1952-53 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Malmo

31 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Djurgarden

4.77 points above expected

26 points · 21.23 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Orebro

3.95 points below expected

16 points · 19.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Malmo	22	14	3	5	31	60	32	+28	28.62	+2.38
2	Norrkoping	22	12	3	7	27	49	32	+17	28.02	-1.02
3	Djurgarden	22	11	4	7	26	41	34	+7	21.23	+4.77
4	Helsingborg	22	8	8	6	24	33	23	+10	24.98	-0.98
5	AIK Stockholm	22	10	4	8	24	36	36	0	22.50	+1.50
6	GAIS	22	11	1	10	23	50	50	0	21.74	+1.26
7	Jonkoping	22	7	7	8	21	40	43	-3	19.46	+1.54
8	Degerfors	22	8	4	10	20	41	36	+5	23.10	-3.10
9	Goteborg	22	9	2	11	20	32	54	-22	21.00	-1.00
10	Elfsborg	22	7	4	11	18	28	36	-8	18.53	-0.53
11	Orebro	22	6	4	12	16	23	40	-17	19.95	-3.95
12	IFK Malmo	22	5	4	13	14	29	46	-17	14.87	-0.87

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Djurgarden	26	21.23	+4.77
2	Malmo	31	28.62	+2.38
3	Jonkoping	21	19.46	+1.54
4	AIK Stockholm	24	22.50	+1.50
5	GAIS	23	21.74	+1.26

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Orebro	16	19.95	-3.95
2	Degerfors	20	23.10	-3.10
3	Norrkoping	27	28.02	-1.02
4	Goteborg	20	21.00	-1.00
5	Helsingborg	24	24.98	-0.98

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Elfsborg	4	Sep 7 – Oct 12	1 in 134
2	Malmo	6	May 3 – May 31	1 in 29
3	Djurgarden	4	Apr 26 – May 14	1 in 19
4	AIK Stockholm	4	Sep 7 – Oct 12	1 in 19
5	Goteborg	3	Aug 17 – Aug 31	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Degerfors	5	Apr 12 – May 10	1 in 210
2	Goteborg	5	Sep 7 – Oct 19	1 in 133
3	Orebro	5	Aug 10 – Sep 7	1 in 45
4	Djurgarden	3	May 17 – May 31	1 in 22
5	AIK Stockholm	3	Aug 17 – Aug 31	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Malmo	13	Oct 19 – May 31	1 in 59
2	Jonkoping	6	Nov 9 – May 3	1 in 42
3	Helsingborg	10	Sep 7 – Apr 19	1 in 39
4	Djurgarden	5	Sep 28 – Nov 9	1 in 21
5	Elfsborg	4	Sep 7 – Oct 12	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Helsingborg	6	Apr 26 – May 26	1 in 43
2	Degerfors	5	Apr 12 – May 10	1 in 22
3	Orebro	7	Aug 10 – Sep 28	1 in 19
4	Goteborg	5	Sep 7 – Oct 19	1 in 17
5	Elfsborg	7	Oct 19 – Apr 26	1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Malmo	1800	31	+16	8	6.9	+1.1
Norrkoping	1756	27	-11	5	6.0	-1.0
Djurgarden	1663	26	-9	4	4.8	-0.8
AIK Stockholm	1682	24	+14	8	5.4	+2.6
Helsingborg	1715	24	-5	3	5.7	-2.7
GAIS	1668	23	-3	6	5.4	+0.6
Jonkoping	1621	21	-2	4	4.4	-0.4
Goteborg	1626	20	+5	8	5.0	+3.0
Degerfors	1672	20	+6	6	5.4	+0.6
Elfsborg	1574	18	-10	2	4.4	-2.4
Orebro	1611	16	-6	3	3.5	-0.5
IFK Malmo	1552	14	+5	3	3.2	-0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AS	DEG	DJU	ELF	GAI	GOT	HEL	IM	JON	MAL	NOR	ORE
AIK Stockholm	—	2-0-0 2.76	1-1-0 3.01	1-0-1 3.48	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 3.07	0-2-0 2.50	1-0-1 3.84	2-0-0 3.18	0-1-1 2.20	1-0-1 2.21	0-0-2 3.27
Degerfors	0-0-2 2.86	—	1-0-1 3.09	1-1-0 3.54	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 3.09	1-0-1 2.53	1-0-1 3.94	1-1-0 3.23	0-0-2 2.32	0-2-0 2.24	1-0-1 3.25
Djurgarden	0-1-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.53	—	1-0-1 3.33	0-0-2 2.72	2-0-0 2.86	0-1-1 2.38	2-0-0 3.65	0-1-1 3.06	2-0-0 1.84	1-1-0 2.05	2-0-0 3.04
Elfsborg	1-0-1 2.14	0-1-1 2.09	1-0-1 2.29	—	0-1-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.32	0-0-2 1.86	0-1-1 3.13	0-0-2 2.65	1-1-0 1.54	2-0-0 1.60	1-0-1 2.62
GAIS	1-0-1 2.82	1-0-1 2.75	2-0-0 2.90	1-1-0 3.23	—	0-0-2 3.08	1-0-1 2.36	1-0-1 3.77	1-0-1 3.17	1-0-1 2.09	0-0-2 2.13	2-0-0 3.01
Goteborg	1-0-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.53	0-0-2 2.75	1-0-1 3.29	2-0-0 2.53	—	2-0-0 2.28	1-0-1 3.59	1-1-0 2.91	0-0-2 1.86	0-0-2 1.97	0-1-1 2.97
Helsingborg	0-2-0 3.12	1-0-1 3.09	1-1-0 3.24	2-0-0 3.77	1-0-1 3.26	0-0-2 3.35	—	2-0-0 4.09	0-2-0 3.54	0-1-1 2.32	1-0-1 2.48	0-2-0 3.55
IFK Malmo	1-0-1 1.79	1-0-1 1.70	0-0-2 1.98	1-1-0 2.49	1-0-1 1.86	1-0-1 2.03	0-0-2 1.55	—	0-2-0 2.10	0-0-2 1.26	0-0-2 1.43	0-1-1 2.16
Jonkoping	0-0-2 2.44	0-1-1 2.39	1-1-0 2.56	2-0-0 2.97	1-0-1 2.45	0-1-1 2.71	0-2-0 2.09	0-2-0 3.52	—	0-0-2 1.81	1-0-1 1.85	2-0-0 2.76
Malmo	1-1-0 3.42	2-0-0 3.30	0-0-2 3.79	0-1-1 4.11	1-0-1 3.53	2-0-0 3.77	1-1-0 3.30	2-0-0 4.40	2-0-0 3.83	—	1-0-1 2.89	2-0-0 4.00
Norrkoping	1-0-1 3.41	0-2-0 3.38	0-1-1 3.57	0-0-2 4.04	2-0-0 3.49	2-0-0 3.66	1-0-1 3.14	2-0-0 4.22	1-0-1 3.78	1-0-1 2.73	—	2-0-0 3.75
Orebro	2-0-0 2.35	1-0-1 2.37	0-0-2 2.57	1-0-1 3.00	0-0-2 2.60	1-1-0 2.65	0-2-0 2.08	1-1-0 3.46	0-0-2 2.86	0-0-2 1.64	0-0-2 1.88	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.69	+3.8
Allowed	0.24	-2.7
Differential	0.79	+2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.79%	4.92%	5.30%	2.27%	1.89%	1.89%	20.08%
1	4.92%	8.33%	9.85%	3.79%	1.89%	2.65%	31.44%
2	5.30%	9.85%	4.55%	1.89%	1.14%	0.76%	23.48%
3	2.27%	3.79%	1.89%	1.52%	1.89%	0.76%	12.12%
4	1.89%	1.89%	1.14%	1.89%	—	—	6.82%
5+	1.89%	2.65%	0.76%	0.76%	—	—	6.06%
Total	20.08%	31.44%	23.48%	12.12%	6.82%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.75	1.75	+0.00
SD	1.48	1.48	2.25
CV	0.85	0.85	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
2	—	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
4	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	50.00%	4.55%	18.18%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.64	+0.00
SD	1.29	1.59	2.05
CV	0.79	0.97	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
3	—	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	27.27%	18.18%	27.27%	18.18%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	1.64	+0.23
SD	1.70	1.33	2.58
CV	0.91	0.81	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	9.09%	40.91%
2	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	36.36%	22.73%	9.09%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.86	1.55	+0.32
SD	1.36	1.44	2.03
CV	0.73	0.93	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
1	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	31.82%	45.45%	4.55%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.64	-0.36
SD	1.49	1.26	1.99
CV	1.17	0.77	—
Max	6	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%	13.64%
1	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%
3	—	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	9.09%	31.82%	27.27%	4.55%	13.64%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.27	2.27	+0.00
SD	1.61	1.70	2.85
CV	0.71	0.75	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	13.64%	4.55%	27.27%
1	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	27.27%
2	9.09%	18.18%	—	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	27.27%	13.64%	9.09%	22.73%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	2.45	-1.00
SD	1.34	1.82	2.47
CV	0.92	0.74	—
Max	5	6	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	—	22.73%	9.09%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	18.18%	59.09%	22.73%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.05	+0.45
SD	1.50	0.65	1.68
CV	1.00	0.62	—
Max	5	2	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
1	—	4.55%	27.27%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	45.45%
2	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	9.09%	27.27%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	2.09	-0.77
SD	1.13	1.85	2.51
CV	0.86	0.88	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	—	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
3	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	13.64%
4	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	31.82%	18.18%	22.73%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	1.95	-0.14
SD	1.30	1.40	1.58
CV	0.71	0.71	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
Total	22.73%	31.82%	27.27%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.73	1.45	+1.27
SD	1.88	1.14	2.19
CV	0.69	0.79	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	31.82%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	31.82%	31.82%	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.23	1.45	+0.77
SD	1.54	1.60	2.51
CV	0.69	1.10	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	13.64%	—	4.55%	45.45%
2	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	18.18%	27.27%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.82	-0.77
SD	0.84	1.40	1.57
CV	0.81	0.77	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Malmo	1800	31	28.62	+2.38	75.0%	21	22	26	29	31	35	37
Norrkoping	1756	27	28.02	-1.02	40.0%	20	22	25	28	31	34	36
Helsingborg	1715	24	24.98	-0.98	44.0%	17	18	22	25	27	33	35
AIK Stockholm	1682	24	22.50	+1.50	72.0%	13	14	20	23	25	28	32
Degerfors	1672	20	23.10	-3.10	21.0%	14	15	21	23	26	29	33
GAIS	1668	23	21.74	+1.26	61.0%	10	15	18	22	25	30	32
Djurgarden	1663	26	21.23	+4.77	90.0%	7	15	18	21	24	28	30
Goteborg	1626	20	21.00	-1.00	51.0%	13	14	18	20	24	28	33
Jonkoping	1621	21	19.46	+1.54	72.0%	11	13	16	20	22	25	29
Orebro	1611	16	19.95	-3.95	22.0%	11	15	17	20	23	26	29
Elfsborg	1574	18	18.53	-0.53	48.0%	9	11	15	19	21	26	30
IFK Malmo	1552	14	14.87	-0.87	47.0%	8	10	11	15	17	21	26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.12%

