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1938-39 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Elfsborg

34 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Elfsborg

7.48 points above expected

34 points · 26.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hallstahammars

5.47 points below expected

14 points · 19.47 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Elfsborg 22 15 4 3 34 65 26 +39 26.52 +7.48
2 AIK Stockholm 22 11 3 8 25 49 34 +15 23.82 +1.18
3 Malmo 22 9 7 6 25 30 29 +1 21.69 +3.31
4 Landskrona 22 9 7 6 25 29 36 -7 21.46 +3.54
5 Garda 22 7 8 7 22 38 37 +1 22.23 -0.23
6 Brage 22 6 9 7 21 33 38 -5 19.63 +1.37
7 Sleipner 22 8 4 10 20 43 44 -1 22.33 -2.33
8 Sandvikens IF 22 9 2 11 20 34 36 -2 21.38 -1.38
9 Helsingborg 22 7 6 9 20 29 33 -4 22.35 -2.35
10 Orgryte 22 8 3 11 19 39 43 -4 22.00 -3.00
11 Degerfors 22 9 1 12 19 43 52 -9 21.12 -2.12
12 Hallstahammars 22 4 6 12 14 27 51 -24 19.47 -5.47

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Elfsborg 34 26.52 +7.48
2 Landskrona 25 21.46 +3.54
3 Malmo 25 21.69 +3.31
4 Brage 21 19.63 +1.37
5 AIK Stockholm 25 23.82 +1.18

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hallstahammars 14 19.47 -5.47
2 Orgryte 19 22.00 -3.00
3 Helsingborg 20 22.35 -2.35
4 Sleipner 20 22.33 -2.33
5 Degerfors 19 21.12 -2.12

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Elfsborg 8 Aug 24 – Oct 23 1 in 570
2 Degerfors 4 Oct 16 – Nov 6 1 in 74
3 AIK Stockholm 4 Oct 30 – Apr 16 1 in 46
4 Brage 2 May 29 – Jun 4 1 in 15
5 Helsingborg 3 Apr 23 – May 14 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AIK Stockholm 4 Sep 25 – Oct 23 1 in 88
2 Sleipner 4 Sep 11 – Oct 9 1 in 82
3 Sandvikens IF 4 Jul 31 – Aug 28 1 in 64
4 Degerfors 4 Apr 10 – Apr 30 1 in 37
5 Elfsborg 2 May 29 – Jun 4 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Elfsborg 17 Aug 24 – May 21 1 in 355
2 Malmo 11 Sep 25 – Apr 30 1 in 190
3 Landskrona 8 Apr 10 – Jun 4 1 in 156
4 Sandvikens IF 6 Oct 16 – Apr 10 1 in 25
5 Brage 6 May 12 – Jun 4 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Helsingborg 8 Oct 9 – Apr 16 1 in 33
2 Garda 5 Oct 16 – Nov 20 1 in 20
3 Brage 8 Oct 16 – May 7 1 in 19
4 Hallstahammars 8 Apr 23 – Jun 4 1 in 15
5 Landskrona 6 Oct 16 – Apr 10 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Elfsborg 1418 34 +19 5 6.3 -1.3
Landskrona 1253 25 +26 8 4.0 +4.0
AIK Stockholm 1349 25 +30 7 6.2 +0.8
Malmo 1262 25 -9 5 4.6 +0.4
Garda 1266 22 -10 5 5.5 -0.5
Brage 1262 21 +34 8 4.8 +3.2
Helsingborg 1249 20 -9 5 5.0 -0.0
Sleipner 1272 20 -8 3 4.0 -1.0
Sandvikens IF 1258 20 -35 2 4.6 -2.6
Orgryte 1250 19 +7 6 5.3 +0.7
Degerfors 1245 19 -25 4 4.9 -0.9
Hallstahammars 1165 14 -2 4 3.6 +0.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS BRA DEG ELF GAR HAL HEL LAN MAL ORG SI SLE
AIK Stockholm —
0-1-1
3.45
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.57
2-0-0
2.98
0-1-1
3.38
0-1-1
2.85
2-0-0
2.91
2-0-0
3.00
1-0-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
2.88
Brage
1-1-0
2.09
—
1-1-0
2.52
0-0-2
2.06
1-1-0
2.54
0-1-1
2.84
0-1-1
2.60
0-2-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.63
0-2-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.50
Degerfors
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
3.01
—
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-2
2.87
2-0-0
3.28
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.76
Elfsborg
1-0-1
2.97
2-0-0
3.48
2-0-0
3.51
—
1-1-0
3.30
2-0-0
3.66
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
3.64
0-1-1
3.53
2-0-0
3.08
1-1-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.17
Garda
0-0-2
2.55
0-1-1
2.99
2-0-0
2.65
0-1-1
2.23
—
0-2-0
3.37
1-1-0
2.78
0-0-2
2.89
0-2-0
2.94
1-1-0
2.85
2-0-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.73
Hallstahammars
1-1-0
2.18
1-1-0
2.69
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-2
1.87
0-2-0
2.16
—
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.56
0-1-1
2.46
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
2.25
Helsingborg
1-1-0
2.68
1-1-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-2
2.49
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
3.12
—
0-2-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.78
1-1-0
2.53
Landskrona
0-0-2
2.62
0-2-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
1.90
2-0-0
2.65
2-0-0
2.97
0-2-0
2.78
—
0-2-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.64
2-0-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.65
Malmo
0-0-2
2.53
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
2.65
1-1-0
2.02
0-2-0
2.59
1-1-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.65
0-2-0
2.80
—
1-0-1
2.80
1-1-0
2.66
2-0-0
2.63
Orgryte
1-0-1
2.40
0-2-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.68
0-0-2
2.45
0-1-1
2.68
2-0-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.73
—
0-0-2
2.79
1-0-1
2.59
Sandvikens IF
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.19
0-0-2
2.80
1-0-1
3.03
2-0-0
2.74
0-0-2
2.58
0-1-1
2.86
2-0-0
2.74
—
1-0-1
2.67
Sleipner
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
3.03
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.80
1-1-0
3.28
0-1-1
3.00
1-1-0
2.88
0-0-2
2.90
