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1931-32 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

AIK Stockholm

33 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Orgryte

7.37 points above expected

31 points · 23.63 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hallstahammars

9.20 points below expected

10 points · 19.20 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 AIK Stockholm 22 12 9 1 33 58 33 +25 28.72 +4.28
2 Orgryte 22 13 5 4 31 67 37 +30 23.63 +7.37
3 GAIS 22 11 8 3 30 45 29 +16 26.78 +3.22
4 Goteborg 22 11 4 7 26 47 34 +13 26.80 -0.80
5 IFK Eskilstuna 22 9 5 8 23 50 44 +6 20.70 +2.30
6 Sleipner 22 8 6 8 22 41 35 +6 23.65 -1.65
7 Elfsborg 22 8 6 8 22 38 35 +3 18.27 +3.73
8 Helsingborg 22 9 3 10 21 45 44 +1 23.64 -2.64
9 Malmo 22 6 4 12 16 48 68 -20 18.77 -2.77
10 Landskrona 22 4 8 10 16 35 58 -23 17.45 -1.45
11 IFK Malmo 22 4 6 12 14 32 55 -23 16.39 -2.39
12 Hallstahammars 22 2 6 14 10 29 63 -34 19.20 -9.20

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Orgryte 31 23.63 +7.37
2 AIK Stockholm 33 28.72 +4.28
3 Elfsborg 22 18.27 +3.73
4 GAIS 30 26.78 +3.22
5 IFK Eskilstuna 23 20.70 +2.30

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hallstahammars 10 19.20 -9.20
2 Malmo 16 18.77 -2.77
3 Helsingborg 21 23.64 -2.64
4 IFK Malmo 14 16.39 -2.39
5 Sleipner 22 23.65 -1.65

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 GAIS 7 Oct 25 – May 8 1 in 64
2 Helsingborg 4 Oct 11 – Apr 10 1 in 24
3 IFK Eskilstuna 2 Aug 2 – Aug 9 1 in 21
4 Orgryte 4 Oct 18 – Apr 10 1 in 20
5 AIK Stockholm 4 Aug 2 – Aug 23 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Goteborg 3 May 13 – May 27 1 in 50
2 Malmo 5 Nov 1 – May 1 1 in 46
3 Sleipner 4 Oct 25 – Apr 17 1 in 36
4 Helsingborg 3 Aug 23 – Aug 30 1 in 33
5 Landskrona 4 Aug 2 – Aug 23 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Elfsborg 8 Apr 17 – Jun 5 1 in 55
2 Orgryte 11 Sep 20 – May 13 1 in 54
3 Landskrona 7 Aug 26 – Oct 11 1 in 41
4 Helsingborg 8 Sep 6 – Apr 10 1 in 35
5 Sleipner 8 Aug 30 – Oct 18 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hallstahammars 19 Aug 23 – Jun 5 1 in 1,289
2 GAIS 7 Aug 30 – Oct 18 1 in 55
3 Helsingborg 6 Aug 2 – Aug 30 1 in 48
4 Elfsborg 10 Aug 16 – Oct 25 1 in 25
5 Goteborg 4 May 8 – May 27 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
AIK Stockholm 1527 33 +2 6 6.6 -0.6
Orgryte 1479 31 +50 7 5.3 +1.7
GAIS 1483 30 +24 7 5.4 +1.6
Goteborg 1411 26 -30 4 6.1 -2.1
IFK Eskilstuna 1314 23 +2 6 5.0 +1.0
Elfsborg 1341 22 +62 8 4.8 +3.2
Sleipner 1380 22 +28 5 5.3 -0.3
Helsingborg 1375 21 -23 4 5.9 -1.9
Malmo 1232 16 +2 6 4.0 +2.0
Landskrona 1226 16 -67 2 3.8 -1.8
IFK Malmo 1192 14 -33 3 3.6 -0.6
Hallstahammars 1174 10 -53 1 3.6 -2.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS ELF GAI GOT HAL HEL IE IM LAN MAL ORG SLE
AIK Stockholm —
2-0-0
3.97
0-2-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.12
2-0-0
3.55
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.69
1-1-0
4.25
1-1-0
4.03
1-1-0
3.95
0-2-0
3.43
2-0-0
3.83
Elfsborg
0-0-2
1.51
—
0-1-1
1.67
0-0-2
1.71
2-0-0
2.80
2-0-0
1.96
0-2-0
2.62
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
3.02
0-1-1
2.54
0-1-1
1.83
2-0-0
1.95
GAIS
0-2-0
2.36
1-1-0
3.80
—
2-0-0
2.96
2-0-0
3.60
1-0-1
3.09
0-0-2
3.63
1-1-0
4.06
2-0-0
3.82
1-1-0
3.71
1-1-0
2.91
0-2-0
3.11
Goteborg
1-0-1
2.33
2-0-0
3.75
0-0-2
2.49
—
2-0-0
3.85
0-1-1
3.34
0-0-2
3.43
2-0-0
4.09
0-2-0
3.81
2-0-0
3.58
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
3.07
Hallstahammars
0-0-2
1.91
0-0-2
2.65
0-0-2
1.85
0-0-2
1.62
—
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.47
0-2-0
2.89
0-2-0
3.28
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.31
Helsingborg
0-1-1
1.94
0-0-2
3.49
1-0-1
2.35
1-1-0
2.11
1-0-1
3.07
—
2-0-0
2.98
0-1-1
3.90
1-0-1
3.70
2-0-0
3.38
0-0-2
2.64
1-0-1
2.81
IFK Eskilstuna
0-1-1
1.77
0-2-0
2.82
2-0-0
1.84
2-0-0
2.02
2-0-0
2.99
0-0-2
2.47
—
0-1-1
3.54
1-0-1
2.99
1-1-0
3.02
0-0-2
2.06
1-0-1
2.56
IFK Malmo
0-1-1
1.25
1-0-1
2.28
0-1-1
1.42
0-0-2
1.40
0-2-0
2.55
1-1-0
1.57
1-1-0
1.92
—
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
2.51
0-0-2
1.75
0-0-2
2.00
Landskrona
0-1-1
1.46
0-1-1
2.42
0-0-2
1.65
0-2-0
1.66
0-2-0
2.17
1-0-1
1.76
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
3.13
—
1-0-1
2.34
0-0-2
2.37
0-2-0
1.81
Malmo
0-1-1
1.55
1-1-0
2.90
0-1-1
1.75
0-0-2
1.89
1-0-1
2.88
0-0-2
2.06
0-1-1
2.43
2-0-0
2.92
1-0-1
3.10
—
1-0-1
2.08
0-0-2
2.18
Orgryte
0-2-0
2.03
1-1-0
3.62
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.51
1-1-0
3.49
2-0-0
2.81
2-0-0
3.39
2-0-0
3.71
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.37
—
1-0-1
2.85
Sleipner
0-0-2
1.64
0-0-2
3.50
0-2-0
2.34
0-1-1
2.38
1-1-0
3.13
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.88
2-0-0
3.45
0-2-0
3.65
2-0-0
3.27
1-0-1
2.59
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.66 +5.4
Allowed 0.73 -4.7
Differential 0.95 +3.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.27%4.17%3.79%1.89%2.65%2.27%17.05%
14.17%9.85%4.55%3.03%1.52%3.03%26.14%
23.79%4.55%8.33%4.17%1.89%1.14%23.86%
31.89%3.03%4.17%5.30%0.38%1.89%16.67%
42.65%1.52%1.89%0.38%—0.38%6.82%
5+2.27%3.03%1.14%1.89%0.38%0.76%9.47%
