1969 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Goteborg

31 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Goteborg

6.59 points above expected

31 points · 24.41 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sirius

8.45 points below expected

14 points · 22.45 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Goteborg	22	13	5	4	31	38	19	+19	24.41	+6.59
2	Malmo	22	11	6	5	28	34	27	+7	23.73	+4.27
3	Djurgarden	22	12	3	7	27	39	26	+13	22.83	+4.17
4	Atvidaberg	22	11	4	7	26	38	34	+4	23.09	+2.91
5	Orebro	22	10	5	7	25	33	27	+6	21.79	+3.21
6	Oster	22	9	4	9	22	37	27	+10	23.91	-1.91
7	Norrkoping	22	9	4	9	22	37	33	+4	22.41	-0.41
8	GAIS	22	7	6	9	20	31	36	-5	20.85	-0.85
9	AIK Stockholm	22	5	7	10	17	21	25	-4	19.24	-2.24
10	Elfsborg	22	6	5	11	17	21	30	-9	21.04	-4.04
11	Jonkoping	22	5	5	12	15	19	51	-32	18.25	-3.25
12	Sirius	22	4	6	12	14	16	29	-13	22.45	-8.45

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Goteborg	31	24.41	+6.59
2	Malmo	28	23.73	+4.27
3	Djurgarden	27	22.83	+4.17
4	Orebro	25	21.79	+3.21
5	Atvidaberg	26	23.09	+2.91

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sirius	14	22.45	-8.45
2	Elfsborg	17	21.04	-4.04
3	Jonkoping	15	18.25	-3.25
4	AIK Stockholm	17	19.24	-2.24
5	Oster	22	23.91	-1.91

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Norrkoping	5	May 29 – Aug 14	1 in 79
2	Goteborg	4	May 4 – May 26	1 in 42
3	Djurgarden	4	May 4 – May 26	1 in 39
4	GAIS	3	May 15 – May 29	1 in 32
5	Jonkoping	2	Aug 21 – Aug 28	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sirius	4	May 4 – May 26	1 in 157
2	Jonkoping	6	May 26 – Aug 14	1 in 91
3	AIK Stockholm	5	May 15 – Jun 8	1 in 57
4	Oster	3	Sep 28 – Oct 18	1 in 26
5	Elfsborg	3	Jun 12 – Aug 21	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sirius	5	Aug 21 – Sep 14	1 in 29
2	AIK Stockholm	5	Sep 7 – Oct 5	1 in 27
3	Orebro	7	May 29 – Sep 2	1 in 17
4	Goteborg	6	Apr 20 – May 26	1 in 17
5	Norrkoping	6	May 29 – Aug 21	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Jonkoping	12	Apr 13 – Aug 14	1 in 130
2	GAIS	10	Jun 12 – Oct 5	1 in 99
3	Elfsborg	11	Jun 4 – Sep 28	1 in 90
4	Sirius	7	Apr 13 – May 26	1 in 58
5	AIK Stockholm	10	Apr 13 – Jun 8	1 in 44

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Goteborg	1537	31	+44	9	6.2	+2.8
Malmo	1493	28	+19	7	5.1	+1.9
Djurgarden	1493	27	+19	7	5.8	+1.2
Atvidaberg	1427	26	-8	5	5.5	-0.5
Orebro	1448	25	-3	5	4.8	+0.2
Norrkoping	1443	22	+5	4	4.5	-0.5
Oster	1474	22	-16	4	6.0	-2.0
GAIS	1386	20	-25	2	4.2	-2.2
Elfsborg	1380	17	+1	5	4.8	+0.2
AIK Stockholm	1404	17	-5	4	4.6	-0.6
Jonkoping	1282	15	-13	5	3.3	+1.7
Sirius	1402	14	-18	3	5.1	-2.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AS	ATV	DJU	ELF	GAI	GOT	JON	MAL	NOR	ORE	OST	SIR
AIK Stockholm	—	1-0-1 2.01	0-0-2 2.23	0-1-1 2.72	0-1-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.05	0-1-1 2.86	0-2-0 2.23	0-1-1 2.58	0-1-1 2.48	1-0-1 2.19	2-0-0 2.29
Atvidaberg	1-0-1 3.52	—	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 3.03	2-0-0 2.80	1-1-0 2.75	0-2-0 3.30	1-0-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.94	1-1-0 2.80	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.77
Djurgarden	2-0-0 3.30	1-0-1 2.79	—	2-0-0 2.80	2-0-0 2.89	0-1-1 2.66	2-0-0 3.52	1-1-0 2.59	1-0-1 2.91	0-0-2 3.04	0-0-2 2.59	1-1-0 2.88
Elfsborg	1-1-0 2.79	1-0-1 2.49	0-0-2 2.72	—	0-1-1 2.77	0-0-2 2.39	1-0-1 3.11	0-1-1 2.41	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.35	1-1-0 2.51
GAIS	1-1-0 2.76	0-0-2 2.72	0-0-2 2.63	1-1-0 2.75	—	0-1-1 2.28	1-0-1 3.50	1-0-1 2.03	1-1-0 2.49	0-1-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.25	1-1-0 2.64
Goteborg	1-0-1 3.48	0-1-1 2.77	1-1-0 2.87	2-0-0 3.13	1-1-0 3.24	—	1-1-0 3.50	1-0-1 2.85	2-0-0 3.05	1-1-0 3.09	1-0-1 2.79	2-0-0 3.02
Jonkoping	1-1-0 2.66	0-2-0 2.22	0-0-2 2.00	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-1 2.02	0-1-1 2.02	—	1-1-0 2.20	0-0-2 1.79	0-0-2 2.08	0-0-2 2.38	1-0-1 2.21
Malmo	0-2-0 3.30	1-0-1 2.86	0-1-1 2.93	1-1-0 3.11	1-0-1 3.50	1-0-1 2.67	0-1-1 3.34	—	2-0-0 2.94	2-0-0 3.20	2-0-0 2.56	1-1-0 2.89
Norrkoping	1-1-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.60	1-0-1 2.88	0-1-1 3.03	0-0-2 2.47	2-0-0 3.75	0-0-2 2.58	—	1-1-0 2.74	1-1-0 2.29	1-0-1 2.92
Orebro	1-1-0 3.04	0-1-1 2.72	2-0-0 2.48	1-0-1 3.04	1-1-0 2.84	0-1-1 2.43	2-0-0 3.45	0-0-2 2.33	0-1-1 2.78	—	2-0-0 2.55	1-0-1 2.99
Oster	1-0-1 3.33	1-0-1 2.88	2-0-0 2.93	1-1-0 3.18	1-0-1 3.28	1-0-1 2.72	2-0-0 3.16	0-0-2 2.96	0-1-1 3.24	0-0-2 2.98	—	0-2-0 3.01
Sirius	0-0-2 3.23	1-0-1 2.74	0-1-1 2.64	0-1-1 3.01	0-1-1 2.88	0-0-2 2.51	1-0-1 3.32	0-1-1 2.63	1-0-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.53	0-2-0 2.52	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.78	+5.7
Allowed	0.28	-3.7
Differential	0.74	+3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.82%	10.61%	5.30%	3.79%	1.14%	1.14%	28.79%
1	10.61%	12.12%	5.68%	3.03%	1.52%	0.38%	33.33%
2	5.30%	5.68%	3.79%	3.41%	1.14%	0.38%	19.70%
3	3.79%	3.03%	3.41%	—	0.38%	0.76%	11.36%
4	1.14%	1.52%	1.14%	0.38%	—	—	4.17%
5+	1.14%	0.38%	0.38%	0.76%	—	—	2.65%
Total	28.79%	33.33%	19.70%	11.36%	4.17%	2.65%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.38	+0.00
SD	1.31	1.31	1.87
CV	0.95	0.95	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	18.18%	13.64%	—	—	—	40.91%
1	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	36.36%	31.82%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	1.14	-0.18
SD	1.09	0.89	1.37
CV	1.14	0.78	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	—	—	18.18%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	18.18%	45.45%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	1.55	+0.18
SD	1.35	1.10	1.56
CV	0.78	0.71	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	36.36%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.77	1.18	+0.59
SD	1.60	1.30	2.24
CV	0.90	1.10	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	—	31.82%
1	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	45.45%
2	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	31.82%	22.73%	13.64%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.95	1.36	-0.41
SD	0.84	1.18	1.47
CV	0.88	0.86	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
1	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	22.73%	27.27%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.64	-0.23
SD	1.05	1.53	1.97
CV	0.75	0.93	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	18.18%	18.18%	—	—	4.55%	—	40.91%
2	18.18%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
Total	50.00%	31.82%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	0.86	+0.86
SD	1.42	1.17	1.61
CV	0.82	1.35	—
Max	6	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	—	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	50.00%
1	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	27.27%
2	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	36.36%	—	22.73%	13.64%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	2.32	-1.45
SD	1.13	1.81	2.15
CV	1.30	0.78	—
Max	4	6	+1
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	—	22.73%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	40.91%	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	1.23	+0.32
SD	1.06	1.11	1.49
CV	0.68	0.90	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
3	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	27.27%	27.27%	22.73%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.50	+0.18
SD	1.43	1.10	1.87
CV	0.85	0.73	—
Max	5	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	22.73%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	50.00%
2	—	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	36.36%	22.73%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.23	+0.27
SD	1.22	1.02	1.72
CV	0.82	0.83	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
1	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	27.27%	40.91%	22.73%	4.55%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.68	1.23	+0.45
SD	1.78	1.19	2.24
CV	1.06	0.97	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	31.82%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	59.09%
1	—	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	18.18%
2	13.64%	—	—	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	40.91%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.73	1.32	-0.59
SD	1.03	1.70	1.79
CV	1.42	1.29	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Goteborg	1537	31	24.41	+6.59	99.0%	17	18	22	25	27	30	35
Djurgarden	1493	27	22.83	+4.17	89.0%	12	16	20	23	26	30	32
Malmo	1493	28	23.73	+4.27	85.0%	16	17	21	23	26	30	33
Oster	1474	22	23.91	-1.91	31.0%	14	17	22	24	26	30	32
Orebro	1448	25	21.79	+3.21	85.0%	12	16	20	22	24	27	29
Norrkoping	1443	22	22.41	-0.41	53.0%	10	15	19	22	26	29	33
Atvidaberg	1427	26	23.09	+2.91	77.0%	14	17	20	23	26	29	32
AIK Stockholm	1404	17	19.24	-2.24	33.0%	10	12	16	20	22	25	29
Sirius	1402	14	22.45	-8.45	2.0%	11	16	21	22	25	28	31
GAIS	1386	20	20.85	-0.85	42.0%	9	13	18	21	23	27	30
Elfsborg	1380	17	21.04	-4.04	19.0%	9	15	18	21	24	27	34
Jonkoping	1282	15	18.25	-3.25	22.0%	10	12	16	18	21	24	28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+15.15%

