IFK Malmo L 2-367.7 1622 1368 73.68% 16.89% 9.42%+3.18 -8.2 25
1930-05-18 @ Helsingborg W 3-267.7 1368 1622 9.42% 16.89% 73.68%-3.18 +8.2 16
1930-05-18 Sandvikens IF W 3-038.9 1474 1420 56.62% 18.99% 24.39%+1.07 +9.5 23
1930-05-18 @ Sleipner L 0-338.9 1420 1474 24.39% 18.99% 56.62%-1.07 -9.5 17
1930-05-21 Elfsborg W 4-144.7 1552 1441 62.62% 18.58% 18.80%+1.67 +6.3 24
1930-05-21 @ Orgryte L 1-444.7 1441 1552 18.80% 18.58% 62.62%-1.67 -6.3 19
1930-05-25 Norrkoping W 3-137.7 1475 1294 68.67% 17.86% 13.47%+2.41 +3.3 24
1930-05-25 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-337.7 1294 1475 13.47% 17.86% 68.67%-2.41 -3.3 10
1930-05-25 GAIS L 0-149.1 1435 1515 39.14% 19.25% 41.61%-0.34 -5.1 19
1930-05-25 @ Elfsborg W 1-049.1 1515 1435 41.61% 19.25% 39.14%+0.34 +5.2 28
1930-05-25 Helsingborg L 0-340.9 1376 1614 20.45% 18.29% 61.27%-2.00 -8.0 16
1930-05-25 @ IFK Malmo W 3-040.9 1614 1376 61.27% 18.29% 20.45%+2.00 +8.0 27
1930-05-25 Sandvikens IF W 3-144.3 1558 1411 65.95% 18.23% 15.82%+2.06 +3.8 26
1930-05-25 @ Orgryte L 1-344.3 1411 1558 15.82% 18.23% 65.95%-2.06 -3.8 17
1930-05-25 Landskrona W 3-142.8 1483 1394 60.51% 18.75% 20.74%+1.45 +4.9 25
1930-05-25 @ Sleipner L 1-342.8 1394 1483 20.74% 18.75% 60.51%-1.45 -4.9 16
1930-05-25 Goteborg L 1-833.1 1234 1543 14.69% 17.45% 67.86%-2.75 -10.7 8
1930-05-25 @ Stattena W 8-133.1 1543 1234 67.86% 17.45% 14.69%+2.75 +10.7 26
1930-05-28 Stattena W 7-028.3 1622 1223 80.90% 14.54% 4.56%+4.71 +4.0 29
1930-05-28 @ Helsingborg L 0-728.3 1223 1622 4.56% 14.54% 80.90%-4.71 -4.0 8
1930-05-29 AIK Stockholm W 3-148.7 1553 1478 59.02% 18.86% 22.13%+1.30 +5.2 28
1930-05-29 @ Goteborg L 1-348.7 1478 1553 22.13% 18.86% 59.02%-1.30 -5.2 24
1930-05-29 IFK Malmo W 9-238.6 1389 1368 52.75% 19.15% 28.10%+0.72 +16.0 18
1930-05-29 @ Landskrona L 2-938.6 1368 1389 28.10% 19.15% 52.75%-0.72 -16.0 16
1930-05-29 Elfsborg W 3-042.4 1291 1430 31.23% 19.04% 49.73%-0.96 +17.2 12
1930-05-29 @ Norrkoping L 0-342.4 1430 1291 49.73% 19.04% 31.23%+0.96 -17.2 19
1930-05-29 Sleipner L 1-349.0 1407 1488 39.01% 19.25% 41.74%-0.35 -8.4 17
1930-05-29 @ Sandvikens IF W 3-149.0 1488 1407 41.74% 19.25% 39.01%+0.35 +8.4 27
1930-06-01 IFK Malmo W 2-141.9 1473 1352 63.57% 18.49% 17.94%+1.78 +2.5 26
1930-06-01 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-241.9 1352 1473 17.94% 18.49% 63.57%-1.78 -2.5 16
1930-06-01 Helsingborg L 0-351.0 1520 1626 35.62% 19.19% 45.19%-0.61 -13.1 28
1930-06-01 @ GAIS W 3-051.0 1626 1520 45.19% 19.19% 35.62%+0.61 +13.0 31
1930-06-01 Norrkoping W 6-135.1 1405 1308 61.27% 18.69% 20.04%+1.53 +10.6 20
1930-06-01 @ Landskrona L 1-635.1 1308 1405 20.04% 18.69% 61.27%-1.53 -10.6 12