Total17.05%26.14%23.86%16.67%6.82%9.47%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 2.03 +0.00
SD 1.60 1.60 2.39
CV 0.79 0.79 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—22.73%4.55%———27.27%
29.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
34.55%13.64%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
Total13.64%50.00%18.18%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 1.50 +1.14
SD 1.56 1.19 1.52
CV 0.59 0.79 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
19.09%9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
24.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%18.18%27.27%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.59 +0.14
SD 1.08 1.26 1.67
CV 0.62 0.79 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
19.09%13.64%—4.55%——27.27%
213.64%9.09%18.18%4.55%——45.45%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total31.82%22.73%27.27%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.32 +0.73
SD 1.17 1.13 1.49
CV 0.57 0.86 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
113.64%9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%36.36%
2—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
3——4.55%———4.55%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
Total22.73%36.36%22.73%4.55%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.55 +0.59
SD 1.98 1.41 2.59
CV 0.93 0.91 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%—9.09%4.55%22.73%
14.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%—9.09%40.91%
2——18.18%4.55%——22.73%
3————4.55%4.55%9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%9.09%36.36%13.64%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.86 -1.55
SD 1.09 1.88 2.36
CV 0.82 0.66 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
1—9.09%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
2—9.09%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
3——13.64%——4.55%18.18%
4———————
5+—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
Total—40.91%31.82%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 2.00 +0.05
SD 1.76 1.11 1.99
CV 0.86 0.56 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 1 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%——4.55%4.55%18.18%
14.55%4.55%9.09%——4.55%22.73%
24.55%——9.09%——13.64%
3—9.09%4.55%13.64%——27.27%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total22.73%18.18%18.18%27.27%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 2.00 +0.27
SD 1.88 1.57 2.80
CV 0.83 0.79 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%9.09%4.55%22.73%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
2—9.09%18.18%9.09%4.55%—40.91%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total9.09%18.18%22.73%22.73%18.18%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.50 -1.05
SD 1.18 1.47 2.26
CV 0.81 0.59 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%9.09%——9.09%31.82%
14.55%9.09%———9.09%22.73%
2——13.64%——4.55%18.18%
3———4.55%—9.09%13.64%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%13.64%27.27%4.55%—31.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 2.64 -1.05
SD 1.53 2.36 2.89
CV 0.96 0.90 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—9.09%9.09%—22.73%
1—————4.55%4.55%
24.55%9.09%—4.55%9.09%4.55%31.82%
3——9.09%13.64%—4.55%27.27%
4—————4.55%4.55%
5+—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
Total4.55%18.18%9.09%27.27%18.18%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 3.09 -0.91
SD 1.62 1.63 2.33
CV 0.74 0.53 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
1—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
2——9.09%———9.09%
3—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
4—13.64%————13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—27.27%
Total4.55%45.45%31.82%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.05 1.68 +1.36
SD 2.01 0.95 2.01
CV 0.66 0.56 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
1—18.18%—4.55%4.55%—27.27%
29.09%—4.55%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
39.09%—————9.09%
49.09%—4.55%———13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total36.36%22.73%13.64%13.64%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.59 +0.27
SD 1.46 1.76 2.68
CV 0.78 1.11 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
AIK Stockholm 1527 33 28.72 +4.28 93.0% 20 22 26 29 31 34 36
GAIS 1483 30 26.78 +3.22 84.0% 18 21 24 27 29 33 36
Orgryte 1479 31 23.63 +7.37 100.0% 15 18 21 23 26 29 31
Goteborg 1411 26 26.80 -0.80 47.0% 17 21 25 27 29 32 36
Sleipner 1380 22 23.65 -1.65 35.0% 17 18 21 23 25 30 32
Helsingborg 1375 21 23.64 -2.64 32.0% 14 16 21 23 27 30 31
Elfsborg 1341 22 18.27 +3.73 89.0% 10 12 16 19 21 24 27
IFK Eskilstuna 1314 23 20.70 +2.30 77.0% 10 15 18 21 23 26 30
Malmo 1232 16 18.77 -2.77 30.0% 8 12 16 19 22 25 30
Landskrona 1226 16 17.45 -1.45 41.0% 10 12 15 17 20 23 26
IFK Malmo 1192 14 16.39 -2.39 28.0% 7 11 14 16 19 22 24
Hallstahammars 1174 10 19.20 -9.20 1.0% 9 13 16 19 22 25 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.91%
Clear Edge
44.70%26.52%28.79%
Elo Value
Home Edge
124 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
