1968 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Oster

27 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Norrkoping

4.28 points above expected

27 points · 22.72 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Goteborg

2.95 points below expected

18 points · 20.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Oster	22	12	3	7	27	44	28	+16	24.05	+2.95
2	Malmo	22	11	5	6	27	42	27	+15	28.05	-1.05
3	Norrkoping	22	11	5	6	27	36	24	+12	22.72	+4.28
4	Djurgarden	22	10	7	5	27	36	29	+7	23.73	+3.27
5	Orebro	22	11	3	8	25	34	35	-1	23.13	+1.87
6	Elfsborg	22	8	7	7	23	33	28	+5	23.60	-0.60
7	Atvidaberg	22	11	0	11	22	34	29	+5	22.84	-0.84
8	GAIS	22	7	4	11	18	29	36	-7	19.46	-1.46
9	Goteborg	22	5	8	9	18	30	42	-12	20.95	-2.95
10	AIK Stockholm	22	5	7	10	17	28	36	-8	18.34	-1.34
11	Helsingborg	22	7	3	12	17	23	38	-15	19.64	-2.64
12	Orgryte	22	4	8	10	16	28	45	-17	17.49	-1.49

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Norrkoping	27	22.72	+4.28
2	Djurgarden	27	23.73	+3.27
3	Oster	27	24.05	+2.95
4	Orebro	25	23.13	+1.87
5	Elfsborg	23	23.60	-0.60

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Goteborg	18	20.95	-2.95
2	Helsingborg	17	19.64	-2.64
3	Orgryte	16	17.49	-1.49
4	GAIS	18	19.46	-1.46
5	AIK Stockholm	17	18.34	-1.34

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Orebro	5	Apr 15 – May 9	1 in 65
2	Djurgarden	4	Jun 12 – Aug 15	1 in 34
3	Oster	4	Sep 8 – Oct 12	1 in 32
4	Orgryte	2	Jun 3 – Jun 9	1 in 27
5	Malmo	5	Sep 4 – Oct 12	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Orgryte	5	Jun 19 – Aug 25	1 in 50
2	Atvidaberg	4	Sep 4 – Sep 29	1 in 33
3	Malmo	2	Jun 12 – Jun 19	1 in 21
4	Elfsborg	3	Sep 19 – Oct 12	1 in 19
5	Orebro	2	Jun 5 – Jun 9	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Orebro	7	Apr 15 – May 26	1 in 29
2	AIK Stockholm	5	May 9 – Jun 9	1 in 28
3	Orgryte	5	May 16 – Jun 12	1 in 27
4	Djurgarden	7	Jun 12 – Sep 4	1 in 20
5	Elfsborg	7	Jun 5 – Aug 18	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Djurgarden	6	Sep 8 – Oct 27	1 in 37
2	Oster	6	May 27 – Aug 8	1 in 26
3	Orgryte	8	Jun 12 – Sep 8	1 in 19
4	Orebro	5	Jun 5 – Aug 11	1 in 17
5	GAIS	7	Apr 15 – May 26	1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Oster	1376	27	+28	8	5.8	+2.2
Malmo	1416	27	+1	7	6.6	+0.4
Norrkoping	1359	27	+11	7	5.1	+1.9
Djurgarden	1340	27	-16	3	5.8	-2.8
Orebro	1309	25	-14	3	5.3	-2.3
Elfsborg	1338	23	-13	3	4.9	-1.9
Atvidaberg	1322	22	-8	4	5.3	-1.3
GAIS	1274	18	+6	6	4.8	+1.2
Goteborg	1293	18	+1	5	4.6	+0.4
Helsingborg	1260	17	-2	5	3.9	+1.1
AIK Stockholm	1253	17	-7	3	4.2	-1.2
Orgryte	1233	16	+12	6	3.9	+2.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AS	ATV	DJU	ELF	GAI	GOT	HEL	MAL	NOR	ORE	ORG	OST
AIK Stockholm	—	1-0-1 2.26	0-0-2 2.14	0-2-0 2.12	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.47	0-0-2 2.74	0-0-2 1.78	0-2-0 2.16	1-0-1 2.33	0-2-0 2.98	1-1-0 1.98
Atvidaberg	1-0-1 3.27	—	0-0-2 2.64	2-0-0 2.62	1-0-1 3.24	1-0-1 3.05	2-0-0 3.01	1-0-1 2.13	1-0-1 2.61	2-0-0 2.70	0-0-2 3.44	0-0-2 2.65
Djurgarden	2-0-0 3.40	2-0-0 2.88	—	0-1-1 2.88	1-0-1 3.35	0-2-0 3.11	1-1-0 3.25	0-2-0 2.32	1-1-0 2.80	0-0-2 2.95	1-0-1 3.62	2-0-0 2.87
Elfsborg	0-2-0 3.41	0-0-2 2.90	1-1-0 2.63	—	1-0-1 3.40	1-0-1 3.06	1-1-0 3.22	0-1-1 2.20	0-1-1 2.87	2-0-0 2.73	1-1-0 3.50	1-0-1 2.63
GAIS	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.29	1-0-1 2.17	1-0-1 2.13	—	1-1-0 2.44	0-1-1 2.57	1-0-1 1.71	0-0-2 2.28	1-0-1 2.27	0-2-0 2.98	0-0-2 2.25
Goteborg	1-0-1 3.05	1-0-1 2.47	0-2-0 2.42	1-0-1 2.46	0-1-1 3.08	—	1-0-1 2.75	0-1-1 1.95	1-1-0 2.49	0-1-1 2.60	0-2-0 3.07	0-0-2 2.45
Helsingborg	2-0-0 2.78	0-0-2 2.51	0-1-1 2.28	0-1-1 2.31	1-1-0 2.95	1-0-1 2.77	—	1-0-1 1.74	0-0-2 2.38	0-0-2 2.39	2-0-0 3.07	0-0-2 2.14
Malmo	2-0-0 3.77	1-0-1 3.40	0-2-0 3.20	1-1-0 3.32	1-0-1 3.84	1-1-0 3.59	1-0-1 3.81	—	1-0-1 3.35	0-1-1 3.40	2-0-0 3.95	1-0-1 3.28
Norrkoping	0-2-0 3.37	1-0-1 2.92	0-1-1 2.72	1-1-0 2.65	2-0-0 3.25	0-1-1 3.03	2-0-0 3.15	1-0-1 2.18	—	1-0-1 2.88	2-0-0 3.30	1-0-1 2.72
Orebro	1-0-1 3.20	0-0-2 2.82	2-0-0 2.58	0-0-2 2.79	1-0-1 3.26	1-1-0 2.92	2-0-0 3.13	1-1-0 2.13	1-0-1 2.64	—	1-0-1 3.36	1-1-0 2.61
Orgryte	0-2-0 2.54	2-0-0 2.09	1-0-1 1.92	0-1-1 2.03	0-2-0 2.55	0-2-0 2.46	0-0-2 2.46	0-0-2 1.61	0-0-2 2.23	1-0-1 2.18	—	0-1-1 1.89
Oster	0-1-1 3.56	2-0-0 2.88	0-0-2 2.65	1-0-1 2.90	2-0-0 3.28	2-0-0 3.08	2-0-0 3.40	1-0-1 2.25	1-0-1 2.79	0-1-1 2.91	1-1-0 3.66	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.78	+6.7
Allowed	0.72	-5.9
Differential	0.87	+3.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	5.30%	6.44%	3.79%	2.27%	0.38%	22.73%
1	5.30%	12.12%	7.95%	6.82%	2.65%	0.76%	35.61%
2	6.44%	7.95%	4.55%	1.14%	0.76%	—	20.83%
3	3.79%	6.82%	1.14%	1.52%	—	0.38%	13.64%
4	2.27%	2.65%	0.76%	—	—	—	5.68%
5+	0.38%	0.76%	—	0.38%	—	—	1.52%
Total	22.73%	35.61%	20.83%	13.64%	5.68%	1.52%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.50	+0.00
SD	1.31	1.31	2.02
CV	0.87	0.87	—
Max	9	9	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	36.36%
1	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
2	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	27.27%	22.73%	18.18%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.64	-0.36
SD	1.93	1.29	2.13
CV	1.52	0.79	—
Max	9	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
1	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
2	—	18.18%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	54.55%	18.18%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.32	+0.23
SD	1.63	0.89	2.18
CV	1.05	0.68	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	—	18.18%	—	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
2	13.64%	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	40.91%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	45.45%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.32	+0.32
SD	1.22	1.13	1.91
CV	0.74	0.86	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	—	—	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
1	—	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	36.36%	18.18%	18.18%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.27	+0.23
SD	1.26	1.08	1.80
CV	0.84	0.85	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	22.73%	27.27%	22.73%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.64	-0.32
SD	1.17	1.22	1.99
CV	0.89	0.74	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	27.27%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	59.09%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	31.82%	22.73%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.91	-0.55
SD	0.85	1.95	1.82
CV	0.62	1.02	—
Max	3	9	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	36.36%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	36.36%
2	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	18.18%	22.73%	27.27%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	1.73	-0.68
SD	1.09	1.52	2.17
CV	1.04	0.88	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	13.64%	13.64%	—	9.09%	—	45.45%
2	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	31.82%	31.82%	27.27%	—	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	1.23	+0.68
SD	1.48	1.19	2.15
CV	0.77	0.97	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	45.45%
2	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	31.82%	22.73%	4.55%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.09	+0.55
SD	1.09	1.11	1.79
CV	0.67	1.02	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	18.18%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
3	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	50.00%	9.09%	18.18%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.59	-0.05
SD	1.14	1.22	1.94
CV	0.74	0.77	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	31.82%
1	—	18.18%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	27.27%
2	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	36.36%	18.18%	4.55%	18.18%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	2.05	-0.77
SD	1.12	1.62	2.09
CV	0.88	0.79	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	—	4.55%	18.18%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
3	13.64%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.73%	40.91%	27.27%	4.55%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.27	+0.73
SD	1.35	1.03	1.96
CV	0.67	0.81	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Malmo	1416	27	28.05	-1.05	42.0%	16	20	25	28	31	34	37
Oster	1376	27	24.05	+2.95	81.0%	16	17	21	24	27	31	35
Norrkoping	1359	27	22.72	+4.28	87.0%	11	15	20	22	25	30	34
Djurgarden	1340	27	23.73	+3.27	81.0%	14	17	21	24	27	29	33
Elfsborg	1338	23	23.60	-0.60	48.0%	14	17	21	24	26	30	33
Atvidaberg	1322	22	22.84	-0.84	49.0%	14	16	20	23	25	30	36
Orebro	1309	25	23.13	+1.87	74.0%	12	17	21	23	26	28	31
Goteborg	1293	18	20.95	-2.95	24.0%	11	14	19	21	23	27	29
GAIS	1274	18	19.46	-1.46	42.0%	8	12	17	19	22	27	31
Helsingborg	1260	17	19.64	-2.64	23.0%	10	13	18	19	22	25	27
AIK Stockholm	1253	17	18.34	-1.34	35.0%	9	11	16	18	21	24	27
Orgryte	1233	16	17.49	-1.49	39.0%	6	10	15	18	20	24	29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.12%

