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1930-31 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

GAIS

36 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

GAIS

7.25 points above expected

36 points · 28.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sandvikens IF

4.79 points below expected

13 points · 17.79 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 GAIS 22 16 4 2 36 70 34 +36 28.75 +7.25
2 Goteborg 22 13 5 4 31 45 31 +14 23.95 +7.05
3 AIK Stockholm 22 12 6 4 30 67 41 +26 25.85 +4.15
4 Helsingborg 22 12 2 8 26 55 43 +12 27.48 -1.48
5 Landskrona 22 11 1 10 23 47 49 -2 22.46 +0.54
6 IFK Malmo 22 9 4 9 22 42 55 -13 20.94 +1.06
7 Orgryte 22 8 5 9 21 45 46 -1 22.70 -1.70
8 Sleipner 22 7 3 12 17 53 54 -1 21.73 -4.73
9 IFK Eskilstuna 22 6 3 13 15 45 58 -13 18.83 -3.83
10 Elfsborg 22 6 3 13 15 39 59 -20 17.76 -2.76
11 Redbergslids 22 5 5 12 15 35 60 -25 15.76 -0.76
12 Sandvikens IF 22 5 3 14 13 39 52 -13 17.79 -4.79

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 GAIS 36 28.75 +7.25
2 Goteborg 31 23.95 +7.05
3 AIK Stockholm 30 25.85 +4.15
4 IFK Malmo 22 20.94 +1.06
5 Landskrona 23 22.46 +0.54

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sandvikens IF 13 17.79 -4.79
2 Sleipner 17 21.73 -4.73
3 IFK Eskilstuna 15 18.83 -3.83
4 Elfsborg 15 17.76 -2.76
5 Orgryte 21 22.70 -1.70

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 GAIS 9 Aug 17 – Nov 2 1 in 320
2 Goteborg 5 May 3 – May 27 1 in 55
3 Elfsborg 3 May 14 – May 31 1 in 46
4 IFK Eskilstuna 2 Aug 17 – Aug 24 1 in 22
5 Landskrona 4 Oct 19 – Apr 12 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orgryte 5 Sep 21 – Apr 6 1 in 149
2 IFK Eskilstuna 7 Apr 12 – May 31 1 in 130
3 Elfsborg 5 Oct 5 – Nov 2 1 in 47
4 IFK Malmo 4 May 3 – May 25 1 in 28
5 Sandvikens IF 5 Sep 7 – Oct 12 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Goteborg 11 Oct 26 – Jun 7 1 in 154
2 GAIS 14 Aug 6 – Apr 19 1 in 113
3 AIK Stockholm 13 Oct 12 – Jun 7 1 in 86
4 IFK Malmo 4 Aug 3 – Aug 31 1 in 15
5 Orgryte 6 Aug 13 – Sep 14 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IFK Eskilstuna 11 Nov 2 – Jun 7 1 in 70
2 Orgryte 7 Sep 21 – Apr 26 1 in 43
3 Redbergslids 8 Aug 6 – Sep 14 1 in 29
4 Sandvikens IF 9 Aug 10 – Oct 12 1 in 27
5 Elfsborg 9 Oct 5 – Apr 26 1 in 26

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
GAIS 1615 36 +43 10 7.3 +2.7
Goteborg 1558 31 +44 9 6.5 +2.5
AIK Stockholm 1585 30 +8 7 7.1 -0.1
Helsingborg 1531 26 -11 6 6.4 -0.4
Landskrona 1372 23 -52 2 4.5 -2.5
IFK Malmo 1268 22 -88 2 4.8 -2.8
Orgryte 1415 21 -2 5 4.3 +0.7
Sleipner 1407 17 -8 4 4.9 -0.9
Elfsborg 1292 15 +37 6 3.5 +2.5
Redbergslids 1277 15 -1 2 2.4 -0.4
IFK Eskilstuna 1254 15 -51 1 3.8 -2.8
Sandvikens IF 1324 13 +26 4 4.4 -0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS ELF GAI GOT HEL IE IM LAN ORG RED SI SLE
AIK Stockholm —
2-0-0
3.78
0-1-1
2.40
1-1-0
3.10
1-0-1
2.62
0-1-1
4.23
1-1-0
3.28
1-0-1
3.63
0-2-0
3.90
2-0-0
3.77
2-0-0
3.43
2-0-0
3.23
Elfsborg
0-0-2
1.87
—
0-0-2
1.01
0-0-2
2.34
0-1-1
2.02
1-1-0
2.28
1-0-1
1.88
0-1-1
2.02
1-0-1
2.15
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.33
GAIS
1-1-0
3.25
2-0-0
4.66
—
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
3.14
2-0-0
4.25
1-1-0
4.24
1-0-1
3.19
1-1-0
3.47
1-1-0
3.83
2-0-0
4.52
2-0-0
3.73
Goteborg
0-1-1
2.55
2-0-0
3.31
1-0-1
2.47
—
1-1-0
2.18
1-0-1
3.72
1-0-1
2.71
2-0-0
3.79
2-0-0
3.09
1-1-0
3.98
1-1-0
3.25
1-1-0
3.02
Helsingborg
1-0-1
3.03
1-1-0
3.62
0-0-2
2.51
0-1-1
3.47
—
1-0-1
4.23
1-0-1
4.05
1-0-1
3.67
2-0-0
2.99
1-0-1
4.24
2-0-0
3.96
2-0-0
3.53
IFK Eskilstuna
1-1-0
1.43
0-1-1
3.37
0-0-2
1.41
1-0-1
1.93
1-0-1
1.43
—
1-0-1
2.73
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
2.18
0-1-1
3.71
1-0-1
2.73
0-0-2
2.60
IFK Malmo
0-1-1
2.36
1-0-1
3.77
0-1-1
1.42
1-0-1
2.94
1-0-1
1.60
1-0-1
2.92
—
2-0-0
2.73
1-1-0
2.06
0-1-1
3.22
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
2.26
Landskrona
1-0-1
2.01
1-1-0
3.63
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
1.86
1-0-1
1.98
2-0-0
3.10
0-0-2
2.91
—
1-0-1
2.53
2-0-0
3.65
2-0-0
3.63
0-0-2
3.07
Orgryte
0-2-0
1.76
1-0-1
3.50
0-1-1
2.18
0-0-2
2.56
0-0-2
2.66
1-0-1
3.47
0-1-1
3.59
1-0-1
3.12
—
2-0-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.67
1-1-0
2.70
Redbergslids
0-0-2
1.88
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
1.83
0-1-1
1.67
1-0-1
1.42
1-1-0
1.94
1-1-0
2.42
0-0-2
1.99
0-0-2
2.17
—
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-1
1.97
Sandvikens IF
0-0-2
2.22
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-2
1.14
0-1-1
2.39
0-0-2
1.69
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.58
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-2
1.98
1-1-0
3.07
—
1-1-0
2.40
Sleipner
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
3.32
0-0-2
1.92
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.12
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
3.39
2-0-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.95
1-0-1
3.67
0-1-1
3.24
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.60 +5.3
Allowed 0.82 -7.0
Differential 0.85 +3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.27%2.65%1.89%3.03%0.76%1.52%12.12%
12.65%6.82%6.82%4.55%3.03%3.03%26.89%
21.89%6.82%3.79%5.68%2.65%3.03%23.86%
33.03%4.55%5.68%3.03%1.14%1.52%18.94%
