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1949-50 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Malmo

42 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Malmo

9.35 points above expected

42 points · 32.65 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Halmia

5.62 points below expected

14 points · 19.62 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Malmo 22 20 2 0 42 82 21 +61 32.65 +9.35
2 Jonkoping 22 12 3 7 27 50 37 +13 24.78 +2.22
3 Helsingborg 22 10 6 6 26 45 38 +7 24.03 +1.97
4 AIK Stockholm 22 10 6 6 26 34 31 +3 25.26 +0.74
5 GAIS 22 7 7 8 21 34 42 -8 19.13 +1.87
6 Norrkoping 22 9 2 11 20 36 45 -9 22.80 -2.80
7 Elfsborg 22 6 7 9 19 34 45 -11 19.83 -0.83
8 Djurgarden 22 8 2 12 18 34 39 -5 19.62 -1.62
9 Kalmar 22 5 8 9 18 25 33 -8 16.26 +1.74
10 Degerfors 22 6 6 10 18 26 35 -9 19.82 -1.82
11 Goteborg 22 5 5 12 15 33 49 -16 20.20 -5.20
12 Halmia 22 6 2 14 14 28 46 -18 19.62 -5.62

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Malmo 42 32.65 +9.35
2 Jonkoping 27 24.78 +2.22
3 Helsingborg 26 24.03 +1.97
4 GAIS 21 19.13 +1.87
5 Kalmar 18 16.26 +1.74

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Halmia 14 19.62 -5.62
2 Goteborg 15 20.20 -5.20
3 Norrkoping 20 22.80 -2.80
4 Degerfors 18 19.82 -1.82
5 Djurgarden 18 19.62 -1.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Malmo 18 Jul 31 – May 7 1 in 6,261
2 Jonkoping 4 Aug 21 – Sep 11 1 in 71
3 GAIS 3 May 21 – Jun 4 1 in 42
4 Kalmar 2 Aug 14 – Aug 21 1 in 25
5 Elfsborg 2 May 7 – May 14 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Halmia 5 Jul 29 – Aug 28 1 in 88
2 Goteborg 5 Apr 10 – May 7 1 in 70
3 Jonkoping 3 May 21 – Jun 4 1 in 65
4 Norrkoping 3 Sep 18 – Oct 9 1 in 21
5 Elfsborg 3 May 21 – Jun 4 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Malmo 22 Jul 31 – Jun 4 1 in 50
2 Helsingborg 8 Oct 9 – Apr 30 1 in 26
3 Jonkoping 6 Aug 21 – Sep 25 1 in 17
4 Elfsborg 5 Aug 28 – Sep 25 1 in 15
5 Kalmar 3 Aug 14 – Aug 28 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Goteborg 8 Oct 16 – May 7 1 in 28
2 Kalmar 8 Sep 25 – Apr 23 1 in 18
3 Jonkoping 4 May 14 – Jun 4 1 in 18
4 Norrkoping 4 Sep 11 – Oct 9 1 in 12
5 GAIS 6 Aug 7 – Sep 11 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Malmo 2110 42 +13 8 7.9 +0.1
Jonkoping 1815 27 -71 3 5.7 -2.7
Helsingborg 1883 26 +5 6 5.7 +0.3
AIK Stockholm 1830 26 -42 5 5.2 -0.2
GAIS 1817 21 +66 7 4.2 +2.8
Norrkoping 1784 20 -27 5 5.2 -0.2
Elfsborg 1729 19 -2 4 4.7 -0.7
Djurgarden 1761 18 +21 6 4.6 +1.4
Degerfors 1783 18 +26 5 4.2 +0.8
Kalmar 1710 18 +11 4 3.2 +0.8
Goteborg 1760 15 +25 4 4.3 -0.3
Halmia 1715 14 -26 3 5.0 -2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS DEG DJU ELF GAI GOT HAL HEL JON KAL MAL NOR
AIK Stockholm —
1-1-0
3.38
1-1-0
3.29
0-1-1
3.60
2-0-0
3.49
1-0-1
3.37
2-0-0
3.34
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.62
0-1-1
3.93
0-1-1
1.36
1-0-1
3.10
Degerfors
0-1-1
2.17
—
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.71
1-0-1
2.75
0-0-2
3.10
0-0-2
2.36
0-2-0
1.85
1-1-0
3.43
0-0-2
1.50
1-1-0
2.20
Djurgarden
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.68
—
0-0-2
2.78
1-0-1
2.58
2-0-0
2.56
1-0-1
3.00
0-1-1
2.06
1-0-1
2.29
2-0-0
3.06
0-0-2
1.10
0-0-2
2.47
Elfsborg
1-1-0
1.96
1-0-1
2.65
2-0-0
2.78
—
0-1-1
2.71
0-2-0
2.41
1-1-0
2.84
0-1-1
2.27
0-0-2
2.44
0-1-1
3.33
0-0-2
1.59
1-0-1
2.25
GAIS
0-0-2
2.07
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.97
1-1-0
2.85
—
1-1-0
2.72
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.12
1-1-0
1.81
0-2-0
3.14
0-0-2
1.20
0-1-1
2.41
Goteborg
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.80
0-0-2
2.99
0-2-0
3.14
0-1-1
2.83
—
2-0-0
2.79
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.08
0-1-1
3.42
0-0-2
1.37
1-0-1
2.52
Halmia
0-0-2
2.22
2-0-0
2.46
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.72
0-0-2
2.74
0-0-2
2.76
—
1-0-1
2.19
0-0-2
2.16
0-1-1
3.36
0-0-2
1.29
2-0-0
2.11
Helsingborg
0-1-1
2.69
2-0-0
3.19
1-1-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.28
1-0-1
3.43
1-1-0
3.01
1-0-1
3.37
—
0-0-2
2.78
1-1-0
3.78
0-1-1
1.70
2-0-0
2.68
Jonkoping
1-0-1
2.93
0-2-0
3.71
1-0-1
3.27
2-0-0
3.12
0-1-1
3.75
2-0-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.40
2-0-0
2.77
—
2-0-0
3.63
0-0-2
1.64
0-0-2
2.77
Kalmar
1-1-0
1.63
0-1-1
2.13
0-0-2
2.49
1-1-0
2.22
0-2-0
2.41
1-1-0
2.13
1-1-0
2.19
0-1-1
1.78
0-0-2
1.93
—
0-0-2
1.00
1-0-1
1.68
Malmo
1-1-0
4.21
2-0-0
4.07
2-0-0
4.49
2-0-0
3.99
2-0-0
4.38
2-0-0
4.21
2-0-0
4.30
1-1-0
3.86
2-0-0
3.92
2-0-0
4.61
—
2-0-0
4.18
Norrkoping
1-0-1
2.45
0-1-1
3.35
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.31
1-1-0
3.14
1-0-1
3.03
0-0-2
3.45
0-0-2
2.87
2-0-0
2.78
1-0-1
3.88
0-0-2
1.40
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.87 +4.6
Allowed 0.65 -7.8
Differential 0.95 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%3.03%5.68%4.17%0.76%1.52%18.94%
13.03%11.36%7.58%6.44%2.27%1.89%32.58%
25.68%7.58%4.55%2.27%1.89%0.76%22.73%
34.17%6.44%2.27%0.76%0.38%0.76%14.77%
40.76%2.27%1.89%0.38%0.76%—6.06%
5+1.52%1.89%0.76%0.76%——4.92%
