1935-36 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Elfsborg

34 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Elfsborg

6.72 points above expected

34 points · 27.28 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

IFK Eskilstuna

9.39 points below expected

7 points · 16.39 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Elfsborg	22	15	4	3	34	71	33	+38	27.28	+6.72
2	AIK Stockholm	22	13	4	5	30	58	39	+19	27.65	+2.35
3	Sandvikens IF	22	11	5	6	27	40	32	+8	23.02	+3.98
4	Goteborg	22	9	7	6	25	36	28	+8	27.87	-2.87
5	Landskrona	22	10	4	8	24	46	34	+12	23.26	+0.74
6	Garda	22	9	6	7	24	27	28	-1	21.14	+2.86
7	Orgryte	22	9	3	10	21	38	41	-3	20.45	+0.55
8	Sleipner	22	8	3	11	19	51	48	+3	21.75	-2.75
9	Norrkoping	22	5	8	9	18	40	51	-11	16.80	+1.20
10	GAIS	22	6	6	10	18	29	44	-15	18.91	-0.91
11	Halmstad	22	5	7	10	17	31	46	-15	19.48	-2.48
12	IFK Eskilstuna	22	1	5	16	7	24	67	-43	16.39	-9.39

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Elfsborg	34	27.28	+6.72
2	Sandvikens IF	27	23.02	+3.98
3	Garda	24	21.14	+2.86
4	AIK Stockholm	30	27.65	+2.35
5	Norrkoping	18	16.80	+1.20

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	IFK Eskilstuna	7	16.39	-9.39
2	Goteborg	25	27.87	-2.87
3	Sleipner	19	21.75	-2.75
4	Halmstad	17	19.48	-2.48
5	GAIS	18	18.91	-0.91

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sandvikens IF	3	Oct 27 – Apr 5	1 in 83
2	Elfsborg	6	Oct 13 – Apr 19	1 in 44
3	Norrkoping	2	Jul 28 – Aug 4	1 in 20
4	AIK Stockholm	5	Apr 19 – May 17	1 in 16
5	Garda	3	Aug 23 – Sep 8	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	IFK Eskilstuna	7	Aug 4 – Sep 29	1 in 67
2	Sleipner	3	Oct 6 – Oct 27	1 in 49
3	Sandvikens IF	2	Oct 13 – Oct 20	1 in 41
4	Goteborg	2	Sep 15 – Oct 6	1 in 21
5	Orgryte	2	Jul 28 – Jul 31	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Garda	7	Jul 31 – Sep 8	1 in 82
2	Elfsborg	13	Oct 13 – Jun 7	1 in 42
3	Norrkoping	5	Sep 8 – Oct 20	1 in 28
4	AIK Stockholm	10	Oct 20 – May 24	1 in 12
5	Goteborg	6	Jul 28 – Aug 25	1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Halmstad	7	Jul 28 – Sep 15	1 in 95
2	GAIS	10	Jul 28 – Sep 29	1 in 63
3	Goteborg	5	Apr 19 – May 13	1 in 44
4	IFK Eskilstuna	13	Oct 13 – Jun 7	1 in 40
5	Norrkoping	10	Oct 27 – Jun 1	1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Elfsborg	1723	34	+25	9	6.6	+2.4
AIK Stockholm	1689	30	-1	5	5.8	-0.8
Sandvikens IF	1600	27	+11	8	6.5	+1.5
Goteborg	1629	25	-36	4	6.0	-2.0
Landskrona	1607	24	+29	6	5.6	+0.4
Garda	1528	24	-17	5	5.0	+0.0
Orgryte	1541	21	+19	5	3.4	+1.6
Sleipner	1552	19	-24	1	4.4	-3.4
GAIS	1499	18	-12	4	4.5	-0.5
Norrkoping	1441	18	+9	4	3.0	+1.0
Halmstad	1503	17	+3	6	4.4	+1.6
IFK Eskilstuna	1378	7	-10	2	3.4	-1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AS	ELF	GAI	GAR	GOT	HAL	IE	LAN	NOR	ORG	SI	SLE
AIK Stockholm	—	0-0-2 2.72	2-0-0 3.84	2-0-0 3.49	1-0-1 2.83	0-1-1 3.73	2-0-0 4.02	1-0-1 3.21	2-0-0 4.05	2-0-0 3.54	0-2-0 3.34	1-1-0 3.51
Elfsborg	2-0-0 2.79	—	2-0-0 3.66	0-1-1 3.51	1-1-0 2.79	2-0-0 3.32	2-0-0 4.27	2-0-0 3.02	0-2-0 4.24	2-0-0 3.62	1-0-1 3.20	1-0-1 3.28
GAIS	0-0-2 1.70	0-0-2 1.87	—	1-1-0 2.46	0-0-2 2.01	0-2-0 2.60	2-0-0 3.19	0-2-0 2.28	1-0-1 2.99	1-0-1 2.65	0-1-1 2.31	1-0-1 2.31
Garda	0-0-2 2.03	1-1-0 2.02	0-1-1 3.06	—	1-1-0 1.94	1-1-0 2.96	1-1-0 3.58	0-0-2 2.52	1-1-0 3.30	2-0-0 2.76	0-0-2 2.61	2-0-0 2.61
Goteborg	1-0-1 2.68	0-1-1 2.72	2-0-0 3.51	0-1-1 3.59	—	1-1-0 3.77	2-0-0 4.14	1-0-1 3.24	0-1-1 4.18	1-1-0 3.68	0-2-0 3.32	1-0-1 3.43
Halmstad	1-1-0 1.80	0-0-2 2.21	0-2-0 2.91	0-1-1 2.55	0-1-1 1.76	—	1-0-1 3.26	1-0-1 2.09	0-1-1 3.27	0-1-1 2.72	1-0-1 2.19	1-0-1 2.39
IFK Eskilstuna	0-0-2 1.53	0-0-2 1.29	0-0-2 2.33	0-1-1 1.95	0-0-2 1.41	1-0-1 2.25	—	0-0-2 2.09	0-2-0 2.51	0-1-1 2.11	0-0-2 1.54	0-1-1 2.18
Landskrona	1-0-1 2.30	0-0-2 2.49	0-2-0 3.23	2-0-0 2.98	1-0-1 2.27	1-0-1 3.42	2-0-0 3.43	—	1-1-0 3.74	1-0-1 3.13	0-0-2 2.88	1-1-0 2.94
Norrkoping	0-0-2 1.49	0-2-0 1.31	1-0-1 2.52	0-1-1 2.22	1-1-0 1.37	1-1-0 2.25	0-2-0 3.00	0-1-1 1.80	—	1-0-1 2.10	1-0-1 2.25	0-0-2 2.15
Orgryte	0-0-2 1.98	0-0-2 1.92	1-0-1 2.85	0-0-2 2.75	0-1-1 1.85	1-1-0 2.79	1-1-0 3.40	1-0-1 2.39	1-0-1 3.41	—	2-0-0 2.45	2-0-0 2.35
Sandvikens IF	0-2-0 2.18	1-0-1 2.32	1-1-0 3.20	2-0-0 2.90	0-2-0 2.20	1-0-1 3.32	2-0-0 4.00	2-0-0 2.64	1-0-1 3.27	0-0-2 3.06	—	1-0-1 2.85
Sleipner	0-1-1 2.01	1-0-1 2.23	1-0-1 3.21	0-0-2 2.91	1-0-1 2.10	1-0-1 3.12	1-1-0 3.35	0-1-1 2.57	2-0-0 3.37	0-0-2 3.17	1-0-1 2.66	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.55	+3.8
Allowed	0.69	-5.2
Differential	0.93	+3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	6.82%	3.41%	1.52%	1.52%	1.14%	17.42%
1	6.82%	10.61%	5.68%	3.79%	3.41%	1.89%	32.20%
2	3.41%	5.68%	5.30%	3.03%	2.27%	2.27%	21.97%
3	1.52%	3.79%	3.03%	3.79%	0.76%	0.76%	13.64%
4	1.52%	3.41%	2.27%	0.76%	0.76%	—	8.71%
5+	1.14%	1.89%	2.27%	0.76%	—	—	6.06%
Total	17.42%	32.20%	21.97%	13.64%	8.71%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	1.86	+0.00
SD	1.57	1.57	2.24
CV	0.85	0.85	—
Max	12	12	+10
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
1	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
2	13.64%	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
3	—	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	31.82%
4	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	27.27%	22.73%	22.73%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.64	1.77	+0.86
SD	1.18	1.27	1.67
CV	0.45	0.72	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%
4	—	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
5+	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	13.64%	45.45%	27.27%	9.09%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.23	1.50	+1.73
SD	2.49	1.14	2.57
CV	0.77	0.76	—
Max	12	5	+10
Min	1	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	31.82%
1	4.55%	22.73%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	36.36%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
Total	4.55%	45.45%	22.73%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	2.00	-0.68
SD	1.36	1.41	2.06
CV	1.03	0.71	—
Max	5	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	50.00%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	36.36%	13.64%	13.64%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	1.27	-0.05
SD	0.87	1.32	1.53
CV	0.71	1.03	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	9.09%	—	31.82%
1	9.09%	18.18%	—	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
2	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
3	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	31.82%	40.91%	13.64%	—	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.27	+0.36
SD	1.71	1.42	2.38
CV	1.04	1.12	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	31.82%
2	—	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
3	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	4.55%	36.36%	22.73%	18.18%	18.18%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	2.09	-0.68
SD	1.10	1.23	1.70
CV	0.78	0.59	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	31.82%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	31.82%
2	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%	31.82%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	22.73%	22.73%	13.64%	9.09%	22.73%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	3.05	-1.95
SD	0.92	2.75	2.40
CV	0.84	0.90	—
Max	3	12	+1
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
Total	22.73%	22.73%	36.36%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.09	1.55	+0.55
SD	1.82	1.14	2.20
CV	0.87	0.74	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%	13.64%
1	9.09%	13.64%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	—	—	18.18%	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	9.09%	27.27%	22.73%	18.18%	9.09%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	2.32	-0.50
SD	1.44	1.55	2.39
CV	0.79	0.67	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	22.73%
2	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	31.82%	22.73%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.86	-0.14
SD	1.52	1.55	2.29
CV	0.88	0.83	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	45.45%
2	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	40.91%	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	1.45	+0.36
SD	1.30	1.26	1.50
CV	0.71	0.87	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
1	9.09%	4.55%	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	—	—	9.09%	13.64%	—	27.27%
3	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	18.18%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
Total	22.73%	9.09%	22.73%	22.73%	18.18%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.32	2.18	+0.14
SD	1.39	1.56	2.17
CV	0.60	0.72	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	1	0	-3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Elfsborg	1723	34	27.28	+6.72	98.0%	18	21	25	27	30	33	41
AIK Stockholm	1689	30	27.65	+2.35	78.0%	17	22	25	28	30	34	37
Goteborg	1629	25	27.87	-2.87	22.0%	18	22	26	28	30	34	38
Landskrona	1607	24	23.26	+0.74	64.0%	13	17	21	23	25	28	30
Sandvikens IF	1600	27	23.02	+3.98	88.0%	12	17	21	23	25	29	32
Sleipner	1552	19	21.75	-2.75	33.0%	13	15	18	22	24	29	31
Orgryte	1541	21	20.45	+0.55	60.0%	12	15	18	20	23	27	29
Garda	1528	24	21.14	+2.86	79.0%	13	15	18	21	24	27	29
Halmstad	1503	17	19.48	-2.48	33.0%	13	14	17	19	21	27	31
GAIS	1499	18	18.91	-0.91	45.0%	11	13	16	19	22	24	26
Norrkoping	1441	18	16.80	+1.20	67.0%	7	10	14	17	19	24	26
IFK Eskilstuna	1378	7	16.39	-9.39	0.0%	8	11	14	17	18	22	25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+23.48%

