1963 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Norrkoping

31 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Malmo

4.45 points above expected

27 points · 22.55 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Halmia

10.83 points below expected

5 points · 15.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Norrkoping	22	12	7	3	31	47	30	+17	28.53	+2.47
2	Degerfors	22	14	1	7	29	48	32	+16	25.52	+3.48
3	AIK Stockholm	22	10	8	4	28	42	28	+14	25.01	+2.99
4	Malmo	22	11	5	6	27	43	31	+12	22.55	+4.45
5	Goteborg	22	11	4	7	26	52	31	+21	26.04	-0.04
6	Djurgarden	22	10	6	6	26	37	34	+3	23.70	+2.30
7	Orgryte	22	10	1	11	21	36	34	+2	20.73	+0.27
8	Orebro	22	6	8	8	20	31	33	-2	20.13	-0.13
9	Helsingborg	22	7	5	10	19	33	47	-14	19.94	-0.94
10	Elfsborg	22	7	4	11	18	29	42	-13	18.09	-0.09
11	Hammarby	22	5	4	13	14	43	60	-17	17.93	-3.93
12	Halmia	22	1	3	18	5	28	67	-39	15.83	-10.83

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Malmo	27	22.55	+4.45
2	Degerfors	29	25.52	+3.48
3	AIK Stockholm	28	25.01	+2.99
4	Norrkoping	31	28.53	+2.47
5	Djurgarden	26	23.70	+2.30

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Halmia	5	15.83	-10.83
2	Hammarby	14	17.93	-3.93
3	Helsingborg	19	19.94	-0.94
4	Orebro	20	20.13	-0.13
5	Elfsborg	18	18.09	-0.09

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Orgryte	4	May 19 – Jun 6	1 in 126
2	Degerfors	5	Apr 15 – May 12	1 in 72
3	Djurgarden	4	Aug 18 – Sep 11	1 in 33
4	Malmo	4	Aug 7 – Aug 25	1 in 32
5	Orebro	3	Sep 15 – Sep 29	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Halmia	12	Jun 16 – Oct 20	1 in 525
2	Orgryte	5	Apr 15 – May 16	1 in 81
3	Hammarby	4	May 19 – Jun 9	1 in 27
4	Elfsborg	4	Jun 6 – Aug 7	1 in 17
5	Goteborg	2	May 26 – May 30	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Norrkoping	13	Apr 15 – Aug 11	1 in 41
2	Djurgarden	8	Aug 18 – Oct 13	1 in 34
3	Elfsborg	4	Sep 22 – Oct 20	1 in 23
4	Orebro	5	Apr 28 – May 26	1 in 16
5	Malmo	7	Aug 7 – Sep 15	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Halmia	15	May 30 – Oct 20	1 in 31
2	Djurgarden	5	Apr 28 – May 26	1 in 16
3	Norrkoping	3	Aug 18 – Sep 1	1 in 11
4	Orgryte	5	Apr 15 – May 16	1 in 9
5	Orebro	5	Apr 15 – May 12	1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Norrkoping	1674	31	-73	6	6.7	-0.7
Degerfors	1635	29	-85	5	6.6	-1.6
AIK Stockholm	1680	28	+10	6	5.8	+0.2
Malmo	1675	27	+7	5	5.2	-0.2
Goteborg	1778	26	+85	6	6.2	-0.2
Djurgarden	1659	26	+1	5	5.4	-0.4
Orgryte	1651	21	+90	8	5.8	+2.2
Orebro	1591	20	+59	8	5.2	+2.8
Helsingborg	1489	19	-7	4	3.9	+0.1
Elfsborg	1514	18	+6	6	3.7	+2.3
Hammarby	1450	14	-47	1	2.9	-1.9
Halmia	1351	5	-48	0	2.6	-2.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AS	DEG	DJU	ELF	GOT	HAL	HAM	HEL	MAL	NOR	ORE	ORG
AIK Stockholm	—	2-0-0 2.33	0-1-1 3.15	1-1-0 3.57	0-0-2 2.85	2-0-0 3.77	2-0-0 3.73	2-0-0 3.19	0-1-1 3.05	0-2-0 2.22	0-2-0 3.21	1-1-0 3.30
Degerfors	0-0-2 3.22	—	0-1-1 3.36	2-0-0 3.41	1-0-1 2.61	2-0-0 3.36	2-0-0 3.58	2-0-0 3.49	1-0-1 3.35	1-0-1 2.46	2-0-0 3.82	1-0-1 3.59
Djurgarden	1-1-0 2.40	1-1-0 2.19	—	0-2-0 3.62	0-0-2 2.80	2-0-0 3.77	1-1-0 3.47	1-0-1 3.32	1-0-1 3.07	0-1-1 2.17	2-0-0 2.99	1-0-1 3.22
Elfsborg	0-1-1 1.98	0-0-2 2.14	0-2-0 1.94	—	1-0-1 1.83	1-0-1 3.38	2-0-0 2.75	2-0-0 2.53	0-0-2 2.12	0-0-2 1.29	1-1-0 2.46	0-0-2 2.74
Goteborg	2-0-0 2.70	1-0-1 2.94	2-0-0 2.75	1-0-1 3.73	—	1-1-0 4.26	1-1-0 3.75	0-1-1 3.66	0-1-1 3.07	1-0-1 2.43	1-0-1 3.65	1-0-1 3.46
Halmia	0-0-2 1.80	0-0-2 2.20	0-0-2 1.79	1-0-1 2.18	0-1-1 1.31	—	0-0-2 2.63	0-0-2 2.02	0-0-2 2.08	0-1-1 1.41	0-1-1 2.05	0-0-2 2.08
Hammarby	0-0-2 1.83	0-0-2 1.97	0-1-1 2.08	0-0-2 2.81	0-1-1 1.80	2-0-0 2.92	—	1-1-0 2.21	1-0-1 1.99	0-1-1 1.35	0-0-2 2.64	1-0-1 2.69
Helsingborg	0-0-2 2.36	0-0-2 2.07	1-0-1 2.23	0-0-2 3.02	1-1-0 1.89	2-0-0 3.53	0-1-1 3.34	—	0-1-1 2.47	0-1-1 1.69	1-1-0 3.01	2-0-0 2.01
Malmo	1-1-0 2.50	1-0-1 2.20	1-0-1 2.48	2-0-0 3.43	1-1-0 2.48	2-0-0 3.48	1-0-1 3.57	1-1-0 3.09	—	0-0-2 2.11	0-2-0 3.00	1-0-1 2.69
Norrkoping	0-2-0 3.33	1-0-1 3.09	1-1-0 3.38	2-0-0 4.28	1-0-1 3.12	1-1-0 4.16	1-1-0 4.21	1-1-0 3.87	2-0-0 3.45	—	0-1-1 3.96	2-0-0 3.85
Orebro	0-2-0 2.34	0-0-2 1.73	0-0-2 2.56	0-1-1 3.09	1-0-1 1.90	1-1-0 3.50	2-0-0 2.91	0-1-1 2.54	0-2-0 2.55	1-1-0 1.61	—	1-0-1 2.52
Orgryte	0-1-1 2.25	1-0-1 1.97	1-0-1 2.33	2-0-0 2.81	1-0-1 2.09	2-0-0 3.48	1-0-1 2.86	0-0-2 3.54	1-0-1 2.86	0-0-2 1.71	1-0-1 3.03	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.48	+6.5
Allowed	0.85	-5.4
Differential	0.92	+4.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	6.44%	3.79%	2.27%	0.76%	0.76%	18.56%
1	6.44%	11.36%	7.95%	2.27%	3.79%	1.52%	33.33%
2	3.79%	7.95%	5.30%	4.17%	1.14%	1.52%	23.86%
3	2.27%	2.27%	4.17%	—	1.14%	1.14%	10.98%
4	0.76%	3.79%	1.14%	1.14%	—	0.76%	7.58%
5+	0.76%	1.52%	1.52%	1.14%	0.76%	—	5.68%
Total	18.56%	33.33%	23.86%	10.98%	7.58%	5.68%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	1.78	+0.00
SD	1.53	1.53	2.06
CV	0.86	0.86	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
1	9.09%	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	18.18%	50.00%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	1.27	+0.64
SD	1.93	0.98	2.17
CV	1.01	0.77	—
Max	7	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
2	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
Total	31.82%	31.82%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.18	1.45	+0.73
SD	2.15	1.57	2.35
CV	0.99	1.08	—
Max	7	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	9.09%	18.18%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	36.36%	31.82%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.55	+0.14
SD	1.17	1.26	1.36
CV	0.70	0.82	—
Max	4	5	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.18%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	40.91%
1	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
2	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	40.91%	22.73%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.91	-0.59
SD	1.36	1.44	2.15
CV	1.03	0.76	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	4.55%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
2	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%
4	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
Total	27.27%	36.36%	22.73%	9.09%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.36	1.41	+0.95
SD	1.76	1.56	2.40
CV	0.74	1.11	—
Max	6	7	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	36.36%
2	—	—	—	18.18%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	18.18%	9.09%	27.27%	13.64%	22.73%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	3.05	-1.77
SD	1.12	1.96	1.60
CV	0.88	0.64	—
Max	4	7	+1
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	—	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	22.73%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%
5+	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
Total	4.55%	18.18%	27.27%	13.64%	27.27%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	2.73	-0.77
SD	1.62	1.52	1.88
CV	0.83	0.56	—
Max	6	6	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	—	9.09%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	45.45%
2	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
3	—	—	13.64%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	22.73%	50.00%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	2.14	-0.64
SD	0.86	1.67	1.89
CV	0.57	0.78	—
Max	3	7	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	22.73%	36.36%	22.73%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	1.41	+0.55
SD	1.65	1.14	1.84
CV	0.84	0.81	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
1	—	22.73%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
2	9.09%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
Total	18.18%	59.09%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.14	1.36	+0.77
SD	1.73	1.40	2.07
CV	0.81	1.03	—
Max	7	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
1	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	36.36%	22.73%	4.55%	13.64%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.50	-0.09
SD	1.18	1.30	1.44
CV	0.84	0.87	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	13.64%	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
2	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	13.64%	31.82%	18.18%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.55	+0.09
SD	1.14	1.37	1.93
CV	0.69	0.89	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Goteborg	1778	26	26.04	-0.04	52.0%	9	19	24	26	29	32	34
AIK Stockholm	1680	28	25.01	+2.99	82.0%	16	19	22	25	27	32	34
Malmo	1675	27	22.55	+4.45	92.0%	12	16	20	22	25	28	33
Norrkoping	1674	31	28.53	+2.47	77.0%	19	22	25	28	31	35	36
Djurgarden	1659	26	23.70	+2.30	69.0%	13	16	20	24	27	30	34
Orgryte	1651	21	20.73	+0.27	57.0%	9	15	18	21	23	26	28
Degerfors	1635	29	25.52	+3.48	84.0%	14	19	22	25	29	32	37
Orebro	1591	20	20.13	-0.13	53.0%	11	14	18	20	23	26	28
Elfsborg	1514	18	18.09	-0.09	56.0%	10	12	15	18	21	25	29
Helsingborg	1489	19	19.94	-0.94	47.0%	10	14	16	20	23	28	31
Hammarby	1450	14	17.93	-3.93	23.0%	8	12	15	18	20	25	32
Halmia	1351	5	15.83	-10.83	0.0%	7	10	13	16	18	21	25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+1.52%