055.75400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.67 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.45+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Top-Heavy
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
44%
AIK Stockholm, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.92 * Some Luck: 2.92 to 4.38 * Lucky: 4.38 to 5.84 * Wild Swing: 5.84 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.53 * Close: 1.53 to 2.3 * Off: 2.3 to 3.07 * Way Off: 3.07 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.21 points
Some Luck
03.659
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Close
01.924
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Orgryte
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Hallstahammars
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 119.55
1.78
Strong Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
76%
Wide Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Strong Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Some Drama
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Very Frequent
0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Notable Separation
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.35
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.59
Strong Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.95
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.23
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.058
Well Within Noise
00.1470.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
AIK Stockholm44.00%22.00%18.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%————
Orgryte5.00%10.00%15.00%13.00%14.00%13.00%10.00%12.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—
GAIS21.00%21.00%23.00%9.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Goteborg17.00%20.00%26.00%12.00%10.00%8.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%——
IFK Eskilstuna1.00%3.00%4.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%16.00%14.00%13.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%
Sleipner5.00%9.00%4.00%18.00%21.00%10.00%14.00%8.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%—
Elfsborg——2.00%5.00%3.00%6.00%9.00%16.00%18.00%12.00%13.00%16.00%
Helsingborg7.00%14.00%3.00%18.00%10.00%16.00%5.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%
Malmo—1.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%12.00%13.00%10.00%17.00%13.00%14.00%
Landskrona———1.00%4.00%3.00%11.00%8.00%16.00%16.00%13.00%28.00%
IFK Malmo———1.00%1.00%3.00%4.00%8.00%11.00%16.00%32.00%24.00%
Hallstahammars——3.00%2.00%9.00%12.00%10.00%6.00%8.00%20.00%18.00%12.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
AIK Stockholm 100% —
GAIS 100% —
Goteborg 100% —
Orgryte 99.00% 1.00%
Sleipner 99.00% 1.00%
Helsingborg 97.00% 3.00%
IFK Eskilstuna 88.00% 12.00%
Malmo 73.00% 27.00%
Elfsborg 71.00% 29.00%
Hallstahammars 70.00% 30.00%
Landskrona 59.00% 41.00%
IFK Malmo 44.00% 56.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1931-08-02 Helsingborg W 1-044.9 1275 1405 29.71% 27.83% 42.45%-0.60 +10.3 2
1931-08-02 @ Elfsborg L 0-144.9 1405 1275 42.45% 27.83% 29.71%+0.60 -10.3 0
1931-08-02 IFK Eskilstuna L 1-352.5 1443 1257 64.50% 25.30% 10.20%+1.94 -24.5 0
1931-08-02 @ GAIS W 3-152.5 1257 1443 10.20% 25.30% 64.50%-1.94 +24.5 2
1931-08-02 AIK Stockholm L 1-344.6 1324 1435 32.27% 27.96% 39.77%-0.44 -13.7 0
1931-08-02 @ Hallstahammars W 3-144.6 1435 1324 39.77% 27.96% 32.27%+0.44 +13.7 2
1931-08-02 Orgryte L 3-747.9 1318 1342 44.04% 28.06% 27.90%+0.25 -24.5 0
1931-08-02 @ Landskrona W 7-347.9 1342 1318 27.90% 28.06% 44.04%-0.25 +24.5 2
1931-08-02 Goteborg L 0-143.6 1324 1413 35.32% 28.06% 36.62%-0.26 -9.0 0
1931-08-02 @ Malmo W 1-043.6 1413 1324 36.62% 28.06% 35.32%+0.26 +9.0 2
1931-08-02 IFK Malmo W 4-030.0 1341 1259 55.94% 27.15% 16.90%+1.11 +18.0 2
1931-08-02 @ Sleipner L 0-430.0 1259 1341 16.90% 27.15% 55.94%-1.11 -18.0 0
1931-08-07 GAIS L 1-253.1 1422 1419 47.40% 27.94% 24.67%+0.47 -10.6 2
1931-08-07 @ Goteborg W 2-153.1 1419 1422 24.67% 27.94% 47.40%-0.47 +10.6 2
1931-08-09 Hallstahammars L 0-149.1 1395 1311 56.13% 27.13% 16.75%+1.12 -13.1 0
1931-08-09 @ Helsingborg W 1-049.1 1311 1395 16.75% 27.13% 56.13%-1.12 +13.2 2
1931-08-09 Landskrona W 7-034.3 1282 1293 45.67% 28.01% 26.32%+0.36 +43.7 4
1931-08-09 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 0-734.3 1293 1282 26.32% 28.01% 45.67%-0.36 -43.7 0
1931-08-09 AIK Stockholm L 2-448.1 1316 1448 29.32% 27.81% 42.87%-0.62 -11.4 0
1931-08-09 @ Malmo W 4-248.1 1448 1316 42.87% 27.81% 29.32%+0.62 +11.4 4
1931-08-09 IFK Malmo W 4-134.7 1366 1241 59.87% 26.48% 13.65%+1.46 +9.6 4
1931-08-09 @ Orgryte L 1-434.7 1241 1366 13.65% 26.48% 59.87%-1.46 -9.7 0
1931-08-09 Elfsborg L 2-356.5 1359 1286 55.08% 27.27% 17.65%+1.04 -11.5 2
1931-08-09 @ Sleipner W 3-256.5 1286 1359 17.65% 27.27% 55.08%-1.04 +11.5 4
1931-08-12 Landskrona W 6-134.3 1304 1249 53.20% 27.49% 19.31%+0.89 +20.6 2
1931-08-12 @ Malmo L 1-634.3 1249 1304 19.31% 27.49% 53.20%-0.89 -20.6 0
1931-08-14 IFK Eskilstuna W 2-141.0 1460 1326 60.56% 26.33% 13.11%+1.53 +3.8 6
1931-08-14 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-241.0 1326 1460 13.11% 26.33% 60.56%-1.53 -3.8 4
1931-08-14 Orgryte D 2-257.7 1429 1376 53.05% 27.51% 19.44%+0.88 -1.3 3