Total18.94%32.58%22.73%14.77%6.06%4.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.75 +0.00
SD 1.47 1.47 2.24
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 9 9 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%———4.55%—13.64%
14.55%13.64%—9.09%4.55%—31.82%
213.64%18.18%—9.09%——40.91%
34.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.82%36.36%—22.73%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.41 +0.14
SD 0.91 1.40 1.75
CV 0.59 1.00 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—18.18%———27.27%
19.09%13.64%9.09%9.09%—4.55%45.45%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
3—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%22.73%31.82%9.09%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.59 -0.41
SD 1.10 1.47 1.82
CV 0.93 0.92 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%13.64%——18.18%
14.55%4.55%22.73%9.09%——40.91%
213.64%9.09%—4.55%——27.27%
34.55%—————4.55%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total22.73%13.64%31.82%27.27%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.77 -0.23
SD 1.41 1.23 2.00
CV 0.91 0.69 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
14.55%18.18%—9.09%—9.09%40.91%
2——9.09%—4.55%—13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total9.09%36.36%22.73%18.18%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.05 -0.50
SD 1.44 1.53 2.02
CV 0.93 0.75 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%—4.55%22.73%
1—18.18%4.55%—4.55%4.55%31.82%
2—13.64%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%50.00%18.18%4.55%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.91 -0.36
SD 1.34 1.66 2.30
CV 0.86 0.87 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
1—13.64%13.64%13.64%4.55%—45.45%
29.09%—4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
3——9.09%——4.55%13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%18.18%31.82%18.18%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.23 -0.73
SD 1.06 2.09 2.21
CV 0.71 0.94 —
Max 4 9 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%——27.27%
1—4.55%4.55%18.18%4.55%—31.82%
29.09%13.64%—4.55%4.55%—31.82%
3————4.55%—4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%18.18%31.82%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 2.09 -0.82
SD 1.08 1.31 1.68
CV 0.85 0.62 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—————9.09%9.09%
1—13.64%18.18%———31.82%
24.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
39.09%18.18%————27.27%
4————4.55%—4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total13.64%45.45%27.27%—4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.73 +0.32
SD 1.40 1.67 2.59
CV 0.68 0.97 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
14.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
2—9.09%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4—13.64%—4.55%——18.18%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total13.64%36.36%27.27%13.64%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.68 +0.59
SD 1.70 1.17 2.44
CV 0.75 0.70 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%———27.27%
14.55%22.73%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%50.00%
2——4.55%———4.55%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%40.91%27.27%4.55%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.50 -0.36
SD 1.04 1.26 1.65
CV 0.91 0.84 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
14.55%—————4.55%
29.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
313.64%13.64%—4.55%——31.82%
4—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
5+9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
Total36.36%40.91%13.64%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.73 0.95 +2.77
SD 1.75 0.95 1.66
CV 0.47 1.00 —
Max 9 3 +7
Min 1 0 +0

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%31.82%
1—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
24.55%9.09%—4.55%9.09%—27.27%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total13.64%27.27%22.73%18.18%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.05 -0.41
SD 1.47 1.43 2.54
CV 0.90 0.70 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Malmo 2110 42 32.65 +9.35 100.0% 24 27 30 33 35 38 40
Helsingborg 1883 26 24.03 +1.97 71.0% 16 18 21 24 27 30 33
AIK Stockholm 1830 26 25.26 +0.74 59.0% 13 19 23 25 28 32 33
GAIS 1817 21 19.13 +1.87 75.0% 6 12 17 19 21 25 30
Jonkoping 1815 27 24.78 +2.22 77.0% 16 17 22 25 27 31 34
Norrkoping 1784 20 22.80 -2.80 24.0% 8 17 21 22 26 28 32
Degerfors 1783 18 19.82 -1.82 36.0% 10 14 17 20 22 25 33
Djurgarden 1761 18 19.62 -1.62 44.0% 11 13 16 20 22 27 31
Goteborg 1760 15 20.20 -5.20 12.0% 11 14 17 20 23 27 30
Elfsborg 1729 19 19.83 -0.83 49.0% 9 13 17 20 23 26 31
Halmia 1715 14 19.62 -5.62 7.0% 9 14 17 19 22 25 31
Kalmar 1710 18 16.26 +1.74 71.0% 7 8 14 16 19 22 32

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+13.64%
Slight Edge
46.21%21.21%32.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge
143 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