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
2.86
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.46 +3.1
Allowed 0.65 -5.0
Differential 0.83 +3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%6.44%3.03%1.52%1.52%21.59%
13.03%9.09%6.82%4.17%3.03%2.27%28.41%
26.44%6.82%5.30%3.79%1.52%—23.86%
33.03%4.17%3.79%2.27%1.52%—14.77%
41.52%3.03%1.52%1.52%——7.58%
5+1.52%2.27%————3.79%
Total21.59%28.41%23.86%14.77%7.58%3.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.74 1.74 +0.00
SD 1.50 1.50 2.31
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 10 10 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—4.55%———9.09%
14.55%4.55%9.09%13.64%——31.82%
29.09%—4.55%9.09%——22.73%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
49.09%——9.09%——18.18%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total36.36%4.55%27.27%31.82%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.55 +0.68
SD 1.66 1.30 2.32
CV 0.75 0.84 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%13.64%—4.55%——27.27%
1—13.64%4.55%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
2—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
3—9.09%9.09%4.55%——22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%45.45%27.27%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.73 -0.23
SD 1.26 1.35 1.77
CV 0.84 0.78 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
1——18.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%36.36%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4——4.55%9.09%——13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total9.09%18.18%40.91%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 2.36 -0.41
SD 1.65 2.01 2.97
CV 0.84 0.85 —
Max 5 10 +5
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—————9.09%
19.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
2—13.64%————13.64%
34.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
4—18.18%4.55%———22.73%
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total27.27%45.45%13.64%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.95 1.18 +1.77
SD 2.34 1.10 2.52
CV 0.79 0.93 —
Max 10 4 +9
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—4.55%—4.55%18.18%
1—13.64%9.09%———22.73%
24.55%9.09%13.64%9.09%——36.36%
34.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%36.36%27.27%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.68 +0.05
SD 1.20 1.21 1.86
CV 0.70 0.72 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——22.73%———22.73%
14.55%13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%45.45%
2—4.55%9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%22.73%36.36%13.64%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 2.32 -1.09
SD 0.97 1.73 2.09
CV 0.79 0.75 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
1—9.09%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
24.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%36.36%22.73%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.50 -0.18
SD 1.46 1.34 2.15
CV 1.11 0.89 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—9.09%—4.55%9.09%31.82%
1—22.73%——4.55%—27.27%
29.09%13.64%————22.73%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%45.45%13.64%—9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.64 -0.32
SD 1.21 1.81 2.59
CV 0.92 1.11 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%4.55%——18.18%
14.55%18.18%4.55%—4.55%4.55%36.36%
218.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%27.27%18.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.32 +0.05
SD 0.90 1.43 1.81
CV 0.66 1.08 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%13.64%—4.55%36.36%
14.55%—————4.55%
213.64%—4.55%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
3—9.09%—4.55%9.09%—22.73%
4———————
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total22.73%22.73%13.64%22.73%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.95 -0.18
SD 1.72 1.56 2.48
CV 0.97 0.80 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
19.09%4.55%22.73%4.55%4.55%—45.45%
213.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
3—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total31.82%13.64%27.27%13.64%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.64 -0.09
SD 1.14 1.43 2.00
CV 0.74 0.88 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%———13.64%
1—4.55%—9.09%9.09%—22.73%
24.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%9.09%—36.36%
39.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%22.73%18.18%22.73%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 2.00 -0.05
SD 1.40 1.41 2.19
CV 0.71 0.71 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Elfsborg 1418 34 26.52 +7.48 98.0% 17 20 24 26 29 33 35
AIK Stockholm 1349 25 23.82 +1.18 68.0% 13 18 21 24 26 30 33
Sleipner 1272 20 22.33 -2.33 30.0% 10 16 20 22 25 29 32
Garda 1266 22 22.23 -0.23 51.0% 11 15 20 22 25 29 31
Malmo 1262 25 21.69 +3.31 84.0% 14 15 19 22 24 28 30
Brage 1262 21 19.63 +1.37 68.0% 10 13 18 19 22 25 28
Sandvikens IF 1258 20 21.38 -1.38 38.0% 12 15 19 21 24 28 31
Landskrona 1253 25 21.46 +3.54 85.0% 10 14 19 22 24 27 30
Orgryte 1250 19 22.00 -3.00 26.0% 13 16 19 22 25 28 29
Helsingborg 1249 20 22.35 -2.35 29.0% 14 16 20 23 25 27 31
