1962 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Norrkoping

32 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Djurgarden

5.39 points above expected

30 points · 24.61 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hogadals

8.63 points below expected

9 points · 17.63 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Norrkoping	22	14	4	4	32	39	19	+20	27.23	+4.77
2	Djurgarden	22	11	8	3	30	51	19	+32	24.61	+5.39
3	Goteborg	22	10	4	8	24	46	32	+14	22.56	+1.44
4	Orgryte	22	9	6	7	24	38	28	+10	22.01	+1.99
5	Helsingborg	22	11	2	9	24	37	38	-1	20.78	+3.22
6	Orebro	22	8	7	7	23	26	28	-2	23.46	-0.46
7	Elfsborg	22	9	4	9	22	37	37	0	24.51	-2.51
8	Malmo	22	9	4	9	22	32	40	-8	19.74	+2.26
9	Hammarby	22	8	4	10	20	32	43	-11	20.40	-0.40
10	Degerfors	22	7	4	11	18	33	35	-2	20.62	-2.62
11	IFK Malmo	22	7	2	13	16	21	41	-20	20.45	-4.45
12	Hogadals	22	3	3	16	9	24	56	-32	17.63	-8.63

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Djurgarden	30	24.61	+5.39
2	Norrkoping	32	27.23	+4.77
3	Helsingborg	24	20.78	+3.22
4	Malmo	22	19.74	+2.26
5	Orgryte	24	22.01	+1.99

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Hogadals	9	17.63	-8.63
2	IFK Malmo	16	20.45	-4.45
3	Degerfors	18	20.62	-2.62
4	Elfsborg	22	24.51	-2.51
5	Orebro	23	23.46	-0.46

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Malmo	4	Aug 12 – Sep 2	1 in 101
2	Orgryte	3	Aug 30 – Sep 23	1 in 24
3	Goteborg	4	Sep 6 – Oct 7	1 in 19
4	Hammarby	3	Jun 3 – Jun 14	1 in 18
5	Orebro	3	Apr 29 – May 13	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Degerfors	5	May 31 – Aug 8	1 in 111
2	Hogadals	6	Aug 12 – Sep 23	1 in 56
3	IFK Malmo	4	Apr 29 – May 20	1 in 53
4	Helsingborg	3	Jun 3 – Jun 14	1 in 29
5	Orebro	3	Sep 9 – Sep 30	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Djurgarden	13	Jun 11 – Oct 21	1 in 150
2	Orebro	6	Apr 23 – May 27	1 in 14
3	Malmo	4	Aug 12 – Sep 2	1 in 13
4	Goteborg	4	Apr 29 – May 20	1 in 11
5	Helsingborg	4	May 13 – May 31	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hogadals	10	Aug 12 – Oct 21	1 in 20
2	Degerfors	6	May 31 – Aug 12	1 in 17
3	Djurgarden	5	May 1 – May 24	1 in 17
4	IFK Malmo	5	Apr 29 – May 27	1 in 15
5	Malmo	5	May 13 – Jun 3	1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Norrkoping	1708	32	+10	7	5.9	+1.1
Djurgarden	1711	30	+28	7	6.1	+0.9
Helsingborg	1567	24	+33	8	4.8	+3.2
Goteborg	1643	24	+38	7	5.3	+1.7
Orgryte	1623	24	+19	6	5.8	+0.2
Orebro	1579	23	-24	4	5.7	-1.7
Malmo	1550	22	+2	5	4.5	+0.5
Elfsborg	1583	22	-36	3	5.3	-2.3
Hammarby	1534	20	-10	4	4.4	-0.4
Degerfors	1546	18	-4	5	4.2	+0.8
IFK Malmo	1521	16	-12	3	4.4	-1.4
Hogadals	1425	9	-43	1	3.6	-2.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	DEG	DJU	ELF	GOT	HAM	HEL	HOG	IM	MAL	NOR	ORE	ORG
Degerfors	—	0-1-1 2.18	0-0-2 2.37	0-0-2 2.69	0-1-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 3.12	2-0-0 2.88	1-0-1 3.00	1-0-1 1.79	0-1-1 2.64	1-1-0 2.40
Djurgarden	1-1-0 3.41	—	0-1-1 3.06	1-1-0 2.99	1-1-0 3.30	1-1-0 3.19	2-0-0 3.51	2-0-0 3.19	2-0-0 3.46	0-1-1 2.50	0-1-1 2.86	1-1-0 3.13
Elfsborg	2-0-0 3.22	1-1-0 2.53	—	0-1-1 3.15	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 3.18	2-0-0 3.54	1-0-1 3.37	0-0-2 3.20	0-0-2 2.34	1-0-1 2.92	0-2-0 3.12
Goteborg	2-0-0 2.89	0-1-1 2.60	1-1-0 2.44	—	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.75	2-0-0 3.56	2-0-0 2.88	0-1-1 3.16	0-0-2 2.24	1-1-0 2.76	0-0-2 2.89
Hammarby	1-1-0 2.91	0-1-1 2.28	1-0-1 2.47	1-0-1 2.80	—	0-0-2 2.78	1-0-1 3.15	0-1-1 2.69	2-0-0 2.62	0-0-2 1.96	1-1-0 2.48	1-0-1 2.51
Helsingborg	1-0-1 2.85	0-1-1 2.39	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-1 2.83	2-0-0 2.81	—	2-0-0 3.16	2-0-0 2.68	0-0-2 3.26	0-1-1 1.80	1-0-1 2.37	1-0-1 2.61
Hogadals	1-0-1 2.46	0-0-2 2.08	0-0-2 2.05	0-0-2 2.03	1-0-1 2.43	0-0-2 2.43	—	1-0-1 2.60	0-2-0 2.40	0-0-2 1.65	0-1-1 2.16	0-0-2 2.21
IFK Malmo	0-0-2 2.71	0-0-2 2.40	1-0-1 2.22	0-0-2 2.70	1-1-0 2.90	0-0-2 2.90	1-0-1 2.99	—	1-0-1 2.81	1-0-1 1.81	0-1-1 2.34	2-0-0 2.50
Malmo	1-0-1 2.59	0-0-2 2.12	2-0-0 2.39	1-1-0 2.43	0-0-2 2.97	2-0-0 2.32	0-2-0 3.19	1-0-1 2.78	—	0-1-1 1.70	1-0-1 2.50	1-0-1 2.39
Norrkoping	1-0-1 3.80	1-1-0 3.09	2-0-0 3.25	2-0-0 3.35	2-0-0 3.63	1-1-0 3.79	2-0-0 3.95	1-0-1 3.79	1-1-0 3.89	—	1-0-1 3.39	0-1-1 3.69
Orebro	1-1-0 2.95	1-1-0 2.72	1-0-1 2.67	0-1-1 2.83	0-1-1 3.11	1-0-1 3.21	1-1-0 3.43	1-1-0 3.25	1-0-1 3.09	1-0-1 2.20	—	0-1-1 2.99
Orgryte	0-1-1 3.19	0-1-1 2.46	0-2-0 2.47	2-0-0 2.69	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 2.97	2-0-0 3.39	0-0-2 3.09	1-0-1 3.19	1-1-0 1.90	1-1-0 2.59	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.56	+5.2
Allowed	0.84	-5.3
Differential	0.85	+3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.30%	6.06%	6.82%	2.27%	2.65%	1.52%	24.62%
1	6.06%	9.09%	9.85%	3.41%	0.76%	1.89%	31.06%
2	6.82%	9.85%	4.55%	1.89%	0.76%	1.14%	25.00%
3	2.27%	3.41%	1.89%	0.76%	0.38%	0.38%	9.09%
4	2.65%	0.76%	0.76%	0.38%	—	0.38%	4.92%
5+	1.52%	1.89%	1.14%	0.38%	0.38%	—	5.30%
Total	24.62%	31.06%	25.00%	9.09%	4.92%	5.30%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.58	+0.00
SD	1.46	1.46	2.18
CV	0.93	0.93	—
Max	8	8	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	36.36%
1	—	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	13.64%	40.91%	27.27%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.59	-0.09
SD	1.68	1.14	2.43
CV	1.12	0.72	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
2	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	40.91%	31.82%	27.27%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.32	0.86	+1.45
SD	2.15	0.83	2.22
CV	0.93	0.97	—
Max	8	2	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	27.27%	36.36%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.68	+0.00
SD	1.49	1.29	1.88
CV	0.89	0.77	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	—	9.09%	22.73%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	31.82%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
Total	31.82%	31.82%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.09	1.45	+0.64
SD	1.87	1.82	2.46
CV	0.90	1.25	—
Max	7	8	+5
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	31.82%
2	—	9.09%	—	—	9.09%	—	18.18%
3	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	27.27%	22.73%	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.95	-0.50
SD	1.34	1.81	2.37
CV	0.92	0.93	—
Max	5	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%
1	4.55%	—	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
2	13.64%	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	45.45%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	27.27%	31.82%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.73	-0.05
SD	1.13	1.32	2.08
CV	0.67	0.76	—
Max	5	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
1	—	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	40.91%
2	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	27.27%	36.36%	18.18%	4.55%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	2.55	-1.45
SD	1.06	1.65	1.60
CV	0.98	0.65	—
Max	4	7	+1
Min	0	1	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	27.27%
1	22.73%	—	27.27%	4.55%	—	—	54.55%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	4.55%	40.91%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	1.86	-0.91
SD	0.79	1.73	2.00
CV	0.82	0.93	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
2	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	36.36%
3	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	36.36%	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.82	-0.36
SD	1.26	1.53	2.04
CV	0.87	0.84	—
Max	5	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	31.82%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	50.00%	27.27%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.77	0.86	+0.91
SD	1.38	1.13	2.16
CV	0.78	1.30	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	40.91%
1	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	—	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	50.00%	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.27	-0.09
SD	1.40	1.20	1.80
CV	1.19	0.94	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	40.91%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	40.91%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.27	+0.45
SD	1.20	1.16	1.82
CV	0.70	0.91	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Djurgarden	1711	30	24.61	+5.39	93.0%	14	17	21	25	28	31	34
Norrkoping	1708	32	27.23	+4.77	88.0%	16	21	25	27	30	34	35
Goteborg	1643	24	22.56	+1.44	68.0%	8	17	19	23	26	30	30
Orgryte	1623	24	22.01	+1.99	74.0%	14	15	19	22	25	28	30
Elfsborg	1583	22	24.51	-2.51	30.0%	17	19	22	25	27	29	36
Orebro	1579	23	23.46	-0.46	48.0%	14	17	21	24	26	29	31
Helsingborg	1567	24	20.78	+3.22	80.0%	11	13	18	20	24	27	34
Malmo	1550	22	19.74	+2.26	71.0%	8	12	17	20	23	25	32
Degerfors	1546	18	20.62	-2.62	35.0%	10	14	18	21	24	26	30
Hammarby	1534	20	20.40	-0.40	42.0%	9	14	18	21	22	26	30
IFK Malmo	1521	16	20.45	-4.45	16.0%	12	14	18	20	23	27	33
Hogadals	1425	9	17.63	-8.63	2.0%	5	11	15	18	20	24	27

