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1961 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Elfsborg

31 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Elfsborg

6.31 points above expected

31 points · 24.69 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Norrkoping

5.98 points below expected

26 points · 31.98 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Elfsborg 22 13 5 4 31 54 37 +17 24.69 +6.31
2 Norrkoping 22 11 4 7 26 50 30 +20 31.98 -5.98
3 Goteborg 22 11 4 7 26 62 47 +15 21.89 +4.11
4 Orebro 22 8 8 6 24 39 33 +6 22.77 +1.23
5 Malmo 22 10 4 8 24 31 34 -3 20.02 +3.98
6 IFK Malmo 22 8 6 8 22 30 26 +4 25.58 -3.58
7 Orgryte 22 8 5 9 21 41 39 +2 20.14 +0.86
8 Helsingborg 22 7 6 9 20 44 44 0 19.46 +0.54
9 Degerfors 22 8 4 10 20 27 38 -11 18.34 +1.66
10 Hammarby 22 7 5 10 19 33 52 -19 20.85 -1.85
11 AIK Stockholm 22 6 6 10 18 29 42 -13 22.81 -4.81
12 Sandvikens IF 22 5 3 14 13 29 47 -18 15.47 -2.47

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Elfsborg 31 24.69 +6.31
2 Goteborg 26 21.89 +4.11
3 Malmo 24 20.02 +3.98
4 Degerfors 20 18.34 +1.66
5 Orebro 24 22.77 +1.23

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Norrkoping 26 31.98 -5.98
2 AIK Stockholm 18 22.81 -4.81
3 IFK Malmo 22 25.58 -3.58
4 Sandvikens IF 13 15.47 -2.47
5 Hammarby 19 20.85 -1.85

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Degerfors 5 Sep 3 – Oct 1 1 in 1,734
2 Helsingborg 4 Aug 17 – Sep 3 1 in 49
3 Goteborg 4 Jun 7 – Aug 13 1 in 28
4 Malmo 3 Apr 30 – May 11 1 in 25
5 Orgryte 3 Apr 27 – May 11 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Malmo 5 May 14 – Jun 11 1 in 92
2 AIK Stockholm 5 Jun 11 – Aug 20 1 in 64
3 Elfsborg 3 Sep 10 – Sep 24 1 in 59
4 Goteborg 3 Sep 24 – Oct 8 1 in 18
5 Hammarby 3 Apr 16 – Apr 30 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Malmo 7 Sep 3 – Oct 15 1 in 95
2 Degerfors 5 Sep 3 – Oct 1 1 in 51
3 Orebro 6 Jun 7 – Aug 20 1 in 31
4 Elfsborg 9 Apr 16 – Jun 7 1 in 30
5 Helsingborg 6 May 14 – Aug 6 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orgryte 9 Aug 17 – Oct 8 1 in 96
2 IFK Malmo 6 Jun 11 – Aug 27 1 in 27
3 AIK Stockholm 6 Apr 27 – Jun 1 1 in 24
4 Helsingborg 8 Apr 16 – Jun 1 1 in 12
5 Orebro 6 Aug 6 – Sep 3 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Elfsborg 1681 31 -2 5 6.1 -1.1
Norrkoping 1792 26 -6 5 7.2 -2.2
Goteborg 1626 26 -13 3 4.9 -1.9
Malmo 1593 24 +25 8 4.0 +4.0
Orebro 1653 24 +19 8 5.7 +2.3
IFK Malmo 1673 22 +6 6 6.2 -0.2
Orgryte 1597 21 -4 4 4.8 -0.8
Degerfors 1573 20 +25 8 3.5 +4.5
Helsingborg 1586 20 -23 1 4.1 -3.1
Hammarby 1581 19 -6 5 4.2 +0.8
AIK Stockholm 1621 18 -15 4 5.7 -1.7
Sandvikens IF 1510 13 -6 3 3.5 -0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AS DEG ELF GOT HAM HEL IM MAL NOR ORE ORG SI
AIK Stockholm —
0-1-1
3.31
0-0-2
2.58
0-0-2
2.79
2-0-0
3.06
0-2-0
3.30
1-1-0
2.46
0-0-2
3.25
0-1-1
1.58
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
3.21
2-0-0
3.71
Degerfors
1-1-0
2.21
—
1-1-0
2.02
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.36
0-0-2
2.54
1-1-0
1.91
0-1-1
2.51
1-0-1
1.25
0-0-2
2.23
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
3.04
Elfsborg
2-0-0
2.94
0-1-1
3.51
—
1-1-0
2.98
0-1-1
3.39
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
2.62
2-0-0
3.33
1-0-1
1.77
1-1-0
3.00
1-1-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.80
Goteborg
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
3.28
0-1-1
2.54
—
1-1-0
2.71
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.91
0-0-2
1.59
1-0-1
2.65
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
3.77
Hammarby
0-0-2
2.46
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
2.14
0-1-1
2.81
—
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
2.22
0-0-2
2.89
2-0-0
1.36
1-1-0
2.33
1-1-0
2.70
0-1-1
3.41
Helsingborg
0-2-0
2.23
2-0-0
2.98
0-0-2
2.17
0-1-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.75
—
1-1-0
1.95
0-1-1
2.84
0-0-2
1.35
0-0-2
2.25
1-1-0
2.37
2-0-0
3.28
IFK Malmo
0-1-1
3.06
0-1-1
3.63
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
3.30
0-1-1
3.59
—
1-0-1
3.55
1-1-0
1.81
0-2-0
3.07
0-0-2
3.49
2-0-0
3.96
Malmo
2-0-0
2.28
1-1-0
3.00
0-0-2
2.19
1-0-1
2.61
2-0-0
2.63
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
1.98
—
1-1-0
1.37
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
3.26
Norrkoping
1-1-0
3.98
1-0-1
4.35
1-0-1
3.77
2-0-0
3.97
0-0-2
4.22
2-0-0
4.23
0-1-1
3.73
0-1-1
4.20
—
1-1-0
3.97
1-0-1
4.13
2-0-0
4.56
Orebro
1-0-1
2.80
2-0-0
3.29
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.87
0-1-1
3.19
2-0-0
3.28
0-2-0
2.45
1-1-0
3.13
0-1-1
1.59
—
1-0-1
3.11
0-2-0
3.71
Orgryte
1-1-0
2.31
1-0-1
3.16
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.55
0-1-1
2.82
0-1-1
3.15
2-0-0
2.04
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
1.44
1-0-1
2.42
—
1-0-1
3.39
Sandvikens IF
0-0-2
1.83
1-0-1
2.48
0-0-2
1.75
0-0-2
1.78
1-1-0
2.12
0-0-2
2.24
0-0-2
1.59
2-0-0
2.26
0-0-2
1.06
0-2-0
1.83
1-0-1
2.14
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.51 +2.9
Allowed 0.20 -2.7