Strong Edge

50.00%23.48%26.52%

Elo Value

Home Edge

141 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

083.15400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.49 goals

Neutral

-2+0.59+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.9

Top-Heavy

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

27%

Elfsborg, 3rd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.18/gm

Comfortable

00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.02 * Some Luck: 3.02 to 4.53 * Lucky: 4.53 to 6.03 * Wild Swing: 6.03 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.61 * Close: 1.61 to 2.41 * Off: 2.41 to 3.21 * Way Off: 3.21 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.96 points

Some Luck

03.779

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.33

Pinpoint

02.015

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

98.00%

Elfsborg

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

0.00%

IFK Eskilstuna

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.17

Top-Heavy

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 98.82

1.71

Strong Separation

0.951.41.652.75

Interquartile Edge

65%

Slight Edge

50%63%71.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

88%

Strong Edge

50%88%100%

Close Games

Expected

56%

Some Drama

0%50%100%

Blowouts

Expected

23%

Frequent

0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.58

Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.42

Lopsided

00.30.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.25

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.72

Near-Lock

00.380.530.691

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

19%

Solid Favorites

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.80

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.27

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.051

Well Within Noise

00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Elfsborg	27.00%	22.00%	19.00%	11.00%	8.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
AIK Stockholm	31.00%	21.00%	18.00%	8.00%	12.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—	2.00%	—	—	—
Sandvikens IF	4.00%	8.00%	18.00%	12.00%	9.00%	18.00%	10.00%	9.00%	3.00%	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Goteborg	29.00%	20.00%	19.00%	16.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Landskrona	2.00%	13.00%	13.00%	10.00%	16.00%	16.00%	9.00%	10.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Garda	—	3.00%	4.00%	15.00%	12.00%	9.00%	12.00%	13.00%	7.00%	12.00%	9.00%	4.00%
Orgryte	1.00%	3.00%	—	8.00%	12.00%	13.00%	11.00%	14.00%	15.00%	10.00%	7.00%	6.00%
Sleipner	2.00%	9.00%	4.00%	10.00%	13.00%	11.00%	12.00%	7.00%	12.00%	6.00%	10.00%	4.00%
Norrkoping	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	15.00%	17.00%	19.00%	27.00%
GAIS	—	—	2.00%	6.00%	4.00%	8.00%	16.00%	11.00%	12.00%	15.00%	13.00%	13.00%
Halmstad	4.00%	—	3.00%	2.00%	5.00%	6.00%	10.00%	16.00%	13.00%	19.00%	12.00%	10.00%
IFK Eskilstuna	—	—	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	8.00%	12.00%	16.00%	24.00%	33.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
AIK Stockholm	100%	—
Elfsborg	100%	—
Goteborg	100%	—
Landskrona	98.00%	2.00%
Sandvikens IF	93.00%	7.00%
Garda	87.00%	13.00%
Orgryte	87.00%	13.00%
Sleipner	86.00%	14.00%
Halmstad	78.00%	22.00%
GAIS	74.00%	26.00%
Norrkoping	54.00%	46.00%
IFK Eskilstuna	43.00%	57.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1935-07-28	AIK Stockholm	L 1-3	58.9	1531	1639	40.02%	24.87%	35.11%	-0.17	-11.7	0
1935-07-28	@ Garda	W 3-1	58.9	1639	1531	35.11%	24.87%	40.02%	+0.17	+11.7	2
1935-07-28	Elfsborg	L 1-2	63.5	1558	1623	45.69%	24.89%	29.42%	+0.13	-7.5	0
1935-07-28	@ Halmstad	W 2-1	63.5	1623	1558	29.42%	24.89%	45.69%	-0.13	+7.5	2
1935-07-28	Sleipner	D 1-1	62.3	1492	1540	47.84%	24.84%	27.31%	+0.25	-0.8	1
1935-07-28	@ IFK Eskilstuna	D 1-1	62.3	1540	1492	27.31%	24.84%	47.84%	-0.25	+0.8	1
1935-07-28	GAIS	D 1-1	65.7	1580	1547	56.86%	24.28%	18.87%	+0.82	-1.5	1
1935-07-28	@ Landskrona	D 1-1	65.7	1547	1580	18.87%	24.28%	56.86%	-0.82	+1.5	1
1935-07-28	Orgryte	W 5-1	47.4	1420	1544	37.65%	24.82%	37.53%	-0.29	+20.3	2
1935-07-28	@ Norrkoping	L 1-5	47.4	1544	1420	37.53%	24.82%	37.65%	+0.29	-20.3	0
1935-07-28	Goteborg	D 1-1	67.8	1564	1652	42.74%	24.90%	32.36%	-0.03	-0.4	1
1935-07-28	@ Sandvikens IF	D 1-1	67.8	1652	1564	32.36%	24.90%	42.74%	+0.03	+0.4	1
1935-07-31	Garda	L 0-1	57.7	1524	1520	53.96%	24.54%	21.50%	+0.62	-9.3	0
1935-07-31	@ Orgryte	W 1-0	57.7	1520	1524	21.50%	24.54%	53.96%	-0.62	+9.3	2
1935-08-02	Goteborg	L 0-5	51.8	1549	1652	40.59%	24.88%	34.53%	-0.14	-32.0	1
1935-08-02	@ GAIS	W 5-0	51.8	1652	1549	34.53%	24.88%	40.59%	+0.14	+32.0	3
1935-08-04	Landskrona	W 4-2	56.7	1651	1578	60.64%	23.78%	15.58%	+1.10	+4.8	4
1935-08-04	@ AIK Stockholm	L 2-4	56.7	1578	1651	15.58%	23.78%	60.64%	-1.10	-4.9	1
1935-08-04	Norrkoping	L 1-4	57.3	1550	1441	63.76%	23.21%	13.02%	+1.36	-25.0	0
