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1948-49 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Malmo

29 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Helsingborg

5.25 points above expected

29 points · 23.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Norrkoping

4.76 points below expected

22 points · 26.76 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Malmo 22 12 5 5 29 72 29 +43 28.19 +0.81
2 Helsingborg 22 11 7 4 29 48 30 +18 23.75 +5.25
3 GAIS 22 12 3 7 27 41 29 +12 23.31 +3.69
4 Degerfors 22 10 5 7 25 45 33 +12 23.23 +1.77
5 AIK Stockholm 22 11 3 8 25 42 38 +4 24.32 +0.68
6 Goteborg 22 9 5 8 23 36 33 +3 24.50 -1.50
7 Norrkoping 22 8 6 8 22 38 33 +5 26.76 -4.76
8 Jonkoping 22 6 10 6 22 34 52 -18 17.49 +4.51
9 Halmia 22 6 7 9 19 33 39 -6 21.11 -2.11
10 Elfsborg 22 7 4 11 18 28 47 -19 22.27 -4.27
11 Orebro 22 5 4 13 14 30 50 -20 15.68 -1.68
12 Landskrona 22 3 5 14 11 26 60 -34 13.39 -2.39

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Helsingborg 29 23.75 +5.25
2 Jonkoping 22 17.49 +4.51
3 GAIS 27 23.31 +3.69
4 Degerfors 25 23.23 +1.77
5 Malmo 29 28.19 +0.81

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Norrkoping 22 26.76 -4.76
2 Elfsborg 18 22.27 -4.27
3 Landskrona 11 13.39 -2.39
4 Halmia 19 21.11 -2.11
5 Orebro 14 15.68 -1.68

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 GAIS 5 Oct 3 – Nov 7 1 in 260
2 Goteborg 4 Sep 5 – Oct 3 1 in 79
3 Malmo 5 May 15 – Jun 6 1 in 18
4 Degerfors 2 Oct 3 – Oct 17 1 in 15
5 Norrkoping 2 Nov 7 – Mar 27 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Elfsborg 6 May 8 – Jun 6 1 in 483
2 Norrkoping 2 Sep 5 – Sep 12 1 in 40
3 Halmia 4 Aug 8 – Sep 5 1 in 39
4 Orebro 6 Oct 31 – May 1 1 in 35
5 Malmo 2 Oct 17 – Oct 24 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Jonkoping 8 Oct 17 – Apr 24 1 in 111
2 Helsingborg 10 Apr 10 – Jun 6 1 in 59
3 GAIS 8 Oct 3 – Apr 24 1 in 25
4 AIK Stockholm 5 Apr 3 – May 1 1 in 15
5 Degerfors 6 May 1 – May 29 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Norrkoping 4 Aug 22 – Sep 12 1 in 48
2 Elfsborg 6 May 8 – Jun 6 1 in 16
3 Degerfors 5 Nov 7 – Apr 24 1 in 16
4 Halmia 6 Oct 17 – Apr 10 1 in 8
5 Goteborg 3 Apr 18 – May 1 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Malmo 2038 29 +69 10 6.9 +3.1
Helsingborg 1946 29 +41 8 6.2 +1.8
GAIS 1903 27 -13 4 4.7 -0.7
AIK Stockholm 1926 25 -10 7 6.3 +0.7
Degerfors 1899 25 +20 6 4.8 +1.2
Goteborg 1897 23 -16 4 5.6 -1.6
Norrkoping 1964 22 +9 5 6.1 -1.1
Jonkoping 1769 22 -20 4 3.9 +0.1
Halmia 1856 19 +8 6 4.9 +1.1
Elfsborg 1799 18 -62 0 4.0 -4.0
Orebro 1719 14 -5 4 3.9 +0.1
Landskrona 1664 11 -21 2 2.6 -0.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS DEG ELF GAI GOT HAL HEL JON LAN MAL NOR ORE
AIK Stockholm —
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
3.05
0-1-1
2.94
0-0-2
2.85
1-1-0
3.34
1-1-0
3.01
1-0-1
3.73
1-0-1
4.24
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.47
2-0-0
3.79
Degerfors
0-0-2
2.68
—
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.67
2-0-0
2.50
1-1-0
2.93
0-1-1
2.53
0-2-0
3.57
1-0-1
4.07
1-0-1
2.06
1-1-0
2.15
2-0-0
3.62
Elfsborg
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.64
—
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.90
0-0-2
2.42
0-1-1
3.32
0-2-0
3.97
1-0-1
1.94
0-0-2
2.13
1-0-1
3.69
GAIS
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.85
—
1-1-0
2.56
1-1-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
3.23
2-0-0
4.11
1-0-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.23
1-0-1
3.58
Goteborg
2-0-0
2.65
0-0-2
3.00
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.94
—
1-1-0
3.26
0-1-1
2.91
1-1-0
3.67
2-0-0
4.13
0-1-1
2.28
0-0-2
2.43
2-0-0
3.87
Halmia
0-1-1
2.16
0-1-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.24
—
0-1-1
2.36
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
3.73
1-0-1
1.72
1-1-0
1.97
1-0-1
3.40
Helsingborg
0-1-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
3.07
1-0-1
3.01
1-1-0
2.58
1-1-0
3.13
—
1-0-1
3.72
1-1-0
4.02
0-2-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.23
2-0-0
3.81
Jonkoping
1-0-1
1.78
0-2-0
1.94
1-1-0
2.19
1-0-1
2.26
0-1-1
1.84
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
1.80
—
1-1-0
3.38
0-1-1
1.49
0-2-0
1.55
0-2-0
3.00
Landskrona
1-0-1
1.31
1-0-1
1.46
0-2-0
1.56
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
1.41
0-0-2
1.79
0-1-1
1.52
0-1-1
2.12
—
0-0-2
1.14
1-0-1
1.09
0-1-1
2.38
Malmo
1-0-1
2.99
1-0-1
3.44
1-0-1
3.59
1-0-1
3.42
1-1-0
3.21
1-0-1
3.79
0-2-0
3.18
1-1-0
4.04
2-0-0
4.42
—
1-1-0
2.78
2-0-0
4.23
Norrkoping
1-0-1
3.04
0-1-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.37
1-0-1
3.28
2-0-0
3.07
0-1-1
3.53
1-0-1
3.27
0-2-0
3.98
1-0-1
4.48
0-1-1
2.71
—
0-1-1
4.22
Orebro
0-0-2
1.73
0-0-2
1.88
1-0-1
1.82
1-0-1
1.94
0-0-2
1.65
1-0-1
2.10
0-0-2
1.70
0-2-0
2.50
1-1-0
3.11
0-0-2
1.32
1-1-0
1.33
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.63 +3.6
Allowed 0.76 -4.7
Differential 0.81 +2.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%5.30%4.92%1.89%1.89%3.41%21.97%
15.30%8.33%5.68%2.65%2.65%2.27%26.89%
