1971 Allsvenskan Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Malmo

30 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Malmo

4.85 points above expected

30 points · 25.15 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Luleaa

7.19 points below expected

14 points · 21.19 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Malmo	22	12	6	4	30	46	22	+24	25.15	+4.85
2	Atvidaberg	22	10	8	4	28	43	20	+23	25.88	+2.12
3	Norrkoping	22	8	10	4	26	23	15	+8	23.54	+2.46
4	Djurgarden	22	11	4	7	26	32	27	+5	22.11	+3.89
5	Orgryte	22	6	10	6	22	29	28	+1	19.10	+2.90
6	Landskrona	22	5	12	5	22	22	25	-3	24.76	-2.76
7	AIK Stockholm	22	8	6	8	22	26	38	-12	21.46	+0.54
8	Orebro	22	7	7	8	21	20	25	-5	20.99	+0.01
9	Oster	22	5	10	7	20	26	24	+2	21.00	-1.00
10	Hammarby	22	6	7	9	19	22	27	-5	19.25	-0.25
11	Elfsborg	22	6	2	14	14	20	34	-14	19.57	-5.57
12	Luleaa	22	4	6	12	14	20	44	-24	21.19	-7.19

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Malmo	30	25.15	+4.85
2	Djurgarden	26	22.11	+3.89
3	Orgryte	22	19.10	+2.90
4	Norrkoping	26	23.54	+2.46
5	Atvidaberg	28	25.88	+2.12

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Luleaa	14	21.19	-7.19
2	Elfsborg	14	19.57	-5.57
3	Landskrona	22	24.76	-2.76
4	Oster	20	21.00	-1.00
5	Hammarby	19	19.25	-0.25

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Malmo	4	Jun 23 – Aug 24	1 in 79
2	Orgryte	2	Oct 17 – Oct 24	1 in 43
3	Djurgarden	3	Oct 3 – Oct 24	1 in 31
4	Atvidaberg	3	Apr 18 – May 2	1 in 17
5	Elfsborg	2	Jun 17 – Jun 23	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Orebro	3	Apr 12 – Apr 25	1 in 55
2	Luleaa	3	Jun 3 – Jun 17	1 in 43
3	Elfsborg	5	Sep 19 – Oct 24	1 in 35
4	Hammarby	3	Aug 24 – Sep 9	1 in 23
5	AIK Stockholm	3	Jun 23 – Aug 19	1 in 23

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Orebro	11	Jun 13 – Sep 26	1 in 134
2	Orgryte	8	Aug 29 – Oct 24	1 in 86
3	Norrkoping	10	May 2 – Aug 19	1 in 71
4	Malmo	8	May 31 – Aug 24	1 in 21
5	Oster	5	Apr 12 – May 9	1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Oster	13	Apr 12 – Aug 17	1 in 125
2	Luleaa	11	Aug 12 – Oct 24	1 in 31
3	Landskrona	5	May 31 – Jun 23	1 in 11
4	Atvidaberg	4	May 9 – Jun 3	1 in 8
5	AIK Stockholm	5	Jun 13 – Aug 19	1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Malmo	1453	30	+6	8	7.1	+0.9
Atvidaberg	1415	28	+3	7	6.2	+0.8
Djurgarden	1369	26	+45	7	4.6	+2.4
Norrkoping	1345	26	-34	4	6.0	-2.0
Orgryte	1304	22	+48	7	4.1	+2.9
AIK Stockholm	1263	22	-6	6	4.8	+1.2
Landskrona	1350	22	-22	5	5.6	-0.6
Orebro	1297	21	-14	3	5.2	-2.2
Oster	1321	20	+39	6	5.2	+0.8
Hammarby	1292	19	+49	6	3.9	+2.1
Luleaa	1169	14	-60	1	4.0	-3.0
Elfsborg	1220	14	-53	0	3.4	-3.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AS	ATV	DJU	ELF	HAM	LAN	LUL	MAL	NOR	ORE	ORG	OST
AIK Stockholm	—	0-1-1 2.27	2-0-0 2.49	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 3.04	0-2-0 2.29	2-0-0 2.60	0-0-2 2.48	0-1-1 2.60	2-0-0 2.36	0-1-1 3.13	0-1-1 2.58
Atvidaberg	1-1-0 3.07	—	1-0-1 2.96	2-0-0 3.51	1-0-1 3.62	1-1-0 2.73	1-1-0 3.30	0-0-2 2.69	1-1-0 2.79	2-0-0 3.07	0-2-0 3.57	0-2-0 3.23
Djurgarden	0-0-2 2.81	1-0-1 2.33	—	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 3.11	1-1-0 2.29	1-1-0 2.87	1-0-1 2.27	2-0-0 2.55	1-0-1 2.89	1-1-0 3.07	1-1-0 2.83
Elfsborg	1-0-1 2.41	0-0-2 1.81	1-0-1 2.36	—	1-0-1 2.64	0-0-2 1.99	1-0-1 2.45	0-0-2 1.83	0-0-2 2.20	1-0-1 2.47	1-1-0 2.72	0-1-1 2.56
Hammarby	1-0-1 2.26	1-0-1 1.72	1-0-1 2.20	1-0-1 2.66	—	0-2-0 2.03	1-0-1 2.46	0-1-1 2.08	0-1-1 2.07	0-2-0 2.43	0-0-2 2.85	1-1-0 2.35
Landskrona	0-2-0 3.01	0-1-1 2.56	0-1-1 3.01	2-0-0 3.34	0-2-0 3.30	—	1-0-1 3.21	1-1-0 2.48	0-1-1 2.86	1-1-0 3.19	0-2-0 3.28	0-1-1 3.24
Luleaa	0-0-2 2.73	0-1-1 2.04	0-1-1 2.43	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.83	1-0-1 2.10	—	0-0-2 2.23	0-1-1 2.32	0-1-1 2.85	1-1-0 2.92	0-1-1 2.64
Malmo	2-0-0 2.82	2-0-0 2.61	1-0-1 3.06	2-0-0 3.49	1-1-0 3.28	0-1-1 2.81	2-0-0 3.14	—	0-2-0 3.00	0-1-1 3.64	1-0-1 3.57	1-1-0 3.14
Norrkoping	1-1-0 2.71	0-1-1 2.52	0-0-2 2.76	2-0-0 3.13	1-1-0 3.27	1-1-0 2.43	1-1-0 2.98	0-2-0 2.33	—	1-1-0 2.84	0-1-1 3.29	1-1-0 3.01
Orebro	0-0-2 2.95	0-0-2 2.25	1-0-1 2.42	1-0-1 2.84	0-2-0 2.86	0-1-1 2.13	1-1-0 2.45	1-1-0 1.70	0-1-1 2.46	—	1-1-0 2.81	2-0-0 2.55
Orgryte	1-1-0 2.19	0-2-0 1.77	0-1-1 2.25	0-1-1 2.59	2-0-0 2.46	0-2-0 2.06	0-1-1 2.38	1-0-1 1.76	1-1-0 2.04	0-1-1 2.50	—	1-0-1 2.39
Oster	1-1-0 2.73	0-2-0 2.11	0-1-1 2.48	1-1-0 2.75	0-1-1 2.95	1-1-0 2.08	1-1-0 2.69	0-1-1 2.20	0-1-1 2.30	0-0-2 2.75	1-0-1 2.91	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.64	+4.5
Allowed	0.52	-4.5
Differential	0.83	+3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.88%	8.71%	4.92%	3.41%	1.89%	0.38%	32.20%
1	8.71%	15.15%	5.30%	3.41%	1.14%	1.14%	34.85%
2	4.92%	5.30%	5.30%	1.89%	0.38%	0.38%	18.18%
3	3.41%	3.41%	1.89%	—	0.38%	—	9.09%
4	1.89%	1.14%	0.38%	0.38%	—	—	3.79%
5+	0.38%	1.14%	0.38%	—	—	—	1.89%
Total	32.20%	34.85%	18.18%	9.09%	3.79%	1.89%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.25	1.25	+0.00
SD	1.27	1.27	1.84
CV	1.02	1.02	—
Max	8	8	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
1	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	40.91%
2	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%
3	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	36.36%	9.09%	—	9.09%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.73	-0.55
SD	1.18	2.14	2.40
CV	1.00	1.24	—
Max	4	8	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
1	—	27.27%	4.55%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	18.18%	—	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	40.91%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	0.91	+1.05
SD	1.84	0.87	2.15
CV	0.94	0.95	—
Max	8	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	31.82%
1	13.64%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	36.36%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	1.23	+0.23
SD	1.47	1.51	2.20
CV	1.01	1.23	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	31.82%	—	18.18%	—	—	54.55%
1	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	50.00%	18.18%	22.73%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	1.55	-0.64
SD	1.23	0.96	1.65
CV	1.35	0.62	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
1	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	45.45%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	22.73%	22.73%	18.18%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.23	-0.23
SD	0.98	1.15	1.57
CV	0.98	0.94	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
1	4.55%	31.82%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	45.45%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	45.45%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.14	-0.14
SD	0.93	1.21	1.49
CV	0.93	1.06	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	40.91%
1	9.09%	4.55%	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	31.82%
2	4.55%	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	22.73%
3	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	9.09%	18.18%	31.82%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	2.00	-1.09
SD	0.92	1.54	1.77
CV	1.01	0.77	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	18.18%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	36.36%
3	—	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	45.45%	27.27%	18.18%	—	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.09	1.00	+1.09
SD	1.48	1.23	1.90
CV	0.71	1.23	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	22.73%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	40.91%
1	13.64%	22.73%	—	—	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	50.00%	36.36%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.05	0.68	+0.36
SD	1.29	0.84	1.65
CV	1.23	1.23	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.64%	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	—	40.91%
1	9.09%	13.64%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	—	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	45.45%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	1.14	-0.23
SD	0.92	1.04	1.41
CV	1.01	0.91	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	9.09%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	50.00%
2	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	31.82%	27.27%	13.64%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.32	1.27	+0.05
SD	0.89	1.03	1.13
CV	0.68	0.81	—
Max	4	3	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	40.91%
1	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	—	—	13.64%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	36.36%	36.36%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.09	+0.09
SD	1.33	0.81	1.44
CV	1.13	0.74	—
Max	4	2	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Malmo	1453	30	25.15	+4.85	90.0%	17	20	23	25	27	31	33
Atvidaberg	1415	28	25.88	+2.12	81.0%	16	19	24	26	28	32	35
Djurgarden	1369	26	22.11	+3.89	91.0%	15	16	20	22	25	27	31
Landskrona	1350	22	24.76	-2.76	28.0%	17	19	22	25	27	30	33
Norrkoping	1345	26	23.54	+2.46	84.0%	17	18	22	24	25	28	32
Oster	1321	20	21.00	-1.00	51.0%	13	15	17	20	24	27	31
Orgryte	1304	22	19.10	+2.90	86.0%	11	14	17	19	21	24	29
Orebro	1297	21	20.99	+0.01	53.0%	8	14	18	21	24	27	31
Hammarby	1292	19	19.25	-0.25	57.0%	10	15	17	19	21	25	26
AIK Stockholm	1263	22	21.46	+0.54	63.0%	13	15	19	21	24	27	29
Elfsborg	1220	14	19.57	-5.57	7.0%	12	14	18	19	22	25	27
Luleaa	1169	14	21.19	-7.19	3.0%	10	16	19	21	24	26	29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 12% * Slight Edge: 12% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 19.5% * Strong Edge: 19.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+21.21%

