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1934-35 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Goteborg

33 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Landskrona

7.03 points above expected

22 points · 14.97 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Gefle

10.58 points below expected

8 points · 18.58 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Goteborg 22 15 3 4 33 48 22 +26 27.55 +5.45
2 AIK Stockholm 22 11 6 5 28 59 28 +31 26.40 +1.60
3 Elfsborg 22 13 2 7 28 59 43 +16 22.57 +5.43
4 Sandvikens IF 22 12 4 6 28 46 46 0 21.48 +6.52
5 GAIS 22 10 4 8 24 44 49 -5 25.12 -1.12
6 Landskrona 22 10 2 10 22 47 47 0 14.97 +7.03
7 Sleipner 22 9 3 10 21 55 49 +6 20.95 +0.05
8 Orgryte 22 9 2 11 20 40 42 -2 22.37 -2.37
9 Halmstad 22 7 5 10 19 33 39 -6 23.97 -4.97
10 IFK Eskilstuna 22 7 4 11 18 37 52 -15 18.58 -0.58
11 Helsingborg 22 5 5 12 15 40 49 -9 21.46 -6.46
12 Gefle 22 2 4 16 8 37 79 -42 18.58 -10.58

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Landskrona 22 14.97 +7.03
2 Sandvikens IF 28 21.48 +6.52
3 Goteborg 33 27.55 +5.45
4 Elfsborg 28 22.57 +5.43
5 AIK Stockholm 28 26.40 +1.60

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gefle 8 18.58 -10.58
2 Helsingborg 15 21.46 -6.46
3 Halmstad 19 23.97 -4.97
4 Orgryte 20 22.37 -2.37
5 GAIS 24 25.12 -1.12

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Landskrona 4 May 19 – Jun 10 1 in 461
2 Goteborg 5 Jul 29 – Aug 26 1 in 52
3 Sandvikens IF 4 Aug 8 – Aug 26 1 in 34
4 Elfsborg 4 May 12 – Jun 10 1 in 27
5 Halmstad 2 Sep 2 – Sep 9 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gefle 9 Sep 30 – May 8 1 in 251
2 Orgryte 5 Apr 22 – May 17 1 in 71
3 Helsingborg 3 Jul 29 – Aug 12 1 in 35
4 GAIS 3 Aug 26 – Sep 9 1 in 20
5 AIK Stockholm 2 Sep 2 – Sep 9 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Landskrona 4 May 19 – Jun 10 1 in 38
2 Helsingborg 4 Apr 28 – May 19 1 in 29
3 Sandvikens IF 6 May 8 – Jun 10 1 in 28
4 AIK Stockholm 8 Oct 28 – May 19 1 in 15
5 GAIS 4 Sep 16 – Oct 21 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Helsingborg 7 Aug 26 – Oct 28 1 in 112
2 Orgryte 7 Mar 31 – May 30 1 in 70
3 Gefle 14 Sep 30 – Jun 10 1 in 68
4 AIK Stockholm 4 May 19 – Jun 10 1 in 38
5 IFK Eskilstuna 6 May 12 – Jun 10 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Goteborg 1723 33 +39 8 6.7 +1.3
Sandvikens IF 1578 28 +45 8 5.2 +2.8
Elfsborg 1676 28 +70 8 4.9 +3.1
AIK Stockholm 1690 28 -37 4 6.9 -2.9
GAIS 1548 24 -81 5 6.1 -1.1
Landskrona 1601 22 +120 8 3.2 +4.8
Sleipner 1534 21 -27 3 4.9 -1.9
Orgryte 1542 20 -16 5 5.4 -0.4
Halmstad 1564 19 -72 2 5.4 -3.4
IFK Eskilstuna 1456 18 -42 2 4.9 -2.9
Helsingborg 1551 15 -3 4 3.6 +0.4
Gefle 1361 8 -27 2 3.0 -1.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS ELF GAI GEF GOT HAL HEL IE LAN ORG SI SLE
AIK Stockholm —
1-0-1
3.41
1-1-0
2.66
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
2.48
0-1-1
3.24
0-2-0
3.95
1-0-1
3.96
1-0-1
3.65
2-0-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.76
1-1-0
3.66
Elfsborg
1-0-1
2.24
—
0-0-2
2.51
2-0-0
4.15
1-0-1
2.32
1-1-0
2.49
2-0-0
2.73
1-1-0
3.23
2-0-0
3.54
2-0-0
2.99
0-0-2
2.53
1-0-1
3.01
GAIS
0-1-1
2.99
2-0-0
3.13
—
1-1-0
3.91
0-0-2
2.71
0-0-2
3.46
1-1-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.38
0-0-2
4.21
2-0-0
3.12
0-1-1
3.21
2-0-0
2.93
Gefle
0-1-1
2.33
0-0-2
1.51
0-1-1
1.74
—
0-0-2
1.46
1-0-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.03
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
3.07
0-0-2
2.33
0-0-2
2.45
0-0-2
2.74
Goteborg
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
2.94
2-0-0
4.21
—
2-0-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.79
1-0-1
4.05
1-1-0
4.40
2-0-0
3.48
1-1-0
3.46
1-0-1
3.51
Halmstad
1-1-0
2.41
0-1-1
3.16
2-0-0
2.19
1-0-1
3.18
0-0-2
2.45
—
0-0-2
3.36
1-0-1
3.37
2-0-0
4.22
0-1-1
3.08
0-1-1
3.26
0-1-1
3.12
Helsingborg
0-2-0
1.71
0-0-2
2.93
0-1-1
2.45
1-1-0
3.62
0-1-1
1.87
2-0-0
2.29
—
0-0-2
3.12
1-0-1
3.72
0-0-2
2.49
0-0-2
3.03
1-0-1
2.85
IFK Eskilstuna
1-0-1
1.69
0-1-1
2.42
0-0-2
2.27
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
1.61
1-0-1
2.28
2-0-0
2.53
—
0-0-2
3.31
0-1-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.52
Landskrona
1-0-1
2.00
0-0-2
2.11
2-0-0
1.45
1-1-0
2.59
0-1-1
1.26
0-0-2
1.44
1-0-1
1.94
2-0-0
2.33
—
1-0-1
1.80
1-0-1
1.63
1-0-1
2.32
Orgryte
0-0-2
2.24
0-0-2
2.66
0-0-2
2.53
2-0-0
3.32
0-0-2
2.17
1-1-0
2.57
2-0-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.10
1-0-1
3.85
—
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
3.04
Sandvikens IF
0-0-2
1.89
2-0-0
3.12
1-1-0
2.44
2-0-0
3.19
0-1-1
2.19
1-1-0
2.39
2-0-0
2.61
1-1-0
3.22
1-0-1
4.03
1-0-1
3.05
—
1-0-1
2.94
Sleipner
0-1-1
1.99
1-0-1
2.64
0-0-2
2.72
2-0-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.14
1-1-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.33
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.71
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.42 +5.1
Allowed 0.69 -4.1
Differential 0.80 +3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.27%3.41%3.03%3.03%2.65%1.52%15.91%
13.41%6.06%6.82%6.06%3.41%3.41%29.17%
23.03%6.82%4.55%2.27%1.52%3.03%21.21%
33.03%6.06%2.27%3.79%0.38%0.76%16.29%
42.65%3.41%1.52%0.38%—0.38%8.33%
5+1.52%3.41%3.03%0.76%0.38%—9.09%
