1970 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Malmo

29 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Malmo

5.53 points above expected

29 points · 23.47 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Goteborg

5.32 points below expected

17 points · 22.32 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Malmo	22	11	7	4	29	30	20	+10	23.47	+5.53
2	Atvidaberg	22	12	4	6	28	40	29	+11	23.05	+4.95
3	Djurgarden	22	8	8	6	24	35	29	+6	24.34	-0.34
4	Elfsborg	22	8	8	6	24	30	31	-1	22.00	+2.00
5	Hammarby	22	8	7	7	23	33	32	+1	18.56	+4.44
6	Norrkoping	22	7	8	7	22	33	22	+11	23.26	-1.26
7	Oster	22	7	7	8	21	29	30	-1	23.08	-2.08
8	Orebro	22	9	2	11	20	31	24	+7	22.93	-2.93
9	AIK Stockholm	22	7	6	9	20	17	24	-7	21.99	-1.99
10	Orgryte	22	6	8	8	20	25	35	-10	17.80	+2.20
11	Goteborg	22	6	5	11	17	28	36	-8	22.32	-5.32
12	GAIS	22	5	6	11	16	27	46	-19	21.20	-5.20

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Malmo	29	23.47	+5.53
2	Atvidaberg	28	23.05	+4.95
3	Hammarby	23	18.56	+4.44
4	Orgryte	20	17.80	+2.20
5	Elfsborg	24	22.00	+2.00

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Goteborg	17	22.32	-5.32
2	GAIS	16	21.20	-5.20
3	Orebro	20	22.93	-2.93
4	Oster	21	23.08	-2.08
5	AIK Stockholm	20	21.99	-1.99

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atvidaberg	5	May 13 – Aug 19	1 in 50
2	Hammarby	3	Sep 16 – Sep 24	1 in 28
3	Elfsborg	3	May 9 – Jul 2	1 in 27
4	Orgryte	2	Oct 11 – Oct 18	1 in 18
5	Malmo	3	Apr 28 – May 7	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atvidaberg	3	Aug 27 – Sep 6	1 in 77
2	AIK Stockholm	3	Sep 24 – Oct 11	1 in 30
3	Hammarby	4	Apr 23 – May 7	1 in 29
4	Orebro	3	Sep 6 – Sep 20	1 in 27
5	Goteborg	3	May 9 – Aug 2	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hammarby	11	Aug 27 – Oct 25	1 in 482
2	Djurgarden	9	May 7 – Sep 3	1 in 28
3	Atvidaberg	8	May 3 – Aug 19	1 in 21
4	Malmo	8	Sep 6 – Oct 25	1 in 20
5	Elfsborg	7	Apr 25 – Jul 2	1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Djurgarden	8	Sep 3 – Oct 17	1 in 102
2	AIK Stockholm	6	Sep 20 – Oct 25	1 in 17
3	GAIS	7	Aug 23 – Sep 27	1 in 13
4	Oster	5	Sep 6 – Oct 4	1 in 11
5	Atvidaberg	4	Aug 27 – Sep 17	1 in 9

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Malmo	1458	29	+21	8	6.0	+2.0
Atvidaberg	1429	28	+17	7	5.0	+2.0
Djurgarden	1443	24	-9	4	5.8	-1.8
Elfsborg	1398	24	-9	4	4.9	-0.9
Hammarby	1377	23	+19	7	4.6	+2.4
Norrkoping	1443	22	-4	6	6.0	-0.0
Oster	1412	21	+2	5	4.8	+0.2
Orgryte	1339	20	+28	6	3.7	+2.3
Orebro	1429	20	-1	5	5.5	-0.5
AIK Stockholm	1383	20	-31	1	4.8	-3.8
Goteborg	1398	17	-1	5	4.9	+0.1
GAIS	1325	16	-31	2	4.2	-2.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AS	ATV	DJU	ELF	GAI	GOT	HAM	MAL	NOR	ORE	ORG	OST
AIK Stockholm	—	1-1-0 2.62	1-0-1 2.44	1-0-1 2.61	0-1-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.61	0-1-1 3.08	0-1-1 2.44	2-0-0 2.48	0-0-2 2.54	1-0-1 3.14	0-1-1 2.63
Atvidaberg	0-1-1 2.78	—	2-0-0 2.41	2-0-0 2.81	2-0-0 3.13	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 3.55	0-0-2 2.64	0-1-1 2.62	2-0-0 2.53	1-1-0 3.22	1-1-0 2.65
Djurgarden	1-0-1 2.96	0-0-2 2.99	—	1-1-0 2.99	1-0-1 3.14	0-1-1 3.00	1-1-0 3.43	1-1-0 2.80	0-1-1 2.87	1-1-0 2.75	0-2-0 3.45	2-0-0 2.85
Elfsborg	1-0-1 2.78	0-0-2 2.59	0-1-1 2.41	—	1-1-0 2.72	2-0-0 2.60	1-1-0 3.02	1-0-1 2.47	0-1-1 2.63	2-0-0 2.51	0-2-0 3.21	0-2-0 2.47
GAIS	1-1-0 2.53	0-0-2 2.26	1-0-1 2.27	0-1-1 2.68	—	1-0-1 2.54	0-1-1 3.17	0-1-1 2.33	1-0-1 2.37	1-0-1 2.57	0-1-1 3.08	0-1-1 2.42
Goteborg	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.63	1-1-0 2.40	0-0-2 2.80	1-0-1 2.86	—	1-0-1 3.28	0-0-2 2.57	0-2-0 2.57	1-0-1 2.55	0-1-1 3.32	1-0-1 2.69
Hammarby	1-1-0 2.33	1-0-1 1.88	0-1-1 2.00	0-1-1 2.38	1-1-0 2.23	1-0-1 2.14	—	0-1-1 2.07	1-1-0 2.13	1-0-1 2.20	1-1-0 2.78	1-0-1 2.11
Malmo	1-1-0 2.96	2-0-0 2.76	0-1-1 2.60	1-0-1 2.93	1-1-0 3.07	2-0-0 2.83	1-1-0 3.36	—	1-1-0 2.74	1-1-0 2.69	1-0-1 3.44	0-1-1 2.76
Norrkoping	0-0-2 2.91	1-1-0 2.79	1-1-0 2.54	1-1-0 2.77	1-0-1 3.05	0-2-0 2.82	0-1-1 3.27	0-1-1 2.66	—	2-0-0 2.66	1-0-1 3.39	0-1-1 2.81
Orebro	2-0-0 2.87	0-0-2 2.87	0-1-1 2.65	0-0-2 2.89	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.85	1-0-1 3.21	0-1-1 2.70	0-0-2 2.74	—	2-0-0 3.37	2-0-0 2.72
Orgryte	1-0-1 2.27	0-1-1 2.19	0-2-0 1.98	0-2-0 2.20	1-1-0 2.32	1-1-0 2.09	0-1-1 2.62	1-0-1 1.98	1-0-1 2.02	0-0-2 2.04	—	1-0-1 2.09
Oster	1-1-0 2.77	0-1-1 2.75	0-0-2 2.55	0-2-0 2.93	1-1-0 2.99	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 3.31	1-1-0 2.64	1-1-0 2.58	0-0-2 2.68	1-0-1 3.33	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.31	+3.9
Allowed	0.37	-3.3
Differential	0.61	+3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	7.58%	7.58%	3.03%	0.38%	1.14%	28.79%
1	7.58%	13.64%	4.92%	4.17%	1.89%	1.14%	33.33%
2	7.58%	4.92%	4.55%	2.27%	0.76%	0.76%	20.83%
3	3.03%	4.17%	2.27%	1.52%	—	—	10.98%
4	0.38%	1.89%	0.76%	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	1.14%	1.14%	0.76%	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	28.79%	33.33%	20.83%	10.98%	3.03%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.36	+0.00
SD	1.27	1.27	1.86
CV	0.93	0.93	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.73%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	50.00%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	27.27%
2	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	45.45%	27.27%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.77	1.09	-0.32
SD	0.92	1.41	1.76
CV	1.19	1.29	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	22.73%
1	13.64%	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	22.73%	36.36%	27.27%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.82	1.32	+0.50
SD	1.59	0.99	1.82
CV	0.88	0.75	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	—	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	50.00%	13.64%	18.18%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.32	+0.27
SD	1.10	0.99	1.39
CV	0.69	0.75	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	27.27%
1	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	—	13.64%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	18.18%	27.27%	13.64%	—	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.41	-0.05
SD	1.26	1.50	2.24
CV	0.92	1.07	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	31.82%
1	—	13.64%	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	22.73%
3	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.64%	27.27%	18.18%	22.73%	13.64%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	2.09	-0.86
SD	1.15	1.44	1.93
CV	0.94	0.69	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	45.45%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	18.18%	36.36%	22.73%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.64	-0.36
SD	1.32	1.33	1.84
CV	1.03	0.81	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	13.64%	—	—	—	22.73%
1	—	27.27%	—	—	—	4.55%	31.82%
2	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	22.73%
3	—	18.18%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	63.64%	18.18%	—	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.45	+0.05
SD	1.19	1.26	1.86
CV	0.79	0.87	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	27.27%
1	13.64%	18.18%	—	—	—	—	31.82%
2	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	50.00%	31.82%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	0.91	+0.45
SD	1.26	1.27	1.92
CV	0.92	1.40	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	4.55%	22.73%	13.64%	—	—	—	40.91%
2	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	31.82%	40.91%	22.73%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.00	+0.50
SD	1.63	0.87	1.95
CV	1.08	0.87	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	27.27%	9.09%	—	—	—	36.36%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
2	13.64%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	31.82%	36.36%	22.73%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.09	+0.32
SD	1.53	0.97	1.94
CV	1.09	0.89	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	27.27%
1	4.55%	18.18%	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
2	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	27.27%	13.64%	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.59	-0.45
SD	0.89	1.62	2.04
CV	0.78	1.02	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	—	13.64%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	13.64%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	4.55%	45.45%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.36	-0.05
SD	1.17	1.14	1.40
CV	0.89	0.83	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Malmo	1458	29	23.47	+5.53	95.0%	17	18	21	23	26	29	33
Djurgarden	1443	24	24.34	-0.34	53.0%	16	18	22	24	27	30	33
Norrkoping	1443	22	23.26	-1.26	45.0%	15	18	21	23	26	29	30
Orebro	1429	20	22.93	-2.93	22.0%	13	18	21	23	25	28	37
Atvidaberg	1429	28	23.05	+4.95	95.0%	13	17	21	23	26	28	31
Oster	1412	21	23.08	-2.08	32.0%	15	17	21	23	26	28	31
Goteborg	1398	17	22.32	-5.32	7.0%	14	16	20	22	25	29	31
Elfsborg	1398	24	22.00	+2.00	77.0%	12	16	19	22	24	29	31
AIK Stockholm	1383	20	21.99	-1.99	31.0%	14	16	19	22	25	26	34
Hammarby	1377	23	18.56	+4.44	94.0%	11	12	16	18	21	24	27
Orgryte	1339	20	17.80	+2.20	79.0%	10	11	16	17	20	25	26
GAIS	1325	16	21.20	-5.20	7.0%	13	16	19	21	23	27	30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+18.18%