Strong Edge

43.94%33.33%22.73%

Elo Value

Home Edge

179 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

074.83500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.49 goals

Neutral

-2+0.42+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 3 * Top-Heavy: 3 to 4 * Open: 4 to 5 * Wide Open: 5 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.14 * Comfortable: 0.14 to 0.23 * Runaway: 0.23 and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.9

Open

134510

Champion Preseason Odds

25%

Malmo, 2nd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.09/gm

Tight Race

00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.83 * Some Luck: 2.83 to 4.24 * Lucky: 4.24 to 5.65 * Wild Swing: 5.65 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.08 * Close: 2.08 to 3.12 * Off: 3.12 to 4.16 * Way Off: 4.16 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.53 points

Some Luck

03.539

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.00

Pinpoint

02.606

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

91.00%

Djurgarden

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

3.00%

Luleaa

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.14 * Even: 0.14 to 0.16 * Top-Heavy: 0.16 to 0.18 * Lopsided: 0.18 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.4 * Moderate Separation: 1.4 to 1.65 * Strong Separation: 1.65 to 1.8 * Wide Separation: 1.8 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 63% * Slight Edge: 63% to 66.5% * Clear Edge: 66.5% to 71.5% * Wide Edge: 71.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 83.5% * Clear Edge: 83.5% to 87.5% * Strong Edge: 87.5% to 90.5% * Dominant: 90.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58.5% * Frequent: 58.5% to 62.5% * Very Frequent: 62.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16% * Occasional: 16% to 19.5% * Frequent: 19.5% to 23.5% * Very Frequent: 23.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.12

Balanced

00.140.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 78.58

1.30

Coin-Flip Parity

0.951.41.652.75

Interquartile Edge

60%

Even

50%63%71.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

84%

Clear Edge

50%83%100%

Close Games

Expected

66%

Very Frequent

0%59%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Occasional

0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.3 * Slight Separation: 0.3 to 0.34 * Notable Separation: 0.34 to 0.4 * Lopsided: 0.4 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.38 * Some Carryover: 0.38 to 0.53 * Strong Carryover: 0.53 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 22.5% * As Expected: 22.5% to 25% * Upset-Prone: 25% to 28% * Very Upset-Prone: 28% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 21.5% * Shaky Favorites: 21.5% to 24% * Very Shaky: 24% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.64