24.92%5.68%9.09%3.79%2.65%0.38%26.52%
31.89%2.65%3.79%0.76%—0.38%9.47%
41.89%2.65%2.65%—1.52%—8.71%
5+3.41%2.27%0.38%0.38%——6.44%
Total21.97%26.89%26.52%9.47%8.71%6.44%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.79 +0.00
SD 1.60 1.60 2.50
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 12 12 +12
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%22.73%
14.55%9.09%————13.64%
29.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%—31.82%
34.55%4.55%9.09%———18.18%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%31.82%22.73%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.73 +0.18
SD 1.44 1.35 2.26
CV 0.76 0.78 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
14.55%13.64%———4.55%22.73%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
44.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total13.64%54.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.50 +0.55
SD 1.53 1.26 2.13
CV 0.75 0.84 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%36.36%
14.55%—13.64%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
3——9.09%———9.09%
4——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
5+———————
Total18.18%13.64%36.36%9.09%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 2.14 -0.86
SD 1.32 1.55 2.05
CV 1.03 0.73 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%———4.55%18.18%
113.64%4.55%9.09%——9.09%36.36%
213.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
3———————
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total45.45%22.73%13.64%4.55%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.32 +0.55
SD 1.70 1.73 2.69
CV 0.91 1.31 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
113.64%—4.55%9.09%4.55%—31.82%
29.09%—9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total36.36%13.64%27.27%9.09%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.50 +0.14
SD 1.43 1.44 1.78
CV 0.88 0.96 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%——4.55%27.27%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
24.55%—13.64%4.55%4.55%—27.27%
3——9.09%———9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%22.73%40.91%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.77 -0.27
SD 1.37 1.41 1.93
CV 0.91 0.80 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%———4.55%—9.09%
14.55%13.64%—9.09%——27.27%
29.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
39.09%——4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
Total31.82%31.82%9.09%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.36 +0.82
SD 1.50 1.29 2.11
CV 0.69 0.95 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%——9.09%22.73%
1—18.18%———4.55%22.73%
24.55%9.09%18.18%4.55%——36.36%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%31.82%36.36%4.55%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.36 -0.82
SD 1.14 2.54 3.02
CV 0.74 1.07 —
Max 4 12 +2
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%—9.09%13.64%36.36%
14.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
2——9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%27.27%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%22.73%22.73%4.55%22.73%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 2.73 -1.55
SD 1.26 1.86 2.50
CV 1.07 0.68 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
1—4.55%9.09%——4.55%18.18%
24.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
49.09%—4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
5+22.73%4.55%————27.27%
Total36.36%22.73%27.27%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.27 1.32 +1.95
SD 2.69 1.39 3.59
CV 0.82 1.06 —
Max 12 5 +12
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
14.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%31.82%27.27%9.09%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.50 +0.23
SD 1.52 1.22 2.27
CV 0.88 0.82 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
14.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%13.64%—36.36%
2—13.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%—36.36%
3——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%22.73%40.91%9.09%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.27 -0.91
SD 0.90 1.28 1.41
CV 0.66 0.56 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Malmo 2038 29 28.19 +0.81 64.0% 19 22 25 28 31 34 37
Norrkoping 1964 22 26.76 -4.76 12.0% 17 20 24 26 30 33 36
Helsingborg 1946 29 23.75 +5.25 93.0% 13 18 21 23 27 30 32
AIK Stockholm 1926 25 24.32 +0.68 58.0% 14 18 22 25 27 29 34
GAIS 1903 27 23.31 +3.69 90.0% 15 17 20 24 26 28 34
Degerfors 1899 25 23.23 +1.77 70.0% 15 17 20 23 26 28 36
Goteborg 1897 23 24.50 -1.50 37.0% 14 17 22 25 27 31 33
Halmia 1856 19 21.11 -2.11 34.0% 12 16 18 21 23 28 32
Elfsborg 1799 18 22.27 -4.27 21.0% 11 14 19 23 25 29 33
Jonkoping 1769 22 17.49 +4.51 89.0% 7 11 14 17 21 24 28
Orebro 1719 14 15.68 -1.68 35.0% 8 11 14 16 17 20 25
Landskrona 1664 11 13.39 -2.39 23.0% 6 9 12 13 15 18 20

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.70%
Strong Edge
47.73%24.24%28.03%
Elo Value
Home Edge
130 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
