1946-47 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Norrkoping

36 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Norrkoping

4.74 points above expected

36 points · 31.26 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Billingsfors

10.77 points below expected

3 points · 13.77 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Norrkoping	22	16	4	2	36	73	23	+50	31.26	+4.74
2	AIK Stockholm	22	13	4	5	30	59	32	+27	27.03	+2.97
3	Malmo	22	10	8	4	28	51	30	+21	28.32	-0.32
4	Elfsborg	22	12	2	8	26	55	42	+13	25.77	+0.23
5	Goteborg	22	9	6	7	24	52	48	+4	24.40	-0.40
6	Degerfors	22	8	6	8	22	35	33	+2	22.63	-0.63
7	Halmia	22	8	6	8	22	38	43	-5	19.56	+2.44
8	Helsingborg	22	11	0	11	22	44	50	-6	18.55	+3.45
9	Djurgarden	22	8	4	10	20	40	46	-6	18.81	+1.19
10	GAIS	22	5	8	9	18	30	40	-10	18.28	-0.28
11	Orebro	22	5	3	14	13	40	74	-34	15.62	-2.62
12	Billingsfors	22	0	3	19	3	28	84	-56	13.77	-10.77

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Norrkoping	36	31.26	+4.74
2	Helsingborg	22	18.55	+3.45
3	AIK Stockholm	30	27.03	+2.97
4	Halmia	22	19.56	+2.44
5	Djurgarden	20	18.81	+1.19

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Billingsfors	3	13.77	-10.77
2	Orebro	13	15.62	-2.62
3	Degerfors	22	22.63	-0.63
4	Goteborg	24	24.40	-0.40
5	Malmo	28	28.32	-0.32

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Djurgarden	5	Sep 29 – Oct 27	1 in 136
2	Helsingborg	5	Oct 27 – Apr 20	1 in 60
3	Norrkoping	9	Apr 20 – Jun 1	1 in 37
4	AIK Stockholm	4	Aug 4 – Aug 25	1 in 30
5	Orebro	2	Apr 27 – May 4	1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Billingsfors	14	Sep 22 – May 18	1 in 756
2	GAIS	4	Nov 10 – May 4	1 in 72
3	Elfsborg	2	Sep 29 – Oct 13	1 in 41
4	Orebro	4	Aug 25 – Sep 22	1 in 28
5	Halmia	3	Apr 27 – May 11	1 in 26

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Djurgarden	6	Sep 29 – Nov 3	1 in 43
2	Norrkoping	16	Sep 8 – Jun 1	1 in 26
3	AIK Stockholm	8	Jul 28 – Sep 22	1 in 16
4	Malmo	8	Jul 28 – Sep 29	1 in 13
5	GAIS	3	Sep 1 – Sep 22	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Billingsfors	22	Jul 28 – Jun 1	1 in 230
2	Malmo	5	Oct 27 – Apr 20	1 in 42
3	GAIS	5	Nov 10 – May 11	1 in 10
4	Djurgarden	7	Jul 28 – Sep 22	1 in 9
5	Degerfors	4	Oct 20 – Nov 10	1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Norrkoping	2096	36	+82	10	7.7	+2.3
AIK Stockholm	1915	30	-15	5	7.4	-2.4
Malmo	1917	28	+41	8	7.8	+0.2
Elfsborg	1845	26	-22	6	5.5	+0.5
Goteborg	1770	24	-38	5	4.7	+0.3
Helsingborg	1755	22	+46	6	3.9	+2.1
Halmia	1748	22	+37	6	4.2	+1.8
Degerfors	1760	22	-24	4	5.4	-1.4
Djurgarden	1723	20	-66	1	4.1	-3.1
GAIS	1675	18	+3	5	3.9	+1.1
Orebro	1569	13	-27	2	2.8	-0.8
Billingsfors	1459	3	-28	1	2.5	-1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AS	BIL	DEG	DJU	ELF	GAI	GOT	HAL	HEL	MAL	NOR	ORE
AIK Stockholm	—	2-0-0 4.71	1-0-1 3.54	2-0-0 3.74	2-0-0 2.91	1-1-0 3.89	0-1-1 3.41	1-1-0 3.74	1-0-1 3.87	1-0-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.05	2-0-0 3.57
Billingsfors	0-0-2 0.89	—	0-0-2 1.31	0-1-1 1.87	0-1-1 1.24	0-0-2 2.39	0-0-2 1.81	0-0-2 1.95	0-0-2 2.09	0-0-2 1.13	0-0-2 1.00	0-1-1 2.34
Degerfors	1-0-1 2.03	2-0-0 4.27	—	0-2-0 3.33	0-0-2 2.37	0-1-1 3.49	0-1-1 2.80	1-1-0 2.91	1-0-1 3.36	0-1-1 1.90	1-0-1 1.72	2-0-0 3.90
Djurgarden	0-0-2 1.83	1-1-0 3.70	0-2-0 2.23	—	0-0-2 1.97	2-0-0 2.89	1-0-1 2.02	0-0-2 2.79	1-0-1 2.64	1-1-0 1.52	0-0-2 1.01	2-0-0 2.72
Elfsborg	0-0-2 2.66	1-1-0 4.35	2-0-0 3.20	2-0-0 3.61	—	2-0-0 3.40	2-0-0 2.89	0-1-1 3.84	1-0-1 3.82	0-0-2 2.77	1-0-1 2.01	1-0-1 3.94
GAIS	0-1-1 1.69	2-0-0 3.19	1-1-0 2.08	0-0-2 2.67	0-0-2 2.18	—	0-2-0 2.08	0-1-1 2.46	1-0-1 2.89	0-2-0 1.40	0-1-1 1.31	1-0-1 3.14
Goteborg	1-1-0 2.16	2-0-0 3.77	1-1-0 2.77	1-0-1 3.56	0-0-2 2.67	0-2-0 3.49	—	1-1-0 3.37	1-0-1 3.57	0-1-1 2.20	0-0-2 1.65	2-0-0 3.83
Halmia	0-1-1 1.83	2-0-0 3.62	0-1-1 2.66	2-0-0 2.78	1-1-0 1.74	1-1-0 3.11	0-1-1 2.20	—	1-0-1 2.76	1-0-1 1.64	0-1-1 1.37	0-0-2 3.50
Helsingborg	1-0-1 1.71	2-0-0 3.48	1-0-1 2.21	1-0-1 2.93	1-0-1 1.75	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.00	1-0-1 2.81	—	0-0-2 1.52	0-0-2 1.29	2-0-0 3.19
Malmo	1-0-1 2.86	2-0-0 4.46	1-1-0 3.67	0-1-1 4.06	2-0-0 2.80	0-2-0 4.18	1-1-0 3.37	1-0-1 3.94	2-0-0 4.06	—	0-1-1 2.56	0-2-0 4.49
Norrkoping	1-1-0 3.52	2-0-0 4.62	1-0-1 3.86	2-0-0 4.58	1-0-1 3.56	1-1-0 4.27	2-0-0 3.93	1-1-0 4.21	2-0-0 4.30	1-1-0 3.01	—	2-0-0 4.64
Orebro	0-0-2 2.02	1-1-0 3.22	0-0-2 1.67	0-0-2 2.85	1-0-1 1.64	1-0-1 2.42	0-0-2 1.75	2-0-0 2.08	0-0-2 2.38	0-2-0 1.09	0-0-2 0.96	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.73	+5.5
Allowed	0.83	-4.3
Differential	0.98	+3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	3.41%	4.92%	2.27%	1.89%	1.89%	18.94%
1	3.41%	6.06%	4.55%	4.17%	2.27%	3.41%	23.86%
2	4.92%	4.55%	6.06%	3.41%	2.27%	2.27%	23.48%
3	2.27%	4.17%	3.41%	3.03%	1.52%	1.14%	15.53%
4	1.89%	2.27%	2.27%	1.52%	0.76%	0.38%	9.09%
5+	1.89%	3.41%	2.27%	1.14%	0.38%	—	9.09%
Total	18.94%	23.86%	23.48%	15.53%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.06	2.06	+0.00
SD	1.70	1.70	2.53
CV	0.82	0.82	—
Max	8	8	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
2	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	27.27%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
Total	36.36%	22.73%	18.18%	4.55%	18.18%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.68	1.45	+1.23
SD	1.84	1.50	2.18
CV	0.68	1.03	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	27.27%
1	—	4.55%	—	13.64%	4.55%	13.64%	36.36%
2	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	9.09%	22.73%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	9.09%	9.09%	31.82%	13.64%	36.36%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	3.82	-2.55
SD	1.12	1.62	1.71
CV	0.88	0.42	—
Max	4	6	+0
Min	0	1	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	—	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	50.00%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.50	+0.09
SD	1.18	0.96	1.57
CV	0.74	0.64	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
1	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%	13.64%
4	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	40.91%	18.18%	18.18%	—	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	2.09	-0.27
SD	1.26	1.72	2.07
CV	0.69	0.82	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
1	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
2	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
Total	13.64%	27.27%	36.36%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.50	1.91	+0.59
SD	1.82	1.44	2.59
CV	0.73	0.76	—
Max	6	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	27.27%
2	4.55%	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
3	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	18.18%	27.27%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.82	-0.45
SD	1.33	1.40	1.68
CV	0.97	0.77	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
1	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%
2	4.55%	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	22.73%	9.09%	36.36%	4.55%	18.18%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.36	2.18	+0.18
SD	2.15	1.74	2.94
CV	0.91	0.80	—
Max	8	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%	27.27%
2	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
Total	22.73%	27.27%	22.73%	—	18.18%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.95	-0.23
SD	1.78	1.79	2.33
CV	1.03	0.91	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	—	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	31.82%
2	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
5+	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	18.18%	31.82%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	2.27	-0.27
SD	1.57	1.78	2.53
CV	0.79	0.78	—
Max	5	8	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	—	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	31.82%
3	—	—	—	9.09%	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
Total	22.73%	36.36%	22.73%	18.18%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.32	1.36	+0.95
SD	1.84	1.05	2.38
CV	0.79	0.77	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
2	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
3	18.18%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
4	9.09%	—	—	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
5+	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
Total	45.45%	22.73%	13.64%	18.18%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.32	1.05	+2.27
SD	2.06	1.17	2.27
CV	0.62	1.12	—
Max	8	3	+7
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%
1	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	18.18%	31.82%
3	—	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	9.09%	4.55%	18.18%	31.82%	9.09%	27.27%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	3.36	-1.55
SD	1.30	2.04	2.67
CV	0.71	0.61	—
Max	6	8	+5
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Norrkoping	2096	36	31.26	+4.74	97.0%	23	26	29	31	33	36	38
Malmo	1917	28	28.32	-0.32	49.0%	18	21	26	29	31	33	38
AIK Stockholm	1915	30	27.03	+2.97	84.0%	18	21	24	27	29	33	36
Elfsborg	1845	26	25.77	+0.23	59.0%	17	20	24	25	28	32	33
Goteborg	1770	24	24.40	-0.40	53.0%	16	17	22	24	27	30	35
Degerfors	1760	22	22.63	-0.63	48.0%	15	17	20	23	25	28	32
Helsingborg	1755	22	18.55	+3.45	84.0%	10	11	16	18	21	25	28
Halmia	1748	22	19.56	+2.44	76.0%	8	13	17	20	22	25	28
Djurgarden	1723	20	18.81	+1.19	68.0%	9	12	16	19	21	25	28
GAIS	1675	18	18.28	-0.28	47.0%	7	12	16	19	21	23	24
Orebro	1569	13	15.62	-2.62	28.0%	8	11	13	16	17	22	23
Billingsfors	1459	3	13.77	-10.77	0.0%	5	8	12	14	16	19	25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+21.97%