Degerfors 1245 19 21.12 -2.12 33.0% 11 15 18 22 24 27 30
Hallstahammars 1165 14 19.47 -5.47 9.0% 11 14 17 19 22 26 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+27.27%
Strong Edge
52.27%22.73%25.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
151 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
097.22400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.67 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.65+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.8
Open
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
40%
Elfsborg, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.41/gm
Runaway
00.110.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.05 * Some Luck: 3.05 to 4.57 * Lucky: 4.57 to 6.1 * Wild Swing: 6.1 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.43 * Close: 2.43 to 3.64 * Off: 3.64 to 4.85 * Way Off: 4.85 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.40 points
Some Luck
03.8110
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.33
Pinpoint
03.038
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Elfsborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
9.00%
Hallstahammars
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 61.17
1.19
Coin-Flip Parity
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
53%
Even
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
81%
Even
50%77%100%
Close Games
Expected
53%
Some Drama
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Lopsided
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.79
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.04
Weak Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.72
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.96
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.060
Well Within Noise
00.1120.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Elfsborg40.00%17.00%11.00%10.00%3.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%—
AIK Stockholm16.00%11.00%9.00%19.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%
Malmo6.00%8.00%9.00%5.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%16.00%6.00%10.00%10.00%6.00%
Landskrona3.00%8.00%6.00%14.00%9.00%11.00%5.00%10.00%5.00%16.00%5.00%8.00%
Garda6.00%10.00%14.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%7.00%15.00%6.00%7.00%6.00%
Brage1.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%8.00%3.00%9.00%8.00%15.00%12.00%20.00%13.00%
Sleipner3.00%15.00%7.00%6.00%11.00%12.00%14.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%7.00%
Sandvikens IF6.00%3.00%6.00%11.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%14.00%7.00%10.00%8.00%7.00%
Helsingborg6.00%10.00%10.00%12.00%16.00%6.00%12.00%4.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%11.00%
Orgryte8.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%8.00%8.00%6.00%11.00%15.00%8.00%10.00%5.00%
Degerfors2.00%7.00%10.00%6.00%6.00%11.00%11.00%6.00%9.00%8.00%12.00%12.00%
Hallstahammars3.00%2.00%5.00%—3.00%12.00%8.00%6.00%6.00%14.00%18.00%23.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Elfsborg 99.00% 1.00%
AIK Stockholm 95.00% 5.00%
Sleipner 89.00% 11.00%
Garda 87.00% 13.00%
Helsingborg 87.00% 13.00%
Landskrona 87.00% 13.00%
Orgryte 85.00% 15.00%
Sandvikens IF 85.00% 15.00%
Malmo 84.00% 16.00%
Degerfors 76.00% 24.00%
Brage 67.00% 33.00%
Hallstahammars 59.00% 41.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1938-07-31 Garda W 3-245.1 1285 1260 58.63% 23.40% 17.98%+0.81 +3.0 2
1938-07-31 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-345.1 1260 1285 17.98% 23.40% 58.63%-0.81 -3.0 0
1938-07-31 Orgryte D 2-257.2 1257 1269 54.91% 23.75% 21.33%+0.57 -0.9 1
1938-07-31 @ Brage D 2-257.2 1269 1257 21.33% 23.75% 54.91%-0.57 +0.9 1
1938-07-31 Sleipner L 1-349.8 1292 1284 56.95% 23.58% 19.48%+0.70 -14.0 0
1938-07-31 @ Degerfors W 3-149.8 1284 1292 19.48% 23.58% 56.95%-0.70 +14.0 2
1938-07-31 Landskrona L 1-348.7 1254 1276 53.78% 23.83% 22.39%+0.50 -13.3 0
1938-07-31 @ Hallstahammars W 3-148.7 1276 1254 22.39% 23.83% 53.78%-0.50 +13.3 2
1938-07-31 Elfsborg L 1-251.5 1278 1283 55.58% 23.70% 20.72%+0.61 -7.9 0
1938-07-31 @ Helsingborg W 2-151.5 1283 1278 20.72% 23.70% 55.58%-0.61 +7.9 2
1938-07-31 Malmo L 1-252.0 1266 1247 58.07% 23.46% 18.47%+0.77 -8.3 0
1938-07-31 @ Sandvikens IF W 2-152.0 1247 1266 18.47% 23.46% 58.07%-0.77 +8.3 2
1938-08-07 Hallstahammars W 2-032.2 1290 1241 60.87% 23.10% 16.03%+0.97 +5.6 4
1938-08-07 @ Landskrona L 0-232.2 1241 1290 16.03% 23.10% 60.87%-0.97 -5.6 0
1938-08-14 Garda D 1-152.4 1291 1257 59.46% 23.29% 17.24%+0.87 -1.5 3
1938-08-14 @ Elfsborg D 1-152.4 1257 1291 17.24% 23.29% 59.46%-0.87 +1.5 1
1938-08-14 Helsingborg W 1-037.3 1235 1270 52.42% 23.91% 23.67%+0.42 +4.2 2
1938-08-14 @ Hallstahammars L 0-137.3 1270 1235 23.67% 23.91% 52.42%-0.42 -4.2 0
1938-08-14 Brage D 1-152.5 1295 1256 60.02% 23.22% 16.76%+0.91 -1.5 5
1938-08-14 @ Landskrona D 1-152.5 1256 1295 16.76% 23.22% 60.02%-0.91 +1.5 2
1938-08-14 AIK Stockholm L 2-355.6 1255 1288 52.60% 23.90% 23.50%+0.43 -7.2 2
1938-08-14 @ Malmo W 3-255.6 1288 1255 23.50% 23.90% 52.60%-0.43 +7.2 4
1938-08-14 Degerfors W 1-036.7 1269 1278 55.29% 23.72% 20.98%+0.59 +3.8 3