1935-08-04	@ Halmstad	W 4-1	57.3	1441	1550	13.02%	23.21%	63.76%	-1.36	+25.1	4
1935-08-04	IFK Eskilstuna	W 4-2	51.4	1515	1491	55.97%	24.37%	19.66%	+0.76	+6.0	2
1935-08-04	@ Orgryte	L 2-4	51.4	1491	1515	19.66%	24.37%	55.97%	-0.76	-6.0	1
1935-08-04	Elfsborg	W 5-3	63.6	1541	1630	42.51%	24.90%	32.59%	-0.04	+8.5	3
1935-08-04	@ Sleipner	L 3-5	63.6	1630	1541	32.59%	24.90%	42.51%	+0.04	-8.5	2
1935-08-07	Garda	D 0-0	65.3	1684	1529	67.19%	22.38%	10.43%	+1.69	-2.6	4
1935-08-07	@ Goteborg	D 0-0	65.3	1529	1684	10.43%	22.38%	67.19%	-1.69	+2.6	3
1935-08-09	GAIS	W 4-0	41.1	1521	1517	53.90%	24.54%	21.55%	+0.62	+15.8	4
1935-08-09	@ Orgryte	L 0-4	41.1	1517	1521	21.55%	24.54%	53.90%	-0.62	-15.8	1
1935-08-11	Sleipner	W 4-2	55.4	1622	1549	60.63%	23.78%	15.58%	+1.10	+4.9	4
1935-08-11	@ Elfsborg	L 2-4	55.4	1549	1622	15.58%	23.78%	60.63%	-1.10	-4.9	3
1935-08-11	Halmstad	D 2-2	66.5	1501	1525	50.77%	24.74%	24.49%	+0.42	-0.7	2
1935-08-11	@ GAIS	D 2-2	66.5	1525	1501	24.49%	24.74%	50.77%	-0.42	+0.7	1
1935-08-11	Landskrona	L 2-5	57.5	1485	1573	42.68%	24.90%	32.41%	-0.03	-15.1	1
1935-08-11	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 5-2	57.5	1573	1485	32.41%	24.90%	42.68%	+0.03	+15.1	3
1935-08-11	Garda	D 2-2	65.4	1466	1532	45.58%	24.89%	29.53%	+0.12	-0.4	5
1935-08-11	@ Norrkoping	D 2-2	65.4	1532	1466	29.53%	24.89%	45.58%	-0.12	+0.4	4
1935-08-11	AIK Stockholm	D 3-3	76.4	1564	1655	42.20%	24.90%	32.90%	-0.06	-0.2	2
1935-08-11	@ Sandvikens IF	D 3-3	76.4	1655	1564	32.90%	24.90%	42.20%	+0.06	+0.2	5
1935-08-14	Garda	D 1-1	62.4	1500	1532	49.85%	24.78%	25.38%	+0.36	-0.9	3
1935-08-14	@ GAIS	D 1-1	62.4	1532	1500	25.38%	24.78%	49.85%	-0.36	+0.9	5
1935-08-14	Sleipner	L 2-3	61.9	1465	1545	43.82%	24.90%	31.27%	+0.03	-6.9	5
1935-08-14	@ Norrkoping	W 3-2	61.9	1545	1465	31.27%	24.90%	43.82%	-0.03	+6.9	5
1935-08-16	Goteborg	L 1-3	58.4	1537	1682	34.78%	24.72%	40.50%	-0.44	-10.5	4
1935-08-16	@ Orgryte	W 3-1	58.4	1682	1537	40.50%	24.72%	34.78%	+0.44	+10.5	6
1935-08-18	Norrkoping	W 5-2	48.0	1656	1458	70.00%	21.50%	8.51%	+1.99	+3.7	7
1935-08-18	@ AIK Stockholm	L 2-5	48.0	1458	1656	8.51%	21.50%	70.00%	-1.99	-3.7	5
1935-08-18	IFK Eskilstuna	W 4-1	45.5	1692	1470	71.50%	20.94%	7.56%	+2.16	+3.8	8
1935-08-18	@ Goteborg	L 1-4	45.5	1470	1692	7.56%	20.94%	71.50%	-2.16	-3.8	1
1935-08-18	GAIS	D 1-1	62.2	1526	1499	56.25%	24.34%	19.41%	+0.77	-1.4	2
1935-08-18	@ Halmstad	D 1-1	62.2	1499	1526	19.41%	24.34%	56.25%	-0.77	+1.5	4
1935-08-18	Elfsborg	W 2-1	58.8	1564	1627	45.98%	24.88%	29.14%	+0.14	+5.3	4
1935-08-18	@ Sandvikens IF	L 1-2	58.8	1627	1564	29.14%	24.88%	45.98%	-0.14	-5.3	4
1935-08-18	Landskrona	D 3-3	74.4	1551	1588	49.21%	24.80%	25.99%	+0.33	-0.5	6
1935-08-18	@ Sleipner	D 3-3	74.4	1588	1551	25.99%	24.80%	49.21%	-0.33	+0.5	4
1935-08-23	Orgryte	W 2-0	45.4	1533	1526	54.21%	24.52%	21.27%	+0.64	+8.2	7
1935-08-23	@ Garda	L 0-2	45.4	1526	1533	21.27%	24.52%	54.21%	-0.64	-8.2	4
1935-08-25	Elfsborg	L 1-2	59.6	1501	1621	38.21%	24.84%	36.96%	-0.26	-6.5	4
1935-08-25	@ GAIS	W 2-1	59.6	1621	1501	36.96%	24.84%	38.21%	+0.26	+6.5	6
1935-08-25	Garda	L 0-1	57.8	1524	1541	51.57%	24.69%	23.74%	+0.47	-8.9	2
1935-08-25	@ Halmstad	W 1-0	57.8	1541	1524	23.74%	24.69%	51.57%	-0.47	+8.9	9
1935-08-25	Goteborg	L 2-5	55.0	1466	1696	24.45%	23.91%	51.64%	-1.04	-9.7	1
1935-08-25	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 5-2	55.0	1696	1466	51.64%	23.91%	24.45%	+1.04	+9.7	10
1935-08-25	AIK Stockholm	W 3-2	64.7	1589	1659	45.02%	24.89%	30.09%	+0.09	+5.2	6
1935-08-25	@ Landskrona	L 2-3	64.7	1659	1589	30.09%	24.89%	45.02%	-0.09	-5.2	7
1935-08-25	Norrkoping	W 4-3	55.4	1518	1455	59.83%	23.91%	16.27%	+1.04	+3.0	6
1935-08-25	@ Orgryte	L 3-4	55.4	1455	1518	16.27%	23.91%	59.83%	-1.04	-3.0	5
1935-08-25	Sandvikens IF	W 1-0	51.3	1551	1569	51.44%	24.70%	23.86%	+0.46	+4.8	8
1935-08-25	@ Sleipner	L 0-1	51.3	1569	1551	23.86%	24.70%	51.44%	-0.46	-4.8	4
1935-09-08	Landskrona	W 3-0	46.8	1628	1594	57.00%	24.26%	18.74%	+0.83	+10.7	8
1935-09-08	@ Elfsborg	L 0-3	46.8	1594	1628	18.74%	24.26%	57.00%	-0.83	-10.7	6
1935-09-08	Sandvikens IF	D 1-1	63.3	1494	1564	45.09%	24.89%	30.02%	+0.09	-0.5	5
1935-09-08	@ GAIS	D 1-1	63.3	1564	1494	30.02%	24.89%	45.09%	-0.09	+0.5	5
1935-09-08	Sleipner	W 2-1	54.3	1550	1556	52.84%	24.62%	22.54%	+0.55	+4.3	11
1935-09-08	@ Garda	L 1-2	54.3	1556	1550	22.54%	24.62%	52.84%	-0.55	-4.3	8
1935-09-08	AIK Stockholm	L 1-3	53.5	1457	1654	28.07%	24.29%	47.64%	-0.81	-8.9	1
1935-09-08	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 3-1	53.5	1654	1457	47.64%	24.29%	28.07%	+0.81	+8.9	9
1935-09-08	Halmstad	D 2-2	64.2	1452	1515	45.86%	24.88%	29.25%	+0.14	-0.5	6
1935-09-08	@ Norrkoping	D 2-2	64.2	1515	1452	29.25%	24.88%	45.86%	-0.14	+0.5	3
1935-09-15	IFK Eskilstuna	W 3-2	53.5	1663	1448	71.09%	21.10%	7.81%	+2.11	+1.5	11
1935-09-15	@ AIK Stockholm	L 2-3	53.5	1448	1663	7.81%	21.10%	71.09%	-2.11	-1.5	1
1935-09-15	Norrkoping	D 1-1	65.3	1639	1451	69.36%	21.71%	8.92%	+1.92	-2.5	9
1935-09-15	@ Elfsborg	D 1-1	65.3	1451	1639	8.92%	21.71%	69.36%	-1.92	+2.5	7