Strong Edge

50.76%20.45%28.79%

Elo Value

Home Edge

122 Elo

0.008 goals per Elo point

077.60400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.75 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.63+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.1

One-Team Race

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

67%

Norrkoping, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.27/gm

Runaway

00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.9 * Some Luck: 2.9 to 4.36 * Lucky: 4.36 to 5.81 * Wild Swing: 5.81 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.23 * Close: 1.23 to 1.85 * Off: 1.85 to 2.46 * Way Off: 2.46 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.81 points

Some Luck

03.639

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.33

Pinpoint

01.544

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

97.00%

Norrkoping

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

0.00%

Billingsfors

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Lopsided

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 166.18

2.01

Wide Separation

0.951.41.652.75

Interquartile Edge

71%

Clear Edge

50%63%71.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 96%

98%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

46%

Few

0%45%100%

Blowouts

Expected

30%

Very Frequent

0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.55

Highly Predictable

00.562

Matchup Imbalance

0.45

Lopsided

00.30.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.27

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.70

Near-Lock

00.380.530.691

Upset Rate

Expected

24%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Shaky Favorites

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.59

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.12

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.089

Well Within Noise

00.1360.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Norrkoping	67.00%	17.00%	9.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
AIK Stockholm	13.00%	21.00%	22.00%	14.00%	12.00%	16.00%	—	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Malmo	8.00%	44.00%	19.00%	11.00%	6.00%	3.00%	7.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Elfsborg	6.00%	10.00%	20.00%	28.00%	12.00%	8.00%	10.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Goteborg	4.00%	7.00%	15.00%	21.00%	13.00%	12.00%	11.00%	10.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—
Degerfors	2.00%	—	9.00%	14.00%	23.00%	19.00%	9.00%	11.00%	8.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Halmia	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	14.00%	14.00%	13.00%	20.00%	14.00%	7.00%	5.00%	9.00%
Helsingborg	—	—	3.00%	2.00%	8.00%	6.00%	14.00%	14.00%	17.00%	22.00%	6.00%	8.00%
Djurgarden	—	—	2.00%	2.00%	6.00%	10.00%	14.00%	15.00%	15.00%	20.00%	10.00%	6.00%
GAIS	—	—	—	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	18.00%	15.00%	19.00%	15.00%	18.00%	4.00%
Orebro	—	—	—	—	—	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	11.00%	20.00%	33.00%	22.00%
Billingsfors	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	2.00%	9.00%	13.00%	24.00%	50.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
AIK Stockholm	100%	—
Elfsborg	100%	—
Malmo	100%	—
Norrkoping	100%	—
Goteborg	98.00%	2.00%
Degerfors	97.00%	3.00%
Halmia	86.00%	14.00%
Helsingborg	86.00%	14.00%
Djurgarden	84.00%	16.00%
GAIS	78.00%	22.00%
Orebro	45.00%	55.00%
Billingsfors	26.00%	74.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1946-07-26	Elfsborg	L 1-5	61.1	1746	1798	48.06%	21.68%	30.26%	+0.22	-52.2	0
1946-07-26	@ GAIS	W 5-1	61.1	1798	1746	30.26%	21.68%	48.06%	-0.22	+52.2	2
1946-07-28	Goteborg	D 4-4	83.1	1761	1797	49.97%	21.67%	28.36%	+0.34	-0.9	1
1946-07-28	@ AIK Stockholm	D 4-4	83.1	1797	1761	28.36%	21.67%	49.97%	-0.34	+0.9	1
1946-07-28	Helsingborg	W 2-1	57.4	1783	1699	62.51%	21.32%	16.18%	+1.32	+6.7	2
1946-07-28	@ Degerfors	L 1-2	57.4	1699	1783	16.18%	21.32%	62.51%	-1.32	-6.7	0
1946-07-28	Djurgarden	W 1-0	54.6	1726	1680	58.94%	21.48%	19.58%	+1.00	+8.4	2
1946-07-28	@ Halmia	L 0-1	54.6	1680	1726	19.58%	21.48%	58.94%	-1.00	-8.4	0
1946-07-28	Billingsfors	W 6-0	46.8	1849	1746	64.00%	21.23%	14.78%	+1.47	+34.2	2
1946-07-28	@ Malmo	L 0-6	46.8	1746	1849	14.78%	21.23%	64.00%	-1.47	-34.2	0
1946-07-28	Orebro	W 5-0	45.4	1900	1746	67.65%	20.93%	11.42%	+1.89	+22.8	2
1946-07-28	@ Norrkoping	L 0-5	45.4	1746	1900	11.42%	20.93%	67.65%	-1.89	-22.8	0
1946-08-04	GAIS	L 2-3	73.5	1712	1694	56.17%	21.56%	22.27%	+0.78	-18.1	0
