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1932-33 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Helsingborg

35 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Helsingborg

9.92 points above expected

35 points · 25.08 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sleipner

3.59 points below expected

17 points · 20.59 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Helsingborg 22 16 3 3 35 68 38 +30 25.08 +9.92
2 GAIS 22 16 2 4 34 70 30 +40 29.65 +4.35
3 Goteborg 22 11 3 8 25 58 42 +16 24.01 +0.99
4 AIK Stockholm 22 11 2 9 24 60 40 +20 27.58 -3.58
5 Orgryte 22 9 2 11 20 40 43 -3 22.95 -2.95
6 IFK Eskilstuna 22 9 2 11 20 47 55 -8 21.94 -1.94
7 Sandvikens IF 22 7 5 10 19 43 48 -5 21.09 -2.09
8 Elfsborg 22 8 3 11 19 44 54 -10 21.31 -2.31
9 Malmo 22 8 3 11 19 42 66 -24 15.29 +3.71
10 Halmia 22 7 3 12 17 34 50 -16 19.54 -2.54
11 Sleipner 22 7 3 12 17 34 52 -18 20.59 -3.59
12 Landskrona 22 6 3 13 15 38 60 -22 14.97 +0.03

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Helsingborg 35 25.08 +9.92
2 GAIS 34 29.65 +4.35
3 Malmo 19 15.29 +3.71
4 Goteborg 25 24.01 +0.99
5 Landskrona 15 14.97 +0.03

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sleipner 17 20.59 -3.59
2 AIK Stockholm 24 27.58 -3.58
3 Orgryte 20 22.95 -2.95
4 Halmia 17 19.54 -2.54
5 Elfsborg 19 21.31 -2.31

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Helsingborg 9 Apr 9 – Jun 5 1 in 229
2 AIK Stockholm 6 Sep 11 – Oct 23 1 in 41
3 IFK Eskilstuna 4 Sep 4 – Oct 2 1 in 40
4 Orgryte 3 May 12 – May 21 1 in 29
5 Halmia 3 Oct 9 – Oct 23 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orgryte 5 Sep 11 – Oct 23 1 in 52
2 AIK Stockholm 3 May 25 – Jun 5 1 in 44
3 IFK Eskilstuna 4 May 7 – May 25 1 in 23
4 Halmia 4 Aug 21 – Sep 11 1 in 15
5 Landskrona 4 Jul 31 – Aug 21 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 IFK Eskilstuna 8 Aug 7 – Oct 2 1 in 143
2 Helsingborg 11 Oct 23 – Jun 5 1 in 86
3 Landskrona 4 Oct 23 – Apr 9 1 in 24
4 AIK Stockholm 9 Sep 11 – Apr 23 1 in 24
5 Sandvikens IF 4 Aug 14 – Sep 4 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AIK Stockholm 5 May 14 – Jun 5 1 in 88
2 Sandvikens IF 6 Apr 9 – May 21 1 in 28
3 IFK Eskilstuna 6 May 7 – Jun 5 1 in 22
4 Halmia 7 Jul 31 – Sep 11 1 in 21
5 Sleipner 4 Oct 23 – Apr 17 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Helsingborg 1561 35 +65 10 6.4 +3.6
GAIS 1574 34 +7 8 7.6 +0.4
Goteborg 1481 25 +4 4 4.9 -0.9
AIK Stockholm 1491 24 -66 1 6.2 -5.2
Orgryte 1408 20 +36 8 5.3 +2.7
IFK Eskilstuna 1307 20 -75 1 4.6 -3.6
Malmo 1287 19 +23 5 3.3 +1.7
Sandvikens IF 1364 19 +6 4 4.5 -0.5
Elfsborg 1309 19 -51 3 4.6 -1.6
Halmia 1351 17 +39 6 4.1 +1.9
Sleipner 1323 17 -7 4 3.9 +0.1
Landskrona 1291 15 -5 4 3.7 +0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS ELF GAI GOT HAL HEL IE LAN MAL ORG SI SLE
AIK Stockholm —
2-0-0
3.54
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
3.57
0-0-2
3.03
0-0-2
3.66
1-0-1
4.45
0-1-1
4.35
2-0-0
3.96
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
4.12
Elfsborg
0-0-2
2.19
—
0-0-2
1.54
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
3.01
0-0-2
2.72
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
3.48
1-0-1
3.85
2-0-0
2.48
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.89
GAIS
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
4.19
—
0-1-1
3.71
2-0-0
3.72
1-0-1
3.56
2-0-0
4.09
2-0-0
4.48
2-0-0
4.48
1-0-1
3.47
1-0-1
4.04
2-0-0
3.71
Goteborg
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
3.41
1-1-0
2.02
—
1-0-1
3.76
0-1-1
2.53
1-0-1
3.42
2-0-0
3.98
2-0-0
3.76
0-0-2
3.23
1-1-0
3.35
1-0-1
3.39
Halmia
1-0-1
2.16
1-0-1
2.72
0-0-2
2.01
1-0-1
1.97
—
0-0-2
2.02
1-0-1
2.34
1-1-0
3.18
0-1-1
3.42
1-1-0
2.35
0-0-2
2.58
1-0-1
2.44
Helsingborg
2-0-0
2.70
2-0-0
3.01
1-0-1
2.17
1-1-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.70
—
0-1-1
3.10
2-0-0
4.13
1-0-1
3.83
1-1-0
2.80
2-0-0
3.83
2-0-0
3.71
IFK Eskilstuna
2-0-0
2.07
1-0-1
2.98
0-0-2
1.64
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
3.39
1-1-0
2.63
—
1-0-1
4.11
2-0-0
3.53
0-0-2
2.69
0-1-1
2.64
0-0-2
3.01
Landskrona
1-0-1
1.28
1-1-0
2.25
0-0-2
1.25
0-0-2
1.75
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
1.60
1-0-1
1.62
—
1-0-1
3.00
0-0-2
1.83
1-1-0
2.20
1-0-1
2.26
Malmo
1-1-0
1.39
1-0-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.26
0-0-2
1.97
1-1-0
2.31
1-0-1
1.91
0-0-2
2.20
1-0-1
2.73
—
2-0-0
1.62
1-0-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.27
Orgryte
0-0-2
1.77
0-0-2
3.25
1-0-1
2.26
2-0-0
2.50
0-1-1
3.38
0-1-1
2.93
2-0-0
3.04
2-0-0
3.90
0-0-2
4.11
—
1-0-1
3.14
1-0-1
3.19
Sandvikens IF
0-0-2
2.20
0-1-1
2.92
1-0-1
1.69
0-1-1
2.38
2-0-0
3.15
0-0-2
1.90
1-1-0
3.09
0-1-1
3.53
1-0-1
3.60
1-0-1
2.58
—
1-1-0
2.69
Sleipner
0-0-2
1.61
0-1-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.02
1-0-1
2.34
1-0-1
3.29
0-0-2
2.02
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
3.47
1-1-0
3.46
1-0-1
2.54
0-1-1
3.03
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.89 +4.8
Allowed 0.63 -5.1
Differential 0.88 +2.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
00.76%3.79%4.92%3.41%1.89%1.52%16.29%
13.79%5.30%4.55%4.17%1.14%3.41%22.35%
24.92%4.55%4.55%4.17%3.79%3.03%25.00%
33.41%4.17%4.17%2.27%0.76%2.65%17.42%