No Edge

40.15%21.21%38.64%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 5.26 Elo pts.

167 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.10 goals

Neutral

-2+0.03+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.3

Open

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

40%

Norrkoping, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.09/gm

Tight Race

00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.16 * Some Luck: 3.16 to 4.75 * Lucky: 4.75 to 6.33 * Wild Swing: 6.33 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.66 * Close: 1.66 to 2.49 * Off: 2.49 to 3.32 * Way Off: 3.32 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.94 points

Some Luck

03.9610

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.67

Pinpoint

02.085

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

92.00%

Malmo

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

0.00%

Halmia

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.17

Top-Heavy

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 120.87

1.78

Strong Separation

0.951.41.652.75

Interquartile Edge

72%

Wide Edge

50%63%71.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

92%

Dominant

50%92%100%

Close Games

Expected

61%

Frequent

0%53%100%

Blowouts

Expected

23%

Frequent

0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.28

Very Even

00.30.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.15

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.16

Weak Carryover

00.380.530.691

Upset Rate

Expected

31%

Very Upset-Prone

0%28%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

19%

Solid Favorites

0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.

Probability calibration

0.94

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.99

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.105

Well Within Noise

00.1500.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Norrkoping	40.00%	21.00%	9.00%	13.00%	8.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	2.00%	—	—	—
Degerfors	14.00%	21.00%	14.00%	16.00%	8.00%	5.00%	6.00%	9.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%
AIK Stockholm	8.00%	18.00%	15.00%	14.00%	11.00%	13.00%	14.00%	5.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Malmo	4.00%	3.00%	13.00%	10.00%	16.00%	16.00%	8.00%	12.00%	6.00%	6.00%	2.00%	4.00%
Goteborg	18.00%	19.00%	24.00%	14.00%	9.00%	7.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	—	1.00%
Djurgarden	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	11.00%	16.00%	8.00%	12.00%	4.00%	10.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Orgryte	1.00%	—	3.00%	7.00%	13.00%	14.00%	13.00%	18.00%	8.00%	11.00%	5.00%	7.00%
Orebro	—	2.00%	6.00%	5.00%	8.00%	11.00%	11.00%	14.00%	18.00%	8.00%	12.00%	5.00%
Helsingborg	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	8.00%	4.00%	8.00%	12.00%	12.00%	11.00%	16.00%	11.00%	10.00%
Elfsborg	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	5.00%	7.00%	7.00%	9.00%	14.00%	17.00%	20.00%	17.00%
Hammarby	1.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%	6.00%	7.00%	12.00%	13.00%	10.00%	26.00%	18.00%
Halmia	—	—	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	4.00%	12.00%	20.00%	22.00%	35.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
AIK Stockholm	100%	—
Norrkoping	100%	—
Degerfors	99.00%	1.00%
Goteborg	99.00%	1.00%
Djurgarden	96.00%	4.00%
Malmo	94.00%	6.00%
Orgryte	88.00%	12.00%
Orebro	83.00%	17.00%
Helsingborg	79.00%	21.00%
Elfsborg	63.00%	37.00%
Hammarby	56.00%	44.00%
Halmia	43.00%	57.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1963-04-15	Orebro	D 0-0	65.3	1599	1580	43.14%	22.49%	34.38%	+0.15	-0.7	1
1963-04-15	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	65.3	1580	1599	34.38%	22.49%	43.14%	-0.15	+0.7	1
1963-04-15	Halmia	W 5-1	55.4	1567	1621	32.87%	22.46%	44.67%	-0.29	+45.6	2
1963-04-15	@ Degerfors	L 1-5	55.4	1621	1567	44.67%	22.46%	32.87%	+0.29	-45.6	0
1963-04-15	Djurgarden	D 1-1	69.7	1583	1645	31.76%	22.45%	45.79%	-0.34	+1.0	1
1963-04-15	@ Elfsborg	D 1-1	69.7	1645	1583	45.79%	22.45%	31.76%	+0.34	-1.0	1
1963-04-15	Hammarby	D 1-1	68.4	1612	1559	47.66%	22.44%	29.91%	+0.35	-1.3	1
1963-04-15	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	68.4	1559	1612	29.91%	22.44%	47.66%	-0.35	+1.3	1
1963-04-15	Norrkoping	D 0-0	66.1	1574	1638	31.57%	22.45%	45.98%	-0.35	+1.2	1
1963-04-15	@ Helsingborg	D 0-0	66.1	1638	1574	45.98%	22.45%	31.57%	+0.35	-1.2	1
1963-04-15	Orgryte	W 1-0	57.8	1565	1601	35.36%	22.49%	42.16%	-0.18	+14.6	2