Total15.91%29.17%21.21%16.29%8.33%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.06 2.06 +0.00
SD 1.68 1.68 2.61
CV 0.81 0.81 —
Max 8 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
1—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
2——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
39.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
44.55%13.64%————18.18%
5+—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
Total18.18%50.00%18.18%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.68 1.27 +1.41
SD 2.15 0.94 2.46
CV 0.80 0.73 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
1—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
24.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
34.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
44.55%——4.55%——9.09%
5+—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
Total13.64%40.91%13.64%13.64%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.68 1.95 +0.73
SD 1.78 1.70 2.78
CV 0.66 0.87 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————4.55%4.55%9.09%
1—9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
24.55%18.18%———9.09%31.82%
3—9.09%—9.09%——18.18%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+———————
Total13.64%40.91%9.09%13.64%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.23 -0.23
SD 1.20 2.09 2.83
CV 0.60 0.94 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—————4.55%4.55%
1—4.55%9.09%18.18%9.09%9.09%50.00%
2——9.09%—4.55%9.09%22.73%
3—4.55%—4.55%—9.09%18.18%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total—13.64%18.18%22.73%13.64%31.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 3.59 -1.91
SD 0.99 1.87 2.16
CV 0.59 0.52 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 1 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
118.18%4.55%4.55%———27.27%
29.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
39.09%—————9.09%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
Total45.45%22.73%18.18%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.00 +1.18
SD 1.76 1.11 1.89
CV 0.81 1.11 —
Max 7 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
1—4.55%—13.64%——18.18%
2—18.18%9.09%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
34.55%—————4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%31.82%18.18%22.73%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.77 -0.27
SD 1.50 1.38 2.23
CV 1.00 0.78 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
14.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%40.91%
2——4.55%9.09%4.55%—18.18%
3—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%———4.55%—9.09%
Total13.64%27.27%13.64%18.18%22.73%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.23 -0.41
SD 1.47 1.54 2.17
CV 0.81 0.69 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
1—4.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%31.82%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
3——13.64%9.09%——22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total4.55%18.18%40.91%18.18%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 2.36 -0.68
SD 1.43 1.33 2.17
CV 0.85 0.56 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————9.09%4.55%13.64%
14.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%—9.09%36.36%
29.09%—4.55%——4.55%18.18%
34.55%13.64%————18.18%
4———————
5+9.09%—4.55%———13.64%
Total27.27%18.18%22.73%4.55%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 2.14 +0.00
SD 2.01 2.03 3.44
CV 0.94 0.95 —
Max 8 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—9.09%——18.18%
19.09%—9.09%9.09%9.09%—36.36%
2—13.64%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+—13.64%————13.64%
Total9.09%40.91%18.18%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.91 -0.09
SD 1.76 1.34 2.51
CV 0.97 0.70 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%——4.55%—4.55%18.18%
14.55%4.55%—9.09%—9.09%27.27%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
34.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
4——9.09%———9.09%
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total22.73%18.18%27.27%18.18%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 2.09 +0.00
SD 1.60 1.93 2.71
CV 0.77 0.92 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
1—4.55%13.64%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
2—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
44.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
5+—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
Total4.55%27.27%36.36%18.18%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 2.23 +0.27
SD 1.97 1.41 2.57
CV 0.79 0.63 —
Max 7 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Goteborg 1723 33 27.55 +5.45 94.0% 19 22 24 28 30 34 37
AIK Stockholm 1690 28 26.40 +1.60 69.0% 17 19 23 26 29 34 37
Elfsborg 1676 28 22.57 +5.43 97.0% 16 18 20 22 25 28 30
Landskrona 1601 22 14.97 +7.03 96.0% 6 8 12 14 18 21 27
Sandvikens IF 1578 28 21.48 +6.52 95.0% 12 15 19 21 24 27 31
Halmstad 1564 19 23.97 -4.97 14.0% 15 17 21 24 27 30 38
Helsingborg 1551 15 21.46 -6.46 6.0% 8 14 19 21 24 27 30
GAIS 1548 24 25.12 -1.12 44.0% 11 18 22 25 28 32 35
Orgryte 1542 20 22.37 -2.37 31.0% 12 17 20 23 25 28 30
Sleipner 1534 21 20.95 +0.05 56.0% 12 15 18 21 23 28 31
IFK Eskilstuna 1456 18 18.58 -0.58 50.0% 10 12 16 18 21 25 26