41.89%1.14%3.79%0.76%—0.38%7.95%
5+1.52%3.41%3.03%2.65%0.38%—10.98%
Total16.29%22.35%25.00%17.42%7.95%10.98%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.19 2.19 +0.00
SD 1.71 1.71 2.58
CV 0.78 0.78 —
Max 9 9 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——4.55%——9.09%
19.09%4.55%9.09%———22.73%
29.09%——13.64%9.09%—31.82%
3——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
Total27.27%18.18%18.18%22.73%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.73 1.82 +0.91
SD 2.14 1.53 2.60
CV 0.79 0.84 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—9.09%4.55%4.55%22.73%
1—9.09%4.55%—9.09%—22.73%
24.55%4.55%——4.55%4.55%18.18%
34.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
Total13.64%27.27%9.09%18.18%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.45 -0.45
SD 1.80 1.79 2.91
CV 0.90 0.73 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
14.55%—4.55%9.09%——18.18%
29.09%—4.55%———13.64%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
5+4.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
Total31.82%13.64%40.91%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.18 1.36 +1.82
SD 2.20 1.09 2.34
CV 0.69 0.80 —
Max 9 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
19.09%—4.55%9.09%—4.55%27.27%
2—4.55%13.64%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%4.55%———9.09%18.18%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+9.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
Total27.27%18.18%27.27%13.64%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 1.91 +0.73
SD 1.76 1.85 2.80
CV 0.67 0.97 —
Max 7 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
19.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
34.55%—4.55%——4.55%13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%27.27%9.09%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.27 -0.73
SD 1.50 1.91 2.39
CV 0.97 0.84 —
Max 6 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
14.55%—4.55%———9.09%
24.55%18.18%9.09%—4.55%4.55%40.91%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
44.55%—13.64%———18.18%
5+4.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
Total22.73%31.82%27.27%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.09 1.73 +1.36
SD 1.57 1.96 2.70
CV 0.51 1.13 —
Max 6 9 +6
Min 1 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—22.73%
1——4.55%4.55%—4.55%13.64%
2—4.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%18.18%
34.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%——31.82%
4———————
5+—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
Total4.55%22.73%22.73%31.82%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 2.50 -0.36
SD 1.64 1.44 2.46
CV 0.77 0.58 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—9.09%4.55%4.55%22.73%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%—9.09%22.73%
24.55%—4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%27.27%
34.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total9.09%13.64%22.73%27.27%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.73 -1.00
SD 1.39 1.64 2.49
CV 0.80 0.60 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%—4.55%4.55%18.18%
1—9.09%———13.64%22.73%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%——4.55%13.64%
4—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
5+———————
Total4.55%22.73%27.27%9.09%9.09%27.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 3.00 -1.09
SD 1.38 2.07 2.78
CV 0.72 0.69 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%18.18%———27.27%
14.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
3—4.55%9.09%——4.55%18.18%
4——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total9.09%22.73%45.45%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.95 -0.14
SD 1.62 1.17 1.61
CV 0.89 0.60 —
Max 6 5 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
1—9.09%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
29.09%—9.09%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
34.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%—31.82%
4———————
5+————4.55%—4.55%
Total13.64%22.73%27.27%13.64%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 2.18 -0.23
SD 1.25 1.56 1.77
CV 0.64 0.72 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%22.73%
14.55%13.64%—4.55%—4.55%27.27%
29.09%9.09%—9.09%4.55%4.55%36.36%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—————4.55%4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total18.18%27.27%4.55%27.27%4.55%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.36 -0.82
SD 1.30 1.94 2.28
CV 0.84 0.82 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
GAIS 1574 34 29.65 +4.35 88.0% 21 23 26 30 33 36 39
Helsingborg 1561 35 25.08 +9.92 100.0% 14 19 23 25 28 30 35
AIK Stockholm 1491 24 27.58 -3.58 22.0% 21 22 25 27 30 32 36
Goteborg 1481 25 24.01 +0.99 66.0% 12 19 21 24 26 31 35
Orgryte 1408 20 22.95 -2.95 23.0% 12 15 21 23 25 28 30
Sandvikens IF 1364 19 21.09 -2.09 33.0% 12 15 18 21 24 27 30
Halmia 1351 17 19.54 -2.54 33.0% 9 13 17 19 22 27 30
Sleipner 1323 17 20.59 -3.59 23.0% 12 13 18 21 23 27 31
Elfsborg 1309 19 21.31 -2.31 35.0% 9 14 18 21 24 30 32
IFK Eskilstuna 1307 20 21.94 -1.94 35.0% 11 13 19 22 25 29 33
Landskrona 1291 15 14.97 +0.03 53.0% 3 10 13 15 17 21 23