Differential 0.75 +3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.30%6.44%5.68%2.27%1.14%1.52%22.35%
16.44%7.58%6.06%3.79%1.89%1.89%27.65%
25.68%6.06%5.30%2.27%2.65%1.14%23.11%
32.27%3.79%2.27%3.03%0.38%1.52%13.26%
41.14%1.89%2.65%0.38%0.76%—6.82%
5+1.52%1.89%1.14%1.52%—0.76%6.82%
Total22.35%27.65%23.11%13.26%6.82%6.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 1.78 +0.00
SD 1.53 1.53 2.12
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%9.09%——4.55%27.27%
14.55%13.64%9.09%—9.09%—36.36%
24.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%36.36%22.73%—13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.91 -0.59
SD 1.25 1.80 2.26
CV 0.95 0.94 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%40.91%
19.09%9.09%————18.18%
213.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
3—4.55%——4.55%4.55%13.64%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%22.73%4.55%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.73 -0.50
SD 1.27 1.72 2.09
CV 1.03 1.00 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
14.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
24.55%13.64%————18.18%
313.64%—9.09%4.55%——27.27%
4—9.09%——4.55%—13.64%
5+——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
Total22.73%31.82%22.73%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 1.68 +0.77
SD 1.41 1.52 1.90
CV 0.57 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
14.55%——4.55%——9.09%
24.55%——13.64%—4.55%22.73%
39.09%4.55%4.55%13.64%——31.82%
4—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
5+—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
Total18.18%18.18%18.18%36.36%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.82 2.14 +0.68
SD 1.65 1.58 2.21
CV 0.59 0.74 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%27.27%
19.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
24.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4——4.55%4.55%4.55%—13.64%
5+———————
Total18.18%13.64%27.27%13.64%18.18%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.36 -0.86
SD 1.37 1.81 2.19
CV 0.91 0.77 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
1—9.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%—36.36%
2—9.09%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
3———4.55%——4.55%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+4.55%——4.55%——9.09%
Total13.64%22.73%27.27%22.73%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.00 +0.00
SD 1.66 1.27 2.33
CV 0.83 0.64 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%—4.55%——27.27%
118.18%4.55%9.09%9.09%——40.91%
24.55%—9.09%———13.64%
3—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total45.45%18.18%18.18%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.18 +0.18
SD 1.36 1.40 1.92
CV 1.00 1.19 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
118.18%9.09%—9.09%—4.55%40.91%
29.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total31.82%22.73%18.18%18.18%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.55 -0.14
SD 1.37 1.47 2.01
CV 0.97 0.95 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
1—4.55%————4.55%
2—9.09%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
Total18.18%45.45%22.73%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.36 +0.91
SD 2.05 1.05 2.35
CV 0.90 0.77 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%———13.64%
14.55%13.64%9.09%——4.55%31.82%
213.64%4.55%9.09%9.09%——36.36%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total27.27%22.73%31.82%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.50 +0.27
SD 1.38 1.30 1.70
CV 0.78 0.87 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
14.55%4.55%13.64%—4.55%—27.27%
24.55%13.64%4.55%—9.09%—31.82%
3———4.55%—4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
Total22.73%27.27%22.73%9.09%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.77 +0.09
SD 1.55 1.51 1.97
CV 0.83 0.85 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—18.18%9.09%——4.55%31.82%
1—9.09%9.09%4.55%—4.55%27.27%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
3—9.09%———4.55%13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total4.55%45.45%22.73%9.09%—18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.14 -0.82
SD 1.21 1.67 2.02
CV 0.92 0.78 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Norrkoping 1792 26 31.98 -5.98 6.0% 25 26 30 32 34 36 39
Elfsborg 1681 31 24.69 +6.31 97.0% 17 19 22 24 27 31 33
IFK Malmo 1673 22 25.58 -3.58 21.0% 17 19 23 26 28 32 34
Orebro 1653 24 22.77 +1.23 68.0% 15 15 19 23 26 30 33
Goteborg 1626 26 21.89 +4.11 92.0% 13 15 19 22 24 27 30
AIK Stockholm 1621 18 22.81 -4.81 15.0% 11 16 20 23 26 29 33
Orgryte 1597 21 20.14 +0.86 60.0% 11 14 17 20 24 27 28
Malmo 1593 24 20.02 +3.98 88.0% 12 14 18 19 23 26 28
Helsingborg 1586 20 19.46 +0.54 57.0% 8 13 16 20 22 25 27
Hammarby 1581 19 20.85 -1.85 37.0% 13 14 18 21 23 27 31
Degerfors 1573 20 18.34 +1.66 76.0% 8 12 16 18 20 26 29
Sandvikens IF 1510 13 15.47 -2.47 32.0% 8 8 12 15 18 22 27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+4.55%
No Edge
40.91%22.73%36.36%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 15.80 Elo pts.