Gefle 1361 8 18.58 -10.58 0.0% 10 13 16 18 21 25 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+24.24%
Strong Edge
53.79%16.67%29.55%
Elo Value
Home Edge
180 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
085.94500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.58 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.48+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.4
Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
34%
Goteborg, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.16 * Some Luck: 3.16 to 4.73 * Lucky: 4.73 to 6.31 * Wild Swing: 6.31 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.77 * Close: 1.77 to 2.66 * Off: 2.66 to 3.54 * Way Off: 3.54 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.32 points
Lucky
03.9410
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.25
Close
02.225
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Elfsborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Gefle
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Top-Heavy
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 99.78
1.59
Moderate Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
61%
Even
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Strong Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
43%
Few
0%43%100%
Blowouts
Expected
36%
Very Frequent
0%34%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Lopsided
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.96
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.01
Weak Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Very Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.90
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.63
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.087
Well Within Noise
00.1330.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Goteborg34.00%24.00%9.00%11.00%12.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%————
AIK Stockholm25.00%24.00%11.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%1.00%4.00%5.00%—1.00%—
Elfsborg2.00%7.00%16.00%12.00%9.00%12.00%12.00%9.00%7.00%11.00%1.00%2.00%
Sandvikens IF1.00%5.00%9.00%10.00%6.00%12.00%11.00%12.00%12.00%8.00%12.00%2.00%
GAIS18.00%15.00%13.00%10.00%8.00%9.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%
Landskrona—1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%17.00%50.00%
Sleipner4.00%3.00%9.00%6.00%10.00%11.00%7.00%8.00%15.00%9.00%12.00%6.00%
Orgryte3.00%5.00%11.00%14.00%10.00%8.00%13.00%15.00%8.00%11.00%1.00%1.00%
Halmstad11.00%9.00%13.00%11.00%13.00%9.00%10.00%8.00%12.00%2.00%2.00%—
IFK Eskilstuna——1.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%11.00%14.00%10.00%18.00%17.00%18.00%
Helsingborg2.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%11.00%10.00%13.00%10.00%13.00%7.00%11.00%3.00%
Gefle—1.00%1.00%3.00%6.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%7.00%21.00%24.00%17.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Goteborg 100% —
AIK Stockholm 99.00% 1.00%
Halmstad 98.00% 2.00%
Orgryte 98.00% 2.00%
Elfsborg 97.00% 3.00%
GAIS 97.00% 3.00%
Helsingborg 86.00% 14.00%
Sandvikens IF 86.00% 14.00%
Sleipner 82.00% 18.00%
IFK Eskilstuna 65.00% 35.00%
Gefle 59.00% 41.00%
Landskrona 33.00% 67.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1934-07-29 IFK Eskilstuna W 4-042.3 1650 1541 68.08% 17.24% 14.68%+1.09 +14.4 2
1934-07-29 @ GAIS L 0-442.3 1541 1650 14.68% 17.24% 68.08%-1.09 -14.4 0
1934-07-29 Orgryte L 1-264.2 1563 1588 54.94% 17.63% 27.43%+0.34 -12.1 0
1934-07-29 @ Gefle W 2-164.2 1588 1563 27.43% 17.63% 54.94%-0.34 +12.1 2
1934-07-29 Goteborg L 0-259.6 1600 1607 57.05% 17.60% 25.35%+0.44 -25.1 0
1934-07-29 @ Halmstad W 2-059.6 1607 1600 25.35% 17.60% 57.05%-0.44 +25.1 2
1934-07-29 AIK Stockholm L 0-447.1 1474 1588 43.23% 17.67% 39.11%-0.16 -37.1 0
1934-07-29 @ Landskrona W 4-047.1 1588 1474 39.11% 17.67% 43.23%+0.16 +37.1 2
1934-07-29 Helsingborg W 3-262.3 1556 1614 50.77% 17.67% 31.57%+0.15 +7.1 2
1934-07-29 @ Sandvikens IF L 2-362.3 1614 1556 31.57% 17.67% 50.77%-0.15 -7.1 0
1934-07-29 Elfsborg W 4-043.2 1487 1554 49.68% 17.67% 32.65%+0.10 +29.3 2
1934-07-29 @ Sleipner L 0-443.2 1554 1487 32.65% 17.67% 49.68%-0.10 -29.3 0
1934-08-03 Orgryte W 2-155.6 1665 1601 64.30% 17.41% 18.28%+0.83 +4.6 4
1934-08-03 @ GAIS L 1-255.6 1601 1665 18.28% 17.41% 64.30%-0.83 -4.6 2
1934-08-05 Gefle D 2-273.9 1625 1551 65.20% 17.38% 17.43%+0.89 -2.0 3
1934-08-05 @ AIK Stockholm D 2-273.9 1551 1625 17.43% 17.38% 65.20%-0.89 +2.0 1
1934-08-05 Sandvikens IF W 3-044.9 1633 1563 64.82% 17.39% 17.78%+0.87 +13.2 4
1934-08-05 @ Goteborg L 0-344.9 1563 1633 17.78% 17.39% 64.82%-0.87 -13.2 2
1934-08-05 Elfsborg D 1-167.3 1575 1525 63.03% 17.46% 19.51%+0.76 -2.4 1
1934-08-05 @ Halmstad D 1-167.3 1525 1575 19.51% 17.46% 63.03%-0.76 +2.4 1
1934-08-05 Landskrona L 1-363.4 1607 1437 72.29% 16.93% 10.78%+1.43 -27.6 0
1934-08-05 @ Helsingborg W 3-163.4 1437 1607 10.78% 16.93% 72.29%-1.43 +27.6 2
1934-08-05 IFK Eskilstuna D 3-374.1 1516 1527 56.70% 17.61% 25.69%+0.42 -1.0 3
1934-08-05 @ Sleipner D 3-374.1 1527 1516 25.69% 17.61% 56.70%-0.42 +1.0 1
1934-08-08 Gefle W 3-151.5 1550 1553 57.44% 17.60% 24.97%+0.46 +10.6 4
1934-08-08 @ Sandvikens IF L 1-351.5 1553 1550 24.97% 17.60% 57.44%-0.46 -10.6 1