Clear Edge

44.70%28.79%26.52%

Elo Value

Home Edge

170 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

063.88500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.55 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.37+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.

Title-Race Openness

8.0

Wide Open

134511

Champion Preseason Odds

18%

Malmo, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.05/gm

Photo Finish

00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.83 * Some Luck: 2.83 to 4.25 * Lucky: 4.25 to 5.66 * Wild Swing: 5.66 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.33 * Close: 2.33 to 3.49 * Off: 3.49 to 4.65 * Way Off: 4.65 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.62 points

Some Luck

03.549

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.67

02.916

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

95.00%

Malmo

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

7.00%

Goteborg

050

Season Outliers

Expected

0 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.09

Balanced

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 41.56

0.99

Coin-Flip Parity

0.951.41.652.75

Interquartile Edge

57%

Even

50%63%71.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

68%

Even

50%70%100%

Close Games

Expected

58%

Some Drama

0%58%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Occasional

0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.66

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.36

Notable Separation

00.30.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.09

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.11

Weak Carryover

00.380.530.691

Upset Rate

Expected

28%

Very Upset-Prone

0%22%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

25%

Very Shaky

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.

Probability calibration

0.10

Borderline

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.07

Overconfident

01.002.20935

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.101

Well Within Noise

00.1280.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Malmo	18.00%	7.00%	9.00%	13.00%	8.00%	13.00%	8.00%	9.00%	5.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Atvidaberg	11.00%	14.00%	13.00%	8.00%	9.00%	8.00%	10.00%	7.00%	9.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Djurgarden	17.00%	16.00%	15.00%	8.00%	8.00%	14.00%	7.00%	6.00%	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Elfsborg	7.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	9.00%	13.00%	15.00%	8.00%	5.00%	6.00%
Hammarby	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	13.00%	14.00%	19.00%	23.00%
Norrkoping	14.00%	17.00%	4.00%	6.00%	17.00%	10.00%	3.00%	6.00%	7.00%	9.00%	7.00%	—
Oster	11.00%	9.00%	5.00%	16.00%	9.00%	10.00%	9.00%	6.00%	8.00%	7.00%	8.00%	2.00%
Orebro	8.00%	7.00%	14.00%	16.00%	7.00%	11.00%	11.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%
AIK Stockholm	3.00%	6.00%	11.00%	9.00%	11.00%	6.00%	13.00%	10.00%	6.00%	12.00%	6.00%	7.00%
Orgryte	—	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	11.00%	22.00%	41.00%
Goteborg	8.00%	12.00%	7.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	9.00%	11.00%	7.00%	12.00%	4.00%	8.00%
GAIS	3.00%	4.00%	9.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	11.00%	12.00%	15.00%	11.00%	13.00%	6.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Orebro	96.00%	4.00%
Malmo	95.00%	5.00%
Atvidaberg	93.00%	7.00%
Djurgarden	93.00%	7.00%
Norrkoping	93.00%	7.00%
Oster	90.00%	10.00%
Elfsborg	89.00%	11.00%
Goteborg	88.00%	12.00%
AIK Stockholm	87.00%	13.00%
GAIS	81.00%	19.00%
Hammarby	58.00%	42.00%
Orgryte	37.00%	63.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1970-04-12	Hammarby	D 1-1	54.3	1399	1343	54.00%	29.07%	16.93%	+0.70	-1.2	1
1970-04-12	@ AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	54.3	1343	1399	16.93%	29.07%	54.00%	-0.70	+1.2	1
1970-04-12	Djurgarden	D 1-1	54.4	1336	1433	35.37%	30.44%	34.19%	-0.19	-0.0	1
1970-04-12	@ Orgryte	D 1-1	54.4	1433	1336	34.19%	30.44%	35.37%	+0.19	+0.0	1
1970-04-12	Orebro	L 0-2	47.8	1429	1415	49.43%	29.89%	20.68%	+0.45	-13.3	0
1970-04-12	@ Oster	W 2-0	47.8	1415	1429	20.68%	29.89%	49.43%	-0.45	+13.3	2
1970-04-14	Norrkoping	W 3-2	53.3	1392	1414	45.17%	30.33%	24.51%	+0.24	+3.7	2
1970-04-14	@ GAIS	L 2-3	53.3	1414	1392	24.51%	30.33%	45.17%	-0.24	-3.7	0
1970-04-16	Orgryte	D 1-1	53.2	1344	1336	48.78%	29.97%	21.25%	+0.42	-0.8	2
1970-04-16	@ Hammarby	D 1-1	53.2	1336	1344	21.25%	29.97%	48.78%	-0.42	+0.8	2
1970-04-19	Elfsborg	W 2-1	46.5	1433	1389	52.67%	29.35%	17.98%	+0.63	+3.1	3
1970-04-19	@ Djurgarden	L 1-2	46.5	1389	1433	17.98%	29.35%	52.67%	-0.63	-3.1	0
1970-04-19	AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	48.9	1448	1398	53.44%	29.19%	17.37%	+0.67	-14.2	0
1970-04-19	@ Goteborg	W 2-0	48.9	1398	1448	17.37%	29.19%	53.44%	-0.67	+14.2	3