Clear Edge

46.21%22.73%31.06%

Elo Value

Home Edge

171 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

053.05500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.41 goals

Neutral

-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.

Title-Race Openness

7.6

Wide Open

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

18%

Goteborg, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.14/gm

Tight Race

00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.12 * Some Luck: 3.12 to 4.69 * Lucky: 4.69 to 6.25 * Wild Swing: 6.25 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.37 * Close: 2.37 to 3.55 * Off: 3.55 to 4.74 * Way Off: 4.74 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

4.14 points

Some Luck

03.9010

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.83

Pinpoint

02.966

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

99.00%

Goteborg

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

2.00%

Sirius

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.14

Balanced

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 67.14

1.34

Coin-Flip Parity

0.951.41.652.75

Interquartile Edge

61%

Even

50%63%71.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

81%

Even

50%79%100%

Close Games

Expected

63%

Very Frequent

0%58%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Occasional

0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.64

Hard to Predict

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.29

Very Even

00.30.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.25

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

-0.23

Weak Carryover

00.380.530.691

Upset Rate

Expected

30%

Very Upset-Prone

0%27%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

29%

Very Shaky

0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.80

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.42

Overconfident

0.2463691.001.75363

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.085

Well Within Noise

00.1310.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Goteborg	18.00%	13.00%	21.00%	13.00%	3.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%	5.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Malmo	13.00%	13.00%	8.00%	12.00%	11.00%	8.00%	12.00%	6.00%	5.00%	8.00%	4.00%	—
Djurgarden	12.00%	13.00%	10.00%	11.00%	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	5.00%
Atvidaberg	13.00%	12.00%	8.00%	10.00%	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	7.00%	9.00%	7.00%	8.00%	2.00%
Orebro	2.00%	8.00%	7.00%	6.00%	13.00%	10.00%	13.00%	10.00%	13.00%	6.00%	8.00%	4.00%
Oster	18.00%	10.00%	14.00%	10.00%	13.00%	9.00%	6.00%	3.00%	8.00%	4.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Norrkoping	12.00%	11.00%	10.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%	7.00%	8.00%	9.00%	6.00%
GAIS	4.00%	7.00%	3.00%	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	12.00%	7.00%	13.00%	10.00%	9.00%	14.00%
AIK Stockholm	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	11.00%	5.00%	6.00%	7.00%	10.00%	16.00%	13.00%	21.00%
Elfsborg	2.00%	4.00%	7.00%	7.00%	12.00%	6.00%	9.00%	13.00%	4.00%	13.00%	14.00%	9.00%
Jonkoping	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	6.00%	1.00%	13.00%	12.00%	12.00%	17.00%	32.00%
Sirius	5.00%	8.00%	7.00%	9.00%	9.00%	12.00%	12.00%	12.00%	8.00%	5.00%	8.00%	5.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Goteborg	97.00%	3.00%
Malmo	96.00%	4.00%
Oster	95.00%	5.00%
Djurgarden	91.00%	9.00%
Atvidaberg	90.00%	10.00%
Orebro	88.00%	12.00%
Sirius	87.00%	13.00%
Norrkoping	85.00%	15.00%
Elfsborg	77.00%	23.00%
GAIS	77.00%	23.00%
AIK Stockholm	66.00%	34.00%
Jonkoping	51.00%	49.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1969-04-13	Jonkoping	D 0-0	53.9	1401	1446	43.40%	24.10%	32.50%	+0.05	-0.6	1
1969-04-13	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	53.9	1446	1401	32.50%	24.10%	43.40%	-0.05	+0.6	1
1969-04-13	GAIS	L 0-1	50.1	1427	1406	51.70%	23.92%	24.38%	+0.43	-12.2	0
1969-04-13	@ Elfsborg	W 1-0	50.1	1406	1427	24.38%	23.92%	51.70%	-0.43	+12.2	2
1969-04-13	Atvidaberg	L 2-3	58.9	1410	1423	47.66%	24.05%	28.29%	+0.24	-10.1	0
1969-04-13	@ Goteborg	W 3-2	58.9	1423	1410	28.29%	24.05%	47.66%	-0.24	+10.1	2
1969-04-13	Sirius	W 3-0	42.0	1453	1494	43.94%	24.10%	31.96%	+0.07	+22.6	2
1969-04-13	@ Malmo	L 0-3	42.0	1494	1453	31.96%	24.10%	43.94%	-0.07	-22.6	0
1969-04-13	Orebro	W 3-0	36.3	1433	1411	51.81%	23.91%	24.27%	+0.44	+18.1	2
1969-04-13	@ Norrkoping	L 0-3	36.3	1411	1433	24.27%	23.91%	51.81%	-0.44	-18.1	0