1963-04-15	@ Malmo	L 0-1	57.8	1601	1565	42.16%	22.49%	35.36%	+0.18	-14.6	0
1963-04-18	Malmo	W 2-0	51.4	1644	1580	49.06%	22.41%	28.53%	+0.42	+20.2	3
1963-04-18	@ Djurgarden	L 0-2	51.4	1580	1644	28.53%	22.41%	49.06%	-0.42	-20.2	2
1963-04-21	AIK Stockholm	L 2-4	61.2	1576	1599	37.18%	22.50%	40.32%	-0.11	-19.3	0
1963-04-21	@ Halmia	W 4-2	61.2	1599	1576	40.32%	22.50%	37.18%	+0.11	+19.3	3
1963-04-21	Degerfors	L 0-1	55.3	1560	1613	33.10%	22.47%	44.43%	-0.28	-12.1	1
1963-04-21	@ Hammarby	W 1-0	55.3	1613	1560	44.43%	22.47%	33.10%	+0.28	+12.1	4
1963-04-21	Goteborg	W 2-1	60.9	1637	1611	44.11%	22.48%	33.41%	+0.19	+11.5	3
1963-04-21	@ Norrkoping	L 1-2	60.9	1611	1637	33.41%	22.48%	44.11%	-0.19	-11.5	1
1963-04-21	Elfsborg	L 1-4	55.0	1581	1584	40.05%	22.50%	37.45%	+0.01	-32.3	1
1963-04-21	@ Orebro	W 4-1	55.0	1584	1581	37.45%	22.50%	40.05%	-0.01	+32.4	3
1963-04-21	Helsingborg	L 1-2	61.6	1587	1575	42.10%	22.49%	35.41%	+0.10	-13.8	0
1963-04-21	@ Orgryte	W 2-1	61.6	1575	1587	35.41%	22.49%	42.10%	-0.10	+13.7	3
1963-04-25	Goteborg	D 1-1	68.1	1560	1599	34.90%	22.48%	42.61%	-0.20	+0.6	3
1963-04-25	@ Malmo	D 1-1	68.1	1599	1560	42.61%	22.48%	34.90%	+0.20	-0.5	2
1963-04-28	Helsingborg	L 0-2	58.5	1664	1589	50.46%	22.38%	27.16%	+0.48	-32.1	3
1963-04-28	@ Djurgarden	W 2-0	58.5	1589	1664	27.16%	22.38%	50.46%	-0.48	+32.1	5
1963-04-28	Degerfors	L 0-1	58.6	1616	1625	39.22%	22.50%	38.28%	-0.02	-13.8	3
1963-04-28	@ Elfsborg	W 1-0	58.6	1625	1616	38.28%	22.50%	39.22%	+0.02	+13.8	6
1963-04-28	Hammarby	L 3-6	59.0	1556	1548	41.63%	22.50%	35.87%	+0.08	-26.8	0
1963-04-28	@ Halmia	W 6-3	59.0	1548	1556	35.87%	22.50%	41.63%	-0.08	+26.8	3
1963-04-28	Norrkoping	D 1-1	69.0	1548	1648	27.11%	22.35%	50.54%	-0.57	+1.7	2
1963-04-28	@ Orebro	D 1-1	69.0	1648	1548	50.54%	22.35%	27.11%	+0.57	-1.8	4
1963-04-28	AIK Stockholm	L 2-3	64.3	1573	1618	34.15%	22.48%	43.37%	-0.24	-11.1	0
1963-04-28	@ Orgryte	W 3-2	64.3	1618	1573	43.37%	22.48%	34.15%	+0.24	+11.1	5
1963-05-01	Elfsborg	W 1-0	56.6	1629	1602	44.16%	22.48%	33.36%	+0.19	+12.1	7
1963-05-01	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	56.6	1602	1629	33.36%	22.48%	44.16%	-0.19	-12.1	3
1963-05-01	Malmo	W 2-1	57.9	1638	1560	50.76%	22.37%	26.87%	+0.50	+9.6	8
1963-05-01	@ Degerfors	L 1-2	57.9	1560	1638	26.87%	22.37%	50.76%	-0.50	-9.6	3
1963-05-01	Djurgarden	W 4-1	57.1	1599	1632	35.66%	22.49%	41.85%	-0.17	+33.5	4
1963-05-01	@ Goteborg	L 1-4	57.1	1632	1599	41.85%	22.49%	35.66%	+0.17	-33.5	3
1963-05-01	Orebro	D 1-1	68.4	1621	1550	49.88%	22.39%	27.73%	+0.45	-1.7	6
1963-05-01	@ Helsingborg	D 1-1	68.4	1550	1621	27.73%	22.39%	49.88%	-0.45	+1.6	3
1963-05-01	Halmia	D 1-1	68.6	1647	1530	55.24%	22.23%	22.53%	+0.73	-2.5	5
1963-05-01	@ Norrkoping	D 1-1	68.6	1530	1647	22.53%	22.23%	55.24%	-0.73	+2.5	1
1963-05-09	Hammarby	D 1-1	68.4	1599	1575	43.81%	22.48%	33.71%	+0.18	-0.7	4
1963-05-09	@ Djurgarden	D 1-1	68.4	1575	1599	33.71%	22.48%	43.81%	-0.18	+0.7	4
1963-05-09	Norrkoping	L 1-4	52.1	1551	1644	27.90%	22.37%	49.72%	-0.53	-24.3	3
1963-05-09	@ Malmo	W 4-1	52.1	1644	1551	49.72%	22.37%	27.90%	+0.53	+24.3	7
1963-05-12	Goteborg	L 0-2	56.2	1641	1632	41.72%	22.50%	35.78%	+0.09	-27.3	7
1963-05-12	@ AIK Stockholm	W 2-0	56.2	1632	1641	35.78%	22.50%	41.72%	-0.09	+27.3	6
1963-05-12	Helsingborg	W 3-1	59.2	1590	1619	36.29%	22.49%	41.21%	-0.14	+23.4	5
1963-05-12	@ Elfsborg	L 1-3	59.2	1619	1590	41.21%	22.49%	36.29%	+0.14	-23.4	6
1963-05-12	Halmia	D 0-0	62.5	1552	1532	43.21%	22.49%	34.30%	+0.15	-0.7	4
1963-05-12	@ Orebro	D 0-0	62.5	1532	1552	34.30%	22.49%	43.21%	-0.15	+0.7	2
1963-05-12	Degerfors	L 0-3	48.4	1562	1648	28.79%	22.39%	48.81%	-0.48	-29.5	0
1963-05-12	@ Orgryte	W 3-0	48.4	1648	1562	48.81%	22.39%	28.79%	+0.48	+29.5	10
1963-05-16	Orgryte	W 5-2	54.1	1575	1532	46.33%	22.46%	31.21%	+0.29	+23.0	6
1963-05-16	@ Hammarby	L 2-5	54.1	1532	1575	31.21%	22.46%	46.33%	-0.29	-23.0	0
1963-05-16	Elfsborg	W 2-0	52.9	1659	1613	46.72%	22.45%	30.83%	+0.31	+21.5	8
1963-05-16	@ Goteborg	L 0-2	52.9	1613	1659	30.83%	22.45%	46.72%	-0.31	-21.5	5
1963-05-16	Malmo	D 1-1	67.0	1596	1527	49.70%	22.40%	27.90%	+0.45	-1.6	7
1963-05-16	@ Helsingborg	D 1-1	67.0	1527	1596	27.90%	22.40%	49.70%	-0.45	+1.6	4
1963-05-19	AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	62.3	1678	1614	49.01%	22.41%	28.58%	+0.41	-16.6	10
1963-05-19	@ Degerfors	W 1-0	62.3	1614	1678	28.58%	22.41%	49.01%	-0.41	+16.6	9
1963-05-19	Orgryte	L 0-1	54.3	1533	1509	43.70%	22.48%	33.81%	+0.17	-15.0	2
1963-05-19	@ Halmia	W 1-0	54.3	1509	1533	33.81%	22.48%	43.70%	-0.17	+15.0	2
1963-05-19	Orebro	L 1-4	56.7	1598	1551	46.91%	22.45%	30.64%	+0.31	-36.9	6
1963-05-19	@ Hammarby	W 4-1	56.7	1551	1598	30.64%	22.45%	46.91%	-0.31	+36.9	6