Slight Edge

46.97%18.18%34.85%

Elo Value

Home Edge

137 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

042.32400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.45 goals

Neutral

-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.8

Top-Heavy

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

37%

Malmo, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.18/gm

Comfortable

00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.21 * Some Luck: 3.21 to 4.81 * Lucky: 4.81 to 6.42 * Wild Swing: 6.42 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.73 * Close: 1.73 to 2.59 * Off: 2.59 to 3.46 * Way Off: 3.46 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.31 points

As Expected

04.0110

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.33

Pinpoint

02.165

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

90.00%

Djurgarden

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

21.00%

Degerfors

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.12

Balanced

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 71.75

1.14

Coin-Flip Parity

0.951.41.652.75

Interquartile Edge

60%

Even

50%63%71.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

81%

Even

50%81%100%

Close Games

Expected

55%

Some Drama

0%49%100%

Blowouts

Expected

23%

Frequent

0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.29

Very Even

00.30.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.33

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.79

Near-Lock

00.380.530.691

Upset Rate

Expected

31%

Very Upset-Prone

0%29%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

28%

Very Shaky

0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.96

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.82

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.069

Well Within Noise

00.1320.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Malmo	37.00%	27.00%	13.00%	11.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Norrkoping	32.00%	27.00%	18.00%	5.00%	8.00%	7.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Djurgarden	2.00%	6.00%	5.00%	12.00%	10.00%	13.00%	9.00%	10.00%	14.00%	10.00%	5.00%	4.00%
Helsingborg	12.00%	12.00%	18.00%	17.00%	7.00%	5.00%	13.00%	11.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—
AIK Stockholm	2.00%	7.00%	10.00%	10.00%	13.00%	19.00%	9.00%	9.00%	9.00%	5.00%	4.00%	3.00%
GAIS	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%	12.00%	12.00%	14.00%	6.00%	8.00%	12.00%	9.00%	3.00%
Jonkoping	1.00%	—	4.00%	5.00%	7.00%	8.00%	12.00%	13.00%	12.00%	13.00%	18.00%	7.00%
Degerfors	6.00%	8.00%	14.00%	17.00%	14.00%	10.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	7.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Goteborg	1.00%	5.00%	6.00%	6.00%	12.00%	5.00%	8.00%	12.00%	17.00%	10.00%	13.00%	5.00%
Elfsborg	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	8.00%	5.00%	10.00%	9.00%	14.00%	11.00%	20.00%	16.00%
Orebro	—	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	4.00%	10.00%	13.00%	13.00%	10.00%	20.00%	12.00%	6.00%
IFK Malmo	—	—	1.00%	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	8.00%	10.00%	15.00%	54.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Helsingborg	100%	—
Malmo	100%	—
Norrkoping	100%	—
Degerfors	94.00%	6.00%
AIK Stockholm	93.00%	7.00%
Djurgarden	91.00%	9.00%
GAIS	88.00%	12.00%
Goteborg	82.00%	18.00%
Orebro	82.00%	18.00%
Jonkoping	75.00%	25.00%
Elfsborg	64.00%	36.00%
IFK Malmo	31.00%	69.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1952-08-08	Djurgarden	D 0-0	68.5	1686	1646	54.79%	18.94%	26.26%	+0.61	-0.6	1
1952-08-08	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	68.5	1646	1686	26.26%	18.94%	54.79%	-0.61	+0.6	1
1952-08-08	IFK Malmo	W 5-1	48.2	1706	1549	66.97%	17.48%	15.55%	+1.46	+4.2	2
1952-08-08	@ Helsingborg	L 1-5	48.2	1549	1706	15.55%	17.48%	66.97%	-1.46	-4.1	0
1952-08-10	Goteborg	W 4-0	49.8	1675	1668	50.63%	19.15%	30.22%	+0.36	+9.2	2
1952-08-10	@ Degerfors	L 0-4	49.8	1668	1675	30.22%	19.15%	50.63%	-0.36	-9.2	0
1952-08-10	Orebro	W 3-1	57.3	1665	1645	52.29%	19.08%	28.63%	+0.46	+4.0	2
1952-08-10	@ GAIS	L 1-3	57.3	1645	1665	28.63%	19.08%	52.29%	-0.46	-4.0	0
1952-08-10	Norrkoping	L 2-3	66.7	1618	1739	33.08%	19.01%	47.91%	-0.58	-2.5	0
1952-08-10	@ Jonkoping	W 3-2	66.7	1739	1618	47.91%	19.01%	33.08%	+0.58	+2.5	2
1952-08-10	Elfsborg	L 1-3	69.3	1765	1581	69.23%	17.03%	13.75%	+1.66	-8.6	0
1952-08-10	@ Malmo	W 3-1	69.3	1581	1765	13.75%	17.03%	69.23%	-1.66	+8.6	2
1952-08-15	Malmo	D 1-1	72.9	1710	1756	43.47%	19.28%	37.25%	-0.03	-0.1	3