1935-09-15	Sleipner	L 0-4	60.2	1706	1551	67.11%	22.40%	10.49%	+1.68	-40.7	10
1935-09-15	@ Goteborg	W 4-0	60.2	1551	1706	10.49%	22.40%	67.11%	-1.68	+40.7	10
1935-09-15	Orgryte	D 2-2	66.9	1516	1521	52.90%	24.61%	22.48%	+0.55	-0.9	4
1935-09-15	@ Halmstad	D 2-2	66.9	1521	1516	22.48%	24.61%	52.90%	-0.55	+0.9	7
1935-09-15	Garda	W 1-0	50.3	1583	1554	56.53%	24.31%	19.16%	+0.79	+4.0	8
1935-09-15	@ Landskrona	L 0-1	50.3	1554	1583	19.16%	24.31%	56.53%	-0.79	-4.0	11
1935-09-15	GAIS	W 4-3	58.4	1565	1494	60.51%	23.80%	15.68%	+1.09	+2.9	7
1935-09-15	@ Sandvikens IF	L 3-4	58.4	1494	1565	15.68%	23.80%	60.51%	-1.09	-2.9	5
1935-09-29	AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	62.0	1515	1664	34.14%	24.69%	41.16%	-0.47	+6.9	6
1935-09-29	@ Halmstad	L 1-2	62.0	1664	1515	41.16%	24.69%	34.14%	+0.47	-6.9	11
1935-09-29	IFK Eskilstuna	W 6-2	44.2	1587	1446	66.17%	22.65%	11.18%	+1.59	+6.2	10
1935-09-29	@ Landskrona	L 2-6	44.2	1446	1587	11.18%	22.65%	66.17%	-1.59	-6.2	1
1935-09-29	GAIS	W 1-0	45.7	1454	1491	49.17%	24.80%	26.03%	+0.32	+5.2	9
1935-09-29	@ Norrkoping	L 0-1	45.7	1491	1454	26.03%	24.80%	49.17%	-0.32	-5.2	5
1935-09-29	Elfsborg	L 2-5	59.5	1522	1636	39.07%	24.86%	36.07%	-0.22	-14.1	7
1935-09-29	@ Orgryte	W 5-2	59.5	1636	1522	36.07%	24.86%	39.07%	+0.22	+14.1	11
1935-10-06	Sandvikens IF	D 4-4	79.6	1658	1568	62.17%	23.53%	14.31%	+1.23	-1.0	12
1935-10-06	@ AIK Stockholm	D 4-4	79.6	1568	1658	14.31%	23.53%	62.17%	-1.23	+1.0	8
1935-10-06	Elfsborg	W 3-2	64.9	1550	1650	41.09%	24.89%	34.02%	-0.12	+5.7	13
1935-10-06	@ Garda	L 2-3	64.9	1650	1550	34.02%	24.89%	41.09%	+0.12	-5.7	11
1935-10-06	Halmstad	W 3-2	56.4	1440	1522	43.54%	24.90%	31.56%	+0.01	+5.4	3
1935-10-06	@ IFK Eskilstuna	L 2-3	56.4	1522	1440	31.56%	24.90%	43.54%	-0.01	-5.4	6
1935-10-06	Goteborg	W 1-0	56.6	1594	1665	44.90%	24.90%	30.21%	+0.08	+5.8	12
1935-10-06	@ Landskrona	L 0-1	56.6	1665	1594	30.21%	24.90%	44.90%	-0.08	-5.8	10
1935-10-06	Orgryte	L 1-2	65.6	1592	1508	61.70%	23.61%	14.69%	+1.19	-9.9	10
1935-10-06	@ Sleipner	W 2-1	65.6	1508	1592	14.69%	23.61%	61.70%	-1.19	+9.9	9
1935-10-13	Halmstad	W 4-2	53.8	1644	1516	65.20%	22.89%	11.91%	+1.49	+3.8	13
1935-10-13	@ Elfsborg	L 2-4	53.8	1516	1644	11.91%	22.89%	65.20%	-1.49	-3.8	6
1935-10-13	AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	54.7	1659	1657	53.74%	24.56%	21.70%	+0.61	+4.4	12
1935-10-13	@ Goteborg	L 0-1	54.7	1657	1659	21.70%	24.56%	53.74%	-0.61	-4.4	12
1935-10-13	GAIS	L 1-2	56.0	1446	1486	48.83%	24.81%	26.36%	+0.30	-8.0	3
1935-10-13	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 2-1	56.0	1486	1446	26.36%	24.81%	48.83%	-0.30	+8.0	7
1935-10-13	Landskrona	D 2-2	67.7	1459	1599	35.37%	24.75%	39.88%	-0.41	+0.1	10
1935-10-13	@ Norrkoping	D 2-2	67.7	1599	1459	39.88%	24.75%	35.37%	+0.41	-0.1	13
1935-10-13	Orgryte	L 1-3	61.8	1569	1518	58.69%	24.06%	17.25%	+0.95	-16.4	8
1935-10-13	@ Sandvikens IF	W 3-1	61.8	1518	1569	17.25%	24.06%	58.69%	-0.95	+16.4	11
1935-10-20	IFK Eskilstuna	W 1-0	42.4	1513	1438	60.88%	23.75%	15.37%	+1.12	+3.3	8
1935-10-20	@ Halmstad	L 0-1	42.4	1438	1513	15.37%	23.75%	60.88%	-1.12	-3.3	3
1935-10-20	Elfsborg	L 1-2	65.5	1599	1648	47.74%	24.85%	27.42%	+0.24	-7.8	13
1935-10-20	@ Landskrona	W 2-1	65.5	1648	1599	27.42%	24.85%	47.74%	-0.24	+7.8	15
1935-10-20	AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	61.5	1534	1652	38.52%	24.84%	36.63%	-0.25	-6.6	11
1935-10-20	@ Orgryte	W 2-1	61.5	1652	1534	36.63%	24.84%	38.52%	+0.25	+6.6	14
1935-10-20	Norrkoping	L 0-1	58.7	1552	1459	62.46%	23.47%	14.07%	+1.25	-10.6	8
1935-10-20	@ Sandvikens IF	W 1-0	58.7	1459	1552	14.07%	23.47%	62.46%	-1.25	+10.6	12
1935-10-20	Goteborg	L 2-4	65.8	1582	1663	43.59%	24.90%	31.51%	+0.01	-11.2	10
1935-10-20	@ Sleipner	W 4-2	65.8	1663	1582	31.51%	24.90%	43.59%	-0.01	+11.2	14
1935-10-27	Orgryte	W 4-1	47.9	1659	1527	65.45%	22.83%	11.72%	+1.52	+5.9	16
1935-10-27	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-4	47.9	1527	1659	11.72%	22.83%	65.45%	-1.52	-5.9	11
1935-10-27	Goteborg	W 1-0	55.6	1656	1675	51.37%	24.71%	23.92%	+0.46	+4.8	17
1935-10-27	@ Elfsborg	L 0-1	55.6	1675	1656	23.92%	24.71%	51.37%	-0.46	-4.8	14
1935-10-27	Sleipner	W 5-3	59.8	1494	1571	44.11%	24.90%	30.99%	+0.04	+8.1	9
1935-10-27	@ GAIS	L 3-5	59.8	1571	1494	30.99%	24.90%	44.11%	-0.04	-8.2	10
1935-10-27	Garda	L 0-2	48.0	1434	1556	38.02%	24.83%	37.15%	-0.27	-13.0	3
1935-10-27	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 2-0	48.0	1556	1434	37.15%	24.83%	38.02%	+0.27	+13.0	15
1935-10-27	Halmstad	W 3-0	42.6	1591	1516	60.91%	23.74%	15.35%	+1.12	+9.0	15
1935-10-27	@ Landskrona	L 0-3	42.6	1516	1591	15.35%	23.74%	60.91%	-1.12	-9.0	8
1935-10-27	Sandvikens IF	L 1-4	52.8	1470	1542	44.78%	24.90%	30.33%	+0.08	-18.2	12
1935-10-27	@ Norrkoping	W 4-1	52.8	1542	1470	30.33%	24.90%	44.78%	-0.08	+18.1	10
1935-11-03	Halmstad	D 3-3	76.0	1665	1507	67.36%	22.33%	10.31%	+1.70	-1.5	17
1935-11-03	@ AIK Stockholm	D 3-3	76.0	1507	1665	10.31%	22.33%	67.36%	-1.70	+1.5	9