1969-04-13	Djurgarden	W 1-0	43.0	1439	1424	51.03%	23.95%	25.03%	+0.40	+6.8	2
1969-04-13	@ Oster	L 0-1	43.0	1424	1439	25.03%	23.95%	51.03%	-0.40	-6.8	0
1969-04-20	Elfsborg	L 0-2	46.8	1433	1415	51.36%	23.93%	24.71%	+0.42	-22.8	2
1969-04-20	@ Atvidaberg	W 2-0	46.8	1415	1433	24.71%	23.93%	51.36%	-0.42	+22.8	2
1969-04-20	Goteborg	L 0-4	43.2	1417	1400	51.26%	23.94%	24.80%	+0.41	-43.2	0
1969-04-20	@ Djurgarden	W 4-0	43.2	1400	1417	24.80%	23.94%	51.26%	-0.41	+43.2	2
1969-04-20	Norrkoping	W 2-1	50.1	1418	1451	45.04%	24.09%	30.88%	+0.12	+7.6	4
1969-04-20	@ GAIS	L 1-2	50.1	1451	1418	30.88%	24.09%	45.04%	-0.12	-7.6	2
1969-04-20	Malmo	D 1-1	60.6	1446	1476	45.54%	24.08%	30.38%	+0.14	-0.8	2
1969-04-20	@ Jonkoping	D 1-1	60.6	1476	1446	30.38%	24.08%	45.54%	-0.14	+0.8	3
1969-04-20	AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	42.0	1393	1400	48.37%	24.03%	27.60%	+0.27	+7.3	2
1969-04-20	@ Orebro	L 0-1	42.0	1400	1393	27.60%	24.03%	48.37%	-0.27	-7.3	1
1969-04-20	Oster	D 0-0	56.2	1472	1446	52.22%	23.90%	23.89%	+0.46	-1.7	1
1969-04-20	@ Sirius	D 0-0	56.2	1446	1472	23.89%	23.90%	52.22%	-0.46	+1.7	3
1969-04-27	GAIS	D 2-2	62.9	1393	1426	44.98%	24.09%	30.93%	+0.12	-0.5	2
1969-04-27	@ AIK Stockholm	D 2-2	62.9	1426	1393	30.93%	24.09%	44.98%	-0.12	+0.5	5
1969-04-27	Djurgarden	W 3-2	50.3	1410	1374	53.40%	23.84%	22.76%	+0.52	+5.6	4
1969-04-27	@ Atvidaberg	L 2-3	50.3	1374	1410	22.76%	23.84%	53.40%	-0.52	-5.6	0
1969-04-27	Sirius	D 1-1	60.1	1438	1470	45.14%	24.09%	30.77%	+0.12	-0.7	3
1969-04-27	@ Elfsborg	D 1-1	60.1	1470	1438	30.77%	24.09%	45.14%	-0.12	+0.7	2
1969-04-27	Jonkoping	D 1-1	59.6	1443	1446	48.94%	24.01%	27.05%	+0.30	-1.1	3
1969-04-27	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	59.6	1446	1443	27.05%	24.01%	48.94%	-0.30	+1.1	3
1969-04-27	Norrkoping	W 3-0	38.3	1476	1444	53.02%	23.86%	23.12%	+0.50	+17.4	5
1969-04-27	@ Malmo	L 0-3	38.3	1444	1476	23.12%	23.86%	53.02%	-0.50	-17.4	2
1969-04-27	Orebro	L 0-1	51.3	1448	1401	54.63%	23.77%	21.60%	+0.59	-12.8	3
1969-04-27	@ Oster	W 1-0	51.3	1401	1448	21.60%	23.77%	54.63%	-0.59	+12.8	4
1969-05-04	Elfsborg	W 4-1	43.7	1369	1437	40.20%	24.10%	35.70%	-0.09	+20.7	2
1969-05-04	@ Djurgarden	L 1-4	43.7	1437	1369	35.70%	24.10%	40.20%	+0.09	-20.7	3
1969-05-04	Atvidaberg	L 2-3	60.0	1427	1416	50.51%	23.96%	25.53%	+0.37	-10.6	5
1969-05-04	@ GAIS	W 3-2	60.0	1416	1427	25.53%	23.96%	50.51%	-0.37	+10.7	6
1969-05-04	Oster	L 0-5	45.3	1447	1435	50.64%	23.96%	25.40%	+0.38	-52.6	3
1969-05-04	@ Jonkoping	W 5-0	45.3	1435	1447	25.40%	23.96%	50.64%	-0.38	+52.6	5
1969-05-04	AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	57.6	1426	1392	53.21%	23.85%	22.94%	+0.51	-1.6	3
1969-05-04	@ Norrkoping	D 1-1	57.6	1392	1426	22.94%	23.85%	53.21%	-0.51	+1.6	3
1969-05-04	Malmo	L 1-2	53.6	1413	1494	38.52%	24.09%	37.39%	-0.16	-9.0	4
1969-05-04	@ Orebro	W 2-1	53.6	1494	1413	37.39%	24.09%	38.52%	+0.16	+9.0	7
1969-05-04	Goteborg	L 0-1	52.7	1471	1442	52.55%	23.88%	23.57%	+0.48	-12.4	2
1969-05-04	@ Sirius	W 1-0	52.7	1442	1471	23.57%	23.88%	52.55%	-0.48	+12.3	5
1969-05-11	Sirius	W 2-0	41.8	1426	1458	45.18%	24.09%	30.74%	+0.12	+15.1	8
1969-05-11	@ Atvidaberg	L 0-2	41.8	1458	1426	30.74%	24.09%	45.18%	-0.12	-15.1	2
1969-05-11	GAIS	W 6-0	37.8	1389	1416	45.87%	24.08%	30.05%	+0.16	+41.1	4
1969-05-11	@ Djurgarden	L 0-6	37.8	1416	1389	30.05%	24.08%	45.87%	-0.16	-41.1	5
1969-05-11	Jonkoping	W 1-0	41.3	1416	1394	51.84%	23.91%	24.24%	+0.44	+6.6	5
1969-05-11	@ Elfsborg	L 0-1	41.3	1394	1416	24.24%	23.91%	51.84%	-0.44	-6.6	3
1969-05-11	Orebro	W 1-0	41.6	1455	1404	54.95%	23.75%	21.29%	+0.60	+5.9	7
1969-05-11	@ Goteborg	L 0-1	41.6	1404	1455	21.29%	23.75%	54.95%	-0.60	-5.9	4
1969-05-11	AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	60.0	1503	1394	60.65%	23.27%	16.09%	+0.95	-2.5	8
1969-05-11	@ Malmo	D 1-1	60.0	1394	1503	16.09%	23.27%	60.65%	-0.95	+2.5	4
1969-05-11	Norrkoping	D 1-1	60.4	1488	1425	56.27%	23.67%	20.07%	+0.68	-1.9	6
1969-05-11	@ Oster	D 1-1	60.4	1425	1488	20.07%	23.67%	56.27%	-0.68	+1.9	4
1969-05-15	Oster	L 1-2	52.4	1396	1486	37.22%	24.07%	38.71%	-0.21	-8.7	4
1969-05-15	@ AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	52.4	1486	1396	38.71%	24.07%	37.22%	+0.21	+8.7	8
1969-05-15	Malmo	W 3-0	43.1	1375	1500	32.29%	23.96%	43.75%	-0.42	+28.8	7
1969-05-15	@ GAIS	L 0-3	43.1	1500	1375	43.75%	23.96%	32.29%	+0.42	-28.8	8
1969-05-15	Atvidaberg	D 1-1	57.8	1388	1442	42.21%	24.11%	33.68%	-0.01	-0.4	4
1969-05-15	@ Jonkoping	D 1-1	57.8	1442	1388	33.68%	24.11%	42.21%	+0.01	+0.4	9
1969-05-15	Goteborg	L 0-2	46.1	1427	1461	44.91%	24.09%	31.00%	+0.11	-20.3	4