1934-08-10 GAIS W 5-258.4 1646 1669 55.14% 17.63% 27.23%+0.35 +14.0 6
1934-08-10 @ Goteborg L 2-558.4 1669 1646 27.23% 17.63% 55.14%-0.35 -14.0 4
1934-08-12 Sleipner W 6-144.4 1623 1515 67.97% 17.24% 14.78%+1.08 +14.8 5
1934-08-12 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-644.4 1515 1623 14.78% 17.24% 67.97%-1.08 -14.8 3
1934-08-12 Sandvikens IF L 2-464.2 1527 1560 54.03% 17.64% 28.32%+0.30 -18.5 1
1934-08-12 @ Elfsborg W 4-264.2 1560 1527 28.32% 17.64% 54.03%-0.30 +18.4 6
1934-08-12 Halmstad W 3-152.8 1543 1573 54.32% 17.64% 28.04%+0.31 +11.8 3
1934-08-12 @ Gefle L 1-352.8 1573 1543 28.04% 17.64% 54.32%-0.31 -11.8 1
1934-08-12 Helsingborg W 2-155.6 1528 1580 51.62% 17.66% 30.71%+0.19 +7.3 3
1934-08-12 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 1-255.6 1580 1528 30.71% 17.66% 51.62%-0.19 -7.3 0
1934-08-12 Landskrona W 6-141.3 1596 1464 69.74% 17.13% 13.13%+1.21 +13.2 4
1934-08-12 @ Orgryte L 1-641.3 1464 1596 13.13% 17.13% 69.74%-1.21 -13.2 2
1934-08-17 Goteborg L 1-461.2 1609 1660 51.82% 17.66% 30.52%+0.20 -28.1 4
1934-08-17 @ Orgryte W 4-161.2 1660 1609 30.52% 17.66% 51.82%-0.20 +28.0 8
1934-08-19 Halmstad W 3-259.0 1509 1561 51.62% 17.66% 30.72%+0.19 +7.0 3
1934-08-19 @ Elfsborg L 2-359.0 1561 1509 30.72% 17.66% 51.62%-0.19 -7.0 1
1934-08-19 Gefle W 3-151.3 1655 1554 67.43% 17.27% 15.29%+1.04 +6.8 6
1934-08-19 @ GAIS L 1-351.3 1554 1655 15.29% 17.27% 67.43%-1.04 -6.8 3
1934-08-19 Sandvikens IF L 0-255.8 1535 1579 52.69% 17.65% 29.66%+0.24 -23.3 3
1934-08-19 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 2-055.8 1579 1535 29.66% 17.65% 52.69%-0.24 +23.3 8
1934-08-19 Helsingborg L 0-545.0 1451 1572 42.24% 17.66% 40.10%-0.20 -44.8 2
1934-08-19 @ Landskrona W 5-045.0 1572 1451 40.10% 17.66% 42.24%+0.20 +44.8 2
1934-08-19 AIK Stockholm D 1-168.4 1501 1638 39.96% 17.64% 42.40%-0.29 +0.1 4
1934-08-19 @ Sleipner D 1-168.4 1638 1501 42.40% 17.64% 39.96%+0.29 -0.1 6
1934-08-26 GAIS W 4-154.3 1638 1662 55.06% 17.63% 27.31%+0.34 +16.2 8
1934-08-26 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-454.3 1662 1638 27.31% 17.63% 55.06%-0.34 -16.2 6
1934-08-26 Sleipner L 3-761.5 1547 1501 62.69% 17.47% 19.84%+0.74 -33.7 3
1934-08-26 @ Gefle W 7-361.5 1501 1547 19.84% 17.47% 62.69%-0.74 +33.7 6
1934-08-26 Halmstad W 1-049.8 1688 1554 69.87% 17.12% 13.00%+1.22 +3.6 10
1934-08-26 @ Goteborg L 0-149.8 1554 1688 13.00% 17.12% 69.87%-1.22 -3.6 1
1934-08-26 Elfsborg L 3-475.9 1617 1516 67.46% 17.27% 15.27%+1.04 -13.7 2
1934-08-26 @ Helsingborg W 4-375.9 1516 1617 15.27% 17.27% 67.46%-1.04 +13.7 5
1934-08-26 IFK Eskilstuna W 2-044.3 1406 1512 44.49% 17.67% 37.84%-0.11 +17.5 4
1934-08-26 @ Landskrona L 0-244.3 1512 1406 37.84% 17.67% 44.49%+0.11 -17.5 3
1934-08-26 Orgryte W 5-254.6 1602 1581 60.08% 17.54% 22.37%+0.59 +11.8 10
1934-08-26 @ Sandvikens IF L 2-554.6 1581 1602 22.37% 17.54% 60.08%-0.59 -11.8 4
1934-09-02 Landskrona D 2-265.8 1514 1424 66.56% 17.32% 16.12%+0.98 -2.1 4
1934-09-02 @ Gefle D 2-265.8 1424 1514 16.12% 17.32% 66.56%-0.98 +2.1 5
1934-09-02 GAIS W 2-159.7 1551 1646 45.91% 17.67% 36.41%-0.05 +8.5 3
1934-09-02 @ Halmstad L 1-259.7 1646 1551 36.41% 17.67% 45.91%+0.05 -8.5 6
1934-09-02 AIK Stockholm W 3-265.9 1494 1654 36.81% 17.61% 45.58%-0.41 +9.7 5
1934-09-02 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 2-365.9 1654 1494 45.58% 17.61% 36.81%+0.41 -9.7 8
1934-09-02 Sandvikens IF W 6-150.2 1569 1614 52.60% 17.66% 29.75%+0.23 +27.7 6
1934-09-02 @ Orgryte L 1-650.2 1614 1569 29.75% 17.66% 52.60%-0.23 -27.7 10
1934-09-02 Helsingborg W 4-259.4 1534 1603 49.43% 17.67% 32.89%+0.09 +12.0 8
1934-09-02 @ Sleipner L 2-459.4 1603 1534 32.89% 17.67% 49.43%-0.09 -12.0 2
1934-09-09 Halmstad L 0-359.6 1644 1559 66.17% 17.34% 16.50%+0.95 -42.2 8
1934-09-09 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-059.6 1559 1644 16.50% 17.34% 66.17%-0.95 +42.2 5
1934-09-09 Sleipner W 3-151.0 1530 1546 55.93% 17.62% 26.45%+0.38 +11.2 7
1934-09-09 @ Elfsborg L 1-351.0 1546 1530 26.45% 17.62% 55.93%-0.38 -11.2 8
1934-09-09 Sandvikens IF L 1-268.3 1637 1586 63.12% 17.46% 19.42%+0.76 -13.8 6
1934-09-09 @ GAIS W 2-168.3 1586 1637 19.42% 17.46% 63.12%-0.76 +13.8 12
1934-09-09 Goteborg W 3-268.2 1504 1691 33.11% 17.56% 49.34%-0.57 +10.4 7
1934-09-09 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 2-368.2 1691 1504 49.34% 17.56% 33.11%+0.57 -10.4 10
1934-09-09 Orgryte W 1-053.8 1426 1597 35.29% 17.59% 47.12%-0.47 +11.2 7
1934-09-09 @ Landskrona L 0-153.8 1597 1426 47.12% 17.59% 35.29%+0.47 -11.2 6
1934-09-16 IFK Eskilstuna W 4-146.5 1512 1514 57.55% 17.59% 24.85%+0.46 +15.0 6
1934-09-16 @ Gefle L 1-446.5 1514 1512 24.85% 17.59% 57.55%-0.46 -15.0 7
1934-09-16 Landskrona W 2-148.6 1681 1437 76.17% 16.46% 7.38%+1.84 +2.0 12
1934-09-16 @ Goteborg L 1-248.6 1437 1681 7.38% 16.46% 76.17%-1.84 -2.0 7
1934-09-16 Sleipner L 1-364.3 1601 1535 64.48% 17.41% 18.12%+0.85 -24.5 5
1934-09-16 @ Halmstad W 3-164.3 1535 1601 18.12% 17.41% 64.48%-0.85 +24.5 10
1934-09-16 GAIS L 0-454.7 1591 1623 54.11% 17.64% 28.24%+0.30 -45.2 2
1934-09-16 @ Helsingborg W 4-054.7 1623 1591 28.24% 17.64% 54.11%-0.30 +45.2 8
1934-09-16 Elfsborg W 3-257.6 1600 1541 63.85% 17.43% 18.72%+0.81 +4.5 14
1934-09-16 @ Sandvikens IF L 2-357.6 1541 1600 18.72% 17.43% 63.85%-0.81 -4.5 7