40.76%3.03%2.65%1.14%0.76%0.38%8.71%
5+1.52%3.03%3.03%1.52%0.38%—9.47%
Total12.12%26.89%23.86%18.94%8.71%9.47%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.20 2.20 +0.00
SD 1.63 1.63 2.48
CV 0.74 0.74 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—18.18%————18.18%
2—4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—22.73%
34.55%9.09%13.64%———27.27%
4—4.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
Total9.09%40.91%22.73%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.05 1.86 +1.18
SD 1.81 1.32 2.32
CV 0.60 0.71 —
Max 9 5 +9
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%
14.55%—18.18%9.09%9.09%4.55%45.45%
2——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
3——13.64%4.55%——18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total4.55%9.09%40.91%22.73%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.68 -0.91
SD 1.60 1.46 2.65
CV 0.90 0.54 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
1—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
24.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
3—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
4—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
5+9.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
Total13.64%40.91%27.27%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.18 1.55 +1.64
SD 1.59 1.06 1.89
CV 0.50 0.68 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%————4.55%18.18%
14.55%4.55%—9.09%—4.55%22.73%
24.55%18.18%4.55%———27.27%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total36.36%31.82%13.64%9.09%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.41 +0.64
SD 1.70 1.79 2.77
CV 0.83 1.27 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%————13.64%
1——9.09%—4.55%4.55%18.18%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
4—13.64%—4.55%——18.18%
5+—4.55%—9.09%——13.64%
Total4.55%45.45%18.18%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.95 +0.55
SD 1.74 1.29 2.13
CV 0.70 0.66 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
1—9.09%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
24.55%——4.55%9.09%13.64%31.82%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
44.55%—9.09%———13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%18.18%31.82%13.64%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 2.64 -0.59
SD 1.65 1.84 2.72
CV 0.81 0.70 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%4.55%—4.55%13.64%
14.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
24.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%—9.09%36.36%
34.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%——27.27%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%18.18%27.27%22.73%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 2.50 -0.59
SD 1.11 2.11 2.67
CV 0.58 0.84 —
Max 4 9 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———9.09%——9.09%
19.09%—4.55%9.09%——22.73%
2—13.64%4.55%13.64%—4.55%36.36%
34.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
4——13.64%———13.64%
5+————4.55%—4.55%
Total13.64%18.18%22.73%31.82%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 2.23 -0.09
SD 1.32 1.45 1.87
CV 0.62 0.65 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%9.09%——13.64%
14.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total9.09%27.27%31.82%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 2.09 -0.05
SD 1.68 1.41 2.30
CV 0.82 0.67 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
14.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%54.55%
2—9.09%—4.55%4.55%—18.18%
3—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total4.55%36.36%9.09%18.18%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 2.73 -1.14
SD 1.30 1.98 2.46
CV 0.82 0.73 —
Max 6 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
1—4.55%13.64%4.55%——22.73%
24.55%———4.55%4.55%13.64%
39.09%4.55%—4.55%9.09%9.09%36.36%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%22.73%13.64%13.64%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.36 -0.59
SD 1.31 1.84 2.09
CV 0.74 0.78 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
1—4.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%31.82%
2———13.64%—4.55%18.18%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+—4.55%18.18%———22.73%
Total9.09%13.64%27.27%31.82%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.41 2.45 -0.05
SD 2.04 1.37 2.63
CV 0.85 0.56 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
GAIS 1615 36 28.75 +7.25 98.0% 17 23 26 29 32 35 38
AIK Stockholm 1585 30 25.85 +4.15 85.0% 17 18 23 26 28 33 35
Goteborg 1558 31 23.95 +7.05 97.0% 14 16 22 24 26 31 35
Helsingborg 1531 26 27.48 -1.48 37.0% 17 20 25 27 30 33 36
Orgryte 1415 21 22.70 -1.70 36.0% 12 15 21 23 25 29 32
Sleipner 1407 17 21.73 -4.73 16.0% 12 15 19 21 24 29 31
Landskrona 1372 23 22.46 +0.54 59.0% 13 15 20 22 25 29 30
Sandvikens IF 1324 13 17.79 -4.79 13.0% 9 11 15 18 21 24 26
Elfsborg 1292 15 17.76 -2.76 21.0% 8 11 16 18 20 24 28
Redbergslids 1277 15 15.76 -0.76 53.0% 7 9 13 15 19 23 26
IFK Malmo 1268 22 20.94 +1.06 65.0% 8 14 18 21 24 28 32
IFK Eskilstuna 1254 15 18.83 -3.83 21.0% 9 13 16 19 21 25 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.06%
No Edge
44.70%16.67%38.64%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 21.08 Elo pts.
