1964 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Djurgarden

31 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Orgryte

6.24 points above expected

31 points · 24.76 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Goteborg

5.84 points below expected

18 points · 23.84 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Djurgarden	22	13	5	4	31	46	20	+26	27.49	+3.51
2	Malmo	22	13	5	4	31	45	20	+25	27.78	+3.22
3	Orgryte	22	14	3	5	31	54	36	+18	24.76	+6.24
4	Norrkoping	22	11	6	5	28	55	28	+27	26.68	+1.32
5	Elfsborg	22	12	2	8	26	42	32	+10	20.35	+5.65
6	Degerfors	22	9	4	9	22	40	47	-7	21.90	+0.10
7	AIK Stockholm	22	8	3	11	19	38	38	0	22.65	-3.65
8	Orebro	22	7	5	10	19	24	35	-11	20.76	-1.76
9	Goteborg	22	8	2	12	18	31	46	-15	23.84	-5.84
10	Helsingborg	22	7	3	12	17	42	53	-11	19.10	-2.10
11	IFK Eskilstuna	22	4	6	12	14	24	49	-25	16.09	-2.09
12	GAIS	22	2	4	16	8	21	58	-37	12.60	-4.60

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Orgryte	31	24.76	+6.24
2	Elfsborg	26	20.35	+5.65
3	Djurgarden	31	27.49	+3.51
4	Malmo	31	27.78	+3.22
5	Norrkoping	28	26.68	+1.32

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Goteborg	18	23.84	-5.84
2	GAIS	8	12.60	-4.60
3	AIK Stockholm	19	22.65	-3.65
4	Helsingborg	17	19.10	-2.10
5	IFK Eskilstuna	14	16.09	-2.09

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Elfsborg	5	Aug 23 – Sep 27	1 in 223
2	Degerfors	4	Sep 6 – Oct 4	1 in 66
3	Orebro	3	Sep 27 – Oct 11	1 in 33
4	Norrkoping	5	Jun 4 – Aug 13	1 in 26
5	Djurgarden	4	Apr 19 – May 7	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Goteborg	4	Oct 4 – Oct 25	1 in 50
2	Norrkoping	3	Sep 13 – Oct 4	1 in 46
3	IFK Eskilstuna	5	Sep 13 – Oct 18	1 in 20
4	Helsingborg	4	May 24 – Jun 10	1 in 20
5	Orebro	4	Jun 4 – Aug 12	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Elfsborg	9	Aug 23 – Oct 25	1 in 193
2	Norrkoping	13	May 3 – Sep 6	1 in 97
3	Djurgarden	12	Apr 19 – Aug 12	1 in 70
4	Malmo	10	May 18 – Aug 30	1 in 28
5	Orebro	5	Sep 27 – Oct 25	1 in 25

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Norrkoping	6	Aug 23 – Oct 4	1 in 165
2	Malmo	4	Oct 4 – Oct 25	1 in 21
3	GAIS	12	Apr 26 – Aug 23	1 in 16
4	Djurgarden	3	Sep 6 – Sep 27	1 in 10
5	Goteborg	4	Oct 4 – Oct 25	1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Orgryte	1655	31	+11	8	6.2	+1.8
Djurgarden	1681	31	+10	8	6.1	+1.9
Malmo	1680	31	-21	4	6.1	-2.1
Norrkoping	1711	28	+26	6	6.2	-0.2
Elfsborg	1625	26	+45	9	5.5	+3.5
Degerfors	1562	22	-26	4	5.3	-1.3
Orebro	1532	19	+35	8	4.6	+3.4
AIK Stockholm	1586	19	-5	4	5.2	-1.2
Goteborg	1559	18	-17	2	4.7	-2.7
Helsingborg	1529	17	+1	4	4.1	-0.1
IFK Eskilstuna	1452	14	-28	2	3.3	-1.3
GAIS	1358	8	-31	1	2.6	-1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AS	DEG	DJU	ELF	GAI	GOT	HEL	IE	MAL	NOR	ORE	ORG
AIK Stockholm	—	1-0-1 2.93	0-1-1 2.15	0-0-2 3.21	2-0-0 4.04	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 3.35	1-1-0 3.55	0-0-2 2.15	0-1-1 2.42	1-0-1 3.16	1-0-1 2.52
Degerfors	1-0-1 2.68	—	0-0-2 2.28	1-0-1 2.80	2-0-0 3.94	0-0-2 2.35	1-0-1 3.20	1-1-0 3.59	1-1-0 1.80	1-1-0 1.94	1-1-0 2.93	0-0-2 2.46
Djurgarden	1-1-0 3.47	2-0-0 3.34	—	0-1-1 3.90	2-0-0 4.57	2-0-0 2.96	2-0-0 3.71	1-0-1 3.99	0-1-1 2.74	1-1-0 2.86	1-0-1 3.87	1-1-0 3.05
Elfsborg	2-0-0 2.41	1-0-1 2.81	1-1-0 1.72	—	2-0-0 3.88	1-0-1 2.36	2-0-0 2.99	1-0-1 3.58	0-1-1 2.17	0-0-2 1.75	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 1.93
GAIS	0-0-2 1.58	0-0-2 1.68	0-0-2 1.07	0-0-2 1.74	—	1-0-1 1.45	0-0-2 2.06	0-1-1 2.24	0-0-2 1.18	1-1-0 1.26	0-1-1 1.77	0-1-1 1.32
Goteborg	1-0-1 3.00	2-0-0 3.27	0-0-2 2.66	1-0-1 3.26	1-0-1 4.18	—	0-1-1 3.51	1-1-0 3.84	0-0-2 2.25	0-0-2 2.74	1-0-1 3.34	1-0-1 2.58
Helsingborg	1-0-1 2.26	1-0-1 2.42	0-0-2 1.91	0-0-2 2.62	2-0-0 3.56	1-1-0 2.11	—	0-1-1 3.40	0-1-1 1.94	1-0-1 1.98	1-0-1 2.77	0-0-2 1.99
IFK Eskilstuna	0-1-1 2.06	0-1-1 2.03	1-0-1 1.63	1-0-1 2.03	1-1-0 3.38	0-1-1 1.78	1-1-0 2.22	—	0-0-2 1.39	0-0-2 1.64	0-1-1 2.11	0-0-2 1.72
Malmo	2-0-0 3.46	0-1-1 3.83	1-1-0 2.88	1-1-0 3.45	2-0-0 4.46	2-0-0 3.37	1-1-0 3.68	2-0-0 4.24	—	1-0-1 2.91	1-1-0 3.54	0-0-2 3.21
Norrkoping	1-1-0 3.20	0-1-1 3.68	0-1-1 2.75	2-0-0 3.88	0-1-1 4.38	2-0-0 2.88	1-0-1 3.64	2-0-0 3.98	1-0-1 2.70	—	1-1-0 3.79	1-1-0 3.07
Orebro	1-0-1 2.46	0-1-1 2.68	1-0-1 1.75	1-0-1 2.93	1-1-0 3.85	1-0-1 2.28	1-0-1 2.85	1-1-0 3.50	0-1-1 2.08	0-1-1 1.83	—	0-0-2 1.95
Orgryte	1-0-1 3.10	2-0-0 3.16	0-1-1 2.57	1-0-1 3.69	1-1-0 4.32	1-0-1 3.04	2-0-0 3.63	2-0-0 3.91	2-0-0 2.41	0-1-1 2.54	2-0-0 3.67	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.73	+5.6
Allowed	0.77	-5.3
Differential	0.94	+3.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	4.92%	6.44%	3.79%	1.52%	1.89%	24.62%
1	4.92%	5.30%	5.30%	6.06%	3.03%	2.27%	26.89%
2	6.44%	5.30%	6.06%	1.89%	—	1.52%	21.21%
3	3.79%	6.06%	1.89%	0.76%	0.38%	1.52%	14.39%
4	1.52%	3.03%	—	0.38%	—	0.38%	5.30%
5+	1.89%	2.27%	1.52%	1.52%	0.38%	—	7.58%
Total	24.62%	26.89%	21.21%	14.39%	5.30%	7.58%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.75	1.75	+0.00
SD	1.58	1.58	2.37
CV	0.90	0.90	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	—	13.64%	—	—	27.27%
1	—	—	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
3	—	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
4	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	22.73%	18.18%	31.82%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.73	+0.00
SD	1.55	1.28	2.29
CV	0.90	0.74	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	22.73%
1	—	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
2	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	13.64%	22.73%	36.36%	13.64%	—	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	2.14	-0.32
SD	1.53	1.70	2.44
CV	0.84	0.80	—
Max	5	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
3	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	9.09%	—	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
Total	36.36%	45.45%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.09	0.91	+1.18
SD	1.80	0.97	2.04
CV	0.86	1.07	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
1	9.09%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
3	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
Total	31.82%	22.73%	22.73%	18.18%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	1.45	+0.45
SD	2.07	1.37	2.52
CV	1.08	0.94	—
Max	7	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	36.36%
1	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	36.36%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	22.73%	18.18%	18.18%	18.18%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	2.64	-1.68
SD	0.90	1.79	1.59
CV	0.94	0.68	—
Max	3	7	+1
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	—	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	40.91%
2	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
3	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	18.18%	22.73%	18.18%	4.55%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	2.09	-0.68
SD	1.14	1.77	2.12
CV	0.81	0.85	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
1	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	18.18%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	9.09%	31.82%
3	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	22.73%	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	22.73%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	2.41	-0.50
SD	1.34	2.04	2.65
CV	0.70	0.85	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	36.36%
1	—	—	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	31.82%
2	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	13.64%	31.82%	9.09%	9.09%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	2.23	-1.14
SD	1.06	1.97	2.36
CV	0.98	0.89	—
Max	3	7	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	36.36%	40.91%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.05	0.91	+1.14
SD	1.79	0.87	2.08
CV	0.87	0.95	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	—	13.64%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	9.09%	—	—	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
5+	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	36.36%	22.73%	27.27%	9.09%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.50	1.27	+1.23
SD	1.82	1.32	2.29
CV	0.73	1.03	—
Max	7	5	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	31.82%
1	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
2	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	36.36%	22.73%	13.64%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.59	-0.50
SD	1.02	1.22	1.90
CV	0.93	0.77	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	27.27%
2	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	4.55%	—	13.64%	—	—	18.18%
Total	22.73%	31.82%	13.64%	27.27%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.45	1.64	+0.82
SD	1.82	1.36	2.26
CV	0.74	0.83	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Norrkoping	1711	28	26.68	+1.32	67.0%	17	20	24	27	29	32	37
Djurgarden	1681	31	27.49	+3.51	84.0%	17	19	25	28	30	34	37
Malmo	1680	31	27.78	+3.22	83.0%	17	22	26	28	30	34	35
Orgryte	1655	31	24.76	+6.24	96.0%	13	17	22	25	28	31	38
Elfsborg	1625	26	20.35	+5.65	96.0%	10	14	18	21	23	26	28
AIK Stockholm	1586	19	22.65	-3.65	24.0%	13	15	20	23	26	29	34
Degerfors	1562	22	21.90	+0.10	56.0%	11	16	19	22	25	28	35
Goteborg	1559	18	23.84	-5.84	12.0%	10	16	21	24	27	31	34
Orebro	1532	19	20.76	-1.76	37.0%	11	14	18	20	23	27	32
Helsingborg	1529	17	19.10	-2.10	37.0%	9	12	16	19	22	26	28
IFK Eskilstuna	1452	14	16.09	-2.09	33.0%	6	9	13	16	19	23	29
GAIS	1358	8	12.60	-4.60	11.0%	4	6	10	13	15	18	21