Slight Edge

44.70%22.73%32.58%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 42.32 Elo pts.

160 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.23 goals

Neutral

-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.7

Top-Heavy

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

11%

Oster, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.00/gm

Photo Finish

00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.21 * Some Luck: 3.21 to 4.81 * Lucky: 4.81 to 6.42 * Wild Swing: 6.42 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.01 * Close: 2.01 to 3.01 * Off: 3.01 to 4.02 * Way Off: 4.02 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

2.33 points

As Expected

04.0110

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.33

Pinpoint

02.516

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

87.00%

Norrkoping

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

23.00%

Helsingborg

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.11

Balanced

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 54.56

1.10

Coin-Flip Parity

0.951.41.652.75

Interquartile Edge

61%

Even

50%63%71.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

74%

Even

50%75%100%

Close Games

Expected

52%

Few

0%54%100%

Blowouts

Expected

20%

Frequent

0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.63

Hard to Predict

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.26

Very Even

00.30.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.34

Very Predictable

01.002

Repeatability

0.84

Near-Lock

00.380.530.691

Upset Rate

Expected

32%

Very Upset-Prone

0%28%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Shaky Favorites

0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.53

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.94

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.068

Well Within Noise

00.1370.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Oster	11.00%	14.00%	16.00%	8.00%	13.00%	13.00%	4.00%	8.00%	8.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Malmo	48.00%	15.00%	15.00%	6.00%	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	—	1.00%	1.00%	—
Norrkoping	9.00%	9.00%	6.00%	18.00%	8.00%	15.00%	8.00%	8.00%	3.00%	6.00%	7.00%	3.00%
Djurgarden	7.00%	17.00%	16.00%	9.00%	10.00%	10.00%	6.00%	10.00%	4.00%	6.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Orebro	6.00%	10.00%	14.00%	10.00%	13.00%	13.00%	12.00%	3.00%	8.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%
Elfsborg	7.00%	12.00%	11.00%	19.00%	11.00%	9.00%	7.00%	5.00%	7.00%	4.00%	8.00%	—
Atvidaberg	6.00%	12.00%	7.00%	10.00%	11.00%	9.00%	9.00%	10.00%	10.00%	9.00%	3.00%	4.00%
GAIS	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	11.00%	13.00%	10.00%	16.00%	13.00%	15.00%
Goteborg	3.00%	5.00%	6.00%	5.00%	9.00%	3.00%	16.00%	9.00%	19.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%
AIK Stockholm	—	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	10.00%	11.00%	9.00%	10.00%	15.00%	12.00%	25.00%
Helsingborg	—	—	4.00%	5.00%	12.00%	7.00%	7.00%	11.00%	12.00%	16.00%	17.00%	9.00%
Orgryte	1.00%	1.00%	—	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	6.00%	10.00%	9.00%	14.00%	20.00%	30.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Malmo	99.00%	1.00%
Oster	97.00%	3.00%
Djurgarden	95.00%	5.00%
Atvidaberg	93.00%	7.00%
Elfsborg	92.00%	8.00%
Orebro	92.00%	8.00%
Norrkoping	90.00%	10.00%
Goteborg	83.00%	17.00%
Helsingborg	74.00%	26.00%
GAIS	72.00%	28.00%
AIK Stockholm	63.00%	37.00%
Orgryte	50.00%	50.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1968-04-15	Malmo	L 0-1	40.4	1277	1404	29.45%	23.54%	47.00%	-0.53	-3.1	0
1968-04-15	@ AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	40.4	1404	1277	47.00%	23.54%	29.45%	+0.53	+3.1	2
1968-04-15	Goteborg	W 2-1	45.0	1332	1317	48.66%	23.85%	27.49%	+0.36	+2.8	2
1968-04-15	@ Elfsborg	L 1-2	45.0	1317	1332	27.49%	23.85%	48.66%	-0.36	-2.8	0
1968-04-15	Djurgarden	L 0-2	40.1	1288	1330	40.97%	24.11%	34.92%	+0.00	-7.6	0
1968-04-15	@ Helsingborg	W 2-0	40.1	1330	1288	34.92%	24.11%	40.97%	+0.00	+7.6	2
1968-04-15	GAIS	W 1-0	38.2	1321	1278	52.08%	23.54%	24.37%	+0.53	+2.7	2
1968-04-15	@ Norrkoping	L 0-1	38.2	1278	1321	24.37%	23.54%	52.08%	-0.53	-2.7	0
1968-04-15	Orebro	L 1-4	42.2	1253	1315	38.26%	24.08%	37.67%	-0.12	-8.8	0
1968-04-15	@ Orgryte	W 4-1	42.2	1315	1253	37.67%	24.08%	38.26%	+0.12	+8.8	2
1968-04-15	Atvidaberg	W 3-1	42.3	1335	1322	48.35%	23.87%	27.79%	+0.35	+4.9	2
1968-04-15	@ Oster	L 1-3	42.3	1322	1335	27.79%	23.87%	48.35%	-0.35	-4.9	0
1968-04-18	Norrkoping	D 1-1	54.3	1314	1324	45.35%	24.02%	30.62%	+0.20	-0.3	1
1968-04-18	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	54.3	1324	1314	30.62%	24.02%	45.35%	-0.20	+0.3	3
1968-04-21	AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	43.5	1317	1273	52.15%	23.54%	24.31%	+0.54	+2.5	2
1968-04-21	@ Atvidaberg	L 1-2	43.5	1273	1317	24.31%	23.54%	52.15%	-0.54	-2.5	0