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.12%

Slight Edge

46.21%19.70%34.09%

Elo Value

Home Edge

114 Elo

0.009 goals per Elo point

042.32300

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.35 goals

Neutral

-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.6

Open

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

38%

Norrkoping, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.09/gm

Tight Race

00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.17 * Some Luck: 3.17 to 4.76 * Lucky: 4.76 to 6.35 * Wild Swing: 6.35 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.1 * Close: 2.1 to 3.15 * Off: 3.15 to 4.2 * Way Off: 4.2 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.89 points

Some Luck

03.9710

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.67

Pinpoint

02.626

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

93.00%

Djurgarden

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

2.00%

Hogadals

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.14

Even

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 80.41

1.44

Moderate Separation

0.951.41.652.75

Interquartile Edge

62%

Even

50%63%71.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

84%

Clear Edge

50%83%100%

Close Games

Expected

56%

Some Drama

0%51%100%

Blowouts

Expected

21%

Frequent

0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.26

Very Even

00.30.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.91

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.43

Some Carryover

00.380.530.691

Upset Rate

Expected

31%

Very Upset-Prone

0%29%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

27%

Very Shaky

0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.

Probability calibration

0.65

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.08

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.052

Well Within Noise

00.1390.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Norrkoping	38.00%	23.00%	13.00%	5.00%	8.00%	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Djurgarden	19.00%	16.00%	13.00%	11.00%	5.00%	10.00%	7.00%	3.00%	9.00%	3.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Goteborg	8.00%	9.00%	14.00%	6.00%	14.00%	5.00%	8.00%	9.00%	10.00%	8.00%	5.00%	4.00%
Orgryte	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	11.00%	6.00%	17.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%	9.00%	7.00%	6.00%
Helsingborg	3.00%	7.00%	5.00%	7.00%	7.00%	7.00%	6.00%	19.00%	8.00%	17.00%	4.00%	10.00%
Orebro	6.00%	13.00%	14.00%	13.00%	14.00%	9.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Elfsborg	14.00%	15.00%	13.00%	17.00%	6.00%	11.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	3.00%	—	—
Malmo	—	1.00%	3.00%	10.00%	6.00%	6.00%	10.00%	7.00%	12.00%	12.00%	19.00%	14.00%
Hammarby	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	13.00%	19.00%	13.00%	9.00%	8.00%	12.00%	9.00%
Degerfors	—	4.00%	3.00%	12.00%	15.00%	6.00%	9.00%	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	12.00%	9.00%
IFK Malmo	3.00%	1.00%	7.00%	4.00%	5.00%	11.00%	10.00%	10.00%	14.00%	10.00%	15.00%	10.00%
Hogadals	—	—	3.00%	1.00%	9.00%	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	9.00%	14.00%	18.00%	34.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Elfsborg	100%	—
Norrkoping	98.00%	2.00%
Djurgarden	96.00%	4.00%
Orebro	94.00%	6.00%
Goteborg	91.00%	9.00%
Orgryte	87.00%	13.00%
Helsingborg	86.00%	14.00%
Degerfors	79.00%	21.00%
Hammarby	79.00%	21.00%
IFK Malmo	75.00%	25.00%
Malmo	67.00%	33.00%
Hogadals	48.00%	52.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1962-04-15	Djurgarden	L 2-8	57.1	1581	1567	50.04%	20.80%	29.16%	+0.49	-30.4	0
1962-04-15	@ Goteborg	W 8-2	57.1	1567	1581	29.16%	20.80%	50.04%	-0.49	+30.4	2
1962-04-15	Orebro	W 1-0	55.6	1559	1596	43.37%	20.89%	35.74%	+0.05	+6.4	2
1962-04-15	@ Hammarby	L 0-1	55.6	1596	1559	35.74%	20.89%	43.37%	-0.05	-6.4	0
1962-04-15	IFK Malmo	W 5-2	58.9	1561	1607	42.05%	20.89%	37.06%	-0.03	+13.2	2
1962-04-15	@ Helsingborg	L 2-5	58.9	1607	1561	37.06%	20.89%	42.05%	+0.03	-13.2	0
1962-04-15	Orgryte	L 1-3	60.0	1557	1567	46.99%	20.86%	32.15%	+0.29	-13.1	0
1962-04-15	@ Hogadals	W 3-1	60.0	1567	1557	32.15%	20.86%	46.99%	-0.29	+13.1	2
1962-04-15	Elfsborg	W 5-3	64.4	1564	1604	42.91%	20.89%	36.20%	+0.02	+9.0	2
1962-04-15	@ Malmo	L 3-5	64.4	1604	1564	36.20%	20.89%	42.91%	-0.02	-9.0	0
1962-04-23	Malmo	W 2-0	50.5	1598	1573	51.36%	20.76%	27.87%	+0.59	+9.9	4
1962-04-23	@ Djurgarden	L 0-2	50.5	1573	1598	27.87%	20.76%	51.36%	-0.59	-9.9	2
1962-04-23	Helsingborg	W 2-1	58.4	1595	1575	50.89%	20.78%	28.33%	+0.55	+5.0	2
1962-04-23	@ Elfsborg	L 1-2	58.4	1575	1595	28.33%	20.78%	50.89%	-0.55	-5.0	2
1962-04-23	Hammarby	W 1-0	53.2	1594	1565	51.89%	20.75%	27.36%	+0.62	+5.2	2