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+7.58%

No Edge

44.70%18.18%37.12%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 26.37 Elo pts.

127 Elo

0.008 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.44 goals

Neutral

-2+0.21+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.6

Open

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

28%

Djurgarden, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.00/gm

Photo Finish

00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.22 * Some Luck: 3.22 to 4.82 * Lucky: 4.82 to 6.43 * Wild Swing: 6.43 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.53 * Close: 1.53 to 2.3 * Off: 2.3 to 3.07 * Way Off: 3.07 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.83 points

Some Luck

04.0210

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.17

Pinpoint

01.924

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

96.00%

Orgryte

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

11.00%

GAIS

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.18

Lopsided

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 102.70

1.76

Strong Separation

0.951.41.652.75

Interquartile Edge

68%

Clear Edge

50%63%71.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

88%

Strong Edge

50%89%100%

Close Games

Expected

44%

Few

0%47%100%

Blowouts

Expected

30%

Very Frequent

0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.58

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.32

Slight Separation

00.30.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.91

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.52

Some Carryover

00.380.530.691

Upset Rate

Expected

25%

Upset-Prone

0%28%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

20%

As Expected

0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.

Probability calibration

0.91

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.16

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.065

Well Within Noise

00.1420.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Djurgarden	28.00%	23.00%	13.00%	15.00%	6.00%	6.00%	1.00%	6.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Malmo	28.00%	19.00%	21.00%	15.00%	4.00%	7.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—	—
Orgryte	11.00%	11.00%	16.00%	14.00%	14.00%	12.00%	5.00%	6.00%	4.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—
Norrkoping	21.00%	20.00%	16.00%	10.00%	13.00%	11.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Elfsborg	—	2.00%	2.00%	9.00%	8.00%	8.00%	22.00%	11.00%	17.00%	14.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Degerfors	1.00%	3.00%	7.00%	11.00%	9.00%	13.00%	11.00%	20.00%	10.00%	13.00%	2.00%	—
AIK Stockholm	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	16.00%	8.00%	17.00%	10.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%	1.00%
Orebro	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	9.00%	12.00%	8.00%	18.00%	23.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%
Goteborg	5.00%	11.00%	11.00%	9.00%	11.00%	16.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	7.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Helsingborg	—	3.00%	1.00%	6.00%	7.00%	6.00%	18.00%	6.00%	9.00%	17.00%	17.00%	10.00%
IFK Eskilstuna	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	3.00%	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	12.00%	19.00%	30.00%	22.00%
GAIS	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	31.00%	58.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Djurgarden	100%	—
Malmo	100%	—
Norrkoping	100%	—
Orgryte	99.00%	1.00%
Degerfors	98.00%	2.00%
Goteborg	95.00%	5.00%
AIK Stockholm	94.00%	6.00%
Elfsborg	93.00%	7.00%
Orebro	89.00%	11.00%
Helsingborg	73.00%	27.00%
IFK Eskilstuna	48.00%	52.00%
GAIS	11.00%	89.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1964-04-12	Norrkoping	D 3-3	80.0	1612	1607	47.16%	19.26%	33.58%	+0.25	-0.3	1
1964-04-12	@ AIK Stockholm	D 3-3	80.0	1607	1612	33.58%	19.26%	47.16%	-0.25	+0.3	1
1964-04-12	Orgryte	L 0-3	53.9	1595	1603	45.41%	19.27%	35.31%	+0.14	-23.2	0
1964-04-12	@ Degerfors	W 3-0	53.9	1603	1595	35.31%	19.27%	45.41%	-0.14	+23.3	2
1964-04-12	Orebro	W 1-0	55.8	1549	1579	42.38%	19.28%	38.34%	-0.03	+7.4	2
1964-04-12	@ Elfsborg	L 0-1	55.8	1579	1549	38.34%	19.28%	42.38%	+0.03	-7.4	0
1964-04-12	Helsingborg	L 0-1	50.6	1461	1539	35.69%	19.24%	45.07%	-0.40	-7.0	0
1964-04-12	@ GAIS	W 1-0	50.6	1539	1461	45.07%	19.24%	35.69%	+0.40	+7.0	2
1964-04-12	Goteborg	L 1-2	57.9	1516	1657	27.50%	19.04%	53.47%	-0.91	-5.3	0