069.34400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.67 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.54+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.9
Top-Heavy
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
42%
Malmo, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.98 * Some Luck: 2.98 to 4.47 * Lucky: 4.47 to 5.96 * Wild Swing: 5.96 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.55 * Close: 1.55 to 2.33 * Off: 2.33 to 3.11 * Way Off: 3.11 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.19 points
Some Luck
03.729
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.83
Close
01.944
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
93.00%
Helsingborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
12.00%
Norrkoping
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 108.33
1.39
Coin-Flip Parity
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
69%
Clear Edge
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Strong Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Some Drama
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
25%
Very Frequent
0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Lopsided
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.73
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.46
Some Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.53
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.75
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.082
Well Within Noise
00.1450.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Malmo42.00%22.00%10.00%7.00%9.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%———
Helsingborg7.00%12.00%13.00%5.00%12.00%19.00%14.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%——
GAIS1.00%7.00%15.00%14.00%13.00%11.00%14.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%1.00%—
Degerfors5.00%9.00%10.00%12.00%10.00%17.00%11.00%15.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%—
AIK Stockholm8.00%10.00%14.00%16.00%11.00%6.00%6.00%14.00%11.00%4.00%——
Goteborg6.00%20.00%9.00%14.00%13.00%7.00%14.00%6.00%4.00%6.00%1.00%—
Norrkoping24.00%13.00%16.00%15.00%7.00%12.00%7.00%2.00%4.00%———
Jonkoping——1.00%1.00%2.00%11.00%6.00%8.00%12.00%25.00%23.00%11.00%
Halmia2.00%2.00%6.00%4.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%22.00%24.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%
Elfsborg5.00%5.00%6.00%12.00%14.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%10.00%9.00%3.00%7.00%
Orebro————2.00%—2.00%2.00%8.00%26.00%40.00%20.00%
Landskrona———————1.00%4.00%10.00%25.00%60.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
AIK Stockholm 100% —
Helsingborg 100% —
Malmo 100% —
Norrkoping 100% —
Degerfors 99.00% 1.00%
GAIS 99.00% 1.00%
Goteborg 99.00% 1.00%
Halmia 92.00% 8.00%
Elfsborg 90.00% 10.00%
Jonkoping 66.00% 34.00%
Orebro 40.00% 60.00%
Landskrona 15.00% 85.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1948-08-08 Landskrona D 0-067.8 1883 1705 67.44% 22.57% 9.99%+1.91 -2.6 1
1948-08-08 @ Elfsborg D 0-067.8 1705 1883 9.99% 22.57% 67.44%-1.91 +2.6 1
1948-08-08 Jonkoping W 2-052.5 1848 1777 58.65% 24.62% 16.73%+1.08 +6.5 2
1948-08-08 @ GAIS L 0-252.5 1777 1848 16.73% 24.62% 58.65%-1.08 -6.5 0
1948-08-08 Halmia W 2-165.5 1755 1866 36.93% 25.63% 37.44%-0.32 +6.2 2
1948-08-08 @ Orebro L 1-265.5 1866 1755 37.44% 25.63% 36.93%+0.32 -6.2 0
1948-08-15 Orebro W 3-156.4 1862 1761 61.42% 24.13% 14.45%+1.32 +5.0 2
1948-08-15 @ Degerfors L 1-356.4 1761 1862 14.45% 24.13% 61.42%-1.32 -5.0 2
1948-08-19 Elfsborg L 1-268.8 1854 1880 48.25% 25.59% 26.16%+0.34 -7.7 2
1948-08-19 @ GAIS W 2-168.8 1880 1854 26.16% 25.59% 48.25%-0.34 +7.7 3
1948-08-19 Helsingborg L 1-459.2 1707 1882 28.49% 25.14% 46.37%-0.82 -12.4 1
1948-08-19 @ Landskrona W 4-159.2 1882 1707 46.37% 25.14% 28.49%+0.82 +12.4 2
1948-08-22 Halmia W 3-156.9 1947 1860 60.26% 24.35% 15.39%+1.21 +5.2 2
1948-08-22 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-356.9 1860 1947 15.39% 24.35% 60.26%-1.21 -5.2 0
1948-08-22 Jonkoping D 4-482.7 1888 1771 62.76% 23.85% 13.39%+1.44 -1.1 4
1948-08-22 @ Elfsborg D 4-482.7 1771 1888 13.39% 23.85% 62.76%-1.44 +1.1 1
1948-08-22 GAIS L 1-271.2 1897 1847 56.70% 24.90% 18.40%+0.92 -8.9 0
1948-08-22 @ Goteborg W 2-171.2 1847 1897 18.40% 24.90% 56.70%-0.92 +8.9 4
1948-08-22 Degerfors W 1-056.1 1895 1867 54.32% 25.17% 20.51%+0.75 +4.1 4
1948-08-22 @ Helsingborg L 0-156.1 1867 1895 20.51% 25.17% 54.32%-0.75 -4.1 2
1948-08-22 Landskrona W 5-045.5 1961 1695 73.10% 20.34% 6.56%+2.59 +6.0 2
1948-08-22 @ Malmo L 0-545.5 1695 1961 6.56% 20.34% 73.10%-2.59 -6.0 1
1948-08-22 Norrkoping D 2-275.6 1756 1997 21.38% 24.23% 54.40%-1.32 +0.9 3
1948-08-22 @ Orebro D 2-275.6 1997 1756 54.40% 24.23% 21.38%+1.32 -0.9 1
1948-08-29 Helsingborg W 3-264.5 1953 1899 57.07% 24.85% 18.08%+0.95 +3.3 4
1948-08-29 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-364.5 1899 1953 18.08% 24.85% 57.07%-0.95 -3.3 4
1948-08-29 Landskrona W 4-047.2 1863 1689 67.18% 22.65% 10.17%+1.88 +7.7 4
1948-08-29 @ Degerfors L 0-447.2 1689 1863 10.17% 22.65% 67.18%-1.88 -7.7 1