1931-08-14 @ GAIS D 2-257.7 1376 1429 19.44% 27.51% 53.05%-0.88 +1.3 5
1931-08-16 Sleipner W 5-242.1 1411 1347 54.12% 27.39% 18.49%+0.96 +10.9 4
1931-08-16 @ Goteborg L 2-542.1 1347 1411 18.49% 27.39% 54.12%-0.96 -10.9 2
1931-08-16 Malmo W 4-033.1 1324 1325 46.95% 27.96% 25.09%+0.44 +24.9 4
1931-08-16 @ Hallstahammars L 0-433.1 1325 1324 25.09% 27.96% 46.95%-0.44 -24.9 2
1931-08-16 Elfsborg W 2-144.9 1231 1297 38.42% 28.11% 33.47%-0.08 +8.1 2
1931-08-16 @ IFK Malmo L 1-244.9 1297 1231 33.47% 28.11% 38.42%+0.08 -8.1 4
1931-08-19 IFK Malmo D 2-255.4 1382 1239 61.25% 26.17% 12.58%+1.60 -2.0 1
1931-08-19 @ Helsingborg D 2-255.4 1239 1382 12.58% 26.17% 61.25%-1.60 +2.0 3
1931-08-21 Goteborg L 0-146.6 1377 1422 41.39% 28.11% 30.50%+0.09 -10.1 5
1931-08-21 @ Orgryte W 1-046.6 1422 1377 30.50% 28.11% 41.39%-0.09 +10.1 6
1931-08-23 AIK Stockholm L 1-244.1 1289 1464 24.39% 27.40% 48.22%-0.96 -6.4 4
1931-08-23 @ Elfsborg W 2-144.1 1464 1289 48.22% 27.40% 24.39%+0.96 +6.4 8
1931-08-23 Landskrona W 2-031.1 1428 1229 65.44% 25.01% 9.55%+2.05 +5.6 5
1931-08-23 @ GAIS L 0-231.1 1229 1428 9.55% 25.01% 65.44%-2.05 -5.6 0
1931-08-23 IFK Eskilstuna L 3-459.3 1349 1322 50.20% 27.76% 22.04%+0.67 -10.4 4
1931-08-23 @ Hallstahammars W 4-359.3 1322 1349 22.04% 27.76% 50.20%-0.67 +10.4 6
1931-08-23 Orgryte L 3-556.6 1380 1367 48.53% 27.88% 23.60%+0.55 -15.9 1
1931-08-23 @ Helsingborg W 5-356.6 1367 1380 23.60% 27.88% 48.53%-0.55 +15.9 7
1931-08-23 Malmo L 1-246.8 1241 1300 39.43% 28.11% 32.45%-0.02 -9.2 3
1931-08-23 @ IFK Malmo W 2-146.8 1300 1241 32.45% 28.11% 39.43%+0.02 +9.2 4
1931-08-26 Helsingborg W 1-044.5 1223 1364 28.38% 27.75% 43.88%-0.68 +10.5 2
1931-08-26 @ Landskrona L 0-144.5 1364 1223 43.88% 27.75% 28.38%+0.68 -10.5 1
1931-08-30 GAIS D 1-151.6 1283 1434 27.10% 27.65% 45.25%-0.77 +0.9 5
1931-08-30 @ Elfsborg D 1-151.6 1434 1283 45.25% 27.65% 27.10%+0.77 -0.9 6
1931-08-30 Landskrona D 2-254.9 1338 1234 58.03% 26.83% 15.15%+1.29 -1.7 5
1931-08-30 @ Hallstahammars D 2-254.9 1234 1338 15.15% 26.83% 58.03%-1.29 +1.7 3
1931-08-30 Goteborg W 1-044.9 1332 1432 33.71% 28.01% 38.27%-0.35 +9.5 8
1931-08-30 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 0-144.9 1432 1332 38.27% 28.01% 33.71%+0.35 -9.5 6
1931-08-30 AIK Stockholm D 1-151.8 1232 1470 18.20% 26.46% 55.34%-1.47 +2.0 4
1931-08-30 @ IFK Malmo D 1-151.8 1470 1232 55.34% 26.46% 18.20%+1.47 -2.0 9
1931-08-30 Malmo L 1-252.4 1383 1309 55.17% 27.26% 17.57%+1.05 -12.2 7
1931-08-30 @ Orgryte W 2-152.4 1309 1383 17.57% 27.26% 55.17%-1.05 +12.2 6
1931-08-30 Helsingborg W 3-035.3 1336 1353 44.97% 28.04% 27.00%+0.31 +20.1 4
1931-08-30 @ Sleipner L 0-335.3 1353 1336 27.00% 28.04% 44.97%-0.31 -20.1 1
1931-09-06 Hallstahammars W 7-135.0 1468 1337 60.33% 26.38% 13.29%+1.51 +17.6 11
1931-09-06 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-735.0 1337 1468 13.29% 26.38% 60.33%-1.51 -17.6 5
1931-09-06 Elfsborg W 4-135.4 1422 1283 60.95% 26.24% 12.81%+1.57 +9.1 8
1931-09-06 @ Goteborg L 1-435.4 1283 1422 12.81% 26.24% 60.95%-1.57 -9.1 5
1931-09-06 Helsingborg L 2-354.9 1342 1333 48.08% 27.90% 24.02%+0.52 -10.2 8
1931-09-06 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 3-254.9 1333 1342 24.02% 27.90% 48.08%-0.52 +10.2 3
1931-09-06 GAIS D 2-255.5 1234 1433 21.84% 27.08% 51.08%-1.15 +1.1 5
1931-09-06 @ IFK Malmo D 2-255.5 1433 1234 51.08% 27.08% 21.84%+1.15 -1.1 7
1931-09-06 Sleipner D 0-047.4 1236 1357 30.86% 27.90% 41.25%-0.52 +0.6 4
1931-09-06 @ Landskrona D 0-047.4 1357 1236 41.25% 27.90% 30.86%+0.52 -0.6 5
1931-09-13 Goteborg L 2-348.7 1274 1432 26.38% 27.59% 46.03%-0.82 -6.4 5
1931-09-13 @ Elfsborg W 3-248.7 1432 1274 46.03% 27.59% 26.38%+0.82 +6.4 10
1931-09-13 AIK Stockholm D 2-260.7 1432 1486 40.09% 28.11% 31.80%+0.01 -0.3 8
1931-09-13 @ GAIS D 2-260.7 1486 1432 31.80% 28.11% 40.09%-0.01 +0.3 12
1931-09-13 Helsingborg L 1-249.0 1319 1343 44.03% 28.06% 27.91%+0.25 -10.0 5
1931-09-13 @ Hallstahammars W 2-149.0 1343 1319 27.91% 28.06% 44.03%-0.25 +10.0 5
1931-09-13 IFK Malmo W 4-244.3 1236 1235 47.19% 27.95% 24.86%+0.46 +10.1 6
1931-09-13 @ Landskrona L 2-444.3 1235 1236 24.86% 27.95% 47.19%-0.46 -10.1 5
1931-09-13 IFK Eskilstuna L 2-354.0 1321 1331 45.79% 28.01% 26.20%+0.37 -9.8 6
1931-09-13 @ Malmo W 3-254.0 1331 1321 26.20% 28.01% 45.79%-0.37 +9.8 10
1931-09-13 Orgryte W 2-038.0 1356 1371 45.20% 28.03% 26.78%+0.33 +13.8 7
1931-09-13 @ Sleipner L 0-238.0 1371 1356 26.78% 28.03% 45.20%-0.33 -13.8 7
1931-09-20 Malmo W 5-241.4 1353 1311 51.85% 27.63% 20.52%+0.79 +11.9 7
1931-09-20 @ Helsingborg L 2-541.4 1311 1353 20.52% 27.63% 51.85%-0.79 -11.9 6
1931-09-20 AIK Stockholm D 3-362.6 1341 1486 27.87% 27.71% 44.42%-0.72 +0.5 11
1931-09-20 @ IFK Eskilstuna D 3-362.6 1486 1341 44.42% 27.71% 27.87%+0.72 -0.5 13
1931-09-20 Goteborg L 1-536.0 1225 1438 20.45% 26.87% 52.67%-1.27 -17.4 5
1931-09-20 @ IFK Malmo W 5-136.0 1438 1225 52.67% 26.87% 20.45%+1.27 +17.4 12
1931-09-20 Hallstahammars D 1-150.0 1246 1309 38.88% 28.11% 33.01%-0.06 -0.3 7
1931-09-20 @ Landskrona D 1-150.0 1309 1246 33.01% 28.11% 38.88%+0.06 +0.3 6
1931-09-20 Elfsborg W 3-244.7 1357 1268 56.62% 27.05% 16.33%+1.17 +4.4 9