1952-08-15	@ Helsingborg	D 1-1	72.9	1756	1710	37.25%	19.28%	43.47%	+0.03	+0.1	1
1952-08-17	GAIS	L 1-5	58.9	1646	1669	46.75%	19.26%	33.99%	+0.15	-11.0	1
1952-08-17	@ Djurgarden	W 5-1	58.9	1669	1646	33.99%	19.26%	46.75%	-0.15	+11.0	4
1952-08-17	Degerfors	L 1-2	61.8	1590	1684	36.70%	19.17%	44.12%	-0.38	-2.8	2
1952-08-17	@ Elfsborg	W 2-1	61.8	1684	1590	44.12%	19.17%	36.70%	+0.38	+2.8	4
1952-08-17	AIK Stockholm	W 5-3	66.5	1658	1686	46.07%	19.27%	34.66%	+0.11	+4.0	2
1952-08-17	@ Goteborg	L 3-5	66.5	1686	1658	34.66%	19.27%	46.07%	-0.11	-4.0	1
1952-08-17	Norrkoping	L 0-3	48.1	1544	1742	24.24%	18.25%	57.51%	-1.13	-5.7	0
1952-08-17	@ IFK Malmo	W 3-0	48.1	1742	1544	57.51%	18.25%	24.24%	+1.13	+5.7	4
1952-08-17	Jonkoping	L 2-4	68.3	1641	1615	52.92%	19.05%	28.02%	+0.49	-6.0	0
1952-08-17	@ Orebro	W 4-2	68.3	1615	1641	28.02%	19.05%	52.92%	-0.49	+6.0	2
1952-08-22	Goteborg	L 2-4	69.1	1680	1662	51.92%	19.10%	28.98%	+0.44	-5.9	4
1952-08-22	@ GAIS	W 4-2	69.1	1662	1680	28.98%	19.10%	51.92%	-0.44	+5.9	4
1952-08-22	IFK Malmo	W 4-1	48.9	1757	1539	71.89%	16.39%	11.73%	+1.90	+2.4	3
1952-08-22	@ Malmo	L 1-4	48.9	1539	1757	11.73%	16.39%	71.89%	-1.90	-2.4	0
1952-08-24	Elfsborg	L 1-3	66.3	1682	1587	60.92%	18.39%	20.69%	+1.00	-7.6	1
1952-08-24	@ AIK Stockholm	W 3-1	66.3	1587	1682	20.69%	18.39%	60.92%	-1.00	+7.6	4
1952-08-24	Helsingborg	L 1-4	61.3	1687	1710	46.57%	19.26%	34.17%	+0.14	-8.5	4
1952-08-24	@ Degerfors	W 4-1	61.3	1710	1687	34.17%	19.26%	46.57%	-0.14	+8.5	5
1952-08-24	Djurgarden	D 1-1	70.9	1621	1635	47.85%	19.24%	32.91%	+0.21	-0.3	3
1952-08-24	@ Jonkoping	D 1-1	70.9	1635	1621	32.91%	19.24%	47.85%	-0.21	+0.3	2
1952-08-24	Orebro	W 3-0	47.6	1747	1635	62.76%	18.16%	19.08%	+1.14	+4.6	6
1952-08-24	@ Norrkoping	L 0-3	47.6	1635	1747	19.08%	18.16%	62.76%	-1.14	-4.6	0
1952-08-31	Malmo	W 2-1	66.5	1636	1759	32.83%	19.00%	48.16%	-0.59	+3.5	4
1952-08-31	@ Djurgarden	L 1-2	66.5	1759	1636	48.16%	19.00%	32.83%	+0.59	-3.5	3
1952-08-31	Helsingborg	W 2-1	63.4	1668	1719	42.86%	19.28%	37.86%	-0.06	+2.9	6
1952-08-31	@ Goteborg	L 1-2	63.4	1719	1668	37.86%	19.28%	42.86%	+0.06	-2.9	5
1952-08-31	Elfsborg	W 2-0	51.8	1536	1594	41.77%	19.27%	38.95%	-0.12	+6.0	2
1952-08-31	@ IFK Malmo	L 0-2	51.8	1594	1536	38.95%	19.27%	41.77%	+0.12	-6.0	4
1952-08-31	GAIS	W 4-3	71.1	1621	1674	42.55%	19.28%	38.17%	-0.08	+2.7	5
1952-08-31	@ Jonkoping	L 3-4	71.1	1674	1621	38.17%	19.28%	42.55%	+0.08	-2.7	4
1952-08-31	AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	54.4	1752	1674	59.09%	18.59%	22.32%	+0.88	+2.0	8
1952-08-31	@ Norrkoping	L 0-1	54.4	1674	1752	22.32%	18.59%	59.09%	-0.88	-2.0	1
1952-08-31	Degerfors	L 0-2	56.7	1630	1678	43.16%	19.28%	37.56%	-0.04	-6.5	0
1952-08-31	@ Orebro	W 2-0	56.7	1678	1630	37.56%	19.28%	43.16%	+0.04	+6.5	6
1952-09-07	Jonkoping	W 3-1	56.1	1672	1624	55.73%	18.88%	25.39%	+0.66	+3.6	3
1952-09-07	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-3	56.1	1624	1672	25.39%	18.88%	55.73%	-0.66	-3.6	5
1952-09-07	Norrkoping	D 1-1	72.7	1685	1754	40.18%	19.26%	40.57%	-0.20	+0.0	7
1952-09-07	@ Degerfors	D 1-1	72.7	1754	1685	40.57%	19.26%	40.18%	+0.20	-0.0	9
1952-09-07	Goteborg	W 6-2	59.4	1588	1671	38.29%	19.22%	42.49%	-0.30	+8.6	6
1952-09-07	@ Elfsborg	L 2-6	59.4	1671	1588	42.49%	19.22%	38.29%	+0.30	-8.6	6
1952-09-07	IFK Malmo	W 4-0	43.8	1671	1542	64.31%	17.94%	17.76%	+1.25	+5.7	6
1952-09-07	@ GAIS	L 0-4	43.8	1542	1671	17.76%	17.94%	64.31%	-1.25	-5.7	2
1952-09-07	Djurgarden	D 1-1	72.3	1716	1639	58.95%	18.61%	22.45%	+0.87	-0.7	6
1952-09-07	@ Helsingborg	D 1-1	72.3	1639	1716	22.45%	18.61%	58.95%	-0.87	+0.7	5
1952-09-07	Orebro	W 2-1	56.8	1755	1623	64.62%	17.89%	17.49%	+1.28	+1.5	5
1952-09-07	@ Malmo	L 1-2	56.8	1623	1755	17.49%	17.89%	64.62%	-1.28	-1.5	0
1952-09-14	Elfsborg	L 0-1	62.2	1640	1597	55.06%	18.92%	26.01%	+0.62	-4.2	5
1952-09-14	@ Djurgarden	W 1-0	62.2	1597	1640	26.01%	18.92%	55.06%	-0.62	+4.2	8
1952-09-14	AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	66.7	1677	1676	49.83%	19.18%	30.99%	+0.32	-3.7	6
1952-09-14	@ GAIS	W 2-1	66.7	1676	1677	30.99%	19.18%	49.83%	-0.32	+3.7	5
1952-09-14	Goteborg	W 2-0	56.4	1537	1663	32.49%	18.98%	48.53%	-0.61	+7.2	4
1952-09-14	@ IFK Malmo	L 0-2	56.4	1663	1537	48.53%	18.98%	32.49%	+0.61	-7.2	6
1952-09-14	Degerfors	D 2-2	76.6	1620	1685	40.87%	19.26%	39.87%	-0.16	-0.0	6
1952-09-14	@ Jonkoping	D 2-2	76.6	1685	1620	39.87%	19.26%	40.87%	+0.16	+0.0	8
1952-09-14	Malmo	W 2-0	54.6	1754	1757	49.34%	19.20%	31.47%	+0.29	+5.0	11
1952-09-14	@ Norrkoping	L 0-2	54.6	1757	1754	31.47%	19.20%	49.34%	-0.29	-5.0	5
