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1939-40 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Elfsborg

32 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Goteborg

8.36 points above expected

32 points · 23.64 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hammarby

8.18 points below expected

10 points · 18.18 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Elfsborg 22 13 6 3 32 66 31 +35 30.00 +2.00
2 Goteborg 22 15 2 5 32 49 27 +22 23.64 +8.36
3 Helsingborg 22 12 3 7 27 49 32 +17 24.08 +2.92
4 Brage 22 10 6 6 26 42 38 +4 22.88 +3.12
5 Sandvikens IF 22 10 2 10 22 38 37 +1 21.56 +0.44
6 AIK Stockholm 22 8 5 9 21 38 38 0 20.80 +0.20
7 Landskrona 22 7 7 8 21 42 50 -8 22.27 -1.27
8 Sleipner 22 8 5 9 21 33 49 -16 19.99 +1.01
9 Garda 22 5 10 7 20 27 39 -12 21.06 -1.06
10 Malmo 22 4 10 8 18 25 28 -3 19.61 -1.61
11 Orgryte 22 3 8 11 14 28 44 -16 19.93 -5.93
12 Hammarby 22 3 4 15 10 34 58 -24 18.18 -8.18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Goteborg 32 23.64 +8.36
2 Brage 26 22.88 +3.12
3 Helsingborg 27 24.08 +2.92
4 Elfsborg 32 30.00 +2.00
5 Sleipner 21 19.99 +1.01

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hammarby 10 18.18 -8.18
2 Orgryte 14 19.93 -5.93
3 Malmo 18 19.61 -1.61
4 Landskrona 21 22.27 -1.27
5 Garda 20 21.06 -1.06

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Goteborg 6 May 10 – Jun 2 1 in 380
2 AIK Stockholm 4 Apr 28 – May 10 1 in 88
3 Hammarby 2 May 24 – Jun 2 1 in 38
4 Helsingborg 4 Aug 20 – Sep 24 1 in 33
5 Elfsborg 4 Jul 26 – Aug 13 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hammarby 9 Sep 10 – Apr 21 1 in 3,882
2 Landskrona 5 Apr 28 – May 26 1 in 97
3 AIK Stockholm 4 Sep 10 – Oct 15 1 in 37
4 Orgryte 4 Apr 28 – May 10 1 in 33
5 Garda 2 Jul 26 – Jul 30 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Landskrona 10 Aug 13 – Nov 5 1 in 50
2 Hammarby 4 May 13 – Jun 2 1 in 23
3 Malmo 6 Apr 7 – May 13 1 in 19
4 Orgryte 4 Oct 29 – Apr 21 1 in 17
5 Goteborg 7 Aug 6 – Oct 8 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hammarby 16 Aug 20 – May 19 1 in 200
2 Malmo 10 Jul 26 – Oct 29 1 in 39
3 Orgryte 11 Nov 5 – Jun 2 1 in 27
4 Garda 6 May 5 – Jun 2 1 in 23
5 Elfsborg 3 May 5 – May 19 1 in 22

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Goteborg 1424 32 +83 10 5.3 +4.7
Elfsborg 1546 32 -10 6 7.5 -1.5
Helsingborg 1416 27 +47 8 6.1 +1.9
Brage 1358 26 -38 3 4.9 -1.9
Sandvikens IF 1316 22 -15 5 4.5 +0.5
AIK Stockholm 1341 21 +36 6 4.8 +1.2
Sleipner 1272 21 +19 5 5.2 -0.2
Landskrona 1261 21 -71 1 4.1 -3.1
Garda 1240 20 -66 3 5.2 -2.2
Malmo 1300 18 +36 5 3.3 +1.7
Orgryte 1158 14 -63 1 3.7 -2.7
Hammarby 1178 10 +45 6 3.8 +2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS BRA ELF GAR GOT HAM HEL LAN MAL ORG SI SLE
AIK Stockholm —
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
1.41
0-1-1
2.89
0-1-1
2.34
2-0-0
3.34
0-0-2
2.58
1-0-1
2.75
0-2-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.67
2-0-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.86
Brage
1-0-1
2.94
—
1-0-1
1.68
0-1-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.63
2-0-0
3.83
1-0-1
2.57
0-2-0
2.85
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.13
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
3.07
Elfsborg
1-1-0
4.08
1-0-1
3.80
—
1-0-1
4.13
1-0-1
3.74
1-1-0
3.27
2-0-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.72
1-1-0
3.84
2-0-0
4.13
1-1-0
3.86
1-1-0
4.08
Garda
1-1-0
2.58
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
1.37
—
0-0-2
2.61
0-1-1
3.75
0-1-1
2.18
0-1-1
2.68
0-2-0
2.95
0-2-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.74
Goteborg
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
1.74
2-0-0
2.86
—
2-0-0
3.00
2-0-0
2.60
2-0-0
3.02
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.03
0-0-2
3.15
1-0-1
3.46
Hammarby
0-0-2
2.12
0-0-2
1.66
0-1-1
2.22
1-1-0
1.74
0-0-2
2.45
—
0-0-2
2.04
0-0-2
2.10
0-1-1
2.19
0-1-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.45
Helsingborg
2-0-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.89
0-0-2
1.93
1-1-0
3.28
0-0-2
2.86
2-0-0
3.42
—
2-0-0
3.13
1-0-1
3.26
1-1-0
3.39
1-0-1
2.85
1-1-0
3.18
Landskrona
1-0-1
2.71
0-2-0
2.63
0-1-1
1.76
1-1-0
2.78
0-0-2
2.45
2-0-0
3.38
0-0-2
2.33
—
1-1-0
3.31
1-1-0
3.01
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
3.06
Malmo
0-2-0
2.36
0-1-1
2.33
0-1-1
1.66
0-2-0
2.51
0-1-1
2.13
1-1-0
3.27
1-0-1
2.20
0-1-1
2.15
—
1-1-0
2.88
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
2.67
Orgryte
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.33
0-0-2
1.35
0-2-0
2.70
0-0-2
2.44
1-1-0
3.16
0-1-1
2.08
0-1-1
2.46
0-1-1
2.57
—
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.57
Sandvikens IF
0-0-2
2.84
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
1.64
1-0-1
2.84
2-0-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.64
2-0-0
3.04
1-1-0
2.76
—
0-0-2
3.24
Sleipner
1-0-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.40
0-1-1
1.44
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.02
1-0-1
3.03
0-1-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.42