1931-09-20 @ Orgryte L 2-344.7 1268 1357 16.33% 27.05% 56.62%-1.17 -4.4 5
1931-09-20 GAIS D 2-257.4 1370 1431 39.05% 28.11% 32.84%-0.05 -0.2 8
1931-09-20 @ Sleipner D 2-257.4 1431 1370 32.84% 28.11% 39.05%+0.05 +0.2 9
1931-09-27 Hallstahammars D 1-151.2 1370 1309 53.77% 27.43% 18.80%+0.93 -1.8 9
1931-09-27 @ Sleipner D 1-151.2 1309 1370 18.80% 27.43% 53.77%-0.93 +1.8 7
1931-10-04 Orgryte D 1-154.7 1485 1362 59.70% 26.51% 13.79%+1.45 -2.5 14
1931-10-04 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-154.7 1362 1485 13.79% 26.51% 59.70%-1.45 +2.5 10
1931-10-04 Landskrona D 2-254.3 1264 1246 49.14% 27.84% 23.02%+0.59 -1.0 6
1931-10-04 @ Elfsborg D 2-254.3 1246 1264 23.02% 27.84% 49.14%-0.59 +1.0 8
1931-10-04 Helsingborg D 1-153.8 1455 1365 56.70% 27.04% 16.25%+1.17 -2.2 13
1931-10-04 @ Goteborg D 1-153.8 1365 1455 16.25% 27.04% 56.70%-1.17 +2.2 8
1931-10-04 Sleipner L 0-241.3 1311 1368 39.75% 28.11% 32.13%-0.01 -18.5 7
1931-10-04 @ Hallstahammars W 2-041.3 1368 1311 32.13% 28.11% 39.75%+0.01 +18.4 11
1931-10-04 IFK Malmo L 0-148.9 1342 1207 60.58% 26.33% 13.10%+1.53 -14.1 11
1931-10-04 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 1-048.9 1207 1342 13.10% 26.33% 60.58%-1.53 +14.1 7
1931-10-04 GAIS D 3-360.6 1300 1432 29.44% 27.82% 42.74%-0.61 +0.4 7
1931-10-04 @ Malmo D 3-360.6 1432 1300 42.74% 27.82% 29.44%+0.61 -0.4 10
1931-10-11 Elfsborg W 3-136.2 1483 1263 66.87% 24.51% 8.62%+2.22 +4.4 16
1931-10-11 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-336.2 1263 1483 8.62% 24.51% 66.87%-2.22 -4.4 6
1931-10-11 Sleipner D 1-153.6 1431 1386 52.18% 27.60% 20.22%+0.81 -1.7 11
1931-10-11 @ GAIS D 1-153.6 1386 1431 20.22% 27.60% 52.18%-0.81 +1.7 12
1931-10-11 Orgryte D 2-255.1 1293 1364 37.69% 28.10% 34.21%-0.13 -0.1 8
1931-10-11 @ Hallstahammars D 2-255.1 1364 1293 34.21% 28.10% 37.69%+0.13 +0.1 11
1931-10-11 Goteborg W 5-143.7 1367 1453 35.65% 28.07% 36.28%-0.24 +27.2 10
1931-10-11 @ Helsingborg L 1-543.7 1453 1367 36.28% 28.07% 35.65%+0.24 -27.2 13
1931-10-11 IFK Eskilstuna D 3-358.8 1222 1328 32.83% 27.98% 39.18%-0.41 +0.2 8
1931-10-11 @ IFK Malmo D 3-358.8 1328 1222 39.18% 27.98% 32.83%+0.41 -0.2 12
1931-10-11 Malmo W 4-034.5 1247 1300 40.22% 28.11% 31.66%+0.02 +29.6 10
1931-10-11 @ Landskrona L 0-434.5 1300 1247 31.66% 28.11% 40.22%-0.02 -29.6 7
1931-10-18 IFK Malmo W 3-241.6 1487 1222 69.67% 23.39% 6.94%+2.59 +1.9 18
1931-10-18 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-341.6 1222 1487 6.94% 23.39% 69.67%-2.59 -1.9 8
1931-10-18 GAIS W 2-042.1 1327 1429 33.39% 28.00% 38.60%-0.37 +18.0 14
1931-10-18 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 0-242.1 1429 1327 38.60% 28.00% 33.39%+0.37 -18.0 11
1931-10-18 Elfsborg W 2-035.3 1270 1258 48.50% 27.88% 23.63%+0.55 +12.5 9
1931-10-18 @ Malmo L 0-235.3 1258 1270 23.63% 27.88% 48.50%-0.55 -12.5 6
1931-10-18 Landskrona W 5-239.8 1364 1277 56.47% 27.08% 16.45%+1.15 +9.9 13
1931-10-18 @ Orgryte L 2-539.8 1277 1364 16.45% 27.08% 56.47%-1.15 -9.9 10
1931-10-18 Goteborg D 1-153.3 1388 1426 42.21% 28.10% 29.69%+0.14 -0.6 13
1931-10-18 @ Sleipner D 1-153.3 1426 1388 29.69% 28.10% 42.21%-0.14 +0.6 14
1931-10-25 Malmo D 3-358.7 1246 1283 42.35% 28.10% 29.55%+0.15 -0.4 7
1931-10-25 @ Elfsborg D 3-358.7 1283 1246 29.55% 28.10% 42.35%-0.15 +0.4 10
1931-10-25 AIK Stockholm W 2-151.2 1427 1489 38.90% 28.11% 32.99%-0.06 +8.0 16
1931-10-25 @ Goteborg L 1-251.2 1489 1427 32.99% 28.11% 38.90%+0.06 -8.0 18
1931-10-25 GAIS L 3-550.8 1293 1411 31.13% 27.91% 40.96%-0.51 -11.3 8
1931-10-25 @ Hallstahammars W 5-350.8 1411 1293 40.96% 27.91% 31.13%+0.51 +11.2 13
1931-10-25 Sleipner W 3-249.4 1395 1387 47.94% 27.91% 24.15%+0.51 +6.0 12
1931-10-25 @ Helsingborg L 2-349.4 1387 1395 24.15% 27.91% 47.94%-0.51 -6.0 13
1931-10-25 Orgryte L 1-340.9 1220 1374 26.72% 27.62% 45.66%-0.79 -11.8 8
1931-10-25 @ IFK Malmo W 3-140.9 1374 1220 45.66% 27.62% 26.72%+0.79 +11.8 15
1931-10-25 IFK Eskilstuna W 5-035.8 1267 1346 36.64% 28.09% 35.27%-0.19 +39.5 12
1931-10-25 @ Landskrona L 0-535.8 1346 1267 35.27% 28.09% 36.64%+0.19 -39.5 14
1931-11-01 Goteborg W 3-038.3 1481 1435 52.35% 27.58% 20.07%+0.82 +16.0 20
1931-11-01 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-338.3 1435 1481 20.07% 27.58% 52.35%-0.82 -15.9 16
1931-11-01 Hallstahammars W 2-032.9 1423 1281 61.15% 26.20% 12.65%+1.59 +7.4 15
1931-11-01 @ GAIS L 0-232.9 1281 1423 12.65% 26.20% 61.15%-1.59 -7.4 8
1931-11-01 IFK Eskilstuna W 2-140.7 1401 1306 57.12% 26.98% 15.91%+1.21 +4.5 14
1931-11-01 @ Helsingborg L 1-240.7 1306 1401 15.91% 26.98% 57.12%-1.21 -4.5 14
1931-11-01 Orgryte L 4-556.5 1283 1386 33.30% 28.00% 38.70%-0.38 -7.4 10
1931-11-01 @ Malmo W 5-456.5 1386 1283 38.70% 28.00% 33.30%+0.38 +7.4 17
1931-11-08 Sleipner W 1-044.6 1245 1381 28.96% 27.79% 43.26%-0.64 +10.4 9
1931-11-08 @ Elfsborg L 0-144.6 1381 1245 43.26% 27.79% 28.96%+0.64 -10.4 13
1932-04-03 Elfsborg W 2-138.5 1430 1256 63.68% 25.55% 10.77%+1.85 +3.2 17
1932-04-03 @ GAIS L 1-238.5 1256 1430 10.77% 25.55% 63.68%-1.85 -3.2 9
1932-04-03 Landskrona D 2-256.4 1419 1306 58.73% 26.70% 14.57%+1.35 -1.8 17
1932-04-03 @ Goteborg D 2-256.4 1306 1419 14.57% 26.70% 58.73%-1.35 +1.8 13
1932-04-10 Hallstahammars W 6-133.0 1417 1274 61.27% 26.17% 12.56%+1.60 +14.1 19