1962-04-23	@ IFK Malmo	L 0-1	53.2	1565	1594	27.36%	20.75%	51.89%	-0.62	-5.2	2
1962-04-23	Goteborg	W 1-0	51.6	1670	1551	61.69%	20.18%	18.13%	+1.42	+3.6	2
1962-04-23	@ Norrkoping	L 0-1	51.6	1551	1670	18.13%	20.18%	61.69%	-1.42	-3.6	0
1962-04-23	Hogadals	D 1-1	68.4	1589	1544	53.84%	20.68%	25.48%	+0.77	-1.1	1
1962-04-23	@ Orebro	D 1-1	68.4	1544	1589	25.48%	20.68%	53.84%	-0.77	+1.1	1
1962-04-23	Degerfors	D 1-1	68.4	1580	1554	51.53%	20.76%	27.71%	+0.60	-0.9	3
1962-04-23	@ Orgryte	D 1-1	68.4	1554	1580	27.71%	20.76%	51.53%	-0.60	+0.9	1
1962-04-27	Orgryte	W 3-1	56.4	1560	1579	45.77%	20.87%	33.36%	+0.21	+9.9	4
1962-04-27	@ Hammarby	L 1-3	56.4	1579	1560	33.36%	20.87%	45.77%	-0.21	-9.9	3
1962-04-29	Elfsborg	L 0-2	54.5	1555	1600	42.20%	20.89%	36.91%	-0.02	-13.8	1
1962-04-29	@ Degerfors	W 2-0	54.5	1600	1555	36.91%	20.89%	42.20%	+0.02	+13.9	4
1962-04-29	IFK Malmo	W 2-1	60.7	1547	1599	41.16%	20.88%	37.95%	-0.09	+6.4	2
1962-04-29	@ Goteborg	L 1-2	60.7	1599	1547	37.95%	20.88%	41.16%	+0.09	-6.4	2
1962-04-29	Hogadals	W 2-1	56.7	1570	1545	51.37%	20.76%	27.86%	+0.59	+4.9	4
1962-04-29	@ Helsingborg	L 1-2	56.7	1545	1570	27.86%	20.76%	51.37%	-0.59	-4.9	1
1962-04-29	Orebro	L 1-2	62.9	1563	1588	45.01%	20.88%	34.11%	+0.16	-7.3	2
1962-04-29	@ Malmo	W 2-1	62.9	1588	1563	34.11%	20.88%	45.01%	-0.16	+7.3	3
1962-05-01	Djurgarden	W 2-0	51.2	1674	1608	56.23%	20.57%	23.20%	+0.95	+8.5	4
1962-05-01	@ Norrkoping	L 0-2	51.2	1608	1674	23.20%	20.57%	56.23%	-0.95	-8.5	4
1962-05-03	Goteborg	D 1-1	69.4	1614	1553	55.63%	20.60%	23.77%	+0.91	-1.2	5
1962-05-03	@ Elfsborg	D 1-1	69.4	1553	1614	23.77%	20.60%	55.63%	-0.91	+1.2	3
1962-05-03	Malmo	L 1-2	65.2	1593	1556	52.87%	20.72%	26.42%	+0.70	-8.4	2
1962-05-03	@ IFK Malmo	W 2-1	65.2	1556	1593	26.42%	20.72%	52.87%	-0.70	+8.4	4
1962-05-06	Degerfors	D 0-0	64.8	1599	1542	55.30%	20.61%	24.09%	+0.88	-1.4	5
1962-05-06	@ Djurgarden	D 0-0	64.8	1542	1599	24.09%	20.61%	55.30%	-0.88	+1.3	2
1962-05-06	Hammarby	W 2-1	58.6	1540	1570	44.27%	20.88%	34.85%	+0.11	+5.9	3
1962-05-06	@ Hogadals	L 1-2	58.6	1570	1540	34.85%	20.88%	44.27%	-0.11	-6.0	4
1962-05-06	Helsingborg	W 2-1	58.4	1595	1575	50.91%	20.78%	28.31%	+0.55	+5.0	5
1962-05-06	@ Orebro	L 1-2	58.4	1575	1595	28.31%	20.78%	50.91%	-0.55	-5.0	4
1962-05-06	Norrkoping	D 1-1	71.1	1569	1682	32.78%	20.75%	46.47%	-0.62	+0.5	4
1962-05-06	@ Orgryte	D 1-1	71.1	1682	1569	46.47%	20.75%	32.78%	+0.62	-0.5	5
1962-05-09	Norrkoping	W 4-0	55.0	1543	1682	29.48%	20.63%	49.89%	-0.85	+30.3	4
1962-05-09	@ Degerfors	L 0-4	55.0	1682	1543	49.89%	20.63%	29.48%	+0.85	-30.3	5
1962-05-10	Elfsborg	L 0-1	60.1	1598	1613	46.29%	20.87%	32.84%	+0.24	-7.9	5
1962-05-10	@ Djurgarden	W 1-0	60.1	1613	1598	32.84%	20.87%	46.29%	-0.24	+7.9	7
1962-05-13	Orebro	L 1-2	63.4	1573	1600	44.65%	20.88%	34.47%	+0.13	-7.3	4
1962-05-13	@ Degerfors	W 2-1	63.4	1600	1573	34.47%	20.88%	44.65%	-0.13	+7.3	7
1962-05-13	Hogadals	W 2-0	49.1	1555	1546	49.37%	20.82%	29.82%	+0.45	+10.5	5
1962-05-13	@ Goteborg	L 0-2	49.1	1546	1555	29.82%	20.82%	49.37%	-0.45	-10.5	3
1962-05-13	Orgryte	W 2-1	58.3	1570	1570	48.24%	20.84%	30.92%	+0.37	+5.4	6
1962-05-13	@ Helsingborg	L 1-2	58.3	1570	1570	30.92%	20.84%	48.24%	-0.37	-5.4	4
1962-05-13	Hammarby	L 0-3	53.2	1565	1564	48.31%	20.84%	30.85%	+0.37	-22.6	4
1962-05-13	@ Malmo	W 3-0	53.2	1564	1565	30.85%	20.84%	48.31%	-0.37	+22.6	6
1962-05-13	IFK Malmo	W 4-0	47.1	1651	1585	56.32%	20.56%	23.12%	+0.96	+16.0	7
1962-05-13	@ Norrkoping	L 0-4	47.1	1585	1651	23.12%	20.56%	56.32%	-0.96	-16.0	2
1962-05-17	Djurgarden	D 1-1	69.0	1564	1590	44.89%	20.88%	34.23%	+0.15	-0.4	5
1962-05-17	@ Orgryte	D 1-1	69.0	1590	1564	34.23%	20.88%	44.89%	-0.15	+0.4	6
1962-05-20	Norrkoping	L 1-2	64.8	1621	1667	41.96%	20.89%	37.15%	-0.04	-6.9	7
1962-05-20	@ Elfsborg	W 2-1	64.8	1667	1621	37.15%	20.89%	41.96%	+0.04	+6.9	9
1962-05-20	Helsingborg	L 1-3	61.9	1587	1575	49.80%	20.81%	29.39%	+0.48	-13.8	6
1962-05-20	@ Hammarby	W 3-1	61.9	1575	1587	29.39%	20.81%	49.80%	-0.48	+13.8	8
1962-05-20	Malmo	D 2-2	71.6	1536	1542	47.45%	20.85%	31.70%	+0.32	-0.4	4
1962-05-20	@ Hogadals	D 2-2	71.6	1542	1536	31.70%	20.85%	47.45%	-0.32	+0.4	5
1962-05-20	Degerfors	L 1-2	63.5	1568	1566	48.62%	20.83%	30.55%	+0.39	-7.8	2
1962-05-20	@ IFK Malmo	W 2-1	63.5	1566	1568	30.55%	20.83%	48.62%	-0.39	+7.8	6
1962-05-20	Goteborg	D 0-0	65.7	1608	1565	53.54%	20.69%	25.77%	+0.75	-1.2	8
1962-05-20	@ Orebro	D 0-0	65.7	1565	1608	25.77%	20.69%	53.54%	-0.75	+1.2	6
1962-05-24	Hammarby	D 1-1	69.2	1590	1573	50.48%	20.79%	28.73%	+0.52	-0.8	7
1962-05-24	@ Djurgarden	D 1-1	69.2	1573	1590	28.73%	20.79%	50.48%	-0.52	+0.8	7
1962-05-24	Orgryte	L 1-2	63.4	1566	1564	48.57%	20.83%	30.60%	+0.39	-7.8	6
1962-05-24	@ Goteborg	W 2-1	63.4	1564	1566	30.60%	20.83%	48.57%	-0.39	+7.8	7
1962-05-24	Helsingborg	D 2-2	76.5	1674	1589	58.32%	20.44%	21.24%	+1.12	-1.1	10
1962-05-24	@ Norrkoping	D 2-2	76.5	1589	1674	21.24%	20.44%	58.32%	-1.12	+1.1	9