1952-09-14	Helsingborg	D 1-1	72.0	1622	1715	36.84%	19.18%	43.98%	-0.37	+0.1	1
1952-09-14	@ Orebro	D 1-1	72.0	1715	1622	43.98%	19.18%	36.84%	+0.37	-0.1	7
1952-09-28	IFK Malmo	W 3-1	52.2	1679	1544	64.97%	17.83%	17.20%	+1.30	+2.5	7
1952-09-28	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-3	52.2	1544	1679	17.20%	17.83%	64.97%	-1.30	-2.5	4
1952-09-28	GAIS	W 5-0	49.9	1685	1673	51.23%	19.13%	29.64%	+0.40	+11.1	10
1952-09-28	@ Degerfors	L 0-5	49.9	1673	1685	29.64%	19.13%	51.23%	-0.40	-11.1	6
1952-09-28	Orebro	W 2-1	60.1	1601	1622	46.96%	19.25%	33.79%	+0.16	+2.7	10
1952-09-28	@ Elfsborg	L 1-2	60.1	1622	1601	33.79%	19.25%	46.96%	-0.16	-2.6	1
1952-09-28	Djurgarden	L 1-4	61.9	1656	1636	52.26%	19.09%	28.65%	+0.46	-9.4	6
1952-09-28	@ Goteborg	W 4-1	61.9	1636	1656	28.65%	19.09%	52.26%	-0.46	+9.4	7
1952-09-28	Norrkoping	W 2-1	63.6	1715	1759	43.76%	19.28%	36.96%	-0.01	+2.9	9
1952-09-28	@ Helsingborg	L 1-2	63.6	1759	1715	36.96%	19.28%	43.76%	+0.01	-2.8	11
1952-09-28	Jonkoping	W 5-3	61.2	1752	1620	64.60%	17.89%	17.51%	+1.27	+2.1	7
1952-09-28	@ Malmo	L 3-5	61.2	1620	1752	17.51%	17.89%	64.60%	-1.27	-2.2	6
1952-10-12	Degerfors	W 3-0	52.0	1682	1696	47.88%	19.24%	32.88%	+0.21	+7.5	9
1952-10-12	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-3	52.0	1696	1682	32.88%	19.24%	47.88%	-0.21	-7.5	10
1952-10-12	Malmo	W 2-1	65.4	1662	1754	36.98%	19.18%	43.84%	-0.36	+3.3	8
1952-10-12	@ GAIS	L 1-2	65.4	1754	1662	43.84%	19.18%	36.98%	+0.36	-3.3	7
1952-10-12	Djurgarden	L 1-2	59.7	1541	1645	35.41%	19.12%	45.46%	-0.45	-2.8	4
1952-10-12	@ IFK Malmo	W 2-1	59.7	1645	1541	45.46%	19.12%	35.41%	+0.45	+2.8	9
1952-10-12	Helsingborg	D 0-0	68.5	1618	1718	35.93%	19.14%	44.92%	-0.42	+0.2	7
1952-10-12	@ Jonkoping	D 0-0	68.5	1718	1618	44.92%	19.14%	35.93%	+0.42	-0.2	10
1952-10-12	Elfsborg	L 1-3	68.8	1756	1604	66.49%	17.57%	15.94%	+1.42	-8.3	11
1952-10-12	@ Norrkoping	W 3-1	68.8	1604	1756	15.94%	17.57%	66.49%	-1.42	+8.3	12
1952-10-12	Goteborg	W 2-1	61.1	1619	1646	46.15%	19.27%	34.59%	+0.11	+2.7	3
1952-10-12	@ Orebro	L 1-2	61.1	1646	1619	34.59%	19.27%	46.15%	-0.11	-2.7	6
1952-10-19	IFK Malmo	W 7-0	45.0	1688	1538	66.27%	17.61%	16.12%	+1.41	+8.8	12
1952-10-19	@ Degerfors	L 0-7	45.0	1538	1688	16.12%	17.61%	66.27%	-1.41	-8.8	4
1952-10-19	Orebro	W 5-1	52.6	1648	1622	52.97%	19.05%	27.98%	+0.50	+7.1	11
1952-10-19	@ Djurgarden	L 1-5	52.6	1622	1648	27.98%	19.05%	52.97%	-0.50	-7.1	3
1952-10-19	Jonkoping	L 0-2	57.2	1612	1618	48.94%	19.21%	31.85%	+0.27	-7.2	12
1952-10-19	@ Elfsborg	W 2-0	57.2	1618	1612	31.85%	19.21%	48.94%	-0.27	+7.2	9
1952-10-19	Norrkoping	L 1-5	56.2	1643	1748	35.31%	19.12%	45.57%	-0.45	-8.7	6
1952-10-19	@ Goteborg	W 5-1	56.2	1748	1643	45.57%	19.12%	35.31%	+0.45	+8.7	13
1952-10-19	GAIS	W 2-0	51.9	1718	1665	56.22%	18.84%	24.94%	+0.69	+4.1	12
1952-10-19	@ Helsingborg	L 0-2	51.9	1665	1718	24.94%	18.84%	56.22%	-0.69	-4.1	8
1952-10-19	AIK Stockholm	W 6-1	52.2	1751	1690	57.23%	18.76%	24.01%	+0.76	+7.7	9
1952-10-19	@ Malmo	L 1-6	52.2	1690	1751	24.01%	18.76%	57.23%	-0.76	-7.7	9
1952-11-02	Helsingborg	D 1-1	72.5	1682	1722	44.32%	19.28%	36.39%	+0.02	-0.1	10
1952-11-02	@ AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	72.5	1722	1682	36.39%	19.28%	44.32%	-0.02	+0.1	13
1952-11-02	Malmo	L 2-3	69.9	1697	1758	41.31%	19.27%	39.42%	-0.14	-3.0	12
1952-11-02	@ Degerfors	W 3-2	69.9	1758	1697	39.42%	19.27%	41.31%	+0.14	+3.0	11
1952-11-02	Elfsborg	D 1-1	71.2	1661	1605	56.62%	18.81%	24.57%	+0.72	-0.6	9
1952-11-02	@ GAIS	D 1-1	71.2	1605	1661	24.57%	18.81%	56.62%	-0.72	+0.6	13
1952-11-02	Orebro	D 0-0	64.9	1530	1615	37.94%	19.21%	42.85%	-0.31	+0.1	5
1952-11-02	@ IFK Malmo	D 0-0	64.9	1615	1530	42.85%	19.21%	37.94%	+0.31	-0.1	4
1952-11-02	Goteborg	L 0-1	60.7	1625	1635	48.48%	19.22%	32.30%	+0.24	-3.8	9
1952-11-02	@ Jonkoping	W 1-0	60.7	1635	1625	32.30%	19.22%	48.48%	-0.24	+3.8	8
1952-11-02	Djurgarden	D 2-2	77.9	1757	1655	61.62%	18.31%	20.07%	+1.05	-0.6	14
1952-11-02	@ Norrkoping	D 2-2	77.9	1655	1757	20.07%	18.31%	61.62%	-1.05	+0.6	12
1952-11-09	Norrkoping	W 1-0	61.3	1655	1756	35.84%	19.14%	45.02%	-0.43	+3.6	14
1952-11-09	@ Djurgarden	L 0-1	61.3	1756	1655	45.02%	19.14%	35.84%	+0.43	-3.6	14
1952-11-09	GAIS	L 1-6	56.1	1606	1661	42.23%	19.28%	38.49%	-0.09	-12.3	13
1952-11-09	@ Elfsborg	W 6-1	56.1	1661	1606	38.49%	19.28%	42.23%	+0.09	+12.3	11
1952-11-09	Jonkoping	D 1-1	71.0	1639	1622	51.89%	19.10%	29.01%	+0.43	-0.4	9
1952-11-09	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	71.0	1622	1639	29.01%	19.10%	51.89%	-0.43	+0.4	10
1952-11-09	AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	72.6	1722	1682	54.76%	18.95%	26.30%	+0.60	-0.5	14