1930-06-01 Goteborg L 0-146.2 1399 1558 28.69% 18.93% 52.39%-1.18 -4.0 17
1930-06-01 @ Sandvikens IF W 1-046.2 1558 1399 52.39% 18.93% 28.69%+1.18 +4.0 30
1930-06-01 Orgryte W 2-051.2 1497 1562 41.22% 19.27% 39.51%-0.19 +9.8 29
1930-06-01 @ Sleipner L 0-251.2 1562 1497 39.51% 19.27% 41.22%+0.19 -9.8 26
1930-06-01 Elfsborg D 3-361.5 1219 1412 24.89% 18.69% 56.43%-1.54 +0.6 9
1930-06-01 @ Stattena D 3-361.5 1412 1219 56.43% 18.69% 24.89%+1.54 -0.6 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1930-04-20 9.31% Norrkoping 1320 2 @ Orgryte 1576 0
2 1930-05-18 9.42% IFK Malmo 1368 3 @ Helsingborg 1622 2
3 1929-10-06 13.07% IFK Malmo 1371 3 @ Orgryte 1558 2
4 1930-05-11 14.06% Elfsborg 1409 6 @ Goteborg 1580 1
5 1929-08-18 18.11% Stattena 1262 3 @ Norrkoping 1381 2
6 1930-04-18 18.22% Sandvikens IF 1402 2 @ GAIS 1519 1
7 1929-08-04 19.83% Landskrona 1400 5 @ Goteborg 1499 1
8 1930-04-27 21.27% @ Landskrona 1392 3 Helsingborg 1621 2
9 1930-04-27 21.98% Sandvikens IF 1409 2 @ AIK Stockholm 1486 1
10 1929-10-20 22.25% Orgryte 1568 1 @ Helsingborg 1642 0
11 1929-08-16 23.23% GAIS 1451 1 @ Orgryte 1516 0
12 1929-11-03 25.76% @ AIK Stockholm 1456 5 Helsingborg 1641 1
13 1929-08-25 27.70% GAIS 1459 6 @ Sleipner 1483 0
14 1929-08-04 27.74% @ Norrkoping 1380 5 Orgryte 1548 3
15 1929-11-03 28.37% @ Stattena 1247 2 Sandvikens IF 1410 1
16 1929-08-11 29.94% @ Elfsborg 1389 4 Orgryte 1539 0
17 1930-05-29 31.23% @ Norrkoping 1291 3 Elfsborg 1430 0
18 1930-04-06 31.37% Landskrona 1384 2 @ IFK Malmo 1378 0
19 1929-08-11 31.81% Sleipner 1472 2 @ GAIS 1463 0
20 1929-08-23 32.08% Orgryte 1512 2 @ Goteborg 1501 0
21 1929-09-01 33.43% Landskrona 1386 2 @ Norrkoping 1364 1
22 1929-08-21 33.62% @ Stattena 1269 4 IFK Malmo 1389 3
23 1930-05-04 34.06% IFK Malmo 1354 4 @ Norrkoping 1328 2
24 1929-10-06 34.34% @ Norrkoping 1330 4 Sandvikens IF 1445 2
25 1929-10-20 34.93% AIK Stockholm 1451 2 @ Elfsborg 1418 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1929-08-25 35.07 GAIS 6 1459 27.70% @ Sleipner 0 1483 53.17% 19.13%
2 1930-05-11 30.93 Elfsborg 6 1409 14.06% @ Goteborg 1 1580 67.97% 17.96%
3 1930-05-14 27.04 Sleipner 7 1447 47.96% @ Norrkoping 0 1321 32.93% 19.11%
4 1929-08-11 24.46 Goteborg 5 1477 37.85% @ Landskrona 0 1423 42.87% 19.28%
5 1929-10-27 23.32 @ Landskrona 5 1361 40.28% Sandvikens IF 0 1433 40.45% 19.26%
6 1929-08-11 23.05 @ Elfsborg 4 1389 29.94% Orgryte 0 1539 51.07% 18.99%
7 1929-08-04 22.91 Landskrona 5 1400 19.83% @ Goteborg 1 1499 61.49% 18.68%
8 1929-11-03 20.72 @ AIK Stockholm 5 1456 25.76% Helsingborg 1 1641 55.49% 18.75%
9 1929-09-01 19.61 Orgryte 6 1531 39.50% @ Sandvikens IF 1 1465 41.23% 19.27%