1932-04-10 @ Goteborg L 1-633.0 1274 1417 12.56% 26.17% 61.27%-1.60 -14.2 8
1932-04-10 Helsingborg L 3-550.1 1276 1405 29.78% 27.84% 42.38%-0.59 -10.9 10
1932-04-10 @ Malmo W 5-350.1 1405 1276 42.38% 27.84% 29.78%+0.59 +10.9 16
1932-04-10 Sleipner W 4-139.7 1393 1371 49.71% 27.80% 22.49%+0.63 +14.7 19
1932-04-10 @ Orgryte L 1-439.7 1371 1393 22.49% 27.80% 49.71%-0.63 -14.7 13
1932-04-17 Orgryte D 3-359.7 1253 1408 26.57% 27.61% 45.82%-0.80 +0.6 10
1932-04-17 @ Elfsborg D 3-359.7 1408 1253 45.82% 27.61% 26.57%+0.80 -0.6 20
1932-04-17 Malmo W 3-030.0 1433 1265 63.23% 25.67% 11.10%+1.80 +9.5 19
1932-04-17 @ GAIS L 0-330.0 1265 1433 11.10% 25.67% 63.23%-1.80 -9.4 10
1932-04-17 Sleipner W 6-035.8 1302 1356 40.03% 28.11% 31.85%+0.01 +43.5 16
1932-04-17 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 0-635.8 1356 1302 31.85% 28.11% 40.03%-0.01 -43.5 13
1932-04-17 Hallstahammars D 2-254.1 1208 1260 40.38% 28.11% 31.50%+0.03 -0.3 9
1932-04-17 @ IFK Malmo D 2-254.1 1260 1208 31.50% 28.11% 40.38%-0.03 +0.3 9
1932-04-17 AIK Stockholm L 3-549.9 1308 1497 22.83% 27.21% 49.96%-1.07 -8.8 13
1932-04-17 @ Landskrona W 5-349.9 1497 1308 49.96% 27.21% 22.83%+1.07 +8.8 22
1932-04-24 Helsingborg W 2-039.4 1506 1416 56.69% 27.04% 16.27%+1.17 +9.2 24
1932-04-24 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-239.4 1416 1506 16.27% 27.04% 56.69%-1.17 -9.2 16
1932-04-24 Elfsborg L 1-249.1 1260 1253 47.89% 27.91% 24.20%+0.50 -10.7 9
1932-04-24 @ Hallstahammars W 2-149.1 1253 1260 24.20% 27.91% 47.89%-0.50 +10.7 12
1932-04-24 GAIS L 0-141.4 1299 1443 28.00% 27.72% 44.28%-0.71 -7.5 13
1932-04-24 @ Landskrona W 1-041.4 1443 1299 44.28% 27.72% 28.00%+0.71 +7.5 21
1932-04-24 Sleipner L 2-449.2 1256 1312 39.70% 28.11% 32.19%-0.01 -14.3 10
1932-04-24 @ Malmo W 4-249.2 1312 1256 32.19% 28.11% 39.70%+0.01 +14.3 15
1932-04-24 IFK Eskilstuna W 3-247.0 1407 1345 54.00% 27.40% 18.60%+0.95 +4.9 22
1932-04-24 @ Orgryte L 2-347.0 1345 1407 18.60% 27.40% 54.00%-0.95 -4.9 16
1932-05-01 Landskrona D 3-363.0 1515 1292 67.08% 24.44% 8.49%+2.25 -2.1 25
1932-05-01 @ AIK Stockholm D 3-363.0 1292 1515 8.49% 24.44% 67.08%-2.25 +2.1 14
1932-05-01 IFK Malmo W 3-031.4 1264 1208 53.36% 27.48% 19.16%+0.90 +15.4 14
1932-05-01 @ Elfsborg L 0-331.4 1208 1264 19.16% 27.48% 53.36%-0.90 -15.4 9
1932-05-01 Malmo W 6-131.7 1431 1241 64.79% 25.21% 10.00%+1.98 +11.4 21
1932-05-01 @ Goteborg L 1-631.7 1241 1431 10.00% 25.21% 64.79%-1.98 -11.4 10
1932-05-01 IFK Eskilstuna W 4-033.8 1327 1340 45.39% 28.02% 26.59%+0.34 +26.0 17
1932-05-01 @ Sleipner L 0-433.8 1340 1327 26.59% 28.02% 45.39%-0.34 -26.0 16
1932-05-05 Hallstahammars W 4-031.3 1279 1249 50.52% 27.74% 21.74%+0.69 +22.2 16
1932-05-05 @ Elfsborg L 0-431.3 1249 1279 21.74% 27.74% 50.52%-0.69 -22.2 9
1932-05-05 Helsingborg W 4-247.6 1450 1407 52.01% 27.61% 20.38%+0.80 +8.6 23
1932-05-05 @ GAIS L 2-447.6 1407 1450 20.38% 27.61% 52.01%-0.80 -8.6 16
1932-05-05 Malmo D 3-359.1 1314 1230 56.15% 27.12% 16.72%+1.13 -1.3 17
1932-05-05 @ IFK Eskilstuna D 3-359.1 1230 1314 16.72% 27.12% 56.15%-1.13 +1.3 11
1932-05-05 Landskrona W 5-036.2 1192 1294 33.49% 28.01% 38.50%-0.37 +42.1 11
1932-05-05 @ IFK Malmo L 0-536.2 1294 1192 38.50% 28.01% 33.49%+0.37 -42.0 14
1932-05-05 AIK Stockholm L 1-345.1 1353 1513 25.99% 27.55% 46.45%-0.84 -11.6 17
1932-05-05 @ Sleipner W 3-145.1 1513 1353 46.45% 27.55% 25.99%+0.84 +11.6 27
1932-05-08 IFK Malmo W 4-027.6 1459 1234 67.13% 24.42% 8.45%+2.25 +9.4 25
1932-05-08 @ GAIS L 0-427.6 1234 1459 8.45% 24.42% 67.13%-2.25 -9.4 11
1932-05-08 AIK Stockholm D 1-156.6 1398 1525 30.14% 27.86% 42.01%-0.57 +0.6 17
1932-05-08 @ Helsingborg D 1-156.6 1525 1398 42.01% 27.86% 30.14%+0.57 -0.6 28
1932-05-08 Elfsborg D 0-047.5 1313 1301 48.41% 27.88% 23.71%+0.54 -1.4 18
1932-05-08 @ IFK Eskilstuna D 0-047.5 1301 1313 23.71% 27.88% 48.41%-0.54 +1.4 17
1932-05-08 Goteborg D 0-048.5 1252 1442 22.66% 27.19% 50.15%-1.09 +1.6 15
1932-05-08 @ Landskrona D 0-048.5 1442 1252 50.15% 27.19% 22.66%+1.09 -1.6 22
1932-05-08 Hallstahammars W 6-028.3 1412 1227 64.46% 25.31% 10.22%+1.94 +16.7 24
1932-05-08 @ Orgryte L 0-628.3 1227 1412 10.22% 25.31% 64.46%-1.94 -16.7 9
1932-05-08 Malmo W 3-030.3 1341 1231 58.50% 26.74% 14.76%+1.33 +12.3 19
1932-05-08 @ Sleipner L 0-330.3 1231 1341 14.76% 26.74% 58.50%-1.33 -12.3 11
1932-05-13 Sleipner W 2-036.0 1524 1353 63.42% 25.62% 10.96%+1.82 +6.4 30
1932-05-13 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-236.0 1353 1524 10.96% 25.62% 63.42%-1.82 -6.4 19
1932-05-13 Orgryte L 1-450.0 1441 1429 48.46% 27.88% 23.66%+0.54 -26.6 22
1932-05-13 @ Goteborg W 4-150.0 1429 1441 23.66% 27.88% 48.46%-0.54 +26.6 26
1932-05-13 Landskrona W 5-133.2 1399 1253 61.49% 26.12% 12.39%+1.62 +11.4 19
1932-05-13 @ Helsingborg L 1-533.2 1253 1399 12.39% 26.12% 61.49%-1.62 -11.4 15
1932-05-13 IFK Malmo W 3-246.9 1219 1225 46.31% 27.99% 25.70%+0.40 +6.3 13
1932-05-13 @ Malmo L 2-346.9 1225 1219 25.70% 27.99% 46.31%-0.40 -6.3 11
1932-05-16 IFK Eskilstuna L 2-455.8 1414 1311 57.86% 26.85% 15.28%+1.28 -19.8 22
1932-05-16 @ Goteborg W 4-255.8 1311 1414 15.28% 26.85% 57.86%-1.28 +19.8 20
1932-05-16 IFK Malmo D 2-254.0 1211 1219 46.06% 28.00% 25.94%+0.38 -0.7 10