1968-04-21	Elfsborg	D 1-1	54.7	1338	1335	47.00%	23.95%	29.05%	+0.28	-0.4	3
1968-04-21	@ Djurgarden	D 1-1	54.7	1335	1338	29.05%	23.95%	47.00%	-0.28	+0.4	3
1968-04-21	Oster	L 1-3	45.0	1275	1340	37.76%	24.07%	38.17%	-0.14	-6.2	0
1968-04-21	@ GAIS	W 3-1	45.0	1340	1275	38.17%	24.07%	37.76%	+0.14	+6.2	4
1968-04-21	Orgryte	W 5-1	33.0	1408	1244	64.66%	21.10%	14.25%	+1.28	+4.8	4
1968-04-21	@ Malmo	L 1-5	33.0	1244	1408	14.25%	21.10%	64.66%	-1.28	-4.8	0
1968-04-21	Helsingborg	W 2-1	43.6	1323	1280	52.07%	23.55%	24.39%	+0.53	+2.5	4
1968-04-21	@ Orebro	L 1-2	43.6	1280	1323	24.39%	23.55%	52.07%	-0.53	-2.5	0
1968-04-25	AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	53.6	1239	1271	42.45%	24.10%	33.46%	+0.07	-0.2	1
1968-04-25	@ Orgryte	D 1-1	53.6	1271	1239	33.46%	24.10%	42.45%	-0.07	+0.2	1
1968-04-28	GAIS	W 4-1	37.2	1337	1269	54.98%	23.18%	21.84%	+0.69	+5.6	5
1968-04-28	@ Djurgarden	L 1-4	37.2	1269	1337	21.84%	23.18%	54.98%	-0.69	-5.6	0
1968-04-28	Atvidaberg	L 1-3	48.5	1335	1320	48.66%	23.85%	27.49%	+0.36	-7.6	3
1968-04-28	@ Elfsborg	W 3-1	48.5	1320	1335	27.49%	23.85%	48.66%	-0.36	+7.6	4
1968-04-28	Orebro	L 1-3	47.4	1314	1326	45.03%	24.04%	30.93%	+0.19	-7.1	1
1968-04-28	@ Goteborg	W 3-1	47.4	1326	1314	30.93%	24.04%	45.03%	-0.19	+7.1	6
1968-04-28	Oster	L 1-3	44.9	1278	1346	37.24%	24.05%	38.71%	-0.16	-6.1	0
1968-04-28	@ Helsingborg	W 3-1	44.9	1346	1278	38.71%	24.05%	37.24%	+0.16	+6.1	6
1968-04-28	Malmo	W 4-1	44.8	1324	1412	34.52%	23.94%	41.54%	-0.29	+9.4	5
1968-04-28	@ Norrkoping	L 1-4	44.8	1412	1324	41.54%	23.94%	34.52%	+0.29	-9.4	4
1968-05-05	Helsingborg	L 0-4	38.6	1271	1272	46.60%	23.97%	29.43%	+0.26	-16.0	1
1968-05-05	@ AIK Stockholm	W 4-0	38.6	1272	1271	29.43%	23.97%	46.60%	-0.26	+16.1	2
1968-05-05	Norrkoping	W 3-1	43.1	1327	1334	45.86%	24.00%	30.14%	+0.23	+5.2	6
1968-05-05	@ Atvidaberg	L 1-3	43.1	1334	1327	30.14%	24.00%	45.86%	-0.23	-5.2	5
1968-05-05	Orgryte	D 1-1	53.6	1263	1239	49.74%	23.77%	26.50%	+0.41	-0.5	1
1968-05-05	@ GAIS	D 1-1	53.6	1239	1263	26.50%	23.77%	49.74%	-0.41	+0.5	2
1968-05-05	Goteborg	D 1-1	55.5	1403	1306	58.10%	22.67%	19.24%	+0.87	-0.8	5
1968-05-05	@ Malmo	D 1-1	55.5	1306	1403	19.24%	22.67%	58.10%	-0.87	+0.8	2
1968-05-05	Djurgarden	W 1-0	40.9	1333	1343	45.38%	24.02%	30.60%	+0.20	+3.2	8
1968-05-05	@ Orebro	L 0-1	40.9	1343	1333	30.60%	24.02%	45.38%	-0.20	-3.2	5
1968-05-05	Elfsborg	L 1-2	52.0	1352	1328	49.80%	23.76%	26.44%	+0.42	-4.5	6
1968-05-05	@ Oster	W 2-1	52.0	1328	1352	26.44%	23.76%	49.80%	-0.42	+4.5	5
1968-05-09	Malmo	D 2-2	61.5	1340	1402	38.09%	24.07%	37.83%	-0.13	-0.0	6
1968-05-09	@ Djurgarden	D 2-2	61.5	1402	1340	37.83%	24.07%	38.09%	+0.13	+0.0	6
1968-05-09	AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	54.2	1332	1255	55.99%	23.03%	20.98%	+0.74	-0.8	6
1968-05-09	@ Elfsborg	D 1-1	54.2	1255	1332	20.98%	23.03%	55.99%	-0.74	+0.8	2
1968-05-09	Atvidaberg	W 1-0	41.1	1307	1333	43.29%	24.08%	32.63%	+0.11	+3.4	4
1968-05-09	@ Goteborg	L 0-1	41.1	1333	1307	32.63%	24.08%	43.29%	-0.11	-3.4	6
1968-05-09	Orgryte	W 1-0	37.6	1288	1240	52.63%	23.48%	23.89%	+0.56	+2.6	4
1968-05-09	@ Helsingborg	L 0-1	37.6	1240	1288	23.89%	23.48%	52.63%	-0.56	-2.6	2
1968-05-09	Oster	W 2-0	37.9	1328	1348	44.06%	24.07%	31.87%	+0.14	+6.3	7
1968-05-09	@ Norrkoping	L 0-2	37.9	1348	1328	31.87%	24.07%	44.06%	-0.14	-6.3	6
1968-05-09	GAIS	W 2-1	42.6	1336	1263	55.56%	23.09%	21.34%	+0.72	+2.2	10
1968-05-09	@ Orebro	L 1-2	42.6	1263	1336	21.34%	23.09%	55.56%	-0.72	-2.2	1
1968-05-16	Norrkoping	D 1-1	54.0	1256	1335	35.82%	24.00%	40.18%	-0.23	+0.1	3
1968-05-16	@ AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	54.0	1335	1256	40.18%	24.00%	35.82%	+0.23	-0.1	8
1968-05-16	Djurgarden	L 0-2	41.8	1329	1340	45.30%	24.03%	30.68%	+0.20	-8.3	6
1968-05-16	@ Atvidaberg	W 2-0	41.8	1340	1329	30.68%	24.03%	45.30%	-0.20	+8.3	8
1968-05-16	Orebro	D 1-1	55.8	1402	1338	54.47%	23.25%	22.28%	+0.66	-0.7	7
1968-05-16	@ Malmo	D 1-1	55.8	1338	1402	22.28%	23.25%	54.47%	-0.66	+0.7	11
1968-05-16	Elfsborg	D 0-0	49.6	1237	1331	33.72%	23.90%	42.39%	-0.32	+0.2	3
1968-05-16	@ Orgryte	D 0-0	49.6	1331	1237	42.39%	23.90%	33.72%	+0.32	-0.2	7
1968-05-16	Goteborg	W 4-1	38.9	1342	1311	50.59%	23.69%	25.72%	+0.46	+6.4	8
1968-05-16	@ Oster	L 1-4	38.9	1311	1342	25.72%	23.69%	50.59%	-0.46	-6.5	4
1968-05-19	Helsingborg	L 1-3	46.1	1261	1290	42.70%	24.09%	33.20%	+0.08	-6.8	1
1968-05-19	@ GAIS	W 3-1	46.1	1290	1261	33.20%	24.09%	42.70%	-0.08	+6.8	6
1968-05-26	GAIS	W 2-0	35.9	1256	1254	46.93%	23.95%	29.12%	+0.28	+5.8	5
1968-05-26	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	35.9	1254	1256	29.12%	23.95%	46.93%	-0.28	-5.8	1
1968-05-26	Malmo	L 1-2	49.0	1331	1401	37.02%	24.04%	38.94%	-0.17	-3.5	7
1968-05-26	@ Elfsborg	W 2-1	49.0	1401	1331	38.94%	24.04%	37.02%	+0.17	+3.5	9
1968-05-26	Djurgarden	D 1-1	54.4	1304	1348	40.77%	24.11%	35.13%	-0.01	-0.1	5
1968-05-26	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	54.4	1348	1304	35.13%	24.11%	40.77%	+0.01	+0.1	9