1946-08-04	@ Billingsfors	W 3-2	73.5	1694	1712	22.27%	21.56%	56.17%	-0.78	+18.1	2
1946-08-04	Degerfors	D 1-1	71.5	1672	1790	38.98%	21.67%	39.35%	-0.33	+0.0	1
1946-08-04	@ Djurgarden	D 1-1	71.5	1790	1672	39.35%	21.67%	38.98%	+0.33	-0.0	3
1946-08-04	Halmia	D 2-2	76.1	1850	1734	65.02%	21.16%	13.82%	+1.58	-3.3	3
1946-08-04	@ Elfsborg	D 2-2	76.1	1734	1850	13.82%	21.16%	65.02%	-1.58	+3.3	3
1946-08-04	Malmo	D 0-0	69.1	1798	1883	43.62%	21.69%	34.69%	-0.06	-0.8	2
1946-08-04	@ Goteborg	D 0-0	69.1	1883	1798	34.69%	21.69%	43.62%	+0.06	+0.8	3
1946-08-04	Norrkoping	L 1-3	58.0	1692	1922	24.54%	21.36%	54.10%	-1.25	-16.5	0
1946-08-04	@ Helsingborg	W 3-1	58.0	1922	1692	54.10%	21.36%	24.54%	+1.25	+16.5	4
1946-08-04	AIK Stockholm	L 2-5	66.8	1723	1760	49.85%	21.67%	28.48%	+0.33	-36.2	0
1946-08-04	@ Orebro	W 5-2	66.8	1760	1723	28.48%	21.67%	49.85%	-0.33	+36.2	3
1946-08-11	Helsingborg	W 2-0	50.1	1797	1675	65.41%	21.13%	13.47%	+1.62	+11.3	5
1946-08-11	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	50.1	1675	1797	13.47%	21.13%	65.41%	-1.62	-11.3	0
1946-08-11	Goteborg	L 1-3	62.7	1694	1798	40.98%	21.68%	37.34%	-0.21	-25.0	0
1946-08-11	@ Billingsfors	W 3-1	62.7	1798	1694	37.34%	21.68%	40.98%	+0.21	+25.0	4
1946-08-11	Elfsborg	L 0-1	63.7	1790	1847	47.34%	21.69%	30.97%	+0.17	-17.3	3
1946-08-11	@ Degerfors	W 1-0	63.7	1847	1790	30.97%	21.69%	47.34%	-0.17	+17.3	5
1946-08-11	Halmia	L 0-1	64.4	1712	1737	51.31%	21.65%	27.03%	+0.43	-18.6	2
1946-08-11	@ GAIS	W 1-0	64.4	1737	1712	27.03%	21.65%	51.31%	-0.43	+18.6	5
1946-08-11	Orebro	D 3-3	80.4	1884	1687	70.22%	20.63%	9.15%	+2.24	-3.4	4
1946-08-11	@ Malmo	D 3-3	80.4	1687	1884	9.15%	20.63%	70.22%	-2.24	+3.4	1
1946-08-11	Djurgarden	W 3-1	52.1	1939	1672	73.61%	20.05%	6.33%	+2.82	+4.8	6
1946-08-11	@ Norrkoping	L 1-3	52.1	1672	1939	6.33%	20.05%	73.61%	-2.82	-4.8	1
1946-08-16	AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	57.0	1667	1808	35.75%	21.64%	42.62%	-0.52	-25.9	1
1946-08-16	@ Djurgarden	W 2-0	57.0	1808	1667	42.62%	21.64%	35.75%	+0.52	+25.9	7
1946-08-16	GAIS	D 2-2	75.9	1823	1694	65.97%	21.08%	12.94%	+1.69	-3.5	5
1946-08-16	@ Goteborg	D 2-2	75.9	1694	1823	12.94%	21.08%	65.97%	-1.69	+3.5	3
1946-08-18	Norrkoping	W 2-0	57.0	1864	1944	44.26%	21.69%	34.04%	-0.02	+25.0	7
1946-08-18	@ Elfsborg	L 0-2	57.0	1944	1864	34.04%	21.69%	44.26%	+0.02	-25.0	6
1946-08-18	Degerfors	L 0-1	65.0	1756	1772	52.31%	21.64%	26.05%	+0.50	-18.9	5
1946-08-18	@ Halmia	W 1-0	65.0	1772	1756	26.05%	21.64%	52.31%	-0.50	+18.9	5
1946-08-18	Malmo	L 1-2	60.7	1664	1880	26.14%	21.42%	52.44%	-1.13	-10.0	0
1946-08-18	@ Helsingborg	W 2-1	60.7	1880	1664	52.44%	21.42%	26.14%	+1.13	+10.0	6
1946-08-18	Billingsfors	W 6-1	51.3	1691	1669	56.58%	21.55%	21.87%	+0.81	+33.6	3
1946-08-18	@ Orebro	L 1-6	51.3	1669	1691	21.87%	21.55%	56.58%	-0.81	-33.6	0
1946-08-25	AIK Stockholm	L 0-3	54.8	1697	1834	36.28%	21.64%	42.07%	-0.48	-38.1	3
1946-08-25	@ GAIS	W 3-0	54.8	1834	1697	42.07%	21.64%	36.28%	+0.48	+38.1	9
1946-08-25	Halmia	W 4-0	45.4	1919	1737	69.39%	20.74%	9.87%	+2.12	+16.1	8
1946-08-25	@ Norrkoping	L 0-4	45.4	1737	1919	9.87%	20.74%	69.39%	-2.12	-16.1	5
1946-08-25	Elfsborg	L 1-2	62.8	1724	1889	32.52%	21.58%	45.89%	-0.71	-12.0	3
1946-08-25	@ Orebro	W 2-1	62.8	1889	1724	45.89%	21.58%	32.52%	+0.71	+12.0	9
1946-09-01	Norrkoping	W 2-1	66.0	1791	1935	35.35%	21.63%	43.02%	-0.54	+15.0	7
1946-09-01	@ Degerfors	L 1-2	66.0	1935	1791	43.02%	21.63%	35.35%	+0.54	-15.0	8
1946-09-01	Billingsfors	D 1-1	69.9	1641	1635	54.89%	21.59%	23.51%	+0.68	-2.6	2
1946-09-01	@ Djurgarden	D 1-1	69.9	1635	1641	23.51%	21.59%	54.89%	-0.68	+2.6	1
1946-09-01	Malmo	L 1-2	69.8	1901	1890	55.36%	21.58%	23.06%	+0.72	-18.8	9
1946-09-01	@ Elfsborg	W 2-1	69.8	1890	1901	23.06%	21.58%	55.36%	-0.72	+18.8	8
1946-09-01	Orebro	W 5-2	60.4	1659	1712	47.80%	21.68%	30.51%	+0.20	+24.2	5
1946-09-01	@ GAIS	L 2-5	60.4	1712	1659	30.51%	21.68%	47.80%	-0.20	-24.2	3
1946-09-01	AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	69.0	1721	1872	34.31%	21.61%	44.08%	-0.60	+0.9	6
1946-09-01	@ Halmia	D 0-0	69.0	1872	1721	44.08%	21.61%	34.31%	+0.60	-0.8	10
1946-09-01	Goteborg	W 2-0	60.0	1654	1819	32.47%	21.58%	45.95%	-0.71	+31.7	2
1946-09-01	@ Helsingborg	L 0-2	60.0	1819	1654	45.95%	21.58%	32.47%	+0.71	-31.8	5
1946-09-08	Degerfors	W 2-1	58.4	1871	1806	60.79%	21.40%	17.81%	+1.16	+7.3	12
1946-09-08	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	58.4	1806	1871	17.81%	21.40%	60.79%	-1.16	-7.3	7
1946-09-08	Elfsborg	D 2-2	75.9	1638	1882	23.08%	21.29%	55.63%	-1.36	+2.0	2