1938-08-14 @ Orgryte L 0-136.7 1278 1269 20.98% 23.72% 55.29%-0.59 -3.8 0
1938-08-14 Sandvikens IF W 2-139.7 1298 1258 60.07% 23.21% 16.71%+0.91 +2.9 4
1938-08-14 @ Sleipner L 1-239.7 1258 1298 16.71% 23.21% 60.07%-0.91 -2.9 0
1938-08-19 Orgryte W 3-032.0 1259 1273 54.64% 23.77% 21.59%+0.55 +10.6 3
1938-08-19 @ Garda L 0-332.0 1273 1259 21.59% 23.77% 54.64%-0.55 -10.6 3
1938-08-21 Elfsborg W 4-349.3 1295 1289 56.75% 23.60% 19.65%+0.68 +3.1 6
1938-08-21 @ AIK Stockholm L 3-449.3 1289 1295 19.65% 23.60% 56.75%-0.68 -3.1 3
1938-08-21 Hallstahammars D 1-152.2 1257 1240 57.97% 23.47% 18.56%+0.76 -1.4 3
1938-08-21 @ Brage D 1-152.2 1240 1257 18.56% 23.47% 57.97%-0.76 +1.4 3
1938-08-21 Malmo W 3-030.8 1274 1248 58.70% 23.39% 17.91%+0.81 +9.0 2
1938-08-21 @ Degerfors L 0-330.8 1248 1274 17.91% 23.39% 58.70%-0.81 -9.0 2
1938-08-21 Sleipner W 4-137.9 1265 1301 52.29% 23.92% 23.79%+0.41 +9.7 2
1938-08-21 @ Helsingborg L 1-437.9 1301 1265 23.79% 23.92% 52.29%-0.41 -9.7 4
1938-08-21 Landskrona L 1-250.4 1255 1294 51.88% 23.94% 24.18%+0.39 -7.4 0
1938-08-21 @ Sandvikens IF W 2-150.4 1294 1255 24.18% 23.94% 51.88%-0.39 +7.4 7
1938-08-24 Elfsborg L 0-341.7 1263 1286 53.60% 23.84% 22.55%+0.49 -22.3 3
1938-08-24 @ Orgryte W 3-041.7 1286 1263 22.55% 23.84% 53.60%-0.49 +22.3 5
1938-08-28 Degerfors W 10-133.2 1309 1283 58.73% 23.38% 17.89%+0.82 +20.9 7
1938-08-28 @ Elfsborg L 1-1033.2 1283 1309 17.89% 23.38% 58.73%-0.82 -20.9 2
1938-08-28 Sandvikens IF W 3-245.0 1270 1247 58.37% 23.43% 18.20%+0.79 +3.0 5
1938-08-28 @ Garda L 2-345.0 1247 1270 18.20% 23.43% 58.37%-0.79 -3.0 0
1938-08-28 AIK Stockholm W 3-140.6 1241 1298 49.70% 24.03% 26.28%+0.26 +7.5 5
1938-08-28 @ Hallstahammars L 1-340.6 1298 1241 26.28% 24.03% 49.70%-0.26 -7.5 6
1938-08-28 Helsingborg D 1-152.5 1301 1275 58.76% 23.38% 17.86%+0.82 -1.4 8
1938-08-28 @ Landskrona D 1-152.5 1275 1301 17.86% 23.38% 58.76%-0.82 +1.4 3
1938-08-28 Orgryte W 2-033.4 1239 1240 56.04% 23.66% 20.30%+0.64 +6.9 4
1938-08-28 @ Malmo L 0-233.4 1240 1239 20.30% 23.66% 56.04%-0.64 -7.0 3
1938-08-28 Brage W 6-133.2 1291 1256 59.60% 23.28% 17.12%+0.88 +11.6 6
1938-08-28 @ Sleipner L 1-633.2 1256 1291 17.12% 23.28% 59.60%-0.88 -11.6 3
1938-09-04 Degerfors W 3-138.2 1277 1262 57.64% 23.51% 18.85%+0.74 +5.7 5
1938-09-04 @ Helsingborg L 1-338.2 1262 1277 18.85% 23.51% 57.64%-0.74 -5.7 2
1938-09-11 Sleipner W 2-034.3 1291 1303 54.91% 23.75% 21.34%+0.57 +7.2 8
1938-09-11 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-234.3 1303 1291 21.34% 23.75% 54.91%-0.57 -7.2 6
1938-09-11 Garda W 3-246.6 1245 1273 53.12% 23.87% 23.00%+0.46 +3.7 5
1938-09-11 @ Brage L 2-346.6 1273 1245 23.00% 23.87% 53.12%-0.46 -3.7 5
1938-09-11 Landskrona W 5-032.3 1256 1300 51.34% 23.97% 24.70%+0.36 +19.2 4
1938-09-11 @ Degerfors L 0-532.3 1300 1256 24.70% 23.97% 51.34%-0.36 -19.1 8
1938-09-11 Orgryte W 1-033.9 1329 1233 64.86% 22.38% 12.77%+1.28 +2.4 9
1938-09-11 @ Elfsborg L 0-133.9 1233 1329 12.77% 22.38% 64.86%-1.28 -2.4 3
1938-09-11 Malmo W 2-139.7 1282 1246 59.71% 23.26% 17.03%+0.89 +3.0 7
1938-09-11 @ Helsingborg L 1-239.7 1246 1282 17.03% 23.26% 59.71%-0.89 -3.0 4
1938-09-11 Hallstahammars W 2-033.6 1244 1248 55.74% 23.69% 20.57%+0.62 +7.0 2
1938-09-11 @ Sandvikens IF L 0-233.6 1248 1244 20.57% 23.69% 55.74%-0.62 -7.0 5
1938-09-18 Sandvikens IF W 4-348.5 1275 1251 58.55% 23.41% 18.05%+0.80 +2.9 6
1938-09-18 @ Degerfors L 3-448.5 1251 1275 18.05% 23.41% 58.55%-0.80 -2.9 2
1938-09-18 Brage W 3-031.6 1241 1248 55.43% 23.71% 20.86%+0.60 +10.3 7
1938-09-18 @ Hallstahammars L 0-331.6 1248 1241 20.86% 23.71% 55.43%-0.60 -10.3 5
1938-09-18 AIK Stockholm D 1-152.5 1285 1298 54.78% 23.76% 21.46%+0.56 -1.2 8
1938-09-18 @ Helsingborg D 1-152.5 1298 1285 21.46% 23.76% 54.78%-0.56 +1.1 9
1938-09-18 Garda W 2-140.5 1281 1269 57.36% 23.54% 19.11%+0.72 +3.3 10
1938-09-18 @ Landskrona L 1-240.5 1269 1281 19.11% 23.54% 57.36%-0.72 -3.3 5
1938-09-18 Malmo W 5-135.2 1231 1243 54.85% 23.76% 21.39%+0.56 +11.5 5
1938-09-18 @ Orgryte L 1-535.2 1243 1231 21.39% 23.76% 54.85%-0.56 -11.5 4
1938-09-18 Elfsborg L 2-453.2 1295 1332 52.17% 23.93% 23.90%+0.40 -11.6 6
1938-09-18 @ Sleipner W 4-253.2 1332 1295 23.90% 23.93% 52.17%-0.40 +11.6 11
1938-09-25 Helsingborg L 2-357.2 1299 1284 57.69% 23.50% 18.80%+0.75 -7.8 9
1938-09-25 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-257.2 1284 1299 18.80% 23.50% 57.69%-0.75 +7.8 10
1938-09-25 Degerfors D 2-257.1 1238 1278 51.71% 23.95% 24.34%+0.38 -0.7 6
1938-09-25 @ Brage D 2-257.1 1278 1238 24.34% 23.95% 51.71%-0.38 +0.7 7
1938-09-25 Landskrona W 4-135.4 1343 1284 61.82% 22.95% 15.23%+1.04 +6.6 13
1938-09-25 @ Elfsborg L 1-435.4 1284 1343 15.23% 22.95% 61.82%-1.04 -6.6 10
1938-09-25 Sleipner W 4-137.2 1266 1284 54.20% 23.80% 21.99%+0.52 +9.1 7
1938-09-25 @ Garda L 1-437.2 1284 1266 21.99% 23.80% 54.20%-0.52 -9.1 6
1938-09-25 Hallstahammars W 2-034.1 1232 1252 54.01% 23.82% 22.17%+0.51 +7.5 6
1938-09-25 @ Malmo L 0-234.1 1252 1232 22.17% 23.82% 54.01%-0.51 -7.5 7
1938-09-25 Orgryte W 2-033.3 1249 1242 56.79% 23.59% 19.62%+0.69 +6.8 4
1938-09-25 @ Sandvikens IF L 0-233.3 1242 1249 19.62% 23.59% 56.79%-0.69 -6.8 5
1938-10-09 Brage L 1-252.6 1279 1237 60.24% 23.19% 16.57%+0.92 -8.6 7
1938-10-09 @ Degerfors W 2-152.6 1237 1279 16.57% 23.19% 60.24%-0.92 +8.6 8