155 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.29 goals
Neutral
-2+0.14+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Top-Heavy
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
47%
GAIS, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.14 * Some Luck: 3.14 to 4.71 * Lucky: 4.71 to 6.28 * Wild Swing: 6.28 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.6 * Close: 1.6 to 2.4 * Off: 2.4 to 3.2 * Way Off: 3.2 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.02 points
Some Luck
03.9210
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
02.005
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
GAIS
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
13.00%
Sandvikens IF
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Lopsided
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 132.87
1.74
Strong Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
81%
Wide Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
89%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
50%
Few
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Very Frequent
0%31%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.29
Very Even
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.02
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.63
Strong Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Upset-Prone
0%29%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.84
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.06
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.107
Well Within Noise
00.1450.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
GAIS47.00%20.00%13.00%9.00%6.00%2.00%—2.00%——1.00%—
Goteborg7.00%11.00%11.00%17.00%18.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%6.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%
AIK Stockholm13.00%22.00%21.00%11.00%12.00%8.00%2.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%——
Helsingborg22.00%29.00%21.00%12.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%——
Landskrona4.00%5.00%7.00%12.00%11.00%14.00%17.00%12.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%
IFK Malmo1.00%1.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%2.00%21.00%13.00%10.00%11.00%8.00%7.00%
Orgryte4.00%6.00%6.00%11.00%13.00%28.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%3.00%
Sleipner2.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%13.00%14.00%12.00%16.00%11.00%5.00%4.00%4.00%
IFK Eskilstuna—1.00%2.00%7.00%2.00%7.00%14.00%13.00%15.00%14.00%16.00%9.00%
Elfsborg——2.00%3.00%2.00%4.00%5.00%9.00%18.00%25.00%18.00%14.00%
Redbergslids——1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%8.00%14.00%23.00%40.00%
Sandvikens IF——3.00%1.00%3.00%6.00%11.00%11.00%13.00%12.00%20.00%20.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
AIK Stockholm 100% —
Helsingborg 100% —
GAIS 99.00% 1.00%
Goteborg 96.00% 4.00%
Landskrona 96.00% 4.00%
Orgryte 92.00% 8.00%
Sleipner 92.00% 8.00%
IFK Malmo 85.00% 15.00%
IFK Eskilstuna 75.00% 25.00%
Elfsborg 68.00% 32.00%
Sandvikens IF 60.00% 40.00%
Redbergslids 37.00% 63.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1930-08-03 AIK Stockholm L 2-351.4 1379 1419 39.90% 17.67% 42.43%-0.13 -10.1 0
1930-08-03 @ Elfsborg W 3-251.4 1419 1379 42.43% 17.67% 39.90%+0.13 +10.1 2
1930-08-03 Redbergslids L 1-256.5 1524 1389 61.79% 17.44% 20.77%+1.01 -15.8 0
1930-08-03 @ Helsingborg W 2-156.5 1389 1524 20.77% 17.44% 61.79%-1.01 +15.8 2
1930-08-03 Goteborg W 7-145.5 1286 1477 21.45% 17.39% 61.16%-1.10 +71.7 2
1930-08-03 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 1-745.5 1477 1286 61.16% 17.39% 21.45%+1.10 -71.7 0
1930-08-03 GAIS W 2-148.6 1381 1437 37.70% 17.66% 44.64%-0.23 +11.7 2
1930-08-03 @ Landskrona L 1-248.6 1437 1381 44.64% 17.66% 37.70%+0.23 -11.7 0
1930-08-03 IFK Malmo L 1-253.2 1467 1340 61.02% 17.46% 21.52%+0.96 -15.6 0
1930-08-03 @ Orgryte W 2-153.2 1340 1467 21.52% 17.46% 61.02%-0.96 +15.6 2
1930-08-03 Sleipner W 3-146.3 1368 1434 36.37% 17.66% 45.98%-0.29 +20.8 2
1930-08-03 @ Sandvikens IF L 1-346.3 1434 1368 45.98% 17.66% 36.37%+0.29 -20.8 0
1930-08-06 GAIS D 1-156.9 1405 1425 42.76% 17.68% 39.56%+0.00 -0.2 3
1930-08-06 @ Redbergslids D 1-156.9 1425 1405 39.56% 17.68% 42.76%+0.00 +0.2 1
1930-08-08 Goteborg L 0-342.7 1451 1405 51.73% 17.63% 30.64%+0.43 -38.8 0
1930-08-08 @ Orgryte W 3-042.7 1405 1451 30.64% 17.63% 51.73%-0.43 +38.8 2
1930-08-10 Sleipner L 2-642.9 1357 1413 37.79% 17.66% 44.54%-0.22 -27.4 2
1930-08-10 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 6-242.9 1413 1357 44.54% 17.66% 37.79%+0.22 +27.4 2
1930-08-10 Elfsborg D 2-259.6 1393 1369 48.91% 17.66% 33.44%+0.29 -0.7 3
1930-08-10 @ Landskrona D 2-259.6 1369 1393 33.44% 17.66% 48.91%-0.29 +0.7 1
1930-08-10 AIK Stockholm L 0-339.2 1405 1429 42.18% 17.68% 40.14%-0.02 -32.5 3
1930-08-10 @ Redbergslids W 3-039.2 1429 1405 40.14% 17.68% 42.18%+0.02 +32.5 4
1930-08-10 Helsingborg L 3-551.8 1389 1508 29.43% 17.58% 52.99%-0.63 -12.1 2
1930-08-10 @ Sandvikens IF W 5-351.8 1508 1389 52.99% 17.58% 29.43%+0.63 +12.1 2
1930-08-13 Orgryte D 2-261.3 1426 1412 47.46% 17.66% 34.88%+0.22 -0.6 2
1930-08-13 @ GAIS D 2-261.3 1412 1426 34.88% 17.66% 47.46%-0.22 +0.6 1
1930-08-15 Redbergslids D 1-156.6 1444 1372 54.91% 17.59% 27.50%+0.60 -1.7 3