1970-04-19	GAIS	D 1-1	55.9	1430	1396	51.70%	29.53%	18.77%	+0.57	-1.0	1
1970-04-19	@ Malmo	D 1-1	55.9	1396	1430	18.77%	29.53%	51.70%	-0.57	+1.0	3
1970-04-19	Oster	L 0-1	50.1	1411	1416	47.27%	30.14%	22.59%	+0.35	-6.8	0
1970-04-19	@ Norrkoping	W 1-0	50.1	1416	1411	22.59%	30.14%	47.27%	-0.35	+6.8	2
1970-04-19	Atvidaberg	L 0-1	51.2	1429	1407	50.34%	29.75%	19.91%	+0.50	-7.2	2
1970-04-19	@ Orebro	W 1-0	51.2	1407	1429	19.91%	29.75%	50.34%	-0.50	+7.2	2
1970-04-23	Djurgarden	L 0-2	42.4	1343	1436	35.92%	30.46%	33.62%	-0.17	-10.3	2
1970-04-23	@ Hammarby	W 2-0	42.4	1436	1343	33.62%	30.46%	35.92%	+0.17	+10.3	5
1970-04-23	Goteborg	W 2-1	50.5	1337	1434	35.31%	30.44%	34.25%	-0.19	+5.0	4
1970-04-23	@ Orgryte	L 1-2	50.5	1434	1337	34.25%	30.44%	35.31%	+0.19	-5.0	0
1970-04-24	Malmo	D 0-0	51.8	1422	1429	47.13%	30.16%	22.71%	+0.34	-0.8	3
1970-04-24	@ Oster	D 0-0	51.8	1429	1422	22.71%	30.16%	47.13%	-0.34	+0.8	2
1970-04-25	Orebro	L 0-2	46.8	1412	1421	46.74%	30.20%	23.07%	+0.32	-12.7	3
1970-04-25	@ AIK Stockholm	W 2-0	46.8	1421	1412	23.07%	30.20%	46.74%	-0.32	+12.7	4
1970-04-25	Norrkoping	L 0-2	47.1	1414	1404	49.06%	29.94%	21.01%	+0.44	-13.2	2
1970-04-25	@ Atvidaberg	W 2-0	47.1	1404	1414	21.01%	29.94%	49.06%	-0.44	+13.2	2
1970-04-25	Elfsborg	D 1-1	54.8	1397	1386	49.04%	29.94%	21.02%	+0.43	-0.8	4
1970-04-25	@ GAIS	D 1-1	54.8	1386	1397	21.02%	29.94%	49.04%	-0.43	+0.8	1
1970-04-28	GAIS	L 2-3	62.6	1446	1396	53.43%	29.19%	17.38%	+0.67	-6.8	5
1970-04-28	@ Djurgarden	W 3-2	62.6	1396	1446	17.38%	29.19%	53.43%	-0.67	+6.8	6
1970-04-28	Oster	D 2-2	60.9	1387	1422	43.69%	30.42%	25.89%	+0.17	-0.4	2
1970-04-28	@ Elfsborg	D 2-2	60.9	1422	1387	25.89%	30.42%	43.69%	-0.17	+0.4	4
1970-04-28	Hammarby	W 5-1	36.2	1429	1333	57.94%	28.03%	14.03%	+0.94	+7.8	2
1970-04-28	@ Goteborg	L 1-5	36.2	1333	1429	14.03%	28.03%	57.94%	-0.94	-7.8	2
1970-04-28	Atvidaberg	W 3-1	44.0	1429	1401	51.10%	29.63%	19.27%	+0.54	+5.6	4
1970-04-28	@ Malmo	L 1-3	44.0	1401	1429	19.27%	29.63%	51.10%	-0.54	-5.6	2
1970-04-28	AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	56.0	1417	1399	49.90%	29.82%	20.28%	+0.48	-6.7	2
1970-04-28	@ Norrkoping	W 2-1	56.0	1399	1417	20.28%	29.82%	49.90%	-0.48	+6.7	5
1970-04-28	Orgryte	W 3-1	40.8	1434	1342	57.57%	28.14%	14.29%	+0.92	+4.3	6
1970-04-28	@ Orebro	L 1-3	40.8	1342	1434	14.29%	28.14%	57.57%	-0.92	-4.3	4
1970-05-03	Djurgarden	W 3-1	46.7	1395	1439	42.43%	30.47%	27.10%	+0.12	+7.3	4
1970-05-03	@ Atvidaberg	L 1-3	46.7	1439	1395	27.10%	30.47%	42.43%	-0.12	-7.3	5
1970-05-03	Malmo	L 1-2	57.1	1437	1435	48.06%	30.06%	21.88%	+0.38	-6.5	2
1970-05-03	@ Goteborg	W 2-1	57.1	1435	1437	21.88%	30.06%	48.06%	-0.38	+6.5	6
1970-05-03	Elfsborg	L 0-2	42.6	1325	1387	40.12%	30.52%	29.36%	+0.01	-11.2	2
1970-05-03	@ Hammarby	W 2-0	42.6	1387	1325	29.36%	30.52%	40.12%	-0.01	+11.2	4
1970-05-03	Norrkoping	L 0-1	51.7	1438	1410	51.06%	29.64%	19.30%	+0.54	-7.3	6
1970-05-03	@ Orebro	W 1-0	51.7	1410	1438	19.30%	29.64%	51.06%	-0.54	+7.3	4
1970-05-04	Oster	D 0-0	51.2	1406	1422	45.95%	30.27%	23.78%	+0.28	-0.7	6
1970-05-04	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	51.2	1422	1406	23.78%	30.27%	45.95%	-0.28	+0.7	5
1970-05-04	GAIS	D 0-0	49.3	1338	1402	39.71%	30.52%	29.76%	-0.01	-0.3	5
1970-05-04	@ Orgryte	D 0-0	49.3	1402	1338	29.76%	30.52%	39.71%	+0.01	+0.3	7
1970-05-07	Orebro	W 2-1	49.0	1432	1431	47.96%	30.07%	21.97%	+0.38	+3.6	7
1970-05-07	@ Djurgarden	L 1-2	49.0	1431	1432	21.97%	30.07%	47.96%	-0.38	-3.6	6
1970-05-07	Orgryte	D 0-0	49.7	1398	1337	54.50%	28.96%	16.55%	+0.73	-1.3	5
1970-05-07	@ Elfsborg	D 0-0	49.7	1337	1398	16.55%	28.96%	54.50%	-0.73	+1.3	6
1970-05-07	AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	50.8	1403	1405	47.58%	30.11%	22.30%	+0.36	-0.8	8
1970-05-07	@ GAIS	D 0-0	50.8	1405	1403	22.30%	30.11%	47.58%	-0.36	+0.9	7
1970-05-07	Hammarby	W 2-0	33.8	1442	1314	60.81%	27.05%	12.14%	+1.12	+4.3	8
1970-05-07	@ Malmo	L 0-2	33.8	1314	1442	12.14%	27.05%	60.81%	-1.12	-4.3	2
1970-05-07	Goteborg	D 1-1	56.3	1418	1430	46.35%	30.23%	23.42%	+0.30	-0.7	5
1970-05-07	@ Norrkoping	D 1-1	56.3	1430	1418	23.42%	30.23%	46.35%	-0.30	+0.7	3
1970-05-07	Atvidaberg	L 2-3	61.3	1423	1403	50.17%	29.78%	20.05%	+0.49	-6.4	5
1970-05-07	@ Oster	W 3-2	61.3	1403	1423	20.05%	29.78%	50.17%	-0.49	+6.4	6
1970-05-09	Elfsborg	L 1-3	53.6	1431	1397	51.70%	29.53%	18.77%	+0.58	-12.0	3
1970-05-09	@ Goteborg	W 3-1	53.6	1397	1431	18.77%	29.53%	51.70%	-0.58	+12.0	7
1970-05-10	Atvidaberg	D 0-0	50.9	1406	1409	47.52%	30.12%	22.36%	+0.36	-0.8	8
1970-05-10	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	50.9	1409	1406	22.36%	30.12%	47.52%	-0.36	+0.8	7
1970-05-10	GAIS	W 2-0	40.6	1310	1402	35.95%	30.46%	33.59%	-0.17	+9.9	4
1970-05-10	@ Hammarby	L 0-2	40.6	1402	1310	33.59%	30.46%	35.95%	+0.17	-9.9	8
1970-05-10	Djurgarden	D 0-0	51.8	1417	1436	45.61%	30.29%	24.10%	+0.26	-0.7	6
1970-05-10	@ Norrkoping	D 0-0	51.8	1436	1417	24.10%	30.29%	45.61%	-0.26	+0.7	8
1970-05-10	Malmo	D 1-1	57.0	1428	1446	45.68%	30.29%	24.03%	+0.27	-0.6	7