Malmo 1287 19 15.29 +3.71 89.0% 5 9 12 16 18 23 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.42%
Clear Edge
52.27%12.88%34.85%
Elo Value
Home Edge
124 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
061.16400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.58 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.49+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.0
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
9%
Helsingborg, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.23 * Some Luck: 3.23 to 4.85 * Lucky: 4.85 to 6.47 * Wild Swing: 6.47 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.6 * Close: 1.6 to 2.4 * Off: 2.4 to 3.21 * Way Off: 3.21 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.94 points
Some Luck
04.0410
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
02.005
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Helsingborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
22.00%
AIK Stockholm
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 105.28
1.48
Moderate Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
73%
Wide Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
84%
Clear Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
40%
Few
0%44%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Very Frequent
0%33%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Slight Separation
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.01
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.48
Some Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
34%
Very Upset-Prone
0%29%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Shaky
0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.02
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.77
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.108
Well Within Noise
00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Helsingborg9.00%19.00%21.00%13.00%11.00%7.00%12.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%2.00%—
GAIS51.00%19.00%9.00%10.00%8.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%————
Goteborg6.00%14.00%7.00%14.00%13.00%8.00%18.00%12.00%5.00%2.00%—1.00%
AIK Stockholm25.00%24.00%16.00%13.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%———
Orgryte2.00%5.00%12.00%19.00%16.00%12.00%11.00%6.00%8.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%
IFK Eskilstuna3.00%5.00%10.00%6.00%13.00%14.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%9.00%6.00%4.00%
Sandvikens IF—4.00%7.00%5.00%10.00%13.00%13.00%18.00%13.00%10.00%5.00%2.00%
Elfsborg2.00%5.00%7.00%9.00%9.00%16.00%5.00%14.00%12.00%6.00%11.00%4.00%
Malmo——2.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%3.00%13.00%17.00%20.00%38.00%
Halmia1.00%2.00%5.00%5.00%4.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%17.00%20.00%13.00%7.00%
Sleipner1.00%3.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%14.00%11.00%17.00%10.00%14.00%11.00%5.00%
Landskrona————1.00%1.00%—6.00%11.00%15.00%28.00%38.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
AIK Stockholm 100% —
GAIS 100% —
Goteborg 99.00% 1.00%
Helsingborg 98.00% 2.00%
Orgryte 95.00% 5.00%
Sandvikens IF 93.00% 7.00%
IFK Eskilstuna 90.00% 10.00%
Elfsborg 85.00% 15.00%
Sleipner 84.00% 16.00%
Halmia 80.00% 20.00%
Malmo 42.00% 58.00%
Landskrona 34.00% 66.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1932-07-31 Helsingborg L 2-452.0 1378 1396 53.36% 13.65% 32.99%+0.35 -16.7 0
1932-07-31 @ Elfsborg W 4-252.0 1396 1378 32.99% 13.65% 53.36%-0.35 +16.7 2
1932-07-31 IFK Eskilstuna W 4-030.5 1415 1364 61.67% 13.59% 24.75%+0.91 +20.6 2
1932-07-31 @ Goteborg L 0-430.5 1364 1415 24.75% 13.59% 61.67%-0.91 -20.6 0
1932-07-31 AIK Stockholm L 3-749.7 1417 1474 48.11% 13.66% 38.23%+0.03 -24.0 0
1932-07-31 @ Halmia W 7-349.7 1474 1417 38.23% 13.66% 48.11%-0.03 +24.0 2
1932-07-31 Orgryte L 1-245.0 1312 1452 36.45% 13.62% 49.93%-0.63 -7.7 0
1932-07-31 @ Landskrona W 2-145.0 1452 1312 49.93% 13.62% 36.45%+0.63 +7.7 2
1932-07-31 Malmo W 2-033.8 1369 1319 61.46% 13.59% 24.96%+0.89 +10.9 2
1932-07-31 @ Sandvikens IF L 0-233.8 1319 1369 24.96% 13.59% 61.46%-0.89 -10.9 0
1932-07-31 GAIS L 2-646.9 1399 1453 48.52% 13.66% 37.82%+0.06 -26.5 0
1932-07-31 @ Sleipner W 6-246.9 1453 1399 37.82% 13.66% 48.52%-0.06 +26.5 2
1932-08-05 GAIS L 0-248.3 1459 1479 53.09% 13.65% 33.27%+0.33 -21.4 2
1932-08-05 @ Orgryte W 2-048.3 1479 1459 33.27% 13.65% 53.09%-0.33 +21.4 4
1932-08-07 Sandvikens IF W 2-037.0 1362 1380 53.31% 13.65% 33.04%+0.35 +14.1 2
1932-08-07 @ Elfsborg L 0-237.0 1380 1362 33.04% 13.65% 53.31%-0.35 -14.1 2
1932-08-07 Halmia W 2-036.5 1501 1393 67.33% 13.50% 19.17%+1.36 +8.6 6
1932-08-07 @ GAIS L 0-236.5 1393 1501 19.17% 13.50% 67.33%-1.36 -8.6 0
1932-08-07 Goteborg W 3-144.8 1343 1436 43.07% 13.65% 43.28%-0.25 +15.4 2
1932-08-07 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 1-344.8 1436 1343 43.28% 13.65% 43.07%+0.25 -15.4 2
1932-08-07 Sleipner L 0-337.3 1304 1372 46.52% 13.66% 39.82%-0.06 -27.6 0
1932-08-07 @ Landskrona W 3-037.3 1372 1304 39.82% 13.66% 46.52%+0.06 +27.6 2
1932-08-07 AIK Stockholm W 2-151.9 1309 1498 30.03% 13.56% 56.41%-1.03 +11.3 2
1932-08-07 @ Malmo L 1-251.9 1498 1309 56.41% 13.56% 30.03%+1.03 -11.3 2
1932-08-10 Helsingborg W 4-248.3 1320 1413 43.01% 13.65% 43.34%-0.26 +13.8 4