244 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.28 goals
Neutral
-2+0.06+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.6
One-Team Race
134510
Champion Preseason Odds
9%
Elfsborg, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.12 * Some Luck: 3.12 to 4.68 * Lucky: 4.68 to 6.23 * Wild Swing: 6.23 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.7 * Close: 1.7 to 2.56 * Off: 2.56 to 3.41 * Way Off: 3.41 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.64 points
Some Luck
03.9010
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.50
Close
02.135
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Elfsborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
Norrkoping
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.140.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 70.90
1.12
Coin-Flip Parity
0.951.41.652.75
Interquartile Edge
60%
Even
50%63%71.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
84%
Clear Edge
50%80%100%
Close Games
Expected
53%
Some Drama
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.66
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.27
Very Even
00.30.40.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.05
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.28
Weak Carryover
00.380.530.691
Upset Rate
Expected
38%
Very Upset-Prone
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
34%
Very Shaky
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.32
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.34
Overconfident
0.1400141.001.85999
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.127
Well Within Noise
00.1440.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Elfsborg9.00%16.00%18.00%18.00%9.00%14.00%10.00%2.00%4.00%———
Norrkoping79.00%16.00%3.00%2.00%————————
Goteborg—5.00%14.00%9.00%11.00%13.00%18.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%
Orebro5.00%15.00%6.00%9.00%13.00%8.00%10.00%11.00%7.00%7.00%7.00%2.00%
Malmo—2.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%13.00%12.00%11.00%14.00%14.00%13.00%4.00%
IFK Malmo5.00%24.00%19.00%16.00%8.00%9.00%7.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%——
Orgryte—4.00%9.00%12.00%5.00%7.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%15.00%7.00%12.00%
Helsingborg——5.00%4.00%13.00%10.00%11.00%9.00%10.00%12.00%15.00%11.00%
Degerfors—2.00%4.00%2.00%4.00%5.00%5.00%11.00%18.00%15.00%18.00%16.00%
Hammarby—3.00%3.00%9.00%16.00%13.00%8.00%14.00%6.00%13.00%12.00%3.00%
AIK Stockholm2.00%11.00%14.00%11.00%14.00%8.00%6.00%11.00%11.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%
Sandvikens IF—2.00%—1.00%2.00%—6.00%5.00%7.00%12.00%17.00%48.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Elfsborg 100% —
IFK Malmo 100% —
Norrkoping 100% —
Goteborg 93.00% 7.00%
AIK Stockholm 92.00% 8.00%
Orebro 91.00% 9.00%
Hammarby 85.00% 15.00%
Malmo 83.00% 17.00%
Orgryte 81.00% 19.00%
Helsingborg 74.00% 26.00%
Degerfors 66.00% 34.00%
Sandvikens IF 35.00% 65.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1961-04-16 Degerfors D 1-169.8 1660 1587 51.45% 23.49% 25.06%+0.36 -0.6 1
1961-04-16 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-169.8 1587 1660 25.06% 23.49% 51.45%-0.36 +0.6 1
1961-04-16 Sandvikens IF W 5-253.2 1632 1525 55.48% 22.96% 21.56%+0.50 +5.0 2
1961-04-16 @ Elfsborg L 2-553.2 1525 1632 21.56% 22.96% 55.48%-0.50 -5.0 0
1961-04-16 Hammarby W 7-155.2 1576 1633 33.85% 23.99% 42.16%-0.17 +18.6 2
1961-04-16 @ Goteborg L 1-755.2 1633 1576 42.16% 23.99% 33.85%+0.17 -18.6 0
1961-04-16 Orgryte L 0-163.7 1677 1580 54.26% 23.14% 22.60%+0.46 -5.3 0
1961-04-16 @ IFK Malmo W 1-063.7 1580 1677 22.60% 23.14% 54.26%-0.46 +5.3 2
1961-04-16 Malmo L 0-168.1 1807 1592 66.26% 20.45% 13.29%+0.95 -6.4 0
1961-04-16 @ Norrkoping W 1-068.1 1592 1807 13.29% 20.45% 66.26%-0.95 +6.4 2
1961-04-16 Helsingborg W 3-155.4 1641 1574 50.72% 23.57% 25.72%+0.34 +4.8 2
1961-04-16 @ Orebro L 1-355.4 1574 1641 25.72% 23.57% 50.72%-0.34 -4.8 0
1961-04-23 Orebro L 0-157.4 1588 1646 33.78% 23.99% 42.23%-0.17 -3.6 1
1961-04-23 @ Degerfors W 1-057.4 1646 1588 42.23% 23.99% 33.78%+0.17 +3.6 4
1961-04-23 IFK Malmo L 0-550.8 1614 1672 33.87% 23.99% 42.14%-0.17 -16.0 0
1961-04-23 @ Hammarby W 5-050.8 1672 1614 42.14% 23.99% 33.87%+0.17 +16.0 2
1961-04-23 Norrkoping L 1-257.0 1569 1801 16.05% 21.02% 62.93%-0.88 -1.8 0
1961-04-23 @ Helsingborg W 2-157.0 1801 1569 62.93% 21.02% 16.05%+0.88 +1.8 2
1961-04-23 Goteborg L 0-352.9 1598 1594 42.42% 24.07% 33.51%+0.08 -11.9 2
1961-04-23 @ Malmo W 3-052.9 1594 1598 33.51% 24.07% 42.42%-0.08 +11.9 4
1961-04-23 Elfsborg L 1-261.5 1586 1637 34.60% 24.02% 41.37%-0.15 -3.5 2
1961-04-23 @ Orgryte W 2-161.5 1637 1586 41.37% 24.02% 34.60%+0.15 +3.5 4
1961-04-23 AIK Stockholm L 0-153.1 1520 1660 24.03% 23.04% 52.92%-0.51 -2.7 0
1961-04-23 @ Sandvikens IF W 1-053.1 1660 1520 52.92% 23.04% 24.03%+0.51 +2.7 3
1961-04-27 Orgryte L 1-267.0 1662 1582 52.33% 23.39% 24.28%+0.39 -4.9 3
1961-04-27 @ AIK Stockholm W 2-167.0 1582 1662 24.28% 23.39% 52.33%-0.39 +4.9 4
1961-04-27 Degerfors W 3-045.8 1802 1584 66.52% 20.37% 13.12%+0.96 +4.2 4