047.67400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.33+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.5
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
80%
Malmo, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.68/gm
Runaway
00.221/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.12 * Some Luck: 3.12 to 4.68 * Lucky: 4.68 to 6.23 * Wild Swing: 6.23 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.76 * Close: 1.76 to 2.64 * Off: 2.64 to 3.52 * Way Off: 3.52 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.83 points
Some Luck
03.9010
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.08
Close
02.205
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Malmo
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
Halmia
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Top-Heavy
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 107.62
1.82
Wide Separation
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
60%
Even
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
91%
Dominant
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
48%
Few
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Slight Separation
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.08
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.46
Some Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Shaky Favorites
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.51
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.07
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.055
Well Within Noise
00.1430.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Malmo80.00%15.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%———————
Jonkoping4.00%25.00%19.00%16.00%8.00%10.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%—
Helsingborg4.00%17.00%12.00%20.00%16.00%14.00%7.00%2.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—
AIK Stockholm6.00%24.00%16.00%21.00%11.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%
GAIS—2.00%2.00%6.00%6.00%8.00%11.00%14.00%11.00%13.00%15.00%12.00%
Norrkoping—7.00%15.00%8.00%14.00%13.00%19.00%8.00%5.00%3.00%6.00%2.00%
Elfsborg—2.00%5.00%7.00%12.00%13.00%7.00%5.00%11.00%18.00%9.00%11.00%
Djurgarden2.00%1.00%8.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%10.00%12.00%12.00%10.00%
Kalmar1.00%—1.00%1.00%3.00%—8.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%21.00%35.00%
Degerfors2.00%2.00%4.00%5.00%8.00%7.00%11.00%17.00%15.00%11.00%6.00%12.00%
Goteborg—4.00%10.00%4.00%6.00%7.00%9.00%15.00%12.00%11.00%13.00%9.00%
Halmia1.00%1.00%5.00%4.00%8.00%9.00%13.00%10.00%12.00%14.00%15.00%8.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Malmo 100% —
AIK Stockholm 99.00% 1.00%
Helsingborg 99.00% 1.00%
Jonkoping 98.00% 2.00%
Norrkoping 92.00% 8.00%
Degerfors 82.00% 18.00%
Elfsborg 80.00% 20.00%
Djurgarden 78.00% 22.00%
Goteborg 78.00% 22.00%
Halmia 77.00% 23.00%
GAIS 73.00% 27.00%
Kalmar 44.00% 56.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1949-07-29 Halmia W 2-161.9 1825 1804 51.08% 22.38% 26.54%+0.48 +6.8 2
1949-07-29 @ GAIS L 1-261.9 1804 1825 26.54% 22.38% 51.08%-0.48 -6.8 0
1949-07-31 Helsingborg W 2-163.1 1835 1845 47.28% 22.46% 30.25%+0.27 +7.6 2
1949-07-31 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-263.1 1845 1835 30.25% 22.46% 47.28%-0.27 -7.6 0
1949-07-31 Kalmar W 2-050.3 1825 1680 63.61% 21.60% 14.79%+1.35 +8.2 2
1949-07-31 @ Degerfors L 0-250.3 1680 1825 14.79% 21.60% 63.61%-1.35 -8.2 0
1949-07-31 Malmo L 0-255.9 1776 1899 31.70% 22.36% 45.94%-0.53 -15.7 0
1949-07-31 @ Elfsborg W 2-055.9 1899 1776 45.94% 22.36% 31.70%+0.53 +15.7 2
1949-07-31 Djurgarden W 2-162.8 1759 1767 47.53% 22.46% 30.01%+0.28 +7.5 2
1949-07-31 @ Jonkoping L 1-262.8 1767 1759 30.01% 22.46% 47.53%-0.28 -7.5 0
1949-07-31 Goteborg L 2-374.9 1859 1824 52.75% 22.33% 24.92%+0.58 -11.3 0
1949-07-31 @ Norrkoping W 3-274.9 1824 1859 24.92% 22.33% 52.75%-0.58 +11.3 2
1949-08-05 Elfsborg D 2-277.6 1835 1760 57.10% 22.13% 20.77%+0.86 -1.5 3
1949-08-05 @ Goteborg D 2-277.6 1760 1835 20.77% 22.13% 57.10%-0.86 +1.5 1
1949-08-07 GAIS W 6-261.6 1759 1832 38.53% 22.49% 38.99%-0.18 +24.8 2
1949-08-07 @ Djurgarden L 2-661.6 1832 1759 38.99% 22.49% 38.53%+0.18 -24.8 2
1949-08-07 AIK Stockholm L 0-259.1 1797 1843 42.40% 22.50% 35.10%+0.01 -19.8 0
1949-08-07 @ Halmia W 2-059.1 1843 1797 35.10% 22.50% 42.40%-0.01 +19.8 4
1949-08-07 Norrkoping W 3-053.1 1837 1848 47.11% 22.47% 30.42%+0.26 +22.1 2
1949-08-07 @ Helsingborg L 0-353.1 1848 1837 30.42% 22.47% 47.11%-0.26 -22.1 0
1949-08-07 Jonkoping L 0-159.6 1671 1767 35.41% 22.45% 42.15%-0.33 -9.1 0
1949-08-07 @ Kalmar W 1-059.6 1767 1671 42.15% 22.45% 35.41%+0.33 +9.1 4
1949-08-07 Degerfors W 3-157.5 1914 1833 57.69% 22.10% 20.21%+0.90 +9.4 4
1949-08-07 @ Malmo L 1-357.5 1833 1914 20.21% 22.10% 57.69%-0.90 -9.4 2
1949-08-12 AIK Stockholm D 1-172.4 1784 1863 37.70% 22.48% 39.83%-0.22 +0.1 3
1949-08-12 @ Djurgarden D 1-172.4 1863 1784 39.83% 22.48% 37.70%+0.22 -0.1 5
1949-08-12 Goteborg D 0-068.9 1807 1833 45.05% 22.49% 32.46%+0.15 -0.7 3
1949-08-12 @ GAIS D 0-068.9 1833 1807 32.46% 22.49% 45.05%-0.15 +0.7 4