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.89
2-0-0
2.23
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.64 +4.5
Allowed 0.50 -4.9
Differential 0.84 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%4.55%4.55%1.52%1.14%1.52%19.32%
14.55%11.36%6.82%3.41%2.65%1.89%30.68%
24.55%6.82%7.58%4.55%1.52%1.52%26.52%
31.52%3.41%4.55%—0.38%0.76%10.61%
41.14%2.65%1.52%0.38%0.76%0.38%6.82%
5+1.52%1.89%1.52%0.76%0.38%—6.06%
Total19.32%30.68%26.52%10.61%6.82%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 1.78 +0.00
SD 1.55 1.55 2.24
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%——4.55%—18.18%
19.09%—9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
24.55%4.55%13.64%13.64%——36.36%
34.55%—4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%13.64%31.82%13.64%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.73 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.39 1.72
CV 0.70 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%———4.55%18.18%
1—13.64%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
213.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
Total22.73%40.91%13.64%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.73 +0.18
SD 1.48 1.93 2.50
CV 0.77 1.12 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
1—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
24.55%4.55%18.18%———27.27%
3—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
4—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
5+13.64%———4.55%—18.18%
Total18.18%31.82%45.45%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.00 1.41 +1.59
SD 2.05 0.96 2.48
CV 0.68 0.68 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%————18.18%
19.09%22.73%4.55%4.55%—9.09%50.00%
2—4.55%13.64%—4.55%—22.73%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%36.36%22.73%4.55%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.77 -0.55
SD 0.87 1.97 2.06
CV 0.71 1.11 —
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%———9.09%
113.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
24.55%27.27%4.55%4.55%——40.91%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
Total22.73%40.91%27.27%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.23 +1.00
SD 1.85 0.92 2.14
CV 0.83 0.75 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
2—4.55%13.64%9.09%—9.09%36.36%
3——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total—22.73%36.36%18.18%4.55%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.64 -1.09
SD 1.57 1.50 2.16
CV 1.01 0.57 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—13.64%———18.18%
14.55%4.55%13.64%——4.55%27.27%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
413.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total22.73%22.73%50.00%——4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.45 +0.77
SD 1.72 1.14 2.27
CV 0.77 0.79 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%—4.55%—9.09%22.73%
1—18.18%4.55%9.09%4.55%—36.36%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
5+—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
Total9.09%31.82%22.73%18.18%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 2.27 -0.36
SD 1.95 1.78 2.84
CV 1.02 0.78 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
031.82%9.09%————40.91%
1—9.09%13.64%—4.55%—27.27%
2—4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+———————
Total31.82%36.36%18.18%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.27 -0.14
SD 1.28 1.35 1.49
CV 1.13 1.06 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
14.55%22.73%4.55%18.18%4.55%—54.55%
2—4.55%4.55%—9.09%—18.18%
3———————
4—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
5+———————
Total13.64%36.36%13.64%18.18%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 2.00 -0.73
SD 1.08 1.57 1.42
CV 0.85 0.79 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
113.64%9.09%9.09%———31.82%
24.55%9.09%—13.64%4.55%—31.82%
34.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total22.73%31.82%18.18%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.68 +0.05
SD 1.20 1.46 1.86
CV 0.70 0.87 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%22.73%
1—18.18%——9.09%—27.27%
218.18%—4.55%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%22.73%18.18%18.18%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.23 -0.73
SD 1.14 1.82 2.37
CV 0.76 0.82 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Elfsborg 1546 32 30.00 +2.00 71.0% 19 24 27 31 33 35 36
Goteborg 1424 32 23.64 +8.36 100.0% 14 19 21 24 26 29 32
Helsingborg 1416 27 24.08 +2.92 83.0% 17 18 21 24 26 30 35
Brage 1358 26 22.88 +3.12 83.0% 16 18 20 23 25 29 30
AIK Stockholm 1341 21 20.80 +0.20 62.0% 12 15 18 20 23 28 31
Sandvikens IF 1316 22 21.56 +0.44 60.0% 12 15 19 22 24 28 30
Malmo 1300 18 19.61 -1.61 36.0% 12 14 17 20 22 25 28
Sleipner 1272 21 19.99 +1.01 65.0% 8 14 17 20 22 25 29
Landskrona 1261 21 22.27 -1.27 40.0% 14 16 20 22 24 27 30
Garda 1240 20 21.06 -1.06 47.0% 13 15 19 21 23 26 35
Hammarby 1178 10 18.18 -8.18 1.0% 9 12 15 19 21 24 26
Orgryte 1158 14 19.93 -5.93 7.0% 11 14 17 20 22 27 32