1938-10-09 Hallstahammars W 4-134.0 1350 1244 65.61% 22.21% 12.18%+1.35 +5.3 15
1938-10-09 @ Elfsborg L 1-434.0 1244 1350 12.18% 22.21% 65.61%-1.35 -5.3 7
1938-10-09 Garda L 0-245.0 1292 1275 57.89% 23.48% 18.63%+0.76 -16.5 10
1938-10-09 @ Helsingborg W 2-045.0 1275 1292 18.63% 23.48% 57.89%-0.76 +16.5 9
1938-10-09 Sandvikens IF W 4-030.0 1277 1255 58.37% 23.43% 18.20%+0.79 +12.0 12
1938-10-09 @ Landskrona L 0-430.0 1255 1277 18.20% 23.43% 58.37%-0.79 -12.0 4
1938-10-09 AIK Stockholm W 3-140.5 1236 1291 49.88% 24.02% 26.09%+0.27 +7.4 7
1938-10-09 @ Orgryte L 1-340.5 1291 1236 26.09% 24.02% 49.88%-0.27 -7.4 9
1938-10-09 Malmo L 2-357.4 1275 1239 59.66% 23.27% 17.07%+0.88 -8.0 6
1938-10-09 @ Sleipner W 3-257.4 1239 1275 17.07% 23.27% 59.66%-0.88 +8.0 8
1938-10-16 Degerfors L 2-357.0 1284 1270 57.54% 23.52% 18.94%+0.74 -7.8 9
1938-10-16 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-257.0 1270 1284 18.94% 23.52% 57.54%-0.74 +7.8 9
1938-10-16 Elfsborg L 0-143.7 1246 1355 43.01% 24.10% 32.89%-0.08 -6.7 8
1938-10-16 @ Brage W 1-043.7 1355 1246 32.89% 24.10% 43.01%+0.08 +6.7 17
1938-10-16 Malmo D 2-257.4 1291 1247 60.44% 23.16% 16.40%+0.94 -1.2 10
1938-10-16 @ Garda D 2-257.4 1247 1291 16.40% 23.16% 60.44%-0.94 +1.2 9
1938-10-16 Orgryte L 1-644.7 1239 1243 55.71% 23.69% 20.60%+0.62 -30.8 7
1938-10-16 @ Hallstahammars W 6-144.7 1243 1239 20.60% 23.69% 55.71%-0.62 +30.8 9
1938-10-16 Sleipner L 0-245.1 1289 1267 58.43% 23.42% 18.15%+0.80 -16.6 12
1938-10-16 @ Landskrona W 2-045.1 1267 1289 18.15% 23.42% 58.43%-0.80 +16.6 8
1938-10-16 Helsingborg W 4-031.6 1243 1275 52.67% 23.90% 23.43%+0.43 +14.9 6
1938-10-16 @ Sandvikens IF L 0-431.6 1275 1243 23.43% 23.90% 52.67%-0.43 -14.9 10
1938-10-23 Hallstahammars W 3-136.5 1278 1208 62.74% 22.79% 14.47%+1.11 +4.4 11
1938-10-23 @ Degerfors L 1-336.5 1208 1278 14.47% 22.79% 62.74%-1.11 -4.5 7
1938-10-23 AIK Stockholm W 2-139.1 1362 1276 64.03% 22.55% 13.42%+1.21 +2.4 19
1938-10-23 @ Elfsborg L 1-239.1 1276 1362 13.42% 22.55% 64.03%-1.21 -2.4 9
1938-10-23 Brage D 0-048.7 1260 1239 58.31% 23.43% 18.26%+0.79 -1.6 11
1938-10-23 @ Helsingborg D 0-048.7 1239 1260 18.26% 23.43% 58.31%-0.79 +1.6 9
1938-10-23 Landskrona D 1-152.1 1248 1273 53.53% 23.85% 22.63%+0.48 -1.1 10
1938-10-23 @ Malmo D 1-152.1 1273 1248 22.63% 23.85% 53.53%-0.48 +1.0 13
1938-10-23 Sandvikens IF L 2-454.2 1274 1258 57.73% 23.50% 18.77%+0.75 -12.7 9
1938-10-23 @ Orgryte W 4-254.2 1258 1274 18.77% 23.50% 57.73%-0.75 +12.7 8
1938-10-23 Garda W 3-032.0 1283 1290 55.45% 23.71% 20.84%+0.60 +10.3 10
1938-10-23 @ Sleipner L 0-332.0 1290 1283 20.84% 23.71% 55.45%-0.60 -10.3 10
1938-10-30 Landskrona W 7-032.0 1274 1274 56.16% 23.65% 20.19%+0.65 +22.2 11
1938-10-30 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-732.0 1274 1274 20.19% 23.65% 56.16%-0.65 -22.2 13
1938-10-30 Malmo L 0-146.8 1241 1247 55.44% 23.71% 20.84%+0.60 -8.4 9
1938-10-30 @ Brage W 1-046.8 1247 1241 20.84% 23.71% 55.44%-0.60 +8.4 12
1938-10-30 Orgryte W 4-348.6 1283 1261 58.32% 23.43% 18.25%+0.79 +2.9 13
1938-10-30 @ Degerfors L 3-448.6 1261 1283 18.25% 23.43% 58.32%-0.79 -2.9 9
1938-10-30 Helsingborg D 2-257.3 1280 1259 58.24% 23.44% 18.32%+0.78 -1.0 11
1938-10-30 @ Garda D 2-257.3 1259 1280 18.32% 23.44% 58.24%-0.78 +1.0 12
1938-10-30 Sleipner D 2-257.0 1204 1294 45.61% 24.10% 30.29%+0.05 -0.4 8
1938-10-30 @ Hallstahammars D 2-257.0 1294 1204 30.29% 24.10% 45.61%-0.05 +0.4 11
1938-10-30 Elfsborg D 0-049.2 1271 1364 45.15% 24.10% 30.74%+0.02 -0.5 9
1938-10-30 @ Sandvikens IF D 0-049.2 1364 1271 30.74% 24.10% 45.15%-0.02 +0.5 20
1938-11-06 Helsingborg W 3-243.5 1365 1260 65.55% 22.22% 12.23%+1.34 +2.1 22
1938-11-06 @ Elfsborg L 2-343.5 1260 1365 12.23% 22.22% 65.55%-1.34 -2.1 12
1938-11-06 AIK Stockholm L 0-440.1 1252 1296 51.23% 23.97% 24.80%+0.35 -27.9 13
1938-11-06 @ Landskrona W 4-040.1 1296 1252 24.80% 23.97% 51.23%-0.35 +27.9 13
1938-11-06 Sandvikens IF D 1-152.2 1256 1270 54.59% 23.78% 21.64%+0.55 -1.1 13
1938-11-06 @ Malmo D 1-152.2 1270 1256 21.64% 23.78% 54.59%-0.55 +1.1 10
1938-11-06 Brage D 3-361.6 1258 1232 58.75% 23.38% 17.87%+0.82 -0.9 10
1938-11-06 @ Orgryte D 3-361.6 1232 1258 17.87% 23.38% 58.75%-0.82 +0.9 10
1938-11-06 Degerfors L 2-454.3 1294 1286 57.01% 23.57% 19.42%+0.70 -12.6 11
1938-11-06 @ Sleipner W 4-254.3 1286 1294 19.42% 23.57% 57.01%-0.70 +12.6 15
1938-11-13 AIK Stockholm L 0-146.1 1279 1324 51.12% 23.98% 24.90%+0.34 -7.8 11
1938-11-13 @ Garda W 1-046.1 1324 1279 24.90% 23.98% 51.12%-0.34 +7.8 15
1938-11-13 Brage W 1-035.1 1272 1233 59.93% 23.23% 16.84%+0.90 +3.1 12
1938-11-13 @ Sandvikens IF L 0-135.1 1233 1272 16.84% 23.23% 59.93%-0.90 -3.1 10
1938-11-13 Hallstahammars W 4-240.6 1281 1203 63.41% 22.67% 13.92%+1.16 +3.8 13
1938-11-13 @ Sleipner L 2-440.6 1203 1281 13.92% 22.67% 63.41%-1.16 -3.8 8
1938-11-20 Garda D 1-152.2 1255 1271 54.42% 23.79% 21.79%+0.54 -1.1 14
1938-11-20 @ Malmo D 1-152.2 1271 1255 21.79% 23.79% 54.42%-0.54 +1.1 12
1939-04-02 Helsingborg W 3-031.6 1253 1258 55.68% 23.69% 20.62%+0.62 +10.2 16
1939-04-02 @ Malmo L 0-331.6 1258 1253 20.62% 23.69% 55.68%-0.62 -10.2 12
1939-04-02 Landskrona W 2-032.4 1257 1224 59.47% 23.29% 17.23%+0.87 +6.0 12