1961-04-27 @ Norrkoping L 0-345.8 1584 1802 13.12% 20.37% 66.52%-0.96 -4.2 1
1961-04-28 Helsingborg D 3-376.5 1606 1567 47.11% 23.86% 29.02%+0.22 -0.2 5
1961-04-28 @ Goteborg D 3-376.5 1567 1606 29.02% 23.86% 47.11%-0.22 +0.2 1
1961-04-30 IFK Malmo W 2-164.9 1641 1688 35.29% 24.05% 40.66%-0.13 +3.9 6
1961-04-30 @ Elfsborg L 1-264.9 1688 1641 40.66% 24.05% 35.29%+0.13 -3.9 2
1961-04-30 Hammarby W 1-057.0 1586 1598 40.18% 24.10% 35.72%+0.01 +3.8 4
1961-04-30 @ Malmo L 0-157.0 1598 1586 35.72% 24.10% 40.18%-0.01 -3.8 0
1961-04-30 Sandvikens IF D 1-168.3 1649 1517 58.18% 22.49% 19.33%+0.61 -0.9 5
1961-04-30 @ Orebro D 1-168.3 1517 1649 19.33% 22.49% 58.18%-0.61 +0.9 1
1961-05-07 Goteborg L 0-157.8 1580 1606 38.24% 24.10% 37.66%-0.04 -4.0 1
1961-05-07 @ Degerfors W 1-057.8 1606 1580 37.66% 24.10% 38.24%+0.04 +4.0 7
1961-05-07 Elfsborg D 4-480.5 1595 1645 34.82% 24.03% 41.15%-0.14 +0.1 1
1961-05-07 @ Hammarby D 4-480.5 1645 1595 41.15% 24.03% 34.82%+0.14 -0.1 7
1961-05-07 Malmo L 1-358.1 1568 1590 38.72% 24.10% 37.17%-0.03 -6.6 1
1961-05-07 @ Helsingborg W 3-158.1 1590 1568 37.17% 24.10% 38.72%+0.03 +6.6 6
1961-05-07 AIK Stockholm D 0-067.6 1684 1658 45.45% 23.96% 30.59%+0.17 -0.4 3
1961-05-07 @ IFK Malmo D 0-067.6 1658 1684 30.59% 23.96% 45.45%-0.17 +0.3 4
1961-05-07 Orebro W 2-164.1 1587 1648 33.31% 23.97% 42.72%-0.19 +4.1 6
1961-05-07 @ Orgryte L 1-264.1 1648 1587 42.72% 23.97% 33.31%+0.19 -4.1 5
1961-05-07 Norrkoping L 3-654.4 1518 1807 12.46% 19.40% 68.15%-1.12 -2.7 1
1961-05-07 @ Sandvikens IF W 6-354.4 1807 1518 68.15% 19.40% 12.46%+1.12 +2.7 6
1961-05-11 Malmo L 0-162.6 1658 1597 50.01% 23.63% 26.36%+0.32 -5.0 4
1961-05-11 @ AIK Stockholm W 1-062.6 1597 1658 26.36% 23.63% 50.01%-0.32 +5.0 8
1961-05-11 Helsingborg W 3-047.4 1645 1561 52.75% 23.34% 23.91%+0.41 +7.5 9
1961-05-11 @ Elfsborg L 0-347.4 1561 1645 23.91% 23.34% 52.75%-0.41 -7.5 1
1961-05-11 Degerfors D 2-274.5 1683 1576 55.49% 22.96% 21.55%+0.50 -0.6 4
1961-05-11 @ IFK Malmo D 2-274.5 1576 1683 21.55% 22.96% 55.49%-0.50 +0.6 2
1961-05-11 Hammarby L 0-168.1 1809 1595 66.20% 20.47% 13.33%+0.94 -6.4 6
1961-05-11 @ Norrkoping W 1-068.1 1595 1809 13.33% 20.47% 66.20%-0.94 +6.4 3
1961-05-11 Goteborg L 0-258.1 1644 1610 46.56% 23.90% 29.54%+0.21 -8.8 5
1961-05-11 @ Orebro W 2-058.1 1610 1644 29.54% 23.90% 46.56%-0.21 +8.8 9
1961-05-11 Sandvikens IF W 2-155.3 1591 1516 51.75% 23.46% 24.79%+0.37 +2.7 8
1961-05-11 @ Orgryte L 1-255.3 1516 1591 24.79% 23.46% 51.75%-0.37 -2.7 1
1961-05-14 Elfsborg D 1-169.3 1577 1652 31.44% 23.86% 44.69%-0.25 +0.3 3
1961-05-14 @ Degerfors D 1-169.3 1652 1577 44.69% 23.86% 31.44%+0.25 -0.3 10
1961-05-14 Norrkoping L 2-363.2 1619 1803 19.78% 22.17% 58.05%-0.69 -2.0 9
1961-05-14 @ Goteborg W 3-263.2 1803 1619 58.05% 22.17% 19.78%+0.69 +2.0 8
1961-05-14 Orgryte D 2-272.9 1601 1594 42.89% 24.06% 33.05%+0.09 -0.1 4
1961-05-14 @ Hammarby D 2-272.9 1594 1601 33.05% 24.06% 42.89%-0.09 +0.2 9
1961-05-14 AIK Stockholm D 1-168.9 1553 1653 28.51% 23.62% 47.87%-0.34 +0.4 2
1961-05-14 @ Helsingborg D 1-168.9 1653 1553 47.87% 23.62% 28.51%+0.34 -0.4 5
1961-05-14 Orebro L 2-463.4 1602 1636 37.08% 24.09% 38.83%-0.07 -5.7 8
1961-05-14 @ Malmo W 4-263.4 1636 1602 38.83% 24.09% 37.08%+0.07 +5.7 7
1961-05-14 IFK Malmo L 0-152.4 1513 1683 21.07% 22.47% 56.46%-0.63 -2.4 1
1961-05-14 @ Sandvikens IF W 1-052.4 1683 1513 56.46% 22.47% 21.07%+0.63 +2.4 6
1961-05-19 IFK Malmo D 2-274.1 1554 1685 24.91% 23.18% 51.91%-0.47 +0.4 3
1961-05-19 @ Helsingborg D 2-274.1 1685 1554 51.91% 23.18% 24.91%+0.47 -0.5 7
1961-05-22 Orgryte L 0-550.3 1577 1594 39.48% 24.11% 36.41%-0.01 -18.0 3
1961-05-22 @ Degerfors W 5-050.3 1594 1577 36.41% 24.11% 39.48%+0.01 +18.0 11
1961-05-22 AIK Stockholm W 4-157.8 1617 1653 36.79% 24.08% 39.13%-0.08 +9.4 11
1961-05-22 @ Goteborg L 1-457.8 1653 1617 39.13% 24.08% 36.79%+0.08 -9.4 5
1961-05-22 Sandvikens IF L 1-458.2 1601 1510 53.53% 23.24% 23.23%+0.43 -12.2 4
1961-05-22 @ Hammarby W 4-158.2 1510 1601 23.23% 23.24% 53.53%-0.43 +12.2 3
1961-05-22 Elfsborg L 0-254.2 1596 1652 34.02% 24.00% 41.98%-0.17 -6.9 8
1961-05-22 @ Malmo W 2-054.2 1652 1596 41.98% 24.00% 34.02%+0.17 +6.9 12
1961-05-22 Orebro W 2-157.9 1805 1641 61.45% 21.79% 16.76%+0.74 +1.9 10
1961-05-22 @ Norrkoping L 1-257.9 1641 1805 16.76% 21.79% 61.45%-0.74 -1.9 7
1961-05-31 Degerfors L 0-154.3 1523 1559 36.78% 24.08% 39.14%-0.08 -3.9 3
1961-05-31 @ Sandvikens IF W 1-054.3 1559 1523 39.14% 24.08% 36.78%+0.08 +3.9 5
1961-06-01 Norrkoping D 1-172.1 1643 1807 21.66% 22.60% 55.74%-0.61 +0.8 6
1961-06-01 @ AIK Stockholm D 1-172.1 1807 1643 55.74% 22.60% 21.66%+0.61 -0.8 11
1961-06-01 Goteborg W 3-265.5 1659 1626 46.35% 23.91% 29.74%+0.20 +2.9 14
1961-06-01 @ Elfsborg L 2-365.5 1626 1659 29.74% 23.91% 46.35%-0.20 -2.9 11
1961-06-01 Malmo W 1-054.5 1685 1589 54.16% 23.16% 22.68%+0.46 +2.6 9
1961-06-01 @ IFK Malmo L 0-154.5 1589 1685 22.68% 23.16% 54.16%-0.46 -2.6 8
1961-06-01 Hammarby L 2-370.1 1639 1589 48.65% 23.75% 27.60%+0.27 -4.3 7
1961-06-01 @ Orebro W 3-270.1 1589 1639 27.60% 23.75% 48.65%-0.27 +4.3 6