10 1929-09-15 18.61 @ Goteborg 6 1500 55.81% Sandvikens IF 0 1454 25.16% 19.03%
11 1929-08-11 17.79 AIK Stockholm 5 1435 51.80% @ Stattena 0 1280 29.25% 18.95%
12 1930-04-20 17.29 Norrkoping 2 1320 9.31% @ Orgryte 0 1576 73.83% 16.86%
13 1930-05-29 17.24 @ Norrkoping 3 1291 31.23% Elfsborg 0 1430 49.73% 19.04%
14 1929-10-13 17.01 Orgryte 5 1551 53.34% @ Landskrona 0 1383 27.79% 18.88%
15 1930-05-29 16.02 @ Landskrona 9 1389 52.75% IFK Malmo 2 1368 28.10% 19.15%
16 1929-10-06 15.26 Goteborg 3 1519 37.62% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1466 43.10% 19.28%
17 1929-08-04 13.53 @ AIK Stockholm 6 1421 63.88% Stattena 0 1297 17.66% 18.46%
18 1930-05-02 13.12 @ Goteborg 4 1560 54.84% GAIS 0 1522 26.09% 19.07%
19 1930-06-01 13.05 Helsingborg 3 1626 45.19% @ GAIS 0 1520 35.62% 19.19%
20 1930-04-13 12.58 @ Goteborg 7 1540 68.06% IFK Malmo 0 1366 13.99% 17.95%
21 1929-08-25 12.25 @ Elfsborg 4 1405 40.13% Sandvikens IF 1 1478 40.61% 19.26%
22 1929-09-22 11.94 @ Helsingborg 11 1626 74.82% Norrkoping 0 1353 8.57% 16.61%
23 1930-04-06 11.82 Landskrona 2 1384 31.37% @ IFK Malmo 0 1378 49.40% 19.23%
24 1929-08-11 11.72 Sleipner 2 1472 31.81% @ GAIS 0 1463 48.95% 19.24%
25 1929-08-23 11.66 Orgryte 2 1512 32.08% @ Goteborg 0 1501 48.68% 19.24%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1929-10-13 71.8 @ Goteborg 2 1534 35.29% Helsingborg 2 1642 45.54% 19.18%
2 1930-04-21 70.8 @ Helsingborg 2 1622 62.58% GAIS 2 1512 18.84% 18.58%
3 1930-05-11 70.8 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1474 40.44% Orgryte 3 1545 40.30% 19.27%
4 1929-09-01 70.6 @ Helsingborg 2 1625 64.05% Goteborg 2 1499 17.51% 18.44%
5 1930-05-18 67.7 IFK Malmo 3 1368 9.42% @ Helsingborg 2 1622 73.68% 16.89%
6 1929-10-27 65.6 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1456 55.52% Elfsborg 3 1413 25.44% 19.04%
7 1929-10-20 65.1 @ Sleipner 2 1443 37.63% Goteborg 2 1534 43.15% 19.23%
8 1930-04-27 65.0 @ Landskrona 3 1392 21.27% Helsingborg 2 1621 60.36% 18.37%
9 1929-09-08 64.7 @ Sleipner 1 1441 26.00% Helsingborg 1 1624 55.23% 18.77%
10 1929-10-06 64.4 IFK Malmo 3 1371 13.07% @ Orgryte 2 1558 69.15% 17.78%
11 1929-10-20 63.3 Orgryte 1 1568 22.25% @ Helsingborg 0 1642 58.88% 18.86%
12 1930-05-18 61.8 @ GAIS 1 1516 55.29% AIK Stockholm 1 1474 25.65% 19.05%
13 1929-08-04 61.6 @ Norrkoping 5 1380 27.74% Orgryte 3 1548 53.39% 18.87%
14 1929-11-03 61.5 @ Goteborg 1 1541 62.02% Sleipner 1 1436 19.35% 18.63%
15 1930-06-01 61.5 @ Stattena 3 1219 24.89% Elfsborg 3 1412 56.43% 18.69%
16 1929-10-13 60.7 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1451 42.16% GAIS 1 1510 38.56% 19.28%