1939-04-02 @ Orgryte L 0-232.4 1224 1257 17.23% 23.29% 59.47%-0.87 -6.0 13
1939-04-10 Brage W 4-133.4 1367 1230 67.91% 21.62% 10.47%+1.56 +4.6 24
1939-04-10 @ Elfsborg L 1-433.4 1230 1367 10.47% 21.62% 67.91%-1.56 -4.6 10
1939-04-10 Degerfors W 2-141.8 1272 1298 53.33% 23.86% 22.81%+0.47 +3.8 14
1939-04-10 @ Garda L 1-241.8 1298 1272 22.81% 23.86% 53.33%-0.47 -3.8 15
1939-04-10 Sandvikens IF L 0-146.3 1248 1275 53.23% 23.87% 22.90%+0.47 -8.1 12
1939-04-10 @ Helsingborg W 1-046.3 1275 1248 22.90% 23.87% 53.23%-0.47 +8.1 14
1939-04-10 Landskrona D 1-152.4 1285 1218 62.52% 22.83% 14.65%+1.09 -1.7 14
1939-04-10 @ Sleipner D 1-152.4 1218 1285 14.65% 22.83% 62.52%-1.09 +1.7 14
1939-04-16 Orgryte W 4-347.6 1332 1263 62.61% 22.82% 14.58%+1.10 +2.4 17
1939-04-16 @ AIK Stockholm L 3-447.6 1263 1332 14.58% 22.82% 62.61%-1.10 -2.4 12
1939-04-16 Sandvikens IF W 2-143.5 1199 1283 46.47% 24.10% 29.44%+0.09 +4.7 10
1939-04-16 @ Hallstahammars L 1-243.5 1283 1199 29.44% 24.10% 46.47%-0.09 -4.7 14
1939-04-16 Degerfors W 2-036.1 1219 1294 47.53% 24.08% 28.39%+0.15 +9.2 16
1939-04-16 @ Landskrona L 0-236.1 1294 1219 28.39% 24.08% 47.53%-0.15 -9.1 15
1939-04-16 Elfsborg D 0-049.2 1264 1372 43.23% 24.10% 32.67%-0.07 -0.4 17
1939-04-16 @ Malmo D 0-049.2 1372 1264 32.67% 24.10% 43.23%+0.07 +0.4 25
1939-04-16 Helsingborg D 0-048.8 1284 1240 60.43% 23.16% 16.40%+0.94 -1.8 15
1939-04-16 @ Sleipner D 0-048.8 1240 1284 16.40% 23.16% 60.43%-0.94 +1.8 13
1939-04-23 Garda L 1-251.9 1285 1276 57.11% 23.56% 19.33%+0.71 -8.1 15
1939-04-23 @ Degerfors W 2-151.9 1276 1285 19.33% 23.56% 57.11%-0.71 +8.1 16
1939-04-23 Elfsborg L 1-738.5 1204 1372 34.94% 23.86% 41.19%-0.47 -24.6 10
1939-04-23 @ Hallstahammars W 7-138.5 1372 1204 41.19% 23.86% 34.94%+0.47 +24.6 27
1939-04-23 Orgryte W 5-031.2 1241 1261 54.06% 23.81% 22.13%+0.52 +17.5 15
1939-04-23 @ Helsingborg L 0-531.2 1261 1241 22.13% 23.81% 54.06%-0.52 -17.5 12
1939-04-23 Malmo D 0-048.5 1229 1263 52.36% 23.92% 23.73%+0.41 -1.1 17
1939-04-23 @ Landskrona D 0-048.5 1263 1229 23.73% 23.92% 52.36%-0.41 +1.1 18
1939-04-23 AIK Stockholm W 2-035.9 1278 1334 49.84% 24.02% 26.13%+0.27 +8.6 16
1939-04-23 @ Sandvikens IF L 0-235.9 1334 1278 26.13% 24.02% 49.84%-0.27 -8.6 17
1939-04-26 Garda D 0-048.6 1243 1284 51.70% 23.95% 24.35%+0.38 -1.0 13
1939-04-26 @ Orgryte D 0-048.6 1284 1243 24.35% 23.95% 51.70%-0.38 +1.0 17
1939-04-30 Brage D 0-049.2 1326 1225 65.19% 22.30% 12.51%+1.31 -2.1 18
1939-04-30 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-049.2 1225 1326 12.51% 22.30% 65.19%-1.31 +2.1 11
1939-04-30 Degerfors W 2-034.0 1264 1277 54.81% 23.76% 21.43%+0.56 +7.3 20
1939-04-30 @ Malmo L 0-234.0 1277 1264 21.43% 23.76% 54.81%-0.56 -7.3 15
1939-04-30 Hallstahammars W 2-031.5 1242 1180 62.12% 22.90% 14.98%+1.06 +5.3 15
1939-04-30 @ Orgryte L 0-231.5 1180 1242 14.98% 22.90% 62.12%-1.06 -5.3 10
1939-04-30 Sleipner W 3-138.6 1287 1282 56.65% 23.61% 19.75%+0.68 +5.9 18
1939-04-30 @ Sandvikens IF L 1-338.6 1282 1287 19.75% 23.61% 56.65%-0.68 -5.9 15
1939-05-07 Helsingborg L 1-250.4 1227 1259 52.75% 23.90% 23.35%+0.44 -7.5 11
1939-05-07 @ Brage W 2-150.4 1259 1227 23.35% 23.90% 52.75%-0.44 +7.6 17
1939-05-07 Sandvikens IF W 2-139.2 1397 1292 65.48% 22.24% 12.28%+1.34 +2.2 29
1939-05-07 @ Elfsborg L 1-239.2 1292 1397 12.28% 22.24% 65.48%-1.34 -2.2 18
1939-05-07 Landskrona L 1-252.9 1285 1227 61.65% 22.98% 15.37%+1.03 -8.8 17
1939-05-07 @ Garda W 2-152.9 1227 1285 15.37% 22.98% 61.65%-1.03 +8.8 19
1939-05-07 Degerfors L 1-248.0 1174 1270 44.89% 24.11% 31.01%+0.01 -6.6 10
1939-05-07 @ Hallstahammars W 2-148.0 1270 1174 31.01% 24.11% 44.89%-0.01 +6.6 17
1939-05-07 AIK Stockholm W 2-142.7 1276 1324 50.86% 23.99% 25.15%+0.33 +4.2 17
1939-05-07 @ Sleipner L 1-242.7 1324 1276 25.15% 23.99% 50.86%-0.33 -4.1 18
1939-05-12 Sandvikens IF W 3-140.9 1220 1290 48.11% 24.07% 27.82%+0.18 +7.8 13
1939-05-12 @ Brage L 1-340.9 1290 1220 27.82% 24.07% 48.11%-0.18 -7.8 18
1939-05-14 Malmo W 2-032.5 1319 1272 60.78% 23.11% 16.11%+0.96 +5.7 20
1939-05-14 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-232.5 1272 1319 16.11% 23.11% 60.78%-0.96 -5.7 20
1939-05-14 Sleipner D 3-363.2 1399 1280 66.59% 21.97% 11.44%+1.43 -1.2 30
1939-05-14 @ Elfsborg D 3-363.2 1280 1399 11.44% 21.97% 66.59%-1.43 +1.2 18
1939-05-14 Brage D 2-257.3 1276 1228 60.85% 23.10% 16.05%+0.97 -1.2 18
1939-05-14 @ Garda D 2-257.3 1228 1276 16.05% 23.10% 60.85%-0.97 +1.2 14
1939-05-14 Hallstahammars W 2-030.6 1266 1168 65.06% 22.33% 12.61%+1.30 +4.5 19
1939-05-14 @ Helsingborg L 0-230.6 1168 1266 12.61% 22.33% 65.06%-1.30 -4.5 10
1939-05-18 Sleipner W 3-247.4 1229 1281 50.30% 24.01% 25.69%+0.30 +4.0 16
1939-05-18 @ Brage L 2-347.4 1281 1229 25.69% 24.01% 50.30%-0.30 -4.0 18
1939-05-18 AIK Stockholm L 0-440.3 1276 1325 50.73% 23.99% 25.27%+0.32 -27.7 17
1939-05-18 @ Degerfors W 4-040.3 1325 1276 25.27% 23.99% 50.73%-0.32 +27.7 22
1939-05-18 Elfsborg L 0-538.2 1275 1398 41.25% 24.07% 34.67%-0.17 -28.6 18
1939-05-18 @ Garda W 5-038.2 1398 1275 34.67% 24.07% 41.25%+0.17 +28.6 32
1939-05-18 Malmo D 1-151.8 1163 1266 43.92% 24.10% 31.98%-0.04 -0.4 11
1939-05-18 @ Hallstahammars D 1-151.8 1266 1163 31.98% 24.10% 43.92%+0.04 +0.4 21