1968-05-26	Atvidaberg	L 1-3	46.7	1297	1321	43.48%	24.08%	32.44%	+0.11	-6.9	6
1968-05-26	@ Helsingborg	W 3-1	46.7	1321	1297	32.44%	24.08%	43.48%	-0.11	+6.9	8
1968-05-26	Orebro	L 0-2	42.1	1335	1339	46.05%	24.00%	29.96%	+0.23	-8.4	8
1968-05-26	@ Norrkoping	W 2-0	42.1	1339	1335	29.96%	24.00%	46.05%	-0.23	+8.4	13
1968-05-27	Oster	D 1-1	54.0	1237	1348	31.58%	23.74%	44.67%	-0.43	+0.3	4
1968-05-27	@ Orgryte	D 1-1	54.0	1348	1237	44.67%	23.74%	31.58%	+0.43	-0.3	9
1968-05-30	Goteborg	W 3-0	36.3	1248	1304	39.01%	24.09%	36.90%	-0.09	+10.2	3
1968-05-30	@ GAIS	L 0-3	36.3	1304	1248	36.90%	24.09%	39.01%	+0.09	-10.2	5
1968-06-03	Orgryte	L 0-2	44.3	1328	1238	57.42%	22.79%	19.79%	+0.83	-10.2	8
1968-06-03	@ Atvidaberg	W 2-0	44.3	1238	1328	19.79%	22.79%	57.42%	-0.83	+10.2	6
1968-06-03	AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	50.2	1348	1262	56.97%	22.87%	20.16%	+0.80	-0.9	10
1968-06-03	@ Oster	D 0-0	50.2	1262	1348	20.16%	22.87%	56.97%	-0.80	+0.9	6
1968-06-05	Norrkoping	W 2-1	45.0	1348	1326	49.45%	23.79%	26.76%	+0.40	+2.7	11
1968-06-05	@ Djurgarden	L 1-2	45.0	1326	1348	26.76%	23.79%	49.45%	-0.40	-2.7	8
1968-06-05	Helsingborg	W 2-0	33.4	1405	1290	60.00%	22.28%	17.72%	+0.98	+3.8	11
1968-06-05	@ Malmo	L 0-2	33.4	1290	1405	17.72%	22.28%	60.00%	-0.98	-3.8	6
1968-06-05	Elfsborg	L 0-3	40.8	1348	1328	49.20%	23.81%	27.00%	+0.39	-12.9	13
1968-06-05	@ Orebro	W 3-0	40.8	1328	1348	27.00%	23.81%	49.20%	-0.39	+12.9	9
1968-06-06	Atvidaberg	W 1-0	42.1	1258	1318	38.53%	24.08%	37.39%	-0.11	+3.8	5
1968-06-06	@ GAIS	L 0-1	42.1	1318	1258	37.39%	24.08%	38.53%	+0.11	-3.8	8
1968-06-09	Orgryte	L 0-3	42.6	1351	1248	58.77%	22.54%	18.70%	+0.91	-15.1	11
1968-06-09	@ Djurgarden	W 3-0	42.6	1248	1351	18.70%	22.54%	58.77%	-0.91	+15.0	8
1968-06-09	Helsingborg	L 1-2	50.6	1294	1286	47.64%	23.91%	28.45%	+0.31	-4.3	5
1968-06-09	@ Goteborg	W 2-1	50.6	1286	1294	28.45%	23.91%	47.64%	-0.31	+4.3	8
1968-06-09	Oster	W 4-0	33.2	1409	1347	54.26%	23.28%	22.46%	+0.65	+8.9	13
1968-06-09	@ Malmo	L 0-4	33.2	1347	1409	22.46%	23.28%	54.26%	-0.65	-8.9	10
1968-06-09	Elfsborg	D 1-1	54.6	1323	1341	44.38%	24.06%	31.56%	+0.16	-0.3	9
1968-06-09	@ Norrkoping	D 1-1	54.6	1341	1323	31.56%	24.06%	44.38%	-0.16	+0.3	10
1968-06-09	AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	52.8	1335	1263	55.42%	23.12%	21.46%	+0.71	-4.9	13
1968-06-09	@ Orebro	W 2-1	52.8	1263	1335	21.46%	23.12%	55.42%	-0.71	+4.9	8
1968-06-12	Djurgarden	L 0-4	36.1	1268	1336	37.31%	24.05%	38.63%	-0.16	-13.4	8
1968-06-12	@ AIK Stockholm	W 4-0	36.1	1336	1268	38.63%	24.05%	37.31%	+0.16	+13.4	13
1968-06-12	Malmo	W 2-1	50.9	1314	1418	32.49%	23.81%	43.70%	-0.38	+4.0	10
1968-06-12	@ Atvidaberg	L 1-2	50.9	1418	1314	43.70%	23.81%	32.49%	+0.38	-4.0	13
1968-06-12	GAIS	W 3-1	39.5	1341	1262	56.18%	23.00%	20.82%	+0.76	+3.8	12
1968-06-12	@ Elfsborg	L 1-3	39.5	1262	1341	20.82%	23.00%	56.18%	-0.76	-3.8	5
1968-06-12	Norrkoping	L 1-3	46.4	1291	1323	42.31%	24.10%	33.60%	+0.06	-6.8	8
1968-06-12	@ Helsingborg	W 3-1	46.4	1323	1291	33.60%	24.10%	42.31%	-0.06	+6.8	11
1968-06-12	Goteborg	D 2-2	59.6	1263	1290	43.08%	24.09%	32.83%	+0.10	-0.1	9
1968-06-12	@ Orgryte	D 2-2	59.6	1290	1263	32.83%	24.09%	43.08%	-0.10	+0.2	6
1968-06-12	Orebro	D 3-3	64.8	1338	1330	47.73%	23.91%	28.36%	+0.32	-0.2	11
1968-06-12	@ Oster	D 3-3	64.8	1330	1338	28.36%	23.91%	47.73%	-0.32	+0.2	14
1968-06-19	Oster	W 2-1	45.6	1349	1338	48.11%	23.88%	28.00%	+0.33	+2.8	15
1968-06-19	@ Djurgarden	L 1-2	45.6	1338	1349	28.00%	23.88%	48.11%	-0.33	-2.8	11
1968-06-19	Helsingborg	D 1-1	54.5	1345	1284	54.14%	23.30%	22.57%	+0.64	-0.7	13
1968-06-19	@ Elfsborg	D 1-1	54.5	1284	1345	22.57%	23.30%	54.14%	-0.64	+0.7	9
1968-06-19	AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	43.6	1290	1254	51.16%	23.64%	25.20%	+0.49	+2.6	8
1968-06-19	@ Goteborg	L 1-2	43.6	1254	1290	25.20%	23.64%	51.16%	-0.49	-2.6	8
1968-06-19	GAIS	L 1-2	55.4	1414	1258	63.94%	21.30%	14.76%	+1.23	-5.6	13
1968-06-19	@ Malmo	W 2-1	55.4	1258	1414	14.76%	21.30%	63.94%	-1.23	+5.6	7
1968-06-19	Orgryte	W 1-0	37.3	1330	1263	54.88%	23.19%	21.93%	+0.68	+2.4	13
1968-06-19	@ Norrkoping	L 0-1	37.3	1263	1330	21.93%	23.19%	54.88%	-0.68	-2.4	9
1968-06-19	Atvidaberg	L 0-1	45.8	1330	1318	48.22%	23.88%	27.90%	+0.34	-4.6	14
1968-06-19	@ Orebro	W 1-0	45.8	1318	1330	27.90%	23.88%	48.22%	-0.34	+4.6	12
1968-08-08	Goteborg	W 9-3	39.1	1252	1292	41.15%	24.11%	34.75%	+0.01	+11.4	10
1968-08-08	@ AIK Stockholm	L 3-9	39.1	1292	1252	34.75%	24.11%	41.15%	-0.01	-11.4	8
1968-08-08	Elfsborg	L 0-2	39.5	1285	1344	38.54%	24.08%	37.38%	-0.11	-7.3	9
1968-08-08	@ Helsingborg	W 2-0	39.5	1344	1285	37.38%	24.08%	38.54%	+0.11	+7.2	15
1968-08-08	Norrkoping	L 0-4	35.9	1260	1332	36.74%	24.04%	39.22%	-0.19	-13.3	9
1968-08-08	@ Orgryte	W 4-0	35.9	1332	1260	39.22%	24.04%	36.74%	+0.19	+13.3	15
1968-08-08	Djurgarden	L 1-2	50.6	1335	1352	44.42%	24.06%	31.52%	+0.16	-4.1	11
1968-08-08	@ Oster	W 2-1	50.6	1352	1335	31.52%	24.06%	44.42%	-0.16	+4.1	17