1935-11-03	IFK Eskilstuna	W 7-1	40.3	1661	1421	72.53%	20.53%	6.94%	+2.28	+6.5	19
1935-11-03	@ Elfsborg	L 1-7	40.3	1421	1661	6.94%	20.53%	72.53%	-2.28	-6.5	3
1935-11-03	Sandvikens IF	L 0-1	60.7	1569	1560	54.47%	24.50%	21.03%	+0.65	-9.3	15
1935-11-03	@ Garda	W 1-0	60.7	1560	1569	21.03%	24.50%	54.47%	-0.65	+9.4	12
1935-11-03	Norrkoping	D 1-1	66.5	1670	1451	71.30%	21.02%	7.68%	+2.14	-2.7	15
1935-11-03	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	66.5	1451	1670	7.68%	21.02%	71.30%	-2.14	+2.7	13
1935-11-03	GAIS	W 5-1	44.5	1563	1502	59.61%	23.94%	16.45%	+1.02	+10.4	12
1935-11-03	@ Sleipner	L 1-5	44.5	1502	1563	16.45%	23.94%	59.61%	-1.02	-10.4	9
1935-11-10	Norrkoping	W 3-1	44.6	1491	1454	57.37%	24.22%	18.41%	+0.85	+6.3	11
1935-11-10	@ GAIS	L 1-3	44.6	1454	1491	18.41%	24.22%	57.37%	-0.85	-6.3	13
1935-11-10	Sleipner	W 4-1	50.7	1522	1573	47.39%	24.86%	27.75%	+0.22	+12.5	13
1935-11-10	@ Orgryte	L 1-4	50.7	1573	1522	27.75%	24.86%	47.39%	-0.22	-12.5	12
1936-03-29	Landskrona	D 1-1	64.7	1498	1600	40.68%	24.88%	34.43%	-0.14	-0.2	12
1936-03-29	@ GAIS	D 1-1	64.7	1600	1498	34.43%	24.88%	40.68%	+0.14	+0.2	16
1936-04-05	Halmstad	D 1-1	63.9	1560	1508	58.70%	24.06%	17.24%	+0.95	-1.7	16
1936-04-05	@ Garda	D 1-1	63.9	1508	1560	17.24%	24.06%	58.70%	-0.95	+1.6	10
1936-04-05	Sandvikens IF	L 0-2	59.4	1601	1569	56.77%	24.29%	18.94%	+0.81	-18.3	16
1936-04-05	@ Landskrona	W 2-0	59.4	1569	1601	18.94%	24.29%	56.77%	-0.81	+18.3	14
1936-04-13	Sandvikens IF	W 4-1	50.6	1667	1587	61.29%	23.68%	15.03%	+1.15	+7.4	21
1936-04-13	@ Elfsborg	L 1-4	50.6	1587	1667	15.03%	23.68%	61.29%	-1.15	-7.4	14
1936-04-13	Landskrona	W 1-0	51.4	1667	1582	61.74%	23.60%	14.66%	+1.19	+3.1	17
1936-04-13	@ Goteborg	L 0-1	51.4	1582	1667	14.66%	23.60%	61.74%	-1.19	-3.1	16
1936-04-19	Goteborg	D 1-1	67.1	1510	1670	32.73%	24.62%	42.65%	-0.55	+0.4	11
1936-04-19	@ Halmstad	D 1-1	67.1	1670	1510	42.65%	24.62%	32.73%	+0.55	-0.4	18
1936-04-19	Elfsborg	L 2-12	46.6	1415	1675	21.36%	23.47%	55.17%	-1.25	-24.4	3
1936-04-19	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 12-2	46.6	1675	1415	55.17%	23.47%	21.36%	+1.25	+24.3	23
1936-04-19	Sleipner	W 3-2	59.0	1579	1561	55.44%	24.42%	20.14%	+0.72	+3.7	18
1936-04-19	@ Landskrona	L 2-3	59.0	1561	1579	20.14%	24.42%	55.44%	-0.72	-3.7	12
1936-04-19	AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	48.4	1448	1663	25.99%	24.09%	49.93%	-0.94	-9.6	13
1936-04-19	@ Norrkoping	W 2-0	48.4	1663	1448	49.93%	24.09%	25.99%	+0.94	+9.6	19
1936-04-19	Sandvikens IF	W 2-1	56.0	1534	1580	48.10%	24.84%	27.06%	+0.26	+5.0	15
1936-04-19	@ Orgryte	L 1-2	56.0	1580	1534	27.06%	24.84%	48.10%	-0.26	-5.0	14
1936-04-26	GAIS	W 2-0	44.5	1673	1498	68.56%	21.97%	9.47%	+1.83	+3.9	21
1936-04-26	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	44.5	1498	1673	9.47%	21.97%	68.56%	-1.83	-3.9	12
1936-04-26	Norrkoping	W 3-1	44.3	1558	1438	64.59%	23.03%	12.38%	+1.44	+4.4	18
1936-04-26	@ Garda	L 1-3	44.3	1438	1558	12.38%	23.03%	64.59%	-1.44	-4.4	13
1936-04-26	Elfsborg	D 1-1	70.0	1670	1699	50.15%	24.76%	25.08%	+0.38	-1.0	19
1936-04-26	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	70.0	1699	1670	25.08%	24.76%	50.15%	-0.38	+0.9	24
1936-04-26	Orgryte	D 0-0	55.4	1391	1539	34.29%	24.70%	41.01%	-0.46	+0.3	4
1936-04-26	@ IFK Eskilstuna	D 0-0	55.4	1539	1391	41.01%	24.70%	34.29%	+0.46	-0.3	16
1936-04-26	Landskrona	W 1-0	52.1	1575	1583	52.61%	24.63%	22.76%	+0.53	+4.6	16
1936-04-26	@ Sandvikens IF	L 0-1	52.1	1583	1575	22.76%	24.63%	52.61%	-0.53	-4.6	18
1936-04-26	Halmstad	W 1-0	47.5	1557	1510	58.26%	24.12%	17.63%	+0.92	+3.7	14
1936-04-26	@ Sleipner	L 0-1	47.5	1510	1557	17.63%	24.12%	58.26%	-0.92	-3.7	11
1936-05-01	GAIS	L 1-3	61.1	1562	1494	60.32%	23.83%	15.84%	+1.08	-16.8	18
1936-05-01	@ Garda	W 3-1	61.1	1494	1562	15.84%	23.83%	60.32%	-1.08	+16.8	14
1936-05-03	Garda	W 2-1	53.6	1677	1546	65.43%	22.84%	11.73%	+1.52	+2.4	23
1936-05-03	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	53.6	1546	1677	11.73%	22.84%	65.43%	-1.52	-2.4	18
1936-05-03	Sandvikens IF	D 2-2	73.2	1669	1580	62.11%	23.54%	14.35%	+1.22	-1.4	20
1936-05-03	@ Goteborg	D 2-2	73.2	1580	1669	14.35%	23.54%	62.11%	-1.22	+1.4	17
1936-05-03	IFK Eskilstuna	D 2-2	59.9	1434	1391	57.91%	24.16%	17.93%	+0.89	-1.2	14
1936-05-03	@ Norrkoping	D 2-2	59.9	1391	1434	17.93%	24.16%	57.91%	-0.89	+1.2	5
1936-05-03	Landskrona	L 0-2	55.7	1539	1578	48.91%	24.81%	26.28%	+0.31	-16.0	16
1936-05-03	@ Orgryte	W 2-0	55.7	1578	1539	26.28%	24.81%	48.91%	-0.31	+16.0	20
1936-05-06	Norrkoping	W 5-0	36.0	1561	1433	65.22%	22.89%	11.89%	+1.50	+11.4	16
1936-05-06	@ Sleipner	L 0-5	36.0	1433	1561	11.89%	22.89%	65.22%	-1.50	-11.4	14
1936-05-08	Orgryte	D 0-0	64.8	1668	1523	66.45%	22.58%	10.97%	+1.61	-2.6	21
1936-05-08	@ Goteborg	D 0-0	64.8	1523	1668	10.97%	22.58%	66.45%	-1.61	+2.6	17
1936-05-10	Garda	D 1-1	69.1	1700	1543	67.30%	22.35%	10.35%	+1.70	-2.4	25
1936-05-10	@ Elfsborg	D 1-1	69.1	1543	1700	10.35%	22.35%	67.30%	-1.70	+2.4	19