1932-08-10 @ Malmo L 2-448.3 1413 1320 43.34% 13.65% 43.01%+0.26 -13.8 2
1932-08-12 Orgryte L 3-653.6 1420 1438 53.39% 13.65% 32.96%+0.35 -21.1 2
1932-08-12 @ Goteborg W 6-353.6 1438 1420 32.96% 13.65% 53.39%-0.35 +21.1 4
1932-08-14 IFK Eskilstuna L 2-361.0 1487 1359 69.14% 13.46% 17.40%+1.52 -13.2 2
1932-08-14 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-261.0 1359 1487 17.40% 13.46% 69.14%-1.52 +13.2 4
1932-08-14 Landskrona W 3-028.6 1399 1277 68.66% 13.47% 17.87%+1.48 +11.7 4
1932-08-14 @ Helsingborg L 0-328.6 1277 1399 17.87% 13.47% 68.66%-1.48 -11.7 0
1932-08-14 Halmia D 2-261.1 1334 1385 48.93% 13.66% 37.41%+0.08 -0.4 5
1932-08-14 @ Malmo D 2-261.1 1385 1334 37.41% 13.66% 48.93%-0.08 +0.4 1
1932-08-14 Elfsborg L 3-560.1 1459 1376 65.03% 13.54% 21.43%+1.16 -19.1 4
1932-08-14 @ Orgryte W 5-360.1 1376 1459 21.43% 13.54% 65.03%-1.16 +19.1 4
1932-08-14 Sandvikens IF L 4-562.8 1400 1366 59.76% 13.61% 26.63%+0.77 -11.0 2
1932-08-14 @ Sleipner W 5-462.8 1366 1400 26.63% 13.61% 59.76%-0.77 +10.9 4
1932-08-19 Goteborg D 2-265.7 1509 1399 67.57% 13.49% 18.94%+1.38 -1.9 7
1932-08-19 @ GAIS D 2-265.7 1399 1509 18.94% 13.49% 67.57%-1.38 +1.9 3
1932-08-21 Elfsborg W 4-031.8 1473 1395 64.56% 13.55% 21.89%+1.13 +18.4 4
1932-08-21 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-431.8 1395 1473 21.89% 13.55% 64.56%-1.13 -18.4 4
1932-08-21 Landskrona W 5-130.6 1401 1265 69.84% 13.44% 16.72%+1.59 +11.9 5
1932-08-21 @ Goteborg L 1-530.6 1265 1401 16.72% 13.44% 69.84%-1.59 -11.9 0
1932-08-21 GAIS L 1-443.9 1385 1507 38.85% 13.64% 47.52%-0.49 -19.9 1
1932-08-21 @ Halmia W 4-143.9 1507 1385 47.52% 13.64% 38.85%+0.49 +19.9 9
1932-08-21 Orgryte D 2-263.9 1411 1440 51.84% 13.65% 34.51%+0.26 -0.6 5
1932-08-21 @ Helsingborg D 2-263.9 1440 1411 34.51% 13.65% 51.84%-0.26 +0.6 5
1932-08-21 Malmo W 3-245.4 1372 1333 60.26% 13.60% 26.14%+0.80 +5.4 6
1932-08-21 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 2-345.4 1333 1372 26.14% 13.60% 60.26%-0.80 -5.4 5
1932-08-21 Sleipner D 1-157.9 1377 1389 54.05% 13.64% 32.30%+0.39 -1.1 5
1932-08-21 @ Sandvikens IF D 1-157.9 1389 1377 32.30% 13.64% 54.05%-0.39 +1.1 3
1932-08-28 Halmia W 4-031.2 1376 1365 57.02% 13.63% 29.36%+0.58 +24.0 6
1932-08-28 @ Elfsborg L 0-431.2 1365 1376 29.36% 13.63% 57.02%-0.58 -24.0 1
1932-08-28 Sandvikens IF L 1-356.4 1527 1376 71.09% 13.40% 15.51%+1.71 -24.7 9
1932-08-28 @ GAIS W 3-156.4 1376 1527 15.51% 13.40% 71.09%-1.71 +24.7 7
1932-08-28 Helsingborg D 3-366.6 1377 1410 51.41% 13.65% 34.94%+0.23 -0.5 7
1932-08-28 @ IFK Eskilstuna D 3-366.6 1410 1377 34.94% 13.65% 51.41%-0.23 +0.5 6
1932-08-28 AIK Stockholm W 4-254.1 1253 1492 24.34% 13.48% 62.18%-1.43 +19.3 2
1932-08-28 @ Landskrona L 2-454.1 1492 1253 62.18% 13.48% 24.34%+1.43 -19.3 4
1932-08-28 Goteborg L 0-535.0 1328 1413 44.11% 13.65% 42.23%-0.19 -42.4 5
1932-08-28 @ Malmo W 5-035.0 1413 1328 42.23% 13.65% 44.11%+0.19 +42.4 7
1932-08-28 Orgryte W 2-040.2 1390 1441 48.99% 13.66% 37.35%+0.09 +15.7 5
1932-08-28 @ Sleipner L 0-240.2 1441 1390 37.35% 13.66% 48.99%-0.09 -15.7 5
1932-09-04 Halmia W 6-132.7 1410 1341 63.60% 13.56% 22.84%+1.05 +19.5 8
1932-09-04 @ Helsingborg L 1-632.7 1341 1410 22.84% 13.56% 63.60%-1.05 -19.5 1
1932-09-04 AIK Stockholm W 5-354.1 1377 1473 42.60% 13.65% 43.75%-0.28 +13.2 9
1932-09-04 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 3-554.1 1473 1377 43.75% 13.65% 42.60%+0.28 -13.2 4
1932-09-04 GAIS L 0-431.2 1285 1502 26.76% 13.52% 59.72%-1.25 -22.1 5
1932-09-04 @ Malmo W 4-031.2 1502 1285 59.72% 13.52% 26.76%+1.25 +22.1 11
1932-09-04 Landskrona W 3-242.0 1425 1272 71.16% 13.40% 15.44%+1.72 +3.3 7
1932-09-04 @ Orgryte L 2-342.0 1272 1425 15.44% 13.40% 71.16%-1.72 -3.3 2
1932-09-04 Goteborg D 2-264.0 1400 1455 48.34% 13.66% 38.00%+0.05 -0.4 8
1932-09-04 @ Sandvikens IF D 2-264.0 1455 1400 38.00% 13.66% 48.34%-0.05 +0.4 8
1932-09-04 Elfsborg D 1-158.8 1406 1400 56.31% 13.63% 30.06%+0.54 -1.3 6
1932-09-04 @ Sleipner D 1-158.8 1400 1406 30.06% 13.63% 56.31%-0.54 +1.3 7
1932-09-11 Orgryte W 2-145.8 1402 1428 52.22% 13.65% 34.13%+0.28 +7.2 9
1932-09-11 @ Elfsborg L 1-245.8 1428 1402 34.13% 13.65% 52.22%-0.28 -7.2 7
1932-09-11 Malmo W 7-231.5 1456 1263 74.03% 13.30% 12.67%+2.04 +9.4 10
1932-09-11 @ Goteborg L 2-731.5 1263 1456 12.67% 13.30% 74.03%-2.04 -9.4 5
1932-09-11 IFK Eskilstuna L 2-545.9 1322 1390 46.49% 13.66% 39.85%-0.06 -20.1 1
1932-09-11 @ Halmia W 5-245.9 1390 1322 39.85% 13.66% 46.49%+0.06 +20.1 11
1932-09-11 Sleipner W 4-245.7 1430 1404 58.73% 13.62% 27.66%+0.70 +9.3 10
1932-09-11 @ Helsingborg L 2-445.7 1404 1430 27.66% 13.62% 58.73%-0.70 -9.3 6
1932-09-11 GAIS L 2-540.1 1269 1525 22.60% 13.44% 63.95%-1.57 -10.6 2
1932-09-11 @ Landskrona W 5-240.1 1525 1269 63.95% 13.44% 22.60%+1.57 +10.6 13
1932-09-11 AIK Stockholm L 0-244.1 1400 1459 47.74% 13.66% 38.61%+0.01 -19.4 8
1932-09-11 @ Sandvikens IF W 2-044.1 1459 1400 38.61% 13.66% 47.74%-0.01 +19.4 6
1932-09-18 Goteborg W 6-139.8 1479 1465 57.31% 13.63% 29.06%+0.60 +24.3 8
1932-09-18 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-639.8 1465 1479 29.06% 13.63% 57.31%-0.60 -24.3 10
1932-09-18 Elfsborg W 5-349.3 1535 1409 69.00% 13.46% 17.54%+1.51 +5.8 15
1932-09-18 @ GAIS L 3-549.3 1409 1535 17.54% 13.46% 69.00%-1.51 -5.8 9