1952-11-09	@ Helsingborg	D 1-1	72.6	1682	1722	26.30%	18.95%	54.76%	-0.60	+0.5	11
1952-11-09	Degerfors	W 4-3	67.8	1761	1694	57.91%	18.70%	23.38%	+0.80	+1.8	13
1952-11-09	@ Malmo	L 3-4	67.8	1694	1761	23.38%	18.70%	57.91%	-0.80	-1.8	12
1952-11-09	IFK Malmo	W 2-1	54.3	1615	1530	59.86%	18.51%	21.62%	+0.93	+1.8	6
1952-11-09	@ Orebro	L 1-2	54.3	1530	1615	21.62%	18.51%	59.86%	-0.93	-1.8	5
1952-11-16	Degerfors	L 1-2	65.3	1659	1692	45.24%	19.28%	35.48%	+0.07	-3.4	14
1952-11-16	@ Djurgarden	W 2-1	65.3	1692	1659	35.48%	19.28%	45.24%	-0.07	+3.4	14
1952-11-16	Helsingborg	L 1-2	60.9	1593	1721	32.23%	18.97%	48.81%	-0.63	-2.5	13
1952-11-16	@ Elfsborg	W 2-1	60.9	1721	1593	48.81%	18.97%	32.23%	+0.63	+2.5	16
1952-11-16	Malmo	L 1-4	57.0	1638	1763	32.62%	18.99%	48.39%	-0.61	-6.3	9
1952-11-16	@ Goteborg	W 4-1	57.0	1763	1638	48.39%	18.99%	32.62%	+0.61	+6.3	15
1952-11-16	Jonkoping	D 3-3	78.0	1528	1622	36.74%	19.17%	44.09%	-0.38	+0.1	6
1952-11-16	@ IFK Malmo	D 3-3	78.0	1622	1528	44.09%	19.17%	36.74%	+0.38	-0.1	11
1952-11-16	GAIS	W 5-0	48.0	1752	1673	59.28%	18.57%	22.15%	+0.89	+8.6	16
1952-11-16	@ Norrkoping	L 0-5	48.0	1673	1752	22.15%	18.57%	59.28%	-0.89	-8.6	11
1952-11-16	AIK Stockholm	W 2-0	55.7	1617	1682	40.72%	19.26%	40.02%	-0.17	+6.1	8
1952-11-16	@ Orebro	L 0-2	55.7	1682	1617	40.02%	19.26%	40.72%	+0.17	-6.1	11
1953-04-12	Orebro	L 0-1	63.5	1676	1623	56.31%	18.84%	24.85%	+0.70	-4.4	11
1953-04-12	@ AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	63.5	1623	1676	24.85%	18.84%	56.31%	-0.70	+4.3	10
1953-04-12	Djurgarden	L 1-2	68.1	1696	1656	54.74%	18.95%	26.32%	+0.60	-4.0	14
1953-04-12	@ Degerfors	W 2-1	68.1	1656	1696	26.32%	18.95%	54.74%	-0.60	+4.0	16
1953-04-12	Norrkoping	L 1-3	60.7	1664	1761	36.35%	19.16%	44.49%	-0.40	-4.9	11
1953-04-12	@ GAIS	W 3-1	60.7	1761	1664	44.49%	19.16%	36.35%	+0.40	+4.9	18
1953-04-12	Elfsborg	W 2-0	48.7	1724	1591	64.73%	17.87%	17.40%	+1.28	+2.9	18
1953-04-12	@ Helsingborg	L 0-2	48.7	1591	1724	17.40%	17.87%	64.73%	-1.28	-2.9	13
1953-04-12	IFK Malmo	D 1-1	68.8	1622	1528	60.80%	18.41%	20.80%	+1.00	-0.7	12
1953-04-12	@ Jonkoping	D 1-1	68.8	1528	1622	20.80%	18.41%	60.80%	-1.00	+0.7	7
1953-04-12	Goteborg	W 1-0	52.4	1770	1632	65.15%	17.80%	17.05%	+1.32	+1.5	17
1953-04-12	@ Malmo	L 0-1	52.4	1632	1770	17.05%	17.80%	65.15%	-1.32	-1.5	9
1953-04-19	AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	66.0	1660	1672	48.11%	19.23%	32.66%	+0.22	-3.5	16
1953-04-19	@ Djurgarden	W 2-1	66.0	1672	1660	32.66%	19.23%	48.11%	-0.22	+3.6	13
1953-04-19	Malmo	D 2-2	77.4	1588	1771	25.73%	18.42%	55.84%	-1.03	+0.4	14
1953-04-19	@ Elfsborg	D 2-2	77.4	1771	1588	55.84%	18.42%	25.73%	+1.03	-0.4	18
1953-04-19	Degerfors	W 2-0	55.8	1630	1692	41.32%	19.27%	39.41%	-0.14	+6.0	11
1953-04-19	@ Goteborg	L 0-2	55.8	1692	1630	39.41%	19.27%	41.32%	+0.14	-6.0	14
1953-04-19	Helsingborg	L 1-2	57.5	1529	1727	24.16%	18.24%	57.61%	-1.14	-2.0	7
1953-04-19	@ IFK Malmo	W 2-1	57.5	1727	1529	57.61%	18.24%	24.16%	+1.14	+2.0	20
1953-04-19	Jonkoping	L 3-4	79.8	1766	1621	65.81%	17.69%	16.50%	+1.37	-4.4	18
1953-04-19	@ Norrkoping	W 4-3	79.8	1621	1766	16.50%	17.69%	65.81%	-1.37	+4.4	14
1953-04-19	GAIS	L 1-3	62.1	1627	1659	45.39%	19.27%	35.34%	+0.07	-5.8	10
1953-04-19	@ Orebro	W 3-1	62.1	1659	1627	35.34%	19.27%	45.39%	-0.07	+5.9	13
1953-04-26	Malmo	D 1-1	72.8	1675	1771	36.56%	19.17%	44.28%	-0.39	+0.1	14
1953-04-26	@ AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	72.8	1771	1675	44.28%	19.17%	36.56%	+0.39	-0.1	19
1953-04-26	Helsingborg	W 2-0	56.5	1665	1729	40.99%	19.27%	39.74%	-0.16	+6.0	15
1953-04-26	@ GAIS	L 0-2	56.5	1729	1665	39.74%	19.27%	40.99%	+0.16	-6.1	20
1953-04-26	Degerfors	W 3-0	55.5	1527	1686	28.48%	18.69%	52.82%	-0.85	+11.2	9
1953-04-26	@ IFK Malmo	L 0-3	55.5	1686	1527	52.82%	18.69%	28.48%	+0.85	-11.2	14
1953-04-26	Elfsborg	W 3-0	47.8	1626	1588	54.41%	18.97%	26.62%	+0.58	+6.3	16
1953-04-26	@ Jonkoping	L 0-3	47.8	1588	1626	26.62%	18.97%	54.41%	-0.58	-6.3	14
1953-04-26	Goteborg	W 5-0	46.4	1762	1636	63.96%	17.99%	18.05%	+1.22	+7.1	20
1953-04-26	@ Norrkoping	L 0-5	46.4	1636	1762	18.05%	17.99%	63.96%	-1.22	-7.1	11
1953-04-26	Djurgarden	L 0-2	56.9	1621	1656	45.04%	19.28%	35.68%	+0.06	-6.7	10
1953-04-26	@ Orebro	W 2-0	56.9	1656	1621	35.68%	19.28%	45.04%	-0.06	+6.7	18
1953-05-03	AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	62.2	1674	1675	49.58%	19.19%	31.23%	+0.30	-3.9	14
1953-05-03	@ Degerfors	W 1-0	62.2	1675	1674	31.23%	19.19%	49.58%	-0.30	+3.9	16
1953-05-03	IFK Malmo	W 3-2	59.5	1663	1538	63.92%	18.00%	18.08%	+1.22	+1.4	20