1939-05-18 Orgryte W 3-245.9 1236 1248 54.94% 23.75% 21.31%+0.57 +3.4 21
1939-05-18 @ Landskrona L 2-345.9 1248 1236 21.31% 23.75% 54.94%-0.57 -3.4 15
1939-05-21 Hallstahammars D 2-258.1 1353 1163 71.39% 20.50% 8.11%+1.91 -1.7 23
1939-05-21 @ AIK Stockholm D 2-258.1 1163 1353 8.11% 20.50% 71.39%-1.91 +1.8 12
1939-05-21 Landskrona D 1-152.0 1233 1240 55.45% 23.71% 20.84%+0.60 -1.2 17
1939-05-21 @ Brage D 1-152.0 1240 1233 20.84% 23.71% 55.45%-0.60 +1.2 22
1939-05-21 Elfsborg L 1-441.6 1249 1426 33.65% 23.79% 42.56%-0.53 -12.8 17
1939-05-21 @ Degerfors W 4-141.6 1426 1249 42.56% 23.79% 33.65%+0.53 +12.8 34
1939-05-21 Sleipner W 2-034.0 1266 1277 55.00% 23.75% 21.26%+0.57 +7.2 23
1939-05-21 @ Malmo L 0-234.0 1277 1266 21.26% 23.75% 55.00%-0.57 -7.2 18
1939-05-21 Helsingborg W 2-034.4 1244 1271 53.28% 23.86% 22.86%+0.47 +7.7 17
1939-05-21 @ Orgryte L 0-234.4 1271 1244 22.86% 23.86% 53.28%-0.47 -7.7 19
1939-05-21 Garda L 1-448.3 1282 1246 59.71% 23.26% 17.03%+0.88 -20.8 18
1939-05-21 @ Sandvikens IF W 4-148.3 1246 1282 17.03% 23.26% 59.71%-0.88 +20.8 20
1939-05-29 AIK Stockholm W 3-143.2 1232 1351 41.71% 24.08% 34.21%-0.15 +9.2 19
1939-05-29 @ Brage L 1-343.2 1351 1232 34.21% 24.08% 41.71%+0.15 -9.2 23
1939-05-29 Malmo L 1-256.4 1439 1274 69.82% 21.04% 9.14%+1.74 -9.8 34
1939-05-29 @ Elfsborg W 2-156.4 1274 1439 9.14% 21.04% 69.82%-1.74 +9.8 25
1939-05-29 Hallstahammars D 3-361.7 1267 1165 65.37% 22.26% 12.37%+1.33 -1.2 21
1939-05-29 @ Garda D 3-361.7 1165 1267 12.37% 22.26% 65.37%-1.33 +1.2 13
1939-05-29 Landskrona D 0-048.7 1263 1241 58.40% 23.42% 18.18%+0.79 -1.6 20
1939-05-29 @ Helsingborg D 0-048.7 1241 1263 18.18% 23.42% 58.40%-0.79 +1.6 23
1939-05-29 Degerfors W 2-139.9 1262 1236 58.73% 23.38% 17.88%+0.82 +3.1 20
1939-05-29 @ Sandvikens IF L 1-239.9 1236 1262 17.88% 23.38% 58.73%-0.82 -3.1 17
1939-05-29 Orgryte W 3-031.0 1270 1252 57.98% 23.47% 18.55%+0.77 +9.3 20
1939-05-29 @ Sleipner L 0-331.0 1252 1270 18.55% 23.47% 57.98%-0.77 -9.3 17
1939-06-04 Sandvikens IF W 3-029.8 1342 1265 63.31% 22.69% 14.00%+1.16 +7.2 25
1939-06-04 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-329.8 1265 1342 14.00% 22.69% 63.31%-1.16 -7.2 20
1939-06-04 Helsingborg W 5-135.8 1233 1262 53.03% 23.88% 23.09%+0.45 +12.2 19
1939-06-04 @ Degerfors L 1-535.8 1262 1233 23.09% 23.88% 53.03%-0.45 -12.2 20
1939-06-04 Garda D 1-151.8 1166 1266 44.26% 24.10% 31.64%-0.02 -0.4 14
1939-06-04 @ Hallstahammars D 1-151.8 1266 1166 31.64% 24.10% 44.26%+0.02 +0.4 22
1939-06-04 Elfsborg W 3-146.7 1242 1429 32.44% 23.72% 43.84%-0.59 +11.1 25
1939-06-04 @ Landskrona L 1-346.7 1429 1242 43.84% 23.72% 32.44%+0.59 -11.1 34
1939-06-04 Brage L 1-448.4 1283 1241 60.30% 23.18% 16.52%+0.93 -21.0 25
1939-06-04 @ Malmo W 4-148.4 1241 1283 16.52% 23.18% 60.30%-0.93 +21.0 21
1939-06-04 Sleipner W 3-139.8 1243 1279 52.13% 23.93% 23.95%+0.40 +6.9 19
1939-06-04 @ Orgryte L 1-339.8 1279 1243 23.95% 23.93% 52.13%-0.40 -6.9 20

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1939-05-29 9.14% Malmo 1274 2 @ Elfsborg 1439 1
2 1939-05-07 15.37% Landskrona 1227 2 @ Garda 1285 1
3 1939-06-04 16.52% Brage 1241 4 @ Malmo 1283 1
4 1938-10-09 16.57% Brage 1237 2 @ Degerfors 1279 1
5 1939-05-21 17.03% Garda 1246 4 @ Sandvikens IF 1282 1
6 1938-10-09 17.07% Malmo 1239 3 @ Sleipner 1275 2
7 1938-10-16 18.15% Sleipner 1267 2 @ Landskrona 1289 0
8 1938-07-31 18.47% Malmo 1247 2 @ Sandvikens IF 1266 1
9 1938-10-09 18.63% Garda 1275 2 @ Helsingborg 1292 0
10 1938-10-23 18.77% Sandvikens IF 1258 4 @ Orgryte 1274 2
11 1938-09-25 18.80% Helsingborg 1284 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1299 2
12 1938-10-16 18.94% Degerfors 1270 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1284 2
13 1939-04-23 19.33% Garda 1276 2 @ Degerfors 1285 1
14 1938-11-06 19.42% Degerfors 1286 4 @ Sleipner 1294 2
15 1938-07-31 19.48% Sleipner 1284 3 @ Degerfors 1292 1
16 1938-10-16 20.60% Orgryte 1243 6 @ Hallstahammars 1239 1
17 1938-07-31 20.72% Elfsborg 1283 2 @ Helsingborg 1278 1
18 1938-10-30 20.84% Malmo 1247 1 @ Brage 1241 0
19 1938-07-31 22.39% Landskrona 1276 3 @ Hallstahammars 1254 1
20 1938-08-24 22.55% Elfsborg 1286 3 @ Orgryte 1263 0
21 1939-04-10 22.90% Sandvikens IF 1275 1 @ Helsingborg 1248 0
22 1939-05-07 23.35% Helsingborg 1259 2 @ Brage 1227 1
23 1938-08-14 23.50% AIK Stockholm 1288 3 @ Malmo 1255 2
24 1938-09-18 23.90% Elfsborg 1332 4 @ Sleipner 1295 2
25 1938-08-21 24.18% Landskrona 1294 2 @ Sandvikens IF 1255 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1938-10-16 30.79 Orgryte 6 1243 20.60% @ Hallstahammars 1 1239 55.71% 23.69%
2 1939-05-18 28.61 Elfsborg 5 1398 34.67% @ Garda 0 1275 41.25% 24.07%
3 1938-11-06 27.92 AIK Stockholm 4 1296 24.80% @ Landskrona 0 1252 51.23% 23.97%
4 1939-05-18 27.68 AIK Stockholm 4 1325 25.27% @ Degerfors 0 1276 50.73% 23.99%
5 1939-04-23 24.61 Elfsborg 7 1372 41.19% @ Hallstahammars 1 1204 34.94% 23.86%
6 1938-08-24 22.28 Elfsborg 3 1286 22.55% @ Orgryte 0 1263 53.60% 23.84%
7 1938-10-30 22.24 @ AIK Stockholm 7 1274 56.16% Landskrona 0 1274 20.19% 23.65%
8 1939-06-04 20.98 Brage 4 1241 16.52% @ Malmo 1 1283 60.30% 23.18%
9 1938-08-28 20.87 @ Elfsborg 10 1309 58.73% Degerfors 1 1283 17.89% 23.38%