1961-06-01 Helsingborg D 0-064.7 1612 1554 49.53% 23.68% 26.79%+0.30 -0.6 12
1961-06-01 @ Orgryte D 0-064.7 1554 1612 26.79% 23.68% 49.53%-0.30 +0.6 4
1961-06-04 Helsingborg L 0-449.8 1563 1555 42.95% 24.05% 32.99%+0.10 -15.7 5
1961-06-04 @ Degerfors W 4-049.8 1555 1563 32.99% 24.05% 42.95%-0.10 +15.6 6
1961-06-04 Malmo W 3-157.9 1519 1586 32.49% 23.93% 43.58%-0.21 +7.2 5
1961-06-04 @ Sandvikens IF L 1-357.9 1586 1519 43.58% 23.93% 32.49%+0.21 -7.2 8
1961-06-07 Hammarby W 3-156.4 1644 1593 48.68% 23.75% 27.57%+0.27 +5.0 8
1961-06-07 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-356.4 1593 1644 27.57% 23.75% 48.68%-0.27 -5.0 6
1961-06-07 Orebro D 3-378.8 1662 1635 45.53% 23.95% 30.51%+0.17 -0.2 15
1961-06-07 @ Elfsborg D 3-378.8 1635 1662 30.51% 23.95% 45.53%-0.17 +0.2 8
1961-06-07 Norrkoping W 1-064.7 1687 1806 26.30% 23.37% 50.33%-0.42 +5.0 11
1961-06-07 @ IFK Malmo L 0-164.7 1806 1687 50.33% 23.37% 26.30%+0.42 -5.0 11
1961-06-07 Goteborg L 3-566.9 1611 1623 40.26% 24.10% 35.64%+0.02 -5.7 12
1961-06-07 @ Orgryte W 5-366.9 1623 1611 35.64% 24.10% 40.26%-0.02 +5.7 13
1961-06-11 IFK Malmo W 3-055.2 1629 1692 33.01% 23.95% 43.03%-0.20 +12.0 15
1961-06-11 @ Goteborg L 0-355.2 1692 1629 43.03% 23.95% 33.01%+0.20 -12.0 11
1961-06-11 Degerfors W 4-365.3 1588 1547 47.41% 23.84% 28.75%+0.23 +2.8 8
1961-06-11 @ Hammarby L 3-465.3 1547 1588 28.75% 23.84% 47.41%-0.23 -2.8 5
1961-06-11 Sandvikens IF W 5-044.6 1571 1526 47.87% 23.81% 28.32%+0.25 +13.9 8
1961-06-11 @ Helsingborg L 0-544.6 1526 1571 28.32% 23.81% 47.87%-0.25 -13.9 5
1961-06-11 Orgryte L 1-554.2 1579 1606 38.14% 24.10% 37.76%-0.04 -11.9 8
1961-06-11 @ Malmo W 5-154.2 1606 1579 37.76% 24.10% 38.14%+0.04 +11.9 14
1961-06-11 Elfsborg W 5-151.2 1801 1662 58.98% 22.33% 18.69%+0.64 +6.5 13
1961-06-11 @ Norrkoping L 1-551.2 1662 1801 18.69% 22.33% 58.98%-0.64 -6.5 15
1961-06-11 AIK Stockholm W 2-055.4 1635 1649 39.95% 24.10% 35.94%+0.01 +7.2 10
1961-06-11 @ Orebro L 0-255.4 1649 1635 35.94% 24.10% 39.95%-0.01 -7.2 8
1961-08-03 Elfsborg L 1-458.5 1642 1655 40.03% 24.10% 35.87%+0.01 -9.5 8
1961-08-03 @ AIK Stockholm W 4-158.5 1655 1642 35.87% 24.10% 40.03%-0.01 +9.6 17
1961-08-03 Orgryte W 4-258.0 1808 1618 63.98% 21.13% 14.89%+0.84 +2.6 15
1961-08-03 @ Norrkoping L 2-458.0 1618 1808 14.89% 21.13% 63.98%-0.84 -2.6 14
1961-08-06 Sandvikens IF W 3-151.7 1641 1512 57.83% 22.56% 19.61%+0.59 +3.7 17
1961-08-06 @ Goteborg L 1-351.7 1512 1641 19.61% 22.56% 57.83%-0.59 -3.8 5
1961-08-06 Hammarby W 4-261.4 1584 1591 41.00% 24.09% 34.91%+0.04 +5.4 10
1961-08-06 @ Helsingborg L 2-461.4 1591 1584 34.91% 24.09% 41.00%-0.04 -5.4 8
1961-08-06 Degerfors W 2-050.0 1567 1544 45.04% 23.98% 30.99%+0.16 +6.4 10
1961-08-06 @ Malmo L 0-250.0 1544 1567 30.99% 23.98% 45.04%-0.16 -6.4 5
1961-08-06 IFK Malmo D 1-170.7 1642 1680 36.51% 24.08% 39.42%-0.09 +0.1 11
1961-08-06 @ Orebro D 1-170.7 1680 1642 39.42% 24.08% 36.51%+0.09 -0.1 12
1961-08-13 Malmo D 0-063.0 1538 1574 36.81% 24.08% 39.10%-0.08 +0.1 6
1961-08-13 @ Degerfors D 0-063.0 1574 1538 39.10% 24.08% 36.81%+0.08 -0.1 11
1961-08-13 AIK Stockholm W 2-161.2 1665 1632 46.27% 23.91% 29.82%+0.20 +3.1 19
1961-08-13 @ Elfsborg L 1-261.2 1632 1665 29.82% 23.91% 46.27%-0.20 -3.1 8
1961-08-13 Helsingborg W 2-160.4 1585 1590 41.26% 24.09% 34.65%+0.05 +3.5 10
1961-08-13 @ Hammarby L 1-260.4 1590 1585 34.65% 24.09% 41.26%-0.05 -3.5 10
1961-08-13 Orebro D 0-067.4 1680 1642 47.01% 23.87% 29.13%+0.22 -0.4 13
1961-08-13 @ IFK Malmo D 0-067.4 1642 1680 29.13% 23.87% 47.01%-0.22 +0.4 12
1961-08-13 Norrkoping W 2-063.1 1615 1810 18.85% 21.92% 59.23%-0.73 +10.8 16
1961-08-13 @ Orgryte L 0-263.1 1810 1615 59.23% 21.92% 18.85%+0.73 -10.8 15
1961-08-13 Goteborg L 2-360.9 1508 1644 24.40% 23.10% 52.49%-0.49 -2.5 5
1961-08-13 @ Sandvikens IF W 3-260.9 1644 1508 52.49% 23.10% 24.40%+0.49 +2.5 19
1961-08-17 Sandvikens IF L 0-252.2 1538 1506 46.23% 23.92% 29.86%+0.20 -8.8 6
1961-08-17 @ Degerfors W 2-052.2 1506 1538 29.86% 23.92% 46.23%-0.20 +8.8 7
1961-08-17 Elfsborg D 5-582.9 1647 1668 38.96% 24.10% 36.93%-0.02 -0.0 20
1961-08-17 @ Goteborg D 5-582.9 1668 1647 36.93% 24.10% 38.96%+0.02 +0.0 20
1961-08-17 Orebro D 0-066.0 1589 1643 34.31% 24.01% 41.68%-0.16 +0.2 11
1961-08-17 @ Hammarby D 0-066.0 1643 1589 41.68% 24.01% 34.31%+0.16 -0.2 13
1961-08-17 Orgryte W 4-156.9 1586 1626 36.31% 24.07% 39.61%-0.10 +9.5 12
1961-08-17 @ Helsingborg L 1-456.9 1626 1586 39.61% 24.07% 36.31%+0.10 -9.5 16
1961-08-17 IFK Malmo W 1-062.2 1574 1680 27.70% 23.54% 48.76%-0.37 +4.9 13
1961-08-17 @ Malmo L 0-162.2 1680 1574 48.76% 23.54% 27.70%+0.37 -4.9 13
1961-08-17 AIK Stockholm W 6-046.8 1799 1629 62.08% 21.63% 16.28%+0.76 +10.1 17
1961-08-17 @ Norrkoping L 0-646.8 1629 1799 16.28% 21.63% 62.08%-0.76 -10.1 8
1961-08-20 Goteborg L 2-464.2 1619 1647 37.96% 24.10% 37.94%-0.05 -5.8 8
1961-08-20 @ AIK Stockholm W 4-264.2 1647 1619 37.94% 24.10% 37.96%+0.05 +5.8 22
1961-08-20 Malmo W 3-048.0 1668 1578 53.39% 23.26% 23.35%+0.43 +7.3 22
1961-08-20 @ Elfsborg L 0-348.0 1578 1668 23.35% 23.26% 53.39%-0.43 -7.3 13
1961-08-20 Norrkoping D 2-276.5 1643 1810 21.37% 22.54% 56.09%-0.62 +0.6 14