1948-08-29 Malmo D 4-482.2 1888 1967 41.29% 25.70% 33.01%-0.08 -0.2 1
1948-08-29 @ Goteborg D 4-482.2 1967 1888 33.01% 25.70% 41.29%+0.08 +0.2 3
1948-08-29 Elfsborg L 0-262.1 1854 1887 47.44% 25.62% 26.94%+0.29 -15.1 0
1948-08-29 @ Halmia W 2-062.1 1887 1854 26.94% 25.62% 47.44%-0.29 +15.1 6
1948-08-29 Jonkoping D 0-068.3 1996 1772 70.54% 21.45% 8.01%+2.27 -2.8 2
1948-08-29 @ Norrkoping D 0-068.3 1772 1996 8.01% 21.45% 70.54%-2.27 +2.8 2
1948-08-29 GAIS W 3-269.8 1757 1855 38.71% 25.67% 35.62%-0.22 +5.7 5
1948-08-29 @ Orebro L 2-369.8 1855 1757 35.62% 25.67% 38.71%+0.22 -5.7 4
1948-09-05 Goteborg L 0-165.9 1902 1888 52.88% 25.30% 21.82%+0.64 -8.8 6
1948-09-05 @ Elfsborg W 1-065.9 1888 1902 21.82% 25.30% 52.88%-0.64 +8.8 3
1948-09-05 Degerfors W 1-057.8 1850 1871 48.81% 25.56% 25.62%+0.37 +5.0 6
1948-09-05 @ GAIS L 0-157.8 1871 1850 25.62% 25.56% 48.81%-0.37 -5.0 4
1948-09-05 Orebro W 5-362.7 1895 1763 64.02% 23.55% 12.43%+1.56 +3.6 6
1948-09-05 @ Helsingborg L 3-562.7 1763 1895 12.43% 23.55% 64.02%-1.56 -3.6 5
1948-09-05 Halmia W 3-268.4 1775 1839 43.31% 25.70% 30.99%+0.04 +5.1 4
1948-09-05 @ Jonkoping L 2-368.4 1839 1775 30.99% 25.70% 43.31%-0.04 -5.2 0
1948-09-05 Norrkoping W 3-170.3 1681 1993 15.43% 22.82% 61.74%-1.88 +16.4 3
1948-09-05 @ Landskrona L 1-370.3 1993 1681 61.74% 22.82% 15.43%+1.88 -16.4 2
1948-09-05 AIK Stockholm W 5-051.7 1968 1956 52.62% 25.32% 22.06%+0.63 +19.4 5
1948-09-05 @ Malmo L 0-551.7 1956 1968 22.06% 25.32% 52.62%-0.63 -19.4 4
1948-09-12 Goteborg L 0-362.7 1937 1897 55.65% 25.03% 19.32%+0.84 -25.4 4
1948-09-12 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-062.7 1897 1937 19.32% 25.03% 55.65%-0.84 +25.4 5
1948-09-12 Malmo W 2-166.1 1866 1987 35.49% 25.58% 38.93%-0.40 +6.4 6
1948-09-12 @ Degerfors L 1-266.1 1987 1866 38.93% 25.58% 35.49%+0.40 -6.4 5
1948-09-12 Orebro W 1-054.6 1834 1759 59.05% 24.56% 16.39%+1.11 +3.4 2
1948-09-12 @ Halmia L 0-154.6 1759 1834 16.39% 24.56% 59.05%-1.11 -3.4 5
1948-09-12 GAIS W 2-164.0 1780 1855 41.92% 25.70% 32.37%-0.04 +5.6 6
1948-09-12 @ Jonkoping L 1-264.0 1855 1780 32.37% 25.70% 41.92%+0.04 -5.6 6
1948-09-12 Elfsborg D 2-275.3 1698 1893 26.10% 24.90% 49.00%-0.97 +0.6 4
1948-09-12 @ Landskrona D 2-275.3 1893 1698 49.00% 24.90% 26.10%+0.97 -0.6 7
1948-09-12 Helsingborg L 0-265.4 1977 1899 59.36% 24.51% 16.13%+1.14 -18.6 2
1948-09-12 @ Norrkoping W 2-065.4 1899 1977 16.13% 24.51% 59.36%-1.14 +18.5 8
1948-09-26 Jonkoping W 5-152.8 1911 1785 63.49% 23.68% 12.83%+1.51 +8.1 6
1948-09-26 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-552.8 1785 1911 12.83% 23.68% 63.49%-1.51 -8.1 6
1948-09-26 Landskrona W 5-255.5 1922 1698 70.51% 21.46% 8.03%+2.26 +3.4 7
1948-09-26 @ Goteborg L 2-555.5 1698 1922 8.03% 21.46% 70.51%-2.26 -3.4 4
1948-09-26 Degerfors D 1-170.4 1837 1872 47.12% 25.63% 27.25%+0.27 -0.7 3
1948-09-26 @ Halmia D 1-170.4 1872 1837 27.25% 25.63% 47.12%-0.27 +0.7 7
1948-09-26 Malmo D 1-170.4 1918 1981 43.51% 25.70% 30.79%+0.05 -0.5 9
1948-09-26 @ Helsingborg D 1-170.4 1981 1918 30.79% 25.70% 43.51%-0.05 +0.5 6
1948-09-26 GAIS W 5-048.8 1958 1849 62.13% 23.99% 13.89%+1.38 +12.9 4
1948-09-26 @ Norrkoping L 0-548.8 1849 1958 13.89% 23.99% 62.13%-1.38 -12.9 6
1948-09-26 Elfsborg L 2-369.1 1756 1892 33.41% 25.49% 41.11%-0.52 -5.4 5
1948-09-26 @ Orebro W 3-269.1 1892 1756 41.11% 25.49% 33.41%+0.52 +5.4 9
1948-10-03 Norrkoping W 2-165.1 1873 1971 38.71% 25.67% 35.62%-0.22 +6.0 9
1948-10-03 @ Degerfors L 1-265.1 1971 1873 35.62% 25.67% 38.71%+0.22 -6.0 4
1948-10-03 AIK Stockholm W 4-264.7 1898 1919 48.76% 25.56% 25.68%+0.37 +7.3 11
1948-10-03 @ Elfsborg L 2-464.7 1919 1898 25.68% 25.56% 48.76%-0.37 -7.3 6
1948-10-03 Helsingborg W 4-055.2 1836 1917 41.10% 25.70% 33.20%-0.09 +21.7 8
1948-10-03 @ GAIS L 0-455.2 1917 1836 33.20% 25.70% 41.10%+0.09 -21.7 9
1948-10-03 Goteborg L 0-257.3 1777 1925 31.87% 25.40% 42.73%-0.61 -11.0 6
1948-10-03 @ Jonkoping W 2-057.3 1925 1777 42.73% 25.40% 31.87%+0.61 +11.1 9
1948-10-03 Halmia L 0-257.3 1695 1837 32.66% 25.45% 41.90%-0.56 -11.3 4
1948-10-03 @ Landskrona W 2-057.3 1837 1695 41.90% 25.45% 32.66%+0.56 +11.3 5
1948-10-03 Orebro W 4-258.1 1981 1751 70.92% 21.29% 7.78%+2.31 +2.4 8
1948-10-03 @ Malmo L 2-458.1 1751 1981 7.78% 21.29% 70.92%-2.31 -2.4 5
1948-10-17 Landskrona L 0-169.9 1912 1683 70.81% 21.34% 7.85%+2.30 -11.5 6
1948-10-17 @ AIK Stockholm W 1-069.9 1683 1912 7.85% 21.34% 70.81%-2.30 +11.5 6
1948-10-17 Degerfors L 1-369.7 1936 1879 57.40% 24.81% 17.80%+0.98 -15.6 9
1948-10-17 @ Goteborg W 3-169.7 1879 1936 17.80% 24.81% 57.40%-0.98 +15.6 11
1948-10-17 Norrkoping D 1-170.4 1848 1965 36.02% 25.60% 38.38%-0.37 +0.1 6
1948-10-17 @ Halmia D 1-170.4 1965 1848 38.38% 25.60% 36.02%+0.37 -0.1 5
1948-10-17 Elfsborg W 3-053.4 1895 1905 50.19% 25.49% 24.32%+0.46 +13.0 11
1948-10-17 @ Helsingborg L 0-353.4 1905 1895 24.32% 25.49% 50.19%-0.46 -13.0 11
1948-10-17 GAIS L 0-168.6 1983 1858 63.47% 23.68% 12.85%+1.50 -10.5 8
1948-10-17 @ Malmo W 1-068.6 1858 1983 12.85% 23.68% 63.47%-1.50 +10.5 10
1948-10-17 Jonkoping D 2-274.9 1748 1766 49.17% 25.54% 25.28%+0.40 -0.6 6