1932-09-18 Sleipner W 3-036.6 1301 1395 42.88% 13.65% 43.47%-0.26 +26.0 3
1932-09-18 @ Halmia L 0-336.6 1395 1301 43.47% 13.65% 42.88%+0.26 -26.0 6
1932-09-18 IFK Eskilstuna L 1-253.8 1439 1410 59.16% 13.61% 27.23%+0.73 -11.9 10
1932-09-18 @ Helsingborg W 2-153.8 1410 1439 27.23% 13.61% 59.16%-0.73 +11.9 13
1932-09-18 Landskrona W 3-245.4 1254 1258 55.07% 13.64% 31.29%+0.46 +6.4 7
1932-09-18 @ Malmo L 2-345.4 1258 1254 31.29% 13.64% 55.07%-0.46 -6.4 2
1932-09-18 Orgryte W 3-250.0 1380 1421 50.34% 13.66% 36.00%+0.17 +7.2 10
1932-09-18 @ Sandvikens IF L 2-350.0 1421 1380 36.00% 13.66% 50.34%-0.17 -7.2 7
1932-10-02 Helsingborg L 0-148.7 1414 1427 53.90% 13.64% 32.45%+0.38 -11.5 7
1932-10-02 @ Orgryte W 1-048.7 1427 1414 32.45% 13.64% 53.90%-0.38 +11.5 12
1932-10-02 AIK Stockholm L 0-147.1 1403 1503 41.99% 13.65% 44.36%-0.31 -9.2 9
1932-10-02 @ Elfsborg W 1-047.1 1503 1403 44.36% 13.65% 41.99%+0.31 +9.2 10
1932-10-02 IFK Eskilstuna L 1-339.9 1252 1422 32.47% 13.59% 53.94%-0.88 -12.0 2
1932-10-02 @ Landskrona W 3-139.9 1422 1252 53.94% 13.59% 32.47%+0.88 +12.0 15
1932-10-02 Halmia W 3-137.9 1388 1327 62.64% 13.57% 23.79%+0.98 +9.1 12
1932-10-02 @ Sandvikens IF L 1-337.9 1327 1388 23.79% 13.57% 62.64%-0.98 -9.1 3
1932-10-02 Goteborg W 2-147.2 1369 1441 46.03% 13.66% 40.31%-0.08 +8.4 8
1932-10-02 @ Sleipner L 1-247.2 1441 1369 40.31% 13.66% 46.03%+0.08 -8.4 10
1932-10-09 Sleipner W 6-134.3 1512 1378 69.72% 13.44% 16.84%+1.58 +14.7 12
1932-10-09 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-634.3 1378 1512 16.84% 13.44% 69.72%-1.58 -14.7 8
1932-10-09 Elfsborg W 2-143.3 1432 1394 60.24% 13.60% 26.15%+0.80 +5.7 12
1932-10-09 @ Goteborg L 1-243.3 1394 1432 26.15% 13.60% 60.24%-0.80 -5.7 9
1932-10-09 Orgryte W 2-146.0 1318 1402 44.29% 13.65% 42.05%-0.18 +8.7 5
1932-10-09 @ Halmia L 1-246.0 1402 1318 42.05% 13.65% 44.29%+0.18 -8.7 7
1932-10-09 GAIS W 2-153.9 1439 1541 41.71% 13.65% 44.64%-0.33 +9.2 14
1932-10-09 @ Helsingborg L 1-253.9 1541 1439 44.64% 13.65% 41.71%+0.33 -9.2 15
1932-10-09 Landskrona L 0-345.4 1434 1240 74.13% 13.29% 12.58%+2.05 -43.3 15
1932-10-09 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 3-045.4 1240 1434 12.58% 13.29% 74.13%-2.05 +43.3 4
1932-10-09 Sandvikens IF W 4-355.7 1260 1397 36.91% 13.63% 49.47%-0.61 +9.3 9
1932-10-09 @ Malmo L 3-455.7 1397 1260 49.47% 13.63% 36.91%+0.61 -9.3 12
1932-10-16 Sandvikens IF W 6-239.1 1527 1387 70.13% 13.43% 16.44%+1.62 +10.0 14
1932-10-16 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-639.1 1387 1527 16.44% 13.43% 70.13%-1.62 -10.0 12
1932-10-16 Malmo W 7-129.7 1388 1270 68.34% 13.48% 18.19%+1.45 +18.7 11
1932-10-16 @ Elfsborg L 1-729.7 1270 1388 18.19% 13.48% 68.34%-1.45 -18.7 9
1932-10-16 Helsingborg W 9-239.9 1532 1448 65.06% 13.54% 21.40%+1.17 +20.7 17
1932-10-16 @ GAIS L 2-939.9 1448 1532 21.40% 13.54% 65.06%-1.17 -20.7 14
1932-10-16 Sleipner L 1-251.6 1391 1363 59.00% 13.61% 27.39%+0.72 -11.8 15
1932-10-16 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 2-151.6 1363 1391 27.39% 13.61% 59.00%-0.72 +11.8 10
1932-10-16 Halmia L 0-143.8 1283 1327 49.91% 13.66% 36.43%+0.14 -10.7 4
1932-10-16 @ Landskrona W 1-043.8 1327 1283 36.43% 13.66% 49.91%-0.14 +10.7 7
1932-10-23 Goteborg W 1-044.3 1338 1438 41.93% 13.65% 44.42%-0.32 +9.7 9
1932-10-23 @ Halmia L 0-144.3 1438 1338 44.42% 13.65% 41.93%+0.32 -9.7 12
1932-10-23 Elfsborg W 6-032.6 1427 1407 58.14% 13.62% 28.24%+0.66 +34.0 16
1932-10-23 @ Helsingborg L 0-632.6 1407 1427 28.24% 13.62% 58.14%-0.66 -34.0 11
1932-10-23 IFK Eskilstuna L 1-536.7 1251 1379 38.07% 13.63% 48.30%-0.54 -25.2 9
1932-10-23 @ Malmo W 5-136.7 1379 1251 48.30% 13.63% 38.07%+0.54 +25.2 17
1932-10-23 AIK Stockholm L 0-146.1 1394 1537 35.95% 13.62% 50.43%-0.66 -8.0 7
1932-10-23 @ Orgryte W 1-046.1 1537 1394 50.43% 13.62% 35.95%+0.66 +8.0 16
1932-10-23 GAIS L 2-449.9 1377 1552 31.83% 13.58% 54.59%-0.92 -10.5 12
1932-10-23 @ Sandvikens IF W 4-249.9 1552 1377 54.59% 13.58% 31.83%+0.92 +10.5 19
1932-10-23 Landskrona L 2-356.9 1375 1273 66.84% 13.51% 19.66%+1.31 -12.7 10
1932-10-23 @ Sleipner W 3-256.9 1273 1375 19.66% 13.51% 66.84%-1.31 +12.7 6
1932-10-30 GAIS D 0-066.1 1545 1563 53.35% 13.65% 33.00%+0.35 -1.1 17
1932-10-30 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-066.1 1563 1545 33.00% 13.65% 53.35%-0.35 +1.1 20
1932-10-30 Helsingborg D 2-265.1 1429 1461 51.37% 13.65% 34.98%+0.23 -0.6 13
1932-10-30 @ Goteborg D 2-265.1 1461 1429 34.98% 13.65% 51.37%-0.23 +0.6 17
1932-10-30 Sandvikens IF L 0-242.7 1347 1367 53.14% 13.65% 33.21%+0.34 -21.5 9
1932-10-30 @ Halmia W 2-042.7 1367 1347 33.21% 13.65% 53.14%-0.34 +21.4 14
1932-10-30 Orgryte L 2-356.3 1404 1386 57.90% 13.62% 28.48%+0.64 -11.0 17
1932-10-30 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 3-256.3 1386 1404 28.48% 13.62% 57.90%-0.64 +11.0 9
1932-10-30 Elfsborg D 3-364.7 1285 1373 43.76% 13.65% 42.58%-0.21 -0.0 7
1932-10-30 @ Landskrona D 3-364.7 1373 1285 42.58% 13.65% 43.76%+0.21 +0.0 12
1932-10-30 Malmo D 1-155.9 1362 1226 69.85% 13.44% 16.71%+1.59 -2.8 11
1932-10-30 @ Sleipner D 1-155.9 1226 1362 16.71% 13.44% 69.85%-1.59 +2.8 10
1933-04-02 Landskrona D 1-156.0 1326 1285 60.49% 13.60% 25.91%+0.82 -1.8 10
1933-04-02 @ Halmia D 1-156.0 1285 1326 25.91% 13.60% 60.49%-0.82 +1.8 8