Hard to Predict

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.41

Lopsided

00.30.40.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.05

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.24

Weak Carryover

00.380.530.691

Upset Rate

Expected

23%

As Expected

0%19%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Shaky Favorites

0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.36

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.72

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.089

Well Within Noise

00.1330.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Malmo	25.00%	17.00%	10.00%	13.00%	11.00%	11.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Atvidaberg	30.00%	20.00%	18.00%	12.00%	2.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—
Norrkoping	7.00%	11.00%	15.00%	9.00%	18.00%	13.00%	13.00%	2.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%	—
Djurgarden	2.00%	10.00%	12.00%	14.00%	8.00%	12.00%	12.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%	6.00%	5.00%
Orgryte	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	5.00%	9.00%	11.00%	8.00%	14.00%	11.00%	15.00%	19.00%
Landskrona	20.00%	15.00%	8.00%	18.00%	10.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%
AIK Stockholm	3.00%	10.00%	6.00%	3.00%	13.00%	3.00%	7.00%	16.00%	15.00%	11.00%	7.00%	6.00%
Orebro	3.00%	5.00%	9.00%	9.00%	7.00%	10.00%	6.00%	9.00%	11.00%	6.00%	9.00%	16.00%
Oster	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	8.00%	10.00%	10.00%	4.00%	11.00%	10.00%	10.00%	13.00%
Hammarby	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	7.00%	9.00%	14.00%	11.00%	15.00%	21.00%	13.00%
Elfsborg	—	1.00%	4.00%	4.00%	4.00%	6.00%	9.00%	12.00%	11.00%	17.00%	16.00%	16.00%
Luleaa	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	9.00%	17.00%	6.00%	13.00%	7.00%	11.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Malmo	99.00%	1.00%
Atvidaberg	98.00%	2.00%
Landskrona	97.00%	3.00%
Norrkoping	96.00%	4.00%
Djurgarden	89.00%	11.00%
AIK Stockholm	87.00%	13.00%
Luleaa	82.00%	18.00%
Oster	77.00%	23.00%
Orebro	75.00%	25.00%
Elfsborg	68.00%	32.00%
Hammarby	66.00%	34.00%
Orgryte	66.00%	34.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1971-04-12	Landskrona	W 3-1	46.3	1322	1403	36.62%	35.36%	28.02%	-0.04	+14.5	2
1971-04-12	@ Djurgarden	L 1-3	46.3	1403	1322	28.02%	35.36%	36.62%	+0.04	-14.5	0
1971-04-12	Elfsborg	W 1-0	38.7	1326	1293	49.93%	34.28%	15.79%	+0.60	+5.9	2
1971-04-12	@ Malmo	L 0-1	38.7	1293	1326	15.79%	34.28%	49.93%	-0.60	-5.9	0
1971-04-12	Orebro	W 1-0	39.7	1328	1320	47.36%	34.72%	17.92%	+0.46	+6.5	2
1971-04-12	@ Norrkoping	L 0-1	39.7	1320	1328	17.92%	34.72%	47.36%	-0.46	-6.5	0
1971-04-12	Luleaa	L 2-3	54.6	1260	1363	33.71%	35.29%	31.00%	-0.16	-9.0	0
1971-04-12	@ Orgryte	W 3-2	54.6	1363	1260	31.00%	35.29%	33.71%	+0.16	+9.0	2
1971-04-12	Hammarby	D 0-0	46.2	1304	1282	48.83%	34.48%	16.68%	+0.54	-2.1	1
1971-04-12	@ Oster	D 0-0	46.2	1282	1304	16.68%	34.48%	48.83%	-0.54	+2.1	1
1971-04-14	Atvidaberg	D 0-0	46.1	1286	1310	43.78%	35.12%	21.10%	+0.28	-1.4	1
1971-04-14	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	46.1	1310	1286	21.10%	35.12%	43.78%	-0.28	+1.4	1
1971-04-18	Djurgarden	W 4-0	35.6	1311	1336	43.67%	35.13%	21.20%	+0.28	+26.3	3
1971-04-18	@ Atvidaberg	L 0-4	35.6	1336	1311	21.20%	35.13%	43.67%	-0.28	-26.3	2
1971-04-18	Norrkoping	L 0-1	46.6	1287	1334	41.07%	35.29%	23.63%	+0.16	-11.6	0
1971-04-18	@ Elfsborg	W 1-0	46.6	1334	1287	23.63%	35.29%	41.07%	-0.16	+11.6	4
1971-04-18	Malmo	D 1-1	50.9	1285	1332	40.97%	35.30%	23.74%	+0.15	-0.9	2
1971-04-18	@ Hammarby	D 1-1	50.9	1332	1285	23.74%	35.30%	40.97%	-0.15	+0.9	3
1971-04-18	Orgryte	D 1-1	52.2	1389	1252	59.14%	31.39%	9.47%	+1.19	-3.1	1
1971-04-18	@ Landskrona	D 1-1	52.2	1252	1389	9.47%	31.39%	59.14%	-1.19	+3.1	1
1971-04-18	Oster	D 2-2	57.4	1372	1302	53.45%	33.44%	13.11%	+0.81	-1.8	3
1971-04-18	@ Luleaa	D 2-2	57.4	1302	1372	13.11%	33.44%	53.45%	-0.81	+1.8	2
1971-04-18	AIK Stockholm	L 1-3	51.1	1313	1284	49.50%	34.36%	16.14%	+0.58	-22.0	0
1971-04-18	@ Orebro	W 3-1	51.1	1284	1313	16.14%	34.36%	49.50%	-0.58	+22.0	3
1971-04-24	Oster	D 1-1	51.0	1307	1304	46.75%	34.80%	18.44%	+0.43	-1.6	4
1971-04-24	@ AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	51.0	1304	1307	18.44%	34.80%	46.75%	-0.43	+1.6	3
1971-04-25	Landskrona	L 0-1	44.4	1276	1386	32.73%	35.25%	32.02%	-0.20	-9.8	0
1971-04-25	@ Elfsborg	W 1-0	44.4	1386	1276	32.02%	35.25%	32.73%	+0.20	+9.8	3
1971-04-25	Luleaa	L 0-2	42.3	1284	1370	35.89%	35.35%	28.76%	-0.07	-19.7	2
1971-04-25	@ Hammarby	W 2-0	42.3	1370	1284	28.76%	35.35%	35.89%	+0.07	+19.7	5
1971-04-25	Orgryte	W 2-0	34.2	1333	1255	54.22%	33.21%	12.57%	+0.86	+9.2	5
1971-04-25	@ Malmo	L 0-2	34.2	1255	1333	12.57%	33.21%	54.22%	-0.86	-9.2	1
1971-04-25	Djurgarden	L 0-1	49.3	1346	1310	50.20%	34.23%	15.57%	+0.62	-13.7	4
1971-04-25	@ Norrkoping	W 1-0	49.3	1310	1346	15.57%	34.23%	50.20%	-0.62	+13.7	4
1971-04-25	Atvidaberg	L 0-2	43.7	1291	1338	41.06%	35.29%	23.65%	+0.16	-21.8	0