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+30.30%
Strong Edge
52.27%25.76%21.97%
Elo Value
Home Edge
173 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0108.70500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.72 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.63+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
69%
Elfsborg, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.91 * Some Luck: 2.91 to 4.37 * Lucky: 4.37 to 5.83 * Wild Swing: 5.83 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.01 * Close: 2.01 to 3.01 * Off: 3.01 to 4.01 * Way Off: 4.01 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.09 points
Some Luck
03.649
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
02.516
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Goteborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Hammarby
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 109.55
1.62
Moderate Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Strong Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Some Drama
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.50
Lopsided
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.29
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
-0.09
Weak Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Solid Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.32
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.20
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.057
Well Within Noise
00.1320.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Elfsborg69.00%17.00%8.00%3.00%——1.00%1.00%—1.00%——
Goteborg7.00%15.00%17.00%15.00%8.00%16.00%4.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%
Helsingborg7.00%23.00%16.00%9.00%11.00%6.00%13.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%—
Brage5.00%10.00%13.00%15.00%10.00%8.00%13.00%5.00%10.00%7.00%4.00%—
Sandvikens IF3.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%10.00%11.00%12.00%10.00%6.00%10.00%3.00%8.00%
AIK Stockholm3.00%7.00%7.00%5.00%9.00%7.00%11.00%10.00%13.00%7.00%10.00%11.00%
Landskrona1.00%10.00%8.00%15.00%11.00%12.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%4.00%9.00%2.00%
Sleipner——8.00%6.00%10.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%7.00%11.00%22.00%11.00%
Garda2.00%5.00%6.00%8.00%5.00%13.00%5.00%17.00%12.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%
Malmo—2.00%3.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%9.00%9.00%13.00%13.00%13.00%13.00%
Orgryte3.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%10.00%6.00%11.00%7.00%6.00%14.00%14.00%17.00%
Hammarby—1.00%1.00%2.00%7.00%3.00%8.00%10.00%14.00%14.00%11.00%29.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Elfsborg 100% —
Helsingborg 99.00% 1.00%
Brage 96.00% 4.00%
Goteborg 94.00% 6.00%
Landskrona 89.00% 11.00%
Sandvikens IF 89.00% 11.00%
Garda 84.00% 16.00%
AIK Stockholm 79.00% 21.00%
Malmo 74.00% 26.00%
Orgryte 69.00% 31.00%
Sleipner 67.00% 33.00%
Hammarby 60.00% 40.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1939-07-26 Hammarby W 2-141.7 1351 1353 55.63% 26.94% 17.43%+0.61 +6.7 2
1939-07-26 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-241.7 1353 1351 17.43% 26.94% 55.63%-0.61 -6.7 0
1939-07-26 Sandvikens IF W 5-345.0 1304 1303 55.93% 26.92% 17.15%+0.63 +9.7 2
1939-07-26 @ Brage L 3-545.0 1303 1304 17.15% 26.92% 55.93%-0.63 -9.7 0
1939-07-26 Orgryte W 3-136.9 1385 1299 62.82% 26.06% 11.12%+1.13 +7.9 2
1939-07-26 @ Elfsborg L 1-336.9 1299 1385 11.12% 26.06% 62.82%-1.13 -7.9 0
1939-07-26 Goteborg L 1-252.4 1307 1301 56.34% 26.88% 16.77%+0.66 -17.2 0
1939-07-26 @ Garda W 2-152.4 1301 1307 16.77% 26.88% 56.34%-0.66 +17.2 2
1939-07-26 Landskrona W 3-138.1 1298 1296 56.05% 26.91% 17.04%+0.64 +11.5 2
1939-07-26 @ Helsingborg L 1-338.1 1296 1298 17.04% 26.91% 56.05%-0.64 -11.5 0
1939-07-26 Malmo W 3-245.1 1311 1303 56.56% 26.87% 16.57%+0.67 +6.1 2
1939-07-26 @ Sleipner L 2-345.1 1303 1311 16.57% 26.87% 56.56%-0.67 -6.1 0
1939-07-30 Goteborg W 2-034.1 1313 1319 55.36% 26.96% 17.68%+0.60 +13.6 4
1939-07-30 @ Brage L 0-234.1 1319 1313 17.68% 26.96% 55.36%-0.60 -13.6 2
1939-07-30 Elfsborg L 1-447.9 1347 1393 51.12% 27.19% 21.68%+0.36 -38.5 0
1939-07-30 @ Hammarby W 4-147.9 1393 1347 21.68% 27.19% 51.12%-0.36 +38.5 4
1939-07-30 Garda W 7-133.7 1284 1290 55.33% 26.96% 17.71%+0.60 +31.3 2
1939-07-30 @ Landskrona L 1-733.7 1290 1284 17.71% 26.96% 55.33%-0.60 -31.3 0
1939-07-30 AIK Stockholm D 0-048.4 1297 1358 49.54% 27.25% 23.22%+0.28 -2.1 1
1939-07-30 @ Malmo D 0-048.4 1358 1297 23.22% 27.25% 49.54%-0.28 +2.1 3
1939-07-30 Sleipner W 4-136.9 1291 1317 53.33% 27.09% 19.58%+0.48 +18.2 2
1939-07-30 @ Orgryte L 1-436.9 1317 1291 19.58% 27.09% 53.33%-0.48 -18.1 2
1939-07-30 Helsingborg W 2-034.2 1293 1309 54.28% 27.03% 18.68%+0.53 +14.3 2
1939-07-30 @ Sandvikens IF L 0-234.2 1309 1293 18.68% 27.03% 54.28%-0.53 -14.3 2
1939-08-06 Garda D 2-256.3 1360 1258 63.84% 25.87% 10.30%+1.21 -3.1 4
1939-08-06 @ AIK Stockholm D 2-256.3 1258 1360 10.30% 25.87% 63.84%-1.21 +3.1 1
1939-08-06 Brage W 8-031.9 1432 1327 64.05% 25.82% 10.13%+1.23 +30.6 6