1936-05-10	AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	52.4	1510	1679	31.64%	24.56%	43.80%	-0.60	-11.3	14
1936-05-10	@ GAIS	W 2-0	52.4	1679	1510	43.80%	24.56%	31.64%	+0.60	+11.3	25
1936-05-10	Halmstad	W 4-1	46.5	1581	1507	60.82%	23.76%	15.42%	+1.12	+7.6	19
1936-05-10	@ Sandvikens IF	L 1-4	46.5	1507	1581	15.42%	23.76%	60.82%	-1.12	-7.6	11
1936-05-10	IFK Eskilstuna	W 2-0	37.5	1572	1392	68.89%	21.87%	9.25%	+1.86	+3.8	18
1936-05-10	@ Sleipner	L 0-2	37.5	1392	1572	9.25%	21.87%	68.89%	-1.86	-3.8	5
1936-05-13	Goteborg	W 1-0	57.6	1546	1665	38.34%	24.84%	36.82%	-0.26	+6.7	21
1936-05-13	@ Garda	L 0-1	57.6	1665	1546	36.82%	24.84%	38.34%	+0.26	-6.7	21
1936-05-15	Orgryte	W 1-0	48.3	1499	1525	50.49%	24.75%	24.76%	+0.40	+4.9	16
1936-05-15	@ GAIS	L 0-1	48.3	1525	1499	24.76%	24.75%	50.49%	-0.40	-4.9	17
1936-05-17	Sleipner	W 3-2	59.2	1690	1576	64.15%	23.13%	12.72%	+1.40	+2.5	27
1936-05-17	@ AIK Stockholm	L 2-3	59.2	1576	1690	12.72%	23.13%	64.15%	-1.40	-2.5	18
1936-05-17	Halmstad	W 3-0	42.1	1658	1499	67.47%	22.30%	10.23%	+1.72	+6.1	23
1936-05-17	@ Goteborg	L 0-3	42.1	1499	1658	10.23%	22.30%	67.47%	-1.72	-6.1	11
1936-05-17	Elfsborg	D 3-3	74.3	1421	1698	19.81%	23.20%	56.99%	-1.37	+0.9	15
1936-05-17	@ Norrkoping	D 3-3	74.3	1698	1421	56.99%	23.20%	19.81%	+1.37	-0.9	26
1936-05-17	IFK Eskilstuna	W 1-0	40.6	1589	1388	70.20%	21.43%	8.38%	+2.01	+1.8	21
1936-05-17	@ Sandvikens IF	L 0-1	40.6	1388	1589	8.38%	21.43%	70.20%	-2.01	-1.8	5
1936-05-21	GAIS	W 2-0	44.9	1697	1504	69.70%	21.60%	8.70%	+1.95	+3.6	28
1936-05-21	@ Elfsborg	L 0-2	44.9	1504	1697	8.70%	21.60%	69.70%	-1.95	-3.6	16
1936-05-21	Landskrona	L 1-5	57.0	1552	1594	48.61%	24.82%	26.57%	+0.29	-25.1	21
1936-05-21	@ Garda	W 5-1	57.0	1594	1552	26.57%	24.82%	48.61%	-0.29	+25.1	22
1936-05-21	Sandvikens IF	W 2-1	57.0	1493	1591	41.38%	24.89%	33.72%	-0.10	+5.9	13
1936-05-21	@ Halmstad	L 1-2	57.0	1591	1493	33.72%	24.89%	41.38%	+0.10	-5.9	21
1936-05-21	Norrkoping	D 1-1	55.0	1386	1422	49.36%	24.80%	25.84%	+0.34	-0.9	6
1936-05-21	@ IFK Eskilstuna	D 1-1	55.0	1422	1386	25.84%	24.80%	49.36%	-0.34	+0.9	16
1936-05-21	AIK Stockholm	D 3-3	77.2	1573	1693	38.36%	24.84%	36.80%	-0.26	-0.0	19
1936-05-21	@ Sleipner	D 3-3	77.2	1693	1573	36.80%	24.84%	38.36%	+0.26	+0.0	28
1936-05-24	Goteborg	W 4-0	47.7	1693	1664	56.46%	24.32%	19.22%	+0.79	+14.3	30
1936-05-24	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-4	47.7	1664	1693	19.22%	24.32%	56.46%	-0.79	-14.3	23
1936-05-24	Orgryte	W 4-1	47.7	1700	1520	68.87%	21.87%	9.26%	+1.86	+4.7	30
1936-05-24	@ Elfsborg	L 1-4	47.7	1520	1700	9.26%	21.87%	68.87%	-1.86	-4.7	17
1936-05-24	IFK Eskilstuna	D 0-0	55.5	1527	1385	66.22%	22.64%	11.14%	+1.59	-2.5	22
1936-05-24	@ Garda	D 0-0	55.5	1385	1527	11.14%	22.64%	66.22%	-1.59	+2.5	7
1936-05-24	Landskrona	W 3-1	56.5	1499	1619	38.20%	24.84%	36.96%	-0.26	+11.0	15
1936-05-24	@ Halmstad	L 1-3	56.5	1619	1499	36.96%	24.84%	38.20%	+0.26	-11.0	22
1936-05-24	Sleipner	W 2-1	55.3	1585	1573	54.68%	24.48%	20.84%	+0.67	+4.0	23
1936-05-24	@ Sandvikens IF	L 1-2	55.3	1573	1585	20.84%	24.48%	54.68%	-0.67	-4.0	19
1936-05-29	GAIS	W 3-0	42.2	1650	1501	66.79%	22.49%	10.72%	+1.65	+6.4	25
1936-05-29	@ Goteborg	L 0-3	42.2	1501	1650	10.72%	22.49%	66.79%	-1.65	-6.4	16
1936-06-01	Elfsborg	L 2-3	73.5	1707	1705	53.70%	24.56%	21.74%	+0.60	-8.2	30
1936-06-01	@ AIK Stockholm	W 3-2	73.5	1705	1707	21.74%	24.56%	53.70%	-0.60	+8.2	32
1936-06-01	Sandvikens IF	L 0-1	47.3	1388	1589	27.68%	24.26%	48.06%	-0.83	-5.4	7
1936-06-01	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 1-0	47.3	1589	1388	48.06%	24.26%	27.68%	+0.83	+5.4	25
1936-06-01	Norrkoping	W 5-0	36.2	1608	1423	69.23%	21.76%	9.01%	+1.90	+8.7	24
1936-06-01	@ Landskrona	L 0-5	36.2	1423	1608	9.01%	21.76%	69.23%	-1.90	-8.7	16
1936-06-01	Halmstad	W 4-0	40.6	1516	1510	54.10%	24.53%	21.37%	+0.63	+15.7	19
1936-06-01	@ Orgryte	L 0-4	40.6	1510	1516	21.37%	24.53%	54.10%	-0.63	-15.7	15
1936-06-01	Garda	L 1-2	64.5	1569	1525	58.08%	24.14%	17.78%	+0.91	-9.4	19
1936-06-01	@ Sleipner	W 2-1	64.5	1525	1569	17.78%	24.14%	58.08%	-0.91	+9.4	24
1936-06-07	AIK Stockholm	W 4-1	54.1	1713	1699	55.02%	24.45%	20.53%	+0.69	+9.8	34
1936-06-07	@ Elfsborg	L 1-4	54.1	1699	1713	20.53%	24.45%	55.02%	-0.69	-9.8	30
1936-06-07	IFK Eskilstuna	W 3-1	40.3	1494	1383	63.93%	23.18%	12.89%	+1.38	+4.6	18
1936-06-07	@ GAIS	L 1-3	40.3	1383	1494	12.89%	23.18%	63.93%	-1.38	-4.6	7
1936-06-07	Sleipner	W 4-2	56.3	1494	1560	45.61%	24.89%	29.50%	+0.12	+8.3	17
1936-06-07	@ Halmstad	L 2-4	56.3	1560	1494	29.50%	24.89%	45.61%	-0.12	-8.3	19
1936-06-07	Orgryte	L 1-2	67.1	1617	1531	61.79%	23.59%	14.61%	+1.19	-9.9	24
1936-06-07	@ Landskrona	W 2-1	67.1	1531	1617	14.61%	23.59%	61.79%	-1.19	+9.9	21
1936-06-07	Goteborg	W 5-1	55.7	1414	1656	23.11%	23.73%	53.16%	-1.13	+27.0	18
1936-06-07	@ Norrkoping	L 1-5	55.7	1656	1414	53.16%	23.73%	23.11%	+1.13	-27.0	25
1936-06-07	Garda	W 3-1	50.4	1594	1534	59.52%	23.95%	16.53%	+1.01	+5.7	27
1936-06-07	@ Sandvikens IF	L 1-3	50.4	1534	1594	16.53%	23.95%	59.52%	-1.01	-5.7	24