1971-04-25	@ Orebro	W 2-0	43.7	1338	1291	23.65%	35.29%	41.06%	-0.16	+21.8	5
1971-05-02	Elfsborg	W 3-0	32.3	1360	1266	55.55%	32.79%	11.66%	+0.94	+12.5	7
1971-05-02	@ Atvidaberg	L 0-3	32.3	1266	1360	11.66%	32.79%	55.55%	-0.94	-12.5	0
1971-05-02	Orebro	L 1-2	54.7	1324	1269	52.05%	33.81%	14.14%	+0.72	-13.3	4
1971-05-02	@ Djurgarden	W 2-1	54.7	1269	1324	14.14%	33.81%	52.05%	-0.72	+13.3	2
1971-05-02	Hammarby	D 0-0	47.7	1395	1264	58.69%	31.58%	9.72%	+1.16	-3.4	4
1971-05-02	@ Landskrona	D 0-0	47.7	1264	1395	9.72%	31.58%	58.69%	-1.16	+3.4	3
1971-05-02	AIK Stockholm	L 0-4	45.6	1390	1305	54.82%	33.03%	12.15%	+0.90	-52.8	5
1971-05-02	@ Luleaa	W 4-0	45.6	1305	1390	12.15%	33.03%	54.82%	-0.90	+52.8	6
1971-05-02	Norrkoping	D 1-1	50.6	1245	1332	35.92%	35.35%	28.72%	-0.07	-0.4	2
1971-05-02	@ Orgryte	D 1-1	50.6	1332	1245	28.72%	35.35%	35.92%	+0.07	+0.4	5
1971-05-02	Malmo	D 2-2	56.6	1306	1342	42.32%	35.23%	22.45%	+0.22	-0.8	4
1971-05-02	@ Oster	D 2-2	56.6	1342	1306	22.45%	35.23%	42.32%	-0.22	+0.8	6
1971-05-09	Orgryte	D 1-1	51.7	1358	1245	57.17%	32.20%	10.63%	+1.05	-2.9	7
1971-05-09	@ AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	51.7	1245	1358	10.63%	32.20%	57.17%	-1.05	+2.9	3
1971-05-09	Hammarby	W 3-2	49.8	1253	1267	44.96%	35.01%	20.02%	+0.34	+6.3	2
1971-05-09	@ Elfsborg	L 2-3	49.8	1267	1253	20.02%	35.01%	44.96%	-0.34	-6.3	3
1971-05-09	Atvidaberg	W 1-0	41.7	1343	1372	43.19%	35.17%	21.64%	+0.26	+7.5	8
1971-05-09	@ Malmo	L 0-1	41.7	1372	1343	21.64%	35.17%	43.19%	-0.26	-7.5	7
1971-05-09	Landskrona	W 1-0	43.0	1332	1392	39.43%	35.35%	25.22%	+0.08	+8.3	7
1971-05-09	@ Norrkoping	L 0-1	43.0	1392	1332	25.22%	35.35%	39.43%	-0.08	-8.3	4
1971-05-09	Luleaa	D 0-0	46.2	1282	1337	40.05%	35.33%	24.62%	+0.11	-0.9	3
1971-05-09	@ Orebro	D 0-0	46.2	1337	1282	24.62%	35.33%	40.05%	-0.11	+0.9	6
1971-05-09	Djurgarden	D 0-0	46.3	1305	1310	45.90%	34.91%	19.19%	+0.39	-1.7	5
1971-05-09	@ Oster	D 0-0	46.3	1310	1305	19.19%	34.91%	45.90%	-0.39	+1.7	5
1971-05-12	AIK Stockholm	W 2-0	40.2	1261	1355	34.91%	35.33%	29.76%	-0.11	+17.4	5
1971-05-12	@ Hammarby	L 0-2	40.2	1355	1261	29.76%	35.33%	34.91%	+0.11	-17.4	7
1971-05-16	Norrkoping	D 1-1	52.0	1365	1341	49.04%	34.45%	16.52%	+0.55	-1.9	8
1971-05-16	@ Atvidaberg	D 1-1	52.0	1341	1365	16.52%	34.45%	49.04%	-0.55	+1.9	8
1971-05-16	Malmo	W 4-3	54.0	1312	1350	42.09%	35.24%	22.67%	+0.20	+6.7	7
1971-05-16	@ Djurgarden	L 3-4	54.0	1350	1312	22.67%	35.24%	42.09%	-0.20	-6.7	8
1971-05-16	Orebro	W 2-0	34.2	1384	1282	56.29%	32.53%	11.18%	+0.99	+8.3	6
1971-05-16	@ Landskrona	L 0-2	34.2	1282	1384	11.18%	32.53%	56.29%	-0.99	-8.3	3
1971-05-16	Elfsborg	W 1-0	37.3	1338	1260	54.23%	33.21%	12.56%	+0.86	+4.9	8
1971-05-16	@ Luleaa	L 0-1	37.3	1260	1338	12.56%	33.21%	54.23%	-0.86	-4.9	2
1971-05-16	Oster	W 1-0	41.3	1248	1303	39.98%	35.33%	24.69%	+0.11	+8.2	5
1971-05-16	@ Orgryte	L 0-1	41.3	1303	1248	24.69%	35.33%	39.98%	-0.11	-8.2	5
1971-05-31	Elfsborg	W 3-1	39.5	1337	1255	54.60%	33.10%	12.31%	+0.88	+7.8	9
1971-05-31	@ AIK Stockholm	L 1-3	39.5	1255	1337	12.31%	33.10%	54.60%	-0.88	-7.8	2
1971-05-31	Landskrona	D 2-2	57.7	1344	1392	40.86%	35.30%	23.84%	+0.15	-0.7	9
1971-05-31	@ Malmo	D 2-2	57.7	1392	1344	23.84%	35.30%	40.86%	-0.15	+0.7	7
1971-05-31	Luleaa	D 0-0	47.0	1342	1343	46.43%	34.84%	18.72%	+0.42	-1.8	9
1971-05-31	@ Norrkoping	D 0-0	47.0	1343	1342	18.72%	34.84%	46.43%	-0.42	+1.8	9
1971-05-31	Hammarby	D 0-0	45.9	1273	1278	45.93%	34.91%	19.16%	+0.39	-1.7	4
1971-05-31	@ Orebro	D 0-0	45.9	1278	1273	19.16%	34.91%	45.93%	-0.39	+1.7	6
1971-05-31	Djurgarden	L 1-3	48.1	1256	1319	39.04%	35.35%	25.60%	+0.07	-18.2	5
1971-05-31	@ Orgryte	W 3-1	48.1	1319	1256	25.60%	35.35%	39.04%	-0.07	+18.2	9
1971-05-31	Atvidaberg	D 2-2	56.7	1295	1363	38.42%	35.36%	26.21%	+0.04	-0.5	6
1971-05-31	@ Oster	D 2-2	56.7	1363	1295	26.21%	35.36%	38.42%	-0.04	+0.5	9
1971-06-03	Orgryte	D 1-1	51.8	1363	1238	58.19%	31.79%	10.02%	+1.12	-3.0	10
1971-06-03	@ Atvidaberg	D 1-1	51.8	1238	1363	10.02%	31.79%	58.19%	-1.12	+3.0	6
1971-06-03	AIK Stockholm	L 1-2	53.9	1337	1345	45.58%	34.95%	19.47%	+0.37	-11.9	9
1971-06-03	@ Djurgarden	W 2-1	53.9	1345	1337	19.47%	34.95%	45.58%	-0.37	+11.9	11
1971-06-03	Orebro	W 4-1	39.9	1247	1272	43.73%	35.13%	21.14%	+0.28	+17.0	4
1971-06-03	@ Elfsborg	L 1-4	39.9	1272	1247	21.14%	35.13%	43.73%	-0.28	-17.0	4
1971-06-03	Oster	D 0-0	47.6	1393	1295	55.94%	32.65%	11.41%	+0.97	-3.0	8
1971-06-03	@ Landskrona	D 0-0	47.6	1295	1393	11.41%	32.65%	55.94%	-0.97	+3.0	7
1971-06-03	Malmo	L 1-3	51.2	1345	1343	46.70%	34.81%	18.49%	+0.43	-21.0	9
1971-06-03	@ Luleaa	W 3-1	51.2	1343	1345	18.49%	34.81%	46.70%	-0.43	+21.0	11
1971-06-13	Norrkoping	D 0-0	47.2	1357	1341	48.26%	34.58%	17.16%	+0.51	-2.0	12
1971-06-13	@ AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	47.2	1341	1357	17.16%	34.58%	48.26%	-0.51	+2.0	10
1971-06-13	Landskrona	W 4-1	42.2	1360	1390	43.15%	35.17%	21.68%	+0.25	+17.3	12
1971-06-13	@ Atvidaberg	L 1-4	42.2	1390	1360	21.68%	35.17%	43.15%	-0.25	-17.3	8
1971-06-13	Orebro	D 1-1	51.8	1364	1255	56.89%	32.31%	10.80%	+1.03	-2.8	12
1971-06-13	@ Malmo	D 1-1	51.8	1255	1364	10.80%	32.31%	56.89%	-1.03	+2.8	5