1939-08-06 @ Elfsborg L 0-831.9 1327 1432 10.13% 25.82% 64.05%-1.23 -30.6 4
1939-08-06 Hammarby W 6-134.1 1305 1308 55.54% 26.95% 17.51%+0.61 +26.2 4
1939-08-06 @ Goteborg L 1-634.1 1308 1305 17.51% 26.95% 55.54%-0.61 -26.2 0
1939-08-06 Orgryte D 1-151.4 1307 1309 55.66% 26.94% 17.40%+0.62 -2.8 3
1939-08-06 @ Sandvikens IF D 1-151.4 1309 1307 17.40% 26.94% 55.66%-0.62 +2.8 3
1939-08-06 Landskrona W 3-138.8 1299 1315 54.23% 27.04% 18.73%+0.53 +12.4 4
1939-08-06 @ Sleipner L 1-338.8 1315 1299 18.73% 27.04% 54.23%-0.53 -12.4 2
1939-08-09 Malmo W 2-140.5 1295 1295 55.88% 26.92% 17.20%+0.63 +6.7 4
1939-08-09 @ Helsingborg L 1-240.5 1295 1295 17.20% 26.92% 55.88%-0.63 -6.7 1
1939-08-11 Goteborg L 1-252.0 1312 1331 54.00% 27.05% 18.94%+0.52 -16.5 3
1939-08-11 @ Orgryte W 2-152.0 1331 1312 18.94% 27.05% 54.00%-0.52 +16.5 6
1939-08-13 Helsingborg W 5-134.8 1297 1302 55.35% 26.96% 17.68%+0.60 +21.6 6
1939-08-13 @ Brage L 1-534.8 1302 1297 17.68% 26.96% 55.35%-0.60 -21.6 4
1939-08-13 Sleipner W 3-032.9 1261 1311 50.81% 27.21% 21.99%+0.34 +23.6 3
1939-08-13 @ Garda L 0-332.9 1311 1261 21.99% 27.21% 50.81%-0.34 -23.6 4
1939-08-13 Sandvikens IF W 2-141.2 1282 1305 53.66% 27.07% 19.27%+0.50 +7.3 2
1939-08-13 @ Hammarby L 1-241.2 1305 1282 19.27% 27.07% 53.66%-0.50 -7.3 3
1939-08-13 AIK Stockholm W 3-247.3 1303 1357 50.36% 27.22% 22.42%+0.32 +7.8 4
1939-08-13 @ Landskrona L 2-347.3 1357 1303 22.42% 27.22% 50.36%-0.32 -7.8 4
1939-08-13 Elfsborg L 1-443.2 1288 1462 34.79% 27.18% 38.03%-0.38 -28.1 1
1939-08-13 @ Malmo W 4-143.2 1462 1288 38.03% 27.18% 34.79%+0.38 +28.1 8
1939-08-18 Garda D 1-151.2 1296 1285 56.80% 26.84% 16.35%+0.69 -3.0 4
1939-08-18 @ Orgryte D 1-151.2 1285 1296 16.35% 26.84% 56.80%-0.69 +3.0 4
1939-08-20 AIK Stockholm W 3-246.1 1348 1349 55.72% 26.93% 17.34%+0.62 +6.4 8
1939-08-20 @ Goteborg L 2-346.1 1349 1348 17.34% 26.93% 55.72%-0.62 -6.4 4
1939-08-20 Hammarby W 5-239.6 1280 1289 54.98% 26.99% 18.04%+0.58 +14.7 6
1939-08-20 @ Helsingborg L 2-539.6 1289 1280 18.04% 26.99% 54.98%-0.58 -14.7 2
1939-08-20 Elfsborg D 2-258.5 1311 1491 34.07% 27.15% 38.78%-0.41 +0.2 5
1939-08-20 @ Landskrona D 2-258.5 1491 1311 38.78% 27.15% 34.07%+0.41 -0.2 9
1939-08-20 Malmo W 1-035.3 1297 1260 59.11% 26.61% 14.28%+0.84 +6.0 5
1939-08-20 @ Sandvikens IF L 0-135.3 1260 1297 14.28% 26.61% 59.11%-0.84 -6.0 1
1939-08-20 Brage D 1-151.3 1287 1318 52.83% 27.12% 20.05%+0.45 -2.4 5
1939-08-20 @ Sleipner D 1-151.3 1318 1287 20.05% 27.12% 52.83%-0.45 +2.4 7
1939-09-03 Sandvikens IF W 3-244.5 1343 1303 59.27% 26.59% 14.14%+0.86 +5.4 6
1939-09-03 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-344.5 1303 1343 14.14% 26.59% 59.27%-0.86 -5.3 5
1939-09-03 Orgryte D 2-256.0 1320 1293 58.32% 26.70% 14.98%+0.79 -2.4 8
1939-09-03 @ Brage D 2-256.0 1293 1320 14.98% 26.70% 58.32%-0.79 +2.4 5
1939-09-03 Hammarby D 2-258.7 1490 1275 70.21% 24.02% 5.77%+1.87 -3.9 10
1939-09-03 @ Elfsborg D 2-258.7 1275 1490 5.77% 24.02% 70.21%-1.87 +3.9 3
1939-09-03 Landskrona D 1-151.3 1288 1311 53.60% 27.08% 19.32%+0.49 -2.5 5
1939-09-03 @ Garda D 1-151.3 1311 1288 19.32% 27.08% 53.60%-0.49 +2.5 6
1939-09-03 Sleipner W 4-030.1 1295 1285 56.74% 26.85% 16.41%+0.68 +24.3 8
1939-09-03 @ Helsingborg L 0-430.1 1285 1295 16.41% 26.85% 56.74%-0.68 -24.3 5
1939-09-03 Goteborg D 1-151.3 1254 1354 44.85% 27.32% 27.83%+0.05 -1.2 2
1939-09-03 @ Malmo D 1-151.3 1354 1254 27.83% 27.32% 44.85%-0.05 +1.2 9
1939-09-10 Helsingborg L 0-443.4 1348 1319 58.40% 26.69% 14.92%+0.79 -67.7 6
1939-09-10 @ AIK Stockholm W 4-043.4 1319 1348 14.92% 26.69% 58.40%-0.79 +67.7 10
1939-09-10 Brage W 2-140.3 1355 1318 59.09% 26.61% 14.30%+0.84 +5.7 11
1939-09-10 @ Goteborg L 1-240.3 1318 1355 14.30% 26.61% 59.09%-0.84 -5.7 8
1939-09-10 Malmo W 5-237.8 1314 1253 60.97% 26.36% 12.67%+0.98 +10.9 8
1939-09-10 @ Landskrona L 2-537.8 1253 1314 12.67% 26.36% 60.97%-0.98 -10.9 2
1939-09-10 Hammarby W 1-035.9 1295 1278 57.34% 26.80% 15.87%+0.72 +6.6 7
1939-09-10 @ Orgryte L 0-135.9 1278 1295 15.87% 26.80% 57.34%-0.72 -6.6 3
1939-09-10 Garda W 1-036.1 1298 1286 56.97% 26.83% 16.20%+0.70 +6.7 7
1939-09-10 @ Sandvikens IF L 0-136.1 1286 1298 16.20% 26.83% 56.97%-0.70 -6.7 5
1939-09-10 Elfsborg L 0-535.4 1261 1486 28.08% 26.86% 45.06%-0.68 -45.6 5
1939-09-10 @ Sleipner W 5-035.4 1486 1261 45.06% 26.86% 28.08%+0.68 +45.6 12
1939-09-24 Malmo W 2-138.6 1312 1242 61.68% 26.25% 12.06%+1.04 +4.9 10
1939-09-24 @ Brage L 1-238.6 1242 1312 12.06% 26.25% 61.68%-1.04 -4.9 2
1939-09-24 Sleipner D 2-259.0 1532 1215 74.56% 21.96% 3.48%+2.46 -4.3 13
1939-09-24 @ Elfsborg D 2-259.0 1215 1532 3.48% 21.96% 74.56%-2.46 +4.3 6
1939-09-24 Sandvikens IF W 3-245.8 1279 1305 53.33% 27.09% 19.58%+0.48 +7.0 7
1939-09-24 @ Garda L 2-345.8 1305 1279 19.58% 27.09% 53.33%-0.48 -7.0 7
1939-09-24 Goteborg L 0-145.6 1272 1361 46.23% 27.31% 26.45%+0.11 -15.2 3
1939-09-24 @ Hammarby W 1-045.6 1361 1272 26.45% 27.31% 46.23%-0.11 +15.2 13
1939-09-24 AIK Stockholm W 4-134.2 1387 1280 64.16% 25.80% 10.04%+1.24 +10.2 12
1939-09-24 @ Helsingborg L 1-434.2 1280 1387 10.04% 25.80% 64.16%-1.24 -10.2 6