1948-10-17 @ Orebro D 2-274.9 1766 1748 25.28% 25.54% 49.17%-0.40 +0.7 7
1948-10-24 AIK Stockholm L 0-165.3 1895 1901 50.62% 25.46% 23.91%+0.49 -8.5 11
1948-10-24 @ Degerfors W 1-065.3 1901 1895 23.91% 25.46% 50.62%-0.49 +8.5 8
1948-10-24 Malmo W 2-164.4 1892 1973 41.10% 25.70% 33.20%-0.09 +5.7 13
1948-10-24 @ Elfsborg L 1-264.4 1973 1892 33.20% 25.70% 41.10%+0.09 -5.7 8
1948-10-24 Halmia W 1-056.3 1868 1848 53.57% 25.24% 21.19%+0.69 +4.2 12
1948-10-24 @ GAIS L 0-156.3 1848 1868 21.19% 25.24% 53.57%-0.69 -4.2 6
1948-10-24 Helsingborg W 3-165.1 1767 1908 32.73% 25.45% 41.82%-0.56 +11.8 9
1948-10-24 @ Jonkoping L 1-365.1 1908 1767 41.82% 25.45% 32.73%+0.56 -11.8 11
1948-10-24 Orebro L 1-267.2 1695 1748 44.89% 25.68% 29.43%+0.13 -7.2 6
1948-10-24 @ Landskrona W 2-167.2 1748 1695 29.43% 25.68% 44.89%-0.13 +7.2 8
1948-10-24 Goteborg W 4-262.6 1965 1921 56.09% 24.98% 18.93%+0.88 +5.6 7
1948-10-24 @ Norrkoping L 2-462.6 1921 1965 18.93% 24.98% 56.09%-0.88 -5.6 9
1948-10-31 GAIS L 0-264.3 1909 1873 55.29% 25.07% 19.65%+0.82 -17.4 8
1948-10-31 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-064.3 1873 1909 19.65% 25.07% 55.29%-0.82 +17.4 14
1948-10-31 Elfsborg W 5-052.5 1886 1898 49.96% 25.50% 24.54%+0.45 +21.1 13
1948-10-31 @ Degerfors L 0-552.5 1898 1886 24.54% 25.50% 49.96%-0.45 -21.1 13
1948-10-31 Orebro W 4-153.4 1915 1755 66.17% 22.96% 10.86%+1.77 +5.3 11
1948-10-31 @ Goteborg L 1-453.4 1755 1915 10.86% 22.96% 66.17%-1.77 -5.3 8
1948-10-31 Helsingborg D 2-275.2 1844 1897 44.84% 25.68% 29.48%+0.13 -0.4 7
1948-10-31 @ Halmia D 2-275.2 1897 1844 29.48% 25.68% 44.84%-0.13 +0.4 12
1948-10-31 Jonkoping D 1-169.9 1688 1779 39.72% 25.69% 34.60%-0.17 -0.2 7
1948-10-31 @ Landskrona D 1-169.9 1779 1688 34.60% 25.69% 39.72%+0.17 +0.2 10
1948-10-31 Malmo D 2-275.3 1971 1967 51.72% 25.39% 22.89%+0.56 -0.8 8
1948-10-31 @ Norrkoping D 2-275.3 1967 1971 22.89% 25.39% 51.72%-0.56 +0.8 9
1948-11-07 Norrkoping L 1-462.8 1877 1970 39.37% 25.68% 34.95%-0.19 -15.9 13
1948-11-07 @ Elfsborg W 4-162.8 1970 1877 34.95% 25.68% 39.37%+0.19 +15.9 10
1948-11-07 Landskrona W 6-046.9 1890 1688 69.11% 22.00% 8.90%+2.10 +9.9 16
1948-11-07 @ GAIS L 0-646.9 1688 1890 8.90% 22.00% 69.11%-2.10 -9.9 7
1948-11-07 Goteborg W 2-055.6 1897 1921 48.53% 25.57% 25.90%+0.35 +9.4 14
1948-11-07 @ Helsingborg L 0-255.6 1921 1897 25.90% 25.57% 48.53%-0.35 -9.4 11
1948-11-07 Degerfors D 2-275.2 1779 1907 34.49% 25.54% 39.98%-0.46 +0.1 11
1948-11-07 @ Jonkoping D 2-275.2 1907 1779 39.98% 25.54% 34.49%+0.46 -0.1 14
1948-11-07 Halmia W 6-048.8 1968 1843 63.39% 23.70% 12.90%+1.50 +14.3 11
1948-11-07 @ Malmo L 0-648.8 1843 1968 12.90% 23.70% 63.39%-1.50 -14.3 7
1948-11-07 AIK Stockholm L 0-257.5 1749 1892 32.62% 25.44% 41.94%-0.56 -11.2 8
1948-11-07 @ Orebro W 2-057.5 1892 1749 41.94% 25.44% 32.62%+0.56 +11.2 10
1949-03-27 AIK Stockholm W 3-265.9 1911 1903 52.23% 25.35% 22.41%+0.60 +4.0 13
1949-03-27 @ Goteborg L 2-365.9 1903 1911 22.41% 25.35% 52.23%-0.60 -4.0 10
1949-03-27 Norrkoping L 1-365.1 1906 1986 41.30% 25.70% 32.99%-0.08 -11.7 14
1949-03-27 @ Helsingborg W 3-165.1 1986 1906 32.99% 25.70% 41.30%+0.08 +11.7 12
1949-03-27 Degerfors W 2-052.5 1982 1907 59.10% 24.55% 16.35%+1.12 +6.4 13
1949-03-27 @ Malmo L 0-252.5 1907 1982 16.35% 24.55% 59.10%-1.12 -6.4 14
1949-04-03 Goteborg D 2-275.2 1829 1915 40.40% 25.70% 33.90%-0.13 -0.2 8
1949-04-03 @ Halmia D 2-275.2 1915 1829 33.90% 25.70% 40.40%+0.13 +0.2 14
1949-04-03 Malmo D 2-275.5 1779 1989 24.54% 24.71% 50.75%-1.08 +0.7 12
1949-04-03 @ Jonkoping D 2-275.5 1989 1779 50.75% 24.71% 24.54%+1.08 -0.7 14
1949-04-03 AIK Stockholm L 1-468.9 1998 1899 61.21% 24.17% 14.61%+1.30 -23.4 12
1949-04-03 @ Norrkoping W 4-168.9 1899 1998 14.61% 24.17% 61.21%-1.30 +23.4 12
1949-04-10 Degerfors W 3-267.6 1861 1901 46.47% 25.65% 27.88%+0.23 +4.8 15
1949-04-10 @ Elfsborg L 2-367.6 1901 1861 27.88% 25.65% 46.47%-0.23 -4.7 14
1949-04-10 AIK Stockholm D 1-170.5 1900 1922 48.65% 25.57% 25.78%+0.36 -0.8 17
1949-04-10 @ GAIS D 1-170.5 1922 1900 25.78% 25.57% 48.65%-0.36 +0.8 13
1949-04-10 Halmia W 2-159.2 1895 1829 58.22% 24.69% 17.09%+1.04 +3.3 16
1949-04-10 @ Helsingborg L 1-259.2 1829 1895 17.09% 24.69% 58.22%-1.04 -3.3 8
1949-04-10 Landskrona W 2-157.7 1780 1678 61.51% 24.12% 14.38%+1.32 +2.9 14
1949-04-10 @ Jonkoping L 1-257.7 1678 1780 14.38% 24.12% 61.51%-1.32 -2.8 7
1949-04-10 Norrkoping W 4-051.8 1988 1974 52.85% 25.30% 21.84%+0.64 +15.6 16
1949-04-10 @ Malmo L 0-451.8 1974 1988 21.84% 25.30% 52.85%-0.64 -15.6 12
1949-04-10 Goteborg L 0-256.1 1738 1915 28.23% 25.12% 46.65%-0.83 -10.0 8
1949-04-10 @ Orebro W 2-056.1 1915 1738 46.65% 25.12% 28.23%+0.83 +10.0 16
1949-04-18 Orebro W 2-049.5 1923 1728 68.62% 22.17% 9.21%+2.04 +3.7 15
1949-04-18 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-249.5 1728 1923 9.21% 22.17% 68.62%-2.04 -3.7 8
1949-04-18 Jonkoping D 1-170.9 1896 1783 62.47% 23.91% 13.62%+1.41 -1.9 15
1949-04-18 @ Degerfors D 1-170.9 1783 1896 13.62% 23.91% 62.47%-1.41 +1.9 15
1949-04-18 Helsingborg D 0-067.2 1925 1898 54.31% 25.17% 20.52%+0.75 -1.4 17
1949-04-18 @ Goteborg D 0-067.2 1898 1925 20.52% 25.17% 54.31%-0.75 +1.4 17