1934-09-30 Landskrona W 5-139.7 1536 1435 67.47% 17.27% 15.26%+1.04 +12.5 9
1934-09-30 @ Elfsborg L 1-539.7 1435 1536 15.26% 17.27% 67.47%-1.04 -12.4 7
1934-09-30 AIK Stockholm L 1-457.1 1527 1602 48.56% 17.67% 33.76%+0.06 -26.5 6
1934-09-30 @ Gefle W 4-157.1 1602 1527 33.76% 17.67% 48.56%-0.06 +26.5 10
1934-09-30 IFK Eskilstuna W 2-150.4 1577 1499 65.49% 17.37% 17.14%+0.91 +4.4 7
1934-09-30 @ Halmstad L 1-250.4 1499 1577 17.14% 17.37% 65.49%-0.91 -4.4 7
1934-09-30 Goteborg D 2-275.0 1546 1683 40.04% 17.65% 42.31%-0.28 +0.1 3
1934-09-30 @ Helsingborg D 2-275.0 1683 1546 42.31% 17.65% 40.04%+0.28 -0.1 13
1934-09-30 Sleipner W 2-154.0 1586 1560 60.63% 17.53% 21.84%+0.62 +5.5 8
1934-09-30 @ Orgryte L 1-254.0 1560 1586 21.84% 17.53% 60.63%-0.62 -5.5 10
1934-09-30 GAIS D 3-380.2 1604 1669 50.05% 17.67% 32.28%+0.12 -0.6 15
1934-09-30 @ Sandvikens IF D 3-380.2 1669 1604 32.28% 17.67% 50.05%-0.12 +0.6 9
1934-10-07 Elfsborg W 7-248.4 1629 1549 65.70% 17.36% 16.94%+0.92 +14.0 12
1934-10-07 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-748.4 1549 1629 16.94% 17.36% 65.70%-0.92 -14.0 9
1934-10-07 Halmstad W 5-255.3 1495 1581 47.14% 17.68% 35.18%+0.00 +17.5 9
1934-10-07 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 2-555.3 1581 1495 35.18% 17.68% 47.14%+0.00 -17.5 7
1934-10-14 AIK Stockholm D 1-171.9 1669 1643 60.68% 17.53% 21.79%+0.63 -2.1 10
1934-10-14 @ GAIS D 1-171.9 1643 1669 21.79% 17.53% 60.68%-0.63 +2.2 13
1934-10-14 Goteborg L 1-258.6 1500 1683 33.74% 17.57% 48.70%-0.54 -7.9 6
1934-10-14 @ Gefle W 2-158.6 1683 1500 48.70% 17.57% 33.74%+0.54 +7.9 15
1934-10-14 IFK Eskilstuna L 2-367.8 1546 1512 61.43% 17.51% 21.06%+0.67 -12.8 3
1934-10-14 @ Helsingborg W 3-267.8 1512 1546 21.06% 17.51% 61.43%-0.67 +12.8 11
1934-10-14 Elfsborg L 0-443.3 1423 1535 43.55% 17.67% 38.79%-0.15 -37.3 7
1934-10-14 @ Landskrona W 4-043.3 1535 1423 38.79% 17.67% 43.55%+0.15 +37.3 11
1934-10-14 Orgryte W 4-151.7 1554 1591 53.52% 17.65% 28.83%+0.27 +17.0 12
1934-10-14 @ Sleipner L 1-451.7 1591 1554 28.83% 17.65% 53.52%-0.27 -17.0 8
1934-10-21 GAIS L 1-459.0 1572 1667 45.92% 17.67% 36.40%-0.05 -25.2 11
1934-10-21 @ Elfsborg W 4-159.0 1667 1572 36.40% 17.67% 45.92%+0.05 +25.2 12
1934-10-21 AIK Stockholm W 1-053.3 1691 1645 62.61% 17.47% 19.92%+0.73 +5.3 17
1934-10-21 @ Goteborg L 0-153.3 1645 1691 19.92% 17.47% 62.61%-0.73 -5.3 13
1934-10-21 Orgryte L 0-158.6 1533 1574 53.05% 17.65% 29.30%+0.25 -12.4 3
1934-10-21 @ Helsingborg W 1-058.6 1574 1533 29.30% 17.65% 53.05%-0.25 +12.4 10
1934-10-21 Landskrona W 3-142.1 1604 1385 74.94% 16.63% 8.43%+1.69 +3.9 17
1934-10-21 @ Sandvikens IF L 1-342.1 1385 1604 8.43% 16.63% 74.94%-1.69 -3.9 7
1934-10-21 Gefle W 5-143.7 1571 1492 65.63% 17.36% 17.01%+0.92 +13.8 14
1934-10-21 @ Sleipner L 1-543.7 1492 1571 17.01% 17.36% 65.63%-0.92 -13.8 6
1934-10-28 Goteborg W 3-051.3 1640 1696 51.06% 17.67% 31.28%+0.16 +21.6 15
1934-10-28 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-351.3 1696 1640 31.28% 17.67% 51.06%-0.16 -21.7 17
1934-10-28 Gefle W 4-251.2 1564 1478 66.15% 17.34% 16.51%+0.95 +6.5 9
1934-10-28 @ Halmstad L 2-451.2 1478 1564 16.51% 17.34% 66.15%-0.95 -6.5 6
1934-10-28 Elfsborg L 1-654.5 1525 1547 55.35% 17.63% 27.02%+0.36 -47.2 11
1934-10-28 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 6-154.5 1547 1525 27.02% 17.63% 55.35%-0.36 +47.2 13
1934-10-28 GAIS W 3-161.9 1381 1692 19.39% 17.10% 63.52%-1.25 +24.1 9
1934-10-28 @ Landskrona L 1-361.9 1692 1381 63.52% 17.10% 19.39%+1.25 -24.0 12
1934-10-28 Helsingborg W 2-151.8 1587 1521 64.44% 17.41% 18.15%+0.84 +4.6 12
1934-10-28 @ Orgryte L 1-251.8 1521 1587 18.15% 17.41% 64.44%-0.84 -4.6 3
1934-10-28 Sandvikens IF W 3-154.6 1585 1608 55.25% 17.63% 27.12%+0.35 +11.4 16
1934-10-28 @ Sleipner L 1-354.6 1608 1585 27.12% 17.63% 55.25%-0.35 -11.4 17
1934-11-04 Sandvikens IF W 7-147.7 1661 1596 64.39% 17.41% 18.20%+0.84 +21.2 17
1934-11-04 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-747.7 1596 1661 18.20% 17.41% 64.39%-0.84 -21.2 17
1934-11-04 Orgryte W 2-155.8 1594 1591 58.15% 17.58% 24.27%+0.49 +6.0 15
1934-11-04 @ Elfsborg L 1-255.8 1591 1594 24.27% 17.58% 58.15%-0.49 -6.0 12
1934-11-04 Halmstad L 0-659.0 1668 1570 67.21% 17.28% 15.51%+1.02 -82.0 12
1934-11-04 @ GAIS W 6-059.0 1570 1668 15.51% 17.28% 67.21%-1.02 +82.0 11
1934-11-04 Goteborg D 1-166.7 1405 1675 23.48% 17.29% 59.24%-1.02 +2.0 10
1934-11-04 @ Landskrona D 1-166.7 1675 1405 59.24% 17.29% 23.48%+1.02 -2.0 18
1934-11-11 Sleipner W 2-048.7 1673 1597 65.37% 17.37% 17.26%+0.90 +8.8 20
1934-11-11 @ Goteborg L 0-248.7 1597 1673 17.26% 17.37% 65.37%-0.90 -8.8 16
1934-11-11 Orgryte L 1-366.7 1652 1585 64.56% 17.40% 18.03%+0.85 -24.5 11
1934-11-11 @ Halmstad W 3-166.7 1585 1652 18.03% 17.40% 64.56%-0.85 +24.5 14
1934-11-11 Gefle W 3-145.8 1516 1472 62.48% 17.48% 20.05%+0.73 +8.8 5
1934-11-11 @ Helsingborg L 1-345.8 1472 1516 20.05% 17.48% 62.48%-0.73 -8.8 6
1935-03-31 Halmstad D 2-275.1 1610 1628 55.80% 17.62% 26.57%+0.38 -1.2 15
1935-03-31 @ Orgryte D 2-275.1 1628 1610 26.57% 17.62% 55.80%-0.38 +1.2 12
1935-04-07 Elfsborg W 2-049.8 1586 1600 56.29% 17.61% 26.09%+0.40 +12.8 14
1935-04-07 @ GAIS L 0-249.8 1600 1586 26.09% 17.61% 56.29%-0.40 -12.8 15
1935-04-07 Halmstad L 1-252.5 1407 1629 28.85% 17.46% 53.69%-0.75 -6.9 10