1939-09-24 Landskrona L 2-453.5 1302 1324 53.62% 27.07% 19.31%+0.50 -25.4 7
1939-09-24 @ Orgryte W 4-253.5 1324 1302 19.31% 27.07% 53.62%-0.50 +25.4 10
1939-10-08 Elfsborg L 2-349.9 1270 1528 24.36% 26.58% 49.06%-0.86 -8.3 6
1939-10-08 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-249.9 1528 1270 49.06% 26.58% 24.36%+0.86 +8.3 15
1939-10-08 Garda D 1-151.4 1317 1286 58.62% 26.66% 14.72%+0.81 -3.3 11
1939-10-08 @ Brage D 1-151.4 1286 1317 14.72% 26.66% 58.62%-0.81 +3.3 8
1939-10-08 Helsingborg W 2-036.4 1376 1397 53.82% 27.06% 19.11%+0.51 +14.5 15
1939-10-08 @ Goteborg L 0-236.4 1397 1376 19.11% 27.06% 53.82%-0.51 -14.5 12
1939-10-08 Sleipner D 1-151.6 1350 1219 65.66% 25.46% 8.88%+1.38 -4.5 11
1939-10-08 @ Landskrona D 1-151.6 1219 1350 8.88% 25.46% 65.66%-1.38 +4.5 7
1939-10-08 Hammarby W 3-243.8 1298 1257 59.41% 26.57% 14.02%+0.86 +5.3 9
1939-10-08 @ Sandvikens IF L 2-343.8 1257 1298 14.02% 26.57% 59.41%-0.86 -5.3 3
1939-10-15 Goteborg W 3-248.3 1536 1391 66.54% 25.23% 8.23%+1.47 +3.3 17
1939-10-15 @ Elfsborg L 2-348.3 1391 1536 8.23% 25.23% 66.54%-1.47 -3.3 15
1939-10-15 AIK Stockholm W 1-035.6 1289 1262 58.27% 26.70% 15.03%+0.79 +6.3 10
1939-10-15 @ Garda L 0-135.6 1262 1289 15.03% 26.70% 58.27%-0.79 -6.3 6
1939-10-15 Landskrona L 3-553.6 1251 1345 45.61% 27.32% 27.08%+0.08 -20.8 3
1939-10-15 @ Hammarby W 5-353.6 1345 1251 27.08% 27.32% 45.61%-0.08 +20.8 13
1939-10-15 Orgryte D 0-048.8 1382 1276 64.15% 25.80% 10.05%+1.24 -4.7 13
1939-10-15 @ Helsingborg D 0-048.8 1276 1382 10.05% 25.80% 64.15%-1.24 +4.7 8
1939-10-15 Brage D 0-047.6 1237 1314 47.68% 27.29% 25.03%+0.18 -1.8 3
1939-10-15 @ Malmo D 0-047.6 1314 1237 25.03% 27.29% 47.68%-0.18 +1.8 12
1939-10-15 Sandvikens IF W 3-247.3 1224 1303 47.45% 27.29% 25.25%+0.17 +8.6 9
1939-10-15 @ Sleipner L 2-347.3 1303 1224 25.25% 27.29% 47.45%-0.17 -8.6 9
1939-10-22 Sleipner W 2-032.6 1256 1232 57.91% 26.74% 15.35%+0.76 +12.1 8
1939-10-22 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-232.6 1232 1256 15.35% 26.74% 57.91%-0.76 -12.1 9
1939-10-22 Helsingborg W 2-143.2 1539 1378 67.45% 24.97% 7.58%+1.56 +3.2 19
1939-10-22 @ Elfsborg L 1-243.2 1378 1539 7.58% 24.97% 67.45%-1.56 -3.2 13
1939-10-22 Brage D 4-463.5 1366 1316 60.16% 26.48% 13.36%+0.92 -1.9 14
1939-10-22 @ Landskrona D 4-463.5 1316 1366 13.36% 26.48% 60.16%-0.92 +1.9 13
1939-10-22 Sandvikens IF L 0-147.6 1281 1294 54.56% 27.02% 18.42%+0.55 -17.7 8
1939-10-22 @ Orgryte W 1-047.6 1294 1281 18.42% 27.02% 54.56%-0.55 +17.7 11
1939-10-29 Elfsborg W 2-046.2 1318 1542 28.18% 26.87% 44.95%-0.67 +27.9 15
1939-10-29 @ Brage L 0-246.2 1542 1318 44.95% 26.87% 28.18%+0.67 -27.9 19
1939-10-29 Sleipner L 0-244.9 1230 1220 56.77% 26.85% 16.38%+0.69 -34.7 3
1939-10-29 @ Hammarby W 2-044.9 1220 1230 16.38% 26.85% 56.77%-0.69 +34.7 11
1939-10-29 Garda W 4-241.0 1375 1295 62.30% 26.15% 11.55%+1.09 +7.3 15
1939-10-29 @ Helsingborg L 2-441.0 1295 1375 11.55% 26.15% 62.30%-1.09 -7.3 10
1939-10-29 Landskrona D 0-047.9 1235 1364 41.08% 27.31% 31.61%-0.12 -0.7 4
1939-10-29 @ Malmo D 0-047.9 1364 1235 31.61% 27.31% 41.08%+0.12 +0.7 15
1939-10-29 AIK Stockholm W 2-140.4 1263 1268 55.42% 26.96% 17.62%+0.60 +6.8 10
1939-10-29 @ Orgryte L 1-240.4 1268 1263 17.62% 26.96% 55.42%-0.60 -6.8 8
1939-10-29 Goteborg W 2-144.0 1312 1387 47.88% 27.29% 24.84%+0.19 +8.9 13
1939-10-29 @ Sandvikens IF L 1-244.0 1387 1312 24.84% 27.29% 47.88%-0.19 -8.9 15
1939-11-05 Goteborg D 2-256.0 1261 1378 42.61% 27.32% 30.07%-0.05 -0.6 9
1939-11-05 @ AIK Stockholm D 2-256.0 1378 1261 30.07% 27.32% 42.61%+0.05 +0.6 16
1939-11-05 Brage W 1-038.6 1288 1346 49.95% 27.24% 22.82%+0.30 +8.9 12
1939-11-05 @ Garda L 0-138.6 1346 1288 22.82% 27.24% 49.95%-0.30 -8.9 15
1939-11-05 Orgryte D 1-151.9 1365 1270 63.40% 25.95% 10.65%+1.18 -4.1 16
1939-11-05 @ Landskrona D 1-151.9 1270 1365 10.65% 25.95% 63.40%-1.18 +4.1 11
1939-11-05 Hammarby W 3-136.5 1234 1196 59.21% 26.60% 14.19%+0.85 +9.8 6
1939-11-05 @ Malmo L 1-336.5 1196 1234 14.19% 26.60% 59.21%-0.85 -9.8 3
1939-11-05 Elfsborg L 2-450.5 1321 1515 32.17% 27.08% 40.75%-0.49 -16.8 13
1939-11-05 @ Sandvikens IF W 4-250.5 1515 1321 40.75% 27.08% 32.17%+0.49 +16.8 21
1939-11-05 Helsingborg D 1-151.5 1255 1382 41.39% 27.31% 31.29%-0.10 -0.7 12
1939-11-05 @ Sleipner D 1-151.5 1382 1255 31.29% 27.31% 41.39%+0.10 +0.7 16
1939-11-12 Landskrona W 7-033.4 1531 1361 67.93% 24.82% 7.25%+1.61 +19.5 23
1939-11-12 @ Elfsborg L 0-733.4 1361 1531 7.25% 24.82% 67.93%-1.61 -19.5 16
1939-11-12 Malmo W 1-033.7 1379 1244 65.92% 25.39% 8.69%+1.41 +3.8 18
1939-11-12 @ Goteborg L 0-133.7 1244 1379 8.69% 25.39% 65.92%-1.41 -3.8 6
1939-11-12 Helsingborg L 2-543.7 1186 1383 31.79% 27.06% 41.15%-0.51 -22.8 3
1939-11-12 @ Hammarby W 5-243.7 1383 1186 41.15% 27.06% 31.79%+0.51 +22.8 18
1939-11-19 Orgryte D 1-151.2 1297 1274 57.90% 26.74% 15.36%+0.76 -3.2 13
1939-11-19 @ Garda D 1-151.2 1274 1297 15.36% 26.74% 57.90%-0.76 +3.2 12
1940-04-07 Sandvikens IF L 1-352.3 1383 1304 62.28% 26.16% 11.57%+1.08 -32.9 18
1940-04-07 @ Goteborg W 3-152.3 1304 1383 11.57% 26.16% 62.28%-1.08 +32.9 15
1940-04-07 Hammarby W 2-029.5 1341 1163 68.33% 24.69% 6.98%+1.66 +5.8 18