1962-05-27	Malmo	W 5-1	49.5	1574	1542	52.20%	20.74%	27.06%	+0.65	+15.3	8
1962-05-27	@ Degerfors	L 1-5	49.5	1542	1574	27.06%	20.74%	52.20%	-0.65	-15.3	5
1962-05-27	Hogadals	W 2-0	48.1	1614	1535	57.60%	20.49%	21.91%	+1.06	+8.0	9
1962-05-27	@ Elfsborg	L 0-2	48.1	1535	1614	21.91%	20.49%	57.60%	-1.06	-8.1	4
1962-05-27	Orebro	D 2-2	74.3	1561	1606	42.09%	20.89%	37.03%	-0.03	-0.1	3
1962-05-27	@ IFK Malmo	D 2-2	74.3	1606	1561	37.03%	20.89%	42.09%	+0.03	+0.1	9
1962-05-31	Norrkoping	L 0-2	54.2	1574	1673	34.57%	20.80%	44.63%	-0.50	-11.8	7
1962-05-31	@ Hammarby	W 2-0	54.2	1673	1574	44.63%	20.80%	34.57%	+0.50	+11.8	12
1962-05-31	Degerfors	W 1-0	54.7	1590	1589	48.40%	20.84%	30.77%	+0.38	+5.7	11
1962-05-31	@ Helsingborg	L 0-1	54.7	1589	1590	30.77%	20.84%	48.40%	-0.38	-5.7	8
1962-05-31	Djurgarden	L 1-3	57.6	1527	1589	39.74%	20.88%	39.38%	-0.18	-11.4	4
1962-05-31	@ Hogadals	W 3-1	57.6	1589	1527	39.38%	20.88%	39.74%	+0.18	+11.4	9
1962-05-31	Goteborg	D 1-1	66.8	1527	1559	44.08%	20.88%	35.03%	+0.10	-0.3	6
1962-05-31	@ Malmo	D 1-1	66.8	1559	1527	35.03%	20.88%	44.08%	-0.10	+0.3	7
1962-05-31	Elfsborg	L 0-1	60.4	1607	1622	46.24%	20.87%	32.89%	+0.24	-7.9	9
1962-05-31	@ Orebro	W 1-0	60.4	1622	1607	32.89%	20.87%	46.24%	-0.24	+7.9	11
1962-05-31	IFK Malmo	L 0-1	59.1	1572	1561	49.73%	20.81%	29.47%	+0.47	-8.4	7
1962-05-31	@ Orgryte	W 1-0	59.1	1561	1572	29.47%	20.81%	49.73%	-0.47	+8.5	5
1962-06-03	Hammarby	L 1-2	64.5	1583	1562	50.97%	20.78%	28.26%	+0.56	-8.2	8
1962-06-03	@ Degerfors	W 2-1	64.5	1562	1583	28.26%	20.78%	50.97%	-0.56	+8.2	9
1962-06-03	IFK Malmo	W 2-1	57.6	1630	1569	55.66%	20.60%	23.75%	+0.91	+4.3	13
1962-06-03	@ Elfsborg	L 1-2	57.6	1569	1630	23.75%	20.60%	55.66%	-0.91	-4.3	5
1962-06-03	Helsingborg	W 2-1	60.2	1559	1596	43.34%	20.89%	35.78%	+0.05	+6.1	9
1962-06-03	@ Goteborg	L 1-2	60.2	1596	1559	35.78%	20.89%	43.34%	-0.05	-6.1	11
1962-06-03	Orgryte	L 0-3	50.5	1527	1563	43.36%	20.89%	35.75%	+0.05	-20.6	6
1962-06-03	@ Malmo	W 3-0	50.5	1563	1527	35.75%	20.89%	43.36%	-0.05	+20.6	9
1962-06-03	Hogadals	W 1-0	49.9	1685	1516	66.02%	19.70%	14.28%	+1.86	+2.9	14
1962-06-03	@ Norrkoping	L 0-1	49.9	1516	1685	14.28%	19.70%	66.02%	-1.86	-2.9	4
1962-06-05	Orebro	L 0-1	60.5	1601	1599	48.57%	20.83%	30.59%	+0.39	-8.3	9
1962-06-05	@ Djurgarden	W 1-0	60.5	1599	1601	30.59%	20.83%	48.57%	-0.39	+8.3	11
1962-06-07	Goteborg	W 3-2	62.8	1570	1565	48.96%	20.82%	30.22%	+0.42	+5.0	11
1962-06-07	@ Hammarby	L 2-3	62.8	1565	1570	30.22%	20.82%	48.96%	-0.42	-5.0	9
1962-06-07	Malmo	L 1-3	62.3	1590	1506	58.09%	20.46%	21.46%	+1.10	-15.9	11
1962-06-07	@ Helsingborg	W 3-1	62.3	1506	1590	21.46%	20.46%	58.09%	-1.10	+15.9	8
1962-06-07	Elfsborg	D 1-1	70.5	1584	1634	41.45%	20.89%	37.67%	-0.07	-0.1	10
1962-06-07	@ Orgryte	D 1-1	70.5	1634	1584	37.67%	20.89%	41.45%	+0.07	+0.1	14
1962-06-11	Degerfors	W 2-1	59.3	1513	1575	39.74%	20.88%	39.38%	-0.17	+6.5	6
1962-06-11	@ Hogadals	L 1-2	59.3	1575	1513	39.38%	20.88%	39.74%	+0.17	-6.5	8
1962-06-11	Djurgarden	L 0-4	51.9	1565	1593	44.55%	20.88%	34.57%	+0.13	-27.5	5
1962-06-11	@ IFK Malmo	W 4-0	51.9	1593	1565	34.57%	20.88%	44.55%	-0.13	+27.5	11
1962-06-11	Norrkoping	W 3-1	62.2	1607	1688	37.08%	20.85%	42.07%	-0.34	+12.0	13
1962-06-11	@ Orebro	L 1-3	62.2	1688	1607	42.07%	20.85%	37.08%	+0.34	-12.0	14
1962-06-14	Degerfors	W 4-0	47.3	1560	1569	47.14%	20.86%	32.00%	+0.30	+21.0	11
1962-06-14	@ Goteborg	L 0-4	47.3	1569	1560	32.00%	20.86%	47.14%	-0.30	-21.0	8
1962-06-14	Elfsborg	W 3-0	52.5	1575	1634	40.19%	20.88%	38.93%	-0.15	+18.9	13
1962-06-14	@ Hammarby	L 0-3	52.5	1634	1575	38.93%	20.88%	40.19%	+0.15	-18.9	14
1962-06-14	Djurgarden	L 2-3	67.9	1574	1620	41.97%	20.89%	37.14%	-0.04	-6.5	11
1962-06-14	@ Helsingborg	W 3-2	67.9	1620	1574	37.14%	20.89%	41.97%	+0.04	+6.5	13
1962-06-14	IFK Malmo	L 0-1	55.5	1519	1537	45.93%	20.87%	33.20%	+0.22	-7.9	6
1962-06-14	@ Hogadals	W 1-0	55.5	1537	1519	33.20%	20.87%	45.93%	-0.22	+7.9	7
1962-06-14	Norrkoping	D 1-1	70.1	1522	1676	27.69%	20.55%	51.76%	-0.98	+0.9	9
1962-06-14	@ Malmo	D 1-1	70.1	1676	1522	51.76%	20.55%	27.69%	+0.98	-0.9	15
1962-06-14	Orgryte	L 0-1	61.8	1619	1584	52.65%	20.72%	26.62%	+0.68	-8.9	13
1962-06-14	@ Orebro	W 1-0	61.8	1584	1619	26.62%	20.72%	52.65%	-0.68	+8.9	12
1962-08-05	Orebro	D 0-0	66.3	1593	1610	46.00%	20.87%	33.13%	+0.22	-0.5	13
1962-08-05	@ Orgryte	D 0-0	66.3	1610	1593	33.13%	20.87%	46.00%	-0.22	+0.5	14
1962-08-08	Goteborg	L 0-2	54.2	1548	1581	43.79%	20.88%	35.32%	+0.08	-14.3	8
1962-08-08	@ Degerfors	W 2-0	54.2	1581	1548	35.32%	20.88%	43.79%	-0.08	+14.3	13
1962-08-08	Helsingborg	D 2-2	75.1	1627	1567	55.52%	20.60%	23.88%	+0.90	-0.9	14
1962-08-08	@ Djurgarden	D 2-2	75.1	1567	1627	23.88%	20.60%	55.52%	-0.90	+0.9	12
1962-08-08	Hammarby	W 4-2	60.7	1615	1594	50.99%	20.78%	28.23%	+0.56	+7.8	16
1962-08-08	@ Elfsborg	L 2-4	60.7	1594	1615	28.23%	20.78%	50.99%	-0.56	-7.8	13