1961-08-20 @ Orebro D 2-276.5 1810 1643 56.09% 22.54% 21.37%+0.62 -0.6 18
1961-08-20 Degerfors L 0-161.0 1616 1529 53.15% 23.29% 23.56%+0.42 -5.2 16
1961-08-20 @ Orgryte W 1-061.0 1529 1616 23.56% 23.29% 53.15%-0.42 +5.2 8
1961-08-20 Hammarby D 1-166.1 1515 1589 31.61% 23.87% 44.51%-0.24 +0.3 8
1961-08-20 @ Sandvikens IF D 1-166.1 1589 1515 44.51% 23.87% 31.61%+0.24 -0.3 12
1961-08-23 Helsingborg L 1-267.4 1675 1596 52.20% 23.41% 24.40%+0.39 -4.9 13
1961-08-23 @ IFK Malmo W 2-167.4 1596 1675 24.40% 23.41% 52.20%-0.39 +4.9 14
1961-08-26 Elfsborg L 2-368.2 1643 1675 37.39% 24.09% 38.52%-0.07 -3.5 14
1961-08-26 @ Orebro W 3-268.2 1675 1643 38.52% 24.09% 37.39%+0.07 +3.5 24
1961-08-27 Degerfors W 6-355.9 1601 1534 50.63% 23.58% 25.80%+0.34 +5.4 16
1961-08-27 @ Helsingborg L 3-655.9 1534 1601 25.80% 23.58% 50.63%-0.34 -5.4 8
1961-08-27 Sandvikens IF L 1-359.0 1571 1515 49.36% 23.69% 26.95%+0.29 -8.0 13
1961-08-27 @ Malmo W 3-159.0 1515 1571 26.95% 23.69% 49.36%-0.29 +8.0 10
1961-08-27 IFK Malmo D 0-069.0 1809 1670 58.89% 22.35% 18.76%+0.63 -1.0 19
1961-08-27 @ Norrkoping D 0-069.0 1670 1809 18.76% 22.35% 58.89%-0.63 +1.0 14
1961-08-30 Orgryte D 3-378.4 1653 1611 47.49% 23.84% 28.68%+0.24 -0.2 23
1961-08-30 @ Goteborg D 3-378.4 1611 1653 28.68% 23.84% 47.49%-0.24 +0.2 17
1961-08-30 AIK Stockholm L 1-262.2 1589 1613 38.42% 24.10% 37.47%-0.04 -3.8 12
1961-08-30 @ Hammarby W 2-162.2 1613 1589 37.47% 24.10% 38.42%+0.04 +3.8 10
1961-09-03 Orebro W 5-155.4 1617 1640 38.69% 24.10% 37.20%-0.03 +11.7 12
1961-09-03 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-555.4 1640 1617 37.20% 24.10% 38.69%+0.03 -11.7 14
1961-09-03 Hammarby W 2-053.3 1529 1585 34.03% 24.00% 41.97%-0.16 +8.1 10
1961-09-03 @ Degerfors L 0-253.3 1585 1529 41.97% 24.00% 34.03%+0.16 -8.1 12
1961-09-03 Norrkoping W 3-058.7 1679 1808 25.13% 23.21% 51.65%-0.46 +14.0 26
1961-09-03 @ Elfsborg L 0-358.7 1808 1679 51.65% 23.21% 25.13%+0.46 -14.0 19
1961-09-03 Goteborg W 1-058.1 1671 1652 44.46% 24.00% 31.54%+0.14 +3.4 16
1961-09-03 @ IFK Malmo L 0-158.1 1652 1671 31.54% 24.00% 44.46%-0.14 -3.4 23
1961-09-03 Malmo L 1-264.4 1611 1563 48.34% 23.78% 27.88%+0.26 -4.5 17
1961-09-03 @ Orgryte W 2-164.4 1563 1611 27.88% 23.78% 48.34%-0.26 +4.6 15
1961-09-03 Helsingborg L 1-257.8 1523 1606 30.50% 23.80% 45.70%-0.28 -3.2 10
1961-09-03 @ Sandvikens IF W 2-157.8 1606 1523 45.70% 23.80% 30.50%+0.28 +3.2 18
1961-09-06 IFK Malmo W 3-161.4 1629 1675 35.41% 24.05% 40.54%-0.12 +6.8 14
1961-09-06 @ AIK Stockholm L 1-361.4 1675 1629 40.54% 24.05% 35.41%+0.12 -6.8 16
1961-09-07 Helsingborg D 1-168.1 1568 1609 36.01% 24.07% 39.92%-0.11 +0.1 16
1961-09-07 @ Malmo D 1-168.1 1609 1568 39.92% 24.07% 36.01%+0.11 -0.1 19
1961-09-09 Orgryte W 2-053.1 1628 1607 44.80% 23.99% 31.21%+0.15 +6.4 16
1961-09-09 @ Orebro L 0-253.1 1607 1628 31.21% 23.99% 44.80%-0.15 -6.4 17
1961-09-10 Hammarby L 0-260.9 1693 1577 56.40% 22.81% 20.79%+0.54 -10.4 26
1961-09-10 @ Elfsborg W 2-060.9 1577 1693 20.79% 22.81% 56.40%-0.54 +10.4 14
1961-09-10 Degerfors L 0-259.2 1649 1537 56.00% 22.88% 21.12%+0.52 -10.3 23
1961-09-10 @ Goteborg W 2-059.2 1537 1649 21.12% 22.88% 56.00%-0.52 +10.3 12
1961-09-10 Sandvikens IF W 5-146.5 1794 1520 71.11% 18.70% 10.19%+1.19 +3.5 21
1961-09-10 @ Norrkoping L 1-546.5 1520 1794 10.19% 18.70% 71.11%-1.19 -3.5 10
1961-09-17 Norrkoping W 4-272.1 1547 1797 14.78% 20.51% 64.71%-0.96 +9.1 14
1961-09-17 @ Degerfors L 2-472.1 1797 1547 64.71% 20.51% 14.78%+0.96 -9.1 21
1961-09-17 Malmo L 0-255.3 1587 1568 44.57% 24.00% 31.44%+0.14 -8.5 14
1961-09-17 @ Hammarby W 2-055.3 1568 1587 31.44% 24.00% 44.57%-0.14 +8.5 18
1961-09-17 Goteborg L 2-463.8 1609 1639 37.72% 24.10% 38.19%-0.06 -5.8 19
1961-09-17 @ Helsingborg W 4-263.8 1639 1609 38.19% 24.10% 37.72%+0.06 +5.8 25
1961-09-17 Elfsborg W 3-160.6 1668 1682 39.89% 24.10% 36.01%+0.01 +6.2 18
1961-09-17 @ IFK Malmo L 1-360.6 1682 1668 36.01% 24.10% 39.89%-0.01 -6.2 26
1961-09-17 AIK Stockholm D 0-066.1 1600 1636 36.91% 24.08% 39.01%-0.08 +0.0 18
1961-09-17 @ Orgryte D 0-066.1 1636 1600 39.01% 24.08% 36.91%+0.08 -0.0 15
1961-09-17 Orebro D 2-272.0 1516 1635 26.33% 23.38% 50.29%-0.42 +0.4 11
1961-09-17 @ Sandvikens IF D 2-272.0 1635 1516 50.29% 23.38% 26.33%+0.42 -0.4 17
1961-09-24 Helsingborg D 2-273.9 1636 1603 46.24% 23.91% 29.84%+0.20 -0.3 16
1961-09-24 @ AIK Stockholm D 2-273.9 1603 1636 29.84% 23.91% 46.24%-0.20 +0.3 20
1961-09-24 Degerfors L 1-267.9 1676 1556 56.83% 22.74% 20.43%+0.55 -5.2 26
1961-09-24 @ Elfsborg W 2-167.9 1556 1676 20.43% 22.74% 56.83%-0.55 +5.2 16
1961-09-24 Sandvikens IF W 2-047.4 1674 1517 60.83% 21.93% 17.24%+0.71 +3.8 20
1961-09-24 @ IFK Malmo L 0-247.4 1517 1674 17.24% 21.93% 60.83%-0.71 -3.8 11
1961-09-24 Goteborg W 3-155.3 1788 1644 59.44% 22.24% 18.32%+0.65 +3.5 23
1961-09-24 @ Norrkoping L 1-355.3 1644 1788 18.32% 22.24% 59.44%-0.65 -3.5 25
1961-09-24 Malmo D 1-169.0 1634 1576 49.57% 23.67% 26.75%+0.30 -0.5 18
1961-09-24 @ Orebro D 1-169.0 1576 1634 26.75% 23.67% 49.57%-0.30 +0.5 19
1961-09-24 Hammarby L 2-464.5 1600 1579 44.84% 23.99% 31.17%+0.15 -6.6 18