10 1939-05-21 20.79 Garda 4 1246 17.03% @ Sandvikens IF 1 1282 59.71% 23.26%
11 1938-09-11 19.15 @ Degerfors 5 1256 51.34% Landskrona 0 1300 24.70% 23.97%
12 1939-04-23 17.48 @ Helsingborg 5 1241 54.06% Orgryte 0 1261 22.13% 23.81%
13 1938-10-16 16.63 Sleipner 2 1267 18.15% @ Landskrona 0 1289 58.43% 23.42%
14 1938-10-09 16.49 Garda 2 1275 18.63% @ Helsingborg 0 1292 57.89% 23.48%
15 1938-10-16 14.87 @ Sandvikens IF 4 1243 52.67% Helsingborg 0 1275 23.43% 23.90%
16 1938-07-31 14.05 Sleipner 3 1284 19.48% @ Degerfors 1 1292 56.95% 23.58%
17 1938-07-31 13.33 Landskrona 3 1276 22.39% @ Hallstahammars 1 1254 53.78% 23.83%
18 1939-05-21 12.76 Elfsborg 4 1426 42.56% @ Degerfors 1 1249 33.65% 23.79%
19 1938-10-23 12.74 Sandvikens IF 4 1258 18.77% @ Orgryte 2 1274 57.73% 23.50%
20 1938-11-06 12.59 Degerfors 4 1286 19.42% @ Sleipner 2 1294 57.01% 23.57%
21 1939-06-04 12.24 @ Degerfors 5 1233 53.03% Helsingborg 1 1262 23.09% 23.88%
22 1938-10-09 11.99 @ Landskrona 4 1277 58.37% Sandvikens IF 0 1255 18.20% 23.43%
23 1938-08-28 11.59 @ Sleipner 6 1291 59.60% Brage 1 1256 17.12% 23.28%
24 1938-09-18 11.59 Elfsborg 4 1332 23.90% @ Sleipner 2 1295 52.17% 23.93%
25 1938-09-18 11.49 @ Orgryte 5 1231 54.85% Malmo 1 1243 21.39% 23.76%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1939-05-14 63.2 @ Elfsborg 3 1399 66.59% Sleipner 3 1280 11.44% 21.97%
2 1939-05-29 61.7 @ Garda 3 1267 65.37% Hallstahammars 3 1165 12.37% 22.26%
3 1938-11-06 61.6 @ Orgryte 3 1258 58.75% Brage 3 1232 17.87% 23.38%
4 1939-05-21 58.1 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1353 71.39% Hallstahammars 2 1163 8.11% 20.50%
5 1938-10-09 57.4 Malmo 3 1239 17.07% @ Sleipner 2 1275 59.66% 23.27%
6 1938-10-16 57.4 @ Garda 2 1291 60.44% Malmo 2 1247 16.40% 23.16%
7 1938-10-30 57.3 @ Garda 2 1280 58.24% Helsingborg 2 1259 18.32% 23.44%
8 1939-05-14 57.3 @ Garda 2 1276 60.85% Brage 2 1228 16.05% 23.10%
9 1938-07-31 57.2 @ Brage 2 1257 54.91% Orgryte 2 1269 21.33% 23.75%
10 1938-09-25 57.2 Helsingborg 3 1284 18.80% @ AIK Stockholm 2 1299 57.69% 23.50%
11 1938-09-25 57.1 @ Brage 2 1238 51.71% Degerfors 2 1278 24.34% 23.95%
12 1938-10-16 57.0 Degerfors 3 1270 18.94% @ AIK Stockholm 2 1284 57.54% 23.52%
13 1938-10-30 57.0 @ Hallstahammars 2 1204 45.61% Sleipner 2 1294 30.29% 24.10%
14 1939-05-29 56.4 Malmo 2 1274 9.14% @ Elfsborg 1 1439 69.82% 21.04%
15 1938-08-14 55.6 AIK Stockholm 3 1288 23.50% @ Malmo 2 1255 52.60% 23.90%
16 1938-11-06 54.3 Degerfors 4 1286 19.42% @ Sleipner 2 1294 57.01% 23.57%
17 1938-10-23 54.2 Sandvikens IF 4 1258 18.77% @ Orgryte 2 1274 57.73% 23.50%
18 1938-09-18 53.2 Elfsborg 4 1332 23.90% @ Sleipner 2 1295 52.17% 23.93%
19 1939-05-07 52.9 Landskrona 2 1227 15.37% @ Garda 1 1285 61.65% 22.98%
20 1938-10-09 52.6 Brage 2 1237 16.57% @ Degerfors 1 1279 60.24% 23.19%
21 1938-08-14 52.5 @ Landskrona 1 1295 60.02% Brage 1 1256 16.76% 23.22%
22 1938-08-28 52.5 @ Landskrona 1 1301 58.76% Helsingborg 1 1275 17.86% 23.38%
23 1938-09-18 52.5 @ Helsingborg 1 1285 54.78% AIK Stockholm 1 1298 21.46% 23.76%
24 1938-08-14 52.4 @ Elfsborg 1 1291 59.46% Garda 1 1257 17.24% 23.29%
25 1939-04-10 52.4 @ Sleipner 1 1285 62.52% Landskrona 1 1218 14.65% 22.83%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1939-06-04 29.8 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1342 63.31% Sandvikens IF 0 1265 14.00% 22.69%
2 1938-10-09 30.0 @ Landskrona 4 1277 58.37% Sandvikens IF 0 1255 18.20% 23.43%
3 1939-05-14 30.6 @ Helsingborg 2 1266 65.06% Hallstahammars 0 1168 12.61% 22.33%
4 1938-08-21 30.8 @ Degerfors 3 1274 58.70% Malmo 0 1248 17.91% 23.39%
5 1939-05-29 31.0 @ Sleipner 3 1270 57.98% Orgryte 0 1252 18.55% 23.47%
6 1939-04-23 31.2 @ Helsingborg 5 1241 54.06% Orgryte 0 1261 22.13% 23.81%
7 1939-04-30 31.5 @ Orgryte 2 1242 62.12% Hallstahammars 0 1180 14.98% 22.90%
8 1938-09-18 31.6 @ Hallstahammars 3 1241 55.43% Brage 0 1248 20.86% 23.71%
9 1938-10-16 31.6 @ Sandvikens IF 4 1243 52.67% Helsingborg 0 1275 23.43% 23.90%
10 1939-04-02 31.6 @ Malmo 3 1253 55.68% Helsingborg 0 1258 20.62% 23.69%
11 1938-08-19 32.0 @ Garda 3 1259 54.64% Orgryte 0 1273 21.59% 23.77%
12 1938-10-23 32.0 @ Sleipner 3 1283 55.45% Garda 0 1290 20.84% 23.71%
13 1938-10-30 32.0 @ AIK Stockholm 7 1274 56.16% Landskrona 0 1274 20.19% 23.65%
14 1938-08-07 32.2 @ Landskrona 2 1290 60.87% Hallstahammars 0 1241 16.03% 23.10%
15 1938-09-11 32.3 @ Degerfors 5 1256 51.34% Landskrona 0 1300 24.70% 23.97%
16 1939-04-02 32.4 @ Orgryte 2 1257 59.47% Landskrona 0 1224 17.23% 23.29%
17 1939-05-14 32.5 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1319 60.78% Malmo 0 1272 16.11% 23.11%
18 1938-08-28 33.2 @ Elfsborg 10 1309 58.73% Degerfors 1 1283 17.89% 23.38%
19 1938-08-28 33.2 @ Sleipner 6 1291 59.60% Brage 1 1256 17.12% 23.28%
20 1938-09-25 33.3 @ Sandvikens IF 2 1249 56.79% Orgryte 0 1242 19.62% 23.59%
21 1938-08-28 33.4 @ Malmo 2 1239 56.04% Orgryte 0 1240 20.30% 23.66%
22 1939-04-10 33.4 @ Elfsborg 4 1367 67.91% Brage 1 1230 10.47% 21.62%
23 1938-09-11 33.6 @ Sandvikens IF 2 1244 55.74% Hallstahammars 0 1248 20.57% 23.69%
24 1938-09-11 33.9 @ Elfsborg 1 1329 64.86% Orgryte 0 1233 12.77% 22.38%
25 1938-10-09 34.0 @ Elfsborg 4 1350 65.61% Hallstahammars 1 1244 12.18% 22.21%