1968-08-11	Orebro	W 4-0	34.2	1323	1325	46.29%	23.98%	29.73%	+0.25	+11.3	14
1968-08-11	@ Atvidaberg	L 0-4	34.2	1325	1323	29.73%	23.98%	46.29%	-0.25	-11.3	14
1968-08-11	Malmo	L 0-2	36.3	1264	1408	27.52%	23.31%	49.16%	-0.64	-5.5	7
1968-08-11	@ GAIS	W 2-0	36.3	1408	1264	49.16%	23.31%	27.52%	+0.64	+5.5	15
1968-08-15	Atvidaberg	W 2-1	45.2	1356	1334	49.49%	23.79%	26.73%	+0.40	+2.7	19
1968-08-15	@ Djurgarden	L 1-2	45.2	1334	1356	26.73%	23.79%	49.49%	-0.40	-2.7	14
1968-08-15	Orgryte	W 4-2	42.9	1351	1247	58.91%	22.51%	18.58%	+0.91	+3.1	17
1968-08-15	@ Elfsborg	L 2-4	42.9	1247	1351	18.58%	22.51%	58.91%	-0.91	-3.1	9
1968-08-15	Oster	L 2-3	53.9	1281	1331	39.88%	24.10%	36.02%	-0.05	-3.5	8
1968-08-15	@ Goteborg	W 3-2	53.9	1331	1281	36.02%	24.10%	39.88%	+0.05	+3.5	13
1968-08-15	GAIS	D 2-2	59.6	1277	1258	49.11%	23.81%	27.08%	+0.38	-0.3	10
1968-08-15	@ Helsingborg	D 2-2	59.6	1258	1277	27.08%	23.81%	49.11%	-0.38	+0.3	8
1968-08-15	AIK Stockholm	D 2-2	60.3	1346	1263	56.60%	22.93%	20.47%	+0.78	-0.6	16
1968-08-15	@ Norrkoping	D 2-2	60.3	1263	1346	20.47%	22.93%	56.60%	-0.78	+0.6	11
1968-08-15	Malmo	W 2-1	50.7	1314	1414	33.04%	23.85%	43.11%	-0.36	+4.0	16
1968-08-15	@ Orebro	L 1-2	50.7	1414	1314	43.11%	23.85%	33.04%	+0.36	-4.0	15
1968-08-18	Elfsborg	D 0-0	49.9	1264	1354	34.18%	23.92%	41.89%	-0.30	+0.2	12
1968-08-18	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	49.9	1354	1264	41.89%	23.92%	34.18%	+0.30	-0.2	18
1968-08-18	Goteborg	W 2-1	43.3	1331	1277	53.31%	23.40%	23.29%	+0.60	+2.4	16
1968-08-18	@ Atvidaberg	L 1-2	43.3	1277	1331	23.29%	23.40%	53.31%	-0.60	-2.4	8
1968-08-18	Djurgarden	D 1-1	56.2	1410	1359	53.00%	23.44%	23.56%	+0.58	-0.6	16
1968-08-18	@ Malmo	D 1-1	56.2	1359	1410	23.56%	23.44%	53.00%	-0.58	+0.6	20
1968-08-18	Helsingborg	L 0-2	39.9	1244	1277	42.22%	24.10%	33.68%	+0.06	-7.8	9
1968-08-18	@ Orgryte	W 2-0	39.9	1277	1244	33.68%	24.10%	42.22%	-0.06	+7.8	12
1968-08-18	Norrkoping	W 2-1	46.4	1334	1345	45.26%	24.03%	30.71%	+0.20	+3.0	15
1968-08-18	@ Oster	L 1-2	46.4	1345	1334	30.71%	24.03%	45.26%	-0.20	-3.0	16
1968-08-22	Orebro	W 4-1	42.0	1259	1318	38.53%	24.08%	37.39%	-0.11	+8.7	10
1968-08-22	@ GAIS	L 1-4	42.0	1318	1259	37.39%	24.08%	38.53%	+0.11	-8.7	16
1968-08-25	Orebro	L 1-3	45.5	1264	1309	40.47%	24.10%	35.43%	-0.02	-6.5	12
1968-08-25	@ AIK Stockholm	W 3-1	45.5	1309	1264	35.43%	24.10%	40.47%	+0.02	+6.5	18
1968-08-25	GAIS	W 3-0	31.8	1334	1267	54.77%	23.21%	22.02%	+0.68	+6.7	18
1968-08-25	@ Atvidaberg	L 0-3	31.8	1267	1334	22.02%	23.21%	54.77%	-0.68	-6.7	10
1968-08-25	Norrkoping	L 1-2	51.8	1354	1342	48.23%	23.88%	27.89%	+0.34	-4.4	18
1968-08-25	@ Elfsborg	W 2-1	51.8	1342	1354	27.89%	23.88%	48.23%	-0.34	+4.4	18
1968-08-25	Goteborg	L 0-3	39.6	1285	1275	47.93%	23.90%	28.18%	+0.32	-12.6	12
1968-08-25	@ Helsingborg	W 3-0	39.6	1275	1285	28.18%	23.90%	47.93%	-0.32	+12.6	10
1968-08-25	Djurgarden	L 2-4	46.7	1236	1359	30.03%	23.60%	46.37%	-0.50	-4.6	9
1968-08-25	@ Orgryte	W 4-2	46.7	1359	1236	46.37%	23.60%	30.03%	+0.50	+4.6	22
1968-08-25	Malmo	W 4-1	44.3	1337	1409	36.82%	24.04%	39.14%	-0.18	+9.0	17
1968-08-25	@ Oster	L 1-4	44.3	1409	1337	39.14%	24.04%	36.82%	+0.18	-9.0	16
1968-08-29	Elfsborg	W 3-0	38.0	1261	1350	34.40%	23.93%	41.67%	-0.29	+11.2	12
1968-08-29	@ GAIS	L 0-3	38.0	1350	1261	41.67%	23.93%	34.40%	+0.29	-11.2	18
1968-09-02	Orgryte	D 1-1	53.8	1288	1231	53.60%	23.37%	23.04%	+0.61	-0.6	11
1968-09-02	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	53.8	1231	1288	23.04%	23.37%	53.60%	-0.61	+0.7	10
1968-09-04	AIK Stockholm	W 2-0	32.9	1364	1257	59.16%	22.46%	18.38%	+0.93	+3.9	24
1968-09-04	@ Djurgarden	L 0-2	32.9	1257	1364	18.38%	22.46%	59.16%	-0.93	-3.9	12
1968-09-04	Atvidaberg	W 1-0	39.2	1400	1340	54.03%	23.31%	22.66%	+0.64	+2.5	18
1968-09-04	@ Malmo	L 0-1	39.2	1340	1400	22.66%	23.31%	54.03%	-0.64	-2.5	18
1968-09-04	Helsingborg	W 3-0	31.7	1346	1272	55.65%	23.08%	21.27%	+0.73	+6.5	20
1968-09-04	@ Norrkoping	L 0-3	31.7	1272	1346	21.27%	23.08%	55.65%	-0.73	-6.5	12
1968-09-04	Oster	W 2-1	47.0	1316	1346	42.57%	24.09%	33.33%	+0.07	+3.2	20
1968-09-04	@ Orebro	L 1-2	47.0	1346	1316	33.33%	24.09%	42.57%	-0.07	-3.2	17
1968-09-08	Atvidaberg	W 2-0	39.9	1253	1338	35.04%	23.97%	40.99%	-0.26	+7.6	14
1968-09-08	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	39.9	1338	1253	40.99%	23.97%	35.04%	+0.26	-7.6	18
1968-09-08	Djurgarden	W 4-0	35.9	1339	1368	42.76%	24.09%	33.15%	+0.08	+12.3	20
1968-09-08	@ Elfsborg	L 0-4	35.9	1368	1339	33.15%	24.09%	42.76%	-0.08	-12.3	24
1968-09-08	Orebro	L 0-1	42.8	1266	1319	39.38%	24.10%	36.52%	-0.07	-3.9	12
1968-09-08	@ Helsingborg	W 1-0	42.8	1319	1266	36.52%	24.10%	39.38%	+0.07	+3.9	22
1968-09-08	Goteborg	L 0-1	47.5	1353	1287	54.72%	23.22%	22.06%	+0.67	-5.2	20
1968-09-08	@ Norrkoping	W 1-0	47.5	1287	1353	22.06%	23.22%	54.72%	-0.67	+5.1	13
1968-09-08	Malmo	L 0-5	32.8	1232	1403	24.66%	22.87%	52.47%	-0.80	-11.8	10
1968-09-08	@ Orgryte	W 5-0	32.8	1403	1232	52.47%	22.87%	24.66%	+0.80	+11.8	20