1930-08-15 @ Goteborg D 1-156.6 1372 1444 27.50% 17.59% 54.91%-0.60 +1.7 4
1930-08-17 Sandvikens IF W 2-143.5 1462 1377 56.48% 17.56% 25.96%+0.69 +7.4 6
1930-08-17 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-243.5 1377 1462 25.96% 17.56% 56.48%-0.69 -7.4 2
1930-08-17 Landskrona W 5-350.5 1425 1392 50.07% 17.65% 32.29%+0.35 +13.1 4
1930-08-17 @ GAIS L 3-550.5 1392 1425 32.29% 17.65% 50.07%-0.35 -13.1 3
1930-08-17 IFK Eskilstuna L 2-360.6 1520 1330 66.80% 17.24% 15.97%+1.36 -16.2 2
1930-08-17 @ Helsingborg W 3-260.6 1330 1520 15.97% 17.24% 66.80%-1.36 +16.2 4
1930-08-17 Sleipner W 2-042.7 1355 1440 33.79% 17.64% 48.58%-0.41 +25.2 4
1930-08-17 @ IFK Malmo L 0-242.7 1440 1355 48.58% 17.64% 33.79%+0.41 -25.2 2
1930-08-20 GAIS L 0-540.1 1442 1438 46.19% 17.67% 36.14%+0.16 -56.4 3
1930-08-20 @ Goteborg W 5-040.1 1438 1442 36.14% 17.67% 46.19%-0.16 +56.4 6
1930-08-22 Orgryte L 1-639.9 1374 1413 40.14% 17.67% 42.19%-0.11 -41.5 4
1930-08-22 @ Redbergslids W 6-139.9 1413 1374 42.19% 17.67% 40.14%+0.11 +41.5 3
1930-08-24 Redbergslids W 7-135.8 1369 1332 50.56% 17.64% 31.79%+0.37 +40.4 3
1930-08-24 @ Elfsborg L 1-735.8 1332 1369 31.79% 17.64% 50.56%-0.37 -40.4 4
1930-08-24 Sandvikens IF D 0-052.6 1386 1369 47.87% 17.66% 34.46%+0.24 -0.9 4
1930-08-24 @ Goteborg D 0-052.6 1369 1386 34.46% 17.66% 47.87%-0.24 +0.9 3
1930-08-24 AIK Stockholm W 4-253.4 1346 1469 28.97% 17.57% 53.46%-0.66 +21.3 6
1930-08-24 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 2-453.4 1469 1346 53.46% 17.57% 28.97%+0.66 -21.3 6
1930-08-24 Orgryte D 2-261.2 1381 1454 35.28% 17.65% 47.07%-0.34 +0.5 5
1930-08-24 @ IFK Malmo D 2-261.2 1454 1381 47.07% 17.65% 35.28%+0.34 -0.5 4
1930-08-24 Helsingborg L 1-248.2 1415 1504 33.29% 17.63% 49.08%-0.44 -9.2 2
1930-08-24 @ Sleipner W 2-148.2 1504 1415 49.08% 17.63% 33.29%+0.44 +9.2 4
1930-08-27 Landskrona L 2-458.0 1513 1379 61.73% 17.44% 20.84%+1.00 -24.5 4
1930-08-27 @ Helsingborg W 4-258.0 1379 1513 20.84% 17.44% 61.73%-1.00 +24.5 5
1930-08-31 GAIS L 2-355.4 1448 1494 39.01% 17.67% 43.32%-0.17 -9.9 6
1930-08-31 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-255.4 1494 1448 43.32% 17.67% 39.01%+0.17 +9.9 8
1930-08-31 Goteborg W 3-142.9 1381 1385 45.12% 17.67% 37.20%+0.11 +17.4 7
1930-08-31 @ IFK Malmo L 1-342.9 1385 1381 37.20% 17.67% 45.12%-0.11 -17.4 4
1930-08-31 Redbergslids W 4-242.1 1403 1292 59.41% 17.50% 23.09%+0.86 +10.3 7
1930-08-31 @ Landskrona L 2-442.1 1292 1403 23.09% 17.50% 59.41%-0.86 -10.3 4
1930-08-31 Elfsborg W 2-145.7 1454 1410 51.50% 17.63% 30.86%+0.42 +8.6 6
1930-08-31 @ Orgryte L 1-245.7 1410 1454 30.86% 17.63% 51.50%-0.42 -8.6 3
1930-08-31 Sandvikens IF D 3-364.4 1406 1370 50.41% 17.64% 31.94%+0.37 -0.7 3
1930-08-31 @ Sleipner D 3-364.4 1370 1406 31.94% 17.64% 50.41%-0.37 +0.7 4
1930-09-07 Helsingborg L 1-344.9 1401 1488 33.47% 17.63% 48.89%-0.43 -16.0 3
1930-09-07 @ Elfsborg W 3-144.9 1488 1401 48.89% 17.63% 33.47%+0.43 +16.0 6
1930-09-07 IFK Malmo W 2-146.4 1367 1399 41.22% 17.67% 41.11%-0.07 +10.9 6
1930-09-07 @ Goteborg L 1-246.4 1399 1367 41.11% 17.67% 41.22%+0.07 -10.9 7
1930-09-07 Orgryte L 0-339.4 1414 1462 38.75% 17.67% 43.59%-0.18 -30.2 7
1930-09-07 @ Landskrona W 3-039.4 1462 1414 43.59% 17.67% 38.75%+0.18 +30.2 8
1930-09-07 IFK Eskilstuna D 1-153.9 1282 1368 33.65% 17.63% 48.72%-0.42 +0.9 5
1930-09-07 @ Redbergslids D 1-153.9 1368 1282 48.72% 17.63% 33.65%+0.42 -0.9 7
1930-09-07 AIK Stockholm L 3-454.6 1371 1438 36.20% 17.65% 46.15%-0.30 -9.1 4
1930-09-07 @ Sandvikens IF W 4-354.6 1438 1371 46.15% 17.65% 36.20%+0.30 +9.1 8
1930-09-07 GAIS L 1-345.1 1405 1504 31.90% 17.61% 50.49%-0.51 -15.3 3
1930-09-07 @ Sleipner W 3-145.1 1504 1405 50.49% 17.61% 31.90%+0.51 +15.3 10
1930-09-14 Elfsborg D 2-262.8 1504 1385 60.23% 17.48% 22.29%+0.91 -1.8 7
1930-09-14 @ Helsingborg D 2-262.8 1385 1504 22.29% 17.48% 60.23%-0.91 +1.8 4
1930-09-14 GAIS L 1-244.7 1367 1520 25.44% 17.50% 57.06%-0.85 -7.3 7
1930-09-14 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 2-144.7 1520 1367 57.06% 17.50% 25.44%+0.85 +7.3 12
1930-09-14 AIK Stockholm D 1-157.0 1388 1447 37.25% 17.66% 45.09%-0.25 +0.5 8
1930-09-14 @ IFK Malmo D 1-157.0 1447 1388 45.09% 17.66% 37.25%+0.25 -0.5 9
1930-09-14 Sandvikens IF W 6-239.9 1493 1362 61.42% 17.45% 21.13%+0.98 +16.6 10
1930-09-14 @ Orgryte L 2-639.9 1362 1493 21.13% 17.45% 61.42%-0.98 -16.6 4
1930-09-14 Landskrona L 0-138.7 1283 1383 31.70% 17.61% 50.69%-0.52 -9.3 5
1930-09-14 @ Redbergslids W 1-038.7 1383 1283 50.69% 17.61% 31.70%+0.52 +9.3 9
1930-09-21 Orgryte W 3-258.1 1387 1509 29.04% 17.57% 53.39%-0.65 +13.0 6
1930-09-21 @ Elfsborg L 2-358.1 1509 1387 53.39% 17.57% 29.04%+0.65 -13.0 10
1930-09-21 Sleipner W 3-250.3 1378 1390 44.02% 17.67% 38.30%+0.06 +9.8 8
1930-09-21 @ Goteborg L 2-350.3 1390 1378 38.30% 17.67% 44.02%-0.06 -9.8 3
1930-09-21 AIK Stockholm W 3-252.7 1502 1446 52.99% 17.62% 29.39%+0.50 +7.8 9
1930-09-21 @ Helsingborg L 2-352.7 1446 1502 29.39% 17.62% 52.99%-0.50 -7.8 9
1930-09-21 Landskrona W 3-250.2 1388 1393 44.97% 17.67% 37.35%+0.11 +9.6 10
1930-09-21 @ IFK Malmo L 2-350.2 1393 1388 37.35% 17.67% 44.97%-0.11 -9.6 9
1930-09-21 IFK Eskilstuna L 0-435.7 1345 1359 43.65% 17.68% 38.68%+0.04 -43.6 4
1930-09-21 @ Sandvikens IF W 4-035.7 1359 1345 38.68% 17.68% 43.65%-0.04 +43.6 9
1930-10-05 Landskrona L 4-562.4 1439 1383 52.93% 17.62% 29.45%+0.49 -12.4 9