1933-04-02 Malmo L 2-455.7 1397 1228 72.33% 13.36% 14.31%+1.85 -22.5 9
1933-04-02 @ Orgryte W 4-255.7 1228 1397 14.31% 13.36% 72.33%-1.85 +22.5 12
1933-04-09 Sleipner W 5-029.5 1428 1359 63.54% 13.56% 22.90%+1.05 +23.6 15
1933-04-09 @ Goteborg L 0-529.5 1359 1428 22.90% 13.56% 63.54%-1.05 -23.7 11
1933-04-09 Malmo W 6-128.6 1462 1251 75.22% 13.24% 11.54%+2.19 +10.3 19
1933-04-09 @ Helsingborg L 1-628.6 1251 1462 11.54% 13.24% 75.22%-2.19 -10.3 12
1933-04-09 Sandvikens IF W 3-143.6 1287 1388 41.81% 13.65% 44.54%-0.32 +15.8 10
1933-04-09 @ Landskrona L 1-343.6 1388 1287 44.54% 13.65% 41.81%+0.32 -15.8 14
1933-04-14 Halmia D 1-156.9 1374 1324 61.51% 13.59% 24.91%+0.89 -1.9 10
1933-04-14 @ Orgryte D 1-156.9 1324 1374 24.91% 13.59% 61.51%-0.89 +1.9 11
1933-04-16 Malmo W 4-238.4 1564 1241 80.73% 12.85% 6.42%+3.10 +2.3 22
1933-04-16 @ GAIS L 2-438.4 1241 1564 6.42% 12.85% 80.73%-3.10 -2.3 12
1933-04-17 IFK Eskilstuna W 3-141.6 1373 1393 53.07% 13.65% 33.28%+0.33 +12.3 14
1933-04-17 @ Elfsborg L 1-341.6 1393 1373 33.28% 13.65% 53.07%-0.33 -12.3 17
1933-04-17 Helsingborg L 1-245.5 1326 1472 35.58% 13.62% 50.80%-0.68 -7.5 11
1933-04-17 @ Halmia W 2-145.5 1472 1326 50.80% 13.62% 35.58%+0.68 +7.5 21
1933-04-17 AIK Stockholm L 2-349.6 1336 1544 27.76% 13.53% 58.71%-1.19 -5.7 11
1933-04-17 @ Sleipner W 3-249.6 1544 1336 58.71% 13.53% 27.76%+1.19 +5.7 19
1933-04-17 Sandvikens IF W 1-038.6 1452 1373 64.60% 13.55% 21.86%+1.13 +5.1 17
1933-04-17 @ Goteborg L 0-138.6 1373 1452 21.86% 13.55% 64.60%-1.13 -5.1 14
1933-04-23 Landskrona W 6-130.9 1550 1303 77.26% 13.13% 9.60%+2.48 +8.6 21
1933-04-23 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-630.9 1303 1550 9.60% 13.13% 77.26%-2.48 -8.6 10
1933-04-23 IFK Eskilstuna W 5-136.0 1566 1381 73.57% 13.32% 13.11%+1.99 +9.5 24
1933-04-23 @ GAIS L 1-536.0 1381 1566 13.11% 13.32% 73.57%-1.99 -9.5 17
1933-04-23 Elfsborg W 4-142.4 1238 1385 35.50% 13.62% 50.89%-0.69 +25.2 14
1933-04-23 @ Malmo L 1-442.4 1385 1238 50.89% 13.62% 35.50%+0.69 -25.2 14
1933-04-23 Halmia W 1-038.0 1330 1319 57.02% 13.63% 29.35%+0.58 +6.7 13
1933-04-23 @ Sleipner L 0-138.0 1319 1330 29.35% 13.63% 57.02%-0.58 -6.7 11
1933-04-30 AIK Stockholm W 2-155.0 1480 1558 45.07% 13.66% 41.27%-0.14 +8.6 23
1933-04-30 @ Helsingborg L 1-255.0 1558 1480 41.27% 13.66% 45.07%+0.14 -8.6 21
1933-04-30 Elfsborg W 3-032.8 1371 1360 57.02% 13.63% 29.35%+0.58 +18.4 19
1933-04-30 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 0-332.8 1360 1371 29.35% 13.63% 57.02%-0.58 -18.4 14
1933-04-30 Landskrona D 2-260.5 1367 1294 63.99% 13.56% 22.46%+1.08 -1.6 15
1933-04-30 @ Sandvikens IF D 2-260.5 1294 1367 22.46% 13.56% 63.99%-1.08 +1.6 11
1933-04-30 Sleipner W 1-037.8 1372 1337 59.91% 13.60% 26.49%+0.78 +6.1 12
1933-04-30 @ Orgryte L 0-137.8 1337 1372 26.49% 13.60% 59.91%-0.78 -6.1 13
1933-05-05 GAIS W 3-154.0 1457 1576 39.28% 13.64% 47.08%-0.47 +16.6 19
1933-05-05 @ Goteborg L 1-354.0 1576 1457 47.08% 13.64% 39.28%+0.47 -16.6 24
1933-05-07 Orgryte W 2-036.1 1550 1378 72.57% 13.35% 14.08%+1.87 +6.4 23
1933-05-07 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-236.1 1378 1550 14.08% 13.35% 72.57%-1.87 -6.4 12
1933-05-07 Sleipner W 3-032.1 1342 1330 57.02% 13.63% 29.35%+0.58 +18.4 16
1933-05-07 @ Elfsborg L 0-332.1 1330 1342 29.35% 13.63% 57.02%-0.58 -18.4 13
1933-05-07 Halmia W 1-035.5 1473 1312 71.84% 13.38% 14.79%+1.79 +3.6 21
1933-05-07 @ Goteborg L 0-135.5 1312 1473 14.79% 13.38% 71.84%-1.79 -3.6 11
1933-05-07 GAIS L 0-145.7 1390 1559 32.51% 13.59% 53.90%-0.87 -7.4 19
1933-05-07 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 1-045.7 1559 1390 53.90% 13.59% 32.51%+0.87 +7.3 26
1933-05-07 Malmo W 2-033.4 1296 1264 59.52% 13.61% 26.87%+0.75 +11.7 13
1933-05-07 @ Landskrona L 0-233.4 1264 1296 26.87% 13.61% 59.52%-0.75 -11.7 14
1933-05-07 Helsingborg L 1-247.9 1366 1488 38.81% 13.64% 47.56%-0.49 -8.1 15
1933-05-07 @ Sandvikens IF W 2-147.9 1488 1366 47.56% 13.64% 38.81%+0.49 +8.1 25
1933-05-12 Goteborg W 3-147.0 1372 1477 41.27% 13.65% 45.08%-0.35 +16.0 14
1933-05-12 @ Orgryte L 1-347.0 1477 1372 45.08% 13.65% 41.27%+0.35 -16.0 21
1933-05-14 AIK Stockholm W 3-258.7 1567 1556 56.93% 13.63% 29.44%+0.58 +6.0 28
1933-05-14 @ GAIS L 2-358.7 1556 1567 29.44% 13.63% 56.93%-0.58 -6.0 23
1933-05-14 Elfsborg D 1-157.1 1358 1360 55.33% 13.64% 31.03%+0.47 -1.2 16
1933-05-14 @ Sandvikens IF D 1-157.1 1360 1358 31.03% 13.64% 55.33%-0.47 +1.2 17
1933-05-14 Helsingborg L 0-237.6 1312 1496 30.64% 13.57% 55.79%-0.99 -13.2 13
1933-05-14 @ Sleipner W 2-037.6 1496 1312 55.79% 13.57% 30.64%+0.99 +13.1 27
1933-05-14 Halmia L 2-648.3 1382 1308 64.08% 13.55% 22.37%+1.09 -34.5 19
1933-05-14 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 6-248.3 1308 1382 22.37% 13.55% 64.08%-1.09 +34.5 13
1933-05-19 Orgryte L 0-255.1 1573 1388 73.51% 13.32% 13.17%+1.98 -29.6 28
1933-05-19 @ GAIS W 2-055.1 1388 1573 13.17% 13.32% 73.51%-1.98 +29.6 16
1933-05-21 IFK Eskilstuna W 4-242.7 1417 1348 63.63% 13.56% 22.81%+1.05 +7.8 18
1933-05-21 @ Orgryte L 2-442.7 1348 1417 22.81% 13.56% 63.63%-1.05 -7.8 19
1933-05-21 Malmo D 1-158.9 1550 1252 79.71% 12.95% 7.34%+2.89 -3.9 24
1933-05-21 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-158.9 1252 1550 7.34% 12.95% 79.71%-2.89 +3.9 15