1969-05-15	@ Norrkoping	W 2-0	46.1	1461	1427	31.00%	24.09%	44.91%	-0.11	+20.3	9
1969-05-15	Elfsborg	W 3-1	45.1	1398	1423	46.13%	24.07%	29.79%	+0.17	+12.7	6
1969-05-15	@ Orebro	L 1-3	45.1	1423	1398	29.79%	24.07%	46.13%	-0.17	-12.7	5
1969-05-15	Djurgarden	L 0-1	51.0	1443	1430	50.74%	23.96%	25.30%	+0.38	-12.0	2
1969-05-15	@ Sirius	W 1-0	51.0	1430	1443	25.30%	23.96%	50.74%	-0.38	+12.0	6
1969-05-26	Orebro	W 2-1	47.3	1442	1411	52.82%	23.87%	23.31%	+0.49	+6.0	11
1969-05-26	@ Atvidaberg	L 1-2	47.3	1411	1442	23.31%	23.87%	52.82%	-0.49	-6.0	6
1969-05-26	Jonkoping	W 3-0	34.8	1442	1387	55.48%	23.72%	20.80%	+0.63	+15.9	8
1969-05-26	@ Djurgarden	L 0-3	34.8	1387	1442	20.80%	23.72%	55.48%	-0.63	-15.9	4
1969-05-26	Norrkoping	W 1-0	42.1	1410	1406	49.67%	23.99%	26.33%	+0.33	+7.1	7
1969-05-26	@ Elfsborg	L 0-1	42.1	1406	1410	26.33%	23.99%	49.67%	-0.33	-7.1	4
1969-05-26	AIK Stockholm	W 2-0	37.1	1481	1388	59.24%	23.42%	17.34%	+0.86	+9.4	11
1969-05-26	@ Goteborg	L 0-2	37.1	1388	1481	17.34%	23.42%	59.24%	-0.86	-9.4	4
1969-05-26	Malmo	L 1-2	59.6	1494	1471	51.94%	23.91%	24.15%	+0.44	-11.5	8
1969-05-26	@ Oster	W 2-1	59.6	1471	1494	24.15%	23.91%	51.94%	-0.44	+11.5	10
1969-05-26	GAIS	L 0-1	50.4	1431	1404	52.48%	23.89%	23.64%	+0.47	-12.3	2
1969-05-26	@ Sirius	W 1-0	50.4	1404	1431	23.64%	23.89%	52.48%	-0.47	+12.3	9
1969-05-29	Elfsborg	L 0-2	43.4	1378	1417	44.20%	24.10%	31.70%	+0.08	-20.0	4
1969-05-29	@ AIK Stockholm	W 2-0	43.4	1417	1378	31.70%	24.10%	44.20%	-0.08	+20.0	9
1969-05-29	Oster	W 1-0	47.2	1416	1483	40.40%	24.10%	35.50%	-0.08	+8.9	11
1969-05-29	@ GAIS	L 0-1	47.2	1483	1416	35.50%	24.10%	40.40%	+0.08	-8.9	8
1969-05-29	Sirius	L 0-3	40.7	1371	1419	43.06%	24.10%	32.84%	+0.03	-28.4	4
1969-05-29	@ Jonkoping	W 3-0	40.7	1419	1371	32.84%	24.10%	43.06%	-0.03	+28.4	4
1969-05-29	Goteborg	W 1-0	47.5	1483	1490	48.31%	24.03%	27.66%	+0.27	+7.3	12
1969-05-29	@ Malmo	L 0-1	47.5	1490	1483	27.66%	24.03%	48.31%	-0.27	-7.3	11
1969-05-29	Atvidaberg	W 4-2	50.5	1399	1448	42.94%	24.10%	32.96%	+0.03	+12.3	6
1969-05-29	@ Norrkoping	L 2-4	50.5	1448	1399	32.96%	24.10%	42.94%	-0.03	-12.3	11
1969-05-29	Djurgarden	W 1-0	45.6	1405	1458	42.31%	24.10%	33.58%	+0.00	+8.6	8
1969-05-29	@ Orebro	L 0-1	45.6	1458	1405	33.58%	24.10%	42.31%	+0.00	-8.6	8
1969-06-04	Malmo	W 2-0	44.1	1436	1490	42.11%	24.11%	33.78%	-0.01	+16.2	13
1969-06-04	@ Atvidaberg	L 0-2	44.1	1490	1436	33.78%	24.11%	42.11%	+0.01	-16.2	12
1969-06-04	AIK Stockholm	W 2-0	35.5	1450	1358	59.09%	23.43%	17.48%	+0.85	+9.4	10
1969-06-04	@ Djurgarden	L 0-2	35.5	1358	1450	17.48%	23.43%	59.09%	-0.85	-9.5	4
1969-06-04	Oster	D 1-1	60.3	1437	1474	44.54%	24.09%	31.37%	+0.10	-0.7	10
1969-06-04	@ Elfsborg	D 1-1	60.3	1474	1437	31.37%	24.09%	44.54%	-0.10	+0.7	9
1969-06-04	GAIS	W 2-0	39.3	1483	1425	55.78%	23.70%	20.52%	+0.65	+10.8	13
1969-06-04	@ Goteborg	L 0-2	39.3	1425	1483	20.52%	23.70%	55.78%	-0.65	-10.8	11
1969-06-04	Orebro	L 0-1	44.9	1343	1414	39.85%	24.10%	36.05%	-0.10	-9.8	4
1969-06-04	@ Jonkoping	W 1-0	44.9	1414	1343	36.05%	24.10%	39.85%	+0.10	+9.8	10
1969-06-04	Norrkoping	L 0-1	51.3	1447	1412	53.37%	23.84%	22.79%	+0.52	-12.5	4
1969-06-04	@ Sirius	W 1-0	51.3	1412	1447	22.79%	23.84%	53.37%	-0.52	+12.5	8
1969-06-08	Atvidaberg	L 0-1	44.4	1349	1452	35.30%	24.04%	40.67%	-0.29	-8.9	4
1969-06-08	@ AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	44.4	1452	1349	40.67%	24.04%	35.30%	+0.29	+8.9	15
1969-06-08	Jonkoping	W 4-0	31.7	1414	1333	58.06%	23.52%	18.41%	+0.78	+18.7	13
1969-06-08	@ GAIS	L 0-4	31.7	1333	1414	18.41%	23.52%	58.06%	-0.78	-18.7	4
1969-06-08	Elfsborg	D 2-2	65.7	1474	1437	53.56%	23.83%	22.61%	+0.53	-1.2	13
1969-06-08	@ Malmo	D 2-2	65.7	1437	1474	22.61%	23.83%	53.56%	-0.53	+1.2	11
1969-06-08	Djurgarden	W 3-0	39.6	1424	1459	44.76%	24.09%	31.15%	+0.11	+22.1	10
1969-06-08	@ Norrkoping	L 0-3	39.6	1459	1424	31.15%	24.09%	44.76%	-0.11	-22.1	10
1969-06-08	Sirius	W 5-1	41.2	1424	1435	47.81%	24.04%	28.15%	+0.24	+22.2	12
1969-06-08	@ Orebro	L 1-5	41.2	1435	1424	28.15%	24.04%	47.81%	-0.24	-22.2	4
1969-06-08	Goteborg	W 4-1	46.7	1475	1494	46.83%	24.06%	29.11%	+0.20	+17.7	11
1969-06-08	@ Oster	L 1-4	46.7	1494	1475	29.11%	24.06%	46.83%	-0.20	-17.7	13
1969-06-12	Sirius	W 1-0	43.8	1340	1413	39.58%	24.10%	36.32%	-0.12	+9.1	6
1969-06-12	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	43.8	1413	1340	36.32%	24.10%	39.58%	+0.12	-9.1	4
1969-06-12	Oster	W 5-2	49.4	1461	1492	45.21%	24.09%	30.70%	+0.13	+16.0	17
1969-06-12	@ Atvidaberg	L 2-5	49.4	1492	1461	30.70%	24.09%	45.21%	-0.13	-16.0	11
1969-06-12	Elfsborg	W 2-0	40.2	1476	1438	53.65%	23.83%	22.53%	+0.53	+11.7	15