1949-08-12 Helsingborg W 5-049.7 1924 1859 56.00% 22.19% 21.81%+0.79 +27.0 6
1949-08-12 @ Malmo L 0-549.7 1859 1924 21.81% 22.19% 56.00%-0.79 -27.0 2
1949-08-14 Elfsborg L 3-575.0 1824 1761 55.80% 22.20% 21.99%+0.77 -18.4 2
1949-08-14 @ Degerfors W 5-375.0 1761 1824 21.99% 22.20% 55.80%-0.77 +18.4 3
1949-08-14 Norrkoping L 1-266.5 1776 1826 41.84% 22.50% 35.66%-0.01 -9.8 4
1949-08-14 @ Jonkoping W 2-166.5 1826 1776 35.66% 22.50% 41.84%+0.01 +9.8 2
1949-08-14 Halmia W 3-164.3 1662 1778 32.72% 22.39% 44.89%-0.47 +18.0 2
1949-08-14 @ Kalmar L 1-364.3 1778 1662 44.89% 22.39% 32.72%+0.47 -18.0 0
1949-08-21 Kalmar L 2-378.5 1863 1680 66.42% 21.25% 12.33%+1.61 -14.2 5
1949-08-21 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-278.5 1680 1863 12.33% 21.25% 66.42%-1.61 +14.2 4
1949-08-21 GAIS W 1-058.2 1806 1807 48.35% 22.45% 29.20%+0.33 +7.8 4
1949-08-21 @ Degerfors L 0-158.2 1807 1806 29.20% 22.45% 48.35%-0.33 -7.8 3
1949-08-21 Jonkoping L 0-358.8 1780 1766 50.18% 22.41% 27.41%+0.43 -33.2 3
1949-08-21 @ Elfsborg W 3-058.8 1766 1780 27.41% 22.41% 50.18%-0.43 +33.2 6
1949-08-21 Helsingborg D 1-172.5 1834 1832 48.72% 22.44% 28.84%+0.35 -1.0 5
1949-08-21 @ Goteborg D 1-172.5 1832 1834 28.84% 22.44% 48.72%-0.35 +1.0 3
1949-08-21 Malmo L 1-358.5 1760 1951 23.64% 22.00% 54.36%-1.00 -10.7 0
1949-08-21 @ Halmia W 3-158.5 1951 1760 54.36% 22.00% 23.64%+1.00 +10.7 8
1949-08-21 Djurgarden W 2-053.2 1835 1784 54.57% 22.26% 23.17%+0.69 +12.2 4
1949-08-21 @ Norrkoping L 0-253.2 1784 1835 23.17% 22.26% 54.57%-0.69 -12.2 3
1949-08-28 Degerfors W 2-053.8 1848 1813 52.71% 22.33% 24.96%+0.58 +12.9 7
1949-08-28 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-253.8 1813 1848 24.96% 22.33% 52.71%-0.58 -12.9 4
1949-08-28 Kalmar D 1-172.5 1833 1694 63.03% 21.67% 15.30%+1.30 -2.7 6
1949-08-28 @ Goteborg D 1-172.5 1694 1833 15.30% 21.67% 63.03%-1.30 +2.7 5
1949-08-28 Jonkoping L 1-461.4 1749 1799 41.76% 22.50% 35.74%-0.02 -23.9 0
1949-08-28 @ Halmia W 4-161.4 1799 1749 35.74% 22.50% 41.76%+0.02 +23.9 8
1949-08-28 Djurgarden D 4-484.5 1833 1772 55.66% 22.21% 22.12%+0.76 -1.0 4
1949-08-28 @ Helsingborg D 4-484.5 1772 1833 22.12% 22.21% 55.66%-0.76 +1.0 4
1949-08-28 GAIS W 5-151.3 1961 1799 64.95% 21.45% 13.60%+1.47 +12.0 10
1949-08-28 @ Malmo L 1-551.3 1799 1961 13.60% 21.45% 64.95%-1.47 -12.0 3
1949-08-28 Elfsborg L 2-473.6 1847 1747 59.65% 21.97% 18.38%+1.04 -20.8 4
1949-08-28 @ Norrkoping W 4-273.6 1747 1847 18.38% 21.97% 59.65%-1.04 +20.8 5
1949-09-04 Halmia L 1-270.8 1801 1725 57.15% 22.13% 20.72%+0.86 -12.9 4
1949-09-04 @ Degerfors W 2-170.8 1725 1801 20.72% 22.13% 57.15%-0.86 +12.9 2
1949-09-04 Goteborg W 2-057.3 1773 1830 40.73% 22.50% 36.78%-0.07 +17.7 6
1949-09-04 @ Djurgarden L 0-257.3 1830 1773 36.78% 22.50% 40.73%+0.07 -17.7 6
1949-09-04 AIK Stockholm D 0-068.9 1767 1861 35.60% 22.45% 41.95%-0.32 +0.4 6
1949-09-04 @ Elfsborg D 0-068.9 1861 1767 41.95% 22.45% 35.60%+0.32 -0.4 8
1949-09-04 Norrkoping L 0-556.0 1787 1827 43.19% 22.50% 34.31%+0.05 -47.0 3
1949-09-04 @ GAIS W 5-056.0 1827 1787 34.31% 22.50% 43.19%-0.05 +47.0 6
1949-09-04 Helsingborg W 7-053.7 1823 1832 47.31% 22.46% 30.23%+0.27 +48.7 10
1949-09-04 @ Jonkoping L 0-753.7 1832 1823 30.23% 22.46% 47.31%-0.27 -48.7 4
1949-09-04 Malmo L 1-258.4 1697 1973 15.88% 21.26% 62.86%-1.60 -4.3 5
1949-09-04 @ Kalmar W 2-158.4 1973 1697 62.86% 21.26% 15.88%+1.60 +4.3 12
1949-09-11 Jonkoping L 2-373.3 1861 1872 47.08% 22.47% 30.45%+0.26 -10.2 8
1949-09-11 @ AIK Stockholm W 3-273.3 1872 1861 30.45% 22.47% 47.08%-0.26 +10.2 12
1949-09-11 GAIS D 1-172.2 1768 1740 51.90% 22.36% 25.74%+0.53 -1.4 7
1949-09-11 @ Elfsborg D 1-172.2 1740 1768 25.74% 22.36% 51.90%-0.53 +1.4 4
1949-09-11 Malmo L 2-954.9 1813 1978 26.54% 22.17% 51.29%-0.82 -29.5 6
1949-09-11 @ Goteborg W 9-254.9 1978 1813 51.29% 22.17% 26.54%+0.82 +29.5 14
1949-09-11 Djurgarden W 2-164.6 1738 1790 41.44% 22.50% 36.06%-0.03 +8.7 4
1949-09-11 @ Halmia L 1-264.6 1790 1738 36.06% 22.50% 41.44%+0.03 -8.7 6
1949-09-11 Kalmar W 3-156.7 1784 1693 58.67% 22.04% 19.29%+0.97 +9.0 6
1949-09-11 @ Helsingborg L 1-356.7 1693 1784 19.29% 22.04% 58.67%-0.97 -9.0 5
1949-09-11 Degerfors D 1-172.6 1874 1788 58.21% 22.07% 19.73%+0.93 -2.1 7
1949-09-11 @ Norrkoping D 1-172.6 1788 1874 19.73% 22.07% 58.21%-0.93 +2.1 5
1949-09-18 Elfsborg L 2-374.0 1782 1766 50.37% 22.40% 27.23%+0.44 -10.9 6
1949-09-18 @ Djurgarden W 3-274.0 1766 1782 27.23% 22.40% 50.37%-0.44 +10.9 9
1949-09-18 Halmia W 2-053.5 1783 1747 52.90% 22.33% 24.77%+0.59 +12.9 8
1949-09-18 @ Goteborg L 0-253.5 1747 1783 24.77% 22.33% 52.90%-0.59 -12.9 4
1949-09-18 GAIS L 1-270.1 1793 1741 54.56% 22.26% 23.17%+0.69 -12.3 6
1949-09-18 @ Helsingborg W 2-170.1 1741 1793 23.17% 22.26% 54.56%-0.69 +12.3 6
1949-09-18 Degerfors D 2-277.7 1882 1790 58.83% 22.03% 19.14%+0.98 -1.7 13
1949-09-18 @ Jonkoping D 2-277.7 1790 1882 19.14% 22.03% 58.83%-0.98 +1.7 6
1949-09-18 Norrkoping W 3-059.9 1684 1871 24.01% 22.03% 53.96%-0.98 +35.4 7
1949-09-18 @ Kalmar L 0-359.9 1871 1684 53.96% 22.03% 24.01%+0.98 -35.4 7
1949-09-18 AIK Stockholm W 3-155.5 2007 1851 64.47% 21.51% 14.02%+1.43 +6.8 16