1946-09-08	@ Billingsfors	D 2-2	75.9	1882	1638	55.63%	21.29%	23.08%	+1.36	-2.0	10
1946-09-08	Djurgarden	W 3-2	60.1	1787	1639	67.32%	20.96%	11.71%	+1.85	+4.7	7
1946-09-08	@ Goteborg	L 2-3	60.1	1639	1787	11.71%	20.96%	67.32%	-1.85	-4.7	2
1946-09-08	Halmia	W 5-1	49.4	1909	1722	69.72%	20.70%	9.58%	+2.17	+13.0	10
1946-09-08	@ Malmo	L 1-5	49.4	1722	1909	9.58%	20.70%	69.72%	-2.17	-13.0	6
1946-09-08	GAIS	D 1-1	72.3	1920	1683	72.26%	20.31%	7.42%	+2.57	-5.9	9
1946-09-08	@ Norrkoping	D 1-1	72.3	1683	1920	7.42%	20.31%	72.26%	-2.57	+5.9	6
1946-09-08	Helsingborg	L 1-3	66.1	1688	1686	54.45%	21.60%	23.95%	+0.65	-32.1	3
1946-09-08	@ Orebro	W 3-1	66.1	1686	1688	23.95%	21.60%	54.45%	-0.65	+32.1	4
1946-09-22	Billingsfors	W 6-2	51.4	1878	1640	72.35%	20.30%	7.35%	+2.58	+8.6	14
1946-09-22	@ AIK Stockholm	L 2-6	51.4	1640	1878	7.35%	20.30%	72.35%	-2.58	-8.6	2
1946-09-22	Orebro	W 4-1	51.4	1799	1656	66.96%	21.00%	12.04%	+1.81	+12.5	9
1946-09-22	@ Degerfors	L 1-4	51.4	1656	1799	12.04%	21.00%	66.96%	-1.81	-12.5	3
1946-09-22	Djurgarden	W 6-3	56.0	1880	1634	72.69%	20.24%	7.07%	+2.64	+6.0	12
1946-09-22	@ Elfsborg	L 3-6	56.0	1634	1880	7.07%	20.24%	72.69%	-2.64	-6.0	2
1946-09-22	Malmo	D 3-3	80.3	1689	1922	24.24%	21.34%	54.41%	-1.27	+1.5	7
1946-09-22	@ GAIS	D 3-3	80.3	1922	1689	54.41%	21.34%	24.24%	+1.27	-1.5	11
1946-09-22	Helsingborg	W 4-2	61.9	1709	1718	53.16%	21.63%	25.22%	+0.56	+15.1	8
1946-09-22	@ Halmia	L 2-4	61.9	1718	1709	25.22%	21.63%	53.16%	-0.56	-15.1	4
1946-09-22	Goteborg	W 4-3	65.0	1914	1792	65.46%	21.12%	13.42%	+1.63	+5.2	11
1946-09-22	@ Norrkoping	L 3-4	65.0	1792	1914	13.42%	21.12%	65.46%	-1.63	-5.2	7
1946-09-29	Norrkoping	L 0-4	48.0	1631	1919	18.81%	21.06%	60.13%	-1.72	-28.7	2
1946-09-29	@ Billingsfors	W 4-0	48.0	1919	1631	60.13%	21.06%	18.81%	+1.72	+28.7	13
1946-09-29	GAIS	W 2-1	61.1	1628	1691	46.58%	21.69%	31.73%	+0.12	+11.8	4
1946-09-29	@ Djurgarden	L 1-2	61.1	1691	1628	31.73%	21.69%	46.58%	-0.12	-11.8	7
1946-09-29	Degerfors	W 3-2	65.4	1787	1812	51.35%	21.65%	27.00%	+0.43	+9.8	9
1946-09-29	@ Goteborg	L 2-3	65.4	1812	1787	27.00%	21.65%	51.35%	-0.43	-9.8	9
1946-09-29	Elfsborg	W 4-3	75.5	1703	1886	30.12%	21.53%	48.35%	-0.86	+15.4	6
1946-09-29	@ Helsingborg	L 3-4	75.5	1886	1703	48.35%	21.53%	30.12%	+0.86	-15.4	12
1946-09-29	AIK Stockholm	W 4-0	48.9	1921	1887	57.82%	21.51%	20.67%	+0.91	+31.3	13
1946-09-29	@ Malmo	L 0-4	48.9	1887	1921	20.67%	21.51%	57.82%	-0.91	-31.3	14
1946-09-29	Halmia	W 2-0	55.9	1643	1724	44.20%	21.69%	34.10%	-0.02	+25.0	5
1946-09-29	@ Orebro	L 0-2	55.9	1724	1643	34.10%	21.69%	44.20%	+0.02	-25.0	8
1946-10-06	Orebro	W 4-2	61.5	1640	1668	50.89%	21.66%	27.46%	+0.40	+16.2	6
1946-10-06	@ Djurgarden	L 2-4	61.5	1668	1640	27.46%	21.66%	50.89%	-0.40	-16.2	5
1946-10-12	Helsingborg	W 4-1	57.0	1656	1718	46.64%	21.69%	31.67%	+0.13	+28.9	8
1946-10-12	@ Djurgarden	L 1-4	57.0	1718	1656	31.67%	21.69%	46.64%	-0.13	-28.8	6
1946-10-13	Billingsfors	W 4-1	50.1	1802	1603	70.36%	20.61%	9.02%	+2.26	+9.5	11
1946-10-13	@ Degerfors	L 1-4	50.1	1603	1802	9.02%	20.61%	70.36%	-2.26	-9.5	2
1946-10-13	Orebro	L 2-3	78.2	1871	1652	71.38%	20.46%	8.16%	+2.42	-23.1	12
1946-10-13	@ Elfsborg	W 3-2	78.2	1652	1871	8.16%	20.46%	71.38%	-2.42	+23.1	7
1946-10-13	Goteborg	D 2-2	75.7	1699	1797	41.78%	21.69%	36.54%	-0.17	-0.3	9
1946-10-13	@ Halmia	D 2-2	75.7	1797	1699	36.54%	21.69%	41.78%	+0.17	+0.3	10
1946-10-13	Malmo	W 3-0	51.7	1948	1952	53.75%	21.62%	24.64%	+0.60	+27.8	15
1946-10-13	@ Norrkoping	L 0-3	51.7	1952	1948	24.64%	21.62%	53.75%	-0.60	-27.8	13
1946-10-20	Norrkoping	D 3-3	80.3	1856	1976	38.63%	21.67%	39.70%	-0.35	+0.0	15
1946-10-20	@ AIK Stockholm	D 3-3	80.3	1976	1856	39.70%	21.67%	38.63%	+0.35	-0.0	16
1946-10-20	Halmia	L 4-6	70.0	1593	1698	40.73%	21.68%	37.59%	-0.23	-20.3	2
1946-10-20	@ Billingsfors	W 6-4	70.0	1698	1593	37.59%	21.68%	40.73%	+0.23	+20.3	11
1946-10-20	Elfsborg	L 2-4	69.4	1797	1848	48.14%	21.68%	30.18%	+0.22	-25.6	10
1946-10-20	@ Goteborg	W 4-2	69.4	1848	1797	30.18%	21.68%	48.14%	-0.22	+25.6	14
1946-10-20	GAIS	L 0-1	65.1	1689	1679	55.38%	21.58%	23.04%	+0.72	-20.0	6
1946-10-20	@ Helsingborg	W 1-0	65.1	1679	1689	23.04%	21.58%	55.38%	-0.72	+20.0	9
1946-10-20	Degerfors	W 2-1	57.2	1924	1811	64.79%	21.17%	14.03%	+1.56	+5.9	15
1946-10-20	@ Malmo	L 1-2	57.2	1811	1924	14.03%	21.17%	64.79%	-1.56	-5.9	11
1946-10-20	Djurgarden	L 1-3	65.6	1675	1685	53.12%	21.63%	25.25%	+0.56	-31.3	7
1946-10-20	@ Orebro	W 3-1	65.6	1685	1675	25.25%	21.63%	53.12%	-0.56	+31.3	10
1946-10-27	Malmo	W 2-1	68.6	1716	1930	26.41%	21.42%	52.17%	-1.11	+17.8	12
1946-10-27	@ Djurgarden	L 1-2	68.6	1930	1716	52.17%	21.42%	26.41%	+1.11	-17.8	15