1971-06-13	Hammarby	W 2-0	37.5	1241	1280	41.99%	35.25%	22.77%	+0.20	+14.6	8
1971-06-13	@ Orgryte	L 0-2	37.5	1280	1241	22.77%	35.25%	41.99%	-0.20	-14.6	6
1971-06-13	Elfsborg	D 0-0	46.1	1298	1264	50.01%	34.26%	15.72%	+0.61	-2.2	8
1971-06-13	@ Oster	D 0-0	46.1	1264	1298	15.72%	34.26%	50.01%	-0.61	+2.2	5
1971-06-14	Luleaa	W 5-1	38.3	1325	1324	46.64%	34.82%	18.54%	+0.43	+19.9	11
1971-06-14	@ Djurgarden	L 1-5	38.3	1324	1325	18.54%	34.82%	46.64%	-0.43	-19.9	9
1971-06-17	Orgryte	W 2-1	44.3	1266	1255	47.66%	34.67%	17.66%	+0.48	+6.1	7
1971-06-17	@ Elfsborg	L 1-2	44.3	1255	1266	17.66%	34.67%	47.66%	-0.48	-6.1	8
1971-06-17	Djurgarden	W 1-0	42.6	1265	1345	36.85%	35.37%	27.79%	-0.03	+8.8	8
1971-06-17	@ Hammarby	L 0-1	42.6	1345	1265	27.79%	35.37%	36.85%	+0.03	-8.8	11
1971-06-17	AIK Stockholm	D 0-0	47.6	1372	1355	48.33%	34.57%	17.10%	+0.52	-2.0	9
1971-06-17	@ Landskrona	D 0-0	47.6	1355	1372	17.10%	34.57%	48.33%	-0.52	+2.0	13
1971-06-17	Atvidaberg	L 0-3	41.4	1304	1377	37.65%	35.37%	26.98%	+0.01	-29.7	9
1971-06-17	@ Luleaa	W 3-0	41.4	1377	1304	26.98%	35.37%	37.65%	-0.01	+29.7	14
1971-06-17	Malmo	D 0-0	47.1	1343	1361	44.43%	35.06%	20.50%	+0.32	-1.5	11
1971-06-17	@ Norrkoping	D 0-0	47.1	1361	1343	20.50%	35.06%	44.43%	-0.32	+1.5	13
1971-06-17	Oster	W 2-1	46.1	1257	1295	42.12%	35.24%	22.64%	+0.21	+7.3	7
1971-06-17	@ Orebro	L 1-2	46.1	1295	1257	22.64%	35.24%	42.12%	-0.21	-7.3	8
1971-06-23	Hammarby	W 3-0	31.8	1407	1274	58.79%	31.54%	9.67%	+1.16	+10.5	16
1971-06-23	@ Atvidaberg	L 0-3	31.8	1274	1407	9.67%	31.54%	58.79%	-1.16	-10.5	8
1971-06-23	Elfsborg	L 1-2	55.0	1336	1272	52.91%	33.59%	13.50%	+0.78	-13.5	11
1971-06-23	@ Djurgarden	W 2-1	55.0	1272	1336	13.50%	33.59%	52.91%	-0.78	+13.5	9
1971-06-23	Landskrona	W 1-0	43.5	1274	1370	34.62%	35.32%	30.06%	-0.12	+9.3	11
1971-06-23	@ Luleaa	L 0-1	43.5	1370	1274	30.06%	35.32%	34.62%	+0.12	-9.3	9
1971-06-23	AIK Stockholm	W 5-1	39.0	1363	1357	47.09%	34.76%	18.16%	+0.45	+19.6	15
1971-06-23	@ Malmo	L 1-5	39.0	1357	1363	18.16%	34.76%	47.09%	-0.45	-19.6	13
1971-06-23	Orebro	L 1-2	52.5	1249	1265	44.79%	35.03%	20.18%	+0.33	-11.7	8
1971-06-23	@ Orgryte	W 2-1	52.5	1265	1249	20.18%	35.03%	44.79%	-0.33	+11.7	9
1971-06-23	Norrkoping	D 1-1	51.0	1288	1341	40.28%	35.32%	24.40%	+0.12	-0.9	9
1971-06-23	@ Oster	D 1-1	51.0	1341	1288	24.40%	35.32%	40.28%	-0.12	+0.8	12
1971-06-30	Norrkoping	L 1-2	50.7	1264	1342	37.03%	35.37%	27.61%	-0.02	-10.1	8
1971-06-30	@ Hammarby	W 2-1	50.7	1342	1264	27.61%	35.37%	37.03%	+0.02	+10.1	14
1971-08-11	Malmo	L 0-4	42.6	1338	1382	41.32%	35.28%	23.40%	+0.17	-41.6	13
1971-08-11	@ AIK Stockholm	W 4-0	42.6	1382	1338	23.40%	35.28%	41.32%	-0.17	+41.6	17
1971-08-12	Djurgarden	L 0-1	46.8	1286	1323	42.26%	35.23%	22.51%	+0.21	-11.8	9
1971-08-12	@ Elfsborg	W 1-0	46.8	1323	1286	22.51%	35.23%	42.26%	-0.21	+11.8	13
1971-08-12	Atvidaberg	W 2-1	51.9	1254	1418	25.69%	34.62%	39.69%	-0.50	+10.5	10
1971-08-12	@ Hammarby	L 1-2	51.9	1418	1254	39.69%	34.62%	25.69%	+0.50	-10.5	16
1971-08-12	Luleaa	W 3-2	47.8	1361	1284	54.15%	33.23%	12.62%	+0.85	+4.4	11
1971-08-12	@ Landskrona	L 2-3	47.8	1284	1361	12.62%	33.23%	54.15%	-0.85	-4.4	11
1971-08-12	Oster	W 2-0	34.9	1352	1287	53.00%	33.56%	13.44%	+0.78	+9.8	16
1971-08-12	@ Norrkoping	L 0-2	34.9	1287	1352	13.44%	33.56%	53.00%	-0.78	-9.8	9
1971-08-12	Orgryte	D 1-1	50.7	1276	1238	50.51%	34.16%	15.33%	+0.64	-2.1	10
1971-08-12	@ Orebro	D 1-1	50.7	1238	1276	15.33%	34.16%	50.51%	-0.64	+2.1	9
1971-08-17	Oster	W 2-1	43.4	1335	1278	52.27%	33.75%	13.98%	+0.74	+5.0	15
1971-08-17	@ Djurgarden	L 1-2	43.4	1278	1335	13.98%	33.75%	52.27%	-0.74	-5.0	9
1971-08-19	Malmo	L 0-2	47.9	1407	1424	44.62%	35.05%	20.33%	+0.33	-23.3	16
1971-08-19	@ Atvidaberg	W 2-0	47.9	1424	1407	20.33%	35.05%	44.62%	-0.33	+23.3	19
1971-08-19	Elfsborg	W 1-0	39.6	1264	1274	45.42%	34.96%	19.62%	+0.36	+7.0	12
1971-08-19	@ Hammarby	L 0-1	39.6	1274	1264	19.62%	34.96%	45.42%	-0.36	-7.0	9
1971-08-19	Norrkoping	D 1-1	52.3	1365	1362	46.88%	34.79%	18.33%	+0.44	-1.6	12
1971-08-19	@ Landskrona	D 1-1	52.3	1362	1365	18.33%	34.79%	46.88%	-0.44	+1.6	17
1971-08-19	Orebro	L 0-1	47.8	1279	1274	47.02%	34.77%	18.21%	+0.45	-12.9	11
1971-08-19	@ Luleaa	W 1-0	47.8	1274	1279	18.21%	34.77%	47.02%	-0.45	+12.9	12
1971-08-19	AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	41.2	1240	1296	39.87%	35.33%	24.79%	+0.10	+8.2	11
1971-08-19	@ Orgryte	L 0-1	41.2	1296	1240	24.79%	35.33%	39.87%	-0.10	-8.2	13
1971-08-24	Hammarby	W 1-0	38.8	1288	1271	48.27%	34.58%	17.15%	+0.51	+6.3	15
1971-08-24	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	38.8	1271	1288	17.15%	34.58%	48.27%	-0.51	-6.3	12
1971-08-24	Luleaa	W 3-1	41.6	1267	1266	46.59%	34.83%	18.59%	+0.42	+10.9	11
1971-08-24	@ Elfsborg	L 1-3	41.6	1266	1267	18.59%	34.83%	46.59%	-0.42	-10.9	11
1971-08-24	Djurgarden	W 6-0	34.7	1447	1340	56.74%	32.36%	10.90%	+1.02	+22.5	21
1971-08-24	@ Malmo	L 0-6	34.7	1340	1447	10.90%	32.36%	56.74%	-1.02	-22.5	15
1971-08-24	Atvidaberg	L 0-3	44.2	1364	1384	44.23%	35.08%	20.69%	+0.31	-33.6	17