1935-04-07 @ Landskrona W 2-152.5 1629 1407 53.69% 17.46% 28.85%+0.75 +6.9 14
1935-04-14 Gefle W 3-146.1 1587 1463 69.19% 17.17% 13.64%+1.17 +6.1 17
1935-04-14 @ Elfsborg L 1-346.1 1463 1587 13.64% 17.17% 69.19%-1.17 -6.1 6
1935-04-14 IFK Eskilstuna W 3-041.2 1681 1478 74.16% 16.73% 9.11%+1.61 +7.0 22
1935-04-14 @ Goteborg L 0-341.2 1478 1681 9.11% 16.73% 74.16%-1.61 -7.0 11
1935-04-14 AIK Stockholm D 0-069.1 1636 1682 52.32% 17.66% 30.03%+0.22 -1.3 15
1935-04-14 @ Halmstad D 0-069.1 1682 1636 30.03% 17.66% 52.32%-0.22 +1.3 18
1935-04-14 Sleipner W 5-467.0 1525 1588 50.29% 17.67% 32.04%+0.13 +6.9 7
1935-04-14 @ Helsingborg L 4-567.0 1588 1525 32.04% 17.67% 50.29%-0.13 -7.0 16
1935-04-22 Helsingborg W 5-146.2 1593 1532 64.05% 17.42% 18.53%+0.82 +14.9 19
1935-04-22 @ Elfsborg L 1-546.2 1532 1593 18.53% 17.42% 64.05%-0.82 -14.9 7
1935-04-22 Landskrona W 2-145.8 1634 1400 75.70% 16.53% 7.78%+1.78 +2.1 17
1935-04-22 @ Halmstad L 1-245.8 1400 1634 7.78% 16.53% 75.70%-1.78 -2.1 10
1935-04-22 Gefle W 4-142.3 1471 1457 59.36% 17.56% 23.08%+0.56 +14.0 13
1935-04-22 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 1-442.3 1457 1471 23.08% 17.56% 59.36%-0.56 -14.0 6
1935-04-22 AIK Stockholm L 1-362.9 1609 1684 48.63% 17.67% 33.70%+0.06 -18.7 15
1935-04-22 @ Orgryte W 3-162.9 1684 1609 33.70% 17.67% 48.63%-0.06 +18.7 20
1935-04-22 Goteborg D 0-068.3 1575 1688 43.39% 17.67% 38.94%-0.15 -0.3 18
1935-04-22 @ Sandvikens IF D 0-068.3 1688 1575 38.94% 17.67% 43.39%+0.15 +0.3 23
1935-04-22 GAIS L 1-265.1 1581 1599 55.75% 17.62% 26.63%+0.38 -12.3 16
1935-04-22 @ Sleipner W 2-165.1 1599 1581 26.63% 17.62% 55.75%-0.38 +12.3 16
1935-04-28 Orgryte W 3-045.6 1703 1590 68.34% 17.22% 14.44%+1.10 +10.9 22
1935-04-28 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-345.6 1590 1703 14.44% 17.22% 68.34%-1.10 -10.9 15
1935-04-28 IFK Eskilstuna D 3-376.0 1608 1485 69.13% 17.17% 13.69%+1.16 -2.0 20
1935-04-28 @ Elfsborg D 3-376.0 1485 1608 13.69% 17.17% 69.13%-1.16 +2.0 14
1935-04-28 Helsingborg D 1-168.2 1611 1517 66.88% 17.30% 15.81%+1.00 -2.9 17
1935-04-28 @ GAIS D 1-168.2 1517 1611 15.81% 17.30% 66.88%-1.00 +2.9 8
1935-04-28 Sandvikens IF W 5-044.7 1398 1575 34.58% 17.58% 47.84%-0.50 +49.8 12
1935-04-28 @ Landskrona L 0-544.7 1575 1398 47.84% 17.58% 34.58%+0.50 -49.8 18
1935-04-28 Goteborg W 2-162.0 1568 1689 42.43% 17.66% 39.91%-0.19 +9.1 18
1935-04-28 @ Sleipner L 1-262.0 1689 1568 39.91% 17.66% 42.43%+0.19 -9.1 23
1935-05-03 GAIS L 1-362.7 1579 1608 54.43% 17.64% 27.93%+0.31 -20.8 15
1935-05-03 @ Orgryte W 3-162.7 1608 1579 27.93% 17.64% 54.43%-0.31 +20.8 19
1935-05-05 Elfsborg W 1-051.9 1679 1606 65.12% 17.38% 17.50%+0.89 +4.7 25
1935-05-05 @ Goteborg L 0-151.9 1606 1679 17.50% 17.38% 65.12%-0.89 -4.7 20
1935-05-05 Halmstad W 4-048.9 1520 1637 42.96% 17.66% 39.37%-0.17 +34.3 10
1935-05-05 @ Helsingborg L 0-448.9 1637 1520 39.37% 17.66% 42.96%+0.17 -34.3 17
1935-05-05 Sleipner W 2-049.1 1487 1578 46.54% 17.68% 35.79%-0.03 +16.7 16
1935-05-05 @ IFK Eskilstuna L 0-249.1 1578 1487 35.79% 17.68% 46.54%+0.03 -16.7 18
1935-05-05 Gefle W 6-035.1 1448 1443 58.42% 17.58% 24.01%+0.51 +32.9 14
1935-05-05 @ Landskrona L 0-635.1 1443 1448 24.01% 17.58% 58.42%-0.51 -32.9 6
1935-05-05 AIK Stockholm L 1-357.3 1525 1713 33.00% 17.55% 49.45%-0.57 -13.5 18
1935-05-05 @ Sandvikens IF W 3-157.3 1713 1525 49.45% 17.55% 33.00%+0.57 +13.5 24
1935-05-08 Sandvikens IF L 2-552.6 1410 1511 45.06% 17.67% 37.27%-0.09 -21.5 6
1935-05-08 @ Gefle W 5-252.6 1511 1410 37.27% 17.67% 45.06%+0.09 +21.5 20
1935-05-10 Goteborg L 0-455.5 1629 1684 51.26% 17.66% 31.08%+0.17 -43.0 19
1935-05-10 @ GAIS W 4-055.5 1684 1629 31.08% 17.66% 51.26%-0.17 +43.0 27
1935-05-12 IFK Eskilstuna W 4-147.2 1727 1504 75.17% 16.60% 8.23%+1.72 +5.4 26
1935-05-12 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-447.2 1504 1727 8.23% 16.60% 75.17%-1.72 -5.4 16
1935-05-12 Helsingborg D 1-161.5 1389 1554 36.00% 17.60% 46.40%-0.44 +0.5 7
1935-05-12 @ Gefle D 1-161.5 1554 1389 46.40% 17.60% 36.00%+0.44 -0.5 11
1935-05-12 Sandvikens IF D 0-065.5 1602 1533 64.77% 17.40% 17.83%+0.86 -3.0 18
1935-05-12 @ Halmstad D 0-065.5 1533 1602 17.83% 17.40% 64.77%-0.86 +3.0 21
1935-05-12 Elfsborg L 0-354.6 1558 1602 52.74% 17.65% 29.61%+0.24 -33.8 15
1935-05-12 @ Orgryte W 3-054.6 1602 1558 29.61% 17.65% 52.74%-0.24 +33.8 22
1935-05-12 Landskrona W 6-246.0 1561 1481 65.69% 17.36% 16.95%+0.92 +11.6 20
1935-05-12 @ Sleipner L 2-646.0 1481 1561 16.95% 17.36% 65.69%-0.92 -11.6 14
1935-05-17 Orgryte W 1-048.7 1727 1524 74.13% 16.73% 9.14%+1.61 +2.6 29
1935-05-17 @ Goteborg L 0-148.7 1524 1727 9.14% 16.73% 74.13%-1.61 -2.6 15
1935-05-19 Helsingborg D 3-380.6 1732 1554 72.75% 16.88% 10.37%+1.47 -2.3 27
1935-05-19 @ AIK Stockholm D 3-380.6 1554 1732 10.37% 16.88% 72.75%-1.47 +2.3 12
1935-05-19 Sleipner W 2-154.8 1586 1573 59.33% 17.56% 23.11%+0.55 +5.7 21
1935-05-19 @ GAIS L 1-254.8 1573 1586 23.11% 17.56% 59.33%-0.55 -5.7 20
1935-05-19 Landskrona L 1-357.3 1498 1469 60.91% 17.52% 21.56%+0.64 -23.1 16
1935-05-19 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 3-157.3 1469 1498 21.56% 17.52% 60.91%-0.64 +23.2 16
1935-05-19 Halmstad W 3-047.7 1536 1599 50.18% 17.67% 32.15%+0.13 +22.1 23
1935-05-19 @ Sandvikens IF L 0-347.7 1599 1536 32.15% 17.67% 50.18%-0.13 -22.2 18