1946-10-27	AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	63.5	1873	1856	56.14%	21.56%	22.30%	+0.78	-38.1	14
1946-10-27	@ Elfsborg	W 2-0	63.5	1856	1873	22.30%	21.56%	56.14%	-0.78	+38.1	17
1946-10-27	Degerfors	D 0-0	68.8	1699	1805	40.55%	21.68%	37.77%	-0.24	-0.2	10
1946-10-27	@ GAIS	D 0-0	68.8	1805	1699	37.77%	21.68%	40.55%	+0.24	+0.2	12
1946-10-27	Norrkoping	D 0-0	69.3	1719	1976	21.76%	21.23%	57.01%	-1.47	+3.3	12
1946-10-27	@ Halmia	D 0-0	69.3	1976	1719	57.01%	21.23%	21.76%	+1.47	-3.3	17
1946-10-27	Billingsfors	W 1-0	51.3	1669	1573	63.52%	21.26%	15.23%	+1.42	+6.7	8
1946-10-27	@ Helsingborg	L 0-1	51.3	1573	1669	15.23%	21.26%	63.52%	-1.42	-6.7	2
1946-10-27	Goteborg	L 1-7	56.1	1644	1771	37.59%	21.66%	40.76%	-0.41	-61.8	7
1946-10-27	@ Orebro	W 7-1	56.1	1771	1644	40.76%	21.66%	37.59%	+0.41	+61.8	12
1946-11-03	Elfsborg	W 4-2	60.4	1894	1835	60.23%	21.42%	18.34%	+1.11	+11.5	19
1946-11-03	@ AIK Stockholm	L 2-4	60.4	1835	1894	18.34%	21.42%	60.23%	-1.11	-11.5	14
1946-11-03	Helsingborg	L 3-5	67.3	1566	1676	40.07%	21.68%	38.25%	-0.27	-20.8	2
1946-11-03	@ Billingsfors	W 5-3	67.3	1676	1566	38.25%	21.68%	40.07%	+0.27	+20.8	10
1946-11-03	GAIS	L 0-2	65.5	1806	1699	64.35%	21.20%	14.45%	+1.51	-43.7	12
1946-11-03	@ Degerfors	W 2-0	65.5	1699	1806	14.45%	21.20%	64.35%	-1.51	+43.7	12
1946-11-03	Orebro	W 8-2	48.2	1833	1582	72.93%	20.19%	6.88%	+2.69	+11.4	14
1946-11-03	@ Goteborg	L 2-8	48.2	1582	1833	6.88%	20.19%	72.93%	-2.69	-11.4	7
1946-11-03	Djurgarden	D 1-1	72.2	1912	1734	69.19%	20.76%	10.05%	+2.09	-5.3	16
1946-11-03	@ Malmo	D 1-1	72.2	1734	1912	10.05%	20.76%	69.19%	-2.09	+5.3	13
1946-11-10	Malmo	D 1-1	72.0	1762	1907	35.14%	21.63%	43.24%	-0.55	+0.6	13
1946-11-10	@ Degerfors	D 1-1	72.0	1907	1762	43.24%	21.63%	35.14%	+0.55	-0.6	17
1946-11-10	Goteborg	W 5-1	54.8	1824	1845	51.79%	21.65%	26.56%	+0.46	+32.3	16
1946-11-10	@ Elfsborg	L 1-5	54.8	1845	1824	26.56%	21.65%	51.79%	-0.46	-32.3	14
1946-11-10	Helsingborg	L 2-3	74.5	1742	1697	58.97%	21.47%	19.56%	+1.01	-19.0	12
1946-11-10	@ GAIS	W 3-2	74.5	1697	1742	19.56%	21.47%	58.97%	-1.01	+19.0	12
1946-11-10	Billingsfors	W 6-1	46.5	1722	1545	69.09%	20.78%	10.13%	+2.08	+16.9	14
1946-11-10	@ Halmia	L 1-6	46.5	1545	1722	10.13%	20.78%	69.09%	-2.08	-16.8	2
1947-04-13	Halmia	W 4-2	59.8	1812	1739	61.56%	21.36%	17.08%	+1.23	+10.8	16
1947-04-13	@ Goteborg	L 2-4	59.8	1739	1812	17.08%	21.36%	61.56%	-1.23	-10.9	14
1947-04-13	Djurgarden	W 3-1	58.3	1716	1739	51.50%	21.65%	26.85%	+0.44	+17.8	14
1947-04-13	@ Helsingborg	L 1-3	58.3	1739	1716	26.85%	21.65%	51.50%	-0.44	-17.8	13
1947-04-13	Norrkoping	D 1-1	72.0	1906	1972	46.14%	21.69%	32.17%	+0.10	-1.1	18
1947-04-13	@ Malmo	D 1-1	72.0	1972	1906	32.17%	21.69%	46.14%	-0.10	+1.1	18
1947-04-20	AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	66.0	1763	1905	35.47%	21.63%	42.90%	-0.53	+15.0	15
1947-04-20	@ Degerfors	L 1-2	66.0	1905	1763	42.90%	21.63%	35.47%	+0.53	-15.0	19
1947-04-20	Goteborg	W 4-1	59.5	1721	1823	41.25%	21.68%	37.07%	-0.20	+32.7	15
1947-04-20	@ Djurgarden	L 1-4	59.5	1823	1721	37.07%	21.68%	41.25%	+0.20	-32.7	16
1947-04-20	Billingsfors	W 5-1	46.7	1856	1528	75.93%	19.47%	4.60%	+3.31	+6.4	18
1947-04-20	@ Elfsborg	L 1-5	46.7	1528	1856	4.60%	19.47%	75.93%	-3.31	-6.4	2
1947-04-20	Norrkoping	L 0-3	50.8	1723	1974	22.43%	21.26%	56.30%	-1.41	-25.6	12
1947-04-20	@ GAIS	W 3-0	50.8	1974	1723	56.30%	21.26%	22.43%	+1.41	+25.6	20
1947-04-20	Malmo	W 3-1	65.0	1728	1905	30.87%	21.55%	47.58%	-0.82	+28.3	16
1947-04-20	@ Halmia	L 1-3	65.0	1905	1728	47.58%	21.55%	30.87%	+0.82	-28.3	18
1947-04-20	Orebro	W 3-0	45.5	1734	1571	68.25%	20.87%	10.88%	+1.97	+13.5	16
1947-04-20	@ Helsingborg	L 0-3	45.5	1571	1734	10.88%	20.87%	68.25%	-1.97	-13.5	7
1947-04-27	Halmia	W 6-1	49.5	1890	1756	66.33%	21.05%	12.62%	+1.73	+20.7	21
1947-04-27	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-6	49.5	1756	1890	12.62%	21.05%	66.33%	-1.73	-20.7	16
1947-04-27	Djurgarden	L 0-2	51.8	1522	1754	24.37%	21.35%	54.28%	-1.26	-18.9	2
1947-04-27	@ Billingsfors	W 2-0	51.8	1754	1522	54.28%	21.35%	24.37%	+1.26	+18.9	17
1947-04-27	Helsingborg	W 2-0	52.3	1790	1747	58.77%	21.48%	19.75%	+0.99	+15.9	18
1947-04-27	@ Goteborg	L 0-2	52.3	1747	1790	19.75%	21.48%	58.77%	-0.99	-15.9	16
1947-04-27	Elfsborg	W 2-0	53.5	1877	1862	55.86%	21.57%	22.58%	+0.76	+17.8	20
1947-04-27	@ Malmo	L 0-2	53.5	1862	1877	22.58%	21.57%	55.86%	-0.76	-17.8	18
1947-04-27	Degerfors	W 2-0	48.8	1999	1778	71.53%	20.44%	8.03%	+2.45	+7.0	22
1947-04-27	@ Norrkoping	L 0-2	48.8	1778	1999	8.03%	20.44%	71.53%	-2.45	-7.0	15