1971-08-24	@ Norrkoping	W 3-0	44.2	1384	1364	20.69%	35.08%	44.23%	-0.31	+33.6	18
1971-08-24	Landskrona	D 1-1	51.2	1287	1364	37.25%	35.37%	27.39%	-0.01	-0.5	13
1971-08-24	@ Orebro	D 1-1	51.2	1364	1287	27.39%	35.37%	37.25%	+0.01	+0.5	13
1971-08-24	Orgryte	W 3-2	48.5	1273	1248	49.10%	34.44%	16.46%	+0.56	+5.5	11
1971-08-24	@ Oster	L 2-3	48.5	1248	1273	16.46%	34.44%	49.10%	-0.56	-5.5	11
1971-08-29	Oster	L 0-1	47.7	1278	1278	46.49%	34.84%	18.67%	+0.42	-12.8	11
1971-08-29	@ Elfsborg	W 1-0	47.7	1278	1278	18.67%	34.84%	46.49%	-0.42	+12.8	13
1971-08-29	Orgryte	L 1-2	53.5	1265	1243	48.88%	34.48%	16.65%	+0.54	-12.6	12
1971-08-29	@ Hammarby	W 2-1	53.5	1243	1265	16.65%	34.48%	48.88%	-0.54	+12.6	13
1971-08-29	Atvidaberg	D 1-1	53.1	1364	1417	40.28%	35.32%	24.40%	+0.12	-0.8	14
1971-08-29	@ Landskrona	D 1-1	53.1	1417	1364	24.40%	35.32%	40.28%	-0.12	+0.9	19
1971-08-29	Djurgarden	D 0-0	45.9	1255	1317	39.17%	35.35%	25.48%	+0.07	-0.8	12
1971-08-29	@ Luleaa	D 0-0	45.9	1317	1255	25.48%	35.35%	39.17%	-0.07	+0.8	16
1971-08-29	AIK Stockholm	W 5-1	37.0	1330	1294	50.23%	34.22%	15.55%	+0.62	+17.4	19
1971-08-29	@ Norrkoping	L 1-5	37.0	1294	1330	15.55%	34.22%	50.23%	-0.62	-17.4	15
1971-08-29	Malmo	W 2-1	53.7	1287	1470	23.52%	34.27%	42.20%	-0.61	+11.0	15
1971-08-29	@ Orebro	L 1-2	53.7	1470	1287	42.20%	34.27%	23.52%	+0.61	-11.0	21
1971-09-07	Landskrona	D 1-1	51.1	1277	1364	35.88%	35.35%	28.76%	-0.07	-0.4	16
1971-09-07	@ AIK Stockholm	D 1-1	51.1	1364	1277	28.76%	35.35%	35.88%	+0.07	+0.4	15
1971-09-08	Luleaa	D 1-1	52.9	1418	1255	61.18%	30.43%	8.39%	+1.34	-3.3	20
1971-09-08	@ Atvidaberg	D 1-1	52.9	1255	1418	8.39%	30.43%	61.18%	-1.34	+3.3	13
1971-09-08	Norrkoping	D 0-0	49.8	1459	1347	57.05%	32.25%	10.70%	+1.04	-3.2	22
1971-09-08	@ Malmo	D 0-0	49.8	1347	1459	10.70%	32.25%	57.05%	-1.04	+3.2	20
1971-09-08	Elfsborg	D 2-2	55.9	1255	1265	45.38%	34.97%	19.65%	+0.36	-1.1	14
1971-09-08	@ Orgryte	D 2-2	55.9	1265	1255	19.65%	34.97%	45.38%	-0.36	+1.1	12
1971-09-08	Orebro	L 0-1	47.7	1291	1298	45.73%	34.93%	19.34%	+0.38	-12.6	13
1971-09-08	@ Oster	W 1-0	47.7	1298	1291	19.34%	34.93%	45.73%	-0.38	+12.6	17
1971-09-09	Hammarby	W 3-1	39.9	1318	1252	53.07%	33.54%	13.39%	+0.79	+8.4	18
1971-09-09	@ Djurgarden	L 1-3	39.9	1252	1318	13.39%	33.54%	53.07%	-0.79	-8.4	12
1971-09-12	Oster	D 1-1	52.8	1415	1278	59.10%	31.41%	9.49%	+1.18	-3.1	21
1971-09-12	@ Atvidaberg	D 1-1	52.8	1278	1415	9.49%	31.41%	59.10%	-1.18	+3.1	14
1971-09-12	Orgryte	D 0-0	46.5	1326	1254	53.68%	33.37%	12.94%	+0.82	-2.7	19
1971-09-12	@ Djurgarden	D 0-0	46.5	1254	1326	12.94%	33.37%	53.68%	-0.82	+2.7	15
1971-09-12	AIK Stockholm	W 1-0	39.6	1266	1276	45.38%	34.97%	19.65%	+0.36	+7.0	14
1971-09-12	@ Elfsborg	L 0-1	39.6	1276	1266	19.65%	34.97%	45.38%	-0.36	-7.0	16
1971-09-12	Malmo	W 2-1	51.6	1364	1455	35.24%	35.34%	29.42%	-0.09	+8.7	17
1971-09-12	@ Landskrona	L 1-2	51.6	1455	1364	29.42%	35.34%	35.24%	+0.09	-8.7	22
1971-09-12	Norrkoping	L 0-3	39.9	1258	1350	35.09%	35.34%	29.57%	-0.10	-28.2	13
1971-09-12	@ Luleaa	W 3-0	39.9	1350	1258	29.57%	35.34%	35.09%	+0.10	+28.2	22
1971-09-14	Orebro	D 2-2	55.9	1244	1310	38.57%	35.36%	26.07%	+0.05	-0.5	13
1971-09-14	@ Hammarby	D 2-2	55.9	1310	1244	26.07%	35.36%	38.57%	-0.05	+0.5	18
1971-09-19	Luleaa	W 2-0	31.7	1447	1230	65.06%	28.32%	6.63%	+1.64	+4.8	24
1971-09-19	@ Malmo	L 0-2	31.7	1230	1447	6.63%	28.32%	65.06%	-1.64	-4.8	13
1971-09-19	Hammarby	D 1-1	52.1	1379	1243	58.99%	31.46%	9.56%	+1.18	-3.1	23
1971-09-19	@ Norrkoping	D 1-1	52.1	1243	1379	9.56%	31.46%	58.99%	-1.18	+3.1	14
1971-09-19	Elfsborg	W 3-0	33.5	1311	1273	50.41%	34.18%	15.40%	+0.63	+15.9	20
1971-09-19	@ Orebro	L 0-3	33.5	1273	1311	15.40%	34.18%	50.41%	-0.63	-15.9	14
1971-09-19	Atvidaberg	D 1-1	51.5	1257	1412	26.76%	34.76%	38.48%	-0.45	+0.6	16
1971-09-19	@ Orgryte	D 1-1	51.5	1412	1257	38.48%	34.76%	26.76%	+0.45	-0.6	22
1971-09-19	Landskrona	W 4-0	38.2	1281	1373	35.28%	35.34%	29.37%	-0.09	+32.8	16
1971-09-19	@ Oster	L 0-4	38.2	1373	1281	29.37%	35.34%	35.28%	+0.09	-32.8	17
1971-09-20	Djurgarden	W 1-0	41.5	1269	1324	40.12%	35.33%	24.55%	+0.12	+8.1	18
1971-09-20	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	41.5	1324	1269	24.55%	35.33%	40.12%	-0.12	-8.1	19
1971-09-26	AIK Stockholm	W 8-2	34.6	1411	1278	58.86%	31.51%	9.63%	+1.17	+13.6	24
1971-09-26	@ Atvidaberg	L 2-8	34.6	1278	1411	9.63%	31.51%	58.86%	-1.17	-13.6	18
1971-09-26	Malmo	L 1-2	47.0	1257	1452	22.31%	34.04%	43.65%	-0.67	-7.1	14
1971-09-26	@ Elfsborg	W 2-1	47.0	1452	1257	43.65%	34.04%	22.31%	+0.67	+7.1	26
1971-09-26	Oster	W 1-0	41.8	1247	1314	38.43%	35.36%	26.21%	+0.04	+8.5	16
1971-09-26	@ Hammarby	L 0-1	41.8	1314	1247	26.21%	35.36%	38.43%	-0.04	-8.5	16
1971-09-26	Djurgarden	D 1-1	51.5	1340	1315	49.06%	34.44%	16.49%	+0.55	-1.9	18
1971-09-26	@ Landskrona	D 1-1	51.5	1315	1340	16.49%	34.44%	49.06%	-0.55	+1.9	20
1971-09-26	Orgryte	D 2-2	55.7	1225	1257	42.78%	35.20%	22.03%	+0.24	-0.8	14
1971-09-26	@ Luleaa	D 2-2	55.7	1257	1225	22.03%	35.20%	42.78%	-0.24	+0.8	17
1971-09-26	Norrkoping	D 0-0	47.0	1327	1376	40.79%	35.30%	23.90%	+0.15	-1.0	21