1932-05-16 @ Hallstahammars D 2-254.0 1219 1211 25.94% 28.00% 46.06%-0.38 +0.8 12
1932-05-16 GAIS W 3-254.4 1410 1468 39.54% 28.11% 32.35%-0.02 +7.5 21
1932-05-16 @ Helsingborg L 2-354.4 1468 1410 32.35% 28.11% 39.54%+0.02 -7.5 25
1932-05-16 Elfsborg L 0-240.1 1242 1303 39.11% 28.11% 32.77%-0.04 -18.2 15
1932-05-16 @ Landskrona W 2-040.1 1303 1242 32.77% 28.11% 39.11%+0.04 +18.2 19
1932-05-20 GAIS L 0-151.4 1456 1461 46.43% 27.98% 25.59%+0.41 -11.1 26
1932-05-20 @ Orgryte W 1-051.4 1461 1456 25.59% 27.98% 46.43%-0.41 +11.1 27
1932-05-22 Hallstahammars W 3-136.4 1331 1210 59.50% 26.55% 13.95%+1.43 +7.0 22
1932-05-22 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 1-336.4 1210 1331 13.95% 26.55% 59.50%-1.43 -7.0 10
1932-05-22 Helsingborg W 2-150.5 1219 1418 21.89% 27.09% 51.02%-1.15 +11.3 14
1932-05-22 @ IFK Malmo L 1-250.5 1418 1219 51.02% 27.09% 21.89%+1.15 -11.3 21
1932-05-22 AIK Stockholm D 1-158.4 1445 1531 35.61% 28.07% 36.32%-0.24 +0.0 27
1932-05-22 @ Orgryte D 1-158.4 1531 1445 36.32% 28.07% 35.61%+0.24 -0.0 31
1932-05-27 Goteborg W 2-038.0 1472 1395 55.48% 27.22% 17.30%+1.07 +9.7 29
1932-05-27 @ GAIS L 0-238.0 1395 1472 17.30% 27.22% 55.48%-1.07 -9.7 22
1932-05-29 Malmo D 5-567.2 1531 1225 71.93% 22.32% 5.74%+2.91 -1.8 32
1932-05-29 @ AIK Stockholm D 5-567.2 1225 1531 5.74% 22.32% 71.93%-2.91 +1.8 14
1932-05-29 IFK Eskilstuna D 1-150.8 1321 1338 44.94% 28.04% 27.02%+0.31 -0.9 20
1932-05-29 @ Elfsborg D 1-150.8 1338 1321 27.02% 28.04% 44.94%-0.31 +0.9 23
1932-05-29 Goteborg L 0-432.0 1203 1385 23.59% 27.31% 49.10%-1.02 -23.5 10
1932-05-29 @ Hallstahammars W 4-032.0 1385 1203 49.10% 27.31% 23.59%+1.02 +23.5 24
1932-05-29 Sleipner L 0-534.4 1231 1347 31.47% 27.93% 40.61%-0.49 -36.3 14
1932-05-29 @ IFK Malmo W 5-034.4 1347 1231 40.61% 27.93% 31.47%+0.49 +36.3 21
1932-05-29 Helsingborg W 3-143.2 1445 1406 51.44% 27.66% 20.90%+0.76 +9.8 29
1932-05-29 @ Orgryte L 1-343.2 1406 1445 20.90% 27.66% 51.44%-0.76 -9.8 21
1932-06-05 GAIS D 1-159.9 1529 1482 52.41% 27.57% 20.01%+0.83 -1.7 33
1932-06-05 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-159.9 1482 1529 20.01% 27.57% 52.41%-0.83 +1.7 30
1932-06-05 IFK Malmo W 1-033.2 1408 1194 66.44% 24.67% 8.89%+2.17 +2.8 26
1932-06-05 @ Goteborg L 0-133.2 1194 1408 8.89% 24.67% 66.44%-2.17 -2.8 14
1932-06-05 Elfsborg L 1-350.6 1397 1320 55.39% 27.23% 17.38%+1.06 -21.2 21
1932-06-05 @ Helsingborg W 3-150.6 1320 1397 17.38% 27.23% 55.39%-1.06 +21.2 22
1932-06-05 Orgryte L 1-541.7 1339 1454 31.60% 27.93% 40.47%-0.48 -24.6 23
1932-06-05 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 5-141.7 1454 1339 40.47% 27.93% 31.60%+0.48 +24.6 31
1932-06-05 Hallstahammars W 3-245.0 1227 1179 52.48% 27.57% 19.96%+0.83 +5.2 16
1932-06-05 @ Malmo L 2-345.0 1179 1227 19.96% 27.57% 52.48%-0.83 -5.2 10
1932-06-05 Landskrona D 1-151.0 1383 1224 62.58% 25.84% 11.57%+1.73 -2.8 22
1932-06-05 @ Sleipner D 1-151.0 1224 1383 11.57% 25.84% 62.58%-1.73 +2.8 16

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1931-08-02 10.20% IFK Eskilstuna 1257 3 @ GAIS 1443 1
2 1931-10-04 13.10% IFK Malmo 1207 1 @ IFK Eskilstuna 1342 0
3 1932-05-16 15.28% IFK Eskilstuna 1311 4 @ Goteborg 1414 2
4 1931-08-09 16.75% Hallstahammars 1311 1 @ Helsingborg 1395 0
5 1932-06-05 17.38% Elfsborg 1320 3 @ Helsingborg 1397 1
6 1931-08-30 17.57% Malmo 1309 2 @ Orgryte 1383 1
7 1931-08-09 17.65% Elfsborg 1286 3 @ Sleipner 1359 2
8 1932-05-22 21.89% @ IFK Malmo 1219 2 Helsingborg 1418 1
9 1931-08-23 22.04% IFK Eskilstuna 1322 4 @ Hallstahammars 1349 3
10 1931-08-23 23.60% Orgryte 1367 5 @ Helsingborg 1380 3
11 1932-05-13 23.66% Orgryte 1429 4 @ Goteborg 1441 1
12 1931-09-06 24.02% Helsingborg 1333 3 @ IFK Eskilstuna 1342 2
13 1932-04-24 24.20% Elfsborg 1253 2 @ Hallstahammars 1260 1
14 1931-08-07 24.67% GAIS 1419 2 @ Goteborg 1422 1
15 1932-05-20 25.59% GAIS 1461 1 @ Orgryte 1456 0
16 1931-09-13 26.20% IFK Eskilstuna 1331 3 @ Malmo 1321 2
17 1931-08-02 27.90% Orgryte 1342 7 @ Landskrona 1318 3
18 1931-09-13 27.91% Helsingborg 1343 2 @ Hallstahammars 1319 1
19 1931-08-26 28.38% @ Landskrona 1223 1 Helsingborg 1364 0
20 1931-11-08 28.96% @ Elfsborg 1245 1 Sleipner 1381 0
21 1931-08-02 29.71% @ Elfsborg 1275 1 Helsingborg 1405 0
22 1931-08-21 30.50% Goteborg 1422 1 @ Orgryte 1377 0
23 1931-10-04 32.13% Sleipner 1368 2 @ Hallstahammars 1311 0
24 1932-04-24 32.19% Sleipner 1312 4 @ Malmo 1256 2
25 1931-08-23 32.45% Malmo 1300 2 @ IFK Malmo 1241 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1931-08-09 43.72 @ IFK Eskilstuna 7 1282 45.67% Landskrona 0 1293 26.32% 28.01%
2 1932-04-17 43.55 @ IFK Eskilstuna 6 1302 40.03% Sleipner 0 1356 31.85% 28.11%
3 1932-05-05 42.06 @ IFK Malmo 5 1192 33.49% Landskrona 0 1294 38.50% 28.01%
4 1931-10-25 39.47 @ Landskrona 5 1267 36.64% IFK Eskilstuna 0 1346 35.27% 28.09%
5 1932-05-29 36.26 Sleipner 5 1347 40.61% @ IFK Malmo 0 1231 31.47% 27.93%
6 1931-10-11 29.62 @ Landskrona 4 1247 40.22% Malmo 0 1300 31.66% 28.11%
7 1931-10-11 27.23 @ Helsingborg 5 1367 35.65% Goteborg 1 1453 36.28% 28.07%
8 1932-05-13 26.57 Orgryte 4 1429 23.66% @ Goteborg 1 1441 48.46% 27.88%
9 1932-05-01 26.01 @ Sleipner 4 1327 45.39% IFK Eskilstuna 0 1340 26.59% 28.02%