1963-05-19	Djurgarden	W 2-1	59.5	1668	1598	49.81%	22.39%	27.79%	+0.45	+9.9	9
1963-05-19	@ Norrkoping	L 1-2	59.5	1598	1668	27.79%	22.39%	49.81%	-0.45	-9.9	4
1963-05-26	Elfsborg	W 1-0	57.7	1518	1592	30.28%	22.42%	47.30%	-0.41	+16.1	4
1963-05-26	@ Halmia	L 0-1	57.7	1592	1518	47.30%	22.42%	30.28%	+0.41	-16.1	5
1963-05-26	AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	59.0	1562	1630	30.98%	22.44%	46.59%	-0.38	-10.8	6
1963-05-26	@ Hammarby	W 2-1	59.0	1630	1562	46.59%	22.44%	30.98%	+0.38	+10.8	11
1963-05-26	Goteborg	W 2-1	65.9	1594	1681	28.73%	22.39%	48.88%	-0.49	+15.6	9
1963-05-26	@ Helsingborg	L 1-2	65.9	1681	1594	48.88%	22.39%	28.73%	+0.49	-15.6	8
1963-05-26	Degerfors	W 2-0	54.9	1678	1661	42.87%	22.49%	34.64%	+0.13	+23.6	11
1963-05-26	@ Norrkoping	L 0-2	54.9	1661	1678	34.64%	22.49%	42.87%	-0.13	-23.6	10
1963-05-26	Malmo	D 0-0	63.6	1588	1528	48.51%	22.42%	29.07%	+0.39	-1.6	7
1963-05-26	@ Orebro	D 0-0	63.6	1528	1588	29.07%	22.42%	48.51%	-0.39	+1.6	5
1963-05-26	Djurgarden	W 1-0	57.4	1524	1588	31.62%	22.45%	45.93%	-0.35	+15.7	4
1963-05-26	@ Orgryte	L 0-1	57.4	1588	1524	45.93%	22.45%	31.62%	+0.35	-15.7	4
1963-05-29	Orebro	W 1-0	56.7	1573	1586	38.49%	22.50%	39.01%	-0.05	+13.7	6
1963-05-29	@ Djurgarden	L 0-1	56.7	1586	1573	39.01%	22.50%	38.49%	+0.05	-13.7	7
1963-05-30	Hammarby	W 4-1	52.0	1576	1551	43.94%	22.48%	33.58%	+0.18	+28.2	7
1963-05-30	@ Elfsborg	L 1-4	52.0	1551	1576	33.58%	22.48%	43.94%	-0.18	-28.2	6
1963-05-30	Orgryte	L 0-1	62.8	1665	1540	56.10%	22.19%	21.71%	+0.78	-18.8	8
1963-05-30	@ Goteborg	W 1-0	62.8	1540	1665	21.71%	22.19%	56.10%	-0.78	+18.8	6
1963-05-30	Halmia	W 6-1	49.0	1530	1534	39.87%	22.50%	37.63%	+0.01	+48.7	7
1963-05-30	@ Malmo	L 1-6	49.0	1534	1530	37.63%	22.50%	39.87%	-0.01	-48.7	4
1963-06-03	Norrkoping	D 2-2	75.6	1641	1702	32.02%	22.45%	45.53%	-0.33	+0.7	12
1963-06-03	@ AIK Stockholm	D 2-2	75.6	1702	1641	45.53%	22.45%	32.02%	+0.33	-0.7	12
1963-06-03	Helsingborg	W 6-2	55.8	1637	1610	44.27%	22.48%	33.25%	+0.20	+30.6	12
1963-06-03	@ Degerfors	L 2-6	55.8	1610	1637	33.25%	22.48%	44.27%	-0.20	-30.6	9
1963-06-06	Degerfors	W 3-2	69.8	1586	1668	29.32%	22.41%	48.27%	-0.46	+14.6	8
1963-06-06	@ Djurgarden	L 2-3	69.8	1668	1586	48.27%	22.41%	29.32%	+0.46	-14.6	12
1963-06-06	Elfsborg	W 3-0	51.6	1559	1604	34.10%	22.48%	43.42%	-0.24	+40.9	8
1963-06-06	@ Orgryte	L 0-3	51.6	1604	1559	43.42%	22.48%	34.10%	+0.24	-40.9	7
1963-06-07	Helsingborg	L 2-3	58.6	1485	1579	27.81%	22.37%	49.82%	-0.53	-9.4	4
1963-06-07	@ Halmia	W 3-2	58.6	1579	1485	49.82%	22.37%	27.81%	+0.53	+9.4	11
1963-06-09	Norrkoping	L 2-5	53.2	1523	1701	18.90%	22.00%	59.10%	-1.04	-15.1	6
1963-06-09	@ Hammarby	W 5-2	53.2	1701	1523	59.10%	22.00%	18.90%	+1.04	+15.1	14
1963-06-09	AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	60.2	1578	1642	31.67%	22.45%	45.89%	-0.35	+15.7	9
1963-06-09	@ Malmo	L 0-1	60.2	1642	1578	45.89%	22.45%	31.67%	+0.35	-15.7	12
1963-06-09	Goteborg	L 1-4	53.4	1573	1646	30.32%	22.42%	47.26%	-0.41	-26.0	7
1963-06-09	@ Orebro	W 4-1	53.4	1646	1573	47.26%	22.42%	30.32%	+0.41	+26.0	10
1963-06-12	Djurgarden	D 1-1	69.6	1626	1601	43.97%	22.48%	33.55%	+0.18	-0.8	13
1963-06-12	@ AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	69.6	1601	1626	33.55%	22.48%	43.97%	-0.18	+0.8	9
1963-06-13	Orebro	W 1-0	53.0	1653	1547	54.11%	22.27%	23.62%	+0.67	+9.2	14
1963-06-13	@ Degerfors	L 0-1	53.0	1547	1653	23.62%	22.27%	54.11%	-0.67	-9.2	7
1963-06-13	Malmo	L 2-6	54.6	1563	1594	36.05%	22.49%	41.46%	-0.15	-32.6	7
1963-06-13	@ Elfsborg	W 6-2	54.6	1594	1563	41.46%	22.49%	36.05%	+0.15	+32.6	11
1963-06-13	Halmia	D 1-1	68.0	1672	1476	62.84%	21.78%	15.38%	+1.21	-3.8	11
1963-06-13	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	68.0	1476	1672	15.38%	21.78%	62.84%	-1.21	+3.8	5
1963-06-13	Hammarby	D 2-2	70.5	1589	1508	51.13%	22.36%	26.51%	+0.52	-1.4	12
1963-06-13	@ Helsingborg	D 2-2	70.5	1508	1589	26.51%	22.36%	51.13%	-0.52	+1.4	7
1963-06-13	Orgryte	W 2-0	51.0	1716	1600	55.16%	22.23%	22.60%	+0.73	+16.6	16
1963-06-13	@ Norrkoping	L 0-2	51.0	1600	1716	22.60%	22.23%	55.16%	-0.73	-16.6	8
1963-06-16	Goteborg	L 0-1	60.0	1663	1669	39.59%	22.50%	37.91%	+0.00	-13.9	14
1963-06-16	@ Degerfors	W 1-0	60.0	1669	1663	37.91%	22.50%	39.59%	+0.00	+13.9	13
1963-06-16	Halmia	W 1-0	49.1	1602	1480	55.79%	22.21%	22.01%	+0.76	+8.6	11
1963-06-16	@ Djurgarden	L 0-1	49.1	1480	1602	22.01%	22.21%	55.79%	-0.76	-8.6	5
1963-06-16	Norrkoping	L 0-4	44.4	1530	1733	16.84%	21.85%	61.31%	-1.18	-24.5	7
1963-06-16	@ Elfsborg	W 4-0	44.4	1733	1530	61.31%	21.85%	16.84%	+1.18	+24.5	18