1933-05-21 Goteborg W 3-253.0 1361 1461 42.04% 13.65% 44.31%-0.31 +8.6 19
1933-05-21 @ Elfsborg L 2-353.0 1461 1361 44.31% 13.65% 42.04%+0.31 -8.6 21
1933-05-21 Landskrona W 5-027.1 1543 1308 76.65% 13.17% 10.18%+2.39 +11.0 30
1933-05-21 @ GAIS L 0-527.1 1308 1543 10.18% 13.17% 76.65%-2.39 -11.0 13
1933-05-21 Sandvikens IF W 3-138.5 1510 1356 71.20% 13.40% 15.40%+1.73 +6.1 29
1933-05-21 @ Helsingborg L 1-338.5 1356 1510 15.40% 13.40% 71.20%-1.73 -6.0 16
1933-05-25 AIK Stockholm W 3-044.7 1452 1546 42.87% 13.65% 43.48%-0.26 +26.0 23
1933-05-25 @ Goteborg L 0-344.7 1546 1452 43.48% 13.65% 42.87%+0.26 -26.0 24
1933-05-25 Elfsborg W 4-138.4 1343 1370 52.14% 13.65% 34.21%+0.27 +17.8 15
1933-05-25 @ Halmia L 1-438.4 1370 1343 34.21% 13.65% 52.14%-0.27 -17.8 19
1933-05-25 Helsingborg L 0-431.7 1297 1516 26.53% 13.52% 59.95%-1.27 -21.9 13
1933-05-25 @ Landskrona W 4-031.7 1516 1297 59.95% 13.52% 26.53%+1.27 +21.9 31
1933-05-25 Sleipner L 3-551.8 1256 1299 50.01% 13.66% 36.33%+0.15 -14.8 15
1933-05-25 @ Malmo W 5-351.8 1299 1256 36.33% 13.66% 50.01%-0.15 +14.8 15
1933-05-25 IFK Eskilstuna W 3-032.3 1350 1340 56.91% 13.63% 29.46%+0.58 +18.5 18
1933-05-25 @ Sandvikens IF L 0-332.3 1340 1350 29.46% 13.63% 56.91%-0.58 -18.5 19
1933-05-28 Halmia L 2-362.8 1520 1361 71.69% 13.38% 14.92%+1.78 -13.7 24
1933-05-28 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-262.8 1361 1520 14.92% 13.38% 71.69%-1.78 +13.7 17
1933-05-28 Landskrona L 2-550.4 1352 1275 64.43% 13.55% 22.02%+1.12 -27.4 19
1933-05-28 @ Elfsborg W 5-250.4 1275 1352 22.02% 13.55% 64.43%-1.12 +27.4 15
1933-05-28 Sleipner W 3-136.9 1554 1314 76.92% 13.15% 9.93%+2.43 +4.0 32
1933-05-28 @ GAIS L 1-336.9 1314 1554 9.93% 13.15% 76.92%-2.43 -4.0 15
1933-05-28 Goteborg W 5-353.9 1538 1478 62.54% 13.58% 23.88%+0.97 +7.7 33
1933-05-28 @ Helsingborg L 3-553.9 1478 1538 23.88% 13.58% 62.54%-0.97 -7.7 23
1933-05-28 Sandvikens IF D 3-365.0 1322 1369 49.42% 13.66% 36.92%+0.11 -0.4 20
1933-05-28 @ IFK Eskilstuna D 3-365.0 1369 1322 36.92% 13.66% 49.42%-0.11 +0.4 19
1933-05-28 Orgryte W 2-042.8 1241 1425 30.67% 13.57% 55.75%-0.99 +22.4 17
1933-05-28 @ Malmo L 0-242.8 1425 1241 55.75% 13.57% 30.67%+0.99 -22.4 18
1933-06-05 Helsingborg L 2-460.0 1506 1545 50.58% 13.65% 35.77%+0.18 -15.9 24
1933-06-05 @ AIK Stockholm W 4-260.0 1545 1506 35.77% 13.65% 50.58%-0.18 +15.9 35
1933-06-05 GAIS L 0-335.0 1325 1558 24.95% 13.49% 61.56%-1.39 -15.9 19
1933-06-05 @ Elfsborg W 3-035.0 1558 1325 61.56% 13.49% 24.95%+1.39 +15.9 34
1933-06-05 Malmo L 1-350.1 1374 1263 67.63% 13.49% 18.87%+1.38 -23.5 17
1933-06-05 @ Halmia W 3-150.1 1263 1374 18.87% 13.49% 67.63%-1.38 +23.5 19
1933-06-05 Goteborg L 2-445.8 1302 1471 32.66% 13.59% 53.75%-0.86 -10.8 15
1933-06-05 @ Landskrona W 4-245.8 1471 1302 53.75% 13.59% 32.66%+0.86 +10.8 25
1933-06-05 Sandvikens IF W 4-350.5 1403 1369 59.67% 13.61% 26.72%+0.76 +5.4 20
1933-06-05 @ Orgryte L 3-450.5 1369 1403 26.72% 13.61% 59.67%-0.76 -5.4 19
1933-06-05 IFK Eskilstuna W 2-035.5 1310 1321 54.18% 13.64% 32.18%+0.40 +13.8 17
1933-06-05 @ Sleipner L 0-235.5 1321 1310 32.18% 13.64% 54.18%-0.40 -13.8 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1932-10-09 12.58% Landskrona 1240 3 @ IFK Eskilstuna 1434 0
2 1933-05-19 13.17% Orgryte 1388 2 @ GAIS 1573 0
3 1933-04-02 14.31% Malmo 1228 4 @ Orgryte 1397 2
4 1933-05-28 14.92% Halmia 1361 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1520 2
5 1932-08-28 15.51% Sandvikens IF 1376 3 @ GAIS 1527 1
6 1932-08-14 17.40% IFK Eskilstuna 1359 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1487 2
7 1933-06-05 18.87% Malmo 1263 3 @ Halmia 1374 1
8 1932-10-23 19.66% Landskrona 1273 3 @ Sleipner 1375 2
9 1932-08-14 21.43% Elfsborg 1376 5 @ Orgryte 1459 3
10 1933-05-28 22.02% Landskrona 1275 5 @ Elfsborg 1352 2
11 1933-05-14 22.37% Halmia 1308 6 @ IFK Eskilstuna 1382 2
12 1932-08-28 24.34% @ Landskrona 1253 4 AIK Stockholm 1492 2
13 1932-08-14 26.63% Sandvikens IF 1366 5 @ Sleipner 1400 4
14 1932-09-18 27.23% IFK Eskilstuna 1410 2 @ Helsingborg 1439 1
15 1932-10-16 27.39% Sleipner 1363 2 @ IFK Eskilstuna 1391 1
16 1932-10-30 28.48% Orgryte 1386 3 @ IFK Eskilstuna 1404 2
17 1932-08-07 30.03% @ Malmo 1309 2 AIK Stockholm 1498 1
18 1933-05-28 30.67% @ Malmo 1241 2 Orgryte 1425 0
19 1932-10-02 32.45% Helsingborg 1427 1 @ Orgryte 1414 0
20 1932-08-12 32.96% Orgryte 1438 6 @ Goteborg 1420 3
21 1932-07-31 32.99% Helsingborg 1396 4 @ Elfsborg 1378 2
22 1932-10-30 33.21% Sandvikens IF 1367 2 @ Halmia 1347 0
23 1932-08-05 33.27% GAIS 1479 2 @ Orgryte 1459 0
24 1933-04-23 35.50% @ Malmo 1238 4 Elfsborg 1385 1
25 1933-06-05 35.77% Helsingborg 1545 4 @ AIK Stockholm 1506 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1932-10-09 43.33 Landskrona 3 1240 12.58% @ IFK Eskilstuna 0 1434 74.13% 13.29%
2 1932-08-28 42.40 Goteborg 5 1413 42.23% @ Malmo 0 1328 44.11% 13.65%
3 1933-05-14 34.47 Halmia 6 1308 22.37% @ IFK Eskilstuna 2 1382 64.08% 13.55%
4 1932-10-23 33.99 @ Helsingborg 6 1427 58.14% Elfsborg 0 1407 28.24% 13.62%
5 1933-05-19 29.57 Orgryte 2 1388 13.17% @ GAIS 0 1573 73.51% 13.32%
6 1932-08-07 27.59 Sleipner 3 1372 39.82% @ Landskrona 0 1304 46.52% 13.66%
7 1933-05-28 27.40 Landskrona 5 1275 22.02% @ Elfsborg 2 1352 64.43% 13.55%