1962-08-08	Hogadals	L 1-2	62.1	1545	1512	52.48%	20.73%	26.80%	+0.67	-8.4	7
1962-08-08	@ IFK Malmo	W 2-1	62.1	1512	1545	26.80%	20.73%	52.48%	-0.67	+8.4	8
1962-08-08	Malmo	W 1-0	50.3	1675	1523	64.59%	19.88%	15.53%	+1.71	+3.1	17
1962-08-08	@ Norrkoping	L 0-1	50.3	1523	1675	15.53%	19.88%	64.59%	-1.71	-3.1	9
1962-08-12	Degerfors	D 1-1	68.0	1586	1533	54.78%	20.64%	24.58%	+0.84	-1.2	14
1962-08-12	@ Hammarby	D 1-1	68.0	1533	1586	24.58%	20.64%	54.78%	-0.84	+1.2	9
1962-08-12	Goteborg	W 2-1	60.1	1568	1595	44.64%	20.88%	34.48%	+0.13	+5.9	14
1962-08-12	@ Helsingborg	L 1-2	60.1	1595	1568	34.48%	20.88%	44.64%	-0.13	-5.9	13
1962-08-12	Norrkoping	L 1-2	58.6	1520	1678	27.16%	20.52%	52.32%	-1.02	-4.8	8
1962-08-12	@ Hogadals	W 2-1	58.6	1678	1520	52.32%	20.52%	27.16%	+1.02	+4.8	19
1962-08-12	Elfsborg	W 1-0	57.8	1537	1623	36.32%	20.83%	42.85%	-0.39	+7.4	9
1962-08-12	@ IFK Malmo	L 0-1	57.8	1623	1537	42.85%	20.83%	36.32%	+0.39	-7.4	16
1962-08-12	Malmo	L 1-2	65.2	1592	1520	56.91%	20.53%	22.56%	+1.01	-9.0	13
1962-08-12	@ Orgryte	W 2-1	65.2	1520	1592	22.56%	20.53%	56.91%	-1.01	+9.0	11
1962-08-14	Djurgarden	D 1-1	70.8	1610	1626	46.26%	20.87%	32.87%	+0.24	-0.5	15
1962-08-14	@ Orebro	D 1-1	70.8	1626	1610	32.87%	20.87%	46.26%	-0.24	+0.5	15
1962-08-17	Orgryte	D 2-2	75.1	1616	1583	52.37%	20.73%	26.90%	+0.66	-0.7	17
1962-08-17	@ Elfsborg	D 2-2	75.1	1583	1616	26.90%	20.73%	52.37%	-0.66	+0.7	14
1962-08-17	Helsingborg	W 2-0	51.3	1529	1574	42.21%	20.89%	36.90%	-0.02	+12.5	13
1962-08-17	@ Malmo	L 0-2	51.3	1574	1529	36.90%	20.89%	42.21%	+0.02	-12.4	14
1962-08-19	Hogadals	W 4-1	49.4	1534	1515	50.73%	20.78%	28.49%	+0.54	+12.3	11
1962-08-19	@ Degerfors	L 1-4	49.4	1515	1534	28.49%	20.78%	50.73%	-0.54	-12.3	8
1962-08-19	Hammarby	W 6-1	51.3	1589	1585	48.81%	20.83%	30.36%	+0.41	+20.6	15
1962-08-19	@ Goteborg	L 1-6	51.3	1585	1589	30.36%	20.83%	48.81%	-0.41	-20.6	14
1962-08-19	Orebro	W 3-0	48.9	1683	1610	56.99%	20.52%	22.48%	+1.01	+12.0	21
1962-08-19	@ Norrkoping	L 0-3	48.9	1610	1683	22.48%	20.52%	56.99%	-1.01	-12.0	15
1962-08-21	IFK Malmo	W 6-0	45.8	1626	1544	57.97%	20.47%	21.57%	+1.09	+22.1	17
1962-08-21	@ Djurgarden	L 0-6	45.8	1544	1626	21.57%	20.47%	57.97%	-1.09	-22.1	9
1962-08-23	Hammarby	W 5-0	45.7	1695	1565	62.70%	20.09%	17.21%	+1.52	+15.2	23
1962-08-23	@ Norrkoping	L 0-5	45.7	1565	1695	17.21%	20.09%	62.70%	-1.52	-15.2	14
1962-08-26	Helsingborg	W 5-0	46.9	1547	1561	46.34%	20.87%	32.79%	+0.24	+26.5	13
1962-08-26	@ Degerfors	L 0-5	46.9	1561	1547	32.79%	20.87%	46.34%	-0.24	-26.5	14
1962-08-26	Hogadals	W 3-0	43.9	1648	1503	64.05%	19.94%	16.01%	+1.65	+8.8	19
1962-08-26	@ Djurgarden	L 0-3	43.9	1503	1648	16.01%	19.94%	64.05%	-1.65	-8.8	8
1962-08-26	Orebro	L 3-4	74.0	1615	1598	50.45%	20.79%	28.76%	+0.52	-7.5	17
1962-08-26	@ Elfsborg	W 4-3	74.0	1598	1615	28.76%	20.79%	50.45%	-0.52	+7.5	17
1962-08-26	Malmo	L 1-2	66.3	1610	1541	56.50%	20.55%	22.95%	+0.97	-9.0	15
1962-08-26	@ Goteborg	W 2-1	66.3	1541	1610	22.95%	20.55%	56.50%	-0.97	+9.0	15
1962-08-26	Orgryte	W 3-2	64.7	1522	1584	39.80%	20.88%	39.32%	-0.17	+6.2	11
1962-08-26	@ IFK Malmo	L 2-3	64.7	1584	1522	39.32%	20.88%	39.80%	+0.17	-6.2	14
1962-08-30	Djurgarden	L 2-4	62.2	1549	1657	33.45%	20.77%	45.78%	-0.57	-8.9	14
1962-08-30	@ Hammarby	W 4-2	62.2	1657	1549	45.78%	20.77%	33.45%	+0.57	+8.9	21
1962-08-30	Goteborg	W 2-1	60.3	1578	1601	45.19%	20.88%	33.94%	+0.17	+5.8	16
1962-08-30	@ Orgryte	L 1-2	60.3	1601	1578	33.94%	20.88%	45.19%	-0.17	-5.8	15
1962-09-01	IFK Malmo	W 1-0	50.8	1605	1528	57.44%	20.50%	22.06%	+1.05	+4.3	19
1962-09-01	@ Orebro	L 0-1	50.8	1528	1605	22.06%	20.50%	57.44%	-1.05	-4.3	11
1962-09-02	Norrkoping	L 1-3	56.3	1535	1710	25.24%	20.41%	54.35%	-1.17	-7.9	14
1962-09-02	@ Helsingborg	W 3-1	56.3	1710	1535	54.35%	20.41%	25.24%	+1.17	+7.9	25
1962-09-02	Elfsborg	L 1-6	49.8	1494	1608	32.67%	20.75%	46.59%	-0.63	-21.8	8
1962-09-02	@ Hogadals	W 6-1	49.8	1608	1494	46.59%	20.75%	32.67%	+0.63	+21.8	19
1962-09-02	Degerfors	W 1-0	54.1	1550	1573	45.25%	20.88%	33.87%	+0.17	+6.2	17
1962-09-02	@ Malmo	L 0-1	54.1	1573	1550	33.87%	20.88%	45.25%	-0.17	-6.2	13
1962-09-06	Elfsborg	W 3-1	59.1	1595	1629	43.68%	20.89%	35.44%	+0.07	+10.4	17
1962-09-06	@ Goteborg	L 1-3	59.1	1629	1595	35.44%	20.89%	43.68%	-0.07	-10.4	19
1962-09-09	Djurgarden	L 0-3	51.6	1567	1666	34.62%	20.80%	44.58%	-0.50	-17.2	13
1962-09-09	@ Degerfors	W 3-0	51.6	1666	1567	44.58%	20.80%	34.62%	+0.50	+17.2	23
1962-09-09	Hogadals	W 2-1	51.5	1541	1472	56.49%	20.55%	22.96%	+0.97	+4.2	16
1962-09-09	@ Hammarby	L 1-2	51.5	1472	1541	22.96%	20.55%	56.49%	-0.97	-4.2	8
1962-09-09	Orebro	W 2-1	61.7	1527	1610	36.85%	20.84%	42.31%	-0.35	+6.9	16
1962-09-09	@ Helsingborg	L 1-2	61.7	1610	1527	42.31%	20.84%	36.85%	+0.35	-6.9	19
1962-09-09	Orgryte	L 0-2	63.3	1718	1584	63.07%	20.05%	16.88%	+1.55	-19.9	25
1962-09-09	@ Norrkoping	W 2-0	63.3	1584	1718	16.88%	20.05%	63.07%	-1.55	+19.9	18