1953-05-03	@ Djurgarden	L 2-3	59.5	1538	1663	18.08%	18.00%	63.92%	-1.22	-1.4	9
1953-05-03	Norrkoping	W 1-0	63.9	1582	1769	25.36%	18.38%	56.26%	-1.06	+4.3	16
1953-05-03	@ Elfsborg	L 0-1	63.9	1769	1582	56.26%	18.38%	25.36%	+1.06	-4.3	20
1953-05-03	Orebro	D 3-3	80.1	1629	1615	51.61%	19.11%	29.28%	+0.42	-0.2	12
1953-05-03	@ Goteborg	D 3-3	80.1	1615	1629	29.28%	19.11%	51.61%	-0.42	+0.2	11
1953-05-03	Jonkoping	D 2-2	77.4	1723	1632	60.49%	18.44%	21.06%	+0.97	-0.5	21
1953-05-03	@ Helsingborg	D 2-2	77.4	1632	1723	21.06%	18.44%	60.49%	-0.97	+0.5	17
1953-05-03	GAIS	W 6-2	54.3	1771	1671	61.36%	18.34%	20.30%	+1.04	+4.5	21
1953-05-03	@ Malmo	L 2-6	54.3	1671	1771	20.30%	18.34%	61.36%	-1.04	-4.5	15
1953-05-10	Goteborg	W 4-0	48.2	1664	1629	54.15%	18.98%	26.87%	+0.57	+8.3	22
1953-05-10	@ Djurgarden	L 0-4	48.2	1629	1664	26.87%	18.98%	54.15%	-0.57	-8.3	12
1953-05-10	Degerfors	W 3-1	58.6	1667	1671	49.20%	19.20%	31.59%	+0.28	+4.3	17
1953-05-10	@ GAIS	L 1-3	58.6	1671	1667	31.59%	19.20%	49.20%	-0.28	-4.3	14
1953-05-10	AIK Stockholm	W 3-0	55.0	1537	1679	30.40%	18.85%	50.75%	-0.73	+10.8	11
1953-05-10	@ IFK Malmo	L 0-3	55.0	1679	1537	50.75%	18.85%	30.40%	+0.73	-10.8	16
1953-05-10	Malmo	L 0-4	50.3	1632	1775	30.42%	18.85%	50.74%	-0.73	-9.2	17
1953-05-10	@ Jonkoping	W 4-0	50.3	1775	1632	50.74%	18.85%	30.42%	+0.73	+9.2	23
1953-05-10	Helsingborg	W 1-0	55.9	1764	1722	54.97%	18.93%	26.10%	+0.62	+2.2	22
1953-05-10	@ Norrkoping	L 0-1	55.9	1722	1764	26.10%	18.93%	54.97%	-0.62	-2.2	21
1953-05-10	Elfsborg	W 1-0	53.3	1615	1586	53.33%	19.03%	27.64%	+0.52	+2.4	13
1953-05-10	@ Orebro	L 0-1	53.3	1586	1615	27.64%	19.03%	53.33%	-0.52	-2.4	16
1953-05-14	GAIS	L 2-3	71.4	1669	1671	49.38%	19.20%	31.42%	+0.29	-3.5	16
1953-05-14	@ AIK Stockholm	W 3-2	71.4	1671	1669	31.42%	19.20%	49.38%	-0.29	+3.5	19
1953-05-14	Jonkoping	W 1-0	54.3	1666	1623	55.09%	18.92%	25.98%	+0.62	+2.2	16
1953-05-14	@ Degerfors	L 0-1	54.3	1623	1666	25.98%	18.92%	55.09%	-0.62	-2.2	17
1953-05-14	Djurgarden	L 0-1	57.3	1584	1672	37.48%	19.20%	43.33%	-0.34	-3.1	16
1953-05-14	@ Elfsborg	W 1-0	57.3	1672	1584	43.33%	19.20%	37.48%	+0.34	+3.1	24
1953-05-14	IFK Malmo	W 2-1	55.3	1621	1547	58.58%	18.64%	22.78%	+0.85	+1.9	14
1953-05-14	@ Goteborg	L 1-2	55.3	1547	1621	22.78%	18.64%	58.58%	-0.85	-1.9	11
1953-05-14	Orebro	D 0-0	68.8	1720	1617	61.74%	18.29%	19.97%	+1.06	-0.9	22
1953-05-14	@ Helsingborg	D 0-0	68.8	1617	1720	19.97%	18.29%	61.74%	-1.06	+0.8	14
1953-05-14	Norrkoping	W 6-0	51.3	1784	1767	51.98%	19.10%	28.93%	+0.44	+12.9	25
1953-05-14	@ Malmo	L 0-6	51.3	1767	1784	28.93%	19.10%	51.98%	-0.44	-12.9	22
1953-05-17	Jonkoping	L 1-2	67.9	1676	1621	56.45%	18.82%	24.73%	+0.71	-4.1	24
1953-05-17	@ Djurgarden	W 2-1	67.9	1621	1676	24.73%	18.82%	56.45%	-0.71	+4.1	19
1953-05-17	AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	61.8	1581	1665	38.08%	19.21%	42.71%	-0.31	-2.9	16
1953-05-17	@ Elfsborg	W 2-1	61.8	1665	1581	42.71%	19.21%	38.08%	+0.31	+2.9	18
1953-05-17	Degerfors	L 0-2	61.2	1719	1669	55.99%	18.86%	25.15%	+0.68	-8.2	22
1953-05-17	@ Helsingborg	W 2-0	61.2	1669	1719	25.15%	18.86%	55.99%	-0.68	+8.1	18
1953-05-17	Norrkoping	L 1-3	58.7	1618	1754	31.28%	18.91%	49.81%	-0.68	-4.3	14
1953-05-17	@ Orebro	W 3-1	58.7	1754	1618	49.81%	18.91%	31.28%	+0.68	+4.3	24
1953-05-20	Malmo	L 1-2	56.8	1546	1797	19.12%	17.43%	63.46%	-1.53	-1.6	11
1953-05-20	@ IFK Malmo	W 2-1	56.8	1797	1546	63.46%	17.43%	19.12%	+1.53	+1.6	27
1953-05-22	GAIS	W 2-1	62.6	1623	1675	42.65%	19.28%	38.07%	-0.07	+2.9	16
1953-05-22	@ Goteborg	L 1-2	62.6	1675	1623	38.07%	19.28%	42.65%	+0.07	-2.9	19
1953-05-25	Goteborg	W 4-0	47.9	1668	1626	55.03%	18.93%	26.05%	+0.62	+8.0	20
1953-05-25	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-4	47.9	1626	1668	26.05%	18.93%	55.03%	-0.62	-8.0	16
1953-05-25	Elfsborg	D 2-2	76.1	1677	1578	61.31%	18.35%	20.34%	+1.03	-0.6	19
1953-05-25	@ Degerfors	D 2-2	76.1	1578	1677	20.34%	18.35%	61.31%	-1.03	+0.6	17
1953-05-25	Djurgarden	W 3-2	66.0	1672	1671	49.73%	19.19%	31.08%	+0.31	+2.4	21
1953-05-25	@ GAIS	L 2-3	66.0	1671	1672	31.08%	19.19%	49.73%	-0.31	-2.4	24
1953-05-25	Orebro	W 2-1	59.1	1625	1614	51.18%	19.13%	29.69%	+0.39	+2.4	21
1953-05-25	@ Jonkoping	L 1-2	59.1	1614	1625	29.69%	19.13%	51.18%	-0.39	-2.4	14
1953-05-25	IFK Malmo	W 2-1	53.9	1758	1544	71.60%	16.46%	11.94%	+1.87	+1.0	26
1953-05-25	@ Norrkoping	L 1-2	53.9	1544	1758	11.94%	16.46%	71.60%	-1.87	-1.0	11
1953-05-26	Helsingborg	W 1-0	54.4	1799	1711	60.14%	18.48%	21.37%	+0.95	+1.9	29
1953-05-26	@ Malmo	L 0-1	54.4	1711	1799	21.37%	18.48%	60.14%	-0.95	-1.9	22
1953-05-29	Elfsborg	W 2-0	49.7	1618	1578	54.61%	18.95%	26.43%	+0.59	+4.3	18