1970-05-10	@ Orebro	D 1-1	57.0	1446	1428	24.03%	30.29%	45.68%	-0.27	+0.7	9
1970-05-10	Oster	L 2-3	56.4	1339	1416	37.99%	30.51%	31.50%	-0.08	-5.1	6
1970-05-10	@ Orgryte	W 3-2	56.4	1416	1339	31.50%	30.51%	37.99%	+0.08	+5.1	7
1970-05-13	Orgryte	W 5-1	36.4	1410	1334	56.04%	28.57%	15.39%	+0.82	+8.5	9
1970-05-13	@ Atvidaberg	L 1-5	36.4	1334	1410	15.39%	28.57%	56.04%	-0.82	-8.5	6
1970-05-13	AIK Stockholm	W 4-1	41.5	1436	1405	51.38%	29.58%	19.03%	+0.56	+7.9	10
1970-05-13	@ Djurgarden	L 1-4	41.5	1405	1436	19.03%	29.58%	51.38%	-0.56	-7.9	8
1970-05-13	Orebro	W 1-0	43.5	1409	1427	45.69%	30.29%	24.02%	+0.27	+4.1	9
1970-05-13	@ Elfsborg	L 0-1	43.5	1427	1409	24.02%	30.29%	45.69%	-0.27	-4.1	7
1970-05-13	Goteborg	W 4-1	42.8	1392	1419	44.62%	30.36%	25.02%	+0.22	+9.8	10
1970-05-13	@ GAIS	L 1-4	42.8	1419	1392	25.02%	30.36%	44.62%	-0.22	-9.8	3
1970-05-13	Norrkoping	W 1-0	42.5	1446	1416	51.29%	29.60%	19.11%	+0.55	+3.4	11
1970-05-13	@ Malmo	L 0-1	42.5	1416	1446	19.11%	29.60%	51.29%	-0.55	-3.4	6
1970-05-13	Hammarby	W 1-0	37.6	1421	1319	58.49%	27.86%	13.66%	+0.97	+2.5	9
1970-05-13	@ Oster	L 0-1	37.6	1319	1421	13.66%	27.86%	58.49%	-0.97	-2.5	4
1970-07-02	Malmo	W 4-0	39.1	1413	1450	43.34%	30.43%	26.22%	+0.16	+15.7	11
1970-07-02	@ Elfsborg	L 0-4	39.1	1450	1413	26.22%	30.43%	43.34%	-0.16	-15.7	11
1970-08-02	Goteborg	W 5-2	44.5	1418	1409	48.91%	29.95%	21.13%	+0.43	+7.4	11
1970-08-02	@ Atvidaberg	L 2-5	44.5	1409	1418	21.13%	29.95%	48.91%	-0.43	-7.4	3
1970-08-04	Elfsborg	W 3-0	38.3	1397	1429	44.07%	30.40%	25.53%	+0.19	+11.8	10
1970-08-04	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-3	38.3	1429	1397	25.53%	30.40%	44.07%	-0.19	-11.8	11
1970-08-05	Malmo	W 2-0	42.0	1325	1434	33.61%	30.35%	36.04%	-0.27	+10.4	8
1970-08-05	@ Orgryte	L 0-2	42.0	1434	1325	36.04%	30.35%	33.61%	+0.27	-10.4	11
1970-08-06	GAIS	W 4-1	41.4	1426	1402	50.57%	29.72%	19.71%	+0.51	+8.1	13
1970-08-06	@ Atvidaberg	L 1-4	41.4	1402	1426	19.71%	29.72%	50.57%	-0.51	-8.1	10
1970-08-06	Orebro	W 2-0	39.9	1402	1423	45.33%	30.31%	24.35%	+0.25	+7.8	5
1970-08-06	@ Goteborg	L 0-2	39.9	1423	1402	24.35%	30.31%	45.33%	-0.25	-7.8	7
1970-08-06	Norrkoping	W 2-1	49.8	1317	1413	35.48%	30.44%	34.08%	-0.19	+5.0	6
1970-08-06	@ Hammarby	L 1-2	49.8	1413	1317	34.08%	30.44%	35.48%	+0.19	-5.0	6
1970-08-06	Djurgarden	L 1-2	56.2	1424	1444	45.43%	30.31%	24.27%	+0.26	-6.2	9
1970-08-06	@ Oster	W 2-1	56.2	1444	1424	24.27%	30.31%	45.43%	-0.26	+6.2	12
1970-08-12	Goteborg	D 3-3	66.3	1450	1410	52.43%	29.40%	18.18%	+0.61	-0.7	13
1970-08-12	@ Djurgarden	D 3-3	66.3	1410	1450	18.18%	29.40%	52.43%	-0.61	+0.7	6
1970-08-12	Atvidaberg	L 1-2	55.8	1417	1434	45.83%	30.28%	23.89%	+0.27	-6.2	11
1970-08-12	@ Elfsborg	W 2-1	55.8	1434	1417	23.89%	30.28%	45.83%	-0.27	+6.2	15
1970-08-12	Oster	D 1-1	55.3	1394	1418	44.98%	30.34%	24.68%	+0.23	-0.6	11
1970-08-12	@ GAIS	D 1-1	55.3	1418	1394	24.68%	30.34%	44.98%	-0.23	+0.6	10
1970-08-12	AIK Stockholm	W 5-1	40.3	1424	1409	49.57%	29.87%	20.57%	+0.46	+10.9	13
1970-08-12	@ Malmo	L 1-5	40.3	1409	1424	20.57%	29.87%	49.57%	-0.46	-10.8	10
1970-08-12	Hammarby	W 5-2	40.0	1415	1322	57.66%	28.11%	14.23%	+0.92	+5.3	9
1970-08-12	@ Orebro	L 2-5	40.0	1322	1415	14.23%	28.11%	57.66%	-0.92	-5.3	6
1970-08-13	Orgryte	W 5-0	33.2	1408	1335	55.65%	28.68%	15.68%	+0.80	+12.8	8
1970-08-13	@ Norrkoping	L 0-5	33.2	1335	1408	15.68%	28.68%	55.65%	-0.80	-12.8	8
1970-08-18	Orgryte	L 0-1	50.2	1398	1323	55.97%	28.59%	15.44%	+0.82	-7.9	10
1970-08-18	@ AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	50.2	1323	1398	15.44%	28.59%	55.97%	-0.82	+7.9	10
1970-08-18	Norrkoping	D 0-0	51.3	1411	1420	46.69%	30.20%	23.11%	+0.32	-0.8	12
1970-08-18	@ Elfsborg	D 0-0	51.3	1420	1411	23.11%	30.20%	46.69%	-0.32	+0.8	9
1970-08-18	Orebro	W 2-0	39.9	1393	1420	44.59%	30.37%	25.05%	+0.22	+8.0	13
1970-08-18	@ GAIS	L 0-2	39.9	1420	1393	25.05%	30.37%	44.59%	-0.22	-8.0	9
1970-08-18	Djurgarden	D 0-0	52.8	1435	1450	46.07%	30.26%	23.68%	+0.29	-0.8	14
1970-08-18	@ Malmo	D 0-0	52.8	1450	1435	23.68%	30.26%	46.07%	-0.29	+0.8	14
1970-08-18	Goteborg	L 1-2	56.1	1418	1410	48.80%	29.97%	21.23%	+0.42	-6.6	10
1970-08-18	@ Oster	W 2-1	56.1	1410	1418	21.23%	29.97%	48.80%	-0.42	+6.6	8
1970-08-19	Hammarby	W 1-0	37.3	1440	1317	60.44%	27.19%	12.37%	+1.10	+2.3	17
1970-08-19	@ Atvidaberg	L 0-1	37.3	1317	1440	12.37%	27.19%	60.44%	-1.10	-2.3	6
1970-08-23	Malmo	W 3-0	38.2	1451	1434	49.77%	29.84%	20.40%	+0.47	+9.9	16
1970-08-23	@ Djurgarden	L 0-3	38.2	1434	1451	20.40%	29.84%	49.77%	-0.47	-9.9	14
1970-08-23	Oster	L 0-2	47.2	1417	1412	48.45%	30.01%	21.54%	+0.40	-13.1	8
1970-08-23	@ Goteborg	W 2-0	47.2	1412	1417	21.54%	30.01%	48.45%	-0.40	+13.1	12
1970-08-23	Elfsborg	W 6-0	37.8	1421	1410	49.19%	29.92%	20.89%	+0.44	+19.3	11
1970-08-23	@ Norrkoping	L 0-6	37.8	1410	1421	20.89%	29.92%	49.19%	-0.44	-19.3	12
1970-08-23	GAIS	W 5-0	36.6	1412	1401	49.15%	29.92%	20.93%	+0.44	+16.3	11
1970-08-23	@ Orebro	L 0-5	36.6	1401	1412	20.93%	29.92%	49.15%	-0.44	-16.3	13