1949-09-18 @ Malmo L 1-355.5 1851 2007 14.02% 21.51% 64.47%-1.43 -6.8 8
1949-09-25 Goteborg W 2-161.0 1844 1796 54.19% 22.28% 23.54%+0.67 +6.2 10
1949-09-25 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-261.0 1796 1844 23.54% 22.28% 54.19%-0.67 -6.2 8
1949-09-25 Djurgarden W 2-161.8 1791 1771 51.01% 22.39% 26.61%+0.48 +6.8 8
1949-09-25 @ Degerfors L 1-261.8 1771 1791 26.61% 22.39% 51.01%-0.48 -6.8 6
1949-09-25 Kalmar D 1-172.2 1777 1719 55.30% 22.23% 22.47%+0.74 -1.8 10
1949-09-25 @ Elfsborg D 1-172.2 1719 1777 22.47% 22.23% 55.30%-0.74 +1.8 8
1949-09-25 Jonkoping D 2-277.5 1753 1880 31.20% 22.35% 46.46%-0.55 +0.6 7
1949-09-25 @ GAIS D 2-277.5 1880 1753 46.46% 22.35% 31.20%+0.55 -0.6 14
1949-09-25 Helsingborg W 2-164.3 1734 1780 42.29% 22.50% 35.21%+0.01 +8.5 6
1949-09-25 @ Halmia L 1-264.3 1780 1734 35.21% 22.50% 42.29%-0.01 -8.6 6
1949-09-25 Malmo L 0-253.9 1836 2014 25.08% 22.09% 52.83%-0.91 -12.9 7
1949-09-25 @ Norrkoping W 2-053.9 2014 1836 52.83% 22.09% 25.08%+0.91 +13.0 18
1949-10-09 GAIS W 3-049.4 1850 1754 59.20% 22.00% 18.80%+1.01 +14.8 12
1949-10-09 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-349.4 1754 1850 18.80% 22.00% 59.20%-1.01 -14.8 7
1949-10-09 Degerfors W 2-055.3 1790 1798 47.40% 22.46% 30.14%+0.28 +15.1 10
1949-10-09 @ Goteborg L 0-255.3 1798 1790 30.14% 22.46% 47.40%-0.28 -15.1 8
1949-10-09 Norrkoping W 4-267.8 1742 1823 37.42% 22.47% 40.11%-0.23 +14.7 8
1949-10-09 @ Halmia L 2-467.8 1823 1742 40.11% 22.47% 37.42%+0.23 -14.7 7
1949-10-09 Elfsborg W 6-155.3 1772 1775 47.97% 22.45% 29.57%+0.31 +28.8 8
1949-10-09 @ Helsingborg L 1-655.3 1775 1772 29.57% 22.45% 47.97%-0.31 -28.8 10
1949-10-09 Djurgarden L 0-162.0 1721 1764 42.76% 22.50% 34.74%+0.03 -10.6 8
1949-10-09 @ Kalmar W 1-062.0 1764 1721 34.74% 22.50% 42.76%-0.03 +10.6 8
1949-10-09 Jonkoping W 4-260.2 2027 1880 63.73% 21.59% 14.68%+1.36 +6.3 20
1949-10-09 @ Malmo L 2-460.2 1880 2027 14.68% 21.59% 63.73%-1.36 -6.3 14
1949-10-16 Helsingborg L 1-365.2 1783 1800 46.23% 22.48% 31.29%+0.21 -18.4 8
1949-10-16 @ Degerfors W 3-165.2 1800 1783 31.29% 22.48% 46.23%-0.21 +18.4 10
1949-10-16 Malmo L 0-349.0 1775 2033 17.27% 21.44% 61.29%-1.48 -13.6 8
1949-10-16 @ Djurgarden W 3-049.0 2033 1775 61.29% 21.44% 17.27%+1.48 +13.6 22
1949-10-16 Halmia W 1-058.3 1747 1757 47.15% 22.47% 30.38%+0.26 +8.1 12
1949-10-16 @ Elfsborg L 0-158.3 1757 1747 30.38% 22.47% 47.15%-0.26 -8.1 8
1949-10-16 Kalmar D 1-172.0 1739 1710 52.00% 22.36% 25.64%+0.54 -1.4 8
1949-10-16 @ GAIS D 1-172.0 1710 1739 25.64% 22.36% 52.00%-0.54 +1.4 9
1949-10-16 Goteborg W 4-155.4 1874 1805 56.42% 22.17% 21.41%+0.81 +13.9 16
1949-10-16 @ Jonkoping L 1-455.4 1805 1874 21.41% 22.17% 56.42%-0.81 -13.9 10
1949-10-16 AIK Stockholm W 3-162.5 1808 1865 40.90% 22.50% 36.60%-0.06 +15.3 9
1949-10-16 @ Norrkoping L 1-362.5 1865 1808 36.60% 22.50% 40.90%+0.06 -15.3 12
1949-10-30 Jonkoping W 2-060.2 1761 1887 31.26% 22.35% 46.39%-0.55 +21.3 10
1949-10-30 @ Djurgarden L 0-260.2 1887 1761 46.39% 22.35% 31.26%+0.55 -21.3 16
1949-10-30 Norrkoping L 2-372.3 1791 1824 44.18% 22.50% 33.33%+0.10 -9.7 10
1949-10-30 @ Goteborg W 3-272.3 1824 1791 33.33% 22.50% 44.18%-0.10 +9.7 11
1949-10-30 GAIS L 2-470.5 1749 1738 49.83% 22.42% 27.75%+0.41 -17.6 8
1949-10-30 @ Halmia W 4-270.5 1738 1749 27.75% 22.42% 49.83%-0.41 +17.6 10
1949-10-30 AIK Stockholm D 1-172.5 1819 1850 44.43% 22.49% 33.08%+0.12 -0.6 11
1949-10-30 @ Helsingborg D 1-172.5 1850 1819 33.08% 22.49% 44.43%-0.12 +0.6 13
1949-10-30 Degerfors D 0-068.5 1712 1765 41.39% 22.50% 36.11%-0.04 -0.3 10
1949-10-30 @ Kalmar D 0-068.5 1765 1712 36.11% 22.50% 41.39%+0.04 +0.3 9
1949-10-30 Elfsborg W 1-051.0 2047 1755 73.03% 19.88% 7.09%+2.38 +2.1 24
1949-10-30 @ Malmo L 0-151.0 1755 2047 7.09% 19.88% 73.03%-2.38 -2.2 12
1949-11-06 Halmia W 3-156.2 1850 1731 61.33% 21.83% 16.84%+1.17 +8.0 15
1949-11-06 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-356.2 1731 1850 16.84% 21.83% 61.33%-1.17 -8.0 8
1949-11-06 Malmo L 1-551.7 1765 2049 15.30% 21.18% 63.52%-1.65 -13.2 9
1949-11-06 @ Degerfors W 5-151.7 2049 1765 63.52% 21.18% 15.30%+1.65 +13.2 26
1949-11-06 Goteborg D 1-172.2 1753 1781 44.70% 22.49% 32.80%+0.13 -0.6 13
1949-11-06 @ Elfsborg D 1-172.2 1781 1753 32.80% 22.49% 44.70%-0.13 +0.6 11
1949-11-06 Djurgarden W 3-161.0 1755 1782 44.97% 22.49% 32.54%+0.15 +13.9 12
1949-11-06 @ GAIS L 1-361.0 1782 1755 32.54% 22.49% 44.97%-0.15 -13.9 10
1949-11-06 Kalmar W 4-152.9 1866 1712 64.33% 21.52% 14.15%+1.41 +9.6 18
1949-11-06 @ Jonkoping L 1-452.9 1712 1866 14.15% 21.52% 64.33%-1.41 -9.6 10
1949-11-06 Helsingborg L 0-359.1 1833 1818 50.35% 22.40% 27.24%+0.44 -33.3 11
1949-11-06 @ Norrkoping W 3-059.1 1818 1833 27.24% 22.40% 50.35%-0.44 +33.3 13
1950-04-10 Norrkoping L 0-357.2 1768 1800 44.30% 22.49% 33.21%+0.11 -29.8 10
1950-04-10 @ Djurgarden W 3-057.2 1800 1768 33.21% 22.49% 44.30%-0.11 +29.8 13
1950-04-10 Degerfors D 1-172.2 1769 1752 50.65% 22.40% 26.96%+0.46 -1.3 13
1950-04-10 @ GAIS D 1-172.2 1752 1769 26.96% 22.40% 50.65%-0.46 +1.3 10
1950-04-10 Goteborg W 3-157.7 1852 1782 56.53% 22.17% 21.31%+0.82 +9.8 15