1949-04-18 Malmo W 5-163.5 1826 2004 28.13% 25.11% 46.75%-0.84 +23.5 10
1949-04-18 @ Halmia L 1-563.5 2004 1826 46.75% 25.11% 28.13%+0.84 -23.5 16
1949-04-18 GAIS L 2-463.4 1675 1899 23.02% 24.50% 52.48%-1.19 -6.6 7
1949-04-18 @ Landskrona W 4-263.4 1899 1675 52.48% 24.50% 23.02%+1.19 +6.5 19
1949-04-18 Elfsborg W 2-158.5 1959 1865 60.74% 24.27% 15.00%+1.26 +3.0 14
1949-04-18 @ Norrkoping L 1-258.5 1865 1959 15.00% 24.27% 60.74%-1.26 -3.0 15
1949-04-24 Halmia D 0-067.1 1862 1849 52.80% 25.31% 21.89%+0.64 -1.3 16
1949-04-24 @ Elfsborg D 0-067.1 1849 1862 21.89% 25.31% 52.80%-0.64 +1.3 11
1949-04-24 Orebro W 4-152.9 1906 1724 67.66% 22.50% 9.84%+1.93 +4.8 21
1949-04-24 @ GAIS L 1-452.9 1724 1906 9.84% 22.50% 67.66%-1.93 -4.8 8
1949-04-24 AIK Stockholm D 1-170.5 1900 1927 48.07% 25.59% 26.34%+0.32 -0.8 18
1949-04-24 @ Helsingborg D 1-170.5 1927 1900 26.34% 25.59% 48.07%-0.32 +0.8 16
1949-04-24 Norrkoping D 1-170.6 1785 1962 28.24% 25.12% 46.63%-0.83 +0.7 16
1949-04-24 @ Jonkoping D 1-170.6 1962 1785 46.63% 25.12% 28.24%+0.83 -0.7 15
1949-04-24 Degerfors W 5-164.8 1668 1894 22.85% 24.47% 52.67%-1.21 +26.0 9
1949-04-24 @ Landskrona L 1-564.8 1894 1668 52.67% 24.47% 22.85%+1.21 -26.0 15
1949-04-24 Goteborg W 3-157.8 1980 1924 57.28% 24.82% 17.89%+0.97 +6.0 18
1949-04-24 @ Malmo L 1-357.8 1924 1980 17.89% 24.82% 57.28%-0.97 -6.0 17
1949-05-01 Malmo W 3-055.2 1928 1986 44.11% 25.69% 30.19%+0.08 +15.5 18
1949-05-01 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-355.2 1986 1928 30.19% 25.69% 44.11%-0.08 -15.5 18
1949-05-01 GAIS W 1-058.6 1868 1910 46.18% 25.66% 28.16%+0.21 +5.3 17
1949-05-01 @ Degerfors L 0-158.6 1910 1868 28.16% 25.66% 46.18%-0.21 -5.3 21
1949-05-01 Elfsborg L 0-167.1 1918 1861 57.34% 24.82% 17.85%+0.97 -9.5 17
1949-05-01 @ Goteborg W 1-067.1 1861 1918 17.85% 24.82% 57.34%-0.97 +9.5 18
1949-05-01 Jonkoping W 3-264.0 1850 1785 58.16% 24.70% 17.14%+1.04 +3.2 13
1949-05-01 @ Halmia L 2-364.0 1785 1850 17.14% 24.70% 58.16%-1.04 -3.2 16
1949-05-01 Landskrona W 4-045.5 1961 1694 73.10% 20.34% 6.56%+2.59 +4.9 17
1949-05-01 @ Norrkoping L 0-445.5 1694 1961 6.56% 20.34% 73.10%-2.59 -4.9 9
1949-05-01 Helsingborg L 1-262.5 1720 1899 27.99% 25.10% 46.92%-0.85 -5.0 8
1949-05-01 @ Orebro W 2-162.5 1899 1720 46.92% 25.10% 27.99%+0.85 +5.0 20
1949-05-06 Helsingborg D 2-275.6 1971 1904 58.31% 24.68% 17.01%+1.05 -1.2 19
1949-05-06 @ Malmo D 2-275.6 1904 1971 17.01% 24.68% 58.31%-1.05 +1.2 21
1949-05-08 Halmia W 4-263.3 1873 1854 53.52% 25.25% 21.24%+0.69 +6.2 19
1949-05-08 @ Degerfors L 2-463.3 1854 1873 21.24% 25.25% 53.52%-0.69 -6.2 13
1949-05-08 Orebro L 1-273.2 1871 1715 65.84% 23.06% 11.10%+1.74 -10.2 18
1949-05-08 @ Elfsborg W 2-173.2 1715 1871 11.10% 23.06% 65.84%-1.74 +10.2 10
1949-05-08 Norrkoping W 2-057.1 1905 1966 43.81% 25.70% 30.50%+0.07 +10.7 23
1949-05-08 @ GAIS L 0-257.1 1966 1905 30.50% 25.70% 43.81%-0.07 -10.7 17
1949-05-08 AIK Stockholm W 3-272.5 1782 1943 30.20% 25.29% 44.51%-0.71 +6.8 18
1949-05-08 @ Jonkoping L 2-372.5 1943 1782 44.51% 25.29% 30.20%+0.71 -6.8 18
1949-05-08 Goteborg L 0-156.7 1690 1908 23.56% 24.58% 51.86%-1.15 -4.6 9
1949-05-08 @ Landskrona W 1-056.7 1908 1690 51.86% 24.58% 23.56%+1.15 +4.6 19
1949-05-15 Elfsborg W 2-159.0 1936 1860 59.16% 24.54% 16.29%+1.12 +3.2 20
1949-05-15 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-259.0 1860 1936 16.29% 24.54% 59.16%-1.12 -3.2 18
1949-05-15 Jonkoping D 2-275.8 1913 1789 63.36% 23.71% 12.93%+1.49 -1.5 20
1949-05-15 @ Goteborg D 2-275.8 1789 1913 12.93% 23.71% 63.36%-1.49 +1.5 19
1949-05-15 Landskrona W 4-259.2 1847 1685 66.32% 22.92% 10.76%+1.79 +3.3 15
1949-05-15 @ Halmia L 2-459.2 1685 1847 10.76% 22.92% 66.32%-1.79 -3.3 9
1949-05-15 GAIS W 5-156.9 1905 1916 50.05% 25.50% 24.46%+0.45 +14.2 23
1949-05-15 @ Helsingborg L 1-556.9 1916 1905 24.46% 25.50% 50.05%-0.45 -14.3 23
1949-05-15 Degerfors D 1-170.8 1955 1880 59.13% 24.55% 16.32%+1.12 -1.7 18
1949-05-15 @ Norrkoping D 1-170.8 1880 1955 16.32% 24.55% 59.13%-1.12 +1.7 20
1949-05-15 Malmo L 1-260.2 1725 1969 21.01% 24.16% 54.83%-1.35 -3.9 10
1949-05-15 @ Orebro W 2-160.2 1969 1725 54.83% 24.16% 21.01%+1.35 +3.9 21
1949-05-20 Goteborg D 0-067.1 1901 1911 50.15% 25.49% 24.35%+0.46 -1.0 24
1949-05-20 @ GAIS D 0-067.1 1911 1901 24.35% 25.49% 50.15%-0.46 +1.1 21
1949-05-22 Helsingborg D 3-379.6 1881 1919 46.74% 25.64% 27.62%+0.24 -0.4 21
1949-05-22 @ Degerfors D 3-379.6 1919 1881 27.62% 25.64% 46.74%-0.24 +0.4 24
1949-05-22 AIK Stockholm D 2-275.2 1851 1939 40.02% 25.69% 34.29%-0.15 -0.2 16
1949-05-22 @ Halmia D 2-275.2 1939 1851 34.29% 25.69% 40.02%+0.15 +0.1 21
1949-05-22 Elfsborg W 2-057.2 1790 1857 42.98% 25.70% 31.32%+0.02 +10.9 21
1949-05-22 @ Jonkoping L 0-257.2 1857 1790 31.32% 25.70% 42.98%-0.02 -10.9 18
1949-05-22 Malmo L 0-649.8 1682 1973 16.96% 23.26% 59.77%-1.72 -17.9 9
1949-05-22 @ Landskrona W 6-049.8 1973 1682 59.77% 23.26% 16.96%+1.72 +17.9 23
1949-05-22 Orebro L 0-170.1 1953 1721 71.05% 21.24% 7.71%+2.33 -11.6 18
1949-05-22 @ Norrkoping W 1-070.1 1721 1953 7.71% 21.24% 71.05%-2.33 +11.6 12