17 1930-05-11 60.6 @ Norrkoping 1 1319 15.01% Helsingborg 1 1623 67.47% 17.51%
18 1930-05-11 60.0 @ Sandvikens IF 2 1421 53.55% Landskrona 2 1394 27.33% 19.12%
19 1929-08-09 59.9 @ GAIS 1 1463 48.46% Goteborg 1 1476 32.30% 19.25%
20 1930-05-04 59.6 Helsingborg 3 1614 38.09% @ Orgryte 1 1559 42.63% 19.28%
21 1929-09-22 58.9 @ Sleipner 1 1445 47.38% AIK Stockholm 1 1466 33.36% 19.26%
22 1929-09-15 58.8 Helsingborg 4 1623 57.88% @ Elfsborg 3 1417 23.54% 18.58%
23 1929-10-27 58.7 @ IFK Malmo 1 1385 32.35% GAIS 1 1516 48.56% 19.09%
24 1930-04-18 58.4 Sandvikens IF 2 1402 18.22% @ GAIS 1 1519 63.26% 18.52%
25 1929-09-08 58.2 @ Landskrona 1 1391 35.69% GAIS 1 1496 45.12% 19.19%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1930-05-28 28.3 @ Helsingborg 7 1622 80.90% Stattena 0 1223 4.56% 14.54%
2 1930-04-21 29.1 @ Goteborg 8 1552 76.25% Stattena 0 1253 7.53% 16.21%
3 1929-08-04 30.5 @ AIK Stockholm 6 1421 63.88% Stattena 0 1297 17.66% 18.46%
4 1930-04-27 32.0 @ GAIS 5 1513 68.26% Norrkoping 0 1337 13.82% 17.92%
5 1930-05-25 33.1 Goteborg 8 1543 67.86% @ Stattena 1 1234 14.69% 17.45%
6 1929-09-29 33.2 @ Sandvikens IF 4 1435 60.97% Norrkoping 0 1341 20.31% 18.72%
7 1930-05-09 33.3 @ IFK Malmo 2 1363 63.77% Stattena 0 1240 17.76% 18.47%
8 1929-10-13 33.4 @ Sandvikens IF 5 1437 69.07% Stattena 1 1251 13.13% 17.80%
9 1930-04-13 34.0 @ Goteborg 7 1540 68.06% IFK Malmo 0 1366 13.99% 17.95%
10 1929-08-11 34.2 AIK Stockholm 5 1435 51.80% @ Stattena 0 1280 29.25% 18.95%
11 1929-08-25 34.6 @ Goteborg 4 1489 63.10% Norrkoping 0 1374 18.37% 18.54%
12 1930-06-01 35.1 @ Landskrona 6 1405 61.27% Norrkoping 1 1308 20.04% 18.69%
13 1929-09-22 35.8 @ Landskrona 4 1382 63.96% Stattena 1 1257 17.59% 18.45%
14 1929-09-22 36.0 @ Helsingborg 11 1626 74.82% Norrkoping 0 1353 8.57% 16.61%
15 1930-04-27 36.1 @ Sleipner 3 1438 69.56% Stattena 1 1246 12.72% 17.72%
16 1930-05-14 36.4 Sleipner 7 1447 47.96% @ Norrkoping 0 1321 32.93% 19.11%
17 1929-09-01 36.5 @ GAIS 3 1494 71.94% Stattena 1 1267 10.78% 17.28%
18 1929-08-07 36.8 Helsingborg 2 1603 68.71% @ Stattena 0 1283 13.97% 17.31%
19 1930-05-18 37.2 @ Elfsborg 2 1439 70.37% Stattena 1 1236 12.05% 17.58%
20 1930-05-25 37.7 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1475 68.67% Norrkoping 1 1294 13.47% 17.86%
21 1930-05-29 38.6 @ Landskrona 9 1389 52.75% IFK Malmo 2 1368 28.10% 19.15%
22 1930-05-18 38.9 @ Sleipner 3 1474 56.62% Sandvikens IF 0 1420 24.39% 18.99%
23 1929-09-15 39.0 @ Goteborg 6 1500 55.81% Sandvikens IF 0 1454 25.16% 19.03%
24 1929-10-27 39.0 @ Landskrona 5 1361 40.28% Sandvikens IF 0 1433 40.45% 19.26%
25 1929-10-13 39.2 Orgryte 5 1551 53.34% @ Landskrona 0 1383 27.79% 18.88%