1953-05-29	@ Goteborg	L 0-2	49.7	1578	1618	26.43%	18.95%	54.61%	-0.59	-4.3	17
1953-05-31	Helsingborg	L 1-5	58.8	1669	1709	44.31%	19.28%	36.41%	+0.02	-10.5	24
1953-05-31	@ Djurgarden	W 5-1	58.8	1709	1669	36.41%	19.28%	44.31%	-0.02	+10.5	24
1953-05-31	GAIS	W 4-1	59.6	1543	1674	31.86%	18.94%	49.20%	-0.65	+8.8	13
1953-05-31	@ IFK Malmo	L 1-4	59.6	1674	1543	49.20%	18.94%	31.86%	+0.65	-8.9	21
1953-05-31	AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	64.2	1627	1676	43.12%	19.28%	37.60%	-0.05	-3.2	21
1953-05-31	@ Jonkoping	W 2-1	64.2	1676	1627	37.60%	19.28%	43.12%	+0.05	+3.2	22
1953-05-31	Degerfors	D 2-2	77.9	1759	1676	59.62%	18.54%	21.84%	+0.92	-0.5	27
1953-05-31	@ Norrkoping	D 2-2	77.9	1676	1759	21.84%	18.54%	59.62%	-0.92	+0.5	20
1953-05-31	Malmo	L 0-2	52.0	1611	1801	25.08%	18.35%	56.57%	-1.07	-4.1	14
1953-05-31	@ Orebro	W 2-0	52.0	1801	1611	56.57%	18.35%	25.08%	+1.07	+4.1	31
1953-06-07	Norrkoping	W 4-3	73.4	1679	1758	38.80%	19.23%	41.98%	-0.27	+2.9	24
1953-06-07	@ AIK Stockholm	L 3-4	73.4	1758	1679	41.98%	19.23%	38.80%	+0.27	-2.9	27
1953-06-07	Orebro	L 1-2	68.2	1677	1607	58.14%	18.68%	23.18%	+0.82	-4.2	20
1953-06-07	@ Degerfors	W 2-1	68.2	1607	1677	23.18%	18.68%	58.14%	-0.82	+4.2	16
1953-06-07	IFK Malmo	D 0-0	64.4	1574	1552	52.57%	19.07%	28.36%	+0.47	-0.5	18
1953-06-07	@ Elfsborg	D 0-0	64.4	1552	1574	28.36%	19.07%	52.57%	-0.47	+0.5	14
1953-06-07	Jonkoping	W 4-2	60.7	1665	1624	54.83%	18.94%	26.23%	+0.61	+3.3	23
1953-06-07	@ GAIS	L 2-4	60.7	1624	1665	26.23%	18.94%	54.83%	-0.61	-3.3	21
1953-06-07	Goteborg	L 1-2	69.7	1720	1622	61.22%	18.36%	20.43%	+1.02	-4.4	24
1953-06-07	@ Helsingborg	W 2-1	69.7	1622	1720	20.43%	18.36%	61.22%	-1.02	+4.4	20
1953-06-07	Djurgarden	L 3-4	80.3	1805	1659	65.93%	17.67%	16.40%	+1.38	-4.4	31
1953-06-07	@ Malmo	W 4-3	80.3	1659	1805	16.40%	17.67%	65.93%	-1.38	+4.4	26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1952-08-10	13.75%	Elfsborg	1581	3	@ Malmo	1765	1
2	1952-10-12	15.94%	Elfsborg	1604	3	@ Norrkoping	1756	1
3	1953-06-07	16.40%	Djurgarden	1659	4	@ Malmo	1805	3
4	1953-04-19	16.50%	Jonkoping	1621	4	@ Norrkoping	1766	3
5	1953-06-07	20.43%	Goteborg	1622	2	@ Helsingborg	1720	1
6	1952-08-24	20.69%	Elfsborg	1587	3	@ AIK Stockholm	1682	1
7	1953-06-07	23.18%	Orebro	1607	2	@ Degerfors	1677	1
8	1953-05-17	24.73%	Jonkoping	1621	2	@ Djurgarden	1676	1
9	1953-04-12	24.85%	Orebro	1623	1	@ AIK Stockholm	1676	0
10	1953-05-17	25.15%	Degerfors	1669	2	@ Helsingborg	1719	0
11	1953-05-03	25.36%	@ Elfsborg	1582	1	Norrkoping	1769	0
12	1952-09-14	26.01%	Elfsborg	1597	1	@ Djurgarden	1640	0
13	1953-04-12	26.32%	Djurgarden	1656	2	@ Degerfors	1696	1
14	1952-08-17	28.02%	Jonkoping	1615	4	@ Orebro	1641	2
15	1953-04-26	28.48%	@ IFK Malmo	1527	3	Degerfors	1686	0
16	1952-09-28	28.65%	Djurgarden	1636	4	@ Goteborg	1656	1
17	1952-08-22	28.98%	Goteborg	1662	4	@ GAIS	1680	2
18	1953-05-10	30.40%	@ IFK Malmo	1537	3	AIK Stockholm	1679	0
19	1952-09-14	30.99%	AIK Stockholm	1676	2	@ GAIS	1677	1
20	1953-05-03	31.23%	AIK Stockholm	1675	1	@ Degerfors	1674	0
21	1953-05-14	31.42%	GAIS	1671	3	@ AIK Stockholm	1669	2
22	1952-10-19	31.85%	Jonkoping	1618	2	@ Elfsborg	1612	0
23	1953-05-31	31.86%	@ IFK Malmo	1543	4	GAIS	1674	1
24	1952-11-02	32.30%	Goteborg	1635	1	@ Jonkoping	1625	0
25	1952-09-14	32.49%	@ IFK Malmo	1537	2	Goteborg	1663	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1953-05-14	12.91	@ Malmo	6	1784	51.98%	Norrkoping	0	1767	28.93%	19.10%
2	1952-11-09	12.32	GAIS	6	1661	38.49%	@ Elfsborg	1	1606	42.23%	19.28%
3	1953-04-26	11.18	@ IFK Malmo	3	1527	28.48%	Degerfors	0	1686	52.82%	18.69%
4	1952-09-28	11.11	@ Degerfors	5	1685	51.23%	GAIS	0	1673	29.64%	19.13%
5	1952-08-17	10.97	GAIS	5	1669	33.99%	@ Djurgarden	1	1646	46.75%	19.26%
6	1953-05-10	10.79	@ IFK Malmo	3	1537	30.40%	AIK Stockholm	0	1679	50.75%	18.85%
7	1953-05-31	10.47	Helsingborg	5	1709	36.41%	@ Djurgarden	1	1669	44.31%	19.28%
8	1952-09-28	9.37	Djurgarden	4	1636	28.65%	@ Goteborg	1	1656	52.26%	19.09%
9	1953-05-10	9.17	Malmo	4	1775	50.74%	@ Jonkoping	0	1632	30.42%	18.85%
10	1952-08-10	9.16	@ Degerfors	4	1675	50.63%	Goteborg	0	1668	30.22%	19.15%
11	1953-05-31	8.86	@ IFK Malmo	4	1543	31.86%	GAIS	1	1674	49.20%	18.94%
12	1952-10-19	8.76	@ Degerfors	7	1688	66.27%	IFK Malmo	0	1538	16.12%	17.61%
13	1952-10-19	8.68	Norrkoping	5	1748	45.57%	@ Goteborg	1	1643	35.31%	19.12%
14	1952-08-10	8.61	Elfsborg	3	1581	13.75%	@ Malmo	1	1765	69.23%	17.03%
15	1952-11-16	8.59	@ Norrkoping	5	1752	59.28%	GAIS	0	1673	22.15%	18.57%
16	1952-09-07	8.58	@ Elfsborg	6	1588	38.29%	Goteborg	2	1671	42.49%	19.22%