1961-09-24 @ Orgryte W 4-264.5 1579 1600 31.17% 23.99% 44.84%-0.15 +6.6 16
1961-10-01 IFK Malmo W 3-163.1 1562 1678 26.57% 23.41% 50.03%-0.41 +8.1 18
1961-10-01 @ Degerfors L 1-363.1 1678 1562 50.03% 23.41% 26.57%+0.41 -8.1 20
1961-10-01 Orebro L 2-660.0 1641 1634 42.89% 24.06% 33.05%+0.09 -11.0 25
1961-10-01 @ Goteborg W 6-260.0 1634 1641 33.05% 24.06% 42.89%-0.09 +11.0 20
1961-10-01 Norrkoping W 1-066.6 1585 1792 17.94% 21.65% 60.41%-0.78 +5.8 18
1961-10-01 @ Hammarby L 0-166.6 1792 1585 60.41% 21.65% 17.94%+0.78 -5.8 23
1961-10-01 Elfsborg L 1-455.9 1604 1671 32.58% 23.93% 43.49%-0.21 -8.1 20
1961-10-01 @ Helsingborg W 4-155.9 1671 1604 43.49% 23.93% 32.58%+0.21 +8.1 28
1961-10-01 AIK Stockholm W 6-258.7 1577 1635 33.70% 23.99% 42.31%-0.17 +10.9 21
1961-10-01 @ Malmo L 2-658.7 1635 1577 42.31% 23.99% 33.70%+0.17 -10.9 16
1961-10-01 Orgryte W 2-161.6 1513 1594 30.77% 23.82% 45.41%-0.27 +4.3 13
1961-10-01 @ Sandvikens IF L 1-261.6 1594 1513 45.41% 23.82% 30.77%+0.27 -4.3 18
1961-10-08 Sandvikens IF W 2-047.7 1624 1517 55.47% 22.96% 21.57%+0.50 +4.7 18
1961-10-08 @ AIK Stockholm L 0-247.7 1517 1624 21.57% 22.96% 55.47%-0.50 -4.7 13
1961-10-08 Orgryte D 1-170.2 1679 1590 53.39% 23.26% 23.35%+0.43 -0.7 29
1961-10-08 @ Elfsborg D 1-170.2 1590 1679 23.35% 23.26% 53.39%-0.43 +0.7 19
1961-10-08 Malmo L 2-369.6 1630 1588 47.57% 23.83% 28.60%+0.24 -4.2 25
1961-10-08 @ Goteborg W 3-269.6 1588 1630 28.60% 23.83% 47.57%-0.24 +4.3 23
1961-10-08 Hammarby W 4-047.4 1670 1591 52.12% 23.42% 24.47%+0.39 +10.0 22
1961-10-08 @ IFK Malmo L 0-447.4 1591 1670 24.47% 23.42% 52.12%-0.39 -10.0 18
1961-10-08 Helsingborg W 4-045.2 1786 1596 64.02% 21.12% 14.86%+0.84 +6.3 25
1961-10-08 @ Norrkoping L 0-445.2 1596 1786 14.86% 21.12% 64.02%-0.84 -6.3 20
1961-10-08 Degerfors W 2-050.7 1645 1570 51.68% 23.46% 24.86%+0.37 +5.3 22
1961-10-08 @ Orebro L 0-250.7 1570 1645 24.86% 23.46% 51.68%-0.37 -5.3 18
1961-10-15 AIK Stockholm W 2-055.9 1564 1629 32.89% 23.95% 43.16%-0.20 +8.3 20
1961-10-15 @ Degerfors L 0-255.9 1629 1564 43.16% 23.95% 32.89%+0.20 -8.3 18
1961-10-15 Goteborg D 3-377.3 1581 1626 35.63% 24.06% 40.31%-0.12 +0.1 19
1961-10-15 @ Hammarby D 3-377.3 1626 1581 40.31% 24.06% 35.63%+0.12 -0.1 26
1961-10-15 Orebro L 1-261.4 1589 1650 33.39% 23.97% 42.63%-0.18 -3.4 20
1961-10-15 @ Helsingborg W 2-161.4 1650 1589 42.63% 23.97% 33.39%+0.18 +3.4 24
1961-10-15 Norrkoping D 2-276.3 1592 1792 18.42% 21.80% 59.78%-0.76 +0.7 24
1961-10-15 @ Malmo D 2-276.3 1792 1592 59.78% 21.80% 18.42%+0.76 -0.7 26
1961-10-15 IFK Malmo W 5-369.3 1590 1680 29.70% 23.73% 46.57%-0.30 +6.4 21
1961-10-15 @ Orgryte L 3-569.3 1680 1590 46.57% 23.73% 29.70%+0.30 -6.4 22
1961-10-15 Elfsborg L 0-152.4 1512 1678 21.46% 22.56% 55.98%-0.61 -2.5 13
1961-10-15 @ Sandvikens IF W 1-052.4 1678 1512 55.98% 22.56% 21.46%+0.61 +2.5 31

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1961-04-16 13.29% Malmo 1592 1 @ Norrkoping 1807 0
2 1961-05-11 13.33% Hammarby 1595 1 @ Norrkoping 1809 0
3 1961-09-17 14.78% @ Degerfors 1547 4 Norrkoping 1797 2
4 1961-10-01 17.94% @ Hammarby 1585 1 Norrkoping 1792 0
5 1961-08-13 18.85% @ Orgryte 1615 2 Norrkoping 1810 0
6 1961-09-24 20.43% Degerfors 1556 2 @ Elfsborg 1676 1
7 1961-09-10 20.79% Hammarby 1577 2 @ Elfsborg 1693 0
8 1961-09-10 21.12% Degerfors 1537 2 @ Goteborg 1649 0
9 1961-04-16 22.60% Orgryte 1580 1 @ IFK Malmo 1677 0
10 1961-05-22 23.23% Sandvikens IF 1510 4 @ Hammarby 1601 1
11 1961-08-20 23.56% Degerfors 1529 1 @ Orgryte 1616 0
12 1961-04-27 24.28% Orgryte 1582 2 @ AIK Stockholm 1662 1
13 1961-08-23 24.40% Helsingborg 1596 2 @ IFK Malmo 1675 1
14 1961-09-03 25.13% @ Elfsborg 1679 3 Norrkoping 1808 0
15 1961-06-07 26.30% @ IFK Malmo 1687 1 Norrkoping 1806 0
16 1961-05-11 26.36% Malmo 1597 1 @ AIK Stockholm 1658 0
17 1961-10-01 26.57% @ Degerfors 1562 3 IFK Malmo 1678 1
18 1961-08-27 26.95% Sandvikens IF 1515 3 @ Malmo 1571 1
19 1961-06-01 27.60% Hammarby 1589 3 @ Orebro 1639 2
20 1961-08-17 27.70% @ Malmo 1574 1 IFK Malmo 1680 0
21 1961-09-03 27.88% Malmo 1563 2 @ Orgryte 1611 1
22 1961-10-08 28.60% Malmo 1588 3 @ Goteborg 1630 2
23 1961-05-11 29.54% Goteborg 1610 2 @ Orebro 1644 0
24 1961-10-15 29.70% @ Orgryte 1590 5 IFK Malmo 1680 3
25 1961-08-17 29.86% Sandvikens IF 1506 2 @ Degerfors 1538 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1961-04-16 18.60 @ Goteborg 7 1576 33.85% Hammarby 1 1633 42.16% 23.99%
2 1961-05-22 18.04 Orgryte 5 1594 36.41% @ Degerfors 0 1577 39.48% 24.11%
3 1961-04-23 16.02 IFK Malmo 5 1672 42.14% @ Hammarby 0 1614 33.87% 23.99%
4 1961-06-04 15.65 Helsingborg 4 1555 32.99% @ Degerfors 0 1563 42.95% 24.05%
5 1961-09-03 13.96 @ Elfsborg 3 1679 25.13% Norrkoping 0 1808 51.65% 23.21%
6 1961-06-11 13.90 @ Helsingborg 5 1571 47.87% Sandvikens IF 0 1526 28.32% 23.81%
7 1961-05-22 12.17 Sandvikens IF 4 1510 23.23% @ Hammarby 1 1601 53.53% 23.24%
8 1961-06-11 11.98 @ Goteborg 3 1629 33.01% IFK Malmo 0 1692 43.03% 23.95%
9 1961-06-11 11.88 Orgryte 5 1606 37.76% @ Malmo 1 1579 38.14% 24.10%
10 1961-04-23 11.86 Goteborg 3 1594 33.51% @ Malmo 0 1598 42.42% 24.07%