1964-04-12	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 2-1	57.9	1657	1516	53.47%	19.04%	27.50%	+0.91	+5.3	2
1964-04-12	Djurgarden	W 1-0	56.4	1610	1601	47.69%	19.25%	33.06%	+0.28	+6.5	2
1964-04-12	@ Malmo	L 0-1	56.4	1601	1610	33.06%	19.25%	47.69%	-0.28	-6.5	0
1964-04-16	Elfsborg	W 2-0	50.3	1626	1557	55.24%	19.09%	25.67%	+0.75	+9.9	4
1964-04-16	@ Orgryte	L 0-2	50.3	1557	1626	25.67%	19.09%	55.24%	-0.75	-10.0	2
1964-04-19	IFK Eskilstuna	W 5-0	43.2	1595	1510	56.95%	19.03%	24.02%	+0.87	+22.0	2
1964-04-19	@ Djurgarden	L 0-5	43.2	1510	1595	24.02%	19.03%	56.95%	-0.87	-22.0	0
1964-04-19	Degerfors	W 2-0	50.7	1663	1571	57.70%	19.00%	23.30%	+0.92	+9.1	4
1964-04-19	@ Goteborg	L 0-2	50.7	1571	1663	23.30%	19.00%	57.70%	-0.92	-9.1	0
1964-04-19	Malmo	D 2-2	74.5	1546	1617	36.51%	19.25%	44.24%	-0.35	+0.2	3
1964-04-19	@ Helsingborg	D 2-2	74.5	1617	1546	44.24%	19.25%	36.51%	+0.35	-0.2	3
1964-04-19	GAIS	L 0-1	61.1	1608	1454	63.89%	18.64%	17.47%	+1.41	-11.7	1
1964-04-19	@ Norrkoping	W 1-0	61.1	1454	1608	17.47%	18.64%	63.89%	-1.41	+11.7	2
1964-04-19	AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	62.0	1572	1612	40.85%	19.28%	39.87%	-0.11	+7.2	2
1964-04-19	@ Orebro	L 1-2	62.0	1612	1572	39.87%	19.28%	40.85%	+0.11	-7.2	1
1964-04-23	Djurgarden	L 1-3	65.3	1672	1617	53.54%	19.14%	27.32%	+0.64	-16.0	4
1964-04-23	@ Goteborg	W 3-1	65.3	1617	1672	27.32%	19.14%	53.54%	-0.64	+16.0	4
1964-04-26	Orgryte	W 3-1	60.1	1605	1636	42.19%	19.28%	38.53%	-0.04	+12.1	3
1964-04-26	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-3	60.1	1636	1605	38.53%	19.28%	42.19%	+0.04	-12.1	4
1964-04-26	Elfsborg	W 3-1	54.9	1562	1547	48.58%	19.24%	32.17%	+0.33	+10.4	2
1964-04-26	@ Degerfors	L 1-3	54.9	1547	1562	32.17%	19.24%	48.58%	-0.33	-10.4	2
1964-04-26	Orebro	L 0-1	50.8	1466	1579	31.03%	19.15%	49.83%	-0.68	-6.2	2
1964-04-26	@ GAIS	W 1-0	50.8	1579	1466	49.83%	19.15%	31.03%	+0.68	+6.2	4
1964-04-26	Helsingborg	D 0-0	62.3	1489	1546	38.45%	19.27%	42.28%	-0.24	+0.2	1
1964-04-26	@ IFK Eskilstuna	D 0-0	62.3	1546	1489	42.28%	19.27%	38.45%	+0.24	-0.2	4
1964-04-26	Norrkoping	W 2-0	52.8	1617	1596	49.21%	19.23%	31.55%	+0.37	+11.9	5
1964-04-26	@ Malmo	L 0-2	52.8	1596	1617	31.55%	19.23%	49.21%	-0.37	-11.8	1
1964-05-03	Degerfors	W 3-0	48.5	1633	1573	54.15%	19.13%	26.72%	+0.68	+15.0	6
1964-05-03	@ Djurgarden	L 0-3	48.5	1573	1633	26.72%	19.13%	54.15%	-0.68	-15.0	2
1964-05-03	AIK Stockholm	W 3-0	52.9	1536	1617	35.21%	19.23%	45.56%	-0.43	+23.3	4
1964-05-03	@ Elfsborg	L 0-3	52.9	1617	1536	45.56%	19.23%	35.21%	+0.43	-23.3	3
1964-05-03	Goteborg	D 2-2	75.4	1546	1656	31.35%	19.15%	49.49%	-0.66	+0.6	5
1964-05-03	@ Helsingborg	D 2-2	75.4	1656	1546	49.49%	19.15%	31.35%	+0.66	-0.6	5
1964-05-03	IFK Eskilstuna	W 7-1	44.8	1584	1489	58.18%	18.98%	22.84%	+0.96	+20.6	3
1964-05-03	@ Norrkoping	L 1-7	44.8	1489	1584	22.84%	18.98%	58.18%	-0.96	-20.6	1
1964-05-03	Malmo	L 1-2	62.8	1585	1628	40.42%	19.28%	40.30%	-0.13	-7.3	4
1964-05-03	@ Orebro	W 2-1	62.8	1628	1585	40.30%	19.28%	40.42%	+0.13	+7.3	7
1964-05-03	GAIS	D 2-2	72.3	1624	1460	64.82%	18.57%	16.61%	+1.49	-1.6	5
1964-05-03	@ Orgryte	D 2-2	72.3	1460	1624	16.61%	18.57%	64.82%	-1.49	+1.6	3
1964-05-07	AIK Stockholm	W 3-1	58.2	1558	1594	41.51%	19.28%	39.21%	-0.07	+12.3	4
1964-05-07	@ Degerfors	L 1-3	58.2	1594	1558	39.21%	19.28%	41.51%	+0.07	-12.3	3
1964-05-07	Helsingborg	W 5-0	45.1	1648	1546	58.83%	18.95%	22.22%	+1.01	+20.5	8
1964-05-07	@ Djurgarden	L 0-5	45.1	1546	1648	22.22%	18.95%	58.83%	-1.01	-20.5	5
1964-05-07	Norrkoping	L 1-5	60.1	1655	1605	52.98%	19.16%	27.86%	+0.60	-29.0	5
1964-05-07	@ Goteborg	W 5-1	60.1	1605	1655	27.86%	19.16%	52.98%	-0.60	+29.0	5
1964-05-07	Orebro	D 2-2	70.8	1468	1578	31.41%	19.16%	49.43%	-0.65	+0.6	2
1964-05-07	@ IFK Eskilstuna	D 2-2	70.8	1578	1468	49.43%	19.16%	31.41%	+0.65	-0.5	5
1964-05-07	Orgryte	L 1-2	66.0	1636	1622	48.30%	19.25%	32.45%	+0.31	-8.5	7
1964-05-07	@ Malmo	W 2-1	66.0	1622	1636	32.45%	19.25%	48.30%	-0.31	+8.4	7
1964-05-10	Elfsborg	L 1-5	47.4	1462	1560	32.90%	19.19%	47.91%	-0.56	-19.4	3
1964-05-10	@ GAIS	W 5-1	47.4	1560	1462	47.91%	19.19%	32.90%	+0.56	+19.4	6
1964-05-15	Degerfors	W 5-0	47.9	1526	1570	40.28%	19.28%	40.44%	-0.14	+34.0	7
1964-05-15	@ Helsingborg	L 0-5	47.9	1570	1526	40.44%	19.28%	40.28%	+0.14	-34.0	4
1964-05-18	GAIS	W 2-0	43.0	1581	1442	62.60%	18.73%	18.67%	+1.30	+7.5	5
1964-05-18	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	43.0	1442	1581	18.67%	18.73%	62.60%	-1.30	-7.5	3
1964-05-18	Malmo	L 0-2	55.1	1579	1627	39.73%	19.27%	41.00%	-0.17	-14.3	6
1964-05-18	@ Elfsborg	W 2-0	55.1	1627	1579	41.00%	19.27%	39.73%	+0.17	+14.3	9
1964-05-18	Djurgarden	D 1-1	72.5	1634	1668	41.71%	19.28%	39.01%	-0.06	-0.1	6