17	1952-08-24	8.46	Helsingborg	4	1710	34.17%	@ Degerfors	1	1687	46.57%	19.26%
18	1952-10-12	8.29	Elfsborg	3	1604	15.94%	@ Norrkoping	1	1756	66.49%	17.57%
19	1953-05-10	8.27	@ Djurgarden	4	1664	54.15%	Goteborg	0	1629	26.87%	18.98%
20	1953-05-17	8.15	Degerfors	2	1669	25.15%	@ Helsingborg	0	1719	55.99%	18.86%
21	1953-05-25	8.05	@ AIK Stockholm	4	1668	55.03%	Goteborg	0	1626	26.05%	18.93%
22	1952-10-19	7.65	@ Malmo	6	1751	57.23%	AIK Stockholm	1	1690	24.01%	18.76%
23	1952-08-24	7.63	Elfsborg	3	1587	20.69%	@ AIK Stockholm	1	1682	60.92%	18.39%
24	1952-10-12	7.53	@ AIK Stockholm	3	1682	47.88%	Degerfors	0	1696	32.88%	19.24%
25	1952-10-19	7.22	Jonkoping	2	1618	31.85%	@ Elfsborg	0	1612	48.94%	19.21%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1953-06-07	80.3	Djurgarden	4	1659	16.40%	@ Malmo	3	1805	65.93%	17.67%
2	1953-05-03	80.1	@ Goteborg	3	1629	51.61%	Orebro	3	1615	29.28%	19.11%
3	1953-04-19	79.8	Jonkoping	4	1621	16.50%	@ Norrkoping	3	1766	65.81%	17.69%
4	1952-11-16	78.0	@ IFK Malmo	3	1528	36.74%	Jonkoping	3	1622	44.09%	19.17%
5	1952-11-02	77.9	@ Norrkoping	2	1757	61.62%	Djurgarden	2	1655	20.07%	18.31%
6	1953-05-31	77.9	@ Norrkoping	2	1759	59.62%	Degerfors	2	1676	21.84%	18.54%
7	1953-04-19	77.4	@ Elfsborg	2	1588	25.73%	Malmo	2	1771	55.84%	18.42%
8	1953-05-03	77.4	@ Helsingborg	2	1723	60.49%	Jonkoping	2	1632	21.06%	18.44%
9	1952-09-14	76.6	@ Jonkoping	2	1620	40.87%	Degerfors	2	1685	39.87%	19.26%
10	1953-05-25	76.1	@ Degerfors	2	1677	61.31%	Elfsborg	2	1578	20.34%	18.35%
11	1953-06-07	73.4	@ AIK Stockholm	4	1679	38.80%	Norrkoping	3	1758	41.98%	19.23%
12	1952-08-15	72.9	@ Helsingborg	1	1710	43.47%	Malmo	1	1756	37.25%	19.28%
13	1953-04-26	72.8	@ AIK Stockholm	1	1675	36.56%	Malmo	1	1771	44.28%	19.17%
14	1952-09-07	72.7	@ Degerfors	1	1685	40.18%	Norrkoping	1	1754	40.57%	19.26%
15	1952-11-09	72.6	@ Helsingborg	1	1722	54.76%	AIK Stockholm	1	1682	26.30%	18.95%
16	1952-11-02	72.5	@ AIK Stockholm	1	1682	44.32%	Helsingborg	1	1722	36.39%	19.28%
17	1952-09-07	72.3	@ Helsingborg	1	1716	58.95%	Djurgarden	1	1639	22.45%	18.61%
18	1952-09-14	72.0	@ Orebro	1	1622	36.84%	Helsingborg	1	1715	43.98%	19.18%
19	1953-05-14	71.4	GAIS	3	1671	31.42%	@ AIK Stockholm	2	1669	49.38%	19.20%
20	1952-11-02	71.2	@ GAIS	1	1661	56.62%	Elfsborg	1	1605	24.57%	18.81%
21	1952-08-31	71.1	@ Jonkoping	4	1621	42.55%	GAIS	3	1674	38.17%	19.28%
22	1952-11-09	71.0	@ Goteborg	1	1639	51.89%	Jonkoping	1	1622	29.01%	19.10%
23	1952-08-24	70.9	@ Jonkoping	1	1621	47.85%	Djurgarden	1	1635	32.91%	19.24%
24	1952-11-02	69.9	Malmo	3	1758	39.42%	@ Degerfors	2	1697	41.31%	19.27%
25	1953-06-07	69.7	Goteborg	2	1622	20.43%	@ Helsingborg	1	1720	61.22%	18.36%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1952-09-07	43.8	@ GAIS	4	1671	64.31%	IFK Malmo	0	1542	17.76%	17.94%
2	1952-10-19	45.0	@ Degerfors	7	1688	66.27%	IFK Malmo	0	1538	16.12%	17.61%
3	1953-04-26	46.4	@ Norrkoping	5	1762	63.96%	Goteborg	0	1636	18.05%	17.99%
4	1952-08-24	47.6	@ Norrkoping	3	1747	62.76%	Orebro	0	1635	19.08%	18.16%
5	1953-04-26	47.8	@ Jonkoping	3	1626	54.41%	Elfsborg	0	1588	26.62%	18.97%
6	1953-05-25	47.9	@ AIK Stockholm	4	1668	55.03%	Goteborg	0	1626	26.05%	18.93%
7	1952-11-16	48.0	@ Norrkoping	5	1752	59.28%	GAIS	0	1673	22.15%	18.57%
8	1952-08-17	48.1	Norrkoping	3	1742	57.51%	@ IFK Malmo	0	1544	24.24%	18.25%
9	1952-08-08	48.2	@ Helsingborg	5	1706	66.97%	IFK Malmo	1	1549	15.55%	17.48%
10	1953-05-10	48.2	@ Djurgarden	4	1664	54.15%	Goteborg	0	1629	26.87%	18.98%
11	1953-04-12	48.7	@ Helsingborg	2	1724	64.73%	Elfsborg	0	1591	17.40%	17.87%
12	1952-08-22	48.9	@ Malmo	4	1757	71.89%	IFK Malmo	1	1539	11.73%	16.39%
13	1953-05-29	49.7	@ Goteborg	2	1618	54.61%	Elfsborg	0	1578	26.43%	18.95%
14	1952-08-10	49.8	@ Degerfors	4	1675	50.63%	Goteborg	0	1668	30.22%	19.15%
15	1952-09-28	49.9	@ Degerfors	5	1685	51.23%	GAIS	0	1673	29.64%	19.13%
16	1953-05-10	50.3	Malmo	4	1775	50.74%	@ Jonkoping	0	1632	30.42%	18.85%
17	1953-05-14	51.3	@ Malmo	6	1784	51.98%	Norrkoping	0	1767	28.93%	19.10%
18	1952-08-31	51.8	@ IFK Malmo	2	1536	41.77%	Elfsborg	0	1594	38.95%	19.27%
19	1952-10-19	51.9	@ Helsingborg	2	1718	56.22%	GAIS	0	1665	24.94%	18.84%
20	1952-10-12	52.0	@ AIK Stockholm	3	1682	47.88%	Degerfors	0	1696	32.88%	19.24%
21	1953-05-31	52.0	Malmo	2	1801	56.57%	@ Orebro	0	1611	25.08%	18.35%
22	1952-09-28	52.2	@ AIK Stockholm	3	1679	64.97%	IFK Malmo	1	1544	17.20%	17.83%
23	1952-10-19	52.2	@ Malmo	6	1751	57.23%	AIK Stockholm	1	1690	24.01%	18.76%
24	1953-04-12	52.4	@ Malmo	1	1770	65.15%	Goteborg	0	1632	17.05%	17.80%
25	1952-10-19	52.6	@ Djurgarden	5	1648	52.97%	Orebro	1	1622	27.98%	19.05%