1940-04-07 @ Landskrona L 0-229.5 1163 1341 6.98% 24.69% 68.33%-1.66 -5.8 3
1940-04-07 Sleipner W 4-136.0 1240 1254 54.50% 27.02% 18.48%+0.55 +17.3 8
1940-04-07 @ Malmo L 1-436.0 1254 1240 18.48% 27.02% 54.50%-0.55 -17.3 12
1940-04-21 Orgryte D 0-047.6 1258 1277 53.96% 27.05% 18.99%+0.52 -2.8 9
1940-04-21 @ Malmo D 0-047.6 1277 1258 18.99% 27.05% 53.96%-0.52 +2.8 13
1940-04-21 AIK Stockholm W 4-348.8 1237 1260 53.60% 27.08% 19.33%+0.49 +6.8 14
1940-04-21 @ Sleipner L 3-448.8 1260 1237 19.33% 27.08% 53.60%-0.49 -6.8 9
1940-04-21 Helsingborg D 2-256.7 1294 1405 43.41% 27.32% 29.27%-0.02 -0.7 14
1940-04-21 @ Garda D 2-256.7 1405 1294 29.27% 27.32% 43.41%+0.02 +0.7 19
1940-04-21 Brage L 0-238.3 1157 1337 34.12% 27.16% 38.73%-0.41 -22.6 3
1940-04-21 @ Hammarby W 2-038.3 1337 1157 38.73% 27.16% 34.12%+0.41 +22.6 17
1940-04-21 Sandvikens IF W 2-141.1 1347 1337 56.77% 26.85% 16.38%+0.69 +6.4 20
1940-04-21 @ Landskrona L 1-241.1 1337 1347 16.38% 26.85% 56.77%-0.69 -6.4 15
1940-04-26 Garda W 1-035.5 1350 1293 60.66% 26.41% 12.93%+0.96 +5.5 20
1940-04-26 @ Goteborg L 0-135.5 1293 1350 12.93% 26.41% 60.66%-0.96 -5.5 14
1940-04-28 Orgryte W 4-242.8 1253 1280 53.24% 27.10% 19.67%+0.47 +11.5 11
1940-04-28 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-442.8 1280 1253 19.67% 27.10% 53.24%-0.47 -11.5 13
1940-04-28 Elfsborg W 2-153.9 1288 1551 23.75% 26.52% 49.73%-0.89 +15.2 16
1940-04-28 @ Garda L 1-253.9 1551 1288 49.73% 26.52% 23.75%+0.89 -15.2 23
1940-04-28 Sleipner W 3-028.9 1359 1244 64.73% 25.68% 9.59%+1.30 +11.6 19
1940-04-28 @ Brage L 0-328.9 1244 1359 9.59% 25.68% 64.73%-1.30 -11.5 14
1940-04-28 Helsingborg W 2-146.5 1255 1406 38.06% 27.26% 34.67%-0.25 +11.5 11
1940-04-28 @ Malmo L 1-246.5 1406 1255 34.67% 27.26% 38.06%+0.25 -11.5 19
1940-04-28 Landskrona W 3-033.0 1331 1354 53.62% 27.07% 19.31%+0.50 +21.3 17
1940-04-28 @ Sandvikens IF L 0-333.0 1354 1331 19.31% 27.07% 53.62%-0.50 -21.3 20
1940-05-02 Malmo D 2-255.0 1135 1266 40.76% 27.31% 31.94%-0.13 -0.4 4
1940-05-02 @ Hammarby D 2-255.0 1266 1135 31.94% 27.31% 40.76%+0.13 +0.4 12
1940-05-02 AIK Stockholm L 0-150.1 1352 1265 62.86% 26.05% 11.09%+1.13 -20.4 17
1940-05-02 @ Sandvikens IF W 1-050.1 1265 1352 11.09% 26.05% 62.86%-1.13 +20.3 13
1940-05-02 Elfsborg L 0-247.0 1395 1536 39.45% 27.29% 33.26%-0.19 -25.2 19
1940-05-02 @ Helsingborg W 2-047.0 1536 1395 33.26% 27.29% 39.45%+0.19 +25.2 25
1940-05-02 Brage L 1-346.9 1269 1371 44.58% 27.32% 28.09%+0.04 -24.1 13
1940-05-02 @ Orgryte W 3-146.9 1371 1269 28.09% 27.32% 44.58%-0.04 +24.1 21
1940-05-02 Goteborg W 2-037.8 1232 1356 41.87% 27.32% 30.81%-0.08 +21.0 16
1940-05-02 @ Sleipner L 0-237.8 1356 1232 30.81% 27.32% 41.87%+0.08 -21.0 20
1940-05-05 Landskrona W 4-137.6 1285 1332 51.09% 27.20% 21.71%+0.36 +19.7 15
1940-05-05 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-437.6 1332 1285 21.71% 27.20% 51.09%-0.36 -19.7 20
1940-05-05 Hammarby W 3-239.9 1395 1134 72.25% 23.14% 4.61%+2.13 +1.8 23
1940-05-05 @ Brage L 2-339.9 1134 1395 4.61% 23.14% 72.25%-2.13 -1.8 4
1940-05-05 Sandvikens IF D 1-157.5 1561 1332 70.85% 23.76% 5.39%+1.95 -5.3 26
1940-05-05 @ Elfsborg D 1-157.5 1332 1561 5.39% 23.76% 70.85%-1.95 +5.3 18
1940-05-05 Garda D 0-047.8 1267 1303 52.27% 27.14% 20.58%+0.42 -2.5 13
1940-05-05 @ Malmo D 0-047.8 1303 1267 20.58% 27.14% 52.27%-0.42 +2.5 17
1940-05-05 Helsingborg L 1-345.8 1244 1369 41.65% 27.32% 31.03%-0.09 -22.8 13
1940-05-05 @ Orgryte W 3-145.8 1369 1244 31.03% 27.32% 41.65%+0.09 +22.8 21
1940-05-09 Brage W 5-137.9 1337 1397 49.67% 27.24% 23.09%+0.28 +26.7 20
1940-05-09 @ Sandvikens IF L 1-537.9 1397 1337 23.09% 27.24% 49.67%-0.28 -26.7 23
1940-05-10 Orgryte W 3-135.4 1334 1222 64.57% 25.71% 9.72%+1.28 +7.0 22
1940-05-10 @ Goteborg L 1-335.4 1222 1334 9.72% 25.71% 64.57%-1.28 -7.0 13
1940-05-10 AIK Stockholm L 0-336.3 1133 1305 35.06% 27.19% 37.75%-0.37 -33.5 4
1940-05-10 @ Hammarby W 3-036.3 1305 1133 37.75% 27.19% 35.06%+0.37 +33.5 17
1940-05-13 AIK Stockholm W 2-140.9 1370 1339 58.63% 26.66% 14.71%+0.81 +5.8 25
1940-05-13 @ Brage L 1-240.9 1339 1370 14.71% 26.66% 58.63%-0.81 -5.8 17
1940-05-13 Malmo D 1-155.8 1556 1264 73.54% 22.50% 3.95%+2.31 -5.6 27
1940-05-13 @ Elfsborg D 1-155.8 1264 1556 3.95% 22.50% 73.54%-2.31 +5.6 14
1940-05-13 Orgryte D 1-150.4 1099 1215 42.86% 27.32% 29.81%-0.04 -0.9 5
1940-05-13 @ Hammarby D 1-150.4 1215 1099 29.81% 27.32% 42.86%+0.04 +0.9 14
1940-05-13 Sandvikens IF W 4-031.6 1392 1364 58.38% 26.69% 14.93%+0.79 +22.4 23
1940-05-13 @ Helsingborg L 0-431.6 1364 1392 14.93% 26.69% 58.38%-0.79 -22.4 20
1940-05-13 Goteborg L 1-251.9 1313 1341 53.01% 27.11% 19.88%+0.46 -16.2 20
1940-05-13 @ Landskrona W 2-151.9 1341 1313 19.88% 27.11% 53.01%-0.46 +16.2 24
1940-05-13 Garda D 1-151.0 1253 1305 50.55% 27.22% 22.23%+0.33 -2.0 17
1940-05-13 @ Sleipner D 1-151.0 1305 1253 22.23% 27.22% 50.55%-0.33 +2.0 18
1940-05-19 Brage W 1-038.9 1333 1376 51.51% 27.18% 21.31%+0.38 +8.4 19
1940-05-19 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-138.9 1376 1333 21.31% 27.18% 51.51%-0.38 -8.4 25