1968-09-08	GAIS	W 3-1	39.8	1343	1272	55.36%	23.13%	21.52%	+0.71	+3.9	19
1968-09-08	@ Oster	L 1-3	39.8	1272	1343	21.52%	23.13%	55.36%	-0.71	-3.9	12
1968-09-19	Elfsborg	W 3-2	53.4	1292	1351	38.63%	24.08%	37.29%	-0.10	+3.4	15
1968-09-19	@ Goteborg	L 2-3	53.4	1351	1292	37.29%	24.08%	38.63%	+0.10	-3.4	20
1968-09-22	Oster	L 0-3	39.5	1330	1347	44.41%	24.06%	31.54%	+0.16	-11.8	18
1968-09-22	@ Atvidaberg	W 3-0	39.5	1347	1330	31.54%	24.06%	44.41%	-0.16	+11.8	21
1968-09-22	Helsingborg	D 0-0	50.3	1356	1262	57.79%	22.72%	19.48%	+0.85	-0.9	25
1968-09-22	@ Djurgarden	D 0-0	50.3	1262	1356	19.48%	22.72%	57.79%	-0.85	+0.9	13
1968-09-22	Norrkoping	L 0-2	38.5	1268	1348	35.67%	24.00%	40.33%	-0.23	-6.8	12
1968-09-22	@ GAIS	W 2-0	38.5	1348	1268	40.33%	24.00%	35.67%	+0.23	+6.8	22
1968-09-22	AIK Stockholm	W 3-1	37.9	1414	1261	63.76%	21.35%	14.89%	+1.22	+2.8	22
1968-09-22	@ Malmo	L 1-3	37.9	1261	1414	14.89%	21.35%	63.76%	-1.22	-2.8	14
1968-09-22	Orgryte	L 1-3	50.4	1323	1220	58.75%	22.54%	18.71%	+0.90	-9.0	22
1968-09-22	@ Orebro	W 3-1	50.4	1220	1323	18.71%	22.54%	58.75%	-0.90	+9.0	12
1968-09-26	GAIS	D 2-2	59.4	1229	1261	42.42%	24.10%	33.49%	+0.07	-0.1	13
1968-09-26	@ Orgryte	D 2-2	59.4	1261	1229	33.49%	24.10%	42.42%	-0.07	+0.1	13
1968-09-29	Orebro	L 1-3	49.5	1355	1314	51.74%	23.58%	24.68%	+0.52	-8.0	25
1968-09-29	@ Djurgarden	W 3-1	49.5	1314	1355	24.68%	23.58%	51.74%	-0.52	+8.0	24
1968-09-29	Oster	L 0-3	40.1	1348	1359	45.16%	24.03%	30.81%	+0.19	-12.0	20
1968-09-29	@ Elfsborg	W 3-0	40.1	1359	1348	30.81%	24.03%	45.16%	-0.19	+12.0	23
1968-09-29	Malmo	L 2-3	51.9	1295	1417	30.22%	23.62%	46.16%	-0.49	-2.8	15
1968-09-29	@ Goteborg	W 3-2	51.9	1417	1295	46.16%	23.62%	30.22%	+0.49	+2.8	24
1968-09-29	AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	39.2	1263	1258	47.27%	23.93%	28.80%	+0.29	+3.1	15
1968-09-29	@ Helsingborg	L 0-1	39.2	1258	1263	28.80%	23.93%	47.27%	-0.29	-3.1	14
1968-09-29	Atvidaberg	W 1-0	39.1	1355	1318	51.23%	23.63%	25.14%	+0.49	+2.7	24
1968-09-29	@ Norrkoping	L 0-1	39.1	1318	1355	25.14%	23.63%	51.23%	-0.49	-2.7	18
1968-10-12	Orgryte	D 3-3	63.7	1255	1229	49.95%	23.75%	26.30%	+0.42	-0.3	15
1968-10-12	@ AIK Stockholm	D 3-3	63.7	1229	1255	26.30%	23.75%	49.95%	-0.42	+0.3	14
1968-10-12	Elfsborg	W 2-1	46.4	1316	1336	44.01%	24.07%	31.93%	+0.14	+3.1	20
1968-10-12	@ Atvidaberg	L 1-2	46.4	1336	1316	31.93%	24.07%	44.01%	-0.14	-3.1	20
1968-10-12	Djurgarden	W 3-1	45.9	1261	1347	34.91%	23.96%	41.13%	-0.27	+6.6	15
1968-10-12	@ GAIS	L 1-3	45.9	1347	1261	41.13%	23.96%	34.91%	+0.27	-6.6	25
1968-10-12	Norrkoping	W 4-1	39.6	1420	1357	54.36%	23.27%	22.38%	+0.65	+5.7	26
1968-10-12	@ Malmo	L 1-4	39.6	1357	1420	22.38%	23.27%	54.36%	-0.65	-5.7	24
1968-10-12	Goteborg	D 1-1	54.2	1322	1293	50.41%	23.71%	25.88%	+0.45	-0.5	25
1968-10-12	@ Orebro	D 1-1	54.2	1293	1322	25.88%	23.71%	50.41%	-0.45	+0.5	16
1968-10-12	Helsingborg	W 3-0	30.8	1371	1266	58.99%	22.49%	18.52%	+0.92	+5.7	25
1968-10-12	@ Oster	L 0-3	30.8	1266	1371	18.52%	22.49%	58.99%	-0.92	-5.7	15
1968-10-19	Oster	W 1-0	45.0	1255	1377	30.19%	23.62%	46.20%	-0.50	+4.4	17
1968-10-19	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	45.0	1377	1255	46.20%	23.62%	30.19%	+0.50	-4.4	25
1968-10-19	Orebro	W 3-1	42.4	1332	1322	48.06%	23.89%	28.06%	+0.33	+4.9	22
1968-10-19	@ Elfsborg	L 1-3	42.4	1322	1332	28.06%	23.89%	48.06%	-0.33	-4.9	25
1968-10-19	Malmo	W 2-0	43.7	1260	1426	25.17%	22.96%	51.87%	-0.77	+9.2	17
1968-10-19	@ Helsingborg	L 0-2	43.7	1426	1260	51.87%	22.96%	25.17%	+0.77	-9.2	26
1968-10-19	Djurgarden	D 2-2	60.8	1352	1340	48.15%	23.88%	27.97%	+0.34	-0.3	25
1968-10-19	@ Norrkoping	D 2-2	60.8	1340	1352	27.97%	23.88%	48.15%	-0.34	+0.3	26
1968-10-19	Atvidaberg	W 3-1	45.7	1230	1319	34.40%	23.94%	41.66%	-0.29	+6.7	16
1968-10-19	@ Orgryte	L 1-3	45.7	1319	1230	41.66%	23.94%	34.40%	+0.29	-6.7	20
1968-10-20	GAIS	D 0-0	49.6	1293	1268	49.90%	23.75%	26.35%	+0.42	-0.5	17
1968-10-20	@ Goteborg	D 0-0	49.6	1268	1293	26.35%	23.75%	49.90%	-0.42	+0.5	16
1968-10-27	Helsingborg	W 6-1	35.5	1312	1269	52.02%	23.55%	24.43%	+0.53	+9.8	22
1968-10-27	@ Atvidaberg	L 1-6	35.5	1269	1312	24.43%	23.55%	52.02%	-0.53	-9.8	17
1968-10-27	Goteborg	D 1-1	54.4	1340	1293	52.61%	23.49%	23.90%	+0.56	-0.6	27
1968-10-27	@ Djurgarden	D 1-1	54.4	1293	1340	23.90%	23.49%	52.61%	-0.56	+0.6	18
1968-10-27	AIK Stockholm	W 2-0	35.7	1268	1259	47.85%	23.90%	28.25%	+0.32	+5.7	18
1968-10-27	@ GAIS	L 0-2	35.7	1259	1268	28.25%	23.90%	47.85%	-0.32	-5.7	17
1968-10-27	Elfsborg	D 0-0	51.9	1416	1337	56.21%	22.99%	20.80%	+0.76	-0.9	27
1968-10-27	@ Malmo	D 0-0	51.9	1337	1416	20.80%	22.99%	56.21%	-0.76	+0.9	23
1968-10-27	Norrkoping	L 0-2	40.9	1317	1351	42.03%	24.10%	33.87%	+0.05	-7.8	25
1968-10-27	@ Orebro	W 2-0	40.9	1351	1317	33.87%	24.10%	42.03%	-0.05	+7.8	27
1968-10-27	Orgryte	W 2-0	31.9	1372	1236	62.10%	21.79%	16.11%	+1.11	+3.5	27
1968-10-27	@ Oster	L 0-2	31.9	1236	1372	16.11%	21.79%	62.10%	-1.11	-3.5	16