1963-06-16	AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	60.7	1587	1625	35.05%	22.48%	42.47%	-0.20	-11.9	12
1963-06-16	@ Helsingborg	W 2-1	60.7	1625	1587	42.47%	22.48%	35.05%	+0.20	+11.9	15
1963-06-16	Hammarby	L 2-3	69.1	1627	1509	55.33%	22.22%	22.45%	+0.74	-16.6	11
1963-06-16	@ Malmo	W 3-2	69.1	1509	1627	22.45%	22.22%	55.33%	-0.74	+16.6	9
1963-06-16	Orebro	L 1-2	61.8	1583	1537	46.70%	22.45%	30.85%	+0.31	-15.0	8
1963-06-16	@ Orgryte	W 2-1	61.8	1537	1583	30.85%	22.45%	46.70%	-0.31	+15.0	9
1963-08-04	Helsingborg	W 7-1	50.6	1637	1575	48.78%	22.41%	28.80%	+0.40	+46.6	17
1963-08-04	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-7	50.6	1575	1637	28.80%	22.41%	48.78%	-0.40	-46.6	12
1963-08-04	Djurgarden	L 2-3	57.6	1471	1610	22.71%	22.20%	55.09%	-0.80	-7.9	5
1963-08-04	@ Halmia	W 3-2	57.6	1610	1471	55.09%	22.20%	22.71%	+0.80	+7.9	13
1963-08-07	Degerfors	L 3-7	61.9	1683	1649	45.12%	22.47%	32.41%	+0.23	-35.6	13
1963-08-07	@ Goteborg	W 7-3	61.9	1649	1683	32.41%	22.47%	45.12%	-0.23	+35.6	16
1963-08-07	Malmo	L 3-4	64.6	1525	1610	28.96%	22.40%	48.65%	-0.48	-9.5	9
1963-08-07	@ Hammarby	W 4-3	64.6	1610	1525	48.65%	22.40%	28.96%	+0.48	+9.5	13
1963-08-07	Elfsborg	W 4-1	48.3	1757	1506	66.94%	21.36%	11.71%	+1.53	+11.4	20
1963-08-07	@ Norrkoping	L 1-4	48.3	1506	1757	11.71%	21.36%	66.94%	-1.53	-11.4	7
1963-08-07	Orgryte	L 1-2	59.3	1552	1568	38.20%	22.50%	39.30%	-0.06	-12.7	9
1963-08-07	@ Orebro	W 2-1	59.3	1568	1552	39.30%	22.50%	38.20%	+0.06	+12.7	10
1963-08-11	Goteborg	L 3-5	65.4	1618	1647	36.37%	22.49%	41.13%	-0.14	-17.9	13
1963-08-11	@ Djurgarden	W 5-3	65.4	1647	1618	41.13%	22.49%	36.37%	+0.14	+17.9	15
1963-08-11	AIK Stockholm	D 2-2	73.0	1495	1684	17.94%	21.93%	60.12%	-1.10	+2.5	8
1963-08-11	@ Elfsborg	D 2-2	73.0	1684	1495	60.12%	21.93%	17.94%	+1.10	-2.5	18
1963-08-11	Norrkoping	L 4-7	53.3	1463	1769	10.04%	21.01%	68.95%	-1.80	-7.5	5
1963-08-11	@ Halmia	W 7-4	53.3	1769	1463	68.95%	21.01%	10.04%	+1.80	+7.5	22
1963-08-11	Degerfors	W 2-1	65.5	1620	1684	31.50%	22.44%	46.06%	-0.36	+14.8	15
1963-08-11	@ Malmo	L 1-2	65.5	1684	1620	46.06%	22.44%	31.50%	+0.36	-14.8	16
1963-08-11	Helsingborg	L 2-3	63.0	1540	1529	42.00%	22.49%	35.50%	+0.10	-13.0	9
1963-08-11	@ Orebro	W 3-2	63.0	1529	1540	35.50%	22.49%	42.00%	-0.10	+13.0	14
1963-08-11	Hammarby	W 4-2	56.2	1581	1516	49.16%	22.41%	28.44%	+0.42	+15.6	12
1963-08-11	@ Orgryte	L 2-4	56.2	1516	1581	28.44%	22.41%	49.16%	-0.42	-15.6	9
1963-08-18	Orgryte	D 1-1	70.5	1681	1597	51.59%	22.35%	26.06%	+0.54	-1.9	19
1963-08-18	@ AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	70.5	1597	1681	26.06%	22.35%	51.59%	-0.54	+1.9	13
1963-08-18	Elfsborg	W 3-0	43.8	1670	1497	60.73%	21.94%	17.33%	+1.06	+19.2	18
1963-08-18	@ Degerfors	L 0-3	43.8	1497	1670	17.33%	21.94%	60.73%	-1.06	-19.2	8
1963-08-18	Malmo	L 1-2	65.0	1665	1634	44.66%	22.48%	32.87%	+0.21	-14.4	15
1963-08-18	@ Goteborg	W 2-1	65.0	1634	1665	32.87%	22.48%	44.66%	-0.21	+14.4	17
1963-08-18	Djurgarden	L 1-2	58.1	1542	1600	32.31%	22.46%	45.24%	-0.32	-11.2	14
1963-08-18	@ Helsingborg	W 2-1	58.1	1600	1542	45.24%	22.46%	32.31%	+0.32	+11.2	15
1963-08-18	Orebro	L 2-3	75.7	1776	1527	66.81%	21.37%	11.82%	+1.52	-20.0	22
1963-08-18	@ Norrkoping	W 3-2	75.7	1527	1776	11.82%	21.37%	66.81%	-1.52	+20.0	11
1963-08-21	Halmia	W 4-3	58.9	1500	1455	46.59%	22.45%	30.96%	+0.30	+10.0	11
1963-08-21	@ Hammarby	L 3-4	58.9	1455	1500	30.96%	22.45%	46.59%	-0.30	-10.0	5
1963-08-22	Goteborg	L 1-3	57.6	1598	1650	33.19%	22.47%	44.34%	-0.28	-19.7	13
1963-08-22	@ Orgryte	W 3-1	57.6	1650	1598	44.34%	22.47%	33.19%	+0.28	+19.7	17
1963-08-25	Malmo	L 0-2	44.2	1446	1649	16.76%	21.84%	61.40%	-1.19	-12.8	5
1963-08-25	@ Halmia	W 2-0	44.2	1649	1446	61.40%	21.84%	16.76%	+1.19	+12.8	19
1963-08-25	Elfsborg	L 0-2	49.0	1510	1478	44.94%	22.47%	32.59%	+0.23	-29.0	11
1963-08-25	@ Hammarby	W 2-0	49.0	1478	1510	32.59%	22.47%	44.94%	-0.23	+29.0	10
1963-08-25	Degerfors	L 1-2	56.4	1531	1689	20.81%	22.11%	57.08%	-0.91	-7.8	14
1963-08-25	@ Helsingborg	W 2-1	56.4	1689	1531	57.08%	22.11%	20.81%	+0.91	+7.8	20
1963-08-25	Djurgarden	L 3-4	66.0	1547	1611	31.50%	22.44%	46.06%	-0.36	-10.1	11
1963-08-25	@ Orebro	W 4-3	66.0	1611	1547	46.06%	22.44%	31.50%	+0.36	+10.1	17
1963-08-27	AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	72.0	1756	1680	50.59%	22.38%	27.03%	+0.49	-1.8	23
1963-08-27	@ Norrkoping	D 1-1	72.0	1680	1756	27.03%	22.38%	50.59%	-0.49	+1.8	20
1963-08-29	Helsingborg	D 2-2	73.3	1670	1523	58.36%	22.08%	19.55%	+0.91	-2.2	18
1963-08-29	@ Goteborg	D 2-2	73.3	1523	1670	19.55%	22.08%	58.36%	-0.91	+2.2	15
1963-09-01	Norrkoping	W 1-0	62.5	1696	1754	32.38%	22.46%	45.16%	-0.32	+15.5	22