1969-06-12	@ Goteborg	L 0-2	40.2	1438	1476	22.53%	23.83%	53.65%	-0.53	-11.7	11
1969-06-12	Norrkoping	L 1-3	44.2	1314	1446	31.43%	23.93%	44.65%	-0.46	-13.3	4
1969-06-12	@ Jonkoping	W 3-1	44.2	1446	1314	44.65%	23.93%	31.43%	+0.46	+13.2	12
1969-06-12	Djurgarden	L 1-2	58.1	1473	1437	53.38%	23.84%	22.78%	+0.52	-11.8	13
1969-06-12	@ Malmo	W 2-1	58.1	1437	1473	22.78%	23.84%	53.38%	-0.52	+11.8	12
1969-06-12	GAIS	D 1-1	59.2	1446	1433	50.78%	23.96%	25.27%	+0.39	-1.3	13
1969-06-12	@ Orebro	D 1-1	59.2	1433	1446	25.27%	23.96%	50.78%	-0.39	+1.3	14
1969-08-14	Malmo	D 1-1	60.2	1449	1461	47.71%	24.04%	28.24%	+0.24	-1.0	13
1969-08-14	@ Djurgarden	D 1-1	60.2	1461	1449	28.24%	24.04%	47.71%	-0.24	+1.0	14
1969-08-14	Goteborg	L 2-3	59.4	1426	1488	41.15%	24.10%	34.74%	-0.05	-9.0	11
1969-08-14	@ Elfsborg	W 3-2	59.4	1488	1426	34.74%	24.10%	41.15%	+0.05	+9.0	17
1969-08-14	Orebro	L 0-1	50.3	1434	1444	47.93%	24.04%	28.03%	+0.25	-11.4	14
1969-08-14	@ GAIS	W 1-0	50.3	1444	1434	28.03%	24.04%	47.93%	-0.25	+11.4	15
1969-08-14	Jonkoping	W 5-3	43.9	1460	1301	64.69%	22.71%	12.60%	+1.24	+5.1	14
1969-08-14	@ Norrkoping	L 3-5	43.9	1301	1460	12.60%	22.71%	64.69%	-1.24	-5.1	4
1969-08-14	Atvidaberg	W 3-2	56.5	1476	1477	49.17%	24.01%	26.83%	+0.31	+6.4	13
1969-08-14	@ Oster	L 2-3	56.5	1477	1476	26.83%	24.01%	49.17%	-0.31	-6.4	17
1969-08-14	AIK Stockholm	L 1-4	48.4	1404	1349	55.42%	23.72%	20.86%	+0.63	-30.0	4
1969-08-14	@ Sirius	W 4-1	48.4	1349	1404	20.86%	23.72%	55.42%	-0.63	+30.0	8
1969-08-21	Orebro	D 2-2	63.3	1379	1456	39.00%	24.09%	36.91%	-0.14	-0.1	9
1969-08-21	@ AIK Stockholm	D 2-2	63.3	1456	1379	36.91%	24.09%	39.00%	+0.14	+0.1	16
1969-08-21	Atvidaberg	L 0-1	48.9	1417	1470	42.32%	24.10%	33.57%	+0.00	-10.2	11
1969-08-21	@ Elfsborg	W 1-0	48.9	1470	1417	33.57%	24.10%	42.32%	+0.00	+10.2	19
1969-08-21	Djurgarden	D 0-0	57.2	1497	1448	54.80%	23.76%	21.44%	+0.60	-2.0	18
1969-08-21	@ Goteborg	D 0-0	57.2	1448	1497	21.44%	23.76%	54.80%	-0.60	+2.0	14
1969-08-21	Jonkoping	L 3-4	64.9	1462	1296	65.25%	22.61%	12.13%	+1.28	-13.3	14
1969-08-21	@ Malmo	W 4-3	64.9	1296	1462	12.13%	22.61%	65.25%	-1.28	+13.3	6
1969-08-21	GAIS	D 2-2	64.9	1465	1423	54.08%	23.80%	22.12%	+0.56	-1.3	15
1969-08-21	@ Norrkoping	D 2-2	64.9	1423	1465	22.12%	23.80%	54.08%	-0.56	+1.3	15
1969-08-21	Sirius	D 0-0	54.4	1483	1374	60.67%	23.27%	16.06%	+0.95	-2.8	14
1969-08-21	@ Oster	D 0-0	54.4	1374	1483	16.06%	23.27%	60.67%	-0.95	+2.7	5
1969-08-24	Goteborg	D 1-1	62.6	1481	1495	47.45%	24.05%	28.50%	+0.23	-1.0	20
1969-08-24	@ Atvidaberg	D 1-1	62.6	1495	1481	28.50%	24.05%	47.45%	-0.23	+1.0	19
1969-08-28	Oster	L 2-4	56.9	1450	1480	45.40%	24.08%	30.51%	+0.13	-15.9	14
1969-08-28	@ Djurgarden	W 4-2	56.9	1480	1450	30.51%	24.08%	45.40%	-0.13	+15.9	16
1969-08-28	Elfsborg	D 0-0	53.6	1424	1407	51.24%	23.94%	24.82%	+0.41	-1.5	16
1969-08-28	@ GAIS	D 0-0	53.6	1407	1424	24.82%	23.94%	51.24%	-0.41	+1.5	12
1969-08-28	AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	47.9	1309	1379	40.04%	24.10%	35.86%	-0.10	+8.5	8
1969-08-28	@ Jonkoping	L 1-2	47.9	1379	1309	35.86%	24.10%	40.04%	+0.10	-8.5	9
1969-08-28	Malmo	D 0-0	53.4	1376	1449	39.64%	24.10%	36.27%	-0.11	-0.2	6
1969-08-28	@ Sirius	D 0-0	53.4	1449	1376	36.27%	24.10%	39.64%	+0.11	+0.2	15
1969-09-02	Djurgarden	L 0-1	46.2	1370	1434	40.85%	24.10%	35.05%	-0.06	-10.0	9
1969-09-02	@ AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	46.2	1434	1370	35.05%	24.10%	40.85%	+0.06	+10.0	16
1969-09-02	Goteborg	D 1-1	60.5	1422	1496	39.51%	24.10%	36.39%	-0.12	-0.2	17
1969-09-02	@ GAIS	D 1-1	60.5	1496	1422	36.39%	24.10%	39.51%	+0.12	+0.2	20
1969-09-02	Atvidaberg	W 2-1	51.9	1449	1480	45.33%	24.08%	30.58%	+0.13	+7.5	17
1969-09-02	@ Malmo	L 1-2	51.9	1480	1449	30.58%	24.08%	45.33%	-0.13	-7.5	20
1969-09-02	Sirius	L 0-2	48.7	1464	1376	58.68%	23.47%	17.85%	+0.82	-25.8	15
1969-09-02	@ Norrkoping	W 2-0	48.7	1376	1464	17.85%	23.47%	58.68%	-0.82	+25.8	8
1969-09-02	Jonkoping	W 4-0	30.7	1456	1318	63.11%	22.95%	13.93%	+1.12	+14.6	18
1969-09-02	@ Orebro	L 0-4	30.7	1318	1456	13.93%	22.95%	63.11%	-1.12	-14.6	8
1969-09-02	Elfsborg	W 2-0	38.4	1496	1409	58.68%	23.47%	17.85%	+0.82	+9.6	18
1969-09-02	@ Oster	L 0-2	38.4	1409	1496	17.85%	23.47%	58.68%	-0.82	-9.6	12
1969-09-07	AIK Stockholm	L 0-3	46.8	1472	1360	60.90%	23.24%	15.86%	+0.96	-38.9	20
1969-09-07	@ Atvidaberg	W 3-0	46.8	1360	1472	15.86%	23.24%	60.90%	-0.96	+38.9	11
1969-09-07	Norrkoping	W 3-1	45.6	1444	1438	49.98%	23.98%	26.03%	+0.35	+11.4	18
1969-09-07	@ Djurgarden	L 1-3	45.6	1438	1444	26.03%	23.98%	49.98%	-0.35	-11.4	15