1949-05-26 Norrkoping L 0-361.4 1940 1942 51.05% 25.44% 23.51%+0.52 -23.4 21
1949-05-26 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-061.4 1942 1940 23.51% 25.44% 51.05%-0.52 +23.5 20
1949-05-26 GAIS L 1-563.0 1846 1900 44.67% 25.69% 29.64%+0.12 -22.7 18
1949-05-26 @ Elfsborg W 5-163.0 1900 1846 29.64% 25.69% 44.67%-0.12 +22.7 26
1949-05-26 Halmia W 1-055.1 1912 1851 57.84% 24.75% 17.41%+1.01 +3.6 23
1949-05-26 @ Goteborg L 0-155.1 1851 1912 17.41% 24.75% 57.84%-1.01 -3.6 16
1949-05-26 Landskrona D 1-171.7 1920 1664 72.47% 20.63% 6.90%+2.51 -2.7 25
1949-05-26 @ Helsingborg D 1-171.7 1664 1920 6.90% 20.63% 72.47%-2.51 +2.7 10
1949-05-26 Jonkoping W 12-049.3 1991 1801 68.27% 22.29% 9.44%+2.00 +20.3 25
1949-05-26 @ Malmo L 0-1249.3 1801 1991 9.44% 22.29% 68.27%-2.00 -20.4 21
1949-05-26 Degerfors L 1-460.3 1732 1881 31.83% 25.40% 42.78%-0.61 -13.5 12
1949-05-26 @ Orebro W 4-160.3 1881 1732 42.78% 25.40% 31.83%+0.61 +13.5 23
1949-05-29 Goteborg W 4-158.7 1894 1916 48.74% 25.56% 25.69%+0.37 +11.5 25
1949-05-29 @ Degerfors L 1-458.7 1916 1894 25.69% 25.56% 48.74%-0.37 -11.5 23
1949-05-29 Helsingborg L 0-357.9 1824 1917 39.38% 25.68% 34.94%-0.19 -18.9 18
1949-05-29 @ Elfsborg W 3-057.9 1917 1824 34.94% 25.68% 39.38%+0.19 +18.9 27
1949-05-29 Malmo L 1-561.7 1923 2012 40.07% 25.69% 34.23%-0.15 -20.8 26
1949-05-29 @ GAIS W 5-161.7 2012 1923 34.23% 25.69% 40.07%+0.15 +20.8 27
1949-05-29 Orebro D 1-170.3 1781 1719 57.84% 24.75% 17.41%+1.01 -1.6 22
1949-05-29 @ Jonkoping D 1-170.3 1719 1781 17.41% 24.75% 57.84%-1.01 +1.5 13
1949-05-29 AIK Stockholm L 2-364.7 1666 1916 20.52% 24.07% 55.41%-1.39 -3.6 10
1949-05-29 @ Landskrona W 3-264.7 1916 1666 55.41% 24.07% 20.52%+1.39 +3.6 23
1949-05-29 Halmia L 2-377.6 1965 1847 62.88% 23.82% 13.30%+1.45 -9.3 20
1949-05-29 @ Norrkoping W 3-277.6 1847 1965 13.30% 23.82% 62.88%-1.45 +9.3 18
1949-06-06 Degerfors W 4-263.5 1920 1906 52.88% 25.30% 21.82%+0.64 +6.4 25
1949-06-06 @ AIK Stockholm L 2-463.5 1906 1920 21.82% 25.30% 52.88%-0.64 -6.4 25
1949-06-06 Norrkoping L 0-163.7 1905 1956 45.02% 25.68% 29.29%+0.14 -7.7 23
1949-06-06 @ Goteborg W 1-063.7 1956 1905 29.29% 25.68% 45.02%-0.14 +7.7 22
1949-06-06 GAIS D 0-067.0 1856 1902 45.71% 25.67% 28.63%+0.18 -0.7 19
1949-06-06 @ Halmia D 0-067.0 1902 1856 28.63% 25.67% 45.71%-0.18 +0.7 27
1949-06-06 Jonkoping W 5-047.7 1936 1779 65.88% 23.05% 11.07%+1.74 +10.4 29
1949-06-06 @ Helsingborg L 0-547.7 1779 1936 11.07% 23.05% 65.88%-1.74 -10.4 22
1949-06-06 Elfsborg W 4-046.4 2032 1805 70.75% 21.36% 7.89%+2.29 +5.9 29
1949-06-06 @ Malmo L 0-446.4 1805 2032 7.89% 21.36% 70.75%-2.29 -6.0 18
1949-06-06 Landskrona D 2-274.5 1721 1663 57.44% 24.80% 17.76%+0.98 -1.1 14
1949-06-06 @ Orebro D 2-274.5 1663 1721 17.76% 24.80% 57.44%-0.98 +1.1 11

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1949-05-22 7.71% Orebro 1721 1 @ Norrkoping 1953 0
2 1948-10-17 7.85% Landskrona 1683 1 @ AIK Stockholm 1912 0
3 1949-05-08 11.10% Orebro 1715 2 @ Elfsborg 1871 1
4 1948-10-17 12.85% GAIS 1858 1 @ Malmo 1983 0
5 1949-05-29 13.30% Halmia 1847 3 @ Norrkoping 1965 2
6 1949-04-03 14.61% AIK Stockholm 1899 4 @ Norrkoping 1998 1
7 1948-09-05 15.43% @ Landskrona 1681 3 Norrkoping 1993 1
8 1948-09-12 16.13% Helsingborg 1899 2 @ Norrkoping 1977 0
9 1948-10-17 17.80% Degerfors 1879 3 @ Goteborg 1936 1
10 1949-05-01 17.85% Elfsborg 1861 1 @ Goteborg 1918 0
11 1948-08-22 18.40% GAIS 1847 2 @ Goteborg 1897 1
12 1948-09-12 19.32% Goteborg 1897 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1937 0
13 1948-10-31 19.65% GAIS 1873 2 @ AIK Stockholm 1909 0
14 1948-09-05 21.82% Goteborg 1888 1 @ Elfsborg 1902 0
15 1949-04-24 22.85% @ Landskrona 1668 5 Degerfors 1894 1
16 1949-05-26 23.51% Norrkoping 1942 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1940 0
17 1948-10-24 23.91% AIK Stockholm 1901 1 @ Degerfors 1895 0
18 1948-08-19 26.16% Elfsborg 1880 2 @ GAIS 1854 1
19 1948-08-29 26.94% Elfsborg 1887 2 @ Halmia 1854 0
20 1949-04-18 28.13% @ Halmia 1826 5 Malmo 2004 1
21 1949-06-06 29.29% Norrkoping 1956 1 @ Goteborg 1905 0
22 1948-10-24 29.43% Orebro 1748 2 @ Landskrona 1695 1
23 1949-05-26 29.64% GAIS 1900 5 @ Elfsborg 1846 1
24 1949-05-08 30.20% @ Jonkoping 1782 3 AIK Stockholm 1943 2
25 1948-10-24 32.73% @ Jonkoping 1767 3 Helsingborg 1908 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1949-04-24 26.04 @ Landskrona 5 1668 22.85% Degerfors 1 1894 52.67% 24.47%
2 1948-09-12 25.37 Goteborg 3 1897 19.32% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1937 55.65% 25.03%
3 1949-04-18 23.52 @ Halmia 5 1826 28.13% Malmo 1 2004 46.75% 25.11%
4 1949-05-26 23.45 Norrkoping 3 1942 23.51% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1940 51.05% 25.44%
5 1949-04-03 23.39 AIK Stockholm 4 1899 14.61% @ Norrkoping 1 1998 61.21% 24.17%
6 1949-05-26 22.74 GAIS 5 1900 29.64% @ Elfsborg 1 1846 44.67% 25.69%
7 1948-10-03 21.70 @ GAIS 4 1836 41.10% Helsingborg 0 1917 33.20% 25.70%
8 1948-10-31 21.14 @ Degerfors 5 1886 49.96% Elfsborg 0 1898 24.54% 25.50%
9 1949-05-29 20.83 Malmo 5 2012 34.23% @ GAIS 1 1923 40.07% 25.69%