1950-04-10 @ Helsingborg L 1-357.7 1782 1852 21.31% 22.17% 56.53%-0.82 -9.8 11
1950-04-10 Elfsborg W 3-156.2 1876 1752 61.75% 21.79% 16.45%+1.20 +7.8 20
1950-04-10 @ Jonkoping L 1-356.2 1752 1876 16.45% 21.79% 61.75%-1.20 -7.8 13
1950-04-10 AIK Stockholm D 1-172.4 1702 1858 27.55% 22.21% 50.23%-0.76 +1.2 11
1950-04-10 @ Kalmar D 1-172.4 1858 1702 50.23% 22.21% 27.55%+0.76 -1.2 16
1950-04-10 Halmia W 3-044.8 2062 1723 75.23% 19.19% 5.59%+2.70 +4.6 28
1950-04-10 @ Malmo L 0-344.8 1723 2062 5.59% 19.19% 75.23%-2.70 -4.6 8
1950-04-16 Norrkoping W 2-161.8 1857 1830 51.78% 22.36% 25.85%+0.52 +6.7 18
1950-04-16 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-261.8 1830 1857 25.85% 22.36% 51.78%-0.52 -6.7 13
1950-04-16 Jonkoping L 1-361.4 1772 1884 33.23% 22.40% 44.37%-0.45 -14.1 11
1950-04-16 @ Goteborg W 3-161.4 1884 1772 44.37% 22.40% 33.23%+0.45 +14.1 22
1950-04-16 Elfsborg D 1-172.0 1719 1744 45.15% 22.49% 32.37%+0.16 -0.7 9
1950-04-16 @ Halmia D 1-172.0 1744 1719 32.37% 22.49% 45.15%-0.16 +0.7 14
1950-04-16 Degerfors W 2-051.5 1861 1753 60.35% 21.91% 17.73%+1.09 +9.7 17
1950-04-16 @ Helsingborg L 0-251.5 1753 1861 17.73% 21.91% 60.35%-1.09 -9.6 10
1950-04-16 GAIS D 2-277.1 1703 1768 39.68% 22.49% 37.83%-0.12 -0.1 12
1950-04-16 @ Kalmar D 2-277.1 1768 1703 37.83% 22.49% 39.68%+0.12 +0.1 14
1950-04-16 Djurgarden W 3-044.9 2067 1739 74.75% 19.35% 5.90%+2.63 +4.9 30
1950-04-16 @ Malmo L 0-344.9 1739 2067 5.90% 19.35% 74.75%-2.63 -4.9 10
1950-04-23 Goteborg W 3-160.4 1743 1758 46.58% 22.47% 30.95%+0.23 +13.4 12
1950-04-23 @ Degerfors L 1-360.4 1758 1743 30.95% 22.47% 46.58%-0.23 -13.4 11
1950-04-23 Kalmar W 2-053.4 1734 1703 52.21% 22.35% 25.44%+0.55 +13.2 12
1950-04-23 @ Djurgarden L 0-253.4 1703 1734 25.44% 22.35% 52.21%-0.55 -13.2 12
1950-04-23 Helsingborg D 2-277.5 1745 1871 31.29% 22.35% 46.36%-0.55 +0.6 15
1950-04-23 @ Elfsborg D 2-277.5 1871 1745 46.36% 22.35% 31.29%+0.55 -0.6 18
1950-04-23 AIK Stockholm L 0-160.1 1768 1864 35.38% 22.44% 42.17%-0.33 -9.1 14
1950-04-23 @ GAIS W 1-060.1 1864 1768 42.17% 22.44% 35.38%+0.33 +9.1 20
1950-04-23 Malmo L 1-456.7 1898 2072 25.52% 22.11% 52.37%-0.88 -16.1 22
1950-04-23 @ Jonkoping W 4-156.7 2072 1898 52.37% 22.11% 25.52%+0.88 +16.1 32
1950-04-23 Halmia L 0-264.0 1823 1718 60.07% 21.93% 17.99%+1.07 -27.1 13
1950-04-23 @ Norrkoping W 2-064.0 1718 1823 17.99% 21.93% 60.07%-1.07 +27.0 11
1950-04-30 AIK Stockholm D 0-068.9 1757 1873 32.61% 22.39% 45.00%-0.48 +0.7 13
1950-04-30 @ Degerfors D 0-068.9 1873 1757 45.00% 22.39% 32.61%+0.48 -0.7 21
1950-04-30 Helsingborg L 1-263.4 1747 1870 31.63% 22.36% 46.01%-0.53 -7.8 12
1950-04-30 @ Djurgarden W 2-163.4 1870 1747 46.01% 22.36% 31.63%+0.53 +7.8 20
1950-04-30 Norrkoping L 2-468.2 1745 1796 41.68% 22.50% 35.82%-0.02 -15.1 15
1950-04-30 @ Elfsborg W 4-268.2 1796 1745 35.82% 22.50% 41.68%+0.02 +15.1 15
1950-04-30 Malmo L 1-452.3 1759 2088 12.29% 20.66% 67.04%-1.97 -8.4 14
1950-04-30 @ GAIS W 4-152.3 2088 1759 67.04% 20.66% 12.29%+1.97 +8.4 34
1950-04-30 Halmia W 4-367.0 1882 1745 62.85% 21.69% 15.46%+1.29 +3.9 24
1950-04-30 @ Jonkoping L 3-467.0 1745 1882 15.46% 21.69% 62.85%-1.29 -4.0 11
1950-04-30 Goteborg W 1-059.9 1690 1745 41.12% 22.50% 36.38%-0.05 +9.3 14
1950-04-30 @ Kalmar L 0-159.9 1745 1690 36.38% 22.50% 41.12%+0.05 -9.3 11
1950-05-07 Elfsborg L 1-467.7 1872 1730 63.29% 21.64% 15.07%+1.33 -34.9 21
1950-05-07 @ AIK Stockholm W 4-167.7 1730 1872 15.07% 21.64% 63.29%-1.33 +34.9 17
1950-05-07 Djurgarden L 1-268.0 1735 1739 48.00% 22.45% 29.55%+0.31 -11.0 11
1950-05-07 @ Goteborg W 2-168.0 1739 1735 29.55% 22.45% 48.00%-0.31 +11.0 14
1950-05-07 Degerfors W 2-055.4 1741 1757 46.35% 22.48% 31.17%+0.22 +15.5 13
1950-05-07 @ Halmia L 0-255.4 1757 1741 31.17% 22.48% 46.35%-0.22 -15.5 13
1950-05-07 Jonkoping L 1-268.3 1878 1886 47.53% 22.46% 30.01%+0.28 -10.9 20
1950-05-07 @ Helsingborg W 2-168.3 1886 1878 30.01% 22.46% 47.53%-0.28 +10.9 26
1950-05-07 Kalmar W 5-147.5 2096 1699 77.59% 18.26% 4.15%+3.11 +3.7 36
1950-05-07 @ Malmo L 1-547.5 1699 2096 4.15% 18.26% 77.59%-3.11 -3.7 14
1950-05-07 GAIS D 1-172.4 1811 1751 55.58% 22.21% 22.21%+0.76 -1.8 16
1950-05-07 @ Norrkoping D 1-172.4 1751 1811 22.21% 22.21% 55.58%-0.76 +1.8 15
1950-05-14 Malmo D 3-382.4 1837 2100 16.95% 21.40% 61.65%-1.50 +1.6 22
1950-05-14 @ AIK Stockholm D 3-382.4 2100 1837 61.65% 21.40% 16.95%+1.50 -1.6 37
1950-05-14 Jonkoping D 1-172.5 1742 1896 27.77% 22.22% 50.00%-0.75 +1.2 14
1950-05-14 @ Degerfors D 1-172.5 1896 1742 50.00% 22.22% 27.77%+0.75 -1.2 27
1950-05-14 Djurgarden W 3-159.3 1765 1750 50.35% 22.40% 27.25%+0.44 +12.0 19
1950-05-14 @ Elfsborg L 1-359.3 1750 1765 27.25% 22.40% 50.35%-0.44 -12.0 14
1950-05-14 Helsingborg L 1-263.8 1753 1867 32.78% 22.39% 44.83%-0.47 -8.1 15
1950-05-14 @ GAIS W 2-163.8 1867 1753 44.83% 22.39% 32.78%+0.47 +8.1 22
1950-05-14 Goteborg L 2-374.4 1757 1724 52.39% 22.34% 25.27%+0.56 -11.3 13
1950-05-14 @ Halmia W 3-274.4 1724 1757 25.27% 22.34% 52.39%-0.56 +11.3 13
1950-05-14 Kalmar W 2-158.7 1810 1695 60.88% 21.87% 17.25%+1.13 +4.7 18