11 1961-09-03 11.66 @ AIK Stockholm 5 1617 38.69% Orebro 1 1640 37.20% 24.10%
12 1961-10-01 11.05 Orebro 6 1634 33.05% @ Goteborg 2 1641 42.89% 24.06%
13 1961-10-01 10.92 @ Malmo 6 1577 33.70% AIK Stockholm 2 1635 42.31% 23.99%
14 1961-08-13 10.83 @ Orgryte 2 1615 18.85% Norrkoping 0 1810 59.23% 21.92%
15 1961-09-10 10.41 Hammarby 2 1577 20.79% @ Elfsborg 0 1693 56.40% 22.81%
16 1961-09-10 10.34 Degerfors 2 1537 21.12% @ Goteborg 0 1649 56.00% 22.88%
17 1961-08-17 10.07 @ Norrkoping 6 1799 62.08% AIK Stockholm 0 1629 16.28% 21.63%
18 1961-10-08 9.98 @ IFK Malmo 4 1670 52.12% Hammarby 0 1591 24.47% 23.42%
19 1961-08-03 9.55 Elfsborg 4 1655 35.87% @ AIK Stockholm 1 1642 40.03% 24.10%
20 1961-08-17 9.47 @ Helsingborg 4 1586 36.31% Orgryte 1 1626 39.61% 24.07%
21 1961-05-22 9.38 @ Goteborg 4 1617 36.79% AIK Stockholm 1 1653 39.13% 24.08%
22 1961-09-17 9.07 @ Degerfors 4 1547 14.78% Norrkoping 2 1797 64.71% 20.51%
23 1961-05-11 8.81 Goteborg 2 1610 29.54% @ Orebro 0 1644 46.56% 23.90%
24 1961-08-17 8.76 Sandvikens IF 2 1506 29.86% @ Degerfors 0 1538 46.23% 23.92%
25 1961-09-17 8.50 Malmo 2 1568 31.44% @ Hammarby 0 1587 44.57% 24.00%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1961-08-17 82.9 @ Goteborg 5 1647 38.96% Elfsborg 5 1668 36.93% 24.10%
2 1961-05-07 80.5 @ Hammarby 4 1595 34.82% Elfsborg 4 1645 41.15% 24.03%
3 1961-06-07 78.8 @ Elfsborg 3 1662 45.53% Orebro 3 1635 30.51% 23.95%
4 1961-08-30 78.4 @ Goteborg 3 1653 47.49% Orgryte 3 1611 28.68% 23.84%
5 1961-10-15 77.3 @ Hammarby 3 1581 35.63% Goteborg 3 1626 40.31% 24.06%
6 1961-04-28 76.5 @ Goteborg 3 1606 47.11% Helsingborg 3 1567 29.02% 23.86%
7 1961-08-20 76.5 @ Orebro 2 1643 21.37% Norrkoping 2 1810 56.09% 22.54%
8 1961-10-15 76.3 @ Malmo 2 1592 18.42% Norrkoping 2 1792 59.78% 21.80%
9 1961-05-11 74.5 @ IFK Malmo 2 1683 55.49% Degerfors 2 1576 21.55% 22.96%
10 1961-05-19 74.1 @ Helsingborg 2 1554 24.91% IFK Malmo 2 1685 51.91% 23.18%
11 1961-09-24 73.9 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1636 46.24% Helsingborg 2 1603 29.84% 23.91%
12 1961-05-14 72.9 @ Hammarby 2 1601 42.89% Orgryte 2 1594 33.05% 24.06%
13 1961-06-01 72.1 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1643 21.66% Norrkoping 1 1807 55.74% 22.60%
14 1961-09-17 72.1 @ Degerfors 4 1547 14.78% Norrkoping 2 1797 64.71% 20.51%
15 1961-09-17 72.0 @ Sandvikens IF 2 1516 26.33% Orebro 2 1635 50.29% 23.38%
16 1961-08-06 70.7 @ Orebro 1 1642 36.51% IFK Malmo 1 1680 39.42% 24.08%
17 1961-10-08 70.2 @ Elfsborg 1 1679 53.39% Orgryte 1 1590 23.35% 23.26%
18 1961-06-01 70.1 Hammarby 3 1589 27.60% @ Orebro 2 1639 48.65% 23.75%
19 1961-04-16 69.8 @ AIK Stockholm 1 1660 51.45% Degerfors 1 1587 25.06% 23.49%
20 1961-10-08 69.6 Malmo 3 1588 28.60% @ Goteborg 2 1630 47.57% 23.83%
21 1961-05-14 69.3 @ Degerfors 1 1577 31.44% Elfsborg 1 1652 44.69% 23.86%
22 1961-10-15 69.3 @ Orgryte 5 1590 29.70% IFK Malmo 3 1680 46.57% 23.73%
23 1961-08-27 69.0 @ Norrkoping 0 1809 58.89% IFK Malmo 0 1670 18.76% 22.35%
24 1961-09-24 69.0 @ Orebro 1 1634 49.57% Malmo 1 1576 26.75% 23.67%
25 1961-05-14 68.9 @ Helsingborg 1 1553 28.51% AIK Stockholm 1 1653 47.87% 23.62%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1961-06-11 44.6 @ Helsingborg 5 1571 47.87% Sandvikens IF 0 1526 28.32% 23.81%
2 1961-10-08 45.2 @ Norrkoping 4 1786 64.02% Helsingborg 0 1596 14.86% 21.12%
3 1961-04-27 45.8 @ Norrkoping 3 1802 66.52% Degerfors 0 1584 13.12% 20.37%
4 1961-09-10 46.5 @ Norrkoping 5 1794 71.11% Sandvikens IF 1 1520 10.19% 18.70%
5 1961-08-17 46.8 @ Norrkoping 6 1799 62.08% AIK Stockholm 0 1629 16.28% 21.63%
6 1961-05-11 47.4 @ Elfsborg 3 1645 52.75% Helsingborg 0 1561 23.91% 23.34%
7 1961-09-24 47.4 @ IFK Malmo 2 1674 60.83% Sandvikens IF 0 1517 17.24% 21.93%
8 1961-10-08 47.4 @ IFK Malmo 4 1670 52.12% Hammarby 0 1591 24.47% 23.42%
9 1961-10-08 47.7 @ AIK Stockholm 2 1624 55.47% Sandvikens IF 0 1517 21.57% 22.96%
10 1961-08-20 48.0 @ Elfsborg 3 1668 53.39% Malmo 0 1578 23.35% 23.26%
11 1961-06-04 49.8 Helsingborg 4 1555 32.99% @ Degerfors 0 1563 42.95% 24.05%
12 1961-08-06 50.0 @ Malmo 2 1567 45.04% Degerfors 0 1544 30.99% 23.98%
13 1961-05-22 50.3 Orgryte 5 1594 36.41% @ Degerfors 0 1577 39.48% 24.11%
14 1961-10-08 50.7 @ Orebro 2 1645 51.68% Degerfors 0 1570 24.86% 23.46%
15 1961-04-23 50.8 IFK Malmo 5 1672 42.14% @ Hammarby 0 1614 33.87% 23.99%
16 1961-06-11 51.2 @ Norrkoping 5 1801 58.98% Elfsborg 1 1662 18.69% 22.33%
17 1961-08-06 51.7 @ Goteborg 3 1641 57.83% Sandvikens IF 1 1512 19.61% 22.56%
18 1961-08-17 52.2 Sandvikens IF 2 1506 29.86% @ Degerfors 0 1538 46.23% 23.92%
19 1961-05-14 52.4 IFK Malmo 1 1683 56.46% @ Sandvikens IF 0 1513 21.07% 22.47%
20 1961-10-15 52.4 Elfsborg 1 1678 55.98% @ Sandvikens IF 0 1512 21.46% 22.56%
21 1961-04-23 52.9 Goteborg 3 1594 33.51% @ Malmo 0 1598 42.42% 24.07%
22 1961-04-23 53.1 AIK Stockholm 1 1660 52.92% @ Sandvikens IF 0 1520 24.03% 23.04%
23 1961-09-09 53.1 @ Orebro 2 1628 44.80% Orgryte 0 1607 31.21% 23.99%
24 1961-04-16 53.2 @ Elfsborg 5 1632 55.48% Sandvikens IF 2 1525 21.56% 22.96%
25 1961-09-03 53.3 @ Degerfors 2 1529 34.03% Hammarby 0 1585 41.97% 24.00%