1970-08-24	AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	46.1	1330	1390	40.39%	30.52%	29.10%	+0.02	-6.0	10
1970-08-24	@ Orgryte	W 1-0	46.1	1390	1330	29.10%	30.52%	40.39%	-0.02	+6.0	12
1970-08-27	Atvidaberg	W 3-1	48.4	1314	1442	31.07%	30.16%	38.77%	-0.38	+9.4	8
1970-08-27	@ Hammarby	L 1-3	48.4	1442	1314	38.77%	30.16%	31.07%	+0.38	-9.4	17
1970-08-30	Malmo	L 0-2	48.0	1433	1424	48.89%	29.96%	21.15%	+0.43	-13.2	17
1970-08-30	@ Atvidaberg	W 2-0	48.0	1424	1433	21.15%	29.96%	48.89%	-0.43	+13.2	16
1970-08-30	Djurgarden	L 1-3	50.3	1385	1460	38.27%	30.52%	31.21%	-0.07	-9.4	13
1970-08-30	@ GAIS	W 3-1	50.3	1460	1385	31.21%	30.52%	38.27%	+0.07	+9.4	18
1970-08-30	Goteborg	W 3-1	45.9	1324	1404	37.66%	30.51%	31.83%	-0.09	+8.2	10
1970-08-30	@ Hammarby	L 1-3	45.9	1404	1324	31.83%	30.51%	37.66%	+0.09	-8.2	8
1970-08-30	Elfsborg	D 2-2	61.3	1425	1390	51.73%	29.52%	18.75%	+0.58	-0.8	13
1970-08-30	@ Oster	D 2-2	61.3	1390	1425	18.75%	29.52%	51.73%	-0.58	+0.8	13
1970-08-31	Norrkoping	W 2-1	49.9	1396	1441	42.43%	30.47%	27.10%	+0.12	+4.2	14
1970-08-31	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	49.9	1441	1396	27.10%	30.47%	42.43%	-0.12	-4.2	11
1970-08-31	Orebro	L 0-3	39.4	1325	1429	34.33%	30.39%	35.28%	-0.24	-14.5	10
1970-08-31	@ Orgryte	W 3-0	39.4	1429	1325	35.28%	30.39%	34.33%	+0.24	+14.5	13
1970-09-02	Oster	L 2-4	57.8	1437	1424	49.38%	29.89%	20.73%	+0.45	-10.3	16
1970-09-02	@ Malmo	W 4-2	57.8	1424	1437	20.73%	29.89%	49.38%	-0.45	+10.3	15
1970-09-03	Hammarby	D 1-1	56.2	1470	1332	61.70%	26.71%	11.59%	+1.18	-1.6	19
1970-09-03	@ Djurgarden	D 1-1	56.2	1332	1470	11.59%	26.71%	61.70%	-1.18	+1.6	11
1970-09-03	GAIS	W 4-2	46.8	1391	1375	49.67%	29.85%	20.48%	+0.47	+5.3	15
1970-09-03	@ Elfsborg	L 2-4	46.8	1375	1391	20.48%	29.85%	49.67%	-0.47	-5.3	13
1970-09-03	Orgryte	D 1-1	54.0	1395	1310	56.93%	28.33%	14.74%	+0.88	-1.4	9
1970-09-03	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	54.0	1310	1395	14.74%	28.33%	56.93%	-0.88	+1.4	11
1970-09-03	AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	41.6	1443	1401	52.60%	29.36%	18.04%	+0.62	+3.3	15
1970-09-03	@ Orebro	L 0-1	41.6	1401	1443	18.04%	29.36%	52.60%	-0.62	-3.3	14
1970-09-06	AIK Stockholm	L 0-2	47.4	1420	1397	50.42%	29.74%	19.84%	+0.51	-13.5	17
1970-09-06	@ Atvidaberg	W 2-0	47.4	1397	1420	19.84%	29.74%	50.42%	-0.51	+13.5	16
1970-09-06	Norrkoping	L 1-3	55.8	1468	1436	51.46%	29.57%	18.97%	+0.56	-11.9	19
1970-09-06	@ Djurgarden	W 3-1	55.8	1436	1468	18.97%	29.57%	51.46%	-0.56	+11.9	13
1970-09-06	Goteborg	W 1-0	41.7	1396	1394	48.14%	30.05%	21.81%	+0.39	+3.8	17
1970-09-06	@ Elfsborg	L 0-1	41.7	1394	1396	21.81%	30.05%	48.14%	-0.39	-3.8	9
1970-09-06	Hammarby	D 2-2	59.2	1370	1334	51.97%	29.48%	18.55%	+0.59	-0.8	14
1970-09-06	@ GAIS	D 2-2	59.2	1334	1370	18.55%	29.48%	51.97%	-0.59	+0.8	12
1970-09-06	Orebro	W 1-0	44.6	1427	1446	45.54%	30.30%	24.16%	+0.26	+4.1	18
1970-09-06	@ Malmo	L 0-1	44.6	1446	1427	24.16%	30.30%	45.54%	-0.26	-4.1	15
1970-09-06	Orgryte	L 0-2	48.2	1434	1311	60.40%	27.20%	12.40%	+1.10	-15.8	15
1970-09-06	@ Oster	W 2-0	48.2	1311	1434	12.40%	27.20%	60.40%	-1.10	+15.8	13
1970-09-09	Djurgarden	W 1-0	45.4	1411	1456	42.27%	30.48%	27.25%	+0.11	+4.5	18
1970-09-09	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	45.4	1456	1411	27.25%	30.48%	42.27%	-0.11	-4.5	19
1970-09-09	GAIS	W 4-1	40.0	1390	1369	50.25%	29.77%	19.98%	+0.50	+8.2	11
1970-09-09	@ Goteborg	L 1-4	40.0	1369	1390	19.98%	29.77%	50.25%	-0.50	-8.2	14
1970-09-09	Elfsborg	L 0-1	51.9	1442	1400	52.53%	29.37%	18.09%	+0.62	-7.5	15
1970-09-09	@ Orebro	W 1-0	51.9	1400	1442	18.09%	29.37%	52.53%	-0.62	+7.4	19
1970-09-10	Malmo	D 1-1	57.3	1448	1431	49.83%	29.83%	20.34%	+0.48	-0.9	14
1970-09-10	@ Norrkoping	D 1-1	57.3	1431	1448	20.34%	29.83%	49.83%	-0.48	+0.9	19
1970-09-16	Oster	W 3-1	46.5	1334	1419	37.09%	30.49%	32.42%	-0.12	+8.3	14
1970-09-16	@ Hammarby	L 1-3	46.5	1419	1334	32.42%	30.49%	37.09%	+0.12	-8.3	15
1970-09-17	Atvidaberg	D 1-1	53.7	1327	1406	37.80%	30.51%	31.69%	-0.09	-0.2	14
1970-09-17	@ Orgryte	D 1-1	53.7	1406	1327	31.69%	30.51%	37.80%	+0.09	+0.2	18
1970-09-20	Goteborg	D 0-0	51.0	1415	1399	49.79%	29.84%	20.37%	+0.47	-1.0	19
1970-09-20	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	51.0	1399	1415	20.37%	29.84%	49.79%	-0.47	+1.0	12
1970-09-20	Orebro	W 1-0	44.0	1406	1435	44.43%	30.38%	25.20%	+0.21	+4.3	20
1970-09-20	@ Atvidaberg	L 0-1	44.0	1435	1406	25.20%	30.38%	44.43%	-0.21	-4.2	15
1970-09-20	Djurgarden	D 1-1	56.5	1408	1452	42.46%	30.47%	27.07%	+0.12	-0.5	20
1970-09-20	@ Elfsborg	D 1-1	56.5	1452	1408	27.07%	30.47%	42.46%	-0.12	+0.5	20
1970-09-20	Hammarby	L 1-4	46.7	1327	1343	46.00%	30.26%	23.74%	+0.28	-15.3	14
1970-09-20	@ Orgryte	W 4-1	46.7	1343	1327	23.74%	30.26%	46.00%	-0.28	+15.3	16
1970-09-20	Norrkoping	D 0-0	51.9	1410	1447	43.33%	30.43%	26.23%	+0.16	-0.6	16
1970-09-20	@ Oster	D 0-0	51.9	1447	1410	26.23%	30.43%	43.33%	-0.16	+0.6	15
1970-09-24	Atvidaberg	D 1-1	56.8	1448	1411	52.04%	29.47%	18.49%	+0.59	-1.0	16