1964-05-18	@ Norrkoping	D 1-1	72.5	1668	1634	39.01%	19.28%	41.71%	+0.06	+0.1	9
1964-05-18	Goteborg	L 0-2	55.0	1577	1626	39.63%	19.27%	41.09%	-0.18	-14.3	5
1964-05-18	@ Orebro	W 2-0	55.0	1626	1577	41.09%	19.27%	39.63%	+0.18	+14.3	7
1964-05-18	IFK Eskilstuna	W 2-1	52.4	1631	1469	64.66%	18.58%	16.76%	+1.48	+3.4	9
1964-05-18	@ Orgryte	L 1-2	52.4	1469	1631	16.76%	18.58%	64.66%	-1.48	-3.4	2
1964-05-21	Orgryte	L 3-5	70.0	1640	1634	47.35%	19.26%	33.39%	+0.26	-12.2	7
1964-05-21	@ Goteborg	W 5-3	70.0	1634	1640	33.39%	19.26%	47.35%	-0.26	+12.2	11
1964-05-24	GAIS	W 5-2	47.5	1536	1435	58.82%	18.95%	22.23%	+1.00	+9.3	6
1964-05-24	@ Degerfors	L 2-5	47.5	1435	1536	22.23%	18.95%	58.82%	-1.00	-9.3	3
1964-05-24	Orebro	W 3-1	54.8	1668	1563	59.25%	18.93%	21.82%	+1.04	+7.5	11
1964-05-24	@ Djurgarden	L 1-3	54.8	1563	1668	21.82%	18.93%	59.25%	-1.04	-7.5	5
1964-05-24	Norrkoping	L 0-1	56.9	1560	1634	36.12%	19.24%	44.64%	-0.37	-7.0	7
1964-05-24	@ Helsingborg	W 1-0	56.9	1634	1560	44.64%	19.24%	36.12%	+0.37	+7.0	8
1964-05-24	Elfsborg	W 3-1	56.9	1465	1565	32.73%	19.19%	48.09%	-0.57	+14.6	4
1964-05-24	@ IFK Eskilstuna	L 1-3	56.9	1565	1465	48.09%	19.19%	32.73%	+0.57	-14.6	6
1964-05-24	AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	59.3	1642	1589	53.27%	19.15%	27.58%	+0.62	+5.3	11
1964-05-24	@ Malmo	L 1-2	59.3	1589	1642	27.58%	19.15%	53.27%	-0.62	-5.3	5
1964-05-31	IFK Eskilstuna	D 0-0	63.4	1584	1480	59.06%	18.94%	22.00%	+1.02	-1.8	6
1964-05-31	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	63.4	1480	1584	22.00%	18.94%	59.06%	-1.02	+1.8	5
1964-05-31	Goteborg	L 0-1	56.4	1550	1628	35.55%	19.23%	45.21%	-0.41	-6.9	6
1964-05-31	@ Elfsborg	W 1-0	56.4	1628	1550	45.21%	19.23%	35.55%	+0.41	+6.9	9
1964-05-31	Degerfors	D 2-2	75.2	1641	1545	58.16%	18.98%	22.86%	+0.96	-1.1	9
1964-05-31	@ Norrkoping	D 2-2	75.2	1545	1641	22.86%	18.98%	58.16%	-0.96	+1.1	7
1964-05-31	Helsingborg	W 4-1	52.7	1555	1553	46.86%	19.26%	33.88%	+0.23	+15.4	7
1964-05-31	@ Orebro	L 1-4	52.7	1553	1555	33.88%	19.26%	46.86%	-0.23	-15.4	7
1964-05-31	Djurgarden	L 0-2	57.8	1646	1676	42.38%	19.28%	38.34%	-0.03	-15.1	11
1964-05-31	@ Orgryte	W 2-0	57.8	1676	1646	38.34%	19.28%	42.38%	+0.03	+15.1	13
1964-06-02	Malmo	L 0-3	42.2	1425	1647	19.22%	18.57%	62.20%	-1.53	-11.1	3
1964-06-02	@ GAIS	W 3-0	42.2	1647	1425	62.20%	18.57%	19.22%	+1.53	+11.2	13
1964-06-03	Elfsborg	D 1-1	71.6	1691	1543	63.40%	18.68%	17.92%	+1.37	-2.0	14
1964-06-03	@ Djurgarden	D 1-1	71.6	1543	1691	17.92%	18.68%	63.40%	-1.37	+2.0	7
1964-06-04	AIK Stockholm	L 1-3	64.0	1635	1582	53.36%	19.15%	27.50%	+0.63	-16.0	9
1964-06-04	@ Goteborg	W 3-1	64.0	1582	1635	27.50%	19.15%	53.36%	-0.63	+16.0	8
1964-06-04	Orebro	W 4-0	46.8	1640	1571	55.19%	19.09%	25.71%	+0.75	+18.9	11
1964-06-04	@ Norrkoping	L 0-4	46.8	1571	1640	25.71%	19.09%	55.19%	-0.75	-18.9	7
1964-06-07	Malmo	D 1-1	70.9	1547	1658	31.17%	19.15%	49.68%	-0.67	+0.8	8
1964-06-07	@ Degerfors	D 1-1	70.9	1658	1547	49.68%	19.15%	31.17%	+0.67	-0.8	14
1964-06-07	Orgryte	L 1-6	51.3	1537	1631	33.46%	19.20%	47.34%	-0.53	-24.1	7
1964-06-07	@ Helsingborg	W 6-1	51.3	1631	1537	47.34%	19.20%	33.46%	+0.53	+24.1	13
1964-06-07	GAIS	D 2-2	65.4	1482	1414	55.02%	19.10%	25.88%	+0.74	-0.9	6
1964-06-07	@ IFK Eskilstuna	D 2-2	65.4	1414	1482	25.88%	19.10%	55.02%	-0.74	+0.9	4
1964-06-10	Djurgarden	D 0-0	68.9	1598	1689	33.80%	19.21%	46.99%	-0.51	+0.6	9
1964-06-10	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	68.9	1689	1598	46.99%	19.21%	33.80%	+0.51	-0.6	15
1964-06-10	Helsingborg	W 4-3	63.3	1545	1513	50.69%	19.21%	30.10%	+0.46	+5.3	9
1964-06-10	@ Elfsborg	L 3-4	63.3	1513	1545	30.10%	19.21%	50.69%	-0.46	-5.3	7
1964-06-10	Degerfors	L 0-2	54.4	1552	1547	47.11%	19.26%	33.63%	+0.24	-16.5	7
1964-06-10	@ Orebro	W 2-0	54.4	1547	1552	33.63%	19.26%	47.11%	-0.24	+16.5	10
1964-06-10	Norrkoping	L 1-3	63.4	1655	1659	46.03%	19.27%	34.70%	+0.18	-14.0	13
1964-06-10	@ Orgryte	W 3-1	63.4	1659	1655	34.70%	19.27%	46.03%	-0.18	+14.0	13
1964-06-11	IFK Eskilstuna	W 6-0	42.0	1657	1481	65.91%	18.47%	15.62%	+1.59	+17.7	16
1964-06-11	@ Malmo	L 0-6	42.0	1481	1657	15.62%	18.47%	65.91%	-1.59	-17.7	6
1964-06-14	GAIS	W 3-1	47.4	1688	1415	72.74%	17.59%	9.67%	+2.35	+3.5	17
1964-06-14	@ Djurgarden	L 1-3	47.4	1415	1688	9.67%	17.59%	72.74%	-2.35	-3.5	4
1964-06-14	Malmo	L 2-6	58.9	1619	1675	38.67%	19.27%	42.07%	-0.23	-18.8	9
1964-06-14	@ Goteborg	W 6-2	58.9	1675	1619	42.07%	19.27%	38.67%	+0.23	+18.8	18
1964-06-14	AIK Stockholm	W 3-0	51.8	1508	1598	33.89%	19.21%	46.90%	-0.50	+23.9	9
1964-06-14	@ Helsingborg	L 0-3	51.8	1598	1508	46.90%	19.21%	33.89%	+0.50	-23.9	9
1964-06-14	Degerfors	D 0-0	62.0	1463	1564	32.54%	19.18%	48.28%	-0.58	+0.7	7