1963-09-01	@ Degerfors	L 0-1	62.5	1754	1696	45.16%	22.46%	32.38%	+0.32	-15.5	23
1963-09-01	Orgryte	W 3-2	63.6	1622	1579	46.31%	22.46%	31.23%	+0.29	+10.3	19
1963-09-01	@ Djurgarden	L 2-3	63.6	1579	1622	31.23%	22.46%	46.31%	-0.29	-10.3	13
1963-09-01	Halmia	W 3-2	53.8	1507	1433	50.30%	22.38%	27.31%	+0.48	+9.2	12
1963-09-01	@ Elfsborg	L 2-3	53.8	1433	1507	27.31%	22.38%	50.30%	-0.48	-9.2	5
1963-09-01	Orebro	D 2-2	73.4	1662	1537	56.10%	22.19%	21.71%	+0.78	-2.0	20
1963-09-01	@ Malmo	D 2-2	73.4	1537	1662	21.71%	22.19%	56.10%	-0.78	+2.0	12
1963-09-05	Hammarby	W 4-1	47.3	1681	1481	63.10%	21.76%	15.14%	+1.23	+14.4	22
1963-09-05	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-4	47.3	1481	1681	15.14%	21.76%	63.10%	-1.23	-14.4	11
1963-09-08	Goteborg	L 0-5	39.1	1423	1668	13.69%	21.54%	64.77%	-1.43	-25.0	5
1963-09-08	@ Halmia	W 5-0	39.1	1668	1423	64.77%	21.54%	13.69%	+1.43	+25.0	20
1963-09-08	Helsingborg	W 2-0	49.2	1467	1525	32.37%	22.46%	45.18%	-0.32	+29.1	13
1963-09-08	@ Hammarby	L 0-2	49.2	1525	1467	45.18%	22.46%	32.37%	+0.32	-29.1	15
1963-09-08	Elfsborg	W 1-0	51.3	1660	1516	58.00%	22.10%	19.90%	+0.89	+7.9	22
1963-09-08	@ Malmo	L 0-1	51.3	1516	1660	19.90%	22.10%	58.00%	-0.89	-7.9	12
1963-09-08	Degerfors	L 1-2	56.6	1539	1712	19.37%	22.03%	58.61%	-1.01	-7.3	12
1963-09-08	@ Orebro	W 2-1	56.6	1712	1539	58.61%	22.03%	19.37%	+1.01	+7.3	24
1963-09-11	AIK Stockholm	W 3-1	62.5	1632	1696	31.61%	22.45%	45.95%	-0.35	+25.6	21
1963-09-11	@ Djurgarden	L 1-3	62.5	1696	1632	45.95%	22.45%	31.61%	+0.35	-25.6	22
1963-09-11	Norrkoping	L 1-2	57.5	1568	1739	19.63%	22.04%	58.33%	-0.99	-7.4	13
1963-09-11	@ Orgryte	W 2-1	57.5	1739	1568	58.33%	22.04%	19.63%	+0.99	+7.4	25
1963-09-12	Hammarby	D 1-1	70.3	1746	1496	66.86%	21.37%	11.77%	+1.53	-4.5	26
1963-09-12	@ Norrkoping	D 1-1	70.3	1496	1746	11.77%	21.37%	66.86%	-1.53	+4.5	14
1963-09-15	Malmo	D 1-1	71.2	1670	1668	40.80%	22.50%	36.70%	+0.05	-0.3	23
1963-09-15	@ AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	71.2	1668	1670	36.70%	22.50%	40.80%	-0.05	+0.3	23
1963-09-15	Djurgarden	D 0-0	68.3	1719	1657	48.76%	22.42%	28.83%	+0.40	-1.7	25
1963-09-15	@ Degerfors	D 0-0	68.3	1657	1719	28.83%	22.42%	48.76%	-0.40	+1.6	22
1963-09-15	Orgryte	L 0-3	45.6	1508	1561	33.06%	22.47%	44.47%	-0.28	-33.0	12
1963-09-15	@ Elfsborg	W 3-0	45.6	1561	1508	44.47%	22.47%	33.06%	+0.28	+33.0	15
1963-09-15	Orebro	L 1-3	64.9	1693	1531	59.74%	22.00%	18.26%	+1.00	-32.6	20
1963-09-15	@ Goteborg	W 3-1	64.9	1531	1693	18.26%	22.00%	59.74%	-1.00	+32.6	14
1963-09-15	Halmia	W 3-2	51.5	1496	1398	53.06%	22.31%	24.63%	+0.62	+8.5	17
1963-09-15	@ Helsingborg	L 2-3	51.5	1398	1496	24.63%	22.31%	53.06%	-0.62	-8.5	5
1963-09-22	Orgryte	L 0-3	58.1	1718	1594	55.93%	22.20%	21.87%	+0.77	-51.2	25
1963-09-22	@ Degerfors	W 3-0	58.1	1594	1718	21.87%	22.20%	55.93%	-0.77	+51.2	17
1963-09-22	AIK Stockholm	W 4-0	51.9	1660	1670	39.10%	22.50%	38.40%	-0.03	+48.5	22
1963-09-22	@ Goteborg	L 0-4	51.9	1670	1660	38.40%	22.50%	39.10%	+0.03	-48.5	23
1963-09-22	Orebro	L 1-2	47.5	1390	1564	19.32%	22.02%	58.66%	-1.01	-7.3	5
1963-09-22	@ Halmia	W 2-1	47.5	1564	1390	58.66%	22.02%	19.32%	+1.01	+7.3	16
1963-09-22	Djurgarden	L 1-3	51.8	1501	1659	20.78%	22.11%	57.11%	-0.92	-13.4	14
1963-09-22	@ Hammarby	W 3-1	51.8	1659	1501	57.11%	22.11%	20.78%	+0.92	+13.4	24
1963-09-22	Elfsborg	L 1-2	56.1	1504	1475	44.50%	22.48%	33.03%	+0.21	-14.4	17
1963-09-22	@ Helsingborg	W 2-1	56.1	1475	1504	33.03%	22.48%	44.50%	-0.21	+14.4	14
1963-09-22	Malmo	W 2-1	60.8	1742	1668	50.26%	22.38%	27.35%	+0.47	+9.8	28
1963-09-22	@ Norrkoping	L 1-2	60.8	1668	1742	27.35%	22.38%	50.26%	-0.47	-9.8	23
1963-09-26	Helsingborg	W 4-1	47.7	1658	1490	60.35%	21.96%	17.69%	+1.04	+16.5	25
1963-09-26	@ Malmo	L 1-4	47.7	1490	1658	17.69%	21.96%	60.35%	-1.04	-16.5	17
1963-09-27	Degerfors	W 6-1	56.3	1621	1666	34.12%	22.48%	43.40%	-0.24	+54.6	25
1963-09-27	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-6	56.3	1666	1621	43.40%	22.48%	34.12%	+0.24	-54.6	25
1963-09-29	Norrkoping	D 1-1	71.9	1672	1752	29.65%	22.41%	47.93%	-0.44	+1.3	25
1963-09-29	@ Djurgarden	D 1-1	71.9	1752	1672	47.93%	22.41%	29.65%	+0.44	-1.4	29
1963-09-29	Goteborg	W 1-0	64.5	1490	1709	15.51%	21.73%	62.75%	-1.28	+20.9	16
1963-09-29	@ Elfsborg	L 0-1	64.5	1709	1490	62.75%	21.73%	15.51%	+1.28	-20.9	22
1963-09-29	Hammarby	W 2-0	45.9	1571	1487	51.47%	22.35%	26.18%	+0.53	+18.8	18
1963-09-29	@ Orebro	L 0-2	45.9	1487	1571	26.18%	22.35%	51.47%	-0.53	-18.8	14
1963-09-29	Halmia	W 3-0	37.2	1645	1383	67.69%	21.26%	11.05%	+1.60	+12.8	19
1963-09-29	@ Orgryte	L 0-3	37.2	1383	1645	11.05%	21.26%	67.69%	-1.60	-12.8	5