1947-04-27	GAIS	W 3-2	67.8	1557	1698	35.77%	21.64%	42.59%	-0.51	+14.1	9
1947-04-27	@ Orebro	L 2-3	67.8	1698	1557	42.59%	21.64%	35.77%	+0.51	-14.1	12
1947-05-01	AIK Stockholm	W 4-3	65.7	2006	1911	63.39%	21.26%	15.34%	+1.41	+5.9	24
1947-05-01	@ Norrkoping	L 3-4	65.7	1911	2006	15.34%	21.26%	63.39%	-1.41	-5.9	21
1947-05-01	Degerfors	L 1-3	54.7	1503	1771	20.71%	21.18%	58.11%	-1.55	-14.2	2
1947-05-01	@ Billingsfors	W 3-1	54.7	1771	1503	58.11%	21.18%	20.71%	+1.55	+14.3	17
1947-05-04	Malmo	W 2-0	53.7	1905	1895	55.35%	21.58%	23.07%	+0.72	+18.1	23
1947-05-04	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	53.7	1895	1905	23.07%	21.58%	55.35%	-0.72	-18.1	20
1947-05-04	Goteborg	D 2-2	75.9	1785	1806	51.74%	21.65%	26.61%	+0.46	-1.5	18
1947-05-04	@ Degerfors	D 2-2	75.9	1806	1785	26.61%	21.65%	51.74%	-0.46	+1.5	19
1947-05-04	Helsingborg	W 4-0	46.6	1844	1731	64.81%	21.17%	14.02%	+1.56	+22.3	20
1947-05-04	@ Elfsborg	L 0-4	46.6	1731	1844	14.02%	21.17%	64.81%	-1.56	-22.3	16
1947-05-04	Djurgarden	L 0-1	61.9	1684	1773	42.95%	21.69%	35.36%	-0.10	-15.9	12
1947-05-04	@ GAIS	W 1-0	61.9	1773	1684	35.36%	21.69%	42.95%	+0.10	+15.9	19
1947-05-04	Orebro	L 0-1	68.1	1736	1571	68.34%	20.86%	10.80%	+1.98	-24.7	16
1947-05-04	@ Halmia	W 1-0	68.1	1571	1736	10.80%	20.86%	68.34%	-1.98	+24.7	11
1947-05-04	Billingsfors	W 3-0	43.0	2012	1489	81.19%	17.18%	1.63%	+4.91	+2.0	26
1947-05-04	@ Norrkoping	L 0-3	43.0	1489	2012	1.63%	17.18%	81.19%	-4.91	-2.0	2
1947-05-11	AIK Stockholm	L 1-3	52.2	1487	1923	8.98%	19.92%	71.10%	-2.93	-6.6	2
1947-05-11	@ Billingsfors	W 3-1	52.2	1923	1487	71.10%	19.92%	8.98%	+2.93	+6.6	25
1947-05-11	Elfsborg	L 1-2	66.5	1789	1867	44.57%	21.69%	33.74%	+0.00	-15.5	19
1947-05-11	@ Djurgarden	W 2-1	66.5	1867	1789	33.74%	21.69%	44.57%	+0.00	+15.5	22
1947-05-11	Norrkoping	L 0-3	52.4	1808	2014	27.32%	21.45%	51.23%	-1.05	-30.2	19
1947-05-11	@ Goteborg	W 3-0	52.4	2014	1808	51.23%	21.45%	27.32%	+1.05	+30.2	28
1947-05-11	Halmia	W 4-2	61.6	1709	1711	53.99%	21.61%	24.40%	+0.62	+14.7	18
1947-05-11	@ Helsingborg	L 2-4	61.6	1711	1709	24.40%	21.61%	53.99%	-0.62	-14.7	16
1947-05-11	GAIS	D 2-2	76.2	1877	1668	70.89%	20.54%	8.57%	+2.34	-4.2	21
1947-05-11	@ Malmo	D 2-2	76.2	1668	1877	8.57%	20.54%	70.89%	-2.34	+4.2	13
1947-05-11	Degerfors	L 1-3	58.6	1596	1783	29.59%	21.52%	48.89%	-0.90	-19.3	11
1947-05-11	@ Orebro	W 3-1	58.6	1783	1596	48.89%	21.52%	29.59%	+0.90	+19.3	20
1947-05-15	Orebro	W 3-1	50.9	1930	1577	76.78%	19.20%	4.02%	+3.52	+3.0	27
1947-05-15	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-3	50.9	1577	1930	4.02%	19.20%	76.78%	-3.52	-3.0	11
1947-05-15	Djurgarden	D 2-2	76.0	1803	1773	57.36%	21.53%	21.12%	+0.87	-2.3	21
1947-05-15	@ Degerfors	D 2-2	76.0	1773	1803	21.12%	21.53%	57.36%	-0.87	+2.2	20
1947-05-15	Billingsfors	W 3-2	55.2	1672	1480	69.94%	20.67%	9.39%	+2.20	+3.8	15
1947-05-15	@ GAIS	L 2-3	55.2	1480	1672	9.39%	20.67%	69.94%	-2.20	-3.8	2
1947-05-15	Elfsborg	W 2-0	61.1	1696	1882	29.80%	21.52%	48.68%	-0.88	+33.4	18
1947-05-15	@ Halmia	L 0-2	61.1	1882	1696	48.68%	21.52%	29.80%	+0.88	-33.4	22
1947-05-15	Goteborg	W 6-0	47.0	1873	1778	63.38%	21.26%	15.35%	+1.41	+35.4	23
1947-05-15	@ Malmo	L 0-6	47.0	1778	1873	15.35%	21.26%	63.38%	-1.41	-35.4	19
1947-05-15	Helsingborg	W 8-1	46.4	2044	1724	75.69%	19.54%	4.77%	+3.25	+11.0	30
1947-05-15	@ Norrkoping	L 1-8	46.4	1724	2044	4.77%	19.54%	75.69%	-3.25	-11.0	18
1947-05-18	Malmo	L 2-5	53.6	1476	1908	9.20%	19.96%	70.83%	-2.89	-8.3	2
1947-05-18	@ Billingsfors	W 5-2	53.6	1908	1476	70.83%	19.96%	9.20%	+2.89	+8.3	25
1947-05-18	Halmia	L 2-3	74.8	1776	1730	59.03%	21.47%	19.50%	+1.01	-19.0	20
1947-05-18	@ Djurgarden	W 3-2	74.8	1730	1776	19.50%	21.47%	59.03%	-1.01	+19.0	20
1947-05-18	GAIS	W 4-1	51.1	1849	1676	68.87%	20.80%	10.33%	+2.05	+10.8	24
1947-05-18	@ Elfsborg	L 1-4	51.1	1676	1849	10.33%	20.80%	68.87%	-2.05	-10.8	15
1947-05-18	AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	64.3	1742	1933	29.19%	21.51%	49.30%	-0.92	+17.9	21
1947-05-18	@ Goteborg	L 0-1	64.3	1933	1742	49.30%	21.51%	29.19%	+0.92	-17.9	27
1947-05-18	Degerfors	W 4-1	58.8	1713	1800	43.19%	21.69%	35.11%	-0.08	+31.3	20
1947-05-18	@ Helsingborg	L 1-4	58.8	1800	1713	35.11%	21.69%	43.19%	+0.08	-31.3	21
1947-05-18	Norrkoping	L 2-6	51.3	1574	2055	7.11%	19.48%	73.42%	-3.30	-8.1	11
1947-05-18	@ Orebro	W 6-2	51.3	2055	1574	73.42%	19.48%	7.11%	+3.30	+8.1	32
1947-05-21	Helsingborg	W 2-1	55.9	1916	1744	68.82%	20.81%	10.37%	+2.04	+4.4	27
1947-05-21	@ Malmo	L 1-2	55.9	1744	1916	10.37%	20.81%	68.82%	-2.04	-4.4	20
1947-05-23	Djurgarden	W 5-0	45.4	1915	1757	67.95%	20.90%	11.15%	+1.93	+22.2	29