1964-06-14	@ IFK Eskilstuna	D 0-0	62.0	1564	1463	48.28%	19.18%	32.54%	+0.58	-0.7	11
1964-06-14	Elfsborg	W 5-0	45.1	1673	1550	60.95%	18.84%	20.21%	+1.17	+18.9	15
1964-06-14	@ Norrkoping	L 0-5	45.1	1550	1673	20.21%	18.84%	60.95%	-1.17	-18.9	9
1964-06-17	Goteborg	L 0-1	46.9	1412	1600	22.34%	18.79%	58.87%	-1.28	-4.7	4
1964-06-17	@ GAIS	W 1-0	46.9	1600	1412	58.87%	18.79%	22.34%	+1.28	+4.7	11
1964-06-17	Orgryte	L 0-1	55.2	1535	1641	31.90%	19.17%	48.94%	-0.62	-6.3	7
1964-06-17	@ Orebro	W 1-0	55.2	1641	1535	48.94%	19.17%	31.90%	+0.62	+6.3	15
1964-08-06	Norrkoping	L 0-2	51.1	1532	1691	25.40%	18.95%	55.65%	-1.05	-9.8	9
1964-08-06	@ Elfsborg	W 2-0	51.1	1691	1532	55.65%	18.95%	25.40%	+1.05	+9.8	17
1964-08-06	Goteborg	W 3-0	49.1	1694	1605	57.44%	19.01%	23.55%	+0.90	+13.4	20
1964-08-06	@ Malmo	L 0-3	49.1	1605	1694	23.55%	19.01%	57.44%	-0.90	-13.4	11
1964-08-09	Helsingborg	W 5-2	54.5	1574	1532	52.05%	19.18%	28.77%	+0.54	+11.6	11
1964-08-09	@ AIK Stockholm	L 2-5	54.5	1532	1574	28.77%	19.18%	52.05%	-0.54	-11.6	9
1964-08-09	Djurgarden	L 1-4	46.1	1407	1692	14.21%	18.05%	67.74%	-2.03	-7.1	4
1964-08-09	@ GAIS	W 4-1	46.1	1692	1407	67.74%	18.05%	14.21%	+2.03	+7.1	19
1964-08-12	IFK Eskilstuna	W 3-2	56.3	1563	1464	58.60%	18.96%	22.44%	+0.99	+4.2	13
1964-08-12	@ Degerfors	L 2-3	56.3	1464	1563	22.44%	18.96%	58.60%	-0.99	-4.2	7
1964-08-12	Orebro	W 3-1	53.2	1647	1529	60.58%	18.86%	20.57%	+1.14	+7.1	17
1964-08-12	@ Orgryte	L 1-3	53.2	1529	1647	20.57%	18.86%	60.58%	-1.14	-7.1	7
1964-08-12	Malmo	D 0-0	70.1	1699	1707	45.38%	19.27%	35.35%	+0.14	-0.5	20
1964-08-12	@ Djurgarden	D 0-0	70.1	1707	1699	35.35%	19.27%	45.38%	-0.14	+0.5	21
1964-08-13	AIK Stockholm	W 3-2	62.8	1701	1586	60.24%	18.88%	20.88%	+1.11	+3.9	19
1964-08-13	@ Norrkoping	L 2-3	62.8	1586	1701	20.88%	18.88%	60.24%	-1.11	-3.9	11
1964-08-16	IFK Eskilstuna	D 0-0	63.0	1592	1460	61.92%	18.78%	19.30%	+1.25	-2.1	12
1964-08-16	@ Goteborg	D 0-0	63.0	1460	1592	19.30%	18.78%	61.92%	-1.25	+2.1	8
1964-08-16	GAIS	W 4-1	41.7	1520	1400	60.76%	18.85%	20.39%	+1.15	+9.9	11
1964-08-16	@ Helsingborg	L 1-4	41.7	1400	1520	20.39%	18.85%	60.76%	-1.15	-9.9	4
1964-08-16	Elfsborg	W 2-0	48.6	1522	1522	46.52%	19.26%	34.21%	+0.21	+12.7	9
1964-08-16	@ Orebro	L 0-2	48.6	1522	1522	34.21%	19.26%	46.52%	-0.21	-12.7	9
1964-08-19	Degerfors	W 6-3	57.7	1655	1567	57.28%	19.02%	23.71%	+0.89	+9.1	19
1964-08-19	@ Orgryte	L 3-6	57.7	1567	1655	23.71%	19.02%	57.28%	-0.89	-9.1	13
1964-08-20	Helsingborg	W 4-1	50.2	1708	1530	65.99%	18.47%	15.54%	+1.60	+7.8	23
1964-08-20	@ Malmo	L 1-4	50.2	1530	1708	15.54%	18.47%	65.99%	-1.60	-7.8	11
1964-08-23	Orebro	W 4-0	45.1	1582	1535	52.65%	19.17%	28.19%	+0.58	+20.5	13
1964-08-23	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-4	45.1	1535	1582	28.19%	19.17%	52.65%	-0.58	-20.4	9
1964-08-23	Goteborg	L 1-2	61.7	1558	1590	42.14%	19.28%	38.58%	-0.04	-7.5	13
1964-08-23	@ Degerfors	W 2-1	61.7	1590	1558	38.58%	19.28%	42.14%	+0.04	+7.5	14
1964-08-23	Orgryte	W 3-0	56.1	1509	1664	25.99%	18.98%	55.03%	-1.01	+27.6	11
1964-08-23	@ Elfsborg	L 0-3	56.1	1664	1509	55.03%	18.98%	25.99%	+1.01	-27.6	19
1964-08-23	Norrkoping	D 0-0	64.9	1390	1705	12.24%	17.76%	70.00%	-2.27	+2.9	5
1964-08-23	@ GAIS	D 0-0	64.9	1705	1390	70.00%	17.76%	12.24%	+2.27	-2.9	20
1964-08-23	Djurgarden	W 2-0	60.9	1462	1699	17.88%	18.46%	63.66%	-1.65	+21.8	10
1964-08-23	@ IFK Eskilstuna	L 0-2	60.9	1699	1462	63.66%	18.46%	17.88%	+1.65	-21.8	20
1964-08-26	AIK Stockholm	W 3-0	49.3	1677	1603	55.79%	19.07%	25.14%	+0.79	+14.2	22
1964-08-26	@ Djurgarden	L 0-3	49.3	1603	1677	25.14%	19.07%	55.79%	-0.79	-14.2	13
1964-08-27	GAIS	L 1-2	63.8	1597	1393	68.11%	18.25%	13.64%	+1.81	-11.7	14
1964-08-27	@ Goteborg	W 2-1	63.8	1393	1597	13.64%	18.25%	68.11%	-1.81	+11.7	7
1964-08-27	Orgryte	D 2-2	77.6	1702	1636	54.88%	19.10%	26.01%	+0.73	-0.9	21
1964-08-27	@ Norrkoping	D 2-2	77.6	1636	1702	26.01%	19.10%	54.88%	-0.73	+0.9	20
1964-08-30	Orebro	D 1-1	66.8	1551	1514	51.27%	19.20%	29.53%	+0.49	-0.9	14
1964-08-30	@ Degerfors	D 1-1	66.8	1514	1551	29.53%	19.20%	51.27%	-0.49	+0.9	10
1964-08-30	Elfsborg	L 2-3	64.2	1522	1537	44.54%	19.28%	36.18%	+0.10	-7.5	11
1964-08-30	@ Helsingborg	W 3-2	64.2	1537	1522	36.18%	19.28%	44.54%	-0.10	+7.5	13
1964-08-30	Malmo	L 1-2	55.6	1483	1715	18.31%	18.50%	63.19%	-1.62	-3.7	10
1964-08-30	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 2-1	55.6	1715	1483	63.19%	18.50%	18.31%	+1.62	+3.7	25
1964-09-03	Helsingborg	W 5-3	59.2	1637	1515	60.94%	18.84%	20.22%	+1.17	+5.9	22
1964-09-03	@ Orgryte	L 3-5	59.2	1515	1637	20.22%	18.84%	60.94%	-1.17	-5.9	11
1964-09-06	Goteborg	L 1-2	63.8	1588	1585	46.91%	19.26%	33.83%	+0.23	-8.2	13