1970-09-24	@ Norrkoping	D 1-1	56.8	1411	1448	18.49%	29.47%	52.04%	-0.59	+1.0	21
1970-09-24	Malmo	L 0-1	47.0	1361	1432	38.92%	30.52%	30.56%	-0.04	-5.8	14
1970-09-24	@ GAIS	W 1-0	47.0	1432	1361	30.56%	30.52%	38.92%	+0.04	+5.8	21
1970-09-24	AIK Stockholm	W 2-0	40.1	1358	1414	40.85%	30.51%	28.64%	+0.04	+8.8	18
1970-09-24	@ Hammarby	L 0-2	40.1	1414	1358	28.64%	30.51%	40.85%	-0.04	-8.8	19
1970-09-27	Orgryte	D 2-2	61.0	1452	1312	61.92%	26.62%	11.46%	+1.20	-1.2	21
1970-09-27	@ Djurgarden	D 2-2	61.0	1312	1452	11.46%	26.62%	61.92%	-1.20	+1.2	15
1970-09-27	Atvidaberg	W 1-0	42.6	1400	1412	46.42%	30.23%	23.35%	+0.30	+4.0	14
1970-09-27	@ Goteborg	L 0-1	42.6	1412	1400	23.35%	30.23%	46.42%	-0.30	-4.0	21
1970-09-27	Elfsborg	W 3-0	36.6	1438	1407	51.31%	29.60%	19.09%	+0.55	+9.4	23
1970-09-27	@ Malmo	L 0-3	36.6	1407	1438	19.09%	29.60%	51.31%	-0.55	-9.4	20
1970-09-27	GAIS	W 3-1	41.4	1447	1355	57.50%	28.16%	14.34%	+0.91	+4.4	18
1970-09-27	@ Norrkoping	L 1-3	41.4	1355	1447	14.34%	28.16%	57.50%	-0.91	-4.3	14
1970-09-27	Oster	W 2-0	38.9	1431	1410	50.25%	29.77%	19.98%	+0.50	+6.7	17
1970-09-27	@ Orebro	L 0-2	38.9	1410	1431	19.98%	29.77%	50.25%	-0.50	-6.7	16
1970-10-03	GAIS	L 1-2	55.8	1406	1351	53.85%	29.10%	17.05%	+0.69	-7.2	19
1970-10-03	@ AIK Stockholm	W 2-1	55.8	1351	1406	17.05%	29.10%	53.85%	-0.69	+7.2	16
1970-10-03	Norrkoping	D 1-1	56.4	1404	1451	41.98%	30.49%	27.53%	+0.10	-0.4	15
1970-10-03	@ Goteborg	D 1-1	56.4	1451	1404	27.53%	30.49%	41.98%	-0.10	+0.4	19
1970-10-04	Oster	D 3-3	64.9	1408	1403	48.41%	30.02%	21.57%	+0.40	-0.5	22
1970-10-04	@ Atvidaberg	D 3-3	64.9	1403	1408	21.57%	30.02%	48.41%	-0.40	+0.5	17
1970-10-04	Malmo	D 1-1	55.3	1367	1447	37.62%	30.51%	31.88%	-0.10	-0.2	19
1970-10-04	@ Hammarby	D 1-1	55.3	1447	1367	31.88%	30.51%	37.62%	+0.10	+0.2	24
1970-10-04	Djurgarden	D 2-2	63.1	1437	1451	46.23%	30.24%	23.53%	+0.29	-0.5	18
1970-10-04	@ Orebro	D 2-2	63.1	1451	1437	23.53%	30.24%	46.23%	-0.29	+0.5	22
1970-10-04	Elfsborg	D 2-2	59.0	1313	1398	36.98%	30.49%	32.53%	-0.12	-0.1	16
1970-10-04	@ Orgryte	D 2-2	59.0	1398	1313	32.53%	30.49%	36.98%	+0.12	+0.1	21
1970-10-11	Atvidaberg	L 1-2	57.9	1451	1407	52.79%	29.33%	17.89%	+0.63	-7.0	22
1970-10-11	@ Djurgarden	W 2-1	57.9	1407	1451	17.89%	29.33%	52.79%	-0.63	+7.0	24
1970-10-11	Hammarby	D 1-1	54.5	1398	1367	51.40%	29.58%	19.02%	+0.56	-1.0	22
1970-10-11	@ Elfsborg	D 1-1	54.5	1367	1398	19.02%	29.58%	51.40%	-0.56	+1.0	20
1970-10-11	Orgryte	L 0-3	43.5	1358	1313	52.90%	29.30%	17.80%	+0.64	-20.5	16
1970-10-11	@ GAIS	W 3-0	43.5	1313	1358	17.80%	29.30%	52.90%	-0.64	+20.5	18
1970-10-11	Goteborg	W 2-0	38.4	1447	1403	52.78%	29.33%	17.89%	+0.63	+6.1	26
1970-10-11	@ Malmo	L 0-2	38.4	1403	1447	17.89%	29.33%	52.78%	-0.63	-6.1	15
1970-10-11	Orebro	W 3-2	54.3	1452	1437	49.58%	29.87%	20.56%	+0.46	+3.2	21
1970-10-11	@ Norrkoping	L 2-3	54.3	1437	1452	20.56%	29.87%	49.58%	-0.46	-3.3	18
1970-10-11	AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	41.8	1403	1398	48.45%	30.01%	21.53%	+0.40	+3.8	19
1970-10-11	@ Oster	L 0-1	41.8	1398	1403	21.53%	30.01%	48.45%	-0.40	-3.8	19
1970-10-17	Djurgarden	W 1-0	44.7	1397	1444	42.02%	30.48%	27.50%	+0.10	+4.5	17
1970-10-17	@ Goteborg	L 0-1	44.7	1444	1397	27.50%	30.48%	42.02%	-0.10	-4.5	22
1970-10-17	Orebro	W 3-1	46.7	1368	1433	39.59%	30.52%	29.89%	-0.01	+7.9	22
1970-10-17	@ Hammarby	L 1-3	46.7	1433	1368	29.89%	30.52%	39.59%	+0.01	-7.9	18
1970-10-18	Malmo	D 0-0	51.7	1395	1453	40.51%	30.52%	28.97%	+0.03	-0.4	20
1970-10-18	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	51.7	1453	1395	28.97%	30.52%	40.51%	-0.03	+0.4	27
1970-10-18	Elfsborg	W 3-0	36.2	1414	1397	49.83%	29.83%	20.34%	+0.48	+9.9	26
1970-10-18	@ Atvidaberg	L 0-3	36.2	1397	1414	20.34%	29.83%	49.83%	-0.48	-9.9	22
1970-10-18	Norrkoping	W 2-0	43.1	1333	1455	31.94%	30.23%	37.83%	-0.34	+10.7	20
1970-10-18	@ Orgryte	L 0-2	43.1	1455	1333	37.83%	30.23%	31.94%	+0.34	-10.7	21
1970-10-18	GAIS	W 3-0	33.2	1407	1338	55.37%	28.75%	15.88%	+0.78	+8.0	21
1970-10-18	@ Oster	L 0-3	33.2	1338	1407	15.88%	28.75%	55.37%	-0.78	-8.0	16
1970-10-25	Oster	W 2-1	47.9	1440	1415	50.66%	29.70%	19.63%	+0.52	+3.3	24
1970-10-25	@ Djurgarden	L 1-2	47.9	1415	1440	19.63%	29.70%	50.66%	-0.52	-3.3	21
1970-10-25	AIK Stockholm	W 3-0	36.4	1387	1394	47.03%	30.17%	22.80%	+0.33	+10.8	24
1970-10-25	@ Elfsborg	L 0-3	36.4	1394	1387	22.80%	30.17%	47.03%	-0.33	-10.8	20
1970-10-25	Atvidaberg	L 2-3	55.7	1330	1424	35.68%	30.45%	33.87%	-0.18	-4.9	16
1970-10-25	@ GAIS	W 3-2	55.7	1424	1330	33.87%	30.45%	35.68%	+0.18	+4.9	28
1970-10-25	Orgryte	W 2-0	35.1	1454	1344	59.21%	27.62%	13.17%	+1.02	+4.6	29
1970-10-25	@ Malmo	L 0-2	35.1	1344	1454	13.17%	27.62%	59.21%	-1.02	-4.6	20
1970-10-25	Hammarby	D 1-1	56.0	1444	1376	55.28%	28.77%	15.95%	+0.78	-1.2	22
1970-10-25	@ Norrkoping	D 1-1	56.0	1376	1444	15.95%	28.77%	55.28%	-0.78	+1.2	23
1970-10-25	Goteborg	W 1-0	41.8	1426	1402	50.60%	29.71%	19.69%	+0.52	+3.5	20
1970-10-25	@ Orebro	L 0-1	41.8	1402	1426	19.69%	29.71%	50.60%	-0.52	-3.5	17