1947-05-23	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-5	45.4	1757	1915	11.15%	20.90%	67.95%	-1.93	-22.2	20
1947-05-23	Goteborg	D 0-0	68.4	1665	1760	42.14%	21.69%	36.17%	-0.15	-0.5	16
1947-05-23	@ GAIS	D 0-0	68.4	1760	1665	36.17%	21.69%	42.14%	+0.15	+0.5	22
1947-05-26	GAIS	D 0-0	69.5	1937	1664	73.87%	20.00%	6.13%	+2.87	-6.9	30
1947-05-26	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	69.5	1664	1937	6.13%	20.00%	73.87%	-2.87	+6.9	17
1947-05-26	Orebro	D 3-3	71.6	1468	1566	41.86%	21.69%	36.45%	-0.16	-0.2	3
1947-05-26	@ Billingsfors	D 3-3	71.6	1566	1468	36.45%	21.69%	41.86%	+0.16	+0.3	12
1947-05-26	Halmia	D 1-1	71.7	1769	1749	56.44%	21.55%	22.01%	+0.80	-2.9	22
1947-05-26	@ Degerfors	D 1-1	71.7	1749	1769	22.01%	21.55%	56.44%	-0.80	+2.9	21
1947-05-26	Elfsborg	W 6-0	45.0	2063	1860	70.61%	20.58%	8.81%	+2.30	+21.2	34
1947-05-26	@ Norrkoping	L 0-6	45.0	1860	2063	8.81%	20.58%	70.61%	-2.30	-21.1	24
1947-06-01	Norrkoping	L 3-6	58.5	1734	2085	13.89%	20.65%	65.46%	-2.23	-11.3	20
1947-06-01	@ Djurgarden	W 6-3	58.5	2085	1734	65.46%	20.65%	13.89%	+2.23	+11.3	36
1947-06-01	Degerfors	W 3-2	62.4	1838	1766	61.45%	21.37%	17.18%	+1.22	+6.7	26
1947-06-01	@ Elfsborg	L 2-3	62.4	1766	1838	17.18%	21.37%	61.45%	-1.22	-6.7	22
1947-06-01	Billingsfors	W 4-0	40.9	1761	1468	74.66%	19.81%	5.53%	+3.03	+9.2	24
1947-06-01	@ Goteborg	L 0-4	40.9	1468	1761	5.53%	19.81%	74.66%	-3.03	-9.2	3
1947-06-01	GAIS	D 1-1	71.4	1752	1671	62.17%	21.33%	16.50%	+1.29	-3.9	22
1947-06-01	@ Halmia	D 1-1	71.4	1671	1752	16.50%	21.33%	62.17%	-1.29	+3.9	18
1947-06-01	AIK Stockholm	W 4-3	75.9	1740	1930	29.18%	21.51%	49.31%	-0.93	+15.6	22
1947-06-01	@ Helsingborg	L 3-4	75.9	1930	1740	49.31%	21.51%	29.18%	+0.93	-15.6	30
1947-06-01	Malmo	D 2-2	76.0	1566	1921	13.57%	20.61%	65.82%	-2.27	+3.4	13
1947-06-01	@ Orebro	D 2-2	76.0	1921	1566	65.82%	20.61%	13.57%	+2.27	-3.4	28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1946-10-13	8.16%	Orebro	1652	3	@ Elfsborg	1871	2
2	1947-05-04	10.80%	Orebro	1571	1	@ Halmia	1736	0
3	1946-11-03	14.45%	GAIS	1699	2	@ Degerfors	1806	0
4	1947-05-18	19.50%	Halmia	1730	3	@ Djurgarden	1776	2
5	1946-11-10	19.56%	Helsingborg	1697	3	@ GAIS	1742	2
6	1946-08-04	22.27%	GAIS	1694	3	@ Billingsfors	1712	2
7	1946-10-27	22.30%	AIK Stockholm	1856	2	@ Elfsborg	1873	0
8	1946-10-20	23.04%	GAIS	1679	1	@ Helsingborg	1689	0
9	1946-09-01	23.06%	Malmo	1890	2	@ Elfsborg	1901	1
10	1946-09-08	23.95%	Helsingborg	1686	3	@ Orebro	1688	1
11	1946-10-20	25.25%	Djurgarden	1685	3	@ Orebro	1675	1
12	1946-08-18	26.05%	Degerfors	1772	1	@ Halmia	1756	0
13	1946-10-27	26.41%	@ Djurgarden	1716	2	Malmo	1930	1
14	1946-08-11	27.03%	Halmia	1737	1	@ GAIS	1712	0
15	1946-08-04	28.48%	AIK Stockholm	1760	5	@ Orebro	1723	2
16	1947-06-01	29.18%	@ Helsingborg	1740	4	AIK Stockholm	1930	3
17	1947-05-18	29.19%	@ Goteborg	1742	1	AIK Stockholm	1933	0
18	1947-05-15	29.80%	@ Halmia	1696	2	Elfsborg	1882	0
19	1946-09-29	30.12%	@ Helsingborg	1703	4	Elfsborg	1886	3
20	1946-10-20	30.18%	Elfsborg	1848	4	@ Goteborg	1797	2
21	1946-07-26	30.26%	Elfsborg	1798	5	@ GAIS	1746	1
22	1947-04-20	30.87%	@ Halmia	1728	3	Malmo	1905	1
23	1946-08-11	30.97%	Elfsborg	1847	1	@ Degerfors	1790	0
24	1946-09-01	32.47%	@ Helsingborg	1654	2	Goteborg	1819	0
25	1947-05-11	33.74%	Elfsborg	1867	2	@ Djurgarden	1789	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1946-10-27	61.83	Goteborg	7	1771	40.76%	@ Orebro	1	1644	37.59%	21.66%
2	1946-07-26	52.24	Elfsborg	5	1798	30.26%	@ GAIS	1	1746	48.06%	21.68%
3	1946-11-03	43.69	GAIS	2	1699	14.45%	@ Degerfors	0	1806	64.35%	21.20%
4	1946-10-27	38.12	AIK Stockholm	2	1856	22.30%	@ Elfsborg	0	1873	56.14%	21.56%
5	1946-08-25	38.11	AIK Stockholm	3	1834	42.07%	@ GAIS	0	1697	36.28%	21.64%
6	1946-08-04	36.21	AIK Stockholm	5	1760	28.48%	@ Orebro	2	1723	49.85%	21.67%
7	1947-05-15	35.38	@ Malmo	6	1873	63.38%	Goteborg	0	1778	15.35%	21.26%
8	1946-07-28	34.19	@ Malmo	6	1849	64.00%	Billingsfors	0	1746	14.78%	21.23%
9	1946-08-18	33.58	@ Orebro	6	1691	56.58%	Billingsfors	1	1669	21.87%	21.55%
10	1947-05-15	33.37	@ Halmia	2	1696	29.80%	Elfsborg	0	1882	48.68%	21.52%
11	1947-04-20	32.70	@ Djurgarden	4	1721	41.25%	Goteborg	1	1823	37.07%	21.68%
12	1946-11-10	32.27	@ Elfsborg	5	1824	51.79%	Goteborg	1	1845	26.56%	21.65%
13	1946-09-08	32.07	Helsingborg	3	1686	23.95%	@ Orebro	1	1688	54.45%	21.60%
14	1946-09-01	31.75	@ Helsingborg	2	1654	32.47%	Goteborg	0	1819	45.95%	21.58%
15	1946-09-29	31.35	@ Malmo	4	1921	57.82%	AIK Stockholm	0	1887	20.67%	21.51%
16	1946-10-20	31.33	Djurgarden	3	1685	25.25%	@ Orebro	1	1675	53.12%	21.63%