1969-09-07	Malmo	L 0-1	47.8	1399	1456	41.71%	24.11%	34.18%	-0.03	-10.1	12
1969-09-07	@ Elfsborg	W 1-0	47.8	1456	1399	34.18%	24.11%	41.71%	+0.03	+10.1	19
1969-09-07	Oster	W 1-0	48.6	1496	1506	48.02%	24.04%	27.94%	+0.25	+7.4	22
1969-09-07	@ Goteborg	L 0-1	48.6	1506	1496	27.94%	24.04%	48.02%	-0.25	-7.4	18
1969-09-07	GAIS	W 2-1	50.5	1303	1422	33.12%	23.98%	42.90%	-0.39	+9.8	10
1969-09-07	@ Jonkoping	L 1-2	50.5	1422	1303	42.90%	23.98%	33.12%	+0.39	-9.8	17
1969-09-07	Orebro	W 2-0	42.9	1402	1470	40.19%	24.10%	35.71%	-0.09	+16.9	10
1969-09-07	@ Sirius	L 0-2	42.9	1470	1402	35.71%	24.10%	40.19%	+0.09	-16.9	18
1969-09-10	Norrkoping	D 2-2	64.7	1454	1426	52.44%	23.89%	23.68%	+0.47	-1.1	19
1969-09-10	@ Orebro	D 2-2	64.7	1426	1454	23.68%	23.89%	52.44%	-0.47	+1.1	16
1969-09-14	Goteborg	W 1-0	48.9	1399	1503	35.18%	24.03%	40.79%	-0.30	+9.9	13
1969-09-14	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	48.9	1503	1399	40.79%	24.03%	35.18%	+0.30	-9.9	22
1969-09-14	Sirius	D 1-1	57.9	1413	1419	48.42%	24.03%	27.55%	+0.27	-1.1	18
1969-09-14	@ GAIS	D 1-1	57.9	1419	1413	27.55%	24.03%	48.42%	-0.27	+1.1	11
1969-09-14	Djurgarden	L 1-4	41.1	1313	1455	30.07%	23.87%	46.06%	-0.52	-18.1	10
1969-09-14	@ Jonkoping	W 4-1	41.1	1455	1313	46.06%	23.87%	30.07%	+0.52	+18.1	20
1969-09-14	Oster	W 2-1	53.3	1467	1498	45.22%	24.09%	30.69%	+0.13	+7.5	21
1969-09-14	@ Malmo	L 1-2	53.3	1498	1467	30.69%	24.09%	45.22%	-0.13	-7.5	18
1969-09-14	Elfsborg	W 3-1	42.7	1427	1389	53.69%	23.82%	22.48%	+0.54	+10.1	18
1969-09-14	@ Norrkoping	L 1-3	42.7	1389	1427	22.48%	23.82%	53.69%	-0.54	-10.1	12
1969-09-14	Atvidaberg	D 1-1	59.5	1452	1433	51.51%	23.93%	24.57%	+0.42	-1.4	20
1969-09-14	@ Orebro	D 1-1	59.5	1433	1452	24.57%	23.93%	51.51%	-0.42	+1.4	21
1969-09-21	Norrkoping	W 3-2	53.9	1435	1438	48.86%	24.02%	27.13%	+0.29	+6.5	23
1969-09-21	@ Atvidaberg	L 2-3	53.9	1438	1435	27.13%	24.02%	48.86%	-0.29	-6.5	18
1969-09-21	Orebro	L 1-2	58.1	1474	1451	51.88%	23.91%	24.20%	+0.44	-11.5	20
1969-09-21	@ Djurgarden	W 2-1	58.1	1451	1474	24.20%	23.91%	51.88%	-0.44	+11.5	22
1969-09-21	AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	56.9	1379	1409	45.35%	24.08%	30.57%	+0.13	-0.8	13
1969-09-21	@ Elfsborg	D 1-1	56.9	1409	1379	30.57%	24.08%	45.35%	-0.13	+0.7	14
1969-09-21	Malmo	W 3-1	48.1	1493	1474	51.50%	23.93%	24.57%	+0.42	+10.9	24
1969-09-21	@ Goteborg	L 1-3	48.1	1474	1493	24.57%	23.93%	51.50%	-0.42	-10.9	21
1969-09-21	GAIS	W 3-1	43.9	1491	1411	57.89%	23.54%	18.57%	+0.77	+8.6	20
1969-09-21	@ Oster	L 1-3	43.9	1411	1491	18.57%	23.54%	57.89%	-0.77	-8.6	18
1969-09-21	Jonkoping	L 0-1	50.6	1420	1295	62.05%	23.10%	14.85%	+1.04	-14.5	11
1969-09-21	@ Sirius	W 1-0	50.6	1295	1420	14.85%	23.10%	62.05%	-1.04	+14.5	12
1969-09-28	Malmo	D 0-0	54.7	1410	1463	42.30%	24.11%	33.60%	+0.00	-0.5	15
1969-09-28	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	54.7	1463	1410	33.60%	24.11%	42.30%	+0.00	+0.5	22
1969-09-28	Djurgarden	L 2-3	58.0	1403	1462	41.48%	24.10%	34.42%	-0.04	-9.0	18
1969-09-28	@ GAIS	W 3-2	58.0	1462	1403	34.42%	24.10%	41.48%	+0.04	+9.0	22
1969-09-28	Elfsborg	W 2-1	47.8	1309	1378	40.16%	24.10%	35.74%	-0.09	+8.5	14
1969-09-28	@ Jonkoping	L 1-2	47.8	1378	1309	35.74%	24.10%	40.16%	+0.09	-8.5	13
1969-09-28	Oster	W 3-0	42.5	1431	1499	40.24%	24.10%	35.66%	-0.09	+24.5	20
1969-09-28	@ Norrkoping	L 0-3	42.5	1499	1431	35.66%	24.10%	40.24%	+0.09	-24.5	20
1969-09-28	Goteborg	D 1-1	62.2	1463	1504	43.86%	24.10%	32.04%	+0.07	-0.6	23
1969-09-28	@ Orebro	D 1-1	62.2	1504	1463	32.04%	24.10%	43.86%	-0.07	+0.6	25
1969-09-28	Atvidaberg	W 2-0	40.8	1406	1441	44.68%	24.09%	31.22%	+0.10	+15.3	13
1969-09-28	@ Sirius	L 0-2	40.8	1441	1406	31.22%	24.09%	44.68%	-0.10	-15.2	23
1969-10-05	Jonkoping	D 0-0	51.9	1426	1318	60.59%	23.28%	16.14%	+0.94	-2.7	24
1969-10-05	@ Atvidaberg	D 0-0	51.9	1318	1426	16.14%	23.28%	60.59%	-0.94	+2.7	15
1969-10-05	Sirius	D 0-0	55.4	1471	1421	54.96%	23.75%	21.29%	+0.60	-2.0	23
1969-10-05	@ Djurgarden	D 0-0	55.4	1421	1471	21.29%	23.75%	54.96%	-0.60	+2.0	14
1969-10-05	Orebro	W 3-1	48.1	1369	1462	36.79%	24.06%	39.15%	-0.23	+15.7	15
1969-10-05	@ Elfsborg	L 1-3	48.1	1462	1369	39.15%	24.06%	36.79%	+0.23	-15.7	23
1969-10-05	Norrkoping	W 1-0	45.0	1505	1456	54.85%	23.76%	21.39%	+0.60	+6.0	27
1969-10-05	@ Goteborg	L 0-1	45.0	1456	1505	21.39%	23.76%	54.85%	-0.60	-5.9	20
1969-10-05	GAIS	W 2-1	46.2	1464	1394	56.98%	23.61%	19.41%	+0.72	+5.2	24
1969-10-05	@ Malmo	L 1-2	46.2	1394	1464	19.41%	23.61%	56.98%	-0.72	-5.2	18
1969-10-05	AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	52.9	1475	1409	56.51%	23.65%	19.84%	+0.69	-13.2	20