1950-05-14 @ Norrkoping L 1-258.7 1695 1810 17.25% 21.87% 60.88%-1.13 -4.7 14
1950-05-21 Degerfors W 2-162.5 1738 1743 47.81% 22.46% 29.74%+0.30 +7.5 16
1950-05-21 @ Djurgarden L 1-262.5 1743 1738 29.74% 22.46% 47.81%-0.30 -7.5 14
1950-05-21 AIK Stockholm W 4-055.8 1736 1839 34.35% 22.43% 43.23%-0.39 +38.1 15
1950-05-21 @ Goteborg L 0-455.8 1839 1736 43.23% 22.43% 34.35%+0.39 -38.1 22
1950-05-21 Halmia W 3-156.0 1875 1745 62.30% 21.74% 15.96%+1.24 +7.6 24
1950-05-21 @ Helsingborg L 1-356.0 1745 1875 15.96% 21.74% 62.30%-1.24 -7.6 13
1950-05-21 GAIS L 0-362.9 1895 1745 64.02% 21.56% 14.42%+1.39 -41.8 27
1950-05-21 @ Jonkoping W 3-062.9 1745 1895 14.42% 21.56% 64.02%-1.39 +41.9 17
1950-05-21 Elfsborg W 3-163.3 1691 1777 36.64% 22.46% 40.90%-0.27 +16.6 16
1950-05-21 @ Kalmar L 1-363.3 1777 1691 40.90% 22.46% 36.64%+0.27 -16.6 19
1950-05-21 Norrkoping W 5-044.7 2098 1814 72.62% 20.00% 7.39%+2.32 +9.9 39
1950-05-21 @ Malmo L 0-544.7 1814 2098 7.39% 20.00% 72.62%-2.32 -9.9 18
1950-05-26 Djurgarden W 2-160.6 1801 1745 54.99% 22.24% 22.77%+0.72 +6.0 24
1950-05-26 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-260.6 1745 1801 22.77% 22.24% 54.99%-0.72 -6.0 16
1950-05-26 GAIS L 1-267.9 1774 1786 46.85% 22.47% 30.68%+0.25 -10.8 15
1950-05-26 @ Goteborg W 2-167.9 1786 1774 30.68% 22.47% 46.85%-0.25 +10.8 19
1950-05-26 Malmo D 2-277.9 1883 2108 20.24% 21.74% 58.02%-1.24 +1.6 25
1950-05-26 @ Helsingborg D 2-277.9 2108 1883 58.02% 21.74% 20.24%+1.24 -1.6 40
1950-05-26 Jonkoping W 3-162.1 1804 1853 41.93% 22.50% 35.57%-0.01 +14.9 20
1950-05-26 @ Norrkoping L 1-362.1 1853 1804 35.57% 22.50% 41.93%+0.01 -14.9 27
1950-05-29 Degerfors L 0-164.6 1761 1736 51.53% 22.37% 26.10%+0.51 -12.4 19
1950-05-29 @ Elfsborg W 1-064.6 1736 1761 26.10% 22.37% 51.53%-0.51 +12.4 16
1950-05-29 Kalmar D 0-068.4 1738 1707 52.17% 22.35% 25.48%+0.55 -1.6 14
1950-05-29 @ Halmia D 0-068.4 1707 1738 25.48% 22.35% 52.17%-0.55 +1.6 17
1950-06-04 Norrkoping W 4-054.5 1748 1819 38.80% 22.49% 38.72%-0.16 +34.9 18
1950-06-04 @ Degerfors L 0-454.5 1819 1748 38.72% 22.49% 38.80%+0.16 -34.9 20
1950-06-04 Halmia W 3-052.2 1739 1736 48.88% 22.44% 28.68%+0.36 +21.1 18
1950-06-04 @ Djurgarden L 0-352.2 1736 1739 28.68% 22.44% 48.88%-0.36 -21.1 14
1950-06-04 Elfsborg W 5-154.2 1797 1748 54.30% 22.27% 23.43%+0.68 +19.4 21
1950-06-04 @ GAIS L 1-554.2 1748 1797 23.43% 22.27% 54.30%-0.68 -19.4 19
1950-06-04 AIK Stockholm L 0-262.0 1839 1807 52.35% 22.35% 25.31%+0.56 -23.7 27
1950-06-04 @ Jonkoping W 2-062.0 1807 1839 25.31% 22.35% 52.35%-0.56 +23.7 26
1950-06-04 Helsingborg D 1-172.5 1709 1885 25.34% 22.10% 52.56%-0.89 +1.5 18
1950-06-04 @ Kalmar D 1-172.5 1885 1709 52.56% 22.10% 25.34%+0.89 -1.5 26
1950-06-04 Goteborg W 6-355.0 2107 1763 75.43% 19.12% 5.46%+2.74 +3.0 42
1950-06-04 @ Malmo L 3-655.0 1763 2107 5.46% 19.12% 75.43%-2.74 -3.0 15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1949-08-21 12.33% Kalmar 1680 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1863 2
2 1950-05-21 14.42% GAIS 1745 3 @ Jonkoping 1895 0
3 1950-05-07 15.07% Elfsborg 1730 4 @ AIK Stockholm 1872 1
4 1950-04-23 17.99% Halmia 1718 2 @ Norrkoping 1823 0
5 1949-08-28 18.38% Elfsborg 1747 4 @ Norrkoping 1847 2
6 1949-09-04 20.72% Halmia 1725 2 @ Degerfors 1801 1
7 1949-08-14 21.99% Elfsborg 1761 5 @ Degerfors 1824 3
8 1949-09-18 23.17% GAIS 1741 2 @ Helsingborg 1793 1
9 1949-09-18 24.01% @ Kalmar 1684 3 Norrkoping 1871 0
10 1949-07-31 24.92% Goteborg 1824 3 @ Norrkoping 1859 2
11 1950-05-14 25.27% Goteborg 1724 3 @ Halmia 1757 2
12 1950-06-04 25.31% AIK Stockholm 1807 2 @ Jonkoping 1839 0
13 1950-05-29 26.10% Degerfors 1736 1 @ Elfsborg 1761 0
14 1949-09-18 27.23% Elfsborg 1766 3 @ Djurgarden 1782 2
15 1949-11-06 27.24% Helsingborg 1818 3 @ Norrkoping 1833 0
16 1949-08-21 27.41% Jonkoping 1766 3 @ Elfsborg 1780 0
17 1949-10-30 27.75% GAIS 1738 4 @ Halmia 1749 2
18 1950-05-07 29.55% Djurgarden 1739 2 @ Goteborg 1735 1
19 1950-05-07 30.01% Jonkoping 1886 2 @ Helsingborg 1878 1
20 1949-09-11 30.45% Jonkoping 1872 3 @ AIK Stockholm 1861 2
21 1950-05-26 30.68% GAIS 1786 2 @ Goteborg 1774 1
22 1949-10-30 31.26% @ Djurgarden 1761 2 Jonkoping 1887 0
23 1949-10-16 31.29% Helsingborg 1800 3 @ Degerfors 1783 1
24 1949-08-14 32.72% @ Kalmar 1662 3 Halmia 1778 1
25 1950-04-10 33.21% Norrkoping 1800 3 @ Djurgarden 1768 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1949-09-04 48.68 @ Jonkoping 7 1823 47.31% Helsingborg 0 1832 30.23% 22.46%
2 1949-09-04 46.97 Norrkoping 5 1827 34.31% @ GAIS 0 1787 43.19% 22.50%
3 1950-05-21 41.86 GAIS 3 1745 14.42% @ Jonkoping 0 1895 64.02% 21.56%
4 1950-05-21 38.11 @ Goteborg 4 1736 34.35% AIK Stockholm 0 1839 43.23% 22.43%
5 1949-09-18 35.37 @ Kalmar 3 1684 24.01% Norrkoping 0 1871 53.96% 22.03%
6 1950-06-04 34.92 @ Degerfors 4 1748 38.80% Norrkoping 0 1819 38.72% 22.49%
7 1950-05-07 34.89 Elfsborg 4 1730 15.07% @ AIK Stockholm 1 1872 63.29% 21.64%
8 1949-11-06 33.29 Helsingborg 3 1818 27.24% @ Norrkoping 0 1833 50.35% 22.40%
9 1949-08-21 33.19 Jonkoping 3 1766 27.41% @ Elfsborg 0 1780 50.18% 22.41%