1963-10-10	Goteborg	L 2-4	53.9	1468	1688	15.49%	21.73%	62.78%	-1.28	-9.3	14
1963-10-10	@ Hammarby	W 4-2	53.9	1688	1468	62.78%	21.73%	15.49%	+1.28	+9.3	24
1963-10-13	Elfsborg	D 2-2	73.2	1674	1511	59.90%	21.99%	18.11%	+1.01	-2.4	26
1963-10-13	@ Djurgarden	D 2-2	73.2	1511	1674	18.11%	21.99%	59.90%	-1.01	+2.5	17
1963-10-13	Degerfors	L 1-4	40.7	1370	1612	13.86%	21.56%	64.57%	-1.42	-13.2	5
1963-10-13	@ Halmia	W 4-1	40.7	1612	1370	64.57%	21.56%	13.86%	+1.42	+13.3	27
1963-10-13	Helsingborg	W 2-1	53.1	1750	1474	68.58%	21.13%	10.29%	+1.69	+4.1	31
1963-10-13	@ Norrkoping	L 1-2	53.1	1474	1750	10.29%	21.13%	68.58%	-1.69	-4.1	17
1963-10-13	AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	67.1	1590	1676	28.80%	22.39%	48.80%	-0.48	+1.7	19
1963-10-13	@ Orebro	D 0-0	67.1	1676	1590	48.80%	22.39%	28.80%	+0.48	-1.7	26
1963-10-13	Malmo	W 3-2	68.2	1658	1675	38.08%	22.50%	39.42%	-0.07	+12.4	21
1963-10-13	@ Orgryte	L 2-3	68.2	1675	1658	39.42%	22.50%	38.08%	+0.07	-12.4	25
1963-10-20	Halmia	W 3-1	43.4	1674	1357	70.93%	20.73%	8.34%	+1.93	+5.8	28
1963-10-20	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-3	43.4	1357	1674	8.34%	20.73%	70.93%	-1.93	-5.8	5
1963-10-20	Hammarby	W 6-4	56.5	1625	1459	60.14%	21.98%	17.89%	+1.02	+9.6	29
1963-10-20	@ Degerfors	L 4-6	56.5	1459	1625	17.89%	21.98%	60.14%	-1.02	-9.6	14
1963-10-20	Orebro	D 2-2	70.8	1513	1592	29.72%	22.41%	47.87%	-0.44	+1.0	18
1963-10-20	@ Elfsborg	D 2-2	70.8	1592	1513	47.87%	22.41%	29.72%	+0.44	-1.0	20
1963-10-20	Norrkoping	W 6-0	55.6	1697	1754	32.47%	22.46%	45.07%	-0.31	+80.8	26
1963-10-20	@ Goteborg	L 0-6	55.6	1754	1697	45.07%	22.46%	32.47%	+0.31	-80.8	31
1963-10-20	Orgryte	W 2-1	66.5	1469	1670	16.95%	21.86%	61.19%	-1.17	+19.3	19
1963-10-20	@ Helsingborg	L 1-2	66.5	1670	1469	61.19%	21.86%	16.95%	+1.17	-19.3	21
1963-10-20	Djurgarden	W 2-1	63.5	1662	1671	39.16%	22.50%	38.34%	-0.02	+12.8	27
1963-10-20	@ Malmo	L 1-2	63.5	1671	1662	38.34%	22.50%	39.16%	+0.02	-12.8	26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1963-08-18	11.82%	Orebro	1527	3	@ Norrkoping	1776	2
2	1963-09-29	15.51%	@ Elfsborg	1490	1	Goteborg	1709	0
3	1963-10-20	16.95%	@ Helsingborg	1469	2	Orgryte	1670	1
4	1963-09-15	18.26%	Orebro	1531	3	@ Goteborg	1693	1
5	1963-05-30	21.71%	Orgryte	1540	1	@ Goteborg	1665	0
6	1963-09-22	21.87%	Orgryte	1594	3	@ Degerfors	1718	0
7	1963-06-16	22.45%	Hammarby	1509	3	@ Malmo	1627	2
8	1963-04-28	27.16%	Helsingborg	1589	2	@ Djurgarden	1664	0
9	1963-05-19	28.58%	AIK Stockholm	1614	1	@ Degerfors	1678	0
10	1963-05-26	28.73%	@ Helsingborg	1594	2	Goteborg	1681	1
11	1963-06-06	29.32%	@ Djurgarden	1586	3	Degerfors	1668	2
12	1963-05-26	30.28%	@ Halmia	1518	1	Elfsborg	1592	0
13	1963-05-19	30.64%	Orebro	1551	4	@ Hammarby	1598	1
14	1963-06-16	30.85%	Orebro	1537	2	@ Orgryte	1583	1
15	1963-08-11	31.50%	@ Malmo	1620	2	Degerfors	1684	1
16	1963-09-11	31.61%	@ Djurgarden	1632	3	AIK Stockholm	1696	1
17	1963-05-26	31.62%	@ Orgryte	1524	1	Djurgarden	1588	0
18	1963-06-09	31.67%	@ Malmo	1578	1	AIK Stockholm	1642	0
19	1963-09-08	32.37%	@ Hammarby	1467	2	Helsingborg	1525	0
20	1963-09-01	32.38%	@ Degerfors	1696	1	Norrkoping	1754	0
21	1963-08-07	32.41%	Degerfors	1649	7	@ Goteborg	1683	3
22	1963-10-20	32.47%	@ Goteborg	1697	6	Norrkoping	1754	0
23	1963-08-25	32.59%	Elfsborg	1478	2	@ Hammarby	1510	0
24	1963-04-15	32.87%	@ Degerfors	1567	5	Halmia	1621	1
25	1963-08-18	32.87%	Malmo	1634	2	@ Goteborg	1665	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1963-10-20	80.77	@ Goteborg	6	1697	32.47%	Norrkoping	0	1754	45.07%	22.46%
2	1963-09-27	54.58	@ AIK Stockholm	6	1621	34.12%	Degerfors	1	1666	43.40%	22.48%
3	1963-09-22	51.25	Orgryte	3	1594	21.87%	@ Degerfors	0	1718	55.93%	22.20%
4	1963-05-30	48.72	@ Malmo	6	1530	39.87%	Halmia	1	1534	37.63%	22.50%
5	1963-09-22	48.49	@ Goteborg	4	1660	39.10%	AIK Stockholm	0	1670	38.40%	22.50%
6	1963-08-04	46.61	@ AIK Stockholm	7	1637	48.78%	Helsingborg	1	1575	28.80%	22.41%
7	1963-04-15	45.64	@ Degerfors	5	1567	32.87%	Halmia	1	1621	44.67%	22.46%
8	1963-06-06	40.94	@ Orgryte	3	1559	34.10%	Elfsborg	0	1604	43.42%	22.48%
9	1963-05-19	36.85	Orebro	4	1551	30.64%	@ Hammarby	1	1598	46.91%	22.45%
10	1963-08-07	35.65	Degerfors	7	1649	32.41%	@ Goteborg	3	1683	45.12%	22.47%
11	1963-05-01	33.50	@ Goteborg	4	1599	35.66%	Djurgarden	1	1632	41.85%	22.49%
12	1963-09-15	33.01	Orgryte	3	1561	44.47%	@ Elfsborg	0	1508	33.06%	22.47%
13	1963-06-13	32.64	Malmo	6	1594	41.46%	@ Elfsborg	2	1563	36.05%	22.49%
14	1963-09-15	32.58	Orebro	3	1531	18.26%	@ Goteborg	1	1693	59.74%	22.00%
15	1963-04-21	32.35	Elfsborg	4	1584	37.45%	@ Orebro	1	1581	40.05%	22.50%