1930-10-05 @ AIK Stockholm W 5-462.4 1383 1439 29.45% 17.62% 52.93%-0.49 +12.5 11
1930-10-05 Helsingborg W 4-148.4 1527 1510 47.92% 17.66% 34.42%+0.24 +23.1 14
1930-10-05 @ GAIS L 1-448.4 1510 1527 34.42% 17.66% 47.92%-0.24 -23.1 9
1930-10-05 IFK Malmo W 2-039.1 1403 1398 46.37% 17.67% 35.97%+0.17 +19.6 11
1930-10-05 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 0-239.1 1398 1403 35.97% 17.67% 46.37%-0.17 -19.6 10
1930-10-05 Goteborg L 1-243.0 1302 1388 33.57% 17.63% 48.79%-0.42 -9.2 4
1930-10-05 @ Sandvikens IF W 2-143.0 1388 1302 48.79% 17.63% 33.57%+0.42 +9.2 10
1930-10-05 Elfsborg W 6-139.6 1380 1400 42.83% 17.68% 39.50%+0.01 +41.0 5
1930-10-05 @ Sleipner L 1-639.6 1400 1380 39.50% 17.68% 42.83%-0.01 -41.0 6
1930-10-12 Sleipner W 3-251.4 1426 1421 46.35% 17.67% 35.98%+0.17 +9.3 11
1930-10-12 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-351.4 1421 1426 35.98% 17.67% 46.35%-0.17 -9.3 5
1930-10-12 Goteborg L 1-246.0 1359 1397 40.21% 17.67% 42.12%-0.11 -10.7 6
1930-10-12 @ Elfsborg W 2-146.0 1397 1359 42.12% 17.67% 40.21%+0.11 +10.7 12
1930-10-12 Redbergslids L 1-251.9 1423 1273 63.23% 17.39% 19.38%+1.10 -16.2 11
1930-10-12 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 2-151.9 1273 1423 19.38% 17.39% 63.23%-1.10 +16.2 7
1930-10-12 IFK Malmo L 2-353.3 1396 1378 48.03% 17.66% 34.31%+0.25 -11.9 11
1930-10-12 @ Landskrona W 3-253.3 1378 1396 34.31% 17.66% 48.03%-0.25 +11.8 12
1930-10-12 Helsingborg L 1-450.1 1496 1487 46.87% 17.67% 35.47%+0.19 -29.9 10
1930-10-12 @ Orgryte W 4-150.1 1487 1496 35.47% 17.67% 46.87%-0.19 +29.9 11
1930-10-12 GAIS L 3-546.0 1292 1550 15.63% 17.13% 67.24%-1.53 -6.8 4
1930-10-12 @ Sandvikens IF W 5-346.0 1550 1292 67.24% 17.13% 15.63%+1.53 +6.9 16
1930-10-19 Goteborg W 3-143.5 1435 1408 49.34% 17.65% 33.00%+0.31 +15.8 13
1930-10-19 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-343.5 1408 1435 33.00% 17.65% 49.34%-0.31 -15.8 12
1930-10-19 Sandvikens IF L 0-339.4 1348 1285 53.83% 17.61% 28.56%+0.54 -40.2 6
1930-10-19 @ Elfsborg W 3-039.4 1285 1348 28.56% 17.61% 53.83%-0.54 +40.2 6
1930-10-19 Orgryte W 6-351.6 1517 1466 52.36% 17.62% 30.01%+0.47 +16.5 13
1930-10-19 @ Helsingborg L 3-651.6 1466 1517 30.01% 17.62% 52.36%-0.47 -16.5 10
1930-10-19 GAIS L 2-350.9 1390 1557 23.92% 17.46% 58.62%-0.94 -6.5 12
1930-10-19 @ IFK Malmo W 3-250.9 1557 1390 58.62% 17.46% 23.92%+0.94 +6.5 18
1930-10-19 IFK Eskilstuna W 3-144.2 1384 1406 42.46% 17.68% 39.87%-0.01 +18.5 13
1930-10-19 @ Landskrona L 1-344.2 1406 1384 39.87% 17.68% 42.46%+0.01 -18.5 11
1930-10-19 Sleipner W 1-045.6 1289 1412 29.04% 17.57% 53.39%-0.65 +14.6 9
1930-10-19 @ Redbergslids L 0-145.6 1412 1289 53.39% 17.57% 29.04%+0.65 -14.6 5
1930-10-26 Elfsborg W 4-030.4 1392 1308 56.39% 17.56% 26.05%+0.68 +28.2 14
1930-10-26 @ Goteborg L 0-430.4 1308 1392 26.05% 17.56% 56.39%-0.68 -28.2 6
1930-10-26 Orgryte W 4-251.6 1388 1450 36.91% 17.66% 45.43%-0.26 +18.4 13
1930-10-26 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 2-451.6 1450 1388 45.43% 17.66% 36.91%+0.26 -18.4 10
1930-10-26 Helsingborg W 1-051.6 1383 1534 25.77% 17.51% 56.72%-0.83 +15.4 14
1930-10-26 @ IFK Malmo L 0-151.6 1534 1383 56.72% 17.51% 25.77%+0.83 -15.4 13
1930-10-26 Sandvikens IF W 2-141.5 1402 1326 55.49% 17.58% 26.93%+0.63 +7.6 15
1930-10-26 @ Landskrona L 1-241.5 1326 1402 26.93% 17.58% 55.49%-0.63 -7.7 6
1930-10-26 Redbergslids W 4-349.3 1397 1304 57.40% 17.55% 25.06%+0.74 +6.7 7
1930-10-26 @ Sleipner L 3-449.3 1304 1397 25.06% 17.55% 57.40%-0.74 -6.6 9
1930-11-02 IFK Malmo W 9-037.5 1451 1399 52.55% 17.62% 29.82%+0.48 +68.3 15
1930-11-02 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-937.5 1399 1451 29.82% 17.62% 52.55%-0.48 -68.2 14
1930-11-02 Elfsborg W 6-028.5 1563 1280 73.26% 16.78% 9.97%+1.97 +17.0 20
1930-11-02 @ GAIS L 0-628.5 1280 1563 9.97% 16.78% 73.26%-1.97 -17.0 6
1930-11-02 IFK Eskilstuna W 6-243.6 1404 1406 45.27% 17.67% 37.06%+0.12 +26.9 9
1930-11-02 @ Sleipner L 2-643.6 1406 1404 37.06% 17.67% 45.27%-0.12 -26.9 13
1931-03-29 IFK Malmo D 3-362.4 1297 1331 40.94% 17.67% 41.39%-0.08 +0.0 10
1931-03-29 @ Redbergslids D 3-362.4 1331 1297 41.39% 17.67% 40.94%+0.08 -0.0 15
1931-04-03 IFK Eskilstuna W 6-034.1 1420 1379 51.11% 17.64% 31.26%+0.40 +48.3 16
1931-04-03 @ Goteborg L 0-634.1 1379 1420 31.26% 17.64% 51.11%-0.40 -48.3 13
1931-04-05 IFK Malmo D 3-368.3 1580 1331 71.21% 16.96% 11.83%+1.75 -2.5 21
1931-04-05 @ GAIS D 3-368.3 1331 1580 11.83% 16.96% 71.21%-1.75 +2.5 16
1931-04-05 Sandvikens IF L 1-440.6 1297 1318 42.73% 17.68% 39.60%+0.00 -27.7 10
1931-04-05 @ Redbergslids W 4-140.6 1318 1297 39.60% 17.68% 42.73%+0.00 +27.7 8
1931-04-06 IFK Eskilstuna D 3-362.2 1263 1331 36.00% 17.65% 46.34%-0.31 +0.4 7
1931-04-06 @ Elfsborg D 3-362.2 1331 1263 46.34% 17.65% 36.00%+0.31 -0.4 14
1931-04-06 Sleipner W 4-142.5 1518 1431 56.76% 17.56% 25.69%+0.70 +18.0 15
1931-04-06 @ Helsingborg L 1-442.5 1431 1518 25.69% 17.56% 56.76%-0.70 -18.0 9
1931-04-06 Landskrona L 0-341.3 1431 1410 48.53% 17.66% 33.81%+0.27 -36.6 10
1931-04-06 @ Orgryte W 3-041.3 1410 1431 33.81% 17.66% 48.53%-0.27 +36.6 17
1931-04-12 Landskrona L 1-239.8 1263 1447 22.22% 17.41% 60.37%-1.05 -6.5 7
1931-04-12 @ Elfsborg W 2-139.8 1447 1263 60.37% 17.41% 22.22%+1.05 +6.5 19
1931-04-12 AIK Stockholm D 4-478.1 1578 1519 53.32% 17.61% 29.07%+0.51 -0.8 22