1962-09-12	IFK Malmo	L 0-1	58.2	1557	1524	52.36%	20.73%	26.90%	+0.66	-8.8	17
1962-09-12	@ Malmo	W 1-0	58.2	1524	1557	26.90%	20.73%	52.36%	-0.66	+8.9	13
1962-09-22	Malmo	L 0-2	58.1	1603	1548	55.01%	20.63%	24.37%	+0.86	-17.5	19
1962-09-22	@ Orebro	W 2-0	58.1	1548	1603	24.37%	20.63%	55.01%	-0.86	+17.5	19
1962-09-23	Norrkoping	D 0-0	68.8	1683	1698	46.32%	20.87%	32.82%	+0.24	-0.6	24
1962-09-23	@ Djurgarden	D 0-0	68.8	1698	1683	32.82%	20.87%	46.32%	-0.24	+0.6	26
1962-09-23	Degerfors	W 3-2	61.5	1619	1550	56.57%	20.55%	22.88%	+0.98	+4.0	21
1962-09-23	@ Elfsborg	L 2-3	61.5	1550	1619	22.88%	20.55%	56.57%	-0.98	-4.0	13
1962-09-23	Helsingborg	L 0-2	48.4	1468	1534	39.19%	20.87%	39.94%	-0.21	-13.1	8
1962-09-23	@ Hogadals	W 2-0	48.4	1534	1468	39.94%	20.87%	39.19%	+0.21	+13.0	18
1962-09-23	Goteborg	L 0-2	52.8	1533	1606	38.25%	20.86%	40.89%	-0.27	-12.8	13
1962-09-23	@ IFK Malmo	W 2-0	52.8	1606	1533	40.89%	20.86%	38.25%	+0.27	+12.8	19
1962-09-23	Hammarby	W 5-1	49.5	1603	1545	55.42%	20.61%	23.98%	+0.89	+13.8	20
1962-09-23	@ Orgryte	L 1-5	49.5	1545	1603	23.98%	20.61%	55.42%	-0.89	-13.8	16
1962-09-30	IFK Malmo	W 2-1	55.0	1546	1520	51.54%	20.76%	27.70%	+0.60	+4.9	15
1962-09-30	@ Degerfors	L 1-2	55.0	1520	1546	27.70%	20.76%	51.54%	-0.60	-4.9	13
1962-09-30	Orgryte	W 4-1	54.0	1683	1617	56.16%	20.57%	23.27%	+0.95	+10.4	26
1962-09-30	@ Djurgarden	L 1-4	54.0	1617	1683	23.27%	20.57%	56.16%	-0.95	-10.4	20
1962-09-30	Orebro	W 5-0	47.7	1618	1585	52.41%	20.73%	26.86%	+0.66	+22.4	21
1962-09-30	@ Goteborg	L 0-5	47.7	1585	1618	26.86%	20.73%	52.41%	-0.66	-22.4	19
1962-09-30	Hammarby	W 2-0	48.0	1547	1531	50.34%	20.79%	28.87%	+0.51	+10.2	20
1962-09-30	@ Helsingborg	L 0-2	48.0	1531	1547	28.87%	20.79%	50.34%	-0.51	-10.2	16
1962-09-30	Hogadals	D 3-3	73.8	1565	1455	60.82%	20.26%	18.92%	+1.34	-1.0	20
1962-09-30	@ Malmo	D 3-3	73.8	1455	1565	18.92%	20.26%	60.82%	-1.34	+1.0	9
1962-09-30	Elfsborg	W 2-0	51.4	1699	1623	57.28%	20.51%	22.21%	+1.04	+8.2	28
1962-09-30	@ Norrkoping	L 0-2	51.4	1623	1699	22.21%	20.51%	57.28%	-1.04	-8.2	21
1962-10-07	Djurgarden	D 2-2	77.0	1615	1693	37.47%	20.85%	41.67%	-0.32	+0.1	22
1962-10-07	@ Elfsborg	D 2-2	77.0	1693	1615	41.67%	20.85%	37.47%	+0.32	-0.1	27
1962-10-07	Malmo	W 5-2	56.3	1521	1564	42.41%	20.89%	36.71%	-0.01	+13.2	18
1962-10-07	@ Hammarby	L 2-5	56.3	1564	1521	36.71%	20.89%	42.41%	+0.01	-13.2	20
1962-10-07	Goteborg	L 4-7	54.8	1456	1641	24.18%	20.34%	55.48%	-1.25	-8.2	9
1962-10-07	@ Hogadals	W 7-4	54.8	1641	1456	55.48%	20.34%	24.18%	+1.25	+8.2	23
1962-10-07	Norrkoping	W 2-0	60.1	1515	1707	23.47%	20.28%	56.24%	-1.31	+17.8	15
1962-10-07	@ IFK Malmo	L 0-2	60.1	1707	1515	56.24%	20.28%	23.47%	+1.31	-17.8	28
1962-10-07	Degerfors	D 1-1	67.8	1563	1551	49.83%	20.81%	29.36%	+0.48	-0.8	20
1962-10-07	@ Orebro	D 1-1	67.8	1551	1563	29.36%	20.81%	49.83%	-0.48	+0.8	16
1962-10-07	Helsingborg	W 4-0	46.1	1607	1557	54.37%	20.66%	24.98%	+0.81	+17.1	22
1962-10-07	@ Orgryte	L 0-4	46.1	1557	1607	24.98%	20.66%	54.37%	-0.81	-17.1	20
1962-10-14	Orgryte	W 3-2	67.1	1552	1624	38.30%	20.86%	40.84%	-0.26	+6.4	18
1962-10-14	@ Degerfors	L 2-3	67.1	1624	1552	40.84%	20.86%	38.30%	+0.26	-6.4	22
1962-10-14	Norrkoping	L 1-2	65.7	1649	1689	42.89%	20.89%	36.23%	+0.02	-7.0	23
1962-10-14	@ Goteborg	W 2-1	65.7	1689	1649	36.23%	20.89%	42.89%	-0.02	+7.0	30
1962-10-14	IFK Malmo	D 0-0	62.4	1534	1533	48.40%	20.84%	30.76%	+0.38	-0.7	19
1962-10-14	@ Hammarby	D 0-0	62.4	1533	1534	30.76%	20.84%	48.40%	-0.38	+0.7	16
1962-10-14	Elfsborg	W 2-0	54.1	1540	1615	37.96%	20.86%	41.18%	-0.29	+13.6	22
1962-10-14	@ Helsingborg	L 0-2	54.1	1615	1540	41.18%	20.86%	37.96%	+0.29	-13.6	22
1962-10-14	Orebro	L 1-5	47.4	1448	1562	32.57%	20.74%	46.69%	-0.63	-17.8	9
1962-10-14	@ Hogadals	W 5-1	47.4	1562	1448	46.69%	20.74%	32.57%	+0.63	+17.8	22
1962-10-14	Djurgarden	L 0-4	49.1	1551	1693	29.11%	20.62%	50.28%	-0.87	-19.4	20
1962-10-14	@ Malmo	W 4-0	49.1	1693	1551	50.28%	20.62%	29.11%	+0.87	+19.4	29
1962-10-21	Goteborg	D 0-0	68.7	1712	1642	56.71%	20.54%	22.75%	+0.99	-1.5	30
1962-10-21	@ Djurgarden	D 0-0	68.7	1642	1712	22.75%	20.54%	56.71%	-0.99	+1.5	24
1962-10-21	Malmo	L 0-2	58.0	1601	1532	56.64%	20.54%	22.82%	+0.98	-18.0	22
1962-10-21	@ Elfsborg	W 2-0	58.0	1532	1601	22.82%	20.54%	56.64%	-0.98	+18.0	22
1962-10-21	Helsingborg	L 1-3	58.4	1534	1554	45.62%	20.87%	33.51%	+0.20	-12.8	16
1962-10-21	@ IFK Malmo	W 3-1	58.4	1554	1534	33.51%	20.87%	45.62%	-0.20	+12.8	24
1962-10-21	Degerfors	W 4-0	45.3	1696	1558	63.39%	20.02%	16.60%	+1.58	+11.9	32
1962-10-21	@ Norrkoping	L 0-4	45.3	1558	1696	16.60%	20.02%	63.39%	-1.58	-11.9	18
1962-10-21	Hammarby	D 0-0	64.0	1580	1533	54.04%	20.67%	25.29%	+0.78	-1.2	23
1962-10-21	@ Orebro	D 0-0	64.0	1533	1580	25.29%	20.67%	54.04%	-0.78	+1.2	20
1962-10-21	Hogadals	W 2-0	41.8	1618	1430	67.45%	19.49%	13.06%	+2.02	+5.0	24
1962-10-21	@ Orgryte	L 0-2	41.8	1430	1618	13.06%	19.49%	67.45%	-2.02	-5.0	9