16	1963-04-28	32.09	Helsingborg	2	1589	27.16%	@ Djurgarden	0	1664	50.46%	22.38%
17	1963-06-03	30.62	@ Degerfors	6	1637	44.27%	Helsingborg	2	1610	33.25%	22.48%
18	1963-05-12	29.53	Degerfors	3	1648	48.81%	@ Orgryte	0	1562	28.79%	22.39%
19	1963-09-08	29.13	@ Hammarby	2	1467	32.37%	Helsingborg	0	1525	45.18%	22.46%
20	1963-08-25	29.01	Elfsborg	2	1478	32.59%	@ Hammarby	0	1510	44.94%	22.47%
21	1963-05-30	28.18	@ Elfsborg	4	1576	43.94%	Hammarby	1	1551	33.58%	22.48%
22	1963-05-12	27.29	Goteborg	2	1632	35.78%	@ AIK Stockholm	0	1641	41.72%	22.50%
23	1963-04-28	26.75	Hammarby	6	1548	35.87%	@ Halmia	3	1556	41.63%	22.50%
24	1963-06-09	25.96	Goteborg	4	1646	47.26%	@ Orebro	1	1573	30.32%	22.42%
25	1963-09-11	25.60	@ Djurgarden	3	1632	31.61%	AIK Stockholm	1	1696	45.95%	22.45%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1963-08-18	75.7	Orebro	3	1527	11.82%	@ Norrkoping	2	1776	66.81%	21.37%
2	1963-06-03	75.6	@ AIK Stockholm	2	1641	32.02%	Norrkoping	2	1702	45.53%	22.45%
3	1963-09-01	73.4	@ Malmo	2	1662	56.10%	Orebro	2	1537	21.71%	22.19%
4	1963-08-29	73.3	@ Goteborg	2	1670	58.36%	Helsingborg	2	1523	19.55%	22.08%
5	1963-10-13	73.2	@ Djurgarden	2	1674	59.90%	Elfsborg	2	1511	18.11%	21.99%
6	1963-08-11	73.0	@ Elfsborg	2	1495	17.94%	AIK Stockholm	2	1684	60.12%	21.93%
7	1963-08-27	72.0	@ Norrkoping	1	1756	50.59%	AIK Stockholm	1	1680	27.03%	22.38%
8	1963-09-29	71.9	@ Djurgarden	1	1672	29.65%	Norrkoping	1	1752	47.93%	22.41%
9	1963-09-15	71.2	@ AIK Stockholm	1	1670	40.80%	Malmo	1	1668	36.70%	22.50%
10	1963-10-20	70.8	@ Elfsborg	2	1513	29.72%	Orebro	2	1592	47.87%	22.41%
11	1963-06-13	70.5	@ Helsingborg	2	1589	51.13%	Hammarby	2	1508	26.51%	22.36%
12	1963-08-18	70.5	@ AIK Stockholm	1	1681	51.59%	Orgryte	1	1597	26.06%	22.35%
13	1963-09-12	70.3	@ Norrkoping	1	1746	66.86%	Hammarby	1	1496	11.77%	21.37%
14	1963-06-06	69.8	@ Djurgarden	3	1586	29.32%	Degerfors	2	1668	48.27%	22.41%
15	1963-04-15	69.7	@ Elfsborg	1	1583	31.76%	Djurgarden	1	1645	45.79%	22.45%
16	1963-06-12	69.6	@ AIK Stockholm	1	1626	43.97%	Djurgarden	1	1601	33.55%	22.48%
17	1963-06-16	69.1	Hammarby	3	1509	22.45%	@ Malmo	2	1627	55.33%	22.22%
18	1963-04-28	69.0	@ Orebro	1	1548	27.11%	Norrkoping	1	1648	50.54%	22.35%
19	1963-05-01	68.6	@ Norrkoping	1	1647	55.24%	Halmia	1	1530	22.53%	22.23%
20	1963-04-15	68.4	@ Goteborg	1	1612	47.66%	Hammarby	1	1559	29.91%	22.44%
21	1963-05-01	68.4	@ Helsingborg	1	1621	49.88%	Orebro	1	1550	27.73%	22.39%
22	1963-05-09	68.4	@ Djurgarden	1	1599	43.81%	Hammarby	1	1575	33.71%	22.48%
23	1963-09-15	68.3	@ Degerfors	0	1719	48.76%	Djurgarden	0	1657	28.83%	22.42%
24	1963-10-13	68.2	@ Orgryte	3	1658	38.08%	Malmo	2	1675	39.42%	22.50%
25	1963-04-25	68.1	@ Malmo	1	1560	34.90%	Goteborg	1	1599	42.61%	22.48%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1963-09-29	37.2	@ Orgryte	3	1645	67.69%	Halmia	0	1383	11.05%	21.26%
2	1963-09-08	39.1	Goteborg	5	1668	64.77%	@ Halmia	0	1423	13.69%	21.54%
3	1963-10-13	40.7	Degerfors	4	1612	64.57%	@ Halmia	1	1370	13.86%	21.56%
4	1963-10-20	43.4	@ AIK Stockholm	3	1674	70.93%	Halmia	1	1357	8.34%	20.73%
5	1963-08-18	43.8	@ Degerfors	3	1670	60.73%	Elfsborg	0	1497	17.33%	21.94%
6	1963-08-25	44.2	Malmo	2	1649	61.40%	@ Halmia	0	1446	16.76%	21.84%
7	1963-06-16	44.4	Norrkoping	4	1733	61.31%	@ Elfsborg	0	1530	16.84%	21.85%
8	1963-09-15	45.6	Orgryte	3	1561	44.47%	@ Elfsborg	0	1508	33.06%	22.47%
9	1963-09-29	45.9	@ Orebro	2	1571	51.47%	Hammarby	0	1487	26.18%	22.35%
10	1963-09-05	47.3	@ AIK Stockholm	4	1681	63.10%	Hammarby	1	1481	15.14%	21.76%
11	1963-09-22	47.5	Orebro	2	1564	58.66%	@ Halmia	1	1390	19.32%	22.02%
12	1963-09-26	47.7	@ Malmo	4	1658	60.35%	Helsingborg	1	1490	17.69%	21.96%
13	1963-08-07	48.3	@ Norrkoping	4	1757	66.94%	Elfsborg	1	1506	11.71%	21.36%
14	1963-05-12	48.4	Degerfors	3	1648	48.81%	@ Orgryte	0	1562	28.79%	22.39%
15	1963-05-30	49.0	@ Malmo	6	1530	39.87%	Halmia	1	1534	37.63%	22.50%
16	1963-08-25	49.0	Elfsborg	2	1478	32.59%	@ Hammarby	0	1510	44.94%	22.47%
17	1963-06-16	49.1	@ Djurgarden	1	1602	55.79%	Halmia	0	1480	22.01%	22.21%
18	1963-09-08	49.2	@ Hammarby	2	1467	32.37%	Helsingborg	0	1525	45.18%	22.46%
19	1963-08-04	50.6	@ AIK Stockholm	7	1637	48.78%	Helsingborg	1	1575	28.80%	22.41%
20	1963-06-13	51.0	@ Norrkoping	2	1716	55.16%	Orgryte	0	1600	22.60%	22.23%
21	1963-09-08	51.3	@ Malmo	1	1660	58.00%	Elfsborg	0	1516	19.90%	22.10%
22	1963-04-18	51.4	@ Djurgarden	2	1644	49.06%	Malmo	0	1580	28.53%	22.41%
23	1963-09-15	51.5	@ Helsingborg	3	1496	53.06%	Halmia	2	1398	24.63%	22.31%
24	1963-06-06	51.6	@ Orgryte	3	1559	34.10%	Elfsborg	0	1604	43.42%	22.48%
25	1963-09-22	51.8	Djurgarden	3	1659	57.11%	@ Hammarby	1	1501	20.78%	22.11%