1940-05-19 Hammarby D 2-256.0 1307 1098 69.90% 24.14% 5.96%+1.84 -3.8 19
1940-05-19 @ Garda D 2-256.0 1098 1307 5.96% 24.14% 69.90%-1.84 +3.8 6
1940-05-19 Elfsborg W 2-153.4 1358 1550 32.35% 27.09% 40.56%-0.48 +12.9 26
1940-05-19 @ Goteborg L 1-253.4 1550 1358 40.56% 27.09% 32.35%+0.48 -12.9 27
1940-05-19 Helsingborg L 0-145.4 1296 1415 42.53% 27.32% 30.15%-0.05 -14.2 20
1940-05-19 @ Landskrona W 1-045.4 1415 1296 30.15% 27.32% 42.53%+0.05 +14.2 25
1940-05-19 Sandvikens IF L 1-250.1 1270 1341 48.36% 27.28% 24.37%+0.22 -14.9 14
1940-05-19 @ Malmo W 2-150.1 1341 1270 24.37% 27.28% 48.36%-0.22 +14.9 22
1940-05-19 Orgryte W 2-032.2 1251 1216 58.98% 26.62% 14.40%+0.83 +11.5 19
1940-05-19 @ Sleipner L 0-232.2 1216 1251 14.40% 26.62% 58.98%-0.83 -11.5 14
1940-05-24 Hammarby L 2-358.9 1263 1102 67.40% 24.98% 7.61%+1.56 -19.5 19
1940-05-24 @ Sleipner W 3-258.9 1102 1263 7.61% 24.98% 67.40%-1.56 +19.5 8
1940-05-24 Malmo D 0-047.9 1304 1255 60.02% 26.50% 13.49%+0.91 -4.0 20
1940-05-24 @ Garda D 0-047.9 1255 1304 13.49% 26.50% 60.02%-0.91 +3.9 15
1940-05-26 Brage W 3-246.3 1429 1368 60.99% 26.36% 12.65%+0.98 +4.9 27
1940-05-26 @ Helsingborg L 2-346.3 1368 1429 12.65% 26.36% 60.99%-0.98 -4.8 25
1940-05-26 Malmo D 0-048.3 1341 1259 62.52% 26.11% 11.36%+1.10 -4.4 20
1940-05-26 @ AIK Stockholm D 0-048.3 1259 1341 11.36% 26.11% 62.52%-1.10 +4.4 16
1940-05-26 Landskrona W 6-029.4 1371 1282 62.95% 26.04% 11.01%+1.14 +25.1 28
1940-05-26 @ Goteborg L 0-629.4 1282 1371 11.01% 26.04% 62.95%-1.14 -25.1 20
1940-05-26 Garda W 3-137.2 1537 1300 71.23% 23.60% 5.17%+2.00 +3.7 29
1940-05-26 @ Elfsborg L 1-337.2 1300 1537 5.17% 23.60% 71.23%-2.00 -3.7 20
1940-05-29 Sleipner W 7-232.8 1396 1243 66.93% 25.12% 7.95%+1.51 +10.8 30
1940-05-29 @ Goteborg L 2-732.8 1243 1396 7.95% 25.12% 66.93%-1.51 -10.8 19
1940-05-31 Elfsborg L 4-647.4 1204 1541 16.82% 25.62% 57.56%-1.32 -9.0 14
1940-05-31 @ Orgryte W 6-447.4 1541 1204 57.56% 25.62% 16.82%+1.32 +9.0 31
1940-06-02 Landskrona D 1-151.8 1363 1257 64.10% 25.81% 10.09%+1.24 -4.2 26
1940-06-02 @ Brage D 1-151.8 1257 1363 10.09% 25.81% 64.10%-1.24 +4.2 21
1940-06-02 AIK Stockholm D 2-261.7 1550 1337 70.09% 24.07% 5.84%+1.86 -3.9 32
1940-06-02 @ Elfsborg D 2-261.7 1337 1550 5.84% 24.07% 70.09%-1.86 +3.8 21
1940-06-02 Garda W 7-139.3 1121 1296 34.79% 27.18% 38.03%-0.38 +56.2 10
1940-06-02 @ Hammarby L 1-739.3 1296 1121 38.03% 27.18% 34.79%+0.38 -56.2 20
1940-06-02 Goteborg L 1-256.6 1434 1406 58.26% 26.70% 15.03%+0.79 -17.8 27
1940-06-02 @ Helsingborg W 2-156.6 1406 1434 15.03% 26.70% 58.26%-0.79 +17.8 32
1940-06-02 Malmo L 1-445.0 1195 1263 48.72% 27.27% 24.01%+0.23 -36.8 14
1940-06-02 @ Orgryte W 4-145.0 1263 1195 24.01% 27.27% 48.72%-0.23 +36.8 18
1940-06-02 Sleipner L 0-247.6 1356 1233 65.24% 25.56% 9.20%+1.34 -39.8 22
1940-06-02 @ Sandvikens IF W 2-047.6 1233 1356 9.20% 25.56% 65.24%-1.34 +39.8 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1940-05-24 7.61% Hammarby 1102 3 @ Sleipner 1263 2
2 1940-06-02 9.20% Sleipner 1233 2 @ Sandvikens IF 1356 0
3 1940-05-02 11.09% AIK Stockholm 1265 1 @ Sandvikens IF 1352 0
4 1940-04-07 11.57% Sandvikens IF 1304 3 @ Goteborg 1383 1
5 1939-09-10 14.92% Helsingborg 1319 4 @ AIK Stockholm 1348 0
6 1940-06-02 15.03% Goteborg 1406 2 @ Helsingborg 1434 1
7 1939-10-29 16.38% Sleipner 1220 2 @ Hammarby 1230 0
8 1939-07-26 16.77% Goteborg 1301 2 @ Garda 1307 1
9 1939-10-22 18.42% Sandvikens IF 1294 1 @ Orgryte 1281 0
10 1939-08-11 18.94% Goteborg 1331 2 @ Orgryte 1312 1
11 1939-09-24 19.31% Landskrona 1324 4 @ Orgryte 1302 2
12 1940-05-13 19.88% Goteborg 1341 2 @ Landskrona 1313 1
13 1939-07-30 21.68% Elfsborg 1393 4 @ Hammarby 1347 1
14 1940-04-28 23.75% @ Garda 1288 2 Elfsborg 1551 1
15 1940-06-02 24.01% Malmo 1263 4 @ Orgryte 1195 1
16 1940-05-19 24.37% Sandvikens IF 1341 2 @ Malmo 1270 1
17 1939-09-24 26.45% Goteborg 1361 1 @ Hammarby 1272 0
18 1939-10-15 27.08% Landskrona 1345 5 @ Hammarby 1251 3
19 1940-05-02 28.09% Brage 1371 3 @ Orgryte 1269 1
20 1939-10-29 28.18% @ Brage 1318 2 Elfsborg 1542 0
21 1940-05-19 30.15% Helsingborg 1415 1 @ Landskrona 1296 0
22 1940-05-05 31.03% Helsingborg 1369 3 @ Orgryte 1244 1
23 1940-05-19 32.35% @ Goteborg 1358 2 Elfsborg 1550 1
24 1940-05-02 33.26% Elfsborg 1536 2 @ Helsingborg 1395 0
25 1940-06-02 34.79% @ Hammarby 1121 7 Garda 1296 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1939-09-10 67.66 Helsingborg 4 1319 14.92% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1348 58.40% 26.69%
2 1940-06-02 56.18 @ Hammarby 7 1121 34.79% Garda 1 1296 38.03% 27.18%
3 1939-09-10 45.62 Elfsborg 5 1486 45.06% @ Sleipner 0 1261 28.08% 26.86%
4 1940-06-02 39.83 Sleipner 2 1233 9.20% @ Sandvikens IF 0 1356 65.24% 25.56%
5 1939-07-30 38.46 Elfsborg 4 1393 21.68% @ Hammarby 1 1347 51.12% 27.19%
6 1940-06-02 36.82 Malmo 4 1263 24.01% @ Orgryte 1 1195 48.72% 27.27%
7 1939-10-29 34.68 Sleipner 2 1220 16.38% @ Hammarby 0 1230 56.77% 26.85%
8 1940-05-10 33.55 AIK Stockholm 3 1305 37.75% @ Hammarby 0 1133 35.06% 27.19%
9 1940-04-07 32.93 Sandvikens IF 3 1304 11.57% @ Goteborg 1 1383 62.28% 26.16%
10 1939-07-30 31.29 @ Landskrona 7 1284 55.33% Garda 1 1290 17.71% 26.96%