10 1950-04-10 29.79 Norrkoping 3 1800 33.21% @ Djurgarden 0 1768 44.30% 22.49%
11 1949-09-11 29.52 Malmo 9 1978 51.29% @ Goteborg 2 1813 26.54% 22.17%
12 1949-10-09 28.81 @ Helsingborg 6 1772 47.97% Elfsborg 1 1775 29.57% 22.45%
13 1950-04-23 27.06 Halmia 2 1718 17.99% @ Norrkoping 0 1823 60.07% 21.93%
14 1949-08-12 27.01 @ Malmo 5 1924 56.00% Helsingborg 0 1859 21.81% 22.19%
15 1949-08-07 24.82 @ Djurgarden 6 1759 38.53% GAIS 2 1832 38.99% 22.49%
16 1949-08-28 23.94 Jonkoping 4 1799 35.74% @ Halmia 1 1749 41.76% 22.50%
17 1950-06-04 23.74 AIK Stockholm 2 1807 25.31% @ Jonkoping 0 1839 52.35% 22.35%
18 1949-08-07 22.10 @ Helsingborg 3 1837 47.11% Norrkoping 0 1848 30.42% 22.47%
19 1949-10-30 21.31 @ Djurgarden 2 1761 31.26% Jonkoping 0 1887 46.39% 22.35%
20 1950-06-04 21.07 @ Djurgarden 3 1739 48.88% Halmia 0 1736 28.68% 22.44%
21 1949-08-28 20.82 Elfsborg 4 1747 18.38% @ Norrkoping 2 1847 59.65% 21.97%
22 1949-08-07 19.79 AIK Stockholm 2 1843 35.10% @ Halmia 0 1797 42.40% 22.50%
23 1950-06-04 19.41 @ GAIS 5 1797 54.30% Elfsborg 1 1748 23.43% 22.27%
24 1949-08-14 18.44 Elfsborg 5 1761 21.99% @ Degerfors 3 1824 55.80% 22.20%
25 1949-10-16 18.42 Helsingborg 3 1800 31.29% @ Degerfors 1 1783 46.23% 22.48%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1949-08-28 84.5 @ Helsingborg 4 1833 55.66% Djurgarden 4 1772 22.12% 22.21%
2 1950-05-14 82.4 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1837 16.95% Malmo 3 2100 61.65% 21.40%
3 1949-08-21 78.5 Kalmar 3 1680 12.33% @ AIK Stockholm 2 1863 66.42% 21.25%
4 1950-05-26 77.9 @ Helsingborg 2 1883 20.24% Malmo 2 2108 58.02% 21.74%
5 1949-09-18 77.7 @ Jonkoping 2 1882 58.83% Degerfors 2 1790 19.14% 22.03%
6 1949-08-05 77.6 @ Goteborg 2 1835 57.10% Elfsborg 2 1760 20.77% 22.13%
7 1949-09-25 77.5 @ GAIS 2 1753 31.20% Jonkoping 2 1880 46.46% 22.35%
8 1950-04-23 77.5 @ Elfsborg 2 1745 31.29% Helsingborg 2 1871 46.36% 22.35%
9 1950-04-16 77.1 @ Kalmar 2 1703 39.68% GAIS 2 1768 37.83% 22.49%
10 1949-08-14 75.0 Elfsborg 5 1761 21.99% @ Degerfors 3 1824 55.80% 22.20%
11 1949-07-31 74.9 Goteborg 3 1824 24.92% @ Norrkoping 2 1859 52.75% 22.33%
12 1950-05-14 74.4 Goteborg 3 1724 25.27% @ Halmia 2 1757 52.39% 22.34%
13 1949-09-18 74.0 Elfsborg 3 1766 27.23% @ Djurgarden 2 1782 50.37% 22.40%
14 1949-08-28 73.6 Elfsborg 4 1747 18.38% @ Norrkoping 2 1847 59.65% 21.97%
15 1949-09-11 73.3 Jonkoping 3 1872 30.45% @ AIK Stockholm 2 1861 47.08% 22.47%
16 1949-09-11 72.6 @ Norrkoping 1 1874 58.21% Degerfors 1 1788 19.73% 22.07%
17 1949-08-21 72.5 @ Goteborg 1 1834 48.72% Helsingborg 1 1832 28.84% 22.44%
18 1949-08-28 72.5 @ Goteborg 1 1833 63.03% Kalmar 1 1694 15.30% 21.67%
19 1949-10-30 72.5 @ Helsingborg 1 1819 44.43% AIK Stockholm 1 1850 33.08% 22.49%
20 1950-05-14 72.5 @ Degerfors 1 1742 27.77% Jonkoping 1 1896 50.00% 22.22%
21 1950-06-04 72.5 @ Kalmar 1 1709 25.34% Helsingborg 1 1885 52.56% 22.10%
22 1949-08-12 72.4 @ Djurgarden 1 1784 37.70% AIK Stockholm 1 1863 39.83% 22.48%
23 1950-04-10 72.4 @ Kalmar 1 1702 27.55% AIK Stockholm 1 1858 50.23% 22.21%
24 1950-05-07 72.4 @ Norrkoping 1 1811 55.58% GAIS 1 1751 22.21% 22.21%
25 1949-10-30 72.3 Norrkoping 3 1824 33.33% @ Goteborg 2 1791 44.18% 22.50%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1950-05-21 44.7 @ Malmo 5 2098 72.62% Norrkoping 0 1814 7.39% 20.00%
2 1950-04-10 44.8 @ Malmo 3 2062 75.23% Halmia 0 1723 5.59% 19.19%
3 1950-04-16 44.9 @ Malmo 3 2067 74.75% Djurgarden 0 1739 5.90% 19.35%
4 1950-05-07 47.5 @ Malmo 5 2096 77.59% Kalmar 1 1699 4.15% 18.26%
5 1949-10-16 49.0 Malmo 3 2033 61.29% @ Djurgarden 0 1775 17.27% 21.44%
6 1949-10-09 49.4 @ AIK Stockholm 3 1850 59.20% GAIS 0 1754 18.80% 22.00%
7 1949-08-12 49.7 @ Malmo 5 1924 56.00% Helsingborg 0 1859 21.81% 22.19%
8 1949-07-31 50.3 @ Degerfors 2 1825 63.61% Kalmar 0 1680 14.79% 21.60%
9 1949-10-30 51.0 @ Malmo 1 2047 73.03% Elfsborg 0 1755 7.09% 19.88%
10 1949-08-28 51.3 @ Malmo 5 1961 64.95% GAIS 1 1799 13.60% 21.45%
11 1950-04-16 51.5 @ Helsingborg 2 1861 60.35% Degerfors 0 1753 17.73% 21.91%
12 1949-11-06 51.7 Malmo 5 2049 63.52% @ Degerfors 1 1765 15.30% 21.18%
13 1950-06-04 52.2 @ Djurgarden 3 1739 48.88% Halmia 0 1736 28.68% 22.44%
14 1950-04-30 52.3 Malmo 4 2088 67.04% @ GAIS 1 1759 12.29% 20.66%
15 1949-11-06 52.9 @ Jonkoping 4 1866 64.33% Kalmar 1 1712 14.15% 21.52%
16 1949-08-07 53.1 @ Helsingborg 3 1837 47.11% Norrkoping 0 1848 30.42% 22.47%
17 1949-08-21 53.2 @ Norrkoping 2 1835 54.57% Djurgarden 0 1784 23.17% 22.26%
18 1950-04-23 53.4 @ Djurgarden 2 1734 52.21% Kalmar 0 1703 25.44% 22.35%
19 1949-09-18 53.5 @ Goteborg 2 1783 52.90% Halmia 0 1747 24.77% 22.33%
20 1949-09-04 53.7 @ Jonkoping 7 1823 47.31% Helsingborg 0 1832 30.23% 22.46%
21 1949-08-28 53.8 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1848 52.71% Degerfors 0 1813 24.96% 22.33%
22 1949-09-25 53.9 Malmo 2 2014 52.83% @ Norrkoping 0 1836 25.08% 22.09%
23 1950-06-04 54.2 @ GAIS 5 1797 54.30% Elfsborg 1 1748 23.43% 22.27%
24 1950-06-04 54.5 @ Degerfors 4 1748 38.80% Norrkoping 0 1819 38.72% 22.49%
25 1949-09-11 54.9 Malmo 9 1978 51.29% @ Goteborg 2 1813 26.54% 22.17%