1935-05-26 AIK Stockholm W 2-162.2 1635 1730 46.00% 17.67% 36.32%-0.05 +8.5 24
1935-05-26 @ Elfsborg L 1-262.2 1730 1635 36.32% 17.67% 46.00%+0.05 -8.5 27
1935-05-26 GAIS D 3-371.8 1389 1592 31.16% 17.52% 51.33%-0.65 +0.7 8
1935-05-26 @ Gefle D 3-371.8 1592 1389 51.33% 17.52% 31.16%+0.65 -0.7 22
1935-05-26 Helsingborg W 4-148.9 1730 1556 72.47% 16.91% 10.62%+1.44 +6.9 31
1935-05-26 @ Goteborg L 1-448.9 1556 1730 10.62% 16.91% 72.47%-1.44 -6.9 12
1935-05-26 Sleipner W 3-045.6 1493 1567 48.76% 17.67% 33.57%+0.07 +23.0 18
1935-05-26 @ Landskrona L 0-345.6 1567 1493 33.57% 17.67% 48.76%-0.07 -23.0 20
1935-05-26 IFK Eskilstuna D 1-165.0 1558 1475 65.96% 17.35% 16.70%+0.94 -2.8 24
1935-05-26 @ Sandvikens IF D 1-165.0 1475 1558 16.70% 17.35% 65.96%-0.94 +2.8 17
1935-05-30 Elfsborg L 2-648.1 1390 1644 25.10% 17.35% 57.55%-0.93 -16.5 8
1935-05-30 @ Gefle W 6-248.1 1644 1390 57.55% 17.35% 25.10%+0.93 +16.5 26
1935-05-30 AIK Stockholm D 1-171.3 1549 1721 35.15% 17.59% 47.26%-0.48 +0.6 13
1935-05-30 @ Helsingborg D 1-171.3 1721 1549 47.26% 17.59% 35.15%+0.48 -0.6 28
1935-05-30 IFK Eskilstuna D 2-268.1 1522 1478 62.42% 17.48% 20.11%+0.72 -1.8 16
1935-05-30 @ Orgryte D 2-268.1 1478 1522 20.11% 17.48% 62.42%-0.72 +1.8 18
1935-06-02 Landskrona L 2-859.8 1591 1516 65.33% 17.37% 17.30%+0.90 -54.4 22
1935-06-02 @ GAIS W 8-259.8 1516 1591 17.30% 17.37% 65.33%-0.90 +54.4 20
1935-06-02 Gefle W 7-345.4 1737 1373 80.57% 15.51% 3.93%+2.50 +2.5 33
1935-06-02 @ Goteborg L 3-745.4 1373 1737 3.93% 15.51% 80.57%-2.50 -2.5 8
1935-06-02 Helsingborg L 0-161.5 1577 1550 60.74% 17.53% 21.73%+0.63 -14.1 18
1935-06-02 @ Halmstad W 1-061.5 1550 1577 21.73% 17.53% 60.74%-0.63 +14.1 15
1935-06-02 Orgryte L 0-154.8 1480 1520 53.09% 17.65% 29.25%+0.25 -12.4 18
1935-06-02 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 1-054.8 1520 1480 29.25% 17.65% 53.09%-0.25 +12.4 18
1935-06-02 Sleipner W 4-255.3 1555 1544 59.09% 17.57% 23.34%+0.54 +9.0 26
1935-06-02 @ Sandvikens IF L 2-455.3 1544 1555 23.34% 17.57% 59.09%-0.54 -9.0 20
1935-06-10 Landskrona L 0-265.0 1721 1570 71.04% 17.03% 11.92%+1.32 -31.2 28
1935-06-10 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-065.0 1570 1721 11.92% 17.03% 71.04%-1.32 +31.3 22
1935-06-10 Goteborg W 2-055.3 1660 1739 48.12% 17.68% 34.20%+0.04 +16.1 28
1935-06-10 @ Elfsborg L 0-255.3 1739 1660 34.20% 17.68% 48.12%-0.04 -16.1 33
1935-06-10 Sandvikens IF L 0-160.7 1564 1564 57.83% 17.59% 24.58%+0.48 -13.5 15
1935-06-10 @ Helsingborg W 1-060.7 1564 1564 24.58% 17.59% 57.83%-0.48 +13.5 28
1935-06-10 GAIS L 1-257.5 1467 1537 49.37% 17.67% 32.96%+0.09 -11.0 18
1935-06-10 @ IFK Eskilstuna W 2-157.5 1537 1467 32.96% 17.67% 49.37%-0.09 +11.0 24
1935-06-10 Gefle W 5-136.0 1533 1371 71.74% 16.98% 11.28%+1.38 +9.4 20
1935-06-10 @ Orgryte L 1-536.0 1371 1533 11.28% 16.98% 71.74%-1.38 -9.4 8
1935-06-10 Halmstad D 2-271.5 1535 1563 54.60% 17.64% 27.77%+0.32 -1.1 21
1935-06-10 @ Sleipner D 2-271.5 1563 1535 27.77% 17.64% 54.60%-0.32 +1.1 19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1934-08-05 10.78% Landskrona 1437 3 @ Helsingborg 1607 1
2 1935-06-10 11.92% Landskrona 1570 2 @ AIK Stockholm 1721 0
3 1934-08-26 15.27% Elfsborg 1516 4 @ Helsingborg 1617 3
4 1934-11-04 15.51% Halmstad 1570 6 @ GAIS 1668 0
5 1934-09-09 16.50% Halmstad 1559 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1644 0
6 1935-06-02 17.30% Landskrona 1516 8 @ GAIS 1591 2
7 1934-11-11 18.03% Orgryte 1585 3 @ Halmstad 1652 1
8 1934-09-16 18.12% Sleipner 1535 3 @ Halmstad 1601 1
9 1934-10-28 19.39% @ Landskrona 1381 3 GAIS 1692 1
10 1934-09-09 19.42% Sandvikens IF 1586 2 @ GAIS 1637 1
11 1934-08-26 19.84% Sleipner 1501 7 @ Gefle 1547 3
12 1934-10-14 21.06% IFK Eskilstuna 1512 3 @ Helsingborg 1546 2
13 1935-05-19 21.56% Landskrona 1469 3 @ IFK Eskilstuna 1498 1
14 1935-06-02 21.73% Helsingborg 1550 1 @ Halmstad 1577 0
15 1935-06-10 24.58% Sandvikens IF 1564 1 @ Helsingborg 1564 0
16 1934-07-29 25.35% Goteborg 1607 2 @ Halmstad 1600 0
17 1935-04-22 26.63% GAIS 1599 2 @ Sleipner 1581 1
18 1934-10-28 27.02% Elfsborg 1547 6 @ IFK Eskilstuna 1525 1
19 1934-07-29 27.43% Orgryte 1588 2 @ Gefle 1563 1
20 1935-05-03 27.93% GAIS 1608 3 @ Orgryte 1579 1
21 1934-09-16 28.24% GAIS 1623 4 @ Helsingborg 1591 0
22 1934-08-12 28.32% Sandvikens IF 1560 4 @ Elfsborg 1527 2
23 1935-06-02 29.25% Orgryte 1520 1 @ IFK Eskilstuna 1480 0
24 1934-10-21 29.30% Orgryte 1574 1 @ Helsingborg 1533 0
25 1935-05-12 29.61% Elfsborg 1602 3 @ Orgryte 1558 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1934-11-04 81.98 Halmstad 6 1570 15.51% @ GAIS 0 1668 67.21% 17.28%
2 1935-06-02 54.40 Landskrona 8 1516 17.30% @ GAIS 2 1591 65.33% 17.37%
3 1935-04-28 49.81 @ Landskrona 5 1398 34.58% Sandvikens IF 0 1575 47.84% 17.58%
4 1934-10-28 47.18 Elfsborg 6 1547 27.02% @ IFK Eskilstuna 1 1525 55.35% 17.63%
5 1934-09-16 45.25 GAIS 4 1623 28.24% @ Helsingborg 0 1591 54.11% 17.64%
6 1934-08-19 44.80 Helsingborg 5 1572 40.10% @ Landskrona 0 1451 42.24% 17.66%
7 1935-05-10 43.04 Goteborg 4 1684 31.08% @ GAIS 0 1629 51.26% 17.66%
8 1934-09-09 42.19 Halmstad 3 1559 16.50% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1644 66.17% 17.34%
9 1934-10-14 37.29 Elfsborg 4 1535 38.79% @ Landskrona 0 1423 43.55% 17.67%