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1970-09-06	12.40%	Orgryte	1311	2	@ Oster	1434	0
2	1970-08-18	15.44%	Orgryte	1323	1	@ AIK Stockholm	1398	0
3	1970-10-03	17.05%	GAIS	1351	2	@ AIK Stockholm	1406	1
4	1970-04-19	17.37%	AIK Stockholm	1398	2	@ Goteborg	1448	0
5	1970-04-28	17.38%	GAIS	1396	3	@ Djurgarden	1446	2
6	1970-10-11	17.80%	Orgryte	1313	3	@ GAIS	1358	0
7	1970-10-11	17.89%	Atvidaberg	1407	2	@ Djurgarden	1451	1
8	1970-09-09	18.09%	Elfsborg	1400	1	@ Orebro	1442	0
9	1970-05-09	18.77%	Elfsborg	1397	3	@ Goteborg	1431	1
10	1970-09-06	18.97%	Norrkoping	1436	3	@ Djurgarden	1468	1
11	1970-05-03	19.30%	Norrkoping	1410	1	@ Orebro	1438	0
12	1970-09-06	19.84%	AIK Stockholm	1397	2	@ Atvidaberg	1420	0
13	1970-04-19	19.91%	Atvidaberg	1407	1	@ Orebro	1429	0
14	1970-05-07	20.05%	Atvidaberg	1403	3	@ Oster	1423	2
15	1970-04-28	20.28%	AIK Stockholm	1399	2	@ Norrkoping	1417	1
16	1970-04-12	20.68%	Orebro	1415	2	@ Oster	1429	0
17	1970-09-02	20.73%	Oster	1424	4	@ Malmo	1437	2
18	1970-04-25	21.01%	Norrkoping	1404	2	@ Atvidaberg	1414	0
19	1970-08-30	21.15%	Malmo	1424	2	@ Atvidaberg	1433	0
20	1970-08-18	21.23%	Goteborg	1410	2	@ Oster	1418	1
21	1970-08-23	21.54%	Oster	1412	2	@ Goteborg	1417	0
22	1970-05-03	21.88%	Malmo	1435	2	@ Goteborg	1437	1
23	1970-04-19	22.59%	Oster	1416	1	@ Norrkoping	1411	0
24	1970-04-25	23.07%	Orebro	1421	2	@ AIK Stockholm	1412	0
25	1970-09-20	23.74%	Hammarby	1343	4	@ Orgryte	1327	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1970-10-11	20.51	Orgryte	3	1313	17.80%	@ GAIS	0	1358	52.90%	29.30%
2	1970-08-23	19.31	@ Norrkoping	6	1421	49.19%	Elfsborg	0	1410	20.89%	29.92%
3	1970-08-23	16.27	@ Orebro	5	1412	49.15%	GAIS	0	1401	20.93%	29.92%
4	1970-09-06	15.84	Orgryte	2	1311	12.40%	@ Oster	0	1434	60.40%	27.20%
5	1970-07-02	15.70	@ Elfsborg	4	1413	43.34%	Malmo	0	1450	26.22%	30.43%
6	1970-09-20	15.34	Hammarby	4	1343	23.74%	@ Orgryte	1	1327	46.00%	30.26%
7	1970-08-31	14.54	Orebro	3	1429	35.28%	@ Orgryte	0	1325	34.33%	30.39%
8	1970-04-19	14.25	AIK Stockholm	2	1398	17.37%	@ Goteborg	0	1448	53.44%	29.19%
9	1970-09-06	13.54	AIK Stockholm	2	1397	19.84%	@ Atvidaberg	0	1420	50.42%	29.74%
10	1970-04-12	13.32	Orebro	2	1415	20.68%	@ Oster	0	1429	49.43%	29.89%
11	1970-04-25	13.23	Norrkoping	2	1404	21.01%	@ Atvidaberg	0	1414	49.06%	29.94%
12	1970-08-30	13.19	Malmo	2	1424	21.15%	@ Atvidaberg	0	1433	48.89%	29.96%
13	1970-08-23	13.09	Oster	2	1412	21.54%	@ Goteborg	0	1417	48.45%	30.01%
14	1970-08-13	12.75	@ Norrkoping	5	1408	55.65%	Orgryte	0	1335	15.68%	28.68%
15	1970-04-25	12.70	Orebro	2	1421	23.07%	@ AIK Stockholm	0	1412	46.74%	30.20%
16	1970-05-09	11.99	Elfsborg	3	1397	18.77%	@ Goteborg	1	1431	51.70%	29.53%
17	1970-09-06	11.94	Norrkoping	3	1436	18.97%	@ Djurgarden	1	1468	51.46%	29.57%
18	1970-08-04	11.78	@ AIK Stockholm	3	1397	44.07%	Elfsborg	0	1429	25.53%	30.40%
19	1970-05-03	11.23	Elfsborg	2	1387	29.36%	@ Hammarby	0	1325	40.12%	30.52%
20	1970-08-12	10.85	@ Malmo	5	1424	49.57%	AIK Stockholm	1	1409	20.57%	29.87%
21	1970-10-25	10.81	@ Elfsborg	3	1387	47.03%	AIK Stockholm	0	1394	22.80%	30.17%
22	1970-10-18	10.71	@ Orgryte	2	1333	31.94%	Norrkoping	0	1455	37.83%	30.23%
23	1970-08-05	10.35	@ Orgryte	2	1325	33.61%	Malmo	0	1434	36.04%	30.35%
24	1970-04-23	10.34	Djurgarden	2	1436	33.62%	@ Hammarby	0	1343	35.92%	30.46%
25	1970-09-02	10.30	Oster	4	1424	20.73%	@ Malmo	2	1437	49.38%	29.89%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1970-08-12	66.3	@ Djurgarden	3	1450	52.43%	Goteborg	3	1410	18.18%	29.40%
2	1970-10-04	64.9	@ Atvidaberg	3	1408	48.41%	Oster	3	1403	21.57%	30.02%