10 1949-05-26 20.36 @ Malmo 12 1991 68.27% Jonkoping 0 1801 9.44% 22.29%
11 1948-09-05 19.38 @ Malmo 5 1968 52.62% AIK Stockholm 0 1956 22.06% 25.32%
12 1949-05-29 18.88 Helsingborg 3 1917 34.94% @ Elfsborg 0 1824 39.38% 25.68%
13 1948-09-12 18.55 Helsingborg 2 1899 16.13% @ Norrkoping 0 1977 59.36% 24.51%
14 1949-05-22 17.89 Malmo 6 1973 59.77% @ Landskrona 0 1682 16.96% 23.26%
15 1948-10-31 17.36 GAIS 2 1873 19.65% @ AIK Stockholm 0 1909 55.29% 25.07%
16 1948-09-05 16.44 @ Landskrona 3 1681 15.43% Norrkoping 1 1993 61.74% 22.82%
17 1948-11-07 15.92 Norrkoping 4 1970 34.95% @ Elfsborg 1 1877 39.37% 25.68%
18 1949-04-10 15.59 @ Malmo 4 1988 52.85% Norrkoping 0 1974 21.84% 25.30%
19 1948-10-17 15.57 Degerfors 3 1879 17.80% @ Goteborg 1 1936 57.40% 24.81%
20 1949-05-01 15.45 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1928 44.11% Malmo 0 1986 30.19% 25.69%
21 1948-08-29 15.14 Elfsborg 2 1887 26.94% @ Halmia 0 1854 47.44% 25.62%
22 1948-11-07 14.28 @ Malmo 6 1968 63.39% Halmia 0 1843 12.90% 23.70%
23 1949-05-15 14.26 @ Helsingborg 5 1905 50.05% GAIS 1 1916 24.46% 25.50%
24 1949-05-26 13.51 Degerfors 4 1881 42.78% @ Orebro 1 1732 31.83% 25.40%
25 1948-10-17 13.04 @ Helsingborg 3 1895 50.19% Elfsborg 0 1905 24.32% 25.49%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1948-08-22 82.7 @ Elfsborg 4 1888 62.76% Jonkoping 4 1771 13.39% 23.85%
2 1948-08-29 82.2 @ Goteborg 4 1888 41.29% Malmo 4 1967 33.01% 25.70%
3 1949-05-22 79.6 @ Degerfors 3 1881 46.74% Helsingborg 3 1919 27.62% 25.64%
4 1949-05-29 77.6 Halmia 3 1847 13.30% @ Norrkoping 2 1965 62.88% 23.82%
5 1949-05-15 75.8 @ Goteborg 2 1913 63.36% Jonkoping 2 1789 12.93% 23.71%
6 1948-08-22 75.6 @ Orebro 2 1756 21.38% Norrkoping 2 1997 54.40% 24.23%
7 1949-05-06 75.6 @ Malmo 2 1971 58.31% Helsingborg 2 1904 17.01% 24.68%
8 1949-04-03 75.5 @ Jonkoping 2 1779 24.54% Malmo 2 1989 50.75% 24.71%
9 1948-09-12 75.3 @ Landskrona 2 1698 26.10% Elfsborg 2 1893 49.00% 24.90%
10 1948-10-31 75.3 @ Norrkoping 2 1971 51.72% Malmo 2 1967 22.89% 25.39%
11 1948-10-31 75.2 @ Halmia 2 1844 44.84% Helsingborg 2 1897 29.48% 25.68%
12 1948-11-07 75.2 @ Jonkoping 2 1779 34.49% Degerfors 2 1907 39.98% 25.54%
13 1949-04-03 75.2 @ Halmia 2 1829 40.40% Goteborg 2 1915 33.90% 25.70%
14 1949-05-22 75.2 @ Halmia 2 1851 40.02% AIK Stockholm 2 1939 34.29% 25.69%
15 1948-10-17 74.9 @ Orebro 2 1748 49.17% Jonkoping 2 1766 25.28% 25.54%
16 1949-06-06 74.5 @ Orebro 2 1721 57.44% Landskrona 2 1663 17.76% 24.80%
17 1949-05-08 73.2 Orebro 2 1715 11.10% @ Elfsborg 1 1871 65.84% 23.06%
18 1949-05-08 72.5 @ Jonkoping 3 1782 30.20% AIK Stockholm 2 1943 44.51% 25.29%
19 1949-05-26 71.7 @ Helsingborg 1 1920 72.47% Landskrona 1 1664 6.90% 20.63%
20 1948-08-22 71.2 GAIS 2 1847 18.40% @ Goteborg 1 1897 56.70% 24.90%
21 1949-04-18 70.9 @ Degerfors 1 1896 62.47% Jonkoping 1 1783 13.62% 23.91%
22 1949-05-15 70.8 @ Norrkoping 1 1955 59.13% Degerfors 1 1880 16.32% 24.55%
23 1949-04-24 70.6 @ Jonkoping 1 1785 28.24% Norrkoping 1 1962 46.63% 25.12%
24 1949-04-10 70.5 @ GAIS 1 1900 48.65% AIK Stockholm 1 1922 25.78% 25.57%
25 1949-04-24 70.5 @ Helsingborg 1 1900 48.07% AIK Stockholm 1 1927 26.34% 25.59%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1948-08-22 45.5 @ Malmo 5 1961 73.10% Landskrona 0 1695 6.56% 20.34%
2 1949-05-01 45.5 @ Norrkoping 4 1961 73.10% Landskrona 0 1694 6.56% 20.34%
3 1949-06-06 46.4 @ Malmo 4 2032 70.75% Elfsborg 0 1805 7.89% 21.36%
4 1948-11-07 46.9 @ GAIS 6 1890 69.11% Landskrona 0 1688 8.90% 22.00%
5 1948-08-29 47.2 @ Degerfors 4 1863 67.18% Landskrona 0 1689 10.17% 22.65%
6 1949-06-06 47.7 @ Helsingborg 5 1936 65.88% Jonkoping 0 1779 11.07% 23.05%
7 1948-09-26 48.8 @ Norrkoping 5 1958 62.13% GAIS 0 1849 13.89% 23.99%
8 1948-11-07 48.8 @ Malmo 6 1968 63.39% Halmia 0 1843 12.90% 23.70%
9 1949-05-26 49.3 @ Malmo 12 1991 68.27% Jonkoping 0 1801 9.44% 22.29%
10 1949-04-18 49.5 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1923 68.62% Orebro 0 1728 9.21% 22.17%
11 1949-05-22 49.8 Malmo 6 1973 59.77% @ Landskrona 0 1682 16.96% 23.26%
12 1948-09-05 51.7 @ Malmo 5 1968 52.62% AIK Stockholm 0 1956 22.06% 25.32%
13 1949-04-10 51.8 @ Malmo 4 1988 52.85% Norrkoping 0 1974 21.84% 25.30%
14 1948-08-08 52.5 @ GAIS 2 1848 58.65% Jonkoping 0 1777 16.73% 24.62%
15 1948-10-31 52.5 @ Degerfors 5 1886 49.96% Elfsborg 0 1898 24.54% 25.50%
16 1949-03-27 52.5 @ Malmo 2 1982 59.10% Degerfors 0 1907 16.35% 24.55%
17 1948-09-26 52.8 @ AIK Stockholm 5 1911 63.49% Jonkoping 1 1785 12.83% 23.68%
18 1949-04-24 52.9 @ GAIS 4 1906 67.66% Orebro 1 1724 9.84% 22.50%
19 1948-10-17 53.4 @ Helsingborg 3 1895 50.19% Elfsborg 0 1905 24.32% 25.49%
20 1948-10-31 53.4 @ Goteborg 4 1915 66.17% Orebro 1 1755 10.86% 22.96%
21 1948-09-12 54.6 @ Halmia 1 1834 59.05% Orebro 0 1759 16.39% 24.56%
22 1949-05-26 55.1 @ Goteborg 1 1912 57.84% Halmia 0 1851 17.41% 24.75%
23 1948-10-03 55.2 @ GAIS 4 1836 41.10% Helsingborg 0 1917 33.20% 25.70%
24 1949-05-01 55.2 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1928 44.11% Malmo 0 1986 30.19% 25.69%
25 1948-09-26 55.5 @ Goteborg 5 1922 70.51% Landskrona 2 1698 8.03% 21.46%