1931-04-12 @ GAIS D 4-478.1 1519 1578 29.07% 17.61% 53.32%-0.51 +0.8 16
1931-04-12 Helsingborg L 1-242.5 1331 1536 20.08% 17.34% 62.58%-1.19 -5.9 14
1931-04-12 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 2-142.5 1536 1331 62.58% 17.34% 20.08%+1.19 +5.9 17
1931-04-12 Sandvikens IF W 3-035.3 1333 1346 43.86% 17.68% 38.47%+0.05 +30.1 18
1931-04-12 @ IFK Malmo L 0-335.3 1346 1333 38.47% 17.68% 43.86%-0.05 -30.1 8
1931-04-12 Orgryte D 1-156.3 1413 1395 48.09% 17.66% 34.25%+0.25 -0.9 10
1931-04-12 @ Sleipner D 1-156.3 1395 1413 34.25% 17.66% 48.09%-0.25 +0.8 11
1931-04-19 Elfsborg W 4-132.9 1520 1257 72.07% 16.89% 11.04%+1.84 +8.3 18
1931-04-19 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-432.9 1257 1520 11.04% 16.89% 72.07%-1.84 -8.3 7
1931-04-19 Sandvikens IF W 3-138.1 1577 1316 71.94% 16.90% 11.16%+1.83 +5.9 24
1931-04-19 @ GAIS L 1-338.1 1316 1577 11.16% 16.90% 71.94%-1.83 -5.9 8
1931-04-19 Goteborg D 0-060.3 1542 1469 55.10% 17.59% 27.31%+0.61 -2.0 18
1931-04-19 @ Helsingborg D 0-060.3 1469 1542 27.31% 17.59% 55.10%-0.61 +2.0 17
1931-04-26 Elfsborg W 2-139.0 1363 1248 59.76% 17.49% 22.75%+0.88 +6.6 20
1931-04-26 @ IFK Malmo L 1-239.0 1248 1363 22.75% 17.49% 59.76%-0.88 -6.6 7
1931-04-26 Helsingborg L 1-348.6 1453 1540 33.50% 17.63% 48.87%-0.43 -16.0 19
1931-04-26 @ Landskrona W 3-148.6 1540 1453 48.87% 17.63% 33.50%+0.43 +16.0 20
1931-04-26 AIK Stockholm D 1-159.8 1395 1529 27.73% 17.55% 54.72%-0.72 +1.7 12
1931-04-26 @ Orgryte D 1-159.8 1529 1395 54.72% 17.55% 27.73%+0.72 -1.7 19
1931-04-26 Redbergslids D 1-153.3 1310 1270 50.98% 17.64% 31.38%+0.40 -1.2 9
1931-04-26 @ Sandvikens IF D 1-153.3 1270 1310 31.38% 17.64% 50.98%-0.40 +1.2 11
1931-04-26 Goteborg D 0-055.7 1412 1471 37.32% 17.66% 45.02%-0.24 +0.5 11
1931-04-26 @ Sleipner D 0-055.7 1471 1412 45.02% 17.66% 37.32%+0.24 -0.5 18
1931-05-01 Landskrona W 5-247.7 1412 1437 42.16% 17.68% 40.16%-0.02 +22.8 13
1931-05-01 @ Sleipner L 2-547.7 1437 1412 40.16% 17.68% 42.16%+0.02 -22.8 19
1931-05-03 IFK Malmo W 3-253.0 1242 1370 28.36% 17.56% 54.08%-0.69 +13.2 9
1931-05-03 @ Elfsborg L 2-353.0 1370 1242 54.08% 17.56% 28.36%+0.69 -13.2 20
1931-05-03 Helsingborg W 1-053.3 1470 1556 33.66% 17.63% 48.71%-0.42 +13.4 20
1931-05-03 @ Goteborg L 0-153.3 1556 1470 48.71% 17.63% 33.66%+0.42 -13.4 20
1931-05-03 Landskrona L 0-140.1 1325 1414 33.19% 17.63% 49.19%-0.44 -9.7 14
1931-05-03 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 1-040.1 1414 1325 49.19% 17.63% 33.19%+0.44 +9.7 21
1931-05-03 Orgryte L 0-139.6 1309 1397 33.28% 17.63% 49.09%-0.44 -9.7 9
1931-05-03 @ Sandvikens IF W 1-039.6 1397 1309 49.09% 17.63% 33.28%+0.44 +9.7 14
1931-05-03 AIK Stockholm L 2-549.2 1435 1527 32.88% 17.63% 49.50%-0.46 -19.2 13
1931-05-03 @ Sleipner W 5-249.2 1527 1435 49.50% 17.63% 32.88%+0.46 +19.2 21
1931-05-06 Redbergslids W 3-136.6 1407 1271 61.94% 17.43% 20.63%+1.02 +10.5 16
1931-05-06 @ Orgryte L 1-336.6 1271 1407 20.63% 17.43% 61.94%-1.02 -10.5 11
1931-05-08 Goteborg L 0-254.5 1583 1484 58.12% 17.53% 24.35%+0.78 -29.8 24
1931-05-08 @ GAIS W 2-054.5 1484 1583 24.35% 17.53% 58.12%-0.78 +29.8 22
1931-05-10 Helsingborg W 5-149.3 1546 1543 46.13% 17.67% 36.20%+0.16 +31.1 23
1931-05-10 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-549.3 1543 1546 36.20% 17.67% 46.13%-0.16 -31.1 20
1931-05-10 IFK Eskilstuna W 4-243.0 1417 1315 58.42% 17.52% 24.06%+0.80 +10.7 18
1931-05-10 @ Orgryte L 2-443.0 1315 1417 24.06% 17.52% 58.42%-0.80 -10.7 14
1931-05-10 Elfsborg W 3-140.1 1260 1255 46.38% 17.67% 35.95%+0.17 +16.9 13
1931-05-10 @ Redbergslids L 1-340.1 1255 1260 35.95% 17.67% 46.38%-0.17 -16.9 9
1931-05-10 Landskrona L 2-444.2 1299 1424 28.68% 17.57% 53.75%-0.67 -12.5 9
1931-05-10 @ Sandvikens IF W 4-244.2 1424 1299 53.75% 17.57% 28.68%+0.67 +12.5 23
1931-05-14 Redbergslids W 3-243.3 1577 1277 74.15% 16.68% 9.17%+2.08 +2.7 25
1931-05-14 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-343.3 1277 1577 9.17% 16.68% 74.15%-2.08 -2.7 13
1931-05-14 Sleipner W 5-140.2 1553 1416 62.09% 17.43% 20.49%+1.03 +19.0 26
1931-05-14 @ GAIS L 1-540.2 1416 1553 20.49% 17.43% 62.09%-1.03 -19.0 13
1931-05-14 Elfsborg L 2-352.7 1304 1238 54.27% 17.60% 28.13%+0.57 -13.2 14
1931-05-14 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 3-252.7 1238 1304 28.13% 17.60% 54.27%-0.57 +13.2 11
1931-05-14 IFK Malmo W 3-037.3 1286 1357 35.75% 17.65% 46.60%-0.32 +35.3 11
1931-05-14 @ Sandvikens IF L 0-337.3 1357 1286 46.60% 17.65% 35.75%+0.32 -35.3 20
1931-05-17 Orgryte D 1-162.9 1580 1428 63.47% 17.38% 19.15%+1.12 -2.9 26
1931-05-17 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-162.9 1428 1580 19.15% 17.38% 63.47%-1.12 +2.9 19
1931-05-17 Sleipner W 4-144.8 1251 1397 26.28% 17.52% 56.19%-0.81 +35.3 13
1931-05-17 @ Elfsborg L 1-444.8 1397 1251 56.19% 17.52% 26.28%+0.81 -35.3 13
1931-05-17 IFK Eskilstuna W 5-238.8 1572 1291 73.11% 16.79% 10.10%+1.95 +6.6 28
1931-05-17 @ GAIS L 2-538.8 1291 1572 10.10% 16.79% 73.11%-1.95 -6.6 14
1931-05-17 Landskrona W 2-147.3 1513 1436 55.53% 17.58% 26.89%+0.63 +7.6 24
1931-05-17 @ Goteborg L 1-247.3 1436 1513 26.89% 17.58% 55.53%-0.63 -7.6 23
1931-05-17 IFK Malmo W 4-135.8 1511 1321 66.84% 17.23% 15.93%+1.37 +11.7 22
1931-05-17 @ Helsingborg L 1-435.8 1321 1511 15.93% 17.23% 66.84%-1.37 -11.7 20