8 1932-07-31 26.47 GAIS 6 1453 37.82% @ Sleipner 2 1399 48.52% 13.66%
9 1932-09-18 26.00 @ Halmia 3 1301 42.88% Sleipner 0 1395 43.47% 13.65%
10 1933-05-25 26.00 @ Goteborg 3 1452 42.87% AIK Stockholm 0 1546 43.48% 13.65%
11 1933-04-23 25.22 @ Malmo 4 1238 35.50% Elfsborg 1 1385 50.89% 13.62%
12 1932-10-23 25.21 IFK Eskilstuna 5 1379 48.30% @ Malmo 1 1251 38.07% 13.63%
13 1932-08-28 24.73 Sandvikens IF 3 1376 15.51% @ GAIS 1 1527 71.09% 13.40%
14 1932-09-18 24.32 @ AIK Stockholm 6 1479 57.31% Goteborg 1 1465 29.06% 13.63%
15 1932-08-28 24.04 @ Elfsborg 4 1376 57.02% Halmia 0 1365 29.36% 13.63%
16 1932-07-31 23.98 AIK Stockholm 7 1474 38.23% @ Halmia 3 1417 48.11% 13.66%
17 1933-04-09 23.65 @ Goteborg 5 1428 63.54% Sleipner 0 1359 22.90% 13.56%
18 1933-06-05 23.50 Malmo 3 1263 18.87% @ Halmia 1 1374 67.63% 13.49%
19 1933-04-02 22.52 Malmo 4 1228 14.31% @ Orgryte 2 1397 72.33% 13.36%
20 1933-05-28 22.42 @ Malmo 2 1241 30.67% Orgryte 0 1425 55.75% 13.57%
21 1932-09-04 22.09 GAIS 4 1502 59.72% @ Malmo 0 1285 26.76% 13.52%
22 1933-05-25 21.92 Helsingborg 4 1516 59.95% @ Landskrona 0 1297 26.53% 13.52%
23 1932-10-30 21.45 Sandvikens IF 2 1367 33.21% @ Halmia 0 1347 53.14% 13.65%
24 1932-08-05 21.42 GAIS 2 1479 33.27% @ Orgryte 0 1459 53.09% 13.65%
25 1932-08-12 21.15 Orgryte 6 1438 32.96% @ Goteborg 3 1420 53.39% 13.65%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1932-08-28 66.6 @ IFK Eskilstuna 3 1377 51.41% Helsingborg 3 1410 34.94% 13.65%
2 1932-10-30 66.1 @ AIK Stockholm 0 1545 53.35% GAIS 0 1563 33.00% 13.65%
3 1932-08-19 65.7 @ GAIS 2 1509 67.57% Goteborg 2 1399 18.94% 13.49%
4 1932-10-30 65.1 @ Goteborg 2 1429 51.37% Helsingborg 2 1461 34.98% 13.65%
5 1933-05-28 65.0 @ IFK Eskilstuna 3 1322 49.42% Sandvikens IF 3 1369 36.92% 13.66%
6 1932-10-30 64.7 @ Landskrona 3 1285 43.76% Elfsborg 3 1373 42.58% 13.65%
7 1932-09-04 64.0 @ Sandvikens IF 2 1400 48.34% Goteborg 2 1455 38.00% 13.66%
8 1932-08-21 63.9 @ Helsingborg 2 1411 51.84% Orgryte 2 1440 34.51% 13.65%
9 1932-08-14 62.8 Sandvikens IF 5 1366 26.63% @ Sleipner 4 1400 59.76% 13.61%
10 1933-05-28 62.8 Halmia 3 1361 14.92% @ AIK Stockholm 2 1520 71.69% 13.38%
11 1932-08-14 61.1 @ Malmo 2 1334 48.93% Halmia 2 1385 37.41% 13.66%
12 1932-08-14 61.0 IFK Eskilstuna 3 1359 17.40% @ AIK Stockholm 2 1487 69.14% 13.46%
13 1933-04-30 60.5 @ Sandvikens IF 2 1367 63.99% Landskrona 2 1294 22.46% 13.56%
14 1932-08-14 60.1 Elfsborg 5 1376 21.43% @ Orgryte 3 1459 65.03% 13.54%
15 1933-06-05 60.0 Helsingborg 4 1545 35.77% @ AIK Stockholm 2 1506 50.58% 13.65%
16 1933-05-21 58.9 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1550 79.71% Malmo 1 1252 7.34% 12.95%
17 1932-09-04 58.8 @ Sleipner 1 1406 56.31% Elfsborg 1 1400 30.06% 13.63%
18 1933-05-14 58.7 @ GAIS 3 1567 56.93% AIK Stockholm 2 1556 29.44% 13.63%
19 1932-08-21 57.9 @ Sandvikens IF 1 1377 54.05% Sleipner 1 1389 32.30% 13.64%
20 1933-05-14 57.1 @ Sandvikens IF 1 1358 55.33% Elfsborg 1 1360 31.03% 13.64%
21 1932-10-23 56.9 Landskrona 3 1273 19.66% @ Sleipner 2 1375 66.84% 13.51%
22 1933-04-14 56.9 @ Orgryte 1 1374 61.51% Halmia 1 1324 24.91% 13.59%
23 1932-08-28 56.4 Sandvikens IF 3 1376 15.51% @ GAIS 1 1527 71.09% 13.40%
24 1932-10-30 56.3 Orgryte 3 1386 28.48% @ IFK Eskilstuna 2 1404 57.90% 13.62%
25 1933-04-02 56.0 @ Halmia 1 1326 60.49% Landskrona 1 1285 25.91% 13.60%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1933-05-21 27.1 @ GAIS 5 1543 76.65% Landskrona 0 1308 10.18% 13.17%
2 1932-08-14 28.6 @ Helsingborg 3 1399 68.66% Landskrona 0 1277 17.87% 13.47%
3 1933-04-09 28.6 @ Helsingborg 6 1462 75.22% Malmo 1 1251 11.54% 13.24%
4 1933-04-09 29.5 @ Goteborg 5 1428 63.54% Sleipner 0 1359 22.90% 13.56%
5 1932-10-16 29.7 @ Elfsborg 7 1388 68.34% Malmo 1 1270 18.19% 13.48%
6 1932-07-31 30.5 @ Goteborg 4 1415 61.67% IFK Eskilstuna 0 1364 24.75% 13.59%
7 1932-08-21 30.6 @ Goteborg 5 1401 69.84% Landskrona 1 1265 16.72% 13.44%
8 1933-04-23 30.9 @ AIK Stockholm 6 1550 77.26% Landskrona 1 1303 9.60% 13.13%
9 1932-08-28 31.2 @ Elfsborg 4 1376 57.02% Halmia 0 1365 29.36% 13.63%
10 1932-09-04 31.2 GAIS 4 1502 59.72% @ Malmo 0 1285 26.76% 13.52%
11 1932-09-11 31.5 @ Goteborg 7 1456 74.03% Malmo 2 1263 12.67% 13.30%
12 1933-05-25 31.7 Helsingborg 4 1516 59.95% @ Landskrona 0 1297 26.53% 13.52%
13 1932-08-21 31.8 @ AIK Stockholm 4 1473 64.56% Elfsborg 0 1395 21.89% 13.55%
14 1933-05-07 32.1 @ Elfsborg 3 1342 57.02% Sleipner 0 1330 29.35% 13.63%
15 1933-05-25 32.3 @ Sandvikens IF 3 1350 56.91% IFK Eskilstuna 0 1340 29.46% 13.63%
16 1932-10-23 32.6 @ Helsingborg 6 1427 58.14% Elfsborg 0 1407 28.24% 13.62%
17 1932-09-04 32.7 @ Helsingborg 6 1410 63.60% Halmia 1 1341 22.84% 13.56%
18 1933-04-30 32.8 @ IFK Eskilstuna 3 1371 57.02% Elfsborg 0 1360 29.35% 13.63%
19 1933-05-07 33.4 @ Landskrona 2 1296 59.52% Malmo 0 1264 26.87% 13.61%
20 1932-07-31 33.8 @ Sandvikens IF 2 1369 61.46% Malmo 0 1319 24.96% 13.59%
21 1932-10-09 34.3 @ AIK Stockholm 6 1512 69.72% Sleipner 1 1378 16.84% 13.44%
22 1932-08-28 35.0 Goteborg 5 1413 42.23% @ Malmo 0 1328 44.11% 13.65%
23 1933-06-05 35.0 GAIS 3 1558 61.56% @ Elfsborg 0 1325 24.95% 13.49%
24 1933-05-07 35.5 @ Goteborg 1 1473 71.84% Halmia 0 1312 14.79% 13.38%
25 1933-06-05 35.5 @ Sleipner 2 1310 54.18% IFK Eskilstuna 0 1321 32.18% 13.64%