17	1947-05-18	31.33	@ Helsingborg	4	1713	43.19%	Degerfors	1	1800	35.11%	21.69%
18	1947-05-11	30.25	Norrkoping	3	2014	51.23%	@ Goteborg	0	1808	27.32%	21.45%
19	1946-10-12	28.85	@ Djurgarden	4	1656	46.64%	Helsingborg	1	1718	31.67%	21.69%
20	1946-09-29	28.72	Norrkoping	4	1919	60.13%	@ Billingsfors	0	1631	18.81%	21.06%
21	1947-04-20	28.34	@ Halmia	3	1728	30.87%	Malmo	1	1905	47.58%	21.55%
22	1946-10-13	27.85	@ Norrkoping	3	1948	53.75%	Malmo	0	1952	24.64%	21.62%
23	1946-08-16	25.93	AIK Stockholm	2	1808	42.62%	@ Djurgarden	0	1667	35.75%	21.64%
24	1946-10-20	25.63	Elfsborg	4	1848	30.18%	@ Goteborg	2	1797	48.14%	21.68%
25	1947-04-20	25.61	Norrkoping	3	1974	56.30%	@ GAIS	0	1723	22.43%	21.26%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1946-07-28	83.1	@ AIK Stockholm	4	1761	49.97%	Goteborg	4	1797	28.36%	21.67%
2	1946-08-11	80.4	@ Malmo	3	1884	70.22%	Orebro	3	1687	9.15%	20.63%
3	1946-09-22	80.3	@ GAIS	3	1689	24.24%	Malmo	3	1922	54.41%	21.34%
4	1946-10-20	80.3	@ AIK Stockholm	3	1856	38.63%	Norrkoping	3	1976	39.70%	21.67%
5	1946-10-13	78.2	Orebro	3	1652	8.16%	@ Elfsborg	2	1871	71.38%	20.46%
6	1947-05-11	76.2	@ Malmo	2	1877	70.89%	GAIS	2	1668	8.57%	20.54%
7	1946-08-04	76.1	@ Elfsborg	2	1850	65.02%	Halmia	2	1734	13.82%	21.16%
8	1947-05-15	76.0	@ Degerfors	2	1803	57.36%	Djurgarden	2	1773	21.12%	21.53%
9	1947-06-01	76.0	@ Orebro	2	1566	13.57%	Malmo	2	1921	65.82%	20.61%
10	1946-08-16	75.9	@ Goteborg	2	1823	65.97%	GAIS	2	1694	12.94%	21.08%
11	1946-09-08	75.9	@ Billingsfors	2	1638	23.08%	Elfsborg	2	1882	55.63%	21.29%
12	1947-05-04	75.9	@ Degerfors	2	1785	51.74%	Goteborg	2	1806	26.61%	21.65%
13	1947-06-01	75.9	@ Helsingborg	4	1740	29.18%	AIK Stockholm	3	1930	49.31%	21.51%
14	1946-10-13	75.7	@ Halmia	2	1699	41.78%	Goteborg	2	1797	36.54%	21.69%
15	1946-09-29	75.5	@ Helsingborg	4	1703	30.12%	Elfsborg	3	1886	48.35%	21.53%
16	1947-05-18	74.8	Halmia	3	1730	19.50%	@ Djurgarden	2	1776	59.03%	21.47%
17	1946-11-10	74.5	Helsingborg	3	1697	19.56%	@ GAIS	2	1742	58.97%	21.47%
18	1946-08-04	73.5	GAIS	3	1694	22.27%	@ Billingsfors	2	1712	56.17%	21.56%
19	1946-09-08	72.3	@ Norrkoping	1	1920	72.26%	GAIS	1	1683	7.42%	20.31%
20	1946-11-03	72.2	@ Malmo	1	1912	69.19%	Djurgarden	1	1734	10.05%	20.76%
21	1946-11-10	72.0	@ Degerfors	1	1762	35.14%	Malmo	1	1907	43.24%	21.63%
22	1947-04-13	72.0	@ Malmo	1	1906	46.14%	Norrkoping	1	1972	32.17%	21.69%
23	1947-05-26	71.7	@ Degerfors	1	1769	56.44%	Halmia	1	1749	22.01%	21.55%
24	1947-05-26	71.6	@ Billingsfors	3	1468	41.86%	Orebro	3	1566	36.45%	21.69%
25	1946-08-04	71.5	@ Djurgarden	1	1672	38.98%	Degerfors	1	1790	39.35%	21.67%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1947-06-01	40.9	@ Goteborg	4	1761	74.66%	Billingsfors	0	1468	5.53%	19.81%
2	1947-05-04	43.0	@ Norrkoping	3	2012	81.19%	Billingsfors	0	1489	1.63%	17.18%
3	1947-05-26	45.0	@ Norrkoping	6	2063	70.61%	Elfsborg	0	1860	8.81%	20.58%
4	1946-07-28	45.4	@ Norrkoping	5	1900	67.65%	Orebro	0	1746	11.42%	20.93%
5	1946-08-25	45.4	@ Norrkoping	4	1919	69.39%	Halmia	0	1737	9.87%	20.74%
6	1947-05-23	45.4	@ AIK Stockholm	5	1915	67.95%	Djurgarden	0	1757	11.15%	20.90%
7	1947-04-20	45.5	@ Helsingborg	3	1734	68.25%	Orebro	0	1571	10.88%	20.87%
8	1947-05-15	46.4	@ Norrkoping	8	2044	75.69%	Helsingborg	1	1724	4.77%	19.54%
9	1946-11-10	46.5	@ Halmia	6	1722	69.09%	Billingsfors	1	1545	10.13%	20.78%
10	1947-05-04	46.6	@ Elfsborg	4	1844	64.81%	Helsingborg	0	1731	14.02%	21.17%
11	1947-04-20	46.7	@ Elfsborg	5	1856	75.93%	Billingsfors	1	1528	4.60%	19.47%
12	1946-07-28	46.8	@ Malmo	6	1849	64.00%	Billingsfors	0	1746	14.78%	21.23%
13	1947-05-15	47.0	@ Malmo	6	1873	63.38%	Goteborg	0	1778	15.35%	21.26%
14	1946-09-29	48.0	Norrkoping	4	1919	60.13%	@ Billingsfors	0	1631	18.81%	21.06%
15	1946-11-03	48.2	@ Goteborg	8	1833	72.93%	Orebro	2	1582	6.88%	20.19%
16	1947-04-27	48.8	@ Norrkoping	2	1999	71.53%	Degerfors	0	1778	8.03%	20.44%
17	1946-09-29	48.9	@ Malmo	4	1921	57.82%	AIK Stockholm	0	1887	20.67%	21.51%
18	1946-09-08	49.4	@ Malmo	5	1909	69.72%	Halmia	1	1722	9.58%	20.70%
19	1947-04-27	49.5	@ AIK Stockholm	6	1890	66.33%	Halmia	1	1756	12.62%	21.05%
20	1946-08-11	50.1	@ AIK Stockholm	2	1797	65.41%	Helsingborg	0	1675	13.47%	21.13%
21	1946-10-13	50.1	@ Degerfors	4	1802	70.36%	Billingsfors	1	1603	9.02%	20.61%
22	1947-04-20	50.8	Norrkoping	3	1974	56.30%	@ GAIS	0	1723	22.43%	21.26%
23	1947-05-15	50.9	@ AIK Stockholm	3	1930	76.78%	Orebro	1	1577	4.02%	19.20%
24	1947-05-18	51.1	@ Elfsborg	4	1849	68.87%	GAIS	1	1676	10.33%	20.80%
25	1946-08-18	51.3	@ Orebro	6	1691	56.58%	Billingsfors	1	1669	21.87%	21.55%