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1962-09-09	16.88%	Orgryte	1584	2	@ Norrkoping	1718	0
2	1962-06-07	21.46%	Malmo	1506	3	@ Helsingborg	1590	1
3	1962-08-12	22.56%	Malmo	1520	2	@ Orgryte	1592	1
4	1962-10-21	22.82%	Malmo	1532	2	@ Elfsborg	1601	0
5	1962-08-26	22.95%	Malmo	1541	2	@ Goteborg	1610	1
6	1962-10-07	23.47%	@ IFK Malmo	1515	2	Norrkoping	1707	0
7	1962-09-22	24.37%	Malmo	1548	2	@ Orebro	1603	0
8	1962-05-03	26.42%	Malmo	1556	2	@ IFK Malmo	1593	1
9	1962-06-14	26.62%	Orgryte	1584	1	@ Orebro	1619	0
10	1962-08-08	26.80%	Hogadals	1512	2	@ IFK Malmo	1545	1
11	1962-09-12	26.90%	IFK Malmo	1524	1	@ Malmo	1557	0
12	1962-06-03	28.26%	Hammarby	1562	2	@ Degerfors	1583	1
13	1962-08-26	28.76%	Orebro	1598	4	@ Elfsborg	1615	3
14	1962-04-15	29.16%	Djurgarden	1567	8	@ Goteborg	1581	2
15	1962-05-20	29.39%	Helsingborg	1575	3	@ Hammarby	1587	1
16	1962-05-31	29.47%	IFK Malmo	1561	1	@ Orgryte	1572	0
17	1962-05-09	29.48%	@ Degerfors	1543	4	Norrkoping	1682	0
18	1962-05-20	30.55%	Degerfors	1566	2	@ IFK Malmo	1568	1
19	1962-06-05	30.59%	Orebro	1599	1	@ Djurgarden	1601	0
20	1962-05-24	30.60%	Orgryte	1564	2	@ Goteborg	1566	1
21	1962-05-13	30.85%	Hammarby	1564	3	@ Malmo	1565	0
22	1962-04-15	32.15%	Orgryte	1567	3	@ Hogadals	1557	1
23	1962-05-10	32.84%	Elfsborg	1613	1	@ Djurgarden	1598	0
24	1962-05-31	32.89%	Elfsborg	1622	1	@ Orebro	1607	0
25	1962-06-14	33.20%	IFK Malmo	1537	1	@ Hogadals	1519	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1962-04-15	30.41	Djurgarden	8	1567	29.16%	@ Goteborg	2	1581	50.04%	20.80%
2	1962-05-09	30.28	@ Degerfors	4	1543	29.48%	Norrkoping	0	1682	49.89%	20.63%
3	1962-06-11	27.50	Djurgarden	4	1593	34.57%	@ IFK Malmo	0	1565	44.55%	20.88%
4	1962-08-26	26.46	@ Degerfors	5	1547	46.34%	Helsingborg	0	1561	32.79%	20.87%
5	1962-05-13	22.57	Hammarby	3	1564	30.85%	@ Malmo	0	1565	48.31%	20.84%
6	1962-09-30	22.43	@ Goteborg	5	1618	52.41%	Orebro	0	1585	26.86%	20.73%
7	1962-08-21	22.07	@ Djurgarden	6	1626	57.97%	IFK Malmo	0	1544	21.57%	20.47%
8	1962-09-02	21.82	Elfsborg	6	1608	46.59%	@ Hogadals	1	1494	32.67%	20.75%
9	1962-06-14	21.05	@ Goteborg	4	1560	47.14%	Degerfors	0	1569	32.00%	20.86%
10	1962-06-03	20.58	Orgryte	3	1563	35.75%	@ Malmo	0	1527	43.36%	20.89%
11	1962-08-19	20.57	@ Goteborg	6	1589	48.81%	Hammarby	1	1585	30.36%	20.83%
12	1962-09-09	19.93	Orgryte	2	1584	16.88%	@ Norrkoping	0	1718	63.07%	20.05%
13	1962-10-14	19.42	Djurgarden	4	1693	50.28%	@ Malmo	0	1551	29.11%	20.62%
14	1962-06-14	18.86	@ Hammarby	3	1575	40.19%	Elfsborg	0	1634	38.93%	20.88%
15	1962-10-21	17.96	Malmo	2	1532	22.82%	@ Elfsborg	0	1601	56.64%	20.54%
16	1962-10-07	17.79	@ IFK Malmo	2	1515	23.47%	Norrkoping	0	1707	56.24%	20.28%
17	1962-10-14	17.77	Orebro	5	1562	46.69%	@ Hogadals	1	1448	32.57%	20.74%
18	1962-09-22	17.47	Malmo	2	1548	24.37%	@ Orebro	0	1603	55.01%	20.63%
19	1962-09-09	17.16	Djurgarden	3	1666	44.58%	@ Degerfors	0	1567	34.62%	20.80%
20	1962-10-07	17.11	@ Orgryte	4	1607	54.37%	Helsingborg	0	1557	24.98%	20.66%
21	1962-05-13	16.01	@ Norrkoping	4	1651	56.32%	IFK Malmo	0	1585	23.12%	20.56%
22	1962-06-07	15.93	Malmo	3	1506	21.46%	@ Helsingborg	1	1590	58.09%	20.46%
23	1962-05-27	15.26	@ Degerfors	5	1574	52.20%	Malmo	1	1542	27.06%	20.74%
24	1962-08-23	15.19	@ Norrkoping	5	1695	62.70%	Hammarby	0	1565	17.21%	20.09%
25	1962-08-08	14.29	Goteborg	2	1581	35.32%	@ Degerfors	0	1548	43.79%	20.88%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1962-10-07	77.0	@ Elfsborg	2	1615	37.47%	Djurgarden	2	1693	41.67%	20.85%
2	1962-05-24	76.5	@ Norrkoping	2	1674	58.32%	Helsingborg	2	1589	21.24%	20.44%