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1935-09-15	10.49%	Sleipner	1551	4	@ Goteborg	1706	0
2	1935-08-04	13.02%	Norrkoping	1441	4	@ Halmstad	1550	1
3	1935-10-20	14.07%	Norrkoping	1459	1	@ Sandvikens IF	1552	0
4	1936-06-07	14.61%	Orgryte	1531	2	@ Landskrona	1617	1
5	1935-10-06	14.69%	Orgryte	1508	2	@ Sleipner	1592	1
6	1936-05-01	15.84%	GAIS	1494	3	@ Garda	1562	1
7	1935-10-13	17.25%	Orgryte	1518	3	@ Sandvikens IF	1569	1
8	1936-06-01	17.78%	Garda	1525	2	@ Sleipner	1569	1
9	1936-04-05	18.94%	Sandvikens IF	1569	2	@ Landskrona	1601	0
10	1935-11-03	21.03%	Sandvikens IF	1560	1	@ Garda	1569	0
11	1935-07-31	21.50%	Garda	1520	1	@ Orgryte	1524	0
12	1936-06-01	21.74%	Elfsborg	1705	3	@ AIK Stockholm	1707	2
13	1936-06-07	23.11%	@ Norrkoping	1414	5	Goteborg	1656	1
14	1935-08-25	23.74%	Garda	1541	1	@ Halmstad	1524	0
15	1936-05-03	26.28%	Landskrona	1578	2	@ Orgryte	1539	0
16	1935-10-13	26.36%	GAIS	1486	2	@ IFK Eskilstuna	1446	1
17	1936-05-21	26.57%	Landskrona	1594	5	@ Garda	1552	1
18	1935-10-20	27.42%	Elfsborg	1648	2	@ Landskrona	1599	1
19	1935-07-28	29.42%	Elfsborg	1623	2	@ Halmstad	1558	1
20	1935-10-27	30.33%	Sandvikens IF	1542	4	@ Norrkoping	1470	1
21	1935-08-14	31.27%	Sleipner	1545	3	@ Norrkoping	1465	2
22	1935-10-20	31.51%	Goteborg	1663	4	@ Sleipner	1582	2
23	1935-08-11	32.41%	Landskrona	1573	5	@ IFK Eskilstuna	1485	2
24	1935-09-29	34.14%	@ Halmstad	1515	2	AIK Stockholm	1664	1
25	1935-08-02	34.53%	Goteborg	1652	5	@ GAIS	1549	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1935-09-15	40.72	Sleipner	4	1551	10.49%	@ Goteborg	0	1706	67.11%	22.40%
2	1935-08-02	31.99	Goteborg	5	1652	34.53%	@ GAIS	0	1549	40.59%	24.88%
3	1936-06-07	27.01	@ Norrkoping	5	1414	23.11%	Goteborg	1	1656	53.16%	23.73%
4	1936-05-21	25.14	Landskrona	5	1594	26.57%	@ Garda	1	1552	48.61%	24.82%
5	1935-08-04	25.06	Norrkoping	4	1441	13.02%	@ Halmstad	1	1550	63.76%	23.21%
6	1936-04-19	24.35	Elfsborg	12	1675	55.17%	@ IFK Eskilstuna	2	1415	21.36%	23.47%
7	1935-07-28	20.35	@ Norrkoping	5	1420	37.65%	Orgryte	1	1544	37.53%	24.82%
8	1936-04-05	18.31	Sandvikens IF	2	1569	18.94%	@ Landskrona	0	1601	56.77%	24.29%
9	1935-10-27	18.15	Sandvikens IF	4	1542	30.33%	@ Norrkoping	1	1470	44.78%	24.90%
10	1936-05-01	16.80	GAIS	3	1494	15.84%	@ Garda	1	1562	60.32%	23.83%
11	1935-10-13	16.37	Orgryte	3	1518	17.25%	@ Sandvikens IF	1	1569	58.69%	24.06%
12	1936-05-03	15.99	Landskrona	2	1578	26.28%	@ Orgryte	0	1539	48.91%	24.81%
13	1935-08-09	15.79	@ Orgryte	4	1521	53.90%	GAIS	0	1517	21.55%	24.54%
14	1936-06-01	15.68	@ Orgryte	4	1516	54.10%	Halmstad	0	1510	21.37%	24.53%
15	1935-08-11	15.11	Landskrona	5	1573	32.41%	@ IFK Eskilstuna	2	1485	42.68%	24.90%
16	1936-05-24	14.33	@ AIK Stockholm	4	1693	56.46%	Goteborg	0	1664	19.22%	24.32%
17	1935-09-29	14.08	Elfsborg	5	1636	36.07%	@ Orgryte	2	1522	39.07%	24.86%
18	1935-10-27	13.00	Garda	2	1556	37.15%	@ IFK Eskilstuna	0	1434	38.02%	24.83%
19	1935-11-10	12.52	@ Orgryte	4	1522	47.39%	Sleipner	1	1573	27.75%	24.86%
20	1935-07-28	11.72	AIK Stockholm	3	1639	35.11%	@ Garda	1	1531	40.02%	24.87%
21	1936-05-06	11.40	@ Sleipner	5	1561	65.22%	Norrkoping	0	1433	11.89%	22.89%
22	1936-05-10	11.27	AIK Stockholm	2	1679	43.80%	@ GAIS	0	1510	31.64%	24.56%
23	1935-10-20	11.23	Goteborg	4	1663	31.51%	@ Sleipner	2	1582	43.59%	24.90%
24	1936-05-24	11.02	@ Halmstad	3	1499	38.20%	Landskrona	1	1619	36.96%	24.84%
25	1935-09-08	10.73	@ Elfsborg	3	1628	57.00%	Landskrona	0	1594	18.74%	24.26%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1935-10-06	79.6	@ AIK Stockholm	4	1658	62.17%	Sandvikens IF	4	1568	14.31%	23.53%
2	1936-05-21	77.2	@ Sleipner	3	1573	38.36%	AIK Stockholm	3	1693	36.80%	24.84%