11 1939-08-06 30.57 @ Elfsborg 8 1432 64.05% Brage 0 1327 10.13% 25.82%
12 1939-08-13 28.13 Elfsborg 4 1462 38.03% @ Malmo 1 1288 34.79% 27.18%
13 1939-10-29 27.92 @ Brage 2 1318 28.18% Elfsborg 0 1542 44.95% 26.87%
14 1940-05-09 26.71 @ Sandvikens IF 5 1337 49.67% Brage 1 1397 23.09% 27.24%
15 1939-08-06 26.20 @ Goteborg 6 1305 55.54% Hammarby 1 1308 17.51% 26.95%
16 1939-09-24 25.43 Landskrona 4 1324 19.31% @ Orgryte 2 1302 53.62% 27.07%
17 1940-05-02 25.23 Elfsborg 2 1536 33.26% @ Helsingborg 0 1395 39.45% 27.29%
18 1940-05-26 25.11 @ Goteborg 6 1371 62.95% Landskrona 0 1282 11.01% 26.04%
19 1939-09-03 24.32 @ Helsingborg 4 1295 56.74% Sleipner 0 1285 16.41% 26.85%
20 1940-05-02 24.12 Brage 3 1371 28.09% @ Orgryte 1 1269 44.58% 27.32%
21 1939-08-13 23.61 @ Garda 3 1261 50.81% Sleipner 0 1311 21.99% 27.21%
22 1940-05-05 22.81 Helsingborg 3 1369 31.03% @ Orgryte 1 1244 41.65% 27.32%
23 1939-11-12 22.76 Helsingborg 5 1383 41.15% @ Hammarby 2 1186 31.79% 27.06%
24 1940-04-21 22.64 Brage 2 1337 38.73% @ Hammarby 0 1157 34.12% 27.16%
25 1940-05-13 22.45 @ Helsingborg 4 1392 58.38% Sandvikens IF 0 1364 14.93% 26.69%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1939-10-22 63.5 @ Landskrona 4 1366 60.16% Brage 4 1316 13.36% 26.48%
2 1940-06-02 61.7 @ Elfsborg 2 1550 70.09% AIK Stockholm 2 1337 5.84% 24.07%
3 1939-09-24 59.0 @ Elfsborg 2 1532 74.56% Sleipner 2 1215 3.48% 21.96%
4 1940-05-24 58.9 Hammarby 3 1102 7.61% @ Sleipner 2 1263 67.40% 24.98%
5 1939-09-03 58.7 @ Elfsborg 2 1490 70.21% Hammarby 2 1275 5.77% 24.02%
6 1939-08-20 58.5 @ Landskrona 2 1311 34.07% Elfsborg 2 1491 38.78% 27.15%
7 1940-05-05 57.5 @ Elfsborg 1 1561 70.85% Sandvikens IF 1 1332 5.39% 23.76%
8 1940-04-21 56.7 @ Garda 2 1294 43.41% Helsingborg 2 1405 29.27% 27.32%
9 1940-06-02 56.6 Goteborg 2 1406 15.03% @ Helsingborg 1 1434 58.26% 26.70%
10 1939-08-06 56.3 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1360 63.84% Garda 2 1258 10.30% 25.87%
11 1939-09-03 56.0 @ Brage 2 1320 58.32% Orgryte 2 1293 14.98% 26.70%
12 1939-11-05 56.0 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1261 42.61% Goteborg 2 1378 30.07% 27.32%
13 1940-05-19 56.0 @ Garda 2 1307 69.90% Hammarby 2 1098 5.96% 24.14%
14 1940-05-13 55.8 @ Elfsborg 1 1556 73.54% Malmo 1 1264 3.95% 22.50%
15 1940-05-02 55.0 @ Hammarby 2 1135 40.76% Malmo 2 1266 31.94% 27.31%
16 1940-04-28 53.9 @ Garda 2 1288 23.75% Elfsborg 1 1551 49.73% 26.52%
17 1939-10-15 53.6 Landskrona 5 1345 27.08% @ Hammarby 3 1251 45.61% 27.32%
18 1939-09-24 53.5 Landskrona 4 1324 19.31% @ Orgryte 2 1302 53.62% 27.07%
19 1940-05-19 53.4 @ Goteborg 2 1358 32.35% Elfsborg 1 1550 40.56% 27.09%
20 1939-07-26 52.4 Goteborg 2 1301 16.77% @ Garda 1 1307 56.34% 26.88%
21 1940-04-07 52.3 Sandvikens IF 3 1304 11.57% @ Goteborg 1 1383 62.28% 26.16%
22 1939-08-11 52.0 Goteborg 2 1331 18.94% @ Orgryte 1 1312 54.00% 27.05%
23 1939-11-05 51.9 @ Landskrona 1 1365 63.40% Orgryte 1 1270 10.65% 25.95%
24 1940-05-13 51.9 Goteborg 2 1341 19.88% @ Landskrona 1 1313 53.01% 27.11%
25 1940-06-02 51.8 @ Brage 1 1363 64.10% Landskrona 1 1257 10.09% 25.81%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1940-04-28 28.9 @ Brage 3 1359 64.73% Sleipner 0 1244 9.59% 25.68%
2 1940-05-26 29.4 @ Goteborg 6 1371 62.95% Landskrona 0 1282 11.01% 26.04%
3 1940-04-07 29.5 @ Landskrona 2 1341 68.33% Hammarby 0 1163 6.98% 24.69%
4 1939-09-03 30.1 @ Helsingborg 4 1295 56.74% Sleipner 0 1285 16.41% 26.85%
5 1940-05-13 31.6 @ Helsingborg 4 1392 58.38% Sandvikens IF 0 1364 14.93% 26.69%
6 1939-08-06 31.9 @ Elfsborg 8 1432 64.05% Brage 0 1327 10.13% 25.82%
7 1940-05-19 32.2 @ Sleipner 2 1251 58.98% Orgryte 0 1216 14.40% 26.62%
8 1939-10-22 32.6 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1256 57.91% Sleipner 0 1232 15.35% 26.74%
9 1940-05-29 32.8 @ Goteborg 7 1396 66.93% Sleipner 2 1243 7.95% 25.12%
10 1939-08-13 32.9 @ Garda 3 1261 50.81% Sleipner 0 1311 21.99% 27.21%
11 1940-04-28 33.0 @ Sandvikens IF 3 1331 53.62% Landskrona 0 1354 19.31% 27.07%
12 1939-11-12 33.4 @ Elfsborg 7 1531 67.93% Landskrona 0 1361 7.25% 24.82%
13 1939-07-30 33.7 @ Landskrona 7 1284 55.33% Garda 1 1290 17.71% 26.96%
14 1939-11-12 33.7 @ Goteborg 1 1379 65.92% Malmo 0 1244 8.69% 25.39%
15 1939-07-30 34.1 @ Brage 2 1313 55.36% Goteborg 0 1319 17.68% 26.96%
16 1939-08-06 34.1 @ Goteborg 6 1305 55.54% Hammarby 1 1308 17.51% 26.95%
17 1939-07-30 34.2 @ Sandvikens IF 2 1293 54.28% Helsingborg 0 1309 18.68% 27.03%
18 1939-09-24 34.2 @ Helsingborg 4 1387 64.16% AIK Stockholm 1 1280 10.04% 25.80%
19 1939-08-13 34.8 @ Brage 5 1297 55.35% Helsingborg 1 1302 17.68% 26.96%
20 1939-08-20 35.3 @ Sandvikens IF 1 1297 59.11% Malmo 0 1260 14.28% 26.61%
21 1939-09-10 35.4 Elfsborg 5 1486 45.06% @ Sleipner 0 1261 28.08% 26.86%
22 1940-05-10 35.4 @ Goteborg 3 1334 64.57% Orgryte 1 1222 9.72% 25.71%
23 1940-04-26 35.5 @ Goteborg 1 1350 60.66% Garda 0 1293 12.93% 26.41%
24 1939-10-15 35.6 @ Garda 1 1289 58.27% AIK Stockholm 0 1262 15.03% 26.70%
25 1939-09-10 35.9 @ Orgryte 1 1295 57.34% Hammarby 0 1278 15.87% 26.80%