1969-10-05	@ Oster	W 1-0	52.9	1409	1475	19.84%	23.65%	56.51%	-0.69	+13.2	17
1969-10-18	Atvidaberg	W 2-1	48.0	1469	1423	54.50%	23.78%	21.72%	+0.58	+5.7	25
1969-10-18	@ Djurgarden	L 1-2	48.0	1423	1469	21.72%	23.78%	54.50%	-0.58	-5.7	24
1969-10-18	AIK Stockholm	W 3-2	53.4	1389	1423	44.89%	24.09%	31.02%	+0.11	+7.2	20
1969-10-18	@ GAIS	L 2-3	53.4	1423	1389	31.02%	24.09%	44.89%	-0.11	-7.2	17
1969-10-18	Goteborg	L 0-3	35.9	1320	1511	24.44%	23.55%	52.01%	-0.80	-18.1	15
1969-10-18	@ Jonkoping	W 3-0	35.9	1511	1320	52.01%	23.55%	24.44%	+0.80	+18.1	29
1969-10-18	Malmo	L 1-3	53.1	1450	1469	46.81%	24.06%	29.13%	+0.20	-18.2	20
1969-10-18	@ Norrkoping	W 3-1	53.1	1469	1450	29.13%	24.06%	46.81%	-0.20	+18.2	26
1969-10-18	Oster	W 2-1	50.6	1446	1461	47.32%	24.05%	28.62%	+0.22	+7.1	25
1969-10-18	@ Orebro	L 1-2	50.6	1461	1446	28.62%	24.05%	47.32%	-0.22	-7.1	20
1969-10-18	Elfsborg	L 0-1	50.0	1423	1385	53.59%	23.83%	22.58%	+0.53	-12.6	14
1969-10-18	@ Sirius	W 1-0	50.0	1385	1423	22.58%	23.83%	53.59%	-0.53	+12.6	17
1969-10-25	Norrkoping	L 0-1	49.2	1415	1431	47.22%	24.05%	28.72%	+0.22	-11.2	17
1969-10-25	@ AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	49.2	1431	1415	28.72%	24.05%	47.22%	-0.22	+11.2	22
1969-10-25	GAIS	W 4-2	47.0	1417	1396	51.77%	23.92%	24.31%	+0.44	+9.7	26
1969-10-25	@ Atvidaberg	L 2-4	47.0	1396	1417	24.31%	23.92%	51.77%	-0.44	-9.7	20
1969-10-25	Djurgarden	L 0-2	43.9	1398	1475	38.99%	24.09%	36.92%	-0.14	-18.1	17
1969-10-25	@ Elfsborg	W 2-0	43.9	1475	1398	36.92%	24.09%	38.99%	+0.14	+18.1	27
1969-10-25	Sirius	W 6-3	45.1	1529	1410	61.50%	23.17%	15.33%	+1.01	+8.3	31
1969-10-25	@ Goteborg	L 3-6	45.1	1410	1529	15.33%	23.17%	61.50%	-1.01	-8.2	14
1969-10-25	Orebro	W 3-2	54.8	1487	1453	53.15%	23.85%	23.00%	+0.51	+5.7	28
1969-10-25	@ Malmo	L 2-3	54.8	1453	1487	23.00%	23.85%	53.15%	-0.51	-5.7	25
1969-10-25	Jonkoping	W 6-0	31.4	1454	1302	64.20%	22.79%	13.01%	+1.20	+20.1	22
1969-10-25	@ Oster	L 0-6	31.4	1302	1454	13.01%	22.79%	64.20%	-1.20	-20.1	15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1969-08-21	12.13%	Jonkoping	1296	4	@ Malmo	1462	3
2	1969-09-21	14.85%	Jonkoping	1295	1	@ Sirius	1420	0
3	1969-09-07	15.86%	AIK Stockholm	1360	3	@ Atvidaberg	1472	0
4	1969-09-02	17.85%	Sirius	1376	2	@ Norrkoping	1464	0
5	1969-10-05	19.84%	AIK Stockholm	1409	1	@ Oster	1475	0
6	1969-08-14	20.86%	AIK Stockholm	1349	4	@ Sirius	1404	1
7	1969-04-27	21.60%	Orebro	1401	1	@ Oster	1448	0
8	1969-10-18	22.58%	Elfsborg	1385	1	@ Sirius	1423	0
9	1969-06-12	22.78%	Djurgarden	1437	2	@ Malmo	1473	1
10	1969-06-04	22.79%	Norrkoping	1412	1	@ Sirius	1447	0
11	1969-05-04	23.57%	Goteborg	1442	1	@ Sirius	1471	0
12	1969-05-26	23.64%	GAIS	1404	1	@ Sirius	1431	0
13	1969-05-26	24.15%	Malmo	1471	2	@ Oster	1494	1
14	1969-09-21	24.20%	Orebro	1451	2	@ Djurgarden	1474	1
15	1969-04-13	24.38%	GAIS	1406	1	@ Elfsborg	1427	0
16	1969-04-20	24.71%	Elfsborg	1415	2	@ Atvidaberg	1433	0
17	1969-04-20	24.80%	Goteborg	1400	4	@ Djurgarden	1417	0
18	1969-05-15	25.30%	Djurgarden	1430	1	@ Sirius	1443	0
19	1969-05-04	25.40%	Oster	1435	5	@ Jonkoping	1447	0
20	1969-05-04	25.53%	Atvidaberg	1416	3	@ GAIS	1427	2
21	1969-08-14	28.03%	Orebro	1444	1	@ GAIS	1434	0
22	1969-04-13	28.29%	Atvidaberg	1423	3	@ Goteborg	1410	2
23	1969-10-25	28.72%	Norrkoping	1431	1	@ AIK Stockholm	1415	0
24	1969-10-18	29.13%	Malmo	1469	3	@ Norrkoping	1450	1
25	1969-08-28	30.51%	Oster	1480	4	@ Djurgarden	1450	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1969-05-04	52.63	Oster	5	1435	25.40%	@ Jonkoping	0	1447	50.64%	23.96%
2	1969-04-20	43.18	Goteborg	4	1400	24.80%	@ Djurgarden	0	1417	51.26%	23.94%
3	1969-05-11	41.12	@ Djurgarden	6	1389	45.87%	GAIS	0	1416	30.05%	24.08%
4	1969-09-07	38.90	AIK Stockholm	3	1360	15.86%	@ Atvidaberg	0	1472	60.90%	23.24%
5	1969-08-14	29.96	AIK Stockholm	4	1349	20.86%	@ Sirius	1	1404	55.42%	23.72%
6	1969-05-15	28.78	@ GAIS	3	1375	32.29%	Malmo	0	1500	43.75%	23.96%
7	1969-05-29	28.44	Sirius	3	1419	32.84%	@ Jonkoping	0	1371	43.06%	24.10%
8	1969-09-02	25.83	Sirius	2	1376	17.85%	@ Norrkoping	0	1464	58.68%	23.47%
9	1969-09-28	24.55	@ Norrkoping	3	1431	40.24%	Oster	0	1499	35.66%	24.10%
10	1969-04-20	22.79	Elfsborg	2	1415	24.71%	@ Atvidaberg	0	1433	51.36%	23.93%
11	1969-04-13	22.57	@ Malmo	3	1453	43.94%	Sirius	0	1494	31.96%	24.10%
12	1969-06-08	22.23	@ Orebro	5	1424	47.81%	Sirius	1	1435	28.15%	24.04%
13	1969-06-08	22.12	@ Norrkoping	3	1424	44.76%	Djurgarden	0	1459	31.15%	24.09%
14	1969-05-04	20.72	@ Djurgarden	4	1369	40.20%	Elfsborg	1	1437	35.70%	24.10%
15	1969-05-15	20.28	Goteborg	2	1461	31.00%	@ Norrkoping	0	1427	44.91%	24.09%