3	1935-08-11	76.4	@ Sandvikens IF	3	1564	42.20%	AIK Stockholm	3	1655	32.90%	24.90%
4	1935-11-03	76.0	@ AIK Stockholm	3	1665	67.36%	Halmstad	3	1507	10.31%	22.33%
5	1935-08-18	74.4	@ Sleipner	3	1551	49.21%	Landskrona	3	1588	25.99%	24.80%
6	1936-05-17	74.3	@ Norrkoping	3	1421	19.81%	Elfsborg	3	1698	56.99%	23.20%
7	1936-06-01	73.5	Elfsborg	3	1705	21.74%	@ AIK Stockholm	2	1707	53.70%	24.56%
8	1936-05-03	73.2	@ Goteborg	2	1669	62.11%	Sandvikens IF	2	1580	14.35%	23.54%
9	1936-04-26	70.0	@ Goteborg	1	1670	50.15%	Elfsborg	1	1699	25.08%	24.76%
10	1936-05-10	69.1	@ Elfsborg	1	1700	67.30%	Garda	1	1543	10.35%	22.35%
11	1935-07-28	67.8	@ Sandvikens IF	1	1564	42.74%	Goteborg	1	1652	32.36%	24.90%
12	1935-10-13	67.7	@ Norrkoping	2	1459	35.37%	Landskrona	2	1599	39.88%	24.75%
13	1936-04-19	67.1	@ Halmstad	1	1510	32.73%	Goteborg	1	1670	42.65%	24.62%
14	1936-06-07	67.1	Orgryte	2	1531	14.61%	@ Landskrona	1	1617	61.79%	23.59%
15	1935-09-15	66.9	@ Halmstad	2	1516	52.90%	Orgryte	2	1521	22.48%	24.61%
16	1935-08-11	66.5	@ GAIS	2	1501	50.77%	Halmstad	2	1525	24.49%	24.74%
17	1935-11-03	66.5	@ Goteborg	1	1670	71.30%	Norrkoping	1	1451	7.68%	21.02%
18	1935-10-20	65.8	Goteborg	4	1663	31.51%	@ Sleipner	2	1582	43.59%	24.90%
19	1935-07-28	65.7	@ Landskrona	1	1580	56.86%	GAIS	1	1547	18.87%	24.28%
20	1935-10-06	65.6	Orgryte	2	1508	14.69%	@ Sleipner	1	1592	61.70%	23.61%
21	1935-10-20	65.5	Elfsborg	2	1648	27.42%	@ Landskrona	1	1599	47.74%	24.85%
22	1935-08-11	65.4	@ Norrkoping	2	1466	45.58%	Garda	2	1532	29.53%	24.89%
23	1935-08-07	65.3	@ Goteborg	0	1684	67.19%	Garda	0	1529	10.43%	22.38%
24	1935-09-15	65.3	@ Elfsborg	1	1639	69.36%	Norrkoping	1	1451	8.92%	21.71%
25	1935-10-06	64.9	@ Garda	3	1550	41.09%	Elfsborg	2	1650	34.02%	24.89%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1936-05-06	36.0	@ Sleipner	5	1561	65.22%	Norrkoping	0	1433	11.89%	22.89%
2	1936-06-01	36.2	@ Landskrona	5	1608	69.23%	Norrkoping	0	1423	9.01%	21.76%
3	1936-05-10	37.5	@ Sleipner	2	1572	68.89%	IFK Eskilstuna	0	1392	9.25%	21.87%
4	1935-11-03	40.3	@ Elfsborg	7	1661	72.53%	IFK Eskilstuna	1	1421	6.94%	20.53%
5	1936-06-07	40.3	@ GAIS	3	1494	63.93%	IFK Eskilstuna	1	1383	12.89%	23.18%
6	1936-05-17	40.6	@ Sandvikens IF	1	1589	70.20%	IFK Eskilstuna	0	1388	8.38%	21.43%
7	1936-06-01	40.6	@ Orgryte	4	1516	54.10%	Halmstad	0	1510	21.37%	24.53%
8	1935-08-09	41.1	@ Orgryte	4	1521	53.90%	GAIS	0	1517	21.55%	24.54%
9	1936-05-17	42.1	@ Goteborg	3	1658	67.47%	Halmstad	0	1499	10.23%	22.30%
10	1936-05-29	42.2	@ Goteborg	3	1650	66.79%	GAIS	0	1501	10.72%	22.49%
11	1935-10-20	42.4	@ Halmstad	1	1513	60.88%	IFK Eskilstuna	0	1438	15.37%	23.75%
12	1935-10-27	42.6	@ Landskrona	3	1591	60.91%	Halmstad	0	1516	15.35%	23.74%
13	1935-09-29	44.2	@ Landskrona	6	1587	66.17%	IFK Eskilstuna	2	1446	11.18%	22.65%
14	1936-04-26	44.3	@ Garda	3	1558	64.59%	Norrkoping	1	1438	12.38%	23.03%
15	1935-11-03	44.5	@ Sleipner	5	1563	59.61%	GAIS	1	1502	16.45%	23.94%
16	1936-04-26	44.5	@ AIK Stockholm	2	1673	68.56%	GAIS	0	1498	9.47%	21.97%
17	1935-11-10	44.6	@ GAIS	3	1491	57.37%	Norrkoping	1	1454	18.41%	24.22%
18	1936-05-21	44.9	@ Elfsborg	2	1697	69.70%	GAIS	0	1504	8.70%	21.60%
19	1935-08-23	45.4	@ Garda	2	1533	54.21%	Orgryte	0	1526	21.27%	24.52%
20	1935-08-18	45.5	@ Goteborg	4	1692	71.50%	IFK Eskilstuna	1	1470	7.56%	20.94%
21	1935-09-29	45.7	@ Norrkoping	1	1454	49.17%	GAIS	0	1491	26.03%	24.80%
22	1936-05-10	46.5	@ Sandvikens IF	4	1581	60.82%	Halmstad	1	1507	15.42%	23.76%
23	1936-04-19	46.6	Elfsborg	12	1675	55.17%	@ IFK Eskilstuna	2	1415	21.36%	23.47%
24	1935-09-08	46.8	@ Elfsborg	3	1628	57.00%	Landskrona	0	1594	18.74%	24.26%
25	1936-06-01	47.3	Sandvikens IF	1	1589	48.06%	@ IFK Eskilstuna	0	1388	27.68%	24.26%