10 1934-07-29 37.06 AIK Stockholm 4 1588 39.11% @ Landskrona 0 1474 43.23% 17.67%
11 1935-05-05 34.30 @ Helsingborg 4 1520 42.96% Halmstad 0 1637 39.37% 17.66%
12 1935-05-12 33.82 Elfsborg 3 1602 29.61% @ Orgryte 0 1558 52.74% 17.65%
13 1934-08-26 33.68 Sleipner 7 1501 19.84% @ Gefle 3 1547 62.69% 17.47%
14 1935-05-05 32.93 @ Landskrona 6 1448 58.42% Gefle 0 1443 24.01% 17.58%
15 1935-06-10 31.26 Landskrona 2 1570 11.92% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1721 71.04% 17.03%
16 1934-07-29 29.33 @ Sleipner 4 1487 49.68% Elfsborg 0 1554 32.65% 17.67%
17 1934-08-17 28.06 Goteborg 4 1660 30.52% @ Orgryte 1 1609 51.82% 17.66%
18 1934-09-02 27.65 @ Orgryte 6 1569 52.60% Sandvikens IF 1 1614 29.75% 17.66%
19 1934-08-05 27.57 Landskrona 3 1437 10.78% @ Helsingborg 1 1607 72.29% 16.93%
20 1934-09-30 26.46 AIK Stockholm 4 1602 33.76% @ Gefle 1 1527 48.56% 17.67%
21 1934-10-21 25.19 GAIS 4 1667 36.40% @ Elfsborg 1 1572 45.92% 17.67%
22 1934-07-29 25.07 Goteborg 2 1607 25.35% @ Halmstad 0 1600 57.05% 17.60%
23 1934-11-11 24.53 Orgryte 3 1585 18.03% @ Halmstad 1 1652 64.56% 17.40%
24 1934-09-16 24.50 Sleipner 3 1535 18.12% @ Halmstad 1 1601 64.48% 17.41%
25 1934-10-28 24.05 @ Landskrona 3 1381 19.39% GAIS 1 1692 63.52% 17.10%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1935-05-19 80.6 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1732 72.75% Helsingborg 3 1554 10.37% 16.88%
2 1934-09-30 80.2 @ Sandvikens IF 3 1604 50.05% GAIS 3 1669 32.28% 17.67%
3 1935-04-28 76.0 @ Elfsborg 3 1608 69.13% IFK Eskilstuna 3 1485 13.69% 17.17%
4 1934-08-26 75.9 Elfsborg 4 1516 15.27% @ Helsingborg 3 1617 67.46% 17.27%
5 1935-03-31 75.1 @ Orgryte 2 1610 55.80% Halmstad 2 1628 26.57% 17.62%
6 1934-09-30 75.0 @ Helsingborg 2 1546 40.04% Goteborg 2 1683 42.31% 17.65%
7 1934-08-05 74.1 @ Sleipner 3 1516 56.70% IFK Eskilstuna 3 1527 25.69% 17.61%
8 1934-08-05 73.9 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1625 65.20% Gefle 2 1551 17.43% 17.38%
9 1934-10-14 71.9 @ GAIS 1 1669 60.68% AIK Stockholm 1 1643 21.79% 17.53%
10 1935-05-26 71.8 @ Gefle 3 1389 31.16% GAIS 3 1592 51.33% 17.52%
11 1935-06-10 71.5 @ Sleipner 2 1535 54.60% Halmstad 2 1563 27.77% 17.64%
12 1935-05-30 71.3 @ Helsingborg 1 1549 35.15% AIK Stockholm 1 1721 47.26% 17.59%
13 1935-04-14 69.1 @ Halmstad 0 1636 52.32% AIK Stockholm 0 1682 30.03% 17.66%
14 1934-08-19 68.4 @ Sleipner 1 1501 39.96% AIK Stockholm 1 1638 42.40% 17.64%
15 1934-09-09 68.3 Sandvikens IF 2 1586 19.42% @ GAIS 1 1637 63.12% 17.46%
16 1935-04-22 68.3 @ Sandvikens IF 0 1575 43.39% Goteborg 0 1688 38.94% 17.67%
17 1934-09-09 68.2 @ IFK Eskilstuna 3 1504 33.11% Goteborg 2 1691 49.34% 17.56%
18 1935-04-28 68.2 @ GAIS 1 1611 66.88% Helsingborg 1 1517 15.81% 17.30%
19 1935-05-30 68.1 @ Orgryte 2 1522 62.42% IFK Eskilstuna 2 1478 20.11% 17.48%
20 1934-10-14 67.8 IFK Eskilstuna 3 1512 21.06% @ Helsingborg 2 1546 61.43% 17.51%
21 1934-08-05 67.3 @ Halmstad 1 1575 63.03% Elfsborg 1 1525 19.51% 17.46%
22 1935-04-14 67.0 @ Helsingborg 5 1525 50.29% Sleipner 4 1588 32.04% 17.67%
23 1934-11-04 66.7 @ Landskrona 1 1405 23.48% Goteborg 1 1675 59.24% 17.29%
24 1934-11-11 66.7 Orgryte 3 1585 18.03% @ Halmstad 1 1652 64.56% 17.40%
25 1934-09-02 65.9 @ IFK Eskilstuna 3 1494 36.81% AIK Stockholm 2 1654 45.58% 17.61%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1935-05-05 35.1 @ Landskrona 6 1448 58.42% Gefle 0 1443 24.01% 17.58%
2 1935-06-10 36.0 @ Orgryte 5 1533 71.74% Gefle 1 1371 11.28% 16.98%
3 1934-09-30 39.7 @ Elfsborg 5 1536 67.47% Landskrona 1 1435 15.26% 17.27%
4 1935-04-14 41.2 @ Goteborg 3 1681 74.16% IFK Eskilstuna 0 1478 9.11% 16.73%
5 1934-08-12 41.3 @ Orgryte 6 1596 69.74% Landskrona 1 1464 13.13% 17.13%
6 1934-10-21 42.1 @ Sandvikens IF 3 1604 74.94% Landskrona 1 1385 8.43% 16.63%
7 1934-07-29 42.3 @ GAIS 4 1650 68.08% IFK Eskilstuna 0 1541 14.68% 17.24%
8 1935-04-22 42.3 @ IFK Eskilstuna 4 1471 59.36% Gefle 1 1457 23.08% 17.56%
9 1934-07-29 43.2 @ Sleipner 4 1487 49.68% Elfsborg 0 1554 32.65% 17.67%
10 1934-10-14 43.3 Elfsborg 4 1535 38.79% @ Landskrona 0 1423 43.55% 17.67%
11 1934-10-21 43.7 @ Sleipner 5 1571 65.63% Gefle 1 1492 17.01% 17.36%
12 1934-08-26 44.3 @ Landskrona 2 1406 44.49% IFK Eskilstuna 0 1512 37.84% 17.67%
13 1934-08-12 44.4 @ AIK Stockholm 6 1623 67.97% Sleipner 1 1515 14.78% 17.24%
14 1935-04-28 44.7 @ Landskrona 5 1398 34.58% Sandvikens IF 0 1575 47.84% 17.58%
15 1934-08-05 44.9 @ Goteborg 3 1633 64.82% Sandvikens IF 0 1563 17.78% 17.39%
16 1934-08-19 45.0 Helsingborg 5 1572 40.10% @ Landskrona 0 1451 42.24% 17.66%
17 1935-06-02 45.4 @ Goteborg 7 1737 80.57% Gefle 3 1373 3.93% 15.51%
18 1935-04-28 45.6 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1703 68.34% Orgryte 0 1590 14.44% 17.22%
19 1935-05-26 45.6 @ Landskrona 3 1493 48.76% Sleipner 0 1567 33.57% 17.67%
20 1934-11-11 45.8 @ Helsingborg 3 1516 62.48% Gefle 1 1472 20.05% 17.48%
21 1935-04-22 45.8 @ Halmstad 2 1634 75.70% Landskrona 1 1400 7.78% 16.53%
22 1935-05-12 46.0 @ Sleipner 6 1561 65.69% Landskrona 2 1481 16.95% 17.36%
23 1935-04-14 46.1 @ Elfsborg 3 1587 69.19% Gefle 1 1463 13.64% 17.17%
24 1935-04-22 46.2 @ Elfsborg 5 1593 64.05% Helsingborg 1 1532 18.53% 17.42%
25 1934-09-16 46.5 @ Gefle 4 1512 57.55% IFK Eskilstuna 1 1514 24.85% 17.59%