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1968-06-19	14.76%	GAIS	1258	2	@ Malmo	1414	1
2	1968-06-09	18.70%	Orgryte	1248	3	@ Djurgarden	1351	0
3	1968-09-22	18.71%	Orgryte	1220	3	@ Orebro	1323	1
4	1968-06-03	19.79%	Orgryte	1238	2	@ Atvidaberg	1328	0
5	1968-06-09	21.46%	AIK Stockholm	1263	2	@ Orebro	1335	1
6	1968-09-08	22.06%	Goteborg	1287	1	@ Norrkoping	1353	0
7	1968-09-29	24.68%	Orebro	1314	3	@ Djurgarden	1355	1
8	1968-10-19	25.17%	@ Helsingborg	1260	2	Malmo	1426	0
9	1968-05-05	26.44%	Elfsborg	1328	2	@ Oster	1352	1
10	1968-06-05	27.00%	Elfsborg	1328	3	@ Orebro	1348	0
11	1968-04-28	27.49%	Atvidaberg	1320	3	@ Elfsborg	1335	1
12	1968-08-25	27.89%	Norrkoping	1342	2	@ Elfsborg	1354	1
13	1968-06-19	27.90%	Atvidaberg	1318	1	@ Orebro	1330	0
14	1968-08-25	28.18%	Goteborg	1275	3	@ Helsingborg	1285	0
15	1968-06-09	28.45%	Helsingborg	1286	2	@ Goteborg	1294	1
16	1968-05-05	29.43%	Helsingborg	1272	4	@ AIK Stockholm	1271	0
17	1968-05-26	29.96%	Orebro	1339	2	@ Norrkoping	1335	0
18	1968-10-19	30.19%	@ AIK Stockholm	1255	1	Oster	1377	0
19	1968-05-16	30.68%	Djurgarden	1340	2	@ Atvidaberg	1329	0
20	1968-09-29	30.81%	Oster	1359	3	@ Elfsborg	1348	0
21	1968-04-28	30.93%	Orebro	1326	3	@ Goteborg	1314	1
22	1968-08-08	31.52%	Djurgarden	1352	2	@ Oster	1335	1
23	1968-09-22	31.54%	Oster	1347	3	@ Atvidaberg	1330	0
24	1968-05-26	32.44%	Atvidaberg	1321	3	@ Helsingborg	1297	1
25	1968-06-12	32.49%	@ Atvidaberg	1314	2	Malmo	1418	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1968-05-05	16.05	Helsingborg	4	1272	29.43%	@ AIK Stockholm	0	1271	46.60%	23.97%
2	1968-06-09	15.06	Orgryte	3	1248	18.70%	@ Djurgarden	0	1351	58.77%	22.54%
3	1968-06-12	13.43	Djurgarden	4	1336	38.63%	@ AIK Stockholm	0	1268	37.31%	24.05%
4	1968-08-08	13.27	Norrkoping	4	1332	39.22%	@ Orgryte	0	1260	36.74%	24.04%
5	1968-06-05	12.87	Elfsborg	3	1328	27.00%	@ Orebro	0	1348	49.20%	23.81%
6	1968-08-25	12.58	Goteborg	3	1275	28.18%	@ Helsingborg	0	1285	47.93%	23.90%
7	1968-09-08	12.27	@ Elfsborg	4	1339	42.76%	Djurgarden	0	1368	33.15%	24.09%
8	1968-09-29	11.96	Oster	3	1359	30.81%	@ Elfsborg	0	1348	45.16%	24.03%
9	1968-09-22	11.80	Oster	3	1347	31.54%	@ Atvidaberg	0	1330	44.41%	24.06%
10	1968-09-08	11.77	Malmo	5	1403	52.47%	@ Orgryte	0	1232	24.66%	22.87%
11	1968-08-08	11.40	@ AIK Stockholm	9	1252	41.15%	Goteborg	3	1292	34.75%	24.11%
12	1968-08-11	11.26	@ Atvidaberg	4	1323	46.29%	Orebro	0	1325	29.73%	23.98%
13	1968-08-29	11.19	@ GAIS	3	1261	34.40%	Elfsborg	0	1350	41.67%	23.93%
14	1968-05-30	10.20	@ GAIS	3	1248	39.01%	Goteborg	0	1304	36.90%	24.09%
15	1968-06-03	10.16	Orgryte	2	1238	19.79%	@ Atvidaberg	0	1328	57.42%	22.79%
16	1968-10-27	9.77	@ Atvidaberg	6	1312	52.02%	Helsingborg	1	1269	24.43%	23.55%
17	1968-04-28	9.41	@ Norrkoping	4	1324	34.52%	Malmo	1	1412	41.54%	23.94%
18	1968-10-19	9.22	@ Helsingborg	2	1260	25.17%	Malmo	0	1426	51.87%	22.96%
19	1968-08-25	8.99	@ Oster	4	1337	36.82%	Malmo	1	1409	39.14%	24.04%
20	1968-09-22	8.98	Orgryte	3	1220	18.71%	@ Orebro	1	1323	58.75%	22.54%
21	1968-06-09	8.90	@ Malmo	4	1409	54.26%	Oster	0	1347	22.46%	23.28%
22	1968-04-15	8.84	Orebro	4	1315	37.67%	@ Orgryte	1	1253	38.26%	24.08%
23	1968-08-22	8.69	@ GAIS	4	1259	38.53%	Orebro	1	1318	37.39%	24.08%
24	1968-05-26	8.38	Orebro	2	1339	29.96%	@ Norrkoping	0	1335	46.05%	24.00%
25	1968-05-16	8.26	Djurgarden	2	1340	30.68%	@ Atvidaberg	0	1329	45.30%	24.03%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1968-06-12	64.8	@ Oster	3	1338	47.73%	Orebro	3	1330	28.36%	23.91%
2	1968-10-12	63.7	@ AIK Stockholm	3	1255	49.95%	Orgryte	3	1229	26.30%	23.75%