1964-09-06	@ AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	63.8	1585	1588	33.83%	19.26%	46.91%	-0.23	+8.2	16
1964-09-06	Djurgarden	W 2-0	59.9	1544	1691	26.89%	19.01%	54.10%	-0.95	+18.7	15
1964-09-06	@ Elfsborg	L 0-2	59.9	1691	1544	54.10%	19.01%	26.89%	+0.95	-18.7	22
1964-09-06	IFK Eskilstuna	L 1-3	48.0	1404	1480	35.95%	19.24%	44.81%	-0.38	-11.4	7
1964-09-06	@ GAIS	W 3-1	48.0	1480	1404	44.81%	19.24%	35.95%	+0.38	+11.4	12
1964-09-06	Degerfors	L 0-2	63.7	1719	1550	65.30%	18.53%	16.18%	+1.54	-22.5	25
1964-09-06	@ Malmo	W 2-0	63.7	1550	1719	16.18%	18.53%	65.30%	-1.54	+22.5	16
1964-09-06	Norrkoping	D 2-2	75.9	1515	1701	22.59%	18.80%	58.61%	-1.26	+1.2	11
1964-09-06	@ Orebro	D 2-2	75.9	1701	1515	58.61%	18.80%	22.59%	+1.26	-1.2	22
1964-09-13	Norrkoping	W 3-1	64.5	1572	1700	29.11%	19.09%	51.80%	-0.80	+15.6	18
1964-09-13	@ Degerfors	L 1-3	64.5	1700	1572	51.80%	19.09%	29.11%	+0.80	-15.5	22
1964-09-13	Orgryte	D 1-1	72.7	1672	1643	50.35%	19.21%	30.43%	+0.44	-0.8	23
1964-09-13	@ Djurgarden	D 1-1	72.7	1643	1672	30.43%	19.21%	50.35%	-0.44	+0.8	23
1964-09-13	Orebro	W 3-0	45.5	1509	1516	45.51%	19.27%	35.22%	+0.15	+18.9	13
1964-09-13	@ Helsingborg	L 0-3	45.5	1516	1509	35.22%	19.27%	45.51%	-0.15	-18.9	11
1964-09-13	AIK Stockholm	L 1-3	54.2	1491	1580	34.09%	19.21%	46.70%	-0.49	-10.9	12
1964-09-13	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 3-1	54.2	1580	1491	46.70%	19.21%	34.09%	+0.49	+11.0	15
1964-09-16	Elfsborg	L 0-2	57.1	1594	1563	50.55%	19.21%	30.24%	+0.45	-17.6	16
1964-09-16	@ Goteborg	W 2-0	57.1	1563	1594	30.24%	19.21%	50.55%	-0.45	+17.6	17
1964-09-16	GAIS	W 4-1	43.8	1697	1393	74.44%	17.26%	8.30%	+2.59	+4.2	27
1964-09-16	@ Malmo	L 1-4	43.8	1393	1697	8.30%	17.26%	74.44%	-2.59	-4.2	7
1964-09-24	Goteborg	L 1-5	60.0	1644	1576	55.06%	19.10%	25.85%	+0.74	-30.1	23
1964-09-24	@ Orgryte	W 5-1	60.0	1576	1644	25.85%	19.10%	55.06%	-0.74	+30.1	18
1964-09-27	Malmo	L 1-3	58.7	1591	1701	31.40%	19.16%	49.45%	-0.65	-10.2	15
1964-09-27	@ AIK Stockholm	W 3-1	58.7	1701	1591	49.45%	19.16%	31.40%	+0.65	+10.2	29
1964-09-27	IFK Eskilstuna	W 2-1	52.9	1580	1480	58.67%	18.96%	22.37%	+0.99	+4.4	19
1964-09-27	@ Elfsborg	L 1-2	52.9	1480	1580	22.37%	18.96%	58.67%	-0.99	-4.4	12
1964-09-27	Degerfors	L 2-3	54.0	1389	1588	21.34%	18.73%	59.94%	-1.36	-4.0	7
1964-09-27	@ GAIS	W 3-2	54.0	1588	1389	59.94%	18.73%	21.34%	+1.36	+4.0	20
1964-09-27	Helsingborg	L 1-2	69.7	1685	1528	64.22%	18.62%	17.17%	+1.44	-11.0	22
1964-09-27	@ Norrkoping	W 2-1	69.7	1528	1685	17.17%	18.62%	64.22%	-1.44	+11.0	15
1964-09-27	Djurgarden	W 2-0	59.4	1497	1671	23.87%	18.88%	57.25%	-1.16	+19.7	13
1964-09-27	@ Orebro	L 0-2	59.4	1671	1497	57.25%	18.88%	23.87%	+1.16	-19.7	23
1964-10-01	AIK Stockholm	L 0-4	37.6	1385	1581	21.61%	18.74%	59.64%	-1.33	-16.2	7
1964-10-01	@ GAIS	W 4-0	37.6	1581	1385	59.64%	18.74%	21.61%	+1.33	+16.2	17
1964-10-04	Helsingborg	W 5-2	54.8	1592	1539	53.30%	19.15%	27.55%	+0.62	+11.2	22
1964-10-04	@ Degerfors	L 2-5	54.8	1539	1592	27.55%	19.15%	53.30%	-0.62	-11.2	15
1964-10-04	Norrkoping	W 5-4	73.5	1652	1674	43.46%	19.28%	37.26%	+0.03	+6.2	25
1964-10-04	@ Djurgarden	L 4-5	73.5	1674	1652	37.26%	19.28%	43.46%	-0.03	-6.2	22
1964-10-04	Orebro	L 1-2	65.5	1606	1517	57.48%	19.01%	23.52%	+0.91	-9.9	18
1964-10-04	@ Goteborg	W 2-1	65.5	1517	1606	23.52%	19.01%	57.48%	-0.91	+9.9	15
1964-10-04	Orgryte	L 1-4	50.2	1476	1614	27.94%	19.05%	53.01%	-0.88	-13.1	12
1964-10-04	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 4-1	50.2	1614	1476	53.01%	19.05%	27.94%	+0.88	+13.1	25
1964-10-04	Elfsborg	D 0-0	69.2	1711	1585	61.35%	18.81%	19.83%	+1.20	-2.0	30
1964-10-04	@ Malmo	D 0-0	69.2	1585	1711	19.83%	18.81%	61.35%	-1.20	+2.0	20
1964-10-11	Degerfors	W 3-1	58.2	1597	1603	45.70%	19.27%	35.03%	+0.16	+11.2	19
1964-10-11	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-3	58.2	1603	1597	35.03%	19.27%	45.70%	-0.16	-11.2	22
1964-10-11	GAIS	W 7-3	42.3	1587	1369	69.13%	18.13%	12.74%	+1.92	+6.4	22
1964-10-11	@ Elfsborg	L 3-7	42.3	1369	1587	12.74%	18.13%	69.13%	-1.92	-6.4	7
1964-10-11	Djurgarden	L 0-1	54.5	1528	1658	28.85%	19.08%	52.07%	-0.82	-5.8	15
1964-10-11	@ Helsingborg	W 1-0	54.5	1658	1528	52.07%	19.08%	28.85%	+0.82	+5.8	27
1964-10-11	Goteborg	W 2-0	51.8	1667	1596	55.47%	19.08%	25.45%	+0.77	+9.9	24
1964-10-11	@ Norrkoping	L 0-2	51.8	1596	1667	25.45%	19.08%	55.47%	-0.77	-9.9	18
1964-10-11	IFK Eskilstuna	W 1-0	47.3	1527	1463	54.64%	19.11%	26.25%	+0.71	+5.4	17
1964-10-11	@ Orebro	L 0-1	47.3	1463	1527	26.25%	19.11%	54.64%	-0.71	-5.4	12
1964-10-11	Malmo	W 1-0	62.1	1627	1709	34.99%	19.23%	45.78%	-0.44	+8.5	27
1964-10-11	@ Orgryte	L 0-1	62.1	1709	1627	45.78%	19.23%	34.99%	+0.44	-8.5	30