1931-05-20 Goteborg L 1-632.9 1275 1521 16.53% 17.18% 66.29%-1.46 -19.1 13
1931-05-20 @ Redbergslids W 6-132.9 1521 1275 66.29% 17.18% 16.53%+1.46 +19.1 26
1931-05-22 GAIS L 0-242.8 1431 1579 26.02% 17.52% 56.46%-0.82 -14.8 19
1931-05-22 @ Orgryte W 2-042.8 1579 1431 56.46% 17.52% 26.02%+0.82 +14.8 30
1931-05-25 Sandvikens IF L 0-237.7 1285 1322 40.39% 17.67% 41.94%-0.10 -21.6 14
1931-05-25 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 2-037.7 1322 1285 41.94% 17.67% 40.39%+0.10 +21.6 13
1931-05-25 AIK Stockholm L 1-346.8 1429 1577 25.98% 17.51% 56.50%-0.82 -12.8 23
1931-05-25 @ Landskrona W 3-146.8 1577 1429 56.50% 17.51% 25.98%+0.82 +12.8 28
1931-05-25 Helsingborg L 1-532.7 1256 1523 14.90% 17.08% 68.02%-1.59 -14.2 13
1931-05-25 @ Redbergslids W 5-132.7 1523 1256 68.02% 17.08% 14.90%+1.59 +14.2 24
1931-05-25 IFK Malmo W 5-241.3 1362 1310 52.52% 17.62% 29.86%+0.47 +17.7 15
1931-05-25 @ Sleipner L 2-541.3 1310 1362 29.86% 17.62% 52.52%-0.47 -17.7 20
1931-05-27 Orgryte W 3-143.7 1540 1416 60.72% 17.47% 21.81%+0.94 +11.0 28
1931-05-27 @ Goteborg L 1-343.7 1416 1540 21.81% 17.47% 60.72%-0.94 -11.0 19
1931-05-29 Redbergslids W 2-137.4 1594 1241 76.68% 16.35% 6.98%+2.41 +2.2 32
1931-05-29 @ GAIS L 1-237.4 1241 1594 6.98% 16.35% 76.68%-2.41 -2.2 13
1931-05-31 AIK Stockholm D 2-271.6 1551 1590 40.14% 17.67% 42.19%-0.11 +0.1 29
1931-05-31 @ Goteborg D 2-271.6 1590 1551 42.19% 17.67% 40.14%+0.11 -0.1 29
1931-05-31 GAIS L 1-257.0 1537 1596 37.35% 17.66% 44.99%-0.24 -10.1 24
1931-05-31 @ Helsingborg W 2-157.0 1596 1537 44.99% 17.66% 37.35%+0.24 +10.1 34
1931-05-31 IFK Eskilstuna W 4-243.9 1292 1263 49.51% 17.65% 32.84%+0.32 +14.0 22
1931-05-31 @ IFK Malmo L 2-443.9 1263 1292 32.84% 17.65% 49.51%-0.32 -14.0 14
1931-05-31 Sleipner L 0-340.8 1416 1379 50.55% 17.64% 31.81%+0.37 -38.0 23
1931-05-31 @ Landskrona W 3-040.8 1379 1416 31.81% 17.64% 50.55%-0.37 +38.0 17
1931-05-31 Elfsborg L 0-144.8 1343 1287 53.07% 17.62% 29.32%+0.50 -14.5 13
1931-05-31 @ Sandvikens IF W 1-044.8 1287 1343 29.32% 17.62% 53.07%-0.50 +14.5 15
1931-06-07 IFK Eskilstuna D 1-157.5 1590 1249 76.17% 16.42% 7.41%+2.34 -4.7 30
1931-06-07 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-157.5 1249 1590 7.41% 16.42% 76.17%-2.34 +4.7 15
1931-06-07 GAIS L 1-436.8 1301 1606 12.37% 16.89% 70.73%-1.84 -9.2 15
1931-06-07 @ Elfsborg W 4-136.8 1606 1301 70.73% 16.89% 12.37%+1.84 +9.2 36
1931-06-07 Sandvikens IF W 4-349.4 1527 1329 67.50% 17.20% 15.30%+1.42 +4.2 26
1931-06-07 @ Helsingborg L 3-449.4 1329 1527 15.30% 17.20% 67.50%-1.42 -4.3 13
1931-06-07 Redbergslids L 2-645.5 1306 1239 54.29% 17.60% 28.11%+0.57 -37.5 22
1931-06-07 @ IFK Malmo W 6-245.5 1239 1306 28.11% 17.60% 54.29%-0.57 +37.5 15
1931-06-07 Goteborg L 2-350.1 1378 1551 23.27% 17.45% 59.29%-0.98 -6.4 23
1931-06-07 @ Landskrona W 3-250.1 1551 1378 59.29% 17.45% 23.27%+0.98 +6.4 31
1931-06-07 Sleipner W 3-251.5 1405 1417 43.94% 17.67% 38.39%+0.06 +9.8 21
1931-06-07 @ Orgryte L 2-351.5 1417 1405 38.39% 17.67% 43.94%-0.06 -9.8 17

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1930-08-17 15.97% IFK Eskilstuna 1330 3 @ Helsingborg 1520 2
2 1930-10-12 19.38% Redbergslids 1273 2 @ IFK Eskilstuna 1423 1
3 1930-08-03 20.77% Redbergslids 1389 2 @ Helsingborg 1524 1
4 1930-08-27 20.84% Landskrona 1379 4 @ Helsingborg 1513 2
5 1930-08-03 21.45% @ IFK Eskilstuna 1286 7 Goteborg 1477 1
6 1930-08-03 21.52% IFK Malmo 1340 2 @ Orgryte 1467 1
7 1931-05-08 24.35% Goteborg 1484 2 @ GAIS 1583 0
8 1930-10-26 25.77% @ IFK Malmo 1383 1 Helsingborg 1534 0
9 1931-05-17 26.28% @ Elfsborg 1251 4 Sleipner 1397 1
10 1931-06-07 28.11% Redbergslids 1239 6 @ IFK Malmo 1306 2
11 1931-05-14 28.13% Elfsborg 1238 3 @ IFK Eskilstuna 1304 2
12 1931-05-03 28.36% @ Elfsborg 1242 3 IFK Malmo 1370 2
13 1930-10-19 28.56% Sandvikens IF 1285 3 @ Elfsborg 1348 0
14 1930-08-24 28.97% @ IFK Eskilstuna 1346 4 AIK Stockholm 1469 2
15 1930-09-21 29.04% @ Elfsborg 1387 3 Orgryte 1509 2
16 1930-10-19 29.04% @ Redbergslids 1289 1 Sleipner 1412 0
17 1931-05-31 29.32% Elfsborg 1287 1 @ Sandvikens IF 1343 0
18 1930-10-05 29.45% Landskrona 1383 5 @ AIK Stockholm 1439 4
19 1930-08-08 30.64% Goteborg 1405 3 @ Orgryte 1451 0
20 1931-05-31 31.81% Sleipner 1379 3 @ Landskrona 1416 0
21 1931-05-03 33.66% @ Goteborg 1470 1 Helsingborg 1556 0
22 1930-08-17 33.79% @ IFK Malmo 1355 2 Sleipner 1440 0
23 1931-04-06 33.81% Landskrona 1410 3 @ Orgryte 1431 0
24 1930-10-12 34.31% IFK Malmo 1378 3 @ Landskrona 1396 2
25 1930-10-12 35.47% Helsingborg 1487 4 @ Orgryte 1496 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1930-08-03 71.70 @ IFK Eskilstuna 7 1286 21.45% Goteborg 1 1477 61.16% 17.39%
2 1930-11-02 68.26 @ AIK Stockholm 9 1451 52.55% IFK Malmo 0 1399 29.82% 17.62%
3 1930-08-20 56.45 GAIS 5 1438 36.14% @ Goteborg 0 1442 46.19% 17.67%
4 1931-04-03 48.28 @ Goteborg 6 1420 51.11% IFK Eskilstuna 0 1379 31.26% 17.64%
5 1930-09-21 43.63 IFK Eskilstuna 4 1359 38.68% @ Sandvikens IF 0 1345 43.65% 17.68%
6 1930-08-22 41.52 Orgryte 6 1413 42.19% @ Redbergslids 1 1374 40.14% 17.67%
7 1930-10-05 40.97 @ Sleipner 6 1380 42.83% Elfsborg 1 1400 39.50% 17.68%
8 1930-08-24 40.42 @ Elfsborg 7 1369 50.56% Redbergslids 1 1332 31.79% 17.64%
9 1930-10-19 40.23 Sandvikens IF 3 1285 28.56% @ Elfsborg 0 1348 53.83% 17.61%