16	1969-10-25	20.11	@ Oster	6	1454	64.20%	Jonkoping	0	1302	13.01%	22.79%
17	1969-05-29	20.01	Elfsborg	2	1417	31.70%	@ AIK Stockholm	0	1378	44.20%	24.10%
18	1969-06-08	18.74	@ GAIS	4	1414	58.06%	Jonkoping	0	1333	18.41%	23.52%
19	1969-10-18	18.19	Malmo	3	1469	29.13%	@ Norrkoping	1	1450	46.81%	24.06%
20	1969-04-13	18.12	@ Norrkoping	3	1433	51.81%	Orebro	0	1411	24.27%	23.91%
21	1969-10-18	18.11	Goteborg	3	1511	52.01%	@ Jonkoping	0	1320	24.44%	23.55%
22	1969-09-14	18.10	Djurgarden	4	1455	46.06%	@ Jonkoping	1	1313	30.07%	23.87%
23	1969-10-25	18.09	Djurgarden	2	1475	36.92%	@ Elfsborg	0	1398	38.99%	24.09%
24	1969-06-08	17.68	@ Oster	4	1475	46.83%	Goteborg	1	1494	29.11%	24.06%
25	1969-04-27	17.41	@ Malmo	3	1476	53.02%	Norrkoping	0	1444	23.12%	23.86%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1969-06-08	65.7	@ Malmo	2	1474	53.56%	Elfsborg	2	1437	22.61%	23.83%
2	1969-08-21	64.9	Jonkoping	4	1296	12.13%	@ Malmo	3	1462	65.25%	22.61%
3	1969-08-21	64.9	@ Norrkoping	2	1465	54.08%	GAIS	2	1423	22.12%	23.80%
4	1969-09-10	64.7	@ Orebro	2	1454	52.44%	Norrkoping	2	1426	23.68%	23.89%
5	1969-08-21	63.3	@ AIK Stockholm	2	1379	39.00%	Orebro	2	1456	36.91%	24.09%
6	1969-04-27	62.9	@ AIK Stockholm	2	1393	44.98%	GAIS	2	1426	30.93%	24.09%
7	1969-08-24	62.6	@ Atvidaberg	1	1481	47.45%	Goteborg	1	1495	28.50%	24.05%
8	1969-09-28	62.2	@ Orebro	1	1463	43.86%	Goteborg	1	1504	32.04%	24.10%
9	1969-04-20	60.6	@ Jonkoping	1	1446	45.54%	Malmo	1	1476	30.38%	24.08%
10	1969-09-02	60.5	@ GAIS	1	1422	39.51%	Goteborg	1	1496	36.39%	24.10%
11	1969-05-11	60.4	@ Oster	1	1488	56.27%	Norrkoping	1	1425	20.07%	23.67%
12	1969-06-04	60.3	@ Elfsborg	1	1437	44.54%	Oster	1	1474	31.37%	24.09%
13	1969-08-14	60.2	@ Djurgarden	1	1449	47.71%	Malmo	1	1461	28.24%	24.04%
14	1969-04-27	60.1	@ Elfsborg	1	1438	45.14%	Sirius	1	1470	30.77%	24.09%
15	1969-05-04	60.0	Atvidaberg	3	1416	25.53%	@ GAIS	2	1427	50.51%	23.96%
16	1969-05-11	60.0	@ Malmo	1	1503	60.65%	AIK Stockholm	1	1394	16.09%	23.27%
17	1969-04-27	59.6	@ Goteborg	1	1443	48.94%	Jonkoping	1	1446	27.05%	24.01%
18	1969-05-26	59.6	Malmo	2	1471	24.15%	@ Oster	1	1494	51.94%	23.91%
19	1969-09-14	59.5	@ Orebro	1	1452	51.51%	Atvidaberg	1	1433	24.57%	23.93%
20	1969-08-14	59.4	Goteborg	3	1488	34.74%	@ Elfsborg	2	1426	41.15%	24.10%
21	1969-06-12	59.2	@ Orebro	1	1446	50.78%	GAIS	1	1433	25.27%	23.96%
22	1969-04-13	58.9	Atvidaberg	3	1423	28.29%	@ Goteborg	2	1410	47.66%	24.05%
23	1969-06-12	58.1	Djurgarden	2	1437	22.78%	@ Malmo	1	1473	53.38%	23.84%
24	1969-09-21	58.1	Orebro	2	1451	24.20%	@ Djurgarden	1	1474	51.88%	23.91%
25	1969-09-28	58.0	Djurgarden	3	1462	34.42%	@ GAIS	2	1403	41.48%	24.10%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1969-09-02	30.7	@ Orebro	4	1456	63.11%	Jonkoping	0	1318	13.93%	22.95%
2	1969-10-25	31.4	@ Oster	6	1454	64.20%	Jonkoping	0	1302	13.01%	22.79%
3	1969-06-08	31.7	@ GAIS	4	1414	58.06%	Jonkoping	0	1333	18.41%	23.52%
4	1969-05-26	34.8	@ Djurgarden	3	1442	55.48%	Jonkoping	0	1387	20.80%	23.72%
5	1969-06-04	35.5	@ Djurgarden	2	1450	59.09%	AIK Stockholm	0	1358	17.48%	23.43%
6	1969-10-18	35.9	Goteborg	3	1511	52.01%	@ Jonkoping	0	1320	24.44%	23.55%
7	1969-04-13	36.3	@ Norrkoping	3	1433	51.81%	Orebro	0	1411	24.27%	23.91%
8	1969-05-26	37.1	@ Goteborg	2	1481	59.24%	AIK Stockholm	0	1388	17.34%	23.42%
9	1969-05-11	37.8	@ Djurgarden	6	1389	45.87%	GAIS	0	1416	30.05%	24.08%
10	1969-04-27	38.3	@ Malmo	3	1476	53.02%	Norrkoping	0	1444	23.12%	23.86%
11	1969-09-02	38.4	@ Oster	2	1496	58.68%	Elfsborg	0	1409	17.85%	23.47%
12	1969-06-04	39.3	@ Goteborg	2	1483	55.78%	GAIS	0	1425	20.52%	23.70%
13	1969-06-08	39.6	@ Norrkoping	3	1424	44.76%	Djurgarden	0	1459	31.15%	24.09%
14	1969-06-12	40.2	@ Goteborg	2	1476	53.65%	Elfsborg	0	1438	22.53%	23.83%
15	1969-05-29	40.7	Sirius	3	1419	32.84%	@ Jonkoping	0	1371	43.06%	24.10%
16	1969-09-28	40.8	@ Sirius	2	1406	44.68%	Atvidaberg	0	1441	31.22%	24.09%
17	1969-09-14	41.1	Djurgarden	4	1455	46.06%	@ Jonkoping	1	1313	30.07%	23.87%
18	1969-06-08	41.2	@ Orebro	5	1424	47.81%	Sirius	1	1435	28.15%	24.04%
19	1969-05-11	41.3	@ Elfsborg	1	1416	51.84%	Jonkoping	0	1394	24.24%	23.91%
20	1969-05-11	41.6	@ Goteborg	1	1455	54.95%	Orebro	0	1404	21.29%	23.75%
21	1969-05-11	41.8	@ Atvidaberg	2	1426	45.18%	Sirius	0	1458	30.74%	24.09%
22	1969-04-13	42.0	@ Malmo	3	1453	43.94%	Sirius	0	1494	31.96%	24.10%
23	1969-04-20	42.0	@ Orebro	1	1393	48.37%	AIK Stockholm	0	1400	27.60%	24.03%
24	1969-05-26	42.1	@ Elfsborg	1	1410	49.67%	Norrkoping	0	1406	26.33%	23.99%
25	1969-09-28	42.5	@ Norrkoping	3	1431	40.24%	Oster	0	1499	35.66%	24.10%