3	1968-05-09	61.5	@ Djurgarden	2	1340	38.09%	Malmo	2	1402	37.83%	24.07%
4	1968-10-19	60.8	@ Norrkoping	2	1352	48.15%	Djurgarden	2	1340	27.97%	23.88%
5	1968-08-15	60.3	@ Norrkoping	2	1346	56.60%	AIK Stockholm	2	1263	20.47%	22.93%
6	1968-06-12	59.6	@ Orgryte	2	1263	43.08%	Goteborg	2	1290	32.83%	24.09%
7	1968-08-15	59.6	@ Helsingborg	2	1277	49.11%	GAIS	2	1258	27.08%	23.81%
8	1968-09-26	59.4	@ Orgryte	2	1229	42.42%	GAIS	2	1261	33.49%	24.10%
9	1968-08-18	56.2	@ Malmo	1	1410	53.00%	Djurgarden	1	1359	23.56%	23.44%
10	1968-05-16	55.8	@ Malmo	1	1402	54.47%	Orebro	1	1338	22.28%	23.25%
11	1968-05-05	55.5	@ Malmo	1	1403	58.10%	Goteborg	1	1306	19.24%	22.67%
12	1968-06-19	55.4	GAIS	2	1258	14.76%	@ Malmo	1	1414	63.94%	21.30%
13	1968-04-21	54.7	@ Djurgarden	1	1338	47.00%	Elfsborg	1	1335	29.05%	23.95%
14	1968-06-09	54.6	@ Norrkoping	1	1323	44.38%	Elfsborg	1	1341	31.56%	24.06%
15	1968-06-19	54.5	@ Elfsborg	1	1345	54.14%	Helsingborg	1	1284	22.57%	23.30%
16	1968-05-26	54.4	@ Goteborg	1	1304	40.77%	Djurgarden	1	1348	35.13%	24.11%
17	1968-10-27	54.4	@ Djurgarden	1	1340	52.61%	Goteborg	1	1293	23.90%	23.49%
18	1968-04-18	54.3	@ Goteborg	1	1314	45.35%	Norrkoping	1	1324	30.62%	24.02%
19	1968-05-09	54.2	@ Elfsborg	1	1332	55.99%	AIK Stockholm	1	1255	20.98%	23.03%
20	1968-10-12	54.2	@ Orebro	1	1322	50.41%	Goteborg	1	1293	25.88%	23.71%
21	1968-05-16	54.0	@ AIK Stockholm	1	1256	35.82%	Norrkoping	1	1335	40.18%	24.00%
22	1968-05-27	54.0	@ Orgryte	1	1237	31.58%	Oster	1	1348	44.67%	23.74%
23	1968-08-15	53.9	Oster	3	1331	36.02%	@ Goteborg	2	1281	39.88%	24.10%
24	1968-09-02	53.8	@ Goteborg	1	1288	53.60%	Orgryte	1	1231	23.04%	23.37%
25	1968-04-25	53.6	@ Orgryte	1	1239	42.45%	AIK Stockholm	1	1271	33.46%	24.10%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1968-10-12	30.8	@ Oster	3	1371	58.99%	Helsingborg	0	1266	18.52%	22.49%
2	1968-09-04	31.7	@ Norrkoping	3	1346	55.65%	Helsingborg	0	1272	21.27%	23.08%
3	1968-08-25	31.8	@ Atvidaberg	3	1334	54.77%	GAIS	0	1267	22.02%	23.21%
4	1968-10-27	31.9	@ Oster	2	1372	62.10%	Orgryte	0	1236	16.11%	21.79%
5	1968-09-08	32.8	Malmo	5	1403	52.47%	@ Orgryte	0	1232	24.66%	22.87%
6	1968-09-04	32.9	@ Djurgarden	2	1364	59.16%	AIK Stockholm	0	1257	18.38%	22.46%
7	1968-04-21	33.0	@ Malmo	5	1408	64.66%	Orgryte	1	1244	14.25%	21.10%
8	1968-06-09	33.2	@ Malmo	4	1409	54.26%	Oster	0	1347	22.46%	23.28%
9	1968-06-05	33.4	@ Malmo	2	1405	60.00%	Helsingborg	0	1290	17.72%	22.28%
10	1968-08-11	34.2	@ Atvidaberg	4	1323	46.29%	Orebro	0	1325	29.73%	23.98%
11	1968-10-27	35.5	@ Atvidaberg	6	1312	52.02%	Helsingborg	1	1269	24.43%	23.55%
12	1968-10-27	35.7	@ GAIS	2	1268	47.85%	AIK Stockholm	0	1259	28.25%	23.90%
13	1968-05-26	35.9	@ AIK Stockholm	2	1256	46.93%	GAIS	0	1254	29.12%	23.95%
14	1968-08-08	35.9	Norrkoping	4	1332	39.22%	@ Orgryte	0	1260	36.74%	24.04%
15	1968-09-08	35.9	@ Elfsborg	4	1339	42.76%	Djurgarden	0	1368	33.15%	24.09%
16	1968-06-12	36.1	Djurgarden	4	1336	38.63%	@ AIK Stockholm	0	1268	37.31%	24.05%
17	1968-05-30	36.3	@ GAIS	3	1248	39.01%	Goteborg	0	1304	36.90%	24.09%
18	1968-08-11	36.3	Malmo	2	1408	49.16%	@ GAIS	0	1264	27.52%	23.31%
19	1968-04-28	37.2	@ Djurgarden	4	1337	54.98%	GAIS	1	1269	21.84%	23.18%
20	1968-06-19	37.3	@ Norrkoping	1	1330	54.88%	Orgryte	0	1263	21.93%	23.19%
21	1968-05-09	37.6	@ Helsingborg	1	1288	52.63%	Orgryte	0	1240	23.89%	23.48%
22	1968-05-09	37.9	@ Norrkoping	2	1328	44.06%	Oster	0	1348	31.87%	24.07%
23	1968-09-22	37.9	@ Malmo	3	1414	63.76%	AIK Stockholm	1	1261	14.89%	21.35%
24	1968-08-29	38.0	@ GAIS	3	1261	34.40%	Elfsborg	0	1350	41.67%	23.93%
25	1968-04-15	38.2	@ Norrkoping	1	1321	52.08%	GAIS	0	1278	24.37%	23.54%