1964-10-15	Orgryte	L 0-2	40.8	1362	1635	15.05%	18.16%	66.79%	-1.94	-6.1	7
1964-10-15	@ GAIS	W 2-0	40.8	1635	1362	66.79%	18.16%	15.05%	+1.94	+6.1	29
1964-10-18	Elfsborg	L 0-1	60.8	1608	1593	48.51%	19.24%	32.24%	+0.33	-9.0	19
1964-10-18	@ AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	60.8	1593	1608	32.24%	19.24%	48.51%	-0.33	+9.0	24
1964-10-18	Djurgarden	L 1-2	62.4	1592	1664	36.41%	19.25%	44.34%	-0.36	-6.7	22
1964-10-18	@ Degerfors	W 2-1	62.4	1664	1592	44.34%	19.25%	36.41%	+0.36	+6.7	29
1964-10-18	Helsingborg	L 1-3	61.5	1586	1522	54.68%	19.11%	26.21%	+0.71	-16.4	18
1964-10-18	@ Goteborg	W 3-1	61.5	1522	1586	26.21%	19.11%	54.68%	-0.71	+16.4	17
1964-10-18	Norrkoping	L 0-4	42.8	1457	1677	19.37%	18.58%	62.05%	-1.52	-14.7	12
1964-10-18	@ IFK Eskilstuna	W 4-0	42.8	1677	1457	62.05%	18.58%	19.37%	+1.52	+14.7	26
1964-10-18	Orebro	D 1-1	71.6	1700	1532	65.20%	18.54%	16.26%	+1.53	-2.2	31
1964-10-18	@ Malmo	D 1-1	71.6	1532	1700	16.26%	18.54%	65.20%	-1.53	+2.2	18
1964-10-25	Goteborg	W 4-1	52.4	1670	1570	58.70%	18.96%	22.34%	+1.00	+10.8	31
1964-10-25	@ Djurgarden	L 1-4	52.4	1570	1670	22.34%	18.96%	58.70%	-1.00	-10.8	18
1964-10-25	Degerfors	W 6-1	51.3	1602	1585	48.77%	19.24%	31.99%	+0.34	+23.2	26
1964-10-25	@ Elfsborg	L 1-6	51.3	1585	1602	31.99%	19.24%	48.77%	-0.34	-23.2	22
1964-10-25	IFK Eskilstuna	L 2-3	65.3	1538	1443	58.17%	18.98%	22.85%	+0.96	-9.5	17
1964-10-25	@ Helsingborg	W 3-2	65.3	1443	1538	22.85%	18.98%	58.17%	-0.96	+9.5	14
1964-10-25	Malmo	W 3-0	53.5	1692	1698	45.63%	19.27%	35.10%	+0.16	+18.8	28
1964-10-25	@ Norrkoping	L 0-3	53.5	1698	1692	35.10%	19.27%	45.63%	-0.16	-18.8	31
1964-10-25	GAIS	D 1-1	60.7	1534	1356	66.06%	18.46%	15.48%	+1.61	-2.2	19
1964-10-25	@ Orebro	D 1-1	60.7	1356	1534	15.48%	18.46%	66.06%	-1.61	+2.2	8
1964-10-25	AIK Stockholm	W 4-1	54.5	1641	1599	51.96%	19.18%	28.85%	+0.54	+13.5	31
1964-10-25	@ Orgryte	L 1-4	54.5	1599	1641	28.85%	19.18%	51.96%	-0.54	-13.5	19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1964-08-27	13.64%	GAIS	1393	2	@ Goteborg	1597	1
2	1964-09-06	16.18%	Degerfors	1550	2	@ Malmo	1719	0
3	1964-09-27	17.17%	Helsingborg	1528	2	@ Norrkoping	1685	1
4	1964-04-19	17.47%	GAIS	1454	1	@ Norrkoping	1608	0
5	1964-08-23	17.88%	@ IFK Eskilstuna	1462	2	Djurgarden	1699	0
6	1964-10-25	22.85%	IFK Eskilstuna	1443	3	@ Helsingborg	1538	2
7	1964-10-04	23.52%	Orebro	1517	2	@ Goteborg	1606	1
8	1964-09-27	23.87%	@ Orebro	1497	2	Djurgarden	1671	0
9	1964-09-24	25.85%	Goteborg	1576	5	@ Orgryte	1644	1
10	1964-08-23	25.99%	@ Elfsborg	1509	3	Orgryte	1664	0
11	1964-10-18	26.21%	Helsingborg	1522	3	@ Goteborg	1586	1
12	1964-09-06	26.89%	@ Elfsborg	1544	2	Djurgarden	1691	0
13	1964-04-23	27.32%	Djurgarden	1617	3	@ Goteborg	1672	1
14	1964-06-04	27.50%	AIK Stockholm	1582	3	@ Goteborg	1635	1
15	1964-05-07	27.86%	Norrkoping	1605	5	@ Goteborg	1655	1
16	1964-09-13	29.11%	@ Degerfors	1572	3	Norrkoping	1700	1
17	1964-09-16	30.24%	Elfsborg	1563	2	@ Goteborg	1594	0
18	1964-10-18	32.24%	Elfsborg	1593	1	@ AIK Stockholm	1608	0
19	1964-05-07	32.45%	Orgryte	1622	2	@ Malmo	1636	1
20	1964-05-24	32.73%	@ IFK Eskilstuna	1465	3	Elfsborg	1565	1
21	1964-05-21	33.39%	Orgryte	1634	5	@ Goteborg	1640	3
22	1964-06-10	33.63%	Degerfors	1547	2	@ Orebro	1552	0
23	1964-09-06	33.83%	Goteborg	1585	2	@ AIK Stockholm	1588	1
24	1964-06-14	33.89%	@ Helsingborg	1508	3	AIK Stockholm	1598	0
25	1964-06-10	34.70%	Norrkoping	1659	3	@ Orgryte	1655	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1964-05-15	34.00	@ Helsingborg	5	1526	40.28%	Degerfors	0	1570	40.44%	19.28%
2	1964-09-24	30.08	Goteborg	5	1576	25.85%	@ Orgryte	1	1644	55.06%	19.10%
3	1964-05-07	29.02	Norrkoping	5	1605	27.86%	@ Goteborg	1	1655	52.98%	19.16%
4	1964-08-23	27.59	@ Elfsborg	3	1509	25.99%	Orgryte	0	1664	55.03%	18.98%
5	1964-06-07	24.10	Orgryte	6	1631	47.34%	@ Helsingborg	1	1537	33.46%	19.20%
6	1964-06-14	23.90	@ Helsingborg	3	1508	33.89%	AIK Stockholm	0	1598	46.90%	19.21%
7	1964-05-03	23.31	@ Elfsborg	3	1536	35.21%	AIK Stockholm	0	1617	45.56%	19.23%
8	1964-04-12	23.26	Orgryte	3	1603	35.31%	@ Degerfors	0	1595	45.41%	19.27%
9	1964-10-25	23.23	@ Elfsborg	6	1602	48.77%	Degerfors	1	1585	31.99%	19.24%
10	1964-09-06	22.45	Degerfors	2	1550	16.18%	@ Malmo	0	1719	65.30%	18.53%
11	1964-04-19	21.96	@ Djurgarden	5	1595	56.95%	IFK Eskilstuna	0	1510	24.02%	19.03%
12	1964-08-23	21.84	@ IFK Eskilstuna	2	1462	17.88%	Djurgarden	0	1699	63.66%	18.46%
13	1964-05-03	20.59	@ Norrkoping	7	1584	58.18%	IFK Eskilstuna	1	1489	22.84%	18.98%
14	1964-05-07	20.51	@ Djurgarden	5	1648	58.83%	Helsingborg	0	1546	22.22%	18.95%
15	1964-08-23	20.45	@ AIK Stockholm	4	1582	52.65%	Orebro	0	1535	28.19%	19.17%