3	1962-08-08	75.1	@ Djurgarden	2	1627	55.52%	Helsingborg	2	1567	23.88%	20.60%
4	1962-08-17	75.1	@ Elfsborg	2	1616	52.37%	Orgryte	2	1583	26.90%	20.73%
5	1962-05-27	74.3	@ IFK Malmo	2	1561	42.09%	Orebro	2	1606	37.03%	20.89%
6	1962-08-26	74.0	Orebro	4	1598	28.76%	@ Elfsborg	3	1615	50.45%	20.79%
7	1962-09-30	73.8	@ Malmo	3	1565	60.82%	Hogadals	3	1455	18.92%	20.26%
8	1962-05-20	71.6	@ Hogadals	2	1536	47.45%	Malmo	2	1542	31.70%	20.85%
9	1962-05-06	71.1	@ Orgryte	1	1569	32.78%	Norrkoping	1	1682	46.47%	20.75%
10	1962-08-14	70.8	@ Orebro	1	1610	46.26%	Djurgarden	1	1626	32.87%	20.87%
11	1962-06-07	70.5	@ Orgryte	1	1584	41.45%	Elfsborg	1	1634	37.67%	20.89%
12	1962-06-14	70.1	@ Malmo	1	1522	27.69%	Norrkoping	1	1676	51.76%	20.55%
13	1962-05-03	69.4	@ Elfsborg	1	1614	55.63%	Goteborg	1	1553	23.77%	20.60%
14	1962-05-24	69.2	@ Djurgarden	1	1590	50.48%	Hammarby	1	1573	28.73%	20.79%
15	1962-05-17	69.0	@ Orgryte	1	1564	44.89%	Djurgarden	1	1590	34.23%	20.88%
16	1962-09-23	68.8	@ Djurgarden	0	1683	46.32%	Norrkoping	0	1698	32.82%	20.87%
17	1962-10-21	68.7	@ Djurgarden	0	1712	56.71%	Goteborg	0	1642	22.75%	20.54%
18	1962-04-23	68.4	@ Orebro	1	1589	53.84%	Hogadals	1	1544	25.48%	20.68%
19	1962-04-23	68.4	@ Orgryte	1	1580	51.53%	Degerfors	1	1554	27.71%	20.76%
20	1962-08-12	68.0	@ Hammarby	1	1586	54.78%	Degerfors	1	1533	24.58%	20.64%
21	1962-06-14	67.9	Djurgarden	3	1620	37.14%	@ Helsingborg	2	1574	41.97%	20.89%
22	1962-10-07	67.8	@ Orebro	1	1563	49.83%	Degerfors	1	1551	29.36%	20.81%
23	1962-10-14	67.1	@ Degerfors	3	1552	38.30%	Orgryte	2	1624	40.84%	20.86%
24	1962-05-31	66.8	@ Malmo	1	1527	44.08%	Goteborg	1	1559	35.03%	20.88%
25	1962-08-05	66.3	@ Orgryte	0	1593	46.00%	Orebro	0	1610	33.13%	20.87%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1962-10-21	41.8	@ Orgryte	2	1618	67.45%	Hogadals	0	1430	13.06%	19.49%
2	1962-08-26	43.9	@ Djurgarden	3	1648	64.05%	Hogadals	0	1503	16.01%	19.94%
3	1962-10-21	45.3	@ Norrkoping	4	1696	63.39%	Degerfors	0	1558	16.60%	20.02%
4	1962-08-23	45.7	@ Norrkoping	5	1695	62.70%	Hammarby	0	1565	17.21%	20.09%
5	1962-08-21	45.8	@ Djurgarden	6	1626	57.97%	IFK Malmo	0	1544	21.57%	20.47%
6	1962-10-07	46.1	@ Orgryte	4	1607	54.37%	Helsingborg	0	1557	24.98%	20.66%
7	1962-08-26	46.9	@ Degerfors	5	1547	46.34%	Helsingborg	0	1561	32.79%	20.87%
8	1962-05-13	47.1	@ Norrkoping	4	1651	56.32%	IFK Malmo	0	1585	23.12%	20.56%
9	1962-06-14	47.3	@ Goteborg	4	1560	47.14%	Degerfors	0	1569	32.00%	20.86%
10	1962-10-14	47.4	Orebro	5	1562	46.69%	@ Hogadals	1	1448	32.57%	20.74%
11	1962-09-30	47.7	@ Goteborg	5	1618	52.41%	Orebro	0	1585	26.86%	20.73%
12	1962-09-30	48.0	@ Helsingborg	2	1547	50.34%	Hammarby	0	1531	28.87%	20.79%
13	1962-05-27	48.1	@ Elfsborg	2	1614	57.60%	Hogadals	0	1535	21.91%	20.49%
14	1962-09-23	48.4	Helsingborg	2	1534	39.94%	@ Hogadals	0	1468	39.19%	20.87%
15	1962-08-19	48.9	@ Norrkoping	3	1683	56.99%	Orebro	0	1610	22.48%	20.52%
16	1962-05-13	49.1	@ Goteborg	2	1555	49.37%	Hogadals	0	1546	29.82%	20.82%
17	1962-10-14	49.1	Djurgarden	4	1693	50.28%	@ Malmo	0	1551	29.11%	20.62%
18	1962-08-19	49.4	@ Degerfors	4	1534	50.73%	Hogadals	1	1515	28.49%	20.78%
19	1962-05-27	49.5	@ Degerfors	5	1574	52.20%	Malmo	1	1542	27.06%	20.74%
20	1962-09-23	49.5	@ Orgryte	5	1603	55.42%	Hammarby	1	1545	23.98%	20.61%
21	1962-09-02	49.8	Elfsborg	6	1608	46.59%	@ Hogadals	1	1494	32.67%	20.75%
22	1962-06-03	49.9	@ Norrkoping	1	1685	66.02%	Hogadals	0	1516	14.28%	19.70%
23	1962-08-08	50.3	@ Norrkoping	1	1675	64.59%	Malmo	0	1523	15.53%	19.88%
24	1962-04-23	50.5	@ Djurgarden	2	1598	51.36%	Malmo	0	1573	27.87%	20.76%
25	1962-06-03	50.5	Orgryte	3	1563	35.75%	@ Malmo	0	1527	43.36%	20.89%