10 1930-08-08 38.77 Goteborg 3 1405 30.64% @ Orgryte 0 1451 51.73% 17.63%
11 1931-05-31 37.97 Sleipner 3 1379 31.81% @ Landskrona 0 1416 50.55% 17.64%
12 1931-06-07 37.46 Redbergslids 6 1239 28.11% @ IFK Malmo 2 1306 54.29% 17.60%
13 1931-04-06 36.61 Landskrona 3 1410 33.81% @ Orgryte 0 1431 48.53% 17.66%
14 1931-05-14 35.32 @ Sandvikens IF 3 1286 35.75% IFK Malmo 0 1357 46.60% 17.65%
15 1931-05-17 35.31 @ Elfsborg 4 1251 26.28% Sleipner 1 1397 56.19% 17.52%
16 1930-08-10 32.45 AIK Stockholm 3 1429 40.14% @ Redbergslids 0 1405 42.18% 17.68%
17 1931-05-10 31.12 @ AIK Stockholm 5 1546 46.13% Helsingborg 1 1543 36.20% 17.67%
18 1930-09-07 30.25 Orgryte 3 1462 43.59% @ Landskrona 0 1414 38.75% 17.67%
19 1931-04-12 30.07 @ IFK Malmo 3 1333 43.86% Sandvikens IF 0 1346 38.47% 17.68%
20 1930-10-12 29.93 Helsingborg 4 1487 35.47% @ Orgryte 1 1496 46.87% 17.67%
21 1931-05-08 29.79 Goteborg 2 1484 24.35% @ GAIS 0 1583 58.12% 17.53%
22 1930-10-26 28.18 @ Goteborg 4 1392 56.39% Elfsborg 0 1308 26.05% 17.56%
23 1931-04-05 27.66 Sandvikens IF 4 1318 39.60% @ Redbergslids 1 1297 42.73% 17.68%
24 1930-08-10 27.37 Sleipner 6 1413 44.54% @ IFK Eskilstuna 2 1357 37.79% 17.66%
25 1930-11-02 26.93 @ Sleipner 6 1404 45.27% IFK Eskilstuna 2 1406 37.06% 17.67%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1931-04-12 78.1 @ GAIS 4 1578 53.32% AIK Stockholm 4 1519 29.07% 17.61%
2 1931-05-31 71.6 @ Goteborg 2 1551 40.14% AIK Stockholm 2 1590 42.19% 17.67%
3 1931-04-05 68.3 @ GAIS 3 1580 71.21% IFK Malmo 3 1331 11.83% 16.96%
4 1930-08-31 64.4 @ Sleipner 3 1406 50.41% Sandvikens IF 3 1370 31.94% 17.64%
5 1931-05-17 62.9 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1580 63.47% Orgryte 1 1428 19.15% 17.38%
6 1930-09-14 62.8 @ Helsingborg 2 1504 60.23% Elfsborg 2 1385 22.29% 17.48%
7 1930-10-05 62.4 Landskrona 5 1383 29.45% @ AIK Stockholm 4 1439 52.93% 17.62%
8 1931-03-29 62.4 @ Redbergslids 3 1297 40.94% IFK Malmo 3 1331 41.39% 17.67%
9 1931-04-06 62.2 @ Elfsborg 3 1263 36.00% IFK Eskilstuna 3 1331 46.34% 17.65%
10 1930-08-13 61.3 @ GAIS 2 1426 47.46% Orgryte 2 1412 34.88% 17.66%
11 1930-08-24 61.2 @ IFK Malmo 2 1381 35.28% Orgryte 2 1454 47.07% 17.65%
12 1930-08-17 60.6 IFK Eskilstuna 3 1330 15.97% @ Helsingborg 2 1520 66.80% 17.24%
13 1931-04-19 60.3 @ Helsingborg 0 1542 55.10% Goteborg 0 1469 27.31% 17.59%
14 1931-04-26 59.8 @ Orgryte 1 1395 27.73% AIK Stockholm 1 1529 54.72% 17.55%
15 1930-08-10 59.6 @ Landskrona 2 1393 48.91% Elfsborg 2 1369 33.44% 17.66%
16 1930-09-21 58.1 @ Elfsborg 3 1387 29.04% Orgryte 2 1509 53.39% 17.57%
17 1930-08-27 58.0 Landskrona 4 1379 20.84% @ Helsingborg 2 1513 61.73% 17.44%
18 1931-06-07 57.5 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1590 76.17% IFK Eskilstuna 1 1249 7.41% 16.42%
19 1930-09-14 57.0 @ IFK Malmo 1 1388 37.25% AIK Stockholm 1 1447 45.09% 17.66%
20 1931-05-31 57.0 GAIS 2 1596 44.99% @ Helsingborg 1 1537 37.35% 17.66%
21 1930-08-06 56.9 @ Redbergslids 1 1405 42.76% GAIS 1 1425 39.56% 17.68%
22 1930-08-15 56.6 @ Goteborg 1 1444 54.91% Redbergslids 1 1372 27.50% 17.59%
23 1930-08-03 56.5 Redbergslids 2 1389 20.77% @ Helsingborg 1 1524 61.79% 17.44%
24 1931-04-12 56.3 @ Sleipner 1 1413 48.09% Orgryte 1 1395 34.25% 17.66%
25 1931-04-26 55.7 @ Sleipner 0 1412 37.32% Goteborg 0 1471 45.02% 17.66%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1930-11-02 28.5 @ GAIS 6 1563 73.26% Elfsborg 0 1280 9.97% 16.78%
2 1930-10-26 30.4 @ Goteborg 4 1392 56.39% Elfsborg 0 1308 26.05% 17.56%
3 1931-05-25 32.7 Helsingborg 5 1523 68.02% @ Redbergslids 1 1256 14.90% 17.08%
4 1931-04-19 32.9 @ AIK Stockholm 4 1520 72.07% Elfsborg 1 1257 11.04% 16.89%
5 1931-05-20 32.9 Goteborg 6 1521 66.29% @ Redbergslids 1 1275 16.53% 17.18%
6 1931-04-03 34.1 @ Goteborg 6 1420 51.11% IFK Eskilstuna 0 1379 31.26% 17.64%
7 1931-04-12 35.3 @ IFK Malmo 3 1333 43.86% Sandvikens IF 0 1346 38.47% 17.68%
8 1930-09-21 35.7 IFK Eskilstuna 4 1359 38.68% @ Sandvikens IF 0 1345 43.65% 17.68%
9 1930-08-24 35.8 @ Elfsborg 7 1369 50.56% Redbergslids 1 1332 31.79% 17.64%
10 1931-05-17 35.8 @ Helsingborg 4 1511 66.84% IFK Malmo 1 1321 15.93% 17.23%
11 1931-05-06 36.6 @ Orgryte 3 1407 61.94% Redbergslids 1 1271 20.63% 17.43%
12 1931-06-07 36.8 GAIS 4 1606 70.73% @ Elfsborg 1 1301 12.37% 16.89%
13 1931-05-14 37.3 @ Sandvikens IF 3 1286 35.75% IFK Malmo 0 1357 46.60% 17.65%
14 1931-05-29 37.4 @ GAIS 2 1594 76.68% Redbergslids 1 1241 6.98% 16.35%
15 1930-11-02 37.5 @ AIK Stockholm 9 1451 52.55% IFK Malmo 0 1399 29.82% 17.62%
16 1931-05-25 37.7 Sandvikens IF 2 1322 41.94% @ IFK Eskilstuna 0 1285 40.39% 17.67%
17 1931-04-19 38.1 @ GAIS 3 1577 71.94% Sandvikens IF 1 1316 11.16% 16.90%
18 1930-09-14 38.7 Landskrona 1 1383 50.69% @ Redbergslids 0 1283 31.70% 17.61%
19 1931-05-17 38.8 @ GAIS 5 1572 73.11% IFK Eskilstuna 2 1291 10.10% 16.79%
20 1931-04-26 39.0 @ IFK Malmo 2 1363 59.76% Elfsborg 1 1248 22.75% 17.49%
21 1930-10-05 39.1 @ IFK Eskilstuna 2 1403 46.37% IFK Malmo 0 1398 35.97% 17.67%
22 1930-08-10 39.2 AIK Stockholm 3 1429 40.14% @ Redbergslids 0 1405 42.18% 17.68%
23 1930-09-07 39.4 Orgryte 3 1462 43.59% @ Landskrona 0 1414 38.75% 17.67%
24 1930-10-19 39.4 Sandvikens IF 3 1285 28.56% @ Elfsborg 0 1348 53.83% 17.61%
25 1930-10-05 39.6 @ Sleipner 6 1380 42.83% Elfsborg 1 1400 39.50% 17.68%