1971-09-26	@ Orebro	D 0-0	47.0	1376	1327	23.90%	35.30%	40.79%	-0.15	+1.0	24
1971-10-02	Orebro	W 1-0	41.7	1264	1326	39.16%	35.35%	25.49%	+0.07	+8.4	20
1971-10-02	@ AIK Stockholm	L 0-1	41.7	1326	1264	25.49%	35.35%	39.16%	-0.07	-8.3	21
1971-10-03	Atvidaberg	W 3-0	40.4	1317	1425	33.05%	35.27%	31.68%	-0.18	+26.4	22
1971-10-03	@ Djurgarden	L 0-3	40.4	1425	1317	31.68%	35.27%	33.05%	+0.18	-26.3	24
1971-10-03	Hammarby	W 3-1	37.9	1459	1255	64.10%	28.87%	7.03%	+1.56	+4.5	28
1971-10-03	@ Malmo	L 1-3	37.9	1255	1459	7.03%	28.87%	64.10%	-1.56	-4.5	16
1971-10-03	Elfsborg	W 3-0	31.5	1377	1250	58.28%	31.76%	9.96%	+1.13	+10.8	26
1971-10-03	@ Norrkoping	L 0-3	31.5	1250	1377	9.96%	31.76%	58.28%	-1.13	-10.8	14
1971-10-03	Landskrona	D 0-0	46.0	1258	1338	36.84%	35.37%	27.79%	-0.03	-0.5	18
1971-10-03	@ Orgryte	D 0-0	46.0	1338	1258	27.79%	35.37%	36.84%	+0.03	+0.5	19
1971-10-03	Luleaa	W 3-1	39.2	1306	1224	54.51%	33.12%	12.36%	+0.88	+7.9	18
1971-10-03	@ Oster	L 1-3	39.2	1224	1306	12.36%	33.12%	54.51%	-0.88	-7.9	14
1971-10-16	Landskrona	D 1-1	50.7	1251	1338	35.75%	35.35%	28.90%	-0.07	-0.4	17
1971-10-16	@ Hammarby	D 1-1	50.7	1338	1251	28.90%	35.35%	35.75%	+0.07	+0.4	20
1971-10-17	Luleaa	W 3-2	47.5	1272	1216	52.19%	33.78%	14.04%	+0.73	+4.8	22
1971-10-17	@ AIK Stockholm	L 2-3	47.5	1216	1272	14.04%	33.78%	52.19%	-0.73	-4.8	14
1971-10-17	Atvidaberg	L 1-2	47.6	1240	1398	26.28%	34.70%	39.02%	-0.47	-8.0	14
1971-10-17	@ Elfsborg	W 2-1	47.6	1398	1240	39.02%	34.70%	26.28%	+0.47	+8.0	26
1971-10-17	Oster	W 2-0	34.7	1463	1313	60.11%	30.95%	8.94%	+1.26	+6.7	30
1971-10-17	@ Malmo	L 0-2	34.7	1313	1463	8.94%	30.95%	60.11%	-1.26	-6.7	18
1971-10-17	Orgryte	L 0-2	48.0	1387	1258	58.55%	31.64%	9.81%	+1.15	-29.5	26
1971-10-17	@ Norrkoping	W 2-0	48.0	1258	1387	9.81%	31.64%	58.55%	-1.15	+29.5	20
1971-10-17	Djurgarden	L 0-1	47.6	1317	1344	43.52%	35.14%	21.34%	+0.27	-12.1	21
1971-10-17	@ Orebro	W 1-0	47.6	1344	1317	21.34%	35.14%	43.52%	-0.27	+12.1	24
1971-10-24	Orebro	W 2-0	34.8	1406	1305	56.20%	32.56%	11.24%	+0.99	+8.3	28
1971-10-24	@ Atvidaberg	L 0-2	34.8	1305	1406	11.24%	32.56%	56.20%	-0.99	-8.3	21
1971-10-24	Norrkoping	W 2-0	37.8	1356	1358	46.26%	34.87%	18.87%	+0.41	+12.8	26
1971-10-24	@ Djurgarden	L 0-2	37.8	1358	1356	18.87%	34.87%	46.26%	-0.41	-12.8	26
1971-10-24	Elfsborg	W 3-0	31.6	1339	1232	56.71%	32.38%	10.92%	+1.02	+11.8	22
1971-10-24	@ Landskrona	L 0-3	31.6	1232	1339	10.92%	32.38%	56.71%	-1.02	-11.8	14
1971-10-24	Hammarby	L 0-4	40.9	1211	1250	42.01%	35.24%	22.74%	+0.20	-42.2	14
1971-10-24	@ Luleaa	W 4-0	40.9	1250	1211	22.74%	35.24%	42.01%	-0.20	+42.2	19
1971-10-24	Malmo	W 4-2	54.3	1287	1470	23.56%	34.28%	42.16%	-0.60	+17.1	22
1971-10-24	@ Orgryte	L 2-4	54.3	1470	1287	42.16%	34.28%	23.56%	+0.60	-17.1	30
1971-10-24	AIK Stockholm	W 4-1	38.5	1307	1277	49.62%	34.34%	16.04%	+0.59	+13.8	20
1971-10-24	@ Oster	L 1-4	38.5	1277	1307	16.04%	34.34%	49.62%	-0.59	-13.8	22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1971-10-17	9.81%	Orgryte	1258	2	@ Norrkoping	1387	0
2	1971-05-02	12.15%	AIK Stockholm	1305	4	@ Luleaa	1390	0
3	1971-06-23	13.50%	Elfsborg	1272	2	@ Djurgarden	1336	1
4	1971-05-02	14.14%	Orebro	1269	2	@ Djurgarden	1324	1
5	1971-04-25	15.57%	Djurgarden	1310	1	@ Norrkoping	1346	0
6	1971-04-18	16.14%	AIK Stockholm	1284	3	@ Orebro	1313	1
7	1971-08-29	16.65%	Orgryte	1243	2	@ Hammarby	1265	1
8	1971-08-19	18.21%	Orebro	1274	1	@ Luleaa	1279	0
9	1971-06-03	18.49%	Malmo	1343	3	@ Luleaa	1345	1
10	1971-08-29	18.67%	Oster	1278	1	@ Elfsborg	1278	0
11	1971-09-08	19.34%	Orebro	1298	1	@ Oster	1291	0
12	1971-06-03	19.47%	AIK Stockholm	1345	2	@ Djurgarden	1337	1
13	1971-06-23	20.18%	Orebro	1265	2	@ Orgryte	1249	1
14	1971-08-19	20.33%	Malmo	1424	2	@ Atvidaberg	1407	0
15	1971-08-24	20.69%	Atvidaberg	1384	3	@ Norrkoping	1364	0
16	1971-10-17	21.34%	Djurgarden	1344	1	@ Orebro	1317	0
17	1971-08-12	22.51%	Djurgarden	1323	1	@ Elfsborg	1286	0
18	1971-10-24	22.74%	Hammarby	1250	4	@ Luleaa	1211	0
19	1971-08-11	23.40%	Malmo	1382	4	@ AIK Stockholm	1338	0
20	1971-08-29	23.52%	@ Orebro	1287	2	Malmo	1470	1
21	1971-10-24	23.56%	@ Orgryte	1287	4	Malmo	1470	2
22	1971-04-18	23.63%	Norrkoping	1334	1	@ Elfsborg	1287	0
23	1971-04-25	23.65%	Atvidaberg	1338	2	@ Orebro	1291	0
24	1971-05-31	25.60%	Djurgarden	1319	3	@ Orgryte	1256	1
25	1971-08-12	25.69%	@ Hammarby	1254	2	Atvidaberg	1418	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1971-05-02	52.84	AIK Stockholm	4	1305	12.15%	@ Luleaa	0	1390	54.82%	33.03%
2	1971-10-24	42.16	Hammarby	4	1250	22.74%	@ Luleaa	0	1211	42.01%	35.24%
3	1971-08-11	41.61	Malmo	4	1382	23.40%	@ AIK Stockholm	0	1338	41.32%	35.28%
4	1971-08-24	33.64	Atvidaberg	3	1384	20.69%	@ Norrkoping	0	1364	44.23%	35.08%
5	1971-09-19	32.80	@ Oster	4	1281	35.28%	Landskrona	0	1373	29.37%	35.34%
6	1971-06-17	29.68	Atvidaberg	3	1377	26.98%	@ Luleaa	0	1304	37.65%	35.37%
7	1971-10-17	29.47	Orgryte	2	1258	9.81%	@ Norrkoping	0	1387	58.55%	31.64%
8	1971-09-12	28.22	Norrkoping	3	1350	29.57%	@ Luleaa	0	1258	35.09%	35.34%
9	1971-10-03	26.35	@ Djurgarden	3	1317	33.05%	Atvidaberg	0	1425	31.68%	35.27%