16	1964-09-27	19.71	@ Orebro	2	1497	23.87%	Djurgarden	0	1671	57.25%	18.88%
17	1964-05-10	19.40	Elfsborg	5	1560	47.91%	@ GAIS	1	1462	32.90%	19.19%
18	1964-06-04	18.91	@ Norrkoping	4	1640	55.19%	Orebro	0	1571	25.71%	19.09%
19	1964-09-13	18.86	@ Helsingborg	3	1509	45.51%	Orebro	0	1516	35.22%	19.27%
20	1964-06-14	18.85	@ Norrkoping	5	1673	60.95%	Elfsborg	0	1550	20.21%	18.84%
21	1964-10-25	18.82	@ Norrkoping	3	1692	45.63%	Malmo	0	1698	35.10%	19.27%
22	1964-06-14	18.81	Malmo	6	1675	42.07%	@ Goteborg	2	1619	38.67%	19.27%
23	1964-09-06	18.69	@ Elfsborg	2	1544	26.89%	Djurgarden	0	1691	54.10%	19.01%
24	1964-06-11	17.70	@ Malmo	6	1657	65.91%	IFK Eskilstuna	0	1481	15.62%	18.47%
25	1964-09-16	17.59	Elfsborg	2	1563	30.24%	@ Goteborg	0	1594	50.55%	19.21%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1964-04-12	80.0	@ AIK Stockholm	3	1612	47.16%	Norrkoping	3	1607	33.58%	19.26%
2	1964-08-27	77.6	@ Norrkoping	2	1702	54.88%	Orgryte	2	1636	26.01%	19.10%
3	1964-09-06	75.9	@ Orebro	2	1515	22.59%	Norrkoping	2	1701	58.61%	18.80%
4	1964-05-03	75.4	@ Helsingborg	2	1546	31.35%	Goteborg	2	1656	49.49%	19.15%
5	1964-05-31	75.2	@ Norrkoping	2	1641	58.16%	Degerfors	2	1545	22.86%	18.98%
6	1964-04-19	74.5	@ Helsingborg	2	1546	36.51%	Malmo	2	1617	44.24%	19.25%
7	1964-10-04	73.5	@ Djurgarden	5	1652	43.46%	Norrkoping	4	1674	37.26%	19.28%
8	1964-09-13	72.7	@ Djurgarden	1	1672	50.35%	Orgryte	1	1643	30.43%	19.21%
9	1964-05-18	72.5	@ Norrkoping	1	1634	41.71%	Djurgarden	1	1668	39.01%	19.28%
10	1964-05-03	72.3	@ Orgryte	2	1624	64.82%	GAIS	2	1460	16.61%	18.57%
11	1964-06-03	71.6	@ Djurgarden	1	1691	63.40%	Elfsborg	1	1543	17.92%	18.68%
12	1964-10-18	71.6	@ Malmo	1	1700	65.20%	Orebro	1	1532	16.26%	18.54%
13	1964-06-07	70.9	@ Degerfors	1	1547	31.17%	Malmo	1	1658	49.68%	19.15%
14	1964-05-07	70.8	@ IFK Eskilstuna	2	1468	31.41%	Orebro	2	1578	49.43%	19.16%
15	1964-08-12	70.1	@ Djurgarden	0	1699	45.38%	Malmo	0	1707	35.35%	19.27%
16	1964-05-21	70.0	Orgryte	5	1634	33.39%	@ Goteborg	3	1640	47.35%	19.26%
17	1964-09-27	69.7	Helsingborg	2	1528	17.17%	@ Norrkoping	1	1685	64.22%	18.62%
18	1964-10-04	69.2	@ Malmo	0	1711	61.35%	Elfsborg	0	1585	19.83%	18.81%
19	1964-06-10	68.9	@ AIK Stockholm	0	1598	33.80%	Djurgarden	0	1689	46.99%	19.21%
20	1964-08-30	66.8	@ Degerfors	1	1551	51.27%	Orebro	1	1514	29.53%	19.20%
21	1964-05-07	66.0	Orgryte	2	1622	32.45%	@ Malmo	1	1636	48.30%	19.25%
22	1964-10-04	65.5	Orebro	2	1517	23.52%	@ Goteborg	1	1606	57.48%	19.01%
23	1964-06-07	65.4	@ IFK Eskilstuna	2	1482	55.02%	GAIS	2	1414	25.88%	19.10%
24	1964-04-23	65.3	Djurgarden	3	1617	27.32%	@ Goteborg	1	1672	53.54%	19.14%
25	1964-10-25	65.3	IFK Eskilstuna	3	1443	22.85%	@ Helsingborg	2	1538	58.17%	18.98%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1964-10-01	37.6	AIK Stockholm	4	1581	59.64%	@ GAIS	0	1385	21.61%	18.74%
2	1964-10-15	40.8	Orgryte	2	1635	66.79%	@ GAIS	0	1362	15.05%	18.16%
3	1964-08-16	41.7	@ Helsingborg	4	1520	60.76%	GAIS	1	1400	20.39%	18.85%
4	1964-06-11	42.0	@ Malmo	6	1657	65.91%	IFK Eskilstuna	0	1481	15.62%	18.47%
5	1964-06-02	42.2	Malmo	3	1647	62.20%	@ GAIS	0	1425	19.22%	18.57%
6	1964-10-11	42.3	@ Elfsborg	7	1587	69.13%	GAIS	3	1369	12.74%	18.13%
7	1964-10-18	42.8	Norrkoping	4	1677	62.05%	@ IFK Eskilstuna	0	1457	19.37%	18.58%
8	1964-05-18	43.0	@ AIK Stockholm	2	1581	62.60%	GAIS	0	1442	18.67%	18.73%
9	1964-04-19	43.2	@ Djurgarden	5	1595	56.95%	IFK Eskilstuna	0	1510	24.02%	19.03%
10	1964-09-16	43.8	@ Malmo	4	1697	74.44%	GAIS	1	1393	8.30%	17.26%
11	1964-05-03	44.8	@ Norrkoping	7	1584	58.18%	IFK Eskilstuna	1	1489	22.84%	18.98%
12	1964-05-07	45.1	@ Djurgarden	5	1648	58.83%	Helsingborg	0	1546	22.22%	18.95%
13	1964-06-14	45.1	@ Norrkoping	5	1673	60.95%	Elfsborg	0	1550	20.21%	18.84%
14	1964-08-23	45.1	@ AIK Stockholm	4	1582	52.65%	Orebro	0	1535	28.19%	19.17%
15	1964-09-13	45.5	@ Helsingborg	3	1509	45.51%	Orebro	0	1516	35.22%	19.27%
16	1964-08-09	46.1	Djurgarden	4	1692	67.74%	@ GAIS	1	1407	14.21%	18.05%
17	1964-06-04	46.8	@ Norrkoping	4	1640	55.19%	Orebro	0	1571	25.71%	19.09%
18	1964-06-17	46.9	Goteborg	1	1600	58.87%	@ GAIS	0	1412	22.34%	18.79%
19	1964-10-11	47.3	@ Orebro	1	1527	54.64%	IFK Eskilstuna	0	1463	26.25%	19.11%
20	1964-05-10	47.4	Elfsborg	5	1560	47.91%	@ GAIS	1	1462	32.90%	19.19%
21	1964-06-14	47.4	@ Djurgarden	3	1688	72.74%	GAIS	1	1415	9.67%	17.59%
22	1964-05-24	47.5	@ Degerfors	5	1536	58.82%	GAIS	2	1435	22.23%	18.95%
23	1964-05-15	47.9	@ Helsingborg	5	1526	40.28%	Degerfors	0	1570	40.44%	19.28%
24	1964-09-06	48.0	IFK Eskilstuna	3	1480	44.81%	@ GAIS	1	1404	35.95%	19.24%
25	1964-05-03	48.5	@ Djurgarden	3	1633	54.15%	Degerfors	0	1573	26.72%	19.13%