10 1931-08-16 24.87 @ Hallstahammars 4 1324 46.95% Malmo 0 1325 25.09% 27.96%
11 1932-06-05 24.60 Orgryte 5 1454 40.47% @ IFK Eskilstuna 1 1339 31.60% 27.93%
12 1931-08-02 24.51 Orgryte 7 1342 27.90% @ Landskrona 3 1318 44.04% 28.06%
13 1931-08-02 24.45 IFK Eskilstuna 3 1257 10.20% @ GAIS 1 1443 64.50% 25.30%
14 1932-05-29 23.52 Goteborg 4 1385 49.10% @ Hallstahammars 0 1203 23.59% 27.31%
15 1932-05-05 22.23 @ Elfsborg 4 1279 50.52% Hallstahammars 0 1249 21.74% 27.74%
16 1932-06-05 21.20 Elfsborg 3 1320 17.38% @ Helsingborg 1 1397 55.39% 27.23%
17 1931-08-12 20.61 @ Malmo 6 1304 53.20% Landskrona 1 1249 19.31% 27.49%
18 1931-08-30 20.14 @ Sleipner 3 1336 44.97% Helsingborg 0 1353 27.00% 28.04%
19 1932-05-16 19.76 IFK Eskilstuna 4 1311 15.28% @ Goteborg 2 1414 57.86% 26.85%
20 1931-10-04 18.45 Sleipner 2 1368 32.13% @ Hallstahammars 0 1311 39.75% 28.11%
21 1932-05-16 18.22 Elfsborg 2 1303 32.77% @ Landskrona 0 1242 39.11% 28.11%
22 1931-08-02 18.05 @ Sleipner 4 1341 55.94% IFK Malmo 0 1259 16.90% 27.15%
23 1931-10-18 18.02 @ IFK Eskilstuna 2 1327 33.39% GAIS 0 1429 38.60% 28.00%
24 1931-09-06 17.64 @ AIK Stockholm 7 1468 60.33% Hallstahammars 1 1337 13.29% 26.38%
25 1931-09-20 17.42 Goteborg 5 1438 52.67% @ IFK Malmo 1 1225 20.45% 26.87%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1932-05-29 67.2 @ AIK Stockholm 5 1531 71.93% Malmo 5 1225 5.74% 22.32%
2 1932-05-01 63.0 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1515 67.08% Landskrona 3 1292 8.49% 24.44%
3 1931-09-20 62.6 @ IFK Eskilstuna 3 1341 27.87% AIK Stockholm 3 1486 44.42% 27.71%
4 1931-09-13 60.7 @ GAIS 2 1432 40.09% AIK Stockholm 2 1486 31.80% 28.11%
5 1931-10-04 60.6 @ Malmo 3 1300 29.44% GAIS 3 1432 42.74% 27.82%
6 1932-06-05 59.9 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1529 52.41% GAIS 1 1482 20.01% 27.57%
7 1932-04-17 59.7 @ Elfsborg 3 1253 26.57% Orgryte 3 1408 45.82% 27.61%
8 1931-08-23 59.3 IFK Eskilstuna 4 1322 22.04% @ Hallstahammars 3 1349 50.20% 27.76%
9 1932-05-05 59.1 @ IFK Eskilstuna 3 1314 56.15% Malmo 3 1230 16.72% 27.12%
10 1931-10-11 58.8 @ IFK Malmo 3 1222 32.83% IFK Eskilstuna 3 1328 39.18% 27.98%
11 1931-10-25 58.7 @ Elfsborg 3 1246 42.35% Malmo 3 1283 29.55% 28.10%
12 1932-05-22 58.4 @ Orgryte 1 1445 35.61% AIK Stockholm 1 1531 36.32% 28.07%
13 1931-08-14 57.7 @ GAIS 2 1429 53.05% Orgryte 2 1376 19.44% 27.51%
14 1931-09-20 57.4 @ Sleipner 2 1370 39.05% GAIS 2 1431 32.84% 28.11%
15 1931-08-23 56.6 Orgryte 5 1367 23.60% @ Helsingborg 3 1380 48.53% 27.88%
16 1932-05-08 56.6 @ Helsingborg 1 1398 30.14% AIK Stockholm 1 1525 42.01% 27.86%
17 1931-08-09 56.5 Elfsborg 3 1286 17.65% @ Sleipner 2 1359 55.08% 27.27%
18 1931-11-01 56.5 Orgryte 5 1386 38.70% @ Malmo 4 1283 33.30% 28.00%
19 1932-04-03 56.4 @ Goteborg 2 1419 58.73% Landskrona 2 1306 14.57% 26.70%
20 1932-05-16 55.8 IFK Eskilstuna 4 1311 15.28% @ Goteborg 2 1414 57.86% 26.85%
21 1931-09-06 55.5 @ IFK Malmo 2 1234 21.84% GAIS 2 1433 51.08% 27.08%
22 1931-08-19 55.4 @ Helsingborg 2 1382 61.25% IFK Malmo 2 1239 12.58% 26.17%
23 1931-10-11 55.1 @ Hallstahammars 2 1293 37.69% Orgryte 2 1364 34.21% 28.10%
24 1931-08-30 54.9 @ Hallstahammars 2 1338 58.03% Landskrona 2 1234 15.15% 26.83%
25 1931-09-06 54.9 Helsingborg 3 1333 24.02% @ IFK Eskilstuna 2 1342 48.08% 27.90%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1932-05-08 27.6 @ GAIS 4 1459 67.13% IFK Malmo 0 1234 8.45% 24.42%
2 1932-05-08 28.3 @ Orgryte 6 1412 64.46% Hallstahammars 0 1227 10.22% 25.31%
3 1931-08-02 30.0 @ Sleipner 4 1341 55.94% IFK Malmo 0 1259 16.90% 27.15%
4 1932-04-17 30.0 @ GAIS 3 1433 63.23% Malmo 0 1265 11.10% 25.67%
5 1932-05-08 30.3 @ Sleipner 3 1341 58.50% Malmo 0 1231 14.76% 26.74%
6 1931-08-23 31.1 @ GAIS 2 1428 65.44% Landskrona 0 1229 9.55% 25.01%
7 1932-05-05 31.3 @ Elfsborg 4 1279 50.52% Hallstahammars 0 1249 21.74% 27.74%
8 1932-05-01 31.4 @ Elfsborg 3 1264 53.36% IFK Malmo 0 1208 19.16% 27.48%
9 1932-05-01 31.7 @ Goteborg 6 1431 64.79% Malmo 1 1241 10.00% 25.21%
10 1932-05-29 32.0 Goteborg 4 1385 49.10% @ Hallstahammars 0 1203 23.59% 27.31%
11 1931-11-01 32.9 @ GAIS 2 1423 61.15% Hallstahammars 0 1281 12.65% 26.20%
12 1932-04-10 33.0 @ Goteborg 6 1417 61.27% Hallstahammars 1 1274 12.56% 26.17%
13 1931-08-16 33.1 @ Hallstahammars 4 1324 46.95% Malmo 0 1325 25.09% 27.96%
14 1932-05-13 33.2 @ Helsingborg 5 1399 61.49% Landskrona 1 1253 12.39% 26.12%
15 1932-06-05 33.2 @ Goteborg 1 1408 66.44% IFK Malmo 0 1194 8.89% 24.67%
16 1932-05-01 33.8 @ Sleipner 4 1327 45.39% IFK Eskilstuna 0 1340 26.59% 28.02%
17 1931-08-09 34.3 @ IFK Eskilstuna 7 1282 45.67% Landskrona 0 1293 26.32% 28.01%
18 1931-08-12 34.3 @ Malmo 6 1304 53.20% Landskrona 1 1249 19.31% 27.49%
19 1932-05-29 34.4 Sleipner 5 1347 40.61% @ IFK Malmo 0 1231 31.47% 27.93%
20 1931-10-11 34.5 @ Landskrona 4 1247 40.22% Malmo 0 1300 31.66% 28.11%
21 1931-08-09 34.7 @ Orgryte 4 1366 59.87% IFK Malmo 1 1241 13.65% 26.48%
22 1931-09-06 35.0 @ AIK Stockholm 7 1468 60.33% Hallstahammars 1 1337 13.29% 26.38%
23 1931-08-30 35.3 @ Sleipner 3 1336 44.97% Helsingborg 0 1353 27.00% 28.04%
24 1931-10-18 35.3 @ Malmo 2 1270 48.50% Elfsborg 0 1258 23.63% 27.88%
25 1931-09-06 35.4 @ Goteborg 4 1422 60.95% Elfsborg 1 1283 12.81% 26.24%