10	1971-04-18	26.32	@ Atvidaberg	4	1311	43.67%	Djurgarden	0	1336	21.20%	35.13%
11	1971-08-19	23.33	Malmo	2	1424	20.33%	@ Atvidaberg	0	1407	44.62%	35.05%
12	1971-08-24	22.49	@ Malmo	6	1447	56.74%	Djurgarden	0	1340	10.90%	32.36%
13	1971-04-18	22.05	AIK Stockholm	3	1284	16.14%	@ Orebro	1	1313	49.50%	34.36%
14	1971-04-25	21.82	Atvidaberg	2	1338	23.65%	@ Orebro	0	1291	41.06%	35.29%
15	1971-06-03	20.98	Malmo	3	1343	18.49%	@ Luleaa	1	1345	46.70%	34.81%
16	1971-06-14	19.90	@ Djurgarden	5	1325	46.64%	Luleaa	1	1324	18.54%	34.82%
17	1971-04-25	19.74	Luleaa	2	1370	28.76%	@ Hammarby	0	1284	35.89%	35.35%
18	1971-06-23	19.60	@ Malmo	5	1363	47.09%	AIK Stockholm	1	1357	18.16%	34.76%
19	1971-05-31	18.19	Djurgarden	3	1319	25.60%	@ Orgryte	1	1256	39.04%	35.35%
20	1971-05-12	17.43	@ Hammarby	2	1261	34.91%	AIK Stockholm	0	1355	29.76%	35.33%
21	1971-08-29	17.39	@ Norrkoping	5	1330	50.23%	AIK Stockholm	1	1294	15.55%	34.22%
22	1971-06-13	17.26	@ Atvidaberg	4	1360	43.15%	Landskrona	1	1390	21.68%	35.17%
23	1971-10-24	17.10	@ Orgryte	4	1287	23.56%	Malmo	2	1470	42.16%	34.28%
24	1971-06-03	16.96	@ Elfsborg	4	1247	43.73%	Orebro	1	1272	21.14%	35.13%
25	1971-09-19	15.86	@ Orebro	3	1311	50.41%	Elfsborg	0	1273	15.40%	34.18%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1971-05-31	57.7	@ Malmo	2	1344	40.86%	Landskrona	2	1392	23.84%	35.30%
2	1971-04-18	57.4	@ Luleaa	2	1372	53.45%	Oster	2	1302	13.11%	33.44%
3	1971-05-31	56.7	@ Oster	2	1295	38.42%	Atvidaberg	2	1363	26.21%	35.36%
4	1971-05-02	56.6	@ Oster	2	1306	42.32%	Malmo	2	1342	22.45%	35.23%
5	1971-09-08	55.9	@ Orgryte	2	1255	45.38%	Elfsborg	2	1265	19.65%	34.97%
6	1971-09-14	55.9	@ Hammarby	2	1244	38.57%	Orebro	2	1310	26.07%	35.36%
7	1971-09-26	55.7	@ Luleaa	2	1225	42.78%	Orgryte	2	1257	22.03%	35.20%
8	1971-06-23	55.0	Elfsborg	2	1272	13.50%	@ Djurgarden	1	1336	52.91%	33.59%
9	1971-05-02	54.7	Orebro	2	1269	14.14%	@ Djurgarden	1	1324	52.05%	33.81%
10	1971-04-12	54.6	Luleaa	3	1363	31.00%	@ Orgryte	2	1260	33.71%	35.29%
11	1971-10-24	54.3	@ Orgryte	4	1287	23.56%	Malmo	2	1470	42.16%	34.28%
12	1971-05-16	54.0	@ Djurgarden	4	1312	42.09%	Malmo	3	1350	22.67%	35.24%
13	1971-06-03	53.9	AIK Stockholm	2	1345	19.47%	@ Djurgarden	1	1337	45.58%	34.95%
14	1971-08-29	53.7	@ Orebro	2	1287	23.52%	Malmo	1	1470	42.20%	34.27%
15	1971-08-29	53.5	Orgryte	2	1243	16.65%	@ Hammarby	1	1265	48.88%	34.48%
16	1971-08-29	53.1	@ Landskrona	1	1364	40.28%	Atvidaberg	1	1417	24.40%	35.32%
17	1971-09-08	52.9	@ Atvidaberg	1	1418	61.18%	Luleaa	1	1255	8.39%	30.43%
18	1971-09-12	52.8	@ Atvidaberg	1	1415	59.10%	Oster	1	1278	9.49%	31.41%
19	1971-06-23	52.5	Orebro	2	1265	20.18%	@ Orgryte	1	1249	44.79%	35.03%
20	1971-08-19	52.3	@ Landskrona	1	1365	46.88%	Norrkoping	1	1362	18.33%	34.79%
21	1971-04-18	52.2	@ Landskrona	1	1389	59.14%	Orgryte	1	1252	9.47%	31.39%
22	1971-09-19	52.1	@ Norrkoping	1	1379	58.99%	Hammarby	1	1243	9.56%	31.46%
23	1971-05-16	52.0	@ Atvidaberg	1	1365	49.04%	Norrkoping	1	1341	16.52%	34.45%
24	1971-08-12	51.9	@ Hammarby	2	1254	25.69%	Atvidaberg	1	1418	39.69%	34.62%
25	1971-06-03	51.8	@ Atvidaberg	1	1363	58.19%	Orgryte	1	1238	10.02%	31.79%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1971-10-03	31.5	@ Norrkoping	3	1377	58.28%	Elfsborg	0	1250	9.96%	31.76%
2	1971-10-24	31.6	@ Landskrona	3	1339	56.71%	Elfsborg	0	1232	10.92%	32.38%
3	1971-09-19	31.7	@ Malmo	2	1447	65.06%	Luleaa	0	1230	6.63%	28.32%
4	1971-06-23	31.8	@ Atvidaberg	3	1407	58.79%	Hammarby	0	1274	9.67%	31.54%
5	1971-05-02	32.3	@ Atvidaberg	3	1360	55.55%	Elfsborg	0	1266	11.66%	32.79%
6	1971-09-19	33.5	@ Orebro	3	1311	50.41%	Elfsborg	0	1273	15.40%	34.18%
7	1971-04-25	34.2	@ Malmo	2	1333	54.22%	Orgryte	0	1255	12.57%	33.21%
8	1971-05-16	34.2	@ Landskrona	2	1384	56.29%	Orebro	0	1282	11.18%	32.53%
9	1971-09-26	34.6	@ Atvidaberg	8	1411	58.86%	AIK Stockholm	2	1278	9.63%	31.51%
10	1971-08-24	34.7	@ Malmo	6	1447	56.74%	Djurgarden	0	1340	10.90%	32.36%
11	1971-10-17	34.7	@ Malmo	2	1463	60.11%	Oster	0	1313	8.94%	30.95%
12	1971-10-24	34.8	@ Atvidaberg	2	1406	56.20%	Orebro	0	1305	11.24%	32.56%
13	1971-08-12	34.9	@ Norrkoping	2	1352	53.00%	Oster	0	1287	13.44%	33.56%
14	1971-04-18	35.6	@ Atvidaberg	4	1311	43.67%	Djurgarden	0	1336	21.20%	35.13%
15	1971-08-29	37.0	@ Norrkoping	5	1330	50.23%	AIK Stockholm	1	1294	15.55%	34.22%
16	1971-05-16	37.3	@ Luleaa	1	1338	54.23%	Elfsborg	0	1260	12.56%	33.21%
17	1971-06-13	37.5	@ Orgryte	2	1241	41.99%	Hammarby	0	1280	22.77%	35.25%
18	1971-10-24	37.8	@ Djurgarden	2	1356	46.26%	Norrkoping	0	1358	18.87%	34.87%
19	1971-10-03	37.9	@ Malmo	3	1459	64.10%	Hammarby	1	1255	7.03%	28.87%
20	1971-09-19	38.2	@ Oster	4	1281	35.28%	Landskrona	0	1373	29.37%	35.34%
21	1971-06-14	38.3	@ Djurgarden	5	1325	46.64%	Luleaa	1	1324	18.54%	34.82%
22	1971-10-24	38.5	@ Oster	4	1307	49.62%	AIK Stockholm	1	1277	16.04%	34.34%
23	1971-04-12	38.7	@ Malmo	1	1326	49.93%	Elfsborg	0	1293	15.79%	34.28%
24	1971-08-24	38.8	@ AIK Stockholm	1	1288	48.27%	Hammarby	0	1271	17.15%	34.58%
25	1971-06-23	39.0	@ Malmo	5	1363	47.09%	AIK Stockholm	1	1357	18.16%	34.76%