3	1970-10-04	63.1	@ Orebro	2	1437	46.23%	Djurgarden	2	1451	23.53%	30.24%
4	1970-04-28	62.6	GAIS	3	1396	17.38%	@ Djurgarden	2	1446	53.43%	29.19%
5	1970-05-07	61.3	Atvidaberg	3	1403	20.05%	@ Oster	2	1423	50.17%	29.78%
6	1970-08-30	61.3	@ Oster	2	1425	51.73%	Elfsborg	2	1390	18.75%	29.52%
7	1970-09-27	61.0	@ Djurgarden	2	1452	61.92%	Orgryte	2	1312	11.46%	26.62%
8	1970-04-28	60.9	@ Elfsborg	2	1387	43.69%	Oster	2	1422	25.89%	30.42%
9	1970-09-06	59.2	@ GAIS	2	1370	51.97%	Hammarby	2	1334	18.55%	29.48%
10	1970-10-04	59.0	@ Orgryte	2	1313	36.98%	Elfsborg	2	1398	32.53%	30.49%
11	1970-10-11	57.9	Atvidaberg	2	1407	17.89%	@ Djurgarden	1	1451	52.79%	29.33%
12	1970-09-02	57.8	Oster	4	1424	20.73%	@ Malmo	2	1437	49.38%	29.89%
13	1970-09-10	57.3	@ Norrkoping	1	1448	49.83%	Malmo	1	1431	20.34%	29.83%
14	1970-05-03	57.1	Malmo	2	1435	21.88%	@ Goteborg	1	1437	48.06%	30.06%
15	1970-05-10	57.0	@ Orebro	1	1428	45.68%	Malmo	1	1446	24.03%	30.29%
16	1970-09-24	56.8	@ Norrkoping	1	1448	52.04%	Atvidaberg	1	1411	18.49%	29.47%
17	1970-09-20	56.5	@ Elfsborg	1	1408	42.46%	Djurgarden	1	1452	27.07%	30.47%
18	1970-05-10	56.4	Oster	3	1416	31.50%	@ Orgryte	2	1339	37.99%	30.51%
19	1970-10-03	56.4	@ Goteborg	1	1404	41.98%	Norrkoping	1	1451	27.53%	30.49%
20	1970-05-07	56.3	@ Norrkoping	1	1418	46.35%	Goteborg	1	1430	23.42%	30.23%
21	1970-08-06	56.2	Djurgarden	2	1444	24.27%	@ Oster	1	1424	45.43%	30.31%
22	1970-09-03	56.2	@ Djurgarden	1	1470	61.70%	Hammarby	1	1332	11.59%	26.71%
23	1970-08-18	56.1	Goteborg	2	1410	21.23%	@ Oster	1	1418	48.80%	29.97%
24	1970-04-28	56.0	AIK Stockholm	2	1399	20.28%	@ Norrkoping	1	1417	49.90%	29.82%
25	1970-10-25	56.0	@ Norrkoping	1	1444	55.28%	Hammarby	1	1376	15.95%	28.77%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1970-08-13	33.2	@ Norrkoping	5	1408	55.65%	Orgryte	0	1335	15.68%	28.68%
2	1970-10-18	33.2	@ Oster	3	1407	55.37%	GAIS	0	1338	15.88%	28.75%
3	1970-05-07	33.8	@ Malmo	2	1442	60.81%	Hammarby	0	1314	12.14%	27.05%
4	1970-10-25	35.1	@ Malmo	2	1454	59.21%	Orgryte	0	1344	13.17%	27.62%
5	1970-04-28	36.2	@ Goteborg	5	1429	57.94%	Hammarby	1	1333	14.03%	28.03%
6	1970-10-18	36.2	@ Atvidaberg	3	1414	49.83%	Elfsborg	0	1397	20.34%	29.83%
7	1970-05-13	36.4	@ Atvidaberg	5	1410	56.04%	Orgryte	1	1334	15.39%	28.57%
8	1970-10-25	36.4	@ Elfsborg	3	1387	47.03%	AIK Stockholm	0	1394	22.80%	30.17%
9	1970-08-23	36.6	@ Orebro	5	1412	49.15%	GAIS	0	1401	20.93%	29.92%
10	1970-09-27	36.6	@ Malmo	3	1438	51.31%	Elfsborg	0	1407	19.09%	29.60%
11	1970-08-19	37.3	@ Atvidaberg	1	1440	60.44%	Hammarby	0	1317	12.37%	27.19%
12	1970-05-13	37.6	@ Oster	1	1421	58.49%	Hammarby	0	1319	13.66%	27.86%
13	1970-08-23	37.8	@ Norrkoping	6	1421	49.19%	Elfsborg	0	1410	20.89%	29.92%
14	1970-08-23	38.2	@ Djurgarden	3	1451	49.77%	Malmo	0	1434	20.40%	29.84%
15	1970-08-04	38.3	@ AIK Stockholm	3	1397	44.07%	Elfsborg	0	1429	25.53%	30.40%
16	1970-10-11	38.4	@ Malmo	2	1447	52.78%	Goteborg	0	1403	17.89%	29.33%
17	1970-09-27	38.9	@ Orebro	2	1431	50.25%	Oster	0	1410	19.98%	29.77%
18	1970-07-02	39.1	@ Elfsborg	4	1413	43.34%	Malmo	0	1450	26.22%	30.43%
19	1970-08-31	39.4	Orebro	3	1429	35.28%	@ Orgryte	0	1325	34.33%	30.39%
20	1970-08-06	39.9	@ Goteborg	2	1402	45.33%	Orebro	0	1423	24.35%	30.31%
21	1970-08-18	39.9	@ GAIS	2	1393	44.59%	Orebro	0	1420	25.05%	30.37%
22	1970-08-12	40.0	@ Orebro	5	1415	57.66%	Hammarby	2	1322	14.23%	28.11%
23	1970-09-09	40.0	@ Goteborg	4	1390	50.25%	GAIS	1	1369	19.98%	29.77%
24	1970-09-24	40.1	@ Hammarby	2	1358	40.85%	AIK Stockholm	0	1414	28.64%	30.51%
25	1970-08-12	40.3	@ Malmo	5	1424	49.57%	AIK Stockholm	1	1409	20.57%	29.87%